10/20/2015 Distinguishing Between Early/Pre-teens Who Did and Did Not Report Experiencing Sexual Intercourse Robert Horn & Joseph Donnelly Montclair State University Michael Young University of Texas - Arlington Background & Rationale Kirby & Lepore (2007) reported risk and protective factors for teen/early sexual activity, including how reasonable it was that programs could impact those factors. - Many of these factors cannot be changed through programs. - Beliefs, attitudes, knowledge & skills can. Purpose • The purpose of the study was to identify a set of predictor variables that distinguish between those in an early teen/pre-teen population who did and did not report having experienced sexual intercourse. 1 10/20/2015 Method Participants Participants were students ages 10-14 (n=3,251) attending public school in an urban area in northern New Jersey. 11 13 12 14+ Hispanic/Latino Male Black/African American Female White Other Method Testing Instrument The testing instrument was a 30-item self-report questionnaire. It included items which elicited information concerning: - demographics - educational aspirations - attitudes regarding sexual behavior/abstinence - intention of engaging in intercourse - previous participation in sexual intercourse Method Procedure Participants who had secured parent consent and who themselves voluntarily agreed to participate, completed the questionnaire in a regular classroom setting under adult administration. 2 10/20/2015 Method Data Analysis SPSS statistical software was used to conduct frequency counts, chi-square analysis, factor analysis, and logistic regression. Results • 10% of the study participants reported having engaged in sexual intercourse. • Older study participants were more likely to report having participated in sexual intercourse than were younger study participants (p<.001). Results • Males were more likely to report participation in sexual intercourse than were females (p<.001). • Factor analysis identified six attitude and intent factors which with age, gender, and a single educational aspirations factor were used as predictor variables in a logistic regression. 3 10/20/2015 Factor Analysis • Benefits of Abstinence Factor Item Factor Loading Abst. is the only 100% effective way to avoid pregnancy and sexually transmitted diseases. .590 Practicing abstinence is a healthy choice. .851 I believe there are many benefits of practicing abstinence. .837 Factor Analysis • Success Factor Item Factor Loading The choices that I make now will affect my possibilities for success. .774 .774 I am confident that I will graduate from high school. Factor Analysis • Discourage Sex Factor Item Factor Loading .727 Having sex can cause a lot of problems for someone my age, even if a pregnancy doesn't happen. I think it is ok to say "no" when someone wants to touch me in a sexual way. .711 When it comes to sex, teenagers need to be told what is ok and what is not ok to do. .692 I believe that it is ok for kids my age to have sex. -.688 4 10/20/2015 Factor Analysis • Parent Factor Item Factor Loading .759 I have talked about abstinence with my parent(s)/guardian(s). I generally have a good relationship with my parent(s)/guardian(s). .759 Factor Analysis • Encourage Abstinence Factor Item Factor Loading .736 Teenagers who engage in sexual activity are at greater risk of suffering from depression and/or other emotional problems. A person who has been sexually active is able to choose abstinence for the future. .736 Factor Analysis • Intent Factor Item Factor Loading How likely is it that you will have sex….. - in the next 12 months? - before you finish high school? - before you are married or in life-long committed relationship? .815 .907 .820 5 10/20/2015 Logistic Regression Variable Wald Age Gender Educat. Aspirations Parent Factor Encourage Abst. Success Factor Benefits of Abst. Discourage Sex Intent Factor Probability 17.25 1.43 .03 .18 4.98 .01 4.19 12.94 211.32 <.001 .232 .859 .674 .026 .937 .041 <.001 <.001 Logistic Regression • 9 variable model Chi-Sq = 577.40 Probability <.001 Nagelkerke RSq = .447 Age Gender Educat. Aspirations Parent Factor Encourage Abst. Success Factor Benefits of Abst. Discourage Sex Intent Factor Logistic Regression Variable Wald Age 17.25 Encourage Abst. 4.98 Abst. Benefits 4.19 Discourage Sex 12.94 Intent Factor 211.32 Probability <.001 .026 .041 <.001 <.001 6 10/20/2015 Logistic Regression • 5 variable model Chi-Sq = 689.66 Probability <.001 Nagelkerke RSq = .451 Age Encourage Abst. Abst. Benefits Discourage Sex Intent Factor Logistic Regression Variable Age Intent Factor Wald 21.18 333.50 Probability <.001 <.001 Logistic Regression • 2 variable model Chi-Square = 741.41 Prob <.001 Nagelkerke RSq = .435 Age Intent Factor 7 10/20/2015 Discussion • Data concerning sexual attitudes and behaviors from a large group of early/preteens is rare and valuable. • Data show the set of predictor variables account for a statistically significant and substantial amount of the variation between the two groups – those who did and those who did not – report having experienced sexual intercourse. Discussion • The 9 variable model – RSq = .447 • The 5 variable model – RSq = .451 • The 2 variable model – RSq = .435 Results show the five variable model to be more useful than the nine variable model, and that little predictive value is lost with the two variable model – age and intent. Discussion • Age, as expected, makes a unique contribution in distinguishing those who had & had not had sexual intercourse. • Beliefs associated with discouragement of sexual intercourse appeared to be a protective factor (more than belief in benefits of abstinence, concern over future success, parent communic). • Future intent to have sex also made a unique contribution to distinguishing those who had and had not had sexual intercourse. 8 10/20/2015 • Discourage Sex Factor Having sex can cause a lot of problems for someone my age, even if a pregnancy doesn't happen. When it comes to sex, teenagers need to be told what is ok and what is not ok to do. I think it is ok to say "no" when someone wants to touch me in a sexual way. I believe that it is ok for kids my age to have sex. Discussion • In the two variable model, both age and intent made unique contributions toward distinguishing between those who reported they had experienced, and those who reported they had not experienced, sexual intercourse. Conclusion • These findings may be of value to those who work with young people or those who are developing sexuality education materials for this age group. How do we apply results from studies such as this to our work? 9 10/20/2015 10
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