Journal of the Geological Society, London, Vol. 164, 2007, pp. 1–6. Printed in Great Britain. 1 Tundra environments in the Neogene Sirius Group, Antarctica: evidence from the geological record and coupled atmosphere–vegetation models 2 J. E . F R A N C I S 1 , A . M . H AY WO O D 2, A . C . A S H WO RT H 3 & P. J. VA L D E S 4 1 4 School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK 2 Geological Sciences Division, British Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK 6 (e-mail: [email protected]) 3 7 Department of Geosciences, North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND 58105517, USA 4 8 School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, University Road, Bristol BS8 1SS, UK 3 5 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 1 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 Abstract: The Neogene Meyer Desert Formation, Sirius Group, at Oliver Bluffs in the Transantarctic Mountains, contains a sequence of glacial deposits formed under a wet-based glacial regime. Within this sequence fluvial deposits have yielded fossil plants that, along with evidence from fossil insects, invertebrates and palaeosols, indicate the existence of tundra conditions at 858S during the Neogene. Mean annual temperatures of c. 12 8C are estimated, with short summer seasons with temperatures up to +5 8C. The current published date for this formation is Pliocene, although this is hotly debated. Reconstructions produced by the TRIFFID and BIOME 4 vegetation models, utilizing a Pliocene climatology derived from the HadAM3 general circulation model (running with prescribed boundary conditions from the US Geological Survey PRISM2 dataset), also predict tundra-type vegetation in Antarctica. The consistency of the model outputs with geological evidence demonstrates that a Pliocene age for the Meyer Desert Formation is consistent with proxy environmental reconstructions and numerical model reconstructions for the mid-Pliocene. If so, the East Antarctic Ice Sheet has behaved in a dynamic manner in the recent geological past, which implies that it may not be as resistant to future global warming as originally believed. There is currently great interest in the history of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet, in particular its stability and response to past climate change since its development in the Late Eocene (Barker et al. 1999). Understanding the past behaviour of the ice sheet is important because it provides critical information about how this large store of fresh water, ice-equivalent to more than 50 m global sea-level rise, may respond to future climate change. How the East Antarctic Ice Sheet responded to a welldocumented phase of global warming during the mid-Pliocene, c. 3 Ma bp (e.g. Dowsett et al. 1999), is a topic of significant debate. The ‘stabilist’ group argue that evidence of ancient landscapes, mainly in the Dry Valleys in East Antarctica (Denton et al. 1993), suggests that a cold polar climate has been maintained for at least the past 14 Ma and that the subsequent mid-Pliocene warming event had little impact on Antarctic ice sheets and the local landscape. In contrast, the ‘dynamists’ propose that the ice sheet was unstable during the Neogene and did respond to the warming phase during the mid-Pliocene by partially deglaciating (Webb et al. 1984; Webb & Harwood 1987). Much of this debate has centred on the Sirius Group strata, which crop out at numerous localities in the Transantarctic Mountains. These strata, particularly the Meyer Desert Formation at Oliver Bluffs (Fig. 1), consist mostly of diamictites but also contain a unique and exceptional assemblage of fossil soils, animals and plants (discussed below) that signal the presence of tundra-like habitats at 858S, an environment considerably warmer than the present glacial conditions. Attempts have been made to model Antarctic mid-Pliocene vegetation, to test whether the tundra habitat indicated by this fossil evidence can be reproduced. Haywood et al. (2002) used mid-Pliocene climatologies derived from an atmospheric general 25 circulation model (HadAM3 GCM) to drive a mechanistically based biome model (BIOME 4). The study helped to identify mid-Pliocene vegetation patterns in equilibrium with different scenarios for Antarctic ice-sheet cover. However, because the BIOME 4 model was effectively used offline to the climate model the interaction between climate and vegetation was not fully resolved. A more realistic approach would allow vegetation to actually grow and interact with climate. Therefore, to better understand the role of mid-Pliocene climate–vegetation feedbacks, the landcover must be treated as an interactive element by incorporating a dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM). In this paper we examine whether the TRIFFID DGVM and BIOME 4 vegetation models, which utilize a climatology produced by the HadAM3 GCM for the mid-Pliocene, can reproduce the Antarctic tundra habitats interpreted from the geological evidence, in particular from fossil plants. The model, via the PRISM2 dataset, specifies ice extent, atmospheric CO2 and sea surface temperatures for the Pliocene, but the type of vegetation that could have existed in Antarctica under these conditions is not prescribed and is unknown at present. Although this may not conclusively prove a Pliocene age for the Meyer Desert Formation it will demonstrate whether tundra vegetation could actually exist in Antarctica under the Pliocene climate conditions prescribed within the climate model. 26 Geological setting 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 28 29 30 1 Article number = 05191 Fossil plants have been discovered in the Meyer Desert Formation of the Sirius Group at Oliver Bluffs, in the Dominion Range, Transantarctic Mountains (858079S, 1668359E), about 500 km from the South Pole (Francis & Hill 1996; Hill et al. 1996; 2 J. E . F R A N C I S E T A L . 11 possible age must be younger than the onset of Antarctic glaciation in the latest Eocene–earliest Oligocene (Barker et al. 1999). Whatever the age of the Meyer Desert Formation, the sediments and the fossil assemblage, especially the plants, indicate a period of warming and ice-sheet reduction so that glacial margins were within 300 miles of the South Pole. We here test the Pliocene age suggested for the Meyer Desert Formation by comparing whether mid-Pliocene climates and vegetation predicted for Antarctica by the TRIFFID–BIOME 4 vegetation models and the HadAM3 GCM are consistent with the fossil evidence. 12 Modelling 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Fig. 1. Location of Oliver Bluffs in the Transantarctic Mountains. 24 25 26 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 Ashworth & Cantrill 2004). The Meyer Desert Formation consists predominantly of glacial tillites, with some thin mudstones, siltstones and sandstones, deposited in temperate to subpolar conditions during glacial advance and retreat (Webb et al. 1996; Passchier 2001, 2004). The deposits were formed in and around ice-proximal fluvial and lacustrine environments, and represent periods of exposure and soil development, as well as colonization by plants and animals. A Pliocene age has been assigned to the Meyer Desert Formation at Oliver Bluffs on the basis of marine diatoms recovered from the glacial sediments (Webb et al. 1996). They provide an age estimate of 3.8 Ma or younger. Similar diatom taxa were also recovered from the CIROS-2 core in the Ross Sea region, interbedded with volcanic ash that provided a date of c. 3 Ma (Barrett et al. 1992). Palaeosols in this formation have also been assigned an age of 1.3–4.1 Ma (Retallack et al. 2001). The age of the formation is, however, intensely debated because of the questionable validity of the marine diatom evidence. For example, it is argued that the diatoms may have been winddeposited (Burckle & Potter 1996; Barrett et al. 1997) or resulted from fallout from a meteorite impact (Gersonde et al. 1997). Passchier (2004), however, on the basis of geochemical and provenance data, supports the hypothesis of Webb et al. (1996) that the diatoms were included in clasts that were derived from an inland source in East Antarctica. Furthermore, the lack of indisputable evidence for Pliocene warm-based glaciation in regions such as the Dry Valleys in Antarctica may imply that the Sirius Group strata represent glaciation before the onset of deep cooling in the Late Miocene (Marchant et al. 2002; Hicock et al. 2003). The Sirius Group as a whole was considered by Passchier (2001, 2004) to be a product of multiple ice-sheet events, as different exposures across the Transantarctic Mountains exhibit different provenance and weathering histories. Thus, other deposits of Sirius Group sediments may not be the same age as the Meyer Desert Formation from Oliver Bluffs. The maximum 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 2 Models and experimental design The global atmospheric model used for this mid-Pliocene study is the HadAM3 component of the coupled Hadley Centre Model (HadCM3; Pope et al. 2000). It has a horizontal grid resolution of 2.58 3 3.758 in latitude and longitude with 19 hybrid ó, p levels in the vertical, and a timestep of 30 min. The model incorporates prognostic cloud, water and ice, has a mass-flux convection scheme with stability closure and uses mean orography. It was forced with continental configurations changed by a 25 m sea-level rise, reduced ice-sheet size for Greenland (by 50%) and Antarctica (by 33%), reconstructed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and estimated sea-ice extents all derived from the US Geological Survey (USGS) PRISM2 digital dataset of mid-Pliocene boundary conditions (Dowsett et al. 1999). PRISM2 is the latest in a line of datasets generated by the USGS that reconstruct palaeoenvironmental conditions during the mid-Pliocene (Dowsett et al. 1999, and references therein). Atmospheric CO2 concentrations were set to a ‘Pliocene’ concentration (400 ppmv) based on proxy data (e.g. Raymo & Rau 1992). The geographical extent of the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets within the PRISM2 dataset was based on global sea-level estimates derived for the mid-Pliocene by Dowsett & Cronin (1990). The PRISM2 reconstruction uses model results from M. Prentice (pers. comm., cited by Dowsett et al. 1999) to guide the areal and topographic distribution of Antarctic and Greenland ice. This study utilizes the TRIFFID dynamic vegetation model (Top-down Representation of Interactive Flora and Foliage Including Dynamics) coupled to the HadAM3 GCM. The TRIFFID model, developed by the Hadley Centre, defines the state of the terrestrial biosphere in terms of soil carbon and the structure and coverage of five plant functional types (Broadleaf trees, Needleleaf trees, C3 grass, C4 grass and shrub) within each model grid box (Cox 2001). The areal coverage, leaf area index and canopy height of each type are updated based on a carbon balance approach, in which vegetation change is driven by the net carbon fluxes calculated within the MOSES2 land surface scheme, which is part of the HadAM3 GCM (Cox 2001). The spin-up of the model was a multistage process. TRIFFID was initialized with 100% shrub coverage in all terrestrial model grid boxes not covered by the imposed PRISM2 ice sheets. Shrub was selected because of its relatively neutral characteristics of surface albedo and surface roughness. The first stage of the model spin-up involved an iterative coupling between the HadAM3 GCM and the TRIFFID model running in equilibrium mode. The HadAM3 GCM was integrated for 5 years after which the required fluxes of moisture and carbon were passed to the TRIFFID model. TRIFFID was then integrated for a total of 50 years, after which the updated vegetation and soil variables were passed back to the HadAM3 GCM. This process continued for a total of 50 simulated HadAM3 years, and 500 simulated TRIFFID years. This approach, similar to a Newton–Raphson algorithm for approaching equilibrium, is a proven and effective method in producing equilibrium states for the slowest variables (e.g. soil carbon and forest cover). The second stage involved using the HadAM3 and TRIFFID models in their fully dynamic mode in which the vegetation cover and other characteristics were updated every 10 days. The model was integrated in this fully dynamic mode for a total of 30 simulated years to allow the model to adjust to short time-scale vegetation variability. Vegetation models are relatively new tools and display considerable 3 N E O G E N E S I R I U S G RO U P, A N TA R C T I C A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 variation in their predictions for present-day vegetation and estimates of carbon storage. Therefore it is good practice to use two models so that an estimate of uncertainty can be made for the Antarctic Pliocene vegetation predictions. BIOME 4 represents the second vegetation model utilized in this study. This model translates climate model output from the Pliocene experiment, specifically the seasonal cycle of temperature, precipitation and solar radiation, into biome distributions (Kaplan 2001, and references therein). BIOME 4 is the latest in a series of mechanistically based models that are developed from physiological considerations that place constraints on the growth and regeneration of different plant functional types. These constraints are calculated through the use of limiting factors for plant growth. These include the mean temperature of the coldest and warmest months, the number of growing degree days (GDDs) above 0 and 5 8C, and the calculation of a coefficient (Priestley–Taylor coefficient) for the extent to which soil moisture supply satisfies atmospheric moisture demand. GDDs are calculated by linear interpolation between mid-months, and by a one-layer soil moisture balance model independent of the HadAM3 GCM hydrology. We ran BIOME 4 on a 2.58 3 3.758 grid corresponding to the same resolution as the HadAM3 GCM. Monthly mean surface temperature, precipitation and cloud cover were compiled from 10 simulated years of our Pliocene experiment to provide the climatic information necessary for the BIOME 4 model. 5 TRIFFID model) is not predicted to occur anywhere in Antarctica. The closest areas to exhibit forest type vegetation are southern Argentina, South Africa and southern Australia. These results are consistent with palaeoenvironmental reconstructions derived from the geological record (see below). 6 Palaeoenvironmental reconstruction 1 2 3 4 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 Model results (Pliocene Antarctic climate) The specification of the PRISM2 boundary condition dataset within the HadAM3 GCM results in a dramatic warming over Antarctica relative to the present day. Surface temperatures remain below 0 8C in all areas of Antarctica for 9 out of 12 months of the year. In contrast, surface temperatures over Antarctica for the present day remain at 0 8C or below for the entire year. During December, January and February (particularly December and January) surface temperatures in West Antarctica, near coastal localities, in deglaciated parts of East Antarctica, and in the Transantarctic Mountains region climbed above freezing to a maximum of +8 8C (mean +4 8C; Fig. 2a and b). The predicted warming over Antarctica in the mid-Pliocene experiment is a result of the prescribed warmer Southern Ocean SSTs, reduced terrestrial ice cover and lower surface albedo values. Furthermore, the reduced ice volume lessens the strength of surface winds over much of the continent (caused by reduced elevation connected to a smaller ice cap) and acts as a further positive feedback mechanism on surface temperatures. Although little annual variation in the amount of precipitation between the Pliocene and present day is predicted, significant seasonal differences between winter and summer are observed (Fig. 2c and d). More specifically, precipitation rates increase for the Pliocene experiment (by 0.2–2 mm day 1 ) over widespread areas of the Southern Ocean as well as over deglaciated regions of the Antarctic continent itself. This precipitation increase is caused by the warmer prescribed SSTs and surface temperatures over the Southern Ocean for the Pliocene control experiment, causing enhanced evaporation from the ocean surface and hence precipitation. 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 Model results (Pliocene Antarctic vegetation cover) The predicted BIOME 4 vegetation distribution over deglaciated areas of Antarctica is dominated by cushion forb lichen moss tundra, prostrate shrub tundra, dwarf shrub tundra or shrub tundra (Fig. 3c). The fractional coverage (%) of plant functional types predicted to occur in Antarctica by the TRIFFID model is dominated by C3 grasses and shrubs, which, at high latitudes, is diagnostic of a tundra environment (Fig. 3a and b). Forest type vegetation (represented by broadleaf or needle leaf trees in the 3 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 Within the Meyer Desert Formation at Oliver Bluffs an exceptional sequence of fossil plants has now been described. They include fossil leaves assigned to Nothofagus beardmorensis (southern beech) (Hill et al. 1996); wood of Nothofagus type (Francis & Hill 1996); and a low-diversity pollen assemblage including podocarp conifers, Nothofagus-type angiosperms and bryophyte spores (Askin & Raine 2000). Cushion plants of vascular plants, mosses, seeds similar to modern Ranunculus, and various other small flowers and seeds of a tundra plant assemblage have been described (Ashworth & Cantrill 2004). Some aspects of the plant fossils provide more specific information about the growing environment. The small pieces of fossil wood contain many very narrow growth rings, showing that the small ‘twigs’, less than 10 mm in diameter, are in fact extremely slow-growing mature stems of great age (Francis & Hill 1996). The slow growth and the asymmetrical character of the growth rings are characteristic of dwarf shrubs with a prostrate habit that grow in nutrient-poor soils in cold conditions, commonly seen in shrubs such as arctic willow that survive in the high Arctic. In addition, abrasion scars in the fossil twigs indicate that the shrubs were often subject to surface abrasion by wind and outwash flood sediments. Francis & Hill (1996) concluded that the wood at Oliver Bluffs came from dwarf prostrate shrubs that hugged the tundra surface and grew very slowly in the cold tundra conditions. A mean annual temperature of c. 12 8C was proposed, by comparison with similar vegetation that survives today in Arctic tundra environments. The Nothofagus leaves are preserved as leaf mats, formed as the result of autumnal leaf fall, probably preserved within small sheltered hollows on the tundra surface. The presence of deciduous Nothofagus led Hill et al. (1996) to propose mean annual temperatures of 15 8C for Meyer Desert Formation times, with maximum lower temperatures of 22 8C (the lower tolerance limits of Nothofagus today) but with a short summer season during which temperatures rose above freezing to allow plant growth. Tundra environments are also indicated by fossil insects and invertebrates. Fossil peat and calcareous lake deposits at Oliver Bluffs have yielded freshwater gastropods and clams. Remarkably, parts of listeroderine weevils have been found in the peats, similar to weevils living today in Patagonian tundra moorlands, plus a puparium of a fly (Ashworth & Kuschel 2003; Ashworth & Preece 2003; Ashworth & Thompson 2003). Palaeosols are also present within this sequence and have characteristics of modern tundra soils. They formed in an active permafrost layer under a climate with mean annual temperatures of 11 to 3 8C and precipitation of 300–1100 mm a 1 (Retallack et al. 2001). Thus, a wealth of geological evidence clearly indicates that during deposition of the Meyer Desert Formation at Oliver Bluffs tundra conditions prevailed at times. Although the main sedimentary sequence is composed of diamictites indicative of lodgement and supraglacial tills that formed during the presence of warmbased glaciers at this site, at times the glaciers retreated to expose a tundra landscape with morainal banks and outwash plains. An ice-marginal environment at the end of a glacier near the head of a fjord was proposed by Ashworth & Kuschel 4 J. E . F R A N C I S E T A L . (a) (c) (b) (d) -4.0 -2.0 -1.0 -0.5 -0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 4.0 -15 -10 -5 -3 -1 -0.5 0.5 1 3 5 10 15 Fig. 2. Predicted difference in (a) total precipitation rate (mm day 1 ) averaged over the December–January–February (DJF) season, (b) total precipitation rate (mm day 1 ) averaged over the June–July–August (JJA) season, (c) surface temperature (8C) during the DJF season and (d) surface temperature (8C) during the JJA season between the mid-Pliocene and present day using the HadAM3 GCM running with the TRIFFID model in a fully dynamic mode. 1 2 3 4 5 6 (2003). Poorly developed soils formed during periods of exposure (Retallack et al. 2001) and plants colonized drained ridges (Ashworth & Cantrill 2004). During times of glacial retreat the climate was still cold, with mean annual temperatures in the region of 12 8C and many months of freezing but with a couple of months in summer when temperatures rose above freezing. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 8 9 10 Significance and implications Results of the HadAM3 GCM using the PRISM2 dataset and TRIFFID–BIOME 4 vegetation models are consistent with geological proxy environmental data from the Meyer Desert 8 9 10 11 12 Formation and indicate that a significant deglaciation occurred in Antarctica and that a tundra environment existed during the period during which the Meyer Desert Formation was deposited. Mean annual temperatures of 12 8C, deduced from fossil evidence, indicate that a much colder climate prevailed than has been suggested previously (e.g. Mercer 1972; Webb & Harwood 1993; Webb et al. 1996). Even though the short summer months were warm enough to permit the growth and reproduction of plants and the temperatures (c. 16 8C warmer than present in the Beardmore region) would have promoted shrinkage of the ice sheet, as shown in our models, the climate would have been cold enough to prevent extensive melting in inland basins. N E O G E N E S I R I U S G RO U P, A N TA R C T I C A 5 TRIFFID Model - Fractional Coverage of Plant Functional Types (%) on Antarctica a) C3 Grasses 0 2 5 b) Shrub 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 60 70 80 90 c) BIOME4 Model - Prediction of Antarctic Biome Distributions Barren/Ice Cushion forb lichen moss tundra Prostrate shrub tundra Dwarf shrub tundra Shrub tundra Steppe tundra Fig. 3. Predictions of mid-Pliocene Antarctic vegetation cover derived from the TRIFFID and BIOME 4 vegetation models. (Note the exclusive occurrence of C3 grasses and shrubs in the predictions generated by the TRIFFID model (a, b) and tundra plant functional types produced by the BIOME 4 model (c).) Modern coastlines for Antarctica, Australia, South Africa and South America are shown. White regions inside the modern coastline of Antarctica represent ocean. Approximate location of Oliver Bluffs is marked by filled circle. 1 2 3 4 5 The consistency of our model results with geological evidence does not prove that the Meyer Desert Formation is Pliocene in age, and it does not exclude the possibility that it formed in earlier periods of global warmth, but it does, however, demonstrate that a Pliocene age for the Meyer Desert Formation is at 1 2 3 4 5 least consistent with the proxy environmental reconstructions and numerical model reconstructions for the mid-Pliocene presented in this paper. If the formation is Pliocene in age then it implies a number of things: (1) Nothofagus existed in Antarctica until relatively recently, expanding its geographical extent during 6 J. E . F R A N C I S E T A L . 5 climatic ameliorations and retreating to coastal refugia during cold periods; (2) the East Antarctic Ice Sheet has behaved in a dynamic manner in the recent geological past; (3) the East Antarctic Ice Sheet may not be as resistant to future climate change as originally believed. 6 Conclusions 1 2 3 4 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 2 6 9 The ‘Pliocene’ Meyer Desert Formation (Sirius Group) located in the Transantarctic Mountains contains a sequence of glacial deposits formed under a wet-based glacial regime. Within this sequence fluvial deposits have yielded fossil plants that, along with evidence from fossil insects, invertebrates and palaeosols, indicate the existence of tundra conditions at 858S during the Neogene. Mean annual temperatures of c. 12 8C are estimated, with short summer seasons with temperatures up to +5 8C, climate conditions much colder than previously considered. This palaeoenvironmental reconstruction is compared with outputs derived from the TRIFFID and BIOME 4 vegetation models that utilized a Pliocene climatology derived from the HadAM3 GCM (running with prescribed boundary conditions from the USGS PRISM2 dataset). The models also predict tundra-type vegetation in Antarctica for the mid-Pliocene. The agreement between geological data and model outputs is consistent with a Pliocene date for the Meyer Desert Formation. If so, the East Antarctic Ice Sheet has behaved in a dynamic manner in the recent geological past and this implies that it may not be as resistant to future global warming as originally believed. 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 36 30 29 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 J.E.F. thanks D. Harwood et al. for supplying wood fossil from Oliver Bluffs and the University of Leeds Special Payment Fund, TransAntarctic Association and the Royal Society for support. A.M.H. and P.J.V. thank the Natural Environment Research Council for supporting this work through the provision of High Performance Computing, and acknowledge the USGS PRISM Group for use of their materials. A.C.A. and J.E.F. acknowledge support from NSF grant OPP0230696 for support of field studies on the Meyer Desert Formation of the Beardmore Glacier. This paper is published as part of the British Antarctic Survey’s GEACEP programme that investigates climate change over geological time scales. The work also contributes to the SCAR ACE initiative (Antarctic Climate Evolution). 38 42 45 49 52 43 44 47 50 52 54 4 57 60 References 55 Ashworth, A.C. & Cantrill, D.J. 2004. Neogene vegetation of the Meyer Desert 45 Formation (Sirius Group), Transantarctic Mountains, Antarctica. 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Received 9 January 2006; revised typescript accepted 13 July 2006. 75 Scientific editing by Jan Zalasiewicz Please confirm this is a suitable point for reference to Fig. 1. 300 miles - please give metric equivalent. Is some explanation needed for ‘sigma’ and ‘rho’? Askin & Raine; Barrett et al. 1997 - should spelling be ‘Terra Antartica’ here?
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