Day 1 Recap What has the US “rebalanced” other than mil assets? Increased Mil:Mil Who leads “I” of DIME? WoG Is the rebalanced focused? How do we focus it? DOS/USAID Messaging could be better (ex: pie slide) Canada has shifted _away_ from Pacific. What about European nations? Booming populations -> DRM, economics, etc What do we expect from allies (wrt MARSEC, more)? Role of Middle Powers (Japan, ROK, India, AUS, Taiwan?, Thailand?, NZ?, CAN?)? $, Basing, Capable/Interoperable Forces, Diplomatic Influence ROI: decrease risk of conflict, increase probability of winning, establish/maintain relationships, Phase 0 – Set/shape the theater Thucydides Trap vs Golden Bridge: Challenge and Opportunities between US and PRC Day 2 Recap Is it our job to close the inequality gap in the Asia Pacific? What is the accepted Threshold of inequality? Tools to build capacity to improve inequality gaps– governance, diplomatic, women, peace securty Socioecomic Inequality – Political, Religious and Income (Economic) Inequality Role of NGOs / Private Sectors in building governance capacity Challenges with booming populations – Migration / Refugees, Resource Scarcity = Conflict, Pollution/Waste/Climate change, Energy, Infrastructure Requirement, Transnational Crimes, Clash of Values/Religion Mitigation Ideas - Empower Women/Disadvantaged, Management of Migration, Enforce Conservation/Standards, Research and Development, Disaster Management /Response, Rule of Law Rise of Technology Social Media – catalyst for information sharing – Promotes awareness (positive and negative) ASEAN – middle power? What can it influence? Day 3 Recap South Asia: India-Pakistan: Focus on India (Reg’l hegemony, $) or Pakistan (Reg’l Stability) Can China help broker better relations? Effect of PRC-Pak Econ. Corr. (Iranian markets?) Can education or trade (or what?) help improve relations? Effect of youth bulge? Caste System (pyramid), tie to Hindu, and implications Northeast Asia: Taiwan’s Foreign Policy; impacts of recent presidential elections, etc. “One China” Policy: dynamics WRT Taiwan, Hong Kong, Shanghai Using economic power: foreign-based investment vs. buying influence (Oceania ex) Duality: PRC and US actions often similar but perceived differently by US citizens What keeps COMPACOM up at night? DRPK, SCS Confrontation. Not Russia (?) 8 Nations have a treaty giving each a portion claim of Antarctica; Arctic oil/gas exploration by PLAN and Russian Navy
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