Commentary Cuba's Response to the HIV Epidemic Eliseo J. Perez-Stable, MD Introduction Cuba's response to the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic has been unique. Mass testing for HIV antibodies, for the most part compulsory, and a mandatory relative quarantine of all persons testing positive is official policy." 2 Educational interventions using the electronic and printed media and school-based programs were widely implemented in 1988 as a secondary component of HIV transmission control. Cuba's policy highlights a historical and intriguing question in public health practice: How much can and should personal liberty and freedom be curtailed for the public good? As a Cuban American who has reported on health care in Cuba,3-5 I discuss the topic of Cuba's response to the HIV epidemic based on interviews in October 1988 with Dr. Hector Terry M6linert, the Vice-Minister of Health for Hygiene, Epidemiology, and Health Education, who has been in charge of coordinating policies regarding control of the HIV epidemic; interviews with clinicians involved in the care of HIV infected persons; and on review of official documents. Cuba 's Strategy Cuba's strategy for HIV control is based on testing the entire adult population and restricting all seropositives to facilities located in rural areas. Between 1986 and 1989, 5,117,250 persons had HIV tests in Cuba, over 75 percent of the population 15 years of age and older. ',6 A total of 434 persons, 315 men, and 119 women had been identified as HIV positive for an overall seroprevalence of 0.00009 percent (all but one are HIV-1). Government policy is to quarantine all seropositive persons in controlled res- idential parks, the first of which is located in Santiago de Las Vegas in rural Havana Province. The facility, popularly known as "Finca Los Cocos," contains adequate housing, better than average nutrition, sports and exercise facilities, and medical care. Quarantined persons are paid their salary in full or given a stipend if they had been unemployed. Five additional quarantine facilities in Central and Eastern Cuba are currently in use. Sexual contact with foreigners during international travel or in Cuba was the principal risk factor in 217 HIV positive persons. According to the Cuban Ministry of Public Health (MINSAP) authorities, 122 HIV infections were directly attributed to Cuba's military and political involvement in Africa. Of the 315 infected men, 105 are gay or bisexual with an average of nine lifetime sexual partners. By comparison, heterosexuals of either sex infected with HIV reported an average of 3.7 lifetime partners.' Anal intercourse with heterosexual men has been reported as a common practice by 53 percent of the 119 infected women.' The MINSAP categorically states that illicit intravenous drug use does not exist in Cuba and thus is not a risk factor for HIV infection. Infected blood products, neonatal transmission, and occupational exposure account for only 11 HIV positive persons. In 23 (5.3 percent) HIVinfected individuals, risk factors were unknown. ' Address reprint requests to Eliseo J. PerezStable, MD, Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of California, 400 Parnassus Avenue, Room A-405, San Francisco, CA 94143-0320. This paper, submitted to the Journal January 23, 1990, was revised and accepted for publication January 8, 1991. American Journal of Public Health 563 P6rez-Stable A total of 63 cases of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) was reported by Cuba to the World Health Organization (WHO) as of December 1989.7 Pneumonia due toPneumocystis cannii is the most frequent index diagnosis for AIDS in Cuba, and only two cases of Kaposi's Sarcoma have been reported. Reliability, Validity of Epidmiologic Data Representatives from the WHO and the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) have confirmed the reliability of epidemiologic statistics on other diseases made available by the MINSAP in several reports.8-10 In a systematic review of health care services in Cuba, Navarro" praised the high priority placed by the MINSAP in establishing a reliable system for gathering morbidity and mortality statistics covering the entire Cuban population. Although the incomplete and unreliable nature of much of the reported epidemiologic data from developing countries continues to be a problem, Cuba has established a system capable of collecting reliable and valid information. Numerous independent reports about Cuba3,4-5s9,11-17 and the health profile of Cuban immigrants entering the United States in 198018 support this contention. Gordon19 has questioned the validity of reports of low prevalence of HIV infection in Cuba. He based this on the presence of unequivocally positive tests for HIV antibodies in four of 990 (0.4 percent) Cuban immigrants who entered the US during the 1980 Mariel boatlift.20 This estimate is not substantially different from that reported by Cuba in the initial testing of persons at highest risk. Considering that the 1980 immigrants were predominantly men of less privileged socioeconomic status, many of whom had been in prison and institutions for the mentally ill, and a substantial number were homosexual or bisexual, Gordon's estimate of HIV infection may represent a selection bias. Nevertheless, validation of Cuba's reports of HIV/AIDS is difficult, given the economic and information blockade that hinders scientific exchange. Cuban scientists developed a domestic version of the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and Western blot tests for detecting HIV antibodies. Collaboration with US-based scientists was prohibited by the 30-year-old economic embargo imposed by the US Government. Validation of the Cuban tests with an in- 564 American Journal of Public Health ternational standard has been conducted in collaboration with the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation in Brazil and Sweden's Health Ministry and, according to MINSAP authorities, Cuba's domestically developed tests are comparable. Concerns have been raised regarding both sensitivity and specificity of the Cuban testing procedures.2 Currently, there are 45 laboratories capable of performing HIV tests with one acting as the national reference. Each positive ELISA assay is confirmed two additional times, and the Western blot assay is routinely repeated at least once.' Possible Advantages of Cuba's HIVPolicy Cuban health officials expect to have HIV test results on most of the adult population by the end of 1990, and will thus have the most complete population-based country-wide serologic study in the world. Identification of seropositive individuals before HIV transmission has become widespread and may allow for an effective infection control strategy to be implemented.21 As a result of widespread serotesting, the risk of HIV transmission by infected blood products has been minimized, and women found to be positive at prenatal screening are offered a therapeutic abortion. Testing of sexual contacts of HIV-positive individuals has led to the implementation of focused education and counseling in order to promote changes in sexual practices of those found to be negative and prevent the potential for explosive transmission of HIV. The fact that Cuba reports a low prevalence of HIV infection and incidence of AIDS implies that there is a window of opportunity to prevent widespread transmission. Efforts at educating the population have been implemented after mandatory testing and quarantine were established as policy. However, while education is essential, other voluntary efforts to stop transmission of HIV,22 such as contact tracing, have also been emphasized. The relativelyyoung age ofthe population and the marked increase in syphilis rates during the past decade would indicate that prevention of ulcerative sexually transmitted diseases should be a priority for the MINSAP. The policy of compulsory testing may be more acceptable if the goal in identifying HIV-infected individuals was to be able to offer them secondary prevention with zidovudine23 or primary prevention of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia without any associated social stigma. The MINSAP contends that mandatory lifetime quarantine is the only method of guaranteeing that HIV-infected persons will behave in a sexually responsible way. MINSAP's greatest fear is that of irresponsible sexual behavior among men characterized by the machismo cultural trait who are likely to seek extramarital sexual partners. In the view of Dr. Terry Molinert, lifetime quarantine will radically alter the threat of the HIV epidemic in Cuba by restricting the personal liberty of these individuals. He credits Cuba's policy with the prevention of up to 4,000 new HIV infections, but no data are available to support this statement. If Dr. Terry Molinert is correct, Cuba's policy may be justified. Possibl Di&advanges of Cuba's Poly Although the goal of compulsory testing may seem justifiable for public health reasons, little can be said in defense of lifelong guarantine. HIV-infected individuals have been confined without,any legal basis or precedent in the Cuban Constitution. If there was a strong public health justification for this restriction of human rights in a selected group of individuals guilty of no illegal act, then quarantine should be critically evaluated. Unfortunately, there is little basis on which to justify this drastic measure, and in contrast, several factors emphasize its defi ciencies. Historical precedents for this type of public health measure include the establishment of colonies for persons with leprosy which may have contributed (along with the ravages of the bubonic plague) to the virtual elimination of leprosy in Europe during the Middle Ages.24 Cuba's policy of lifelong quarantine for HIV-infected persons is the first effort in the 20th century at isolating large populations for a public health reason. More recently, quarantine has been used in individual patients with a focused goal such as enforcing treatment of a noncompliant patient infected with tuberculosis or to segregate a patient with a highly communicable disease (e.g., typhoid fever).2' Quarantine rarely has been used for patients with a sexually transmitted disease. Data on the test characteristics of the ELISA and Western blot tests for detecting HIV antibodies in populations with a May 1991, Vol. 81, No. 5 Commentwy pretest likelihood of infection of at least 1 percent show that the sensitivity and specificity approach 100 percent.25 However, when the population prevalence is as low as it has been observed in Cuba (0.00009 percent), the proportion of false positive results are likely to be higher.25 Based on the known test characteristics, Bayer and Healton2 estimated that between 21 and 53 persons may have been inaccurately designated HIV positive and, as a consequence, quarantined. This is probably an overestimate of the number of false positive HIV tests because repeated tests are conducted after the person has been confined. However, the fact remains that some persons may be inappropriately quarantined because of an inaccurate test result. Cuban authorities expressed concern regarding false positives and have limited confinement to persons with three positive ELISA tests and an unequivocal Western blot. Perhaps as a concession to some individual liberties, Cuba's current policy allows for weekend passes in the company of a health care technician, medical students, or spouses. In the words of Dr. Terry M6linert, "the technicians do not accompany them into the bedroom," and at least one woman has been documented to seroconvert following weekend visits by her quarantined husband. Thus, Cuba's policy is one of relative quarantine and, although new HIV transmission may be decreased, it is unlikely to be completely eliminated. The success of quarantine will also depend on restricting new sources of HIV infections. Being an island with an authoritarian socialist government, travel in and out of Cuba is somewhat limited. As part of the current policy, Cuban citizens traveling or working abroad will be periodically tested for HIV antibodies. As the Cuban economy struggles to establish sources ofhard currency other than sugar, policy makers expect the tourist industry to expand and assume a much more prominent role in the economy. Although the success of the tourist industry will depend in part on normalization of economic relations with the United States, and this seems unlikely to occur in the near future, Dr. Terry M6linert stated that tourists will not be tested for HIV antibodies under any circumstances. This means that the potential for new transmission of HIV would continue despite the quarantine policy. Guarantees of confidentiality for HIV positive persons with a policy of relative quarantine seem at best difficult to May 1991, Vol. 81, No. 5 conceive. The disappearance and transient reappearance of individuals from their homes will not go unnoticed by the officially instituted Committees for the Defense of the Revolution (CDR). Although originally conceived in 1960 to increase surveillance of political activity against the Cuban Revolution, the CDRs have an important role in many aspects of Cuban life (e.g., immunization and hygiene campaigns, prevention of crime by establishing neighborhood watch, and settling disputes between neighbors).5,13,17 Many of the older supporters of the revolution are active participants in the CDR and thrive on the verbal communication of unpublished news. Thus, although Dr. Terry Molinert emphasized the importance of avoiding stigmatizing seropositive individuals by identifying them in public, I doubt that this information will remain confidential. Dr. Thrry M6linert stated that Cuba's current HIV policy is under constant revision and subject to change as conditions evolve. The fact that an effective vaccine against or a pharmacologic cure of HIV is unlikely in the near future has led to reconsideration of the quarantine policy. MINSAP authorities tentatively plan to reintroduce selected HIV-infected individuals to their communities after a defined period of quarantine. As of this writing, a final decision on revision of the quarantine policy has not been made. Economic Costs The decision to develop HIV-testing capacity and to initiate a campaign to test every potentially sexually active person in Cuba has been an expensive policy. Compared to other countries in Latin America, Cuba invests a substantially higher proportion of national resources in health care. In 1983, the Minister ofHealth stated that 7.8 percent of the government budget was spent on health care,26 and in 1989 nearly 12 percent of the government budget was spent on health. Dr. T&rry M61inert estimates that the cost of developing a domestic ELISA, Western blot assay, and antigen tests and establishing the facilities for testing was approximately $3 million. Mass HIV testing and the consequences of identifying seropositive persons was estimated by Dr. TUrry M6linert to cost about $2 million per year since 1986. Since HIV tests are unlikely to end with complete testing of the population, maintenance of the HIV surveillance program will continue to require financial resources. The public health strategy of tracing sexual contacts of all HIV-positive individuals requires the full-time deployment of 450 nurses and 200 epidemiologists by the Cuban Ministry of Health.1 During the course of our conversation, Dr. Terry Molinert stated in a frustrated and tired voice that 90 percent of his time was now consumed by the HIV program. Although these efforts are admirable and reflect the high priority placed on HIV control, in a nation with limited resources and with public health problems with greater consequences on morbidity and mortality, other aspects of health care may suffer. Missed Oppoz1unities In 1987, Cuba published an annotated compendium of the English literature on AIDS for distribution to health professionals at a nominal cost.27 However, efforts to educate the general population were delayed. In manyways, Cuba seems to be an ideal place to test the implementation of a community-wide educational campaign on HIV, its cause, methods of transmission and consequences, with the goal of preventing new transmissions. The population is literate, has few concerns about the basic necessities of life, and electronic and printed media are widely available at a reasonable cost. The main thrust of the educational campaign as ofJune 1990 has been 33 television and several hundred radio programs about HIV. The programs have varied from innovative pilot projects to Spanish translations of inappropriate European film clips. Nationally televised two-hour programs have featured bland panel formats with experts from the MINSAP and depend heavily on the importance of the authoritative expert to communicate information about HIV. Physicians and public health experts wearing their white coats responded to questions using predominantly technical terminology and few graphics to illustrate concepts. The program I viewed included discussions of the epidemiology of HIV in Cuba, the sanatorium in Havana province, methods of transmission, methods of preventing transmission, use of zidovudine, treatment of opportunistic infections, and a description of the international consequences of the HIV epidemic. The information was presented in a rational manner with emphasis on the facts. The educational campaign is actively promoting the importance of responsible individual behavior and the inherent limitations of the MINSAP to protect the American Journal of Public Health 565 P6rez-Stable population from HIV. The programs are prerecorded, and thus potentially controversial issues are not discussed or are edited out. Production of more sophisticated and creative educational programs taking advantage of Cuba's established film industry were not mentioned by Dr. Terry M61inert in future plans. At the start of the 1988 school year, an HIV educational campaign directed at fifth graders was launched with school teachers as the principal source of information. School-based education offers promise to equip the population with accurate information and to dispel misbeliefs regarding the epidemic. Promotion of the sale and use of condoms by Cubans presents a particularly difficult challenge to MINSAP. Condoms are readily available at any pharmacy, but there are no vending machines in discreet locations. Thus, in order to purchase a condom, an individual must personally request it of the pharmacist, as in the case of many prescription medications. The logistical barrier of asking for a condom is compounded by the social stigma that has been traditionally associated with condom use in Latin America.28 In addition, the machismo culture may further inhibit the use of condoms by both men and women when participating in high-risk sexual practices.29 Promotion of Behavioral Change Prior to the past decade efforts to educate the public about preventable causes of morbidity and mortality have received relatively few resources compared to high tech curative technologies.5,12,30 Forexample, an anti-smoking educational campaign was launched in Cuba in 1983,30 even though cigarette consumption has been a widespread epidemic in Cuba foryears. In 1982, Cuba ranked third in the world in the per capita adult consumption of cigarettes per year with 2587,31 and the inevitable lung cancer epidemic has followed.6 Related to HVtransmission, the rate of reported cases of syphilis have increased dranatically from 7.2/100,000 in 1970 to 84.3/100,000 in 1987, and during the 1980s the number of reported cases has doubled.6 Clearly, promotion of condom use may potentially result in ben- efits beyond the prevention of HIV transmission. One must ask the question of what are the appropriate priorities in health care expenditures? In a report on health education in Cuba, Tesh30 found that health promotion campaigns (anti-smoking, accident pre566 American Journal of Public Health vention, and occupational safety) were dominated by the element of personal responsibility. Tesh argues that the socialist perspective would hold that change in behavior results from economic change in the society. Focusing on personal responsibility implies a "your-fault" assumption and contradicts the premises of a socialist society. Examples of structural changes, not implemented in Cuba, that may lead to modification of individual behavior include the level of tobacco production and enforcement of laws requiring seat belts. Although individual behavior change is perceived by MINSAP to be essential to reduce nicotine dependence, HIV control policies are primarily based on government imposed factors. In Cuba there exists the intangible public perception that the MINSAP is "responsible for taking care of our health," and thus the issue of personal responsibility for behavior change remains unanswered. Although I discussed the HIV quarantine policy with other health authorities, family members, friends, and many regular working citizens, I detected not a hint of disagreement. I found this attitude impressive given the spectrum of public opinion on many issues voiced by the Cuban people. The quarantine policy, if effective, eliminates the presence of freeliving seropositives in Cuban society and, in a subtle way, removes the responsibility of behavioral change from the individual. Although the threat of quarantine may serve as a coercive force to alter high-risk sexual behaviors among certain individuals, the quarantine policy may paradoxically permit most Cubans to feel they are personally invulnerable to the HIV epidemic. This may be the greatest challenge facing the MINSAP in implementing educational campaigns about HIV. El Acknowledgments This paper would not have been possible without the cooperation of Dr. Terry M6linert and others at the MINSAP. Drs. Barbara Marin and Thomas Coates made critical comments on an earlier draft. Dr. Perez-Stable is a Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation Faculty Scholar in general internal medicine. References 1. Cordoves R: Contra el flagelo mortal. (Epidemiologia Cubana) Bohemia 1989; 24:2025. 2. 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