Overview of French Guiana’s Economy October 3, 3 2014 French Guiana Agency Central Bank of French overseas departments Central Bank missions acting on behalf of the central Bank of France Put P t euro b banknotes k t and d coins i into i t circulation i l ti and d ensuring i their th i maintenance i t Relay of national and European banking Authorities Fulfill Public service missions on behalf of the French State g and uttering g moneyy in the economyy Making List and manage households’ debt Burden issues and inform the public General interest services Economic, financial observatories of companies and over-indebtedness Banking B ki fees f observatory b t Web site of IEDOM : www.iedom.fr French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 2 Geographical framework Area of 83 846 km² 0,5 % of the continent’s area but 16 % of France area y Surrounded by -Atlantic ocean (320 km), -Surinam (520 km) -Brazil Brazil on the south and east boarder ( 580 km) 94 % covered by Amazon Forest French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 3 A regional environment with strong economic growth GDP growth rate at constant prices 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 French Guiana 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Guyana Source: World Economic Outlouk, April 2014, final accounts and Cerom estimates French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 4 A moderate inflation Annual variation of the consumer prices index 15% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Source : Bureau of statistics of Guyana, Insee French Guiana Agency 2000 2001 2002 2003 Guyana 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Guyane Guyexpo 2014 p- 5 A rich region within its regional environment GDP per capita - area of South America - Caribbean in 2012 (based on purchasing-power-parity, $) Trinidad & Tobago 20 087 French Guiana (estimations) 15 153 Venezuela 13 615 Brazil 11 875 Surinam 12 398 Guyana 7 939 1 242 Haïti 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 20 000 $ Source : IMF (World Economic Outlook Database, Octobre 2013 PPA), IEDOM estimates with the exchange rate of IMF euros dollars PPA (0,902) French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 6 A rich region within its regional environment Human developpement index 2012 France 0,893 Guadeloupe (2010) 0,822 Chili 0,819 Martinique (2010) 0,814 Trinidad & Tobago 0,76 French Guiana (2010) 0,74 Latin America and Caribbean average 0,74 Brazil 0,73 Surinam 0,684 Guyana 0,636 Haiti 0,456 0,4 0,6 0,8 Source : AFD, CEROM estimates, INSEE, PNUD French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 7 A population characterized by its youthful Demographic indicators Population 2013 Share of those below 20 years olds Projections 2030 Birth rate y Mortality rate Average annual growth of the population French Guiana French Guiana Guyana Guyana 250 109 746 880 45% n.d 424 000 910 000 28,2‰ 21‰ 3,2‰ , 7‰ 3,1% ‐2,7% Source : World Bank (Guyana), United Nations (Guyana), Insee French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 8 An economy with a lack of jobs and skilled labour force Compared unemployment rate (according to the ILO definition) 22,0% 21 5% 21,5% 21,0% , 21,7% 21,3% 20,5% 20,0% French Guiana (2013) French Guiana (2013) Guyana (2013) Guyana (2013) Source : Insee, World Bank French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 9 An economy focused on services 80% 70% 60% % 50% 40% French Guiana 30% Guyana 20% 10% 0% A i lt Agriculture I d t Industry S Services i Allocation/division of added value by sectors Agriculture Industry including : construction including : construction Services including : retail French Guiana Agency Guyana (2013) y ( ) French Guiana (2007) ( ) 21% 4% 39% 20% n.d. 9% 41% 76% n.d. 9% Guyexpo 2014 p- 10 An industry supported by the space sector 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% Guyana (2002) 40% French Guiana 30% 20% 10% 0% Agriculture Industry Services Allocation of employment by sector Guyana (2002) 21% Agriculture 25% Industry 7% including : construction 51% Services 30% including : retail 3% nd Sources : International Labor Organization (Guyana), Insee French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 French Guiana (2013) 1% 15% 8% 84% 8% p- 11 A strong growing domestic market Population, number of firms and sector division Transports, services divers Commerce Adm pub, enseig, santé, action soc 38,1% 24,9% 7,1% 41,5% 24,8% 8,6% 44 6% 44,6% 23 0% 23,0% 9 9% 9,9% 424 000 hab en 2030 Public administration, d i education, healthcare, social activities 7,1% Industry 11,2% Retail 24,9% Construction 18,8% 239 000 hab 239 450 Transportation, other services 38,1% 10 372 firms Number of firms in 2011 P Population in 2012 l ti i 2012 Industry Construction Transportation, other services Retail Public administration, education, healthcare, social activities Population in 2030 Source : Insee, buisiness register, pop. Census, population projections (median scenario, 2007) *All market activities excluding agriculture French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 12 Dynamic sectors Sectoral indicators in 2013 Number of rocket launches N b f k tl h 7 launches l h Number of launched satellites 14 satellites p 1,3 , tonne Gold exports Cement sales 92 130 tonnes Number of authorized housing 1 915 housing Rum production d i 2 626 hectolitres of pure alchohol h li f l h h l Shrimps grips 682 tonnes Fish grips Fish grips 1 496 1 496 tonnes Swine and cattle slaugthers 771 tonnes Port traffic 653 941 tonnes Air traffic 437 599 passengers Sources : Arianespace, CCIRG, Ciments guyanais, Daaf , Customs, Ifremer, Sitadel French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 13 Main indicators Economic and financial indicators in 2013 IImports of goods f d Exports of goods Trade balance Trade balance GDP in current euros Electricity consumption Total appropriations Number of bank accounts per capita Sources : Customs, EDF, IEDOM, Insee French Guiana Agency 1 589 1 589 million euros illi 292 million euros ‐11 296 296 million euros million euros 3,9 billion euros 3 499 kW/capita/year 2 634 million euros 1,4 bank account per capita Guyexpo 2014 p- 14 Metropolitan France: First trading partner M€ Main suppliers of French Guiana 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 France* French West Indies 1993 European union 2003 Other European countries 2009 2010 Trinidad 2011 Latin America/Caribbean** 2012 As ia Rest of the World 2013 Source : Customs * whole France except french overseas departements in America ** except french overseas departements in America and Trinidad Imports : 1 589 M€ French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 15 Metropolitan France: Second trading partner Main customers of French Guiana M€ 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 France* French West Indies 1993 2003 European Union 2009 2010 Other European countries 2011 2012 Latin America/Caribbean ** Rest of the world 2013 Source : Customs * whole France except french overseas departments in America ** except french overseas departments in America and Trinidad Exports : 292 M€ French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 16 18% 292 M€€ Imports 1 589 M€€ Subdued trade with the neighboring countries Exports 0,0 M€ French Guiana Guyana 0,1 M€ Source : Customs French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 75% 1 0035 M€ 18% Trade coverage rate(Exports/Imports) Exports Imports 1 389 M€ ‐Foodstuffs ‐Fishings boats ‐Machine p- 17 The exchanges of Guyana m $ (USD) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 Exports of goods (f.o.b) 2011 2012 2013 Imports of goods (c.i.f) Source : Bank of Guyana Foreign trade of Guyana in 2013 Foreign trade of Guyana in 2013 Imports of goods 1 847 million dollars Exports of goods 1 376 million dollars Trade balance ‐471 million dollars Source : Bank of Guyana, IEDOM calculations French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 1 389 million euros 1 035 million euros ‐354 million euros p- 18 Banking system organization in French Guiana • 15 credit institutions locally based • 45 permanent Bank branches • 128 ATMs • 2 466 electronic payment terminals in stores and shops • 1,4 Bank account per inhabitant • 1,09 1 09 payment cards per inhabitant French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 19 Evolution of economic actors’ financial investments Evolution of Financial Assets In millions €uros 1 700 20% 1 600 15% 1 500 10% 0% 1 400 5% 1 300 0% 1 200 1 100 -5% 1 000 -10% juin-10 déc.-10 juin-11 déc.-11 juin-12 déc.-12 Quarter to Quarter juin-13 déc.-13 juin-14 Amount Source : Iedom French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 20 Evolution of economic funding Evolution of outstanding Bank credit In millions €uros 6% 2 900 5% 2 700 4% 2 500 2 300 3% 2 100 2% 1 900 1% 1 700 0% 1 500 -1% juin-10 déc.-10 juin-11 déc.-11 juin-12 déc.-12 Quarter to Quarter juin-13 Guyexpo 2014 juin-14 Amount Healthy credit lending (excluding non performing loans ) ECIL + ECNIL ECIL (ECNIL) : Credit institution (not) based locally French Guiana Agency déc.-13 Source : Iedom p- 21 Evolution of economic funding Outstanding loans of the private sector (in M€) 2 500 M€ 2 250 M€ 2 000 M€ 1 750 M€ 1 500 M€ 1 250 M€ 1 000 M€ 750 M€ 500 M€ 250 M€ 250 M€ 0 M€ 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 F French Guiana hG i G Guyana Source: IEDOM, Bank of Guyana Exchange g rate EUR/GYD / and EUR/USD / at 31/12/200N / / French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 22 Evolution of economic funding Total outstanding loans in the Economy (in M€) 3 000 M€ 2 500 M€ 2 000 M€ 1 500 M€ 1 000 M€ 500 M€ 500 M€ 0 M€ 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 French Guiana 2011 2012 2013 Guyana Source: IEDOM, Bank of Guyana Exchange g rate EUR/GYD / and EUR/USD / at 31/12/200N / / French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 23 Evolution of Saving Global deposit amount (in Millions €uros) 1 800 M€ 1 800 M€ 1 600 M€ 1 400 M€ 1 200 M€ 1 000 M€ 800 M€ 600 M€ 400 M€ 200 M€ 200 M€ 0 M€ 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 French Guiana Guyana Source: IEDOM French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 24 Evolution counterparty risks Global doubtful loans and provisioning rate 14% 80% 12% 70% 60% 10% 50% 8% 40% 6% 30% 4% 20% 2% 10% 0% 0% Doubtful loans rate Provisioning rate (right scale) Source: IEDOM French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 25 More informations about French Guiana ‘s economy http://www.iedom.fr/guyane/ French Guiana Agency http://www.cerom-outremer.fr/guyane/ Guyexpo 2014 p- 26 A synthetic overview of French Guiana in several languages g g htt // http://www.iedom.fr/guyane/ i d f/ / French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 27 Economic dashbord of French Guiana in several languages http://www.cerom-outremer.fr/guyane/ Agence de Guyane Guyexpo 2014 p- 28 Thank you for your attention www.iedom.fr i d f www.cerom outremer.fr www.cerom-outremer.fr French Guiana Agency Guyexpo 2014 p- 29
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