REGIONAL MEETING: SEEDS OF INNOVATION Drs. Alan Kay and Len Kleinrock, TTI/Vanguard Advisory Board New York, New York · May 13, 2014 “One physicist can keep a lot of engineers busy.”—Alan Kay Big ideas, and the ability to flesh them out to become inventions with world-changing potential, are the product of unconventional minds—minds that are simultaneously inner-directed and focused on novel ideas, rather than looking to the world to reinforce preconceptions. TTI/Vanguard Advisory Board member Alan Kay estimates that a scant one percent of people alive at any point possess both of these individually rare personality traits. There are more such people today than 40–50 years ago, yet the production of transformative invention in the realm of computer science has slid precipitously from its heyday. Both Kay and TTI/Vanguard Advisory Board member Len Kleinrock are among such thinkers, and both enjoyed the added good fortune of coming of age intellectually when the funding environment actively fostered the development of basic science and a long-term outlook through a collaborative meritocracy composed of brilliant people who came together as a community of researchers. Kleinrock’s contributions were instrumental in packet switching and the ARPAnet; Kay’s likewise for object-oriented programming and revolutionizing human–computer interface design with overlapping windows and the Dynabook, with ARPA funding for his graduate research and with the support of Xerox PARC under the leadership of Bob Taylor, who headed ARPA’s Information Processing and Techniques Office (IPTO) as its third so-called director. Perhaps the proper title for the early ARPA/IPTO leaders—J.C.R Licklider, Ivan Sutherland, Taylor, Larry Roberts, and Licklider, once again—was guide, but certainly not director nor manager. Each took it upon himself to fund people, not projects, and rely on the people to grow this thing that would become computer science. Kay, if he were to bestow an award for the IPTO-era advancements, would give it to the funders, so great and foresightful was their influence. Today, despite an unchanged volume of relative talent—there still exists that small pool of independent deep thinkers—the research environment is fundamentally altered such that the inventiveness of the past is largely absent. The need to chase short-term federal grant money or corporate project funds has fundamentally shifted the scope of research. The quest for easily explained and quickly picked low-hanging fruit pervades the lives of today’s graduate students and has become an ingrained part of their training. Both Kay and Kleinrock are on separate but parallel quests to document an understanding of what released the brilliance of the best researchers of their era, with a hope of replicating the necessary and sufficient elements to draw the latent inventiveness out of today’s great young minds. Kleinrock has recently taken on a DARPA grant to collect oral histories from seminal computer science researchers, with a focus on capturing the essence of what the environment offered to enable greatness; Kay is in the process of establishing a modern-day, yet PARC-like, corporate research lab; and both have given deep thought to what needs to be environmentally present for great research ideas to blossom. Alan Kay finds it ironic that this discussion on creative greatness should take place in an institution with a dress code. That the Metropolitan Club requires gentlemen to wear a jacket and tie hardly guarantees that all who pass through its doors demonstrate elegance. The Metropolitan Club is, he notes, erroneously conflating rules and principles, goals and vision. Elegance might be the vision, but Kay fit within the rules by wearing a polo shirt beneath his jacket, sneakers on his feet, and a bowtie snarkily constructed to look like a $100 bill beneath his chin. Purposefully nonelegant, by his own admission. Rules get in the way, believes Kay, both in terms of advancing the Metropolitan Club’s goal of being a classy establishment and in terms of computer science’s quest for intellectual creativity. The research community—corporate, academic, and governmental—has come to commit its own semantic offense by conflating invention with innovation. Following Kay’s lead, invention will be used here to signify great work at the level of basic principles and science (funding category 6.1), while innovation will refer to applied research (6.2), and engineering will connote technological development and productization (6.3). All three matter greatly to technological progress, but a single invention can spur a multitude of innovations and engineering outcomes. Inventions, however, take time. Today’s dominant corporations—Kay singles out Google and Amazon—are doing phenomenal innovation and engineering, but they are not inventing. In fact, most of today’s great innovations are traceable to inventions of the ARPA/PARC era. Apple’s iPhone and subsequent iPad, reminds Kay as a case in point, are instantiations of his 1968 Dynabook; and Licklider and Taylor sketched out the basics of Siri in the same Apollo-era year. As Judy Estrin proposed in her 2008 book Closing the Innovation Gap, perhaps the natural ebb and flow of the intellectual tide features periods rich in scientific invention followed by periods of productive gain from those gems in the form of engineering-backed innovation. Steven Cherry reminds that this is the pattern that the industrial-era transportation sector displayed with the invention of the steam engine preceding by decades its transformative use in the steamboat and railroad. Might such cycles simply be playing out in computer science? And, if so, will this pattern suffice? Kleinrock believes not: Big problems for society loom—problems that merit new concepts in computer science. Kay also is not sanguine about settling with any single form of thinking and problem solving. Society should not be restricted, for it is through diversity that progress comes. Yet, diversity does not come of its own accord. Research requires funding, and funding dollars arrive when granting agencies and corporate decision-makers accept proposals; that is how science proceeds. The criteria for acceptance are, therefore paramount in determining the ideas that see the light of day. As noted, Licklider and Taylor both saw the merit of investing in specific researchers, rather than projects, and then setting them free with an ample timeline and adequate albeit not a torrential outpouring of funds. This is the model that Vannevar Bush laid out in a report requested by President Franklin Roosevelt, when World War II was still raging, to develop the science that could raise the country to new heights, and these were the principles on which ARPA, and specifically the IPTO, was eventually formed in 1963. Kleinrock and those telling their stories in his oral-history project all repeat the same mantra: The ARPA leadership—people who were scientists in their own right (note that both Licklider and Taylor were psychologists, not engineers), purposefully drew to themselves inspirational researchers as program managers, people with a strong knowledge of the researchers best suited to take each project to the next level. The leadership delegated authority to the researchers, granting them not only funds but—of equal importance—the freedom and latitude to be creative. ARPA researchers were expected to debate openly and feed off of one another’s ideas, all with a collaborative spirit of enthusiastic creation. The culture of the time was one of equals: A good idea merited attention, whether initiated by a graduate student or a professor. This was in the days before computer science departments would spring up on university campuses like dandelions in May. Graduate students and professors alike had backgrounds that ranged from electrical engineering to physics, and math to psychology and beyond; common among them, however, was deep study in “really hard fields,” recalls Kay. He and Kleinrock remember everyone involved working toward a shared vision, but from different angles, relieving the threat of unhealthy competition while producing an outpouring of great things. The expectation was that seven years was quite a reasonable span for an idea to mature. Contrast that bygone research environment to today’s. Now computer science programs have created, if not a monoculture, then at least a common framework for thought—a framework that produces a jobready workforce, but not one that generates rogue thought and enthusiastic intellectual excursions into the unknown. Combine an established course of study with the short-termism that pervades the business climate and has leaked into the governmental funding mindset, and there exist three strikes against inventive research: no time, no self-directed impetus, and no multiplicity of intellectual discussion or percolation to stimulate truly new ideas that bubble up to become recognized as such. The role of graduate students has devolved into one of churning out papers for their professors, rather than doing creative research on problems that capture their imagination. Kleinrock bemoans not only the loss for the current generation of graduate students, but also for those they will train up as their own future group members once they rise to fill faculty slots; after all, it is only natural to perpetuate one’s own experience as normal and good, even if unknowingly intellectually barren. Arriving from an orthogonal direction—the U.S. Congress—came an additional arrow in the heart of computer science research that struck in the form of the 1973 Mansfield Amendment to the then-existing Military Authorization Act, which forbid the granting of Department of Defense funds—including ARPA’s—to any project that lacked direct military applicability. This law could well be the singular stroke that pivoted ARPA from being in the business of having researchers devise their own problems to ARPA itself defining the research problems for which researchers would than vie to take on. Licklider, who had then regained the helm of IPTO, felt this wound deeply but had no legal tools to heal it. It was not that Licklider had lost his vision, but rather that he was forcibly constrained from carrying it out in the post-Mansfield Amendment period. As time has passed, the perversion of the original vision has only deepened, with today’s program managers too often confusing “being responsible for being in control,” says Kay. That is, program managers, who now tend to be bureaucrats, rather than scientists, exert detrimental control. Kay condemns this shift in idea origination as “defining a dress code for minds”: No tie, no jacket—no moolah. Or, as Kleinrock states, it is as if ARPA had requested proposals from researchers prepared to deliver 2 bits-per-second to the foxhole, defined along a tight timeline, rather than the much more loosely defined request for researchers ready to take on the task of building an Internet. If anything, the intellectual culture of defense funding has deteriorated further in the interim. The Pentagon has funds available, but only for short stints; internal oversight involves monthly review of existing projects, making it impossible to consider anything requiring time-consuming deep thought and exploration. Challenges to inventiveness come not only top–down, but permeate society more generally. Kleinrock sees the availability of computing as a notable culprit in its own right. It has become an ever-present crutch that invites shallow thinking. Today, students in the sciences, including computer science, build a model, do a simulation, and present an answer without doing important work of understanding what it all means, or—alarmingly often—even considering whether a numerical result is of a proper order of magnitude. Questioning why comes as an afterthought, if it arises at all. In some quarters, brainstorming substitutes for creativity, but the sheen of a quick idea often fades with time. Kay endorses writing down ideas as they bubble up, but then setting them aside; if the same idea continues to resurface, then perhaps it is worth pursuing. Kay notes that highly creative people are, by definition, full of ideas; most don’t go anywhere, but those that stand the test of time can yield greatness. Kay and Kleinrock do not have the market cornered on ideas for fostering the next generation of basic computer scientists or, more generally, deep thinkers in any field—or across many fields. Other participants in this discussion on the Seeds of Innovation offer contributions of their own. One extends Kleinrock’s worry about pervasive computing to children’s game play, noting that kids increasingly interact with their screens rather than with one another and their own imaginations devoid of the constraints of a preordained game environment. “Kids aren’t doing free play anymore,” says this individual, suggesting that tomorrow’s scientists are losing the capacity for self-driven creative thought and action. This is not to say that the broad benefits that computing confers should, as a matter of principle, be shelved. One participant singles out the sheer utility of Wikipedia as an enabler, noting that it is a quick-and-easy means to fill in voids in knowledge and serve as a jumping off point for further inquiry. Moreover, computing platforms and networks create opportunities that would be impossible otherwise. For instance, suggests a participant, the block chain protocol that underpins the BitCoin spec could disintermediate entire industries if it catches on. Beyond these, Kay offers the reminder that new horizons remain. The problems of the 1960s and 1970s retain much yet to solve, and new unexplored problems await identification. What, then, is needed to transform today’s ecology of inhibited ecology of risk, reward, and potential into one with the vibrancy of yesteryear to capture the inventive spirit of today’s smartest scientists and technologists? To put this into context, Kay recalls the terminology that encapsulated the grand scope that Licklider had for the Internet from its onset. He dubbed it that “intergalactic network,” recognizing that the Internet would eventually be trimmed down to being merely “galactic,” and that would be good enough. Licklider—and the researchers he set free with ARPA funding—also recognized that big thinking unavoidably involves failures and setbacks, but these are best considered, in a literal sense, a cost of doing business. Costs, of course, matter, yet even during PARC’s heyday Xerox was only investing a fraction of one percent of its R&D budget into PARC itself. In today’s dollars, this amounted to an annual budget of perhaps $10M. The payoff? On the order of $1T from the laser printer alone, although Xerox failed to commercialize many of its other spectacular achievements, which Kay numbers as 9.5 (laser printer, networked personal computer, bitmap screen, GUI, WYSIWYG and desktop publishing, dynamic object-oriented programming (via Smalltalk), Ethernet, peer-to-peer and client–server architectures, PostScript, and the half contribution the invention of the Internet in the form of PUP (PARC Universal Packet), a nonadopted alternative to TCP/IP. Even for the laser printer, return on investment did not occur overnight, but it did occur, which is a lesson today’s corporations should take to heart. Kay uses the language of finance to better connect with business interests he seeks to sway toward doing invention-level science. The concept of portfolio investment proves a rich analogy. Businesspeople recognize the potential payoff from investing a portion of resources into very high-risk projects; not every bet will be a winner, but the gains from the fraction that succeeds more than makes up for the losses from the remainder. The MIT Media Lab, another go-big-or-go-home research environment, similarly invites creativity from its researchers. There, the annual budget is $40–50M, which is spread out over the Lab’s various corporate sponsors and therefore is like a drop in the funding budget for each. Research is an incredible corporate investment, if done right. And one corporation is. As previously noted, Kay is currently involved in developing a research lab for an unnamed corporation of significant stature. Following in the footsteps of Licklider and Taylor, Kay, having been handed adequate funding for each of two years to recruit the collection of top young researchers he believes most capable of fulfilling his vision of tackling the big problems in communications, whether between people and people, people and software, or software and systems; the goal is to “make communications qualitatively better.” Beginning one year ago, Kay began setting up this so-called invention lab in an attempt to bring some properties from the ARPA/PARC model into the present. Past successful properties—such as the use of visions and considering the type of people to fund—are straightforwardly transportable through time, but to follow suit with others presents new challenges, notably identifying the best of the talent pool. PARC had the pick of the proverbial litter by drawing on the ARPA/IPTO community for young PhDs who were already infused with ARPA vision of interactive computing and pervasive networking. Kay shares some of his challenges and successes to date: Today there are people just as talented and productive—and maybe even more so—as in the past, although as the ranks of people pursuing advanced degrees in computer science, the true stand-outs represent a smaller percentage of recent graduates. Equally relevant, corporate research centers can attract these individuals with the right kinds of freedoms, funding, visions, and the ability to share their work with those outside the research center. Kay notes that PARC faced this same set of obstacles and successfully resolved then; they can, he believes, also be resolved today. The budgets of ambitious research centers are now—as then—quite low, because very high-quality researchers are still quite rare. Yet, as PARC demonstrated, even with a spare headcount, much can be accomplished; recall that PARC did most of its inventions with roughly 25 principal researchers, along with students and a modest support staff. Kay has every reason to expect reason an organization of a similar size to be every bit as effective today. A typical burdened headcount for an internal "futures organization" would be on the order of 40 people, or about $8M–$10M dollars annually. Even the smallest Fortune 500 companies—those with perhaps $5B in revenues—could easily afford this 0.2% investment; larger organizations—whether corporate or, say, divisions of the Department of Defense—would find it even easier to devote a few million per year toward funding an invention lab. Most companies, in fact, would say they have something like this, but a key component is missing. The key to making this work is to find and tolerate a small yet select group of very different kinds of highly trained people, rather than trying to pull one together from the already hired highly trained employees who are adept at meeting the shorter term needs of the company. It is this latter error in thinking that causes most companies to fail when they try to do establish a lab. Instead, they should embrace the diversity of abilities needed for invention, just as they do for their other processes: They need to find those who have “ability to invent fruitful futures.” References mentioned by speakers and participants: http://www.ttivanguard.com/regionalmeetings/dcregionalhighlights.pdf Robert Charette, Alan Kay, and Len Kleinrock, Innovation in Big Organizations is Hard But Not Impossible, TTI/Vanguard Regional Meeting, Washington, D.C., May 2014 Donald Brown (1991): Human Universals. http://www.nsf.gov/od/lpa/nsf50/vbush1945.htm — Full text of Bush, Vannevar. 1945. Science: The Endless Frontier. http://u-tx.net/ccritics/as-we-may-think.html — Full text of The Atlantic article: Bush, Vannevar. 1945. As we may think. Judith Estrin (2008): Closing the Innovation Gap. http://www.kurzweilai.net/memorandum-for-members-and-affiliates-of-the-intergalactic-computernetwork — Full text of Licklider, J.C.R. 1963. Memorandum for members and affiliates of the Intergalactic Computer Network. http://memex.org/licklider.pdf — Full text of two seminal papers: Licklider, J.C.R. 1960. Man–computer symbiosis. LIcklider, J.C.R., and R.W. Taylor. 1968. The computer as a communications device.
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz