Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity in Queensland, Australia Technical Communication 1 November 2014 About GasFields Commission Queensland The GasFields Commission is the independent statutory body formed to manage and improve sustainable coexistence between rural landholders, regional communities and the onshore gas industry in Queensland, Australia. The Commission’s formal powers and functions are enshrined in the Gasfields Commission Act 2013 which took effect from 1 July 2013. These include: review and provide advice on the effectiveness of legislative frameworks for the onshore gas industry; encourage factual information and scientific research to help address concerns about the potential impacts of the onshore gas industry on water and other resources; and level the playing field in land access and compensation negotiations between landholders and gas companies through more and better information. For more information visit the GasFields Commission website at www.gasfieldscommissionqld.org.au About this Technical Communication One of the Commission’s key functions is to obtain and publish information that can assist in improving knowledge and understanding about the onshore gas industry including its interactions with and impacts on rural landholders and regional communities. The Commission’s technical communications aim to fill a gap in information between the simple fact sheet and the full technical reports or scientific papers. They provide an easy to read collation of the science and draw on technical material from a range of sources including CSIRO, universities, Australian and Queensland Government departments, independent technical specialists and scientific experts, and Queensland’s onshore gas industry. Disclaimer This technical communication is distributed by the GasFields Commission Queensland as an information source only. It provides general information which, to the best of our knowledge, is correct as at the time of publishing. Any references to legislation are not an interpretation of the law. They are to be used as a guide only. The information contained in this technical communication does not constitute advice and should not be relied on as such. While every care has been taken in preparing this technical communication, the GasFields Commission Queensland accepts no responsibility for decisions or actions taken as a result of any data, information, statement or advice, expressed or implied, contained within. Where appropriate, independent legal advice should be sought. © 2014 GasFields Commission Queensland. Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 2 Contents Introduction 4 Confined and Unconfined Aquifers 4 What is Aquifer Connectivity? 5 What determines the degree of connectivity between geological formations? 7 How has aquifer connectivity been measured and monitored? 11 What are the expected impacts of induced aquifer leakage? 14 Conclusion 18 Glossary 19 References 20 Tables Table 1: Hydraulic features of geological formations in the Surat and southern Bowen Basins. 8 Table 2: Typical vertical separation distances between the shallowest coal measures and closest overlying aquifer for the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins. Table 3: Number of bores within LAAs impacted by induced aquifer leakage associated with CSG production within the Surat CMA. 9 16 Figures Figure 1: Location of Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins in relation to the Great Artesian Basin. 4 Figure 2: A conceptual groundwater system. 4 Figure 3: Schematic representation of groundwater water pressure and vertical flow direction. 5 Figure 4: Conceptual equation for cross formation water flow. 6 Figure 5: Close up photograph of a section of a rock core sample from the Moolayember Formation (a low permeability aquitard) in the Galilee Basin. 7 Figure 6: Direct contact zone between Bandanna Formation and Precipice Sandstone aquifer. 9 Figure 7: A knowledge improvement cycle for preparing and implementing an Underground Water Impact Report (UWIR) for a CSG project. 11 Figure 8: Comparison of estimated annual groundwater extraction and induced flow rates in the Surat CMA. 14 Figure 9: Extent of the Long-term Affected Areas in the Surat CMA 15 Figure 10: Make good obligations. 17 Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 3 Introduction The management of groundwater aquifers is critical to ensuring coexistence of rural landholders, regional communities and the onshore gas industry. Aquifer connectivity is important as it underpins our understanding of the groundwater impacts from CSG development. This paper explores the concept of aquifer connectivity and the key factors that regulate it. Importantly, discussion is also provided on how connectivity in relation to CSG production has been measured and monitored in Queensland. Confined and Unconfined Aquifers Figure 1 provides an overview of the principal CSG geological basins in relation to the Great Artesian Basin (GAB), one of the world’s largest groundwater systems. The GAB includes the geological formations of the Surat Basin and the upper Triassic formations of the Bowen and Galilee Basins. The deeper, older formations of the Bowen and Galilee Basins are not within the GAB. Figure 2: Figure 1: Location of Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins in relation to the Great Artesian Basin. Source: DoE, 2014 A conceptual groundwater system showing a confined aquifer, unconfined aquifer and aquitard layers. Source: QWC (2012) Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 4 The GAB is a groundwater basin made of rock layers (called formations) that form aquifers (permeable layers that readily transmit water) and aquitards (the confining layers that restrict groundwater flow) (Figure 2). The aquifers of the GAB are confined as they are overlain by aquitards which restrict the vertical movement of water and enable water pressure to develop in the aquifer. On top of the GAB lie more recently deposited rock layers. Near the surface some of these materials, such as river gravels and sands or basaltic rock from ancient volcanic activity, form shallow, unconfined aquifers (permeable layers that readily transmit water but are not covered by an aquitard). What is Aquifer Connectivity? Connectivity describes the ease with which groundwater can flow within or between geological formations (QWC, 2012). It is controlled by the resistance to flow between geological formations, which is determined by the rock type, its porosity and how well pores are connected. Also, discontinuities such as geological fractures (e.g. natural vertical cracks in formations) or poorly constructed bores or wells (e.g. bore or well casings that are not properly sealed between formations) can increase connectivity. a) Undisturbed groundwater system Figure 3: Water flows from areas of higher water level or water pressure to areas of lower water level or water pressure. In aquifers, most flow is horizontal (DoE, 2014). In aquitards, most flow is vertical (DoE, 2014) due to the upwards or downwards leakage of water from aquifers. In the undisturbed groundwater systems of the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins, natural aquifer leakage is usually upwards from deep formations under higher pressure to overlying formations under lower pressure (CSIRO 2012b and DoE, 2014) (Figure 3a), although this trend is not consistent within the Surat Basin. When the hydrological system is disturbed by activities such as groundwater extraction, the direction of natural vertical aquifer leakage can be reversed if the water pressure in the deeper formations is reduced (CSIRO 2012b and DoE, 2014) (Figure 3b). Aquifer leakage that occurs in response to a disturbance to the groundwater system is called induced aquifer leakage. When considering vertical water leakage between geological formations under natural and disturbed conditions, the water pressure difference (called the hydraulic gradient) is important but is only part of the equation. A sufficient degree of connectivity is also required between the formations for water to flow (CSIRO 2012b) (Figure 4). b) Disturbed groundwater system Schematic representation of groundwater water pressure and vertical flow direction in a hypothetical groundwater system under both a) undisturbed and b) disturbed conditions. Water pressure in the confined aquifer is indicated by the potentiometric surface and by the water table level for the unconfined aquifer. Source: National Groundwater Association (NGWA) cited in DoE (2014). Note: 3a shows natural upwards vertical leakage from the higher pressured confined aquifer to the lower pressured unconfined aquifer and 3bshows a decline in the water pressure level of the confined aquifer near the well due to groundwater pumping and a reversal in vertical leakage. Induced aquifer leakage occurs near the well as water pressure is higher in the unconfined aquifer. Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 5 Sufficient degree of connectivity Figure 4: Adequate hydaulic gradient Cross formation water flow Conceptual equation for cross formation water flow. Source: CSIRO, 2012b Connectivity is commonly expressed in simple terms as low, medium or high. It can be different depending on the direction of water flow. Since geological formations are typically layered reflecting geological history, the resistance to flow will vary depending on whether flow is vertical or horizontal. While there will be no flow between formations with high connectivity if there is no hydraulic gradient between them, there will be flow between formations with low connectivity if a sufficiently large hydraulic gradient exists (QWC, 2012). However, the rate of flow is likely to be extremely slow and cause a significant delay between the time of creation of the hydraulic gradient and the time when the flow between the formations peak (CSIRO 2012b and QWC 2012). Current studies have found that low connectivity is a dominant geological characteristic of aquifers across the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins (Australian Government, 2014; CSIRO, 2012a and b; Marsh et al., 2008; RPS, 2012 and QWC, 2012) due to: The low vertical permeability of the coal measures consisting of primarily mudstone, siltstone and intervening discontinuous coal layers and separating aquitard layers; and The vertical separation of varying degree between coal measures and aquifers. The low degree of connectivity between coal measures and aquifers plays an important role in minimising the impacts of CSG development on groundwater resources by limiting induced aquifer leakage. Further discussion is provided in the following sections on the key factors that determine connectivity (vertical permeability and separation), the ways that connectivity has been measured and how it is predicted to limit the impacts to groundwater resources. Summary: What is aquifer connectivity? 1. Connectivity describes the ease with which water can move between geological formations. 2. Low connectivity is a dominant feature of the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins and means that water flow between formations will be extremely slow. 3. Low connectivity minimises the groundwater impacts of CSG development by restricting induced aquifer leakage. Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 6 What determines the degree of connectivity between geological formations? Low vertical permeability and generally large vertical separation distances act together to limit aquifer connectivity between coal measures and aquifers across most parts of the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins. Groundwater does not flow in ‘underground rivers’; instead it flows slowly between the connected pores and fractures or fault lines in geological formations. The term “permeability” is used to describe the ease with which water can flow horizontally and vertically though a geological formation. In sedimentary materials, such as those found in the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins, vertical permeability is typically at least 100 to 1,000 times less than horizontal permeability (QWC, 2012). This is due to the layered structure of sedimentary formations (Figure 5), which means that it is easier for water to move horizontally along the sedimentary layers than vertically across them (QWC, 2012). Figure 5 shows very fine grained sandstone (light brown) and mudstone (dark grey) layers in a low permeability aquitard in the Galilee Basin. Figure 5: Close up photo of a rock core sample from the Moolayember Formation in the Galilee Basin. Source: adapted from Rawsthorn et al. (2009). Regional scale permeability data for selected geological formations found in the Surat and southern Bowen Basins are provided in Table 1. Permeability varies greatly between the different formation types and basins as well as between the horizontal and vertical directions. Vertical permeability influences connectivity between formations due to the effect it has on the rate of vertical water movement. Typically, the rate ranges from millimetres per year in aquitards and coal measures to kilometres per year in aquifers. The time required for water to travel 100 metres vertically in geological formations ranges from days and decades in aquifers to millennia in aquitards and coal measures. The limiting effect of these extremely slow speeds of vertical water movement in aquitards and coal measures on connectivity is further compounded by vertical separation between aquifers and coal measures. The target coal measures are usually located at considerable depths from the surface and the thin coal seams are physically separated from overlying or underlying aquifers by low permeability interburden materials and normally at least one or more low permeability, thick aquitard layers (Australian Government, 2014; CSIRO, 2012a and b; Marsh et al., 2008; RPS, 2012 and QWC, 2012). As vertical separation between formations increases, the connectivity decreases (QWC, 2012). Therefore, the total depth of the target coal seam and the thickness of low permeability geological formations separating the coal seam from an aquifer are important factors in restricting connectivity between coal seams and aquifers. Examples of typical vertical separation distances for the shallowest target coal measures and their closest overlying aquifer for the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins are provided below (Table 2). Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 7 Table 1: Typical hydraulic features of geological formations in the Surat and southern Bowen Basins. Aquifer Aquifer: Formations with a high permeability, such as sands, porous sandstones or basalt, are called aquifers. The high permeability of aquifers is attributed to the connected spaces or pores between sand grains or fractures and cracks in rock that allow water to flow with little resistance. Aquifers are important sources of water in many rural areas and are accessed by bores. Permeability1: tens of metres per year to several thousand metres per year, similar in both vertical and horizontal directions. Examples include: Condamine Alluvium in Surat Basin and Clematis Sandstone in Bowen Basin. Adapted from Co2crc (2014) Aquitard Aquitards: Formations with a low permeability, such as siltstone or mudstone, are called aquitards. The low permeability of aquitards reflects the poor connection between the microscopic pores of fine grained and compacted geological materials, with resultant high resistance to water flow. Aquitards are common and play a role in maintaining groundwater pressure in aquifers by restricting aquifer leakage. Permeability1: 0.5 meters per year in horizontal direction 0.002 meters per year in vertical direction Examples include: Westbourne Formation in Surat Basin. Adapted from Co2crc (2014) Coal Measure Coal measures: Formations that contain many thin coal seams separated by low permeability rock (interburden) are called coal measures. They are often considered to be aquitards because of their low vertical permeability. Permeability1: 10 meters per year in horizontal direction 0.002 meters per year in vertical direction Examples include: Walloon Coal Measures in Surat Basin and Bandanna Formation in Bowen Basin. Note 1: Adapted from APLNG (2011) Permeability is a measure of how freely water can flow through a rock stratum and can vary depending on flow direction. This value indicates how far water would move in a year under a unit pressure gradient. Values range from millimetres to kilometres/year. Source: permeability values from GHD (2012). The vertical separation data provided in Table 2 highlight some important differences between the basins: 1. Coal measures targeted for CSG development outside the Central Condamine Area of the Surat Basin are very deep; and 2. Relatively thin aquitards immediately overlie the Walloon Coal Measures in the Surat Basin compared to the much thicker aquitards in the Bowen and Galilee Basins. Despite these unique characteristics of the Surat Basin, a low degree of connectivity exists between aquifers adjacent to the Walloon Coal Measures (QWC, 2012). Vertical separation of aquifers and coal measures by one or more low permeability aquitards occurs across most parts of the basins, but there are locations within each basin where the aquitard is absent and direct contact between coal seams and aquifers occurs (i.e. no vertical separation exists) (RPS, 2012 and QWC, 2012). An example from the Bowen Basin adjacent to the Spring Gully and Fairview CSG fields is provided in Figure 6. Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 8 Table 2: Typical vertical separation distances between the shallowest coal measures and closest overlying aquifer for the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins. Basin Name Surat (Central Condamine Area) Coal Measure – depth to formation (m) Overlying Aquitard – average thickness / vertical separation (m) Closest Overlying Aquifer Walloon Coal Measures (WCM) 30-130 Transition zone between Condamine Alluvium (CA) and WCM 30 Condamine Alluvium Walloon Coal Measures 700 Upper aquitard of WCM 15 Springbok Sandstone Bowen Bandanna Formation 300-800 Rewan 300 Clematis Sandstone Galilee Betts Creek Beds 700 + Rewan 3001 Clematis Sandstone/Dunda Beds Surat Note 1: Assumed same as Bowen Basin. Geoscience Australia (2014) note a maximum thickness of 840 metres for this formation in the Galilee Basin. Sources: AGL, 2013; Arrow Energy, 2012a; Comet Ridge, 2014; DNRM, 2014; RPS, 2012 and QWC, 2012 Figure 6: Direct contact zone between Bandanna Formation and Precipice Sandstone aquifer in the Fairview and Spring Gully CSG production area in the Bowen Basin near Roma. Direct contact occurs between the formations due to erosion of the Rewan Formation (aquitard) and Clematis Sandstone aquifer prior to deposition of the Precipice Sandstone sediments. Source: QWC, 2012 Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 9 In this specific location a higher degree of connectivity and leakage from the aquifer induced by CSG development was expected due to the absence of the Rewan Formation aquitard. However, CSG production commenced in this area in 1996 and water pressure monitoring over this time has not shown a discernible effect on water pressures in the Precipice Sandstone aquifer due to depressurisation of the Bandanna Formation coal seam from CSG activity. This means that this aquifer has not been adversely impacted by CSG production (QWC, 2012). Direct contact zones also occur between the Condamine Alluvium (CA) and the Walloon Coal Measures (WCM) in the Surat Basin and the Hutton Sandstone and the Betts Creek Beds in the Galilee Basin (RPS, 2012 and QWC, 2012). However, groundwater impact assessments of CSG production in areas with direct contact zones conducted by the Queensland Water Commission, now the Office of Groundwater Impact Assessment (OGIA), in the Surat Basin (2012) and AGL in the Galilee Basin (2013) do not predict significant levels of induced aquifer leakage. The lack of measured and predicted impacts on aquifers in these circumstances may reflect a low level of aquifer connectivity, or suggest that CSG production in these areas will not produce a sufficient hydraulic gradient (pressure difference between geological formations) to induce groundwater to flow from aquifers, known as induced aquifer leakage. Summary: What determines the degree of connectivity between geological formations? 1. Connectivity between geological formations is dependent upon their vertical permeabilities and vertical separation. 2. Vertical permeabilities of aquitards and coal measures are very low due to their layered sedimentary structure. 3. Coal measures are usually located at great depths and separated from aquifers by low permeability interburden materials and some aquitard. 4. Low vertical permeabilities and separation distances between geological formations create a high resistance to flow and a low degree of aquifer connectivity in the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins. Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 10 How has aquifer connectivity been measured and monitored? Aquifer connectivity is determined by a process of measurement and modelling (DoE, 2014). There are numerous methods of measurement available: hydraulic assessment (pump tests and application of groundwater responses); laboratory tests (permeability analysis of rock cores); geophysical assessment of stratum; and geochemical analyses (water chemistry analysis). Data obtained are used to develop a conceptual model of the system which is then built into a computer-based mathematical representation of the groundwater system. The mathematical model is tuned to all available measured groundwater responses and then applied to explore changes imposed by water extraction and management activities. While the mathematical model is only a partial description of the groundwater systems, confidence in these models improves as new data become available from the monitoring program. The Australian Government Department of Environment commissioned a background review (DoE, 2014) to describe the methods used to measure and model connectivity in any groundwater system, and the understanding of aquifer connectivity within the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins. This review was conducted on the advice of the Independent Expert Scientific Committee on Coal Seam Gas and Large Coal Mining Development (IESC). The review highlights a continuing need for additional measurements and analysis to improve conceptual understanding of connectivity and thus improve the prediction of impacts through modelling. In Queensland, regional scale assessment of connectivity and aquifer leakage from CSG development has been conducted in the Surat Cumulative Management Area (Surat CMA). The most comprehensive study regarding the measurement of aquifer connectivity in CSG development areas is the Underground Water Impact Report (UWIR) for the Surat Cumulative Management Area. The Surat CMA UWIR was prepared by the former QWC in 2012 and is now administered by the OGIA. The Surat CMA groundwater model is widely accepted as the most appropriate tool for assessing the regional groundwater impacts of CSG development (OGIA, 2013) and was used by the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO, 2012b) in the Water Resource Assessment for the Surat Region. The reliability of any model however depends on the accuracy of values, such as vertical permeability, used to build the model. The measured vertical permeabilities used to develop the Surat CMA model are considered to be sufficient for general characterisation of the geological formations (DoE, 2014). Ongoing monitoring is being undertaken to gather additional data to improve confidence in the conceptual and computer model of the groundwater system (Figure 7). Measure Review Report Figure 7: Model Monitor A knowledge improvement cycle for preparing and implementing an Underground Water Impact Report (UWIR) for a CSG project. Project based research monitoring is being conducted by the OGIA for the Surat CMA. One example is the Condamine Interconnectivity Research Project (CIRP) which employs several techniques to obtain locally measured values of connectivity to confirm the accuracy of values used in the Surat CMA model for the Condamine Alluvia (CA) and the underlying Walloon Coal Measures (WCM). Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 11 The CIRP is being conducted by the OGIA with support from Arrow Energy, research organisations and the Department of Natural Resources and Mines (DNRM). The purpose of this research is to characterise the relationship between the groundwater systems of the CA and WCM by compiling multiple lines of evidence from analysis of existing water quality data sets, field studies such as water level mapping and pump testing and computer modelling of geological conditions. Preliminary results from the CIRP show that the upper WCM and transition layer have low vertical permeabilities (OGIA, 2014). While a hydraulic gradient exists between the WCM and the CA, there are significant differences in formation water chemistry, which indicates no significant cross formation flow. This means that there is low connectivity between the CA and WCM (OGIA, 2014). production or testing activities in the northern Bowen or Galilee Basins. However, based on the DoE’s (2014) findings, it is possible that impacts may be under-predicted where connectivity has been measured over small areas. To address this potential issue, CSG activities under an UWIR are subject to ongoing monitoring, annual reviews and regular revision to give confidence in the reliability of conceptual and computer models. To build on the current knowledge and understanding of aquifer connectivity in the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins, regional scale measurement, monitoring and research programs are underway and include: Ongoing regional scale water pressure monitoring and expansion of the monitoring network as required under the Surat CMA UWIR; Six separate research projects by the OGIA “We prepared the Surat Underground Water Impact Report in 2012 using available knowledge. We are currently carrying out research projects to improve knowledge of the groundwater flow system, which includes the connectivity between formations. The new knowledge will be incorporated into the construction of a new regional groundwater flow model which will be used to update the Surat Underground Water impact Report in December 2015.” – Randall Cox, General Manager, Office of Groundwater Impact Assessment investigating connectivity, geological structures and modelling, groundwater modelling techniques and springs in the Surat CMA. The new knowledge gained from these studies will be used to build a new regional groundwater flow model and update the Surat CMA UWIR in December 2015; and A program of scientific bioregional assessments to better understand the potential water impacts of coal seam gas and large coal mining developments being undertaken by a collaboration of Australian Government organisations (Department of the Environment, Bureau of Meteorology, CSIRO and Geoscience Australia). These assessments include measurement and modelling of aquifer connectivity and are scheduled for completion in 2016. No adverse aquifer impacts are predicted in the UWIRs prepared by CSG operators for Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 12 Summary: How has aquifer connectivity been measured and monitored? 1. Connectivity is determined by direct measurement and computer modelling. 2. Field and laboratory data are used to develop a conceptual model and then to build a computer-based mathematical representation of the groundwater system. 3. Regional scale estimations of aquifer connectivity are being improved through various studies by OGIA and other agencies. 4. Regulatory controls exist to assess the accuracy of aquifer connectivity predictions. 5. Data from ongoing monitoring and measurement will build confidence in the conceptual and computer models used to predict groundwater impacts from CSG development. Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 13 CSG extraction in the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins is expected to induce groundwater leakage from some aquifers due to depressurisation of the target coal measures. This section discusses the expected impacts of induced aquifer leakage from CSG production and the management measures available to ameliorate their predicted extent and magnitude. The Water Act 2000 defines two measures of future groundwater level impact on an aquifer: the Immediately Affected Area (IAA) and Long Term Affected Area (LAA). An IAA for an aquifer is the area within which water level (or pressure) reductions are predicted to exceed a trigger threshold within three years. A LAA for an aquifer is the area within which water pressure reductions are predicted to exceed a threshold at any time in the future. Threshold values have been set at 5 metres for consolidated aquifers (such as sandstones) and 2 metres for unconsolidated aquifers (such as sand aquifers). UWIRs prepared by CSG operators for projects in the northern Bowen and Galilee Basins (AGL, 2013, Arrow Energy 2012a,b,c, 2014b, Blue Energy, 2012, CDM Smith, 2013a, b, c, d and Comet Ridge, 2014) do not predict induced aquifer leakage to cause a decline in water pressures for aquifers or springs that exceed trigger thresholds during CSG production. That is, existing and currently proposed CSG development in these basins is not expected to cause enough leakage to create IAA or LAAs in aquifers. In the Surat CMA, induced aquifer leakage is predicted to impact some aquifers. A reduction in source aquifer water pressure of more than 5 metres may affect up to 1% of water supply bores in the Surat CMA, and a reduction of water pressure of up to 1.5 metres in the spring source aquifer could occur at the location of 5 spring complexes (QWC, 2012). If a bore in an IAA is assessed as experiencing or likely to experience impaired function due to CSG activities, the CSG operator is legally obliged to enter into a make good agreement with the landholder so the landholder is not disadvantaged by their activities. Between now and 2050 it is estimated that CSG production in the Surat CMA will extract on average approximately 95,000 ML of groundwater per year (QWC, 2012). The total amount of induced leakage from all formations that overlie or underlie the WCM will be approximately 50% of the total amount of water extracted for CSG production (Figure 8). At the regional scale, the predicted annual volume of induced leakage is approximately 20% of total groundwater extraction in the Surat CMA for nonpetroleum and gas purposes (e.g. agriculture, stock and town water supply). Understanding the expected extent of induced aquifer leakage in terms of geographic area and water pressure reduction is important for estimating impacts to water supply bores and springs. 250000 Groundwater extraction for CSG production 200000 ML per year What are the expected impacts of induced aquifer leakage? Induced aquifer leakage to the WCM 150000 100000 Non-CSG groundwater extraction from formations adjacent to the WCM (see note) 50000 Non-CSG groundwater extraction from the Surat CMA 0 Figure 8: Comparison of estimated annual groundwater extraction and induced flow rates in the Surat CMA. Source: original data sourced from QWC (2012). Note: Based on extraction rates for formations adjacent to the WCM including the Condamine Alluvium, Springbok Sandstone, Marburg Sandstone, Hutton Sandstone and Eurombah Formation. No IAAs or LAAs are predicted for the Condamine Alluvium. Induced leakage from the CA to the WCM is estimated at 1,100 ML per year over the next 100 years (QWC, 2012). This volume of water is equivalent to a layer of water Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 14 0.2 millimetres deep per year across the Condamine Plain which has an area of 7,000 km2 (Dafney and Silburn, 2013). Induced leakage from the CA is predicted to result in an overall decline in water levels over the next 100 years by approximately 0.5 metres on average across the area which is less than the major reduction that has already occurred from extraction for irrigation and town water supply (QWC, 2012). Induced leakage will primarily affect the Springbok Sandstone and Hutton Sandstone aquifers which overlie and underlie the WCM respectively. Small areas of IAAs are identified by the QWC (2012) for the Springbok Sandstone at locations south and west of Chinchilla. These Figure 9: IAAs are not large, and there are no water supply bores that access these aquifers within the IAAs (QWC, 2012). The LAAs for these two aquifers are more extensive, and springs and water supply bores in these LAAs are expected to be impacted by reductions in water levels (or pressure) (QWC, 2012) (Figure 9). Small LAAs from CSG production are also predicted for the Gubberamunda Sandstone and Precipice Sandstone and Clematis Sandstone. LAAs for the Precipice Sandstone and Clematis Sandstone west of Moonie are related to conventional oil and gas production, not CSG production (QWC, 2012). Extent of the Long-term Affected Areas in the Surat CMA Source: QWC (2012) Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 15 Table 3: Number of bores within LAAs impacted by induced aquifer leakage associated with CSG production within the Surat CMA. Aquifer Total No. of bores in formation No. of impacted bores in LAA Percentage of impacted bores in formation 223 104 47% 2,828 23 <1% Precipice Sandstone 292 0 0% Gubberamunda Sandstone 908 1 <1% 4,251 128 3% Springbok Sandstone Hutton Sandstone Total Source: original data sourced from QWC (2012) There are 71 spring complexes (a complex is a group of springs) and 43 watercourse springs in the Surat CMA. A total of five spring complexes associated with the LAAs of the Precipice, Hutton and Gubberamunda Sandstones are predicted to experience water pressure declines above the trigger threshold. The estimated declines in water pressures are not expected to occur earlier than 2017 and may affect the ecological and cultural heritage values of the five potentially impacted spring complexes. The OGIA are currently conducting the Spring Knowledge Project to improve the scientific understanding of springs to determine the most appropriate mitigation measures for the five potentially impacted spring complexes. Water bores in the Surat CMA provide water for agriculture, industry, urban, stock and domestic uses. There are a total of 4251 bores extracting groundwater from CSG affected aquifers within the Surat CMA area. However, only 128 are predicted to experience a reduction in water pressures from aquifer leakage due to CSG production (Table 3). At a regional scale, the number of bores predicted to be impacted by induced leakage is less than 1% of the total number of all private bores (21,192) in the Surat CMA. Water levels in bores tapping the Springbok Sandstone will be most heavily affected, mainly between 2060 and 2075. Lowering of water levels beyond the trigger thresholds places the impacted bores at a greater risk of a reduced water supply; however, controls exist under Chapter 3 of the Water Act 2000 to prevent bore owners being disadvantaged by CSG production, such as ‘make good obligations’. If a bore in an IAA is assessed as experiencing or likely to experience impaired function due to CSG activities, the CSG operator is legally obliged to enter into a make good agreement with the landholder. The make good agreement outlines the make good measures to be implemented by the CSG operator so the landholder is not disadvantaged by their activities. The make good obligations of CSG operators outlined in the Queensland Department of Environment and Heritage Protection’s (2013) guideline to make good obligations are shown in Figure 10. Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 16 Figure 10: Make good obligations. Source: DEHP (2013) Significant CSG development in the Surat CMA is expected to cease by 2050, but the effects of groundwater extraction and induced aquifer leakage will be experienced after development is finished. Natural recovery timeframes for affected geological formations have been estimated at 50% recovery by 30 to 80 years after peak CSG development has occurred (QWC, 2012). However, the application of mitigation measures, including aquifer reinjection and groundwater use efficiency improvements, is expected to significantly reduce this period. Reinjection of treated CSG water to depleted formations may play an important role in mitigating the effects of CSG production on groundwater systems by increasing groundwater pressures in the injected formation and reducing the hydraulic gradient with adjacent formations. Feasibility studies have shown that this technique can work under the right hydraulic and geochemical conditions (Klohn Crippen Berger, 2011 and Santos, 2013), and trials are underway to determine the potential for broader application of this impact mitigation strategy (APLNG, 2014; Arrow Energy, 2013; QGC, 2013 and Santos, 2013). The QWC (2012) model also does not account for the expected benefits to be delivered by the Great Artesian Basin Sustainability Initiative (GABSI) (i.e. a water bore efficiency improvement program) to the Surat Basin groundwater systems. The CSIRO (2012b) estimate that groundwater pressure decrease from CSG development is less than the potential groundwater pressure increase assuming the GABSI is run to completion. For the Gubberamunda Sandstone for example, the QWC (2012) model predicts that by 2070 water pressures over most of the aquifer reduce by less than 0.2 metres. However, over this same period, the CSIRO (2012b) expect that water pressures in the Gubberamunda Sandstone will increase by between 5 and 25 metres if the full benefits of the GABSI are achieved. The CSIRO (2012b) conclude that the estimated decrease in groundwater pressures from CSG development in the Surat Basin is relatively small, especially if the GABSI is fully implemented. Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 17 Summary: What are the expected impacts of induced aquifer leakage? 1. Induced aquifer leakage is predicted to impact a small number of spring complexes and water bores. Widespread, negative groundwater impacts are not expected due to low connectivity. 2. Water level reductions increase the risk of either bore impairment or harm to the ecological or cultural heritage values of springs. 3. Measures, such as Make Good Agreements, are in place to make sure bore owners are not disadvantaged and to determine the most appropriate impact mitigation techniques for springs. 4. Predicted groundwater impacts for the Surat CMA are expected to be reduced by aquifer reinjection and groundwater use efficiency improvements (i.e. the GABSI). 5. Ongoing groundwater monitoring and updating of regional groundwater models are continuing to improve the scientific understanding of groundwater impacts from CSG development. Conclusion Aquifer connectivity describes the ease with which water can flow between geological formations. Water will only move between formations if there is a large enough hydraulic gradient to overcome the resistance to flow that is provided by their vertical permeabilities and vertical separation. The results of field and laboratory measurements and computer modelling show that low aquifer connectivity is a dominant geological characteristic of aquifers across the Surat, Bowen and Galilee Basins. The low degree of connectivity reflects a high resistance to cross formation flow due to the low vertical permeabilities of coal measures and aquitards and the often considerable vertical separation distances between aquifers and coal measures. CSG development is expected to induce aquifer leakage, but the low degree of aquifer connectivity means that widespread, negative impacts are not predicted. Current forecasts of groundwater impacts from CSG production are limited to some aquifers in the Surat and southern Bowen Basins. Predicted groundwater impacts could potentially be reduced by reinjecting treated CSG water into aquifers and improving groundwater use efficiency. Also, where the function of bores in the Immediately Affected Area is impaired by CSG activities, CSG operators are legally obliged to make good the bores so that landholders are not disadvantaged by their activities. Data from ongoing monitoring and research projects will provide new knowledge of aquifer connectivity and continue to build confidence in the predicted effects of CSG development on groundwater resources. Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 18 Glossary Term Definition Aquifer A saturated underground geological formation or group of formations, that can store water and yield it to a bore or spring. A saturated formation that will not yield water in usable quantities is not considered an aquifer. Aquitard A geological formation that prevents significant flow of water, e.g., clay layers or tight deposits of shale; geological material of a lower permeability. Basin (Geological) An area in which the rock layers dip from the margins towards a common centre; the site of accumulation of a large thickness of sediments. Confined Aquifer A saturated aquifer bounded between low permeability materials like clay or dense rock. Fault A crack in a geological formation caused by up shifting, or tectonic movement and uplift, of the earth’s crust, in which adjacent features of the formation are displaced relative to one another and parallel to the plane of fracture. Formation A sediment or rock, or group of sediment or rocks. Geologists often group rocks of similar types and ages into named formations. GABSI Great Artesian Basin Sustainability Initiative Geological Formation See Formation Groundwater (or underground water) Water found in the cracks, voids or pore spaces or other spaces between particles of clay, silt, sand, gravel or rock within the saturated zone of a geological formation. Hydraulic Gradient The difference in water pressure or water level across one or more formations over a unit distance. The hydraulic gradient indicates which direction groundwater will flow and how rapidly. Induced Aquifer Leakage Aquifer leakage that occurs in response to a disturbance to the groundwater system. Connectivity The ease with which groundwater can flow within or between geological formations. Immediately Affected Area (IAA) The area within which water level (or pressure) reductions are predicted to exceed a trigger threshold within three years. Threshold values have been set at 5 metres for consolidated aquifers (such as sandstones) and 2 metres for unconsolidated aquifers (such as sand aquifers). Long Term Affected Area (LAA) The area within which water level (or pressure) reductions are predicted to exceed a threshold at any time in the future. Threshold values have been set at 5 metres for consolidated aquifers (such as sandstones) and 2 metres for unconsolidated aquifers (such as sand aquifers). Measures A series of coal bearing rocks. Make Good Agreement See Water Act 2000 Permeable Capable of transmitting water through porous rock, sediment or soil. Permeability The property of a soil, sediment or rock indicating how easily water will be transmitted through it under a gradient. Sedimentary basin A geological basin containing a sequence of dominantly sedimentary rocks. Unconfined Aquifer An aquifer with no overlying low permeability layers that restrict water movement into the aquifer. The water level in an unconfined aquifer is known as the water table. Vertical Permeability The property of a formation indicating how easily or rapidly water will be transmitted vertically. Groundwater Aquifer Connectivity 19 References AGL. (2013). Underground Water Impact Report, ATP529P - Galilee Basin. Brisbane: AGL. Arrow Energy. (2012a). Arrow Bowen Gas Project EIS - Chapter 14: Groundwater. Brisbane: Arrow Energy. Arrow Energy. (2012b). Underground Water Impact Report - For Authority to Prospect 1103. Brisbane: Arrow Energy. Arrow Energy. (2012c). Underground Water Impact Report - For Petroleum Leases 191, 223, 224. Brisbane: Arrow Energy. 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