Sociodemographic Diversity, Correlated Achievement, and De Facto Tracking Author(s): Samuel R. Lucas and Mark Berends Source: Sociology of Education, Vol. 75, No. 4 (Oct., 2002), pp. 328-348 Published by: American Sociological Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3090282 Accessed: 08/07/2009 12:29 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=asa. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit organization founded in 1995 to build trusted digital archives for scholarship. We work with the scholarly community to preserve their work and the materials they rely upon, and to build a common research platform that promotes the discovery and use of these resources. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. American Sociological Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Sociology of Education. http://www.jstor.org Sociodemographic Diversity, Correlated Achievement, and De Facto Tracking Samuel R. Lucas Universityof California-Berkeley Mark Berends VanderbiltUniversity De facto tracking-the association between students' courses in disparate subjects, regardless of the decline of institutional mechanisms that organized de jure tracking-is a contested feature of secondary schools. Some analysts imply that de facto tracking arises simply because students who do well in one area often do well in other areas. Other analysts contend that pronounced tracking systems maintain racial, ethnic, and social-class segregation and thus that de facto tracking is driven, in part, by the sociodemographic composition of schools. This article investigates the school-level correlates of de facto tracking. An analysisof data from High School and Beyond suggests that the higher the correlation between students' achievements in different domains, the more pronounced the de facto tracking. However, racial-ethnic and socioeconomic diversity are also positively associated with de facto tracking, even though the achievement correlation is controlled. These findings suggest that de facto tracking may be maintained by both technical and demographic aspects of schools, both of which must be considered in any evaluation of tracking. -~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ he basis of contemporary tracking is contested. Some analysts have noted that tracking allows the formation of homogeneous groups based on students' achievement and that such groups are easier to teach (e.g., Hallinan 1994a, 1994b). For these analysts, tracking is best understood as a technical pedagogical device. Others, however, have contended that tracking inescapably involves racial, ethnic, and class segregation (e.g., Oakes 1994a, 1994b). Forthese D = analysts, the sociodemographic composition of schools is the primary basis for the maintenance of tracking systems. It is well known that researchon the correlates of students' track placement has routinely revealed important associations between placement and students' socioeconomic status and race-ethnicity (e.g., Gamoran and Mare 1989; Lucas and Gamoran 2002). However, such individuallevel analyses do not speak to the debate about systems of tracking directly.This arti- Sociology of Education 2002, Vol. 75 (October): 328-348 328 De Facto Tracking 329 F m cle addresses the school-level correlates of tracking systems, in an effort to assess whether the contours of students' achievement, their sociodemographic characteristics, both, or neither actually undergird the tracking systems of schools. Researchers have documented the existence of school-level variation in tracking systems (Garet and DeLany 1988; Oakes 1985), linked that variation to students' outcomes (Gamoran 1992), and suggested a relationship between students' sociodemographic characteristics and tracking systems (Braddock 1990; Lucas 1999). However, the Braddock and Lucas studies did not control for the distributionof student achievement, a competing explanation for the structure of track systems. Thus, it remains unclear whether the apparent association between sociodemographic characteristics and the degree of tracking is spurious. Hence, despite the documented schoollevel variation in tracking systems and the known importance of features of tracking systems for students' achievement, the factors underlying variation in tracking systems remain unclear. In this article, we examine the factors underlying tracking systems in U.S. secondary schools. Before we pursue this task, however, we must navigate a more fundamental dilemma, a dilemma forged in an emerging conflict over how to define tracking itself. We can identify two polar perspectives on the definition of tracking. On one side are those who regard curriculum differentiation-the division of a constructed intellectualfield into distinct courses of instruction-as tracking. Such analysts view dividing mathematics into arithmetic, geometry, algebra, and calculus or dividing English into teenage fiction, the American novel, and comparative literatureas tracking (e.g., Loveless 1999; Wheelock 1992). On the other side are those who contend that curriculum differentiation is not tracking. For these analysts, tracking exists when there is an association between the level of courses that students take in two subjects or when there is an association between the level of courses that students take in the same subject over time (e.g., Lucas 1999). Such analysts argue that curriculumdifferen- tiation is a necessary condition for tracking, but not a sufficient one. In short, for the latter analysts, a school with curriculum differentiation may or may not be a tracked school; for the former analysts, a school with curriculum differentiationis a tracked school. These two polar positions have implications for the research questions that analysts will ask, as well as the data that researchers will collect. And because the researchwe pursue herein makes more sense under one of these two views of trackingthan it does under the other, we discuss the definitions directly, rather than leave our definition implicit. Hence, in this article we describe the definitional disagreement concerning tracking. Afterward,we explain the position we take in this article and our reasoning as well. Afterarticulatingour definition of tracking, we turn to the primary focus of the article, namely, assessing the two focal explanations for tracking in the literature-students' achievement, on the one hand, and students' sociodemographic characteristics, on the other. In this discussion, we outline the logic underlying each explanation. Then, after describing our methods, we present the results of our analysis and conclude with a discussion of the implications of our findings for the substantive understanding of tracking. In studying tracking systems, a foundational issue concerns the important question of what is tracking; hence, it is to that question that we now turn. DEFININGTRACKINGFOR U.S. RESEARCH Identifying Trackingin the Context of TraditionalSystems Priorto the mid-1960s, a small set of overarching programs existed at the high school level (e.g., Cicourel and Kitsuse1963; Conant 1967; Hollingshead 1949). On entering high school, students were assigned to one of these mutually exclusive programs that determined their course taking for the three or four years of high school. Under this regime, schools seemed to 330 3 Berends Lucas and allow little mobility across tracks (Rosenbaum 1976). Furthermore, the institutionalization of track assignment should have constrained students' course taking across subjects on the basis of their track assignments.1 In such an environment, analysts may have come to regard a school with curriculum differentiation as a school that tracked students. Indeed, the tendency at the time to see schools as tracked if they differentiated the curriculum was not inconsistent with what appears to have been the on-the-ground reality, in that access to courses was routinely governed by assignment to track positions. In that context, distinguishing between curriculum differentiation and tracking, for all its analytic accuracy, may have made no difference. now able to take courses of different levels in different subjects. Indeed, this appears to be more than an analytic possibility because Lucas (1999) found that the association between mathematics and English implied that three-quartersof students take courses of different levels. But an association between students' courses in disparate subjects was also evident. A nonzero association is consistent with de facto tracking. Thus, it appears that there is more flexibility in course taking while de facto tracking remains. In these circumstances, it is imperative to distinguish between curriculumdifferentiationand tracking. Identifying Tracking After the Unremarked Revolution This article does not address tracking priorto the unremarked revolution, but afterward students appear still to be tracked. However, the mechanisms of tracking may be much more subtle than in the past. Clearly, the extent to which students' course taking is constrained by institutionalized overarching programs has greatly diminished (Carey, Farris,and Carpenter 1994; Oakes 1981). If analysts continue to study schools through the lens formed prior to the dramatic transformation in school practice, they will be searching for schools with a differentiated curriculum.And they will find such schools in abundance because the differentiated curriculum is still the dominant form of pedagogical organization in secondary schools in the United States (e.g., Carey et al. 1994). However, analysts who equate curriculum differentiationwith tracking not only will find tracking on a massive scale but, because of the poor resolution of the old lens in the new reality,will also likelymiss more subtle schoolto-school variation in the arrangement of tracking systems. By equating all schools with a differentiated curriculum, they will be unable to discern the factors associated with variation in how the differentiatedcurriculum plays out. In short, they will miss the varying occurrence of de facto tracking. At the national level, analysts have found a connection in students' course taking across subjects (Lucas 1999). But investigation of Yet, research now suggests that this traditional system of tracking was dramaticallytransformed in the late 1960s and early 1970s. During that period, many urban school systems seem to have retreated from assigning students to mutually exclusive all-determinative overarching programs. Instead, their students enrolled in courses in different subjects, and the courses were vertically differentiated (Moore and Davenport 1988). Lucas (1999, p. 1) termed this transformation the unremarked revolution in school practice, in that "its occurrence has been noted but its implications . .. have been incompletely recognized." One unrecognized implication is that a school with curriculum differentiation may have neither de facto nor de jure tracking. De jure tracking exists when schools have registration procedures that assign students to overarching programs that determine their course taking in academic subjects. And de facto tracking exists when, absent such institutional procedures, students' levels of study in disparate subjects remain associated. Thus, after the unremarked revolution, curriculum differentiation may or may not eventuate in de facto tracking. Surely, the differentiated curriculum continues to exist. But, in principle, students are Studying Variation in Tracking Systems De Facto Tracking i the school-level correlates of these factors has barely begun, and it is just such investigation that is needed to assess comparatively the competing explanations for the maintenance of tracking systems in the United States. Such investigation can occur only if analysts are willing to draw an analytic distinction between curriculumdifferentiationand tracking, a distinction that research suggests is consistent with the lived experience of students in schools. 331 Trackingand Sociodemographic Composition An alternative understanding of tracking systems is based, in part, on the history of tracking. Trackingarose in concert with the expansion of educational systems, the promulgation of compulsoryschooling, and the construction of comprehensive schools. Documents suggest that in many locales, advocates of compulsory schooling aimed at forcing immigrantchildren into state-run institutionsin which they could be socialized or, in the word of the time, Americanized(e.g., Kelley1903; Massachusetts PEDAGOGICAL AND Teacher 1851/1974). Yet, a serious debate POLITICAL PERSPECTIVES raged as to what to do with these new students once they were deposited at the schoolhouse door. What emerged was the differentiatedcurTracking and Correlated Achievement riculum, which prepared some students for higher education and others for (at best) other Students of like achievement levels are often opportunities(e.g., Kliebard1987). grouped for instruction. Grouping students Recent critics of tracking have drawn on for instruction on the basis of prior achieve- this history to maintain that contemporary ment may facilitate learning in many ways. tracking, especially in public schools, is based For example, with such grouping, it may be on an ideology of paternalism and a brazen possible for teachers to fine-tune instructional desire to maintain class and racial segregaapproaches to students' different levels and tion. For example, in her Sociology of types of prior knowledge and may facilitate Education exchange with Hallinan (1994a, the teaching task by reducing the range of 1994b) Oakes (1994a, 1994b), drawing on students to which teachers must orient at any the historical evidence just mentioned, suggiven time. gested that a race-coded hierarchycontinues For these potential advantages to be real- to reinforce stereotypes and perpetuate disized, however, assignments must be made on advantage. She maintained that continuing the basis of prior achievement in the relevant political support for tracking appears to have subject. Ostensibly it is possible to do so, for many of the same motivations that charactercurriculum differentiation in secondary ized the inception of tracking. schools allows students to be sorted for math according to their priorachievement in math, Evidence to be sorted for English according to their Existing Some claim that de facto tracking may be the prior achievement in English, and so on. Note, however, that students' achievement inadvertent result of defensible pedagogical in different subjects is associated. Thus, if stu- practice. Others contend that de facto trackdents enroll in levels of course work owing to ing is associated with the racial and class their levels of achievement in each subject, it composition of the school. Research has is possible they will find themselves in similar shown an association between sociodemolevels of courses for different subjects because graphic school composition and the tracking their achievements in different subjects are system. Braddock(1990) found that the mix associated. Therefore,even when subject-spe- of black and white students in the school is cific achievement is the only determinant of associated with more pronounced tracking. placements, the association between stu- Lucas (1999) found that schools with more dents' prior achievement in different subjects socioeconomic diversity had a higher associacan create a de facto tracking system. tion between students' courses in math and 332 English. These studies suggested that demographic composition matters. Despite these findings, however, the debate as to whether tracking systems are based in correlated achievement or demographics remains unresolved.2 Although evidence suggests that tracking is more pronounced in racially and socioeconomically diverse schools, it is possible that it may be so because achievementmay be more variable in those schools, and the correlation between achievement in different domains may be more pronounced in such schools as well. If so, the true basis of researchers'observations may be achievement variation and covariation. Hence, to assess the thesis that sociodemographic composition matters, it is necessary to control for the correlation between students' levels of priorachievement in different domains. Furthermore,researchershave yet to assess both class and racial-ethnicdiversity simultaneously. The effect of racial-ethnic diversity may actually be zero if the key factor underlying de facto tracking is class ratherthan race. Or the effect of socioeconomic diversity may be zero once racial-ethnic diversity is controlled. Thus, simultaneously investigating the role of social class and racial-ethnicdiversity is essential to determining just what, if anything, is the sociodemographic factor that matters. This article addresses the questions just posed. However, note that the larger frame encompassing our consideration of demographic correlates of de facto tracking was forged by the evidence suggesting that political interests and potential mobilization around tracking issues are linked to the sociodemographic composition of schools (e.g., Wells and Serna 1996). It is worthwhile to keep this largerframe in mind. But we hasten to add that although these larger issues framed our analysis, our analysis could not assess whether political action lies behind de facto tracking. Indeed, ethnographies and research using in-depth interviews may be better suited to that task. Nevertheless, the analysis could assess whether sociodemographic composition is associated with de facto tracking once competing explanations are simultaneously considered; this is a task Lucas and Berends 3 that is particularlywell suited to statistical analysis. Thus, although further research will be needed to assess fully the links among sociodemographic composition, political mobilization, and de facto tracking, this research remains useful, for we assessed whether sociodemographic composition matters once competing explanations are considered. Before we search for mechanisms through which sociodemographic composition may matter, it is imperative to assess whether, on balance, sociodemographic composition matters at all. At this point, the literature is suggestive, but a major competing explanation-correlated achievement-has not been simultaneously considered. This article takes this step and thus provides important substantive knowledge about, as well as the groundwork for further study of, the mechanisms by which de facto tracking is maintained in the United States. METHODSOF ANALYSIS We used data from High School and Beyond's (HS&B)base year (data collected 1980), first follow-up (1982), high school transcript (1983), and administrators' and teachers' (1982) surveys. The unit of analysis for our study was the school, and because students' placements were drawn from data in the transcripts, the study was dependent on the 975 schools that completed the transcripts surveys. Of these 975 schools, 948 had nonmissing data on the dependent variable, and thus these 948 schools served as the sample for this study. We used HS&Binstead of the more recent National EducationLongitudinalStudy of 1988 (NELS)data, primarilybecause HS&Ballowed us to make inferencesto and about the school. Incontrastto HS&B,the NELShigh school sample did not constitute a nationallyrepresentative sample of high schools, nor did the students in any given high school sample constitute a probabilitysample of the students in the high school (Ingels et al. 1998). Under these conditions, we deemed it inappropriateto use informationabout the student sample to make inferencesabout the schools. De Facto Tracking m Data Independent variables, all of which were measured in the 10th grade, are described in the Appendix. A more detailed discussion is needed, however, of our indicators of racialethnic diversity. The racial landscape of the United States is changing, such that now (if not earlier) it is advisable, when possible, to include more than just blacks and whites in the analytic picture. The multiplicityof identifiable and potentially salient racial-ethnic groups only increases both the number of ways one may measure diversityand the controversies that attend any measurement strategy. In our study, we used two sets of indicators of racial-ethnic diversity. To construct the measures of diversity, we used principals' reports of the racial composition of the school. Principals' reports are advantageous because a sample of only 36 or 72 students may not include some relatively rare racialethnic groups (such as Native Americans)and thus would lead one to underestimate the degree of racial-ethnic diversity in some schools. The HS&B principals' questionnaire asked about the percentage of students in the school who were white, black, Latino/Latina, Asian, and Native American. These five groups were used in calculating both sets of measures of racial-ethnicdiversity. One set of measures reflects the number of different racial groups in the school. The more groups there are, the more racially diverse the school is, all else equal. We used a set of dummy variables in the models to capture this dimension of diversity, which we regard as capturing the presence of racial-ethnic diversity. The second measure we used was the index of racial dispersion (Brewster 1994). This index provides a comparable measure of racial diversity for different schools even though some schools have more racialgroups than do others. This index ranges from zero, for schools with no racial diversity (schools with only one racial-ethnic group), to 1 for schools with several groups represented in equal measure (see the Appendix for a formal explication of the calculation of this index). Essentially, schools with one numerically 333 dominant group and one or two "token" groups obtain low scores on this index. In contrast, schools with a more nearly equal distribution of students across two or more racial-ethnic groups obtain high scores. We refer to this index as capturing the incidence of racial-ethnicdiversity. Both the presence and incidence of diversity are important to study because both may be important determinants of de facto tracking. On the one hand, heightened de facto tracking may be associated with the mere presence of more groups in the school. On the other hand, relative proportions of different groups may be most relevant for tracking systems. Because we are aware of no research on the correlates of track systems that has gone beyond the issue of black-white diversity, we investigated both dimensions of racialethnic diversity. The second important construct concerns the correlation between students' achievement in pairs of domains in each school. We used this variable to control for a potentially confounding variable and to assess whether de facto tracking is connected to the contours of students' achievement. Other control variables in the analysis included the natural log of school size, sector, urbanicity, and the mean and variance of achievement in specific domains. The dependent variablewas a count of the number of students in a school who occupied the same level of courses for both Subject A and Subject B in the 1 1th grade (see the next section for an explanation of these subjects). We used subject-specific versions of Lucas's (1990, 1999) course-based indicators (CBIs) of track location. These CBIswere constructed from the HS&Btranscript data and classified students into six categories: none, remedial, business or vocational, lower college prep, regular college prep, and elite college prep (for more details on this measure, see Lucas 1999). The dependent variablewas the count of students who were in the same level of courses in Subject A and B in grade 11.3 The dependent variable was measured in grade 11 because measures of prior achievement were obtained for grade 10. Using a grade 11 measure as the dependent variable means that all independent variables were 334 33 measured immediately and clearly before the dependent variable was measured.4 Plan of Analysis We conducted two separateanalyses;what distinguishes them is the definition of Subject A and Subject B. In the first analysis, Subject A was math and Subject B was English;thus, the focus was on math and Englishonly. These are arguablythe centralsubjects in the curriculum, and thus considering them in particular is important. In the second analysis, Subject A and Subject B were any two of the following four academic subjects: mathematics, English, social studies, and science. Hence, six different course combinations were investigated to determine whether the findings from the first analysisgeneralizeacrossthe academic curriculum. Neither analysis included placement in foreign language study or "nonacademic" subjects, such as physical education, computer programming, and home economics. Some of these subjects may provide key gatekeeping functions in secondary schools (e.g., Alexander,Cook, and McDill 1978), but there are no test scores for these subjects in HS&B. Because a key competing explanation for the existence of de facto tracking is that students are placed in similar levels across different subjects because students who do well in one subject do well in other subjects, it was necessary to confine the study to subjects for which data on test scores were available. Finally,the analysisfocused on placement in pairs of subjects. There is at least one other approach one could follow. Given the four academic subjects, one could analyze the proportion of students in the same level of courses acrossall four subjects. However,with the small school-specific sample sizes available in the HS&B data (the mean within-school sample size is 12.3 students), such an analysiswould likelyunderstatethe presence of de facto tracking and distortthe estimation of its correlates. Models The aim was to investigate whether the proportion of students in the same level of courses is associated with school-level factors. The ua and n Berends eed Lucas negative binomial regression model is one of a class of models that allow investigation of this question under conditions of different sample sizes within schools (Long 1997). The negative binomial regression model for the incidence of same-level course taking is specified as ez k+ Os "+ 6(1- e ?k) where Ys represents the number of students in school s who are in the same level for math and English, Os represents the number of students sampled in school s in math and English, Rk represents a coefficient capturing the association of school-level variablexk with the incidence of same-level course taking, xsk represents independent variables measured on each school for math and English, and 6 represents an overdispersion parameter (Hardinand Hilbe 2001). Note that this model is essentially a Poisson regression model with an extra parameter, 6. This parameter relaxes the restrictive assumption of Poisson regression that the mean of the dependent variable equals the variance of the dependent variable.The parameter allows the variance to be larger than the mean, and one perspective views 6 as a parameter capturing unmeasured sources of heterogeneity. If 6 is statisticallysignificant, it indicates that the negative binomial regression model is a more appropriate model for the data. In such a situation, were one to use a Poisson model instead, one would underestimate the standard errors. Note also that Os represents the students in the sample for whom there were valid data on their tracks for the subjects under study (i.e., the students who could possibly be observed in the same level for both subjects). In this model, Os is entered as a covariate whose coefficient is constrained to equal 1. Doing so transformsthe model of counts into a model of rates (Yamaguchi 1991). The foregoing describes the model for the first analysis,the analysisof math and English. In the first analysis, each school contributes only one instance. For the second analysis, however, each school contributes six De Facto Tracking i instances, one for each course combination. Moreover, the instances are interdependent because each subject area is involved in three of the six cases for each school. Under these conditions, we could not use the usual model without modification because the standard errors would be underestimated. A common approach to the problem posed by nonindependence of observations is to calculate Huber/White(or sandwich) standard errorsto account for the clustering of cases. Thus, in the second analysis, we present Huber/White standard errors (Huber 1967). Finally, the debate about the role of sociodemographic composition has focused primarily on public schools. Private schools are much more able to alter their sociodemographic composition than are public schools. Furthermore, parents of private school students may more easily use mechanisms (e.g., voice, exit) to react to undesirable features of the school (e.g., Chubb and Moe 1988). These factors make it likelythat the cross-sectional relationship between de facto tracking and sociodemographic factors will differ for public and private schools. Hence, we estimated models separately for public and private schools. 335 tracking. Note also that in Model 2, the presence of racial-ethnic diversity is associated with de facto tracking; the association appears curvilinearin that schools with 2, 3, and 4 racial-ethnicgroups have higher levels of de facto tracking than do schools with 1 group or 5 groups. Once both indicators of racial-ethnic diversity are included, the incidence of racial-ethnic diversity is no longer associated with de facto tracking, but the presence of diversity is. Controlling for the association between math and English achievement (Model 4) does not change the relationsfound in Model 3. Indeed, the correlation between achievement and de facto tracking is not statistically significant in Model 4. However, once urbanicity is added as a control in Model 5, the achievement correlation is statisticallysignificant. The higher the association between students' prior achievement in math and English,the greater the level of de facto tracking in the school. Model 6 adds controls for the mean and variance of achievement in Englishand math. Adding these controls greatly reduces the coefficient for mean socioeconomic status, and it is no longer statistically significant. However, the coefficient for the correlation between math and English achievement remains statistically significant. Thus, it RESULTS appears that one basis for de facto tracking is the similarityof students' achievement levels Math and English in different domains. Math and English are central subjects in the Yet, the coefficients for socioeconomic high school curriculum and the transition to diversity and for two, as opposed to one, college and postcollegiate institutions. Thus, racial-ethnicgroup are essentially unchanged the role of racial-ethnic and socioeconomic and remain statistically significant in the diversity in structuringthe provision of math- move from Model 5 to Model 6. Thus, even ematics and English instruction is, in itself, the model with the most extensive set of conimportant. The results from six models of de trols continues to provide evidence that one facto tracking in math and English in public basis for de facto tracking is the diversity of schools are presented in Table 1. Models 1, 2, students' social backgrounds. With respect to and 3 include only school size and variables social class, the more socioeconomically that capture the socioeconomic composition diverse the student body, the more proand racial-ethnic diversity. They differ in the nounced de facto tracking appears to be. And with respect to race-ethnicity, schools with specification concerning racialdiversity. Across Models 1-3, socioeconomic diversi- two racial-ethnicgroups appear to have more ty is associated with higher levels of de facto pronounced de facto tracking than do monotracking in math/English. When the incidence racialschools. of racial-ethnic diversity is considered alone, The foregoing concerned public schools. it, too, is positively associated with de facto Table 2 reestimates the six models on private Lucas and Berends Berends Lucas and 336 336 Table 1. Correlatesof the Incidenceof Students Enrollingin the Same Levelof Math and English, Grade 11: Public Schools (N = 841 schools; standard error below the coefficient) Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model S Model 6 Intercept -1.562a 0.241 -1.764a 0.249 -1.712a 0.252 -1.883a 0.265 -1.669a 0.290 -1.718a 0.289 Ln(schoolsize) 0.023 0.034 0.038 0.035 0.029 0.036 0.032 0.036 0.004 0.039 0.007 0.039 Socioeconomic diversity 0.195a 0.073 0.197a 0.073 0.193a 0.073 0.187a 0.073 0.187a 0.073 0.1 72a 0.073 Mean socioeconomic status 0.281 a 0.064 0.242a 0.061 0.275a 0.065 0.265a 0.065 0.265a 0.067 0.100 0.083 Index of racialdiversity A). II (W OAa 0.134 0.089 0.135 0.089 0.121 0.090 0.174 0.091 0.207a 0.078 0.1 72a 0.082 0.175a 0.082 0.183a 0.082 0.181a 0.081 0.208a 0.081 0.171a 0.086 0.172a 0.086 0.167 0.086 0.165 0.086 0.206a 0.082 0.157 0.088 0.154 0.089 0.146 0.089 0.139 0.089 0.007 0.096 -0.045 0.102 -0.043 0.102 -0.051 0.102 -0.061 0.102 0.225 0.115 0.229a 0.114 0.259a 0.124 0.045 0.057 0.056 0.057 -0.075 0.057 -0.082 0.057 - C).082 2 racial-ethnicgroups (versusl) - 3 racial-ethnicgroups (versus1) 4 racial-ethnicgroups (versus1) 5 racial-ethnicgroups - (versus) Achievementcorrelation ~- Urbanversussuburban -~- Ruralversussuburban ~ 0.108a 0.042 Math achievement mean -0.009 0.042 Englishachievement mean 0.004 0.015 Math achievement variance -0.010 0.011 Englishachievement variance Dispersionparameter Log-likelihood 0.057a 0.018 -1641.5 0.052a 0.018 -1635.7 0.048a 0.018 0.050a 0.018 -1633.8 -1631.6 0.046a 0.017 -1630.0 0.040a 0.017 -1622.4 a Coefficientis discerniblydifferentfrom zero at or below a = .05. schools alone. The most striking feature to notice is that in all six models, only one substantive independent variable is statistically significant. The statistically significant independent variable is the correlation between students' level of achievement in Englishand math, and even this is true only in Model 6. It is interesting that Model 6 has more controls than any other, and as one may expect, the standard error for the achievement correlation coefficient is the largest in that model. Yet, the achievement correlation coefficient is also nominally larger in Model 6 than in any other model, making it the only factor for De Facto Tracking i 337 Table 2. Correlatesof the Incidenceof Students Enrollingin the Same Levelof Math and English, Grade 11: Private Schools (N = 107 schools; standard error below the coefficient) Variable Model 1 Intercept Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 -0.217 0.526 -0.314 0.546 -0.314 0.534 -0.812 0.587 -0.728 0.321 -0.954 0.645 Ln(school size) -0.127 0.078 -0.118 0.079 -0.125 0.078 -0.119 0.077 -0.125 0.079 -0.102 0.081 Socioeconomic diversity -0.100 0.215 -0.031 0.220 -0.070 0.217 -0.059 0.218 -0.063 0.218 0.031 0.230 Mean socioeconomic status 0.284 0.204 0.217 0.199 0.279 0.204 0.222 0.209 0.219 0.212 0.275 0.236 0.171 0.240 0.142 0.239 0.122 0.249 0.058 0.253 0.183 0.246 0.181 0.253 0.148 0.249 0.128 0.252 0.067 0.261 0.125 0.237 0.112 0.251 0.118 0.247 0.105 0.248 0.087 0.253 0.020 0.241 -0.027 0.258 -0.051 0.253 -0.073 0.258 -0.082 0.264 0.071 0.276 0.098 0.293 0.073 0.297 0.041 0.304 0.019 0.319 0.753 0.388 0.751 0.387 0.954a 0.441 n Index of racialdiversity v. 1QA I Ut (0.219 2 racial-ethnicgroups (versus 1) 3 racial-ethnicgroups (versus 1) 4 racial-ethnicgroups (versus 1) 5 racial-ethnicgroups (versus 1) Achievement correlation Urban versus suburban -0.025 0.162 -0.036 0.164 Ruralversus suburban -0.095 -0.203 -0.067 -0.207 Math achievement mean -0.093 0.157 Englishachievement mean 0.026 0.156 Math achievement variance ~- _- Englishachievement variance Dispersion parameter Log-likelihood 0.232a 0.050 -306.6 -0.060 0.069 0.044 0.058 0.237a 0.051 -307.4 0.220a 0.049 -304.7 0.211a 0.047 -302.7 0.211a 0.047 -302.6 0.205a 0.046 -301.7 a The coefficient is discerniblydifferent from zero at or below a =.05 which we have evidence of an effect on de facto tracking in private schools. Note that the failure of socioeconomic diversityand racial-ethnicdiversityto "reach" statistical significance in Model 6 does not appear to be based on the smaller number of private schools in the sample. Even if we sub- stituted the standard errors from the public school analysis into the private school analysis, neither the single coefficient for socioeconomic diversitynor any of the five coefficients for racial-ethnicdiversity would be statistically significant. These results suggest that variation in the level of de facto tracking in private 338 338 andBerends Lucas Lucas and Berends schools is not connected to the socioeco- expected, the higher the correlation between nomic or racial-ethnicdiversityof the schools. prior achievement in two different domains, Instead, de facto tracking appears to be relat- the more pronounced de facto tracking is in ed to the contours of students' achievement. the school. Despite the impact of correlated achievement, socioeconomic diversity is positively associated with de facto tracking. The Math, English, Social Studies, and coefficient for socioeconomic diversity is disScience cernibly different from zero, while the joint Table 3 presents the results of six models of test of no association with racial-ethnicdiverde facto tracking in private schools. These sity (as reflected in the incidence of diversity models are estimated on data reflecting four and the effect for four racial-ethnic groups) central subjects of the academic curriculum. leads to a 2 = 7.83, with 2 degrees of freeThus, they reflect a fuller picture of the dom for a p-value of .0199. Thus, racial-ethnic diversity seems to be associated with de course-taking regime. However, consideration of the wider set of facto tracking, and the more socioeconomic academic subjects in private schools does lit- diversity, the more pronounced de facto tle to alter the results obtained when we tracking is in the school, even though correfocused only on mathematics and English. lated achievement is controlled. Model 5 adds controls for urbanicity. Socioeconomic and racial-ethnicdiversity are not associated with de facto tracking in pri- Including these controls leaves racial-ethnic vate schools. Instead, variation in specific diversity, socioeconomic diversity, and corredomains of achievement is associated with de lated achievement clearly and positively assofacto tracking, although the direction of the ciated with de facto tracking.5 And once the association varies. The factors underlying this full set of controls are included (see Model 6), pattern of results are not immediately obvi- the story from Model 5 with respect to racialous, primarily because we controlled for ethnic diversity, correlated achievement, and mean achievement in each domain, the cor- socioeconomic diversity does not change. relation between achievement in different Figure1 illustratesthe connection between domains, and many other factors. Thus, we de facto tracking and racial diversity using are at a loss to explain this pattern and are coefficients from Model 6. Urbanicityis held reluctant to construct off-the-cuff specula- constant at zero, so that the figure reflectssubtions on the basis of this result. Instead, we urbanschools; school size is held constant at its would suggest that this pattern of results may mean; variables for the distribution of math profit from closer scrutiny in future research. and Englishachievement are held constant at Table 4 contains the results for public their means, as is the correlation between schools. Models 1 and 2 show that, as before, them; and all other variablesare fixed at zero. both socioeconomic and racial-ethnicdiversi- Because in monoracial schools the index of ty are associated with more pronounced de racialdiversitywill be zero by definition, Figure facto tracking in public schools. In Model 3, 1 contains a point (*) for that type of school. in which both aspects of racial-ethnicdiversi- The dashed line represents how the predicted ty are included, none of the individualaspects values for schools with four differentracial-ethis statisticallysignificant. However, a joint test nic groups change as the index of racialdiverof whether the coefficient for the incidence of sity changes. A school with four racial-ethnic racial diversity and the coefficient for four groups but low incidences of three of the racial-ethnic groups are both zero is statisti- groups is predicted to have a little over sixcally significant below the .05 level (X2 = tenths of its students in the same level of 8.09, with 2 degrees of freedom, p-value = course across subjects. In contrast, a school .0175), suggesting that racial-ethnicdiversity with four racial-ethnic groups represented is associated with heightened de facto track- equally will have an index of racialdiversityof 1.0, and such a school is predicted to have ing for the academic curriculumas a whole. Model 4 adds the correlation between nearly three-fourthsof its students enrolled in achievement in the relevant domains, and, as the same level course across subjects. De FactoTracking 339 m Table 3. Correlates of the Incidence of Students Enrolling in the Same Level of Math, English, Social Studies, or Science, Grade 11: Private Schools (N = 107 schools, standard error below the coefficient) Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Intercept -0.159 0.262 -0.305 0.253 -0.277 0.251 -0.361 0.258 -0.485 0.277 -0.498 0.296 Ln(schoolsize) -0.137a 0.042 -0.127a 0.040 -0.135a 0.040 -0.131a 0.040 -0.122a 0.040 -0.124a 0.043 Socioeconomic diversity -0.149 0.106 -0.148 0.101 -0.151 0.104 -0.130 0.106 -0.139 0.105 -0.130 0.112 Mean socioeconomic status 0.168 0.108 0.129 0.096 0.174 0.107 0.152 0.109 0.172 0.109 0.208 0.129 Index of racialdiversity 0.208 0.121 0.191 0.127 0.174 0.127 0.214 0.139 0.207 0.145 0.261 0.146 0.206 0.153 0.199 0.152 0.230 0.168 0.176 0.183 0.212 0.140 0.142 0.163 0.141 0.163 0.162 0.175 0.127 0.179 0.147 0.137 0.064 0.147 0.057 0.148 0.095 0.166 0.056 0.174 0.115 0.150 0.046 0.163 0.006 0.163 0.080 0.183 -0.007 0.191 0.114 0.128 0.122 0.127 0.145 0.135 Urbanversus suburban 0.035 0.083 0.021 0.093 Ruralversus suburban 0.147 0.115 0.126 0.128 2 racial-ethnicgroups (versus 1) 3 racial-ethnicgroups (versusl) 4 racial-ethnicGroups (versusl) 5 racial-ethnicgroups (versusl) Achievement correlation Math achievement mean --0.027 -~- Englishachievement mean --0.033 ~ 0.046 ~ 0.017 0.062 --0.013 -~- 0.036 -~-~- 0.027a 0.012 ~Socialstudies achievement mean -~- Science achievement mean ~- Math achievement variance Englishachievement variance ~~- Social studies achievement variance -~- ~- Science achievement variance Dispersionparameter Log-likelihood 0.038 ~ ~ 0.035a 0.017 ~ 0.038a 0.018 --0.023a - 0.494a 0.055 -1916.8 0.493a 0.057 -1915.9 0.490a 0.057 -1914.7 0.489a 0.057 -1914.1 a The coefficient is discerniblydifferentfrom zero at or below a = .05. 0.487a 0.057 -1913.5 0.008 0.432a 0.057 -1889.7 Lucas and Berends 340 Table 4. Correlates of the Incidence of Students Enrolling in the Same Level of Math, English, Social Studies, or Science, Grade 11: Public Schools (N = 841 schools; standard error below coefficient) Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 -0.858a 0.112 -0.908a -0.879a 0.120 -0.934a 0.124 -0.929a -0.904a 0.139 0.142 -0.046a -0.043a -0.047 0.017 -0.048a 0.017 -0.048a 0.017 -0.049a 0.016 0.019 0.019 0.110a 0.041 0.113a 0.040 0.110a 0.041 0.108a 0.041 0.109 a 0.041 0.1 04a 0.041 Mean socioeconomic status 0.057 0.035 0.033 0.034 0.051 0.036 0.048 0.035 0.055 0.036 0.040 0.044 Index of racialdiversity A r%n7ya (J.uV/" 0.076 0.046 0.078 0.047 0.072 0.047 0.082 0.049 Variable Model 1 Intercept Ln(schoolsize) Socioeconomic diversity 0.119 - (0.041 2 racial-ethnicgroups (versus1) 0.074 0.039 0.052 0.042 0.050 0.042 0.052 0.042 0.043 0.042 3 racial-ethnicgroups (versus1) 0.061 0.042 0.039 0.045 0.037 0.045 0.039 0.045 0.032 0.045 4 racial-ethnicgroups (versus1) 5 racial-ethnicgroups (versus1) 0.094a 0.044 0.066 0.048 0.062 0.049 0.064 0.049 0.058 0.050 0.029 0.050 -0.001 0.054 -0.002 0.054 -0.001 0.054 0.000 0.055 - 0.098a 0.044 0.1 36a 0.047 Urbanversussuburban 0.021 0.031 0.028 0.031 Ruralversussuburban 0.009 0.030 0.010 0.031 Achievementcorrelation _- ~- ~ 0.097a 0.044 ~ Math achievement mean ~- Englishachievement mean -~- ~- ~ 0.012 0.013 Socialstudies achievement mean ~- ~ -0.019 0.016 ~- ~ -0.009 0.009 Science achievement mean Math achievement variance --0.01 -~- Englishachievement variance -~- Socialstudies achievement variance -~- ~~- Science achievement variance Dispersionparameter Log-likelihood 0.040a 0.014 3a 0.005 ~ ~ 0.012a 0.004 ~ 0.008 0.007 -0.0111a 0.002 0.228a 0.013 -11137 0.228a 0.013 -11135 0.228a 0.013 -11133 0.227a 0.013 -11130 a The coefficient is discerniblydifferentfrom zero at or below a = .05. 0.227a 0.013 -11130 0.205a 0.013 -11044 De Facto Tracking i 341 Consider predicted values one standard deviation above and below the mean. A school that is one standard deviation below the mean on the index of racial diversity (D) is expected to have approximately 63 percent of its students in the same-level course. A school that is one standard deviation above the mean on the index of racial diversity (<) is expected to have approximately 69 percent of its students in the same-level course. Although this difference is substantially less than that estimated on the basis of the extreme values of diversity, note also that both predicted values are substantially larger than the predicted value for a monoracial school. For this reason, it would appear that both the presence and the incidence of racial diversity matter. The impact of racial diversity is more than modest. As Figure 2 reveals, socioeconomic diversity also appears to be consequential. Figure 2 illustrates the connection between de facto tracking and the variance of socioeconomic status for schools with and without racial diversity, again using coefficients from Model 6. The dashed line reflects a monoracial school, while the solid line is for schools -c 0) c LJ 1.0 I I with four racial-ethnicgroups. The incidence of racial diversity is held constant at its mean for the solid line, but obviously monoracial schools have zero racial diversity, so for the dashed line, the incidence of racialdiversity is set at zero. Figure2 reveals that in monoracial schools with no socioeconomic diversity, more than half the students take courses of different levels in disparate subjects. However, in schools with four racial-ethnic groups but no socioeconomic diversity,approximately 57 percent of the students are in courses of the same level. In a monoracial school with the maximum amount of socioeconomic diversity observed in the sample, approximately threequarters of the students are in the same level of courses across subjects. However, in a racially diverse school with the maximum amount of socioeconomic diversity, over 90 percent of the students are predicted to be in the same level of courses across disparate subjects. Note that the figures assume constant distributions of achievement, as well as a constant correlation between achievement in different domains. Taken together, Figures 1 and 2 indicate not only that coefficients for racial-ethnic and socioeconomic diversity are I I 0.9 Io c cu - 0,7 (D 0.6 a) E 05 co c p 0,4 c a) 03 - - D 0.2 0- 0.1 0 Q. o - 0.0 D c)D.0 I x 0.2 I 0.4 I 0.6 0.8 1.0 Indexof Racial Diversity Figure 1. Levelof De FactoTrackingby RacialDiversity.Note: * = monoracialschool, > X = mean IRD, <i = +1 SD, and - = 4 racial-ethnic groups. = - 1 SD, - 342 Lucas and Berends .? 10. l l l l c CT' C W 09 m 0.9 c 0.8 C0) - - - / E03 ~~~ ~~~ E 0,5 a) c 0.4 -c 0.2 0.1 '0 0.2 )> C 0.( 300 x 0.404 14 0.808 1 1.212 1.616 2.(020 Variancein Socioeconomic Status Figure 2. Levelof De FactoTrackingby Socioeconomic Status and RacialDiversity.Note: > = 1 SD,X = mean SESvariance,< = +1 SD,-= 4 racial-ethnicgroups, and --- = monoracialschool. discernibly different from zero, but that the differences they reflect across schools suggest a substantively important relation between diversity and de facto tracking in public schools. DISCUSSION With respect to private schools, socioeconomic and racial-ethnicdiversityare not associated with de facto tracking, regardless of whether the core subjects of math and Englishare analyzed alone or in concert with the additional academic subjects of science and social studies. It may be tempting to regard the finding of no association between sociodemographic school diversity and de facto tracking in private schools as evidence of no effect of diversity on private school practices. This temptation must be resisted. Earlier we noted that private schools are much more able to alter their sociodemographic composition than are public schools, and parents of private school students may more easily use other mechanisms, such as exit, to react to features of the school they regard as undesirable. We noted that these factors make it possible that the cross-sectional relationship between de facto tracking and sociodemographic factors is different in public and private schools. In comparison to public schools, private schools of the period allowed a greater degree of sorting between schools in the sector. Parents'greater ability to sort between different private schools makes treating sociodemographic composition as an input to the system to which school personnel respond pedagogically problematic. Instead, for private schools, sociodemographic composition may be better viewed as an output of admissions policy. Hence, the status of the modeling is less secure for private schools than for public schools. Our finding, therefore, is simply that no association is visible in the cross section. Although we regard our finding as suggestive and potentially important, given the greater latitude availableto privateschool actors (schools and parents), researchon a set of private schools over a series of cohorts will be needed to ascertain whether processes of student recruitment, selection, and retention, as well as changing school demographics, are De Facto Tracking m associated with de facto tracking in the private school sector. Should such research replicate our results, our confidence in the irrelevance of race and class for curricularorganization in private schools will greatly increase. For both the central subjects of the public school curriculum-math and English-and for the curriculum considered more broadly, it is apparent that both racial-ethnic and socioeconomic diversity are positively associated with de facto tracking. Adding the correlation between math and English achievement and a host of other covariates reflecting urbanicity and the contours of students' achievements leaves intact the qualitative assessment that socioeconomic and racialethnic diversity matter. Our findings were obtained even though we controlled for the correlation between achievement in two subjects. Controlling for the correlation between students' achievement was important in that we found an association between the correlation of prior achievement and de facto tracking in public schools for all the analyses and for math and English in private schools. Including correlated achievement, however, did not eliminate a role for sociodemographic diversity in public schools. Including the control for correlated achievement was useful, but we observe that correlated achievement itself may be an outcome of de facto or de jure tracking systems that the students experienced earlier in their educational careers. Thus, it is possible that some of our models understate the role of diversity in determining de facto tracking, for if tracking priorto grade 11 creates an association between students' achievement in different domains and if sociodemographic diversity partly determined prior tracking, then controlling for the association between students' achievement is to riskattributing to correlated achievement effects that actually flow from the sociodemographic composition of schools that students experienced in earlier years. However, even if understated, the findings are such that it appears appropriate to conclude that de facto tracking is associated with diversity.The sum total of these findings is consistent with Oakes's(1994a, 1994b) contention as to the basis of trackingin public schools. 343 We did not study mechanisms, and thus we cannot identify the processes that may underlie the patterns we have documented. However, the claim that sociodemographic diversity is associated with the maintenance of tracking was articulated by analysts who believed that political action was likely in diverse schools. The particular action envisioned by these analysts included exclusionary moves by whites and members of the upper class as they endeavor to segregate their children from others. Whether this particular story is apt or not, the motivation for focusing intently on the politics of tracking does seem deepened by our analysis. Although we did not measure "politics," we believe it would be just as unwise to interpret our findings as documenting the role of politics as it would be to ignore the larger forces that make diversity of both social theoretical and social policy interest. Diversity was not randomly chosen for attention; ongoing debates and a long history of sociological reasoning and research suggest that diversity is not merely a staid demographic feature of institutions but, instead, a key determinant of structures, individuals' experiences, and opportunities (e.g., Kanter 1977; Simmel 1950). Given our findings and the foregoing observation, the kind of research needed at this juncture is that which embeds analyses of the technical aspects of tracking in a framework that explicitly considers the socioeconomic and racial-ethnic diversity of schools and acknowledges a potential role for variously based political action. Such research should adopt a definition of tracking that is more consistent with the operation of schools; that is, definitions that essentially regard every school with curriculumdifferentiation as tracked likely suppress real and important differences between tracking regimes to which analysts should attend. Given the thrust of our findings, it is apparent that evaluations of tracking and analytical strategies that ignore the complex variability of tracking or deemphasize the linkage between tracking and racial-ethnic and/or socioeconomic diversity are likely to misunderstand the maintenance and complex transformations of tracking. And because 344 344 these sociodemographic factors are themselves undeniably linked to both obvious and subtle political interests, ignoring or deemphasizing the role of sociodemographic Lucas Lucas and and Berends Berends diversity in the construction, development, and maintenance of track systems is likely to misunderstand the implications of tracking for students, schools, and the wider society. APPENDIX Independent Variables Allvariableswere recoded to the midpoint for missing cases. In the models, a control for missing on each particularvariable was used. Socioeconomic Composition Student-levelsocioeconomicstatusis measuredwith a linearcombinationof mother'seducation, father's education, father's occupation, family earnings, and a household items index. The meanof this linearcombinationis usedto measurethe levelof socioeconomicstatusin the school. The varianceof this linearcombination is used to measure the degree of socioeconomic diversityin the school. Racial-Ethnic Diversity Principals'reports of the proportion of students who are white, black, Latino/Latina,Asian, or Native American, coupled with principals' reports of the number of students in the school, were used to construct measures of racial-ethnicdiversity. To measure the presence of racial-ethnicdiversity,a count of the number of groups in the school was constructed from the principals' reports. Four dichotomous variables were constructed: 2 groups in the school, 3 groups in the school, 4 groups in the school, and 5 groups in the school. The omitted category is 1 group in the school. To measure the incidenceof racial-ethnicdiversity,an index for each school was calculated as follows: If k > 1, then Ds= (k(N2- >fsk2 )) / (N2(k-1));if k = 1, then D, = 0, where k is the number of racialgroups in the school, N is the total number of students in the school, and fsk is the number of persons of race k in school s. Distribution of Achievement Seven Oth-grade tests were administered to HS&Bsophomores. We constructed a measure of mathematics achievement by adding together the scores on Math I (range 0-28) and Math II (range 0-10), rescaling the test to range between zero and 10, and subtracting the mean. A measure of English achievement was constructed by summing the scores for vocabulary (range 0-21), reading (range 0-19), and writing (range 0-17) and similarly rescaling the scores to range between zero and 10 and subtracting the mean. The science test (range 0-20) and civics test (range 0-10), which were also centered and scaled to have a range of 10, measure science and social studies achievement. We used the school-specific mean to indicate the level of achievement in each domain and used the school-specific variance to indicate the degree of diversityin achievement in each domain. And we used the school-specific correlationbetween any two areas to measure the degree to which achievement is associated across domains. De Facto Tracking 345 o Sector, School Size, and Urbanicity Schools were categorized as private (1) or public (0). The size of the school is the total enrollment of students; we used the natural log of the total enrollment. Two variables-urban (1) or not (0) and rural(1) or not (0)-capture urbanicity.With both in the model, the comparison is to suburban schools. TableA1. DescriptiveStatisticsfor Public(N = 841) and Private(N = 107) Schools BothAnalyses Ln(schoolsize) Ln(schoolsize) missing Socioeconomicdiversity Meansocioeconomicstatus Indexof racialdiversity Racialdiversitymissing 1 racial-ethnic group 2 racial-ethnic groups 3 racial-ethnic groups 4 racial-ethnic groups 5 racial-ethnic groups Urban Suburban Rural PrivateSchools PublicSchools Variable Mean SD Min Max Mean SD Min Max 6.958 0.100 0.534 -0.141 0.352 0.132 0.132 0.249 0.206 0.234 0.107 0.251 0.459 0.290 0.783 0.300 0.309 0.356 0.286 0.339 0.339 0.432 0.404 0.424 0.309 0.434 0.248 0.454 3.40 0.00 0.00 -1.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.58 1.00 2.02 1.15 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 6.188 0.047 0.675 0.309 0.350 0.056 0.093 0.206 0.262 0.308 0.093 0.234 0.654 0.112 0.833 0.211 0.501 0.441 0.280 0.230 0.291 0.404 0.440 0.462 0.291 0.423 0.226 0.316 3.04 0.00 0.00 -0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.63 1.00 3.01 1.39 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.737 0.141 0.755 0.148 -3.69 0.00 -3.85 0.00 3.94 1.00 3.52 1.00 0.363 0.187 0.374 0.187 0.925 0.136 0.830 0.136 -2.38 0.00 -1.66 0.00 4.73 1.00 3.69 1.00 0.704 0.157 1.499 0.141 2.254 2.826 -4.93 0.00 -9.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.07 1.00 5.53 1.00 20.61 97.22 0.291 0.187 0.431 0.187 1.484 1.456 0.648 0.136 1.385 0.136 2.163 2.277 -1.16 0.00 -3.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.07 1.00 5.03 1.00 21.81 25.81 3.493 10.474 0.255 0.238 0.00 0.00 -0.90 0.00 96.43 163.80 1.00 1.00 1.696 5.302 0.537 0.084 2.045 7.415 0.221 0.278 0.00 0.00 -0.90 0.00 15.76 71.91 0.99 1.00 1.042 1.061 0.200 1.865 2.642 0.239 -3.69 -3.85 0.00 0.06 0.48 0.00 3.94 3.34 1.00 16.73 44.09 1.00 0.724 0.749 0.037 2.967 2.908 0.084 1.210 1.050 0.191 2.233 2.481 0.279 -2.38 -1.66 0.00 0.42 0.31 0.00 4.73 3.69 1.00 21.81 25.81 1.00 0.207 -0.70 1.00 0.654 0.199 -0.70 0.99 0.239 0.00 1.00 0.084 0.279 0.00 1.00 AnalysisOnly All-Subject Mathachievementmean -0.078 Mathmean missing 0.020 -0.111 Englishachievementmean 0.022 Englishmean missing Socialstudiesachievement -0.084 mean Socialstudiesmean missing 0.025 Scienceachievementmean -0.126 0.020 Sciencemean missing Mathachievementvariance 1.807 Englishachievementvariance 1.787 Socialstudiesachievement variance 2.180 Scienceachievementvariance 6.990 0.582 p achievement 0.060 p achievementmissing AnalysisOnly Math-English Mathachievementmean -0.155 -0.228 Englishachievementmean mean missing 0.042 Math/English Mathachievementvariance 3.616 Englishachievementvariance 3.557 variancemissing 0.061 Math/English p achievement 0.703 (Mathand English) p achievement (Mathand English)missing 0.061 3 and Berends Lucas 346 NOTES 1. Unfortunately, there is no researchon this point. Perhaps because tracking worked in such a deterministic manner, we were unable to find data from the period that would allow us to assess the veracity of the claim that tracking completely constrained students' course taking in academic subjects. Thus, we simply accept the logic of the previous regime as described by Hollingshead (1949), Cicourel and Kitsuse(1963), and others and will do so unless and until research is able to address the issue. 2. It should be noted that other possibilities for the maintenance of de facto tracking have been implied or articulated. For example, it is possible that placement in nonacademic courses (e.g., keyboarding or band) may affect the scheduling of academic courses. As another example, consider that research has suggested that some schools, especially large urban institutions, assign students to classes and thus courses more on the basis of logistical aims than pedagogic planning (e.g., Riehl, Pallas, and Natriello 1999). Such processes may drive de facto tracking in some schools. We accounted for this possibility by including controls for school size in all models and by estimating some models with controls for school urbanicity.Thus, if size and urban location are at the root of observed associations between sociodemographic diversity and de facto tracking, models with those controls should show no association between diversity and de facto tracking. 3. Recall our definition of tracking. Under our definition, not taking a course in an academic subject is a structural category. For example, students who take neither math nor English occupy an important location in the school stratificationsystem that has ramifications for their later success. For this reason, we treated students who took neither math nor English as being in the same level of courses across subjects and included them in the count variable. Under our definition of tracking, this is appropriate. However, we estimated all models deleting students who took neither math nor English. The results presented here were replicated almost completely. 4. The data can be downloaded from http://sociology. berkeley.edu/faculty/lucas/ datasets.html 5. The joint test of the index of racialdiversity coefficient and the four racial-ethnic groups coefficient produces a X2of 7.35 with 2 degrees of freedom for a p-value of .0253. REFERENCES Alexander,KarlL., MarthaCook, and EdwardL. McDill. 1978. "CurriculumTracking and Educational Stratification: Some Further Evidence." American Sociological Review 43:47-66. the Braddock,jomills HenryII. 1990. "Tracking MiddleGrades:NationalPatternsof Grouping for Instruction." PhiDeltaKappan71:445-49. KarinL.1994. 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Sociology of Education67:91. Riehl,Carolyn,Aaron M. Pallas,and Gary Natriello. 1999. "Rites and Wrongs: Institutional Explanations for the Student CourseScheduling Process in Urban High Schools." AmericanJournalof Education107:116-54. Rosenbaum, James E. 1976. Making Inequality. New York:John Wiley & Sons. Simmel, Georg. 1950. The Sociology of Georg Simmel.Translatedby KurtWolff. Glencoe, IL: Free Press. Wells, Amy Stuart, and Irene Serna. 1996. "The Politics of Culture: Understanding Local Political Resistance to Detracking in Racially Mixed Schools." Harvard EducationalReview 66:93-118. Wheelock, Anne. 1992. Crossing the Tracks:How "Untracking"Can Save America'sSchools. New York:W. W. Norton. Yamaguchi, Kazuo. 1991. Event History Analysis. Newbury Park,CA:Sage. Samuel R. Lucas, Ph.D., is Associate Professor,Sociology Department, Universityof CaliforniaBerkeley.His main fields of interest are social stratification,sociology of education, and research methods and statistics. He is currentcompletinga study on discriminationand studyingchanges in the structuraleffects of tracking. Mark Berends,Ph.D., is AssociateProfessor,Departmentof Leadership,Policy,and Organizations, PeabodyCollege,VanderbiltUniversity,PayneBuilding,Room207B, Nashville,TN37203. Hismain fieldsof interestare sociology of education, organizationalanalysis, and social stratification.He is currentlystudying the structureand effect of trackingand investigatingthe effects of teachers'certificationon student outcomes. 348 Lucas and Berends The authors thank Grace K. Kimfor providingthe measures of racial diversityused in this article, CarrieS. Horsey and Michael Hout for their comments, Carl Mason for computing assistance, GretchenStockmayerfor aid with computercode, EdBunnand CheriMintonof HarvardUniversity for additionalhelp in computing,and EmilySperfor assistance with graphics. The researchfor this article was supportedby grant R305F960164 from the FieldInitiatedStudies Program,Officeof EducationalResearchand Improvement,U.S. Departmentof Education,and by grant 199700213 from the SpencerFoundation.However,the views in this articledo not necessarilyreflectthe views 7. 0, runningon of the granting agencies, and all errorsare the responsibilityof the authors. STATA a Sun MicrosystemsE-450 with 2 CPUsand 1.5 GBof RAM,were used in estimating the models. All workfor this articlewas conducted with the assistance of the DemographyDepartmentof the A versionof this articlewas presentedat the annual meeting of the Universityof California-Berkeley. AmericanSociologicalAssociation,New York,August 1996. Addressall correspondenceto Samuel 410 Barrows Hall #1980, R. Lucas, Sociology Department, Universityof California-Berkeley, e-mail: CA [email protected]. Berkeley, 94720-1980;
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