Chapter VI STRAIN ENERGY RELEASE PATTERN IN INDOBURMA OROGENIC BELT 6.1 Introduction Crustal strain energy is accumulated in the earth’s crust because of the stress developed due to tectonic movements of different fractured blocks present in a region and the same has been released in the form of an earthquake Thus, the source of energy of an earthquake is the potential energy stored in rocks due to the accumulation of strain over a period of time. When the accompanying elastic stress accumulates beyond the competence of the rocks, an earthquake occurs. The elastic rebound of the volume of rock under stress generates the earthquake (Benioff, 1949) and most of the strain energy stored in the rocks has been released in the form of seismic waves, which radiate in all directions from its source region. However, a part of the original potential energy of strain stored in the rock mass must goes into mechanical work as in raising crustal blocks against gravity or in crushing material in the fault zone and other part is dissipated as heat. The strain rebounded during an earthquake is proportional to the square root of the energy released (Benioff, 1951). Thus, earthquakes are the manifestation of strain energy released from a region and its spatiotemporal behaviour represents the seismotectonic characteristics of the region. The strain energy release pattern of a region helps in identifying the probable source region for the occurrence of an earthquake in near future Moreover, temporal variation of strain energy released from a seismotectonic block reveals the earthquake generation potentiality of the block at any specified time Assuming that an earthquake is generated by the elastic rebound of strain energy stored in rocks, Gutenberg and Richter (1956) derived the energy, E of an earthquake having magnitude, M by the relation, log E = 12 +1,8 M ... (6.1) Later on, they modified the relationship between strain energy released and the magnitude of the associated earthquake by using unified magnitude Mfa derived from body waves recorded at teleseismic distance and represented as follows log E = 5.8 + 2.4 Mb ... (6.2) Chouhan (1979, 1966) applied this relationship to study the regional strain release characteristics of Indian earthquakes. He observed that every region is characterized by a certain minimum level of strain energy and strain may persist in a tectonic block even after the release of the accumulated strain by a large earthquake. Therefore, taking it as a reference, it is possible to estimate the amount of strain energy available in a tectonic block at a given time in near future. Thus, in turn, it may give an estimate about the possible maximum magnitude earthquake that may occur in the block, if the accumulated strain energy releases simultaneously (Goswami, 1984). 100 The importance of strain release studies is that the characteristic features and trends of stress field in a tectonic block can be investigated by examining the pattern of strain energy release over it. Assuming a linear probability of earthquake occurrences over a period of few years, a direct extrapolation of the pattern of strain release into immediate future can through some light on the probable future earthquake activity expected in the region. The areal distribution of strain energy released helps in identifying the setsmically active zones. Here, the strain energy accumulation and its release pattern in Indo-Burma orogenic belt demarcated by latitude 20°N 28°N and longitude 93°E - 980E have been studied for the period 1964 to 2005. 6.2 Database and M ethodology The comprehensive data file prepared by using different earthquake catalogues available for the study region as discussed in Chapter HI have been used for this analysis. Since the data file as a whole is not complete, only epicentral data from 1964 to 2005 having magnitude Mb£4 have been used to analyse the strain release pattern in the study region. Small magnitude earthquakes (Mb< 4) have been rejected on the assumption that they might be the representatives of an incomplete data set as the seismic network density is increasing year after year in recent years. Moreover, energy associated with small magnitude earthquakes is negligible compared to moderate and large magnitude earthquakes. Besides, some of the small magnitude earthquakes may be caused by gravity force as suggested by 101 Verma and others (Verma et al, 1976) on the basis of the relationship observed between elevation and seismicity. (a) Theory and Application of the Method Benioff (1949) has shown that the potential energy Ep of a volume of rock (w) is given by Ep = 0 5 p w S2 ... (6.3) where p is the coefficient of shear and S is average strain just before the earthquake. Thus the energy released by seismic waves is given by, ET = 0 5 p f w S2 ... (6.4) where f is the function of energy released as seismic waves. If the strain is reduced to zero during the earthquake by some movement along a fault, then the average strain S is proportional to the fault displacement (Xf). Thus, S = C Xf .. (6.5) where C is the constant of proportionality. Putting the value of S in equation (6.4) we get, Et = 0.5 p f w C 2 Xf2 = G 12 Xf2 ... (6.6) Where G ,2 = 0.5 p f w C2. Equation (6.6) implies that fault displacement (Xf) is proportional to the square root of the energy released. Hence, using the magnitude energy relation of Guttenberg and Richter in equation (6.6), we get - 102 log Et 1/2 = log Gi X, = 2.9 +1.2 Mb or X f = (1/G i) 1029 + 1 2Mb ... (6.7) The equation (6.7) gives the relation between fault displacement (Xf) and earthquake magnitude Mb. Thus, if the magnitudes of all the earthquakes occurring in any fault system over a period are known, one can plot the fault displacement (strain) that may be occurred during that time period. Such plots, which give strain release characteristics, represent spurts of seismic activity separated by relatively quiescent periods. The resulting curve will be a saw-toothed curve representing the exhaustion of accumulated strain caused by earthquakes. (b) Application of the Method in the Study Region (i) Temporal variation To apply the method put forth by Benioff (1949), the whole region is divided into three tectonic blocks - (i) Block-1 (20° - 22.6° N Lat.), (ii) Block-2 (22.5°- 25° N Lat.) and (iii) Block-3 (25°-28° N Lat.) as discussed in Chapter IV (Fig. 4.2). The strain energy released in a tectonic block has been computed for each year by considering strain energy as the sum of the square root of energy for all earthquakes occurred in the tectonic block in the specified year (Benioff, 1951 and Ritsma, 1954). Then, strain energy has been added up year-by-year to get the strain release characteristics. Hence, the vertical line represents the release of earthquake energy in E1/2, which again represents the strain factor in earg1/2. Since S is proportional to E1/2, the continuous 103 lines represent the secular strain generation showing that strain accumulation is linear and may be represented asI E1/z = A + Bt ... (6.8) where A and B are constants and t is time in years. (ii) Spatial variation The energy of each earthquake is determined by using equation (6.2) and iso-strain release map has been prepared. For this, the whole study region is divided into small grids having dimension 1/2° by 1/2°. The sum total of the energy released by all the earthquakes those occurred in a particular grid are computed out and plotted at the center of the grid. Since the variation of energy (E) is very high, Log E (strain energy) has been used in preparing the iso-strain release map. Then the isolines of energy have been drawn to prepare the iso-strain release map. Relatively high strain release points are demarcated as A, B, C and D in the strain release map. 6.3 Results and Discussion (a) Temporal Variation of Strain Energy Released Generally, it is assumed that the strain energy accumulation in a tectonic block is almost linear. But the strain energy release pattern is not linear because of the frictional force developed in the rock-fractures and the temporal variation pattern of strain energy release forms a saw-toothed curve, commonly known as Benioff Graph. It gives an idea about the strain energy accumulation in a tectonic block at a particular time and is considered as complementary to the study of the magnitude-frequency 104 relationship which defines the mean recurrence rate of any particular magnitude earthquake in a tectonic block or region. Moreover, it indicates the trend of activity with time and allows extrapolation for estimating strain energy accumulation in the block in near future As mentioned earlier, the study region is divided into three tectonic blocks on the basis of the concentration of earthquakes, convergence, alignment and direction of thrusting as well as structural pattern (Fig 4.2 of Chapter IV), Benioff graphs have been prepared for all the three blocks and for the region as a whole. Thus, altogether four Benioff graphs are obtained as shown in Fig. 6.1 to Fig. 6.4. The lower and the upper bound in the variation of strain energy represented by the Benioff graphs are also shown in the figures The difference between this upper bound and the lower bound gives an idea about the strain energy bearing capacity of the respective block. The rate of strain energy accumulation estimated from the graphs, approximate strain energy bearing capacity and the strain energy stored as off 2005 in each block and in the region as a whole are presented in Table 6.1. On the basis of the strain accumulation as off 2005, the magnitudes of the maximum possible earthquakes that may occur in near future in different blocks and the region as a whole are computed and present in the table It has been observed that the estimated rate of strain energy accumulation is low in Block-I and Block-Ill compared to Block-ll, which reflects comparatively low seismic activity in these two blocks. Similar to the seismic activity as observed in the epicentral plot (Fig. 4.2), the strain energy 105 accumulation rate is found to be the highest in Block-ll, in which subduction is different from those of Block-1 and Block-Ill containing the arcuate bend Table 6.1: Strain Energy Accumulation in the study region as off 2005 Rate of Strain Region Energy (E) Accumulation (in ergs) Estimated Strain Energy (E) due for Maximum strain release as of 2005 energy bearing capacity (in ergs) in ergs in terms of earthquake (mb) Block - 1 0.203 x 1020 39.69 x 1020 21.809 x 1020 6.47 Block - li 1 716 x 1020 184.96 x 1020 74.823 x 1020 6.70 Block - ill 0.185 x 1020 11.56 x 1020 0.624 x 1Q20 5.83 Whole Study Region 4.840 x 1020 272.25 x 10120 129.277 x 1020 6.80 The strain release characteristic of Block-I as shown in Fig.6.1 indicates gradual accumulation of strain energy from 1964 to 1975, which was released by an earthquake of magnitude 6.1 mb in 1975 normalizing the seismic stress developed in the block. Thereafter, seismic activity in the block is very low indicating a quiescent period and accumulation of strain energy up to 1994 and then again remains silent till 2005 As of 2005, estimated accumulated strain in the block is about 21.809 x 1020, which is equivalent to an earthquake of magnitude 6.47 mb. 106 i year . 6.1: Strain release characteristics for the earthquakes of the Block-1 Square root of energy 31 Square root of energy 25 107 Fig. 6.3: Strain release characteristics of earthquake of Block - III. Benioff graph of Block-ll shows that most of the accumulated strain energy in the block was probably released in 1988 by an earthquake of magnitude 6.6 mb The rest of the accumulated energy is released almost regularly and got neutralize in 1995 by an earthquake of magnitude 6 3 mb. After 1995, strain accumulation in the block is going on and as off 2005, the accumulated strain energy in the block is estimated to be about 74.823 x 1020 ergs. The strain release pattern of Block-Ill indicates gradual accumulation of strain energy in the block during the study period that has been released mainly in three steps - in 1970 by an earthquake of magnitude of 5.4 mb, in 1976 by an earthquake of magnitude 6.2 mb and in 2000 by an earthquake 108 of magnitude of 6.2 mb As off 2005, the estimated stock of strain energy in the block is about 0.624 x lQ20er9S. The strain release pattern of the region as a whole is shown m Fig.6 4. It shows three relatively quiescent periods - 1964-1974, 1976-1987and 1996-1999 having low s e is m ic activity followed by moderate earthquakes of magnitudes 6 2 mb (1975), 6.6 mb (1988) and 6.2 mb (2000) respectively. The strain energy accumulated during the period 1976 to 1987 could not released completely by the earthquake occurred in 1988 (6.6 mb) and there was regular release of energy in the region during the period 1989 to 1995 neutralizing the stress developed in the whole region by 1995. As a whole, the Square root of energy region shows strain energy accumulation of about 129.277 x 1020ergs by 2005. U 1 ------------------- 1------------------- 1------------------- 1-------------------1------------------- 1------------------- 1------------------- 1------------------- 1------------------- 1------------------- 8 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 year Fig. 6.4: Strain release characteristics for the earthquakes of the study region as a whole. 109 2010 The strain accumulation and relaxation curves obtained in the above analysis, in each of the three tectonic blocks and the region as a whole, provide a very useful meaning of estimating the size of the future earthquakes that may strike the region. These curves provide a reference and minimum strain level, which gives an estimate about the amount of stored strain in the region and hence, the possible size of the earthquake that may occur, if the entire stored strain would release at a time. The maximum possible magnitude of an earthquake that might be occurred in near future in Indo-Burma orogenic belt as a whole and in the three tectonic blocks as already mentioned are also presented in Table 6.1. It shows that the magnitude of the maximum possible earthquake that may occur in near future in Biock-I, Block-ll and Bloc-Ill are found to be about 6,47 mb, 6.7 mb and 5.8 mb respectively. The region as a whole, as of 2005 accumulates strain energy equivalent to an earthquake of magnitude 6 8 mb. The above results show that the earthquake risk in the area is not so high. The size of the maximum magnitude earthquake that may occur in each of the three tectonic blocks as well as in the region as a whole indicate that only moderate earthquakes are likely in near future. (b) Spatial Variation o f Strain En erg y R eleased Iso-strain release map of the study region have been prepared as discussed in section 6.2 and is presented in Figure 6.5. It reveals that high strain energy release took place along the Eastern Boundary Thrust (EBT), which is shown as dark shade in the map. Strain energy release is 110 com paratively low along Shan Boundary Fault and in the schupoen comprising Naga-Disang thrust system Thus from the seismic seism otectonic co-relation it is observed that earthguakes occur mo>e Eastern Boundary Fault (EBT) compared to Schuppen belt and Sha boundary fault. Thus, the strain energy release map reflects the areas high and low seismic activity, which is very much applicable in the sei (/) 03 C 03 (/) L T M T T .S . N T D T E .0 T . F (B & C T i F fB ) . . . » --------- L o h it T h r u s t M ish w n i T h r u s t T id d in u S u t u i e N a g a Th r ust D is a n u T h r u s t E a s t e r i B o o u n c ia B a s e rre rrt & Cov* Basem ent F Th ru s t N e o t e c to* » c F A n t if o r m L in e a m e n t F a u lt Iso sliain Lines t — 1 r ~ i ETZ~] Fig. 6.5 : Iso-strain Release map of the Study region 111 > 20 0 so n <18 5 1 8 5 6.4 Conclusion The main purpose of the strain release characteristic study is to see the pattern of strain release and to foresee its continuation Blockwise strain release characteristics study shows a definite pattern with active and quiescence periods during the last four decades. It is also observed that the accumulated strain energy in the study region is released by some moderate shocks in installment basis. The highest amount of strain energy due for release is found in Block—II (74.82 x 1020 ergs) which has also experienced highest seismic activity during the last four decades. The accumulated strain energy in the region as a whole is estimated to be about 129.277 x 1020ergs by 2005 which is equivalent to an earthquake of magnitude 6.8 mb Iso-strain release map of the region reveals that high strain energy release took place along the Eastern Boundary Thrust (EBT) Strain energy release is comparatively low along Shan Boundary Fault and in the Schuppen Belt comprising Naga Thrust and Disang Thrust. -oOo- 112
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