InternationalTrade References Griffin and Pustay, Chapter 6; Rugman and Collinson, Chapter 6 FundamentalIssues » Whytrade? » Tradetheories:AbsoluteAdvantage,ComparativeAdvantage andNewTradetheory » Barrierstotrade:protectionismandtheimpactoftariffs » FreetradeandtheWTO International Trade, MBA | 2 page 1 Why Trade Internationally? » Non‐availabilityofgoodsorservices » Permanentand/ortemporarynon‐availability » Productdifferentiation » Consumerspreferdiversity » Differencesininfrastructure,resourceendowmentand technology » Theoriesofabsoluteadvantage,comparativeadvantage andNew TradeTheory International Trade, MBA | 3 Theoretical Underpinnings AbsoluteAdvantage » AdamSmitharguedthatagivencountryhasanabsoluteadvantageover anothercountryintheproductionofagoodifitusesfewerresourcesto producethatgoodthantheothercountrydoes ComparativeAdvantage » DavidRicardoarguedthatagivencountryhasacomparativeadvantage intheproductionofagoodifthatgoodcanbeproducedatalower opportunitycost,relativetotheproductionofanothercountry » Acountryshouldproduceandexportthosegoodsandservicesforwhichit isrelativelymoreproductivethanothercountries International Trade, MBA | 4 page 2 Absolute Advantage: An Example Amutualabsoluteadvantage: Product : UAE Brazil 6tons peracreofland 2tons peracreofland 2tons peracreofland 6tons peracreofland Now,supposetheUAEandBrazildivideup100acresoflandeachtoobtain equalunitsofbananaanddateproduction: : Before specialisationandtrade Product TotalOutput UAE Brazil 25acresx6tons/acre 150tonsofdates + 75acresx2tons/acre 150tonsofdates + 75acresx2tons/acre 150tonsofbananas 25acresx6tons/acre 150tonsofbananas 300tons 300tons International Trade, MBA | 5 Absolute Advantage – Gains from Trade Becausebothcountrieshaveanabsoluteadvantageintheproductionofa differentproduct– allotherthingsbeingequal– bothwillbenefitfrom productspecialization and tradewithoneanother. Anagreementtotrade300tonsofEmiratidatesoffor300tonsofBrazilian bananaswoulddoubletheconsumptionoftheseproductsinbothcountries. Putdifferently,post‐tradewithBraziltheUAEcouldconsume600,not300 tonsofproduce: PRODUCTION Product Total AFTERSPECIALISATIONANDTRADE CONSUMPTION UAE Brazil UAE Brazil 100acresx6tons 600tons 0acres 0 tons 300tons ofdates + 300tons ofdates + 0acres 0 tons 100acresx6tons 600tons 300tons ofbananas 300tons ofbananas 600tons 600tons 600tons 600tons International Trade, MBA | 6 page 3 Comparative Advantage: An Example Product India Oman 6tonsofpapayaperacreofland 1ton ofpapaya peracreofland 50acres x6=300tons 75acres x1=75tons 6tons ofmangoperacreofland 3tonsofmango peracreofland 50acres x6=300tons 25acres x3=75tons 600tons 150tons TotalOutput Evenifacountryhadaabsoluteadvantageintheproductionofallgoods, Ricardowouldarguethatspecializationandtradearestillmutuallybeneficial. Thisisbecausewhencountriesspecializeinproducingthegoodsinwhich theyhaveacomparativeadvantage,theymaximizetheircombinedoutput andallocatetheirresourcesmoreefficiently. Ifeachcountry specializes inthosegoodswheretheyhavea comparative advantage,thentotaloutputand economicwelfare canbe increased. Thisistrueevenifonenationhasan absoluteadvantage over anothercountry. International Trade, MBA | 7 Comparative Advantage – Opportunity Cost Priortospecialisationandexploitingagivencomparativeadvantagethe internalOpportunityCostforeachcountrymustfirstbeconsidered: Opportunity “cost”ofpapaya Tonsofmango givenup Opportunity “cost”ofmango Tonsofpapaya gained India Tonsofpapaya givenup Tonsofmango gained India 1 1 Oman 1 1 ⅓ 1 Oman 3 1 Indiahasacomparativeadvantagein papayaproduction Omanhasacomparativeadvantagein mangoproduction International Trade, MBA | 8 page 4 Comparative Advantage – Specialisation Step1:Omanspecialisesinmangoproduction.Indiacannotcompletely specializeinpapayabecauseitneeds300tonsofmangoandwillnotbeableto getenoughmangofromOman,ittransfers25acresoutofmangoandinto papaya AFTERSPECIALISATION Product India Oman 75acres x6=450tons 0acres =0tons 25acres x6=150tons 100acres x3=300tons International Trade, MBA | 9 Comparative Advantage – Gains from Trade Step2:IndiaandOmantrade.Aftertrading,India’stotalofbothgoods increasesfrom600to700tons,Oman’stotalofbothgoodsincreasesfrom150 to200tons. POSTTRADECONSUMPTION Product India Oman IndiasendstoOman100tonsofits450toncropofpapaya (450‐100=) (0+100=) 350tons 100tons OmansendstoIndia200tonsofits300toncropofmangoes TotalOutput (150+200=) (300‐200=) 350tons 100tons 700tons 200 tons International Trade, MBA | 10 page 5 Comparative Advantage – in the real world CanComparativeAdvantageexplaintradetoday? » Ricardo'stheory ofcomparativeadvantagewasfurtherdevelopedby Heckscher,OhlinandSamuelsonwhoarguedthatcountrieshave different factorendowments oflabour,landandcapitalinputs. » Countrieswill specialise inand export thoseproductswhichuse intensivelythefactorsofproductionwhichtheyaremostendowed. » Thistheorycanexplainthetradewhichoccursbetweencountrieswith differentfactorendowmentssuchastheUAEandChina. International Trade, MBA | 11 UAE: Revealed Comparative Advantage » TheBalassa RevealedComparativeAdvantage(RCA)Indexbasedonthe Ricardian comparativeadvantageconceptallowsustocalculateempirically theindustrieswhereacountryhasacomparativeadvantageintrade. Exports as a share of total exports (%) 27.11 49.87 Exports as a share of world exports (%) 5.38 1.93 Net trade ‐7,788,217 23,403,632 Specialisation (BalassaRCA Index ) 10.7 3.8 (76) Aluminium and articles thereof (25) Salt, sulphur, earth, stone, plaster, lime and cement 2.19 1.21 434,706 2.4 0.46 0.88 ‐8,495 1.8 (69) Ceramic products 0.41 0.79 ‐304,968 1.6 (78) Lead and articles thereof 0.06 0.67 17,468 1.5 (17) Sugars and sugar confectionery 0.38 0.7 ‐518,933 1.4 (01) Live animals 0.14 0.56 ‐178,190 1.1 Industry (71) Pearls, precious stones, metals, coins, (27) Mineral fuels, oils, distillation products Source: INTERNATIONAL TRADE CENTRE 2010 International Trade, MBA | 12 page 6 New Trade Theory inthe20thcentury,alargeshareoftradeoccurredbetweencountrieswithvery similarcharacteristicsandfactorendowments,NewTradeTheorysuggested somereasonsforthis: TradeCosts » PaulKrugman arguesthatthe'costoftradeeffect'caneliminatesomeof theabsoluteand/orcomparativeadvantagesofinternationaltrade,costs includetransportation,exchangerateriskandimport/exporttariffs Consumerpreferences » Consumerspreferadiversechoiceofbrandse.g BMWandToyota. TheEUisboththelargestexporterandimporterofcarsworldwide EconomiesofScale » Productionfavourseconomiesofscale,itisnotprofitabletospreadthe productionofe.g.carsallovertheworld,onlyafewcountrieswillbe specialisedinproducingcars. International Trade, MBA | 13 Barriers to Trade PROTECTIONISM IS: agivencountry'spolicyofrestraininginternationaltrade TARIFFS ARE: dutiesortaxesimposedonimportedgoods International Trade, MBA | 14 page 7 Protectionism Reasonsfortariffs: » Toretaliateagainstdumping:thesellingofgoodsatapricebelow thatinthehomecountry,orbelowcost,toprotectlocalindustry » Toraiserevenuesforthegovernment » Toreduceforeignexpendituresbycitizensinordertoimprovethe country’sbalanceofpayments » Tariffs(orcustomsduties)includeimportandexporttariffs Quantitylimits: » Quotasareaquantitylimitonimportedgoods.Embargoisaquota settozero. International Trade, MBA | 15 The ‘Free Market’ Alternative TheWorldTradeOrganisationseekstopromote‘freetrade’and reduceprotectionistpolicies » Promotetradeflowsbyencouragingnationstoadopt nondiscriminatory,tradepolicies » Reduceremainingtradebarriersthroughmultilateralnegotiation » Establishimpartialproceduresforresolvingtradedisputesamong members » CriticismsofWTO: » 2001Doharoundnotcompleted » SinceDohalargeincreaseinbilateralFTAs » Placestradeabovehealth,socialandenvironmental concerns International Trade, MBA | 16 page 8
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