The Great Recession and Regional Unemployment Dispari7es in Spain Mo7va7on Regional varia8on in the Range in regional unemployment rates, 2006 unemployment rate, 2012 Evidences Why should about This paper aims we at ecare xamining the interac7on etween persistence the costsbof the business unemployment and internal cycle? mobility in Spain. The Great recession has What are the factors to explain shown the destabilizing persistent regional effects transmitted from unemployment rates dispari7es? financial markets on These dispari7es increased athe Ker real economy. the Great Recession. Should care?explaining Only if What are twe he factors increase? the this losses during Why is important are to analyze recessions not regional dispari7es? compensated by gains Reducing regional inequali7es is during booms. • Regional differences within countries. • Persistent differences of unemployment rates across European regions. • OECD Regions at a Glance 2013, 2009 • Low inter-‐regional migra8on rates. In par8cular, across Spanish regions: • 2003 -‐Net flows: 0.6 ; 2012 – Net flows: 0.85 • In Spain, persistent regional unemployment rates dispari8es have risen during the last Great Recession (Sala and Trivin (2013)) 1 hXp://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888932914406 hXp://dx.doi.org/10.1787/524060265637 Regional Unemployment Dispari8es in Spain an important concern nowadays. Related Literature • Theore8cal literature on the interac8ons between migra8on and unemployment: • Harris and Todaro (1070), Blanchard and Katz (1992) . • Matching models and migra8on/mobility-‐unemployment • Chéron (1999), Ortega (2000), Kline and Moreb (2013), Steinbaum (2013), Lutgen and Van der Linden (2013), Beaudry et al. (2014). Endogenous wages determined by Nash bargaining process Jonathan CRÉCHET Université de Montréal Endogenous Labor Force Calibra7on Model Firms: employment as produc8ve factor. Regional specific changes. Trade in the labour market has matching imperfec8ons between vacant jobs and workers Where is a scale factor for region j. Dynamic regional equilibrium model where unemployed workers can migrate Steady State Sta7s7cs Raquel FONSECA Université de Québec à Montréal and CIRANO Counterfactual Simula7ons Factors to explain unemployment dispari7es • Factors that contribute to reduce these differences • Separa8ons rates • U8li8es of staying in a region • Efficiency of matching www.sciencespo.fr/liepp
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