4 Mandates For Facebook Advertising During Holiday 2015 INTELLIGENCE BRIEF | ID-BASED ADVERTISING 4 Mandates For Facebook Advertising During Holiday 2015 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This holiday season, consumer brand marketers should prepare to ramp their spend at least 100 percent above normal benchmarks, reserve a test-budget for mobile commerce and test innovative direct-response ad units like dynamic product ads and News Feed carousel ads. AUTHORS Harry Johnson, Director, Ad Innovation Ben Weiss, Content Strategist DATA ANALYSIS Noah Slafer, Lead Ad Analyst Ryan Mason, Senior Ad Manager Matt Burton, Senior Ad Manager 1 4 Mandates For Facebook Advertising During Holiday 2015 Introduction The annual holiday shopping season is throttling up. Below are key trends marketers should know this year. SHOPPING STARTED EARLY, WITH PEAK SHOPPING TIME APPROACHING RAPIDLY While holiday shopping now occurs almost year round, Epsilon surveyed 3,000 consumers in the United States and found 70 percent of holiday shopping will occur between October and December 15, 2015. BRICK AND MORTAR COMPRISE THE MAJORITY OF HOLIDAY SALES, THOUGH ONLINE SALES KEEP GROWING While consumers shop for the holidays more in-store than online, Deloitte predicts online holiday sales will grow 9 percent in 2015. Experian predicts 25 percent of all digital sales will occur during the “peak week” of November 25 - December 1, which includes Thanksgiving, Black Friday and Cyber Monday. ONLINE SALES GREW FASTER THAN IN-STORE SALES IN 2014. Online sales: 6.8% growth over 2013 In-store sales: 4% growth over 2013 - National Retail Federation, January 2015 90% of SocialCode brand clients that deployed Facebook spend during Q4 2014 committed budget for MOBILE IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN EVER Mobile a more important commerce channel this year. IBM reports mobile accounted for roughly half of all online traffic last year, and that Black Friday mobile sales accounted for 28 percent of all online sales, a figure forecasted to continue growing this year. Mobile also continues to be a key research channel. Facebook data show that more than half of all in-store sales were influenced by mobile research. Why market to known audiences this holiday season? Scaling holiday media budget on ad platforms like Facebook and Instagram -- tied to known consumer IDs -- is an excellent way to drive sales efficiently when holiday research and buying happens across multiple months, devices and physical/virtual locations. Since marketers are targeting known audiences on these platforms, marketers can: Make their holiday creative more relevant to audience segments Maximize consumer response across devices Attribute in-store purchases to digital ad exposures For marketers that decide to invest in these “ID-based” platforms, SocialCode has put together mandates that will drive success with Facebook advertising this holiday season. Q4 2015 campaigns. 40% of this cohort pre-booked more budget than they spent in Q4 2014. The median budget increase among those advertisers was 13% (Q4 2014 actual vs. booked Q4 2015). We anticipate many of these trends will apply to Instagram as well, and have mapped a learning agenda to guide Instagram-specific best practices. 2 4 Mandates For Facebook Advertising During Holiday 2015 1. Justify higher delivery costs for holiday sales campaigns with higher Return on Ad Spend (RoAS) SocialCode data from a sample of major U.S. retailers and brands show that between October and Cyber Monday last year, when bidding for actions in the desktop News Feed, CPM costs grew 100 percent. This makes sense, as competition (and therefore price) increases during holiday time, when marketers flood the platform to serve impressions to people who converted in the past, and who have a full keyboard and large display to browse and buy products. spend surges were justified by an average 135-percent increase in RoAS across all three events, compared to non-holiday sales benchmarks. FIGURE 2: RoAS Increases Justify Spend Increases, SocialCode Client Sample, Holiday Season 2014 RoAS Increase Spend Increase Increase RoASSpend Increase FIGURE 1: CPM Relative Cost Increase By Bid Type and Placement, SocialCode Client Sample, Holiday Season 2014 125% 100% 75% 50% Black Friday 25% 0% October Thanksgiving Black Friday Cyber Monday Pre-Christmas Cyber Monday Thanksgiving Weekend Post-Christmas -25% -50% Mobile Reach Mobile Action Desktop Reach Desktop Action Right-Hand Column Reach These data show opportunity to start cycling holiday content into campaigns immediately, as consumers increase their holiday-shopping agenda and market prices are still stable. Direct-response marketers that want to ensure their holiday promotions reach the right people therefore need more budget than non-holiday campaigns; an expense justified by greater-than-normal RoAS. To illustrate, SocialCode analyzed holiday data from a sample of direct-response marketers that ran large-scale campaigns in 2014. Clients increased spend 424 percent from non-holiday benchmarks on Black Friday, 1023 percent on Cyber Monday and 387 percent on Thanksgiving weekend. These 2. Avoid cost spikes with mobile advertising when running brand campaigns Marketers running brand campaigns that do not generate direct revenue may think to pause campaigns during the holidays to avoid higher market costs. However, our CPM data from last year show campaigns optimized for reach and served in the mobile News Feed (a best practice for brand campaigns) maintained relatively stable costs throughout the holiday season. On Black Friday, for example, mobile CPMs were only 3.96 percent higher than the November average. By contrast, desktop CPMs were 60.45 percent higher compared to the November average. Marketers can take advantage of increased marketplace 3 4 Mandates For Facebook Advertising During Holiday 2015 activity while avoiding premium CPMs this year by investing branding dollars into mobile and bidding for reach rather than actions. FIGURE 3: Mobile Versus Desktop CPM Percent Increase During Thanksgiving and Black Friday, SocialCode Client Sample, Holiday Season 2014 80% 60.45% 60% 40% 19.88% 20% 9.45% 0% Thanksgiving 3.96% Black Friday Average Mobile Reach CPM, Percent Increase Over November Average Average Desktop Reach CPM, Percent Increase Over November Average 3. Reserve test budget for mobile commerce this holiday season Secure, mobile payment solutions -- on platforms like Messenger -- are growing in popularity, while mobile devices are becoming bigger and mobile experiences getting better. This mixture means people will soon be able to make purchases as easily from mobile as they can on desktop. Marketers should test how audiences respond to mobile direct-response content when purchase activity throttles up. 4. Use innovative ad types like dynamic product ads and News Feed carousel to amplify performance DYNAMIC PRODUCT ADS Dynamic product ads allow marketers with many stock-keeping units (SKUs) to automatically serve relevant Facebook ads, on any device, to qualified people that visit their website. The process works programmatically, triggering pre-designed creative urging consumers to purchase the same or similar items they previously viewed or added to their cart on site. Dynamic product ads can also automatically serve relevant items to people who recently made a purchase (i.e. an accessory to match a piece of clothing). This product creates an opportunity to drive even better direct-response performance, especially during periods of heavy consumerism like the winter holidays. One of SocialCode’s Fortune 500 retail clients has been scaling the product since it launched, maintaining a RoAS that is 10x higher than the brand’s direct-response benchmarks, while increasing daily spend 4x per day since launch. FIGURE 4: F500 Retailer, RoAS With Dynamic Product Ads, 16-Day Sample, September 2015 4 4 Mandates For Facebook Advertising During Holiday 2015 NEWS FEED CAROUSEL News Feed carousel ads give direct-response marketers a way to display multiple products at once in a side-scrollable unit, with multiple click points that drive to unique offsite purchase pages. With the new addition of video in the carousel unit, marketers have a suite of tools to grab attention, build awareness and drive conversion in one place. This format proved highly valuable during a recent online sales campaign of a major footwear retailer. After testing carousel ads against single-image link ads, we found a 2x RoAS lift and 61-percent lift in clicks to the brand’s website. When using carousel ads, it is best practice to tell a cohesive narrative through the different creative cells, rather than serving an assortment of random products. FIGURE 5: Major Footware Retailer, Carousel Versus Link Ad RoAS, July 2015 Carousel Ad Link Ad Case study: F500 retailer drives high holiday returns with offers and urgency SocialCode deconstructed one client holiday campaign that spent more than $800,000 during the 2014 holiday season. While the campaign was excellent from a performance perspective, it was also attached to a rich creative learning agenda, producing insights like the following: OFFERS DRIVE HIGHER ROAS We served dozens of creative variations to different audience segments. We grouped the creative into three buckets: free shipping, miscellaneous offers (i.e. free gift) and no offers. Creative with free shipping and miscellaneous offers performed better than creative with no offers. This indicates marketers should test a variety of promotions ranging from free shipping to percent discounts, free gifts and buy-one-get-one to see which drives their specific audiences to action. URGENCY DRIVES ACTION We then a/b tested each offer with one variation emphasizing the offer’s end date and another that did not. In 4/5 cases, creative emphasizing end dates drove RoAS between 1.3-1.6x higher than those without end dates. This suggests urgent language emphasizing people take action soon is a best practice during large holiday campaigns. RoAS About SocialCode SocialCode is a technology and insights company that manages digital advertising for the world’s leading consumer brands. SocialCode’s automated advertising technology and strategic services group have enabled hundreds of brands, including 30 of the Fortune 100, to maximize paid media performance and capture actionable insights from consumer data on advertising platforms like Facebook®, Twitter, Instagram and Pinterest. 5
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