Final Report Life Cycle Analysis of Road Transport Biofuels Prepared for the London Borough of Camden By Sustainable Transport Solutions Ltd Final Report August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Report Prepared for: London Borough of Camden By Sustainable Transport Solutions Ltd Report Details: Report Type Report Reference: Report Version: Date: Final Report LCA Road Transport Biofuels Final Report v7 th 18 August 2008 Quality Control: Author(s) Quality Check Project Manager Last Edited Guy Hitchcock, Ben Lane Ben Lane Guy Hitchcock th 18 August 2008 This report has been prepared for London Borough of Camden in accordance with the terms and conditions of appointment. Sustainable Transport Solutions Ltd cannot accept any responsibility for any use of or reliance on the contents of this report by any third party. Contact Details Guy Hitchcock Sustainable Transport Solutions Ltd Crossways, Hilltop Lane Kilve, Bridgwater Somerset TA5 1SR Tel: 0870 4289096 Email: [email protected] www.sustainable-transport.net Final Report August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Contents 1. Introduction ...................................................................... 1 2. Methodology .................................................................... 2 3. Review of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Data................... 4 3.1. Biodiesel ..................................................................... 4 3.2. Bioethanol .................................................................. 6 3.3. Biomethane ................................................................ 8 3.4. Land use impacts ..................................................... 10 4. Review of Air Quality Emissions .................................... 12 4.1. Biodiesel ................................................................... 12 4.2. Bioethanol ................................................................ 14 4.3. Biomethane .............................................................. 15 4.4. Fuel production emissions........................................ 16 5. Life Cycle Analysis Results............................................ 18 5.1. Fuel cycle results ...................................................... 21 5.2. Cleaner Drive analysis ............................................. 22 6. Conclusions ................................................................... 26 Final Report Page 1 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels 1. Introduction The London Borough of Camden, and the Clear Zone Partnership, has been active in exploring new vehicles and fuels in order to reduce pollution emissions to tackle local air quality and climate change. The Council are interested in understanding the air quality and climate change impacts of biofuels in order to inform policy objective related to the use and promotion of biofuels. This study compares the life cycle emissions for different biofuels. With the introduction of the European Biofuels Directive and in the UK the Renewable Transport Fuels Obligation (RTFO), a number of authorities are now using biofuels within their own fleets. The most common fuel at present is biodiesel which is generally being used in a blend with mineral diesel, with the level of biodiesel ranging from 5% to 30%. The primary benefit of biofuels is the reduction of life cycle greenhouse gas emissions, but there have been some concerns about their potential impact on air quality. This LCA study looked at the three main biofuels, biodiesel, bioethanol and biomethane and how they compare on a life cycle emissions impact basis. The main biofuels covered in the study were: Biodiesel – produced from UK rape seed oil (to produce rape methyl ester or RME), Malaysian palm oil (PME) and from local used cooking oil (UCO); Bioethanol – produced from UK wheat, UK sugar beet, and Brazilian sugar cane; Biomethane – produced from local municipal waste, sewage waste and landfill. The study reviewed existing and, where practical, local information on the life cycle emissions from the production and use of these fuels, and provides an assessment of their use in light duty vehicles. The assessment covers the following emissions impacts: Climate change impacts – considering the main transport greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O), Local air quality impacts – considering the regulated emissions and specifically nitrogen oxides (NOx) and particulate matter (PM). Also where relevant and where data is available other emissions such as of volatile organic compounds including aldehydes. Final Report Page 1 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels 2. Methodology In the case of road transport, pollutant emissions are generated during production of the fuel, 1 vehicle manufacture, vehicle operation, and vehicle recycling/ disposal. These emissions can be categorised as either direct, produced during operation of the vehicle, or as indirect, being generated during the production of the fuel, and the manufacture and disposal of the vehicle. A full life cycle assessment needs to include both direct and indirect emissions (as defined above). For conventional fuels, the direct greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions will form the majority of total emissions, however, indirect emissions will also be significant – in the case of light-duty vehicles, 2 indirect emissions account for around 15% of life cycle emissions. However, in the case of biofuels, the full GHG benefit of the fuel can only be assessed by considering indirect emissions as this is where the environmental impacts (and benefits) of the fuel occur. Regarding regulated pollutants (including NOx and particulates) that impact on air quality (AQ), the picture is somewhat different with both fuel production and fuel use (vehicle operation) generating significant proportions of the emissions, the percentage depending on the type of fuel. Also, as vehicle emission regulations tighten the proportion of emissions associated with fuel production increases. Although in most cases (e.g. petrol and diesel cars), indirect emissions associated with the fuel cycle exceed the level of emissions generated during vehicle manufacture, assembly and disposal, vehicle cycle emissions are not insignificant, and need to be included in a full life cycle assessment. These are usually estimated using established modelling techniques due to the lack 3 of data that is available in the public domain. Figure 1 Transport fuel and vehicle life cycles – see new diagram below 1 A full transport impact assessment would also include an analysis of the impacts associated with the extraction of raw materials, infrastructure requirements, impacts on land use; resource depletion; and waste disposal issues. However, these issues are beyond the scope of this study. 2 SMMT Annual CO2 Report: 2006. Society of Motor Manufactures and Traders, 2006. 3 These techniques are employed by the GREET and Ecolane LCA studies: GREET 2.7, The Transportation Vehicle-Cycle Model, 2007; and Life Cycle Assessment of Vehicle Fuels and Technologies. Conducted by Ecolane on behalf of the London Borough of Camden, 2006. Final Report Page 2 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Figure 1 summarises the fuel and vehicle life cycles and identifies which process stages produce the majority of emissions. The focus of most life cycle assessment research is on fuel cycle GHG emissions and therefore there is a great deal of high quality data available on this aspect. The primary work that has been done on this, on which the study will draw, includes: o DfT (2007). Carbon reporting within the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation – Methodology, 2007; o Concawe (2006). Well-To-Wheels Analysis Of Future Automotive Fuels And Powertrains In The European Context. Report by Concawe, Eurcar and the EU Joint Research Centre, 2006; o GREET (2006). Development of GREET 2.7 Fuel Cycle Model for Transportation Fuels and Vehicle Technologies. Argonne National Laboratory, USA; o DTI (2000). The Report of the Alternative Fuels Group of the Cleaner vehicle task Force Report. Department of Trade and Industry, Automotive Directorate, The Stationery Office, London, 2000. In contrast, research that focuses on the fuel cycle AQ emissions (eg NOx and particulates), is much more scarce. Therefore the data on these emissions are less robust. In addition, direct emissions are influenced by vehicle emissions control technology and the European emissions legislation that they are designed to meet (Euro standards) - these technologies are continuing to developing and the impact of these technologies on biofuel emissions is not always clear. Therefore, for the reasons described above, the study set the following LCA boundaries to define the scope of the analysis: Greenhouse gas and regulated emissions assessment is carried out for the full fuel cycle, including direct and indirect emissions; Greenhouse gas and regulated emissions assessment is carried out for the vehicle cycle, which will be estimated using established modelling techniques; The regulated pollutant emissions covered in the analysis is primarily NOx and particulates, with others included where necessary (eg volatile organic compounds) and where suitable data is available; The regulated emissions assessments reported in two parts (direct and indirect emissions), as it is predominantly the direct emissions that affect local air quality in Camden. The Cleaner Drive methodology will be used to assess the environmental impacts of quantified emissions. This report is set out in three main sections covering the work of the study: Section 3 sets out the review of the fuel cycle GHG emissions for each of the fuels. Section 4 reviews the data available on air quality emissions, primarily at tail pipe. Section 5 then provides the results for the fuel life cycle analysis for both GHG and regulated emissions, it also provides the results of the Cleaner Drive analysis. Finally Section 6 sets out some conclusions from the data and analysis. Final Report Page 3 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels 3. Review of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Data The two main sources of data reviewed for the GHG emissions were: Well-to-wheels analysis of future automotive fuels and power trains in the European context’, Concawe/EUCAR/JRC, 2007; Carbon and sustainability reporting in the Renewable Transport Fuels Obligation, Renewable Fuels Agency (RFA), 2008 The RFA data represents the most up-to-date and UK specific data set available, while the Concawe study provides addition detailed analysis. For the biomethane data we have also drawn on information held by STS that was used to develop an, as yet, unpublished toolkit on biomethane for the Centre of Excellence on Fuels Cell and Low Carbon Technologies (CENEX). In all cases the GHG data presented in this section covers all the stages of fuel production from growing the crops through to production of the fuel to factory gate or import terminal in the UK. However, it does not include distribution and retail in the UK. The analysis also includes the 4 carbon content of the fuel itself and accounts for the energy content of the fuel. This allows the calculation of what is known as the GHG intensity of the fuel expressed in CO2 equivalents (accounting for CO2, CH4 and N2O emissions) per MJ of fuel. This is then essentially the inherent carbon or GHG emissions associated with a fuel, allowing fuels to be compared on a more like for like basis. This data, however, does not take into account the impact of use in different vehicle technologies, and in particular the different efficiencies of the various vehicle technologies. Therefore it is a fuel comparison comparing fuels on an energy basis, not a vehicle and fuel comparison. The final vehicle stage, which accounts for differences in vehicle technology and exhaust emissions (e.g. comparing petrol and diesel engines) is done in Section 5 to give the full life-cycle results, including vehicle impacts, and expressed in emissions per vehicle km. 3.1. Biodiesel Biodiesel is an alternative to fossil diesel and is produced from vegetable oils. The conversion process is a fairly simple chemical reaction which splits the glycerine out of the oil to form an ester. The reaction is carried out by adding methanol or ethanol to the oil, with an additional catalyst, to produce a methyl or ethyl ester, which is what we term biodiesel. The three representative routes for biodiesel that were selected for this study are: UK sourced rapeseed, converted into a methyl ester (RME). UK sourced rape sheet has been chosen as representative for an RME, and will be very similar to other European produced RME’s. Malaysian palm oil, converted into a methyl ester (PME). Malaysia along with Indonesia are the main sources of palm oil currently being used, and are very similar in the GHG emissions. Used cooking oil (UCO) collected and processed into methyl ester. This is cooking oil that is collected locally in the London area. In practice any commercial biodiesel production operation may use a range of feedstock oils to produce their biodiesel, rather than a single oil. The oils will be brought on the oil markets and blended at the production stage. Current feedstock oils used to produce biodiesel fuels used in 4 The carbon content of fossil fuels is calculated as the carbon emitted from complete combustion of the fuel. For the biofuels the carbon content is assumed to be zero, as the carbon has been absorbed in growing of the plant. Final Report Page 4 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels 5 the UK include a mixture of soy, rape seed, palm oil, tallow and UCO. Given the similarities of the lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions of US SME (from soy) and RME, and (separately) also of tallow and UCO based fuels, the three biodiesels analysed by this study (RME, PME and UCO) represent the full spectrum of emissions benefits offered by biodiesel fuels. The production pathway covered by the LCA analysis data in the RFA and Concawe studies is shown in Table 1 below: Table 1 Description of biodiesel production stages RME PME UCO Farming inputs to Farming inputs to Not included growing the crop growing the crop Crop processing Energy use for drying Production of palm oil Not included the rape seed on site Feedstock transport Transport of seed to Transport of raw Not included crusher palm oil to refinery Feedstock processing Crushing of seed to Refining of palm oil Not included produce rape seed oil and by product crush cake Feedstock transport Assumed crushed at Assume refining Collection of used oil same site as happens at from local area with conversion plant conversion site 40km Conversion Inputs for conversion Conversion of palm Conversion of used oil of rape oil to RME, oil to PME and by into FAME and by and by product product glycerine product glycerine glycerine. Biodiesel transport None assumed Import of PME into None assumed the UK from Malaysia Stage Crop Cultivation In this analysis the distribution of the fuel is not included and so it is looking purely at the fuel production process to the factory gate. This can then be compared to fossil diesel to the same point in the life cycle analysis. Both the RFA and Concawe data cover emissions of CO 2, CH4 and N2O and express this in CO2 equivalent terms. Table 2 shows the emissions associated for each of the fuel production phases described above for the three study fuels from the RFA data set. The data is given per kg of CO2 per tonne of fuel, and this is converted into g CO2/MJ for comparison with a base UK diesel. These comparison results are also shown in Figure 2. Table 2 RFA GHG emissions data by production stage for biodiesel Feedstock Country Crop Rape seed Palm oil UCO UK Malaysia UK CO2 Emissions per stage, kg/tonne fuel Transport Process Transport Conversion Total 71 29.0 -468.0 0.0 471.0 2048.0 520 39.0 109.0 248.0 471.0 1711.0 0 0.0 0.0 8.0 471.0 479.0 Process 1945 324 0 CO2 % g/MJ Reduction 55.1 36.3% 46.0 46.8% 12.9 85.1% Note: Relative to UK diesel at 86.4 g CO2e/MJ; PME sheeting emissions are showing under the second transport column. The range of CO2 savings compared to fossil diesel are from 85% for UCO to 36% for UK rape seed. These results are broadly similar to the Concawe data, which gives a 46% saving for European average rape seed against European average diesel. So typically a commercial biodiesel produced from a range of feedstock oils might be around a 50% GHG saving against fossil diesel. 5 Renewable Fuels Agency, April-May 2008 Monthly Report. URL: http://www.dft.gov.uk/rfa/reportsandpublications/rtforeports.cfm. Final Report Page 5 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels The significant savings in GHG emissions from a UCO base biodiesel arise from the fact that all the emissions associated with growing the feedstock oil are not allocated to the fuel but rather to the initial food use. Conversely when you look a biodiesel from rape seed the majority of the emissions are associated with crop production, and are related to nitrous oxide emissions from soil tillage and use of fertilizers. In this case more sustainable agricultural practices with reduced tillage and the use of none fossil fuel fertilisers could substantially improve the GHG balance for RME. Malaysian palm oil (from existing plantations in cases with no associated land use changes – see Section 3.4) out performs standard UK sourced rape seed, even with the transport requirements, as agricultural process uses much fewer inputs than rape seed. Figure 2 GHG intensity of biodiesel compared to fossil diesel 3.2. Bioethanol Bioethanol is generally used as an alternative to petrol; in low blends in normal petrol vehicles, 6 and in high blends in flexible fuel vehicles. The fuel is made from the fermentation of starch or sugar crops to produce the ethanol. The three main production sources identified as representative for this study were as follows: Ethanol from wheat produced in the UK, which like rape seed will be representative of most wheat across the UK; Ethanol from sugar beet produced in the UK; Ethanol from sugar cane produced and processed in Brazil, which is the main imported source of sugar cane ethanol at present. Unlike biodiesel, ethanol is always produced from a single feedstock as the conversion process is feedstock specific. However, when buying ethanol the final product may be sourced from a 6 Several manufacturers, including Ford, Volvo and Saab, offer 'Flex-Fuel' Vehicles (FFVs) that run on any percentage petrol-ethanol blend (up to E85) or on conventional petrol – the engine management system automatically detects which fuel is being used and adjusts the timing accordingly making the vehicles fuelflexible. Over 15,000 flex-fuel versions of the Ford Focus have already been sold in Sweden, where there are nearly 200 filling stations selling E85 bioethanol fuel. Final Report Page 6 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels number of different processors, as the processed ethanol will be the same in all cases. But in general you are more likely to be using ethanol from a single type of feedstock, compared with biodiesel which will more usually be made from a mixture of feedstock oils. Current feedstock crops used to produce the majority of bioethanol fuels used in the UK include sugar cane (from 7 Brazil) and sugar beet (primarily from the UK). The production path considered in the analysis of ethanol is described below in Table 3: Table 3 Description of bioethanol production pathways Wheat Sugar beet Sugar cane Farming inputs to Farming inputs to Farming inputs to growing the crop growing the crop growing the crop Crop processing Energy use for drying None None the wheat Feedstock transport Transport of wheat to Transport of sugar Transport of sugar ethanol plant beet to ethanol plant cane to ethanol plant Conversion Ethanol production Ethanol production Ethanol production using grid electricity using grid electricity using waste sugar and natural gas. and natural gas. cane bagasse as Credit given for byenergy source. product distillers grains used as animal feed. Biodiesel transport None assumed Import of ethanol into None assumed the UK from Brazil Stage Crop Cultivation As with biodiesel distribution of the fuel is not included and so it is looking purely at the fuel production process to the factory gate (or import terminal for Brazilian ethanol). This can then be compared to fossil petrol to the same point in the life cycle analysis. Table 4 shows the emissions associated for each of the fuel production phases described above for the three study fuels from the RFA data set. The data is given per kg of CO2 per tonne of fuel, and this is converted into g CO2/MJ for comparison with a base UK petrol. These comparison results are also shown in Figure 3. Table 4 RFA data for ethanol production stages Feedstock Country Crop Process Wheat UK 1275 Sugar beat UK 530 Sugar Cane Brazil 245 Note: Relative to UK petrol at 84.8 gCO2e/MJ CO2 Emissions, kg/tonne Transport Conversion Transport Total 49 68 231 176 645 49 0 268 CO2 % g/MJ reduction 1623 60.6 28.6% 1351 50.4 40.6% 665 24.8 70.7% This shows a range of GHG savings from 70% for Brazilian sugar cane to 28% for UK wheat. The good results for the Brazilian sugar cane arises due to its low input agricultural process and the fact that the standard process energy is the zero carbon bagasse waste from the sugar cane – i.e. the part of the cane not used as a feedstock to produce the bioethanol is used as a fuel to provide energy for the ethanol production process. Wheat ethanol, like biodiesel from rape seed, has most of its emissions associated with the crop cultivation. Sugar beet performs better than wheat, as it is a less intensive cultivation process. However, there are significant variations in the way ethanol can be processed and this is shown in two additional pathways that are covered by the Concawe data, and might be considered best practice conversion processes: 7 Renewable Fuels Agency, April-May 2008 Monthly Report. URL: http://www.dft.gov.uk/rfa/reportsandpublications/rtforeports.cfm. Final Report Page 7 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Wheat ethanol where the stillage by-product and wheat straw are used as a fuel for power generation; Sugar beet ethanol where the beet waste is used for power generation in a biogas plant. The data for these two pathways is shown below in Table 5. This shows that a best practice process for wheat ethanol has a much lower level of CO2 emissions and is comparable to or better than Brazilian sugar cane ethanol. Similarly the best practice route for producing sugar beet ethanol is considerably better in CO2 terms than the standard practice. Table 5 Best practice ethanol production pathways in the Concawe study Fuel Feedstock Path CO2 Ethanol Ethanol Ethanol Ethanol Wheat Wheat Sugar beet Sugar beet Standard Best Standard Best 48.5 0.2 49.1 19 Emissions, g/MJ % CH4 N2O GHG (CO2) reduction 0.13 0.026 59.2 31.0% -0.03 0.056 16.2 81.1% 0.13 0.018 57.5 33.0% 0.03 0.034 29.7 65.4% Note: relative to European average petrol at 85.8 gCO2e/MJ Figure 3 GHG emissions for bioethanol production Note: Concawe data (wheat 2, Sugar beet 2) normalised to RFA data for consistency 3.3. Biomethane Biomethane is produced from the anaerobic digestion (AD) of organic material, such as organic waste or agricultural residues. The raw biogas produced from the AD process needs to be upgrade to about 95% methane for use as a vehicle fuel and is then known as biomethane. With light duty vehicles the fuel is usually used in bi-fuel CNG/petrol vehicles. The coverage of biomethane in both the RFA and Concawe data is more limited than with the other fuels, however, combining data from these studies with data that STS has collected specifically on biomethane GHG LCA data was estimated for the following primary pathways: Municipal waste (MSW) collected locally and treated in an anaerobic digestion system and upgraded to provide biomethane. Process energy used is a combination of biogas generated and imported electricity. The digestate from the process is assumed to be spread back to land as a fertiliser. Sewage waste treated in the same way as MSW, with imported electricity, and the residue spread to land to replace fertiliser. Final Report Page 8 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Collection of landfill gas and upgrading to biomethane vehicle fuel quality. The key elements of the production pathway considered for biomethane are a bit simpler and are as follows: Transport of the feedstock – this is the collection and transport of the municipal waste, but is assumed zero for sewage and landfill. AD process – this is the actual digestion process and it is assumed that the raw biogas is used to provide process heat and electrify requirements are imported from the grid. For landfill gas this process occurs natural in the land fill with no energy inputs. Upgrading – this is the upgrading process required to clean up the raw gas and compress it for use as a vehicle fuel. The process energy is assumed to be electricity imported from the grid. The analysis also includes methane losses from the AD and upgrading process as a separate element, and gives a credit from the AD digestate being used as a fertiliser and replacing fossil fertilisers. The GHG emissions results for each of these stages, along with losses and credits, for the three main pathways are shown in Table 4 below. Each of the pathways shows around a 5060% reduction in emissions compared to petrol. Table 6 Base biomethane GHG emissions estimates Yield Emissions/stage g CO2e/MJ biomethane % Path MJ/tonne Transport AD Upgrade Losses Credits Total reduction MSW imported elec 1996 6.4 16.2 8.14 10.3 -0.78 40.26 52.5% Sewage import elec 1568 0 16.2 8.14 10.4 -0.78 33.96 60.0% Landfill import elec 2354 0 0 6.5 29.2 0 35.7 57.9% Note: Relative to UK petrol at 84.8 gCO2e/MJ The two key assumptions that effect these results are the overall system losses, since methane is a strong greenhouse gas it will have a significant effect overall, and what fuel is used for the AD and upgrading process. It terms of system losses an initial 1% was assumed but if this was as high as 5%, as has been suggested to us by some system providers, it has a significant impact on the results. Similarly the base case assumes imported electricity with the biogas itself used only for heating, however, it is quite common for biogas plants to have combined heat and power (CHP) systems running on the biogas providing both heat and electricity. This again has a significant impact on the results. Results for these alternative scenarios are shown in Table 7 below. These results now show a GHG saving compared to petrol ranging from only 23.6% when 5% losses are assumed through to 83.9% for sewage gas using a biogas CHP for heat and electricity. A further scenario has been added estimating the emissions for liquefied landfill gas using landfill gas CHP for the process energy. This final scenario reflects the biomethane being produced from landfill by Gasrec who are running a pilot with Camden at present. Table 7 Alternative biomethane production scenarios Path MSW Imported elec 5% MSW CHP elec Sewage CHP elec Landfill CHP Landfill CHP Liquid Final Report Yield MJ/tonne Transport AD 1915 6.4 1158 6.4 910 0 2020 0 2100 0 Emissions/stage g CO2e/MJ biomethane % Upgrade Liquify Losses Credits Total reduction 16.2 8.14 0 34.8 -0.78 64.76 23.6% 0 0 0 17.8 -0.78 23.42 72.4% 0 0 0 14.4 -0.78 13.62 83.9% 0 0 0 33.2 0 33.2 60.8% 0 0 0 27.9 0 27.9 67.1% Page 9 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Figure 4 GHG emissions for biomethane production 3.4. Land use impacts One of the biggest discussions about the potential environmental problems with biofuels has been around changes in land use associated with requiring more land to grow both food and fuel crops. The change of concern is using previously unmanaged forest or grass land on which to grow biofuel feedstocks. The impact of this change is both terms of biodiversity effects and carbon impacts. The carbon impacts arise from changes in carbon stocks (stored carbon) in the existing biomass (trees, grassland, etc) and soil types, when switching to cultivation. These land use changes can occur in two ways: either direct or indirect. Direct land use change is when a biofuel crop is directly grown on previous forest of grass land. Indirect land use change is when a biofuel crop is displacing food production into new areas of forest or grassland and so can be indirectly considered to have caused the land use change. Clearly indirect effects are much harder to determine and allocate to a fuel. For feedstocks sourced in the UK there is unlikely to be any direct land use change as most land that is suitable for agricultural use is already being used or has been left fallow as set aside. The one exception would be if long established grazing land was ploughed up to be used as crop land. However, indirect effects may be occurring in the UK if using wheat or rape seed for example that it might otherwise be exported as a food crop. In this case this food will need to be grown elsewhere and this may cause land use impacts. With feedstock from developing countries the concern about direct land use change is greater, as in many of these countries there are large areas of forest or grass land that could be turned over to agricultural use and used for growing biofuel feedstocks. Again indirect effects may also occur if biofuel plantations are pushing food crops onto sensitive land. The calculation of the CO2 equivalent impact of these changes is difficult to calculate as it depends on country, type of previous land use, type of feedstock being grown and biofuel being produced. The RFA has made estimate of these impacts using a methodology developed by the IPPC. The Final Report Page 10 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels data relating direct land use impacts for each of our studied biofuel pathways is shown in Table 8 below. In all cases if land change has happened, then the impact on GHG emissions will wipe out any benefit that the biofuel had over the fossil fuel equivalent. Clearly land use issues do not affect fuels produced from waste feedstocks such as UCO and biomethane. Fuel Biodiesel Biodiesel Bioethanol Bioethanol Bioethanol Table 8 Direct land use impacts on biofuel GHG emissions Feedstock Country Previous land use impact, g CO2e/MJ Crop land Forest Grassland Rapeseed UK 0 520 137 Palm oil Malaysia 0 157 51 Wheat UK 0 438 116 Sugar beet UK 0 228 60 Sugar cane Brazil 0 319 88 This presents a somewhat unsettling picture for traditional liquid biofuels and suggests that as demand for food and fuel grows we will undoubtedly have detrimental impacts in terms of carbon emissions. However, the picture is quite complex and there are a number of reasons why land use impacts may not be as bad as some fear or indeed are attributable to biofuels: New technologies allow a wider range of non-food and waste materials to be used as feedstocks. There is potentially still significant amounts of unused agricultural land that may be developed; There are significant improvements in agricultural efficiency that can be made, and these will be driven through investment made possible through higher commodity prices; The destruction of forest land may be driven primarily for demand for wood, and then only subsequently used for food or fuel crops. 8 The recent Gallagher review of indirect effects of biofuels carried out by the RFA concluded that these impacts were occurring, but that with suitable controls a sustainable biofuels industry was possible. However, whatever the arguments we are moving to a world with reduced dependence on oil where we need to make our needs for food, fuel and materials fit the earth’s production capacity. This means biofuels can only be part of the solution alongside significant reduction in demand for transport fuels. 8 ‘The Gallagher Review - of the indirect effects of biofuel production’, Renewable Fuels Agency, July 2008 Final Report Page 11 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels 4. Review of Air Quality Emissions The level of analysis and data collection on fuel cycle air quality emissions (such as NOx and PM) is much less than for GHG emissions. Clearly there are plenty of data available on the direct exhaust emissions from conventional fuels and engine technologies, and their effect on air quality. There is quite of bit of data and discussion on the emissions from alternative fuels, including biofuels. However, it is quite hard to compare this data is it is for a range of test cycle and vehicle technologies. Also as emission standards get tighter, the relative impact of alternative fuels on vehicle emissions will decrease. However, what is important is an understanding of how these fuels interact with new emissions reduction technology. This section therefore focuses on the effect of biofuels on exhaust emissions, as this is where most of the available data lies and it is also these direct emissions that are of most concern from local air quality. The indirect emissions will be covered in less detail, and both sets of data are combined for the fuel life cycle assessment in Chapter 5. 4.1. Biodiesel Most of the data available on biodiesel appears to be for heavy duty vehicles, trucks and buses, and much is for pre-2000 vehicles. Clearly this raises the question about how applicable this is for light duty vehicles and the effect on newer vehicles. A literature review by the Dutch energy 9 agency Novem in 2004 concluded that although results were quite variable, biodiesel would appear to reduce emissions of CO, HC and PM, but slightly increase NOx emissions. There also seemed to be a consistent picture in lower emissions of aromatic HC’s and PAHs. 10 This conclusion reflects the results of a major USEPA study in 2002 on biodiesel and the most commonly held perceptions of the emissions impacts of biodiesel. Figure 5 is taken direct from the EPA study and shows NOx increasing with biodiesel blend levels and all other emissions decreasing. These results caused some concerns, since NOx is a major urban air pollutant and lead to a number of US states banning its use. This prompted further study by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in 2004 that carried out direct measurements and literature 11 reviews . This concluded that the EPA results were from limited vehicles types and from a wider vehicle group ‘on average there appears to be no net effect (on NOx emissions), or at most a very small effect of ± 0.5%’. One concern with regards the US data is that the base US diesel has a much higher sulphur content than in the EU (EU EN590 diesel <50ppm sulphur, US LSD <300ppm sulphur). A more 12 recent German study of B100 and low sulphur diesel provides some answers here. This study concluded the following: NOx emissions were broadly similar across all fuels, and at worst a little higher for biodiesel under high loads; CO and HC emissions were generally 30-40% lower than standard diesel; PM emissions were about 40% lower than standard diesel, but the Swedish MK1 diesel which is virtually sulphur free had similar PM emissions to the biodiesel. 9 ‘Compatibility of pure and blended biofuels with respect to engine performance, durability and emissions’, Senter-Novem, 2004 10 ‘A comprehensive analysis of biodiesel impacts on exhaust emissions’, US EPA, 2002 11 ‘Effects of biodiesel blends on vehicle emissions’, NREL, 2006 12 ‘Fuel economy and environmental characteristics of biodiesel and low sulphur fuels in diesel engines’, Krahl et. Al., 2005 Final Report Page 12 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Figure 5 US EPA trend lines for the emissions impact of biodiesel on heavy-duty vehicles Even these German results are only relative to a Euro II emission standard vehicle, and so the differences one would expect to be less for more recent vehicles with lower standard emissions. However, the Novem study concludes that the low sulphur content of biodiesel makes it favourable for the application of exhaust after treatments such as oxidation catalysts and particulate filters and so should continue to see some benefits over standard diesel. The NOVEM review (2004) quotes research that suggested that the various found in NOx and PM emissions, particularly NOx emissions was related to fuel parameters such as density, cetane number and iodine number that will vary depending on the feedstock oils used for the biodiesel. However, there seems little data on this to really assess the impact of different feedstock oils. Another important issue regarding the air quality impacts of biodiesel fuel is fuel quality. Most of the European research findings relate to high-quality biodiesels that meet accepted biofuel standards (such as EN14214 originally based on the German RME fuel specification). For biodiesel fuels which have specifications that differ markedly from established (and developing) standards, there remains some uncertainty regarding the emissions impacts for these fuels. For example, the fuels produced by individuals using ‘do-it-yourself’ esterification kits is likely to be highly variable in composition. A number of companies now also offer straight vegetable oils or SVOs (also known as pure plant oils or PPOs) and engine conversion kits for private and business use. There is some initial evidence published by the Department for Transport that the regulated emissions for light-duty vehicles using SVOs is highly variable, and can be significantly worse than 13 baseline ULSD is some cases. However, there is also some evidence that the comparison studies conducted to date have not reflected the highest quality SVOs or engine conversions that 14 are commercially available. It seems that, to assess the regulated emissions performance of biodiesel fuels not conforming to known standards, more research is required. 13 Final Report of Test Programme to Evaluate Emissions Performance of Vegetable Oil Fuel on Two Light Duty Diesel Vehicles. DfT, 2004. URL: http://www.dft.gov.uk/rmd/project.asp?intProjectID=11610. 14 Folkecenter for Renewable Energy, Denmark, 2004. URL: http://journeytoforever.org/biodiesel_SVOAnso.html. Final Report Page 13 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels In summary, therefore, we will make the following assumptions about the impact of (high-quality) biodiesel conforming to established fuel standards, relative to standard diesel (<50PPM sulphur) for a Euro IV vehicle, for the full life cycle emissions analysis: Table 9 Estimated impact of biodiesel in regulated emissions Pollutant B20 B100 CO -6% -30% HC -8% -40% NOx +0.5% +2% PM -6% -30% 4.2. Bioethanol The data on ethanol emissions appears to be more limited than that on biodiesel and quite variable. For many years ethanol has been used in the US in low blends as an oxygenate to help reduce CO emissions from petrol engine vehicles. However, this has not been common in Europe and, with the introduction of catalysts, is of marginal value. However, with the Biofuels directive and the RTFO blends in petrol up to 5% are likely to increase. In general it would seem that the impact of these blends on regulated emissions is negligible. The only exception to this is the tendency for low blend ethanol fuels to have increase vapour pressure and so increased evaporative emissions at refuelling stations. With higher blend ethanol fuels up to E85 the emissions performance is again variable. The Novem review in 2004 concluded that the regulated emissions were little different to the petrol equivalent. However, in terms of unregulated emissions there does seem to be consistent evidence of significantly increase aldehyde emissions, which are a by product of ethanol combustion, but decreases in aromatics such as benzene. A similar conclusion was reached by 15 review of the sustainability impacts of ethanol carried out in the US in 2005 : ‘E10 is of debatable air pollution merit (and may in fact increase the production of photochemical smog); offers little advantage in terms of greenhouse gas emissions, energy efficiency or environmental sustainability; and will significantly increase both the risk and severity of soil and groundwater contamination. In contrast, E85 offers significant greenhouse gas benefits, however it will produce significant air pollution impacts, involves substantial risks to biodiversity, and its groundwater contamination impacts and overall sustainability are largely unknown.’ This potential problem with emissions of unregulated emissions, in particular increases aldehydes which are a precursor to peroxy acetyl nitrate (PAN) that causes eye irritation and respiratory 16 conditions, was studied by a team at Stanford University . This study pulled together data on exhaust emissions and then modelled the potential cancer and ozone related risks to health. There summary of results on emissions data is shown in Table 10 below and shows the large increase in aldehyde, and specifically acetaldehyde. Overall it concluded that E85 had a similar cancer risk potential to gasoline, but may have increased risks of ozone related health impacts. 17 A much more recent study from Sweden (Ecotraffic, 2008 ) assessed the emissions from modern Euro 4 passenger cars under a range of temperatures. In general this study provided similar results to that found by the earlier reviews with little difference in regulated emissions, but higher 15 ‘Ethanol in Gasoline, environmental impacts and sustainability review article’. Niven 2005 ‘The effects of ethanol (E85) versus gasoline vehicles on cancer and mortality in the United States’, Jacobson, Stanford, 2007 17 ‘An exhaust characterisation study based on regulated and un regulated tail pipe and evaporative emissions from bi-fuel and flexi-fuel light duty passenger cars fuelled by petrol, bioethanol (E70, E85) and 0 0 biogas, tested at ambient temperatures between -7 C and + 22 C.’ Ecotraffic, 2008 16 Final Report Page 14 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels aldehyde emissions. The Swedish study also showed that the aldehyde emissions got 0 significantly worse at low temperatures (-7 C), and in addition regulated emissions were also generally worse at low temperatures for the ethanol fuelled vehicles. At these low temperatures increases in PM emissions was also noted for E85, and this was associated with higher polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) levels. Table 10 Summary of % change in ethanol emissions results relative to petrol Source: Jacobson, 2007 – column headings relate to study reference and year Overall the data suggests that high blends of ethanol may present a risk of increased air pollution from higher aldehyde emissions when compared to petrol. With respect to the over fuel cycle emissions analysis the study will assume no impact on regulated emissions from using ethanol compared to petrol. However, in terms of unregulated emissions a significant increase of a factor of 10 will be assumed for aldehydes (specifically acetaldehyde), and a reduction in aromatics (benzene and 1-3 butadiene) of 50%. 4.3. Biomethane Biomethane is essentially the same as compressed natural gas (CNG) and is used in conventional CNG vehicles. As such the emissions of biomethane vehicles will be the same as those of other CNG vehicles. The emissions benefits of CNG vehicles are fairly well established being generally similar to or lower than equivalent petrol emissions, and having NOx and PM benefits against diesel. This is illustrated in the certification data for the Volvo S60 and V70 cars in Table 11. Table 11 Regulated emissions for the Volvo S60 and V70 Pollutant CO HC Nox PM S60, 2.4l, Euro4 V70, 2.4l, Euro4 Emissions, g/km % change vs % change vs Diesel Petrol CNG Diesel Petrol Diesel Petrol CNG Diesel Petrol 0.188 0.5 0.283 150.5% 56.6% 0.202 0.548 0.467 231.2% 85.2% 0.023 0.056 0.046 200.0% 82.1% 0.023 0.052 0.067 291.3% 128.8% 0.19 0.073 0.037 19.5% 50.7% 0.225 0.055 0.014 6.2% 25.5% 0.001 0.002 18 A recent Swedish study on bioethanol and biogas vehicles provides some detailed data on emissions from a bi-fuel CNG vehicle. This concluded that biomethane emissions were lower than petrol emissions for all regulated and unregulated emissions with the exception of HC emissions. The increase in HC emissions was related solely to increases in un-burnt methane emissions, which would appear to be worse with older catalysts. The problem with methane emissions is also identified by the Concawe lifecycle study. This uses an assumption of a 4 fold increase in methane emissions relative to a petrol vehicle. 18 Ecotraffic, 2008. Final Report Page 15 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels In summary biogas is potentially a very low emission fuel, with the potential to meet strict emissions standards. These reduced emissions will provide an air quality benefit for biomethane relative to petrol and diesel. The fuels only problem is with un-burnt methane emission, and this is related to the effectiveness of the catalyst system. In terms of air quality these methane emissions have little impact having very low ozone forming potential compared to HCs emitted from diesel and petrol vehicles. Also even though CH4 emitted directly is a strong greenhouse gas, over the whole lifecycle of the fuel as shown in Section 5, the total GHG emissions are still lower that petrol or diesel. Overall for the purposes of the life cycle assessment in this study we will assume the following: CO and PM emissions are the same as an equivalent petrol vehicle; Total HC emissions comparable to petrol, but CH4 emissions increased by factor of 4; NOx emissions are reduced by 50%. 4.4. Fuel production emissions This section focuses on the indirect (‘upstream’) air quality emissions associated with fuel production. As mentioned previously, in contrast to the extensive research findings regarding greenhouse gases, there is generally less published data regarding indirect pollutants. The main reason for this lack of data is that, for conventional fuels, the most significant impacts of local pollutants are caused by tailpipe emissions. However, this is not always the case for biofuels which may generate the largest proportion of regulated emissions (CO, HC, NOx and particulates) at the point of production. In these cases, it is therefore necessary to assess the extent of indirect emissions for air pollutants so a lifecycle inventory can be completed. That said, very few relevant data sources are available that quantify the upstream air pollutants for different biofuels. Only two comprehensive recent studies are currently available: one published by 19 Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) ; and the second is the Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions and Energy use in Transportation 20 (GREET) model from the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Argonne National Laboratory. UK data is available for some biofuels from the EU MEET Project (Fuel and Energy Production 21 Emission Factors, European Commission, ST-96-SC.204, 1997) , but this information dates back 22 to 1997. For liquid biofuels, to assess the level of indirect pollutants, this study draws primarily on the CSIRO data, and where data is not available, UK MEET data is used. In both cases, care is taken to check the relevance to a UK 2008 context – any assumptions made in transferring the data to a UK context are noted in the following text. For biomethane, in the absence of any published data, the authors have made calculations of indirect regulated emissions based on the existing information cited in the report. Tables 12 and 13 show the indirect fuel cycle emission used to inform this report (units are grams per GJ fuel delivered). 19 The greenhouse and air quality emissions of biodiesel blends in Australia, Tom Beer et al. Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), KS54C/1/F2.29, 2007. 20 GREET model 2008. URL: http://www.transportation.anl.gov/modeling_simulation/GREET/index.html. 21 MEET Project. URL: http://www.inrets.fr/infos/cost319/MEETdeliverable20.pdf. 22 The DfT's Cleaner Fuels and Vehicles Division are currently commissioning a new study to assess GHG emissions from UK fuel refineries; this is likely to update the results of the 1997 MEET report. Final Report Page 16 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Table 12 Indirect regulated emissions for selected biodiesel fuels Primary energy On-board fuel Energy Content Typical density Energy Content Fuel PMs Fuel NOx Fuel CO Fuel HCs Crude oil Units MJ/kg kg/litre MJ/litre gms/GJ gms/GJ gms/GJ gms/GJ Reference ULSD 43.1 0.832 35.9 1.10 36.10 4.60 103.60 MEET 1997 Rape Rape Canola Palm oil UCO seed seed RME100 RME100 RME100 PME100 UCO100 37.2 37.2 37.2 36.8 36.8 0.890 0.890 0.890 0.890 0.890 33.1 33.1 33.1 32.8 32.8 18.50 3.13 76.64 12.07 1.36 242.20 158.00 229.30 54.50 35.60 137.00 35.00 16.10 22.40 8.40 77.90 142.00 59.60 16.10 16.90 MEET CSIRO CSIRO CSIRO CSIRO 1997 2000 2007 2007 2007 Table 13 Indirect regulated emissions for selected bioethanol and biomethane fuels Primary energy On-board fuel Energy Content Typical density Energy Content Fuel PMs Fuel NOx Fuel CO Fuel HCs References Units MJ/kg kg/litre MJ/litre gms/GJ gms/GJ gms/GJ gms/GJ Crude oil Wheat ULSP 43.2 0.745 32.2 2.40 42.40 5.10 228.80 MEET 1997 E85 29.3 0.787 22.9 20.40 265.00 620.00 67.30 CSIRO 2000 Sugar cane E85 29.3 0.787 22.9 1.96 126.00 452.00 23.10 CSIRO 2000 MSW Sewage Landfill MSW Sewage Landfill BASE 47.1 n/a n/a 15.02 568.24 106.73 475.01 STS 2008 BASE 47.1 n/a n/a 14.77 559.77 105.44 474.59 STS 2008 BASE 47.1 n/a n/a 4.01 151.91 28.61 128.79 STS 2008 CHP 47.1 n/a n/a 0.47 15.63 2.40 1.59 STS 2008 CHP 47.1 n/a n/a 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 STS 2008 LIQUID 47.1 n/a n/a 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 STS 2008 For RME biodiesel, three datasets have been used for the analysis, one from the UK (MEET 1997) and two from Australia (CSIRO 2000 and 2007; note that the 2007 data is for Canola a rape seed derivate). For Palm Methyl Ester and Used Cooking Oils fuels, in the absence of any UK upstream data, figures from the latest CSIRO 2007 study have been used. To account for differences in the energy mix, all 2007 emission estimates are taken relative to baseline Ultra Low Sulphur Diesel of the respective countries. For CSIRO 2000 data, relative information is not available, and therefore is used as presented in the original CSIRO reports. For 85% blended bioethanol fuels (E85), in the absence of any UK upstream data, CSIRO 2000 data is used. US data is available but is focussed on corn derived biofuels which are not included in this study. The CSIRO data that includes wheat and sugar cane biofuels is used in the absence of any UK figures. No data is available for sugar beet derived bioethanol. In the case of biomethane fuel considered in this study, the authors have made calculations of pollutant emissions based on the published Concawe data already cited. Where relevant, these are calculated by estimating the upstream emissions associated with any electricity use and transport movements (Rigid HGV data sourced from National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory). As is the case for GHG emissions, a direct comparison of upstream pollutants for biofuels with diesel and petrol baseline fuels needs to account for variations in fuel use; biofuels tend to increase energy use per unit distance (MJ/km). In addition, all of the regulated emissions have different levels of environmental impact; generally NOx and particulates have a higher environmental significance than carbon monoxide and hydrocarbons. Therefore, assessing the upstream air quality impact of each biofuel requires the use of an external costing methodology to quantify the combined emissions impact (see Section 5.2). However, it is possible to observe from the figures shown in Tables 10 and 11 that, upstream pollutant emissions are increased for some biofuels as compared to diesel/petrol fuels. Unlike the GHG emissions comparison of the biofuels assessed in this report, where indirect emission are increased, these are not balanced by an equivalent of carbon absorption during crop growth, and can (in some cases) lead to an increase in lifecycle pollutant emissions. Final Report Page 17 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels 5. Life Cycle Analysis Results Up to this point in the report, the focus has been on GHG and air quality emissions generated on a per GJ delivered basis. This section uses the fuel use and (tailpipe) emissions performance for a typical petrol and diesel passenger car to compare the emissions for biofuels with baseline fuels on a per kilometre basis. The new element introduced into the calculation is fuel economy of a given vehicle technology. The passenger cars selected for the analysis are based on the latest Ford Focus diesel and petrol models, and are taken to represent the latest engine and emission-control technologies (fuel injection, diesel particulate filters, etc); for details of vehicle specifications see Table 14. The engine sizes are also similar to the cubic capacities of the models used in the Concawe analysis cited earlier in this report. Specifically these are: Ford Focus 2.0 Duratorq TDCi (136PS) (+DPF) Manual 6-speed [2008]; Ford Focus 1.6 Duratec (100PS) Manual 5-speed [2008]. It should be noted, that these particular models may not be able to accept all of the biofuels considered by the report. For example, the Focus 2.0 TDCi cannot be operated (under warranty) on 100% biodiesel due to the use of the latest fuel injection systems. Also the 1.6 Duratec is not the model in the Focus range designed to accept E85; there is a 1.8 Flex-Fuel version in the range. However, these vehicles types and engine sizes represent the latest typical (and comparable) petrol and diesel passenger cars used in the UK. To calculate the total fuel cycle results for those biofuels considered in this study, the following emissions are summed: 1. Tailpipe GHG emissions – for petrol/diesel, these are test cycle emissions as shown in Table 14. For crop based biofuels, tailpipe emissions are taken as zero as carbon is absorbed from the atmosphere during crop growth. For, E85 tailpipe emissions are (effectively) reduced by 85%; 2. Upstream GHG emissions – for all fuels these are based on estimated on Concawe and other cited data as discussed in Section 3; 3. Tailpipe regulated emissions – for petrol/diesel, these are test cycle emissions as shown in Table 14. For biofuels, these emissions are estimated using the relative data and assumptions as discussed in earlier Section 4; 4. Upstream regulated emissions – for all fuels these are based on cited data as discussed in Section 4.4. The total fuel cycle GHG and air quality emissions are shown in Table 14. Final Report Page 18 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Table 14 Fuel-cycle emissions comparison for selected biofuels and petrol/diesel baseline Fuelcycle emission comparison of Ultra Low Sulpur Diesel with 100% biodiesel fuels Vehicle specification Tailpipe emissions (g/km) Fuelcycle emissions (g/km) Kerb Metric Mpg wt Comb Comb CO2 CO HC NOx PMs Fuel Type PMs ULSD 1300 5.5 51.4 144 0.056 0.012 0.208 0.003 0.005 RME (MEET97) 1300 6.1 51.4 151 0.039 0.007 0.212 0.002 0.039 RME (CSIRO00) 1300 6.1 51.4 151 0.039 0.007 0.212 0.002 0.008 RME (CSIRO07) 1300 6.1 51.4 151 0.039 0.007 0.212 0.002 0.156 PME 1300 6.1 51.4 151 0.039 0.007 0.212 0.002 0.026 UCO 1300 6.1 51.4 151 0.039 0.007 0.212 0.002 0.005 Base vehicle: Ford Focus 2.0 Duratorq TDCi (136PS) (+DPF) Manual 6-speed [2008] NOx 0.279 0.697 0.529 0.671 0.320 0.283 CO 0.065 0.314 0.109 0.071 0.084 0.056 HC 0.216 0.163 0.292 0.127 0.039 0.041 SO2 0.094 0.137 0.137 0.137 0.135 0.135 CO2eq 172 110 110 110 91 26 CH4 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 N2O 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 CH4 0.014 0.014 0.014 N2O 0.005 0.005 0.005 CH4 0.014 0.058 0.058 0.058 0.058 0.058 0.058 N2O 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 Fuelcycle emission comparison of Ultra Low Sulpur Petrol with 85% bioethanol fuels Vehicle specification Tailpipe emissions (g/km) Kerb wt Metric Mpg Comb Comb CO2 CO HC NOx Fuel Type ULSP 42.2 159 0.547 0.072 0.050 1200 6.7 WHEAT-E85 42.2 159 0.547 0.072 0.050 1200 6.7 SUGAR-E85 42.2 159 0.547 0.072 0.050 1200 6.7 Base vehicle: Ford Focus 1.6 Duratec (100PS) Manual 5-speed [2008] PMs 0.000 1.000 2.000 Fuelcycle emissions (g/km) PMs 0.005 0.043 0.004 NOx 0.141 0.612 0.317 CO 0.558 1.861 1.505 HC 0.565 0.215 0.121 SO2 0.144 0.142 0.142 CO2eq 186 137 73 Fuelcycle emission comparison of Ultra Low Sulpur Petrol with 100% biomethane fuels Vehicle specification Tailpipe emissions (g/km) Kerb wt Metric Mpg Comb Comb CO2 CO HC NOx Fuel Type ULSP 42.2 159 0.547 0.072 0.050 1260 6.7 MSW BASE 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 1260 4.8 Sewage BASE 1260 4.8 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 Landfill BASE 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 1260 4.8 MSW CHP 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 1260 4.8 Sewage CHP 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 1260 4.8 Landfill LIQ 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 1260 4.8 Base vehicle: Ford Focus 1.6 Duratec (100PS) Manual 5-speed [2008] Final Report Page 19 PMs 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Fuelcycle emissions (g/km) PMs 0.005 0.034 0.034 0.009 0.001 0.000 0.000 NOx 0.141 1.315 1.296 0.370 0.060 0.025 0.025 CO 0.558 0.789 0.786 0.612 0.552 0.547 0.547 August 2008 HC 0.565 1.150 1.149 0.364 0.076 0.072 0.072 SO2 0.144 0.038 0.038 0.038 0.038 0.038 0.038 CO2eq 186 91 77 81 53 31 63 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Table 13 Life-cycle emissions comparison for selected biofuels and petrol/diesel baseline Lifecycle emission comparison of Ultra Low Sulpur Diesel with 100% biodiesel fuels Vehicle specification Tailpipe emissions (g/km) Lifecycle emissions (g/km) Kerb Metric Mpg wt Comb Comb CO2 CO HC NOx PMs Fuel Type PMs ULSD 1300 5.5 51.4 144 0.056 0.012 0.208 0.003 0.016 RME (MEET97) 1300 6.1 51.4 151 0.039 0.007 0.212 0.002 0.050 RME (CSIRO00) 1300 6.1 51.4 151 0.039 0.007 0.212 0.002 0.019 RME (CSIRO07) 1300 6.1 51.4 151 0.039 0.007 0.212 0.002 0.166 PME 1300 6.1 51.4 151 0.039 0.007 0.212 0.002 0.036 UCO 1300 6.1 51.4 151 0.039 0.007 0.212 0.002 0.015 Base vehicle: Ford Focus 2.0 Duratorq TDCi (136PS) (+DPF) Manual 6-speed [2008] NOx 0.338 0.756 0.587 0.730 0.379 0.341 CO 0.190 0.438 0.234 0.196 0.208 0.181 HC 0.289 0.236 0.364 0.199 0.112 0.113 SO2 0.180 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.221 0.221 CO2eq 197 135 135 135 116 50 Impact Rating CH4 0.047 0.046 0.046 0.046 0.046 0.046 N2O 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 AQ 23 35 31 43 22 22 GHG 54 37 37 37 32 14 ALL 41 36 35 39 28 17 Lifecycle emission comparison of Ultra Low Sulpur Petrol with 85% bioethanol fuels Vehicle specification Tailpipe emissions (g/km) Kerb wt Metric Mpg Comb Comb CO2 CO HC NOx Fuel Type ULSP 42.2 159 0.547 0.072 0.050 1200 6.7 WHEAT-E85 42.2 159 0.547 0.072 0.050 1200 6.7 SUGAR-E85 42.2 159 0.547 0.072 0.050 1200 6.7 Base vehicle: Ford Focus 1.6 Duratec (100PS) Manual 5-speed [2008] PMs 0.000 0.000 0.000 Lifecycle emissions (g/km) PMs 0.016 0.054 0.015 NOx 0.195 0.666 0.371 CO 0.672 1.975 1.619 HC 0.634 0.283 0.189 SO2 0.221 0.219 0.219 CO2eq 209 160 95 Impact Rating CH4 0.055 0.055 0.055 N2O 0.005 0.005 0.005 AQ 24 25 17 GHG 57 35 23 ALL 44 31 21 Lifecycle emission comparison of Ultra Low Sulpur Petrol with 100% biomethane fuels Vehicle specification Tailpipe emissions (g/km) Kerb wt Metric Mpg Comb Comb CO2 CO HC NOx Fuel Type ULSP 42.2 159 0.547 0.072 0.050 1260 6.7 MSW BASE 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 1260 4.8 Sewage BASE 1260 4.8 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 Landfill BASE 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 1260 4.8 MSW CHP 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 1260 4.8 Sewage CHP 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 1260 4.8 Landfill LIQ 58.6 122 0.547 0.072 0.025 1260 4.8 Base vehicle: Ford Focus 1.6 Duratec (100PS) Manual 5-speed [2008] Final Report Page 20 PMs 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Lifecycle emissions (g/km) PMs 0.017 0.045 0.045 0.020 0.012 0.011 0.011 NOx 0.198 1.370 1.351 0.425 0.116 0.080 0.080 CO 0.678 0.912 0.909 0.734 0.675 0.669 0.669 HC 0.637 1.221 1.220 0.435 0.146 0.143 0.143 August 2008 SO2 0.225 0.116 0.116 0.116 0.116 0.116 0.116 CO2eq 210 115 101 105 77 55 87 Impact Rating CH4 0.057 0.099 0.099 0.099 0.099 0.099 0.099 N2O 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 AQ 25 58 58 23 10 9 9 GHG 57 32 28 43 22 16 24 ALL 44 43 40 34 17 13 18 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels 5.1. Fuel cycle results As shown in Figure 6, all the biofuels considered by this report show a clear fuel cycle GHG benefits as compared to conventional fossil-based vehicle fuels. As compared to a ULSD baseline 100% biodiesel (B100) leads to a reduction in total fuel cycle greenhouse gas emissions (expressed as grams CO2eq/km) of 36% (RME), 47% (PME) and 85% (UCO). These figures confirm the RFA findings expressed on a per GJ delivered basis (as detailed in Section 3). The GHG benefits for lower percentage blends are proportionately reduced, the benefit scaling directly with the percentage of the biofuel blend. As compared to a ULSP baseline 85% bioethanol (E85) leads to a reduction in total fuel cycle greenhouse gas emissions (expressed as grams CO2eq/km) of 26% (sourced from wheat), 39% (sugar beet) and 68% (sugar cane). These figures confirm the RFA findings expressed on a per GJ delivered basis. As compared to a ULSP baseline 100% biomethane leads to a reduction in total fuel cycle greenhouse gas emissions (expressed as grams CO2eq/km) of 51% (MSW BASE), 56% (Landfill BASE), 59% (Sewage BASE), 66% (Landfill LIQ), 71% (MSW CHP), and 83% (Sewage CHP). These figures confirm the RFA findings expressed on a per GJ delivered basis. Figure 6 Life-cycle GHG emissions for selected biofuels and petrol/diesel Lifecycle CO2eq emissions for Ford Focus (g/km) 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 In contrast to the fuel cycle greenhouse gas comparisons, summarising the changes in regulated pollutants over the total fuel cycle for the biofuels analysed in not as straightforward. In most cases, whereas some pollutants are reduced, others are increased over the fuel cycle. Without further analysis, no clear picture emerges for any one particular biofuel or any biofuel type. For this reason, this study uses an update version of the Cleaner Drive (external costing) methodology to assess the overall impacts on air quality of biofuel use. Final Report Page 21 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels 5.2. Cleaner Drive analysis In addition to making emissions comparisons for each of the vehicle types considered, this study 23 adopts the same approach as a previous report conducted for Camden and goes beyond an inventory phase and includes an impact assessment as part of the life cycle emission methodology. This is achieved by the use of the Environmental Rating Tool developed by the European Cleaner Drive Programme. This rating system uses recognised ‘external costs’ to establish the relative weight to attach to different emissions – the external costs are values expressed in monetary terms that reflect the overall damage to the environment and to human health caused by emissions. Using the Cleaner Drive system, the level of environmental impact is expressed as a score between 0-100 (for greenhouse gases, regulated pollutants and total impact); the lower the score, the less the 24 environmental impact. The rating system also provides separate scores for greenhouse gas (GHG) and air quality (AQ) impacts. The GHG and AQ components can then be used to plot the impact ratings on a two-dimensional impact chart. The Cleaner Drive rating methodology uses a weighted index of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, oxides of nitrogen, hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide, particulate matter and sulphur dioxide emissions associated with fuel use and production to produces the rating results. The methodology has also been extended to include emissions associated with vehicle manufacture – materials production and vehicle assembly. Using material profiles for different vehicle types (petrol, diesel, LPG, hybrid, electric, etc), the mass of any particular vehicle car can be used to 25 estimate the emissions associated with vehicle manufacture and assembly. The Cleaner Drive methodology used for this study therefore include both fuel and vehicle lifecycles. The integration of fuel and vehicle life cycle emission using the Cleaner Drive rating system has the advantage of simplifying the interpretation of results. This is because the comparison of options is made complex due to the fact that each fuel type offers different global and local emission benefits – for biofuels (and other alternative vehicle fuels), a reduction in one emission may be accompanied by an increase in another pollutant. Given the complexity of changes in lifecycle greenhouse gases and air pollutants already identified in this report, the Cleaner Drive methodology (in its extended form) is therefore an ideal tool with which to analysis the overall GHG and air quality impacts associated with each biofuel option. Using the fuel cycle results already discussed in conjunction with the Cleaner Drive methodology, the following results are generated – refer to Figures 7, 8 and 9. Cleaner Drive results As shown in Figure 7, the three biodiesel fuels analysed provide a clear greenhouse gas benefit as compared to conventional ultra low sulphur diesel (ULSD). Adding an estimate of the emissions associated with vehicle manufacture to the fuel cycle emissions, the results of this analysis show a lifecycle reduction in greenhouse gases of 31%, 40% and 73% for RME, PME and UCO respectively (based on the assumption described in earlier sections). These reductions are significantly larger than the confidence limits indicted by the error bars shown in the charts. 23 Life Cycle Assessment of Vehicle Fuels and Technologies, 2006. URL: http://www.travelfootprint.org/docs/Camden_LCA_Report_FINAL_10_03_2006.pdf. 24 Note that a reverse rating is used based on the Cleaner Drive score – this is simply the score subtracted from 100 (ie New Cleaner Drive score = 100 – Original Cleaner Drive score). This results in cleaner vehicles with lower emissions having a lower environmental rating. 25 See Life Cycle Assessment of Vehicle Fuels and Technologies report for more details. Final Report Page 22 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels For lifecycle air quality impact, the findings are less clear. For RME, three data points are shown (MEET 1997, CSIRO 2000 and 2007) representing an increase in lifecycle air quality impact of between 51% and 83%. For PME, the impact is approximately equivalent to the ULSD baseline case, and for UCO fuels is reduced by 9%. However, due to the difficulty in sourcing upstream air quality data, the level of confidence for air quality is less than for GHG impacts. As shown by the larger horizontal error bars in Figure 7, the data suggests that the lifecycle air quality impact of the three biodiesel fuels analysed is either broadly comparable, or is greater than is the case for conventional diesel (ULSD) operation. Figure 7 Cleaner Drive results for selected biodiesel fuels Base vehicle: Ford Focus 2.0 TDCi (+DPF) 80 70 60 Lifecycle Greenhouse Impact ULSD 50 RME100 (MEET97) RME100 (CSIRO07) RME100 (CSIRO00) 40 PME100 30 20 UCO100 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Lifecycle Air Quality Impact As shown in Figure 8, the two bioethanol fuels analysed provide a clear greenhouse gas benefit as compared to conventional ultra low sulphur petrol (ULSP). Adding an estimate of the emissions associated with vehicle manufacture to the fuel cycle emissions, the results of this analysis show a lifecycle reduction in greenhouse gases of 23% and 54% for wheat and sugar cane sourced fuels respectively (no Cleaner Drive data is available for sugar beet ethanol). These reductions are significantly larger than the confidence limits indicted by the error bars shown in the charts. For lifecycle air quality impact, the findings are again less clear. For wheat sourced ethanol, the central data point represents an increase in lifecycle air quality impact of 31%. For sugar cane ethanol, the impact is reduced by 14%. However, due to the difficulty in sourcing upstream air Final Report Page 23 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels quality data, the level of confidence for air quality is less than for GHG impacts. Furthermore the Cleaner Drive methodology takes no account of increased aldehyde emissions associated with E85 use. This lower level of confidence is represented by the larger (and asymmetric) horizontal error bars in Figure 7. Based on this analysis, a definitive comparison of the lifecycle air quality impact with petrol operation is not possible – however, the likelihood is that the air quality impact of the two bioethanol fuels analysed is either broadly comparable, or is greater than is the case for conventional petrol (ULSP) operation. Figure 8 Cleaner Drive results for selected bioethanol fuels Base vehicle: Ford Focus 1.6 Duratec 80 70 Lifecycle Greenhouse Impact 60 ULSP 50 WHEAT-E85 40 30 SUGAR-E85 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Lifecycle Air Quality Impact As shown in Figure 9, the biomethane fuels analysed provide a clear greenhouse gas benefit as compared to conventional ultra low sulphur petrol (ULSP). Adding an estimate of the emissions associated with vehicle manufacture to the fuel cycle emissions, the results of this analysis show a lifecycle reduction in greenhouse gases of between 44%, and 73%. These reductions are significantly larger than the confidence limits indicted by the error bars shown in the charts. For lifecycle air quality impact, the findings are also very clear, and form two distinctive groups. For processes that depend on a high level of imported electricity biomethane from municipal or sewage waste), lifecycle air quality impacts are significantly increased (by around a factor of 1.35. In contrast, for methods that generate their own process energy (CHP), lifecycle air quality impacts are significantly reduced by around 60%. These comparisons are larger than the confidence limits indicted by the error bars shown in the charts. Final Report Page 24 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Figure 9 Cleaner Drive results for selected biomethane fuels Base vehicle: Ford Focus 1.6 Duratec 80 70 Lifecycle Greenhouse Impact 60 ULSP 50 40 MSW BASE Sewage BASE Landfill BASE 30 Landfill LIQ 20 MSW CHP Sewage CHP 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Lifecycle Air Quality Impact Final Report Page 25 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels 6 Conclusions This study as looked at the lifecycle GHG and air quality emissions for the three main biofuels biodiesel, bioethanol and biomethane. For each fuel a range of feedstocks and production pathways were assessed. The key conclusions of this analysis are: LCA GHG emissions Assuming that there are no direct or indirect land-use change effects all the biofuels will have lower GHG emissions than fossil petrol or diesel; Biodiesel from used cooking oil, along with biomethane from sewage and waste (using a CHP system for process power), give the greatest GHG savings of up to 85%. These fuels, being derived from waste products, are also not affected by land use impact considerations. The UK sourced liquid biofuels, RME, wheat ethanol and sugar beet ethanol perform worse that imported fuels such as PME and sugar cane ethanol. All these fuels could also be effected by land use change impacts of suitable controls are not in place. LCA air quality impacts. Overall the air quality impacts are much more varied and complicated to unravel, also the data is a lot less robust. Tail emissions are likely to have little direct impact on air quality, especially in low blends. The main findings for each of the fuels are as follows: o Biodiesel reduces HC, CO and PM, and may have a slight NOx penalty; o Ethanol is broadly similar to petrol, but has a disbenefit in terms of high aldehyde emissions; o Biomethane is the cleanest burning fuel, but can have increase methane emissions is poorly optimised catalysts are used. The indirect or ‘up steam’ emissions in several cases have a much more significant impact on the overall analysis than tail pipe emissions, but will not be emitted at point of use. The main impacts are as follows: o Upstream emissions for RME and wheat ethanol are quite high due to the agricultural processes, giving a total air quality rating that is worse that diesel or petrol; o Emissions associated with imported electricity use in biomethane production and upgrading are also high. Integrated Cleaner Drive analysis Trying to balance both of these aspects is difficult and as described in Section 5.2 has been carried out with the Cleaner Drive methodology, which rates both GHG and air quality impacts as shown in Figures 7 to 9. It also provides a single overall rating, which is shown for main fuels assessed in Figure 10 below. This shows that all the biofuels provide overall environmental benefits compared to petrol and diesel, except biomethane produced using imported electricity. The benefits are also relatively small for RME and wheat ethanol. The clear winners in this are biodiesel from used cooking oil; and biomethane from waste, sewage or landfill using CHP for process energy. The environmental credentials of these fuels are strengthened further as they are not affected by potential land use change and other indirect effects associated with crop based fuels such as biodiesel and bioethanol. Final Report Page 26 August 2008 LCA of Road Transport Biofuels Figure 10 Combined Cleaner Drive rating for selected biofuels and petrol and diesel 50 45 Cleaner Drive rating 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Final Report Page 27 August 2008
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