Learning Team Assignment #2 Chapter 6 Case Study #1 Use the sample to find a point estimate for the mean shoulder height of (a) male bears. (b) female bears. Answer (a) The point estimate for the mean shoulder height of male bears is 79.73 (b) The point estimate for the mean shoulder height of female bears is 75.68 #2 Find the standard deviation of the sample of shoulder heights for the (a) male bears. (b) female bears. Answer (a) The standard deviation of the sample of shoulder heights for the male bears is 12.09 (b) The standard deviation of the sample of shoulder heights for the female bears is 7.59 #3 Use the sample to construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean shoulder height of (a) male bears. (b) female bears. Answer (a) The 95% confidence interval for the mean shoulder height of male bears 12.09 12.09 1.96 3.75 1.96 6.32 40 75.98,83.48 (b) The 95% confidence interval for the mean shoulder height of female bears 7.59 7.59 1.96 2.81 1.96 5.29 28 72.87, 78.49 #4 Use the sample to construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean shoulder height of all bears in the study. How do your results differ from those in Exercise 3? Explain. Answer The 95% confidence interval for the mean shoulder height of all bears 9.84 9.84 1.96 2.338 1.96 8.246 68 75.36,80.05 The major difference is that the all the measurements are used, both male and female to come up with the standard deviation of all the samples. Having a bigger sample appears to decrease the margin of error as is shown in the reading. Chapter 7 Case Study pg 363 #1 Complete the hypothesis test for all adults (men and women by performing the following steps. Use a level of significance of α = 0.05. (a) Sketch the sampling distribution. (b) Determine the critical values and add them to your sketch. (c) Determine the regions and shade them in your sketch. (d) Find the standardized test statistic. Add it to your sketch. (e) Make a decision to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. (f) Interpret the decision in the context of the original claim. Answer (a) (b) Significance level = 0.05 (sample mean should have under 5% chance of taking place at 0.05 Zc = ±1.96 (c) Rejection area is displayed in black. The two temperatures corresponding to Zc are displayed as 98.48 and 98.73. (d) Z value for sample mean is Z = Xbar – μ / (s/SQRT(N)) Z = -5.466 (e) As Z < Zc we can refuse the claim. (f) The original claim was that the mean value of body temperature is 98.6. Depending on the study sample we can deduce that the usual body temperature is under 98.6. #2 If you lower the level of significance to α = 0.01, does your decision change? Explain your reasoning. Answer At significance level of 0.01 we have Zc = ±2.576. Again as Z< Zc we can still refuse the claim. #3 Test the hypothesis that the mean temperature of men is 98.6°F. What can you conclude at a level of significance of α = 0.01? Answer mean= 98.104 std dev= 0.6987 standardized test statistic= -5.715 critical values= ±2.576 As Z< Zc we can refuse the claim that the mean temperature of mean is 98.6 #4 Test the hypothesis that the mean temperature of women is 98.6°F. What can you conclude at a level of significance of α = 0.01? Answer mean= 98.394 std dev= 0.7434 standardized test statistic=-2.2355 critical values= ±2.576 As Z > Zc and is not in the refusal area we must accept the null hypothesis and claim that the mean temperature of ladies is 98.6 #5 Use the sample of 130 temperatures to form a 99% confidence interval for the mean body temperature of adult humans. Answer E = Zc * s/(SQRT(n)) E = ±2.574 * 0.73/SQRT(130) E = ±0.1648 With 99% confidence we might say that the mean value of human body temperature is between 98.0852 and 98.4148 #6 The conventional “normal” body temperature was established by Carl Wunderlich over 100 years ago. What, in Wunderlich’s sampling procedure, do you think might have led him to an incorrect conclusion? Answer Strictly from a sampling method point of view, from the data analysis in parts 3 and 4 we can see that in case the sample contained considerably more ladies compared to guys, it would be more likely to create a somewhat higher mean value of body temperature. Chapter 7 Real Statistics / Real Decisions pg298 #1 How Would You Do It? (a) What sampling technique would you use to select a sample for the study? Why? What sampling technique would you use if you wanted to select samples from four age groups: 18-29, 30-49, 5064, and 65 and over? (b) Which technique in part (a) will give you a sample that is representative of the population? (c) Identify possible flaws or biases in your study. Answer Get a random sample to obtain a varied group of people. (a) Random Sampling would be the best method for this study. It would produce a non-biased/broad sample necessary for an exact result. Stratified Random Sampling would be best for having the greatest sampling method between several age groups. (b) Random Sampling would provide an improved representation of the population because Stratified Random Sampling would only target particular age groups. (c) The age of people in the sample might produce different responses therefore it would be significant to have an equal quantity for each age group. Education level might also cause prejudice, however it would be extremely tough to even this out. #2 Testing a Proportion Test the claim that less than 40% of people in the United States think the Social Security system will have the money available to provide the benefits they expect for their retirements. Use α = 0.10. Write a paragraph that interprets the test’s decision. Does the decision support your department’s claim? Answer Use a z-test for any population if np 5 and nq 5 z phat p pq /n z .40 .10 (.10)(.9) /4 z 2 H() 1.9435 H() 1.394 Fail to discard There isn’t sufficient proof to support the claim that under 40% of people in the United States believe the Social Security system will have money available to offer the benefits they suppose for their retirements. #3 Testing a Mean Test the claim that the mean age of people in the United States who would say yes to the survey question shown in the table is 60 years or older. Use α = 0.010 and assume that the population is normally distributed. Write a paragraph that interprets the test’s decision. Is there enough evidence to reject your department’s claim? Answer Use a 2 test in case the population is usual. 2 (n 1)s2 2 31 1.9435 2 1.5445 2 2 49.085 2 Discard There is sufficient proof to discard the claim that the mean age of people in the United States that would state yes to the survey question is 60 years or older. #4 Your Conclusions On the basis of your analysis of the responses to this survey question, what would you tell your department? Answer I would say to the department that consistent with the formulas utilized to compute the data of the surveys, the reply would be NO. There isn’t sufficient data to verify otherwise. You require over 40% to get a better average of the judgment. The percentage is extremely low to defend a hard answer for the population of the United States. The quantity of people surveyed which said yes were 60 years old or older. A larger survey with a younger quantity of age group would require to be incorporated.
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