Journal of Plankton Research plankt.oxfordjournals.org J. Plankton Res. (2013) 35(5): 1035 – 1045. First published online May 24, 2013 doi:10.1093/plankt/fbt050 Temperature-regulated egg production rate, and seasonal and interannual variations in Paracalanus parvus MIN-CHUL JANG1, KYOUNGSOON SHIN1, BONGGIL HYUN1, TONGSUP LEE2 AND KEUN-HYUNG CHOI1* 1 BALLAST WATER CENTER, KOREA INSTITUTE OF OCEAN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, GEOJE OCEANOGRAPHY, PUSAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY, BUSAN 656-834, REPUBLIC OF KOREA AND 2DEPARTMENT OF 609-735, REPUBLIC OF KOREA *CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: [email protected] Received March 7, 2013; accepted April 29, 2013 Corresponding editor: Roger Harris Weekly to biweekly measurements of the in situ egg production rate (EPR) of a dominant warm-temperature copepod (Paracalanus parvus) were made from August 2009 to July 2010 at a coastal station, together with analysis of environmental and food conditions. In addition, the results of a 10-year survey of P. parvus abundance and environmental parameters are presented. EPR ranged from ,1 to 24 eggs female – 1 day – 1 with a mean of four eggs female – 1 day – 1. The calculated female growth rate was highest in August at 0.26 day – 1, coinciding with the highest EPR, but growth was very low in winter (,0.01 day – 1). The EPR and weight-specific female growth of P. parvus were both strongly related to water temperature, but weakly associated with chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration. However, large variability was noticed in the summer (.208C) values of these relationships, with a negative relationship between EPR and salinity. This seemed to be related to local input, which may provide heterotrophic food from terrigenous sources. Observed high abundances during times of extremely low female growth and low EPR suggest that the populations might be sustained by supplements from offshore, where their growth condition could be better (e.g. higher water temperature). Future warming would contribute to a trend of increasing abundance of this copepod, especially of non-summer populations. KEYWORDS: egg production rate; Paracalanus parvus; seasonal patterns; female growth rate; population available online at www.plankt.oxfordjournals.org # The Author 2013. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: [email protected] JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH j VOLUME 35 I N T RO D U C T I O N Small marine copepods are important mediators in marine food webs (Hirst and Bunker, 2003; Turner, 2004). They often show a preference for microzooplankton as food, even when suitably sized phytoplankton are available (Atkinson, 1996; Castellani et al., 2005). Shortand long-term variations in their abundance can have important impacts on the dynamics of lower trophic levels. This is important given that many marine environments have been experiencing warming caused by climate change in recent decades, as warming can induce long-term changes in copepod abundance and community composition (Rebstock and Kang, 2003; Batten and Welch, 2004; Drinkwater, 2006; Hooff and Peterson, 2006; Wiafe et al., 2008). Copepod population dynamics are determined largely by recruitment, which is measured most frequently as the egg production rate (EPR) and hatching success, which can be limited by factors such as temperature and food quantity and quality (Corkett and Mcllaren, 1978; Checkley, 1980; Uye and Shibuno, 1992; Kimmerer et al., 2005). The eggs of copepods are thus an important parameter determining population growth, which shapes the population dynamics of marine copepods. Paracalanus parvus s.l. (hereafter P. parvus) is a neritic, warm water calanoid copepod that broadcasts its eggs. It is one of the most important particle grazers in terms of biomass and production rate in many estuarine and coastal waters (Morgan et al., 2003; Islama et al., 2006; Sun et al., 2008; Moon et al., 2010; Lee et al., 2011). Paracalanus parvus ingests ciliates, dinoflagellates and nanoflagellates in large quantities, in addition to phytoplankton (Suzuki et al., 1999; Wu et al., 2010), resulting in increased phytoplankton abundance by selectively ingesting protozoans (Jang et al., 2010). Feeding on microzooplankton such as ciliates and heterotrophic dinoflagellates is an important parameter for the EPR of P. parvus (Vargas et al., 2007). The copepods also form a primary prey of larger predators such as Sagitta spp. (Giesecke and González, 2008) and larval fishes (Nielsen and Munk, 1998; Sánchez-Velasco, 1998). Therefore, P. parvus forms an important link in carbon flow from microplankton to higher trophic levels in many temperate marine ecosystems. Paracalanus parvus is one of the dominant copepods in the neritic waters of Korea and the northern East China Sea (Moon et al., 2010). Given its importance in terms of numerical abundance and trophic impacts on planktonic food webs, characterizing long-term fluctuations in the P. parvus population, as well as its reproductive rate in relation to environmental conditions, is important. j NUMBER 5 j PAGES 1035 – 1045 j 2013 In this paper, we present weekly or biweekly measurements over one year of P. parvus EPR and female growth estimates for an estuarine station with an inventory of the microplankton available as potential food for the copepod. We also explore a 10-year data set of observations of the population dynamics of P. parvus constructed from weekly or biweekly surveys conducted at the same site to characterize their seasonal and interannual dynamics in an estuarine water body. METHOD The study was carried out at a station in Jangmok Bay (348590 3800 N, 1288400 2900 E) on the northern side of Geoje Island off the southern coast of Korea. The site connects to the southern shelf waters of Korea, which have undergone a significant rise in water temperature over the past decades (at a rate of 0.0248C per year; MOMAF, 2010). The sampling station is located off a pier (Fig. 1), where the water has an average depth of 8.5 m and a mean tidal range of 2.2 m. No river flows into the bay, but following rainfall, the bay receives water and suspended solids directly from nearby mountains. Egg production rate Paracalanus parvus females were collected at 7 – 10-day intervals from August 2009 to July 2010, with a total of 44 collections made for EPR experiments conducted at the station. In situ measurements of temperature and salinity were also taken using an Ocean Seven 319 CTD probe (Idronaut). Surface waters from a depth of 1 m were collected using a Niskin sampler to measure chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentrations, for which 0.5 L of seawater was filtered through 47-mm-diameter Whatmanw GF/F glass fiber filters and stored at 2208C for further analysis in the laboratory. Chl-a concentrations were determined fluorometrically (10AU Fluorometer, Turner Designs) after extraction with 90% acetone for 24 h in the dark (Parsons et al., 1984). Microplankton samples were prepared by adding acid Lugol’s iodine to 250 mL of seawater (5%, final concentration) and storing samples in the dark until analysis. Subsamples of 50– 100 mL were concentrated in sedimentation chambers for 48 h, and the concentrate was examined under an inverted microscope (Zeiss Axioplan2) at 100 to 200. Live copepods were collected using a conical net (mesh size 200 mm, mouth diameter 45 cm). Healthy females were collected and three to five females were 1036 M.-C. JANG ET AL. j EGG PRODUCTION RATE OF PARACALANUS PARVUS Fig. 1. Jangmok Bay and the sampling site (experimental site) showing bottom depth contours (dotted lines). added to each of triplicate acrylic funnel style containers (500 mL), with a 45-mm mesh screen at the top and a 200-mm mesh screen attached at the middle, the latter being used to separate the eggs from females to minimize egg cannibalism. Eggs that passed through the 200-mm mesh screen were collected on a 45-mm mesh screen attached at the bottom of the containers. Post hoc examination of the 200-mm mesh screen showed no eggs remaining on the screen. The incubation bottles were held vertically in a larger transparent acrylic container into which seawater was pumped from below by a diaphragm pump to provide a constant in situ level of food to the copepods. The experimental chambers were submerged at 1 m depth at the pier. Eggs were recovered after about 24 h of incubation and examined under a dissecting microscope (Zeiss Stemi SV11) to determine the number of eggs produced by females. Calculation of growth rate Individual carbon weights (Wc, mgC) were calculated from prosome lengths (PL, mm) using the equation Wc ¼ PL3.128 1028.451 for P. parvus (Liang and Uye, 1996). Egg volume was converted to carbon assuming perfect spheres by the relationship 0.14 10 – 26 mgC mm – 3 (Kiørboe et al., 1985; Huntley and Lopez, 1992). The female growth rate (gf ) was calculated using the equation gf ¼ (We/Wf ) (24/t), where We is the weight of eggs produced (mgC), Wf is the weight of the female (mgC) and t is the incubation time (1 h), with the contribution of adult males omitted. Sampling for interannual variation Copepod and environmental samples were collected weekly or biweekly from the same station for EPR experiments from January 2001 to December 2010. All samples were taken only during flood tides to reduce the effects of tidal variation on abundance. Copepods were collected using a conical net (200-mm mesh with a 45-cm diameter mouth) equipped with a digital flowmeter (Hydro-Bios 438115). The net was towed vertically from the sea bottom to the surface at 0.5 – 1.0 m s – 1 in triplicate, yielding a total of 1443 samples for copepod analysis. All samples were preserved in situ in buffered formaldehyde (final concentration 5%). Subsampling was carried out using a Folsom (Motoda) plankton splitter, and the copepods were transferred to a Bogorov– Rass counting chamber and examined under a stereomicroscope (Zeiss Stemi SV11). Zooplankton abundance was standardized with the volume of water filtered and expressed as the number of individuals per cubic meter (inds m – 3), and a mean value was obtained from the triplicate samples for each sampling event. Statistical analyses Linear simple and stepwise multiple regression analyses were performed to examine relationships among 1037 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH j VOLUME 35 environmental and biological factors. Model selection was based on Akaike’s information criterion (AIC; Akaike, 1974). Nonlinear regression analyses (Venables and Ripley, 2003) were also conducted to examine the relationships of EPR and long-term copepod abundance to water temperature and Chl-a concentration. A seasonal Mann – Kendall test was performed to evaluate interannual trends in P. parvus and environmental factors at the site. This is a nonparametric test for identifying trends in time series data, and therefore, the data need not conform to any particular distribution. The test compares the relative magnitudes of sample data rather than the data values themselves (Gilbert, 1987). Statistical analyses were all performed using a program developed in R, an object-oriented open-source programming language (R Development Core Team, 2006). R E S U LT S Environmental conditions during EPR experiments Seasonal variations in water temperature and salinity showed opposite patterns, typical of a monsoonal temperate region (Fig. 2a and b). Temperature varied widely from 5.3 to 26.98C, while salinity varied only from 28.4 to 33.2, suggesting that summer seawater dilution due to freshwater discharge was limited at the site. Potential copepod prey distribution The Chl-a concentration varied from 1.0 to 15. 2 mg L – 1, with high concentrations observed only in summer (.208C) and low concentrations (,5 mg L – 1) persisting during non-summer periods (November 2009–June 2010; Fig. 2c). Summer blooms of phytoplankton were driven by net-phytoplankton and nano-phytoplankton (Fig. 2c and d), with pico-phytoplankton contributing a smaller percentage (,20%) of the total observed Chl-a during August–October 2009 (Fig. 2d). Pico-phytoplankton, however, often constituted more than half of the total Chl-a concentration. Overall, the contributions of each size class of phytoplankton were similar (Table I). Summer phytoplankton was characterized by the increased abundance of diatoms and dinoflagellates (Fig. 2e and f ). Diatoms were the most abundant phytoplankton group (Table I), present at high density in summer and low density in the winter, rapidly building in density starting in May to a level similar to that reached in the previous summer of 2009 (Fig. 2e). Dinoflagellates showed a summer maximum, occurred at low density during winter and showed a smaller increase in the following late spring (Fig. 2f ). Nanoflagellates, j NUMBER 5 j PAGES 1035 – 1045 j 2013 cryptomonads and crysophycea showed seasonal patterns of several large increases in abundance (Fig. 2g – i). Generalizing about the temporal abundance patterns of any of the ciliates was difficult. Oligotrichs were dominant among the ciliates and increased in abundance during periods of moderate water temperature (10– 208C; Fig. 2j). Tintinnids also appeared with a similar temporal pattern to that of oligotrichs, peaking in August (15 000 cells L – 1). Tintinnid abundance was below the detection limit in winter and spring, reappearing in the following late spring at around 5000 cells L – 1 (Fig. 2k). Mesodinium spp. were irregularly but frequently observed throughout the period, reaching a peak of 8500 cells L – 1 in May 2010 (Fig. 2l). Patterns of P. parvus parameters The maximum abundance of P. parvus was around 3700 inds m – 3 in August, but rapidly decreased as the water temperature declined in fall (Fig. 3a). Except during November, at around 2000 inds m – 3, P. parvus abundance was low (,500 inds m – 3) during the cold seasons until June (mean 167 inds m – 3). Abundance increased rapidly starting in July when water temperatures exceeded 208C. Copepod biomass closely followed the seasonal pattern of abundance (Fig. 3b), ranging from 0.1 to 11.0 mgC m – 3, with a mean of 2.1 mgC m – 3. Female prosome length apparently showed an increasing trend from August 2009 to May 2010, then declined from April to June by about 30% from its previous level before rising again toward summer (Fig. 3c). Multiple regression analysis showed that prosome length was weakly but negatively associated with water temperature (P , 0.001, r 2 ¼ 0.32), but not with Chl-a concentration. More adult females than adult males were observed during the whole period of the survey, with females comprising from 66 to 99% of the total adult copepod abundance (Fig. 3d). The percentage of females appeared to be highest in winter and lowest in April. The ratio of female abundance to that of both male and female P. parvus combined was weakly positively associated with salinity (P ¼ 0.005, r 2 ¼ 0.15), but not with temperature or total Chl-a concentration. EPR and female growth The copepods produced eggs throughout the year, ranging from ,1 to 24 eggs female – 1 day – 1 with a mean of 4 eggs female – 1 day – 1. EPR reached a maximum of 24 eggs female – 1 day – 1 in August, which was then followed by a sharp decline. Low EPR (,5 eggs female – 1 day – 1) persisted from September through June and elevated EPR of .5 eggs female – 1 day – 1 was observed 1038 M.-C. JANG ET AL. j EGG PRODUCTION RATE OF PARACALANUS PARVUS Fig. 2. Weekly/biweekly variation in environmental conditions and biological parameters during P. parvus egg production experiments from August 2009 to July 2010. (a) Temperature (8C), (b) salinity, (c) Chl-a (mg L – 1), (d) relative cumulative contribution of net- (dark), nano- (gray) and picophytoplankton (white) to total chlorophyll, (e) diatoms (103 cells L – 1), (f ) dinoflagellates (103 cells L – 1), (g) Chrysophycea (103 cells L – 1), (h) Cryptophycea (103 cells L – 1), (i) nanoflagellates (103 cells L – 1), ( j) Oligotrichs (103 cells L – 1), (k) Tintinnids (103 cells L – 1), (l) Mesodinium spp. (103 cells L – 1). only in July and August (Fig. 3e). An examination of randomly selected samples showed that all of the eggs hatched into nauplii. The calculated female growth rate also exhibited strong seasonality, with the highest growth rate estimated as 0.26 day – 1 in August (Fig. 3f ), coinciding with the highest EPR. Little growth was detected in winter, with virtually no growth in January (Fig. 3f ). EPR was strongly related to water temperature with a pattern of exponential increase, exhibiting greater variability at high temperatures (Fig. 4a). The EPR was highly variable with increasing Chl-a concentration, notably at .3 mg L – 1, but appeared to be little influenced by Chl-a concentration (Fig. 4b), with food limitation apparent only at low food concentrations (e.g. ,2 mg L – 1 of Chl-a). EPR was not related either to any protozoan abundance, including those of ciliates or dinoflagellates or to nanoflagellates (P . 0.05 for all analyses). Female growth rate also showed an exponential increase with water temperature (Fig. 4c). The large variability in summer (.208C) EPR was further analyzed using a partial regression (Fig. 5). This 1039 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH j VOLUME 35 revealed that the summer EPR (eggs female – 1 day – 1) was negatively related to salinity, when temperature effects on EPR were held constant ( partial regression, P , 0.001, r 2 ¼ 0.76). The summer EPR was not affected either by the abundance of any protozoan or by Chl-a (P . 0.05 for all analyses). Seasonal and interannual variations in copepod abundance Interannual variations in seasonal changes revealed a detailed picture of long-term variation in the copepod population. Temperature showed little variation during any season over the years (Fig. 6a), showing no significant Table I: Means and 95% confidence limits for the microplankton community at the station in Jangmok Bay Parameter –1 Net chl-a (mg L ) Nano chl-a (mg L – 1) Pico chl-a (mg L – 1) Diatoms (cells L – 1) Dinoflagellates (cells L – 1) Chrysophycea (cells L – 1) Chryptophycea (cells L – 1) Nanoflagellates (cells L – 1) Oligotrichs (cells L – 1) Tintinnid spp. (cells L – 1) Mesodinium spp. (cells L – 1) Mean Lower Higher 1.1 0.8 0.7 127 730 14 768 2233 47 783 60 768 5583 4 3 0.8 0.6 0.6 76 551 6752 808 22 937 19 234 3900 1 1 1.6 1.1 0.8 213 123 32 300 6173 99 544 191 990 7993 17 14 j NUMBER 5 j PAGES 1035 – 1045 j 2013 increase over the 10 years (seasonal Mann– Kendall test, t ¼ 0.125, P ¼ 0.27; Fig. 6a). Salinity reflected an increased influence of summer freshwater discharge (Fig. 6b), decreasing between 2001 and 2003 and then rising after 2003 (t ¼ 0.125, P ¼ 0.042; Fig. 6b). Chl-a was generally elevated in the summer from June to October, but the peak shifted to fall and winter in later years (Fig. 6c). An interannual increase in Chl-a concentrations was detected (t ¼ 0.157, P ¼ 0.011), with a rapid increase since 2007. Paracalanus parvus showed high numbers between July and mid-November (Fig. 6d). No increasing interannual trend was detected (t ¼ 0.133, P ¼ 0.06), but winter abundances appeared to have increased in later years (e.g. the January abundance in later years; Fig. 6d). Multiple regression analysis revealed that the copepod abundance, pooled for the 10 years of observation, showed a positive relationship with water temperature (r 2 ¼ 0.234, P , 0.001), but not with Chl-a concentration. DISCUSSION Copepod EPR and growth The EPR and weight-specific female growth of P. parvus were both strongly related to water temperature (Fig. 4), but little related to Chl-a concentration. No apparent diatom inhibition of reproductive capability was observed as has been found to reduce hatching success in some copepods that feed on diatoms (Pohnert et al., 2002). Fig. 3. Weekly/biweekly variations in P. parvus abundance and reproductive parameters during egg production experiments from August 2009 to July 2010. (a) Abundance (inds m – 3), (b) biomass (mgC m – 3), (c) female prosome length (mm), (d) sex ratio (dark ¼ female; gray ¼ male), (e) EPR (eggs female – 1 day – 1), (f ) female growth rate (day – 1). Error bars (c and e) represent the standard deviation. 1040 M.-C. JANG ET AL. j EGG PRODUCTION RATE OF PARACALANUS PARVUS Fig. 4. Relationships of copepod EPR (a and b) and female growth rate (c) to water temperature and Chl-a concentration. Fig. 5. Partial regression of the EPR (eggs female – 1 day – 1) onto salinity for summer (.208C), in which temperature effects on EPR were held constant. Cannibalism would have been of limited influence as the incubation chambers were designed to minimize the effects of cannibalism on the EPR. These results suggest that temperature is fundamental to the seasonal dynamics of P. parvus in Jangmok Bay. Such a strong temperature dependency may be natural given the generally eutrophic condition of the study site and the warm water characteristics of the copepod. Food limitation effects on copepod EPR have generally been reported at low Chl-a concentrations (Uye and Shibuno, 1992). Significant food limitation affecting Paracalanus sp. EPR may occur at Chl-a concentrations ,3 mg L – 1 (Uye and Shibuno, 1992). Kimmerer et al. (Kimmerer et al., 2005) reported that Acartia hudsonica EPR in San Francisco Bay, USA, where Paracalanus spp. also maintain a significant biomass (Ambler, 1985), was food limited at Chl-a concentrations lower than ,4 mg L – 1. The weak relationship of EPR with Chl-a observed in the present study may also result from feeding selectivity. Small-sized copepod species often show a preference for microzooplankton, even when suitably sized phytoplankton are available (Atkinson, 1996; Castellani et al., 2005), suggesting that Chl-a might be a poor predictor of copepod EPR. The calanoid copepod community was found to remove only between 0.1 and 27.7% (average, 3.6 + 15.8%) of phytoplankton biomass daily during grazing experiments in Jangmok Bay (Jang et al., 2010). Grazing pressure was high in winter and early spring (January – March: 15.6 – 27.7%), but negative to low in summer (June – August: – 33.1 to 0.0%) and autumn (September– November: –1.4 to 5.1%; Jang et al., 2010), suggesting that copepods might facilitate increases in 1041 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH j VOLUME 35 j NUMBER 5 j PAGES 1035 – 1045 j 2013 Fig. 6. Ten-year variation in the monthly distribution of (a) water temperature (8C), (b) salinity, (c) Chl-a (log, mg L – 1) and (d) P. parvus abundance (log10 inds m – 3). phytoplankton growth by selectively ingesting protozoans. Wu et al. (Wu et al., 2010) showed that in the northern East China Sea, where Paracalanus spp. are dominant, ciliates and small heterotrophic dinoflagellates (sHDFs) provide the majority of ingested mesozooplankton carbon, even when phytoplankton biomass is greater than that of both heterotroph groups. Suzuki et al. (1999) similarly demonstrated that Paracalanus spp. feed on sHDFs and ciliates, with sHDFs providing more than twice as much food as ciliates do. The feeding of P. parvus on microzooplankton such as ciliates and sHDFs is important for the EPR of the copepod (Vargas et al., 2007). Although EPR was not related to the abundance of any protozoan in the present study, the highly variable EPR at high water temperatures (.208C), when Chl-a concentrations are highest, might suggest that the EPR responds strongly to the input of terrigenous materials from adjacent areas (Figs 1 and 5), which generally would fuel heterotrophic plankton. Such a response to terrigenous input may account in part for the high EPR of this copepod, which had an estimated maximum EPR of 27 + 3 eggs female – 1 day – 1 (Fig. 4b). The EPR of P. parvus in Jangmok Bay is generally lower than that reported from other bays with similar food conditions. The annual mean EPR ranges from 7.6 to 11.4 eggs female – 1 day – 1 with a maximum EPR of 60.8 eggs female – 1 day – 1 in Jiaozhou Bay, China (Sun et al., 2008), and a mean and range of 18 and 2 – 83 eggs female – 1 day – 1 has been reported from the waters off southern California, USA (Checkley, 1980). The female weight-specific growth rate was also similar, but very low at ,0.01 day – 1, during seasons other than summer. Copepod sex ratio The present study shows that the sex ratio of P. parvus was highly skewed toward females throughout the year (Fig. 3d). The sex ratio of males to total adults (0.01–0.34) in the present study is a bit higher or closer to the reported range (0.1–0.45, with a mean ratio of 0.2) in adult paracalanids in nature (Kiørboe, 2006). Intersexuality is common in copepods (Fleminger, 1985), intersexual adults of paracalanids being all morphologically similar to normal females (Gusmão and McKinnon, 2009). This could have affected the female skewed sex ratio as all intersexes were counted as females. Generally, food environment is the most important factor in determining sex ratio of copepods, with higher percentages of males being obtained with increased food concentration, as demonstrated for the sex ratio of adult Calanus (Irigoien, 2000). An exception 1042 M.-C. JANG ET AL. j EGG PRODUCTION RATE OF PARACALANUS PARVUS is the report that more female Eurytemora affinis were produced at higher food densities (Vander Hart, 1976). Under low food conditions, male copepods switch their sex to female, and this could have been an adaptive strategy in nature. In the context of populations, under high food concentrations, copepod populations can rapidly reproduce by producing more males, which would facilitate mating with multiple females (Kiørboe, 2006; Choi and Kimmerer, 2009). The fraction of mated females increases with the fraction of males in the population (Kiørboe, 2006). Female copepods that can keep sperm probably can withstand lower male relative to female abundance. In the present study, the sex ratio was not related to food concentration, and the sex ratio did not change during the summer when the population rapidly increased via elevated levels of EPR (Fig. 3d and e). Relatively low EPR than that reported in other regions, with the weak association of the EPR with food concentrations (Fig. 4b) and yet highly female-biased sex ratio, might suggest a food quality issue affecting physiological and reproductive aspects of this species, which needs further studies. Implications of climate change The water temperature in the northern East China Sea region has been increasing steadily since the 1980s at a rate of 0.0248C year – 1, with the February 188C isopleths moving northward (MOMAF, 2010). Following this seawater temperature rise, mesozooplankton biomass and copepod concentrations have increased in all three seas surrounding the Korean Peninsula (Rebstock and Kang, 2003), although the reason for this remains unresolved. Estuarine waters generally exhibit greater seasonal fluctuations in temperature than deeper offshore waters due to their shallow depths and input from land (Jang et al., 2012), and such local processes may obscure any longterm trends. Increased water temperatures in southern coastal waters are related to the expansion of warm water currents (e.g. the Tsushima Warm Current) to the north. Such expansion of warm water currents could cause the advection of offshore populations to onshore areas. The observed extremely low female growth rates and low EPR (Fig. 3e and f ), yet high abundance, in November 2009, suggests that the copepod populations might be sustained and supplemented by offshore populations, where growth conditions could be better (e.g. higher water temperatures). The Tsushima Warm Current, which flows northeastward along the Korea Strait (Fig. 1), is strongest in winter (Guo et al., 2006) and may carry a greater abundance of copepods into Jangmok Bay. For example, in February 2009, the abundance of P. parvus in southern shelf waters exceeded 3500 inds m – 3 (Choi, unpublished data), two orders of magnitude higher than the numbers found in winter at the Jangmok station (Fig. 3a). Paracalanus parvus is also a good indicator of on-shelf waters, suggesting that the northward-flowing coastal Davidson Current advects warm water subtropical neritic copepods such as P. parvus (Morgan et al., 2003). During warm periods, subtropical species show higher abundances and more northerly distributions (Batten and Welch, 2004). Warm water extension into Jangmok Bay around the fall – winter period was also reported from a survey of protozoans (Kim et al., 2012). Warm water tintinnid species used as biological indicators of the inflow of warm oceanic waters into Korean coastal waters were simultaneously detected in Jangmok Bay and the Korea Strait (Kim et al., 2012). Although difficult to predict, long-term changes in copepod abundance suggest that further temperature increases in this region are likely to increase the population of this species, especially non-summer populations. More importantly, warming would have implications for the substitution of cold-water species with warm-water (warm temperature) ones in the bay, which needs further investigations. In conclusion, temperature is fundamental to the seasonal dynamics of the EPR of P. parvus in generally eutrophic coastal waters. However, terrigenous materials associated with lower salinity water that could fuel heterotrophic plankton may be important, possibly facilitating an increased EPR. Seasonal changes in copepod abundance suggest that warming coastal waters are likely to result in increased populations of this species, especially winter populations. AC K N OW L E D G E M E N T S We are grateful to Dr H.-K. Kang and two anonymous reviewers for their comments, which improved an earlier version of the manuscript. We also thank Ms O.-M. Hwang for assistance with the field work. 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