Deglaciation of the Northern Hemisphere : Contributions of Orbital, Greenhouse and Freshwater Forcings Lauren J. Gregoire, Paul J. Valdes, Tony J. Payne School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, UK - [email protected] 2. Methodology 1.Introduction We model the evolution of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) ice sheets through the last deglaciation. We force an ice sheet model with temperatures and precipitations from a transient simulation of 21-9 ka (thousand years BP) run with a fast General Circulation Model (GCM). We investigate : • The evolution of the geometry and mass balance of the North American and Eurasian ice sheets. • The contribution of orbital, greenhouse gases (GHG) and freshwater forcings to the deglaciation of the NH ice sheets Climate forcing: FAMOUS fast GCM [1] Ice sheet model: Glimmer-CISM [7] 3D thermo-mechanical model with shallow Transient simulation of 21-9 ka [2] ice approximation. Includes: Evolving boundary • Positive Degree Day (PDD) mass balance scheme conditions: • Isostatic rebound ICE: Orography, ice • Basal sliding sheet extent and land-sea Model initialised with ice sheets built up through the monthly mask from Ice-5G [3], last glacial-interglacial cycle [8]. Temp. updated every 1kyr Parameters adjusted to optimise ice volume and & isostatic rebound through the deglaciation. GHG: Trace gases [4], Precip. N. continuously changing Age (ka) Model parameters America Atmospheric lapse rate ORB: Orbital forcing [5], continuously changing FW: Freshwater forcing [6], continuously changing Eurasia Unit oC/km 5 PDD snow 3 4 mm/day/oC PDD ice 8 10 mm/day/oC Flow enhancement factor 5 - Geothermal heat flux 50 mW/m2 Basal traction constant* Mantle relaxation time 10 (till) & 0.5 1000 mmyr-1Pa-1 yr * The Basal traction depends on the presence of sediment (till) on the bed following [9] 3. Evolution of the Laurentide and Fennoscandian ice sheets N. America Eurasia ♦ Ice-5G [3] Jul. Separation of Laurentide and Cordilleran ice sheets Age (ka) North America: • Ice extent closely follows Ice-5G except that the separation of the Laurentide and Cordilleran ice sheets is delayed and ice extent is reduced at 9 ka. • A Peak in mass balance at 11.7 ka when Laurentide and Cordilleran ice sheets separate produces a meltwater flux up to 0.38 Sv and 12 m of sea level rise in 500 yr. Eurasia: • Ice thickness overestimated at the beginning but the deglaciation is quicker than field evidence suggests [10]. Likely due to a bias in the climate forcing. • Peak in mass balance when Scandinavian and Barents Sea ice sheets separate. Evolution of the North American and Eurasian ice sheets through the deglaciation. Temperature is the July potential temperature over the ice sheet domains. Model Ice elevation (m) Ice-5G 21 ka Age (ka) Eurasia References 9 ka Orography (m) Model Ice-5G 21 ka • ORB: the orbital forcing starts the deglaciation of North America at 19 ka and Eurasia at 20 ka. • GHG: the effect of GHG starts around 17 ka. • ICE: changes in surface albedo due to Ice-5G are significant enough to produce half of the deglaciation. • FW: Meltwater pulse 1a, at 14 ka, noticeably slows down the deglaciation of the Laurentide ice sheet. The effect is insignificant in Eurasia because little ice is left then. • When ½ of the initial volume has been lost, the contributions to the volume lost is : N. America (12 ka) Eurasia (15 ka) GHG 18 % 7% ORB 35 % 30 % ICE 46 % 61 % Age (ka) 12 ka Ice elevation (m) 4. Contributions from the different forcings North America 15 ka Calculated contribution of ice albedo (ICE), orbit (ORB) and GHG forcings (excluding freshwater) to the decrease in volume of the NH ice sheets since 21ka. [6] Freshwater flux reconstructed as part of the ORMEN project. [7] Rutt et al., 2009. J. Geophys. Res. 114. [1] Smith et al., 2008. Geosci. Model Dev. 1, 53-68. [2] Kahana et al. (in prep.) Transient simulation of the deglaciation. [8] Gregoire et al., 2010. Geophys. Res. Abs. Vol. 12, EGU-9492 [9] Laske and Masters, 1997. EOS Trans. AGU 78. [3] Peltier, 2004. Rev. of Earth and Planet. Sci. 32, 111-149. [10] Svendsen et al., 2004. Quat. Sci. Rev., 23(11-13), 1229-1271. [4] Spahni et al., 2005. Science 310, 1317-1321. [5] Berger, A., Loutre, M., 1992. Earth Planet. Sc. Lett. 111, 369-382. [11] Dyke et al., 2003. Geol. Survey of Canada Open File 1547. 17 ka 14 ka 12 ka Orography (m) 5. Conclusions We forced a model of the NH ice sheets with a temporally and spatially detailed modelled climate of the last deglaciation. • The separation of the Laurentide and Cordilleran ice sheets (~14 ka [11]) creates a meltwater flux equivalent in terms of timing and volume to Meltwater Pulse 1a. • The separation of the Scandinavian and Barents Sea ice sheets also lead to an acceleration of the deglaciation. • The changes in surface albedo due to Ice-5G boundary conditions contribute to ½ of the deglaciation of the NH in terms of volume. • If we consider the changes in surface albedo to be a feedback in the coupled climate-ice sheet system, then in North America: Orbit contributes to 2/3 of the deglaciation GHGs contribute to 1/3 of the deglaciation FUTURE WORK: Perform a fully coupled climate ice-sheet simulation of the last deglaciation Acknowledgments This work is part of the Marie Curie RTN Network for Ice sheets and Climate Evolution (NICE). It was carried out using the computational facilities of the Advanced Computing Research Centre, Bristol University.
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