Ecosystem‐atmosphere interactions and states of the (terrestrial) biosphere Miguel Mahecha, Markus Reichstein, Nuno Carvalhais, Martin Jung, Enrico Tomelleri Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany Oct. 31, 2011 Interlinked land surface processes State‐of‐the‐art concept of relevant land surface dynamics (incl. biogeophysics, biogeochemistry, and biogeo‐ graphy) Bonan, G. (2008) Science, 320, 1444‐1449 C fluxes Terminology … UNCERTAIN NEE = Net Ecosystem Exchange GPP = Gross Primary Productivity TER= Terrestrial Ecosystem Respiration Schulze, E.D. et al. (2000) Science, 289, 2058‐2059. UNCERTAIN Highly UNCERTAIN 3 UNCERTAIN Uncertain biosphere‐atmosphere fluxes Gaps in state‐of‐the‐art knowledge Uncertainty on future effect global change Terrestrial ecosystems: C sink C source Figure redrawn after: Friedlingstein et al. (2006) Climate–Carbon Cycle Feedback Analysis: Results from the C4MIP Model Intercomparison. J. Climate, 19, 3337–3353. 4 Functional dependencies CO2 fluxes reflect a series of complex interactions: ; ; ; ; ; : ; , , . ; … ; ; ,… How can we infer regional/global ecosystem‐atmosphere fluxes? Can we constrain the dynamics of land‐surface processes? 5 Functional dependencies CO2 fluxes reflect a series of complex interactions: ; ; ; ; ; : ; , . ; , … ; ; ,… FLUXNET: fluxdata.org Fluxnet‐Canada Carboeurope/NECC TCOS How can we infer regional/global ecosystem‐atmosphere fluxes? Can we constrain the dynamics of land‐surface processes? Ameriflux LBA Chinaflux USCCC CarboAfrica Afriflux 6 Asiaflux KoFlux Ozflux “Think Globally, Fit Locally” Title from Saul et al. (2003) Journal of Machine Learning Research, 4, 119‐155, In situ Flux monitoring: Ecosystem‐atmosphere exchanges of GHGs Covarying (explanatory) variables Training mapping algorithm Validating Metrology Vegetation type Phenology “Think Globally, Fit Locally” Title from Saul et al. (2003) Journal of Machine Learning Research, 4, 119‐155, In situ Global Flux monitoring: Empirical “upscaling” Covarying (explanatory) variables Application Ecosystem‐atmosphere exchanges of GHGs (Partly) overcomes site‐ pecularities, point‐to‐grid scale mismatch and representativeness Metrology Vegetation type Phenology Temperature: CRU‐PIK Precipitation: GPCP FPAR: harmonized AVHRR, SeaWIFS, MERIS product Vegetation map: SYNMAP Upscaling of fluxes Jung et al. (2011) Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, G00J07 Global estimation of ecosystem‐atmosphere fluxes See also • gross primary productivity, GPP • terrestrial ecosystem respiration, TER, Beer et al. (2010) Science, 329, 834‐838 • (in principle: net ecosystem exchange, NEE) • latent energy, LE Jung et al. (2010) Nature, 467, 951‐954. • sensible heat, H Upscaling of fluxes Global estimation of terrestrial gross primary productivity (GPP) Ensemble median map Global total: 123 +‐8 Pg/yr Machine learning PFT+Clim Water‐use Model tree ensembles ANN Light‐use eff. GPP [gC m‐2 yr‐1] Semi‐empirical Beer et al. (2010) Science, 329, 834‐838 Light‐use eff. ignores C4 veg (> 20 Pg) Upscaling of fluxes Global estimation of terrestrial gross primary productivity (GPP) Ensemble median map Global total: 123 +‐8 Pg/yr Machine learning PFT+Clim Water‐use Model tree ensembles ANN Light‐use eff. GPP [gC m‐2 yr‐1] Semi‐empirical Beer et al. (2010) Science, 329, 834‐838 Light‐use eff. ignores C4 veg (> 20 Pg) Upscaling of fluxes Latitudinal patterns of GPP as model constraint Process models: CLM‐CN LPJ‐DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1° resolution or higher Beer et al. (2010) Science, 329, 834‐838 Upscaling of fluxes Rationale: An “upscaled field” is more than a unit‐transformed vegetation index: Comparing interannual variability of EVI and upscaled GPP (different upscaling approach) Upscaling of fluxes Insights to “Global Ecosystem Properties” Energy‐flux related patterns Sensible heat (H) LE Evap. fraction LE H Carbon‐flux related patterns GPP Water‐use effic. (GPP/AET) Upscaling of static variables is established: Forest carbon stocks (i.e. above ground living biomass) in the tropics Saatchi et al. (2011) PNAS, 108, 9899–9904 “Geoscience Laser Altimeter System (GLAS), onboard … ICESat in combination with other remote sensing data bases and ground data” … “4079 in situ inventory plots and satellite light detection and ranging (Lidar) samples of forest structure to estimate carbon storage, plus optical and microwave imagery (1‐km resolution)” Ideally we would have time‐series of these data! Future integration of EO and C‐cycle studies Integrating more physically relevant variables (i.e. for reducing uncertainties in TER) Describing terrestrial C cycle requires more than vegetation indices Water cycle variables should be considered (soil moisture, interception, LST, … ). (… e.g. also to estimate dissolved organic matter losses) Acknowledging changes in physiognomic states‐of‐the biosphere (for full C balance) Land use and land cover change C losses via fire, Changes in stand structure due to wind throw, Insect outbreaks Solberg et al. (2010) IEEE Trans. Geosc. Rem. Sens. Future integration of EO and C‐cycle studies … extension to other GHGs Most importantly: fluxes of CH4 would require considering water‐related variables, i.e • Soil moisture, e.g. Liu et al. (2011) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 425–436 • Wetland extend, e.g. Prigent et al. (2007) J. Geophys. Res., 112, D12107 • LST Papa et al. (2011) J. Geophys. Res., 115, D12111 Space for improvement Seeking supporting lines of evidence with better interpretable remote sensing indicators Frankenberg et al. (2011) GRL, 38, L17706 Solar induced chlorophyll fluorescence (FLEX satellite mission, … ) Good agreement between the upscaled GPP and Fs Final remarks Considering water‐variables for inferring C‐fluxes (e.g. CH4) C‐ cycle operates from seconds to centennial scales… … Warranting consistency with previous missions … Maximal mission extension Full transparency on data uncertainty, critical for upscaling, model‐data fusion Desirable to establish links between sentinel data streams and in‐situ monitoring networks Thank you 19
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