World ESCo Outlook: Germany Germany Jan W. Bleyl Friedrich Seefeldt History of ESCO Market Development The German ESCO market development started in the early 1990s. On the supply side, early market development activities were mainly driven by two groups of stakeholders. On the one hand, a few utilities (all of them still “bundled”) started to implement least-cost-planning and demand-side management strategies, which may be considered as ESCO-type activities in some cases. On the other hand, a variety of manufacturers of building technologies, automation and control equipment, as well as a number of plant engineering and construction companies started to extend their value-added chain and scope of services. On the demand side of the ESCO market, a key driver has been the engagement of independent intermediaries (also labeled as market or project facilitators) since the mid-1990s. Mostly, these were energy agencies that spread the word and helped in particular the (potential) demand side of the ESCO market. The whole consisted in developing concrete projects, preparing tender documents (including model contracts) and putting the projects out on the market for ESCO bids. This holds particularly true for public sector EPC projects. The first large statewide EPC program “Energy Saving Partnership (Energiesparpartnerschaft)“ was initiated by the State of Berlin, grouping more than 100 public buildings into two building pools. This idea was successful and during the subsequent 15 years, more than 20 large EPC tenders were launched. The most prominent facilitator example is BEA (Berlin Energy Agency) but likewise,a number of other regional energy agencies (EA-Northrine-Westphalia, KEA – Klimaschutz – und Energieagentur Baden-Württemberg or Bremer Energiekonsens as well as others) and since the year 2000, also the German Energy Agency dena deserve credit for developing the market, guidelines and innovative models. The State of Hessia, and later dena, developed model contracts, which laid the basis for EPC contracts in federal, state and municipal buildings in many regions. Despite these enabling factors, the EPC market is still mostly limited to large projects in public buildings (pools), hospitals, leisure facilities and the like. Energy supply contracting (ESC) – performance-based supply of useful energy – developed faster and succeeded in different end-use sectors, predominantly in the residential sector but also in industrial premises as well as in public facilities. Featured technologies range from standard boilers to CHP solutions (sometimes including distribution networks), but the measures are mostly limited to boiler rooms. The majority of projects run on natural gas but a variety of renewable heating systems and solar systems have been installed as well. The minimum energy cost line is about one order of magnitude below that of EPC projects. 120104_World ESCo Outlook_Germany_fsf, Status: 04.12.2012 © Authors listed on page 2. For requests: [email protected] 1/8 World ESCo Outlook: Germany The above overview does not claim to be exhaustive. If important activities have not been mentioned, please accept the authors apologies and advise for future country reports 1. ESCOs and their Associations The estimated number of ESCOs range from 250 to 500. A total of 250 up to 300 companies are continuously working with energy services (BEI/Prognos/Energetic Solutions, 2009), of which around 50 have more than one EPC reference (Berliner Energieagentur, 2009). More than 200 not very active companies may be regarded as "market observers" or "market entrants" (BEI/Prognos/Energetic Solutions, 2009). The principal actors in the market are large national and international companies with a small dedicated ESCO unit as a supplementary business. SMEs with ESC as their main activity represent a smaller share of the market. According to a Prognos market survey, service providers can be categorized as shown below. others / unspecified: 17,9% planning & engineering: 4,8% power supplier: 16,7% municipal utility: 25,0% energy service company: 35,7% Quelle: Prognos Market Survey 2008 © Prognos 2009 The German ESCO industry consists of national or super-regional utilities (17%), municipal utilities (25%), ESCOs which are typically branches of building technology or control manufacturers as well as building and metering service companies (36%), planning and engineering companies (5%) as well as others (18%) (Berliner Energieagentur, 2009/Prognos, 2010b). The ESCO industry in Germany is represented by two associations: The “Verband für Wärmelieferung” (VfW) represents mainly SMEs that deliver energy supply services (ESC). However, VfW also hosts an EPC working group. The turnover of its 285 members is stated with EUR 1.8 billion, holding some 40,000 contracts. 1 Contact: [email protected] or [email protected] 120104_World ESCo Outlook_Germany_fsf, Status: 04.12.2012 © Authors listed on page 2. For requests: [email protected] 2/8 World ESCo Outlook: Germany The “ESCO Forum im ZVEI” currently lists 23 members who mainly serve industrial and real estate customers. Their accumulated turnover is at above EUR 1 billion. The “ESCO Forum” resulted from a merger of the former “PECU” and “Contracting Forum im ZVEI” in 2007. Types of ESCO Contracts and Markets The latest German energy efficiency action plan (NEEAP) to the European Commission has adopted, to a large extent, the following definition of EnergyContracting: Energy-Contracting - also labeled as ESCO- or energy service - is a comprehensive energy service concept to execute energy efficiency and renewable projects in buildings or production facilities according to minimized project cycle cost. Typically an Energy Service Company (ESCO) acts as general contractor and implements a customized efficiency service package (consisting of e.g. design, building, (co-)financing, operation & maintenance, optimization, fuel purchase, user motivation). As key features, the ESCO’s remuneration is performance based, it guarantees for the outcome and all inclusive cost of the services and takes over commercial as well as technical implementation and operation risks. Over the whole project term of typically 5 to 15 years (after Bleyl 2008) In Germany, ESCO models are mostly labeled as “Energy-Contracting” and in legislative texts also as “gewerbliche Wärmelieferung” (commercial heat supply). Two basic business models can be distinguished: ESC, referring to a performancebased supply of useful energy and EPC, referring to a performance-based energy savings business model. Even though public attention on EPC indicates otherwise, ESC is by far the predominant business model in the German market with a share of more than 80 percent, according to the market data of the two leading ESCO associations (see figure below). There is no institution for official market data; consequently, reliable market data are scarce or not publically available. 120104_World ESCo Outlook_Germany_fsf, Status: 04.12.2012 © Authors listed on page 2. For requests: [email protected] 3/8 World ESCo Outlook: Germany Results of Member Questionaire 2008 Outer ring: ESCO-Forum Inner ring: VfW e.V. 12 % 0% 7% 2% 5% 8% 85 % 81 % Energy Supply Contracting (ESC) Energy Performance Contracting (EPC) Finance-Contracting Technical Management With a total revenue of around EUR 3 billion (Prognos estimate for 2011 for EPC and ESC), Germany is the leading market for Energy-Contracting in Europe. Market figures show a solid growth of 10 percent per annum compared with a total revenue of around EUR 2 billion in 2008 (BEI/Prognos/Energetic Solutions, 2009). The market volume might be even higher if technical services for operation of the building equipment were taken into account. The most important market segment is the residential sector, showing a share of more than 60 percent of the market in addition to a variety of small scale ESC projects and an increasing number of large housing companies sourcing out their technical facility services. The public sector (comprised of schools, administration buildings and the health sector), with a total market share of 15 percent, is the most important market segment for EPC projects. A growing share of the market also goes to industrial and commercial projects, which may have a volume of 20 percent of the total market, showing considerable growth in the last few years. Even though the market is experiencing considerable growth, transaction costs are hindering the market to move to smaller projects and explore larger potentials, especially the large segment of single-family houses. Indeed, the latter represents more than 60 percent of the surface area in residential buildings in Germany. Due to the heterogeneity of small and large market participants coming from utilities, engineering companies and manufacturers of technical equipment, there is still high uncertainty regarding market figures. The new founded Federal Office for Energy Efficiency and Energy Services (Bundesstelle für Energieeffizienz und Energiedienstleistungen – BfEE) has recently launched a market study to get a comprehensive and more systematic overview of the market. 120104_World ESCo Outlook_Germany_fsf, Status: 04.12.2012 © Authors listed on page 2. For requests: [email protected] 4/8 World ESCo Outlook: Germany Key Obstacles and Government Actions Even though the German ESCO market has experienced a continuous growth over the last 20 years and can be regarded as having matured, there are still obstacles. Generally speaking, more and better substantiated information is required, especially on the demand side. Energy efficiency services still appear as lowinterest-products, lacking clear guidance as well as incentives to make the external professional and typically more efficient outsourcing solution to an ESCO more desirable than the home-made version (or the status quo). More concretely, barriers vary across end-use market segments.In the residential sector, the cost allocation between landlords and tenants (split incentive) needs to be resolved in Germany's tenancy laws. Furthermore, transaction cost logics are against smaller projects and hinder the development of a higher market potential, especially in single- and small multi-family houses. A renewed and currently circulated ministry of justice draft2 aims to resolve the cost allocation problem in the residential sector by an amendment to the tenancy law. The implications of the Renewable Feed-in Act (EEG), however, imposing a clear disadvantage for ESCOs with CHP plants compared to the in-house operation of the CHP plant, are still pending further treatment. Moreover, the transaction cost logic against smaller projects remains unsolved. In the commercial sector, the need for flexibility and, hence, the need for a short payback period are the main barriers to deciding for high capex and life-cycle optimized energy infrastructures. In addition, both SME clients and ESCOs often lack a sufficient credit rating with a view to long-term investments3. While price development is basically more and more in favor of CHP-based contracts, pricing and tariffs of the German Renewables Feed-in Act impose a clear disadvantage on ESCOs. The market is still moving forward against these barriers but the outlook could be much more positive without them. In the public sector, public budget restrictions (treatment of ESCO contracts as debt and missing long-term commitment authorizations “Verpflichtungsermächtigung”) along with the complexity of public procurement legislation are some of the major barriers in place. Although the majority of federal states have resolved such problems or offer help through market facilitators, there are remaining uncertainties at least among new clients. EC directive 32/2006 for end-use efficiency and energy services demands a systematic promotion of the market for energy services. With respect to existing market traditions and cultures as well as market liberalization with its vertically disintegrated market actors, Germany refused to follow EC recommendations and did not impose any obligation on energy companies, as was the case in Italy, France, the UK or Denmark. In order to observe and promote the markets for energy services and energy audits, Germany established the Federal Office for Energy Efficiency ("Bundesstelle 2 3 Mietrechtsänderungsgesetz – MietRÄndG: Gesetz über die energetische Modernisierung von vermietetem Wohnraum“ [Referentenentwurf BMJ vom 25.10.2011] prognos 2010:_Rolle und Bedeutung von Energieeffizienz und Energie-dienstleistungen in KMU, final report for KfW Bankengruppe. 120104_World ESCo Outlook_Germany_fsf, Status: 04.12.2012 © Authors listed on page 2. For requests: [email protected] 5/8 World ESCo Outlook: Germany für Energieeffizienz", BfEE) in 2010. The BfEE has launched several studies for market observation and is planning to take action to remove a series of barriers. As a general conclusion, the German market for energy services has a long tradition of solid growth, especially over the last two decades. The majority of activities were market-driven. However, there are barriers remaining in each market segment. The implementation of the BfEE might be a first step to better observing the markets and systematically removing some of these barriers. According to German Market experts, financing typically has not been an unsolvable bottleneck for market development. Nevertheless, convincing potential customers to outsource comprehensive energy service packages to an ESCO still takes a long time, causes high transaction costs and requires solving a variety of obstacles. Not to mention that it is often times rooted in the “human factor” and the reluctance to change established organizational routines rather than in factual barriers. ESCO Market Development: Lessons Learned German ESCO markets have shown a good market development, which was mainly driven by different market actors in different regions. There was no centralised federal action for any obligation scheme or any coordinated federal support scheme. Market development, however, could have been more dynamic. Different policy measures, for example the new established Federal Office for Energy Efficiency (BfEE) might give a valuable impulse for a more dynamic development. The Energy-Contracting approach offers integrated solutions for the entire project life cycle (planning, construction, O&M and optimization) and is interdisciplinary (technical, economical, financial, organizational and legal aspects) in order to achieve guaranteed performance and results of the efficiency technologies deployed. The ESCO concept opens up solutions, which are not achievable through standard, disintegrated implementation processes (lifecycle cost optimization across investment and operation budgets, integrated planning or performance guarantees over the complete project cycle…). However, these opportunities also imply a highly complex product. There are no easy or one-fits-all solutions to how to implement energy efficiency projects. In any case, the decision of the building or business owner to tap into energy efficiency resources (either voluntarily or forced by regulations) remains a basic requirement – independent of the implementation model. In other words, efficiency markets need ”educated” customers to demand energy efficiency (services) in the market. Furthermore, even the most ”educated” customers will require independent facilitators/intermediaries to support them on their journey through this complex matter. We have learned the following key lessons for ESCO market development: 1. Successful market development – in particular for EPC in the public sector – was demand-side driven. (Potential) ESCO customers defined their goals and needs for energy efficiency service packages and put out requests for proposals on the market. On the contrary, studies and even investment grade audits (IGAs) are not sufficient to create projects. 120104_World ESCo Outlook_Germany_fsf, Status: 04.12.2012 © Authors listed on page 2. For requests: [email protected] 6/8 World ESCo Outlook: Germany 2. To foster market development, the role of independent market and project facilitators as intermediaries between ESCOs and their (potential) clients has proved to be a key success factor (as represented, e.g., by energy agencies). The role and sample activities of project facilitators as intermediary between the demand and supply sides on the ESCO market are summarized in the following figure. Clients Facilitators/Intermediaries EE Suppliers Feasibility Study Structuring + Business Model Procurement Procedure Client Tender Documents Proposal Evaluation Source: [after Bleyl 2010] ESCO Contract Finance Subsidies ESCOs Engineers Manufacturers … Quality Assurance, M & V This facilitator role requires more active and knowledgeable players as well as better funding. 3. Contracting to an ESCO is a strategic “make or buy” decision of a (potential) client. Outsourcing to an ESCO competes with a standard inhouse implementation and has substantial implications on the standard buying routines of the outsourcing institution. The decision also implies either entrusting one general contractor (ESCO) versus contracting to individual subcontractors for planning, construction, O&M as well as optimization. 4. Outsourcing requires new organizational routines on the customer side; e.g., with regard to procurement practices, interdisciplinary cooperations between different departments and project engineers or longterm cross-budgetary financial management. 5. Energy-Contracting is a flexible and modular energy service package. This also implies that the ESCO customer may define – depending on his own resources – what components of the energy service will be outsourced and which components he carries out himself. 6. Energy efficiency often is not the driving force and not a stand-alone business case but a (beneficial) side effect. Better listening to the “real” needs expressed by customers and building strategic alliances with facility managers, security, automation and other building technology tasks to 120104_World ESCo Outlook_Germany_fsf, Status: 04.12.2012 © Authors listed on page 2. For requests: [email protected] 7/8 World ESCo Outlook: Germany incorporate energy efficiency goals or minimum performance standards early on in project development is required. 7. Financing is not necessarily the core business of ESCOs. Their core competence usually lies in technical, economic and organizational matters of an energy service package. ESCOs should serve as finance vehicle, not necessarily as financiers themselves. Nevertheless, of course, payments to ESCOs must be secured. Many obstacles to energy efficiency root in the fragmented nature and small units of end-use energy conservation potentials, the low interest in energy efficiency itself and must not be attributed to the Energy-Contracting approach or ESCOs in general. A well designed obligation scheme might be a helpful driver for the development of free ESCO markets, but is not sufficient. It cannot replace a more differentiated approach in each market segment. On the way to better developed energy service markets, strong efforts on all levels of policy framework, capacity building, removal of barriers and concrete product development remain to be done. 120104_World ESCo Outlook_Germany_fsf, Status: 04.12.2012 © Authors listed on page 2. For requests: [email protected] 8/8
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