PALEOCEANOGRAPHY, VOL. 13,NO. 1, PAGES1-9,FEBRUARY1998 Origin of the middle Pleistocene transition by ice sheet erosion of regolith Peter U. Clark Departmentof Geosciences, OregonStateUniversity,Corvallis David Pollard EarthSystemScienceCenter,Pennsylvania StateUniversity,UniversityPark Abstract. The transition in the middlePleistocene (-0.9 Ma) seenin •180 deep-sea-core records fromrelativelylowamplitude,high-frequency (41 kyr) to high-amplitude, low-frequency (100 kyr) ice volumevariationsunderessentially the sameorbitalforcingcanbe attributedto a changefrom an all soft-bedded to a mixed hard-softbedded Laurentideice sheet throughglacialerosionof a thickregolithandresultingexposureof unweathered crystallinebedrock. A one-dimensional ice sheetand bedrockmodelwhich includestransportof sedimentandice by subglacialsedimentdeformationdemonstratesthata widespread deformingsediment layermaintainsthin ice sheetsbeforethe transitionwhich respondlinearly to the dominant(23 and41 kyr) orbitalforcing. Progressive removalof the sedimentlayer eventuallycausesa transition to thickerice sheetswhosedominanttimescaleof change(100 kyr) reflectsnonlineardeglaciation processes.In model simulationsover the last 3 Ma initialized with no ice and a uniform 50 rn sedimentlayer the time seriesof ice volume andextentagreein severalimportantaspectswith theobserved records. 1. Introduction To achieve the latter, it has been necessaryto include addi- Oxygenisotopes(5•80) measured in benthicforaminifera tional physical processes(e.g., calving [Pollard, 1983], meltfrom deep-seasediments reveal that former northern hemisphereice sheetscyclicly waxed and wanedat the same periodicities (100, 41, and 23 kyr) as the orbital parametersthat control the amount and distribution of solar radiation received by the Earth, suggestinga causalrelationship between orbital changesin insolationand ice volume (Milankovitch hypothesis) [Hays et al., 1976; Irnbrie et al., 1984]. However, there are two significant problems in explaining global ice volume variations since the onset of northern hemispherecontinental glaciation at-2.8 Ma solely by orbital variations in insolation: (1) a transition, in the middle Pleistocene (-0.9 Ma), from low-amplitude, higher-frequency (41 kyr) to highamplitude,lower-frequency(100 kyr) ice volume variationsunder essentiallythe same orbital forcing and (2) the dominance of the 100 kyr ice volume signal since the middle Pleistocene when insolation forcing at that period (eccentricity)has essentially no power (Figure 1) [Shackleton and Opdyke, 1976; Pisias and Moore, 1981; Start and Prell, 1984; Ruddiman et al., 1989; Imbrie et al., 1993; Mix et al., 1995]. Many hypotheses(summarizedby Imbrie et al. [1993]) have been developedto explain these two aspectsof the evolution and responseof the earth's climate system to the known orbital forcing. Generally speaking, a large number of models have successfullyreproducedthe -23 and 41 kyr cycles in direct responseto the orbital Milankovitch forcing, but only a few have reproducedthe observeddominant 100 kyr cycles with rapid and completedeglaciationsover the last -0.9 Myr. water dischargefeedback[Pollard, 1983; DeBlonde and Peltier, 1991], or snow aging [Gallee et al., 1992]) or to prescribe additional time-dependentforcing (atmospheric dust loading [Peltier and Marshall, 1995] or atmosphericCO2 variations [DeBlondeet al., 1996]). Furthermore,relatively few attempts have been made to model the middle Pleistocene transition ob- servedin marine5•80 records, i.e., with relativelylittle 100 kyr powerbefore -0.9 Ma, and dominant 100 kyr cycles after that time. In general,theseice sheet-climatemodelsproducea transition as a nonlinear responseto a prescribedlong-term cooling trend [Oerlemans, 1984; Saltzman and Maasch, 1991; Abe-Ouchi, 1996] or to a suddenlyimposed switch in model physics [DeBlonde and Peltier, 1991; Mudelsee and Schulz, 1997]. However, evidencefor a generalcooling trend or decreasein CO2over the last 2 Ma is uncertain[Raymo et al., 1997]. Nevertheless,a gradualglobal cooling continuing throughthe last million years wouldbe a viable candidatefor the cause of the middle Pleistocene transition. Previousworkershave also suggestedthat a changefrom a land-basedto a marine-basedice sheetthroughlong-term glacial erosionwas responsiblefor the middle Pleistocenetransition [Pisiasand Moore, 1981; Berger and Jansen,1994]. Deep erosionbeneaththe large Laurentideice sheet,causingit to become a marine-basedice sheet [Pisias and Moore, 1981], however, doesnot appearto be a viable hypothesis[Sugden, 1976; Bell and Laine, 1985; Dyke et al., 1989]. A transitionto a marine-basedcondition may have occurredbeneath the Barents Seaice sheet[Bergerand Jansen,1994],but the timing of such Copyright1998by theAmericanGeophysical Union. a transition is not well constrained [Hjelstuen et al., 1996; Solheim et al., 1996], and the small size of the Barents Sea ice Papernumber97PA02660. sheetcouldnotaccount for thespectral changeseenin the /5•O 0883-8305/98/97PA-02660512.00 record(Figure 1). 2 CLARK AND PO•: ORIGIN OF THE MIDDLE PLEISTOCENE TRANSITION Geologicrecordssuggestthat the Laurentideice sheetwas at timesas or moreextensivein the late Plioceneandearly Pleistocenethanit wasin the late Pleistocene. Severaltills depos- 415 ited by the Laurentideice sheetin Iowa and Nebraska,or south of theicemarginduringthelastglacialmaximum (-21 ka), are overlain by the HuckleberryRidge Ash [Boellstorff, 1973, 1978], which was derivedfrom the eruptionof the Yellowstone 395 caldera at 1.97 Ma [Sarna-Wojcicki and Davis, 1991]. 375 larly,a õ•80record fromtheGulfof Mexicosuggests thatthe 5 3 (Ma) i , ß | , ][ ß 2 2 southernmargin of the Laurentideice sheetrepeatedlyentered the Mississippi River drainageafter -2.3 Ma and discharged light õ•80 meltwaters to the Gulfof Mexico [Joyceet al., blSite849 5 o Simi- 1 0 (Ma) Figure1. (a) Summerhalf-yearinsolation (in W m'2)at 55øNforthelast 3 Myr computedusingorbitalelementsfrom Berger and Loutre[ 1991]. (b) Oxygen isotoperecordsfor Ocean Drilling ProgramSites677 and 849 over the last 3 Myr (data and age modelsare from Mix et al. [1995]). 1993]. Because theglobalõ•80recordsuggests that latePlioceneearly Pleistocene ice sheetswere volumetrically betweenone half to two thirdsas largeas late Pleistoceneice sheets(Figure 1), the existenceof a Laurenfideice sheet duringthe late Plioceneand early Pleistocenethat was as extensive as duringthe late Pleistocene must reflect a change from a thinner to a thicker ice sheet. Ice sheetthicknessis controlledprimarily by mechanismsat the base of the ice sheet which control ice movement. Ice sheetswhich move entirely by internal deformation of ice will generally be thicker than ice sheetswhich move by some combination of internal ice deformation, basal sliding, and subglacial sediment deformation (soft beds) [Paterson, 1994]. A change from a thinner to a thicker ice sheetduringthe middlePleistocene thusimplicatesa changein the basal boundaryconditionwhich governsice thickness. Severalcharacteristiclandformand sedimentassemblages We describegeologic data and modeling results which suggest that a change in the basal boundary condition of the Laurentideice sheetwas responsiblefor the middle Pleistocene transition. In particular, our hypothesisinvokes only internal ice sheetmechanismswith no prescribedexternaltrendsexcept for Milankovitch orbital forcing. Our proposedmechanism accountsfor the otherwise perplexing evidencethat the late Pliocene-earlyPleistoceneLaurentideice sheet was as extensive as but volumetrically significantly smaller (Figure 1) than the later, similarly extensivebut volumetrically larger Laurentide ice sheet. Furthermore,modelingresultsidentify how this changein ice sheetsize, in turn, resultedin a differentresponse of the ice sheetto the same orbital forcing, giving rise to the middle Pleistocenespectralchange. 2. Geologic Records for Change in Basal Boundary Condition suggestthat soft bedsunderlaida a significant fraction (of the orderof 50%) of formernorthernhemisphereice sheetsduring the last glacial maximum [Alley, 1991; Hicock and Dreimanis, 1992; Clark and Walder, 1994; Clark, 1997]. In the areascov- ered by the Laurentideice sheet, easily deformablefinely grainedtill nearly completelymantlesareasof sedimentary bedrock, so exposedbedrockis largely absent. In contrast, hard-bedded areas, which are characterizedby discontinuous, coarselygrainedtill with a large fraction of exposedbedrock, are typical of crystalline bedrockareasunderlyingthe Laurentide ice sheet such as the Canadian shield [Marshall et al., 1996]. A numerical reconstruction of the Laurentide ice sheet with this prescribeddistributionof hard and soft beds[Clark et al., 1996] agrees with the ICE-4G reconstruction [Peltier, 1994]bothin surfacetopography andice volume. This agreement suggeststhat the distribution of soft beds provides a glaciological explanation for the shape and volume of the Laurentideice sheet during the last glacial maximumthat is The Laurentideand Fennoscandian ice sheetsboth developed most consistent with observations of relative sea level and at 2.6-2.8 Ma [Raymo, 1994; Clemens et al., 1996], but the other geodynamicconsiderations[Clark et al., 1996]. Fennoscandian ice sheet has remained much smaller than the We arguethat prior to the middle Pleistocene transition the Laurentide. (We note that our proposed mechanismfor the Laurentide ice sheet was thinner because it was underlain evemiddlePleistocenetransition may equally well apply to the rywhere by a soft, easily deformablesubstrateand that the Fennoscandianice sheet). The East Antarctic Ice Sheet has retransitionto a thick ice sheet'duringthe middlePleistoceneremained stable since the middle Miocene [Marchant et al., sultedfrom a changeto an ice sheetwith an increasing distribu- 1996], with orbital-scale changesin the ice sheet being "paced"by global sea level changesdriven from the northern hemisphere[Denton et al., 1986]. We thus assumethat the tion of hardbeds. Geologicdataand modelingresultsdiscussed below suggestthat the changefrom all soil-beddedto a mixed- beddedice sheetoccurredas thick, clayey soils (regoliths), Laurentide icesheethasdominated the globalõ•O signaldur- which had developedby chemicalweatheringof crystalline ing the last -2.8 Myr. bedrock,were progressively erodedby successive glaciations, CLARK AND PO•: ORIGIN OF THE MIDDLE PLEISTOCENETRANSITION 3 Table 1. Heavy Mineral Percentagesin Tills from Nebraska Till Unit Hornblende Biotite Apatite "A" tills 30.7 4.3 0.8 "B" tills "C" tills 21.1 8.6 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.1 Limonite 6.'4 14.3 31.4 Hematite ' 2.5 3.5 6.8 Opaques 21.8 35.9 61.3 Data from tills exposedat City Wide Rock Quarry section,Nebraska[Boellstorff,1973, 1978; Gravenor, 1975]. The "C" tills are overlainby volcanicashfrom the Yellowstonecalderadatedat 1.97 Ma, the "B" tills overlaya Yellowstoneashdatedat 1.27 Ma, anda Yellowstoneash datedat 0.62 Ma is interbeddedwith the "A" tills [Boellstorf-f, 1973, 1978; Sarna-Wojcickiand Davis, 1991]. eventually exposing crystalline bedrockto the ice sheet as a hard bed. The developmentof sucha regolith is expectedgiven the long time (of the orderof 107-108years)that the crystalline bedrockwas exposedto weatheringprior to the inception of northernhemisphereglaciation. Direct evidencefor this regolith comes from glaciated central and westernMinnesota, where a deep saprolite developedin Precambriancrystalline bedrockis preserved[Goldich, 1938; Parham, 1970; Setterholm and Morey, 1995]. Stratigraphicrelations suggestthat the saprolite formed during the Mesozoic and possibly the early Tertiary, when global climate was significantly warmer thanpresent[Crowleyand North, 1991]. The weatheringprofile averages30 m in thickness,but locally is as thick as 60 m [Parham, 1970; Setterholm and Morey, 1995]. Similar, thoughless extensive, pre-Quaternarysaprolites preservedon glaciated crystalline bedrock also occur in eastern Canada [Wang et al., 1981, 1982; McKeagueet al., 1983], and welldevelopedsaprolites are common in the Appalachian Mountains southof the glacial border [Mills and Delcourt, 1991]. Chemical weatheringinvolvesthe removal of the more reactive mineral species,resultingin a composition that reflects the more resistantmineralsas well as the productsof chemical weathering of the more reactive species. During chemical weathering, amphiboles alter first, followed by biotite, then the feldspars,and lastly quartz [Goldich, 1938; Setterholmand Morey, 1995]. Plagioclasefeldsparsare more reactive than Kfeldspar, and quartz persists in all but the most intensely weatheredsaprolite. Dissolutionof hornblendeand biotite releases ferrous iron, which migrates upwardto a level where oxidizing conditions fix it as either goethite or hematite. Chemicalweatheringalso involvesthe dissolutionof feldspars and the concurrent removal of Ca, Na, and K. Al is concen- tratedin the remaining residueand is thus available to form kaolinite. These relations suggestthat erosion and transport of a regolith will yield mineralogies that differ from those of the sourcerocksbut resemblethosefound in the weatheringprofile mantling the source rocks. Sedimentsderivedfrom fresh bedrock by glacial and fluvial abrasion which have undergone minimal chemical weathering have essentially the same bulk mineralogy as the bedrock source[Nesbitt and Young, 1996]. In contrast,the mineralogy of sedimentsderivedfrom a heavily weatheredcrystalline bedrock reflect the composition of the regolith, not the bedrock [Nesbittet al., 1996]. Existing geologic data are consistent in identifying a change in sediment sourcefrom a regolith to fresh bedrock around the time of the middle Pleistocene transition. The old- est (unweathered)tills in the glaciated midcontinent (>2 Ma) are relatively enrichedin stable mineralsand weatheredproducts (iron oxides) and depleted in unstable minerals (hornblende, biotite, and apatite) comparedto younger tills (Table 1) [Boellstorff, 1978]. The oldest tills also contain allochthonous fragments of bauxite (a product of prolonged chemical weathering under tropical to subtropical climates) [Gravenor, 1975]. Finally, the older tills are enriched in sedimentary rock clasts (-90%) whereasthe youngertills are enriched in crystalline lithologies [Boellstorff, 1978], which may reflect the changein sourcefrom erosionof highly weathered to fresh crystallinebedrock. Additional mineralogical evidence for a change in basal boundaryconditionsduring the middle Pleistocenecomesfrom sedimentsdrilled by OceanDrilling Program(ODP) site 645 in Baffin Bay (-7 IøN), which recorda directinfluencefrom the ad- jacentLaurentideand Greenlandice sheetsbeginningwith the first ice rafting of pebbles in the Pliocene [Thiebault et al., 1989]. In particular, there is a significant changein mineralogy at -0.95 Ma; sedimentsolder than 0.95 Ma are characterized by clay minerals originating from weatheredcontinental deposits (irregular mixed layer clays and "smectite"), whereas sedimentsyoungerthan 0.95Ma show an increasein clay minerals derived from crystalline bedrock (chlorite and illire) [Thiebault et al., 1989; Andrews, 1993]. Coincident with this transition is a significant increase in feldspar [Andrews, 1993], which is consistent with a sourcechange from a regolith, in which feldsparshave weathered,to crystalline bedrock. 3. Modeling the Transition We testedour hypothesisusing a one-dimensionalice sheet and bedrock model, in which ice thickness and bedrock eleva- tion are predictedas functionsof latitudeand time, representing a roughly north-southprofile along a typical flow line throughthe Laurentideice sheet. Such models have been used extensively to model long-term ice sheet cycles [Oerlemans, 1980; Pollard, 1983; Birchfield and Grumbine, 1985; DeBlondeand Peltier, 1991]. Ice flow is described by a vertically integratedcontinuityequationfor ice thickness,assumingthe ice sheetdeformsmainly by shearat or near its base underits own weight: • =-• Ah• c•h i c• [ c•( hi+•hs+hh)l•cg(h i+hs+h/•)] o3c [us (0)hi]+B-C (•) 4 CLARK AND POLLARD: ORIGIN OF THE MIDDLE PLEISTOCENE TRANSITION Table 2. Symbols Used in the Model Symbol Meaning Value Units x t north-southdistance time independentvariable independentvariable m yr hi (x,t) h• (x,t) hb(x,t) ice sheetthickness sediment layerthickness bedrockelevationabovesealevel sea level prescribedversusx (seetext) m m m h•q equilibriumbedrockelevationabove prognostic variable prognostic variable prognostic variable B C A massbalanceon ice surface removalof iceby calving icerheologycoefficient prescribed pattern(seetext) 20 if "floating" (seetext) 5.77x 104 m yr4 m yr4 m-3yr'• ot ice rheologyexponent 5 ]J icerheology exponent 2 x timescaleof bedrockrelaxation 5000 yr Pi p• pb icedensity sediment density (saturated bulk) bedrock density 910 2390 3370 kgm'3 kgm'3 kg m-3 u sediment horizontal velocity diagnostic versus z (seetext) m yr4 z vertical coordinatein sedimentlayer D•o a independentvariable shearstressat ice-sedimentinterface Pa degrees d(sediment shearstrength)/dz prescribed (seetext) sedimentangleof internalfriction 22 n sediment rheology exponent sediment reference viscosity wherex is north-south distance, h,(x,t) is the ice thickness, h,(x,t) is the sedimentthickness,h•,(x,t) is the bedrockeleva- tionabovesealevel,A = 5.77 x 104m-3yr-•, at= 5, and• = 2 (Table 2). The first term on the right-hand side representsinternal ice shearand/or basal sliding at the ice-bed interface, as in the earlier models. The secondterm, involving u.dO ), is due to horizontal shear within the sedimentlayer below the ice, as B is the net annual mass balance on the ice surface,representingthe climatic distributionof precipitation and ice melt, and is prescribedas a function of latitude and ele- vationthatis shiftedverticallyin proportion (35 m W4 m'2)to long-term orbital variations in the summerhalf-year insolation at 55øN [Oerlernans, 1980; Berger and Loutre, 1991] (see Figure 1). The last term C represents calving by proglacial lakes and/or marine incursions[Pollard, 1983]. A large body of water is assumedto form adjacentto the ice sheet whenever the bedrock falls below sea level at the margin. The term C is set to 20 m yr'l at anyice sheetgridpoint if its baseis belowsea level (hs+ h• < 0) and if it or one of its neighboring points has floatingice [p,h,<-pw(h•.+ h•,)]. The secondcondition protects the thick interior ice and limits calving, generally, to the outermost 50-150 km of the ice sheet. In practice, the southern tip is attackedin this way only during deglaciationsand is responsiblefor the model'srealistic simulationof the dominant 100 kyr cyclesduringthe last --1 Myr [Pollard, 1983]. The depressionor reboundof the underlyingbedrockis simply a local relaxationto isostaticequilibrium,laggedby 5000 years[Peltier and Marshall, 1995]: S'l diagnostic(seetext) • described below. m sediment reference deformation rate 7.9x 10'7 b #o m Pam'l 3 x 109(Figure 2a),10• (Figure 2b),3 x 108 Pas (Figure2c),6 x l09(Figure2d) 1.25(except 3 in Figure 2d) 70øN, ramping linearly down to-500 m at 74"N to represent the Arctic Ocean (which limits the northern extent of the ice sheetvia calving).Also,'r = 5000 years,p•,= 3370 kg m'3is thebedrockdensity, Pi= 910kg m-3is theicedensity, andp,.= 2390kg m'3is thesediment (saturated bulk)density. Equations(1) and (2) are standardexceptfor calving and the extra ice motion due to deforming sediment(secondterm on the right-hand side of (1)). The latter is modeledby a sediment layer of thicknessh,.(x,t) resting on bedrock. Deformation within the sedimentlayer follows Jenson et al. [1995, 1996], in which the sedimentshearsaccordingto a slightly nonlinear flow law in responseto horizontal shearstressappliedby the ice sheetat the top of the sediment. The sedimentis assumed to be saturatedwith liquid water, which transmitsthe weight of the ice through the upper sedimentto the uncleforminglayers below, so that the effective confining pressurein the shear zone is small and dueonly to the buoyant weight of the sediment itself. By solving their equation (2) the resulting horizontal velocity profile within the sediment is Us(Z ) = 2D0 a a (n+l) b 2Do/•o 1 b a wherez is the vertical coordinate increasing downwardfrom zeroattheice-sediment interface, a = p,gh, I c)(hi +hs+ h•)/ • I is the shear stressat the ice-sedimentinterface, and b = (p,. - pw)gtan(•)is the rate of increaseof shearstrengthwith depth. The u,(z) is taken to be zero at and below the bottom of the (2) shearzone at z = a/b or at the bottom of the sedimentlayer itself at z = h, if hs< a/b. The shear-zonethicknessa/b depends on the ice sheetslopeand thicknessbut is typically 1-10 m in eq whereh•, is the ice-freeequilibrium bedrockelevationabove our model. We useJensonet al. 's [ 1995, 1996] nominfilvalues sea level, taken to be 500 m above sea level southward of for the sedimentrheology, • = 22" for the angle of internal c)h b 1 hb - hb- CLARK AND POLLARD: ORIGIN OF THE MIDDLE PLEISTOCENE TRANSITION 5 friction,Do= 7.9 x 10'7s 'l for thereference deformation rate,Ix,, During the first -1 Myr of this run the sedimentlayer is ad= 3 x 109Pas for the reference viscosity,n = 1.25 for the ex- vectedrapidlytowardthe northernand southernmarginsof the kg m'3is theliquidwaterdensityandg - 9.80616 m s'2 is the ice sheet(Plate 1). By -2 Ma mostsedimenthas been removed polewardof -62 øN but remainsthick underthe southernflanks gravitational acceleration. Equation (3) assumesthat the ice sheetbaseis at the melting point, allowing the till to be saturated. This assumptioncan be relaxedby includingice thermodynamicsin the model, but as describedbelow, we find that this makes very little difference to the results, at least with a relatively simple treatmentof ice temperatures. aroundthis time. Thus the southernslopes and total ice volumesare still inhibited by the sediment. It is not until -1.5 Ma, when the marginal sedimenthas been graduallycleared severaldegreeslatitudefurthersouth(Figure 3 and Plate 1), that the centralzone of crystallinebedrockis sufficientlywide to ponent,and sedimentcohesionis neglected. Also, Pw= 1000 All the runs below were initialized with a uniform 50 m thick layer of sediment at 3 Ma (h, = 50 m everywhere) as might be expected from the geologic evidence of preserved saprolitesmentionedabove. Thereafterthe sedimentthickness variesaccordingto •hx • [lmin(h•,a/h) ] & = & 0 u.,,(z)& (4) The conditionhs< 100 m is imposedfor areasthat are ice free (hi = 0) and representsrapid erosion of excesssedimentin an ice-free environment. Without some removal of sediment dur- ing ice-free periodsthe sedimentin our model accumulatesunrealisticallyto valuesof-500 m aroundand underthe southern margins by the late Pleistocene, which, in reality, must have been avoidedby relatively rapid erosion,probablyby river and eolian transport. The imposedcondition includesthis process as simply as possible with a minimum of free parameters;the value of 100 m is basedroughly on the maximum thicknesses of observed Pleistocene tills [Mickelson et al., 1983' Klassen, 1989]. The resultsshown below are quite insensitive to this value, at least in the range 50-100 m, and also change little when this condition is replaced by horizontal diffusion of of the ice sheet, whose maximum stands extend to -54"N supportice volumes close to maximum Pleistocenevalues. Af- ter 1.5 Ma the central bedrockdepressionsare deepenough (Figure3)to allow significant calving, andthe first complete deglaciation occursat 1.45 Ma, with dominant100 kyr cycles from thenon as given by Pollard[1983]. Althoughthe longterm erosion of model sedimentand deepeningof maximum bedrockdepressions are gradual,the transitionto 100 kyr cyclesis suddenbecause the onset of the model'scalving events is highly nonlinearand dependsmainly on whetherthe southern tip dropsbelow sealevel as the ice sheetrecedes. The transition in Figure 2a from relatively thin ice sheetsand-20-40 kyr cycles before 1.5 Ma to thicker ice sheets and dominant -100 kyr cycles after that time (e.g., Figure 3) is in basic agreement with the observed middle Pleistocene transition in long-term•5•80records,wherebythe observed transitionbeginsat -1.2 Ma andis completeby -0.9 Ma (Figure 1). (It is still uncertainhow abrupt the transition was [Maasch, 1988; Ruddimanet al., 1989; Park and Maasch, 1993].) As discussed by Jensonet al. [1995, 1996], the most appropriatevaluesfor the sedimentviscosity!to andthe exponent n in (4) areuncertain. Severaldiversemodelingand experimentalstudieson deformabletills suggestthat It,,might range from 108to 10• Pas andthatn mightlie between1.25 and-3 sedimentin ice-free areas (not shown). The horizontal velocity u•.(0)at the ice-sedimentinterface given by (3) causesadditional ice sheettransportvia the second term in (1), which generally dominates the internal flow/basalsliding(first term in (1)) unlessthe sedimentis very thin. Note that any basal sliding at the ice-sedimentinterface is not included in the sediment model but is considered to con- tributeto the first term in (1). The systemof equations(1)-(4) are solved numerically on a 0.5" latitudinal grid with a time step of 1 year. •oooo i•)........................... 4ooo 5000 E 2000 o ! i i i I i i , I ! i i I I i i i i i i I i i i o i E O L 0 5000 2000 '•' X 0 4. Model Results o o ' A 3 Myr modelrun with the nominalparametervaluesgiven above (Table 2) shows ice sheet "volume" (cross-sectionalarea of ice in the latitude versusheight plane) and extent (distance from northernto southerntip) (Figure2a). The only external forcingis the vertical shift of the massbalancepatternB in (1) due to orbital insolation variations. From 3 Ma to -2 Ma the ' ' ' ' ' i i , , , , , i 0 i (•) 0 0 • I .*.- I 5000 2000 o• o o o o o '(d) o 5000 2o00 ice transportis dominatedby sedimentdeformation,which restricts the basal shear stresses to small values and constrains the ice sheet to remain relatively thin (-1.5 km) with gentle slopesnear the margins(Figure 3). This resultsin wide southern ablation zones and preventsthe ice sheetfrom achieving large volumes; however, the maximum linear extents (dashed curve)are close to those of the late Pleistocenein agreement with early observedice limits as mentionedabove. 0 $.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0 (Uo) Figure 2. Ice sheetcross-sectional area (thick lines) and north-south extent(thinlines)for simulations over the last3 Myr: (a) with nominal parameter values givenin thetext,including sediment viscosity It,, = 3 x 109Pasandn= 1.25; (b)withIt,,= 10• Pasandn= 1.25; (c)withIt,,= 3 x 108Pasandn = 1.25'and(d)withIt,,= 6 x 109Pasandn = 3. 6 CLARK AND POLLARD: ORIGIN OF THE MIDDLE PLEISTOCENETRANSmON 2500 o • 2,534,000¾rBP • 78,000 ¾rBP • 1500 > 75 70 65 60 55 70 65 60 55 latitude (o N) latitude (o N) Figure3. Crosssections of icesheet,sediment (solid),andbedrock(stippled) at twodifferenttimesfromtherun in Figure2a. Althoughthelinearnorth-south extentsarethesameat thetwotimes,thereis stillsediment undermuchof theice sheetduring the earliertime so the ice sheetis relativelythin andthe bedrockdepression is shallow. In contrast,duringthe later time, there is no sedimentremainingunderthe ice sheetsotheice sheetis thickerandthebedrockdepression is deeper. 5.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 (Ma) ß01 .1 1 25 50 50 75 100 125 Plate 1. Changesin sedimentlayer thicknesses (h.,) (in meters)from the nominalrun (Figure 2a). Blank areas indicate negligiblesediment(h.,.< .01 m), and the "50-50"contourintervalshowsthe initial50 m thickness value. The dashedlines showthe latitudesof the ice sheet'snorthernand southerntips. 50 CLARK AND POLLARD: ORIGIN OF THE MIDDLE PLEISTOCENE TRANSITION [Boultonand Hindmarsh,1987; Alley, 1989; Paterson,1994; Velaet al., 1996],althoughmuchhighervaluesof n havebeen suggested[Kamb, 1991]. We examined the effects of different 7 is uncertain. Nevertheless, several of theseothermodels rely onthesamebasicbehavior ashere:thatat roughly100kyr in- tervalsthe ice sheetmustbecomevery largeandthick with a sediment viscosities, withn fixedat 1.25. With muchlarger deepbedrock depression, andthussusceptible to complete and viscosity(Figure2b), sedimentdeformationand the associated rapid deglaciationin the next warm-orbitinterval. A deforming sedimentlayerpreventstheseconditions before~1 Ma and vertsto the no-sediment modelof Pollard [ 1983]with thick ice allows them after it has been eroded,so the sedimentmodel sheets, calving,anddominant ~100 kyr cyclesthroughout the proposedheremight be expectedto producethe samemiddle run. With muchsmallerviscosity(Figure 2c), basal shear Pleistocenetransitionindependent of the exactmechanismfor stresses at theice-sediment interface are verylow andseverely the 100 kyr cycles. limit the ice sheetvolumes. Also, the sedimentshearzone a?b ice transport become negligible, andthemodelessentially re- is muchthinner,andthe verticallyintegrated sedimenttransport in (4) is smaller[Jensonet al., 1995], so the initial 50 m sediment layertakeslongerto be clearedaway. Thusice volumesremainsmallovertheentirerun (Figure2c), andthe 100 kyr transitiondoesnot occuruntil -0.2 Ma. Althoughwe mightclaimfromtheseresults(Figures2a-2c)that3 x 10• Pa s is themostrealistic valueof sediment viscosity,thisis really onlyan order-of-magnitude constraint sincethetimingof the transitionalsodepends on oursomewhat arbitrarychoicesof initial sediment thickness (50 m)andstartdate(3 Ma). By varyingthoseparameters wecouldprobablyadjustthetiming of thetransition in the currentmodelto agreemoreclosely with the observed transitionat-0.9 Ma (Figure1); however. wefeelthatsortof fine tuningwill be moremeaningful at a laterstageaftersomeof the modeldevelopments mentioned below.At thatstage,objective statistical testswill probably be needed to compare the modelandobserved curves, espe- Anotherassumption is thatthesediment is alwayssaturated withjustenough liquidwatertotransmit theverticalweightof theice sheet.Thisrequires theice sheetbaseto be at the melting point; otherwise,the till is frozen, andno sedimentdefor- mation canoccur.We havetested thisassumption by predictingicetemperatures in themodel,usinga standard equation of verticalheattransferinvolvingconduction andverticaladvection, with lowerboundaryconditionfrombasalfrictionalheat- ing andthe geothermal heatflux, upperboundary condition fromspecified annualmeansurface ice temperatures, andneglecting horizontal heat advection and thermal inertia [Paterson, 1981]. Theannualsurface ice temperature is estimatedconsistently withthemass-balance parameterization for B in (1) [Oerlemans, 1980]by assuming thatairtemperatures at theequilibrium-line altitudehaveanannualmeanof -10øC,a seasonal amplitude of 25øC,andanatmospheric lapserateof -7øCkm'•. Thisequation hasananalyticsolution[Paterson, 1981]thatgivesthesteady statebasaltemperature at eachgrid cially sincethe exacttimingof the transitionis somewhatsubpointandtimestepin themodel.Whenever thebasaltempera- jectiveandhasbeenquotedasearlyas 1.2 Ma [Clemens et al., 19961. Making the sedimentrheologymore nonlinearhas relativelylittleeffecton theresults(Figure2d). The valueof n we tureis belowthepressure meltingpoint,sedimentdeformation from(3) andits associated ice transportis resetto zero. The resulting ice volume curves and sediment thickness distribu- tionsfor the nominalmodelarevirtuallythe sameas our reused(= 3) is atthehighendof therangesuggested by a number sults(Figure 2aandPlate1). Although thebaseis usually froof studies[BoultonandHindmarsh,1987; Alley, 1989; Paterzenin the centralregionswhenthe ice sheetis large,basal son,1994; Velaet al., 1996]. If n wereincreased by 1 or 2 ordersof magnitude [Kamb,1991], onewouldexpectmoredra- temperatures nearerthe flanksareoften at the melting point wheremostsedimenttransportoccurs,so sedimentthicknesses maticeffectssincethe sedimentwouldbecomeessentially andicevolumes evolveovertimein essentially thesameway asbefore.Theneglectof horizontalheatadvection maybe significantnearthe ice sheetflanks, andwe plan to include 1991]. However,suchlargevaluesof n arebeyondthe numerithatin futurework[Ritzet al., 1997]andto investigate possical designof our model. ble freeze-thaw cyclesat the bed[MacAyeal,1992, 1993] and plastic,andthe wholedeformingbedmechanism couldbecome unstableif feedbackfrom basalmeltingis considered [Kamb, 5. Discussion The modeldescribed hereis obviouslyvery simplecomparedto realityandcontains a numberof importantassumptions.We regard it solelyasa firstquantitative testof thehypothesisthat deformable bedsare importantfor the middle Pleistocene transition. Oneassumption is that the calving mechanism is important for the 100 kyr cycles.Clearly,any modeladdressing the middlePleistocenetransition(with no 100kyr cyclesbeforeanddominantcyclesafterward) mustbe capableof simulatingthemat all. In our modela calving mechanismis necessaryto augment the basic bedrockdepression/lapse-rate feedbackto producethesecycles,but other modelshave suggested other mechanisms[Oerlemans, 1984; DeBlondeand Peltier, 1991; Saltzmanand Maasch, 1991; Galleeet al., 1992; Peltier and Marshall, 1995; DeBlondeet al., 1996; Abe-Ouchi,1996; MudelseeandSchulz, 1997],andtheirrelativeimportance forthereal100kyr cycles othervariationsin basalhydrology[Kamb, 1991; Fowlerand Johnson, 1995]. However, the first-order inclusion of ice temperaturesto date showsthat basal temperatures near the Laurentide flankswereat themelting pointoftenenough to allow thesediment transport mechanism proposed hereto remain viable. Otherpossiblefuturemodeldevelopments area more realisticnonlocalmodelfor the lithosphericand asthenosphericresponse[Birchfieldand Grumbine,1985; DeBlonde and Peltier, 1991], the extensionto two horizontal dimensions andthe useof two-dimensional(2-D) or 3-D climate models [PeltierandMarshall,1995;DeBlondeet al., 1996], moreex, plicit modelsof calvingwaterbodiesanddischarging ice shelves[Pollard,1983; van der Veen,1996],refinementof the sediment removalprocess in (4b), andremoulding of the sedimentunderthe ice causinglong-termchangesin sediment rheology. AsBirchfieldandGhil [1993] andothershavenoted,there is relatively little~23kyrspectral powerin /5•Orecords prior 8 CLARK AND POLLARD: ORIGIN OF THE MIDDLE PLEISTOCENE TRANSITION to the middle Pleistocene transition as comparedto after the transition. If the early ice sheetsdid extend as far south as in the late Pleistocene, as suggestedby continental records,one might expect substantial23 kyr power since variations of orbital precessionat those periodsdominatethe insolation signal more at low latitudes. There may be two reasonswhy this signal is less before the transition. First, ice volume responds to changesin accumulationand ablation over the whole ice sheet, which, in turn, are affected by large-scale changes in climate and circulationthat may differ for thin versusthick ice sheets and do not just follow insolation variations at the southern margin. In our simple model the climate forcing is tied to insolationvariationsat an arbitrary latitude (55øN), and global climate modelswill be neededto fully explore this possibility. Second, as suggestedby Birchfield and Ghil [1993], there may simply be more downcoreloss of signal at shorter periods(-23 kyr comparedto -41 kyr) becauseof postdepositional diffusive processessuch as bioturbation. In conclusion, we have used a simple numerical model to test the hypothesis that a change from soft-beddedto hard- beddedconditionsdueto glacial erosionof an initially thick and uniform regolith and progressiveexposureof unweathered crystallinebedrockcausedthe middle Pleistocene transition in õ•80records.Thisfirst quantitative testshowsthatwithreasonablevaluesof sedimentrheology the northernhemisphere ice sheetscouldhave erodedseveraltens of metersof regolith within the right time frameof 1-2 Myr. Before the transition the model's deforming sedimentmaintains relatively thin, low-volumeice sheetsthat nevertheless,extendnearly as far southas the later ice sheets,in agreementwith severallines of evidencediscussed above. The exposureof uncleforming bedrock below the regolith allows ice sheetthicknessesand bedrock depressionsto becomelarge enoughto allow marineincursionsandcalving that areresponsibletbr completemodel deglaciations and the introduction of the dominant nonlinear -100 kyr responsein the middlePleistocene. Acknowledgments.We thankJ. Jenson,A. Mix, C. Patterson,and N. Pisiasfor helpfuldiscussions and M. Delaney,C. Forsberg,and two anonymous reviewersfor comments onthemanuscript.Thismanuscript wassupported by the NationalScienceFoundation (ATM-9709684). References Abe-Ouchi,A., Quaternary transition: A bifurcationin forcedice sheetoscillations? Eos Trans. AGU, 77 (46), Fall Meet. Suppl.,F415, 1996. Alley, R. 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