Seeding the Vision: e r o m i t l a B e v i t a e Cr Authors: Dr. Zoltan Acs, McCurdy Distinguished Professor of Entrepreneurship at the Merrick School of Business, University of Baltimore Monika Megyesi, graduate student at the University of Baltimore Research Assistant: Annabel Acs, undergraduate student at Boston University Graphic Design: Brandy Zhang, graduate student at the University of Baltimore Inquiries regarding this publication can be directed to: Richard Clinch Program Director Jacob France Institute University of Baltimore 1420 N. Charles St. Baltimore, MD 21201 410-837-4988 [email protected] This report was made possible through partial support from the Office of the Provost, University of Baltimore. The authors are extending their special thanks to the Merrick School of Business and many other individuals who actively contributed to the creation and promotion of Seeding the Vision: Creative Baltimore. Introduction The concept of creative class, as a plausible paradigm unique aspects of traditionally industrial regions. Industrial for contemporary economic growth, awakened significant regions have had a difficult time emerging as creative hubs. interest among academics and the civic leadership community. Nevertheless, among metropolitan areas with populations of 1 In his book, The Rise of the Creative Class , Richard Florida one million or more, Baltimore ranks 17th in percentage of correlates a region’s economic development with its share of Creative Class population and is the first industrial city to creative talent, tolerance towards diversity, capacity to invent begin a turnaround. or improve technology, and richness of public amenities. In a nutshell, amenity-rich communities with a high While Baltimore does well when compared to its peer cities, it does exceptionally well when combined as degree of diversity attract young, educated, and creative part of the Washington—Baltimore megalopolis. In a sense, people who contribute directly to economic growth. Members then, part of Baltimore’s true strength and potential lays in of the creative class—including scientists, engineers, archi- its proximity to Washington, DC. This unique positioning tects, designers, educators, artists, musicians, entertainers, provides Baltimore with a competitive advantage, since etc.—stimulate a region’s economy by introducing new ideas, Washington, DC is a truly modern, creative and high-tech new technology, and new creative content. Knowledge and epicenter. professional workers who engage in complex problem solving As an integrated part of the greater Washington that involves a great deal of independent judgment also belong metro, in the overall Creativity Index, Baltimore helps to this category. outrank the three largest consolidated metropolitan areas In total, the creative sector of the American economy (CMSAs): New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, employs more than 30% of the workforce and accounts for Los Angeles-Riverside-Orange County, and Chicago-Gary- nearly 50% of all wages and salaries earned in the U.S. This Kenosha (Table 1). The Washington-Baltimore Megalopolis ratio becomes increasingly important considering that lack of is also nationally ranked No. 1 on its percentage of creative diversity, tolerance, and a knowledge-based economy leads to talent in the region. The tremendous importance of this an out-migration of creative people, or brain-drain, to other ranking is understood as Baltimore’s immediate access to regions. the most significant economic force of our age: creativity. Creativity, as a major economic force, changes An analysis similar to this report2 but focusing on the way companies, cities and countries compete. Across Arlington County, VA, was published by Arlington Economic the U.S., creative metropolises have begun basing their Development (AED) in January of 2005. It claims that economic development strategies, at least partly, on building Arlington, despite its commonly perceived suburban profile, communities attractive to the creative class worker. fares well on several creativity measures, and is already There are countless examples of such transformations a “diverse and inclusive world-class urban community,” among high-tech regions from Silicon Valley to Seattle to attracting top talent from the Washington, DC region. Boston’s Route 128 area, and so on. Baltimore has an even greater potential to attract creative What has received less attention is how traditional talent, thanks to its greater openness to diversity3, a more industrial cities in the old industrial parallelogram – bordered established technology base, and more appealing territorial by Green Bay, WI; St. Louis, MO; Baltimore, MD; and amenities. Portland, ME – have fared as creative centers. Baltimore, as a southeast anchor of this parallelogram, incorporates many This research seeds a daring vision for Creative Baltimore: to be the first industrial metropolis establishing 1 Table 1 Creativity Index Ranking Within Size for Benchmarked CMSAs (Rank Ordered List by the Creativity Measure) Target Statistical Area Washington--Baltimore, DC--MD--VA--WV CMSA New York--Northern New Jersey--Long Island, NY--NJ--CT--PA CMSA Los Angeles--Riverside--Orange County, CA CMSA Chicago--Gary--Kenosha, IL--IN--WI CMSA Within Size Creativity Rank 8 13 18 23 Within Size Technology Rank 15 23 19 29 Within Size Talent Rank 1 10 31 18 Within Size Tolerance Rank 16 14 10 30 Source: Kevin Stolarick, PhD - Carnegie Mellon University Attracting Creative Talent itself as an inclusive, diverse, and creative economy. This Human creativity, the driving force in modern report also intends to educate community and civic authorities urban development and economic growth, is a consequence on the viability of this vision, and to mobilize them towards its of nurturing and stimulating environments. Talented implementation. Baltimore, more than any other city in the people are highly mobile and attracted to regions that region, has the opportunity to capitalize on the regional and offer not only economic opportunities, but also amenities global creative economy. for a variety of lifestyles. Key to understanding the new The feasibility of this claim is demonstrated in economic geography of creativity and its effects on the following pages, starting with a short description of the economic outcomes are the 3Ts of economic development: theory on creativity. An analysis of Baltimore’s performance Talent: or creative share of the workforce, based largely on dimensions of Talent, Tolerance, Technology, and on demographic, educational, and occupational Territory follows. This report analyses Baltimore both as characteristics. a metropolitan area generally and as a counterpart to other Tolerance: or diversity, based on indexes related to traditional industrial cities. It concludes with a short summary immigration, integration, sexual orientation and of findings. bohemian culture. Technology: or innovation, measured by patent activity and the high technology share of the economic base. Each T is a necessary—but by itself insufficient—condition to attract creative people, develop the creativity of the in- NOTE: 1. Florida, Richard, The Rise of the Creative Class. Basis Books, New York, NY. 2002. All references to the “Creative Class” are derived from this text unless otherwise noted. 2. The report titled “Benchmarking the Creative Class in Arlington, VA” (by Terry Holzheimer and Lauren Hodgin) is available on the Arlington Economic Development website at http:// www.arlingtonvirginiausa.com/docs/creativeclass.pdf. 3. The Arlington report measures diversity purely based on the region’s share of foreign-born population. It does not consider measures like the Gay Index and Bohemian Index. digenous population base, generate innovation, and stimulate economic growth. Richard Florida combines the 3 T’s into a Creativity Index, in order to rank the creative potential of metropolitan regions. Additionally, this report expands on a fourth T—Territory—to account for Baltimore’s rich territorial and communal amenities. Based on relevance and availability of data, the 3 T’s (Talent, Tolerance, Technology) and the 4 T’s (Talent, Tolerance, Technology, Territory) are used interchangeably, as context dictates. 2 Table 2 Index Ranking for All Creativity Statistical Areas Creativity Index Ranking for All Statistical Areas (Rank Ordered List by Creativity Index) Target Statistical Area Creativity Index Talent Index Tolerance Index Technology Index Austin TX 0.991 0.956 0.790 0.848 San Francisco CA 0.988 0.957 0.939 0.844 San Jose CA 0.985 0.990 0.863 0.896 0.809 Raleigh-Durham NC 0.982 0.976 0.646 Seattle WA 0.979 0.956 0.789 0.808 Oakland CA 0.976 0.920 0.900 0.795 Boston MA-NH 0.970 0.967 0.671 0.677 Sacramento CA 0.967 0.802 0.778 0.703 Washington DC-MD-VA-WV 0.964 0.986 0.824 0.694 Atlanta GA 0.961 0.824 0.720 0.743 Portland OR-WA 0.955 0.838 0.714 0.829 Dallas TX 0.946 0.849 0.793 0.765 San Diego CA 0.940 0.820 0.839 0.778 New York NY 0.927 0.886 0.866 0.545 Phoenix AZ 0.909 0.659 0.739 0.779 Minneapolis MN-WI 0.906 0.890 0.613 0.676 Baltimore MD 0.903 0.874 0.671 0.497 Los Angeles CA 0.888 0.727 0.902 0.484 San Antonio TX 0.870 0.621 0.634 0.708 Philadelphia NJ-PA 0.867 0.812 0.595 0.619 Denver CO 0.861 0.887 0.763 0.557 Chicago IL 0.855 0.811 0.724 0.616 Talent Index 0.874 0.812 0.811 0.716 0.701 0.589 0.655 0.725 Tolerance Index 0.671 0.595 0.724 0.408 0.525 0.436 0.242 0.534 Technology Index 0.497 0.619 0.616 0.533 0.450 0.465 0.589 0.350 Source: Kevin Stolarick, PhD - Carnegie Mellon University Kevin Stolarick, PhD Information Systems Program Porter Hall 100A Carnegie Mellon Software Center Table 3 Creativity Index Ranking for Benchmarked Statistical Areas (Rank Ordered List by Creativity Index) Target Statistical Area Creativity Index Baltimore MD 0.903 Philadelphia NJ-PA 0.867 Chicago IL 0.855 St. Louis IL-MO 0.698 Milwaukee WI 0.559 Cleveland OH 0.498 Pittsburgh PA 0.438 Detroit MI 0.272 Source: Kevin Stolarick, PhD - Carnegie Mellon University 3 Methodology The Creativity Index and the 3 T Indexes are This report analyzes the extent to which the ranked on a scale from 0 to 1 to provide consistent basis for Baltimore Metropolitan Statistical Area (Baltimore MSA), comparison among analogous regions based on population in the State of Maryland, represents an environment that statistics. Table 2 specifies the creative performance of the attracts and stimulates creativity on the dimensions of 4 top metropolitan areas with a population of 1 million or Ts: Talent, Tolerance, Technology, and Territory. more. The top five creative regions are Austin, TX; San Measures of the Talent dimension include data Francisco, CA; San Jose, CA; Raleigh-Durham, NC; and from the U.S. Census Bureau on population 25-34 years of Seattle, WA. Baltimore joins this group of creative regions th in the top 10 percentile of the Creative Index. It ranks 17 th age, educational levels of population 25+, migration of population aged 5+ to the region, information on foreign on the national list, with an overall Creativity Index of born population, and data on occupations considered 0.903. creative. The region performs even better in the context of Data on the Gay Index and Bohemian Index was peer cities of the old industrial parallelogram. On a list of provided by Dr. Kevin Stolarick of Carnegie Mellon seven comparable metropolises, Baltimore ranks first, University, who has done extensive statistical research in showing unique potential in becoming the prototype of various measures of creativity. These two indexes give an an industrial region that successfully adapts into an open, insight in the analyzed regions’ Tolerance dimension. inclusive, and diverse economy (Table 3). While Baltimore Aptitude in Technology will be shown by data on is at the forefront measured both by the Creativity and utility patents granted by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Talent Indexes, it is outperformed only by Chicago on the Office. Tolerance Index. The Technology Index places Philadelphia Finally, the dimension of Territory will be in the lead and Baltimore in fifth place among the described with focus on the Wage Inequality Index and benchmarked regions. Housing Inaffordability Index provided by Dr. Stolarick, The 3 T’s explain why cities like St. Louis and Pittsburgh fail to grow despite their deep reservoirs of and data on housing costs from the U.S. Census Bureau. The 4 T dimensions of the Baltimore MSA technology and world-class universities. They have not are studied both independently and as compared to seven been sufficiently tolerant and open to attract, retain, and similar industrial regions. The Baltimore MSA incorporates organically grow top creative talent. The interdependence Anne Arundel County, Baltimore City, Baltimore County, of the 3 T’s also explains why cities like Miami and New Carroll County, Hartford County, Howard County, and Orleans do not make the grade even though they are lifestyle Queen Anne’s County (Graph 1). and tolerance meccas: they lack the required technology The benchmarked Metropolitan Statistical Areas base. The most successful places – such as the San (MSAs) and Primary Metropolitan Statistical Areas Francisco Bay area, Boston, Austin, and Seattle – put all 3 (PMSAs) are: Chicago, IL; Cleveland, OH; Detroit, MI; T’s together. They are truly creative places. Milwaukee, WI; Philadelphia, PA; Pittsburgh, PA; and St. Louis, MO. These regions were selected because they inhabit the traditional industrial parallelogram and are in important structural and economic ways comparable to Baltimore. 4 Graph 1 Baltimore MSA: Anne Arundel County, Baltimore City, Baltimore County, Carroll County, Hartford County, Howard County, and Queen Anne’s County Talent Dimension The statistical correlation between the Talent Index Nationally, the size of this cohort has been shrinking over and creative class centers are among the strongest of any the past decade. With the exception of Chicago, industrial variables in the analysis. The Talent Index considers a region’s urban areas are loosing their young adult population; this population aged 25-35, education levels, migration, and translates into a creative brain-drain. Cleveland experiences creative occupations. Baltimore, ranked first among peer cities, considerably less brain drain than its peers. While Baltimore outperforms its benchmarks with a higher talent rank for the ranks last on this category, the picture significantly improves percent of its population that is a part of the creative class at the county level. Howard and Anne Arundel counties— (Table 4). located geographically to the South, between Baltimore and Washington, DC—lost less young population than the rest of Population 25-35 the MSA (Table 5). Loss of young creative adults encumbers Baltimore’s progress towards a creative economy, though the When it comes to converting human creativity region’s proximity to Washington, DC, provides a ready talent into economic output, the individuals aged 25-34 play a resource that can augment this demographic – so long as particularly crucial role. Representing the majority of today’s Baltimore takes measures to attract this talent. creative class, this group is also the peak of its mobility, and therefore a crucial leading indicator of revealed locational decisions. 5 Table 4 Talent Index Ranking for Benchmarked Statistical Areas (Rank Ordered List) Target Statistical Area Baltimore MD Philadelphia NJ-PA Chicago IL Detroit MI St. Louis IL-MO Milwaukee WI Pittsburgh PA Cleveland OH Talent Index 0.874 0.812 0.811 0.725 0.716 0.701 0.655 0.589 Source: Kevin Stolarick, PhD - Carnegie Mellon University Table 5 Population Aged 25-34 (Rank Ordered List by Percent Change) Change 1990-2000 Target Statistical Area 2000 Number Percent 1,280,225 143,847 13% Cleveland, OH PMSA 295,069 -12,443 -4% Pittsburgh, PA PMSA 284,780 -41,583 -13% Detroit, MI PMSA 644,314 -123,458 -16% Milwaukee, WI PMSA 205,841 -48,381 -19% Philadelphia, PA--NJ PMSA 686,005 -162,936 -19% St. Louis, MO--IL MSA 345,294 -84,502 -20% Baltimore, MD MSA 352,427 Howard County 36,519 Anne Arundel County 72,235 Harford County 28,685 Carroll County 17,896 Queen Anne's County 4,724 Baltimore County 101,340 Baltimore City 93,248 Source: American FactFinder - U.S. Census Bureau -91,977 -2,717 -7,824 -5,301 -3,354 -981 -23,276 -44,633 -21% -7% -10% -16% -16% -17% -19% -32% Chicago, IL PMSA 6 Education Levels Educational levels are highly correlated with At the county level, 58% of the population has a bachelor’s creativity, innovation, and economic growth. Baltimore degree or above in areas north of Baltimore City (Carroll and ranks fourth of the benchmarked MSAs, while education Hartford Counties). levels within the counties forming the Baltimore MSA are even higher (Table 6). Table 6 Population Aged 25+ with a Bachelor's Degree or Higher (Rank Ordered List by Percent Change) Change 1990-2000 Target Statistical Area Chicago, IL PMSA Cleveland, OH PMSA 2000 Number 1,586,055 631,110 Percent 66% 350,620 108,834 45% Pittsburgh, PA PMSA 391,691 114,657 41% Baltimore, MD MSA 493,842 15,786 25,564 4,606 62,371 48,210 92,487 43,746 132,064 5,793 9,347 1,607 18,894 14,287 21,562 3,665 37% 58% 58% 54% 43% 42% 30% 9% Carroll County Harford County Queen Anne's County Anne Arundel County Howard County Baltimore County Baltimore City Milwaukee, WI PMSA 260,981 66,598 34% Detroit, MI PMSA 661,889 164,428 33% St. Louis, MO--IL MSA 428,849 102,532 31% Philadelphia, PA--NJ PMSA 932,498 210,499 29% Source: American FactFinder - U.S. Census Bureau Migration The mobility of the creative class contributes to the Comparable to domestic migration, Baltimore social and economic rise or fall of urban regions. Migration receives a considerable share of international talent, even if happens at the domestic, as well as international, level. less than other industrial areas (Table 8). At the county level, Geographic relocation is probably the fastest way a region can Baltimore fares even better with impressive results in Howard gain or lose creative workers. Although other industrial regions County, laying South of Baltimore City. enjoy a considerably higher percentage of inward mobility, While immigration is important to regional growth, it Baltimore shows a 6% gain of creative population through is less important for innovation. Innovation is a measure best domestic migration (Table 7). This figure is expected to described by diversity indexes (and detailed later in this paper). increase significantly as creative talent is driven from the Places that are open to immigration do not necessarily number Washington, DC due to housing inaffordability. among the leading creative class centers, though a region’s Nationwide, approximately 40% of total population growth is the result of international immigration. openness to foreign populations is a solid leading indicator of its overall tolerance to new people and ideas. 7 Table 7 Migration of Population Aged 5+ to Benchmarked Statistical Area (Rank Ordered List by Percent Change) Change 1990-2000 Target Statistical Area 2000 Number Percent Chicago, IL PMSA 820,247 233,365 40% Cleveland, OH PMSA 183,719 31,511 21% Detroit, MI PMSA 361,116 49,320 16% Pittsburgh, PA PMSA 171,262 22,647 15% Milwaukee, WI PMSA 155,498 11,385 8% Baltimore, MD MSA 307,220 13,778 5,952 59,479 66,995 52,348 85,086 23,582 17,090 2,049 851 6,290 5,735 2,305 2,766 -2,906 6% 17% 17% 12% 9% 5% 3% -11% 477,595 26,264 6% St. Louis, MO--IL MSA 251,309 Source: American FactFinder - U.S. Census Bureau 11,891 5% Carroll County Queen Anne's County Baltimore City Baltimore County Howard County Anne Arundel County Harford County Philadelphia, PA--NJ PMSA Table 8 Foreign Born Population (Rank Ordered List by Percent Change) Change 1990-2000 Target Statistical Area 2000 Number Percent 145,532 89,600 160% St. Louis, MO--IL MSA 41,073 25,021 156% Milwaukee, WI PMSA 37,044 21,809 143% 122% Detroit, MI PMSA Cleveland, OH PMSA 40,630 22,319 Pittsburgh, PA PMSA 24,938 12,755 105% 639,887 325,505 104% 61,275 28,113 972 3,046 23,211 53,784 7,364 29,638 30,634 16,746 498 1,491 9,944 21,281 2,344 6,171 100% 147% 105% 96% 75% 65% 47% 26% 145,971 60,236 70% Chicago, IL PMSA Baltimore, MD MSA Howard County Queen Anne's County Carroll County Anne Arundel County Baltimore County Harford County Baltimore City Philadelphia, PA--NJ PMSA Source: American FactFinder - U.S. Census Bureau 8 Creative Occupations The creative class, as defined by Richard Florida, con- high-tech, financial, legal, health, and business management sists of the Super-Creative Core and Creative Professionals. The sectors. These professionals engage in creative problem solving 4 Super-Creative Core includes occupations like: scientists, writers, that typically requires a high degree of formal education. In the artists, educators, architects, engineers, athletes, entertainers, etc. benchmarked industrial areas, Baltimore’s super-creative core They add economic value to the region directly through their and creative professional occupations show tremendous increase. 5 creative works. Creative Professionals hold occupations in The city ranks fourth, with impressive results at the county level knowledge-intensive industries, such as the (Table 9). Table 9 Creative Class Occupations (Rank Ordered List by Percent Change) Change 1990-2000 Target Statistical Area 2000 Number Percent 3,034,880 1,907,431 169% Cleveland, OH PMSA 797,622 479,935 151% Pittsburgh, PA PMSA 860,316 500,473 139% Baltimore, MD MSA 1,085,823 160,244 62,562 16,119 91,669 211,545 332,903 210,781 605,048 101,607 39,092 10,036 55,276 121,580 185,977 91,480 126% 173% 167% 165% 152% 135% 127% 77% 2,014,021 1,110,070 123% 585,560 322,558 123% 976,952 527,075 117% 1,519,267 788,855 108% Chicago, IL PMSA Howard County Carroll County Queen Ann's County Harford County, Anne Arundel County Baltimore County Baltimore City Philadelphia, PA--NJ PMSA Milwaukee, WI PMSA St. Louis, MO--IL MSA Detroit, MI PMSA Source: American FactFinder - U.S. Census Bureau Tolerance Dimension Tolerance is a complex set of relationships NOTE: 4. Baltimore’s Super-Creative Core occupations are concentrated in the following industries: Information; Educational Services; and Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation. More information on occupations categorized under these industries can be found at http://www.naics.com/naics26page.htm#11. 5. Creative Professional occupations in Baltimore are available primarily in the following industries: Finance & Insurance; Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services; Management of Companies & Enterprises; and Health Care & Social Assistance. More information on occupations categorized under these industries can be found at http:// www.naics.com/naics2-6page.htm#11. that explain how people work and live together to create innovations that stimulate growth through technology and talent. Among the benchmarked MSAs, Baltimore ranks second on the overall tolerance index (Table 10). Creative people are attracted to places that score high on the Gay Index and the Bohemian Index, the main components of the overall Tolerance Index. One important measure of a region’s openness to diversity is its tolerance towards individuals’ sexual orientation. The Gay Index ranks a region based on this openness, and is a good measure of diversity in part because 9 gays have been subject to discrimination from many sectors of A region that does not organize artistic events fails to society. provide stimuli that attract both the artists themselves and The Gay Index is a very strong predictor of a region’s creative class workers more generally. high-tech industry concentration. This does not indicate a Richard Florida makes a distinction between correlation between high-tech professionals and their sexual smaller-scale street-level amenities and the traditional orientation. It simply means that areas tolerant of lifestyle big-ticket attractions such as professional sports, museums diversity are favored by the creative class worker. Among the symphony, opera, etc. Baltimore is blessed with several benchmarked MSAs, Baltimore is the most open (Table 11). such attractions—i.e. the Orioles Stadium and Baltimore th On the other hand, Baltimore ranks only 6 on the Symphony Orchestra—yet Florida found little evidence that Bohemian Index, just before Pittsburgh and Cleveland (Table big-ticket arenas and events are effective at attracting talented 12). The Bohemian Index takes into account the including people and generating high-tech industries. Cultural amenities the Baltimore extent to which the region fosters artists, appealing to the creative class include vibrant street life, performers, musicians, etc. and their lifestyles. In a recent readily available outdoor recreation, and a cutting-edge national listing of musical and entertainment events by state, music scene. These vital amenities have been neglected in Maryland—MSA—had absolutely nothing scheduled. Baltimore, which gives rise to serious concern. Table 10 Tolerance Index Ranking for Benchmarked Statistical Areas (Rank Ordered List) Target Statistical Area Chicago IL Baltimore MD Philadelphia NJ-PA Detroit MI Milwaukee WI Cleveland OH St. Louis IL-MO Pittsburgh PA Tolerance Index 0.724 0.671 0.595 0.534 0.525 0.436 0.408 0.242 Source: Kevin Stolarick, PhD - Carnegie Mellon University Table 11 Gay Index For Bechmarked Statistical Areas (Rank Ordered List) Target Statistical Area Baltimore MD 1.02 Chicago IL 0.98 Philadelphia NJ-PA 0.96 Milwaukee WI 0.75 Cleveland OH 0.74 St. Louis IL-MO 0.72 Detroit MI 0.69 Pittsburgh PA 0.64 Source: Kevin Stolarick, PhD - Carnegie Mellon University 10 Gay Index Table 12 Bohemian Index For Bechmarked Statistical Areas (Rank Ordered List) Target Statistical Area Bohemian Index Chicago IL 1.14 Detroit MI 1.10 Milwaukee WI 1.08 Philadelphia NJ-PA 1.00 St. Louis IL-MO 0.98 Baltimore MD 0.91 Pittsburgh PA 0.88 Cleveland OH 0.87 Source: Kevin Stolarick, PhD - Carnegie Mellon University Technology Dimension The Technology dimension is quantified by the metropolitan regions on the overall Technology Index Technology and Innovation Indexes. Both innovation and (Table 13). However, the Innovation Index—measured high-tech industry are strongly associated with the locational by utility patent outputs—ranks Baltimore as first among decisions of the creative class, and of talented individuals in benchmarked metropolitan areas (Table 14). Patents translate general. Fifteen of the top twenty high-tech regions also rank the society’s underlying creativity and innovation into among the top twenty creative class centers, as do fourteen economic outcomes. At the county level, Queen Anne’s of the top twenty regions on the Innovation Index. Though County shows greater than expected results, with 250% Baltimore is located in close proximity to the I-270 patent grant increase from 1990 to 2000. Technology Corridor, it ranks only fifth among peer Table 13 Technology Index Ranking for Benchmarked Statistical Areas (Rank Ordered List) Target Statistical Area Philadelphia NJ-PA Chicago IL Pittsburgh PA St. Louis IL-MO Baltimore MD Cleveland OH Milwaukee WI Detroit MI Technology Index 0.619 0.616 0.589 0.533 0.497 0.465 0.450 0.350 Source: Kevin Stolarick, PhD - Carnegie Mellon University 11 Table 14 Utility Patents by Benchmarked Statistical Area (Rank Ordered List by Percent Change) Change 1990-1999 Target Statistical Area Baltimore, MD PMSA Queen Anne's County Harford County Carroll County Howard County Baltimore City Baltimore County Anne Arundel County St. Louis, MO-IL MSA Philadelphia, PA-NJ PMSA 1999 Number Percent 664 14 64 44 152 142 164 84 295 10 39 25 74 63 70 14 80% 250% 156% 132% 95% 80% 74% 20% 743 307 70% 1,849 636 52% Detroit, MI PMSA 1,964 622 46% Chicago, IL PMSA 2,929 843 40% Cleveland, OH PMSA 786 181 30% Milwaukee, WI PMSA 530 119 29% Pittsburgh, PA MSA 809 68 9% Source: US Patent and Trademark Office Territory Dimension From a territorial perspective, Baltimore is truly rich. affordable housing is highlighted by Richard Florida in his Its variety of territorial amenities is a major selling point for second book, The Flight of the Creative Class. To express the region – from winning sports teams to the uniqueness of this dimension statistically, Dr. Kevin Stolarick of Carnegie Fells Point to a wealth of green spaces, parks, and trails. Mellon University compiled the Wage Inequality and It is the home of the railroad, Fort McHenry, the Naval Housing Inaffordability Index. The Wage Inequality Index Academy, the Inner Harbor, and the Chesapeake Bay. shows a population’s tendency to earn considerably above The Baltimore waterfront presents the region with further or below average salary. Interestingly, there is a strong opportunity to improve its territorial assets and to create an correlation between inequality and creativity: more creative open, inclusive, and diverse community through a working regions show more prominent income inequality. Baltimore harbor designed for both work and leisure. The city has ranked first on the Wage Inequality scale, meaning that the an impressive urban fabric connecting universities, water, income divide is great in the region (Table 16). While a good excellent transportation, and affordable housing. The number of people earn above average income, a considerable latter category, translating into housing costs, affects the segment of the population earns below average salaries. attractiveness of a community, especially for young adults 12 fared surprisingly well once more. The importance of The latter segment may be the reason why at the beginning of their careers and peak of their mobility. Baltimore ranks only sixth on housing costs (Table 15) When assessing the number of households spending less and fourth on housing inaffordability table (Table 17). than 35% of their income on housing costs (including: The Housing Inaffordability Index is calculated using total renters, owners with mortgage, and owners without housing costs, categorized by housing types (rental, owned, mortgage) at the MSA level, Baltimore’s share increased – mortgage, no mortgage, etc.) and weighed by the number of but not at the rate this phenomenon occurred in similar people in each type. This index is significantly and industrial cities (Table 15). At the county level, Baltimore negatively correlated with total population. Table 15 Households Paying Less than 35% of Income for Housing (Rank Ordered List by Percent Change) Change 1990-2000 Target Statistical Area Chicago, IL PMSA Cleveland, OH PMSA 2000 Number 1,927,092 481,543 Percent 33% 629,102 116,895 23% Pittsburgh, PA MSA 683,302 93,641 16% Milwaukee, WI PMSA 417,831 38,339 10% St. Louis, MO--IL MSA 736,290 64,880 10% Baltimore, MD PMSA Howard County Harford County Carroll County Queen Anne's County Anne Arundel County Baltimore County Baltimore City 694,902 69,333 59,791 40,409 10,326 136,411 228,171 171,891 47,051 17,942 13,763 9,207 2,152 24,126 19,556 -18,265 7% 35% 30% 30% 26% 21% 9% -10% Detroit, MI PMSA 1,222,496 73,890 6% Philadelphia, PA--NJ PMSA 1,331,992 75,650 6% Source: American FactFinder - U.S. Census Bureau Table 16 Wage Inequality Index Ranking for Benchmarked Statistical Areas (Rank Ordered List) Target Statistical Area Within Size Ranking Baltimore MD 17 Philadelphia NJ-PA 30 Pittsburgh PA 33 Chicago IL 36 Detroit MI 40 Cleveland OH 45 Milwaukee WI 47 St. Louis IL-MO 52 Source: The Flight of the Creative Class, by Richard Florida Table 17 Housing Inafordability Index Ranking for Benchmarked Statistical Areas (Rank Ordered List) Target Statistical Area Within Size Ranking Chicago IL 26 Philadelphia NJ-PA 28 Cleveland OH 38 Baltimore MD 45 Milwaukee WI 46 Pittsburgh PA 53 Detroit MI 57 St. Louis IL-MO 60 Source: The Flight of the Creative Class, by Richard Florida 13 Conclusion While there are many examples of high-tech regions becoming creative (Silicon Valley, Seattle, Boston Route 128), and has an impressive number of biotechnology companies what is needed now is a model for creative economy compared to the national average. The region’s strengths transformation for traditional industrial cities. Baltimore, include its potential for technological innovation through more than any other city in the industrial parallelogram region, utility patents (Graph 5). Nevertheless, Baltimore needs to has the opportunity to become that model, by growing, find ways to tap into Washington, DC’s creative labor pool, nurturing, and capitalizing upon its creative economy. as well as leverage talent from the reserve provided by its This unique opportunity is provided in part by the region’s proximity to Washington, DC, and by its high ranking on dimensions of talent, tolerance, and technology. The th own remarkable universities, in order to further improve in this dimension overall (Graph 2). On the Territory dimension, the Baltimore MSA Baltimore MSA ranks 17 in the creativity index among has much to offer: access to the Atlantic Ocean through the all U.S. cities of over 1 million inhabitants—just after Chesapeake Bay, four state parks in Baltimore County, Minneapolis and before even Los Angeles (Table 2)—and historic towns, and vibrant ethnic neighborhoods. Housing first on the Creativity Index among benchmarked metropolitan costs in the region became more affordable to an additional areas (Table 3). Baltimore also ranks favorably in overall 7% of population over the past decade, with an even greater measures of 3Ts when compared to Philadelphia, Chicago, impact at the county level. The region shows capacity St. Louis Milwaukee, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Detroit to attract creativity with a low housing inaffordability (Graph 2). measure (Graph 6). Baltimore’s Wage Inequality Index Along individual measurements of the 4 T’s, suggests strong presence of the creative class, but housing Baltimore shows both strengths and weaknesses. The region affordability could be increased to attract even more fares relatively well in its population’s educational levels and talented young professionals to the area. concentration of creative occupations in the region (Graph 3). Ultimately, Baltimore is well positioned to take off in Nevertheless, on both these categories, there’s room for the global creative economy, especially given its tradition- improvement. On the Talent dimension, Baltimore’s greatest ally industrial profile. Its proximity to Washington, DC— weakness is its declining 25-34-year-old population. Also, the a truly modern and creative high-tech nucleus—and its current rate of inward migration does not bode as well as it access to the largest reservoir of creative talent in the nation could in terms of attracting creative talent. provide grounds for this region to pioneer an unprecedented The region shows capacity to nurture creativity with economic turnaround. Baltimore owns resources and can high overall tolerance levels, ranking second among peer cities develop further capabilities to pull creative talent from the (Graph 2). The Tolerance dimension is strong in Baltimore’s District of Columbia and Virginia. To do that, though, profile, with a high ranking on the Gay Index (Graph 4). civic and community leadership must come together to Its performance is less strong on the Bohemian Index. The actively seek and implement a strategic plan aimed at Baltimore region, and Maryland in general, fails to adequately harnessing this potential. The intent of this report is to invest resources in its arts and entertainment scene. organize such leadership, encourage such strategic The region is an established leader in technological innovation, and has shown great signs of success in the Technology dimension. Nevertheless, there is always room for 14 growth. Baltimore ranks high in creative high-tech indexes planning, and therefore seed the roots of a bold yet viable vision: Creative Baltimore. Best Average Worst Graph 2 Overall Creativity and 3T Ranking Among Benchmarked Statistical Areas 6 Creativity Index Talent Dimension Tolerance Dimension Technology Dimension Best Average Worst Graph 3 Individual Talent Measures for Baltimore Among Benchmarked Statistical Areas BALTIMORE MSA Population 25-34 Education Level Migration—Domestic Migration—Foreign Born Creative Occupations Best Average Worst Graph 4 Individual Tolerance Measures for Baltimore Among Benchmarked Statistical Areas TALENT Bohemian Index Gay Index Best Average Worst Graph 5 Individual Technology Measures for Baltimore Among Benchmarked Statistical Areas TOLERANCE Technology Index Innovation Index Wage Inequality Housing Inafordability Housing Costs Best Average Worst Graph 6 Individual Territory Measures for Baltimore Among Benchmarked Statistical Areas TECHNOLOGY TERRITORY NOTE: 6. This visual representation of the data was inspired by Dr. Kevin Stolarick of Carnegie Mellon University. 15 This is a publication of: The Jacob France Institute, University of Baltimore 1420 N. Charles Street Baltimore, Maryland 21201-5779 www.ubalt.edu/jfi Telephone: 410.837.4727 Fax: 410.837.5814 In collaboration with: The Merrick School of Business 1420 N. Charles Street Baltimore, Maryland 21201-5779 www.ubalt.edu/merrick Telephone: 410.837.4955 Fax: 410.837.5652
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