Shear Power of Weak Lensing 300 10–3 N-body Shear Error estimate 200 10–4 θy (arcmin) l(l+1)Clεε/2π Sampling errors 100 10–5 Shot Noise 10–6 100 1000 l Wayne Hu U. Chicago 100 200 θx (arcmin) 300 Collaborators • • • • • • Asantha Cooray Dragan Huterer Mike Joffre Jordi Miralda-Escude Max Tegmark Martin White Collaborators • • • • • • Asantha Cooray Dragan Huterer Mike Joffre Jordi Miralda-Escude Max Tegmark Martin White Microsoft Why Power Spectrum? Pros: • • • Direct observable: shear-based Statistical properties simple on large-scales (cf. variance, higher order) Complete statistical information on large-scales Why Power Spectrum? Pros: • • • • • • Direct observable: shear-based Statistical properties simple on large-scales (cf. variance, higher order) Complete statistical information on large-scales Statistical tools developed for CMB and LSS power spectrum analysis directly applicable Information easily combined with CMB As (more with redshifts) precise as CMB per area of sky Why Power Spectrum? Pros: • • • • • • Direct observable: shear-based Statistical properties simple on large-scales (cf. variance, higher order) Complete statistical information on large-scales Statistical tools developed for CMB and LSS power spectrum analysis directly applicable Information easily combined with CMB As (more with redshifts) precise as CMB per area of sky Cons: • Relatively featureless • Non-linear below degree scale • Degeneracies: initial spectrum, transfer function shape, density growth, and angular diameter distance + source redshift distribution • Computationally expensive: extraction by likelihood analysis Npix3 Statistics and Modelling Shear Power Modes • Alignment of shear and wavevector defines modes ε β Power Spectrum Roadmap Lensing weighted Limber projection of density power spectrum ε-shear power = κ-power 10–4 Non-linear k=0.02 h/Mpc zs l(l+1)Clεε /2π • • Linear 10–5 10–6 Limber approximation 10–7 zs=1 10 100 1000 l Kaiser (1992) Jain & Seljak (1997) Hu (2000) Statistics & Simulations • • • Measurement of power in each multipole is independent if the field is Gaussian Non-linearities make the power spectrum non-Gaussian Need many simulations to test statistical properties of the field in particular: sample variance White & Hu (1999) Statistics & Simulations • • • • Measurement of power in each multipole is independent if the field is Gaussian Non-linearities make the power spectrum non-Gaussian Need many simulations to test statistical properties of the field in particular: sample variance PM simulations ideal if sufficient angular resolution can be achieved lenses sources obs. “tiling” White & Hu (1999) PM Simulations • Hundreds of independent simulations Convergence Shear 6° × 6° FOV; 2' Res.; 245–75 h–1Mpc box; 480–145 h–1kpc mesh; 2–70 109 M White & Hu (1999) Mean & Sampling Errors Mean agrees well with PD96 + Limber (Jain, Seljak & White 1999) Sampling errors per 6° x 6° field: Power 10–4 2563 5123 PD96 linear 10–5 Ratio • • 1.4 shot noise vs PD96 1 0.6 White & Hu (1999) Mean & Sampling Errors Sampling errors ~Gaussian at l<1000 Non-Gaussianity increases sampling errors on binned power spectrum At current survey depths, shot noise dominates in non-Gaussian regime Ratio Sampling Errors • • • 2563 5123 Gaussian 0.3 0.1 1.4 vs shot noise 1.2 1 100 l 1000 White & Hu (1999) Mean & Sampling Errors Correlation in Band Powers: Correlation • Gaussian 1000 l 100 l 1000 100 White & Hu (1999) Mean & Sampling Errors Correlation in Band Powers: Non-Gaussian Correlation • Gaussian 1000 l 100 l 1000 100 White & Hu (1999) Halo Model • Model density field as (linearly) clustered NFW halos of PS abundance: Simulation Shear 6° × 6° FOV; 2' Res.; 245–75 h–1Mpc box; 480–145 h–1kpc mesh; 2–70 109 M White & Hu (1999) Halo Model • Model density field as (linearly) clustered NFW halos of PS abundance: Halo Model Peebles (1974); Scherrer & Bertschinger (1991) Shear Komatsu & Kitiyama (1999); Seljak (2001) Power Spectrum Statistics in Halo Model Power spectrum as a function of largest halo mass included Non-linear regime dominated by halo profile / individual halos increased power spectrum variance and covariance 10–4 14 10–5 l(l+1)Clεε /2π • • 13 12 log(M/M )<11 10–6 10–7 10–8 profile 10 100 l 1000 Cooray, Hu, Miralda-Escude (2000) Halo Model vs. Simulations Halo model for the trispectrum: power spectrum correlation Simulation Correlation • Halo 1000 l 100 l 1000 100 Cooray & Hu (2001) Halo Model vs. Simulations Halo model for the bispectrum: S3 dominated by massive halos 10 3 Hu & White (1999) 10 16 2 15 S3 • 10 10 1 14 13 0 12 11 5 15 25 35 45 55 σ (arcmin) 65 75 85 Cooray & Hu (2001) Halo Model vs. Simulations Explains large sampling errors: 150 100 S3 • 50 0 0 6° × 6° 10 20 σ (arcmin) 30 White & Hu (1999) Power Spectrum Estimation Likelihood Analysis Pros: • • Optimal power spectrum estimator for Gaussian field Automatically accounts for irregular (sparse sampled) geometries & varying sampling densities • • • • Arbitrary noise correlations Marginalize over systematic error templates (ε, β, cross) checks for non-gravitational effects Rigorous error analysis in linear regime Likelihood Analysis Pros: • • Optimal power spectrum estimator for Gaussian field Automatically accounts for irregular (sparse sampled) geometries & varying sampling densities • • • • Arbitrary noise correlations Marginalize over systematic error templates (ε, β, cross) checks for non-gravitational effects Rigorous error analysis in linear regime Cons: • • Computationally expensive search in multiple dimensions Not guaranteed to be optimal or unbiased in non-linear regime Likelihood Analysis Pros: • • Optimal power spectrum estimator for Gaussian field Automatically accounts for irregular (sparse sampled) geometries & varying sampling densities • • • • Arbitrary noise correlations Marginalize over systematic error templates (ε, β, cross) checks for non-gravitational effects Rigorous error analysis in linear regime Cons: • • Computationally expensive search in multiple dimensions Not guaranteed to be optimal or unbiased in non-linear regime Test iterated quadratic estimator of maximum likelihood solution and error matrix Testing the Likelihood Method • • • Input: pixelized shear data γ1(ni), γ2(ni); pixel-pixel noise correlation Iterate in band power parameter space to maximum likelihood... Output: maximum likelihood band powers and local curvature for error estimate including covariance 10–3 N-body Shear 200 Error estimate 150 10–4 θy (arcmin) l(l+1)Clεε/2π Sampling errors 100 10–5 Shot Noise 10–6 100 1000 l Hu & White (2001) 50 50 100 150 θx (arcmin) 200 Testing the Likelihood Method • • Sparse sampling test Mean and errors correctly recovered 300 10–3 N-body Shear Error estimate 200 10–4 θy (arcmin) l(l+1)Clεε/2π Sampling errors 100 10–5 Shot Noise 10–6 100 1000 l Hu & White (2001) 100 200 θx (arcmin) 300 Testing the Likelihood Method • • • Systematic error monitoring: example underestimated shot noise β-channel appearance in power Systematic error template: jointly estimate or marginalize l(l+1)Cl /2π 10–3 10–4 Noise Underestimated Signal+Noise εε 10–5 Noise Removed εε ββ pnoise Shot Noise 100 Shot Noise 1000 l Hu & White (2001) 100 1000 l Cosmological Parameter Forecasts Degeneracies All parameters of ICs, transfer function, growth, angular diam. distance Power spectrum lacks strong features: degeneracies 10–4 Non-linear k=0.02 h/Mpc zs l(l+1)Clεε /2π • • Linear 10–5 10–6 Limber approximation 10–7 zs=1 10 100 1000 l Degeneracies • • All parameters of ICs, transfer function, growth, angular diam. distance Power spectrum lacks strong features: degeneracies MAP Planck 100 • ∆T 80 60 CMB: provides high redshift side IC's, transfer fn., ang. diameter to z=1000 Lensing: dark energy, dark matter Hu & Tegmark (1999) 40 20 • CMB 10 100 l (multipole) Redshifts: source (and lens) Breaks degeneracies by tomography Hu (1999) Tomography • Divide sample by photometric redshifts • Cross correlate samples 3 2 10–4 1 2 0.3 (b) Lensing Efficiency gi(D) 25 deg2, zmed=1 22 1 Power ni(D) (a) Galaxy Distribution 12 10–5 11 0.2 2 0.1 1 0 0.5 1 1.5 2.0 100 1000 l D • Order of magnitude increase in precision even after CMB breaks degeneracies Hu (1999) 104 Error Improvement: 25deg2 100 MAP + 3-z no-z Error Improvement 30 10 3 1 MAP 9.6% 14% Ωbh2 Ωmh2 0.60 1.94 0.18 0.075 19% 0.28 ΩΛ w τ nS δζ T/S Cosmological Parameters Hu (1999; 2001) Error Improvement: 1000deg2 100 MAP + 3-z no-z Error Improvement 30 10 3 1 MAP 9.6% 14% Ωbh2 Ωmh2 0.60 1.94 0.18 0.075 19% 0.28 ΩΛ w τ nS δζ T/S Cosmological Parameters Hu (1999; 2001) Dark Energy & Tomography • Both CMB and tomography help lensing provide interesting constraints on dark energy 2 –0.6 MAP no–z 3–z –0.7 1 w –0.8 –0.9 0 –1 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 1000deg2 0 ΩΛ 0.5 1.0 l<3000; 56 gal/deg2 Hu (2001) Direct Detection of Dark Energy? In the presence of dark energy, shear is correlated with CMB temperature via ISW effect z>1.5 10–9 1000deg2 65% sky 10–10 l(l+1)ClΘε /2π • 1<z<1.5 10–9 10–10 z<1 10–9 10–10 10 100 l 1000 Hu (2001) CMB Lensing: Tomography Anchor • CMB acoustic waves are the ultimate high redshift source! Hu (2001) Mass Reconstruction • CMB acoustic waves are the ultimate high redshift source! original reconstructed mass (deflection) map 1.5' beam; 27µK-arcmin noise Hu (2001) Power Spectra • Power spectrum of deflection and cross correlation with CMB ISW l(l+1)ClΘd /2π l(l+1)Cldd /2π 10–9 10–7 10–10 Planck Ideal 10 100 l • • 1000 10 100 1000 l Extend tomography to larger scales and higher redshift Constrain clustering properties of dark energy through ISW correlation Hu (2001) Lens Redshifts • Shear selected halos: clustered according to well-understood halo bias Shear Mo & White (1996) Halo Identification e.g. aperture mass: Schneider (1996) Lens Redshifts Shifting of feature(s) in the angular power spectrum: dA(z) 10–0 l(l+1)Clhh /2π • 10–1 z=0.3–0.4 z=1.0–1.2 10–2 4000deg2, M>1014 100 l 1000 Cooray, Hu, Huterer, Joffre (2001) Lens Redshifts If baryon features not detected, 10% distances to z~0.7 possible 10–0 l(l+1)Clhh /2π • 10–1 z=0.3–0.4 z=1.0–1.2 10–2 4000deg2, M>1014 100 l 1000 Cooray, Hu, Huterer, Joffre (2001) Lens Redshifts If baryon features are detected, ultimate standard ruler! 10–0 l(l+1)Clhh /2π • 10–1 z=0.3–0.4 z=1.0–1.2 10–2 4000deg2, M>1014 100 l 1000 Cooray, Hu, Huterer, Joffre (2001) Summary • N-body sims and halo model for understanding power spectrum stats. and higher order correlations • Likelihood analysis is feasible and near optimal for current generation of surveys Summary • N-body sims and halo model for understanding power spectrum stats. and higher order correlations • Likelihood analysis is feasible and near optimal for current generation of surveys properly accounts for sparse or uneven sampling and correlated noise built in monitors for systematic errors techniques for marginalizing known systematics w. templates Summary • N-body sims and halo model for understanding power spectrum stats. and higher order correlations • Likelihood analysis is feasible and near optimal for current generation of surveys properly accounts for sparse or uneven sampling and correlated noise built in monitors for systematic errors techniques for marginalizing known systematics w. templates • Power spectrum complements CMB information – order of magnitude increase in precision • Tomography (including CMB lensing) assists in identifying dark energy (including possible clustering) • Lens redshifts yield halo number counts and halo power spectra
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