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This institution reserves the right to refuse to accept a copying order if, in its judgment, fulfillment of the order would involve violation of copyright law. Geothermal Resources Council TRANSACTIONS, Vol. 17, October 1993 THE DYNAMIC BEHAVIOR OF KILAUEA VOLCANO AND ITS RELATION TO HYDROTHERMAL SYSTEMS AND GEOTHERMAL ENERGY Jim Kauahikaua and R.B.Moore U.S.Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano Observatory, Hawaii National Park, HI U. S . Geological Survey, Denver, CO ABSTRACT THE EFFECTS OF VOLCANIC ACTIVITY ON KILAUEA'S HYDROTHERMAL SYSTEMS Exploitation of hydrothermal systems on active basaltic volcanoes poses some unique questions about the role of volcanism and hydrothermal system evolution. Volcanic activity creates and maintains hydrothermal systems while earthquakes create permeable fractures that, at least temporarily, enhance circulation. Magma and water, possibly hydrothermal water, can interact violently to produce explosive eruptions. Finally, we speculate on whether volcanic behavior can be affected by high rates of heat extraction. A hydrothermal system results when a heat source interacts with groundwater. In most high-temperature hydrothermal systems exploited for electricity production, the heat source is a cooling intrusion at some depth beneath the earth's surface. Kilauea hydrothermal systems are similar in that they are partially driven by past intrusions but they may also be intersected and profoundly affected by new intrusions. Moore and Trusdell (1993), Kauahikaua (1993). and Ingebritsen and Scholl(l993) have summarized the evidence for the current location of magma storage areas and conduits, cooling intrusions, and the resulting hydrothermal systems. INTRODUCTION Most high-temperature geothermal fields around the world are being mined of stored heat while Kilauea and Iceland are being mined of a combination of stored heat and heat supplied in the form of magma from the upper mantle. Therefore, some unique interactions are possible and this paper describes what is currently known about the relationship of the hydrothermal systems of Kilauea to the dynamic behavior of the volcano, as manifested by the movement of magma, rock, and groundwater. Much will be inferred by analogy with Iceland because the record of exploitation for geothermal energy in Iceland is much longer than in Hawai'i and because Iceland has many volcanological similarities to Hawai'i. The material presented in this paper was first extracted from the literature to answer questions about these interactions posed to us by government agencies and groups. The discussions are meant to explore what is known about each interaction and the discussions are not necessarily related to each other. The interaction of a newly-emp!aced intrusion and an existing hydrothermal system has been most thoroughly documented in Iceland. Physical measurements at Krafla geothermal field confirm that significant pressure, temperature, and chemical changes can occur. For example, Elsworth and Voight (1992) describe nearly-instantaneous transient pressure increases of 0.76 MPa and 0.34 MPa at distances of 4.3 km and 9.3 km, respectively, from the 1977 and 1978 intrusions. A decrease in pH, a delayed increase in CO, content in steam, and a rapid increase in water table elevation was observed in three wells 4.3 km from and in response to magmatic activity in 1975 and 1977 (Stefansson, 1981). Although pressure and temperature changes have not been directly observed on Kilauea in response to volcanic activity, they have been indirectly observed in the form of self-potential(SP) changes at the ground surface (Zablocki, 1975). An SP increase coincident with a fissure eruption in 1973 was interpreted as the effect of enhanced groundwater convection produced by a dike being intruded up through the water table. Additionally, Tilling and Jones (1990) observed a chemical change in waters tapped by a deep drill hole at the summit of Kilauea after a southwest rift zone eruption in 1974 about 1.5 km from the hole. Geophysical studies have documented that magma moves upward into the summit area of Kilauea and then moves laterally into the rift zones. High levels of seismicity indicate that rock is being fractured and probably displaced during faulting. Groundwater generally floats as a lens of freshwater on seawater and moves seaward at ambient temperature; when heated, groundwater can move upward as long as there is sufficient permeability. The hydrothermal systems affect and in turn are influenced by these three dynamic processes. The brine chemistry for well HGP-A in Kilauea's east rift zone showed little, if any, response to the 1983 beginning of the middle east rift zone (MERZ) eruption 24 km uprift. HGP-Awas continuously exploited for electricity 129 Kaua h i kaua and Moore production from 1981 to 1989. During the 8 years of production, chlorides increased by a factor of ten, the Na/CI ratio stayed virtually identical to that in seawater, the WCI ratio decreased steadily, and the Ca/Cl ratios increased fairly smoothly with time in response to production (Thomas, 1987). In January 1983, an eruption began in the east rift zone which, as of this writing (May 1993). is continuing (Heliker and Wright, 1991). With the possible exception of the MgKl ratio, none of these chemical measures showed a response related to the start of the eruption. the ground surface. Thus, the 1924 explosive eruption occurred when the bottom of Halema'uma'u pit crater was only about 100 m above the current level of the water table. Earlier drops in the level of the lava lake were no more than 250 m below the ground surface and did not result in phreatic explosions. By analogy, earlier explosive eruptions may have occurred at Kilauea summit when the caldera floor was much lower, and therefore closer to the water table, than it is now. Macdonald (1962) and other authors point out that, on the basis of observations of the 1955 and 1960 eruptions, large volumes of steam appear only when molten lava was temporarily withdrawn from the surficial part of the vent. The 1924 explosive eruption occurred when lava was withdrawn from a lava lake. Therefore, the withdrawing lava column coupled with a relatively shallow water table probably allows groundwater to enter the conduit previously occupied by magma and explosively convert to steam. The degree of explosivity is related to the amount of water converted to steam in a given volume. At Kilauea, the interaction of magma and groundwater has resulted in catastrophic explosive eruptions, such as those that produced the ash and tuff deposits at Kilauea summit, Pu'ulena, and Kapoho described by Moore and Trusdell (1993), Decker and Christiansen (1984), and McPhie et al. (1990). At least one of the summit events may have involved the hydrothermal system (L.G. Mastin, 1993, oral communication). The timing of these particular events is fairly well known to have been 200 year before present (summit), 200-340 years before present (Kapoho), and 400750 years before present (Pu'ulena). There is evidence of eight other explosive eruptions within the last 100,000 years exposed in the Hilina fault system on the south flank of Kilauea (Easton, 1987). In addition, there are several thin ash beds in the cores of the Scientific 'Observation Holes (SOH, thirteen in SOH-1; Novak and Evans, 1991) that suggest explosive activity. We must conclude that these eruptions are infrequent, but not uncommon, in Kilauea's geologic history. Although the LERZ has been eruptively quiet since 1961, eruptions will occur there in the future and magma could intersect the hydrothermal system near HGP-A, as it did in 1955 (Macdonald and Eaton, 1964), or basal groundwater or seawater near Kapoho, as it did in 1960 (Richter et al., 1970). This recent activity resulted in relatively minor steam explosions, but larger events could occur. At the summit of Kilauea, relatively small (compared to 1790) phreatic explosions occurred in 1924 as the summit subsided in response to an apparent intrusion at Kapoho on the LERZ or a submarine eruption east of Cape Kumukahi (Fig.1 in Moore and Trusdell, 1993; Stearns and Macdonald, 1946; Decker and Christiansen, 1984). Future caldera-forming collapses could result in much larger phreatic or phreatomagmatic explosions, and Holcomb ( 1987) points out that the current cycle of ERZ activity resembles the eruptive sequence prior to the 1790 summit collapse and catastrophic eruptions. The likelihood of phreatomagmatic activity may also be increased at specific sites. The locations of steam explosions during the 1955 and 1960 eruptions were close to sites of pastyhreatomagmatic activity. Steam was produced during the initial stages of the 1955 eruption in the immediate vicinity of Pu'u Honua'ula (Macdonald and Eaton, 1964) located 1.5 km from Pu'ulena pit crater, probable source of the Pu'ulena tuff (Moore, 1992). Although subsequent lava issued from vents as much as 6 km downrift and 10 km uprift from Pu'u Honua'ula, only the 1955 vent at Pu'u Honua'ula produced steam. Steam was also produced during the 1960 eruption from a vent that was 1.5 km from the Kapoho tuff cone. Pu'ulena and Kapoho crater may be loci of eruptive activity where the water table is relatively shallow. THE EFFECT OF FAULTING AND SEISMICITY ON KILAUEA'S HYDROTHERMAL SYSTEMS Permeability below about 1 km depth at Kilauea exists predominantly as fractures. Bulk permeability decreases by about 4 orders of magnitude between the surface and a depth of 1,100 to 1,400 m below sea level (Ingebritsen and Scholl, 1993). Many faults have been mapped within the rift zones and summit areas of Kilauea and it is likely that subsurface fault planes provide locally enhanced permeability. HGP-A had two production layers at 1311 m and at 1966 m (Chen and others, 1979) which may have been intersected fractures. More recently, wells KS-7 and KS-8 intersected a high temperature, fractured zone at 488 m and 1059 m, respectively (Thomas and others, 1991). The latter fracture zone yielded pressures 47 bars in excess of hydrostatic pressure which must be confined by anomalously low permeabilities at these shallow depths (Ingebritsen and Scholl, 1993). In fact, the discovery of an overpressured fracture zone at shallow depth in the vicinity of the Pu'ulena tuff and the 1955 steam eruption (KS-8is less than 1.5 km from Pu'ulena crater and less than 100 m The likelihood of steam production and an explosive eruption may be increased by the availability of shallow groundwater (Macdonald, 1962). The 1955 and 1960 eruptions occurred where the water table i s approximately 215 m and 25 m deep, respectively. The water table beneath the summit currently stands at a depth of about 500 m. Dvorak (1992) notes that the 1924 phreatic eruption at Halema'uma'u pit crater at the summit occurred when the lava lake level subsided more than 400 m below 130 Kauahi kaua and Moore and Saemundsson, 1974). Differences include the total length of the eruptive features (350 km for Iceland and 80 km for subaerial Kilauea) and width of active surface features (3-10 km for Iceland and 3-4 km for Kilauea). Iceland is located on a crustal rift which is spreading at a rate of about 2 cm/y and Kilauea is located over a mantle hot spot over which the Pacific plate is moving at a rate of about 9 cm/y (Clague and Dalrymple, 1987). from the initial 1955 fissure) suggests the possibility that the two phenomena are related. The phreatic or phreatomagmatic eruptions may have been the result of breaching one or more such fracture zones. There is no direct evidence that earthquakes have affected the hydrothermal systems of Kilauea. Microseismicity levels of up to 0.05 events/(km3 yr) and maximum magnitude M3.0 immediately around HGP-A (Kauahikaua, 1993) and an M6.1 in 1989 about 15 km away had no documented effect on the performance of the well (D.M. Thomas, 1992, oral communication) during eight years of electricity production. Tilling and Jones (1990) did not note any obvious changes in the NSF research well within Kilauea caldera in response to the 1975 M7.2 earthquake whose epicenter was about 25 km away nor to the simultaneous eruption 2.5 km away within Kilauea caldera. The effect of high background seismicity in the summit and rift zones of Kilauea on groundwater or hydrothermal systems is difficult to evaluate because it is, by definition, relatively constant, This slim record of observations cannot be taken as definitive but only indicative that these levels of seismicity do not significantly alter these specific hydrothermal systems. In Iceland, thirty-six years of geothermal development for production of electricity in the vicinity of active volcanism have not had any noticeable impact on volcanic activity. In 1990, total electricity production from high-temperature wells was 45 MWe and total extraction for direct heat applications was about 480 MWt (Palmason and Gudmundsson, 1990) for a total extraction rate of about 920 MWt (assuming 10% efficiency in the conversion of thermal energy into electrical energy). Total average heat discharge of the Icelandic volcanic zone has been estimated to be 56 MWt/km to the surface and 78 MWt/km laterally into the crust (Palmason, 1973) for a total of about 47 GWt integrating along approximately 350 km of rift. In other words, the Icelanders are seeing no changes in volcanic behavior while they are exploiting about 2% of the heat being discharged from the volcanic zone. THE INTERACTION BETWEEN NONTHERMAL GROUNDWATER AND KILAUEA’S HYDROTHERMAL SYSTEMS A comprehensive heat discharge rate for Kilauea has not yet been estimated; however, the heat input rate can be estimated from the magma supply rate. Magma is the ultimate heat source for Kilauea hydrothermal systems and adds heat at a rate of 3-7 GWt (Kauahikaua, 1993). There is, of course, a substantial, unknown amount of heat already stored within Kilauea in the form of intrusions and heated water. The rate at which heat is discharged from Kilauea must be similar in magnitude to the heat input rate unless the volcano is heating up or cooling off. In fact, recent findings of alteration minerals existing at the very high end of their temperature stability fields in cores from a depth of up to 2 km (Terry Keith, 1993, written communication) suggest that rocks at these depths may still be heating up. If correct, the heat discharge rate would be less than the heat input rate. There are no known thermal discharges north of either the east or southwest rift zone where recharge is probably the highest. Thermal discharges do occur south of the rift zones where recharge is much lower. In the shallow groundwater within the rift zone and to the south, the hottest water is at the water table surface (Epp and Halunen, 1979) which suggests that it is coming up and flowing out along the water-table surface to the coast. The existence of thermal water to the north is better shown by anomalous chemistry than by enhanced temperatures. McMurtry et al. (1977) note that slight enrichments of silica in water from a few wells north of the east rift zone show that, even with the large amount of recharge in this area, thermal water has apparently moved from the rift zone to the north. Heat extraction rates on Kilauea are currently low but are planned to be significantly higher. The rate of heat withdrawn by geothermal well HGP-A was estimated from an enthalpy of 1650 kJ/kg and a flow rate of 50,000 kg/hr (ENEL,1990) to be 1650 x 50,000 / (3600 sec/hr) or 22.9 MWt and produced between 2 and 3 MWe. Between 1981 and 1989, HGP-A withdrew heat at less than 1% the rate of heat supplied to Kilauea. As of this writing (May, 1993), production of electricity from geothermal sources totals less than 30 MWe (Puna Geothermal Venture, 1993, written communication) which can be produced by extracting roughly 300 MWt (assuming similar MWt to MWe efficiencies as for HGP-A). The State of Hawaii has proposed geothermal developments providing 500 MWe POTENTIAL EFFECTS OF GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT ON VOLCANIC ACTIVITY The possible range of effects of high rates of heat withdrawal on a volcano’s dynamic behavior is not known. Iceland is commonly used as an analogy for Kilauea because it has certain volcanological similarities to Kilauea. Both erupt tholeiitic basalts, heat flows range from above 300 mW/mz within the zone of rifting to 80 mW/mz outside it (Kauahikaua, 1993; Palmason, 1973) and the eruption rates are about 0.036 km3/yr for Kilauea (King, 1989) and about 0.048 km3/yr for Iceland (Palmason 131 Kauahi kaua and Moore the proposal of more detailed hypotheses of possible interactions. In support of such modelling, better estimates of the magma supply rate, thermal structure, and general heat budget are needed for Kilauea. from Kilauea (Kaya, 1991) which will require extracting heat at a rate of about 5 GWt. A comparison of this rate to the rate of heat input to Kilauea by magma supply shows that the State of Hawaii proposal would require extraction of heat at a rate approximately equal to the estimated rate of heat input and discharge for Kilauea volcano. REFERENCES When commercial heat withdrawal rates are insignificant relative to an active volcano’s heat input rate, then the heat withdrawal will almost certainly not affect the future dynamics of the volcano. When the heat withdrawal rate approaches that of volcanic heat input, the possibility of that withdrawal affecting volcano dynamics increases. For example, Hardee (1987) showed that differences in eruptive behavior along the east rift zone can be explained by different thermal regimes due to differing intrusion rates. In the upper east rift zone, a magma conduit can remain open because the volume rate of throughput is high enough to keep the conduit above melt temperature. Magma can flow through this conduit relatively aseismically. A lesser volume rate of throughput in the lower east rift zone is insufficient to keep a magma conduit open and magma must be forcefully intruded or erupted. If instead of varying intrusion rates, the thermal regime is cooled by a locally-intensivewithdrawal of heat, the effect would still be the same and the ability of magma to flow laterally through a conduit might be decreased. For this reason, we suggest that active volcanic regions undergoing intense geothermal exploitation be carefully monitored for long-term changes that may indicate such interactions. Based on Hardee’s results (Hardee, 1987), the effects of high heat withdrawal might include increased seismicity and decreased surface volcanic activity locally, but observable only over a long time period. Chen, B.H., Kihara, D.H., Seki, A., and Yuen, P.C., 1979, Well Test analysis of HGP-A: Society of Petroleum Engineers of AIME Paper SPE 7963, presented at the 1979 California Regional Meeting, Ventura, April 18-20. Clague, D.A., and Dalrymple, G.B.,1987, The HawaiianEmperor volcanic chain, Part I, Geologic evolution, USGS Professional Paper 1350, p. 5-54. Decker, R.W., and Christiansen, R.L., 1984, Explosive eruptions of Kilauea volcano, Hawaii in Explosive Volcanism: Inception, evolution, and hazards, Washington, D.C., National Academy Press, p. 122132. Dvorak, J.J., 1992, Mechanisms of explosive eruptions of Kilauea volcano, Hawaii, Bull. Volc., v. 54, p. 638645. Easton, R.M., 1987, Stratigraphy of Kilauea volcano, USGS Professional Paper 1350, p. 242-260. ENEL (Ente Nazionale per L’Energia Electrica) (1990) The Kilauea East Rift Zone, Draft report to State of Hawaii, Dept. Business and Economic Development, 99 p. SUGGESTIONS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH Elsworth, D., and Voight, B., 1992, Theory of dike intrusion in a saturated porous solid, JGR, v. 97, p. 9105-9117. Exploration and exploitation of Kilauea’s hydrothermal systems are at a very early stage. Eruptions will continue along the east rift zone and they will probably affect any network of production wells located there in some way; experience in Iceland suggests that the effects will be minimal unless the eruption occurs within 10 km of the production wells. Much work still needs to be done on the interactions between volcanism, groundwater, and hydrothermal activity. Participation by the hydrothermal systems in phreatic eruptions is suggested for Kilauea summit and needs more study especially in the lower east rift zone. Definition of permeabilities at depth is crucial to the understanding of these hydrothermal systems - our current rudimentary information is simply not sufficient to assess potential geothermal reserves in the Kilauea east rift zone. A network of observation wells would provide information on the effects of exploitation on the shallow water table and the deeper hydrothermal systems. Finally, there is currently no clear way to determine the effects of development on magmatic activity; further modelling of magma conduit dynamics and the effects of heat withdrawal, such as is done in Hardee (1987), would allow Epp, D. and Halunen, Jr., A.J., 1979, Temperature profiles in wells on the island of Hawaii, Hawaii Institute of Geophysics technical report HIG-79-7, 31 p. Hardee, H.C., 1987, Heat and mass transport in the eastrift-zone magma conduit of Kilauea volcano, USGS Professional Paper 1350, p. 1471-1486. Heliker, C.C., and Wright, T.L., 1991, The Pu‘u ‘0‘0Kupaianaha eruption of Kilauea, Eos, v. 72, p. 521, 526, and 530. Holcomb, R.T., 1987, Eruptive history and long-term behavior of Kilauea volcano, USGS Professional Paper 1350, p. 261-350. 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Stefansson, V., 1981, The Krafla geothermal field, northeast Iceland in Geothermal Systems: Princides and Case Histories, Rybach, L., and Muffler, P., (eds.), John Wiley and Sons Ltd., p. 273-294. Macdonald, G.A., and Eaton, J.P., 1964, Hawaiian volcanoes during 1955: U.S.Geological Survey Bulletin 1171, 170 p. Thomas, D. (1987) A geochemical model of the Kilauea . east rift zone, U.S.Geological Survey Professional Paper 1350, pp. 1507- 1525. Macdonald, G.A., 1962, The 1959 and 1960 eruptions of Kilauea volcano, Hawaii, and the construction of walls to restrict the spread of the lava flows: Bulletin Volcanologique, v. 24, p. 249-294. Thomas, R., Whiting, R., Moore, J., and Milner, D. (1991) Independent technical investigation of the Puna Geothermal Venture Unplanned Steam Release, June 12 and 13, 1991, Puna, Hawaii, report prepared for the mayor of Hawaii County and the Chairperson of the State of Hawaii Board of Land and Natural Resources, 38 p. 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