National Centre of Competence in Research (NCCR) Challenges to Democracy in the 21st Century Working Paper No. 93 Issue Competition between Parties across Communication Channels: An Empirical Analysis of the 2011 Swiss Federal Elections Caroline Dalmus, University of Fribourg Regula Hänggli, University of Fribourg Laurent Bernhard, University of Zurich Contact: [email protected] July 2016 Abstract During election campaigns one central question arises for parties: Which issues should they focus on? The literature offers two prominent theories explaining parties’ issue choices, namely the issue ownership theory, which argues that parties focus on the issues they own and the riding the wave theory, which endorses that parties predominantly focus on issues that are of public relevance and prominent in the media. While the prior leads to issue divergence (actors talk about different issues), the latter produces issue convergence (actors talk about the same issues). Empirical support exists for both theories, which leads to the assumption that other factors may influence parties’ issue choices as well. In the present study we argue that different communication channels foster different issue choices. We conducted a quantitative content analysis on the 2011 Swiss federal elections 1. We analyze statements from political parties in party owned and media-owned channels, namely paid advertising (n=1’697), election manifestos (n=132), press releases (n=341), and newspapers (n=534). The results reveal that issue choices vary across communication channels. While a stronger focus on each party’s core issues can be detected in paid advertisement, issue convergence increases in election manifestos and proves to be highest in press releases. Keywords: issue competition, party behavior, election campaigns, news coverage, different communication channels 1 This study was supported by the National Center of Competence in Research ‘Challenges to Democracy in the 21st Century’ (NCCR Democracy), funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation. 1 INTRODUCTION During election campaigns setting the issue agenda is a crucial activity for political actors. Scholars have been studying the factors that influence these choices for decades. The two most prominent theories explaining parties’ issue choices are the issue ownership theory (Petrocick, 1996; Budge & Farlie, 1983; Robertson, 1976) and the riding the wave theory (Ansolabehere & Iyengar, 1994; Sides, 2006; Sigelman & Buell, 2004; Wagner & Meyer, 2014). While the prior argues that parties focus on the issues they own, the latter endorses that parties predominantly focus on issues which are of public relevance and prominent in the media. Numerous of studies have tested both theories and come to contradicting results: Some offer evidence for the dominance of the issue ownership strategy (e.g. Petrocick, 1996; Budge & Farlie, 1983), others for the wave-riding strategy (e.g. Sigelman & Buell, 2004; Sides, 2006). Here, the question arises, if the inconsistency in the results is owed to the fact that both strategies are conditioned by other factors. When looking closer at the different studies it becomes apparent that they all base their analyses on different communication channels, like party manifestos, advertisement or newspaper coverage. This is problematic, since different communication channels serve different needs and therefore might lead to varying issue choices according to channel. Indeed, ElmelundPraestekaer (2011) showed that issue agendas differ across channels due to strategic considerations. The author defined the level of control parties exert over a channel and the target audience they try to reach as the influencing factors. In the present study we ask the following: Do channles matter and in how far do strategic choices vary across those channels? For this purpose we analyze election manifestos, paid advertisment and press releases as well as newspaper coverage eight weeks prior to the Swiss elections in 2011. In a first step, we anlyze if the issue agendas in press releases, election manifestos and paid advertisement vary. Afterwards, we search for patterns that can explain possible variations. Here, we expect that one influencing factor is the characteristic of a channel as being mediated or unmediated. In a last step, we compare the agendas in press releases, election manifestos and paid advertisement with those in the 2 media coverage in order to analyze, if there are certain similarities or dissimilarities between the agendas in party controlled and media controlled communication channels. THEORY: ISSUE COMPETITION AND PARTIES’ STRATEGIES Setting an issue agenda is a central activity for political actors during election campaigns. While organizing events and having candidates showing their faces in the media is just a superficial aspect of election campaigns, it is the focus on issues that fills parties’ campaigns with content and gives substance to them. Through focusing on issues, parties create a picture of themselves and communicate what they stand for. Here, one central question arises for the parties: Which issues should they focus on? Numerous studies have focused on analyzing parties’ issue choices and have presented a variety of explanations for their behavior. One branch of research argues that parties’ decisions primarily rely on their issue ownership status (Petrocik, 1996). Parties may present issues selectively, since some issues work better for them than others (Budge and Farlie,1983, p. 271). Specific parties are perceived to have competence on specific issues, for example a liberal party when it comes to questions concerning the economy or social democrats when social questions are at stake. Therefore, the goal of parties is not to position themselves on a variety of given issues but to highlight only specific issues, predominantly those they consider to own. Through this behavior political actors have the capacity to contribute to the salience of issues in the news (Boydstun, 2013). Highlighting their preferred issues comes along with ignoring the other parties’ strong issues. Such behavior aims to reduce the salience of an opponent’s issue and can be described as a dismissive strategy (Meguid, 2005, p. 349). Robertson (1976) as well as Budge and Farlie (1983) were able to show in an analysis of election manifestos that candidates mainly emphasize issues exclusively associated with their own party when they appeal to a certain state or problem of society. Additionally, this behavior occurs when parties feel they are bound to win or to lose. A lesser emphasis on parties’ core issues occurs, when the respective parties feel to be in a competitive situation with other parties. In this case parties develop to be what Budge and Farlie (1983, p. 280) call ‘catch-all’ parties, 3 who move ‘across-the-board’ in order to not only “strengthen the commitment of previous party supporters” but also “capture the sympathy of even the strongest adherents of rival(s)”. Based on the ideas of the selective emphasis theory Carmines and Stimson (1993) developed their theory of issue competition, which refers to parties’ struggle about which issue should dominate the agenda. Since it is likely that issue ownership only has an influence on voters’ decisions if the issue is perceived as being important (Bélanger & Meguid, 2008, pp. 479-480), putting their issues on the agenda is crucial for parties. As it becomes apparent, the issue ownership strategy is characterized by issue divergence and therefore quite dissimilar party agendas. As a consequence, parties are said to talk past each other rather than engaging in dialogue (Riker, 1993, 4), which implies that “issue ownership theories suggest that a vital component of the democratic system does not function” (Kaplan, Park & Ridout, 2006, 725). Another problematic aspect about the issue ownership approach lies in the fact that parties choose their issues regardless of other factors such as voter priorities (Damore, 2005, 73) or issue saliency in the media. Some more recent studies have overcome this weakness by introducing the idea that political actors are confronted with issues being debated intensely in the media and therefore might have to focus on these issues as well (Ansolabehere & Iyengar, 1994; Sides, 2006; Sigelman & Buell, 2004; Wagner & Meyer, 2014). Such behavior is described as the ‘ride the wave’ strategy (Ansolabehere & Iyengar, 1994), following which political actors benefit from the salience of an issue in the media by intensifying their focus on it. Sides (2006) and Sigelman and Buell (2004) could show that besides focusing on core issues, political actors do elaborate on issues they do not own but which are currently discussed in the media and are important to the electorate. In contrast to issue ownership, wave-riding leads to issue convergence and therefore party agendas which are rather similar. While the issue ownership perspective may lead to the conclusion that it is solely the political actors who influence which issues are salient and which are not, the ‘ride the wave’ strategy also ascribes issue emphasis power to the media. Besides political actors media 4 may introduce certain issues and influence their salience as well (Green-Pedersen & Stubager, 2010; Strömbäck & Nord, 2006; Van Aelst, Thesen, Walgrave, & Vliegenthart, 2014). Media do not just simply transmit issues and positions brought up by political actors, but select, ignore and emphasize them. Besides reflecting politics, media have an impact of their own on politicians and parties and are rather an “exogenous variable” with influencing power than a “dependent variable” (Hallin & Mancini, 2004, p. 8). They also have the ability to give visibility to issues of public importance or at least those they perceive as important. Additionally, media create and reflect what seems to be the public opinion and therewith give the people as well as politicians a point of orientation about what a majority of the people thinks concerning a specific issue. Not least, media actors have a high affinity for sensational events, crisis or catastrophes. Therefore, politicians as well as the media are able to set issues and influence their salience. As a consequence, the issue choice may be conditioned by both issue ownership as well as media attention. Considering communication channels. The literature presents support for both, the issue ownership strategy (e.g. Budge & Farlie, 1983; Petrocik, 1996) and the ‘riding the wave’ strategy (e.g. Sides, 2006; Sigelman &Buell, 2004; Damore, 2004; Petrocik, Benoit & Hansen, 2003-2004). Here, it becomes apparent, that most studies focus on a single channel or two maximum. While Budge & Farlie (1983) or Wagner and Meyer (2014) analyze party manifestos, Sides (2006) focuses on advertisement and Siegelman and Buell (2004) or Petrocik (1996) on newspaper coverage. The question arises, if divergent results are owed to the different channels under observation. There is a possibility that certain strategies work in some channels but are less useful in others. This consideration is owed to the fact that channels differentiate in the level of control political actors exert over them and the target groups they address. While channels like party manifestos or paid advertising are clearly and solely controlled by parties, other channels are media controlled (Elmelund-Praestekaer, 2011, pp. 40-42; Walter & Vliegenthart, 2010, p. 444) or at least strongly controled by media’s logic. Therefore, political actors not only have the electorate as target group but also 5 the media, which “are the key in the battle for votes” (Strömbäck & Van Aelst, 2013, p.347), since they are the intermediary between the political system and the voters (Mazzoleni & Schulz, 1999, p. 250). Being the first scholar to systematically analyze parties’ issue agendas in different channels (election manifestos, newspaper advertisement, letters-to-the-editor, TV presentation programs, party leader debates), Elmelund-Praestekaer (2011) could show in the case of Denmark that variations among channels exist due to strategic considerations of political actors. He hypothesized that the content of a party’s issue agenda is defined by the amount of control a party exerts over a channel and the audience a channel is aiming at. The results showed that the agendas of media controlled channels were most congruent with the agenda of election manifestos, while party controlled channels showed less congruence with the election manifestos. In the case of negative campaigning Walter and Vliegenthart (2010) could also show that channels matter and strategies of political actors vary between paid publicity, election debates and newspaper coverage. It seems to play a crucial role if information is transmitted to the electorate directly or indirectly via the media. In the present study, communication channels are therefore referred to as being either mediated or unmediated (Hänggli, 2015, p. 6). Unmediated channels are characterized by their direct link between parties and the electorate. There is no “gatekeeper” who needs to be passed or convinced. The control over the content lies solely in the hands of the parties. While mediated channels do also aim at the electorate, the information does not directly flow to the people but has to pass the media. Political actors depend on journalists and editors who decide what and who they will report on, or, like Strömbäck and Nord (2006, p. 161) put it: “On the dance floor, the political actors are doing what they can to invite the journalists to dance, but ultimately, it is the journalists who choose who they are going to dance with”. Political actors are therefore forced to create content, which is likely to be picked up by the media. Parties can focus on an issue which is already salient in the media due to catastrophes or crisis. They herewith increase visibility and show that they are 6 concerned (Walgrave & Van Aelst, 2006, p. 101). Such behavior might be fruitful especially when an owned issue is big on the media’s agenda. They also can try to re-activate an issue which gained great media attention in the past and is likely to be picked up again. Additionally, bringing in a new issue is a possibility, assumed that it meets the selection rules of the media. Once picked up by the media information is then carried to the electorate through the news coverage. Besides the electorate, news coverage additionally reaches the political actors and thereby functions as reveres channel. On the one hand, actors can control in how far their information has been picked up and how their opponents’ behave. On the other hand, they can observe which issues are strong in the public debate. RESEARCH QUESTION AND HYPOTHESES In the present study we are interested in the following question: Do channles matter and in how far do they condition the presence of the issue ownership and the riding the wave strategy? In order to detect if channels matter at all, we need to analyze if there are any differences between the issue choices across channels. If issue ownership or wave-riding are the dominant or sole factors in defining the issue agendas and are independent of the regarded communication channel we should find no significant variation in issue choices across channels. If we do find variations though, this would indicate that the communication channel somehow conditions the usage of strategies. We expect to find variation across channels to that effect that the issue diversity will vary. Yet, the parties will “stay on message”, meaning that the focus on their core issues stays rather strong across all channels. We expect parties to focus stronger on core issues in paid advertisement, for example, and therefore expect a less diverse issue agenda. On the contrary, we expect higher issue diversity in election manifestos, since manifestos are published at a single point of time and serve the need to create a versatile picture of the party. H1: Parties tend to focus on their core issues, but their agendas are more diverse in mediated channels than in unmediated channels. 7 We assume that the crucial aspect defining issue choices of parties in different channels is the flow of information either directly or indirectly to the electorate. While information which directly flow to the electorate are independent from the media and its logic, information which pass the media need to fulfill certain characteristics in order to be picked up and used in the news coverage. Therefore, we expect that the difference of issue agendas in channels is dependent on whether a channel is mediated or unmediated. Through mediated channels political actors try to enter the media arena. Here, all actors face similar conditions and the same salient issues, which may motivate them to “ride the wave”. Due to this reason we expect issue agendas across parties to be similar in mediated channels. Unmediated channels leave more space for individual preferences. Parties not necessarily need to react to salient issues or meet media routines, but may focus on issues they feel to be competent on. Since those differ among parties we expect the parties’ issue agendas to be rather dissimilar in unmediated channels. This leads to the following hypothesis: H2: In mediated channels parties’ issue agendas are more similar than in unmediated channels. Finally, we expect to find a pattern concerning the parties’ communication channels and the newspaper coverage. Content in mediated channels is created to serve a specific need, namely to be visible in the media coverage. Additionally, information in mediated channels are likely to be produced as a reaction to ongoing media coverage. Therefore, it is likely that the issue agenda in mediated channels is rather similar to the agenda in news coverage. Unmediated channels, on the other hand, are less sensitive to actual media coverage or the media’s logic in general. Therefore, issue agendas in unmediated channels are expected to be rather dissimilar from the issue agenda in the news coverage. H3: Issue agendas in mediated channels are more similar to the issue agendas in the newspaper coverage than issue agendas in unmediated channels. 8 DATA, METHOD AND CASE SELECTION Data. As introduced above we differentiate between mediated and unmediated channels. In order to test our hypothesis we therefore need to analyze communication channels of both types. Paid advertisement represents a channel over which political actors exert maximal control. Besides the content, the actors also decide when, where and how often the advertisement will be published. There is no “gatekeeper” who needs to be passed or convinced. Same holds for election and party manifestos. Even though manifestos target a rather small part of the electorate, predominantly internal groups (Elmelund-Praestekaer, 2011, p. 42) such as party members and loyal voters, the link to them is direct and solely the parties decide about the content. Paid advertising and election manifestos are therefore chosen as unmediated channels. Press releases do not directly target the electorate. Yet, the goal of press releases is to get into the media and thereby reach the people indirectly. Even though it is the actors themselves who create the content of the press releases, they are constraint by the media’s logic. If journalists do not pick up the content of the press release, it is invisible for the electorate. Political actors are therefore forced to create press releases, which are likely to be picked up by the media. Press releases figure as mediated channel. Since some studies use media coverage to investigate the strategic choices of political actors we additionally include this “channel” in our analysis. We do not count newspaper coverage as a communication channel of the parties, because even though parties may transport their messages to the public through the media, they do not have control over this channel. Yet, we are interested in how far political actors may influence the issue agenda with which they occur in the media. The present study relies on two datasets. Newspaper articles, election manifestos and press releases were collected and content analyzed by the NCCR Democracy in Zurich. The data consist of a full sample of articles published during election times in the Swiss quality newspaper NZZ and the tabloid Blick during eight weeks prior to the elections 2011. Additionally, election manifestos and press releases published during this time were 9 analyzed. All together we include 924 texts distributed as followed: NZZ (n=545), Blick (n=143), election manifestos (n=59) and press releases (n=177). The level of analysis is statement on issues made by speakers, like single individuals (e.g. politicians) as well as groups of individuals (e.g. parties). In order to be coded, statements had to fulfill two requirements: First, a statement had to be on an issue concerning national politics. Second, the statement had to contain either an explicitly mentioned position or interpretation/elaboration on the issue. Statements on issues were coded concerning their content and style. In total, N=2’143 statements on the issues welfare, economy, budget, culture, Europe, education/leisure, army, security, immigration, institutional reforms, ecology, infrastructure, elections and events, which were divided into 127 subcategories were coded. Since the last two issue categories are not political ones they were excluded in the present study which led to a total of N=1’007 statements (election manifestos: n=132, press releases: n=341, newspaper articles: n=534). The coding was conducted by coders from different countries who were either trained in Mainz (Germany) or Zurich (Switzerland). The results concerning the reliability were satisfying. For the issue coding (14 top-issue categories, 127 sub-issue categories), a Scott’s Pi of .51 and Cohens Kappa of .50 was reached. The paid advertisement was collected and content analyzed by the project Année Politique Suisse. Originally, data was collected for the complete year 2011 in 24 newspapers. To make the data comparable to the data collected by the NCCR, we only took those advertisements for our analysis, which were published in the last eight weeks prior to Election Day. We included all 24 newspapers in our analysis, since a reduced focus only on the quality newspaper NZZ and the tabloid Blick would have biased the analysis. Parties not only advertise in the big newspapers but primarily in newspapers of regions where they are strong. Therefore, in order to get a complete picture of the advertisement activities we needed to include a greater number of newspapers. In total, N=1’219 advertisements containing 1’697 statements on issues were analyzed. Since the issue categories differed 10 from those of the NCCR democracy, they were recoded to fit the issue categories used for the analysis of the election manifestos, press releases and media output. Methods. In order to test hypothesis 1 we use a measure which captures attention diversity. Boydstun, Bevan & Thomas (2014) tested the inverse Herfindahl Index and Shannon’s H for their ability to capture the attention different issues on an agenda receive. Due to its higher sensitivity, especially when the level of diversity is either high or low, the authors recommend Shannon’s H and its normalized version as an appropriate measure for attention diversity (Boydstun, Bevan & Thomas, 2014, 193). In order to have a value ranging between 0 and 1 we use the normalized Shannon’s H: 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑛′ 𝑠 𝐻 ∗ = where: − ∑� 𝑖=1�𝑝(𝑥𝑖 )� ∗ ln 𝑝(𝑥𝑖 ) ln(𝑁) 𝑥𝑖 = item/issue 𝑝(𝑥𝑖 ) = the proportion of total attention the item/issue receives ln(𝑥𝑖 ) = the natural log of the proportion of attention the item/issue receives N = the total number of items/issues While a value of 0 indicates that a single issue on an agenda receives all the attention, a value of 1 is reached when all issues receive equal attention. In our case, for example, a value of one would be reached if all twelve issue categories would receive 8.3% of attention. In order to test hypotheses 2 and 3 we will use a convergence measure introduced by Siegelman & Buell (2004), which measures the similarity between two issue agendas. In our study we use this measure to compare issue agendas of two parties with each other as well as the issue agendas of one party in different channels. 𝑛 𝐶𝐶 = 100 − �� |𝑃1 −𝑃2 |� /2 𝑖=1 where: 11 𝑃1 = total attention issue agenda 1 devotes to a particular issue 𝑃2 = total attention issue agenda 2 devotes to a particular issue Using the formula will lead to values ranging between 0 and 100, where 0 indicates no convergence at all (all parties focus on completely different issues) and 100 equals complete convergence (all parties focus on the same issues). Especially in a multiparty system where some parties are ideologically closer than others, a value of 0 is unlikely, since some parties will always focus on similar issues. Additionally, it is likely that during elections some kind of dialogue appears (Simon, 2002, 3). Therefore, it is likely that in the present study we will always find a certain degree of convergence. The question arises when it is justified to talk of a rather low or high degree. Taking other studies as a benchmark, convergence should be higher in newspaper coverage and speeches than in advertisement and press releases. Siegelman & Buell (2004) analyzed the Times’s newspaper coverage from 1960 to 2000 and found an average convergence degree of 75.3. They further used data from other studies to check for the convergence in other communication channels. In the speeches of the 1968 US presidential candidates they found a convergence of 76.6. For television commercials during the US elections in 2000 they found a lower convergence value of 67.3 and analyzing party manifestos coded by the Manifesto Research Group, the lowest value of 65.3 was discovered. Case selection. The formulated hypotheses will be investigated in the context of the 2011 Swiss federal elections. This case is chosen, since political debates in Switzerland are of a substantial rather than a symbolic nature, even during election campaigns which are said to be primarily symbolic in a great number of countries (Walgrave & Van Aelst, 2006, p. 97). Additionally, the Swiss national elections, which are normally characterized by only marginal changes concerning party strength, showed in 2011 some noticeable alterations. While the mainstream parties rather lost, two unestablished parties, the Conservative Democrats (BDP) and the Green Liberals (GLP), were the winners of the election, both gaining 5.4% of the vote shares (Lachat, Lutz, & Stadelmann-Steffen, 2014, pp. 515-519). 12 Due to the fact that the 2011 elections were the first ones in which BDP and GLP competed, these elections are of higher interest. Additionally, results by Gerber and Bühlmann (2014) point in the direction that the usage of paid ads helped the unestablished parties to be successful. It is therefore of interest to further analyze the parties’ strategies in different channels. RESULTS Different channels, different issue diversity. In our first hypothesis we formulated the idea that channels matter when it comes to setting the issue agenda. Instead of solely expecting factors like issue ownership to influence parties’ choices we argued that different channels serve different purposes and that therefore the attention diversity will vary among channels since they demand different strategic actions. As we expected each party has (a) core issue(s) on which it focuses rather strongly in all analyzed channels. However, we can see that the attention diversity differs. **************************** Please insert Table 1 about here **************************** Table 1 shows the relative attention each party dedicates to the twelve issues under analysis as well as the amount of diversity for each channel and party (Shannon’s H). In the advertisement the parties’ issue agendas are rather homogenous. Instead of focusing on a variety of issues all parties focus on a rather small number. Here, the parties prefer issues aiming at their ideological core: In their advertisement, the SVP devotes 45 percent to their core issue immigration. The FDP even mentions in 52 percent of the statements their core issue economics. The GPS reaches the highest score with 67 percent of their statements being on the issue ecology. CVP and SP both strongly focus on questions concerning welfare (CVP: 34%, SP: 35%) and economics (CVP: 28%, SP: 21%), choices, which can 13 also be explained by their ideological identification: While the SP is strongly concerned with a variety of questions concerning the welfare state and the labor market, the CVP traditionally focuses on family politics and small and medium-sized enterprises. As for the BDP and the GLP it is not possible to state what their ideological core is, the issue they are traditionally identified with. This is owed to the fact that the 2011 elections were the first ones where both parties participated. However, just like the established parties both GLP and BDP reveal a similar pattern and focus their attention on a small number of issues: the GLP dedicates 61 percent of their statements to the issue ecology, which makes sense, since the party’s name already indicates that they are “green”. Additionally, they owe 24 percent of their statements to economics, which fits the liberal aspect of the party’s name. The BDP focuses on economics (40%) and education/leisure (20%). The strong focus on core issues also reflects itself in the diversity measure. Compared to the other channels, most parties reach the lowest diversity in their advertisement. On average, the parties’ attention diversity lies at .63, while the average for both election manifestos and press releases reaches the value .77. This indicates that the election manifestos as well as the press releases are less focused. Especially in the election manifestos we can see for most parties the tendency to make statements on a number of issues rather than to focus on only one or two issues strongly. This is owed to the fact that election manifestos are released prior to the elections and function to present a whole picture of what a party stands for. In manifestos parties not only focus on their core issues but also on numerous societal questions. Mediatized vs. unmediatized channels. In Hypothesis 2a and 2b we formulated that the crucial aspect lies in the channels characteristic, namely if it is a mediatized or an unmediatized channel. For mediatized channels we expect the parties’ issue agendas to be rather similar, since all parties aim at being in the news and face similar conditions for access. In the present paper we chose press releases as representative for mediated channels. In Table 2 we can see the convergence scores of all parties in the press releases, election manifestos and paid advertisements. 14 **************************** Please insert Table 2 about here **************************** In the press releases, the overall score across all seven parties is 55. Compared to the overall measures of the other two channel types the convergence is the highest (PM: 52, Ads: 47), yet, at a rather low level. This is owed to the fact that we are not regarding a twoparty system in which one party is strong on some issues and the opponent strong on the others. In the case of Switzerland we have seven parties of which some are ideologically closer than others. If we take a look at Table 4 we can see that the party furthest right, the SVP, and the party furthest left, the GPS, reach the lowest similarity with the other parties (SVP: 43, GPS: 51). All other parties reach measures equal to or above the overall mean. The differing similarities might be explained by the fact that several issues are salient in the media and important to the public. Right before the elections the parliament held its autumn session and decided on a number of issues and laws such as immigration and asylum laws as well as an enlargement of the army. Additionally, the economic crisis was still prevailing and a couple of month prior to the elections the nuclear catastrophe in Fukushima took place, an event, which can easily be reactivated by media and politicians to reinforce the issue nuclear and renewable energy. Therefore, not all parties necessarily focus on the same salient issues but choose those most convenient for them. While the right (SVP) heavily concerns itself with the issue immigration, the center-right (SVP, FDP, CVP, BDP, GLP) also focuses on the issue Europe. For the center parties (BDP, GLP) additionally budgetary questions are of interest. The issue ecology, predominantly nuclear and renewable energy, is focused on by the center-left (BDP, GLP, SP, GPS). Finally, the left (SP, GPS) also makes a higher amount of statements on the enlargement of the Swiss army. All parties mention the issue economic to a similar degree. 15 Looking at the overall convergence scores of press releases, election manifestos and advertisements we can report support for hypothesis 2. In comparison, the issue agendas have the highest convergence in the press releases. It becomes more pronounced, if we take into consideration that parties do not focus on all salient and publicly important issues equally but choose to “ride the wave” on an issue being most convenient to them. The advertisements show the lowest similarities, since here the parties strongly focus on one or two issues being at their ideological core, like we already pointed out at the beginning of the results. The measure for election manifestos is a bit higher, due to the parties aim to present a complete profile and position themselves on a number of issues. Getting in the news. Finally, we expected that parties’ issue agendas in the press releases (mediated channel) are rather similar to the issue agendas in the news coverage, while the issue agendas in election manifestos and paid advertising (unmediated channels) are rather dissimilar to the agendas in the media (Hypothesis 3). As we can see in Table 3, there is no general difference between the issue agendas in unmediated channels and the media and in mediated channels and the media. **************************** Please insert Table 3 about here **************************** At the level of single parties, we can see that for SVP, FDP and CVP the issue agendas in the press releases have the highest similarity with those in the media. This is owed to the fact that especially FDP and CVP publish press releases on a great number of issues. The SVP’s press releases are a bit less heterogeneous. Of the three parties, they reach the lowest convergence score between press releases and news coverage, especially since the issue immigration, which they focus on quite strongly in the press releases, gets hardly picked up by the media. For GLP and BDP the convergence between press releases and media output is quite low (GLP: 32, BDP: 38.5). Both parties appear heterogeneous in the 16 press releases but are reported on mainly homogenous, with statements on only a small number of issues. The GLP occurs with 63% of their statements on ecological questions. If we go one step further and analyze in how far the parties’ media agendas converge, we can observe that especially the agendas of the established parties become quite similar in the media coverage. Table 4 shows the overall convergence in the media coverage across parties. The overall mean is 60. If we differentiate between established (SVP, FDP, CVD, SP, GPS) and unestablished parties (GLP, BDP) though, we can see that the overall convergence score only among the established parties is much higher (75). It appears as if the media aims at reporting on issues quite heterogeneous by giving the readers not only one perspective on a topic but also the positions of the other established parties. **************************** Please insert Table 4 about here **************************** Of course it is not applicable how prominent each party occurs in an article, yet, the aim is to bring in multiple party perspectives on an issue and give all established players room for their statement on an issue. As a result, in the present study the actors do not primarily occur with statements on their preferred issues in the media, but are displayed as versatile players. On the contrary, the unestablished parties who came along quite versatile in the press releases are reduced to a small set of issues the few times they appear in the media coverage. This can be explained by the fact that political actors with power are more likely to occur in the media than actors who are less powerful. 17 CONCLUSION This study suggests that communication channels matter when it comes to issue competition in election times. While paid advertisements revealed a strong ideological core orientation, election manifestos contained statements on a larger variety of issues. Press releases yet again differed, since they served the need to meet or reactivate salient issues. Therefore, future research on the issue choices of political actors should always considered that strategies, which occur in one communication channel, are not necessarily present in another. There is no “best” channel to analyze the strategic choices of political actors. Each channel serves different aims and has different needs, which condition the choices the actors make. One central goal of the paper was to find proof that factors like issue ownership or the desire to “ride the wave” are not independently responsible for issue choices, but that the channel of communication conditions them. Even though the paper does not present empirical evidence about the strategies that are prevalent according to the type of communication channel, it offers some indications. The results point in the direction that the issue ownership strategy might be strong especially in unmediated channels. According to the literature one characteristic of the issue ownership strategy is the divergence of parties’ issue choices. We could show that especially in the advertisement this was the case. A further step that needs to be taken now is to find an appropriate measure to capture issue ownership and analyze to what extent a the issue focus is in line with the issues a given parties owns. Even though we already interpreted the found issue agendas in the advertisement as being close to the parties’ core orientation, we did not provide any systematic measure of the similarity between the agendas and the owned issues. “Riding the wave” seems to be more popular in mediated channels. One indicator for this strategy is issue convergence. The overall convergence score we found in press releases was the highest compared to the other channels. However, we could qualify this by considering that not all parties focus on the same salient issue but choose, out of a number of prevailing issues one, which is most convenient to them. Here, one weakness of the 18 present study is the lack of defining a list of salient issues, even though issues that were current by the time of the election were named. One way to provide a systematic measure of important issues are election surveys, in which people are asked which issues they assume to be the most pressing. 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International Journal of PressPolitics, 15(4), 441-461. doi:10.1177/1940161210374122 21 APPENDICES Table 1 Issue Agendas across channels and parties SVP Ads Welfare Economic 0.7 PR Ads EM PR Ads 12.0 34.1 27.3 14.1 11.3 6.7 21.4 18.5 11.1 20.0 8.0 28.0 2.3 22.7 0.0 20.5 5.1 40.3 8.1 20.0 14.3 1.7 3.4 3.7 2.7 0.9 0.0 2.6 1.6 26.9 12.1 0.0 0.0 5.1 17.3 4.0 9.1 5.1 3.2 8.6 14.8 11.1 0.0 0.7 7.5 9.1 2.6 45.3 0.0 23.1 43.1 0.0 1.7 1.7 0.0 10.7 0.5 0.0 2.6 21.0 0.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 2.7 0.0 4.5 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 7.1 13.7 0.0 Security 8.9 11.5 3.4 1.7 0.0 4.0 2.3 4.5 1.6 0.0 1.7 8.2 7.4 9.3 16.4 18.2 17.9 14.1 1.6 Ecology Institutional Reforms 1.4 3.4 1.4 0.0 4.5 7.7 0.0 1.2 8.6 9.9 14.8 3.7 5.3 infrastructure 23.1 0.0 4.0 7.9 0.0 5.1 3.2 99.9 100.0 99.9 100.0 n= 563 Shannon’s H 0.68 99.9 99.8 100.1 26 58 292 27 0.71 0.74 0.69 0.88 GLP Ads Welfare Economic 9.1 EM 75 214.0 0.92 0.68 SP/Juso PR 15.4 4.3 7.7 21.7 0.0 17.4 Ads EM PR Ads 35.1 33.3 23.1 8.3 20.5 3.3 20.0 13.3 33.3 0.0 9.5 1.8 Budget Culture 0.0 0.0 4.3 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 Europe 0.0 6.7 5.1 0.0 7.7 21.7 7.7 0.0 0.0 Education/Leisure 3.6 0.0 0.0 Immigration 0.0 0.0 4.3 1.1 0.0 Army 0.0 0.0 8.7 6.8 0.0 0.0 Security 0.0 Ecology 60.6 3.0 infrastructure Total n= Shannon’s H 3.0 6.7 14.3 7.1 20.0 21.4 0.0 0.0 6.7 0.0 99.9 100.0 100.0 100.1 99.9 22.0 78.0 62 0.76 0.89 0.70 EM 15 14 0.80 0.77 18.2 12.1 6.1 PR 3.3 19.7 4.9 0.0 0.0 18.2 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.3 2.6 0.6 6.1 0.0 12.8 3.6 3.0 16.4 1.6 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 38.5 17.4 7.7 0.0 15.6 20.5 0.3 20.0 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.0 15.2 9.1 45.9 1.6 0.0 9.6 6.7 2.6 7.1 6.1 3.3 15.4 9.7 13.3 14.3 0.0 0.0 GPS 24.2 0.0 Institutional Reforms PR 11.1 Europe Total EM 5.5 5.2 Army EM 51.5 3.1 Culture Immigration Ads BDP 1.7 Budget 3.8 PR CVP 7.7 13.8 3.8 8.6 16.3 5.0 Education/Leisure EM FDP 99.9 100.1 99.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.1 100.0 33 0.45 23 365 15 39 168 33 61 0.71 0.77 13 0.74 0.68 0.67 0.50 0.89 0.65 Note. The frequencies are in percentages. Shanon’s H can range between 0 and 1. 22 Table 2 Convergence Scores for Press Releases, Election Manifestos and Paid Advertisement PR SVP SVP FDP CVP BDP 60 45 41.5 47.5 75 66 62 FDP 60 CVP 45 75 BDP 41.5 66 62 GLP 47.5 68.5 57.5 64.5 SP/Juso GLP SP/Juso GPS Mean 30 32 42.7 68.5 54.5 50 62.3 57.5 61.5 54 59.2 64.5 61.5 49 57.4 60 56.5 59.1 61.5 54.8 30 54.5 61.5 61.5 60 GPS 32.0 50.0 54.0 49.0 56.5 61.5 Mean 42.7 62.3 59.2 57.4 59.1 54.8 50.5 55.1 PM SVP FDP CVP BDP GLP SP/Juso GPS Mean 45 30 29 27 22.5 34 31.1 63 65 53 58.5 59 57.3 65 61 71.5 59 58.3 56 73.5 52 56.8 56.5 55 51.4 57.5 56.7 SVP FDP 45 CVP 30 63 BDP 29 65 65 GLP 27 53 61 56 22.5 58.5 71.5 73.5 SP/Juso GPS 56.5 50.5 34 59 59 52 55 57.5 Mean 31.3 57.3 58.3 56.8 51.4 56.7 52.8 52.0 Ads SVP FDP CVP BDP GLP SP/Juso GPS Mean 37.5 26.5 33 21 29 19 27.7 62 75.5 41.5 56.5 35.5 51.4 64.5 53.5 86.5 45.5 56.4 46 55 35 51.5 48 81 48.5 49 54.0 SVP FDP 37.5 CVP 26.5 62 BDP 33 75.5 64.5 GLP 21 41.5 53.5 46 SP/Juso 29 56.5 86.5 55 48 GPS 19 35.5 45.5 35 81 49 27.7 51.4 56.4 51.5 48.5 54.0 Mean 52.8 44.2 44.2 47.7 Note. The scores can range between 0 and 100. 23 Table 3 Convergence Scores for mediated and unmediated channels and news coverage across parties Unmediated x Media EM x NC Mediated x Media Ads x NC PR x NC SVP 46.5 49 60.5 SP/Juso 59.5 67.5 59.5 CVP 56.5 54.5 63.5 FDP 67.5 62.5 73.5 GPS 65.5 55 60.5 GLP 65.5 76 32 BDP 43 50.5 38.5 Mean 57.7 59.3 55.4 Note. The scores can range between 0 and 100. 24 Table 4 Convergence-Scores News Coverage SVP SVP FDP CVP BDP GLP SP/Juso GPS Mean 85 71 46.5 41 84.5 69 66.2 76 56.5 56.5 50 84.5 68 70.0 43 75.5 70 65.3 25.5 55 40.5 46.8 38.5 62 43.3 66.5 67.4 FDP 85 CVP 71 76 BDP 46.5 56.5 56.5 GLP 41 50 43 84.5 84.5 75.5 55 38.5 69 68 70 40.5 62 66.5 Mean 66.2 70.0 65.3 46.8 43.3 67.4 62.7 Established 77.4 78.4 73.1 51.0 46.9 77.8 68.4 Unestablished 43.8 53.3 49.8 25.5 25.5 46.8 51.3 SP/Juso GPS 25.5 62.7 60.2 Note. The scores can range between 0 and 100. 25
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