Tracking Salary Trends by Education Level and Degree By Jonas Johnson, Ph.D. Senior Researcher Our latest analysis of salary growth focuses on salary change by education over the past 15 years. Similar to our previous white paper, “Analysis of Salary Growth Over Time,” this study uses underlying data from ERI’s Salary Assessor and is broken down into two separate analyses: overall growth by education level and growth by degree. The first analysis examining overall growth by level covers 1,462 occupations whose salaries were consistently tracked from 1998 to 2012. The second analysis examining growth by degree was limited to science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) and health care degrees because they tend to have clearer career progressions than liberal arts degrees. This analysis was conducted using 360 occupations that were examined on a quarterly basis between 1998 and 2012. These analyses are not intended as a recommendation or endorsement for a field of study or specific academic degree. Rather, they are meant to further the discussion of salary trends and compensation research. We should note: This study looks at the degrees that feed into all occupations tracked by ERI. While accountants or petroleum engineers may be expected to have degrees in their field, some occupations are not as clear cut. Degree assignments were set by multiple independent raters using a proprietary educational taxonomy designed to capture the feeder degrees for each occupation researched. Furthermore, educational levels were determined through independent job analyses conducted using the Position Analysis Questionnaire (PAQ). EDUCATION LEVEL Occupations requiring the lowest level of education have shown the slowest level of growth over the past 15 years, with an average annual growth rate of 2.36%. The average annual salary growth appears to slowly increase as educational requirements increase (see Figure 1). The largest exception to this trend is the educational level for occupations requiring doctoral degrees (MD or PhD). Occupations requiring doctoral degrees were the second slowest growing educational group behind those with the lowest level of education, with an average annual growth rate of 2.52%. The fastest growing educational group was that requiring a nontechnical undergraduate degree, with a growth rate of 3.35%. This group was followed closely by occupations requiring masters’ degrees, with an annual growth rate of 3.33%. However, while the salary growth of occupations requiring doctorates has been slower than occupations requiring lower levels of education, a different picture emerges when the mean dollar increase is considered. The mean salary for the occupations requiring doctorates was $206,021 for 2012, whereas the mean salary for occupations requiring the lowest level of education was $30,951 for 2012. Because of this difference in salary, an average increase of 2.52% resulted in an average annual dollar increase of $4,001 for holders of doctorates, whereas the 2.36% increase for the lowest level of education resulted in an annual dollar increase of $611. Figure 1. Average Annual Growth 1998-2012 by Education Level Percentage Dollar Amount Doctoral Degree - MD or PhD 2.52%$4,001 Master’s Degree 3.33%$3,109 Bachelor’s Degree - Technical 3.11%$2,142 Bachelor’s Degree - Non Technical 3.35%$2,877 Associates or Technical Degree 3.07%$1,509 1 Year College or Apprenticeship 2.80%$995 High School - Technical 2.82%$1,060 High School - Non Technical 2.66%$920 Elementary Education 2.71%$821 Limited Literacy 2.60%$663 2.36% Aurally or Orally Literate $611 Copyright© 2013 ERI Economic Research Institute | 8575 164th Ave NE, Suite 100, Redmond, WA 98052 (800) 627-3697 | [email protected] | www.erieri.com 1 Salary Trends by Education Level & Degree SALARY GROWTH BY DEGREE The salaries of some occupations have grown faster than others over the past 15 years, and it may be that some degrees are more frequently tied to faster growing occupations than others. For example, it may be that occupations that require a specific degree have grown at a faster rate than occupations requiring different degrees. Naturally, many other factors contribute to the strength of a degree progression aside from growth. Actual salary also plays a major part in the examination of growth. Annual growth of 3% is different for a degree which leads to occupations that earn $30,000 versus a degree which leads to occupations that earn $150,000. Because of this, we also present data for the 2012 average salary and the raw growth dollar amount for each degree (see Figure 2). These occupations do not exist in a vacuum. It may be easier to get a job with one degree over another. To address this difference between occupations, the unemployment rate for individuals Figure 2. Highest Average Annual Salary Growth 1998-2012 by STEM and Health Care Degrees KEY 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Title Psychology (MS) Psychology (MS) Psychology (MS) Psychology (MS) Agricultural Sciences Sciences (BS) (BS) Agricultural Agricultural Sciences(BS) (BS) Agricultural Sciences Accounting (BS) Accounting (BS) Accounting (BS) Accounting (BS) Natural Resources Conservation (BS) Natural Resources (BS) Natural ResourcesConservation Conservation (BS) Natural Resources Conservation (BS) Natural Resources Conservation (BS) Mathematics (BS) Mathematics (BS) Mathematics (BS) Mathematics (BS) Mathematics (BS) Chemistry & Related Chemistry Related(MS) (PhD) Chemistry && Related (MS) Chemistry & Related (MS) Sanitation Engineering (BS) Sanitation Engineering(BS) (MS) Sanitation Engineering Sanitation Engineering Sanitation Engineering (BS) (BS) Hardware Design Engineering Hardware Design Engineering (MS) Hardware Design Design Engineering Engineering (BS) (MS) Hardware (MS) Computer Sciences (BS) Computer Sciences(BS) (BS) Computer Sciences Computer Sciences (BS) Chemistry (BS) Chemistry (BS) Chemistry (BS) Chemistry (BS) 2012 Salary Raw Growth Avg % Growth 2011 Unemployment $75,067.80 $35,013.60 3.11% 3.40% $46,655.29 $21,553.95 3.08% 4.20% $67,907.45 $31,237.23 3.07% 4.80% $55,510.75 $25,460.75 3.06% 5.30% $67,024.67 $28,785.00 2.86% 5.10% $99,237.17 $42,420.17 2.85% 2.00% $101,599.00 $41,686.14 2.74% 4.50% $110,863.00 $44,834.50 2.70% 5.00% $82,250.89 $32,317.69 2.62% 5.60% $49,443.77 $19,406.02 2.62% 4.90% FASTEST GROWING DEGREES Occupations requiring a Master of Science (MS) in Psychology had the highest percentage growth over the past 15 years, with a growth rate of 3.11%. Of note, psychology MS degree occupations grew faster than their doctoral (PhD) counterparts, which registered an annual growth rate of 2.08%. However, despite the slower growth for the PhD degree, average salaries increased by similar amounts over the past 15 years. Specifically, the PhD gained $37,196, and the MS gained $35,013 from 1998 to 2012. This is due to the higher salary that a PhD in Psychology demands. Of note, individuals holding a MS in Psychology saw their salaries grow at a higher rate than the average annual inflation rate of 2.44%, whereas individuals with a PhD in Psychology saw salary growth at a lower rate than inflation. 20.00% 15.00% 010 2011 2012 010 2011 2011 2012 010 2011 Percentage Growth 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% -5.00% -10.00% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 holding each degree is also considered (Carnevale, Cheah, & Strohl, 2013). Additionally, the growth of salaries over time is impacted by inflation. According to the Consumer Price Index released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the average annual inflation rate from 1998 to 2012 was 2.44%. This means that occupations with lower growth rates over the past 15 years have not maintained spending power, while those with growth rates over this average have increased spending power. 2012 Agricultural sciences and natural resources conservation both grew at similar rates of 3.08% and 3.06%, respectively. However, agricultural science occupations earned $8,855 less than occupations stemming from natural resources conservation major in 2012. Both degrees grew at a higher rate than inflation, meaning that occupations stemming from these degrees earn proportionately more than in 1998. 2 Copyright© 2013 ERI Economic Research Institute Salary Trends by Education Level & Degree Occupations requiring a Bachelor of Science (BS) in Accounting grew at an annualized rate of 3.07%, and grew by $31,237 over the past 15 years. Mathematics occupations grew at a rate of 2.86%, and saw a nominal salary increase of $28,785. However, because accounting occupations were paid less in 1998 than mathematics occupations, both degrees yielded similar salaries in 2012: $67,907 and $67,024, respectively. Both the chemistry MS and BS occupations were found in the top 10 degrees, with annual percentage growth levels of 2.85% and 2.62%, respectively. This is the only degree progression that landed an undergraduate and graduate degree in the top 10. However, despite the similar level of growth, the MS degree occupations saw gains more than double their BS counterparts ($42,420 versus $19,406). Furthermore, the lower level of unemployment among chemistry MS holders indicates a stronger market for this degree (2.00% versus 4.90%). Figure 3. Lowest Average Annual Salary Growth 1998-2012 by STEM and Health Care Degrees KEY 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Title Psychology (MS) Psychology (MS) Psychology (MS) Systems Analysis-Design (BS) Agricultural Sciences Sciences (BS) (BS) Agricultural Physical Sciences & Related Agricultural Sciences (BS) (BS) Accounting (BS) Accounting (BS) Physics & (BS) Related (MS) Accounting Natural Resources Conservation (BS) Natural Resources Conservation Biological & Life Sciences (BS) (BS) Natural Resources Conservation (BS) Natural Resources Conservation (BS) Mathematics (BS) Mathematics (BS) Power Systems Engineering (BS) Mathematics (BS) Mathematics (BS) Chemistry & (MS) Environmental Sciences Chemistry & Related Related (MS)(BS) Chemistry & Related (MS) Sanitation Engineering (BS) Health Sciences (MS) (BS) Sanitation Engineering Sanitation Engineering Sanitation Engineering (BS) (BS) Mechanical Engineering (BS) (MS) Hardware Design Engineering Hardware Design Design Engineering Engineering (MS) Hardware (MS) Computer Sciences (BS) Psychology (PhD) (BS) Computer Sciences Computer Sciences (BS) Physician(BS) (MD) Chemistry Chemistry (BS) Chemistry (BS) 2012 Salary Raw Growth Avg % Growth 2011 Unemployment $94,806.67 $19,479.17 1.37% 5.10% $58,602.00 $13,827.50 1.57% 5.40% $139,664.00 $35,668.00 1.70% 2.80% $76,805.00 $22,512.67 1.95% 5.60% $84,138.00 $24,879.50 1.97% 5.20% $54,633.00 $16,524.75 2.02% 4.20% $142,350.67 $44,102.33 2.07% 2.90% $63,867.08 $19,918.58 2.08% 3.80% $119,049.33 $37,196.00 2.08% 3.40% $235,284.45 $74,221.55 2.10% 1.90% 20.00% 15.00% 10 2011 2012 10 2011 2011 2012 10 2011 Percentage Growth 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% -5.00% -10.00% Sanitation engineering occupations grew at a rate of 2.74%. With a nominal salary growth of $41,686 and average 2012 salary of $101,599, this degree group had both a relatively high salary and salary growth, which has fared better than inflation. The two final degrees in the top 10 are both related to computing. Computer science (BS) and hardware design engineering (MS) both grew at a rate that was higher than inflation, with growth of 2.62% and 2.70%, respectively. Hardware design engineering degree occupations had the highest salary among the group that grew faster than inflation, with an average 2012 salary of $110,863. Occupations stemming from a BS in Computer Sciences yielded the highest salary for a bachelor’s degree, which also grew faster than inflation. SLOWEST GROWING DEGREES The lowest percentage growth over the past 15 years was from occupations that require a bachelor’s degree in systems analysis and design, with an annual growth rate of 1.37% (see Figure 3). This rate of growth is over one percent below the annual rate of inflation in the same period. However, occupations requiring this degree are more highly paid than other degrees on this list and, as a result, the nominal salary growth was $19,479 between 1998 and 2012. This nominal growth is actually $5,651 higher than the growth for the next degree in this list: physical sciences (BS). Occupations requiring this degree grew at a rate of 1.57% and had one of the lower average salaries for 2012. Indeed, because of the relatively low average salary and percentage growth, this degree saw the lowest overall nominal growth over the past 15 years. -15.00% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Year 3 Copyright© 2013 ERI Economic Research Institute Salary Trends by Education Level & Degree Related to the physical sciences BS, occupations requiring a master’s degree in physics grew with an average rate of 1.70%. However, the 2012 average salary of $139,664 meant that, even though occupations requiring this degree grew slower than inflation, they still grew by $35,668 over the past 15 years. Another hard science field was also found in the slowest growing list. Biological and life sciences (BS) degree progressions grew at a rate of 1.95%. Of note for this degree, the unemployment rate of 5.60% was tied for the highest in this analysis. Interestingly, some degrees related to health care were found amongst the slowest growing occupations. Occupations which required the degree of Doctor of Medicine (MD) grew at a rate of 2.19%. MDs are still highly paid, with an average salary of $235,284. They also gained the largest amount in this analysis: $74,221. However, MDs have seen increases that are 0.34% below inflation. Taken over 15 years, this means that MDs are paid 5.10% less in 2012 than in 1998. In addition to MD occupations, those that require a master’s in health sciences were also found in the slowest growing occupations, with a growth rate of 2.07%. The next group is those requiring bachelors’ degrees in specific engineering disciplines. Specifically, power systems engineering (1.97%) and mechanical engineering (2.08%) were among the 10 slowest growing degrees by occupation. Rates of unemployment are of note for these degrees. Mechanical engineering majors with a BS have lower rates of unemployment (3.80%) than those with power systems engineering BS degrees (5.20%). Despite the slower growth and higher unemployment, occupations requiring power systems engineering degrees do have a higher average salary ($84,138) than those with mechanical engineering degrees ($63,867). Environmental sciences grew at a rate of 2.02%. This result is somewhat surprising considering that occupations requiring natural resources conservation degrees were the second fastest growing. While degrees in environmental sciences and natural resources conservation are similar, there is a difference in focus between the two. Specifically, the environmental sciences career path requires greater emphasis on biology, chemistry, and mathematics, whereas the natural resources conservation career path has a greater emphasis on the management of natural resources. This distinction may explain the variation in growth amongst occupations requiring these degrees. CONCLUSION A point made clear by this study is that salaries do not grow at consistent rates across time. Some years will show significant growth, while others may show slow growth or contractions. The clearest example of this is found with the MD degree. Specifically, 1998 showed a rate of growth which was four times higher than the next closest year, and 2002 showed a contraction of 3.70%. There are some surprising differences in the degree groups found in the fastest and slowest growing occupational groups. The fastest growing occupation, psychology (3.11%), grew at a rate which was more than double the growth rate of occupations requiring a BS in Systems Analysis (1.37%). When this disparity of growth is considered in conjunction with the rate of inflation, one consistency stands out: the top 10 degrees all grew faster than inflation, whereas the bottom 10 all grew at a slower rate than inflation. This provides support for the idea that, in an examination of salary trends by education and degree, it is critical to examine not just growth, but also nominal salary change, inflation, and unemployment rate. References: Carnevale, A.P., Cheah, B. & Strohl, J. (2013). Hard Times: Not all College Degrees are Created Equal. [White Paper]. Retrieved from: http://www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/unemployment.final.update1.pdf U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (2013). Consumer Price Index. Retrieved May 3, 2013, from: http://www.bls.gov/cpi/ 4 Copyright© 2013 ERI Economic Research Institute
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