THE IMPACT OF ROADS ON HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSES: A CASE STUDY IN SWEDEN Alireza Nickman 1, Per-Erik Jansson 1, Steve W. Lyon 2, Bo Olofsson 1, Zahra Kalantari 1 1 Department of Sustainable Development, Environmental Science and Engineering Royal Institute of Technology (KTH) SE-100 44 STOCKHOLM, Sweden 2 Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden Manuscript Abstract A method engaged for simulating and assessing the alterations excreted by road topography within watersheds and estimating the road effects on hydrologic responses. The method uses Geographic Information System (GIS) to allocate and eliminate roads from the elevation data. HEC-HMS was used to model surface and near surface hydrological responses of watersheds with roads and without roads in response to three storms with different intensities. A detailed study of the simulated flow duration curves showed differences between 20 watersheds for three different storms based on a digital elevation data with and without roads. To compare flow duration curves, L-moment ratios were calculated and their variation compared. An increase in peak flow and reduced delay occurred with increased storm intensity. Variations of the L-moment ratios were larger in larger watersheds. However, the impact of the roads was much smaller and only possible to identify by detailed examination of statistical descriptors. The results are useful to gain a better estimating of the effect of road topography in hydrological processes and responses especially in high storm intensities. Key words: Road topography; HEC-HMS; Flow Duration Curves; L-moment ratios. Nickman et al Manuscript 1. I NTRODUCTION Any alteration in the physical characteristics of a watershed, especially manmade changes, will influence the natural flow of water (Bergmann et al, 1990). Among typical manmade disturbances to the environment, the development of road networks are among the most common geomorphological alterations in watersheds and natural river sections (Jones et al 2000, Wemple et al 2001, Ziegler et al 2007). Roads and their margins affect routing of flow paths, infiltration rates, surface permeability, near surface flows, and the production of finegrained sediments associated with roads by changing hydrologic and geomorphologic characteristics of the watershed (Wemple et al, 2001; Tague and Band, 2001; Ziegler et al, 2004; Dutton et al, 2005; Cuo et al, 2006; Ziegler et al, 2007). Modified sections of river networks at road-stream crossings are the most vulnerable spots to road damage and loss due to high level of water or torrents of debris flow (Erickson, 2004; de Moel et al, 2009; Magnusson et al, 2009). The hydrological effects of a road in a catchment can change peak flow magnitude and timing (King and Tennyson, 1984; Wemple et al, 1996; Jones and Grant, 1996: Bruno and Bardossy, 1998; Jones et al, 2000; Iroumé et al, 2005). Road networks and their related structures influence hydrologic responses by alteration of connectivity within fluvial systems and shortening of stream flows especially during extreme events when surface flow processes dominate the hydrological response (Ziegler et al, 2004; Borga et al, 2005; Cuo et al, 2006; Ziegler et al, 2007; Blanton and Marcus, 2009). The effect of surface runoff concentration by roads and subsurface interception by ditches increases the effective drainage density and shortens the fluvial routes on hillslopes thereby increasing peak flow of the main stream (Luce and Wemple, 2001). The magnitudes of those influences typically depend on the configuration of the road-stream network in the catchment, the type of embankment construction (i.e., cut or fill), and the road location (Ziegler et al, 2007; Blanton and Marcus, 2009). Alteration of peak flows and timing may result in quick flows larger than those anticipated prior to road construction, which is important in view of flood prediction. There have been several approaches to investigate the effects of road types on hydrology, slope stability, erosion and ecosystems across scales. Wemple et al. (1996) studied the timing influence of road networks by investigating the interaction between road routing effect and drainage networks at a full basin scale. Ziegler et al (1996) examined variations in soil physical properties near and above abandoned logging road surfaces and surroundings to investigate the effect of roads in producing excess runoff in a watershed in Northern Thailand. At the landscape scale, the influence of road network configuration on biological and ecological processes (Jones et al, 2000) was studied by implementation of conceptual models based on observations from 2 The impact of roads on hydrological responses: A case study in Sweden H.J. Andrews Watershed, Oregon (USA). Macdonald et al. (2001) measured sediment yield and runoff generated from unpaved roads in the steep and highly dissected landscape of St John Island. Some methods include hydrological modeling of the effect of road cut depths and drainage patterns on hillslope soil moisture and runoff generation (Tague and Band, 2001). In addition, Dutton et al. (2004) looked at near surface permeability variation caused by surface compaction of forest roads at the basin scale in Oregon, USA. Spatial comparison and scenario analysis of road networks have been carried out to investigate the influence of roads on neighboring landscapes and ecosystems in China (Liu et al, 2008). Assessments of geographical distribution of road networks and their potential impact on stream networks in the continental United States was done by Blanton and Marcus (2009). Hydrological evaluation of the contributing area upstream of road networks especially at road-stream crossings can lead to better understanding of road effects on hydrological responses of watersheds in extreme storm events. There are several studies that have used different approaches and models to identify and address the various impacts of different road types on hydrologic response of watersheds. Jones (2000) studied magnitude, seasonality and duration of peak discharge responses to roads in 10 pairs of experimental watershed utilizing a physically-based model of water balance components and hydrologic mechanisms. The Distributed Hydrologic Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM) was used by La Marche and Lettenmaier (2000) to study the effect of forest roads on peak flow in logged catchments of Deschutes River, Washington, USA. Loague and VanderKwaak (2002) simulated hydrological response of a small experimental watershed to investigate the impact of roads by comparing two near surface hydrological response models. They used a single rainfall-runoff event to compare results from two models: the quasi-physically based rainfall-runoff model (QPBRRM) of Horton overland flow and the integrated hydrology model (InHM). DHSVM was applied by Cuo et al. (2006) to investigate impact of roads on the water balance of a mountainous, 94 ha experimental watershed in northern Thailand. The main objective of this study is to investigate the impact of road topography on a forested catchments hydrologic response to storm events using an efficient hydrological model. In this current study, HEC-HMS was chosen to model storm runoff generated from watersheds. HEC-HMS (Hydrologic Engineering CenterUSACE) is quasi-distributed precipitation-runoff modeling software that has a dendritic arrangement of hydrologic elements (Davis, 1993). The HEC-HMS model is widely used in numerous hydrological studies and supplies explicit and applicable results in flood related studies in a wide range of geographic areas (Hellweger and Maidment, 1999; Ahrens and Maidment, 1999; Anderson et al., 2002; Cantone and Schmidt, 2009). Although HEC-HMS has not been previously used for studying the effects of roads, it has been widely used to assess the impact of 3 Nickman et al Manuscript morphological changes in various hydrology studies (Yusop et al., 2007; Beighley and He, 2009). HEC-HMS can describe the process of conversion of excess rainfall to overland flow and channel runoff (USACE, 2000b; Knebl et al., 2005). In this study, time to peak and peak discharge are important parameters that can be computed adequately in HEC-HMS. We, thus, expect to simulate storm hydrographs from different watersheds in response to several storms implemented in the model environment. The results might be useful for evaluation of possible effect of climate changes in planning and design of the sustainable road structures. 1.1. Study area and data The study area is located in the western part of Sweden north of Karlstad City. This area covers nearly 390 km2 of the region between Hagfors and Munkfors municipalities in the county of Värmland in Western Sweden (Fig. 1). The width of the study area is 15 km and the length is 26 km. The area was chosen because severe damages to roads due to extreme floods have been frequently reported in the region. Elevation in the area, which has typical boreal forest characteristics, ranges from 62 m to 475 m above sea level and the slopes range from 0% to 80%. The dominant land cover in this region is mixed coniferous forests. Other major land covers in the area include grassland and agricultural land. The main soil types in the area are glacial till, glacial river sediment, sand and rock outcrops. The region has a moderate to cold climate with average maximum temperature of 15 oC in July and an average minimum temperature of -5 oC in February. According to the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) the mean annual precipitation in the region for the period (1960-2011) is 798 mm of which the highest and lowest average monthly precipitation occurred in August (80 mm) and February (30 mm), respectively. The elevation data used in this study have 2 m resolution from National Land Survey of Sweden (Lantmäteriet) which efficiently depicts the road topography. The soil data and land cover map have resolutions of 25 m and were acquired from Geological Survey of Sweden (SGU) and Lantmateriet, respectively. The precipitation data used in this case study were from an August 2004 storm rainfall recorded at the Råda and Sunnemo SMHI stations in the region (Fig.1). This extreme event caused flash floods and torrents of debris flow that resulted in sever damages to infrastructures (Erickson, 2004; Magnusson et al, 2009). The storm washed away roads and caused failure of embankments, drums, and culverts in some of the watersheds in the study area (Erickson, 2004; Magnusson et al, 2009). Based on the recorded storm on August 2004 two other storms were designed with half and double intensity (with the same volume of rainfall) to assess hydrologic response of watersheds to different storm rainfalls (Fig.2). It is expected that increasing in storm size will increase the effect of road structures on peak flows realized (Cuo et al, 2006). 4 The impact of roads on hydrological responses: A case study in Sweden 1.2. Aims and objectives The main objective is to investigate the role of roads on hydrological response of watersheds. The study intended to fulfill the main objective in two sections: 1. Investigating the interaction between PCDs and road network in a watershed and study the distribution of flood risk along roads. Study will be relevant to evaluate road network susceptibility to flooding. 2. Simulate the impact of road topography on hydrological response in watersheds using a hydrological modeling system (HEC-HMS). The main intention in the study was to identify the important driving factors, which affect hydrological responses. In the second section, the objective was to simulate the impact of how the roads affect the topography and by that the hydrological response to extreme storm events in watersheds with no measured stream flows. 2. M ETHODS The method for this case study consists of several steps: 1) define watersheds in the study area (20 watersheds) with similar characteristics; 2) synthetically remove the road network from the elevation models; 3) hydrological modeling of watersheds both with road and without roads by HEC-HMS applying three storms 4) Flow duration curve and statistical approach to investigate road impact on hydrologic responses of the watersheds. 2.1. Delineating watersheds in the study area and removing road from DEM Road Twenty watersheds with approximately similar physical characteristics were delineated and selected in the study area. In all the watersheds, a main road passes through the watershed area and the outlet is close to the road-stream junction where the main road crosses the main stream. For this purpose, ArcHydro - an extension available within ArcGIS (ESRI) - was used to delineate and define the contributing area upstream of each main roadstream cross section. Roads were classified based on their operational type and their width into two classes: main roads and other roads. The reason for this was to distinguish between the main roads that could have possibly more effective topography and tributary roads and streets with less or no significant topography. Thus to simulate and compare hydrologic responses of watersheds with roads and without roads, all the roads were removed from the delineated watersheds. For this purpose the width of different classes of the roads and their embankments were extracted from available elevation data. A buffer of 5 m from the edge of embankments was considered as the boundary of road topography. Then roads topography was removed from the DEM and missing values were interpolated. 5 Nickman et al Manuscript Fig. 2. Map of the study area in Värmland County in W Sweden. Studied watersheds and the mian roads are illustrated in the map. Fig. 3. Three storms with different intensities implemented in HEC-HMS model. The bold line is the original storm recorded on 4 August 2004. 6 The impact of roads on hydrological responses: A case study in Sweden Elevation maps of the area were regenerated from these essentially new DEMs. Exclusion of roads from the elevation resulted in changes in boundaries of some watersheds where the roads’ topography had formed watershed divides. Therefore, new watersheds were delineated considering the upstream contributing areas of the same outlets used for the watershed delineation. Some physical descriptors of the watersheds such as watershed area, main flow path, basin length, basin slope drainage density and road density were extracted before and after DEM manipulation (Table 1). Drainage density (the ratio of total length of the streams to the area of a watershed) calculated both for watersheds with roads and without roads. 2.2. Hydrologic simulation of the Watershedslood HEC-HMS (Davis, 1993) was used to model hydrological responses of the watersheds to the three storm events. In building the hydrological model for a given storm event in HEC-HMS the following data must be provided: A Hyetograph (rainfall data), Loss model parameters and Transform model parameters (USACE, 2000b). The hyetographs used in the modeling were the three storms (Fig.2) that assumed to be uniformly distributed over the test watersheds. This assumption conforms to the basic supposition of uniformly and spatially distributed rainfall in all the methods that are used in HEC-HMS (USACE, 2000b). Table 1- Some physical catchment descriptors of the study watersheds. Watershed WS Area WS Area Averag DDensity DDensity Total Road Main Road With Without e Basin WS With WS Without Density Density roads(km2) roads(km2) Slope roads(m/ha) roads(m/ha) (m/ha) (m/ha) WS 01 1.00 1.29 8.4 36.8 39.8 0.0950 0.0440 WS 02 1.60 2.09 9.9 36.7 35.7 0.2729 0.0531 WS 03 1.70 1.40 9.6 35.6 32.7 0.2932 0.0212 WS 04 2.10 2.30 10.5 34.5 27.3 0.2268 0.0544 WS 05 2.20 2.15 8.1 40.5 32.5 0.1464 0.0872 WS 06 2.60 2.42 9.4 36.2 33.9 0.1083 0.0156 WS 07 2.60 2.90 7.3 37.2 34.7 0.0954 0.0074 WS 08 2.70 2.55 10.5 30.3 26.2 0.0301 0.0137 WS 09 3.00 2.91 6.9 45.5 39.1 0.0686 0.0230 WS 10 3.60 3.50 7.7 37.7 33.5 0.1084 0.0223 WS 11 3.70 3.95 7.7 37.5 35.1 0.0616 0.0185 WS 12 4.30 4.46 7.1 33.9 26.1 0.0709 0.0207 WS 13 4.70 5.10 5.7 34.1 30.3 0.2533 0.0310 WS 14 5.00 4.24 9.6 37.0 36.7 0.0670 0.0219 WS 15 5.10 5.24 9.5 34.3 30.8 0.1437 0.0190 WS 16 5.40 5.13 10.0 33.5 31.7 0.1331 0.0092 WS 17 6.90 7.15 9.9 36.5 37.6 0.1330 0.0195 WS 18 8.70 8.68 8.4 39.6 38.8 0.0950 0.0298 WS 19 8.70 7.77 9.9 35.6 33.1 0.2729 0.0213 WS 20 9.10 8.88 9.6 32.6 30.9 0.2932 0.0019 7 Nickman et al Manuscript Among the models available to simulate the different processes involving in the primary structure of runoff modeling in HECHMS the methods of computing runoff volume, direct runoff, and channel flow were used. HEC-HMS computes runoff volume by computing losses such as interception, infiltration, surface storage and evapotranspiration and subtracting them from the precipitation (USACE, 2000b). Infiltration is due to penetration of water through soil surface to deeper layers. Evaporation and transpiration from leaves and soil surface are another form of losses which are not considered in this simulation due to relatively short length of the event (USACE, 2000b). In this study the runoff volume method used was SCS curve number (USDA NEH-4, 1956, 2004) to take into account the land use properties and soil characteristics to compute infiltration rate and surface runoff losses. This method is suitable for event based simulations (Ponce and Hawkins, 1996; Mishra and Singh, 1999, 2006) and is quasidistributed method to calculate excess runoff considering the location of each cell and distance to the outlet, taking into account the cell CN (USACE, 2000b). The direct runoff model that was used here was SCS Unit Hydrograph Method (USACE, 2000b). In this model direct runoff is implicitly the product of near surface flow and overland flow (USACE, 2000b). Interception and surface storage which are the result of local depressions in landscape e.g., soil cracks and storage were taken into account by application of Cn. Muskingum-Cunge (standard section) method for river routing calculations was used in this study (USACE, 2000b). This method is suitable when there is no observed hydrograph data available for calibration (USACE, 2000b, Takeuchi, 2009) and uses the continuity equation and the diffusion form of the momentum equation (Miller and Cunge, 1975; Kousis, 1978; Ponce, 1978). Because base flow data was not available, simulations were repeated considering no losses due to infiltration to resemble a fully saturated condition of the watersheds. 2.3. Satistical approach Flow duration curves (Foster, 1924, 1934) were used to display the flow characteristics of streams in each watershed in the range of the simulated discharges. FDCs are widely used in hydrology that have applications including but not limited to management of water resources (Alaouze, 1989), estimating dilution of domestic or industrial discharge intended for a river (Male and Hogawa, 1984), evaluation of available water for hydropower (Warnick, 1994), study low flow regimes in un-gauged basins (Hughes and Smakhtin, 1996), and predict flow regimes in un-gauged sites by regionalizing methods (Hughes and Smakhtin, 1996). FDCs were constructed based on the complete period of the simulated discharge and normalized by dividing by the area of the watersheds. L-moment ratio estimators, termed L-skewness τ3, and L-kurtosis τ4 were used to explain the distribution of the FDCs. L-moments 8 The impact of roads on hydrological responses: A case study in Sweden ratio diagrams have many applications in analyzing stream flow data especially in the study of ungauged basins (Asquith, 2002; Castellarin et al., 2004; Archfield et al., 2007; Castellarin et al., 2007; Booker and Snelder, 2012) and results are more reliable in comparison to conventional product moments (Vogel and Fennessey, 1993). L-moments are analogous to ordinary moments and can be used for parameter estimation and hypothesis testing (Vogel and Fennessey, 1993). Sample estimators of L-moments are always linear and are nearly unbiased for small samples (Vogel and Fennessey, 1993). The latter is counter to product moment ratio estimators that have been widely used in hydrological applications and render substantial bias for small (n≤100) samples (Vogel and Fennessey, 1993) and are distribution dependent (Wallis et al., 1974). L-moments are linear functions of probability weighted moments (PWMs) in which PWMs can be described using: ∑ ( [( ) ) ] ( ) (1) Where ( ) represents the ordered stream flow in which ( ) is the smallest observation and ( ) is the largest and r is the order of moments. The first four L-moments for any distribution can be computed from the PWMs using: (2) (3) (4) (5) Hosking (1990) defines the L-moment ratios analogous to the product moment ratios, for r=1,..,4 as the first four L-moments being: (6) (7) (8) 3. R ESULTS Drainage density for the watersheds before and after the DEM manipulation was calculated and their measure of variations plotted using box and whisker plots and illustrated in Fig. 3. Hydrographs resulted from the hydrological modeling of the watersheds normalized according to the watershed areas. Normalized hydrographs used to construct flow duration curves. L-moment ratios as the shape indicators for analyzing the FDCs calculated and illustrated in Fig. 4 showing L-Skewness of FDCs and Fig.5 showing L-Kurtosis of the FDCs. L-moment ratios showed that the range of L-skewness and L-kurtosis increased both for watersheds with roads and without roads. More variations in the shape of FDCs were obtained as a result of an increase in area and storm intensity. This might explain the intensity of the 9 Nickman et al Manuscript storm as the main driving factor in magnifying the effect of road topography in alteration of hydrologic responses. Less variation can be seen in the L-moment ratio diagram for the FDCs considering no losses due to infiltration. Each box in the plots demonstrates interquartile range in which lower and upper sides represent lower quartile and upper quartile respectively. The whiskers represent 25 % of the data in which the uppermost and lowest edges are largest and smallest values that are not outliers. The line in middle of the boxes represents the median (center of tendency). The outliers are the values greater than 1.5 interquartile ranges away from upper and lower quartile. 4. D ISCUSSION Box plots illustrated in Fig.3 describes the variation in the total length of the streams in the watersheds before and after removal of the roads from topography. Investigation of the variations in drainage density of the watersheds demonstrates a decrease in the stream lengths after removing roads from topography. This result was expected regarding the positioning of the roads on a hill slope (Luce and Wemple, 2001). Because the road networks are commonly developed perpendicular to the streams, natural streams are interrupted by the road embankments. The magnitude of those alterations depends on the type of embankment construction that directly influences the effective drainage density especially during extreme events (Ziegler et al, 2004; Borga et al, 2005; Cuo et al, 2006). Flow duration curves show the differences in hydrologic responses due to existence of road network in the watersheds. The FDCs demonstrated different possible responses to the new topographic patterns as was created by the roads in the model. The effects were both with respect to the timing of the peak flow, the rate of the peak flow and to the total amount of outflows. It was interesting Figure 3 Plot showing the measure of variation in darinage density for watersheds with roads and after removal of road topography from the watersheds. 10 The impact of roads on hydrological responses: A case study in Sweden to note that from FDCs that the effect of road topography was not only as an increase in the peak flow rate or in the timing of to the peak. The differences in the impact are unique to each of the watersheds because of the specific physical characteristics and configuration of the road networks. Thus understanding the hydrological role of road networks in each watershed needs to be investigated according to physical properties of that watershed. Investigating the box plots of the L-moment ratios showed an increase in the variation ranges as storm intensity increases. This might indicate the intensity of the storm as the main driving factor in magnifying the effect of road topography in alteration of the hydrologic response. Comparing the box plots for L-moments ratios shows the fact that median and quartile range of L-moments is higher in watersheds with roads regardless of differences in storm intensities. This may explain the magnifying effect of roads on hydrological response to storms by increasing the peak outflow. The positive increase in the median, upper quartile and maximum of the L-skewness can explain the role of roads in advancing in time to peak of the watershed outflows. Less variation can be seen in the L-moment ratio results for the FDCs considering no losses due to infiltration. The upper quartile ranges of L-skewness and L-kurtosis have fairly similar values for both watersheds with roads and without the roads. Considering no losses due to infiltration may not assist studying the effect of road topography on outflow characteristics. Simulations without losses due to infiltration are less realistic for real world conditions. However it can help to predict maximum outflow from the ungauged watersheds which is not the case in this study. 5. C ONCLUSION The role of road topography on hydrological response of boreal watersheds was simulated in this study. Road network change the hydrological response of watersheds due to alteration in topography and geology of landscapes. The impact of road network on changing the hydrological response is magnified with increase in storm intensity. Due to different road-stream configurations, location on landscapes and various types of roads, responses were different. Both increase and decrease in peak outflow and shift forward and backward of the time to peak were observed. The impact of removing the topographic features as created by the roads was generally small and is may be smaller than what we can observe in real world conditions. This may be because the model did not consider additional coupled soil and vegetation properties. Change of hydraulic properties and influence on the subsurface hydrology on the flow patterns was not considered in the model which limits it implication for general conclusions. 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