Monmouth University Poll UTAH: TRUMP HAS NARROW LEAD

Please attribute this information to:
Monmouth University Poll
West Long Branch, NJ 07764
www.monmouth.edu/polling
Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Released:
Thursday, October 13, 2016
Contact:
PATRICK MURRAY
732-979-6769 (cell); 732-263-5858 (office)
[email protected]
Follow on Twitter: @PollsterPatrick
UTAH: TRUMP HAS NARROW LEAD BUT
CLINTON AND McMULLIN ARE HOT ON HIS HEELS
West Long Branch, NJ – The Republican presidential nominee is ahead in the race for Utah’s
electoral votes – which wouldn’t be a headline except for the fact that his lead is a relatively meager 6
points. The Monmouth University Poll finds Donald Trump staving off a challenge from both Hillary
Clinton and independent candidate Evan McMullin. More than 2-in-3 voters in one of the nation’s most
reliable Republican states say Trump does not share their values and he lacks the temperament to serve as
president.
Among Utah voters likely to cast ballots in November’s presidential election, 34% currently
support Trump, 28% back Clinton, 20% back McMullin, and 9% support Libertarian Gary Johnson.
Green Party candidate Jill Stein has 1% of the vote and another 6% are undecided. Historically, the GOP
nominee tends to enjoy a winning margin in the 30 to 50 point range. The only time in more than 50
years when the Republican margin of victory was less than 20 points occurred back in 1992. That
election saw Utah’s vote divided among three candidates – 43% George H.W. Bush, 27% Ross Perot,
25% Bill Clinton.
“While this race is close, it is unclear whether Clinton or McMullin has the better opportunity to
upset Trump,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
[Note: nearly all the interviews for this poll were conducted before news of sexual assault allegations
against Trump received wide coverage on Wednesday.]
The last Democrat to win Utah’s electoral votes was Lyndon Johnson in 1964. Since then, no
Democrat has done better than about one-third of the vote and, more often than not, has barely been able
to top one-quarter of ballots cast. Among the few Beehive State polls that have been conducted this
cycle, Clinton has been stuck at about one-quarter of the vote in all the telephone polls, although she has
attained one-third support in a number of online surveys. The more volatile number has been Trump’s
level of support.
1
Monmouth University Polling Institute 10/13/16
“It is likely that some Republican voters are looking for cues from their state’s party leadership,
who have pretty much abandoned Trump en masse,” said Murray.
Self-identified Republicans support Trump over McMullin by a 55% to 26% margin, with 6%
supporting Clinton and 5% supporting Johnson. Among independent voters, 29% back Trump, 23% back
Clinton, 21% back McMullin, and 16% back Johnson. Nearly all Democrats (92%) support Clinton.
Male voters tend to stick with the GOP nominee – 42% Trump, 26% Clinton, 14% McMullin,
and 10% Johnson. Women, however, narrowly prefer the Democrat – 31% Clinton, 27% Trump, 26%
McMullin, and 8% Johnson. In 2008, the most recent year with a Utah exit poll, GOP nominee John
McCain enjoyed an identical support level of 63% among both men and women.
About 6-in-10 Utah voters identify their religious affiliation as Mormon. Among this group,
Trump leads McMullin by 38% to 32%, with Clinton at 13% and Johnson at 8%. Among those with
another religious affiliation or no religious identity, half back Clinton (50%), with Trump at 29%,
Johnson at 9%, and McMullin at 4%. In 2008, McCain defeated Barack Obama among Mormon voters
by a 78% to 19% margin according to the exit poll, while Obama won the support of voters with another
or no religious identity by 62% to 31%.
The Monmouth University Poll finds that Utah voters have an overwhelmingly negative opinion
of both major party nominees while the independent candidate is not particularly well-known. Just 19%
have a favorable view of Trump and 71% have an unfavorable opinion of him. Only 25% have a
favorable view of Clinton and 69% have a negative opinion of her. McMullin gets a 28% favorable and
6% unfavorable rating, but two-thirds (66%) do not know enough to form an opinion of the candidate
who is positioning himself as the principled conservative option in the race.
Furthermore, 73% of voters say Trump does not share their values, including 61% of Republicans
and 73% of Mormons. A similar 70% of voters say that Clinton does not share their values.
“Utah’s large number of Republican voters could never support the Democrat, but they are
having an awfully hard time coming to terms with their own nominee. This may provide an opening for
McMullin, especially if the national picture continues to point toward a Clinton victory and they become
less worried about ‘wasting’ their vote,” said Murray.
Only 25% of Utah voters feel Trump has the right temperament to be president while 70% say he
does not. They are more evenly divided on Clinton, with 49% saying she has the right temperament and
48% saying she does not.
Nearly all Utah voters are aware of the graphic recording of Trump released on Friday, including
52% who have watched or listened to it and another 41% have read or heard about its contents. About 2in-3 voters (67%) say they were not really surprised by what they heard come out of Trump’s mouth.
Only 6% say they were shocked and 18% say they were surprised but not shocked. Nearly 4-in-10 voters
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Monmouth University Polling Institute 10/13/16
(39%) feel what Trump said in that tape makes him unfit for office while 50% say his words were
inappropriate but not necessarily disqualifying. Seven percent are not familiar with the recording.
The presidential race aside, Republicans are enjoying a typically large advantage in other
statewide contests. In the election for U.S. Senate, first-term incumbent Mike Lee has a 60% to 31% lead
over challenger Misty Snow. In the race for governor, incumbent Gary Herbert has a 63% to 30% lead
over challenger Mike Weinholtz.
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from October 10 to 12, 2016 with
403 Utah residents likely to vote in the November election. This sample has a margin of error of +4.9
percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.
QUESTIONS AND RESULTS
(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)
1/2.
If the election for President was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican,
Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, Jill Stein of the Green Party, or
independent candidate Evan McMullin? [IF UNDECIDED: If you had to vote for one of the
following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward – Donald Trump or Hillary
Clinton?] [NAMES WERE ROTATED]
(with leaners)
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Evan McMullin
(VOL) Other candidate
(VOL) Undecided
(n)
October
2016
34%
28%
9%
1%
20%
1%
6%
(403)
3.
If the election for U.S. Senate was today, would you vote for Mike Lee the Republican,
Misty Snow the Democrat, or some other candidate? [IF UNDECIDED: If you had to vote for
one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward – Mike Lee or Misty
Snow?] [NAMES WERE ROTATED]
(with leaners)
Mike Lee
Misty Snow
Other candidate
(VOL) Undecided
(n)
October
2016
60%
31%
3%
6%
(403)
4.
If the election for governor was today, would you vote for Gary Herbert the Republican,
Mike Weinholtz the Democrat, or some other candidate? [IF UNDECIDED: If you had to vote
for one of the following candidates at this moment, who do you lean toward – Gary Herbert or
Mike Weinholtz?] [NAMES WERE ROTATED]
(with leaners)
Gary Herbert
Mike Weinholtz
Other candidate
(VOL) Undecided
(n)
October
2016
63%
30%
2%
5%
(403)
3
Monmouth University Polling Institute 10/13/16
Regardless of who you may support for president…
[QUESTIONS 5 THROUGH 7 WERE ROTATED]
5.
Is your general impression of Donald Trump favorable or unfavorable, or do you have no
opinion of him?
October
2016
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
(n)
19%
71%
10%
(403)
6.
Is your general impression of Hillary Clinton favorable or unfavorable, or do you have no
opinion of her?
October
2016
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
(n)
25%
69%
6%
(403)
7.
Is your general impression of Evan McMullin favorable or unfavorable, or do you have no
opinion of him?
October
2016
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
(n)
28%
6%
66%
(403)
[QUESTIONS 8 & 9 WERE ROTATED]
8.
Regardless of whether you would vote for him, do you think Donald Trump does or does
not have the right temperament to be president?
October
2016
Does
Does not
(VOL) Don’t know
(n)
25%
70%
5%
(403)
9.
Regardless of whether you would vote for her, do you think Hillary Clinton does or does
not have the right temperament to be president?
October
2016
Does
Does not
(VOL) Don’t know
(n)
49%
48%
3%
(403)
[QUESTIONS 10 & 11 WERE ROTATED]
10. Do you think Donald Trump does or does not share your values?
October
2016
Does
Does not
(VOL) Don’t know
(n)
24%
73%
3%
(403)
4
Monmouth University Polling Institute 10/13/16
11.
Do you think Hillary Clinton does or does not share your values?
October
2016
Does
Does not
(VOL) Don’t know
(n)
29%
70%
1%
(403)
12. A recording of Trump talking about some of his sexual encounters emerged on Friday.
Have you heard about this or not? [IF HEARD: Have you watched or listened to the actual
recording or did you just hear or read reports about what he said?]
October
2016
Watched/listened to actual
recording
Heard/read reports about it
Not aware of recording
(n)
52%
41%
7%
(403)
13. Does what Trump said on this recording make him unfit for office or is what he said
inappropriate but it does not necessarily make him unfit for office?
October
2016
Makes him unfit for office
Inappropriate but not
necessarily unfit
(VOL) Neither
(VOL) Don’t know
Not aware of recording
(n)
39%
50%
2%
2%
7%
(403)
14. Would you describe your reaction to Trump saying these things as shocked, surprised but
not shocked, or not really surprised?
October
2016
Shocked
Surprised but not shocked
Not really surprised
(VOL) Don’t know
Not aware of recording
(n)
6%
18%
67%
2%
7%
(403)
METHODOLOGY
The Monmouth University Poll was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling
Institute from October 10 to 12, 2016 with a random sample of 403 likely Utah voters. Interviews were
conducted by a live caller in English, including 353 drawn from a list of registered voters (201 landline /
152 cell phone) and a random digit dial supplement of 50 cell phone interviews. Monmouth is responsible
for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. The final sample is weighted for age,
gender, race and partisanship based on voter list and U.S. Census information. Data collection support
provided by Braun Research (field), Aristotle (voter list sample), and SSI (RDD sample). For results
based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a
maximum margin of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design). Sampling error
can be larger for sub-groups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind
that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the
findings of opinion polls.
5
Monmouth University Polling Institute 10/13/16
DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
Self-Reported
39% Republican
43% Independent
18% Democrat
48% Male
52% Female
23% 18-34
30% 35-49
27% 50-64
21% 65+
95% White
1% Black
3% Hispanic
1% Other
MARGIN OF ERROR
unweighted
sample
moe
(+/-)
LIKELY VOTER
Total
403
4.9%
SELF-REPORTED
PARTY ID
Republican
Independent
Democrat
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal
Male
Female
18-49
50+
No
Yes
Mormon
Other/None
172
165
63
182
149
60
194
209
180
221
209
193
240
147
7.5%
7.6%
12.4%
7.3%
8.0%
12.7%
7.0%
6.8%
7.3%
6.6%
6.8%
7.1%
6.3%
8.1%
IDEOLOGY
GENDER
AGE
COLLEGE DEGREE
RELIGION
###
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Monmouth University Poll -- UTAH -- 10/13/16
TOTAL
PARTY ID
Rep
Q1-2. PREZ VOTE WITH UNDEC
LEANERS
Mod
GENDER
Lib
Male
AGE 2-WAY
Female
18-49
55%
29%
2%
49%
30%
10%
42%
27%
31%
Clinton
28%
6%
23%
92%
6%
32%
76%
26%
31%
25%
Johnson
9%
5%
16%
1%
6%
13%
7%
10%
8%
13%
Stein
1%
1%
2%
0%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
20%
26%
21%
5%
27%
20%
5%
14%
26%
24%
[VOL] Other cand
1%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
Undecided
6%
6%
9%
0%
9%
4%
1%
6%
6%
5%
COLLEGE DEGREE
50+
No
RELIGION
Yes
Mormon
Other, none
Trump
38%
39%
30%
38%
29%
Clinton
32%
23%
33%
13%
50%
Johnson
4%
12%
6%
8%
9%
Stein
1%
2%
0%
1%
1%
16%
15%
25%
32%
4%
[VOL] Other cand
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
Undecided
8%
8%
4%
6%
6%
McMullin
TOTAL
PARTY ID
Rep
Ind
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Dem
Con
Mod
GENDER
Lib
Male
AGE 2-WAY
Female
18-49
Lee
60%
86%
59%
6%
85%
50%
19%
66%
54%
62%
Snow
31%
5%
29%
93%
7%
40%
73%
27%
34%
29%
Other cand
3%
3%
5%
0%
4%
2%
4%
3%
3%
3%
Undecided
6%
6%
7%
1%
4%
7%
4%
3%
8%
6%
AGE 2-WAY
50+
Q3. SEN VOTE WITH ALL
LEANERS
Con
34%
AGE 2-WAY
Q3. SEN VOTE WITH ALL
LEANERS
Dem
Trump
McMullin
Q1-2. PREZ VOTE WITH UNDEC
LEANERS
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Ind
COLLEGE DEGREE
No
Yes
RELIGION
Mormon
Other, none
Lee
59%
61%
59%
79%
35%
Snow
33%
27%
35%
15%
52%
Other cand
3%
4%
2%
3%
3%
Undecided
5%
8%
4%
4%
9%
Page 1
Monmouth University Poll -- UTAH -- 10/13/16
TOTAL
PARTY ID
Rep
Q4. GOV VOTE WITH ALL
LEANERS
Male
AGE 2-WAY
Female
18-49
12%
88%
56%
22%
68%
58%
63%
Weinholtz
30%
5%
30%
85%
7%
39%
70%
28%
32%
30%
Other cand
2%
0%
3%
0%
2%
1%
3%
1%
2%
2%
Undecided
5%
3%
7%
3%
3%
5%
4%
3%
7%
4%
COLLEGE DEGREE
No
Yes
RELIGION
Mormon
Other, none
Herbert
63%
64%
62%
80%
40%
Weinholtz
30%
28%
32%
15%
50%
Other cand
1%
2%
1%
1%
3%
Undecided
6%
6%
4%
3%
8%
PARTY ID
Ind
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Dem
Con
Mod
GENDER
Lib
Male
AGE 2-WAY
Female
18-49
Favorable
19%
28%
18%
2%
27%
17%
4%
24%
15%
17%
Unfavorable
71%
55%
74%
97%
57%
76%
96%
63%
78%
75%
No opinion
10%
17%
8%
1%
16%
7%
0%
14%
7%
8%
AGE 2-WAY
50+
COLLEGE DEGREE
No
Yes
RELIGION
Mormon
Other, none
Favorable
21%
21%
17%
19%
20%
Unfavorable
66%
64%
77%
69%
74%
No opinion
12%
15%
5%
12%
6%
TOTAL
PARTY ID
Rep
Ind
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Dem
Con
Mod
GENDER
Lib
Male
AGE 2-WAY
Female
18-49
Favorable
25%
4%
19%
85%
7%
28%
66%
21%
28%
20%
Unfavorable
69%
92%
73%
8%
91%
64%
27%
71%
68%
74%
6%
4%
7%
7%
3%
8%
7%
8%
4%
6%
No opinion
AGE 2-WAY
50+
Q6. Is your general impression of
Hillary Clinton favorable or
unfavorable, or do you have no
opinion of her?
GENDER
Lib
59%
Rep
Q6. Is your general impression of
Hillary Clinton favorable or
unfavorable, or do you have no
opinion of her?
Mod
92%
TOTAL
Q5. Is your general impression of
Donald Trump favorable or
unfavorable, or do you have no
opinion of him?
Con
63%
50+
Q5. Is your general impression of
Donald Trump favorable or
unfavorable, or do you have no
opinion of him?
Dem
Herbert
AGE 2-WAY
Q4. GOV VOTE WITH ALL
LEANERS
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Ind
COLLEGE DEGREE
No
Yes
RELIGION
Mormon
Other, none
Favorable
30%
21%
29%
11%
45%
Unfavorable
65%
73%
65%
85%
46%
6%
6%
6%
4%
9%
No opinion
Page 2
Monmouth University Poll -- UTAH -- 10/13/16
TOTAL
PARTY ID
Rep
Q7. Is your general impression of
Evan McMullin favorable or
unfavorable, or do you have no
opinion of him?
Favorable
Unfavorable
No opinion
Unfavorable
No opinion
AGE 2-WAY
Female
18-49
28%
18%
26%
31%
6%
5%
7%
5%
6%
6%
3%
7%
4%
5%
66%
60%
65%
80%
60%
66%
78%
67%
65%
62%
COLLEGE DEGREE
No
Yes
33%
RELIGION
Mormon
Other, none
11%
24%
25%
32%
41%
6%
5%
6%
5%
7%
70%
70%
62%
54%
82%
PARTY ID
Ind
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Dem
Con
Mod
GENDER
Lib
Male
Female
Does
25%
34%
26%
2%
32%
24%
8%
32%
18%
Does not
70%
57%
71%
98%
58%
73%
92%
62%
78%
5%
8%
4%
0%
10%
2%
0%
6%
5%
[VOL] Dont know_Refused
AGE 2-WAY
COLLEGE DEGREE
50+
No
Yes
RELIGION
Mormon
Other, none
Does
21%
29%
29%
21%
25%
25%
Does not
75%
64%
64%
76%
68%
73%
4%
7%
7%
3%
7%
2%
[VOL] Dont know_Refused
TOTAL
PARTY ID
Rep
Ind
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Dem
Con
Mod
GENDER
Lib
Male
Female
Does
49%
28%
50%
94%
27%
57%
86%
48%
50%
Does not
48%
70%
46%
6%
69%
40%
14%
49%
46%
3%
3%
4%
0%
4%
3%
0%
3%
4%
[VOL] Dont know_Refused
AGE 2-WAY
18-49
Q9. Regardless of whether you
would vote for her, do you think
Hillary Clinton does or does not
have the right temperament to be
president?
Male
34%
18-49
Q9. Regardless of whether you
would vote for her, do you think
Hillary Clinton does or does not
have the right temperament to be
president?
GENDER
Lib
15%
Rep
Q8. Regardless of whether you
would vote for him, do you think
Donald Trump does or does not
have the right temperament to be
president?
Mod
28%
TOTAL
Q8. Regardless of whether you
would vote for him, do you think
Donald Trump does or does not
have the right temperament to be
president?
Con
35%
50+
Favorable
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Dem
28%
AGE 2-WAY
Q7. Is your general impression of
Evan McMullin favorable or
unfavorable, or do you have no
opinion of him?
Ind
COLLEGE DEGREE
50+
No
Yes
RELIGION
Mormon
Other, none
Does
50%
47%
41%
57%
39%
65%
Does not
47%
49%
54%
42%
57%
34%
3%
4%
5%
1%
4%
1%
[VOL] Dont know_Refused
Page 3
Monmouth University Poll -- UTAH -- 10/13/16
TOTAL
PARTY ID
Rep
Q10. Do you think Donald Trump
does or does not share your
values?
GENDER
Lib
Male
Female
23%
4%
31%
24%
7%
32%
17%
Does not
73%
61%
74%
96%
63%
75%
93%
64%
81%
3%
4%
3%
0%
5%
1%
0%
4%
2%
COLLEGE DEGREE
50+
No
RELIGION
Yes
Mormon
Other, none
Does
20%
29%
26%
22%
24%
26%
Does not
78%
67%
69%
77%
73%
72%
1%
4%
5%
1%
3%
2%
[VOL] Dont know_Refused
TOTAL
PARTY ID
Rep
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Ind
Dem
Con
Mod
GENDER
Lib
Male
Female
Does
29%
5%
27%
87%
8%
31%
77%
23%
34%
Does not
70%
95%
71%
10%
92%
67%
18%
76%
64%
1%
0%
2%
3%
0%
2%
4%
1%
2%
[VOL] Dont know_Refused
AGE 2-WAY
18-49
COLLEGE DEGREE
50+
No
RELIGION
Yes
Mormon
Other, none
Does
24%
34%
27%
30%
13%
51%
Does not
74%
65%
73%
67%
87%
46%
2%
1%
1%
2%
0%
4%
[VOL] Dont know_Refused
TOTAL
PARTY ID
Rep
Q12. A recording of Trump talking
about some of his sexual
encounters emerged on Friday.
Have you heard about this or not?
[IF "heard" ASK:] Have you
watched or listened to the actual
recording or did you just hear or
read reports about what he said?
Mod
35%
AGE 2-WAY
Q11. Do you think Hillary Clinton
does or does not share your
values?
Con
24%
18-49
Q11. Do you think Hillary Clinton
does or does not share your
values?
Dem
Does
[VOL] Dont know_Refused
Q10. Do you think Donald Trump
does or does not share your
values?
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Ind
Ind
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Dem
Con
Mod
GENDER
Lib
Male
Female
Watched_listened to actual
recording
52%
47%
53%
63%
45%
51%
72%
54%
50%
Heard_read reports about it
41%
45%
41%
33%
45%
44%
24%
42%
41%
7%
8%
7%
5%
10%
5%
4%
4%
10%
Not aware of recording
Page 4
Monmouth University Poll -- UTAH -- 10/13/16
AGE 2-WAY
18-49
Q12. A recording of Trump talking
about some of his sexual
encounters emerged on Friday.
Have you heard about this or not?
[IF "heard" ASK:] Have you
watched or listened to the actual
recording or did you just hear or
read reports about what he said?
COLLEGE DEGREE
50+
RELIGION
Mormon
Other, none
46%
59%
53%
51%
48%
59%
Heard_read reports about it
48%
33%
37%
45%
44%
36%
6%
8%
11%
4%
8%
5%
Not aware of recording
PARTY ID
Rep
Ind
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Dem
Con
Mod
GENDER
Lib
Male
Female
Makes him unfit for office
39%
22%
41%
71%
25%
39%
69%
34%
43%
Inappropriate but not necessarily
unfit
50%
65%
48%
22%
59%
51%
26%
57%
43%
(VOL) Neither_Not
inappropriate_Dont see all the
fuss
2%
1%
3%
3%
2%
3%
1%
3%
1%
(VOL) Dont know_Refused
2%
4%
2%
0%
3%
1%
0%
1%
3%
[Q12] Not aware of recording
7%
8%
7%
5%
10%
5%
4%
4%
10%
AGE 2-WAY
18-49
Q13. Does what Trump said on
this recording make him unfit for
office or is what he said
inappropriate but it does not
necessarily make him unfit for
office?
Yes
Watched_listened to actual
recording
TOTAL
Q13. Does what Trump said on
this recording make him unfit for
office or is what he said
inappropriate but it does not
necessarily make him unfit for
office?
No
COLLEGE DEGREE
50+
No
Yes
RELIGION
Mormon
Other, none
Makes him unfit for office
42%
35%
30%
47%
34%
46%
Inappropriate but not necessarily
unfit
48%
53%
54%
45%
53%
45%
(VOL) Neither_Not
inappropriate_Dont see all the
fuss
3%
2%
3%
1%
2%
3%
(VOL) Dont know_Refused
2%
3%
2%
3%
3%
1%
[Q12] Not aware of recording
6%
8%
11%
4%
8%
5%
Page 5
Monmouth University Poll -- UTAH -- 10/13/16
TOTAL
PARTY ID
Rep
Q14. Would you describe your
reaction to Trump saying these
things as shocked, surprised but
not shocked, or not really
surprised?
Shocked
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Dem
Con
Mod
GENDER
Lib
Male
Female
6%
9%
3%
4%
5%
7%
1%
6%
5%
Surprised but not shocked
18%
22%
14%
19%
19%
20%
15%
21%
15%
Not really surprised
66%
67%
59%
74%
72%
64%
67%
80%
68%
(VOL) Dont know_Refused
2%
2%
2%
0%
2%
1%
0%
1%
4%
[Q12] Not aware of recording
7%
8%
7%
5%
10%
5%
4%
4%
10%
AGE 2-WAY
18-49
Q14. Would you describe your
reaction to Trump saying these
things as shocked, surprised but
not shocked, or not really
surprised?
Ind
Shocked
COLLEGE DEGREE
50+
No
Yes
RELIGION
Mormon
Other, none
4%
7%
4%
7%
7%
4%
Surprised but not shocked
17%
19%
19%
16%
19%
17%
Not really surprised
71%
64%
64%
71%
63%
74%
(VOL) Dont know_Refused
1%
3%
2%
2%
3%
1%
[Q12] Not aware of recording
6%
8%
11%
4%
8%
5%
Page 6