MEDIA RELEASE EMBARGOED UNTIL 12.01AM WEDNESDAY AUGUST 17, 2011 QLD first time buyers save for 3.9yrs to get on property ladder Bankwest research released today has found that although the property market has softened somewhat over the past year this has had little impact on housing affordability for first time buyers across Queensland. The latest report in the Bankwest Financial Indicator Series – the third annual “First Time Buyer Deposit Report” shows that the average time it takes a first time buyer couple to save a house deposit in Queensland is 3.9 years*. This figure represents a modest improvement from last year (4.3 years) but is slightly higher than five years ago when it took first home buyers an average of 3.7 years to save a deposit to get onto the property ladder. Bankwest Senior Analyst, Tim Crawford said, “Over the past financial year there were 15,746 first home buyers across Queensland which is 36% lower than the previous year.” “The fact that first time buyers need to save for long periods for a deposit, especially in Brisbane, directly contributes to this drop in new buyers entering the property market.” In Brisbane, a first time buyer couple would need to save for 4.0 years to raise a 20% deposit, down from a 4.5 year savings period in June 2010 but up from a 3.7 year savings period in June 2006. Based on a 20% deposit first home buyers in Brisbane would need to save an average of $81,200 which is a 30% rise compared to five years ago when it was $62,500. Across capital cities, first time buyers in Brisbane, Adelaide and Hobart have to save for the shortest period of time (all 4.0 years) to get a foothold on the property ladder. First time buyers in Sydney have to save for the longest period of time (5.7 years), followed by Melbourne (5.4 years). “Over the past year, all capital cities have seen a modest improvement in the time it takes a first home buyer to purchase their first property, led by Brisbane,” Mr Crawford said. “However despite this, over the past five years house prices in Brisbane have risen by 27% compared with a 21% increase in wages, which points to a deterioration in housing affordability.” In over a third (38%) of Local Government Areas (LGAs) across Brisbane it would take a first time buyer couple more than 4.0 years to save a 20% deposit for the median house price. This contrasts with the majority (91%) of LGAs in regional Queensland where it would take less than four years for couples to save a 20% house deposit. In regional Queensland it would take an average of 2.7 years to save a 20% house deposit. “This means that if first time buyers started saving now for the median Brisbane house price they would be in a position to purchase their first home in mid 2015, whereas in regional Queensland this would be early 2014.” *based on a 25-34 yr old couple saving 20% of their combined pre-tax income annually 1 of 5 The increased cost of living and the reduction in the First Home Owner Grant, coupled with the general sentiment of first time buyers not wanting to take out substantial loans in the current economic environment, all contribute to the slump in the first home buyer market. “For the property market to prosper there needs to be a consistent number of first time buyers as historically this has been the catalyst for growth in the sector.” Mr Crawford said. Other findings: • It would take a first time buyer couple 5.4yrs to save a 20% deposit for a house in Noosa, the longest savings times of any LGA in Queensland. • It would take a first time buyer couple 0.5 yrs to save a 20% deposit for a house in Paroo, the shortest savings period in Queensland. • In Brisbane and surrounds, the shortest saving period for first time buyers is in Ipswich, 2.7 years for a house deposit. • In Brisbane, it would take longer than 4 yrs to save a 20% deposit for the median house in 38% of LGAs (3 out of 8 LGAs). This compares to 50% of LGAs in 2010 (4 out of 8) and 13% of LGAs in in June 2006 (1 out of 8). • Saving a 20% deposit for the median unit in Brisbane would take a first time buyer couple 3.3 yrs. This compares to 3.5 yrs in June 2010 and 2.9 years in June 2006. Data for the First Time Buyer Deposit Report is derived from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census, the ABS Wage Price index with house prices from Residex. Bankwest’s researchers analysed local incomes of potential first time buyers – measured by census data on incomes of 25-34 year olds – along with local house and unit prices. A full list of results for all 544 LGAs across Australia is available in the Bankwest First Time Buyer Report 2011 at www.bankwest.com.au. - ENDS Note: Tables can be found on the following page and high resolution Affordability Maps are available upon request. For more information contact: Tatiana Day Bankwest National Media Manager 0467 717 209 [email protected] Kate Lord Bankwest Media Manager 0467 736 662 [email protected] 2 of 5 Table 1- First Time Buyer Deposit savings times by state Yrs to save house deposit (June 2011) Yrs to save house deposit (June 2010) Yrs to save house deposit (June 2006) Change over 1 yr Change over 5 yrs Savings needed for 20% House Deposit $s (June 2011) Northern Territory 4.6 4.8 3.4 -0.2 1.2 86,900 Victoria 4.4 4.4 3.4 0.0 1.0 86,300 NSW 4.3 4.5 4.4 -0.2 -0.1 88,700 ACT 4.2 4.2 3.5 0.0 0.7 101,100 Western Australia 4.0 4.3 4.6 -0.3 -0.6 83,100 Queensland 3.9 4.3 3.7 -0.3 0.2 74,700 South Australia 3.7 3.7 3.2 0.0 0.5 66,200 Tasmania 3.4 3.4 3.2 -0.1 0.2 54,700 Australia 4.1 4.3 3.8 -0.2 0.3 80,500 Table 2- First Time Buyer Deposit savings times by capital city Yrs to save house deposit (June 2011) Yrs to save house deposit (June 2010) Yrs to save house deposit (June 2006) Change over 1 yr Change over 5 yrs Savings needed for 20% House Deposit $s (June 2011) Sydney 5.7 6.0 5.3 -0.3 0.4 127,700 Melbourne 5.4 5.5 3.9 0.0 1.5 111,700 Darwin 4.2 4.5 3.3 -0.2 1.0 93,100 Perth 4.2 4.5 4.9 -0.3 -0.7 88,000 Canberra 4.2 4.2 3.5 0.0 0.7 101,100 Brisbane 4.0 4.5 3.7 -0.4 0.3 81,200 Hobart 4.0 4.1 3.7 0.0 0.3 70,100 Adelaide 4.0 4.1 3.4 0.0 0.6 73,600 Capital city average 4.5 4.6 4.0 -0.2 0.5 93,313 3 of 5 Table 3 - LGAs where it takes longest for First Time Buyers to save a house deposit in Qld Yrs to save house deposit (June 2011) Savings needed for 20% House Deposit $s (June 2011) LGA Region State Noosa Sunshine Coast Qld 5.4 95,100 Maroochy Sunshine Coast Qld 4.8 84,400 Brisbane Brisbane Qld 4.8 98,300 Caloundra Sunshine Coast Qld 4.8 83,100 Gold Coast Gold Coast Qld 4.8 88,100 Crows Nest Darling Downs Qld 4.5 76,100 Woocoo Wide Bay-Burnett Qld 4.3 67,900 Miriam Vale Wide Bay-Burnett Qld 4.3 67,100 Beaudesert Brisbane Qld 4.2 85,500 Redland Brisbane Qld 4.1 82,600 Table 4- LGAs where it takes the least time for First Time Buyers to save a house deposit in Qld Yrs to save house deposit (June 2011) Savings needed for 20% House Deposit $s (June 2011) LGA Region State Paroo South West Qld 0.5 8,800 Quilpie South West Qld 0.7 11,300 Flinders North West Qld 0.8 18,100 Richmond North West Qld 1.0 20,900 Winton Central West Qld 1.0 17,500 McKinlay North West Qld 1.1 23,100 Tambo Central West Qld 1.1 18,800 Eidsvold Wide Bay-Burnett Qld 1.2 17,200 Bendemere South West Qld 1.2 20,700 Booringa South West Qld 1.2 20,900 4 of 5 Table 5 - Savings periods for a house deposit for First Time Buyers by LGA in Brisbane Savings needed for 20% House Deposit (June 2011) LGA Region State Yrs to save house deposit (June 2011) Ipswich Brisbane Qld 2.7 53,000 Logan Brisbane Qld 3.2 63,200 Caboolture Brisbane Qld 3.3 65,000 Redcliffe Brisbane Qld 3.5 69,600 Pine Rivers Brisbane Qld 3.8 76,900 Redland Brisbane Qld 4.1 82,600 Beaudesert Brisbane Qld 4.2 85,500 Brisbane LGA Brisbane Qld 4.8 98,300 Methodology The time taken for first time buyers to save a deposit has been calculated by comparing house and unit prices by local government area with regional income data for potential first time buyers (represented by 25-34 year olds). Calculations are based on first time buyers saving 20% of the median house or unit price, including available first home owners’ grants. Deposit savings times have been calculated on the basis of a first time buyer couple setting aside 20% of their combined pre-tax income annually. The calculation assumes the savings are deposited in an online savings account each month and earn interest on this basis. Interest earned is assumed to be taxed at an individual’s marginal tax rate. Income levels for 25-34 year olds have been used as a proxy for potential first time buyer incomes. Income data has been sourced at a statistical district level. Average income data by statistical district has been sourced from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) census 2006. Income levels for 2011 and 2010 have been estimated using the increase in the ABS wage price index over the subsequent period. Median house and unit prices have been sourced from Residex and are for the years June 2006, June 2010 and June 2011. Data for industry average online savings account rates has been sourced from the RBA. Data on the number of first-time buyers has been sourced from the ABS Housing Finance series. About Bankwest: Bankwest provides personal and business banking solutions for more than one million retail and business customers across Australia. Bankwest customers enjoy access to an extensive network of stores and business centres, direct and third party distribution channels, agencies and electronic banking facilities, as well as 24-hour telephone and internet banking. In 2010, Bankwest was chosen as the AFR Smart Investor Blue Ribbon Awards 2010 Bank of the Year. Bankwest is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia Group. 5 of 5
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