Volume XVI, Issue 2 Spring 2016 Sustainable Development Law & Policy Exploring How Today’s Development Affects Future Generations Around the Globe In This Issue:The 2016 Sustainable Development Goals 2 | 4 by Caitlin Buchanan |Lodging the Sustainable Development Goals in the International Trade Regime: From Trade Rhetoric to Trade Plethoric 16 Editor’s Note by Nasser Alreshaid |A North-South Struggle: Political and Economic Obstacles to Sustainable Development by Dr. Imrana Iqbal and Charles Pierson 28 Developing an International Carbon Tax Regime | by Steven Specht http://www.wcl.american.edu/org/sustainabledevelopment Editor’s Note At the beginning of 2016, the United Nations released the seventeen Sustainable Development Goals of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. These seventeen goals include addressing poverty, providing affordable and clean energy, conserving ocean and marine resources, sustainably managing natural resources, and implementing climate action. These goals seek to improve upon the success of the Millennium Development Goals. The Sustainable Development Goals are not legally binding on the nations of the world, but this issue of SDLP will explore the impacts and policy of the SDGs and several topics related to the individual goals themselves. The mission of Sustainable Development Law & Policy is to approach sustainable development from a variety of prospectives to provide our readers with a balanced and informed view of our chosen topics. In this issue, we seek to provide our readers with insight into domestic land and water use with three varying approaches to this subject. Our first article, Lodging the Sustainable Development Goals in the International Trade Regime: From Trade Rhetoric to Trade Plethoric by Nasser Alreshaid discuss how implementing the Sustainable Development Goals into global trade will lead to a more inclusive and representative international trade regime. The second article, A North-South Struggle: Political and Economic Obstacles to Sustainable Development, authored by Dr. Imrana Iqbal and Charles Pierson explores the difficulty the developed world experiences in achieving the sustainable development that the SDGs intend to be shared by all nations. The authors argue that the developed world pays lip services to sustainable development while the lack of enforcement needed to compel the developing world to alter environmentally unfriendly economic practices. In the final article, Steven Specht explores a means of achieving the SDGs of climate action and clean energy in Developing an International Carbon Tax Regime. Mr. Specht argues that an international agreement on taxation of domestic carbon sources is the best way forward to deal with climate change. This issue also includes three featured articles by Washington College of Law students. Harjot Dhillon explores food security in South Sudan and its obstacles to achieving SDGs. In the second featured article, Tais Ludwig argues the importance of the Rio Principle 10 in implementing the current SDGs. Finally, Alexi Nation focuses on the SDG for ocean conservation and the importance of its implementation. 2 Features: 14|Lofty Goals in Dire Times: South Sudan’s Obstacles to Achieving the New SDGs by Harjot Dhillon 26 |The Key to Engaging with the SDGs: Utilizing Rio Principle 10 to Successfully Implement the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals by Taís Ludwig 36|The Law of the Seas: A Barrier to Implementation of Sustainable Development Goal 14 by Alexi Nathan On behalf of the Sustainable Development Law & Policy staff, I would like to thank all of the authors who contributed their time, efforts, and scholarship to this issue. Your contributions have allowed for a meaningful and informed discussion of sustainable land and water use policy in the United States. I would also like to thank my staff for all of their hard work and dedication to not only this issue, but to our publication as a whole. Their efforts are the source of success for our publication. Lastly, I would like to thank our readers for your continuing interest and support of SDLP. Caitlin Buchanan Sustainable Development Law & Policy About SDLP Sustainable Development Law & Policy (ISSN 15523721) is a student-run initiative at American University Washington College of Law published three times each academic year, with occasional special editions and two annual foreign language translations. The journal publishes articles and essays that focus on reconciling the tensions between environmental sustainability, economic development, and human welfare. It embraces an interdisciplinary focus to provide a broad view of current legal, political, and social developments. Our mission is to serve as a valuable resource for practitioners, policy makers, and concerned citizens promoting sustainable development throughout the world. Sustainable Development Law & Policy prints in accordance with the standards established by the Forest Stewardship Council® (“FSC®”) that are designed to eliminate habitat destruction, water pollution, displacement of indigenous peoples, and violence against people and wildlife that often accompanies logging. Achieving FSC Certification requires that every step of the printing process, from lumber gathering to transportation to printing to paper sorting, must comply with the chain of custody established by the FSC which runs a strict auditing system to maintain the integrity of their certification process. Obtaining FSC certification is one way a publisher can ensure responsible use of forest resources. Our printer, HBP, Inc. is FSC Chain of Custody certified. (FSC® C010897). To purchase back issues please contact William S. Hein & Co. at [email protected]. To view current and past issues of the publication please visit our website at http://www.wcl. american.edu/org/sdlp. Current and past issues are also available online through HeinOnline, LexisNexis, Westlaw, vLex, and the H.W. Wilson Company. Please note that Volume I and Volume II, Issue 1 are published as International and Comparative Environmental Law. Printed by HBP, Inc., Hagerstown, MD. Editor-in-Chief Caitlin Buchanan Senior Editorial Board Managing Editor Jess Goodall Executive Editor Brian Zack Associate Executive Editor Ryan Schmidt Features Editor Kelly Carlson International Editor Taís Ludwig Symposium Editor Katrina Tomecek Senior Editors Harjot Dhillon, Megan Lintott, Kimberly Reynolds, Lauren Tavar Staff Adam Curfman, Victoria (Tori) Frappaolo, Robert Kelsey, Tom Martial, Nicholas Ravotti, Jon Shute, Nakuma Wani-Kenyi, Nasser Alreshaid, Engie Mohsen, Ingrid Lesemann, Behrad Nazarian, Diana Pineros, Trey Levy, Hiba Ahmed, Jacob Peeples, Robert Conrad, Kathryn Penry, Kendra Leite, Aroosa Nizami, Alexi Nathan, Chafica Khodr Agha, Mark Hsen, Sarah Pugh, Caitlin Cutchin, Luke Trompeter Advisors Amanda Leiter, David Hunter, Durwood Zaelke, Perry Wallace, William L. Thomas, Kenneth Markowitz, William Snape, III Green Inks Spring 2016 3 Lodging the Sustainable Development Goals in the International Trade Regime: From Trade Rhetoric to Trade Plethoric* Nasser Alreshaid** W Abstract hile the international community is stimulated by the new Sustainable Development Goals’ impetus, the global trade regime lives through its 40’s mid-life crisis and anticipates what it does not know what to anticipate. Views of the multilateral trading system being stalled by a proliferation of other preferential trade agreements signal a deep inquiry into this policy trend. This Article intends to highlight how these global trade challenges could be mere air turbulence if lessons are drawn from the new Sustainable Development Goals. By introducing the very needs of states and their constituents through these Goals, an inclusive and more representative international trade regime could be achieved. This does though pose a challenge of how soft and hard norms, or formal and informal rules, may have to interact within a cooperative diversified manner. I. Introduction “The worry was that globalization might be creating rich countries with poor people”1 Joseph Stiglitz An ongoing worrisome debate persists as to the connection trade has with the idea of development where the very aims of international trade are questioned in terms of an applicable universal notion. Who is trade to prosper when consideration to the capacity and goals of states within the international community is at stake? Constituents of state governments have been central to this debate today, anticipating a better future for them and future generations. Extensive literature may have continuously approached the connection of trade liberalization and state regulation. Developing countries started to doubt the international trade regime and their bargaining power to shape their own internal policies. Nevertheless, the added narrative here is how much this debate has evolved today from the immense social and political capital on the international level. This capital acknowledges a shared aim that leaves some flexibility for states to tailor what best fits each country’s societies and further prospers the whole human race as an outcome. What we see today are the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) transforming into an ambitious sustainable development agenda, with 17 attentive goals paving the road until 2030. A global consensus is highlighted as to the acceptance these goals seemed to generate. This does not at all imply that 4 implementation of internal development policies within the context of international trade isn’t contentious in a globalized world. What this study aims to do is track the development agenda within the international trade regime to see how its evolution signals the inevitable adoption of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to make its future more realistic and predictable. The utmost importance of this attempt is to reveal to what extent international legal norms are in harmony when different international regimes link the same term to their agendas. When referring to the international trade regime, it primarily includes the multilateral trading system, but would still highlight regional and bilateral trends in this regard. This is not to undermine the complexities that would come with adopting such an idea, but what could nevertheless be accomplished is a middle ground where international trade constituents will have to give up some of their privileges and powers for a greater and common good. This Article will first briefly discuss how the term sustainable development came to being. When standing on what this notion would refer to, the study will attempt to contrast this concept with what the international trade regime holds as sustainable development, and how it may have evolved. To conclude, solutions to reconcile the past with the future concerns as to how to make the SDGs part of the multilateral trading system, and perhaps inevitably regional and bilateral trade, will be addressed. II. Development Qualified by Sustainability When lawyers engage in litigation, in many instances they engage in challenging the meaning of legal terms within the context of legal provisions, such as those based on the interpretation principles in international law. These principles stem from the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties (VCLT), by ascertaining the “ordinary meaning” of the term, in light of the “object and purpose” of the treaty.2 The point here is that the interpretation of certain terms may shape the future course of action of treaty provisions. Now, this certainly applies to terms that may seem so ambiguous, * The original version of this article was published in the Journal of Environmental and Sustainable Law, Volume 22, No. 2 in Spring 2016. ** Nasser Alreshaid is an SJD Candidate at American University Washington College of Law. He received his LL.M. from NYU School of Law (ILHR Fellow), LL.M. Kuwait University, and LL.B. University of Sharjah, U.A.E. The Mr. Alreshaid is a consultant at the World Bank Group, and in no way does this Article reflect the views of this institution. The author would also like to thank Professor Frank Upham for his insight on this Article. Sustainable Development Law & Policy perhaps even intentionally, that their ultimate application would be questioned, unless some sense of flexibility is left to respect differentiating treaty parties’ intentions. One of such terms could without a doubt be “sustainable development.” This term in and of itself has evolved in such a dynamic way that attributing an actual meaning to it might not be attainable, such as is the case with terms like “justice”, “right”, and “freedom.” a. The Evolution of the term Sustainable Development The term “development” can be approached from multiple angles as to the inference that could be extracted from it. It could be broadly viewed in terms of human freedoms it sets to prosper, or even as a right to survival.3 On the other hand, a narrow view of development refers to the rise of personal incomes as a result of an increase in the gross national product (GNP), in addition to technical and industrial advancements.4 While there could be some added value to look into the origins and evolution of this self-standing term, the aims of this research go beyond that. What is important however, is how the term has been qualified by the term “sustainability”.5 The international community has played a significant role in ascertaining shared aims as to what the term sustainable development may be perceived as. The evolution of the term could be broken down into two stages, the period preceding the transition into the MDGs, and the phase representing today’s SDGs. The two stages will be approached separately. idea is not who is most in need of utilizing this term, rather, the aim of this term seems to highlight the global consensus that the agenda’s duty-bearers, predominantly states, are burdened with such commitments that best serves the sustainable development goals of the people of that certain society.9 As was highlighted in the earlier initiatives to qualify development with sustainability, the efforts persisted in other forums to link this term to their agendas. The UN Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) in Rio de Janeiro in 1992 reached a general consensus amongst 176 states on the term sustainable development as being a major aim for the international community.10 The European Union, and both the UN General Assembly and Security Council Resolutions also followed this route.11 During the Millennium Summit, held from Wednesday, September 6, to Friday, September 8 in New York, and attended by 149 heads of states and high-ranking officials from another 40 countries, the attendees adopted the Millennium Declaration.12 The result of the adopted Declaration was a systematic move towards soft but widespread international consensus to elaborate on these sustainable development goals. 13 It is some sort of aspirational mission creep if put in another way. Some described these goals as being “all-encompassing concepts, if not a mantra.”14 The MDG agenda included eight goals to be achieved by 2015: 1) eradicate extreme hunger and poverty, 2) achieve universal primary education, 3) promote gender equality and empower women, 4) reduce child mortality, 5) improve maternal health, 6) combat HIV/Aids, Malaria and other diseases, 7) ensure environmental sustainability, and 8) global partnership for development, with eighteen related specific targets, and forty-four quantifiable indicators.15 And so the issue of possible implementation in light of this over motivated attitude is worrisome on the domestic level, which continues into the new stage. “What we see today are the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) transforming into an ambitious sustainable development agenda, with 17 attentive goals paving the road until 2030.” 1. Developing the Way to the MDGs In the early stages of fostering the term sustainable development, the World Commission on Environment and Development, or Brundtland Commission, published a report called Our Common Future in 1987, which defined the term as, “development that meets the needs of the present generation without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.”6 Perhaps, adding an “altruistic” value to development would ensure that present generations would act in a way that ensures future generations would not be burdened by past decisions that would interfere with the environment, health, and economy and thus the capacity of the future generations to continue this development.7 Who needs sustainable development? Developing countries? Developed? The idea is that people are the main subjects of this agenda, as is the case with other human rights generally.8 If it makes it clearer, from a rights-based approach, no certain category of people monopolizes this term. People living in developed countries are considered to fall under this term in their own capacity in as much as constituents of developing countries. The Spring 2016 2. Today’s SDGs The journey of sustainable development creeping into new venues continued after the MDGs, but this time the horizon was pretty vast. On September 25, 2015, leaders from all over the world met in New York and adopted U.N. General Assembly Resolution 70/1 embracing 17 goals with 169 targets for the period running until 2030.16 A sense of what sustainability meant in terms of development to these states went as far as including clean water and sanitation, affordable and clean energy, descent work and economic growth, industry innovation and infrastructure, sustainable cities and communities, responsible consumption and production, life below water, life on land, and peace, 5 justice, and strong institutions.17 Mentioning the vast amount of targets go beyond the scope of this Article and demand more elaborate and in depth discussion. Nevertheless, what accompanies this broad consensus is a high cost.18 It is estimated that implementing such an agenda would be valued at $5-7 trillion.19 The SDGs are part of a global structure that questions the very role local communities have in their implementation in a way that best fits their conditions. What these SDGs sum up to, as was the case with their predecessors, is that they are soft in their establishment through Resolution 70/1 (“Resolution”).20 Even in the language of the Resolution, with all the commitments the state members took upon themselves, it is intended to guide the participating governments in implementing a national framework within the context of a generalized versus contextualized development goals debate.21 Nevertheless, a broad and flexible tone is evident throughout the Resolution and in the Goals themselves, which implies that governments have some space to implement their content. It is only clear how unclear the future of this agenda is. But, what these states have done through the General Assembly is set the bar high for other venues. If there is something that stands out from all seventeen goals is that almost any forum on the international level could be a stakeholder. For an international body to omit acknowledging this new agenda would counter a new era of flexible general consensus. a. A “Sustainable” Development Objective in the Trade Regime? Recognizing that their relations in the field of trade and economic endeavour should be conducted with a view to raising standards of living, ensuring full employment and a large and steadily growing volume of real income and effective demand, and expanding the production of and trade in goods and services, while allowing for the optimal use of the world’s resources in accordance with the objective of sustainable development, seeking both to protect and preserve the environment and to enhance the means for doing so in a manner consistent with their respective needs and concerns at different levels of economic development.25 The main aspects of sustainable development emerge from the abovementioned 1994 WTO Marrakesh Agreement Preamble’s first paragraph. This sets the primary objective of the multilateral trading system. What is important to point out is that this provision only came into being with the Marrakesh Agreement establishing the WTO. What the multilateral trading system represented before was a different version of what global trade meant, a General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) version.26 GATT preceded the WTO as an agreement where parties collaborated their efforts in order to facilitate the liberalization of trade amongst them.27 What ended up being the main objective or free trade ideology of the parties relied on mainly two dimensions, (1) market access on the one hand, which implied eliminating trade barriers that included tariffs, quotas, and subsidies; and (2) non-discrimination between the parties of GATT was an aim that attracted global consensus.28 These two features have persisted in the WTO.29 What proceeded was the push by developing countries to address more development needs, which were raised during the four-year Kennedy Round from 19631967, with minimal results.30 The structure of GATT remained, but a GATT Committee on Trade and Development was established. Institutionally, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) was also created in Geneva in 1964 to address the North-South divide.31 The negotiation of the Preamble of the previously mentioned WTO Agreement may have likely been influenced by 1992’s UNCED, but this is not undisputable.32 Another major reason for this negotiated Preamble would be the rise of the regulatory state and the proliferation of non-tariff barriers (NTB), such as environmental, labor related, consumer protection, and health and safety.33 The objective of sustainable development seems to be qualified by the optimal use of resources.34 However, there is nothing that implies that it does not have broader inference “It is estimated that implementing such an agenda would be valued at $5–7 trillion.” III. What’s Trade Got to do with it? The relationship international trade has with the previously mentioned SDGs is mentioned in this chapter. International trade in the context of this study refers mainly to the multilateral trading system, i.e. the World Trade Organization (WTO),22 in addition to other preferential trade agreements (PTAs) on the regional, multi-regional, and bilateral level, in order to contrast what these latter agreements may have done differently from the WTO. The recent proliferation of PTAs is certainly alerting, but what remains is that this proliferation is not completely in discontent from the WTO provisions, including their plurilateral agreements.23 What the WTO mainly did for these other agreements is structure their main features.24 The issue that remains essential for a collective progressive and successful international trade regime is the extent to which these sustainable development policies have a role. What this chapter therefore sets to discuss is the current structure of sustainable development within the WTO. After this, a theoretical discussion on how the new SDGs could be linked to the current WTO provisions would be attempted. When the WTO correlation to the SDGs is reviewed, bilateral, regional, and multi-regional PTAs will be highlighted as to their trend towards the SDGs. 6 Sustainable Development Law & Policy when also connected to the ensuing sentence mentioning environmental protections and preservations, and enhancements to economic development conditions.35 The problem with this objective is that what Robert Howse refers to as “meta-structures” of the WTO, leave but minimal space for state members to engage their sustainable development policies in the midst of over-obligation.36 These meta-structures refer to the formal WTO rules and informal ones on different topics, possessing normative value, which eventually guide the negotiation table in terms of what is prioritized.37 This raises many issues of inclusiveness and transparency when such metastructures are results of bargaining power.38 The Preamble’s language anticipates the role states retain to shape their internal policies within the meaning of economic growth, precisely with the phrase “to enhance the means for doing so in a manner consistent with their respective needs and concerns at different levels of economic development.”39 The main debate remains as to whether trade liberalization is an end in itself rather than a means, and whether it is acceptable for a number of state members to lag behind, as long as their contribution to the global economy is minimal.40 To be fair, progress towards recognizing the difficulties certain countries face in implementing different trade obligations at the expense of what is perceived as local sustainable development policies fought its way through to ultimate recognition, minimal though, as there is much to be done. Special and Differential treatment (S&D) for instance, were reserved for developing countries.41 One point that has to be brought up in order to proceed with this Article is the 2001 Doha Development Round (DDR) Agenda. The intent is not to discuss its detailed failure, which it seems to have generally incurred until this day; rather, the intent to underscore sustainable development even more was certainly present.42 In the Doha Ministerial Declaration in Paragraph 6, stated: We strongly reaffirm our commitment to the objective of sustainable development, as stated in the Preamble to the Marrakesh Agreement. We are convinced that the aims of upholding and safeguarding an open and non-discriminatory multilateral trading system, and acting for the protection of the environment and the promotion of sustainable development can and must be mutually supportive. We take note of the efforts by members to conduct national environmental assessments of trade policies on a voluntary basis. We recognize that under WTO rules no country should be prevented from taking measures for the protection of human, animal or plant life or health, or of the environment at the levels it considers appropriate, subject to the requirement that they are not applied in a manner which would constitute a means of arbitrary or unjustifiable discrimination between countries where the same conditions prevail, or a disguised restriction on international trade, Spring 2016 and are otherwise in accordance with the provisions of the WTO Agreements.43 There is clear emphasis in this Declaration that environmental preservation and protection, in addition to social development, are just as important to the WTO as any perceived mere economic aim.44 What global trade should aim to do in the language of the Declaration is far more broad, and this implies that developing countries realized first, the implications of their lack of capacity, and second, that the dynamics of domestic input has changed to demand more inclusiveness. WTO Jurisprudence: The WTO Appellate Body in the Shrimp-Turtle case interpreted GATT 1994 Article XX in light of the WTO Preamble, and in accordance with the Dispute Settlement Understanding (DSU) and VCLT.45 GATT Article XX discusses what’s called “General Exceptions”, acknowledging other policy objectives, including the protection of human, animal, and plant life, the conservation of exhaustible natural resources, and the protection of public morals.46 These reasons lead to circumventing the goals of free trade that denote market access and non-discrimination. In this case, the Appellate Body stressed the transformation of the scope of Article XX.47 The basis for this was the evolution of the Preamble of the WTO from GATT.48 The original objectives of GATT were qualified by the new Preamble, in which other provisions of the WTO are no longer confined to.49 The Appellate Body reports: We note once more 144 that this language demonstrates a recognition by WTO negotiators that optimal use of the world’s resources should be made in accordance with the objective of sustainable development. As this preambular language reflects the intentions of negotiators of the WTO Agreement, we believe it must add colour, texture and shading to our interpretation of the agreements annexed to the WTO Agreement, in this case, the GATT 1994. We have already observed that Article XX(g) of the GATT 1994 is appropriately read with the perspective embodied in the above preamble.50 There should be consideration as well to the fact that the Appellate Body did urge a more balanced approach between the different provisions of the WTO Agreements and its Preamble. However, such balancing could be perceived as referring to procedural fairness, including transparency, rather than the substance of the issue.51 A broad substantively unqualified term of sustainable development could mean states would be able to interpret their measures in light of what they perceive the objective to encompass. But then again, too much flexibility would also serve little to assist other states with legitimate expectations. b. The Issue of Linkage: Reading the New SDGs Related Provisions into International Trade The dilemma of the implications of an outreaching SDG agenda is of utmost importance, not only to international trade 7 itself, but also to the whole international law framework we live in today. U.N. Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) Under-Secretary General Mr. Wu Hongbo said, when addressing U.N. General Assembly Second Committee earlier this fall, “[t]his year could well be remembered as the year when policy integration for sustainable development truly became a common global vision.,”52 and, “[w]e have seen unprecedented global cooperation to address some of the most challenging issues of our time.”53 A proliferation of different forums and venues on the international level may have been guided by establishing specialized organizations to accompany the cooperative needs of states. Easier said than done is what this proved in our current day. In today’s world, are issues really disintegrated when it comes to acknowledging state regulatory policies? As Joost Pauwelyn puts it in his book Conflicts of Norms in Public International Law: How WTO Law Relates to Other Rules of International Law, when referring to “nobler goals” that trade should pursue, “[w]hen genuinely pursued, that is, when not abused as a disguise restriction to trade, such goals must trump the instrument of trade, even if they are not set out in the WTO treaty itself ”54 and, “WTO law is not a secluded island but part of that territorial domain of international law.”55 His point being, the aim is achieving unity in international law, not fragmentation.56 This brings back the idea of “rights as trumps”, in the sense late Ronald Dworkin tried to emphasize, as an analogy for the international sphere of relationships.57 Or as international law might know it, a sort of jus cogens for individual states that overcome what utilitarian goal has been adopted by a number of states, such as restricting trade barriers.58 1. A Public International Law Linked Framework: Hard v. Soft Law Dichotomy No More The discussion at this point should not simply imply that debates on whether the presence of an international legislature is of central importance, albeit, its shaping the discourse of international law. There is much to talk about on that topic, and this Article can bare no such extensive task. Nevertheless, the issue of the normative value of international legal rules, if it was accurate to say so, will begin from the end of this debate, and engage instead in newly developed treatises on the international level.59 The International Law Commission, after setting up a study group on the topic of “Fragmentation of International Law”, has opted for a more coherent approach when it comes to the different norms on the international level.60 It has adopted a strong presumption against normative conflict in one of its reports.61 Within this debate on conflict of norms, inconsistencies of obligations could subsist as another category of such conflict.62 When different obligations by different sources occasionally collide, or appear to at least, states seem to be left with a “cherry picking” scenario.63 When shared goals incite parties to different multilateral treaties through “treaty-based sub-systems” to inflict obligations on their parties, or even members, when the 8 end product is an organization, there exists norms that states may favor differently within dissimilar situations.64 Now, within the hierarchical context of international legal norms, different stages can be approached to resolve conflicts between norms.65 Perhaps a lex posterior attitude would first be attempted as between supposedly conflicting treaty provisions.66 However, when a “living treaty” exists, such as the WTO, this method of conflict resolution could be of minimal effect.67 Hence, resorting to a lex specialis technique to disentangle conflicting debates would be more relevant, as is the case with environmental issues being dealt with by Multilateral Environmental Agreements (MEAs) as opposed to a purely trade-based treaty.68 In this regard, Gregory Schaffer & Mark Pollack discuss conditions in which the relationship between soft and hard law is of an “antagonistic” nature, and the interaction of hard and soft law regimes: [C]an lead to the hardening of soft law regimes, resulting in more strategic bargaining and reducing their purported advantages of consensus-building through information-sharing and persuasion, and the softening of hard law regimes, resulting in reduced legal certainty and predictability. This result is more likely where there is distributive conflict between powerful states.69 This underscores the reality of how states themselves actually employ a hard or soft law approach in the context of these two sets interacting, instead of the norms being classified as such.70 2. A WTO Induced Approach to Linking the SDGs The Director-General of the WTO Roberto Azevedo commented on the new SDGs by ensuring that trade has and always will support development goals.71 That recent jurisprudence of the Organization’s Dispute Settlement Body, on issues related to the relationship between trade and renewable energy and preservation and management of exhaustible natural resources could help instigate trade rule amendments.72 Moreover, the fresh WTO Public Forum, commemorating 20 years of the Organization’s establishment, reiterated this discourse within its program.73 This elicits a sort of lex lata version of what the SDGs see international trade as. In his speech during the United Nations summit to endorse the “2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”, Azevêdo ensured, “ I am pleased to join you today, and to pledge that the WTO will play its full role in delivering the Sustainable Development Goals.”74 When elaborating, he explained how his Organization has been playing a role in: • Goal 2 looks at reforming agricultural markets to end hunger—which is a key element of our agenda at the WTO. • Goal 3 reaffirms the flexibilities offered by the WTO’s rules on intellectual property to protect public health. • Goal 8 calls for the increased support for the poorest countries to participate in global trade, particularly through the WTO’s Aid for Trade initiative. Sustainable Development Law & Policy • Goal 14 calls for action on fisheries subsidies to tackle over-capacity and over-fishing, which again is an important element of our work. • And Goal 17 calls for the conclusion of negotiations on the WTO’s Doha Development Agenda.75 The last goal specifically, is of relevance to the issue of linkage when it comes to the multilateral trading system in particular. This system would have to push for a “universal rule-based, open, non-discriminatory, and equitable system.”76 Goal 17 of the New SDGs aims to “strengthen the means of implementation and revitalize the global partnership for sustainable development.”77 This Goal is thus, an exploration of what the WTO provisions set to achieve in relation to other international legal norms. Rather than an “integral type” agenda, the WTO provisions are of a “reciprocal” nature when it comes to its member states.78 As such, its provisions meet the diversity needs of its members within a larger international law framework.79 What should be underlined, as Joost Pauwelyn stressed, is that the WTO is but a component of what is known as international law.80 In the face of non-WTO norms, it is the WTO Panel and Appellate Body who are left with a reconciliatory situation. The WTO is obliged to apply WTO provisions, referring to its constituted agreements.81 What is nonetheless at stake here is that when these non-WTO norms represent the “common interests” of WTO members, it is these WTO quasi judicial bodies who have to live up to these other conceding commitments when interpreting their very own agreements.82 The VCLT supports this contention in the context of the General Rules of Interpretation in Article 31/3, where, “There shall be taken into account, together with the context: (c) any relevant rules of international law applicable in the relations between the parties.”83 The process may extend from an interpretive one to an actual application of non-WTO rules.84 This should not affect the members’ relationships with third parties though. What is crucial here is that the SDGs shouldn’t be seen as contradicting trade-related provisions within the WTO, in this context. They are actually both on par and aligned to work for a common goal, allowing some flexibility in the means in which this can be achieved. What is as important in order to implement, or perhaps empower, the content of the SDGs within the multilateral trading system, is the notion of “good governance”.85 It is only fair that the emphasis be not only on the outcome consensus where sustainable development is “sustained” in the policies and practices of international forums, like the WTO.86 States themselves have to contribute to this balancing effort in trying to shape their policies. This should be done in a way that would adhere to development goals of utmost importance locally, but still minimally affects liberalized trade relationships with other trading counterparts with the multilateral trading system. A significantly complex balance is expected from states, which is by far no easy task, and should ensure that states do not ultimately externalize their internal policies.87 There remains much to be done on the multilateral level when it comes to implementing the SDGs within the existing legal framework. The legal structure of certain departments in this organization must allow for the presence of other stakeholders, who oversee the very implementation of the SDGs.88 These counterparts would include UNDP, UNCTAD, and UNHCHR, in addition to other NGOs too.89 This reform to WTO Committees allows first of all, for a transparent process, and secondly, for a sort of inevitable interdisciplinary assistance in drawing on international legal norms that mirror the concerns of states exemplified by the SDGs.90 The WTO has been facing problems as to concluding negotiations related to key trade issues, one of which is agriculture.91 When the current multilateral trading system represents 161 member states, in which about 98% of the global market is covered, negotiations without a doubt become more complex.92 Not only is the South widely represented in this Organization, but also the North faces competing perspectives. 93 The BRICs is fully represented in this system, and so key global market stakeholders are included, such as China and Russia.94 The final bargaining word may not be exclusive to the West after all when it comes to today’s international trade policies. “They are actually both on par and aligned to work for a common goal, allowing some flexibility in the means in which this can be achieved.” Spring 2016 c. Regionalism and Bilateralism when Multilateralism Fails: Redefining Trade Bargaining Power on the International Level Today’s phenomenon of a proliferation of PTAs is under high scrutiny.95 In its World Investment Report 2015, UNCTAD discusses the global foreign direct investment dimension, which necessarily shares many of the characteristics of today’s international trade regime, especially where agreements regulate both trade and investment.96 This Report highlights the stable conclusion of international investment agreements (IIAs), whereas the number bilateral investment agreements (BITs) declined than the previous year.97 There is an additional 31 IIAs, which raises the number of total IIAs to 3,271, in which 2,926 are BITs and 345 are other IIAs, by the end of 2014.98 And while BITs decline, more regional and sub-regional negotiations take place, including the Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), Tripartite, and 9 Pacific Agreement on Closer Economic Relations (PACER) Plus negotiations involving 90 countries.99 The report noted that main incentives for countries to review their model investment and trade policies are SDG related objectives.100 Twelve countries in Africa, ten in Europe and North America, eight in Latin America, seven in Asia, six economies in transition, and four regional organizations engaged in this trend.101 At least one provision of these newly reviewed agreements include ensuring the right of states to regulate for public interest purposes, mainly, to meet sustainable development targets, which included health and safety policies, and environmental standards.102 Perhaps, displaying some of these recent trends would clarify the situation more. 1. Trends and Figures Revealing some of the contents of the most recent different model agreements, and concluded agreements themselves, would supplement the results the previous 2015 World Investment Report reached. The trend towards bilateralism, regionalism, and multi-regionalism is not unique to a certain region.103 Interestingly, it is not really even a continuum of the North-South divide, or a developed vis-à-vis developing country tension.104 Both developed and developing countries have adopted SDG oriented agreements.105 High-income Organization of Economic Cooperative and Development (OECD) member Norway is one example of this shift of policies to meet the needs of sustainable development.106 Its 2015 Model BIT is evidence of the state’s intentions to meet the sustainable development needs of its citizens. This Model BIT initiated its text by emphasizing the aim of investments geared to serve sustainable development needs in their economic, social, and environmental dimensions. 107 This included “high levels” of environmental, health, safety, and labor protections.108 The Preamble reiterated the importance of sustainable development objectives that fit national and global standards. 109 The Norwegian Model BIT went further to include sustainable development safeguards within the contents of its provisions. Article 11/1, under “Not Lowering Standards”, mentioned: The Parties recognize that it is inappropriate to encourage investment by relaxing domestic health, human rights, safety or environmental measures or labour standards. Accordingly, a Party should not waive or otherwise derogate from, or offer to waive or otherwise derogate from, such measures as an encouragement for the establishment, acquisition, expansion or retention of an investment of an investor.110 What followed in Article 12, entitled “Right to Regulate” was: Nothing in this Agreement shall be construed to prevent a Party from adopting, maintaining or enforcing any measure otherwise consistent with this Agreement that it considers appropriate to ensure that investment activity is undertaken in a 10 manner sensitive to health, safety, human rights, labour rights, resource management or environmental concerns.111 This is one of the most recent model BITs that provides strong support for sustainable development objectives.112 High income Norway sets a clear example on how the SDGs are shared interests amongst the different countries across the globe. The language of the Norwegian Model BIT provisions are pretty firm on trade and investment serving sustainable development, which gives states flexibility to implement policies in this regard. The Preamble itself, after mentioning the objective of investments being sustainable development, and including examples of such, pressed for local policies to be congeal to this aim by the phrase “in accordance with relevant internationally recognized standards and agreements in these fields to which they are parties.”113 This concluding sentence adds much leverage to the new SDGs, where they can guide local policies and ensure they fall within the scope of a global consensus with the adoption of the SDGs. The 2012 U.S. Model BIT in comparison omitted mentioning the term “sustainable development” from its Preamble.114 It instead included the substance of this term, referring to the aim to “maximize effective utilization of economic resources and improve living standards,” and drawing on investor-state dispute related requisites of the term “investment.”115 Where, as in the Salini test, the International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) Tribunal concluded that an investment infers, “contributions, a certain duration of performance of the contract and a participation in the risks of the transaction. The Conventions Preamble of the ICSID Convention may add the contribution to the economic development of the host state of the investment as an additional condition.”116 In this case, the Tribunal, considered infrastructure construction in Morocco, and the technical expertise, referred to as “know-how,” which the Italian company offered to the host state Morocco, as constitutive of the economic development element of the investment.117 The U.S. Model BIT is not really an outlier because it appears to have engaged in identifying sustainable development components reserved for state regulation without mentioning the magic word, “sustainable development.”118 On a regional note, and in the context of the African nation, the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Model BIT template of 2012 represents a “southern” shared perspective on implementing sustainable development. The Preamble set the intentions of the parties’ investments to fulfill sustainable development objectives in a similar manner as the Norwegian Model BIT.119 The extensive template, however, leaves the term sustainable development undefined, following the trend of other comparative approaches.120 The SADC Model BIT includes environmental and social impact assessments provisions, and it sets the threshold to the highest standard, be it the national standard or that of the International Finance Corporation’s (IFC) Performance Standards on Environmental and Social Impact Assessment.121 The international standards are invoked once more to ensure that Sustainable Development Law & Policy some sort of technically screened efforts monitor local policies, although it may not be confined to this particular IFC source.122 This Model BIT particularly highlights the precautionary principle as being a pre-requisite for any investment.123 After stressing the right of host states to regulate in the name of sustainable development objectives in Article 20 of the SADC Model BIT, it went further to stress the possibility of addressing past racial injustices in the African region within new investments.124 The South African Investment Treaty language influenced the wording of this article as the Commentary put it.125 This would be aligned with SDG goal 10, “reducing inequality within and among countries.” Further, perhaps the newly introduced goal 16 would embody this as well by “promoting peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all and build effective, accountable, and inclusive institutions at all levels.”126 The interdisciplinary sensation in Article 21/3 and SDG’s produce, an inclusive only process, results in sustainable development intersecting with transitional justice goals where trade, sustainable development and transitional justice serve certain communities, such as postconflict South Africa.127 The extensive Eurasian Economic Union-Vietnam PTA offers a whole Chapter entitled “Sustainable Development.”128 It defined the term’s components as, “The Parties recognize that economic development, social development and environmental protection are interdependent and mutually supportive components of sustainable development.”129 This Agreement gave consideration, as it did in its Preamble, to the different levels of development of its parties, and it considered policies in this direction as part of the sovereignty of states, with the obligation on its parties not to abuse their policies in order to discretely adopt protectionist measures.130 The Agreement consequently illustrated a framework for cooperation amongst its parties to achieve sustainable development objectives.131 The mega-regional agreement mentions the term sustainable development in the context of environmental protection.132 This seems to imply that sustainable development has been ultimately confined to environmental development, but the ensuing provisions below counter this intuition with economic and even cultural development avenues. This certainly signals though the strength of environmental concerns within this agreement. The Agreement’s Preamble provides the aim to, “promote high levels of environmental protection, including through effective enforcement of environmental laws, and further the aims of sustainable development, including through mutually supportive trade and environmental policies and practices.”133 A rather distinct cultural blend or preservation was also included in the text of the TPP.134 An insinuation of a rather sustainable perspective on the maintenance of local ownership over trade rules seem to be protected through their participation, where Article 29.8 mentions, “Subject to each Party’s international obligations, each Party may establish appropriate measures to respect, preserve and promote traditional knowledge and traditional cultural expressions.”135 Spring 2016 Furthermore, Chapter 23 of the TPP is devoted fully to the idea of “development.”136 It elaborates development on many of its aspects, and is used sometimes interchangeably with the term “economic growth.”137 The Agreement, nevertheless, emphasizes the joint role in achieving development objectives in Article 23.6, including working with bilateral partners, private companies, academic institutions, and non-governmental organizations (NGOs).138 Chapter 20 stands out when it comes to environmental concerns under the rhetoric of sustainable development.139 This Chapter offered extensive support to environmental concerns, linking many other agreements, i.e. Multilateral Environmental Agreements (MEAs), and empowering other actors, such as private partners.140 The Chapter emphasizes through Article 20.2 that environmental protections are of a cooperative nature, thus, local environmental laws or measures shouldn’t be used to disguise protectionism or restriction on trade and investments between the parties. Policy or standard “coherence” in another sense is what the Agreement appears to be pushing for, although this delicate balance could prove more complex in practice.141 This is especially true when considering that ensuing Article 20.3, “General Commitments,” stresses the importance of state owned and initiated environmental policies as recognition of state’s sovereignty.142 What captivates this idea of a qualified type of regulatory practice in the TPP is the whole chapter on “Regulatory Coherence.”143 The idea within this Chapter evolves around a harmonized status quo, in which “sovereign” states would draw on good practices in “planning, designing, issuing, implementing, and reviewing” their domestic regulatory policies to achieve their objectives, while still maintaining a cooperative crossborder relationship to further the main objectives of the TPP.144 The same Chapter steers states to the means for reaching such coherence, and further establishes the Committee for Regulatory Coherence to oversee parties’ regulatory activity, and more broadly, global best practices. 145 The idea of a coherent structure that the TPP seems to have struck may just be a restatement that harmonized complementarity between trade agreements remains desirable. The bilateral, regional, and multi-regional trade phenomenon is not completely disintegrated from WTO provisions. State members’ rights and obligations under WTO provisions are referred to when establishing the foundations of other recent PTAs.146 The TPP, for instance, ensured that it draws on the WTO members’ rights and obligations in the Preamble itself.147 And in Article 1.2 of the TPP Agreement, entitled “Relation to other Agreements,” the TPP reiterates the connection of its parties to their WTO commitments.148 d. Are we going too far? With seventeen goals and one hundred sixty-nine targets, are the new SDGs too much for global trade to bear? Perhaps not, when taking into consideration that the global trade regime is not expected to act solely upon the SDGs. The proposal of inter-agency collaboration is only logical when it comes to this gigantic undertaking in the name of the new SDGs.149 The idea 11 of a collaborative effort would anticipate the role of all key actors, whether private actors in the form of multinational enterprises (MNEs), small and medium enterprises (SMEs), civil society, or governments themselves. Private standard setting may be just as important as governmental or inter-governmental standard setting, as is the case with global value chains (GVCs). This may encompass a debate between a rule-based global trade regime as opposed to a power-based one.150 It is quintessential to comprehend informal means of standard setting to complement hard provisions.151 It is the plot where states take a firm position with hard treaty provisions when the compliance of other treaty parties is crucial. Whereas, when states are faced with a scenario that requires more flexibility to take certain actions, it would opt for softer provisions “without institutional teeth.”152 The very idea of a vast array of goals and targets within the SDGs makes this perhaps necessary. Late John Jackson discussed the importance of institutional structures to regulate global norms,153 where he refers to this institutional feature as the “constitution” of the world trading system.154 He emphasized this structure, in an analogy to domestic constitutions; goes further to even include informal mechanisms and “practices”.155 He followed up with this idea in the aftermath of the Seattle riots, challenging the institutional structure of the WTO, and further stresses thus far a “rule-oriented system” approach.156 Jackson accentuates the importance of an international organization, while not able to directly implement technical or non-technical measures for the market economy itself, establishes rules that are necessarily “effective, reasonably efficient to implement, and credible enough” to allow domestic policies to build upon them in different business state of affairs.157 And although this seems reasonable and credible in and of itself, the problem today is that states debate the flexibility they have in implementing technically complex rules, which is why this has partially been acknowledged through (S&D) provisions.158 One major explanation for considering informal means of standard setting is the fact that when it comes to multilateral and mega-regional trade agreements, reaching an agreement amongst a vast array of members or parties is extremely thorny.159 In terms of incorporating the SDGs into international trade, since they are so dynamic when tracing their history and passing through the MDGs, a dynamic and flexible means of living up to an this accelerating agenda, would better fit this condition, and this is where informal standard setting can play a role.160 As for the issue of compliance with this informal standardsetting approach, there are many elements that incite, or even force states to comply.161 Reputation cost, reciprocity, and obtaining certain international benefits, by first meeting a certain threshold, such as the case of the International Monetary Fund and its Articles of Agreement, and the World Bank and its development aid dimensions, can play a crucial role.162 To clarify this informal international standard approach in international trade, there is evidence from the Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) Agreement.163 This Agreement aims to ensure that technical regulations, standards, and conformity assessment 12 procedures, are non-discriminatory and do not restrict trade, but on the other hand allow for some policy objectives to be achieved, such as the protection of human health and safety or the environment, where state member measures are based on “international standards.”164 What has been established within the WTO as a result is the TBT Committee, which functions in mainly two areas, reviewing member specific measures, and strengthening the implementation of the TBT Agreement.165 The TBT Committee highlighted six major principles in its 2000 Decision that should guide WTO members in adopting international standards that lead state regulations and measures.166 The Principles are (1) transparency, (2) openness, (3) impartiality and consensus, (4) effectiveness and relevance, (5) coherence, and (6) addressing the concerns of developing countries.167 These six principles swim in the sea of transparency and participation amongst WTO TBT Agreement parties.168 It stressed the importance that local governments, non-governmental standardizing bodies, and regional standardizing bodies, of which they are members, also accept these standards, as in the Code of Good Practice for the Preparation, Adoption, and Implementation of Standards (“the Code”), Annex 3 of the TBT Agreement.169 The WTO Dispute Settlement Body acknowledges this friendly shift towards soft international standard setting. The 2012 Appellate Body Report in the US-Tuna II case undertook the task of examining the international standards that were adopted by Mexico in order to justify its measure.170 But the Appellate Body denied international standard status to the adopted measure. The reason was because the process through the Agreement on the International Dolphin Conversation Program did not fulfill the “soft” TBT Committee Principles of transparency and participation precisely, although they also overlapped with the other principles, where open contribution for other WTO members is respected.171 As for follow-up mechanisms to sustainable development objectives in international trade, taking into consideration the “aspirational” nature of the SDGs for states, the review mechanisms would perhaps fit a “gentle”, but effective approach towards trade policies.172 In Alice Tipping and Robert Wolf ’s Working Draft on Trade and Sustainable Development: Options for Follow-up and Review of the Trade-related Elements of the Post-2015 Agenda and Financing for Development, they propose this review mechanism, and trace the components of this mechanism to the different international forums, including the WTO, UNCTAD, the World Bank, and other regional organizations such as OECD, Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC), SADC, and both United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) and United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC).173 The previous Working Paper identified categories, or “clusters,” of SDG topics of which international trade intersects.174 The six categories underlined comprised of the issue of reforms of subsidies to agriculture, fisheries, fossil fuels, and enhancing market access for small enterprises in this regard.175 Another category was international cooperation related to technology for Sustainable Development Law & Policy water and sanitation, clean energy, infrastructure, and access to medicines.176 A third cluster was the role of economic diversification, trade facilitation, and empowering global value chains.177 The following category was related to illegal extraction and trade in natural resources and chemicals.178 The fifth category was connected to DDR structural aims of empowering developing countries; including least developed countries LDCs’ market access.179 Lastly, the sixth group referred to policy coherence at the different levels, a framework that would embrace multilateral, regional, and local trade rules.180 It is also worth raising in this regard that concerted efforts have already began taking place to implement such review mechanisms in the face of the complex SDGs task in its association to trade.181 The United Nations SecretaryGeneral has established the United Nations System Task Team on the Post-2015 United Nations Development Agenda (Task Team), not only to prepare for this agenda, but also to follow up with its implementation.182 This Task Team is co-chaired by the UN Department on Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations Development Program (UNDP), and further accumulates more than 60 different UN agencies and international organizations, of which UNCTAD is one.183 in this manner.184 Even when shifting to international trade, purely national regulatory measures don’t seem to easily fit into this logic of shared values, which might explain alternations towards regionalism in an interdependent economic world.185 Nonetheless, states do have their own worries and interests in which the SDGs took into account when setting an elaborate framework, coated with several technical guidelines.186 This Article has attempted to illustrate how the sustainable development agenda has evolved into what it has become today. This agenda has encompassed a vast array of topics that the international community agreed represents their respective diverse needs today. In parallel to this agenda, or perhaps from within, exists an international trade regime struggling to prove that domestic development needs are apprehended within a global framework, and as a result, a substantial number of PTAs emerge in response to a multilateral trading system. What has been addressed in these different PTAs, whether of a bilateral, regional, or multiregional nature, are that sustainable development needs must be embarked upon by any international trade agenda. The burdensome task of taking into account the new SDGs within the international trade regime requires taking “linkages” a step further. Linking the new SDGs agenda would mean a comprehensive, interrelated, interagency consideration, where soft and hard law, formal and informal rules, would shape a common end and redefine contemporary boundaries. The process is certainly costly, technically challenging, and politically multifaceted, but possible. “Lodging the SDGs into international trade is no easy task, but it is nevertheless unavoidable.” IV. Conclusion Lodging the SDGs into international trade is no easy task, but it is nevertheless unavoidable. The SDGs may be teaching us a lesson about how elaborate the issue of “linkage” has evolved to be, and the importance of concerted cooperative solutions Endnotes: Lodging the Sustainable Development Goals in the International Trade Regime: From Trade Rhetoric to Trade Plethoric 1 Joseph Stiglitz, Making Globalization Work 8-9 (W.W. Norton & Co., 2006) (further noting that that even in developed countries, the rich were getting richer and the poor were being faced with doubtful futures). 2 Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties art. 31 ¶ 7, May 23, 1969 [hereinafter “VCLT”] (indicating that a “treaty shall be interpreted in good faith in accordance with the ordinary meaning to be given to the terms of the treaty in their context and in the light of its object and purpose.”) 3 See Amartya Sen, Development as Freedom 3 (Anchor Books, NY 1st ed., 1999); see also Upendra Acharya, The Future of Human Development: The Right to Survive as a Fundamental Element of the Right to Development, 42 Denv. J. Int’l L. & Pol’y 345, 360-65 (2014) (providing examples of freedom of development regarding financial and corporations). 4 See Sen, supra note 3, at 3. 5 See generally Timothy W. Luke, Neither Sustainable nor Development: Reconsidering Sustainability in Development, 13 Sustainable Dev. 228, 228-38 (2005) (attempting to critically analyze the evolution and rhetoric of ‘sustainable’ development, in which neither leads to sustainability nor development). 6 World Comm. on Env’t and Dev., Our Common Future: Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development 43, U.N. Doc. A/42/427 (1987). 7 See Nico Schrijver, The Evolution of Sustainable Development in InterLaw: Inception, Meaning and Status 23-24 (Hague Acad. of Int’l L., national 2008). 8 See Declaration to the Right of Development, G.A. Res. 41/128, U.N. Doc. A/Res/41/128, at art. 1 (Dec. 4, 1986) (reiterating that “peoples” are the central subjects of this right on the premises of it being an “inalienable human right”). 9 See generally Jeremy Waldron, Duty Bearers for Positive Rights (N.Y.U. Sch. of L. Pub. L. Research Paper Series, Working Paper No. 14-58, 2014), available at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2510506 (elaborating on how duty-bearers of social and economic rights could change with the change of particular interests that are protected, and even become multiple duty-bearers). 10 See Schrijver, supra note 7, at 24. 11 See id. (citing G.A. Res. 1483, at ¶ 8(e), UN Doc. S/RES/1483 (May 22, 2003) related to the economic reconstruction of Iraq and the conditions for sustainable development). 12 See Millennium Summit (6-8 September 2000), U.N., http://www.un.org/en/ events/pastevents/millennium_summit.shtml (last visited Apr. 17, 2016). continued on page 38 Spring 2016 13 Lofty Goals in Dire Times: South Sudan’s Obstacles to Achieving the New SDGs By Harjot Dhillon* T Introduction he seventeen Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), comprised of a total of 169 target goals to be achieved by 2030, span a wide variety of problems that run the risk of working against one another.1 Further, the target goals’ lofty requirements could be challenging for countries to comply with, especially new or least developed countries.2 It is true that the global partnership goal would ideally provide least developed countries (LDCs) with financial help from developed countries to achieve sustainable development goals.3 However, there is no guarantee that LDCs will obtain all of the resources they require in time to achieve all SDG target goals. This is because the gap between current sustainability practices and lofty SDGs will require increased finances, institutional infrastructure, and other capacity-building requirements that developed countries have no binding commitment to provide.4 This Article will demonstrate the need for LDCs to have flexibility in achieving SDG target goals to increase participation in the realm of the SDG framework. This flexibility would allow LDCs to prioritize basic survival needs for citizens ahead of other SDG target goals. By allowing LDCs to prioritize target goals in this way, the framework would be optimized to ensure legitimacy and compliance. Food Security SDG The food security SDG is an example of a lofty goal that is too inflexible for LDCs to accomplish. Target goal 2.1 to “end hunger” in poor and vulnerable situations specifically targets places in which financial aid and capacity to aid may be too diminished to reach this goal by 2030.5 It also aspires to end all malnutrition, improving growth stunting in all children under age five, and prescribes that all countries address health concerns of adolescent girls, pregnant women, and elderly women.6 Target goal 2.1 does not mention the existing societal context, however. This will most likely alienate least developed countries (LDCs) from the SDG framework, despite the framework’s intentions to apply to “all countries and all stakeholders.”7 South Sudan’s Obstacles to Achieving SDGs South Sudan in particular will have difficulty applying all of the target 2 goals prescribed by this framework. In July 2014, the UN Security Council declared the country’s current food crisis the worst in the world, with at least 50,000 children at risk of starvation and approximately 4,000,000 affected.8 To meet this goal, South Sudan must address the internal conflict that caused the food crisis, political and economic strife, and the 1.6 million 14 internally displaced persons whom lack basic safety and shelter.9 This makes for a daunting list of goals for South Sudan to accomplish by the 2030 target date. South Sudan has dealt with internal political issues since its inception in 2011. Indeed, the political conflict between President Salva Kiir and Vice President Riek Machar ultimately led to the country’s current food crisis.10 Both political officials lead different ethnic groups that target civilians based on ethnic ties.11 Numerous peace agreements have been entered and broken, each time resulting in more violence that often targets and impacts civilians. Despite having signed a peace agreement in 2015, both factions have reneged on their relative political duties, accusing each other for violating the terms of the peace agreement.12 As a result, many civilians who were farmers that produced the majority of South Sudan’s food were forced to flee their homes and abandon their livelihood.13 This internal displacement leaves many South Sudanese families vulnerable to starvation.14 International humanitarian efforts alone have been unsuccessful in resolving the food crisis, and will likely continue to be unsuccessful in the future. The UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) South Sudan supports humanitarian organizations in providing aid to South Sudan.15 In 2014, OCHA South Sudan completed 71%16 of its funding goals; however, that percentage dropped in 2015 to 42%.17 Further, South Sudan will likely face increased food insecurity this year. Hunger levels are likely to increase as South Sudan exits the typically plentiful post-harvest season and enters the lean season, when food is far less plentiful.18 Lack of domestic and international resources to combat South Sudan’s food insecurity is a significant obstacle to accomplishing all other SDG targets. This is because successful sustainability initiatives also ensure that local communities have access to livable conditions.19 For example, the World Wildlife Fund found that creating long-term sustainability practices requires addressing major health concerns of local populations.20 South Sudan’s food crisis is an extreme version of this reality, and the country requires significant resources to address its food crisis before addressing target goals, such as developing clean energy and promoting sustainable ecosystem management.21 * Harjot Dhillon is a J.D. candidate 2017 at American University Washington College of Law. Sustainable Development Law & Policy A Solution for South Sudanese-like Countries: Prioritization of SDGs As previously indicated, one fundamental issue with the SDG framework is a lack of suggested prioritization. The problematic issues of achieving food security are not exclusive to South Sudan. Violence and economic strife are current afflictions for other countries that are deeply connected to food insecurity and other issues the SDGs aim to prevent.22 South Sudan and other like countries would benefit from prioritizing goals because newly sovereign countries often have little capacity and resources to address all SDG targets. Prioritizing goals that are the most imperative allows these countries to meet their citizens’ needs staying within the SDG framework. The new SDG regime dooms countries like South Sudan from meeting its lofty target goals at the onset. Thus, there is a need for a longer-term institution, the implementation of which could make these goals actually ‘sustainable’ for new and developing countries. This institution could create structured steps for each country to take toward achieving sustainable development goals, paying attention to the fundamentals and internal steps new and developing countries so desperately need to address. The first step would include achieving basic survivability in the country. Thus, South Sudan would need to first focus on ending its food crisis and economic strife before moving on to achieving other sustainability goals with a more global impact.23 Without a long-term institution for sustainable development as described, subsequent global goals geared toward creating sustainable development standards may diminish in legitimacy and work against global sustainability efforts altogether. Where basic survival is at stake, many of the other sustainable goals cannot be achieved. With sustainability goals running the gamut from reducing inequality to sustainably managing forests, a prioritization of the current framework is necessary to ensure a successful implementation for all countries—new, developing, and developed. Endnotes: Lofty Goals in Dire Times: South Sudan’s Obstacles to Achieving the New SDGs 1 See generally The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, United Nations, https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/content/documents/21252030%20Agenda%20for%20Sustainable%20Development%20web. pdf. 2 See James MacCormack and Sarah Stroup, Will SDGs lofty ambition undermine advocacy to achieve them?, Open Democracy (Sept. 25, 2015), https:// www.opendemocracy.net/openglobalrights/charles-f-maccormack-sarah-stroup/ will-sdgs-lofty-ambition-undermine-advocacy-to-ac. 3 See The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, supra note 1 (discussing Goal 17.2 specifically). 4 See id. (discussing means of Implementation). 5 See id. (covering goal 2.1). 6 See id. (covering goal 2.2). 7 See id. (Preamble). 8 See generally South Sudan’s Food Crisis Worst in the World, BBC News (July 26, 2014), http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-28502260. 9 See Civil War in South Sudan, Council on Foreign Relations (Mar. 31, 2016), http://www.cfr.org/global/global-conflict-tracker/p32137#!/conflict/ civil-war-in-south-sudan. 10 Id. 11 Id. 12 Id. 13 Id. 14 See 2015 UNHCR Country Operations Profile – South Sudan, U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees, http://www.unhcr.org/pages/4e43cb466.html. Spring 2016 15 See generally About OCHA South Sudan, United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, http://www.unocha.org/south-sudan/ about-ocha-south-sudan/about-ocha-south-sudan (last visited Mar. 18, 2016). 16 See Funding for OCHA South Sudan, United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, http://www.unocha.org/south-sudan/ oct-funding?year=2014, (last visited Mar. 18, 2016). 17 See id. 18 See UN agencies warn of escalating food crisis in South Sudan, Food and Agric. Org. of the United Nations (Feb. 8, 2016), http://www.fao.org/ emergencies/fao-in-action/stories/stories-detail/en/c/382544/. 19 See Julie Oglethorp et al., Healthy People, Healthy Ecosystems: A Manual on Integrating Health and Family Planning into Conservation Projects, World Wildlife Fund, 1 (2008), http://assets.worldwildlife.org/publications/370/files/ original/Healthy_People__Healthy_Ecosystems_A_Manual_on_Integrating_ Health_and_Family_Planning_into_Conservation_Projects.pdf?1345737357. 20 Id. 21 See The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, supra note 1. 22 See Clemens Breisinger et al., Conflict and Food Insecurity: How do we break the links?, Int’l Food Policy Research Inst., (2014-2015) 51, 52, http:// cdm15738.contentdm.oclc.org/utils/getfile/collection/p15738coll2/id/129073/ filename/129284.pdf. 23 Further steps may include ending hunger and malnutrition, and afterwards doubling incomes for underrepresented and targeted demographics. 15 A North-South Struggle: Political and Economic Obstacles to Sustainable Development By Imrana Iqbal* and Charles Pierson** D I. Introduction future?1 At o developing countries have a least, a future that anyone would want to live in? We propose that the international law of sustainable development can guide developing countries in their attempts to raise their standard of living. This assertion comes with a caveat. Despite the current trend of linking issues of the environment and economic development, the developed countries have clung to their historical tendency of placing economics above concerns over equity and poverty, and the environment. This Article argues that a struggle between developed and developing countries explains the fitful progress towards global sustainability. The developed nations pay lip service to norms of sustainable development but compliance remains poor as the international system has not been given the law-enforcement machinery to compel developed countries to alter environmentally unfriendly economic practices. air-conditioners of their own just like us. Can’t blame them for that. And when you have conversations with poor countries, they’ll say, well, you went through these stages of development—why can’t we?4 The developing countries correctly point out that the West consumes most of the world’s natural resources.5 Therefore, the West should make a majority of the reductions in natural resource use. For instance, although it is home to no more than five percent of the world’s population, the United States consumes 25% of the world’s fossil fuels,6 while producing about 14% of global carbon emissions.7 Researcher Maggie Black notes the “resentment from the developing world: a regime of international ecological regulation—not in place during Western industrialization—would deny them a ‘developed’ future.”8 By implementing blocks, there would be a significant shift in the social and economic inequality between developed and developing countries.9 Developing countries think that the West has reached the top of the ladder of development and wants to push the ladder out from under poorer states.10 The South has a right to be angry, but emulating the West’s historical path of development is not possible. An estimated ninety percent of all future population growth is expected to take place in developing countries which requires a significantly different approach to ensuring a habitable environment as industrialization occurs.11 The concept of sustainable development was formulated to reconcile the conflict between economic growth and environmental protection.12 The sustainable development idea regards both economic growth and environmental protection as genuine goods.13 Under sustainable development, growth is not sacrificed for the environment, nor is the environment sacrificed for economic growth.14 By implementing sustainable “The developing countries correctly point out that the West consumes most of the world’s natural resources.” What Sustainable Development Is and Why It’s Needed The developing countries aspire to achieve the same level of economic development and standard of living as developed countries. The West developed without paying heed to the environment. From the beginning of the Industrial Revolution in the second half of the eighteenth century until roughly the 1960s, developed countries either ignored or were not yet conscious of environmental concerns. A clean environment became a priority only after they achieved a certain advanced level of development. States of the global South ask why they should not have the opportunity to follow the same path.2 The developing states thus assert their right to have their coal and burn it too and to harvest their tropical rain forests in pursuit of economic growth.3 The South’s position has been well articulated in President Barak Obama’s 2013 speech on climate change at Georgetown University: Developing countries are using more and more energy, and tens of millions of people entering a global middle class naturally want to buy cars and 16 * Associate Professor, University of Maryland University College: teaches courses in government and law; J.D., Duquesne University School of Law, 2007; LL.M., University of London, 2013; M.S. Environmental Science and Management, Duquesne University, 2007. * J.D., Duquesne University School of Law, 1998. The authors extend warm thanks to Kirk W. Junker, J.D., Ph.D., Professor of Law, University of Cologne for his invaluable comments on this article. Sustainable Development Law & Policy development goals, developing countries can enjoy sustainable growth while protecting the natural environment.15 Developing states will not abandon development practices that degrade the environment merely because developed states exhort them to. These states must commit themselves to changing their own habits and provide technical and financial assistance to poor states for clean sustainable development. In theory this concept seems easy; accomplishing this is another story. This Article begins by tracing the origins and growth of sustainable development in international conferences and organizations such as the United Nations (“UN”) and in the writings of scholars (section II). However, the history of sustainable development has not been one of unqualified success. There has been extensive state practice of opposition to sustainable development. Section III focuses on the United States’ resistance and obstruction to sustainable development. Lest anyone incorrectly conclude that it is only the United States that is opposed to sustainable development, Section IV examines how the world trading system clashes with sustainable development. Section V examines structural and other obstacles to sustainable development II. Sustainable Development: The History of an Emerging Norm? Sustainable development emerged as a new approach to ensuring economic growth while protecting the environment with the publication in 1987 of the Brundtland Report.16 Although the law had not been entirely indifferent to the concept prior to this publication, the Brundtland Report is generally regarded as setting international environmental law on the path of sustainable development.17 The Brundtland Commission rejected the despairing thesis that environmental problems were past repair, spiraling out of control, and could only be averted by arresting development and economic growth: a policy of no growth. Instead, it argued that economic growth was both desirable and possible within a context of sustainable development.18 The current direction of international environmental law owes much to the definition of sustainable development presented in the Brundtland Report: “development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.”19 The report emphasized the concepts of “needs,” particularly those of the world’s poor, and “limitations” imposed by social organizations and the current level of technological development to meet those needs.20 These two concepts of needs and limitations now delineate international sustainability concerns and provide broad guidance to encourage state practices for sustainable development in both developing and developed countries.21 The Brundtland Report galvanized changes in global policy objectives. Since the Brundtland Report, the law of sustainable development informs international environmental law and includes within its purview both environmental and developmental issues and their social and economic dimensions, including implementation concerns.22 Spring 2016 Following the Brundtland Report, the concept of sustainable development appears in several international and national legal instruments, reflecting concerns that go beyond economic growth and charting goals that follow a wide range of objectives, including protection of the natural environment, promotion of sustainable economic growth, and achievement of social development. In 1992, the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED), also called the Earth Summit or the Rio Conference, outlined the profile of sustainable development in a set of principles that sought to balance the priorities of developed and developing countries.23 According to the Rio Declaration, sustainable development comprises intergenerational equity (Principle 3); the integration of environmental protection into the development process (Principle 4); intragenerational equity24 and the alleviation of poverty (Principle 5); consideration of countries’ special development and environmental needs (Principle 6); reduction of unsustainable production and consumption (Principle 8); reductions in population (Principle 8); and effective environmental legislation (Principle 11). In the years following the Earth Summit, the concept of sustainable development was sharpened in major UN summits. Paragraph 6 of the 1995 Copenhagen Declaration, for instance, features the interconnections between sustainable and social development: We are deeply convinced that economic development, social development and environmental protection are interdependent and mutually reinforcing components of sustainable development, which is the framework for our efforts to achieve a higher quality of life for all people . . . .25 Paragraph 6 of the Copenhagen Declaration further underscores the importance of achieving environmentally sustainable economic activity through practices that promote social development, particularly for the poor. Equitable social development that recognizes empowering the poor to utilize environmental resources sustainably is a necessary foundation for sustainable development. We also recognize that broad-based and sustained economic growth in the context of sustainable development is necessary to sustain social development and social justice.26 In 1997, the International Court of Justice looked at sustainable development for the first time. Judge Weeramantry concluded that sustainable development is “a principle with normative value” whether one looks at “multilateral treaties, international declarations, the foundation documents of international organizations, the practices of international financial institutions, regional declarations and planning documents, or State practice.”27 A 1999 Seminar of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), on Social and Environmental Interfaces, accorded a place of centrality to the quality of human life now and in the future by seeking to 17 promote developmental practices that are socially responsible, that is, practices which strive to alleviate poverty by ensuring that basic needs are met. If the primary goals of environmentally sustainable development are freedom from poverty, secure livelihoods, good health and quality of life, then socially responsible development has to deal with such needs as food, basic housing, access to good water, health care (especially for children and older members of society), sanitation, education, energy in the form of fuel, transport, etc.28 The World Conservation Union concluded that sustainable development means achieving a standard of living that can be maintained for many generations. Sustainable development is socially desirable because it meets people’s cultural, material, and spiritual needs in equitable ways; is economically viable because it pays for itself; and is ecologically sustainable because it protects the viability of ecosystems.29 The broadest and most detailed instrument so far in the development of the international law norm of sustainable development has been Agenda 21 adopted at the 1992 Earth Summit.30 Agenda 21 represents a verbal commitment by nations around the world to take actions to further sustainable development.31 Agenda 21 is a global affirmation of the premise of the Rio Declaration that the “right of development must be fulfilled so as to equitably meet the developmental and environmental needs of present and future generations.”32 Although non–binding, Agenda 21 is an action plan for the international community to integrate environmental and development concerns for a sustainable future.33 It places the responsibility for implementing sustainable development principles on governments—of both developing and developed states—in coordination with the UN, other international, regional, and sub-regional organizations; non–governmental organizations; and the public.34 Agenda 21’s recommendations and proposals provide an agreed upon framework for the development and implementation of international law and policy related to global sustainable development. As Professors Birnie and Boyle declare, Agenda 21 manifests the understanding that sustainable development now “makes a state’s management of its own domestic environment a matter of international concern in a systematic way.”35 The Millennium Declaration and Millennium Development Goals Scott Wisor, Deputy Director of the Centre for the Study of Global Ethics at the University of Birmingham, provides this background: In the late 1990s, Kofi Annan sought a way to keep development and poverty eradication on the agenda in an era of declining concern for global issues. His answer was the Millennium Declaration, a striking document ratified by the world’s governments that declared a set of shared values and commitments to a range of goals, which themselves built on previous international summits.36 18 Crafted at the September 2000 UN Millennium Summit, a third of the Declaration addresses sustainable development and eradication of poverty.37 The Millennium Declaration calls for measures including debt relief, “more generous development assistance,” the end of “the unsustainable exploitation of water resources,” passage of the Kyoto Protocol, and reaffirms support for Agenda 21.38 The Millennium Development Goals (“MDGs”),39 which followed a year later in Summer 2001, were a “codification of the Declaration’s development related objectives.”40 Scott Wisor writes: “[d]rafted in the backrooms of the UN by a small number of high level bureaucrats from several multilateral organizations, the MDGs were a set of eight goals, each with specific targets and indicators against which to track the world’s progress.”41 Goal 7, “Ensure Environmental Sustainability,” explicitly references sustainable development in its title, but all the MDGs address matters which scholars now consider to be components of sustainable development.42 September 2015 was the deadline for achieving the MDGs. Doyle and Stiglitz concluded: “[T]he MDG record has been mixed. Some goals, such as halving the proportion of people living in extreme poverty, have been met at the global level, but none have been fulfilled in all countries.”43 Post-2015 Development Agenda Well before the 2015 expiration of the MDGs, the United Nations began considering what would follow the MDGs. 44 Planning has been taking place under the rubric of the Post-2015 Development Agenda.45 The UN Conference on Sustainable Development (“Rio+20”) held in June 2012 established an intergovernmental working group, the Open Development Group, to formulate the unimaginatively named Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to succeed the 2001 Millennium Development Goals.46 On July 19, 2014, the Open Development Group released a draft set of Sustainable Development Goals (“SDGs”). 47 The SDGs cover much of the same ground as the MDGs.48 However, unlike the MDGs, the SDGs divide sustainability into several goals.49 III. U.S. Practice: A History of Obstruction Donald Brown maintains that the United States has consistently blocked global environmental treaty-making efforts and in doing so relinquished its past position of leadership on international issues.50 For years, the United States hid behind a smokescreen of pretended scientific uncertainty over climate change.51 The United States argued that scientific evidence does not justify corrective actions and that too little is known about the problem of global warming to justify the costs of stabilizing greenhouse gas emissions.52 One of the last products of the Carter Administration was a report from the President’s Council on Environmental Quality urging the government to act responsibly on climate.53 The Reagan Administration ignored the report.54 Instead, the Reagan Administration (1981-89) marshaled supposed scientific uncertainty to validate its unconcern over global warming.55 Sustainable Development Law & Policy The U.S. government’s unwillingness to adopt a principled stance on climate change continued into the Administration of George H. W. Bush (1989-93). During the negotiations on what was to become the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC),56 the United States—historically the greatest emitter of greenhouse gases—refused to submit to a formula that would require it to reduce the amount of greenhouse gas emissions in proportion with its past contribution to greenhouse gas buildup.57 Instead, the United States demanded that developing nations accept responsibility greater than their due share.58 Owing to this U.S. hardline position, the FCCC contained no enforceable targets and timetables.59 Donald Brown writes: “The United States reluctantly agreed to make a good-faith effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by 2000.”60 Additionally, the United States conceded that developed nations should make progress in reducing emissions before expecting commitments from the developing world.61 Even these watereddown assurances succumbed to Congress’ fierce resistance, impelled by coal and petroleum industry lobbying groups. This course of inaction continued during the Clinton Administration, which, despite its own inclination to act more conscientiously, found itself helpless before a hostile Congress.62 In 1995, the new IPCC report concluded that it was now possible to discern the human-induced climate change.63 Thereafter, the Clinton Administration expressed subdued willingness to accept internationally enforceable targets and binding national emissions reductions timetables.64 These were negotiated in Kyoto, Japan in 1997.65 Negotiations at Kyoto were tense. Congress exerted its weight to impede agreement on the principle of “common but differentiated commitments and responsibilities.”66 The international community, by contrast, clamored for the United States to make a meaningful and legally binding pledge to reduce its emissions levels.67 The United States finally agreed to a 7% reduction below 1990 levels by 2008-2012 while other nations agreed to the United States’ proposed “flexibility mechanisms.”68 Yet, after Kyoto, the Clinton Administration announced that it would not seek ratification of the Kyoto Protocol until “China and other developing nations agreed to limit their emissions, something that they had objected to doing before the developed world acted.”69 The Administration of President George W. Bush (2001-09) achieved a new low in shunning responsible action on climate change. The Bush Administration pressured federal agencies and scientists working for the federal government to exaggerate the degree of uncertainty over the existence of anthropogenic climate change.70 The Bush Administration also trotted out other old excuses: cost to the American economy in terms of lost jobs and reduced GDP71 and the failure of the developing world to make commitments.72 In 2001, the Bush Administration renounced the Kyoto Protocol, regarding it as inimical to U.S. economic interests.73 Later, in the same year, when a National Academy of Sciences report confirmed that global warming was getting worse, President Bush acknowledged the report but insisted that there was too much scientific uncertainty to justify the economic Spring 2016 costs of committed action.74 In this President Bush proved himself the faithful servant of coal and petroleum groups.75 George W. Bush did not deny the reality of climate change; he merely did nothing about the problem.76 In April 2008, with less than a year remaining before he would leave office, Bush proposed his boldest climate initiative: voluntary caps.77 “[T] here is a wrong way and a right way to approach reducing greenhouse gas emissions,” Bush said, not adding that he was committed to the wrong way.78 The Obama Administration, 2009 to the Present The environmental movement had great hopes for Barack Obama.79 During his 2008 Presidential campaign, candidate Obama promised to make addressing climate change a priority;80 however, President Obama has consistently disappointed environmentalists. Disillusion with Obama set in early. December 2009 saw the Copenhagen Climate Conference. Copenhagen resulted in what Naomi Klein calls a “pitiful deal.”81 Under the Copenhagen Accord, Klein writes: the major polluting governments—including the United States and China—signed a non-binding agreement to keep temperatures from increasing more than 2 degrees Celsius above where they were before we started powering our economies with coal.82 The trouble is, keeping world temperatures below 2ºC is onlythe bare minimum threshold for preventing runaway warming.83 2ºC represents a tipping point beyond which rapidly rising temperatures are irreversible.84 We aren’t at 2ºC yet, but even if the world does not break through the 2ºC ceiling, our planet will likely experience a catastrophic rise in sea levels which will inundate major cities from Mumbai to Miami.85 Millions of human beings are already living in a post 2ºC world of rising tides, dying crops, and more and more record hot days.86 The climate groups who attended Copenhagen hoped to limit world temperature rise to no more than 1.5ºC.87 Instead, environmental activist Bill McKibben estimates that the “commitments” made at Copenhagen will result in a devastating 3ºC temperature increase.88 Environmental groups had also hoped that the attendees at Copenhagen would agree to cuts in world carbon emissions of 80% by 2050, but that goal was eliminated from the final agreement.89 The United States pledged to reduce carbon emissions by only 17% below 2005 levels by 2020.90 The emissions cuts were to have been achieved by a cap-and-trade plan, part of the ill–fated Waxman-Markey bill.91 Under cap and trade, tradable “carbon credits”—permits to pollute—would be assigned to corporate polluters in the United States.92 A polluter could obtain additional credits by purchasing from other polluters or by participating in “offsets”: projects, such as planting trees, which would soak up carbon in the atmosphere.93 In theory, cap and trade would raise the cost of emissions to corporate polluters and spur development of renewable alternatives.94 The bill passed the House of Representatives, 219–212.95 However, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D), decided not 19 to introduce Waxman-Markey into the Senate because Reid calculated that there were insufficient votes there for the bill to pass.96 By late July 2010, Waxman-Markey was dead.97 Waxman-Markey failed even though it was a strongly procorporate bill.98 Waxman-Markey “[gave] billions of dollars in handouts to fossil fuel companies and practically a license to print money from carbon offsets and credits.”99 Trading of carbon credits promised a bonanza for Wall Street traders. Cap–and–trade failed, but Obama did not abandon the goal of reining in carbon emissions. Speaking at Georgetown University on June 25, 2013, President Obama announced a major new initiative to address climate change.100 Obama proposed setting federal limits on carbon emissions on both new and existing coal–fired power plants, which would cut 2005 emissions levels 30% by 2020.101 He promised that the cuts would not sacrifice strong economic growth and job creation.102 The Clean Power Plan, as it is called, has met strong Republican opposition and resulted in two pending federal lawsuits: West Virginia v. EPA103 and Murray Energy Corp. v. EPA.104 One significant success for the President is the November 2014 bilateral carbon agreement with China.105 The United States and China produce 45% of the world’s GHG emissions.106 China does much of its polluting on behalf of U.S. businesses. Much of China’s emissions come from factories owned by U.S. corporations operating in China, such as General Electric, General Motors, Apple, Johnson Controls, and Caterpillar.107 Thanks to outsourcing, U.S. corporations now vicariously pollute in China.108 By shifting its emissions overseas, the United States gets to take credit for cutting its carbon emissions more than it actually has.109 Curbing China’s carbon emissions will be impossible without reigning in U.S. corporations.110 The two countries agreed to jointly reduce their GHG emissions.111 The US will cut its emissions 26% to 28% below 2005 levels by 2025,112 while China pledges that its emissions will cease to grow by 2030.113 However, it should be noted that the agreement is non-binding.114 Much less successful was the Paris Climate Summit held from November 30, 2015 to December 11, 2015.115 In a different world, a binding international agreement to cut greenhouse gas emissions would have come out of the Paris Summit Each of the more than 190 countries participating submitted an Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (“INDC”), setting out the amount by which each nation was willing to cut its greenhouse gas emissions.116 The United States submitted an INDC promising to cut GHG emissions nearly 30% from 2005 levels by the year 2025.117 The process had two fatal flaws. The first is arithmetical. The 2015 Paris Summit had the same goal as the 2009 Copenhagen Climate Summit (“COP 15”): to prevent average temperatures from rising more than 2ºC from where they stood at the beginning of the Industrial Revolution.118 But the participating states’ commitments did not add up. Even if all INDCs were faithfully adhered to (a huge “if ”), global temperatures would increase to approximately 3ºC by the end of the century.119 The second fatal flaw is that the Paris Accord, like the Copenhagen Accord before it, is non-binding.120 “A fraud” is how former NASA scientist and climate change pioneer James Hansen summed up the Paris Summit.121 IV. Does Trade Trump Environment? Professor Philippe Sands has remarked that there are two principal challenges to the development of international sustainable development law.122 The first is to develop rules that recognize “the need to reconcile the inherent and fundamental interdependence of the world environment with the sovereign world of independent states.”123 The second challenge is “defin[ing] the relationship between international environmental law and other areas of international law, particularly in the economic and social domain.”124 This section attempts to address the second challenge. We argue that there is a very simple relationship between international environmental law and the economic domain, specifically international trade law. When trade clashes with environmental protection, trade always trumps environment.125 Tariffs are not the only barriers to free trade. 126 There are also non-tariff barriers (NTBs), including, but not limited to, import quotas, import licensing, subsidies, and restrictions on goods’ distribution and sale.127 Like tariffs, NTBs are regarded as protectionist.128 Disastrously for the environment, free trade regimes too often treat states’ attempts to protect the environment as covert protectionism.129 The idea is that a state may enact a measure on the ostensible grounds that it is designed to protect the environment when the actual aim is to benefit domestic producers at the expense of imports.130 On occasion, this is a fair criticism.131 We can see trade trumping environmental protection in the latest free trade pact, the Trans-Pacific Partnership Trade and Globalization Agreement (TPP). The TPP has been described as “NAFTA on steroids.”132 The TPP will include twelve Pacific Rim countries representing 40% of global GDP.133 The text of the agreement was finally made public on November 5, 2015.134 Up to that time, the text of the TPP was wrapped in the sort of secrecy surrounding plans for military invasions.135 The general public would have remained in the dark about the TPP’s contents if Wikileaks had not leaked portions of the text.136 The TPP states as an objective to “promote high levels of environmental protection and effective enforcement of environmental laws.”137 That’s the promise; what’s the reality? An earlier draft of the TPP contained an article on climate change.138 But the final text makes no reference to climate change.139 As with NAFTA, the TPP’s environmental guarantees lack teeth.140 As if to “Curbing China’s carbon emissions will be impossible without reigning in U.S. corporations.” 20 Sustainable Development Law & Policy dispel any doubt of this, TPP contains an article titled, “Voluntary Mechanisms to Enhance Environmental Performance.”141 Where we do find teeth is in the TPP’s investor protection provisions which the TPP’s drafters have set out in loving detail. Under the TPP, alleged violations of investor protection are subject to Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS).142 ISDS empower foreign investors, chiefly multinational corporations (MNCs), to pursue arbitration against states for damages resulting from violation of any of the TPP’s investor protection provisions.143 Disputes are heard before supranational arbitral tribunals, bypassing national courts.144 Damages, when awarded, come out of the pockets of the host nation’s taxpayers.145 The Trans-Pacific Partnership contains four principal investor protection provisions addressing expropriation, fair and equitable treatment, national treatment and most favored nation status. Expropriation146 A foreign investor may recover damages for direct or indirect expropriation of its property, including lost profits.147 The most obvious instance of direct expropriation is nationalization.148 However, it is indirect expropriation that is more likely to disrupt environmental regulations directed at climate change mitigation.149 Indirect expropriation is defined broadly in the TPP.150 Any environmental regulation that impinges on an investor’s profits or reduces the value of the investor’s property or investments may conceivably be challenged as an indirect expropriation.151 Thus, an investor may claim that an environmental protection regulation diminishes the value of its investment or property. For instance, rising sea levels caused by warming may prompt bans on building on coastlines.152 A setback regulation of this sort could conceivably be challenged as an indirect expropriation by a foreign-owned hotel chain planning to build a hotel near the ocean.153 A recent example of an indirect expropriation claim comes from Germany. After the devastating nuclear meltdown in Fukushima, Japan in 2011, Germany decided to phase out its nuclear reactors.154 Germany’s decision is being challenged as an indirect expropriation by the Swedish energy giant Vattenfall.155 Fair and Equitable Treatment (FET)156 States are required to accord foreign investors a minimum standard of fair treatment.157 What does this mean? That’s hard to say.158 Answering is complicated by the fact that some WTO panels see FET as a rising bar which demands more of host countries over time.159 Another difficulty FET puts in the way for environmental protection is the finding of some tribunals that FET requires safeguarding a foreign investor’s “legitimate expectations” of profit.160 “In its most expansive form,” Wilensky writes, “the principle of legitimate expectations has been interpreted to require a stable [i.e., unchanging] legal and business framework.”161 The petitioner in Tecmed operated a hazardous waste facility under a one-year permit from the Mexican government.162 Mexico was held liable when it refused to renew the permit for the hazardous waste facility even though Mexico cited public health concerns as the reason for its decision.163 Spring 2016 Other tribunals have required an express promise from the host state made with the intention of inducing the investor’s reliance.164 Other tribunals have only required that the investor reasonably rely on representations made by the host country regardless of the host country’s intent.165 In reality, all these approaches turn what the law ought to be upside down. An investor who does not expect states to take steps to address climate change is the one acting unreasonably.166 Nondiscrimination The final two investor protections both guarantee that a host state will not discriminate against foreign investors.167 Under the National Treatment obligation a host country is not permitted to treat its own investors more favorably than foreign investors.168 Under the Most Favored Nation obligation (MFN), a host country must treat all foreign investors alike.169 Any critic of free trade agreements must come to grips with one apparently strong objection. If free trade agreements are so damaging to the environment why have there been so few ISDS challenges to U.S. environmental laws, and even fewer successful challenges?170 President Obama himself called attention to this fact while he was promoting passage of the TPP.171 In a conference call with news reporters on April 24, 2015, the President said that the United States was party to over 3,000 international agreements containing ISDS provisions and that “[u]nder these various ISDS provisions, the U.S. has been sued a total of 17 times. Thirteen of those cases have been decided so far. We’ve won them all. They have no ability to undo U.S. laws.”172 Obama’s last sentence is technically correct, but is misleading. If a host state loses a challenge to one of its environmental laws, it is likely to abandon that law rather than pay further damages (in the case of the TPP or NAFTA) or face trade sanctions (under the WTO).173 After the WTO Appellate Body ruling against the United States in the Venezuela Gas Dispute, the US rewrote its standards for imported gasoline rather than pay Venezuela an annual $150 million in fines.174 Ontario removed the local content provisions from its Green Energy and Green Economy Act after the provisions were successfully challenged before the WTO.175 In a third example, the U.S. Congress is poised to abandon country-of-origin meat labeling after the WTO held that the labeling requirement discriminates against livestock from Canada and Mexico.176 The very first dispute brought to the WTO involved environmental pollution. In the Venezuela Gas dispute,177 Venezuela challenged an EPA regulation that required imported gasoline to meet stricter pollution standards than gasoline from U.S. producers.178 Venezuela alleged that this was discrimination in violation of GATT’s national treatment obligation. The United States, however, argued that clean air was an exhaustible natural resource; thus, the anti-pollution EPA Gasoline Rule fell under an exception to GATT’s national treatment obligation: GATT Article XX(g) relating to conservation of natural resources.179 The DSB agreed with the United States that clean air was an exhaustible natural resource within the meaning of GATT Article XX(g),180 a holding which the Appellate Body did not 21 disturb. However, the Appellate Body said that the EPA Gasoline Rule was not permitted under the Article XX(g) exception because the United States could have chosen non-discriminatory means of preserving air quality.181 The United States subsequently changed the EPA Rule in order to make it consistent with GATT.182 The perverse result brought about by the WTO decision was that Venezuela was allowed to sell dirtier gasoline in the United States after the WTO decision than it had before the decision.183 The WTO Agreement does not contain an ISDS feature.184 However, investors can still take action against states indirectly.185 An aggrieved investor can persuade his or her home country to bring an action in the WTO.186 The result will be trade sanctions, not an award of damages to the investor. The host country will be motivated to lift the complained of restriction in order to avoid sanctions.187 So, President Obama is correct that the United States has not lost ISDS challenges. However, the United States has lost challenges before the WTO.188 NAFTA, GATT, and TTP provide most of the same trade protections.189 In our opinion, all three of these agreements are relevant to assessing the vulnerability of environmental protection laws to challenges utilizing ISDS. The ISDS winning streak enjoyed by the United States may come to an end. On February 23, 2016190 President Obama vetoed the Keystone Pipeline Approval Act.191 The proposed Keystone XL oil pipeline has been contentious because environmentalists contend the pipeline would do severe harm to the environment.192 On January 6, 2016, TransCanada, the company contracted to construct and operate the pipeline, filed a challenge against the United States under NAFTA.193 TransCanada alleged that the cancellation of Keystone XL breached United States’ obligations under NAFTA Article 1102 (National Treatment), Article 1103 (Most-Favored-Nation Treatment), Article 1105 (Minimum Standard of Treatment), Article 1110 (Expropriation).194 TransCanada alleges that the United States rejected the Keystone application for political reasons, not environmental considerations.195 The United States had approved three similar oil pipelines while TransCanada’s application was pending.196 In addition, several federal environmental impact reviews had all concluded that the Keystone pipeline would not cause significant damage to the natural environment.197 If TransCanada prevails in its suit, it will provide ammunition for attacking other state measures to mitigate climate change. Renewables To establish a low-carbon economy, use of high-carbon fossils fuels must give way to renewable energy sources such as wind and solar. The first dispute on renewable energy to come before the WTO involved the Canadian province of Ontario.198 In 2009, the Ontario enacted a Green Energy and Green Economy Act.199 This “climate action plan” was meant to encourage the growth of renewables, such as wind and solar, and get Ontario, “Canada’s most populous province completely off coal by 2014.”200 Under the Act, producers of renewable energy would be entitled to sell to Ontario at guaranteed premium prices under 22 long–term contracts, an arrangement known as a “feed-in tariff ” (“FIT Program”).201 To qualify for the subsidies, producers must meet local content requirements (LCRs) for materials and services.202 The local content requirements are intended to spur employment in the province.203 Not just business corporations, but “local municipalities, co-ops, and Indigenous communities” are encouraged to participate.204 The WTO Appellate Body held the local content requirements to be inconsistent with national treatment.205 “National treatment” forbids a host nation from giving preferential treatment to “goods produced by local companies and goods produced [in the host nation] by foreign firms.”206 The FIT Program’s Minimum Required Domestic Content Levels were a subsidy available only to producers (foreign or domestic) operating in Ontario.207 The Appellate Body held that a subsidy offered under these conditions is discriminatory and inconsistent with the national treatment provisions of GATT 1994 and the TRIMs Agreement.208 Ontario removed the local content requirement so as to comply with the WTO decision.209 Ontario also cancelled the feed-in tariff for most projects.210 The authors draw this conclusion from the Appellate Body’s decision: a host state cannot promote the growth of renewable energy through subsidies available only to its own citizens. This restriction may hobble measures to promote renewables. Without the promise of Green Jobs, initiatives like Ontario’s may not be politically feasible,211 and local content rules are necessary if Green Jobs are to be created.212 Local content rules—or, rather, their analog: domestic content rules were the subject of a recently decided challenge by the United States against India.213 In August 2015, a WTO dispute settlement panel ruled that the domestic content requirements (DCR) attached to India’s Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission violated national treatment.214 India required that solar cells and solar modules (and, later, thin film technologies) be manufactured in India.215 The same sort of LCR had been successfully challenged in Ontario by Japan and the European Union.216 Illegitimate Expectations Legitimate expectations claims derive from the FET obligation. Environmental lawyer Meredith Wilensky writes: In the context of climate change, [legitimate expectations] claims are particularly concerning because where climate regulators increase costs or frustrate investments, foreign investors may argue that the regulations violate their legitimate expectations of profit. For example, such suits may arise where emissions standards result in early retirement of coal-fired power plants because they are unable to achieve newly imposed GHG emissions standards. If such a claim is successful, a host state would be required to compensate the investor for the expected profits had the plant continued to operate.217 As an example of how the sort of lost profits claims Wilensky has in mind may frustrate regulations meant to address climate change, consider the following troubling scenario. The Obama Administration’s Clean Power Plan, discussed above,218 will Sustainable Development Law & Policy require carbon emissions cuts at existing coal-burning electricity generating plants throughout the United States.219 In Kentucky alone there are 57 such units located in 21 plants.220 Two firms own sixteen of these units: Kentucky Utilities Company and Louisville Gas & Electric.221 These two companies are owned by German energy giant E.ON AG.222 Germany is one of the countries currently negotiating TPP’s clone, the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) which will apply to the US and Europe in the same way as the TPP applies to the Pacific Rim countries.223 Assume that the TTIP contains the same investor protections as the TPP, including the FET obligation (a fair assumption). Assume further that the Clean Power Plan not only cuts emissions from coal-burning power plants, but, in doing so, cuts into coal plants’ profits. Under those circumstances, will E ON AG be able to challenge the Clean Power Plan on the grounds that it deprives E ON AG of its legitimate expectations of profit in running its US plants and thus is inconsistent with the TTIP’s FET obligation? The answer may hinge on how Vattenfall’s arbitration against Germany resolves. If Germany does not have the right to shutter nuclear plants in Germany, even given the very strong health and safety concerns involved, why should the Clean Power Plan be allowed to cut into the profits (or force the closing) of coal plants in the United States? Defending ISDS Scholarly attempts are sometimes made to argue that international trade regimes do not threaten environmental protection.224 Dr. Alhaji B. M. Marong points out that the U.S. Congress enacted NAFTA only after “side agreements” on labor and the environment were concluded.225 He does not mention that these side agreements have no teeth—no enforcement mechanisms.226 The TPP does contain a carve-out for environmental and health regulations in Article 9.15.227 However, Article 9.15 requires that health and environmental regulations be “consistent with” the TPP’s Investment Chapter which contains the investor protections we have been discussing.228 The investor protections of TPP’s Investment Chapter trump regulations meant to protect the environment and human health.229 Marong also cites favorable mentions of sustainable development made in ministerial meetings of the WTO.230 He emphasizes that the WTO has established two bodies to consider environmental and development concerns.231 Yet, writing in 2003, Marong is forced to acknowledge the “less than satisfactory progress in international trade regimes, vis-à-vis environmental protections and sustainable development” although this admission does not prevent him from concluding that the points he has raised “do show that there is some movement towards the integration of economic and non-economic concerns.”232 Remedies Meredith Wilensky contends that simple revisions to the TPP can make the agreement effective in protecting the environment.233 We agree. She suggests that an environmental exception clause be added for good faith environmental regulations.234 She also suggests the addition of a provision to allow compliance with environmental treaties.235 The present authors suggest the Spring 2016 following reform: delegations negotiating free trade agreements should include representatives from environmental NGOs and labor unions. NGOs and other non-state actors are routinely present at UN environmental conferences.236 Their presence makes it much more likely that their views will be part of the resulting declarations, development goals, and treaties.237 At present, the only “NGOs” who have the ear of trade negotiators are multinational corporations. How much different or better would the TPP be if members of the AFL-CIO and the Sierra Club had been at the negotiating table? Reforms such as these may prevent trade from trumping environmental protection. V. Other Obstacles to the Formation of a Norm of Sustainable Development A. Structural Obstacles Structural impediments—technological and scientific— to sustainable development plague the developing world.238 Inducing developing nations to pursue sustainable development is challenging because developing countries are “beset by basic economic, social, and political problems that appear to many of their residents and government leaders more urgent than environmental concerns.”239 These include armed conflict,240 exploding populations, and dwindling natural resources. Such enormous challenges make the goals of conservation and pollution reduction less critical than the immediate241 problem of survival.242 Today’s urgent needs overwhelm planning for the future,243 even though when developing countries do want to implement sustainable development most of these countries simply lack the needed regulatory infrastructure.244 Developing nations typically have few resources, including money, to mitigate the effects of environmental degradation, such as ozone depletion, water pollution, or climate change.245 Developed countries, on the other hand, are able to cushion the negative effects of temperature increases such as rising sea levels.246 Additionally, the goals of sustainable development are not well served by the poor example set by the developed world.247 Researcher Maggie Black observes: [T]he North’s dilatory efforts to regulate energy consumption, particularly US reluctance to take climate change seriously, does little to encourage Southern governments to control carbon emissions or conserve natural resources.248 B. Normative Uncertainty Some commentators ascribe the difficulty in implementing sustainable development to normative uncertainty.249 In this view, sustainable development is simply too amorphous for states to implement. Sustainable development lacks clear parameters and criteria which can be used to measure whether any particular activity is sustainable.250 This uncertainty is apparent in the conflicting meanings which states attach to fundamental terms in the sustainable development discourse such as intergenerational equity, sustainable use, intragenerational 23 equity251 and integration of environmental, economic, social, and other considerations.252 If only all actors would agree to use these terms in the same way, then everyone would be moving in the same direction and in time we would all arrive together at the Promised Land of sustainability. Maggie Black captures the deficiency of this argument: The proliferating international circus—the conferences, summits, commissions, and their magisterial inquiries into the state of the world’s this or that—too often imply that, if only the world can reach consensus around key policy principles, the obstacles to development will crumble. * * * They have a tendency to describe what needs to be done about forests, nutrition, child prostitution, dams, mining, or public health as if its articulation could bring about a fait accompli.253 Black is rightly dismissive of is the notion that the world needs to formulate a new, better definition of sustainable development or come up with the right set of sustainable development goals or targets. States have spent the past forty-five years fleshing out the content of sustainable development in treaties, declarations, resolutions, and reports.254 . Part of this work of normative clarification has consisted in parsing the broad concept of sustainable development into its constituent elements, e.g., inter- and intragenerational equity, common but differentiated responsibilities, the precautionary principle, etc.255 The content of sustainable development becomes less uncertain with each passing year.256 So states do know what the terms of the sustainable development discourse mean. More importantly, we contend that states know what the states which disagree with them mean by these terms. There are not 190 different meanings given to “sustainable use,” “intragenerational equity,” etc., one for each country in the world. Instead, the North has one understanding of what needs to be done and that conflicts with what the South believes has to be done. What prevents sustainable development isn’t failure to communicate. The North understands perfectly well what the South wants from it. The South asks the North to emit less greenhouse gases, consume less non–renewable resources, particularly fossil fuels, and transfer funds and technology to the South so that the South can develop. The North simply refuses to—thus, the position taken in this article that a struggle between North and South explains the fitful progress towards global sustainability. C. A Fundamental Clash between North and South on Intragenerational Equity In particular, North and South attach sharply opposed meanings to the concept of intragenerational equity. The North understands what the South means by intragenerational equity, and the South understands what the North means. Yet North and South have been unable to resolve their disagreement. The North insists that the South must conserve resources, emit less carbon, and limit its population growth. The South’s rejoinder is that such measures are unnecessary because as per capita income increases, environmental quality improves after a period of increasing environmental degradation.257 Focus on economic development and the environment will look after itself.258 The South’s argument is encouraging, optimistic, and wrong. The reality is that as environmental amenities in the form of environmental legislation and institutions to support and enforce them become affordable, the inverted-U shape relationship described by the environmental Kuznets curve holds good only with respect to some, not all, environmental problems.259 It does not “appl[y] to environmental quality generally.”260 There will be improvement with respect to “a selected set of pollutants only,” ones with “local shortterm costs,” such as “sulfur, particulates, and local coliforms.”261 The curve is not valid for “the accumulation of stocks of waste or for pollutants involving long-term and more dispersed costs (such as CO2).”262 Nor does this purported mathematical relationship give us any reason to believe that indefinite economic growth is possible.263 Instead, overdrawing from the earth’s limited resource stocks can irreversibly damage its productive capacities, risking the economic activity itself.264 Yet, clearly, the poverty of most developing countries does not justify blanket no-growth policies either.265 These countries desperately need economic development. While the rosy argument of the developing countries is empirically flawed, the position of the developed countries is flawed ethically. Here we confront the problem of intragenerational equity. Rather than curb its own environmental excesses, the developed world prefers policies, which place the burden of environmental protection on the already overburdened developing nations.266 The developed countries seek to impose restrictions on the poor countries’ use of their natural resources; expansion of their industrial base, and growth of their populations.267 These policies keep the world’s poor countries poor.268 The South sees these policies as rooted in the same pursuit of dominance that has historically given rise to Western colonialism, economic exploitation, and economically–motivated military interventions.269 It is small wonder that the South sees “The South asks the North to emit less greenhouse gases, consume less non–renewable resources, particularly fossil fuels, and transfer funds and technology to the South so that the South can develop.” 24 Sustainable Development Law & Policy environmentalism as just the latest in a long string of Northern tactics to keep the South down. Intragenerational equity is also implicated in Northern demands with respect to population growth in the South. The North demands that the South reduce its population without the North offering reciprocal commitments to reduced consumption, equitable distribution of wealth and resources, and provision of developmental assistance to the countries of the South.270 Developing countries resent the fact that the developed countries do not attach the same importance that the developing countries do to issues related to poverty, such as polluted water, air pollution in urban areas, and erosion of topsoil.271 Inequity is also apparent in the ways the North saps the South’s resources. One way is through expanding the definition of the global commons. The global commons used to be limited to earth’s atmosphere, oceans, Antarctica, and Outer Space.272 More recently, the North has redefined the global commons to also include tropical rain forests and biodiversity.273 The developing countries rightly regard the expansion of the global commons as a means to encroach on the South’s sovereign right to the use of its own natural resources.274 The North continues to formulate ingenious new ways of stealing the South’s resources.275 In international negotiations, the George W. Bush Administration dug in its heels over the need for the United States to reduce its carbon emissions, arguing that China and India must do so to the same degree.276 Not surprisingly, the North and South have diametrically opposed views on what fairness requires.277 The Bush Administration argued that it was only fair that all countries observe the same standards.278 Readers will be forgiven for thinking that this was merely a stratagem for the Bush Administration to avoid cutting U.S. emissions. . Sincere or not, Bush’s understanding of fairness was flawed. Economically, the developing countries have long lagged behind the West. For many years, the United States has consumed a disproportionate share of the world’s oil, other natural resources, and the atmosphere’s carbon sink.279 Since the industrialized countries have consumed the lion’s share of the world’s resources for so long it would not be fair to expect North and South to cut back equally. The point is illustrated by a hypothetical proposed by Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist Lester Thurow.280 Thurow posits a footrace where half of the runners are burdened with heavy weights.281 Even if the runners are relieved of their weights midway through the race that does not transform the race into a fair one.282 The race only becomes fair when the previously burdened runners are allowed to catch up with those in the lead.283 It is the same with the developed and developing countries. Peter Singer concludes that fairness demands that the developed countries should shoulder the burden of the heaviest cut-backs in carbon emissions.284 In fact, the developed countries had agreed to do just that in the 1992 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. “The human race cannot continue to spew carbon emissions into the atmosphere, deplete natural resources, and allow global population growth to go unchecked.” VI. Conclusion Despite general acceptance of the principles of sustainable development, the countries of the global North have remained unmotivated to forgo excessive economic self-interest. A vast, perhaps unbridgeable, divide separates the priorities of the North and the South. As intensely debated during negotiations at Rio in 1992, the South wants the North to curb its consumption, curb its emissions, place intragenerational equity above intergenerational equity, and ensure food security and access to fresh water. In contrast, the North expects the South to limit its population and forgo development in the name of sustainability. We all know what needs to be done. The human race cannot continue to spew carbon emissions into the atmosphere, deplete natural resources, and allow global population growth to go unchecked. The problem is getting the international community, particularly the United States, to make concessions and sacrifices. But no one has figured out how to compel states to do so. Endnotes: A North-South Struggle: Political and Economic Obstacles to Sustainable Development 1 See Lynge Nielsen, Classifications of Countries Based on Their Level of Development: How it is Done and How it Could be Done 3-4 (Int’l Monetary Fund, Working Paper No. WP/11/31), available at https://www.imf.org/ external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1131.pdf (highlighting that the UN Development Programme, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and the Human Development Reports employ different schema based on income for differentiating developed from developing countries); see Maggie Black, The No Nonsense Guide to International Development 23 (2d ed. 2007) (indicating that developing countries are members of the Group of 77). There is a world of difference Spring 2016 between, say, impoverished and war-torn South Sudan and the so-called BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa). Countries like South Sudan and Somalia fall under the sub-category “Least Developed Countries” (LDCs) set out by the UN General Assembly in 1971. See Nielsen, supra, at 7; see Least Developed Countries: UN Classification, World Bank, http://data. worldbank.org/region/LDC (last visited Apr. 14, 2016) (listing Least Developed Countries). continued on page 40 25 The Key to Engaging with the SDGs: Utilizing Rio Principle 10 to Successfully Implement the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals By Taís Ludwig* F Introduction or many who are not familiar with this field, right to information laws (RTI) and access to justice do not appear to have anything to do with environmental law. However, these are actually the most critical tools for environmental protection and sustainable development. The Rio Declaration on Environment and Development1 established the guiding principles of international environmental law, with Principle 10 being considered one of the most important of these principles. Rio Principle 10 is perhaps the most well-known and internationally recognized expression of the right to information concept.2 Since the adoption of the Rio Declaration in 1992, regional agreements have been created to implement the principle,3 and one-hundred countries now have national right to information laws in place.4 The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)5 themselves even focus on access to information as the key to success for creating a more sustainable global society. For the reasons discussed below, this Article argues that the only way to ensure a full and successful implementation of the SDGs is to invoke reliable governance practices. This means that all States must fully embrace the concept of access to information and public participation in governance laid out in Rio Principle 10. Access to information and civic engagement is crucial to successful governance and policy implementation— especially in the environmental and development context. Principle 10 of the Rio Declaration on Environment and Development Since 1992, it has been widely acknowledged that the challenges of sustainable development “can only be met with the engagement of an informed and empowered public.”6 Principle 10 is the embodiment of the effort to create a more informed and empowered public. It establishes the “fundamental elements for good environmental governance” through the three ‘access rights’: 1) access to information, 2) public participation, and 3) access to justice.7 These access rights allow for more transparency in government decisions, as well as more inclusive and accountable decision making processes.8 While these concepts have been widely recognized around the world, many governments— particularly in developing countries—have yet to implement the laws and proper legal framework necessary to incorporate Principle 10. Although many nations have adopted some RTI laws since the adoption of the Rio Declaration, many still have not fully 26 implemented Principle 10, making it crucial for the United Nations to focus on access rights. Accurate information and the disclosure thereof, is fundamental to the success of sustainable development. It permits for and enables a way for the public to ensure government accountability and effectiveness in development efforts. The access rights are crucial to good governance, which is why the United Nations included them as Target 16.10 of SDG 16.9 Access to Information in the Context of the SDGs In September of 2015, the United Nations (UN) adopted the SDGs—a set of seventeen aspirational goals with 169 targets.10 These goals form a key part of the UN’s new sustainable development agenda,11 with each goal establishing specific targets that are to be achieved over the next fifteen years to create a more sustainable society.12 Two of these seventeen goals, Goals 12 and 16, touch on governance and the access rights, but they make little headway in addressing what should be the key element to success in the implementation of the other SDGs.13 Specifically, Targets 12.8 and 16.10 focus on access to information,14 but these vague Targets are not as specific as Rio Principle 10. Principle 10, while also quite general, uses substantive language that establishes who should provide information, what information to disclose, and who should have access to this information. 15 The only tangible aspect of target 12.8 is the target date of 2030; the rest of the Target is just as aspirational as the Goal itself.16 Target 16.10 is slightly more specific than Target 12.8, but still does not clearly refer to the kind of information that should be made available to the public. Also, the phrase “in accordance with national legislation” can actually limit the application of this Target, especially in countries that lack access to information and public participation laws.17 Public Participation in Governance Access to information is key for allowing individuals and communities to better understand and participate in governance decisions.18 Without access to information, public engagement and participation is extremely limited. Engagement is crucial because it provides civil society, and particularly disadvantaged * Tais Ludwig is a J.D. candidate 2016 at American University Washington College of Law. Sustainable Development Law & Policy and marginalized groups, a voice in decision-making processes.19 Information affords these people the ability to understand the impacts of proposed laws and policies, and it helps facilitate participation in decision-making processes. Principle 10 states that each individual shall have “the opportunity to participate in decision-making processes” and that “States shall facilitate and encourage public awareness and participation by making information widely available.”20 Participation includes the important concepts of stakeholder consultation and Free, Prior, and Informed Consent (FPIC).21 Access to Justice A proper access framework would not be complete without a mechanism for people and communities to access legal redress and remedy. Access to justice encompasses more than just access to courts; it involves normative legal protection, legal awareness, legal aid and counsel, adjudication, enforcement, and civil society and parliamentary oversight.22 Without access to justice,23 people are unable to have their voices heard, exercise their rights, challenge discrimination, or hold decision makers accountable.24 Although each country’s situation is unique, making the assurance of proper access to justice complicated and difficult, this final element of Rio Principle 10 is essential to successfully adopting and utilizing an access framework. Implementation of the SDGs Nations within the UN are currently working to develop a series of indicators that will be used to monitor the implementation of the SDGs.25 To accomplish this, the UN Statistical Commission created an Inter-agency and Expert Group on SDG Indicators (IAEG-SDGs).26 Although still in the initial stages of creating the monitoring framework, the IAEG-SDGs has crafted proposed indicators with the understanding that at the very least, indicators for gauging of national, regional, global, and thematic components are necessary.27 The proposed framework establishes a list of the indicators that should be used, and provides a public online reporting forum for easy access to the information and transparency in SDG implementation. This creates a virtual report card for each State’s implementation of the SDGs.28 For the proposed indicators and monitoring framework to successfully monitor the implementation of the SDGs, individual nations must ensure a robust domestic access rights framework based on Rio Principle 10 exists. Endnotes: The Key to Engaging with the SDGs: Utilizing Rio Principle 10 to Successfully Implement the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals 1 Also known as the Rio Declaration. United Nations Conference on Env. & Dev., Rio Declaration on Environment and Development, U.N. Doc. A/CONF. 151/26/Rev.1 (Vol. 1), annex I (Aug. 12, 1992) [hereinafter Rio Declaration]. 2 Id. at 2-3 (discussing Principle 10). 3 See UNECE, Convention on Access to Information, Public Participation in Decision-Making and Access to Justice in Environmental Matters, done at Aarhus, Denmark (June 25, 1998); ECLAC Principle 10, http://www.cepal.org/ en/topics/principle-10 (last visited Mar 9, 2016); CIEL Campaign Update Latin America and Caribbean Principle 10 (LAC P10), http://www.ciel.org/projectupdate/latin-america-caribbean-principle-10-lac-p10/ (last visited Mar 9, 2016). 4 Paraguay was the 100th nation to pass a RTI law. Toy McIntosh, Paraguay is 100th Nation to Pass FOI Law, But Struggle for Openness Goes On, The Guardian, (Sept. 19, 2014), http://www.theguardian.com/public-leaders-network/2014/sep/19/paraguay-freedom-information-law-transparency. Article 19, National Laws and Regulations on the Right to Information https://www. article19.org/maps/ (last visited Mar 2, 2016) [hereinafter Article 19 map]. 5 The Sustainable Development Goals were created to build upon the Millennium Development Goals, and are designed to balance the three dimensions of sustainable development: economic, social, and environmental. United Nations Sustainable Dev. Knowledge Platforms, Transforming Our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/ post2015/transformingourworld (last visited Mar 2, 2016). 6 Elena Petkova, et al., Closing the Gap: Information, Participation, and Justice in Decision-Making for the Environment, World Resources Institute, i., ix (2002). 7 David Banisar, et al., Moving from Principles to Rights: Rio 2012 and Access to Information, Public Participation, and Justice, Sust. Dev. L. & Pol’y, Vol. XII, No. 1, 8. (Fall 2011). 8 Id. 9 Indicators and a Monitoring Framework, Target 16.10, SDSN, http:// indicators.report/targets/16-10/ (last visited Mar 2, 2016). 10 United Nations Knowledge Platform, Sustainable Development Goals, https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/?menu=1300/ (last visited Mar 2, 2016) [hereinafter United Nations Knowledge Platform]. Spring 2016 11 UNGA Res. 70/1 Transforming Our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, U.N. Doc. A/Res/70/1 (Sept. 25, 2015) [hereinafter 2030 Agenda]. 12 See United Nations Knowledge Platform, supra note 10. 13 United Nations, Sustainable Development Goals, Goal 12: Ensure Sustainable Consumption and Production Patterns. http://www.un.org/ sustainabledevelopment/sustainable-consumption-production/ (last visited Mar. 2, 2016); United Nations, Sustainable Development Goals, Goal 16: Promote Just, Peaceful and Inclusive Societies. http://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/peace-justice/ (last visited Mar 2, 2016). 14 Target 12.8 states “By 2030, ensure that people everywhere have the relevant information and awareness for sustainable development and lifestyles in harmony with nature.” Sustainable Development Solutions Network, Indicators and a Monitoring Framework for the Sustainable Development Goals: Launching a Data Revolution for the SDGs—A report to the SecretaryGeneral of the United Nations 58 (June 12, 2015) [hereinafter SDSN Indicators and Monitoring Framework report]; Target 16.10 states “Ensure public access to information and protect fundamental freedoms, in accordance with national legislation and international agreements.” Id. at 64. 15 The Rio Declaration on Environment and Development, Principle 10 states “Environmental issues are best handled with the participation of all concerned citizens, at the relevant level. At the national level, each individual shall have appropriate access to information concerning the environment that is held by public authorities, including information on hazardous materials and activities in their communities, and the opportunity to participate in decisionmaking processes. States shall facilitate and encourage public awareness and participation by making information widely available. Effective access to judicial and administrative proceedings, including redress and remedy, shall be provided.” Rio Declaration, supra note 1. 16 2030 Agenda, supra note 11 at 23. continued on page 48 27 Developing an International Carbon Tax Regime Steven Specht A Abstract s atmospheric CO2 remains in the range of 400 ppm, it is necessary to find new international coordination to deal with climate change. The best way forward is an international regime of harmonized domestic carbon taxes. By agreeing to a minimum amount of taxation on domestic, point-source producers, money can be set aside for adaptation costs and alternative means of energy production. Finally, such a plan will overcome the problem of non-participation of countries in agreements like the Kyoto Protocol. As this is a treaty dealing with economics and trade, countries can place taxes on imports of non-participatory countries under exceptions of GATT Article XX. 1. Introduction: Implications of Global Climate Change At the time of its creation, the Kyoto Protocol1 was considered by many to be the strongest international agreement on the subject of climate change.2 In 1997, 182 nations committed to minimizing greenhouse gases (GHGs) during the period of 2005-2008, with the goal of reducing GHGs to below 1990s levels.3 Early critics of the Kyoto Protocol pointed out future flaws: simply put, the underlying approach was bound to fail because it was premised on setting national emissions targets rather than dealing with the actual problem of global warming caused by emissions.4 Despite noble ambitions, emissions have grown significantly.5 By most accounts the Kyoto Protocol has “unequivocally failed.”6 The fault lies in several areas. First, it was a regime which created “common but differentiated responsibilities”7 putting little to no responsibility on developing nations to consider emission reductions.8 While some combination of domestic efforts and a global recession has created a decline in emissions in the developed world, unchecked growth of emissions in the developing world is beginning to overcome that of the developed world, calling into question the apparent malarkey on common but differentiated responsibilities. For example, while the United States (US) remains a much larger per capita producer of Carbon Dioxide (CO2) than other major world economies, China and India are both increasing their respective CO2 output at a whopping seven percent annually, while the US is either steady or declining.9 The per capita CO2 output for both China and India is also rapidly increasing at similar rates (seven percent and six percent for China and India respectively).10 Assuming steady population growth rates,11 China and India will both surpass the US per capita production of CO2 within two decades.12 Second, in addition to lack of buy-in by major nations such as the US in the initial stages of the Kyoto Protocol, some nations have lost 28 faith. (Consider Canada which declared that the Protocol “does not represent a way forward,”13 despite its own plummeting emissions, and Russia which has declined to take on additional obligations despite its own drops in emissions).14 Finally, the Kyoto Protocol failed to deal with many emissions such as those of airlines and shipping companies.15 Transport alone accounts for at least fourteen percent of global GHG emissions.16 This Article serves to show a way forward from a failed Kyoto Protocol to create an international taxation scheme that harmonizes taxes levied upon producers of CO2 by their respective nation states. While this Article acknowledges that global warming is part of a natural cycle, it is an undeniable fact that the total amount of atmospheric CO2 is at all-time highs for recorded history.17 A consideration of ice core samples from Antarctica gives revelation of GHGs going back some 800,000 years and reveals periods of global cooling when the parts per million (PPM) was as low as 175 and periods of global warming with nearly 300 ppm.18 Since modern atmospheric measurements began in 1958, the number has steadily increased from 315 PPM to a close to 400 PPM.19 Such a level is unprecedented, at least within the timeframe of human history going back at least 800 millennia.20 While there is no empirical evidence indicating what awaits us with such a high level of CO2 in the atmosphere, the warmest weather in recorded history has already occurred in the last generation.21 With CO2 levels to exceeding 400 PPM, one should consider treading carefully in unfamiliar territory. Certainly as part of a natural cycle the planet may heal itself, but “if humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced to at least 350 PPM”22 lest we go to the “point of no return.”23 Though the ramifications of dealing with CO2 are expensive and inconvenient, the costs, both monetary and sociological, are far greater in the near future than in the present. Simply put, “delaying action is a false economy.”24 Cost of * Steven Specht is a recent graduate of Florida State University College of Law. His primary legal focus is on constitutional law and international law, and he earned a certificate in the latter. He graduated from the University of Florida in 2005 before entering the United States Air Force to be a linguist focusing on Pashto and Dari, two dominant languages in Afghanistan. After exiting the Air Force, Steven earned his M.A. in International Relations from American Military University in 2011. Steven is currently co-writing work related to the Florida Constitution with Professor Emeritus Sandy D’Alemberte. He is also a candidate for the United States House of Representatives from Florida’s First Congressional District. Sustainable Development Law & Policy environmental degradation already has a negative effect on the economy; for example, economic losses due to environmental degradation and pollution cost roughly 10 percent of China’s gross national income.25 It is with some irony that a need for international coordination on environmental issues comes as a necessary byproduct of international coordination in trade liberalization. The road to trade liberalization has been disrupted throughout modern history by war and regional animosity, in a continual push towards opening of borders and removing of protectionist policies.26 In recent years the developed world is rallying around a second issue of GHGs.27 Given the relationship to expanding global trade and increased greenhouse gases, one might argue that the latter is the logical outgrowth of the former; if not for the advancement of trade through economic coordination, greenhouse gases might largely be a moot point. If we chart global GDP growth alongside the growth of greenhouse gas productions, there would be a surprising similarity.28 The question arises: can one harness the power of economic coordination and integration to effect processes necessary to diminish the production of GHGs while repairing current and future damage caused by climate change? When viewing the problems tackled by our predecessors, one can be optimistic. Certainly global measures to reduce the depletion of the ozone layer caused by chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) have been successful, but CFCs were only a small portion of the overall economy.29 Dealing with GHGs would have an effect on nearly every aspect in the daily life of the average industrialized citizen. Sometimes it is necessary to state the obvious: environmental degradation knows no political boundaries. Smog regularly drifts westward from China to choke neighboring countries of South Korea and Japan.30 The same can be said for that of India’s neighbor, Bangladesh.31 Meanwhile, some 37,000 tons of plastic particles have accumulated in ocean eddies throughout the world.32 Increasing desertification throughout the world has been a destabilizing effect on numerous countries with conflicts regularly spilling over borders to threaten the lives of the indigenous population as well as the resource chain for the developed world.33 The world is awash with well-intended, but often futile, efforts to deal with environmental degradation (each year, more than 30 additional Multilateral Environmental Agreements are signed with the intent to solve global environmental problems).34 Most are dominated by language of second and third generation rights, and one wonders if these merely amount to a “collection of pious phrases.”35 While second and third generation rights are noble concepts, in a legal sense, the Lorax36 has no standing.37 This is not to discount all international regimes dealing with the environment. However, the most successful seem to deal first with economic concerns and only later, with environmental concerns. Consider for example, the International Maritime Organization which began merely as a United Nations body to establish international norms for shipping and only later became the designated shepherd of the maritime environment.38 This pragmatic body along with its derivative, the International Oil Pollution Compensation (IOPC).39 Funds have led to the creation of a fund for victims of oil pollution caused by oil tanker accidents.40 Ultimately the polluter pay scheme does not slow the flow of oil but is the impetus for greater caution lest the companies pay up for their mess.41 Moving forward on the host of environmental problems means taking this more pragmatic approach: damage will occur, but we have the ability to counteract this damage, correct the damage, and encourage industries to adapt to a more sustainable method of operation. While the Arch Druids42 would have us conserve what is left and shut down industry entirely, this monolithic approach is realistic neither in a domestic effort, nor in an international effort. Actions by any individual country result in a zero-sum game;43 for example, a sudden shift in fuel efficiency in the United States would create a glut on the world market causing lower fuel costs.44 There is little doubt that impoverished countries would “snap up the suddenly plentiful, suddenly cheap crude oil and use it to develop their own economies.”45 This Article will briefly discuss the economic realities of why the carbon tax is the best solution to deal with climate change. It will then provide examples of successful national and regional carbon taxes. Third, it will posit an international carbon tax regime and the application of the regime. “Such a level is unprecedented, at least within the timeframe of human history going back at least 800 millennia.” Spring 2016 2. Why Carbon Tax? It is generally understood by all economists that in order to reduce the potential of further impacts of climate change on the world, it will be necessary to tax all parts of the production and use of fossil fuels.46 A carbon tax can be an example of applying the “double dividend hypothesis” which means that the taxation scheme encourages both more efficient uses of existing resources as well as reducing the negative result of such uses.47 A tax is a cost-efficient method of lowering fossil fuel consumption by making them more expensive and encouraging use of alternative technologies,48 and giving more flexibility to internalize the costs of emissions.49 Carbon taxes could affect any industry with the capacity to pollute.50 However, the burden will likely fall upon the energy and transportation sectors.51 Additionally, once a tax is levied on energy and transportation sectors, there may be room to apply it to other industries as needed. For example, a tax on plastic producers could create an incentive to produce more durable plastics or induce them to lobby local governments to increase the recyclability of their products. Even in the cases where alternative methods of Command-and-Control Regulation, Cap-and-Trade, and Government Subsidies have worked, they can 29 still work concurrently with a Carbon Tax model. The advantages and disadvantages of each are discussed below. A. Command-and-Control Regulation Though Command-and-Control was once the preferred singular method of dealing with emissions, it is best when the substance intended on being regulated is so toxic and destructive that there is little economic advantage to balance the negative ramifications of its use.52 An example of this is the phasing out of CFCs when the use of them was demonstrated as a causative relationship to the thinning of the ozone layer.53 With CFCs, there was a host of alternative chemicals to replace the CFCs, which did not damage the ozone including hydrochlorofluorocarbons, hydrofluorocarbons, and hydrocarbons.54 However, the use of command and control regulations means large government agencies and complicated litigation when things went awry.55 Such a draconian approach requires that the chemicals be of the most dangerous type in order to apply a regulation that can effectively destroy a market rather than tailoring it to reach greater efficiency. There are other success stories for schemes that reward “good” behavior and punish “bad” behavior. Consider the example of Germany taxing leaded gas at a much higher rate than unleaded gas.56 In a manner of a decade, such incentives virtually eliminated leaded gas in Germany.57 Similar to the successes with leaded gasoline are the CAFE 58 standards in the US, which have significantly increased auto efficiency since their first use during the oil crisis of the 1970s.59 Despite the initial burdens placed upon the industry, the auto industries have survived in both countries. However, it is important to remember that more efficient autos do not necessarily mean more efficient drivers. An auto with 50 percent better fuel economy can save gas, but a driver who drives 50 percent more with the savings uses the same amount of gas.60 insist they are not raising taxes , when avoiding the use of the word tax means that legislation may more likely to survive the political process.65 An important issue to consider is that Capand-Trade can slow the growth of emissions but may not actually cut emissions.66 In addition to the failure to actually cut emissions is the impossibility of government to always stay ahead of economic trends which can create very inefficient allocation of allotments without a clear knowledge of a proper balance.67 An example of this is the European Union’s Environmental Trading System (EU-ETS).68 This was the most robust carbon-trading system in the world, but often viewed as a failure in retrospect. The worst aspect is that the inability to adapt allotments during the economic recession meant a glut of allotments for trade, and as with all supply-demand balances, the price of carbon crashed. 69 The fact that the European Parliament declined to bolster it in 2013 is perhaps the best indicator of its failings.70 Other experiments in Cap-and-Trade have also had similar difficult learning curves including in the US where carbon markets often “experience volatile, often unforeseen, price shifts.”71 From 2005 to 2011, EU-ETS cost Europe some $287 billion and had “almost zero impact” on the overall emissions.72 The proverb of putting good money after bad comes to mind when considering calls that we have not given carbon trading enough time. “A Cap-and-Trade program creates a government-informed maximum amount of carbon emissions from a given party.” B. Cap-and Trade A Cap-and-Trade program creates a government-informed maximum amount of carbon emissions from a given party.61 Allowances in the form of metric tons are allotted and companies which fall below their respective caps are able to sell their leftover allowances to other companies.62 On the other hand, Cap-and-Trade takes much of the power from government and into the hands of private enterprise, encouraging them to become more efficient in order to sell their allotments for a profit.63 However, Cap-and-Trade is complicated, and depending on the regime, does little to actually reduce net carbon; it merely insures more efficiency of production.64 That efficiency is responsible for some economic growth due to better allocation of resources, but not to the extent of that wrought from a Carbon Tax. The advantage of the Cap-and-Trade system seems to be the political viability for politicians who can honestly (albeit misleadingly) 30 C. Government Subsidies Government subsidies continually pose the problem of government participation in the market. Governments often lack the flexibility to recognize what consumers will use or emerging technologies that supersede that which the government wishes to sponsor through subsidies. Even the most developed nations may be guilty of the proverbial “surplus of left shoes.”73 An example of this in recent history is Solyndra which defaulted on a $535 million loan for the development of solar technology guaranteed by the Department of Energy amid accusations of fraud by many political opponents of the Obama Administration.74 It is dishonest to say that all products of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act75 under which Solyndra was subsidized were a failure—far from it.76 In fact the majority of investments in green technology by the US government in the American Recovery and Investment Act seem to have been a success.77 However, the rapid increase of investment in renewable energy around the same time seems to indicate that the free market had beaten Congress and the Obama Administration to the punch. For example a 2008 study78 showed that wind capacity increased by 51 percent and solar photovoltaic capacity increased by 44 percent from 2007.79 Moreover private sector investments had exceeded $23 billion in 2008.80 Arguably, the $32 billion allocated to clean energy projects in 2009 was quite late to the party.81 Sustainable Development Law & Policy In addition to the private sector outpacing the government, there is a real concern of creating an “iron triangle.”82 The example which bests demonstrates the Iron Triangle from the perspective of the US is the military industrial-complex which is regularly accused of producing large quantities of outdated technology83 or producing technology so far beyond the capabilities of our opponents that it defies reason.84 It is a reasonable extrapolation that alternative energy industries would create just as much of a boondoggle as past cooperation between government and an industry. That a recent Oklahoma bill penalizes homeowners for installing solar panels while simultaneously subsidizing traditional power plants is indicative of how slowly the government can react once subsidies for a given industry are in place.85 Of course, not all subsidies are as problematic as the examples above, but a subsidy does not come from out of thin air, it is a result of diverting tax dollars from somewhere else. In revenue producing carbon taxes discussed later in this Article at least some of the money can be diverted into subsidies. While not meant to completely demolish the function of subsidies, at the very least this section suggests that subsidies should be a light touch that does not create industry dependency and involves a sound reallocation of taxes on other industries. 3. Examples of Successful Carbon Tax Regimes at the National and Subnational Level An economic theory is best illustrated by practical successes. While individual successes may be questioned or even dismissed on evidence of other causes, success is a possibility for taxation at a local or national level. Worldwide, at least 15 countries have some sort of carbon tax regime, but many provide such broad exemptions for various sectors or households that one wonders if they serve any purpose.86 In North America, three Canadian provinces have experimented with carbon taxation.87 Australia instituted a carbon tax over a two-year period from 2012 to 2014.88 In Europe, Ireland has had tentative success on its carbon tax introduced in in 2010.89 An analysis of these programs is included below. A. Canadian Provinces British Columbia, Quebec, and Alberta have attempted taxation schemes to reduce GHG. In October 2007, Quebec introduced the first North American carbon tax by introducing a duty of $3 per ton of CO2 on bulk sales of fossil fuels.90 Alberta taxed large industrial emitters (greater than 100,000 tons) at a rate of $15 per ton of CO2.91 British Columbia followed a few months later to introduce a consumption-based tax designed to reduce GHG emissions in February 2008.92 British Columbia’s rates were set up to result in $10 per ton of CO2 emissions, but were levied at the consumer level.93 The above reductions must also be taken into consideration alongside the fact that Canada ratified the Kyoto Protocol in December of 2002 to reduce Canadian GHG emissions by six percent from the 1990 level of 599 million tons of CO2 emissions.94 Despite such an endeavor, Canadian GHG continued to increase to more than thirty four percent of Canada’s commitment under Spring 2016 the Kyoto Protocol.95 This was in no small part due to the failure to introduce substantive policy changes beyond increased “public education, voluntary initiatives, and fiscal incentives.”96 Such “pious hopes and good intentions”97 were sought by the Liberal Party in control of the Canadian government, but the Conservative Party under direction of Stephen Harper fared no better and the Canadian government reneged on the commitments in its ascension to the Kyoto Protocol.98 It is with such a political background that prompted the above attempts by British Columbia and Quebec to deal with global warming. A retrospective look indicates a success for British Columbia. In British Columbia, “[t]he carbon tax has been good for the environment, good for taxpayers and it has not hurt the economy.”99 Such a pronouncement is backed by a drop in per capita fuel consumption by 4.5 percent and unemployment remaining below the national average.100 Use of all fuels covered by the tax is down by sixteen percent in six years while Canada’s Kyoto target was a six percent reduction over twenty years.101 Additionally, the shift in GHG production seems to be in defiance of presumed economic trends and carbon leakage. While Canada entered an economic downturn in 2007 and continuing until the present,102 fuel use in other provinces continued to rise by three percent annually from 2008-2013.103 Likewise, cross border fuel purchases are said to account for only 1-2 percent of British Columbia’s sixteen percent reduction in fuel use.104 On the other hand Alberta and Quebec have had less success, though at the time of this writing, little conclusive research indicates a reason why. The devil is in the details.105 B. Australia Australia’s flirtation with carbon tax was brief, lasting only two years as the “political stepchild” of political wrangling to achieve a coalition government in 2011-2012.106 While GHG gas emissions had been falling for years, the drop from 2012 to 2013 was the largest in 24 years with total emissions falling by 0.8 percent reported in the Sydney Morning Herald, a right of center daily newspaper.107 The national electricity market experienced the most marked change in total emissions. Emissions fell by between 5 and 8 million tons from 2012 to 2013 and between 6 and 9 million tons from 2013 to 2014.108 After the repeal of the carbon tax in 2014, emissions have fallen back to their previous levels.109 It is unclear if the sudden rise is directly attributable to the repeal of the carbon tax as “the government was ‘ripping away’ at other policies curbing emissions, with plans to scrap the Australian Renewable Energy Agency, the Clean Energy Finance Corp, and energy efficiency programs.”110 As with Alberta and Quebec, the lack of conclusive peer-reviewed data makes it difficult to make firm conclusions, but the economic data may be helpful.111 C. Ireland Ireland instituted its carbon tax regime in 2010 and has been “quite successful”112 when considering economic data and overall emissions.113 The Irish method involved taxation directly on the consumer in a draconian method that included even the weighing of non-recycled residential garbage for taxation.114 31 The tax was implemented in the wake of the global financial crisis and ahead of the Kyoto Protocol deadline of 2012.115 Bearing in mind that emissions other than electricity production had been slowly falling for some time since the late 1990s, emissions fell dramatically in the period immediately after the tax by 22.4 percent between 2010 and 2012.116 Total emissions declined again in the by an additional 0.7 percent from 2012 to 2013.117 4. But Why an International Carbon Tax Regime? The idea of an international carbon tax in scholarly circles is not new, but it is generally mentioned merely as a footnote in broader discussions of international environmental issues. The Honorable Richard L. Ottinger posited an international carbon tax in 1991, stating affirmatively that “[i]t is time to institute one.”118 However, he provided no framework for such implementation and merely acknowledged the problems associated with carbon leakage and the fledgling attempts at carbon taxes in Sweden, Finland, Netherlands, Germany, Norway, and Switzerland.119 Analysis remained tangential and fettered throughout the next two decades with one author suggesting that there should be a harmonization at a domestic level with all participating countries setting a standard tax rate.120 The final word on analysis of an international carbon tax in the 1990s was that the Kyoto Protocol was the only viable option.121 The following decade was not much of an improvement with one article positing that it was impossible to know precisely how much emission reduction could be achieved by a tax system; developed countries were already tax averse, and developing countries would need assistance.122 Such concerns were reiterated shortly thereafter.123 Other works have posited the benefit of an international carbon tax in their ability to incorporate existing domestic carbon taxation schemes as harmonization is reached.124 In considering successful carbon taxation schemes, a question arises on why an international solution is needed if domestic remedies have been successful; in short, domestic remedies are not sufficient. One of the problems of Kyoto was that it was not truly collective action but a commitment to set national targets that did not really address the collective problem.125 As with any Tragedy of the Commons collective problems require collective action through some centrally administered body.126 Dealing with a collective issue of GHGs, this Article argues that a carbon tax applied in a harmonized fashion at national level will accomplish such a goal. First, from a practical standpoint, carbon leakage is a key concern on any domestic regime. While earlier analysis demonstrates that economies may continue to prosper with emissions constrained by taxes, it does not entirely refute the argument that taxation will induce industries to merely move across borders to avoid taxes and cause no net change in worldwide emissions.127 Second, many domestic regimes are not in a position to deal with adaptation costs.128 As detailed below, international coordination to disperse revenue to the most vulnerable through a harmonized taxation scheme may be the best method to solve the above problems. 32 An international carbon tax envisioned in this Article will be: 1) harmonized and created by a new treaty body 2) collected by domestic governments 3) enforced by tariffs on nonparticipatory countries in compliance with Article XX of the GATT 4) a portion of funds collected domestically to be paid to an international agency for the purposes of funding adaptation costs. Such a domestic carbon tax harmonized across all countries offers a cost-effective means of obtaining CO2 reductions.129 Additional taxes upon existing national frameworks will differ from country to country to account for existing taxes and other constraints.130 Furthermore, rather than an arbitrary allocation of quotas with discord between developed and developing countries, a carbon tax will be a mutually agreed upon action for all.131 Finally, though there are other GHGs responsible for climate change, CO2 is the most ubiquitous and under current production, the most harmful. Other GHGs can be dealt with as the CO2 regime becomes entrenched and successful. A. Harmonization We must begin to look at the producers of pollutions as the giant Multinational Enterprises (MNEs), which eclipse the economic power of many nations. While some would argue that the nation states should be responsible for the pollutions of its economic citizens, this is short sighted for three reasons. First, the proliferation of MNEs means great difficulty in establishing the nexus of a business’ operation. Secondly, if we consider gross profits as analogous to a country’s GDP, the profits of the largest multi-national companies have allowed them to eclipse many gross domestic products of individual nations.132 Most developed nations have instituted eco taxes at some level of another. Such an international scheme is not unprecedented, as some have proposed a sort of UN Global Transaction Tax.133 A criticism is that allowing the money to pass through the hands of individual governments creates suspicion that the money is not going directly to the appropriate areas.134 Though some might suggest that states could merely earmark based on appropriate demands,135 this relies on the political whims of the nation states involved. Lasting positive change will come in the form of some sort of international accord, protocol, or treaty.136 Such an explanation of how a treaty regime can work is described later in the section on how to collect and allocate an internationally pooled fund. B. A Tax upon Whom? Moving forward will mean not repeating the same mistakes of the Kyoto Protocol. Taxing only industrialized countries gives those countries an incentive to not participate with political talking points to justify that lack of participation.137 While the Kyoto Protocol seemed to ignore the rising emissions of the developing countries, all countries should levy a comprehensive tax scheme on point-source producers of GHGs. This will serve to avoid the problems of Kyoto with countries like the United States not participating at all or countries like Canada pulling out when it is politically expedient. Targeting point-source producers rather than consumers is necessary because the consumer lacks the economy of scale to make large-scale adjustments to a sudden increase in price while a point-source producer can spread initial Sustainable Development Law & Policy costs among myriad consumers while simultaneously working to increase efficiency to maintain profitability in the long run. Because countries generally report to the IMF on their macroeconomic policies, GDP, and other information, it is easy to establish a baseline on existing revenues and profits of the major industries subject to a harmonized tax regime.138 Finally, it is folly to say that companies and nations would revolt at such a large-scale tax scheme. Within the confines of the European Union (EU) nations have been willing to assent to a broader scheme.139 Likewise, businesses in the US and the EU have been willing to comport to attempts at carbon trading; therefore, it is reasonable to conclude that other measures can be met with the same grudging acceptance. C. Method of Enforcement One of the biggest problems in the Kyoto Protocol was the disheartening lack of participation by countries like the US in the final negotiations and ratification process.140 Any taxation scheme will require buy-in from all the major and developing nations. But without coercive measures, what can be done about free riders among developed nations, which have persistent resentment of taxation, regardless of the source or justification?141 Border adjustments142 may serve to force harmonization on imports from nations who refuse to participate in an international carbon tax regime and can provide the method by which participatory nations can coerce the outliers into compliance.143 Such border adjustments work in two ways to ensure compliance. First, they protect one nation from a lack of competitiveness for domestic producers at the hands of foreign producers not subject to a similar tax scheme.144 Secondly, they reduce the incentive of free riders to not apply taxes domestically, because taxes levied on exports at their destination will mean no direct benefit to the companies who avoid domestic tax burdens. Moreover, not only are such measures likely in compliance with the GATT, but also have actually been recommended in the past as a way to salvage the Kyoto Protocol.145 GATT Article XX is an avenue to justify preferential measures that would otherwise violate GATT provisions, provided these measures are not “arbitrary or discriminatory.”146 However, a WTO Panel is responsible for determining whether something falls within an Article XX exclusion or whether it runs afoul of Articles I147 and III.148 Whether a coercive measure attempting to harmonize taxation when dealing with nonparticipating free riders is within exceptions under Article XX149 is subject to debate, but at least some preliminary analysis suggests they would be. GATT Article III allows taxation on imports under its “national treatment”150 clause.151 Though differentiation is made between final product national treatment and process-based national treatment, at least some preliminary analysis of WTO cases suggest that Article III can be avoided.152 GATT Article I is the largest concern generally under the most-favored-nation clause, which would disallow taxes to be levied on one nation but not the other given that all signatories are to be afforded most-favored-nation status under the WTO.153 However, Shrimp/Turtle154 has demonstrated a “fundamental shift in WTO jurisprudence”155 when considering environmental concerns. In either case, it seems that border adjustments that serve to protect human animal and plant life or ensure the conservation of an exhaustible natural resource are acceptable within the WTO framework.156 While such wording seems to be the flowery language of unenforceable treaty bodies criticized in the introduction to this Article, they have been directly confirmed in EC-Asbestos157 contingent on how “vital or important [the] common interests and values”158 pursued by such a border adjustment could actually be.159 The scheme as proposed in this Article creates a market incentive. Lower taxes after abiding by WTO norms mean lower prices. This encourages the buy-in from consumers on whether or not a company is “green” and means the consumers are merely thinking with their wallets.160 “One of the biggest problems in the Kyoto Protocol was the disheartening lack of participation by countries like the US in the final negotiations and ratification process.” Spring 2016 D. Revenue Gaining Tax One of the purposes of an international agreement to harmonize domestic carbon tax regimes is to create revenue, which can be spent in two ways. First some of the money can be turned around for subsidies, which were discussed previously as a half-measure to be used alongside a responsible taxation regime.161 Such subsidies would result in more efficient manufacturing and production as well as greener technology. Secondly, some of the money should be allocated toward an adaptation fund that will serve to help nations with little responsibility for CO2 production but face much of the consequences.162 Some 634 million people live within the low elevation coastal zone, a region defined as being less than ten meters above sea level.163 How to defend them from rising sea levels is the first question among many in considering how to deal with climate change and how to spend revenue from a carbon tax. Something akin to a superfund can serve any number of purposes. The easiest target is protection from flooding caused by rising seas. As pointed out earlier, delay is a false economy, and the long-term damage caused by flooding is far more expensive than the short-term costs of preventing it.164 Some have posited a revenue neutral tax, meaning that for every dollar of tax created, taxes will be cut somewhere else.165 However, when considering the amount of revenue that can be 33 generated by a tax on point-source producers may stagger the imagination. The top five oil companies alone consistently earn around $100 billion annually.166 E. Nationally Administered or Pooled Funds? The trickiest question about an international carbon tax is whether funds from a revenue producing tax should be nationally administered or pooled. It is a laughable proposition that nations would willingly send billions of tax dollars out of the country, but it is not beyond the realm of possibility that countries can be induced to contribute to at least some sort of international fund that would help developing nations. Such a hypothetical pooled fund may result in a two-fold benefit: 1) it serves as a show of good faith by developed nations for taking responsibility for past action. 2) as developing nations begin to incorporate changes pushed for by an international carbon tax regime, earmarks can be set aside to fund the education of key people in the developing world which is a growing source of pollution and unsustainable development. Such a method can help bring the developing countries to a higher level and reduce the short-term costs imposed in international environmental regimes that unfairly punish the developing countries going through the same growing pains of the OECD nations during the 1800s and 1900s. Of course, any funds taken out of the country to be invested abroad can be justified as an incentive for countries to “cheat” on their levies, but cheating can still be mitigated with the coercive measures in the previous section dealing with why border adjustments are acceptable under Article XX of the WTO. Facing taxation on exports overseas for failure to comply means there is no incentive to dodge domestically. On the other hand, even a tiny fraction of levied taxes could go a long ways when pooled together in a sort of superfund. Ireland’s 2010 yield from taxation came to $330 million.167 This is a paltry sum as individually imposed and less than one percent of Ireland’s 2012 GDP of $224 billion,168 but a similar figure applied to the current Gross World Product (GWP) would amount to $111 billion in total taxes collected.169 A mere one percent fund to be targeted at the most vulnerable areas could go a long way to repairing some of the harm caused by global warming.170 This sort of “eco-tax”171 is not placed upon nations by an international body. Such a move is not only unprecedented but far too bold within the current paradigm. Eco-taxes are not a new concept unto themselves,172 but can be analogized to the numerous countries which have applied eco-taxes upon citizens and businesses. However, such a tax should be applied upon businesses rather than upon the nations, for it is the businesses responsible for the damage rather than the collectivity of the nations. Though the nation state is the dominant regime for political purposes, a tax upon a nation moves beyond the “polluter pays” principle favored by many economists.173 By levying the tax upon business, the cost is internalized and placed upon the consumer, which allows the free market to continue thriving while a race to lower prices functionally conserves the environment as producing less environmental harm means less taxation and thus lower internalization of costs.174 A treaty regime is necessary to overcome the fear of action by nations holding a “you first”175 stance on climate change. Carbon leakage happens when a nation or a group of nations attempts to change the dynamic of carbon usage allowing third parties to take advantage of the glut in cheaper fossil fuels, production techniques, etc.176 While countries could protect key industries from such unfair international competition, to do so would be nonsensical as these key industries would be the largest source of carbon production leaving behind only half measures with little gains to show.177 The only way to prevent free riders is to develop an international scheme that has all the major actors, whether developed or developing, on the same page of taxation in a manner that allows the free market to establish new paradigms without the problems associated with carbon trading, command and control regulations, and subsidies. The road map forward will look similar to that which has already been accomplished in the International Maritime Organization (“IMO”). The IMO is a 171-nation strong specialized agency of the United Nations, which develops comprehensive regulations for shipping as well as deal with environmental issues, maritime security and efficiency in world ship178 ping. Throughout the last 35 years of history, the IMO has been part of a fund which was to be used as a payout for countries and individuals hurt by oil spills.179 The name and function of the fund has changed with time, but the 1992 Fund Convention boasts 114 parties and the 1992 Supplementary Fund Protocol 31.180 The 1992 fund capped the maximum amount payable to 135 million Special Drawing Rights (SDR),181 which at the time of this writing has an exchange rate of approximately .72 SDR to 1 USD.182 The 2003 Protocol limits compensation to 750 million SDR and is funded by annual contributions to the fund from any person who has received total quantities of oil exceeding 150,000 tons, assuming the individual is a member of a state with at least 1,000,000 tons of oil.183 The fund itself is independent of the United Nations and actually governed by the International Oil Pollution Compensation Funds (IOPC Funds).184 The IOPC Funds can be considered a success. There first use was in the 1999, Erika Spill in which a Maltese-registered tanker broke into two sections 60 nautical miles from the Brittany coast.185 Approximately 19,800 tons of the 31,000 tons of heavy oil aboard the ship spilled onto 400 kilometers of shoreline.186 After a series of legal wrangling to determine how much would be paid by private insurance and to determine the “A treaty regime is necessary to overcome the fear of action by nations holding a ‘you first’ stance on climate change.” 34 Sustainable Development Law & Policy actual damage, some €116.9 million had been paid by IOPC 2014 to some 131 claimants.187 5. Synthesis and Conclusion The treaty envisioned in this Article is unlike anything else currently in existence; though analogies can be made in several manners. There are two key features. First, countries agree to a harmonized carbon taxation regime to be levied at the domestic level. Second, a small percentage of the national tax is allocated to a pooled fund which serves to deal with adaptation cost, as well as to help developing nations grow in a more sustainable and responsible manner than their developed predecessors. This broad deference to national governments resembles the Kyoto Protocol, but differs in two significant ways. First, it does not give a pass to “developing nations” including China which now has a rapidly growing per capita share of the world’s largest economy. Second, a cabal of industrialized nations can coerce nonparticipants with an exhaustible resources exception under GATT Article XX.188 Where Kyoto failed, this treaty can succeed. The second feature of the treaty is more questionable from a logistics standpoint. Though nations can coerce participation in the harmonized taxation scheme, it is unlikely that the type of coercion allowable under GATT Article XX will also allow punitive measures to hold nations hostage over their unwillingness to participate in an international fund. However, it is a relatively small burden on national budgets that can have huge implications for world-wide adaptation costs. Though the IOPC has been used as an example of an international fund, what is envisioned in this treaty is different for the fact that it would include all nations rather than just oil importers. It also differs in that, resources will be allocated in an anticipatory manner for issues related to an ongoing low level catastrophe of climate change, rather than payment for a single major event like an oil spill. Such analysis of where the money can and should be spent is beyond the scope of this Article. Not all environmental issues can be solves with a taxation scheme. As with CFCs, some require draconian measures to completely eliminate a problem. The use of technologies and resources which create GHGs is so pervasive, there is no way to remove the problem from society without turning the clock back some 200 years. However, that does not mean we must take a fatalistic approach. We can reduce the flow of CO2 into the atmosphere, and we can work toward more sustainable development. If we have reached the point of no return, then we can seek to reduce the harms caused by climate change. This is an international problem that requires an international solution. The methods outlined above are a possible means of moving forward. Endnotes: Developing an International Carbon Tax Regime 1 See generally Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Dec. 10, 1997, U.N. Doc FCCC/CP/1997/7/Add.1, 37 I.L.M. 22 (1998) [hereinafter Kyoto Protocol]. 2 See Robert Townsend, Revisiting the Kyoto Protocol: Reducing CO2 to Prevent Climate Change Disasters, Old Dominion Univ. Model United Nations Soc’y 1, 2 (2014), https://www.odu.edu/content/dam/odu/offices/ mun/2014/unwc/wc-revisiting-the-kyoto-protocol-reducing-co2-to-preventclimate-change-disasters.pdf. 3 See generally Kyoto Protocol, supra note 1. 4 See Richard N. Cooper, Toward a Real Global Warming Treaty, Foreign Affairs 66, March/April 1998, available at https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ articles/1998-03-01/toward-real-global-warming-treaty. 5 See generally Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions, U.S. Envtl. Prot. Agency, http://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/science/indicators/ghg/globalghg-emissions.html (last visited Apr. 19, 2016) (referencing “key points” section). 6 Townsend, supra note 2, at 3. 7 United Nations Conference on Environment and Development, Rio de Janeiro, Braz., June 3-14, Rio Declaration on Environment and Development, U.N. Doc. A/CONF.151/26/Rev.1 (Vol. I), principle 7 (1992). 8 See Charlie E. Coon, Why President Bush Is Right to Abandon the Kyoto Protocol, Heritage Foundation (May 11, 2001), http://www.heritage.org/ research/reports/2001/05/president-bush-right-to-abandon-kyoto-protocol (noting that four fifths of countries were not required to comply with the goals of the Kyoto Protocol, in addition to the United States declining the ratification of the Kyoto Protocol). See generally Overview of Greenhouse Gases, U.S. Envtl. Prot. Agency, http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/gases/co2.html (last visited April 14, 2016) (referencing the graph showing an increase of Carbon Dioxide Gas Emissions during the 1990s, the stabilization of these emissions, and their subsequent decrease since 2006 in the United States albeit its decision to decline ratifying the Kyoto Protocol. Though some equate the drop in CO2 to the recession, after economic recovery, the United States resumed its reduction in GHGs from 2010-2012 with 2012 coming to a twenty-year low in CO2 Emissions.) [hereinafter Overview of Greenhouse Gases]; Rachel Nuwer, A Spring 2016 20-Year Low in U.S. Carbon Emissions, N.Y Times: Green Energy, the Env’t. and the Bottom Line (August 17, 2012 6:24 P.M.), http://green.blogs.nytimes. com/2012/08/17/a-20-year-low-in-u-s-carbon-emissions/?_r=0 (indicating that carbon dioxide has dropped a significant amount during this decade); Overview of Greenhouse Gases, supra (noting that there was a slight rise in 2013 and 2014 can likely be attributed to a continued strengthening of the US Economy but one could view this as a return to the relatively stable emissions beginning in 2004). 9 See CO2 Emissions (Metric Tons Per Capita), World Bank, http://data. worldbank.org/indicator/EN.ATM.CO2E.PC (last visited April, 14, 2016). 10 See id. 11 The United States, China, and India report steady population growth rates with the United States at seven percent, China five percent, and India one and one-tenth percent. Population Growth (Annual %), World Bank, http://data. worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.GROW/countries (last visited Apr. 2, 2016) (using dataset from 2011-2015). 12 Using estimates from the World Bank from previous footnotes, I have extrapolated the data to show that China will surpass current per capita CO2 emissions of the United States within 16 years, India within 18 years. I lack the algebraic expertise to predict the exact convergence of per capita downward trends in the US and upward trends in India and China. 13 Canada Under Fire Over Kyoto Protocol Exit, BBC (Dec. 13, 2011), http:// www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-16165033. 14 See Nastassia Astrasheuskaya, Russia Will Not Cut Emissions Under Extended Kyoto Climate Pact, Reuters (Sept. 13, 2012 9:39 A.M.), http://www. reuters.com/article/2012/09/13/us-russia-kyoto-idUSBRE88C0QZ20120913; see also CO2 Emissions (Metric Tons Per Capita), supra note 9 (indicating that Russia has maintained its an average of 12.6 metric tons per year of Carbon Dioxide Emissions). 15 See Townsend, supra note 2, at 3. 16 See Tim Herzog et. al., Navigating the Numbers: Greenhouse Gas Data and International Climate Policy, World Resources Institute 63, available continued on page 48 35 The Law of the Seas: A Barrier to Implementation of Sustainable Development Goal 14 Alexi Nathan T he inclusion of a stand-alone ocean goal in the United Nation’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) showcases the growing recognition of the importance of the sustainable use of our global oceans. Oceans cover nearly onethird of the Earth, affecting almost all aspects of life.1 They are responsible for holding 97% of the planet’s water and “they produce more than half of the oxygen in the atmosphere and absorb the most carbon from it.”2 In addition, “about half of the world’s population lives within [a] coastal zone, and ocean based-business contribute[s] to more than $500 billion to the world’s economy.”3 Oceans have far-reaching effects on human well-being, as well as the environment and the economy. Sustainable use of oceans can contribute to reducing global warming, increasing global employment, and providing sustenance to over three billion people worldwide.4 However, global oceans remain undervalued, mismanaged, and inadequately governed.5 Despite their recognizable importance, oceans were disappointedly ignored in the SDG’s predecessor, the UN Millennium Development Goals.6 However, in 2012, at the UN Conference for Sustainable Development, oceans gained prominence and visibility in the global sustainable development discussion.7 The final declaration of the Conference, titled “The Future We Want” contained twenty paragraphs dedicated to the ‘Ocean and Seas,’ constituting the largest section in the declaration.8 These paragraphs eventually contributed to the creation of SDG 14, to “Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development.”9 The goal is designed to address a variety of issues including marine pollution, fisheries conservation, and ocean acidification.10 While the inclusion of a stand-alone ocean goal in the SDG’s marks an important development in ocean advocacy, implementation of the goal will prove difficult. Implementation of SDG 14 will be governed by international law as reflected within the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Seas (UNCLOS).11 UNCLOS provides the legal framework for the conservation and sustainable use of oceans and their resources.12 UNCLOS, known as the Law of the Seas Treaty (LOST), was ratified and adopted by 167 parties in 1982.13 The treaty requires parties to adopt regulations and laws to control pollution of the marine environment.14 The treaty also establishes specific jurisdictional limits on the ocean area that countries may claim.15 Despite its global acceptance, UNCLOS has received continued criticism since its adoption. One of the major problems 36 with the Convention is the lack of legal rules regarding the high seas.16 The “high seas” make up the sixty-four percent of the ocean that is beyond the jurisdiction of any State as defined by the Convention.17 When UNCLOS was first negotiated, the high seas were largely ignored due to inaccessibility.18 However, after almost forty years of technological innovation, there is virtually nowhere that industrial fishing vessels cannot reach, consequently opening the high seas to exploration and exploitation.19 This has led to increased mismanagement, despite the fact that the high seas play a major role in the overall health of our global oceans.20 In many ways, the high seas act as the heart of the entire marine ecosystem and the health of the high seas, in large part, reflects the health of the global ocean as a whole.21 However, the sheer size of the high seas makes them extremely difficult to monitor and control, leading to little protection for the most vulnerable portions of global oceans. This lack of governance has led to overfishing, resulting in the exploitation of over two thirds of the high seas fish stocks.22 The United Nation’s attempt at governance can be found in Article 87 of UNCLOS, which allows States the freedom to fish and conduct scientific research, while requiring the States to protect and conserve the high seas and the resources within.23 However, these freedoms are often exploited by States with the money and ability to do so, leaving the poorer and under-developed States at a significant disadvantage.24 Further problems arise from the fact that UNCLOS only applies to States, leaving the activities of non-state actors wholly unregulated by international law.25 This affords private actors, such as shipping companies, a large amount of flexibility in their operations. These companies are often motivated by the desire to reap never-ending profits, which leads to their general disregard for the health and maintenance of the high seas.26 For example, in 1984 Japan licensed the Institute of Cetacean Research (ICR) to conduct research projects, which involved the killing of whales on the high seas.27 The Sea Shepard Conservation Society (SSCS), an American NGO, initiated proceedings against ICR for the violation of environmental laws.28 However, because both entities are considered private actors, they are not subject to the same legal obligations as States under Article 87 of UNCLOS.29 Without the same legal implications as States, * Alexi Nathan is a J.D. candidate 2018 at American University Washington College of Law. Sustainable Development Law & Policy non-state actors, such as the ICR, will continue to be held unaccountable for their actions. For the SDG 14 to be successful, the governing law— UNCLOS— must be reevaluated. Several of the SDG 14 targets will be difficult to achieve without increased focus on the health and security of the high seas. For example, SDG 14.4 establishes the SDG parties’ agreement to “ . . . end overfishing, illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing, and destructive fishing practices . . . ”30 The majority of illegal overfishing occurs on the high seas,31 and therefore, absent new UNCLOS provisions strengthening high seas protection, this target cannot be met. Further, SDG 14.7, the agreement to “increase the economic benefits to Small Island developing States and least developed countries from the sustainable use of marine resources, including through sustainable management of fisheries, aquaculture and tourism,” is unlikely be achieved without improved regulations regarding the freedom of the high seas.32 Without stronger enforcement, the wealthier, developed States and non-state actors will be allowed to continue to profit from the unsustainable use of the high seas at the expense of underdeveloped States. Increased recognition of the importance of the oceans marks a noteworthy milestone for the sustainable development movement as a whole. However, progress cannot be made without a greater emphasis placed on the governance of the high seas in the UNCLOS. The inclusion of the stand-alone ocean goal in the SDG’s has provided the international legal community with the opportunity and the pressure to address the problems regarding the high seas in UNCLOS. Addressing this absence is vital to the sustainable use of our oceans, which is in turn, vital to enabling, supporting and improving each and every life on Earth. Endnotes: The Law of the Seas: A Barrier to Implementation of Sustainable Development Goal 14 1 Oceans provide living resources, such as fish and other seafood, non-living resources, such as oil, gas and minerals, as well as renewable energy through tides and waves, trade and migration routes, in addition to tourism, leisure and recreation activities. See From Decline to Discovery – A Rescue Package for the Global Ocean, Global Ocean Comm’n, 2014, http://www.globaloceancommission.org/wp-content/uploads/GOC_Report_20_6.FINAL_.spreads.pdf (last visited Mar. 24, 2016) [hereinafter From Decline to Discovery]. 2 Why are oceans important? Protect Planet Ocean, http://www.protectplanetocean.org/collections/introduction/introbox/oceans/introduction-item. html (last visited Mar. 24, 2016) (finding that the ocean’s inability to absorb carbon leads to ocean acidification, which may have dramatic effects on ocean life). 3 Id. (illustrating the importance of oceans on the global population and economy). 4 See Goal 14: Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources, United Nations, http://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/oceans/ (last visited Mar. 24, 2016) [hereinafter Goal 14]. 5 See Remi Parmentier, SDG at Sea, Sustainable Dev. Policy and Practice (Sept. 17, 2017), http://sd.iisd.org/guest-articles/sdg-at-sea/ [hereinafter SDG at Sea]; see also Goal 14, supra note 4 (explaining that pollution, fisheries depletion and coastal habits loss occurs in approximately 40% of global oceans). 6 See SDG at sea, supra note 5 (acknowledging that the presence of oceans in the Millennium Development Goals was limited to a minor reference to sustainable fishing and marine protected areas). 7 See id. 8 See id. 9 Goal 14, supra note 4; see also Future We Want – Outcome document, Sustainable Dev. Knowledge Platform https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/ futurewewant.html (last visited Mar. 24, 2016) (Paragraphs 158 through 180 of the “Future We Want” address oceans and seas, and paragraph 158 explicitly contains the language of SDG 14, specifically “We stress the importance of the conservation and sustainable use of the oceans and seas and of their resources for sustainable development”). 10 See id.; see also Ocean Acidification, Pac. Marine Envtl. Lab. Carbon Program http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/co2/story/Ocean+Acidification (last visited Mar. 24, 2016) (defining ocean acidification as the ongoing decrease in pH levels in global oceans, caused by the increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, contributing to global warming). 11 See Goal 14, supra note 4. 12 See id. 13 See Oceans & Law of the Sea, United Nations, http://www.un.org/Depts/ los/reference_files/chronological_lists_of_ratifications.htm (last visited Mar. 24, 2016). 14 See The Law of the Seas Treaty (LOST)- Background, The United Nations Law of the Sea Treaty Info. Ctr, http://www.unlawoftheseatreaty.org (last visited Mar. 24, 2016). 15 See id. (explaining that countries have territorial jurisdiction spanning up to twelve miles from the coastline out to sea, and exclusive economic jurisdiction up to 200 miles out to sea). 16 See From Decline to Discovery, supra note 1. 17 See id. (defining the high seas as the area beyond a State’s exclusive economic jurisdiction). 18 See id. 19 See id. (The introduction of factory fishing vessels in the 1950’s opened the high seas to increasing consumer demands for fish, oil minerals, and other natural resources). 20 See id. 21 See id. (noting the high seas are responsible for vital aspects of marine life, such as “air purification, waste treatment and lifecycle maintenance,” among a long list of duties). 22 See The tragedy of the high seas, The Economist (Feb. 22, 2014), http:// www.economist.com/news/leaders/21596942-new-management-neededplanets-most-important-common-resource-tragedy-high (noting that nearly ten million tons of fish are caught on the high seas annually). 23 See From Decline to Discovery, supra note 1; Preamble to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Seas, United Nations, http://www. un.org/depts/los/convention_agreements/texts/unclos/part7.htm (last visited Mar. 24, 2016). 24 See From Decline to Discovery, supra note 1 (describing how wealthier nations have targeted the waters of poorer coastal states and the high seas, leaving issues of food security in the poorer nations who do not have the wealth or technology to compete). 25 See Tina Shaughnessy, Flags of Inconvenience: Freedom and Insecurity on the High Seas, https://www.law.upenn.edu/journals/jil/jilp/articles/1-1_Shaughnessy_Tina.pdf (last visited Mar. 24, 2016) (noting that shipping companies often have differing interests than the interests of coastal states) [hereinafter Flags of Inconvenience]. 26 See id. 27 See Irini Papanicolopulu, Law of the Sea Symposium: Whaling wars, nonstate actors and the international responsibility, Opinio Juris (May 27, 2013), continued on page 52 Spring 2016 37 Endnotes: Lodging the Sustainable Development Goals in the International Trade Regime: From Trade Rhetoric to Trade Plethoric continued from page 13 13 See Deepak Nayyar, The MDGs after 2015: Some Reflections on the Possibilities 5-6, 11 (2012), available at http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/ pdf/deepak_nayyar_Aug.pdf. 14 See Schrijver, supra note 7, at 25. 15 See generally Millennium Development Goals and Beyond 2015: Background, U.N., http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/bkgd.shtml (last visited Apr. 17, 2016) (listing each goal with its accompanying hyperlink). 16 See Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, G.A. Res. 70/1, ¶ 18 U.N. Doc. A/RES/70/1 (Oct. 21, 2015). 17 See Sustainable Development Goals, U.N., http://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/sustainable-development-goals/ (last visited Apr. 17, 2016). 18 See Zachary Rice et al., Listening to Leaders: Which Development Partners Do They Prefer and Why? 83 (2015), available at http://aiddata.org/ sites/default/files/publication_full_2.pdf (noting that in a joint effort, the World Bank’s Development Committee described the process of financing the SDGs as meeting “the investment needs of the Sustainable Development Goals, the global community needs to move the discussion from “Billions” in ODA to “Trillions” in investments of all kind: public and private, national and global, in both capital and capacity.” (citing African Dev. Bank et al., From Billions to Trillions: Transforming Development Finance, Post-2015 Financing for Development: Multilateral Development Finance 1 (2015), available at http://issuu.com/copcutbrasil/docs/55a513bf6b19a)). 19 See Rice et al., supra note 18, at 83. 20 The nature of U.N. General Assembly resolutions is discussed in art. 10 of the U.N. Charter, where the Assembly “may make recommendations to the members of the United Nations of to the Security Council or to both on any such matters of questions.” See U.N. Charter art. 10. 21 See Nayyar, supra note 13, at 11. 22 See Understanding the WTO: Basics, WTO, https://www.wto.org/english/ thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/fact2_e.htm (last visited Apr. 17, 2016). 23 Roberto Azevêdo, Director-General, World Trade Org., Speech at the Peterson Institute (Sept. 24, 2015) (transcript available at https://www.wto.org/ english/news_e/spra_e/spra81_e.htm) (elaborating that “What we have found so far is that WTO rules provide the basis for many RTAs. When RTAs deal with issues covered by WTO disciplines, those disciplines are maintained. This is mostly the case in anti-dumping provisions, safeguards, technical barriers to trade, sanitary and phytosanitary measures, and rules of origin in services.”). 24 See generally id. (noting that Azevedo referred to the success of the WTO as “part of the architecture of global economic governance.”). 25 Marrakesh Agreement Establishing the World Trade Organization, Apr. 15, at Preamble, 1994, 1867 U.N.T.S. 154 [hereinafter “Marrakesh Agreement”]. 26 See generally General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Oct. 30, 1947, 61 Stat. A-11, 55 U.N.T.S. 194 (Preamble) [hereinafter GATT] (mentioning “Being desirous of contributing to these objectives by entering into reciprocal and mutually advantageous arrangements directed to the substantial reduction of tariffs and other barriers to trade and to the elimination of discriminatory treatment in international commerce.”). 27 See Padideh Ala’i, Trade and Sustainable Development, 4 Sungkynkwan J. of Sci. & Tech. L. 63, 65 (2010). 28 Id. 29 See GATT, supra note 26, at 1 (noting that its language pertains to raising standards of living, full employment, economic growth, and full use of resources is similar to the one found in the Marrakesh Agreement Preamble). 30 See Marie-Claire Cordonier Segger & Markus W. Gehring, Introduction in Sustainable Development in World Trade Law, 1, 7 (2005). 31 Id. at 7-8 32 Id. at 9-10. See also Appellate Body Report, United States-Import Prohibition of Certain Shrimps and Shrimp Products, ¶ 154 WT/DS58/AB/R (Oct. 12, 1998) [hereinafter Shrimp-Turtle] (quoting the Appellate Body in the Shrimp-Turtle case where it stressed “We also note that since this preambular language was negotiated, certain other developments have occurred which help to elucidate the objectives of WTO Members with respect to the relationship between trade and the environment. The most significant, in our view, was the Decision of Ministers at Marrakesh to establish a permanent Committee on Trade and Environment (the “CTE”)… In this Decision, Ministers took “note” of the Rio Declaration on Environment and Development 147, Agenda 21148, and “its follow-up in the GATT, as reflected in the statement of the Council 38 of Representatives to the CONTRACTING PARTIES at their 48th Session in 1992...”). 33 Ala’i, supra note 27, at 65. 34 See Segger & Gehring, supra note 30, at 10. 35 Id. at 11. 36 See generally Robert Howse, Mainstreaming the Right to Development into the World Trade Organization, in Realizing the Right to Development, Essays in Commemoration of 25 Years of the United Nations Declaration on the Right to Development 249, 252-253 (2013), available at http://www.ohchr. org/Documents/Issues/Development/RTDBook/PartIIIChapter18.pdf (noting that Howse quotes both Kevin Davis and Benedict Kingsbury’s take on the implications of over-burdening fragile states with obligations imposed on them by global governance institutions). 37 See id. at 252. 38 See id. at 252 (inferring that because of the inclusiveness indicative of the meta-structures, there is an aspect of seclusion and lack of transparency). 39 See Marrakesh Agreement, supra note 25, at Preamble. 40 See Howse, supra note 36, at 253. 41 See John H. Jackson et. al, Legal Problems of International Economic Relations: Cases, Material, and Text 1281 (West 6th ed. 2013) (noting that Special and Differential treatment includes exempting LDCs from export subsidy ban, increased participation of developing countries in the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS), in addition to elongated transition periods to fulfill new commitments). 42 Howse, supra note 36, at 253(providing a background on the Doha Development Round). 43 World Trade Organization, Ministerial Declaration of 14 November 2001, WT/MIN(01)/DEC/1, 41 I.L.M. 746 (2002) [hereinafter Doha Declaration]. 44 See Segger & Gehreng, supra note 30, at 20-21. 45 See Ala’i, supra note 27, at 67. 46 See GATT, supra note 26, at art. XX. 47 See generally Shrimp-Turtle, supra note 32, at ¶ 128, 153 (noting that Article XX is a living and breathing). 48 See id. at ¶ 153. 49 See Ala’i, supra note 27, at 67. 50 Shrimp-Turtle case ¶ 153. 51 Ala’i, supra note 27, at 77. 52 UNGA Second and Third Committees kick off in New York, DESA News (Nov. 2015), https://www.un.org/development/desa/newsletter/feature/2015/11/#18476. See generally Second Committee, Gen. Assembly of the United Nations (Oct. 19, 2015) http://www.un.org/en/ga/second/index.shtml (indicating that the Second Committee is the Economic and Financial Committee, and it is tasked with issues relating to economic growth and development, such as macroeconomic policy questions, financing for development, sustainable development, human settlements, poverty eradication, globalization and interdependence, operational activities for development, and information and communication technologies for development). 53 DESA News, supra note 52. 54 Joost Pauwelyn, Preface to Conflicts of Norms in Public International Law: How WTO Law Relates to Other Rules of International Law, at xi (2003). 55 Id. 56 Id. 57 See Ronald Dworkin, Introduction to Taking Rights Seriously, at xi (Harvard University Press, 1977). 58 See generally Alfred Verdross, Jus Dispositivum and Jus Cogens in International Law, 61 Am, J. Int’l L. 55, 55-56, 58 (providing the typical characteristics of jus cogens). 59 See Jose E. Alvarez, International Organizations as Law-Makers, (Oxford University Press 2005) (noting that it is unclear to what extent the hierarchy in Art. 38 of the International Court of Justice Statute can resolve the creative legislative methods that today’s international law witnesses, including international organizations’ law-making roles). 60 Howse, supra note 36, at 249. 61 See id. (citing Int’l L. Comm. Fragmentation of International Law: Difficulties Arising from the Diversification and Expansion of International Law, ¶ 37, U.N. Doc. No. A/CN.4/L.682 (Apr. 13, 2006). Sustainable Development Law & Policy 62 See Pauwelyn, supra note 54, at 9-10. id. 64 See id. at 18-19. 65 See id. at 19-20. 66 See id. 67 See Id. at 488-90. 68 See id. at 489, 491. 69 Gregory C. Schaffer & Mark A. Pollack, Hard v. Soft Law: Alternatives, Complements, and Antagonists in International Governance, 94 Minn. L. Rev. 706, 709 (2010). 70 See id. at 708-09. 71 See Azevêdo, supra note 23. 72 See id. 73 See Public Form 2015, WTO, https://www.wto.org/english/forums_e/ public_forum15_e/public_forum15_e.htm (last visited Apr. 17, 2016). 74 See Roberto Azevêdo, Director-General, World Trade Org., Speech at the United Nations Headquarters (Sept. 25, 2015) (transcript available at https:// www.wto.org/english/news_e/news15_e/dgra_25sep15_e.htm). 75 Id. 76 Id. 77 Sustainable Development Goals, supra note 17. 78 Pauwelyn, supra note 54, at 491. 79 Id. 80 Id. at 490. 81 Id. 82 Id. 83 See VCLT, supra note 2, at art. 31(3.)(c). 84 See Pauwelyn, supra note 54, at 490. 85 See generally Henning Jessen, Trade and Development Law in Sustainable Development in World Trade Law 77, at 84-86 (discussing how although development is not recognized as a right by the industrial world, it is recognized as soft law). 86 See id. 87 See Joel P. Trachtman, The Economic Structure of International Law 224 (Harvard University Press 2008). 88 See Howse, supra note 36, at 254 (discussing the different kinds of individuals in the WTO who oversee the implementation of s). 89 See id. at 255-56. 90 See id. at 250, 256. 91 See Jackson, supra note 41, at 254. 92 Members and Observers, WTO, available at https://www.wto.org/english/ thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/org6_e.htm (last visited Apr. 17, 2016); see also Azevêdo, supra note 23. 93 Perhaps this could be illustrated by the different government procurement concerns between the U.S. on the one hand, and the E.U. on the other, within the context of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership Agreement negotiations. Where state sovereignty within the U.S. federal system could prove problematic to these negotiations, while still drawing on the WTO Government Procurement Agreement as amended in 2012. 94 See Brazil, Russia, India, and China –BRIC, Investopedia, available at http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bric.asp (last visited Apr. 23, 2015) (explaining BRIC members are Brazil, Russia, India, and China). 95 Richard Baldwin & Caroline Freund, Preferential Trade Agreements and Multilateral Liberalization in Preferential Trade Agreement Policies for Development: A Handbook 123, 134-37 (Jean-Pierre & Jean-Christophe Mau eds. World Bank, 2011) (highlighting that there has been literature on the issue of the proliferation of preferential trade agreements in comparison with the multilateral trading system approaching it from different angles. Paul Krugman looked into the rational choice and prisoner’s dilemma aspect pushing states to opt for a regionalism or bilateralism. While others like Richard Baldwin and Caroline Freund discuss whether empirical research could explain if and how one option is better than the other.). 96 World Investment Report 2015, UNCTAD, available at http://www.worldinvestmentreport.org/wir2015/wir2015-ch3-investment-policy-trends/ (last visited Apr. 28, 2016). 97 See id. at 106. 98 See id. 99 See id. at 107 100 See id. at 112. 101 See id. at 108. 102 See id. at 112. 103 See id. at 108. 63 See Spring 2016 104 See Model Agreements, Investment Policy Hub, UNCTAD, available at http://investmentpolicyhub.unctad.org/IIA/AdvancedSearchIRIResults (last visited Apr. 28, 2016) [hereinafter Model Agreements] (providing an example of the Preambles of the Norway Model BIT (2015), Austria Model BIT (2010), and Canada Model BIT (2004) and article 11 thereof). 105 See id. 106 See Norway Data, World Bank, available at http://data.worldbank.org/ country/norway (last visited Apr. 28, 2016). 107 See Model Agreements, supra note 104 (highlighting the preamble of the Norway Model BIT 2015). 108 See id. 109 Id. 110 See id. (quoting the Norway Model BIT 2015 art. 11/1). 111 See id. (quoting the Norway Model BIT 2015 art. 12). 112 See id. 113 See id. (quoting Preamble of the Norway Model BIT 2015). 114 UNCTAD, 2012 U.S. Model Bilateral Investment Treaty (2012) [hereinafter Model Bilateral Investment Treaty], available at http://investmentpolicyhub. unctad.org/Download/TreatyFile/2870 (last visited Apr. 28, 2016). 115 See id. (noting Art. 1 of the U.S. Model BIT 2012 provides a definition of the term “investment”, and provides a list that may fall under that scope). 116 Salini Costruttori S.p.A. & Italstrade S.p.A.. v. Kingdom of Morocco, ICSID Case No. ARB/00/4, Decision on Jurisdiction, 52 (2003), 42 ILM 609 (2003). 117 Id. at 57. 118 See Model Bilateral Investment Treaty, supra note 114 (“Agreeing that a stable framework for investment will maximize effective utilization of economic resources and improve living standards . . . Recognizing the importance of providing effective means of asserting claims and enforcing rights with respect to investment under national law as well as through international arbitration . . . Desiring to achieve these objectives in a manner consistent with the protection of health, safety, and the environment, and the promotion of internationally recognized labor rights.”). 119 UNCTAD, Southern African Development Community (SADC) Model Bilateral Investment Treaty Model Template with Commentary (2012) [hereinafter “SADC Model BIT”], available at http://investmentpolicyhub.unctad.org/ IIA/AdvancedSearchIRIResults (last visited April 28, 2016). 120 See Model Agreements, supra note 104 (concerning the previously mentioned Preambles of the Norway Model BIT, Austria Model BIT, and Canada Model BIT). 121 See SADC Model BIT, supra note 119, at art. 13.1; see also Sustainability at IFC, Int’l Fin. Corp., available at http://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/topics (last visited Apr. 19, 2016). 122 See Model Agreements, supra note 104 (noting the closing sentence of the Norway Model BIT 2015). 123 SADC Model BIT, supra note 119, at art. 13.4 124 See id. at art. 21.3 125 See id. (referencing Commentary on art. 21 of the SADC Model BIT). 126 Sustainable Development Goals, supra note 17. 127 See generally Pablo de Greiff, Transitional Justice and Development in Transitional Justice and Development: Making Connections (Pablo de Greiff and Roger Duthie eds., 2009). 128 See UNCTAD, Eurasian Economic Union-Vietnam FTA Model Agreement (2012) [hereinafter EEU-Vietnam FTA], available at http://investmentpolicyhub.unctad.org/IIA/AdvancedSearchIRIResults (last visited Nov. 4, 2015); see also UNCTAD, GCC-EFTA FTA-Kuwait: Other IIAs, Inv. Policy Hub, (2009) available at http://investmentpolicyhub.unctad.org/IIA/CountryOtherIias/112# iiaInnerMenu (last visited Apr. 28, 2015) (noting the term sustainable development was also mentioned within the context of the Preamble of the GCC-EFTA FTA, between the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council and the European Free Trade Association –composed of the Republic of Iceland, the Principality of Liechtenstein, the Kingdom of Norway and the Swiss Confederation). 129 EEU-Vietnam FTA, supra note 128, at art. 12.1 130 See id. at art. 12.3-12.4 131 See id. at art. 12.5-12.6, 12.8. 132 See generally Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, TPP Full Text [hereinafter “TPP Agreement”], available at https://ustr.gov/trade-agreements/ free-trade-agreements/trans-pacific-partnership/TPP-Full-Text (last visited Apr. 19, 2016) (noting the preamble of the TPP). 133 Id. 134 See generally id. at 230-35. 135 Id at 230. 39 136 See 159 Id. 137 Id. 160 Id. generally id. at 201-26. at 233. 138 See id. at 203. 139 See id. 140 See id. at 209-10 141 See id at 251. 142 Id. at 254. (noting that other chapters of the TPP would supersede the Regulatory Coherence Chapter in case of inconsistency, and there is no recourse to the Agreement’s dispute settlement mechanism for matters arising from later in this chapter). 143 Id. 144 EEU-Vietnam FTA, supra note 128, at 1; SADC Model BIT, supra note 119, at 5; Australian Gov. Dep’t of Foreign Aff. and Trade, Free Trade Agreement Between the Government of Australia and the Government of the People’s Republic of China, , http://dfat.gov.au/trade/agreements/chafta/officialdocuments/Documents/chafta-agreement-text.pdf [hereinafter ChAFTA]. 145 See TPP Agreement, supra note 132, at 1 (noting other chapters of the TPP would supersede the Regulatory Coherence Chapter in case of inconsistency, and there is no recourse to the Agreement’s dispute settlement mechanism for matters arising from this latter Chapter.) 146 See Alice Tipping & Robert Wolfe, Trade and Sustainable Development: Options for Follow-up and Review of the Trade-related Elements of the Post2015 Agenda and Financing for Development i, (Int’l Inst. for Sustainable Dev., Working Draft, 2015), http://www.iisd.org/sites/default/files/publications/tradesustainable-development-options-post-2015-agenda.pdf 147 See EEU-Vietnam FTA, supra note 128, (highlighting the preamble); see ChAFTA, supra note 144 (noting the preamble); see SADC Model BIT, supra note 119 (noting the preamble). 148 TPP Agreement, supra note 132, at 1. 149 See Tipping, supra note 146. 150 See Joost Pauwelyn, Rule-based Trade 2.0: The Rise of Informal Rules and International Standards and How they may Outcompete WTO Treaties, 14 J. Int’l Econ. L. 1, 1-2 (2014). 151 See id. (describing this as moving away from “thin state consent” to a “thick stakeholder consensus.”). 152 Niels Peterson, How Rational is International Law?, 20 Eur. J. Int’l L. 1247, 1254-55 (2008). 153 John Jackson, Perils of Globalization and the World Trading System, 24 Fordham Int’l L. J. 371, 375 (2000). 154 Id. 155 Id. 156 See id. at 376 (explaining civil society perhaps alerted the international community on how their interests may not always be aligned with those of their governments. And as such, they demand a more direct way to participate in more flexible policies where they can pressure their governments in fulfilling in a certain manner). 157 Id. 158 World Trade Organization, Development: Trade and Development Committee: Special and Differential Treatment Provisions, https://www.wto.org/english/ tratop_e/devel_e/dev_special_differential_provisions_e.htm (last visited Apr. 19, 2016). 161 Id. 162 See Benedict Kingsbury, Nico Kirsch, & Richard Stewart, The Emergence of Global Administrative Law, 68 L. & Contemp. Probs. 15, 58 (2005). 163 Agreement on Technical Barriers to Trade, Uruguay Round of Trade Negotiations 1994, WTO, available at https://www.wto.org/english/docs_e/ legal_e/17-tbt_e.htm (last visited Apr. 28, 2016). 164 World Trade Organization, Technical Barriers to Trade, https://www.wto. org/english/tratop_e/tbt_e/tbt_e.htm (last visited Apr. 28, 2016). 165 Id. 166 See WTO Committee on Technical Barriers to Trade, Decisions and Recommendations Adopted by the WTO Committee on Technical Barriers to Trade Since 1 of January 1995: Note by the Secretariat, WTO Doc. G/TBT/1/Rev.12 (Jan. 21, 2015) [hereinafter TBT Committee Decisions & Recommendations]; see also WTO Committee on Technical Barriers to Trade, Annex 2 to TBT Committee Decisions & Recommendations, WTO Doc. G/TBT/1/Rev.12 (Jan. 21, 2015). 167 See id. 168 See id. 169 See TBT Committee Decisions & Recommendations, supra note 166. 170 Pauwelyn, supra note 150, at 15-18. 171 See id. 172 See Tipping, supra note 146, at 7. 173 Id. at 14-19. 174 Id. at 9-14. 175 Id. at 9-10. 176 See id. at 10. 177 See id. at 10-11. 178 See id. at 11. 179 See id. at 11-12. 180 See id. at 12-13. 181 The UN System Task Team, UN Dev. Policy & Analysis Div, http://www. un.org/en/development/desa/policy/untaskteam_undf/index.shtml (last visited Apr. 28, 2016). 182 See id. 183 See id. 184 Andrew T. Guzman, How International Law Works: A Rational Choice Theory 162 Oxford University Press (2008) (explaining the state circumstantial alteration towards broad based treaties for instance, which drags on a number of different topics –what he called “complex treaty mechanisms.” The reasons included, 1) Effectiveness that comes with interrelated topics under one regime. 2) Compensating over different issues with diverse interests. 3) And using existing infrastructure by economies of scope). 185 John Jackson, Perspectives on Regionalism in Trade Relations, 27 Law & Pol’y Int’l Bus. 873, 873 (1996). 186 See Sustainable Development Goals, supra note 17 (demonstrating the topics range from issues connected to employment, forced labor, tourism, and strong banking institutions. These targets are soft, and they serve soft goals. This is susceptible to debates on how much “teeth” they have). Endnotes: A North-South Struggle: Political and Economic Obstacles to Sustainable Development continued from page 25 2 See Gary C. Bryner, From Promises to Performance: Achieving Global Environmental Goals 260-61 (1997) (inferring that due to developed nations not imposing controls to prevent pollution, developing countries are being treated unjustly when developed nations prevent developing nations from trying to develop). 3 See id. at 261. 4 President Barack Obama, Remarks by the President on Climate Change (June 25, 2013) (transcript available at https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-pressoffice/2013/06/25/remarks-president-climate-change) [hereinafter “Obama Remarks on Climate Change”]. 5 See Black, supra note 1, at 96 (stating “the lack of willingness from the North, particularly the US, to regulate its own energy consumption, does little to encourage Southern governments to take resource conservation seriously.”). 40 6 Bryner, supra note 2, 7 Naomi at 261. Klein, This Changes Everything: Capitalism vs. The Climate 409 (2014). 8 See Black, supra note 1, at 93. 9 See Maggie Black, No Nonsense International Development: Illusions and Realities 105 (3d. ed. 2015) (“Blocks on resource use would fix the world in permanent inequality between haves and have nots.”). 10 See Peter Ørebech & Fred Bosselman, The Linkage between Sustainable Development and Customary Law, in The Role of Customary Law in Sustainable Development 13 (2005). See generally Friedrich Soltau, Fairness in International Climate Change Law and Policy 7-8 (2009) (providing an overview of the critiques developing countries have of developed countries). Sustainable Development Law & Policy 11 See Black, supra note 1, at 96; see also, Black, supra note 9, at 104 (“If all the world’s people were to live like North Americans, a planet four times as large would be needed.”). 12 See Marie-Claire Cordonie Segger & Ashfaq Khalfan, Sustainable Development Law: Principles, Practices, and Prospects 47 (2011); Sustainable Justice: Reconciling Economic, Social and Environmental Law 1-3 (Marie-Claire Cordonier Segger & Judge C.G. Weeramantry eds., 2005). 13 See generally id., at 1-3 (providing a discussion of how sustainable development is dependent on a coexisting and balanced economy and environment). 14 See id. at 47. 15 Id. at 1-3. 16 Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development, March 1987, Our Common Future, U.N. Doc. A/42/427 (March 1987) [hereinafter “Brundtland Report”]. 17 See Philippe Sands, Principles of International Environmental Law 10 (2d ed. 2003). 18 See Lakshman Guruswamy & Brent Hendricks, International Environmental Law in a Nutshell 11 (1997). The “despairing thesis” is well illustrated by two notorious neo-Malthusian works from the 1970s. See generally Donella H. Meadows et al., The Limits to Growth: A Report for the Club of Rome’s Project on the Predicament of Mankind (1973); see generally Paul R. Ehrlich, The Population Bomb (1971). 19 See Brundtland Report, supra note 16, at 41. This concept, called “intergenerational equity,” is Principle 3 of the Rio Declaration. See United Nations Conference on Environment and Development, Rio de Janeiro, Braz., June 3-14, 1992, Rio Declaration on Environment and Development, U.N. Doc. A/ CONF.151/26/Rev. 1, 31 I.L.M. 874 (1992). 20 See Brundtland Report, supra note 16, at 41 21 See David Hunter et al., International Environmental Law and Policy 181 (2d ed. 2002) (indicating that “substainable development requires meeting the basic needs of all and extending to all the opportunity to satisfy their aspirations for a better life.”) (emphasis added). 22 See Sands, supra note 17, at 11 (noting five objectives to promote sustainable development). 23 See generally Rio Declaration, supra note 19. See generally Patricia Birnie & Alan Boyle, International Law and the Environment 43 (2nd rev. ed. 2002) (discussing the use of the UNEP’s General Council to encourage nations to come together to brain storm ways to improve the “world environment situation.”). 24 See section V.C infra. 25 Report of the World Summit on Social Development, Copenhagen, Den., March 6-12, 1995, Copenhagen Declaration, U.N. Doc. A/CONF.166/7/ ¶ 6 (1996). 26 Id. at ¶ 6. 27 Gabčíkovo-Nagymaros Project (Hung. v. Slovak.), 1997 I.C.J. 7, 88, 93 (Sept. 25) (separate opinion of Judge Weeramantry); see also Virginie Barral, Sustainable Development in International Law: Nature and Operation of an Evolutive Legal Norm, 23 Eur. J. Intl. L. 377, 384 (2012) (noting there are references to sustainable development “in over 300 [bilateral]” and 112 multilateral treaties and concluding that sustainable development has widely penetrated treaty law). 28 M. Lucien Royer, Trade Unions and Environmentally Sustainable Development, in Working Party on Environmental Performance Preparation of Second Cycle of OECD Environmental Performance, Paris, Fr., Sept. 22-24, 1999, OECD Seminar, Social and Environmental Interface Proceedings, ENV/ EPOC/GEP (99) 13, 1, 169 (September 22-24, 1999). 29 International Union for Conservation of Nature-World Conservation Union, Guide to Preparing and Implementing National Sustainable Development Strategies and Other Multi-sectoral Environment and Development Strategies, prepared by the IUCN’s Commission on Environmental Strategies Working Group on Strategies for Sustainability, the IUCN Secretariat and the Environmental Planning Group of the International Institute for Environment and Development, pre-publication draft, 1993. 30 See United Nations Conference on Environment and Development, Rio de Janeiro, Braz., June 3-14, 1992, Agenda 21, U.N. Doc. A/CONF.151/26 [hereinafter “Agenda 21”]. 31 See generally id. 32 Rio Declaration, supra note 19, at Principle 3. 33 Agenda 21, supra note 30. The UN General Assembly endorsed the Rio Declaration and Agenda 21 and called for implementation of their commitments and recommendations. Rep. of the U.N. Conference on Env’t & Dev. Dec. 22, Spring 2016 1992, U.N. Doc. A/RES/47/19;,G.A. Res. 47/191, ¶ 2, U.N. GAOR, 47th Sess., U.N. Doc. A/RES/47/191 (Jan. 29, 1993). 34 See Agenda 21, supra note 30. 35 See Birnie & Boyle, supra note 23, at 85. 36 See Scott Wisor, The Impending Failure of the Sustainable Development Goals, Ethics & Int’l Affairs (Sept. 30, 2014), http://www.ethicsandinternationalaffairs.org/2014/the-impending-failure-of-the-sustainable-developmentgoals/; Kofi Annan & Nader Mousavizadeh, Interventions: A Life in War and Peace 222-225 (2012) (providing an overview of how various international meetings for the UN developed the agenda that exists). 37 See United Nations Millennium Declaration, G.A Res. 55/2, U.N. Doc. A/ res/55/2 (Sept. 20, 2000). 38 Id. at ¶ 15, 23. 39 See generally Millennium Dev. Goals & Beyond 2015, United Nations, http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/ (noting that there are eight total millennium goals in addition to news and background on the goals) (last visited Apr. 14, 2016); see generally Annan, supra note 36, at 226-50 (describing MDG’s according to Kofi Annan’s time at the United Nations). 40 Michael W. Doyle & Joseph E. Stiglitz, Eliminating Extreme Inequality: A Sustainable Development Goal, 2015-2030, Ethics & Int’l Affairs (Mar. 20, 2014), http://www.ethicsandinternationalaffairs.org/2014/ eliminating-extreme-inequality-a-sustainable-development-goal-2015-2030/. 41 See Wisor, supra note 36. 42 See generally Millennium Dev. Goals & Beyond 2015, supra note 39 (addressing the following matters relating to sustainable development: education, gender equality, child mortality, maternal health, combatting malaria, AIDS, and other infectious diseases, debt relief, and, most importantly, elimination of “extreme” hunger and poverty). 43 Doyle & Stiglitz, supra note 40; see also Annan & Mousavizadeh, supra note 36, at 248. 44 See The U.N.’s Post-2015 Development Agenda, U.N. Ass’n of the U.S., http://www.unausa.org/advocacy/post-2015-development-agenda (last visited Apr. 14, 2016). 45 See id. 46 See John H. Knox, Human Rights, Environmental Protection, and the Sustainable Development Goals, 24 Wa. Int’l L. J. 517, 518 (2015). 47 See Open Working Group Proposal for Sustainable Development Goals, U.N. Dep’t of Econ. & Soc. Affairs (July 19, 2014), https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/focussdgs.html [hereinafter “Sustainable Development Goals”]. 48 See Millennium Dev. Goals & Beyond 2015, supra note 39 (noting that the MDG goal of eradicating world poverty remains Goal 1 under the SDGs); Sustainable Development Goals, supra note 47 (SDG 1). Guaranteed education is MDG 2 and SDG 4. See Millennium Dev. Goals & Beyond 2015, supra note 39 (MDG 2); Sustainable Development Goals, supra note 47 (SDG 4). Ensuring gender equality is MDG 3 and SDG 5. See Millennium Dev. Goals & Beyond 2015, supra note 39 (MDG 3); Sustainable Development Goals, supra note 47 (SDG 5). A global partnership for development is MDG 8 and SDG 17. See Millennium Dev. Goals & Beyond 2015, supra note 39 (MDG 8); Sustainable Development Goals, supra note 47 (SDG 17). MDG 5, guaranteeing maternal health, has been expanded in SDG 3 to encompass health assurance for everyone: men, women, and children. See Millennium Dev. Goals & Beyond 2015, supra note 39 (MDG 5); Sustainable Development Goals, supra note 47 (SDG 3). 49 Thus, Millennium Goal 7 (“Ensure Environmental Sustainability”) is spread among six Sustainable Development Goals, to wit: SDG 2 (sustainable agriculture), 6 (clean water and sanitation), 7 (cheap sustainable energy for all), 8 (sustainable economic growth), 9 (infrastructure and sustainable industrialization), 11 (sustainable cities and settlements). Commitment to addressing climate change has been made an express SDG: Goal 13. See MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS, supra note 39 (MDG 7); SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS, supra note 47 (SDGs 2, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 11). The only brand new goal the SDGs add is a commitment to fighting inequality. See SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS, supra note 47 (SDG 10). 50 See Donald Brown, American Heat: Ethical Problems with the United States’ Response to Global Warming xv-xix, 13, 19 (2002). 51 Id. at 16, 18. 52 Id. at 16. 53 Id. at 15-16 (citing Global Energy Future and the Carbon Dioxide Problem,, U.S. Council on Envtl. Quality (1981)). 54 Id. at 16. (noting that Reagan also removed the solar panels which President Carter had installed on the roof of the White House). 41 55 For an early retrospective on the Reagan environmental record, see Philip Shabecoff, Reagan and Environment: To Many, A Stalemate, N.Y. Times (Jan. 2, 1989), http://www.nytimes.com/1989/01/02/us/reagan-and-environmentto-many-a-stalemate.html?pagewanted=1 (indicating that “[c]ritics also complain of the Administration’s persistent demand for scientific certainty before acting on problems like acid rain and global warming.”). 56 See Report of the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee for a Framework Convention on Climate Change, April 30, 1992 – May 9, 1992, U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change, U.N. Doc. A:AC.237/18 (1992) [hereinafter “FCCC”]. The Framework Convention on Climate Change was signed by President George Herbert Walker Bush on October 15, 1992. It was ratified by the U.S. Senate on March 21, 1994. art. 4(2)(a), (b). 57 See Brown, supra note 50, at 20, 23. 58 Id. at 22. 59 Id. at 23. 60 Id. at 24. 61 Id. at 25. 62 Id. at 27 (noting that the Republican Party had taken control of Congress following the 1994 mid-term elections). 63 Id. at 28. 64 Id. at 29. 65 See Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Dec. 10, 1997, U.N. Doc FCCC/CP/1997/7/Add.1, 37 I.L.M. 22 (1998) [hereinafter “Kyoto Protocol”]. 66 “Common but differentiated responsibilities” is a core concept in sustainable development. The phrase was inserted into the Rio Declaration at the behest of the IBSA states: India, Brazil, and South Africa. See Vijay Prashad, The Poorer Nations: A Possible History of the Global South 191-92 (2012). “Common but differentiated responsibilities” means that all countries must take action to halt climate change, but not necessarily the same action or to the same extent. The developed states bear the bulk of the responsibility for reducing carbon emissions. The developing states bear the bulk of the responsibility for arresting population growth. 67 See Brown, supra note 50, at 186. 68 The FCCC includes three “flexibility mechanisms.” They are explained by Donald Brown, thusly “Emissions trading. An international trading mechanism that would allow developed nations with Kyoto targets to purchase emissions allowances from developed countries that have more permits than they need [Kyoto Protocol art. 17]. Joint Implementation. An international trading mechanism that allows developed nations with emissions targets to obtain credit toward the target by funding emission reduction projects [such as planting forests] in other developed nations that have targets [Kyoto Protocol art. 6].” See Brown, supra note 48, at 187. The third flexibility mechanism, “the Clean Development Mechanism,” is the same as Joint Implementation except that it covers emissions reduction projects in developing countries (Kyoto Protocol art. 12). See Laurence Boisson de Chazournes, Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change 2, available at http:// legal.un.org/avl/ha/kpccc/kpccc.html (highlighting that parties to the Kyoto Protocol may “achieve compliance through climate friendly investments in other countries and through emission trading.”). Norway proposed Joint Implementation, and Brazil proposed the clean development mechanism. See Brown, supra note 50, at 187. 69 See Quinn Schiermeier, The Kyoto Protocol: Hot Air, Nature (Nov. 28, 2012), http://www.nature.com/news/the-kyoto-protocol-hot-air-1.11882; see also Brown, supra note 50, at 186. 70 See Timothy Donaghy et al., Atmosphere of Pressure: Political Interference in Federal Climate Science 7 (Feb. 2007), available at http://www. ucsusa.org/sites/default/files/legacy/assets/documents/scientific_integrity/ atmosphere-of-pressure.pdf. 71 See Armin Rosencranz, U.S. Climate Change Policy under G. W. Bush, 32 Golden Gate U. L. Rev. 479, 482 (2002). 72 See Section V infra. 73 See James Mann, George W. Bush 48, 55 (2015); Maurice Strong, Facing Down Armageddon: Our Environment at a Crossroads, 26.2 World Pol’y J. 25, 26 (2009). During his 2000 Presidential campaign Bush promised that he would institute mandatory limits on CO2 emissions from fossil fuel-burning power plants—a promise he would soon break. See Robert S. Devine, Bush Versus the Environment 174-75, 204 (2004). 74 See Katherine Q. Seelye & Andrew C. Revkin, Panel Tells Bush Global Warming Is Getting Worse, N.Y. Times (June 7, 2001), http://www.nytimes. com/2001/06/07/science/07WARM.html?pagewanted=all; see also Katherine Q. 42 Seelye, President Distances Himself from Global Warming Report, N.Y. TIMES (June 5, 2002), http://www.nytimes.com/2002/06/05/us/president-distanceshimself-from-global-warming-report.html (noting that a similar report from the EPA the next year also met with Bush Administration indifference). 75 See Jane Mayer, Dark Money: The Hidden History of the Billionaires Behind the Rise of the Radical Right 212 (2016) (“The George W. Bush years, meanwhile, proved a bonanza for the fossil fuel industry.”); Suraje Dessai, The Climate Regime from The Hague to Marakech: Saving Or Sinking the Kyoto Protocol 5 (Tyndal Centre for Climate Change Research Working Paper No. 12, 2001), available at http://tyndall.ac.uk/sites/default/files/wp12.pdf. 76 See Mayer, supra note 75, at 204 (noting that the conservative party was off-put in assisting with environmentally necessary tactics to reduce global warming); see also Emily Atkin, Jeb Bush and George W. Bush Have Drastically Different Views on Climate Change, ThinkProgress (May 22, 2015, 12:19 P.M.), http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2015/05/22/3661732/ jeb-vs-george-bush-climate-change/. 77 See Juliet Eilperin, Bush Seeks Voluntary Curb on Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Wash. Post (Apr. 17, 2008), http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/ content/story/2008/04/17/ST2008041700037.html. 78 George W. Bush, Bush Remarks on Climate, Apr. 16, 2008 (transcript available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/04/16/ AR2008041603084.html). Section V infra of this article discusses the George W. Bush Administration’s faulty understanding of intragenerational equity expressed in the Administration’s refusal to reduce its own carbon emissions unless China and India did so to the same degree. 79 See generally Chris Williams, Ecology and Socialism 80 (2010). 80 See John M. Broder, Obama Affirms Climate Change Goals, N.Y. Times (Nov. 18, 2008), http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/19/us/politics/19climate. html. 81 Klein, supra note 7, at 12. 82 Id. 83 See Stephen Lacey, As Global CO2 Emissions Rise, Scientists Warn 2-Degree Target Is Nearly Out of Reach: ‘We Need a Radical Plan’, ThinkProgress (Dec. 3, 2012), http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/12/03/1270911/ as-global-co2-emissions-rise-scientists-warn-2-degree-target-is-nearly-out-ofreach-we-need-a-radical-plan/. 84 See Johann Hari, After the Catastrophe in Copenhagen, It’s Up to Us, Indep., http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/commentators/johann-hari/johannhari-after-the-catastrophe-in-copenhagen-its-up-to-us-1846366.html (Dec. 21, 2009) (“The world’s climate scientists have shown that man-made global warming must not exceed 2C. When you hear this, a natural reaction is – that’s not much; how bad can it be if we overshoot? If I go out for a picnic and the temperature rises or falls by 2C, I don’t much notice. But this is the wrong analogy. If your body temperature rises by 2C, you become feverish and feeble. If it doesn’t go back down again, you die. The climate isn’t like a picnic; it’s more like your body.”). 85 See Fram Dinshaw, Two-Degree Target May Still Cause Catastrophic Sea Level Rise, Hames Hansen Warns, Nat’l Observer (July 20, 2015), http://www. nationalobserver.com/2015/07/20/news/two-degree-target-may-still-causecatastrophic-sea-level-rise-james-hansen-warns. 86 See Justin Gillis, 2015 Was Hottest Year in Historical Record, Scientists Say, N.Y. Times (Jan. 21, 2016), http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/21/science/ earth/2015-hottest-year-global-warming.html. 87 See John Vidal et al., Low Targets, Goals Dropped: Copenhagen Ends in Failure, Guardian (Dec. 18, 2009), http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2009/dec/18/copenhagen-deal; see also Bill McKibben, Things Fall Apart and an Uncertain Future Looms, Yale Env’t 360 (Dec. 21, 2009), http://e360. yale.edu/feature/copenhagen_things_fall_apart_and_an_uncertain_future_ looms/2225/ (noting that some regions will experience higher temperature increases than the world average). 88 See McKibben, supra note 87. 89 See generally id (providing a discussion of the events leading up to and after Copehagen). 90 See Michael Levi, The Obama-China Climate Deal Can’t Save the World. So What?, The Wash. Post (Nov. 21, 2014), https://www.washingtonpost.com/ posteverything/wp/2014/11/21/the-obama-china-climate-deal-cant-save-theworld-so-what/. Note that the United States had moved the goalposts since Kyoto. See Williams, supra note 79, at 81. At Kyoto, the United States agreed to reduce emissions 7 per cent below 1990 levels by 2008-2012. Id. at 108. But in 2009 at Copenhagen, the United States moved the baseline year for measuring from 1990 to 2005. Id. at 81. Carbon had, of course, continued to build up Sustainable Development Law & Policy in earth’s atmosphere during those fifteen years. So measuring from 1990, the US pledge at Copenhagen actually only amounted to a 4% reduction in US emissions—not 7%. Id. 91 See Williams, supra note 79, at 81. 92 See id. at 82-83. 93 See id. 94 See Putting a Price on Carbon: An Emissions Cap or a Tax?, Yale Env’t 360 (May 7, 2009), http://e360.yale.edu/feature/ putting_a_price_on_carbon_an_emissions_cap_or_a_tax/2148/. 95 See Williams, supra note 65, at 81. 96 See Stephen Power, Senate Halts Effort to Cap CO2 Emissions, Wall St. J., (last updated July 23, 2010), http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB1000142405274 8703467304575383373600358634. 97 Cf. Williams, supra note 79, at 83-84 (discussing the failure of cap and trade in Europe due to corporate cheating and the excessive issuance of carbon credits). 98 Id. at 21. 99 Id. 100 See Obama Remarks on Climate Change, supra note 4. 101 Id. (emphasizing that there are no federal limits to the amount of carbon pollution that [power] plants can pump into our air, currently 40 percent of America’s carbon pollution); see Coral Davenport, McConnell Urges States to Help Thwart Obama’s ‘War on Coal,‘ N.Y. Times (Mar. 20, 2015) (calling carbon pollution from coal-fired power plants “the nation’s largest source of greenhouse gas emissions.”). 102 See Obama Remarks on Climate Change, supra note 4 (highlighting “a low-carbon clean energy economy can be an engine of growth for decades to come” and that there is no “contradiction between a sound environment and strong economic growth.”). 103 West Virginia v. EPA, 362 F.3d 861, 873 (D.C. Cir. 2004) (noting that the United States District Court for the District of Columbia denied the State of West Virginia’s argument on the basis that the EPA was not given an opportunity to provide feedback to the NODA docket). 104 In re Murray Energy Corp. v. EPA, 788 F.3d 330, 336 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (deciding that because the EPA’s proposed rule was not final, it did not have an immediate effect on Murray Energy Corp. and the State of West Virginia). 105 See Levi, supra note 90. 106 David Nakamura & Steven Mufson, China, U.S. agree to limit greenhouse gases, Wash. Post (Nov. 12, 2014), https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/ economy/china-us-agree-to-limit-greenhouse-gases/2014/11/11/9c76850469e6-11e4-9fb4-a622dae742a2_story.html. 107 See Roger Bybee, Scapegoating China: Framing China as an Environmental Villain Only Serves to Excuse American Inaction, JacobinMag (Mar. 27, 2015), https://www.jacobinmag.com/2015/03/china-united-states-climatechange-agreement/; see Klein, supra note 7, at 69, 81 (discussing how China’s manufacturing exports during the 1990s created significant amounts of pollution globally in doing so). 108 See Bybee, supra note 107. 109 See Klein, supra note 7, at 69-70, 81. 110 Professor Kirk Junker observes that a mechanism already exists for resolving the problem of vicarious polluting. The Pennsylvania Air Pollution Control Act imposes penalties on both owners and operators of pollution sources. 35 P.S. §§4001-4015. Were a similar plan to be instituted at the global level, the United States and China could both be penalized for carbon emissions from US plants operating in China. Professor Junker urged that this mechanism be part of whatever agreement was reached at the Paris Climate Summit in December 2015. Professor Kirk Junker in a private communication to the authors, June 19, 2015 (on file with authors). 111 See Nakamura & Mufson, supra note 106. 112 Bybee, supra note 107. 113 Id. 114 See Levi, supra note 90. 115 The Paris Summit was formally known as the 21st Conference of the Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (“COP 21”). See Justin Worland, Why the Paris Summit Is All About the Money, Time (Dec. 7, 2015), http://time.com/4138150/finance-paris-climate-conference/ (providing a broad overview of the goals of COP 21). 116 See Brian Palmer, INDC: The Acronym Standing between Us and Disaster, Natural Res. Def. Council (Oct. 29, 2015), https://www.nrdc.org/onearth/ indc-acronym-standing-between-us-and-disaster; Tim Profeta, The Climate Post: United States, Europe Announce Emissions Reductions Pledges, Spring 2016 Huffington Post, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/tim-profeta/the-climate-postunited-s_b_6995244.html (last updated June 2, 2015); see also INDCs as communicated by Parties, UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, www4. unfccc.int/submissions/INDC/Submission%20Pages/submissions.aspx (last visited Apr. 23, 2016) (listing the INDCs submitted by the nations participating in COP 21). 117 See United States, UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, http:// www4.unfccc.int/submissions/INDC/Published%20Documents/United%20 States%20of%20America/1/U.S.%20Cover%20Note%20INDC%20and%20 Accompanying%20Information.pdf (last visited Apr. 23, 2016). 118 See supra notes 69-72 and accompanying text. 119 See Brad Plumer, The Paris Climate Talks Won’t Solve Global Warming. Here’s What They’ll Do Instead, Vox (Nov. 30, 2015, 2:00 PM), http://www.vox. com/2015/11/30/9818582/paris-cop21-climate-talks. 120 See generally Paris Climate Change Conference–Nov. 2015, COP 21, Nov. 30, 2015–Dec. 11, 2015, Adoption of the Paris Agreement, Proposal by the President, U.N. Doc. FCCC/CP/2015/L.9/Rev.1 (Dec. 12, 2015), available at http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2015/cop21/eng/l09r01.pdf [hereinafter “Paris Accord”] (indicating that since it is not a treaty, the Paris Accord does not have to go before the U.S. Senate). See Colleen McCain Nelson, GOP Weighs How to Undercut Obama’s Climate Talks, Wall St. J. (Apr. 26, 2015, 7:03 PM) http:// www.wsj.com/articles/gop-weighs-how-to-undercut-obamas-climate-talks1430089435?mod=rss_Politics_And_Policy (noting that GOP Senators warn that President Obama is not going to deliver on the promise that emissions are cut because the agreement is not binding); Emily Atkin, Mitch McConnell Undermines Obama’s Climate Plan with Other Countries, ThinkProgress, (Apr. 1, 2015, 10:49 PM), http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2015/04/01/3641594/ mcconnells-inner-tom-cotton/ (reporting that the Senate’s Republican majority had advised foreign leaders well in advance of COP21 that any binding agreement would have to be ratified by the US Senate); John Bolton & John Yoo, Paris Climate Conference: Without Congress’ Support, Obama’s Dealmaking Powers Are Limited, L.A. Times (Dec. 1, 2015, 5:00 AM), http://www. latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-boltonyoo-paris-climate-deal-not-binding20151201-story.html (emphasizing that the March 31 statement by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, a Kentucky Republican, also told the world that any climate agreement the US entered in Paris could be revoked with the swipe of a pen by Obama’s successor). 121 See Oliver Milman, James Hansen, Father of Climate Change Awareness, Calls Paris Talks ‘a Fraud,’ Guardian (Dec. 12, 2015, 7:30 AM), http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/dec/12/ james-hansen-climate-change-paris-talks-fraud. 122 See Philippe Sands, Environmental Protection in the Twenty-first Century: Sustainable Development and International Law, in Environmental Law, The Economy and Sustainable Development: the United States, the European Union and the International Community 369, 369 (Richard L. Revesz, Philippe Sands & Richard B. Stewart, eds., 2000). 123 Id. at 370. 124 Id. 125 The phrase “trade trumps environment” derives from Naomi Klein. See Klein, supra note 3, at 69. 126 A tariff is “a tax on imports imposed…at…an international border.” See Raj Bhala, Modern GATT Law: A Treatise on the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade 176 (2005). 127 See Mitsuo Matsushita et al., The World Trade Organization: Law, Practice, and Policy 262 (3d ed. 2015); Bhala, supra note 126, at 342 (discussing in depth quotas). 128 See Bhala, supra note 126 at 344-45; Matsushita et al., supra note 127, at 216-17. 129 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Oct. 30, 1947, 61 Stat. A-11, 55 U.N.T.S. 188, Art. XX (prohibiting “disguised” restrictions on trade) [hereinafter “GATT”]; see Anupam Goyal, The WTO and Environmental Law: Towards Conciliation 11 (2006) (discussing how developed countries reduced environmental threats in their own countries, while abusing the environment of developing countries); C. Ford Runge, Trade Protectionism and Environmental Regulations, The New Nontariff Barriers, 11 Nw. J. Int’l L. & Bus. 47, 47 (1990); Thomas Waelde & Abba Kolo, Environmental Regulation, Investment Protection and ‘Regulatory Taking’ in International Law, 50 Int’l L. & Comp. L. Q. 811, 812 (2001) (arguing that developing countries’ concern for the natural environment are a “Trojan House” meant to foil globalization and economic liberalization). 43 130 See FCCC, supra note 56, art. 3.5 (providing inter alia “[m]easures taken to combat climate change, including unilateral ones, should not constitute a means of arbitrary or unjustifiable discrimination or a disguised restriction on international trade.” This language applies not just to trade agreements, but some climate treaties prohibit economic protectionism also.) See International Law Association, New Delhi, India, Apr. 2-6, 2002, ILA New Delhi Declaration of Principles of International Law Relating to Sustainable Development, ¶ 4.4 U.N. Doc. A/CONF.199/8 (Aug 9, 2002), available at http://cisdl.org/tribunals/ pdf/NewDelhiDeclaration.pdf (“[p]recautionary measures should be based on up-to-date and independent scientific judgment and be transparent. They should not result in economic protectionism.”). 131 See S.D. Myers, Inc. v. Canada, UNCITRAL Doc. No. 742416:01, Partial Award, at 3 (Nov. 13, 2000) (explaining that Canada banned the export of PCB waste although transporting it to a facility across the border in the United States would have been geographically more convenient and would not have occasioned additional safety hazards); Waelde & Kolo, supra note 129, at 836 n. 107, 838 (“the tribunal found manifest discrimination and protectionist purpose”). 132 Lori Wallach, NAFTA on Steroids, The Nation (July 27, 2012), http://www. thenation.com/article/nafta-steroids/. 133 See Trans Pacific Partnership Trade Deal Signed in Auckland, BBC (Feb. 4, 2016), http://www.bbc.com/news/business-35480600. 134 TPP Full Text, Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, available at https://ustr.gov/trade-agreements/free-trade-agreements/trans-pacific-partnership/tpp-full-text [hereinafter “TPP Final Text”] (last visited Apr. 23, 2016). 135 See Wallach, supra note 132; Jana Kasperkevic, Obama Defends Controversial TPP Deal and dismisses Secrecy Concerns, Guardian (Oct. 10, 2015, 11:29 PM), http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/oct/10/obama-defendstpp-deal-dismisses-secrecy-concerns; Eric Bradner, How Secretive Is the TransPacific Partnership?, Cnn (June 12, 2015), http://www.cnn.com/2015/06/11/ politics/trade-deal-secrecy-tpp/ (reporting that Members of Congress were permitted to read the TPP text only in two designated reading rooms in the Capitol, under guard, and were not permitted to take notes or reveal the contents of the agreement). 136 See Secret Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) – Environment Consolidated Text, Wikileaks (Jan. 15, 2014), https://wikileaks.org/tpp-enviro/ (noting the release of draft chapters of the TPP in 2014) [hereinafter “Environmental Consolidated Text”]; Secret Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement – Environment Chairs Report, Wikileaks (Jan. 15, 2014), https://wikileaks.org/ tpp-enviro-chairsreport/ (highlighting that on the same day as the leak of the Secret Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) – Environment Consolidated Text, Wikileaks released the Chairs’ Report, which is made up of state negotiators’ comments on and disagreements with the Consolidated Text together with their suggested revisions to the Chapter). 137 See TPP Final Text, supra note 134, art. 20.2. 138 See Environmental Consolidated Text, supra note 136, at art. SS.15; TPP Final Text, supra note 134, at art. 20.15 (determining that the final text of the TPP replaces the article on climate change with some anodyne language on the importance of member states transitioning to a “low emissions economy.”). 139 See Ben Norton, No Mention of Climate Change in the TPP: Sierra Club Report Shows “Dirty Deal” Means Environmental Disaster, SALON, (Dec. 2, 2015, 7:06 PM), http://www.salon.com/2015/12/02/no_mention_of_climate_change_in_the_tpp_sierra_club_report_shows_dirty_deal_means_environmental_disaster/. 140 See Press Release: Secret Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP)— Environment Chapter, Wikileaks (Jan. 15, 2014), https://wikileaks.org/tppenviro/pressrelease.html, Jan. 15, 2014 (according to Wikileaks’ press release accompanying release of the leaked documents “[w]hen compared against other TPP chapters, the Environment Chapter is noteworthy for its absence of mandated clauses or meaningful enforcement measures. The dispute settlement mechanisms it creates are cooperative instead of binding: there are no required penalties and no proposed criminal sanctions.”). 141 See TPP Final Text, supra note 134, art. 20.11 (emphasis added). 142 See Meredith Wilensky, Potential Liability for Climate-Related Measures under the Trans-Pacific Partnership, Colum. Ctr. for Climate Change L. 4 (2014), available at http://web.law.columbia.edu/sites/default/files/microsites/ climate-change/wilenskytranspacificpartnership8-7-14_-_revised.pdf. 143 See Henry Farrell, People Are Freaking Out about the Trans Pacific Partnership’s Investor Dispute Settlement System. Why Should You Care?, Wash. Post (Mar. 16, 2015), http:// www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2015/03/26/ 44 people-are-freaking-out-about-the-trans-pacific-partnerships-investor-disputesettlement-system-why-should-you-care/ (reporting that the TPP ISDS mechanism is set out in Chapter 28 Dispute Settlement. ISDS is a common feature of international trade agreements. According to Professor Rachel L. Wellhausen, ISDS arrangements appear in some 3000 trade treaties and bilateral investment treaties.). 144 See Elizabeth Warren, The Trans-Pacific Partnership Clause Everyone Should Oppose, Wash. Post (Feb. 25, 2015), https://www.washingtonpost. com/opinions/kill-the-dispute-settlement-language-in-the-trans-pacific-partnership/2015/02/25/ec7705a2-bd1e-11e4-b274-e5209a3bc9a9_story.html. Elizabeth Warren is the Senior U.S. Senator from Massachusetts. 145 See id. 146 See TPP Final Text, supra note 134, at art. 9.8. 147 Id. at art. 9.8.2; see Wilensky, supra note 142, at 5. 148 See Wilensky, supra note 142, at 5. 149 Id. 150 See Leaked TPP Investment Chapter Provides Greater Rights for Foreign Investors than U.S. Constitution 1, available at http://webiva-downton. s3.amazonaws.com/877/0c/9/5477/FOE_analysis_WikiLeaks_release_TPP_ investment_chapter_text.pdf (last visited Apr. 23, 2016) [hereinafter “Leaked TPP”]; TPP Final Text, supra note 134, at Annex 9-B (attempting to set out guidelines for indirect expropriation). 151 See Leaked TPP, supra note 150. 152 See Wilensky, supra note 142, at 5. 153 Id. 154 See Tim Smedley, Goodbye Nuclear Power: Germany’s Renewable Energy Revolution, Guardian (May 10, 2013, 12:58 PM), http://www.theguardian.com/ sustainable-business/nuclear-power-germany-renewable-energy. 155 See Vattenfall AB et al. v. Federal Republic of Ger., ICSID Case No. ARB/12/12, http://www.italaw.com/cases/documents/1655; Wilensky, supra note 142, at 2; Clare Provost and Matt Kennard, The Obscure Legal System That Lets Corporations Sue Countries, Guardian (June 10, 2015), http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/jun/10/ obscure-legal-system-lets-corportations-sue-states-ttip-icsid. 156 TPP Final Text, supra note 134, at art. 9.6. 157 Id. 158 See Wilensky, supra note 142, at 9; see Lise Johnson & Lisa Sachs, The TPP’s Investment Chapter: Entrenching, Rather than Reforming, a Flawed System, Colum. Ctr. on Sustainable Inv. 2 (2015), available at http://ccsi. columbia.edu/files/2015/11/TPP-entrenching-flaws-21-Nov-FINAL.pdf (referencing “the infamously vague and problematic fair and equitable treatment (FET) obligation”). 159 Wilensky explains that most tribunals have regarded the FET standards as expanding; however, the WTO Appellate Body need not render consistent decisions because it is an ad hoc body not bound by stare decisis. See Wilensky, supra note 142, at 8, 9-10 (contrasting Glamis Gold’s static standard (citation omitted) with Waste Treatment II’s expanding standard (citation omitted)). 160 Id. at 11 (“Legitimate expectation claims are based on the principle that where government actions create expectations in the minds of investors, it is unfair for a state to change laws in such a way that frustrates the expectations it helped to create.”) (quoting Jeswald Salacuse, The Law of Investment Treatises 218, 232 (2010)). Tribunals have not been consistent in their determinations of what sort of representations made by states create legitimate expectations. The tribunal in Tecnicas Medioambientales found liability where a state (Mexico) made no representation at all. Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, ¶ 153-154 (May 29, 2003), available at http://www.italaw.com/sites/default/ files/case-documents/ita0854.pdf [hereinafter “Tecmed”]. 161 See Wilensky, supra note 142, at 12 (quoting Tecmed, supra note 160, at ¶ 153-154). 162 See id. 163 See id. 164 See id. at 12-13 n. 91 (“A claimant cannot have a legitimate expectation that the host country will not pass legislation that will affect it.”) (quoting Glamis Gold (citation omitted)). 165 Id. at 13. In Bilcon v. Canada, the Permanent Court of Arbitration found reasonable expectations were created by non-binding statements by Canadian officials and government advertising meant to spur mining operations in the region. Johnson & Sachs, supra note 158, at 5 (citing Bilcon v. Canada, PCA Case No. 2009-04, Award on Jurisdiction and Liability, March 17, 2015). Sustainable Development Law & Policy 166 See Wilensky, supra note 142, at 14 (explaining the trend towards supporting host country measures to defeat climate change). 167 See id. at 15-17. 168 See TPP Final Text, supra note 134, at art. 9.4.2. 169 Id. art. 9.5.; see also Wilensky, supra note 142, at 17. 170 See Table of Foreign Investor-State Cases and Claims under NAFTA and Other U.S. “Trade” Deals, Public Citizen (June 2015), http://www.citizen.org/ documents/investor-state-chart.pdf. 171 See Greg Sargant, Is TPP Trade Deal a Massive Giveaway to Major Corporations? An Exchange between Obama and Sherrod Brown, Wash. Post (April 27, 2015), http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2015/04/27/ is-tpp-trade-deal-a-massive-giveaway-to-major-corporations-an-exchangebetween-obama-and-sherrod-brown/. 172 Id.; see Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Senator Warren Distorts the Record on Investor-State Dispute Settlements, Peterson Inst. for Int’l Econ. (March 2, 2015), http://blogs.piie.com/trade/?p=137 (“Over the decades, only 13 ISDS cases have been brought to judgment against the United States. The United States has not lost a single case.”); Joseph Stiglitz, The Secret Corporate Takeover, Guardian (May 13, 2015), http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/ may/13/the-secret-corporate-takeover-of-trade-agreements (“American supporters of such agreements point out that the US has been sued only a few times so far, and has not lost a case.”). 173 See Johnson & Sachs, supra note 158, at 15 n. 49. 174 See, infra note 179-82 and accompanying text. 175 See, infra note 191-202 and accompanying text. 176 See Appellate Body Report, United States—Country of Origin Labelling (COOL) Requirements, WT/DS384/386 (May 18, 2015), available at https:// www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds384_e.htm; Tennille Tracy, U.S. Meat Labels Face Another WTO Decision, Wall St. J., May 18, 2015, at A5; Mary Clare Jalonick, Congress Considering Repeal of Meat Labeling Law, Boston Globe (June 10, 2015), https://www.bostonglobe.com/business/2015/06/10/congress-considering-repeal-meat-labeling-law/dWf3Izl4MwoIJgIdxDbLkK/story.html#. 177 Appellate Body Report, United States—Standards for Reformulated and Conventional Gasoline, WT/DS2/AB/R (Apr. 29, 1996), available at https:// www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/2-9.pdf [hereinafter “Venezuela Gas Dispute”]. 178 See id. at 5, ¶¶ 3.1-3.2 (emphasizing that this is a necessary simplification. The EPA imposed on each producer, foreign and domestic alike, a formula for determining the formulation of its gasoline based on how “clean” their gasoline had been in 1990. Gasoline producers whose records did not go back to 1990 (as was the case with Venezuela) were required to match the average quality of gasoline in 1990); id. at 10,¶ 3.24 (noting that Venezuela’s claim was that under this approach Venezuela would be forced to meet a higher standard for “clean” gasoline than some US producers. Venezuela argued that, hypothetically, a U.S. producer might be producing dirtier gas than Venezuela, yet be allowed to sell without improving the environmental quality of its gas. Venezuela, however, would have to improve the environmental quality of its gas.). 179 See Report of the Panel, United States—Standards for Reformulated and Conventional Gasoline, WT/DS2/R (Jan. 29, 1996) ¶¶3.59, 3.62; see also GATT, supra note 129, at art. XX(g) (stating “Subject to the requirement that such measures are not applied in a manner which would constitute a means of arbitrary or unjustifiable discrimination between countries where the same conditions prevail, or a disguised restriction on international trade, nothing in this Agreement [i.e., GATT] shall be construed to prevent the adoption or enforcement by any contracting party of measures…relating to the conservation of exhaustible natural resources if such measures are made effective in conjunction with restrictions on domestic production or consumption.”). 180 See Report of the Panel, supra note 179, at ¶6.37. 181 See Analytical Index of the GATT, Article XX, General Exceptions, available at https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/gatt_ai_e/art20_e.pdf (recalling that GATT Article XX allows measures provided that they are “not applied in a manner which would constitute a means of arbitrary or unjustifiable discrimination.”). 182 See Marrakesh Agreement Establishing the World Trade Organization, Apr. 15, 1994, 1867 U.N.T.S. 154 (noting that the Agreement establishing the WTO requires states to make their laws conform to WTO rules) [hereinafter “WTO Agreement”]. 183 Martin Wagner & Patti Goldman, The Case for Rethinking the WTO: The Full Story behind the WTO’s Environment and Health Cases 12 (1999), available at http://www.earthjustice.org/sites/default/files/library/reports/ Spring 2016 thecase.pdf. Wagner and Goldman observe that in order “[t]o comply with the WTO decision, EPA changed its regulations to allow foreign refineries to use all alternative methods of calculating their compliance with the gasoline requirements, provided the refineries’ governments agree to subject the refineries to U.S. inspection and enforcement authority….The new rule will allow dirtier Venezuelan gasoline into the northeastern United States.”). 184 See Zach Carter & Ryan Grim, Obama’s EU Trade Deal Would Include New Political Powers for Corporations, Huffington Post (Apr. 3, 2013), http:// www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/04/04/eu-trade-deal_n_2994410.html (“the direct empowerment of corporations to unilaterally bring trade cases against sovereign countries is not part of WTO treaties”). 185 Id. 186 Id. 187 See Elizabeth Becker, U.S. Tariffs on Steel Are Illegal, World Trade Organization Says, N.Y. Times (Nov. 11, 2013), http://www.nytimes.com/2003/11/11/ business/us-tariffs-on-steel-are-illegal-world-trade-organization-says.html (noting that in 2002, President George W. Bush imposed tariffs on steel, leading to a successful WTO challenge from the European Union and that the WTO decision would allow the European Union to impose $2 billion of retaliatory tariffs on the United States); Matt Tran, Bush Lifts Steel Tariffs to Avert Trade War, Guardian (Dec. 4, 2003), http://www.theguardian.com/world/2003/dec/04/ usa.wto1 (noting that Bush lifted the steel tariffs); see also note 180 supra and accompanying text. 188 See, e.g., Venezuela Gas Dispute, supra notes 179-81 and accompanying text; see also supra note 174. 189 See GATT, supra note 129, at art. I, § 1 (Most Favored Nation obligation); id. at art. III, § 4 (National Treatment Obligation); id. at Art. XX (prohibition of expropriation); see José E. Alvarez, The Public International Law Regime Governing International Investment 37 (2011) (noting that there is no fair and equitable treatment obligation in GATT); see infra note 199 and accompanying text (referencing the equivalent investor protections under NAFTA). 190 See Juliet Eilperin and Katie Zezima, Obama Vetoes Keystone XL Bill, Wash. Post (Feb. 24, 2015) https://www. washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2015/02/24/ keystone-xl-bill-a-k-a-veto-bait-heads-to-presidents-desk/. 191 Ibid. 192 See Kate Sheppard, Study Finds Keystone XL Would Have Much Larger Impact than State Department Suggests, Huffington Post (July 9, 2014), http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/03/keystone-xl-emissions-statedepartment_n_4892806.html; see also Juliet Eilperin, Environmentalists Take Hard Line with Obama on Keystone XL, Wash. Post (Sept. 24, 2013), https:// www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2013/09/24/environmentalistswarn-obama-against-keystone-xl-even-if-canada-compromises-on-climate/. 193 See TransCanada Corp. v. U.S., Notice of Intent to Submit a Claim to Arbitration Under Chapter 11 of the North American Free Trade Agreement, Jan. 6, 2016, available at http://www.keystone-xl.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/ TransCanada-Notice-of-Intent-January-6-2016.pdf [hereinafter “TransCanada Notice of Intent”]; see also Todd Tucker, TransCanada Is Suing the U.S. over Obama’s Rejection of the Keystone XL Pipeline. The U.S. Might Lose., Wash. Post (Jan. 8, 2016), https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/ wp/2016/01/08/transcanada-is-suing-the-u-s-over-obamas-rejection-of-thekeystone-xl-pipeline-the-u-s-might-lose/. 194 See TransCanada Notice of Intent ¶¶ 8, 12, 60; see also Complaint at ¶¶ 2, 62, TransCanada Keystone Pipeline, LP v. Kerry, No. 4:16-cv-00036 (S.D. Tex. Jan. 6, 2016), available at http://www.keystone-xl.com/wp-content/ uploads/2016/01/TransCanada-Complaint-January-6-2016.pdf (noting that TransCanada is pursuing a two-track challenge against the United States. The same day that TransCanada filed its Notice of Intent under NAFTA, January 6, 2016, it filed a Complaint in U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Texas. In its Complaint, TransCanada alleged that President Obama’s unilateral act of cancelling the Keystone XL pipeline was in violation of the U.S. Constitution as encroaching upon the power of Congress to regulate interstate and foreign commerce). 195 See TransCanada Notice of Intent, supra note 194, at ¶ 1. 196 Id. 197 See id. at ¶¶ 10, 21, 23, 25, 34, 43, 45-46, 59. 198 See Steve Charnovitz & Carolyn Fischer, Canada—Renewable Energy: Implications for WTO Law on Green and Not-So-Green Subsidies, Res. For the Future 2 (Oct. 2014) http://www.rff.org/RFF/Documents/RFF-DP-14-38.pdf. 199 See generally Green Energy and Green Economy Act, S.O. 2009, c. P. 12 (Can.) (cited in Klein, supra note 7, at 475-76 n.3.) 45 200 See 218 See 201 Id. 219 Id. Klein, supra note 7, at 57. at 113. 202 Id. at 205 (noting that in the Green Energy and Green Economy Act LCRs are called Minimum Required Domestic Content Levels). 203 See id. at 58. 204 Id. at 57. 205 Appellate Body Report, Canada—Certain Measures Affecting the Renewable Energy Generation Sector, Canada—Measures Relating to the Feed-In Tariff Program, WT/DS412/AB/R, WT/DS426/AB/R (May 6, 2013), http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/412_426abr_e.pdf [hereinafter “Canada—Renewable Energy Dispute”]. 206 Klein, supra note 7, at 60; see also Wilensky, supra note 142, at 15-16. 207 See Klein, supra note 7 at 57-58 (noting that Naomi Klein profiles an Italian company, Silfab, which was manufacturing solar panels inside Ontario and was thus receiving the benefits of the GEA’s feed-in tariff). 208 See Canada—Renewable Energy Dispute, supra note 205, at ¶¶ 5.85, 6.1(b) (v); GATT 1994, Art. III, § 4, Apr. 15, 1994, Marrakesh Agreement Establishing the World Trade Organization, Annex 1A, 1867 U.N.T.S. 187, 33 I.L.M. 1153 (1994) [hereinafter “GATT 1994”]; Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures, Apr. 15, 1994, Marrakesh Agreement Establishing the World Trade Organization, Annex 1A, 1868 U.N.T.S. 186 (1994) [hereinafter “TRIMS Agreement”]. 209 See Scott Sinclair & Stewart Trew, Keeping Green Energy Local and Public, Hamilton Spectator (Dec. 18, 2013), http://www.thespec.com/opinionstory/4276197-keeping-green-energy-local-and-public/ (noting the LCRs were removed in stages between 2013 and 2014). 210 See Thomas J. Timmins & Leslie Blumer, Canada: Ontario’s Minister Of Energy Announces Changes To Feed-In Tariff Program, Mondaq (June 19, 2013), http://www.mondaq.com/canada/x/245550/Renewables/Ontarios+Mini ster+Of+Energy+Announces+Changes+To+FeedIn+Tariff+Program; see also Paul Gipe, Two Steps Forward, One Back: Ontario Cancels Feed-in Tariffs for Large Projects, Renewable Energy World (June 10, 2013), http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2013/06/two-steps-forward-one-back-ontariocancels-feed-in-tariffs-for-large-projects.html. 211 See Aaron Cosbey, Renewable Energy Subsidies and the WTO: The Wrong Law and the Wrong Venue, Int’l Inst. For Sustainable Dev. (June 19, 2011), https://www.iisd.org/gsi/news/ renewable-energy-subsidies-and-wto-wrong-law-and-wrong-venue. 212 Id. (noting that Ontario’s is not the only approach to reducing carbon and that other approaches to controlling or reducing carbon may also be jeopardized by national treatment provisions); Wilensky, supra note 142, at 15 (“National treatment provisions may be invoked to challenge climate-related measures that limit the import or export of carbon intensive fuels or favor domestic energy sources because of lower associated GHG emissions.”); see Tim Worstall, Naomi Klein’s Quite Extraordinary Logical Ignorance, Forbes (Sept. 20, 2014), http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2014/09/20/naomi-kleins-quiteextraordinary-logical-ignorance/#392f6481a673 (noting “The WTO has just increased the installation rate of solar in Ontario, making climate change that infinitesimal bit less bad”. Furthermore indicating that challenges can also be anticipated should import bans be imposed on goods manufactured using fossil fuels. Business writer Tim Worstall contends that Ontario is better off without the LCRs. The FIT and the LCRs made possible the sale of higher priced solar panels so long as they were manufactured in Ontario. Eliminating the LCRs makes solar panels cheaper. This means that more solar panels are purchased and installed.). 213 See generally Appellate Body Report, India—Certain Measures Relating to Solar Cells and Solar Modules, WT/DS456 (Oct. 24, 2014), https://www.wto. org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds456_e.htm; Klein, supra note 7, at 56. 214 See Charles Pierson, How the US and the WTO Crushed India’s Subsidies for Solar Energy, CounterPunch (Aug. 28, 2015), http://www.counterpunch.org/2015/08/28/ how-the-us-and-the-wto-crushed-indias-subsidies-for-solar-energy/. 215 See US Challenges India’s Renewable Energy Incentives at WTO, Int’l Ctr. for Trade and Sustainable Dev. (Feb 13, 2013), http://www.ictsd.org/bridges-news/biores/news/ us-challenges-indias-renewable-energy-incentives-at-wto. 216 Id. (noting for its part, India has considered taking action against US renewable energy subsidies at both state and federal levels); see Klein, supra note 7, at 65 (noting that to date, however, India has not filed a challenge with the WTO). 217 See Wilensky, supra note 142, at 11-12. 46 supra notes 86-90 and accompanying text. Coal is the dirtiest fossil fuel. See Michelle Nijhuis, Can Coal Ever Be Clean, Nat’l Geographic (Apr. 2014), http://ngm.nationalgeographic. com/2014/04/coal/nijhuis-text. 220 See Existing Coal Plants in Kentucky, SourceWatch, http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Category:Existing_coal_plants_in_Kentucky (last modified Aug. 28, 2012). 221 See Cane Run Station, SourceWatch, http://www.sourcewatch.org/index. php/Cane_Run_Station (last modified Feb. 12 2016) (referencing that Cane Run Station has three units owned by Louisville Gas & Electric); Mill Creek Station, SourceWatch, http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Mill_Creek_Station, (last modified Sept. 4, 2012) (referencing that Mill Creek Station has four units owned by Louisville Gas & Electric); E.W. Brown Generating Station, SourceWatch, http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/E.W._Brown_Generating_Station (last modified Feb. 16, 2016) (referencing that E.W. Brown Generating Stations has three units owned by Kentucky Utilities Co.); Ghent Generating Station, SourceWatch, http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Ghent_Generating_Station (last modified Aug. 24, 2012) (referencing that Ghent Generating Station has four units owned by Kentucky Utilities Co.); Green River Generation Station, SourceWatch, http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/ Green_River_Generating_Station (last modified Feb. 16, 2016) (referencing that Green River Generating Station has two units owned by Kentucky Utilities Co.). 222 See E.ON, SourceWatch, http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/E.ON (last modified on Nov. 14, 2012). 223 See Stuart Jeffries, What Is TTIP and Why Should We Be Angry about It?, Guardian (Aug. 3, 2015, 1:15 PM), http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/ aug/03/ttip-what-why-angry-transatlantic-trade-investment-partnership-guide. 224 See Alhaji B. M. Marong, From Rio to Johannesburg: Reflections on the Role of International Legal Norms in Sustainable Development, 16 Geo. Int’l Envtl. L. Rev. 21, 24 (2003). 225 See North American Agreement on Environmental Cooperation, 32 I.L.M. 1480 (1993); North American Agreement on Labor Cooperation, 32 I.L.M. 1499 (1993); Marong, supra note 224, at 63. 226 See Patricia Isela Hansen, Dispute Settlement in the NAFTA and Beyond, 40 TEXAS INT’L L. J. 417, 422 (2005) (“[T]he side agreements have also produced significant criticism from environmental and labor organizations, which tend to view the agreements as toothless and ineffective.”). 227 TPP Full Text, supra note 134, at art. 9.16. 228 See Johnson & Sachs, supra note 158, at 2. 229 Id. (noting Article 9.15 “provides no real protection. Rather, it simply notes that the government can regulate in the public interest as long as, when doing so, the government complies with the Investment Chapter’s requirements regarding treatment of foreign investors and investments”). 230 See Marong, supra note 224, at 63. 231 Id. (referencing that these are the WTO’s Committee on Trade and the Environment and its Committee on Trade and Development); see also GATT 1994, supra note 208, at pmbl. (noting that the preamble of the WTO’s founding instrument establishes sustainable development as a goal of the organization). 232 See Marong, supra note 224, at 63. 233 See Wilensky, supra note 142, at 18-20. 234 Compare Wilensky, supra note 142, at 18-20 with GATT, art. XX, Oct. 30, 1947, T.I.A.S. No. 1700, 55 U.N.T.S. 194 (laying out environmental exception where environmental protection laws are acceptable unless they constitute disguised restrictions on trade). An effective environmental exception clause would, however, have to be phrased more strongly than Article XX. Even with Article XX in place WTO tribunals have held several environmental laws inconsistent with WTO agreements. 235 See Wilesnky, supra note 142, at 17. 236 See Cordonier Segger & Khalfan, supra note 12. 237 Id. 238 See Birnie & Boyle, supra note 23, at 46. 239 See Bryner, supra note 2, at 258; Justice N. J. McNally, Human Rights in the Context of Sustainable Development, in Sustainable Justice: Reconciling Economic, Social and Environmental Law, supra note 12, at 80-88 (“It is difficult to effectively give moral lessons to hungry people. It is difficult to insist on the preservation of the elephant population to villagers whose whole year’s crop may be destroyed in a single night by animals coming out of the neighboring game preserve. It is difficult to require the forests to be preserved if these resources are needed daily for cooking and housing.”). 240 See Edward Miguel, Africa’s Turn? 31-36 (2009) (noting development imperiled by armed conflict). Sustainable Development Law & Policy 241 See Bryner, supra note 2, at 258. 242 As Ayn Rand put it: “When the house 258 See is on fire you don’t run back inside to dust.” 243 See Bryner, supra note 2, at 258. 244 See Anita Margrethe Halvorssen, Equality Among Unequals in International Environmental Law: Differential Treatment for Developing Countries 5 (1999); Bryner, supra note 2, at 258. Regarding regulatory infrastructure: sustainable development is impossible without laws and enforcement mechanisms; access to sophisticated, clean technologies along with sufficient numbers of educated personnel who know how to use them; and effective honest governments and bureaucracies. See Halvorssen, supra note 244, at 5. 245 See Bryner, supra note 2, at 258-60. 246 See Miguel, supra note 240, at 39-40; Nicholas Stern, The Global Deal 9 (2009) (noting that Asia is in the greatest danger from flooding, with immense coastal areas and population subject to inundation. Bangladesh with its lowlying coast is in great danger. Flooding and crop failure spur mass migration which may spark violent conflict between populations displaced by environmental failures “climate refugees” and a region’s existing population. Drought is another cause of poverty and civil conflict.); Miguel, supra, at 240, 38-39 (noting that drought as a product of climate change caused by carbon emissions); Salman Masood, Starved for Energy, and Bracing for a Water Crisis, N.Y. Times, Feb. 13, 2015, at A12 (“A combination of global climate change and local waste and mismanagement have led to an alarmingly rapid depletion of Pakistan’s water supply, said the minister for water and energy. . . ”); Nadia Prupis, Death Toll Soars in ‘Unbelievable’ Pakistan Heat Wave, Common Dreams (June 24, 2015), http://www.commondreams.org/news/2015/06/24/death-tollsoars-unbelievable-pakistan-heat-wave (discussing how climate change may have contributed to Pakistan’s catastrophic heat wave in Summer 2015. “A former director of the Pakistan Environmental Protection Agency, Asif Shuja, said earlier this week that the soaring temperatures are an impact of climate change, fueled by rapid urbanization, deforestation, and car use.”); Adil Jawad, Heat Wave Subsides in Pakistan as Death Toll Reaches 860, World Post (June 25, 2015, 3:09 PM), http://www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-wires/20150625/ as—pakistan-heat-wave/?utm_hp_ref=world&ir=world (noting how hundreds in Pakistan died as the temperature reached a high of 113° F). 247 See Black, supra note 1, at 100. 248 Id. 249 See Birnie & Boyle, supra note 23, at 125-26. 250 Id. at 125. 251 See section V.C. infra. 252 See Sands, supra note 17, at 253. 253 See Black, supra note 1, at 142. 254 See section II infra. 255 See Marong, supra note 224, at 59 (suggesting that sustainable development should be considered to be, not a customary international law norm, but a broad, overarching principle couched in general terms from which several international law rules such as the precautionary principle flow). 256 We draw a lesson from US Constitutional law. Sustainable development is no more inherently normatively uncertain than concepts such as “Equal Protection” or “Due Process of Law.” There is plenty of disagreement over what measures Equal Protection and Due Process require but no one suggests that such disagreement renders these concepts meaningless. However, in constitutional matters there is a final authoritative arbiter to say what Equal Protection and Due Process are. In our globally anarchic system there is no entity which has the final say on the meaning of intergenerational equity or any other component of sustainable development, much less an entity which has the power to force states to comply with sustainable development norms. Contrast international trade law with its authoritative transnational tribunals rendering binding decisions carried out by powerful enforcement mechanisms. See section IV infra. 257 This relationship is called the environmental Kuznets curve. See David I. Stern, The Rise and Fall of the Environmental Kuznets Curve, 32 World Dev. 1419, 1419 (2004), http://steadystate.org/wp-content/uploads/Stern_ KuznetsCurve.pdf. Spring 2016 Kenneth Arrow, et al., Economic Growth, Carrying Capacity, and the Environment, 268 Science 520, 520 (1995), http://www.precaution.org/lib/06/ econ_growth_and_carrying_capacity.pdf. 259 Id. 260 Id. 261 Id. 262 Id. 263 Id. 264 Id. 265 See Hunter, supra note 21, at 180. 266 See Ørebech & Bosselman, supra note 10, at 13. 267 See Bryner, supra note 2, at 260. 268 Id. 269 Id. 270 See Bryner, supra note 2, at 261-63 (noting that what is being described here is the notion of common but differentiated responsibilities); see supra note 60. The Framework Convention on Climate Change obligates the North to provide technical and financial assistance to the South. See FCCC, supra note 56, arts. 4(3) and 4(7). 271 See Bryner, supra note 2, at 263. 272 IEG of the Global Commons, United Nations Env’t Program, http://www. unep.org/delc/GlobalCommons/tabid/54404/ (last visited Apr, 27, 2016). 273 United Nations System Task Team on the Post-2015 UN Development Agenda, Global Governance and Governance of the Global Commons in the Global Partnership for Development Beyond 2015 5-6 (Jan. 2013), http:// www.un.org/en/development/desa/policy/untaskteam_undf/thinkpieces/24_ thinkpiece_global_governance.pdf.. 274 The South’s position is set out in the Charter of the Economic Rights and Duties of States: “Every State has and shall freely exercise full permanent sovereignty * * * over all its wealth, natural resources and economic activities.” See Charter of the Economic Rights and Duties of States, G.A. Res. 3281 (XXIX), art. 2 (Jan. 15, 1975). 275 One way is through intellectual property law. Western pharmaceutical corporations patent drugs based on the fauna of Southern countries, the folk medicine of indigenous peoples, and even the genetic sequences of indigenous peoples. See Yash Tandon, Trade is War: The West’s War against the World 105-09 (2015). The patents taken out by Western pharmaceutical firms bar the South from producing low-price generic drugs impoverished people desperately need in order to treat conditions such as HIV, malaria, and cancer. Id. at 108-12. 276 See generally Peter Singer, One World: The Ethics of Globalization (2nd ed. 2004). In his first year in office, President Bush sent a letter to a group of US Senators explaining his reasons for rejecting the Kyoto Protocol. See George W. Bush, Text of a Letter from the President to Senators Hagel, Helms, Craig, and Roberts, (Mar. 13, 2001) http://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives. gov/news/releases/2001/03/20010314.html. After stating that “My Administration takes the issue of global climate change very seriously,” Bush continued by stating “[A]s you know, I oppose the Kyoto Protocol because it exempts 80 percent of the world, including major population centers such as China and India, from compliance and would cause serious harm to the U.S. economy.” Id. 277 See discussion supra at text accompanying notes 2-16 and 269-276. 278 See Singer, supra note 276, at 44. 279 Id. at 31-33. 280 See Lester C. Thurow, The Zero Sum Society: Distribution and the Possibilities for Economic Change 188 (1980). 281 Id. 282 Id. 283 Id. Thurow makes this analogy in the context of racial discrimination and affirmative action. Id. It applies equally well to the inequities which currently exist between the rich and poor countries. 284 See Singer, supra note 276, at 33-34, 43. Singer believes that steep reductions in carbon emissions need not trigger economic depression if a system of carbon trading is adopted. Id. at 45-46. This was written in 2004, years before the failure of President Obama’s proposed cap and trade scheme. See supra notes 57-64 and accompanying text. 47 Endnotes: The Key to Engaging with the SDGs: Utilizing Rio Principle 10 to Successfully Implement the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals continued from page 27 17 Countries currently lacking Right to Information laws include: Cuba, Venezuela, Paraguay, Libya, Kenya, Tanzania, Madagascar, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Cambodia, Malaysia, and Papua New Guinea. Article 19 map, supra note 4. 18 David Banisar, The Role of the Right to Information in Sustainable Development, in Governance for Sustainable Development—Ideas for the Post-2015 Agenda 3. (Friends of Governance for Sustainable Development ed., 2015). 19 Id. 20 Rio Declaration, supra note 1. 21 There is no internationally agreed upon definition of FPIC, but a general description of it is “the right to participate in decision making and to give, modify, withhold or withdraw consent to an activity affecting the holder of this right. Consent must be freely given, obtained prior to implementation of such activities and be founded upon an understanding of the full range of issues implicated by the activity or decision in question; hence the formulation free, prior and informed consent.” Forest Stewardship Council, FSC Guidelines for the Implementation of the right to Free, Prior and Informed Consent, 11 (FSC International Center GmbH, Version 1, Oct 30, 2012). 22 United Nations Dev. Programme, Access to Justice—Practice Note 7 (2004). 23 This is usually accomplished through legal court systems or other forms of informal institutions of justice and grievance mechanisms. 24 United Nations Dev. Programme, Access to Justice and Rule of Law, http://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/ourwork/democraticgovernance/ focus_areas/focus_justice_law.html (last visited Mar. 24, 2016). 25 SDSN Indicators and Monitoring Framework report, supra note 14 at 2. 26 See, United Nations Sustainable Dev. Goals, IAEG-SDGs, http://unstats. un.org/sdgs/iaeg-sdgs (last visited Mar 2, 2016). 27 SDSN Indicators and Monitoring Framework report, supra note 14 at 2. 28 Id. at 7. Endnotes: Developing an International Carbon Tax Regime continued from page 35 at http://www.wri.org/sites/default/files/pdf/navigating_numbers.pdf; see also, Sources of Greenhouse Gas Emissions, U.S. Envtl. Prot. Agency, http://www. epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/sources.html (noting that transportation (not including the grid to support such transportation), accounts for twenty percent of U.S. Greenhouse Gas emissions) (last visited Apr. 14, 2016). 17 See Atmospheric CO , Co2.Earth, https://www.co2.earth/ (last visited Apr. 2 14, 2016) (referencing Keeling Curve monthly). 18 See Andrew Freeman, The Last Time CO2 Was This High, Humans Didn’t Exist, Climate Cent., http://www.climatecentral.org/news/the-last-time-co2was-this-high-humans-didnt-exist-15938 (last updated May 2, 2013). 19 See Herzog et. al., supra note 16, at 3 (showing that in 2004 Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide measured at about 380 PPM). 20 Freedman, supra note 18. 21 Gavin A. Schmidt & Thomas R. Karl, Annual Global Analysis for 2014: 2014 was Warmest Year on Record, NASA/NOAA (Jan. 2015), http://www. ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/briefings/201501.pdf. Measurements go back as far as 1880. Methodology varies slightly overtime, but by all accounts, the warmest 10 years since or. growth over the past 30 years on, .ext (indicating that emtn l threat on their own lands, while abusing the environment of devganized measurements began have occurred since 1998. Id.; Freedman, supra note 18. 22 James Hansen et al., Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?, NASA/Goddard Inst. for Space Studies 1 (2008), http://arxiv.org/ftp/ arxiv/papers/0804/0804.1126.pdf. 23 Id. at 12. 24 David P. Vincent, Internalizing Externalities: An Economic and Legal Analysis of an International Carbon Tax Regime, 92 Or. L. Rev. 163, 167 (2013), available at https://scholarsbank.uoregon.edu/xmlui/bitstream/ handle/1794/13577/Vincent.pdf?sequence=1 (citing Brad Plumer, When Do We Hit the Point of No Return for Climate Change?, Wash. Post (Nov. 10, 2011), http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/post/when-do-we-hit-thepoint-of-no-return-for-climate-change/2011/11/10/gIQA4rri8M_blog.html). 25 Stephen Sewalk, Europe Should Dump Cap-And-Trade in Favor of Carbon Tax with Reinvestment to Global Emissions, 5 Wash. & Lee J. of Energy, Climate & Env’t 355, 361 (2014) (citing Junjie Zhang, Asia Society Pol’y Inst., Delivering Environmentally Sustainable Economic Growth: The Case of China 2 (2012) (“China has achieved miraculous economic growth over the past 30 years.... However, growing the gross domestic product (GDP) at any cost has created a series of social and environmental problems.”).. 26 Steven Specht, Dispute Resolution in the Transpacific Partnership: Pillar or Pitfall, SSRN, Apr. 16, 2016, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers. cfm?abstract_id=2765750. 27 Vincent, supra note 24, at 166-67. 28 The Gross World Product has increased from ~$7 trillion in 1960 to more than $75 trillion today. See J. Brandford Delong, Estimating World GDP, One Million B.C.-Present 8-9, available at http://delong.typepad.com/ print/20061012_LRWGDP.pdf. Adjusting the 1960 number for inflation brings 48 the 1960 number to $55 trillion. This is a thirty six percent increase compared with a twenty seven percent increase in the same time period for measuring atmospheric CO2 from 1958 to the present. 29 Chlorofluorocarbons were the primary culprit in the weakening of the ozone layer above the South Pole. This will be discussed in more depth in the section dealing with the problems of alternatives to a carbon tax. 30 See David L. Alles, Asian Air Pollution 23 (David L. Alles ed. 2013), available at http://fire.biol.wwu.edu/trent/alles/AirPollution.pdf (last updated April 24, 2013). 31 See id. at 52, 55, 56, 65. 32 See Marzia Sesini, The Garbage Patch in the Oceans: The Problem and Possible Solutions (Aug. 2011) (unpublished M.S. thesis, Columbia University) (on file with Columbia University), available at http://www.seas.columbia.edu/ earth/wtert/sofos/sesini_thesis.pdf (noting that while the Great Pacific Garbage Patch in the northern portion of the Pacific Ocean is commonly mentioned in media, similar concentrations of plastic particles also coalesce in gyres of the South Pacific, North and South Atlantic, and the Indian Ocean). 33 See Desertification: The Invisible Front Line, United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification 10 (2014), http://www.unccd.int/Lists/SiteDocumentLibrary/Publications/Desertification_The%20invisible_frontline.pdf (highlighting that some forty percent of conflicts have been disputes over resources and eighty percent of conflicts have occurred in areas with resource shortages. It is also a reasonable correlation to link a rise in Islamic fundamentalism gripping the central Africa to the slow creep of the Sahara. Now Nigeria, one of the largest oil suppliers in the world is gripped in a desperate fight with Boko Haram.) 34 See generally Multilateral Environmental Agreements 1950 through 2012, International Envtl. Agreements (IEA) Database Project, http://iea.uoregon. edu/page.php?query=summarize_by_year&yearstart=1950&yearend=2012&in clusion=MEA (last visited April 15, 2016) (according to the IEA, which tracks MEAs and Bi-Lateral Environmental Agreements (BEAs), there are currently 1248 MEAs and 1598 BEAs. The number of MEAs in 2007 was 972 meaning an average of more than 39 agreements per year.). 35 These were the words of the Russian delegate who declined to sign the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. See Nick Fraser, Dignity and Hope: Too Much to Ask For?, Guardian (Sept. 20, 2008, 7:01 P.M.), http://www. theguardian.com/world/2008/sep/21/humanrights. 36 See Dr. Seuss, The Lorax (1971); see also Rhona Lyons, How the Lorax Can Save the Truffula Trees: The Environmental Remedies Available to the Individual, 51 Mo. L. Rev. 1013 (1986), available at http://scholarship.law. missouri.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=3359&context=mlr (discussing how an individual affected by pollution of natural resources should have standing to bring claims against the polluter in Court, similar to the story in The Lorax). 37 While the Supreme Court did not specifically cite to Dr. Seuss, they did reject arguments by the Sierra Club on behalf of the environment, and greatly Sustainable Development Law & Policy reduced remedies for individuals not directly affected by development. See Sierra Club v. Morton, 405 U.S. 727, 734-35 (1972). 38 See generally The International Maritime Organization and the Environment, Int’l Mar. Org., http://www.imo.org/OurWork/Environment/Documents/ IMO%20and%20the%20Environment%202011.pdf (last visited Apr. 15, 2016). It is necessary to note that the United States is a full member of the IMO, despite often being the outlier in various UN Conventions focusing on second and third generation rights. The inclusion and exclusion of all the world’s dominant economies will become more relevant later in this paper. 39 See Funds Overview, Int’l Oil Pollution Comp. Funds , http://www.iopcfunds.org/about-us/ (last visited March 23, 2016). 40 See New Fund Heralds Better Deal for Oil Pollution Victims, Int’l Mar. Org., http://www.imo.org/blast/mainframe.asp?topic_id=848&doc_id=4531 (last visited Apr. 15, 2016). 41 Cf. Parties to the International Liability and Compensation Conventions, Int’l Oil Pollution Comp. Funds, http://www.iopcfunds.org/about-us/membership/map/ (last visited Apr. 15, 2016). It must be pointed out that the United States has retained observer status in the IOPC. The United States actually lobbied for higher standards of liability and in absence of this has enacted similar domestic legislation under the Oil Pollution Act of 1990 which set up the Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund. See The Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund, U.S. Coast Guard: Nat’l Pollution Funds Ctr., http://www.uscg.mil/npfc/About_NPFC/ osltf.asp (last visited Apr. 15, 2016). 42 See generally John McPhee, Encounters with the Archdruid (1971) (providing a series of interviews, where the author discusses development, conservation, and preservation with David Brower who rails against any sort of human development, even human development that increased biological diversity e.g. man-made reservoirs). 43 See Zero-Sum Game, Investopedia, http://www.investopedia.com/terms/z/ zero-sumgame.asp#ixzz42R71zdNg (last visited Apr. 15, 2016) (defining zero-sum game as a “situation in game theory in which one person’s gain is equivalent to another’s loss, so the net change in wealth or benefit is zero.”). 44 See Shi-ling Hsu, The Case for a Carbon Tax 2 (2011). 45 Id. at 2-3. It is a reasonable observation that developing countries would perhaps have even more negative effects with the use of such cheap oil. Consider that rising CAFE standards in the US have resulted in a burgeoning sell of used vehicles to the developing world. The fact that vehicles are no longer able to be used in the US suddenly on the road in another country means little to no direct change in emissions. See Lucas W. Davis & Matthew E. Kahn, International Trade in Used Vehicles: The Environmental Consequences of NAFTA, 2 Am. Econ. J. 58, 71(2010), available at http://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/ pdfplus/10.1257/pol.2.4.58 (demonstrating that cars traded from one country to another result in similar if not worse pollution in the country that the car is being exported to). 46 See Barry Rabe, The Political Viability of Carbon Taxation, Brookings Inst. (Dec. 5, 2012), http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/up-front/ posts/2012/12/05-carbon-tax-rabe. 47 See generally Don Fullerton & Gilbert E. Metfalg, Environmental Taxes and the Double Dividend Hypothesis: Did You Really Expect Something for Nothing?, 73 Chi.-Kent L. Rev. 221 (1998). The analysis of carbon tax regimes later in the paper suggest a greater body of anecdotal evidence indicating that, at least within the realm of carbon taxation, double dividend hypothesis is firmer than some have posited). But see Lawrence H. Goulder, Environmental Taxation and the “Double Dividend”: A Reader’s Guide 18, 31-32 (Nat’l Bureau of Econ. Research, Working Paper No. 4896, 1994), available at http:// www.nber.org/papers/w4896.pdf (noting that the hypothesis has been called into question for the lack of empirical proof). 48 See Juan-Carlos Altamirano-Cabrera et al., A Global Carbon Tax to Compensate Damage and Adaptation Costs 1 (2008), available at http:// gemini-e3.epfl.ch/webdav/site/gemini-e3/shared/A%20global%20carbon%20 tax%20to%20compensate%20damage%20and%20adaptation%20costs. 49 See William D. Nordhaus, To Tax or Not to Tax: Alt. Approaches to Slowing Global Warming, 1 Rev. of Envtl. Econ. & Pol’y 26, 40 (2007), available at http://www.econ.yale.edu/~nordhaus/homepage/nordhaus_carbontax_reep.pdf. 50 See Amy J. Holzinger, Eco-Taxes in the European Union: The Need for a Uniform Structure, 21 Wis. Int’l L.J. 185, 204 (2003). 51 See Environmental Taxes, European Env’t Agency, http://www.eea.europa. eu/publications/92-9167-205-X/page016.html (last visited Apr. 15, 2016) (outlining how the vast majority of environmental taxes in Europe have come from energy and transportation). Spring 2016 52 See Jonathan Gruber, Public Finance and Public Policy 137 (2013) (using the example of the United States in the 1970s when it wanted to reduce sulfur dioxide). 53 Id. 54 See Alternatives to CFCs, EasyChem.com.au, http://www.easychem.com. au/monitoring-and-management/the-atmosphere/alternatives-to-cfcs (last visited Apr. 15, 2016). This is of course not taking into account that these chemicals bring about their own issues including adding to the mix of GHGs responsible for global warming. This merely shows the limited successful role of Command-and-Control Regulation. CFC Substitutes: Good for the Ozone Layer, Bad for Climate?, Sci. Daily, http://www.sciencedaily.com/ releases/2012/02/120224110737.htm (last visited Apr. 15, 2016). 55 Hsu, supra note 44, at 19. 56 David Gee, Economic Tax Reform in Europe: Opportunities and Obstacles, in Timothy O’Riordan, Ecotaxation 94 (1997). 57 Id. 58 Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards require that the average fuel efficiency of a given manufacturer meet a certain standard. See Fuel Economy Regulations and Standards, U.S. Envtl. Prot. Agency, http://www3. epa.gov/fueleconomy/regulations.htm (last visited April 15, 2016). 59 See Virginia McConnell, The New CAFE Standards: Are They Enough on Their Own? 5 (2013), available at http://www.rff.org/RFF/Documents/RFFDP-13-14.pdf. 60 A car operating at 20 miles per gallon will travel 200 miles with 10 miles of gas. A second car operating at 30 miles per gallon can accomplish the same distance in 6.7 gallons of gas. However, if savings on fuel efficiency is redirected into increasing driving by 50 percent, the driver who goes 300 miles with the second car still uses 10 gallons of gas. 61 See Stephen Sewalk, Europe Should Dump Cap-and-Trade in Favor of Carbon Tax with Reinvestment to Global Emissions, 5 Wash. & Lee J. Energy, Climate & Env’t, 355, 367 (2014). 62 Id. 63 Hsu, supra note 44 at 20. 64 Hsu, supra note 44, at 21. 65 Sewalk, supra note 61, at 371. 66 See National Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Env’t Can., https://www.ec.gc. ca/indicateurs-indicators/default.asp?lang=en&n=FBF8455E-1 (last updated April 11, 2014) (demonstrating Canada’s experience with greenhouse gas emissions) [hereinafter “Greenhouse Gas Emissions”]. 67 See Sewalk, supra note 61, at 369. 68 See id. at 366 (providing a brief description of the program’s inception). The EU ETS included all members of the EU at inception as well as Norway, Iceland, Croatia, and Liechtenstein. See EU-ETS 2005-2012, European Comm’n, http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/ets/pre2013/index_en.htm (last visited April 15, 2016). Croatia’s accession to the EU in 2013 made it the 28th nation of the EU. See Croatia Joins the EU, European Union Newsroom, http://europa.eu/newsroom/highlights/special-coverage/croatia-joins-eu/ index_en.htm (last visited Apr. 15, 2016). 69 See Tim Laing et al., Assessing the Effectiveness of the EU Emissions Trading System 1 (Ctr. for Climate Change Econ. and Policy Working Paper No. 126, 2013), http://www.lse.ac.uk/GranthamInstitute/wp-content/ uploads/2014/02/WP106-effectiveness-eu-emissions-trading-system.pdf (last visited April 10, 2016). 70 See ETS, RIP?, Economist, (Apr. 20, 2013), http://www.economist.com/ news/finance-and-economics/21576388-failure-reform-europes-carbon-marketwill-reverberate-round-world-ets. 71 Sewalk, supra note 61, at 369 (citing Julien Chevallier et al., Options Introduction and Volatility in the EU ETS, 33 Resource & Energy Econ. 855, 873 (2011) (explaining the uncertain nature of predicting the behavior of carbon markets)). 72 Sewalk, supra note 61, at 375 (citing Sid Maher, Europe’s $287bn Carbon “Waste:” UBS Report, The Australian (Nov. 23, 2011), http://www. theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/europes-287bn-carbonwaste-ubs-report/ story-fn59niix-1226203068972# (“UBS says the European Union’s emissions trading scheme has cost the continent’s consumers $287 billion for “almost zero impact” on cutting carbon emissions . . . .”)). At the same time the trading scheme costs consumers some €210bn which could have been allocated to replace the dirtiest power plants for a reduction of emissions by forty-three percent. See Maher, supra. 73 This is a reference to the problems of centrally planned economies in the Soviet Union which lacked the flexibility to adjust their targets swiftly. Two examples include a surplus of left shoes or a surplus of 1.5 million 49 sewing machines when bureaucrats working to reduce a shortage of sewing machines forgot to turn the program off. See Richard C. Longworth, The CallLeader, Nov. 9, 1967, at 10, available at http://call-leader.newspapers.com/ newspage/87896896/. 74 See Jeff Brady, After Solyndra Loss, U.S. Energy Loan Program Turning a Profit, NPR, http://www.npr.org/2014/11/13/363572151/after-solyndra-loss-u-senergy-loan-program-turning-a-profit (last updated Nov. 20, 2014). 75 Am. Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, Pub. L. No. 111-5, 123 Stat. 145 (codified as amended at 42 U.S.C. § 16516 (2009)), available at http:// www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/PLAW-111publ5/pdf/PLAW-111publ5.pdf. 76 See Henry C. Jackson, Program that Funded Solyndra Failure Producing Success Stories, Wash. Post (Dec. 30, 2014), available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/program-that-funded-solyndra-failure-producing-successstories/2014/12/30/3e896b46-9074-11e4-a900-9960214d4cd7_story.html. 77 Id. (“[The stimulus] has been a tremendous success; I mentioned $30 billion in loans with a 2 percent default rate—that is pretty enviable in my portfolio.”). 78 Rachel Gelman & Steve Hockett, U.S. Dep’t of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy, 2008 Renewable Energy Data Book 3 (Michelle Kubik ed., 2009), http:// www1.eere.energy.gov/geothermal/pdfs/ data_book.pdf. (2008 is emphasized for the fact that the American Recovery and Investment Act at issue in this discussion was in 2009). 79 See Aaron Tucker, Government Intervention in Clean Energy Technology During the Recession, 42 Tex. Envtl. L.J. 347, 349 (2012) (citing Gelman & Hockett, supra note 78, at 3). 80 Id. 81 The total amount of the American Recovery and Investment Act was $787 billion. Of this $75 billion was for green investments. However, much of the green investments were for improving existing infrastructure (for example insulation of old buildings) Environment America which is a federation of statebased advocacy groups estimated the total amount of stimulus for clean energy projects came to $32.8 billion. See How do “Green Projects” Create Jobs?, Scientific Am. (July 16, 2009), http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ how-do-green-projects-create-jobs/. 82 The Iron Triangle is composed of interest groups, Congress, and bureaucracy, which can be united in preserving a specific spending paradigm. See F. Gregory Hayden, Policymaking Network of the Iron-Triangle Subgovernment for Licensing Hazardous Waste Facilities, 36 J. of Econ. Issues 477, 479 (2002), available at http://digitalcommons.unl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1007&c ontext=cbafacpub. 83 The defense industry still puts out a large quantity of Cold War era technology such as Abrams Tanks which serve little purpose in the last 20 years of overseas contingency operations. Military planners would prefer to “use [defense spending] in a different way.” Phillip Swarts, Lawmakers Force Pentagon to Buy Tanks, Keep Ships and Planes it Doesn’t Need, Wash. Guardian (May 9, 2013), http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/may/9/lawmakersforce-pentagon-to-buy-tanks-keep-ships-a/?page=all. However the paradox of the iron triangle preventing meaningful reform is outlined by representatives from Ohio where Abrams tanks are manufactured. Congressman Jim Jordan, OH-4, when pushed on his support of shaving $42 billion from the defense budget but blocking a cessation of producing Abrams tanks in his district. “My job is to represent the 4th Congressional District [of Ohio].” Id. His colleague in Ohio’s 10th Congressional District was equally honest. “An additional $120 million for Abram’s tank upgrades” “keeps the production lines open in Lima, Ohio, and ensures that our skilled, technical workers are protected.” See Richard Sisk, Congress Again Buys Abrams Tanks the Army Doesn’t Want, Military Times (Dec. 18, 2014), http://www.military.com/daily-news/2014/12/18/ congress-again-buys-abrams-tanks-the-army-doesnt-want.html. 84 An example of this incredible gap in technology is fears that Chinese Stealth Technology might catch up with that of the F-35. What must be pointed out is that the most advanced jet in the Chinese arsenal is currently on par with the F-15 and the F-18, jets whose most recent models were rolled out in 1989 and 1995 respectively. See Dave Majumdar, U.S. Pilots Say New Chinese Stealth Fighter Could Become Equal of F-22, F-35, U.S. Navy Inst. (Nov. 6, 2014), http://news.usni.org/2014/11/05/u-s-pilots-say-new-chinese-stealthfighter-become-equal-f-22-f-35. See also F-15E Strike Eagle Fact Sheet, U.S. Air Force (Apr. 15, 2005), http://www.af.mil/AboutUs/FactSheets/Display/ tabid/224/Article/104499/f-15e-strike-eagle.aspx (providing a background on the F-15E Strike Eagle Aircraft); F/A-18 Fact File, U.S. Navy (May 26, 2009), http://www.navy.mil/navydata/fact_display.asp?cid=1100&tid=1200&ct=1 (providing a background on the F/A-18 Aircraft). 50 85 See Bobby Magill, Okla. Utilities Hit Homes Using Solar With Extra Fee, Climate Cent. (Apr. 22, 2014), http://www.climatecentral.org/news/ oklahoma-solar-surcharge-bill-becomes-law-17335. 86 See Putting a Price on Carbon with a Tax, World Bank, http://www.worldbank.org/content/dam/Worldbank/document/SDN/background-note_carbon-tax. pdf (last visited Apr. 15, 2016). 87 See generally Where Carbon is Taxed, Carbon Tax Ctr., http://www. carbontax.org/services/where-carbon-is-taxed/ (last modified Jan. 15, 2015). 88 Id. 89 Id. 90 David G. Duff, Carbon Taxation in British Columbia, 10 Vt. J. Envtl. L. 87, 90 (2008); Nicholas Rivers & Brandon Schaufele, Carbon Tax Salience and Gasoline Demand 1 (Dep’t of Econ.: Faculty of Social Sciences U. of Ottawa, Working Paper No. 1211E, 2012), available at http://socialsciences.uottawa.ca/ sites/default/files/public/eco/eng/documents/1211e.pdf. 91 Duff, supra note 90, at 90. The Albertan system was done alongside a carbon trading regime. Alberta’s Climate Change Program, IETA, http://www. ieta.org/Resources/Resources/101s/ab-climate-change-program-april2015.pdf (last updated Apr. 2015). 92 Duff, supra note 90, at 91. 93 Id. at 97 (noting that at the time of introduction, gasoline was taxed at 2.41 cents per liter, diesel at 2.76 cents per liter propane at 1.53 cents per liter of propane, aviation fuel at 2.45 cents per liter. Other similar numbers were introduced for natural gas, low-heat-value coal, high-heat-value coal, coke, peat, and tires.); see also Greenery in Canada: We Have a Winner, Economist (July 21, 2011), http://www.economist.com/node/18989175 (discussing that the rate of $10 per ton was an introductory rate intended to increase over time by $5 annually.); Stewart Elgie, British Columbia’s Carbon Tax Shift: An Environmental and Economic Success, World Bank (Sept. 10, 2014), http://blogs.worldbank. org/climatechange/british-columbia-s-carbon-tax-shift-environmental-andeconomic-success (reporting that as of September 2014, the amount had risen to $30 per ton). 94 See Duff, supra note 90, at 88. 95 See id. 96 See id. 97 Jeffrey Simpson et al., Hot Air: Meeting Canada’s Climate Change Challenge 87 (2011) (explaining that cynicism on the subject of well-intended but functionally failed policies is alive and well as these authors point out that change is needed, but that it will take decades to see any lasting change from sensible policies). 98 See Duff, supra note 90, at 89. 99 Greenery in Canada: We Have a Winner, supra note 93. 100 See id. (noting the national unemployment rate for Canada is 6.7 percent while those in British Columbia are 5.5 percent); Labour force characteristics, seasonally adjusted, by province (monthly) (Saskatchewan, Alberta, British Columbia), Statistics Can., available at http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tablestableaux/sum-som/l01/cst01/lfss01c-eng.htm (last visited April 24, 2016). 101 See Elgie, supra note 93 (noting that Canada withdrew from the Kyoto Protocol in 2012); see also Kyoto Protocol, supra note 1, at ch. XXVII. 102 See Canada GDP Growth Rate 1961-2015, Trading Econ., http://www. tradingeconomics.com/canada/gdp-growth (highlighting the Canadian economy began to retract in late 2007 and plummeted to a nearly two percent decline in 2009. The economy has since regained positive growth that remains below one percent annually) (last visited Apr. 24, 2016) [hereinafter “Canada GDP Growth Rate”]. 103 See Elgie, supra note 93. 104 See Yoram Bauman, The Canadians Are Coming!, Sightline Daily (May 21, 2014, 6:30 AM), http://daily.sightline. org/2014/05/21/the-canadians-are-coming/; Andy Skuce, The Effect of Cross-Border Shopping on BC Fuel Consumption Estimates, Critical Angle (Aug. 18, 2013), http://critical-angle.net/2013/08/18/ the-effect-of-cross-border-shopping-on-bc-fuel-consumption-estimates/. 105 See Nicholas Rivers, The Case for a Carbon Tax in Canada, Canada 2020 (Nov. 11, 2014), http://canada2020.ca/canada-carbon-tax/ (explaining among Canadian provinces, Alberta is the second highest producer of per capita GHG emissions. This is likely due to its role in developing the Athabasca Oil Sands. However, alongside a carbon tax, Alberta has also instituted a carbon trading program which has resulted in reductions of 51 million tons of GHG according to the Albertan government. This seems to be a slow in growth of emissions rather than an aggregate reduction as the Canadian government shows GHG production to rise from an estimated 231 tons to 249 tons from 2005-2012. Compared with the growth from 169 in 1990, the rate of growth has shifted Sustainable Development Law & Policy from 2.7% annually to 1.1%. Placed alongside the booming development of oil resources, the growth of emissions has been more than halved, something akin to success by some estimates.); cf. Greenhouse Gas Emissions, supra note 66 (comparing Quebec, which has the least amount of per capita GHG production to begin with but has shown an overall drop in per capita GHG production. The fact that so much information exists for the overwhelming success of British Columbia while so little information exists for the lesser successes in Alberta and Quebec is akin to a drunk looking for his keys under a street lamp, because “that is where the light is.”). 106 Where Carbon is Taxed, supra note 87. 107 See Peter Hannam, Fall in Greenhose Gas Emissions Biggest in 24 Years, Sydney Morning Herald (June 13, 2014), http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/fall-in-greenhouse-gas-emissions-biggest-in-24-years20140613-zs7be.html (last visited April 10, 2016). 108 See Marianna O’Gorman & Frank Jotzo, Impact of the carbon price on Australia’s electricity demand, supply and emissions, Ctr. for Climate Econ. & Pol’y (July, 17, 2014), https://ccep.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/ publication/ccep_crawford_anu_edu_au/2014-07/ccep1411.pdf. 109 See Oliver Milman, Carbon tax demise leading to large rise in emissions, says academic, The Guardian (Nov. 4, 2014), http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/nov/04/ carbon-tax-demise-leading-to-large-rise-in-emissions-says-academic. 110 Hannam, supra note 107. 111 See Canada GDP Growth Rate, supra note 102; Australia GDP Growth Rate 1959-2016, Trading Economics, http://www.tradingeconomics.com/ australia/gdp-growth (last visited April 15, 2015). (explaining that Australia suffered less in the global decline of 2007-2008 and has had two minor recessions in 2008 and 2010. GDP growth rate has typically stayed within 0.5 and 1.5% annually over the last decade. Any attempt to make a correlation with GDP growth rate and the sudden rise in emissions fails, as the change in GDP following the change in government was actually a decline from 1.1% to 0.5%. The growth rate remains at 0.5% per quarter, down from the 0.7% per quarter average in the eight quarters during which the carbon tax was in place.). 112 Jenny Fung, Informing Green Tax Policy Through the Laffer Curve, 9 Wash. U. Undergraduate Research Digest 4 (2014), available at http://openscholarship.wustl.edu/vol9_iss2/3; see also Where Carbon is Taxed, supra note 87. 113 See Fung, supra note 112, at 4. 114 See Where Carbon Is Taxed, supra note 87. 115 See Fung, supra note 112, at 8. 116 Id. at 10. 117 See Ireland’s Provisional Greenhouse Gas Emissions in 2013: Key Highlights, Ireland EPA 1 (2014), available at http://www.epa.ie/pubs/reports/air/ airemissions/GHGprov.pdf.. 118 Richard L. Ottinger, Energy and Environmental Challenges for Developed and Developing Countries; Keynote Address Presented at the United Nations Meeting on Energy and Environment in the Development Process, 9 Pace Envtl. L. Rev. 55, 102-03 (1991). 119 See id. 120 See Robert N. Stavins, Policy Instruments for Climate Change: How Can National Governments Address A Global Problem?, U. Chi. Legal F. 293 (1997). 121 See Jonathan Baert Wiener, Global Environmental Regulation: Instrument Choice in Legal Context, 108 Yale L.J. 677, 786 (1999) (citing Stuart Eizenstat, Stick with Kyoto: A Sound Start on Global Warming, Foreign Aff. at 119-120 (May/June 1998), (rebutting the advocacy of an international greenhouse gas tax)). 122 See Sangmin Shim, Korea’s Leading Role in Joining the Kyoto Protocol with the Flexibility Mechanisms As “Side-Payments”, 15 Geo. Int’l Envtl. L. Rev. 203, 231 (2003). 123 See Paul G. Harris, Collective Action on Climate Change: The Logic of Regime Failure, 47 Nat. Resources J. 195, 213 (2007) (noting that it was “never likely that an international carbon tax would be implemented.”). 124 See Hsu, supra note 44, at 20. See generally Chris Hastings, Implementing a Carbon Tax in Florida under the Clean Power Plan: Policy Considerations, 43 Fla. St. U. L. Rev. 1035, 1054 (2016). 125 See Cooper, supra note 4, at 67-68 (emphasis added). 126 See William Forster Lloyd, Two Lectures on the Checks to Population 17 (Oxford Univ. Press 1833) (stating that “the influence of different institutions and conditions of society, according as they are favourable or unfavourable to the preventive check, will form an interesting subject of inquiry.”). Spring 2016 127 See John D. McKinnon & Scott Thurm, U.S. Firms Move Abroad to Cut Taxes, Wall St. J. (Aug. 28, 2012, 9:38 PM), available at http://www.wsj.com/ articles/SB10000872396390444230504577615232602107536 (explaining a company’s domicile is often determined by the most favorable taxation rates). 128 See UNEP Report: Developing Countries’ Adaptation Costs Likely to Far Surpass Previous Estimates, United Nations Env’t. Programme (Dec. 5, 2014), http://www.un.org/climatechange/blog/2014/12/unep-report-developing-countries-adaptation-costs-likely-far-surpass-previous-estimates/ (noting adaptation costs are those associated with the “intensifying impacts of climate change such as drought, floods and rising sea levels.”) [hereinafter “UNEP”]. 129 See Working Group III: Mitigation, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg3/index.php?idp=251 (last visited April 10, 2016). 130 See Michael Hoel, Harmonization of Carbon Taxes in International Climate Agreements, 3 Envtl. & Resource Econ. 221, 221 (1993). 131 See Cooper, supra note 4, at 74. 132 See Special Report: The Global 2000, Forbes (April 2, 2008, 6:00 PM), available at http://www.forbes.com/lists/2008/18/biz_2000global08_TheGlobal-2000_Prof.html. 133 See generally Stephen Spratt, Preface to A Sterling Solution, Stamp Out Poverty 2 (Sept. 2006), http://www.stampoutpoverty.org/wp-content/ uploads/2012/10/A-Sterling-Solution.pdf. 134 See Holzinger, supra note 50, at 194 (2003). 135 See Org. for Econ. Co-operation and Dev., Envtl. Taxes and Green Tax Reform 16-18 (1997). 136 See Lloyd, supra note 126. 137 See Altamirano-Cabrera et al., supra note 48 at 12. 138 See generally World Economic Outlook Database, Int’l Monetary Fund, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2015/02/weodata/index.aspx (citing “By Countries (country-level data” hyperlink) (last visited Apr. 26, 2016). 139 See Charles D. Patterson, III, Environmental Taxes and Subsidies: What is the Appropriate Fiscal Policy for Dealing With Modern Environmental Problems?, 24 Wm. & Mary Envtl. L. & Pol’y Rev. 121, 124-25, 127 (2000) (noting the different kinds of management systems at a corporation’s disposal). 140 But see Coon, supra note 8. 141 See Shim, supra note 122, at 229-31 (2003) (addressing some potential solutions to the free-rider problem). 142 Report by the Working Party on Border Tax Adjustments, ¶ 4, L/3464 (Nov. 20, 1970), at 2, available at http://worldtradelaw.net/document.php?id=reports/ gattpanels/bordertax.pdf (explaining a Border Adjustment as “[A]ny fiscal measures which put into effect, in whole or in part, the destination principle (i.e. which enable exported products to be relieved of some or all of the tax charged in the exporting country in respect of similar domestic products sold to consumers on the home market and which enable imported products sold to consumers to be charged with some or all of the tax charged in the importing country in respect of similar domestic products.”)). 143 See David G. Victor, The Collapse of the Kyoto Protocol and the Struggle to Slow Global Warming 5, 7 (Princeton Univ. Press 2001) (noting that developing nations are extremely cautious in entering into these taxes as it may place an economic burden on them in order to keep up with the developments of greenhouse gas controls). 144 See Vincent, supra note 24, at 167. 145 See id. at 176-79. 146 Id. at 180. 147 See GATT 1994:General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade 1994, Apr. 15, 1994, Marrakesh Agreement Establishing the World Trade Organization, art. I, The Legal Texts: The Results of the Uruguay Round of Multilateral Trade Negotiations 17 (1999), 1867 U.N.T.S. 187, 33 I.L.M. 1153 (1994) [hereinafter GATT 1994]. 148 See id. at art. III. 149 See id. at art. XX. 150 See id. at art. III. 151 Vincent, supra note 24, at 181. 152 See id. at 180-83. 153 See id. at 183-84. 154 See generally Gregary Shaffer, Note, United States – Import Prohibition of Certain Shrimp and Shrimp Products, 93 Am. J. Int’l L. 507, 508 (1999) (providing a background on Shrimp/Turtle); Victor, supra note 143, at 88 (explaining that Shrimp Turtle opened the door to enforce legitimate environmental goals in international trade). 51 155 Vincent, supra note 24, at 180 (quoting Timothy E. Deal, WTO Rules and Procedures and Their Implications for the Kyoto Protocol 8, U.S. Council for Int’l Bus. (2008), http://www.uscib.org/docs/wto_and_kyoto_2008.pdf). 156 See id. at 185 (citing GATT art. XX). 157 See generally Laura Yavitz, The World Trade Organization Appellate Body Report, European Communities – Measuring Affecting Asbestos and Asbestos Containing Products, Mar. 12, 2001 WT/DS135/AB/R, 11 Minn. J. Global Trade 43, 66 (2002) (stating that “Article XX’s exceptions can be accepted if they can explain trade measures in terms of protecting people, animals, plants or exhaustible natural resources within their own jurisdictional limits and without requiring others to change any policies or production methods.”). 158 Trade and Environment at the WTO, World Trade Org. 21, 52 (2004), https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/envir_e/envir_wto2004_e.pdf. 159 See Vincent, supra note 24, at 187. 160 See Patterson, supra note 139, at 127. See generally Alexandre Kiss & Dinah Shelton, International Envtl. Law 215 (Transnational Publishers, Inc. 2d ed. 2007). 161 See Kate Gordon, Why Renewable Energy Still Needs Subsidies, Wall St. J. (Sep. 14, 2015, 8:20 AM), http://blogs.wsj.com/experts/2015/09/14/ why-renewable-energy-still-needs-subsidies/. 162 See UNEP, supra note 128. 163 See New Research Analyzes Countries at Greatest Risk from Climate Change Impacts, Earth Inst. at Columbia U. (March 29, 2007), http://www. earth.columbia.edu/news/2007/story03-29-07.php. See generally Percentage of Total Population Living in Coastal Areas, United Nations, http://www. un.org/esa/sustdev/natlinfo/indicators/methodology_sheets/oceans_seas_coasts/ pop_coastal_areas.pdf (detailing the global population living in coastal areas) (last visited April 26, 2015). 164 See Jochen Hinkel et al., Coastal Flood Damage and Adaptation Costs Under 21st Century Sea-Level Rise, 111 Proceedings of the National Acad. of Sci. of the U.S. 3292, 3293 (Jan. 31, 2013), http://www.eenews.net/ assets/2014/02/04/document_ew_01.pdf (“Without adaptation, 0.2–4.6% of global population is expected to be flooded annually in 2100 under 25–123 cm of global mean sea-level rise, with expected annual losses of 0.3–9.3% of global gross domestic product. Damages of this magnitude are very unlikely to be tolerated by society and adaptation will be widespread. The global costs of protecting the coast with dikes are significant with annual investment and maintenance costs of US $12–71 billion in 2100, but much smaller than the global cost of avoided damages even without accounting for indirect costs of damage to regional production supply.”). 165 See Cooper, supra note 4, at 74. 166 See 2015 Ranking of the Global Top 10 Oil and Gas Companies Based on Net Income (in Billion U.S. Dollars), Statistics Portal (2015), http://www. statista.com/statistics/272711/top-global-oil-and-gas-companies-based-on-netincome/ (indicating that it is unclear at the time of this writing precisely how to deal with subsidies of gas and oil companies by Western governments or how to properly levy a tax on the state-owned enterprise (SOEs) that exist in Russia and China); see also Daniel J. Weiss & Miranda Peterson, With Only $93 Billion in Profits, the Big Five Oil Companies Demand to Keep Tax Breaks, Ctr. For Am. Progress (Feb. 10, 2014), https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/ green/news/2014/02/10/83879/with-only-93-billion-in-profits-the-big-five-oilcompanies-demand-to-keep-tax-breaks/. 167 See Eric Gargan, Reflections on the Implementation of the Carbon Tax in Ireland, Energy and Envtl. Taxation, Fiscal Pol’y Div. (May 16, 2012), http://www.nesc.ie/assets/files/downloads/project_climate%20change/ ucd_workshop/ericgargan.pdf. 168 See Ireland GDP 1960-2016, Trading Economics, http://www.tradingeconomics.com/ireland/gdp (last visited Apr. 26, 2016). 169 See Gross Domestic Products of Nations, World Bank, http://databank. worldbank.org/data/download/GDP.pdf (last visited Apr. 26, 2016). 170 See Guyana, Climate Hot Map, http://www.climatehotmap.org/globalwarming-locations/guyana.html (providing Guyana as an example of a vulnerable nation) (last visited Apr. 26, 2016); Guyana GDP 1960-2016, Trading Econ., http://www.tradingeconomics.com/guyana/gdp (highlighting a fund would help protect the economies of developing nations which in turn means increased purchasing power to participate in international markets. For example, 80 percent of the Guyanese population lives in a low-lying coastal region along with most of the national industry and agriculture. The cost of dealing with a predicted global sea level rise of two meters comes to a little more than $1 billion which is far less than the economic damage caused by flooding or the long term cost of regional instability caused by a weakened Guyanese economy. However, the $1 billion price tag is roughly 33 percent of Guyanese GDP as of 2014, an insurmountable cost for mere domestic measures) (last visited Apr. 26, 2016). 171 See Holzinger, supra note 50, at 186. 172 See Jean-Philippe Barde, Environmental Taxation: Experience in OECD Countries 230 (1997). 173 See Kiss & Shelton, supra note 160, at 215. 174 See Holzinger, supra note 50, at 190. 175 Andrew C. Revkin, A Closer Look at China’s ‘You First’ Stance in Climate Treaty Talks, N.Y. Times (Nov. 22, 2013, 2:43 PM), http://dotearth.blogs. nytimes.com/2013/11/22/a-closer-look-at-chinas-you-first-stance-in-climatetreaty-talks/?_r=0. 176 See Vincent, supra note 24, at 165-66. 177 See id. at 175. 178 See Member States, IGOs, and NGOs, Int’l Mar. Org., http://www.imo. org/en/About/Membership/Pages/Default.aspx (last visited Apr. 26, 2016). 179 See International Convention on the Establishment of an International Fund for Compensation for Oil Pollution Damage, Int’l Mar. Org., http:// www.imo.org/About/Conventions/ListOfConventions/Pages/InternationalConvention-on-the-Establishment-of-an-International-Fund-for-Compensationfor-Oil-Pollution-Damage-%28FUND%29.aspx (last visited Apr. 26, 2016) [hereinafter “FUND”]. 180 See Parties to the International Liability and Compensation Conventions, Int’l Oil Pollution Cleanup, http://www.iopcfunds.org/about-us/membership/ map/# (explaining notable absences include the oil producing countries of the United States, Libya, and Iraq. As the fund is for those receiving oil rather than exporting it, this is reasonable.) (last visited Apr. 26, 2016). 181 See FUND, supra note 180. 182 See SDR Valuation, Int’l Monetary Fund, https://www.imf.org/external/ np/fin/data/rms_sdrv.aspx (last visited Apr. 26, 2016). 183 See FUND, supra note 180. 184 See id.; Home, Int’l Oil Pollution Compensation Fund, http://www.iopcfunds.org/ (last visited Apr. 26, 2016). 185 See Erika, Int’l Oil Pollution Cleanup Fund, http://www.iopcfunds.org/ incidents/incident-map/#111-1999-235-December (last visited Apr. 26, 2016). 186 See id. 187 See id. 188 Vincent, supra note 24, at 180, 184. Endnotes: The Law of the Seas: A Barrier to Implementation of Sustainable Development Goal 14 continued from page 37 http://opiniojuris.org/2013/05/27/law-of-the-sea-symposium-whaling-wars-nonstate-actors-and-international-responsibility/. 28 See Sea Shepherd Seeks Dutch Prosecution of Japanese Whalers, Env’t News Serv. (Mar. 24, 2013) http://ens-newswire.com/2013/03/21/sea-shepherdseeks-dutch-prosecution-of-japanese-whalers/ (detailing SSCS’s claim that IRS’s “commercial whaling in the waters south of 60 degrees violated the Antarctic Treaty that prohibits commercial activity in the waters around the continent of Antarctica”). 52 29 See Flags of Inconvenience, supra note 25 (explaining that cargo owners and shipping companies are excluded from the authority of UNCLOS). 30 See Goal 14, supra note 4. 31 See In deep water, The Economist (Feb. 22, 2014), http://www.economist. com/news/international/21596990-humans-are-damaging-high-seas-nowoceans-are-doing-harm-back-deep-water (“Two-thirds of fish stocks on the high seas are over-exploited—twice as much as in parts of oceans under national jurisdiction”). 32 See Goal 14, supra note 4. 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