Malaysian Model United Nations Forum: Disarmament I Issue: Addressing the usage of Inter-Continental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs) for political motives Student Officer: Haein (Diana) Song Position: Deputy President of Disarmament I Introduction Inter-Continental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs) are extremely dangerous weapons, given their long range and capacity for delivering nuclear warheads. However, one of the primary purposes for a state to obtain ICBMs beyond actual use in warfare is political: the presence of ICBMs represents the defensive and retaliatory capabilities of nations. For example, despite the lack of direct military confrontation in the Cold War (a period of political and military tension between the United States (US) and the Soviet Union from the late-1940s to the early-1990s), both sides actively expanded their missile stockpiles as a form of political rivalry and to achieve greater international influence. States can use the possibility of nuclear strikes with ICBMs as both political leverage and deterrence against potential attacks, but adopting an offensive attitude for a defensive purpose can lead to international instability and insecurity. Therefore, it is increasingly urgent that the international community attempts to curb their production and ensure secure storage of existing stockpiles. Definition of Key Terms Inter-Continental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs) guided ballistic missiles with rocket propulsion, primarily designed to deliver nuclear warheads to ranges of at least 5,500 kilometers Missile Silo also known as a launch facility or nuclear silo, a vertical cylindrical underground structure for the storage and launch of ICBMs MYMUN Research Report | Page 1 of 6 Malaysian Model United Nations Strategic Nuclear Weapon nuclear weapons – often delivered with long-range strategic bombers, Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles, or ICBMs – manufactured to devastate extensive areas beyond the battlefield, such as metropolises, national infrastructure, or manufacturing areas Nuclear Terrorism an act of terrorism involving the use of radioactive materials or nuclear weapons Background Information Historical Development The first attempt to create an ICBM was during World War II. Nazi Germany manufactured the Aggregate 4 German long-distance ballistic missile attempting to directly attack the US. Despite its failure, this weapons technology continued to be developed during the Cold War, as the USSR and the US engaged in a strategic arms race. The USSR created the world's first ICBM, the R-7, in 1957. In 1959, the US responded with the development of its Atlas missile. However, both the R-7 and Atlas required a liquid propellant which could not be pre-injected, so the weapons had to be prepared more than 10 hours before launch, allowing the enemy to destroy the missiles before they could be launched. Through the 1960s, ICBM development accelerated due to advances in science and concerns over international relations; increasing Cold War tensions were reflected in rapid armament. A new generation of ICBMs emerged in this period that used solid propellants and more destructive hydrogen bombs. Additionally, weapons storage silos were built to store weapons more secretly and securely. This generation of ICBMs include the USSR’s SS series and the US’s Titan and Minuteman. In the 1970s, the US developed the Multiple Independently Targetable Re-entry Vehicle (MIRV), allowing more than one warhead per missile, leading states to prioritize the quality over quantity for their missiles. In the 1980s, movable ICBMs were developed to prevent the tracing of launch locations. Caption #1: The Russian SS-29 Yars movable ICBM MYMUN Research Report | Page 2 of 6 Malaysian Model United Nations International Action In the past three decades, various international agreements on the non-proliferation of ICBMs have been made. These include the Cold War-era Strategic Arms Limitation Talks and Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) that limited the missile stockpiles of both the US and the USSR, as well as more recent United Nations (UN) resolutions targeting the proliferation and testing of missiles. Because ICBMs are primarily designed for nuclear purposes, international agreements on nuclear weapons in general are also relevant to the issue at hand. The most well-known is the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), which prohibited all states except the US, Russia, China, the UK, and France from obtaining nuclear weapons. In fact, the US and Russia have had nuclear weapons before the establishment of the UN, however they have not destroyed their weapons although the UN regulated a number of resolution on non-proliferation until these days. There is tacit approval from other member states of those five countries’ nuclear weapons possession; even if others do not stand for their possession, there is a slim possibility due to those are permanent member states of the UN which have veto-power and they do not intend to give up their rights to have nuclear weapons. Security Concerns Despite these efforts, there have been many recent global security threats involving ICBMs. The most significant of these is the India-Pakistani conflict – an ongoing rivalry between the two South Asian powers since Pakistan declared independence from India in 1947. Neither being party to the NPT, both nations are engaged in an arms race reminiscent of the Cold War era and are actively developing nuclear weapons and missile technology. In 2015, India tested its Agni IV ICBM; with Chinese assistance, Pakistan is responding with its own series of long-range ballistic missiles. Another major security threat involves North Korea, a state in possession of nuclear weapons and relevant missile technologies which it has developed and used despite international condemnation. North Korea has recently claimed to have developed ICBMs capable of reaching the US, even threatening to attack President Donald Trump’s inauguration. However, some military experts, given the lack of information on North Korea’s missile technology, remain skeptical about whether North Korea’s missiles can actually reach the 5,500 kilometer mark to be classified as an ICBM. Nevertheless, North Korea's potential to continue to develop long-range missile technologies makes it an important factor. MYMUN Research Report | Page 3 of 6 Malaysian Model United Nations Caption #2: BBC’s estimate of North Korea’s missile ranges (estimates vary across sources) Aside from international hostilities, another critical security concern with regards to ICBMs and nuclear weapons is the security of existing stockpiles, an issue that has seen increasing international attention in past decades. Countries without proper security measures for their nuclear weapons and missiles, apart from the possibility of nuclear accidents, are also vulnerable to the theft of nuclear materials and ICBM technology. The consequent proliferation of these weapons under the control of non-state actors, particularly terrorist organizations, is a grave concern. The danger of nuclear terrorism lies in the fact that, due to their non-state status, there is no practical target for retaliation; hence, deterrence is not sufficient to prevent first-strikes by terrorist groups. Therefore, the most feasible method of preventing nuclear terrorism is the improvement of stockpile security. Timeline of Events The development of ICBMs began with WWII. As more destructive weapons have been manufactured, the UN and its Member States have continued non-proliferation and disarmament efforts. Nevertheless, nuclear tests and the manufacture of ICBMs continues. Date Description of event August 21, 1957 The first ICBM is manufactured by the USSR and discharged in Kazakhstan 1959 The US invents the first ICBM called SM-65 Atlas 1960s The US and the USSR compete for better ICBM technology 5 August 1963 1 July 1968 The Partial Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (PTBT) is signed by the US, USSR, and UK; 123 states have become party to the treaty The NPT is signed in New York; currently, with the exceptions of India, Pakistan, MYMUN Research Report | Page 4 of 6 Malaysian Model United Nations North Korea, Israel, and South Sudan, all countries are party to the treaty 1970s The US develops MIRV technology July 3, 1974 The Limitation of Underground Nuclear Weapon Tests and Protocol Thereto Treaty between the USA and the USSR (TTBT) is signed in Moscow 1980s Movable ICBM development begins 31 July 1991 START is signed by the US and USSR November 2015 India conducts Agni-IV ICBM tests January 2017 North Korea claims that it would soon conduct ICBM tests UN Involvement, Relevant Resolutions, Treaties and Events Over the past decades, in comparison with other armaments, there has been limited UN involvement in the issue of ICBMs; most existing resolutions only tackle the question of ICBMs in relation to other issues. As the result, there are have been more bilateral or multilateral treaties that took place outside typical UN frameworks. Condemning Acts of Terror, 28 September 2001 (S/RES/1373) Proliferation of nuclear, chemical and biological weapons, 28 April 2004 (S/RES/1540) Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, 9 June 2010 (S/RES/1929) Resolution 2231, 20 July 2015 (S/RES/2231) Banning Nuclear Weapon Tests in the Atmosphere, in Outer Space and Under Water Treaty (PTBT), August 5, 1963 Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Treaty (NPT), 1 July 1968 Limitation of Underground Nuclear Weapon Tests and Protocol Thereto Treaty (TTBT), 3 July 1974 Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START), 31 July 1991 Bibliography The United Nations Security Council. "Security Council, SC, UNSC, Security, Peace, Sanctions, Veto, Resolution, President, United Nations, UN, Peacekeeping, Peacebuilding, Conflict Resolution, Prevention." United Nations. United Nations, 2015. Web. <http://www.un.org/en/sc/2231/>. 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