Identifying regions for conservation of sloth bears through occupancy modelling in north-eastern Karnataka, India Sayantan Das1, Saurav Dutta2, Sharmi Sen3, Jijumon A. S.2, S. Babu4, Honnavalli Nagraj Kumara4, and Mewa Singh1,5,6 1 Biopsychology Laboratory and Institution of Excellence, University of Mysore, Manasagangotri, Mysore-570006, Karnataka, India 2 Indian Institute of Science Education and Research-Kolkata, Mohanpur Campus, Post: BCKV Main Office, Mohanpur, Nadia-741252, West Bengal, India 3 Indian Institute of Science Education and Research-Mohali, Knowledge City, Sector 81, SAS Nagar, Manauli-140306, Punjab, India 4 Sálim Ali Centre for Ornithology and Natural History, Anaikatty, Coimbatore-641108, Tamil Nadu, India 5 Organismal Biology Unit, Jawaharlal Nehru Centre for Advanced Scientific Research, Bangalore, Karnataka, India Abstract: In the absence of information on species in decline with contracting ranges, management should emphasize remaining populations and protection of their habitats. Threatened by anthropogenic pressure including habitat degradation and loss, sloth bears (Melursus ursinus) in India have become limited in range, habitat, and population size. We identified ecological and anthropogenic determinants of occurrence within an occupancy framework to evaluate habitat suitability of non-protected regions (with sloth bears) in northeastern Karnataka, India. We employed a systematic sampling methodology to yield presence–absence data to examine a priori hypotheses of determinants that affected occupancy. These covariates were broadly classified as habitat or anthropogenic factors. Mean number of termite mounds and trees positively influenced sloth bear occupancy, and grazing pressure expounded by mean number of livestock dung affected it negatively. Also, mean percentage of shrub coverage had no impact on bear inhabitance. The best fitting model further predicted habitats in Bukkasagara, Agoli, and Benakal reserved forests to have 38%, 75%, and 88%, respectively, of their sampled grid cells with high occupancies (.0.70) albeit little or no legal protection. We recommend a conservation strategy that includes protection of vegetation standstructure, maintenance of soil moisture, and enrichment of habitat for the long-term welfare of this species. Key words: conservation, distribution, ecology, India, Karnataka, Melursus ursinus, occupancy modelling, sloth bears DOI: 10.2192/URSUS-D-14-00008.1 Ursus 25(2):111–120 (2014) Conservation and management policies and practices directed at animal species should ideally be developed from complete information on demographic characteristics, behavioral patterns, lifehistory traits, and habitat use (Margules and Pressey 2000). Habitat use by a species, and the factors that influence habitat use, should in turn be evaluated using rigorous statistical and modelling techniques. With recent advances in geo-spatial tools and modelling techniques, predicting species occurrence, distribution, and abundance has become common (e.g., Scott et al. 2001, Pearce and Boyce 2006, Best et al. 2007, Krishna et al. 2008, Boyd and Foody 2011, Nandy et al. 2012). However, occurrence or abundance of species might not be a veritable output of the relationship between a species and its habitat, because occurrence and abundance can be an imperfect surrogate for demographic performance (Van Horne 1983, Hobbs and Hanley 1990, Tyre et al. 2001). Therefore, patterns of occupancy along with occupancy correlates can only determine habitat suitability and its capacity to support populations. This functional link between a species’ occupancy and the environmental factors influencing it is critical for understanding habitat processes that can be used to guide management (Franklin et al. 6 email: [email protected] 111 112 CONSERVATION OF SLOTH BEARS N Das et al. 2000, Breininger and Carter 2003). This exercise is even more important for generalist species that occur primarily outside protected areas and are involved in conflicts with humans, including human casualties. The sloth bear (Melursus ursinus) in India serves as a model species under these criteria. Because of resource extraction, habitat fragmentation, habitat loss, and high conflict across their range in drier regions in central (Johnsingh 1986, Servheen 1990, Chauhan et al. 1999, Rajpurohit and Krausman 2000, Bargali 2004), western, and southeastern (Krishna Raju et al. 1987) India, Garshelis et al. (1999b:234–235, 2008) appealed for a concerted action to ‘‘expand and update’’ distribution maps of the species in ‘‘relation to forest cover and boundaries of protected areas.’’ Such an action is imperative ‘‘to delineate discrete population units’’ coupled with information on ‘‘land use and land conditions’’ in regions outside the protected area network to assess their potential for supporting viable populations (Garshelis et al. 2008). The sloth bear is endemic to the Indian subcontinent (Erdbrink 1953, Sathyakumar et al. 2012), with a historical distribution from the foothills of the Himalayas in northern India to the dry slopes of the Western Ghats in the south (Bargali et al. 2004). However, sloth bear populations are currently limited to 5 regions in India: northern, northeastern, central, southeastern, and southwestern populations (Garshelis at al. 1999b, Johnsingh 2003, Yoganand et al. 2006, Sathyakumar et al. 2012). This drastic range contraction has rendered the species Vulnerable to Extinction (IUCN 2013) and led to its inclusion in Schedule I of the Indian Wildlife (Protection) Act as amended in 2003 (GOI 1972, 2003). Currently, only about 10% of the species’ current distribution in India contains high-quality habitat (Yoganand et al. 2006). Techniques used to assess sloth bear–habitat relationships included assessment of home-range and habitat-selection analysis using radiotelemetry (Joshi et al. 1995, 1999; Ratnayeke et al. 2007), den-site examination, and indirect bear signs such as droppings, tracks, and claw marks (Akhtar et al. 2004, Chauhan et al. 2004). These studies have thus revealed only qualitative habitat characteristics essential for the species. Sloth bears appear to use different habitats to meet their life requisites (e.g., foraging, cover; Wrangham and Rubenstein 1986). Therefore, ecological studies should characterize each habitat to develop a thorough understanding of requirements of the species with respect to feeding, hiding, and other requisites. This information is crucial to identify suitable habitats for conservation and development of management plans. Our objective was to estimate occupancy of sloth bears and assess the potential effects of environmental and anthropogenic determinants such that we can establish potential suitability of habitats and demarcate them for long-term conservation of the species. Study area We conducted the study in 6 sites in the revenue districts of Hospet and Koppal, specifically Daroji Wildlife Sanctuary (WLS; 15u169N, 76u369E; 5,083 ha), Bukkasagara Reserve Forest (RF; 15u199N, 76u339E; 3,169 ha), Daroji RF (15u149N, 76u409E; 465 ha), Toranagallu RF (15u129N, 76u419E; 547 ha), Agoli RF (15u289N, 76u239E; 2,796 ha), and Benakal RF (15u269N, 76u239E; 3,864 ha; Fig. 1). We selected these areas based on their close proximity to each other and unpublished reports of sloth bear presence and incidences of conflicts with humans. Only Daroji WLS and a non-demarcated 2,685.50 ha of Bukkasagara RF is ‘‘legally protected’’ for wildlife, whereas the others are reserved forests located close to villages and are open to resource extraction, including timber harvest, sand-mining, and livestock grazing (Kiran 2011). Daroji WLS is separated from Bukkasagara RF by a road and village settlements along its northern boundary but is contiguous with Daroji RF and Toranagallu RF along its southeastern border. Six kilometers northwest of Bukkasagara RF is Agoli RF and Benakal RF, which are divided by a state highway. The habitat is largely rocky and bouldery; dry deciduous scrub and southern thorn forests (Champion and Seth 1968) are the only forest types, with Acacia spp. as the dominant species. The vegetation in this region exists in a degraded state, though afforestation programs have ensured prominent vegetation in certain pockets. The study area has a semi-arid climate characterized by hot summers (34u– 45uC) during April–June and low rainfall (571.92 mm) from June to November. Methods Survey design We determined sampling units by overlaying the study sites with 2-km2 grid cells as per the Forest Department’s survey estimates of the existence of 1 Ursus 25(2):111–120 (2014) CONSERVATION OF SLOTH BEARS N Das et al. 113 Fig. 1. The location of the study sites, Daroji Wildlife Sanctuary, Bukkasagara Reserve Forest (RF), Daroji RF, Toranagallu RF, Agoli RF, and Benakal RF, and pictorial depiction of survey design for estimation of sloth bear occupancy are shown. Map showing (a) the location of study region in India, (b) the six study sites with their approximate geographical spacing overlaid with a 2-km2 grid, and (c) sampling units (strips) represented as ‘‘boxes’’ along the diagonals of each grid cell. The study was carried out in two phases, firstly during June– July 2011 and secondly, June–July 2012. bear/1.5 km2 in Daroji WLS (Kiran 2011). Diagonal of a square grid cell was designated as ‘‘1’’ if it ran from the direction of north-west to the south-east and ‘‘2’’ if otherwise. We inscribed spatial replicates in the form of strips of 500-m length and 20-m width along the 2 diagonals of the square grid at intervals of 150 m (Fig. 1). To avoid duplication of data, we ascribed the covariates to the third strip of diagonal 1 when strip 3 of diagonal 1 coincided with strip 3 of diagonal 2. Limitation of manpower and logistics, and crepuscular activity cycle of the species, justified the usage of spatial replicates instead of temporal replicates in a single-season survey (Krishna et al. 2008, Saracco et al. 2011). Thus, Daroji WLS, Bukkasagara RF, Daroji RF, Toranagallu RF, Agoli RF, and Benakal RF bore 44, 30, 9, 9, 37, Ursus 25(2):111–120 (2014) and 30 grid cells, respectively (Fig. 1 and Table 1). Additionally, we selected grid cells with a minimum spatial replicate of 3 for modelling because the detection probability of indirect signs of bear was ‘‘low’’ otherwise. Identification of covariates We selected measurable habitat covariates representative of food, vegetation structure, and covariates indicative of past and present anthropogenic disturbances. Sloth bears are myrmecophagous (Pocock 1933, Erdbrink 1953, Gopal 1991, Sacco and Valkenburgh 2006), predating especially on ants (Formicidae) and termites (Isoptera; Laurie and Seidensticker 1977, Gopal 1991, Joshi et al. 1997) along with other animal matter (Bargali et al. 2004) 114 CONSERVATION OF SLOTH BEARS N Das et al. Table 1. Outline of grid-cell–level information included in the analysis and details of sloth bear droppings and/ or tracks recovered from each survey site of Daroji Wildlife Sanctuary (WLS), Bukkasagara Reserve Forest (RF), Daroji RF, and Toranagallu RF (India) during June–July 2011, and Agoli RF and Benakal RF (India) during June–July 2012. Study area Daroji WLS Bukkasagara RF Daroji RF Toranagallu RF Agoli RF Benakal RF Percent of grid cells included in occupancy analysis (%) Total no. of grid cells No. of grid cells with animal signs 66 43 00 00 65 57 44 30 09 09 37 30 18 08 00 00 21 17 and berries (Gopal 1991). Therefore, food-resource determinants included number of termite mounds and feeding trees, and habitat factors included number of trees and percentage of shrub coverage. We visually estimated shrub coverage based on the proportion of area covered by shrubs in a single strip. Record of feeding (fruiting or non-fruiting) trees was combined with record of non-feeding trees to form the covariate ‘‘trees’’ (with diam at breast ht [DBH] .5 cm), which represented both food resources and habitat characteristics. Anthropogenic pressure in the form of grazing and timber harvest was also quantified. We quantified grazing by calculating the number of livestock (i.e., cattle and sheep) -dung present, and extraction of firewood through enumeration of stumps and loppings (chopped branches and twigs) from trees of DBH .5 cm, within the strips. This resulted in the identification of 5 site covariates presumed to influence occupancy of sloth bears. We used shrubcoverage, the only covariate that could influence detection of indirect signs, to model detection probability. Field methods We conducted single surveys in Daroji WLS, Bukkasagara RF, Daroji RF, and Toranagallu RF during June–July 2011 and in Agoli RF and Benakal RF during June–July 2012. We selected cells in grids for sampling that included .25% of the cell area because grid cells at the periphery usually enclosed smaller area. In cases where undisturbed habitat occurred beyond forest boundaries within a grid cell, we extended the sampling effort to strips within the grid cell but beyond the study sites. However, sampling was limited by inaccessibility to strips owing to their location on steep ridges or on sprawling boulders. Such strips were treated as missing data points or observations and were accommodated within the model likelihood framework proposed by Mackenzie et al. (2002). The sloth bear is largely nocturnal (Laurie and Seidensticker 1977, Joshi et al. 1995, Gopalaswamy 2006) or crepuscular throughout the study regions because the vegetation cover is sparse and daytime temperature remains high throughout the year (Akhtar et al. 2004). Therefore, presence of the species had to be established by indirect means (i.e., through droppings or tracks; Garshelis et al. 1999a). A minimum of 2 observers surveyed strips on foot using a hand-held Global Positioning System device (Garmin eTrex30 and Garmin HCx Vista, Kansas City, Kansas, USA) and recorded bear droppings or tracks, number of termite mounds (Te), percentage shrub coverage (SC), number of trees (T), number of stumps and/or logs (SL), and number of livestock dung (LD) within each strip. Droppings of bears were identified by their characteristic cylindrical shape with tapering ends and ascertained through close examination of content, which remained dominated by either insects or seeds (Joshi et al. 1997, Sreekumar and Balakrishnan 2002, Bargali et al. 2004, Ramesh et al. 2009). Sloth bear tracks were identified based on its characteristic specular print with the larger toe pointing outward and prominent claw marks (Karanth et al. 2002). Consequently, a site (grid cell) was deemed occupied if a bear dropping or track was detected in .1 of the 8 spatial replicates (naı̈ve estimate of occupancy). These detection–non-detection data in each strip formed the basis for construction of detection histories for each grid cell. For strips that could not be sampled, we treated the replicate as a missing observation (MacKenzie et al. 2002). Overall, 60% of the grid cells were sampled. We first averaged each covariate over 8 strips and secondly, z-transformed it to Ursus 25(2):111–120 (2014) CONSERVATION OF SLOTH BEARS N Das et al. Table 2. Summary of model-selection procedure for factors affecting detection probability of bear droppings when data from the study regions of Daroji Wildlife Sanctuary, Bukkasagara Reserve Forest (RF), Agoli RF, and Benakal RFs (India) were cumulatively evaluated. The study regions were surveyed in two phases, firstly from June to July 2011 and secondly from June to July 2012. Modela y(.),p(SC) y(.),p(.) b p^ AICcc wid Ke b1f 0.456 0.465 709.79 714.57 0.916 0.084 3 2 0.25 0.00 a SC—shrub coverage of the plot. b^ p—estimated species detection probability. c AICc—AIC corrected for small-sample bias. d wi—AICc model wt. e K—no. of parameters estimated by the model. f b1—beta co-efficient of the sampling covariate. rescale and normalize the data, prior to occupancy analysis. Occupancy estimation We constructed detection histories and estimated ^ ), and the probability that a grid cell was occupied (y the detection probability ( ^p), using maximum likelihood functions (MacKenzie et al. 2002) in Program PRESENCE (ver. 3.0; MacKenzie et al. 2006). Data from all the study regions were pooled into a single occupancy analysis because of the small area of each study region (,5,100 ha). We employed logistic models with logit link and binomial error to evaluate the effect of covariates on model parameters, occu^ ) and detection probability ( ^p). Based pancy (y on current knowledge of sloth bear ecology, we speculated that covariates indexing food and vegetation structure would positively affect occupancy, whereas covariates indexing anthropogenic pressures would negatively affect it. We used a step-wise approach to first model effects of covariates on detection (p), and then modelled y. Among the covariates we considered, only undergrowth–shrubcoverage could affect the detection of bear droppings or tracks and was therefore used to model p[y(.), p(SC)] (Table 2). Both spatial and numerical pair-wise correlation analyses using Pearson correlation analysis did not identify autocorrelation (21 , r , 1, p . 0.05) among covariates, and thus all model selections were uncorrelated. Subsequently, we formulated a candidate set of 8 a priori models (involving 1 of the 5 covariates) to investigate the influence of covariates on occurrence. Selection of models, succeeded by computation of model weights and averaging of Ursus 25(2):111–120 (2014) 115 parameters, were executed as per the framework of Burnham and Anderson (1998). We tabulated models in ascending order of their relative quality based on Akaike Information Criterion values adjusted for sample size (AICc; Burnham and Anderson 1998). We report the estimates of both detection probability and the occupancy as mean 6 standard error. Results We did not detect sloth bear sign at Daroji RF and Toranagallu RF and excluded these sites from analyses. Therefore, only Daroji WLS, Bukkasagara RF, Agoli RF, and Benakal RF were considered, which contributed 29, 13, 24, and 17 grid cells, respectively, to the occupancy model. In the 83 grid cells where sloth bear sign was observed, the number of detections varied from 1/strip to 27/strip. The highest number of cumulative bear signs per grid cell were recorded from Benakal RF (8.4 signs/cell), closely followed by Agoli RF (6.35 signs/cell) while Daroji WLS (1.59 signs/cell) and Bukkasagara RF (0.67 signs/cell) had lower recovery of animal signs per grid cell (Table 1). The estimated average detection probability ( ^p) of bears in a grid cell was 0.47 6 0.003. Contrary to expectation, detection probability was positively influenced by shrub coverage (b1 5 0.25; Table 2); however, this being a logical improbability, we ignored it. As a result, detection probability p was held constant over all spatial replicates (plots) in subsequent models. The model-averaged occupancy ^ 5 0.79 6 0.007. The number of estimate was y termite mounds (Te) and trees (T) together [y(T + Te)] had the greatest predictive power of site occupancy (Table 3). However, each of these covariates performed poorly when modelled individually. The second-best model also included percentage shrub cover; however, the DAICc value (1.65) suggests that percentage shrub cover did not have a substantial effect on occupancy. The covariates, trees (b1 5 3.17, CI 5 1.93–4.41) and termite mounds (b1 5 2.65, CI 5 1.27–4.02) had the greatest effect on determining bear occupancy (TSwi 5 0.994, TeSwi 5 0.985). Among the anthropogenic determinants, sloth bear occurrence was negatively correlated to livestock dung (b1 5 20.53, CI 5 20.98 to 20.08) but positively correlated to stumps and loppings (b1 5 0.73, CI 5 0.54–1.41) albeit at low relative values of importance (LDSwi 5 0.244, SLSwi 5 0.244), signifying a weak effect on occupancy. 116 CONSERVATION OF SLOTH BEARS N Das et al. Table 3. Summary of model-selection procedure for all the factors and/or covariates influencing occupancy of sloth bear when the study regions of Daroji Wildlife Sanctuary, Bukkasagara Reserve Forest (RF), Agoli RF, and Benakal RFs (India) were cumulatively assessed. The study regions were surveyed in two phases, firstly from June to July 2011, and secondly from June to July 2012. Modela T + Te T + Te + SC T + Te + LD + SL T + Te + SC + LD + SL T Te SC LD + SL y(.),p(.) ^ ^b y (95% CI) c p^ 0.782 0.782 0.780 0.781 0.786 0.790 0.799 0.791 0.798 0.730–0.832 0.731–0.834 0.727–0.833 0.726–0.836 0.747–0.826 0.752–0.827 0.759–0.839 0.762–0.819 0.689–0.876 0.471 0.471 0.472 0.471 0.469 0.468 0.463 0.467 0.465 d (SE) DAICce wif Kg 0.024 0.024 0.024 0.024 0.024 0.024 0.024 0.024 0.025 0.00 1.65 2.31 3.64 7.22 9.27 11.71 17.82 22.74 0.512 0.224 0.161 0.083 0.014 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.000 4 5 6 7 3 3 3 4 2 a T—Trees; Te—Termite; SC—Shrub coverage; LD—Livestock dung; SL—Stumps and loppings. y—estimated occupancy parameter corrected for ‘detection probability’. p^—estimated species detection probability. d SE—associated standard error of occupancy estimate. e AICc—AIC corrected for small-sample bias; DAICc—difference in AICc values between each model and the model with the lowest AICc. f wi—AICc model wt. g K—no. of parameters estimated by the model. b^ c^ Overall, 4.8%, 28.9%, and 66.27% of the sampled ^ 5 grid cells (83 grid cells) were classified as low (y ^ ^ 5 0.01–0.30), medium (y 5 0.31–0.70), and high (y 0.71–1.00), respectively, based on their occupancy estimates (Fig. 2). The study region of Benakal RF had the greatest percentage (88%) of sampled grid cells designated as highly occupied, followed by Agoli RF (75%), Daroji WLS (59%), and finally Bukkasagara RF (39%). Discussion We provide the first occupancy estimate of sloth bears in their dry range in Hospet and Koppal districts of Karnataka, India. Sloth bears occurred over a large expanse of sites in reserved forests outside the protected region, emphasizing the need for their protection and uninterrupted management. We identified portions of Agoli RF, Benakal RF and Bukkasagara RF as highly used and occupied by the species because these consisted of a greater proportion of grid cells with high degree of occupancy than were found in Daroji WLS. Despite earlier evidences, bears were absent in Daroji RF and Toranagallu RF due to possible extirpation; Daroji RF is partially submerged by Daroji reservoir (owing to heavy sewage discharge by industries), and largescale industries (e.g., steel factories) operate adjoining to these 2 regions. We additionally propose the usage of ‘‘occupancy’’ as an index to evaluate effectiveness of bear management strategies across sites and times. Occupancy Information on recent range, abundance, and distribution of sloth bears was determined through the compilation of previous literatures, unpublished information, and state-wide questionnaires of field managers (Sathyakumar et al. 2012). The National Bear Conservation and Welfare Action Plan (2012) projected the extent of the national distribution at 400,000 km2. Furthermore, almost 50% of subsisting populations reside outside protected areas (Yoganand et al. 2006) and these populations have been steadily declining (Garshelis et al. 1999b). Estimate available under an occupancy framework designed to specifically study tigers (Panthera tigris), reported a figure of 16,582 km2 of sloth bear distribution in Karnataka in 2010 (a declination of 19% from 2006; Jhala et al. 2011). The only attempt to generate occupancy-level information of sloth bears in India ^5 by Ramesh et al. (2012) yielded an occupancy of y 0.83 6 0.01SE in Mudumalai Tiger Reserve that was beyond the moderate range of 0.20–0.80 obtained in site-occupancy studies (Linkie et al. 2007, Mortelliti and Boitani 2008, Sarmento et al. 2011). This anomalous estimate was based on a detection probability of p 5 0.23 6 0.07SE, lower than the threshold of 0.30 recommended for an unbiased estimate of occupancy (for no. of sites 5 40, Spatial– Ursus 25(2):111–120 (2014) CONSERVATION OF SLOTH BEARS N Das et al. 117 Fig. 2. Estimated sloth bear occupancy data generated for each grid, which were extracted from the bestfitting model, [y(T + Te)] when all the study sites were cumulatively modelled. Un-sampled grid cells comprised those that were partially sampled or not sampled. Daroji Wildlife Sanctuary, Bukkasagara Reserve Forest (RF), Daroji RF, and Toranagallu RF (India) were surveyed during June–July 2011; and Agoli RF and Benakal RF were sampled during June–July 2012. Temporal replicate . 5) as outlined by Mackenzie et al. (2003). This was primarily due to larger landscape and heterogeneous vegetation composition. Previous efforts to evaluate sloth bear distribution in India have also ignored the issue of detectability. In this study, bear sign was recorded in 83 out of 139 sampled grid cells, generating a naı̈ve occupancy of 0.60. Through incorporation of imperfect detection of animals into occupancy models, the estimated proportion of area occupied by sloth bears substantially increased to 0.79, a 24% increase over the naı̈ve estimate. Covariates influencing detection probability and occurrence The estimated detection probability of sloth bear droppings was 0.47, which is considerably high for Ursus 25(2):111–120 (2014) this low-density species (e.g., Yoganand et al. 2006). This is possibly due to either intensive search by observers, and/or bears preferably defecating in available open spaces. Alternatively, unlike habitat of the southwestern population of bears, these patches are isolated and are smaller (,321 km2; Ramesh et al. 2012) in size, which could have led to high detection probability. An occupancy study in Mudumalai (Ramesh et al. 2012) showed weak influences of termite mounds (AICtermites . AICnull) and fruiting trees (AICfruiting trees . AICnull) in the occupancy models, undermining their importance. This can be explained by diverse availability of food resources in Mudumalai (Ramesh et al. 2009). On the contrary, the current study regions remained resource-limited during the surveyed season, resulting in enhanced dependence on the only available 118 CONSERVATION OF SLOTH BEARS N Das et al. resources—termite mounds and possibly, feeding trees. Therefore, the only covariates that co-affected inhabitation–occupancy by the species, as predicted by the a priori hypothesis were (1) Tree and (2) Termite mounds. Trees, although not distinguished between feeding and non-feeding, could be a strong indicator of both hiding shelters and food resources in general. Conclusively, bears used only those areas of the forests that were secure in terms of food resources and safety. This finding mirrors reports of sloth bears using patches of Lantana shrub in Panna National Park in India (Yoganand et al. 2013) and areas with thick vegetation cover in Royal Chitwan National Park in Nepal (Laurie and Seidensticker 1977). In congruence to our a priori hypothesis and the findings of Ratnayeke et al. (2007), grazing pressure had a negative influence on occupancy, but lopping influenced it positively (though weakly). Usage of lopped sites by bears is explained by the severe limitation of space because most of these habitats are small and exist as disconnected islands. However, occupancy analysis was limited by our inability to include or record ‘‘presence–distance from den–cave’’ as a possible covariate; we feel that foraging explorations and hence site selection– settlement depend on proximity to den site, as predicted by Multiple Central Place Foraging Theory (Chapman et al. 1989) and/or the energymaximizing strategy hypothesis (Hall 1962, Schoener 1971). Similar studies on sloth bears in the future should explore the role of presence–absence of ‘‘den site’’ on site occupancy. Recommendation for conservation of the species Management intervention for the species’ protection and conservation should include the following: Firstly, Agoli RF, Benakal RF, and Bukkasagara RF require immediate management plans that ensure their strict protection. Secondly, removal of trees, including the ones not fed on by bears, should be curtailed immediately. Thirdly, because the sloth bear is the umbrella species in the region, habitats in Bukkasagara RF, Agoli RF, and Benakal RF could be enriched through planting of native tree species (fruit-bearing or otherwise), which can serve as both hiding and/or escape areas and food resources. Fourthly, moisture content of the soil is to be maintained within a range that facilitates nesting by termites (Wood 1988). 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