GEORGIA UPDATE WEEKLY EDITION • 16 August 2012 A Publication of the Government of Georgia www.georgiaupdate.gov.ge TOP STORIES Russia Admits Invasion of Georgia Was Long-Planned; Moscow Illegally Trained Militia for Years Occupied S. Ossetia to Demolish Georgian Villages in Continuation of Ethnic Cleansing Courts Fine Georgian Dream Leaders for Failing to Redeposit Millions Withdrawn in Cash After Rising to Over $1 Billion in 2011, Foreign Direct Investment in Georgia Continues to Rise Tourism Arrivals in Georgia Soar by 54% Georgian Athletes Return With 7 Medals from London Olympics QUOTES OF THE WEEK “President Saakashvili's ruling party has a lead in all independently-funded and well-respected polls. But Mr. Ivanishvili has already said he does not accept these figures, and has refused to sign a pledge to accept the outcome of the election peacefully. This has led to fears the opposition may dispute the results and provoke unrest.” ♦ BBC report on the Georgian elections, Aug. 8 US Senator Richard Lugar visited Georgia last weekend to attend the naming ceremony for a US-funded biological research facility in Tbilisi. The Central Public Health Reference Laboratory was named after Senator Lugar to honor his efforts to safeguard the world from stockpiles of nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons. “Now we have launched defense cooperation programs with the United States, which is a historic deed for Georgia—we could not have even imagined this several years ago,” said President Saakashvili at the ceremony. Senator Lugar said the lab will serve to safeguard “biosafety and security” as the two countries seek to “remedy the risks posed by the massive stockpile of chemical, nuclear and biological knowledge and material amassed throughout the former Soviet Union.” INTERNATIONAL MEDIA ON GEORGIA LE FIGARO: Putin admits having planned the war in Georgia “The introduction of temporary must-carry and must-offer regulation in the pre-election period has been an important positive step, allowing a larger share of the population to access TV stations with news coverage that is critical of the government, balancing the national progovernment channels.” ♦ Transparency International report released Aug. 10 “More darkly, some politicians…try to win support through intolerance towards religious, ethnic, or sexual minorities; to be Georgian, they imply, is to be orthodox Christian. In contrast, the ruling party speaks of a more inclusive version of Georgian nationalism which it projects externally, as when describing Georgia’s aspirations to join NATO, or its turbulent relationship with Russia.” ♦ The Economist, Aug. 9 ELECTION MILESTONES WASHINGTON POST: Editorial–Take that, Mr. Tandem AFP: Russia prepared for Georgia war, trained militiamen–Putin BBC NEWS: Georgia election–battle for the country's heart THE ECONOMIST: Bread and circuses EU OBSERVER: Russia remains grave danger for its neighbors JAMESTOWN: Putin confirms the invasion of Georgia was preplanned CONSERVATIVE HOME: It is time for Britain to recognize the Russian occupation of Georgia NEWSWEEK: Don’t miss the Khvanchkara! Sep. 1: Deadline for parties to submit candidate lists to Central Election Commission (CEC) Sep. 24: Deadline for local observers to apply for CEC accreditation to monitor elections Sep. 21: Deadline for international observers to apply for CEC accreditation to monitor elections Sep. 28: Deadline for media to apply for CEC accreditation Oct. 1: Election day Oct. 15: Runoff elections, if necessary, for majoritarian seats in Parliament GEORGIA UPDATE: WEEKLY EDITION www.georgiaupdate.gov.ge PAGE 2 TOP STORIES Russia Admits Invasion of Georgia Was Long-Planned; Moscow Illegally Trained Militia for Years President Putin acknowledged last week that Russia’s 2008 invasion of Georgia had been planned as early as 2006 and that Moscow had trained militiamen in S. Ossetia. Putin's confession confirms Georgia’s longstanding assertion that the Kremlin started the 2008 conflict. The admission contradicts Russia’s earlier claim that it acted in response to a surprise attack from Georgia and that its invasion aimed to prevent a genocide. It also underscores the premeditated nature of the invasion and highlights Moscow's utter disregard for international law. “Such a confession never happened before and it’s a paradox that even today some people are arguing about who was the aggressor,” said Georgian National Security Advisor Giga Bokeria. “There was a plan, it's no secret in my opinion,” Putin said in remarks to Russian media. “It’s within the framework of this plan that the Russian side acted. It was prepared by the General Staff at the end of 2006 or the beginning of 2007. It was approved by me, agreed with me." He added that within the framework of this plan, S. Ossetian militia were trained by Russian military specialists; Putin noted that the men proved very helpful during the conflict. Putin's open admission of the long-term, pre-meditated nature of the 2008 invasion offers critical insight into the conflict. His statements confirm Georgia's long-standing position that Russia's armed incursion into Georgia in August 2008 constituted a premeditated act of aggression against a sovereign nation. They also echo a statement made in November 2011 by then-President Dmitry Medvedev that the invasion was intended to counter Georgia's NATO ambitions. “We have simply calmed some of our neighbors down by showing them that they should behave correctly in respect of Russia and in respect of neighboring small states,” he said then. “And for some of our partners, including for the North Atlantic Alliance, it was a signal that before taking a decision about expansion of the Alliance, one should at first think about the geopolitical stability. I deem these [issues] to be the major lessons of those developments in 2008.” Putin admission that S. Ossetian militias acted as an integral part of Russian military plan also means that Russia’s political and military leadership is legally responsible for acts of ethnic cleansing against Georgian and mass marauding inside and outside of S. Ossetia. LE FIGARO: Putin admits having planned the war in Georgia JAMESTOWN: Putin Confirms the Invasion of Georgia Was Preplanned Occupied S. Ossetia to Demolish Georgian Villages in Continuation of Ethnic Cleansing Occupied S. Ossetia will demolish villages from which ethnic Georgians were ethnically cleansed during and after Russia’s 2008 invasion of Georgia. The proxy leader of the occupied territory, Leonid Tibilov, said that houses in previously Georgian-populated villages, which were damaged during the fighting or torched afterwards by militias, would be torn down. “We plan to clear these villages. These ruins, of course, do not look very good,” Tibilov said in comments published by the website of Russia’s Rustavi-2 TV station. He also said the villages would be stripped of their Georgian names. “These names do not need to be conserved because the settlements will not exist.” Georgian officials described the plan as a continuation of wartime ethnic cleansing and blamed S.Ossetia’s backer Russia. “The destruction of the remaining villages is a continuation of the policy of ethnic cleansing,” Deputy Foreign Minister Sergi Kapanadze said. Added the Foreign Ministry in a statement: “All responsibility for ethnic cleansing as well as for the acts that pursue an objective of making it irreversible rests with the Russian Federation under the international law. The Tskhinvali region/South Ossetia, together with Abkhazia remain under Russia's illegal military occupation and are governed by the occupation regime.” AFP: Rebel South Ossetia "to demolish Georgian villages RADIO FREE EUROPE: S. Ossetia to Demolish Georgian Villages Georgian Athletes Return With 7 Medals from London Olympics Georgian athletes won a silver and two bronze medals during the final weekend of the London Games and returned to Georgia to celebrate with President Saakashvili (above). With just 35 athletes, the Georgian team took home seven medals, ranking it together with Mexico in 39th place. The total is the most ever won at the Games by Georgia, which first sent athletes as an independent state to the Summer Olympics in 1996 in Atlanta. Courts Fine Georgian Dream Leaders After They Fail to Redeposit Millions Withdrawn in Cash Tbilisi City Court imposed multi-million-dollar fines on Georgian Dream leaders Bidzina Ivanishvili and Kakha Kaladze after they withdrew millions in US, European, and Georgian currency from their accounts and refused to detail how it would be spent. Georgia is required by international regulations to track cash withdrawals of over 30,000 GEL in order to safeguard against money laundering and illicit activities such as drug dealing and arms smuggling. As political actors in Georgia, Ivanishvili and Kaladze also must abide by financial transparency rules monitored by the State Audit Office (SAO). The SAO asked the two Georgian Dream leaders to redeposit the funds into their accounts and make payments using normal means such as credit cards and wire transfers. “In the context of political financing, the circulation of large amount of cash in a campaign period poses a threat to the state’s ability to track campaign spending and enforce electoral legislation,” the SAO said in a statement. “The current campaign period already has seen the use of dozens of offshore vehicles and intricate schemes meant to evade campaign finance limits. The circulation of vast quantities of cash further subverts the integrity of Georgia’s electoral and campaign finance legislation.” CIVIL GEORGIA: Court Upholds Fines for Ivanishvili, Kaladze After Rising to Over $1 Billion in 2011, FDI Continues to Rise Foreign direct investment in Georgia rose 37% year-on-year in 2011 to over $1.1 billion, Geostat announced yesterday. The figure is revised upwards from preliminary data that had FDI at $980 million. Companies registered in the Netherlands led the pack with $241 million, followed by Azerbaijan ($138 million), Denmark ($97.2 million), Turkey ($75.5 million), Russia ($55.4 million), and the UK ($55 million). According to Geostat’s preliminary data, FDI in the first quarter of 2012 reached $269.3 million, a 28.4% increase from 2011. CIVIL GEORGIA: Geostat—2011 FDI $1.1 Billion Tourism Arrivals in Georgia Soar by 54% The number of foreigners visiting Georgia reached 2.211 million in the first half of 2012, a 54% increase from the same period last year. July's numbers were even more robust, with 520,707 visitors, a 56% rise over 2011. Turkey, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Russia, and Iran boasted the most arrivals, while the greatest increases came from Turkey (126%), Russia (91%) and Poland (81%). The Georgian edition of Forbes Magazine, meanwhile, reported this week that the number of hotel beds in Georgia has grown by 50% since 2009. TREND: Foreigners Visiting Georgia Increase by 54% GEORGIA UPDATE: WEEKLY EDITION www.georgiaupdate.gov.ge PAGE 3 INTERNATIONAL MEDIA ON GEORGIA LE FIGARO: Putin admits having planned the war in Georgia Contrary to what Moscow had always claimed—that the military offensive launched on August 8, 2008, had been a response to Tbilisi’s surprise attack on S Ossetia 24 hours earlier—the Georgian war was planned by the Russian General Staff almost two years before the events. Shattering previous statements that, until the war, Moscow maintained only “peacekeepers” in the separatist regions, Putin also acknowledged for the first time that the Russian military had for more than two years trained local militiamen before the offensive against the regime in Tbilisi, in total violation of international laws. The military expert Pavel Felgenhauer is one of the few who predicted the war in 2008. Today, he again is sounding the alarm. www.lefigaro.fr WASHINGTON POST: Editorial–Take that, Mr. Tandem Putin reignited the long dispute about who started the war. Russia says that Georgia started shooting first. Georgia says that Russia provoked the conflict. Putin acknowledged approving a war contingency plan for Georgia in 2007, a year before hostilities began. He also confirmed that Russia trained separatist fighters in the breakaway enclave of South Ossetia, where the conflict first broke out, while also stationing peacekeeping forces there. Putin seemed to be saying that Russia was eager and ready to give a bloody nose to Georgia, which had become a major recipient of U.S. aid. www.washingtonpost.com AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE: Russia prepared for Georgia war, trained militiamen–Putin Speaking on the fourth anniversary of the war, Putin said he had approved the contingency plan to counter a possible attack from Georgia months before the conflict broke out. Putin's confession immediately led Georgia to accuse the Kremlin of starting the brief but bloody war on 2008. "There was a plan, it's no secret in my opinion," Putin said at the Kremlin in televised remarks. "It's within the framework of this plan that the Russian side acted. It was prepared by the General Staff at the end of 2006 or the beginning of 2007." Georgia said Putin's revealing comments proved that the Kremlin was responsible for the conflict. www.afp.org BBC NEWS: Georgia election–battle for the country’s heart President Saakashvili's ruling party has a lead in all independentlyfunded and well-respected polls. But Mr. Ivanishvili has already said that he does not accept these figures, and has refused to sign a pledge to accept the outcome of the election peacefully. This has led to fears that the opposition may dispute the results and provoke unrest. With memories still fresh of the war-torn and crimeridden 1990s, President Saakashvili's team has brought an unprecedented period of stability and economic growth. And his government is open and tolerant towards religious, sexual and ethnic diversity—compared to which some of Mr Ivanishvili's colleagues are worryingly nationalistic www.bbc.co.uk THE ECONOMIST: Bread and circuses When Mr. Ivanishvili entered politics in October last year, he spoke in quasi-messianic terms of how he would revolutionise Georgian democracy within two years. He recently proclaimed that “everything is developing the way I planned”—even though few Georgians know what he has in mind. More darkly, some politicians, particularly amongst Mr. Ivanishvili’s colleagues, try to win support through intolerance towards religious, ethnic, or sexual minorities; to be Georgian, they imply, is to be orthodox Christian. In contrast, the ruling party speaks of a more inclusive version of Georgian nationalism which it projects externally, as when describing Georgia’s aspirations to join NATO, or its turbulent relationship with Russia. www.economist.com Under the aegis of NATO’s “Partnership for Peace” program, servicemen from five NATO countries underwent special training this summer in Georgia to learn to fight in mountainous regions. EU OBSERVER: Russia remains grave danger for its neighbors “The current Russian government is becoming more and more disdainful of the EU’s opinion and openly shedding any pretence of respect for international law,” says Salomé Samadashvili, Georgia's ambassador to the EU. “They are [becoming] even more dangerous to neighbors like us.” She noted that Russian training of Ossetian paramilitaries and Putin’s 2006 premeditation of the war belie its line that Russia attacked Georgia because Sakaashvili fired first. “Clearly, after everything else failed to remove a pro-Western government from power, they moved to the measure of last resort—full scale invasion,” she said. www.euobserver.com JAMESTOWN: Putin confirms invasion of Georgia was preplanned Putin and Medvedev have revealed a great deal: that the invasion of Georgia in August 2008 was indeed a preplanned aggression and that socalled “Russian peacekeepers” in S. Ossetia and Abkhazia were in fact the vanguard of the invading forces that were in blatant violation of Russia’s international obligations and were training and arming the separatist forces. Putin’s admission of the prewar integration of the Ossetian separatist militias into the Russian General Staff war plan puts into question the integrity of the independent EU war report, written by Swiss diplomat Heidi Tagliavini, that accused the Georgians of starting the war and attacking Russian “peacekeepers,” which, according to Tagliavini, warranted a Russian military response. www.jamestown.org CONSERVATIVE HOME: Time for UK to recognize Russian occupation It is time the United Kingdom recognises the presence of Russian soldiers on Georgia’s territory for what it is: an occupation. Doing so will place the appropriate amount of pressure on Moscow to live up to its legal responsibilities as an occupying power. British recognition of the Russian occupation would not immediately change the situation on the ground and the Russians probably couldn’t care less, but it would mean a lot to the Georgian people and it would demonstrate Britain’s support for Georgia in a conflict most in the West have long forgotten. www.conservativehome.blogs.com NEWSWEEK: Don’t miss the Khvanchkara! Georgia’s winemakers thumbed their noses at the Russian embargo, declaring their product to be “freedom wine.” They built modern wineries, replacing Soviet-era metal barrels and corroded cisterns with the best Western equipment. They also invited French and Italian experts in to consult on how to turn Georgia into a paradise for wine tourists. Their foresight has paid off handsomely: in 2011 wine-related tourism was up 39% from the year before. The scenery and architecture of Georgia's wine country recall Tuscany, but with fewer tourists and far cheaper restaurants. Ancient monasteries dot the landscape. A new highway, lined by sycamores, cuts through famous wine region of Kakheti. www.thedailybeast.com
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