AENEAS “Estimate of the illegal immigrant population in Greece” April 2008 Athens This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme This research has been produced with the financial assistance of the European Union and the project partners. The contents of this research are the sole responsibility of the Hellenic Migration Policy Institute (IMEPO) and can under no circumstances be regarded as reflecting the position of the European Union. Publisher: Hellenic Migration Policy Institute (IMEPO) Address: 46 Haritos str., Athens - Greece Tel: +030 210 72 55 385 Fax: +030 210 72 55 389 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.imepo.gr ©2008, Hellenic Ministry of Interior All rights reserved. No part of this research may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise without the prior written permission of the Hellenic Ministry of Interior. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme RESEARCH TEAM Theodoros P. Lianos Kostas Kanellopoulos Maria Gregou Eda Gemi Panagiota Papakonstantinou “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme CONTENTS Chapter 1 Bibliography Review …………………………………………1 Chapter 2 Estimate of the Illegal Immigrant Population based on the Number of Foreign Students - Bibliography review ....................................................................................... 8 Chapter 3 Estimate of the Illegal Immigrant Population based on arrest and Deportation Data……………………..…16 Chapter 4 Estimate of the Illegal Immigrant Population based on the Estimates of Immigrant Associations……….… 25 Chapter 5 Estimate of the Illegal Immigrant Population based on the Estimates of Local Authorities……………..…. 36 Chapter 6 Estimate of the Illegal Immigrant Population based on the data from the NSSG and ΗΜοΙ ………………..58 Chapter 7 Estimate of the Illegal Immigrant Population based on the Estimates of the Hellenic Police Force ………………………95 Chapter 8 Summary and Conclusions………………………………….101 Annex Findings on the repatriation of illegal Albania immigrants in Greece……………………………………….105 Bibliography ………………………………………………………………109 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme CHAPTER ONE BIBLIOGRAPHY REVIEW I. The economic bibliography on immigration is indeed enormous. One could reasonably claim that this bibliography began with the two comprehensive articles of Ravenstein, written in 1885 and 1889 respectively. However, despite the large population movement to the USA at the beginning of the twentieth century, immigration bibliography has not developed considerably. It is worth noting that no reference is made to the term “immigration” in A. Marshall’s book “Principles of Economics”, which was originally published in 1890 and saw its sixth impression in year 1938. The only relevant reference made was that by J.R. Hicks (1932), who noted that “the differences in the purely financial advantages, and mainly the differences in salaries, are the main causes of immigration”, while reference was also made in some significant articles of Makower, Marschak and Robinson (1938, 1940), Duncan (1940) and in one article of Stouffer (1940). The limited research and therefore poor bibliography of that period could be due to lack of sufficient statistical data, which would be easily accessible to researchers at low cost. Moreover, it is possible that immigration was not yet acknowledged as a permanent phenomenon or basically, that it was not yet noticed that population movements had a radical and significant impact on both the countries of origin and destination. The great development in economic bibliography on immigration began with the article of Sjaastad in 1962, i.e. at a time of massive population movements to the USA, Canada and Australia and also from the European South to the North. The success of the Sjaastad paper and its broad acceptance by the entire community of economists lies in that it analyzes immigration as an economically rational behavior within the scope of the investment theory. Since then, the bibliography on immigration in North America and Europe has seen great development among the economists and other social scientists. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 1 II. Contrary to the bibliography on general immigration, the bibliography on illegal immigration has mainly developed after 1992 as a result of the extensive population movements to Europe after the fall of the Soviet Union and of the regimes of existing socialism. There are, of course, studies on illegal immigration which were published before that, such as the papers of Chiswick (1986) and Ethier (1986) in USA. A part of this rapidly-developing bibliography on illegal immigration refers to the immigrant populations and estimation methods thereof. There are currently three bibliography reviews on the estimation of illegal immigrant populations and the relevant estimation methods. The first one, in terms of chronological priority, was the paper of Tapinos (1999), which is based on a previous study of Delaunay and Tapinos (1998). These studies stress the complexity of the phenomenon of illegal immigration and identify such illegality in three different levels: Illegal entry, illegal stay and illegal employment. Moreover, they present an almost exhaustive typology of the methods applied to date in estimating illegal immigration populations. These methods are classified a direct and indirect methods. Direct estimates, as implied by the term, are those based on data deriving from statistics from the administrative Authorities, e.g. entry permit denials, illegal immigrant arrests, legalization schemes, as well as from statistical sampling. Indirect estimates are those deriving from comparison of various data or from secondary sources, e.g. immigrant criminology data, school admissions etc. Tapinos and Delaunay have come to two conclusions, which are worth mentioning: With regard to the illegal immigrant population estimation method, they stress the need to apply scientific methods, as they consider them to be more reliable. As to the development of this phenomenon in time, they express the view that illegal immigration is not a temporary phenomenon; that it is inevitable and that it is expected to increase due to the ever-increasing globalization, the continuing national combats and the changes that are taking place in the countries currently in a transitional phase. The view that illegal immigration has become a permanent phenomenon is also supported by other researchers, e.g. Papademetriou (2006), who stresses that it would be best to examine how to deal with illegal immigration to the common benefit, rather than seeking ways to prevent it. The second bibliography review, in chronological order, is that of Jandl “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 2 (2004). This paper examines the methods applied for the estimation of the illegal immigrant population in various European countries and stresses the distinction between the illegal immigration population, i.e. the immigrant populations staying and being employed illegally, and the inflow of illegal immigrants. In estimating the illegal immigrant population, Jandl refers to the following methods applied by other researchers: (a) The “residue methods”, where the number of illegal immigrants derives as a residue from the comparison of census data or data from other records; (b) The “multiplier methods”, where the estimate is based on a fixed ratio between a measurable variable and the number of illegal immigrants, e.g. the legal / illegal immigrants ratio. (c) The sampling methods, where a group of experts or persons associated with the matter, e.g. entrepreneurs who are employing immigrants, is interviewed and the answers are totalized under the appropriate multiplier. (d) Arrest / re-arrest methods, where the number of immigrants re-arrested is estimated and, according to the number of arrest, the results are readjusted to match the total. This is the method applied by ichthyologists to identify fish populations, e.g. in lakes. (e) Estimation of illegal immigrant populations based on data deriving from legalization schemes. (f) Estimate of the immigrant populations employed illegally, based on the proportion between the immigrants illegally employed in specific enterprises and the ratio of these enterprises and economy as a whole. In measuring the inflow of illegal immigrants, Jandl quotes as an estimation method the border arrests. Assuming that the ratio of illegal entry attempts and arrests is known and invariable, then the number of illegal entries derives from the number of arrests. Of course, the number of illegal entries is not identified with the size of the illegal immigrant population currently in the country. The third bibliography review (also in 2004) is the paper of Prinkerton, McLaughlan and Salt (2004). This paper presents in thorough detail several studies that were carried to estimate illegal immigrant populations. It also presents the studies “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 3 already presented in the paper of Delaunay and Tapinos as well as some more recent studies that were carried out for the USA, Costa Rica, Spain, Germany, Netherlands and the South-African Association. Furthermore, it contains a comprehensive summary of the information sources used in various studies and of the estimation methods applied. Within the scope of this brief reference to bibliography, it is advisable to refer to the increasing interest in illegal entries, the mechanisms of the illegal networks which organize and carry out illegal movements, the cost of such movements and their consequences1. This trend is indicative of the interest and the concern caused by illegal immigration in the Western and Southern Europe. III. There is now extensive bibliography2 on modern immigration to Greece, which covers a broad range of the problems3 relating to the inflow of large numbers of illegal immigrants after 1990, part of whom have become legal. However, limited efforts are made to estimate the illegal immigrant populations existing in the country in every time period. The only safe estimates available as to the number of immigrants are those deriving from the three legalization schemes and the 2001 census. According to these data, 371,641 immigrants took part in the legalization scheme of year 1998, by applying for a “white card”, i.e. temporary stay permit. During the 2001 census, 672,191 immigrants were staying in Greece (both legalized in the 1998 legalization scheme and illegal), 66,000 of whom came from the EU and Cyprus. 367,860 illegal immigrants took part in the legalization scheme of year 2001, but only 217,000 qualified for a stay and employment permit. In the third legalization scheme of year 2005, there were 145,000 applications, far below those of the two previous schemes.4 1 Among the recent studies in this field are the following:. Koser, K. (2005),. Jandl, (2007), Futo, P. and T. Tass (2001), Futo, P., M. Jandl and L. Karsakova (2007), Papadopoulou, Asp. (2004) Antonopoulos, G. and J. Winterdyc, (2006). 2 The most important part of this bibliography is found in the following studies Th. Lianos (2003), Th. Lianos and Th. Benos (2004), St Zografaki,s A. Kodis and Th. Mitrakos 92007), Ira EmkePoulopoulou (2007) 3 Cf. the minutes of the conventions of the Immigration Policy Institute in 2006 (under publication, titled ?????????) 4 For debates and comments on the legalization schems, cf. Cavounides, J. (2002). Cavounidis, J. (2007) and Fakiolas, R. (2003). “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 4 Evidently, the number of applications in the legalization schemes provides a minimum estimate of number of illegal immigrants, whereas following a census, a minimum estimate of the total immigrant population. A census is essential not only because a certain number of immigrants were not recorded, but also because the census is carried out in March, when many immigrants are entering the country for the upcoming season of high tourism and agricultural works, i.e. May to September. As a result of the three legalization schemes carried out, a total of 604,215 valid stay and employment permits were granted to immigrants in Greece in 2005 and 695,979 permits in 2006. However, these data do not provide an estimate of the illegal immigrant population, given that the total immigrant population remains unknown. Three efforts were made to estimate the illegal immigrant population, all in different time periods. The first effort was the one made by Lianos, Sarris and Katselis (2006) and was carried out in 1995. This study was based on the a series of questionnaires, which were answered by 213 agricultural, 47 construction and 40 industrial enterprises established in the four districts of Macedonia. From the findings of this research and based on certain systematic assumptions, the total population of illegal immigrants in Greece in 1995 was estimated at 471,000. It is only reasonable to assume that the some of the employed immigrants are accompanies by nonemployed family members; therefore, within the scope of the estimation method applied, the above estimate must be considered as a minimum. Given that no legalization scheme was carried out prior to 1995, the above estimate refers to illegal immigrants. A most recent study is that of Kanellopoulos, Gregou and Petralias (2006). The authors of this study have used all available statistical data sources, i.e. the 2001 Census, all three legalization schemes, the number of arrests and deportations of illegal immigrants, the number of entry denials and denials of asylum, the Labor Force Surveys and the data of the persons insured with the National Social Security Organization (“IKA”), the Agricultural Insurance Organization (“OGA”) and the Insurance Fund for Craftsmen and Small Traders (“TEBE”). Based on these data and certain assumptions, they reached the conclusions that the total population of illegal immigrants in year 2004 was approx. 300,000. Another estimate of the illegal immigrant population is also contained in the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 5 abovementioned study of Zografakis, Kodis and Mitrakos. This study uses data from the 2001 Census, the legalization schemes and the Statistical Service and leads to three different estimates of the population of illegal immigrants in year 2004. According to the first estimate, this population was somewhere between 295,000 and 335,000. According to the second estimate, it was 227,000 and according to the third, it was ranged from 272,000 to 312,000. Regardless of how close to reality these estimates really are, this study’s drawback is that it is based on the NSSG assumption that the immigrant population (both illegal and legal) in 2004 was somewhere between 890,000 and 930,000 and in 2001 it was 775,000 – 815,000. However, these population estimates are rather unreliable, as they include the population of illegal immigrants, which remains unknown. Moreover, the authors’ assumption that during period 2004-2006 80,000 illegal immigrants crossed the borders is arbitrary, given that it is not backed by any official or other information. IV. Following this brief review of bibliography, we are lead to four conclusions, which should be noted: First, illegal immigration to the countries of the EU is not a temporary phenomenon, nor is it expected to end any time soon. On the contrary, it appears that it has gained the character of a permanent phenomenon of population movements. Second, combating illegal immigration is difficult, especially in countries which are not sufficiently prepared in administrative terms, and whose national borders are exposed. Third, estimating the population of illegal immigrants in a country is an extremely difficult task, given that the immigrants who are not holders of valid stay permits make all possible efforts to remain unidentified, although they do leave “marks”. Fourth, the population of illegal immigrants may be varying rapidly, given that new immigrants are crossing the borders every day, others are leaving the country and moving to other countries or returning home, especially in neighboring or nearby countries, others manage to obtain valid stay permits in various ways, while others, who used to be legal, elect not to have their permits renewed and to stay in the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 6 country illegally. Hence, the estimates of illegal immigrant populations are only valid for the specific time period they refer to. Out of the four conclusions drawn from the existing bibliography, only the first one, i.e. that illegal immigration appears to be turning into a permanent phenomenon, could be questioned. In every period of time there may be movements (of different sizes) of illegal immigrant populations to specific parts of the world; what matters though, is whether these movements will be established on a global scale and on a permanent basis. Whether there will be constant and significant movements of illegal immigrant populations in all parts of the world dependsd on many economic, demographic etc. factors, which are difficult to predict or to accurately identify. On the contrary, one could claim that it is possible that these movements will be somehow balanced and that illegal immigration will be limited or even cease in large parts of the world. In general, the question whether illegal immigration is a temporary or permanent phenomenon could not be addressed outside a clear analysis framework. In any case, it is useful to note that illegal immigration is not merely the result of the immigrants’ desire to immigrate and of the risk they take by doing so either on their own or through illegal and costly immigration networks, but it is also the result of the tolerance – or even willingness – of the citizens and the employers (of both the small and the large scale) of the destination countries to employe illegal immigrants. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 7 CHAPTER TWO ESTIMATE OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANT POPULATIONS BASED ON THE NUMBER OF FOREIGN STUDENTS I. An indirect method to estimate the number of foreigners staying in the country without holding a valid stay permit, derives from the statistical data on foreign students admitted to the Greek schools, from Nursery School to High School. The Greek Law allows for the admission of foreign students at the Greek schools, regardless of whether they are legal or illegal immigrants. All that is required from a foreign student to be admitted in a Greek school (Nursery School, Primary School, High School or in Technical Vocational Training Centers (“TEE”), is an officially translated birth certificate or a certificate of successful graduation from the previous class. Hence, the children of illegal immigrants can be admitted to the Greek schools if they wish to. The students attending these educational levels are over 5 years of age and, by inference, under 19. Thus, the number of foreign students can be compared with the number of foreigners of that age, who are holders of valid stay permits and stay in the country legitimately. If the number of holders of valid permits exceeds the number of students of this age, then we reach the conclusion that there are foreign immigrants of school age who elected not to attend a Greek school, e.g. persons over 15 years of age who prefer to work. If, however, the number of foreign students exceeds the number of legal immigrants of that age, then there obviously families of illegal immigrants whose children are attending the Greek schools, as this is permitted by the Greek Law. According to the data of the Institute for the Education of the Expatriates and Inter-cultural Education (IEEIE) for academic year 2004-2005, the number of foreigners in every educational level, according to Table 1 below, is as follows: Nursery Schools 9503 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 8 Primary Schools High Schools 59334 29170 Senior High Schools and Technical Vocational Training Centers 113463 Table 1 Foreign Students in all educational levels, 2004-2005 Educ. level Foreign students Total students % Nursery 9503 138304 6.9 Schools 59334 68550 9.3 Primary 29170 333989 8.7 Schools 15456 338189 4.6 113463 1449032 7.8 High Schools Senior High Schools and TVTC Total Source: IEEIE According to the NSSG data for year 2005, the number of foreigners staying legitimately in the country was, according to Table 2 below, as follows: Age 5-9 years 37358 « 10-14 « 33351 « 15-19 « 20226 The 15-19 age group includes persons aged 19, who do not fall under any student category; therefore, it should be reduced by one fifth (because it refers to a five-year group of ages); hence, 20,226 should become 16,181. Thus, the total of persons aged 5-18 is approximately 86,890. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 9 Table 2 Number of Immigrants on a valid stay permit, 2005 Country of Total Age origin 5-9 10-14 15-19 Total 604215 37358 33351 20226 Europe 543904 36210 32376 19709 Asia 48202 836 783 421 Africa 9378 285 160 65 America 2507 22 28 27 Oceania 219 4 2 4 Albania 448152 34310 30128 17456 Bulgaria 33469 619 967 1170 Romania 17546 452 318 249 Ukraine 13249 168 276 233 Source: NSSG Following the above, it derives that the total of foreign students in academic year 2004-2005 was 113,463 whereas the total of immigrants of that age holding a valid stay permit was 86,890. A comparison between these two figures reveals that there were 26,573 foreign students without a stay permit. It is only rational to assume that these students were staying in Greece with their families. It also rational to assume that the rate of children aged 5-18 over the total immigrant population is invariable, for both legal and illegal immigrants. For the total population, this rate is: Population Population aged 5-18 = 604,215 = 6.95 86,890 It should be noted that this rate varies significantly depending on the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 10 immigrants’ country of origin. For example, for the total immigrant population coming from Asia, the rate of their total population over the population of persons aged 15-18 is 24.6, whereas for the population of immigrants from Africa, this rate is 18.9. Furthermore, for Albania it is 5.7, for Bulgaria 13.3. and for Ukraine 21.0. In other words, there are big differences in the synthesis of immigrant families, depending on their countries of origin. Based on the total population / population of persons aged 15-18 ratio, which for the total immigrant population is 6.95, we can calculate the number of immigrants without a stay permit. From the total of these students (26,573), it derives that the total of illegal immigrants is 184,783 (=26,573 Χ 6.95). It becomes quite clear that the above estimate provides a threshold, which is the minimum estimate that could be produced under this method. Certainly, there are persons who drop out of school, mainly after the fifteenth year of age, i.e. after High School, and enter the job market. This could be largely happening among the immigrants and perhaps this partly explains the big reduction of foreign students in High School and Senior High School, as shown in Table 1. Hence, the estimate of 184,783 illegal immigrants is merely an understatement. One could further say that it is rational to assume that the illegal immigrants are hesitant to take their younger children with them; therefore, the rate of total population over the population of immigrants aged 5-18 is higher than that applying to legal immigrants. In this case, the 6.95 multiplier is actually higher and so is the number of illegal immigrants. This is the reason that the above estimate is an understatement of the real population. II. The reliability of this method of estimating the illegal immigrant populations based on the number of foreign students attending the Greek schools could be tested by applying it to the data deriving from the 2001 census and to the foreign students of that same year. The immigrants’ recording made by the 2001 Census made no distinction between legal and illegal immigrants. The total number of foreigners stood at 761,813 and it is certain that this is an understatement of the actual figure, given that part of the number of immigrants (mainly illegal immigrants) would avoid or neglect to register. The number of foreigners aged 5-19, according to the census, was as follows: “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 11 Age 5-9 years 42763 « 10-14 « 45823 « 15-19 «_____59626__ Total 148,212 By reducing the total number of persons aged 15-19 by one fifth (i.e. by 11925 persons), - so that this number refers to ages 15-18 -, the total number of persons aged 5 - 18 is 136,287 . Table 3 shows that the total number of foreign students attending all educational levels in year 2002-2003 was 38,241. The difference of 38,046 (136,28798,241) reflects the foreigners aged 5-18, who are not students. In other words, the number of foreigners aged 5 – 18 exceeds that of the foreign students (by 38,046). This result is absolutely rational taking into consideration that there is leakage in all educational levels, for various reasons, and mainly because part of this population, especially the older persons, is entering the job market. The result of this estimations enhances the view that the method applied to estimate the illegal immigrant population is reliable. Table 3 Foreign Students in all educational levels, 2002-2003 Educ. level Foreign students Total Rate Students Of foreigners Nursery Schools 9503 138304 6.9 Primary Schools 54570 633235 8.6 High Schools 22693 328309 6.9 Senior High 11475 360616 3.2 98241 1460464 6.7 Schools and TVTC Total Source: IEEIE III. The three data sources used above, i.e. the 2001 Census data, the data on legal immigrants of 2005 and the IEEIE data can be combined so as to estimate the immigrant population that stayed in the country in 2005 without a stay permit. This “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 12 estimate derives as follows: According to the 2001 Census, the total number of foreigners aged 5-18 was approximately 136,287. According to the IEEIE data for 2002, the total number of foreign students was 98,241. This means that each student corresponds to 1,387 persons aged 5-18. Despite the fact that the data derived from the Census and from the IEEIE refer to two time periods that are one year apart, we believe that these data could be compared and combined. We can now apply the above ration, i.e. 1,387 to the 2005 data. According to this ratio, the 113,463 foreign students in 2005 correspond to 157,373 (=113,463 x 1,387) foreigners aged 5-18. Now we can calculate the total population of foreigners corresponding to the population of foreigners aged 5-18 by applying the following ratio: Total Foreigner Population / Foreigner Population aged 5-18. According to the Census data, this ratio is 761813 = 5,59 . 136287 Assuming that no significant changes have taken place from 2001 to 2005 in the age pyramid of the immigrant population, the 5.59 ratio can be applied to estimate the total population of foreigners I 2005. Based to the foreigner population aged 5-18 in year 2005, which is estimated at 157,373 , the total foreigner population in that year was 879,715 (= 157,373 x 5.59). According to the NSSG data, the total population of foreigners staying in the country on a valid stay permit was 604,215 (cf. Table 2). The difference between the estimated total population (879,715) and the total foreigner population on stay permit (604,215) is 275,500. This difference is an estimate of the illegal immigrant population that were at that time staying in Greece without a valid stay permit. This estimate should be considered as the maximum illegal immigrant population (according to this estimation method0 given that it is based on the 2001 Census. IV Hence, according to the above estimates, the illegal immigrant population in 2005 ranged between 184,783 and 275,500. It is worth noting that these estimates were based on census data (2001 Census, Foreign Student population according to the IEEIE, number of stay permits issued by the Hellenic Ministry of Interior); hence, there are no significant doubts as the accuracy of these data. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 13 As already pointed out, there are many reasons that the illegal immigrant population is constantly varying. However, the exact immigration inflow or ouflow causing such variation still remains unknown. Therefore, the above estimate should be deemed as an estimate of the size of the illegal immigrant population, rather than as a precise numeric calculation thereof. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 14 CHAPTER THREE ESTIMATE OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANT POPULATIONS BASED ON ARREST AND DEPORTATION DATA I. One source of information, which could lead to estimates of the illegal immigrant population in Greece, is the General Secretariat of Public Order (Ministry of Interior), which collects information and keeps data records on the arrests and deportation of immigrants. These data show the number of immigrants arrested during period 2001-2007 per country of origin and place of arrest, i.e. at the land borders, at the sea borders or in the mainland. Furthermore, these data reflect the number of immigrants arrested for deportation and the number of immigrants deported during period 2001 – 2007. The difference in the number of immigrants “arrested” and those “arrested for deportation” is due to the fact that many of those arrested manage to avoid deportation in various ways, e.g. by applying for asylum or by leaving the country voluntarily or for family reasons, health reasons etc. The above information is presented in the tables that follow. ΙΙ. Table one shows the number of illegal immigrants arrested during period 2001 – 2007, per country of origin. This number varies according to the time period amd the country of origin. In general, the fluctuation in these numbers could be due to factors related to the countries of origin, or to the national police and port authorities’ efforts which may be intensified or limited from time to time or to special conditions. For example, the extremely large number of Albanian immigrants arrested in 2001 could be due to the fact that they tried to enter the country with the expectation to be legalized under the second legalization scheme which would be carried out during that year. It should be noted that the numbers of arrested immigrants from specific countries, such is Iraq, Afghanistan, Palestine, Somalia and Georgia have increased significantly during the last couple of years (2006 and 2007). As it appears from the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 15 annual total numbers, the number of immigrants arrested was considerably reduced in 2002 – 2004 while it increased considerably in 2005 – 2007. Table 1 Illegal Immigrants Arrested by the Police and Port Authorities 2001 – 2007 Country 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 By 30.9.07 53424 2007 By estimation 71232 Albania 1739 3682 3578 3163 5213 5746 57 7 9 7 2 6 Iraq 8379 8455 1402 988 1064 8157 8829 11772 Afghanistan 2358 2234 1391 1802 1771 5260 7303 9737 Iran 2313 1383 736 440 586 Pakistan 1843 918 1560 2080 Romania 5025 517 Bulgaria 1469 Moldavia 732 FYROM Bangladesh 1824 498 664 1708 1028 1371 2618 2329 3105 687 1019 3350 775 951 195 1791 1262 1889 1553 1649 1657 1112 722 1088 711 993 2424 471 Georgia 527 796 Somalia 934 Palestine 785 738 799 2847 3518 4691 83553 111404 India Total 728 2195 5823 5103 4498 6635 9523 98 0 1 7 1 9 Source: General Secretariat of Public Order Note: This Table shows the countries of origin of the most illegal immigrants per year. However, the total includes all illegal immigrants from all countries. Therefore, the each column total is larger than the aggregate of the illegal immigrants from the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 16 countries appearing in the table. For year 2007, there are available data for the first nine months, while there is one additional column where numbers are increased by one third so as to reflect the annual figures. III. Table 2 contains the same data as Table 1, only per place of arrest, i.e. at the land or sea borders or in the mainland. As it appears, there has been an increase in the number of arrests after 2004 in all three columns. Most arrests (58%) take place at the land borders, while only 10% takes place at the sea borders and merely 3% in the mainland. It is worth noting that these estimates are inter-related both as to the place and the time of the arrest. It is possible that the same person be arrested twice during the same year, while trying to cross the borders illegally, or that they be arrested in two different years. Moreover, it is possible that the same person be arrested at the borders, not be deported for various reasons and then be arrested in the mainland. The precise number of these cases remains unknown; thus, it is also unknown if the 399,391 arrests made during period 2002 – 2007 refer to different persons or if they also include any persons arrested more than once. Hence, once could rationally infer that the phenomenon of successive illegal entries in the country by the same persons and successive arrests of these persons applies mainly to the Albanian immigrants, given that Albania is a neighboring country, rather thatn to immigrants from other countries. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 17 Table 2 Illegal immigrants arrested at the Borders and in the Mainland 2002 – 2007 Year Land Sea borders Mainland Total borders 2001 - - - - 2002 38051 4331 15848 58230 2003 28358 4098 18575 51031 2004 23221 5926 15840 44987 2005 37867 4974 23510 66351 2005 53556 9049 32634 95239 2007(1.1-30.9) 51376 11773 20404 83553 2007 68501 15697 20205 111404 Total (9 months) 232429 40151 126811 399391 Rate 58% 10% 32% Source: General Secretariat of Public Order Note: The totals include the data of period 1.1. – 30.9 for year 2007. The total number of immigrants arrested at the land borders is lower than that of Albanian immigrants as set out in Table 1. This is due to two reasons. The number of Albanian immigrants arrested includes (a) those arrested in the mainland and (b), those arrested at the sea borders. IV. Table 3 shows the number of immigrants arrested for deportation and the number of immigrants deported during period 2001 – 2007. The rate of immigrants deported is 45.2% for that period, but presents a downward trend. This is partly due to legal and administrative difficulties, but mainly to the denial of certain countries (e.g. Turkey) to take back any arrested immigrants coming from their territories. It should be noted that any immigrants arrested for deportation who have not yet been deported, are released upon lapse of a specific period of time. It is obvious that failure “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 18 by the authorities to deport the immigrants arrested is a major reason that the illegal immigrant population is increasing. As shown in Table 3 below, a large number (117,036) of immigrants arrested for deportation during period 2001 – 2007, were eventually not deported. However, this doesn’t mean that they are still in Greece, as some of them may have left the country voluntarily. V. The data on immigrant arrests at the borders are considered by some researchers (e.g. Tuto and Tass, 2001) as the most direct and evident basis to assess the illegal immigration currents. This estimation method is based on the reasonable assumption that there are illegal immigrants who are never arrested as well as on the less reasonable assumption that there is a relatively fixed ratio between the number of immigrants arrested and those never arrested. The ratio between the number of illegal immigrants arrested and those crossing the borders illegally depends on various factors, such as the efficiency of border control authorities, the human smuggling networks’ organization level, their cooperation with corrupted officials at the border control authorities etc. According to one assessment, the total number of illegal immigrants successfully crossing the borders is 2 to 4 times higher that that of border arrests (Widgren, 1993). This assessment refers to 1993 and it is quite possible that this ratio has decreased significantly since then, given the more efficient border control and the experience gained throughout these years by the border control authorities. A recent study (Heckmann, F. and T. Wunderlich, 2000) assumes that the ratio between arrests and successful border crossing attempts is 1 to 2. In other words, if three immigrants try to cross the borders of a European country illegally, two will succeed and one will be arrested. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 19 Table 3 Immigrants Arrested for Deportation and Immigrants Deported 2001 – 2007 Year Immigrants Immigrants Arrested for Deported Rate Difference Deportation 2001 20734 13242 63.9% 7492 2002 29598 11778 39.8% 17820 2003 29527 14222 48.2% 15305 2004 29769 15168 51.0% 14601 2005 40599 20461 50.4% 20138 2006 43159 17650 48.9% 25509 2007 (9 38540 12369 32.1% 26171 231926 104890 45.2% 117036 months) Total Source: General Secretariat of Public Order Applying these ratios to Greece could lead to an over-estimate of the number of illegal immigrants currently staying in the country, for the following reasons: First, as already mentioned, the number of total arrests may include the persons arrested more than once in the same year or in different years. This applies mainly to illegal immigrants from Albania, who form a large part of the total illegal immigrants in Greece (cf. table 1). Second, it is generally known that the illegal immigration from Albania to Greece is frequently followed by the movement of the same persons from Greece back to Albania. Third, the land border control forces have been reinforced and have become more experienced, so that crossing the Greek-Albanian borders is no longer considered an easy task. Fourth, the number of prospective immigrants from Albania has been reduced following the immigration of hundreds of thousands of Albanians to Greece, Italy and other countries. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 20 In order to estimate the number of illegal immigrants staying in Greece, we will apply the following ratios of border arrests over illegal entries. With regard to the Albanian immigrants, we assume that the ratio is one to one, or, alternatively, one point five to one point five, whereas for immigrants from other countries this ratio is assumed to be one to two. For period 2002-2007, and on the assumption that for the Albanian immigrants this ratio is one to one, we are lead to the following estimate: Estimate A 1. Number of Albanian immigrants arrested Less the ratio of immigrants arrested in the mainland 285083 285083 x 0,32 =91227 Number of Albanian immigrants arrested at the borders 193856 Number of Albanian immigrants who crossed the Greek borders illegally 2. Number of arrested immigrants from other countries 44075 Number of those immigrants who crossed the Greek borders illegally 44075 x 2 = 88150 3. Total (193856 + 88150) 282006 4. Less the total of immigrants deported during the same time period - 104890 177116 5. Plus the total of immigrants denied legalization in 2001 + 150860 327976 6. Less the total of immigrants granted a stay permit during the 2005 legalization 7. Number of illegal immigrants in Greece - 145000 182976 Following the alternative assumption that the ratio of immigrants arrested to the illegal immigrants who crossed the Greek-Albanian borders is one to one point five, the number of illegal immigrants is estimated as follows: “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 21 Estimate B 1. Number of Albanian immigrants arrested Less the ratio of immigrants arrested in the mainland 285053 285083 x 0,32 =91227 Number of Albanian immigrants arrested at the borders 193856 Number of those immigrants who crossed the Greek borders illegally 193856 x 1,5 = 290784 2. Number of arrested immigrants from other countries Number of those who crossed the Greek borders illegally 44075 44075 x 2 = 3. Total (290784 + 88150) 4. Less the total of immigrants deported during the same time period 88150 378934 - 104890 274044 5. Plus the total of immigrants denied legalization in 2001 + 150860 424904 6. Less the total of immigrants granted a stay permit during the 2005 legalization 7. Number of illegal immigrants in Greece - 145000 279904 The difference between these two estimates is insignificant and it is due to the fact that the number of arrests made at the Greek-Albanian borders is high; therefore a slight variation of the ratio of arrests over illegal entries, e.g. from 1:1 to 1:1.5 which is the case here, would cause a significant shift in the relevant figures. The two estimates set out above are based on the assumption that the immigrants who were denied legalization in 2001 have stayed in Greece illegally until 2007; thus, they are added to the total population of illegal immigrants. The number of immigrants granted a stay permit during the 2005 legalization has been deducted from the total. Interestingly, these two figures are almost equal, i.e. 150.8 thousand applications were “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 22 denied in 2001 and 145 thousand were accepted in 2005. It is worth noting that, under the estimation method at hand, the above calculations of the number of immigrants staying illegally in Greece must be rounded down, because it is well-known that many of those entering the country illegally are moving to other countries. However, the extent of these movements remains unknown; therefore, the readjustment of figures is rather difficult. In any case, it is only rational to assume that these movements mainly refer to immigrants for whom Greece is in their way to other European countries. It is hard to assume that the immigrants from Albania or Bulgaria are crossing the Greek borders illegally in order to move to other European countries. Hence, the above estimates should be only slightly readjusted, perhaps by a few tenths of thousands. Assuming that only one quarter of the illegal immigrants coming from countries other than Albania moves to other countries, the above estimates are readjusted as follows: Estimate A: 182976 – 22038 = 160938 Estimate B: 279904 – 22078 = 257866 ΙV. In conclusion, from the arrest and deportation data of the General Secretariat of Public Order and based on reasonable assumptions, the number of illegal immigrants staying in Greece in 2007 is estimated somewhere between 161,000 – 258,000. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 23 CHAPTER FOUR ESTIMATE OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANT POPULATIONS BASED ON THE ESTIMATES OF IMMIGRANT ASSOCIATIONS I. In estimating the number of immigrants staying illegally in our country, we can apply the so-called “Delphi method”, i.e. to seek the views of various persons presumed to have sufficient knowledge on the matter. In our opinion, these persons include, among others, the directors of immigrant associations, e.g. the Chairman or the Directors of association. The persons in charge of immigrant associations have daily contact with other immigrants on various issues and it is only rational to assume that they might have a clear picture of the number of illegal immigrants or of the ratio between illegal and legal immigrants either in their association or in whole. Without doubt, the Delphi method entails the risk of subjectivity, poor judgement or partiality of the persons interviewed. It is possible that the chairman of an association may inflate or reduce what he reckons a precise number of the illegal immigrants, if he/she thinks that this could be beneficial to them. Moreover, it is not certain that his/her opinion matches the reality. Therefore, the Delphi method is not considered to be scientific and it definitely lacks the gravity that characterizes the methods which are based on statistical data drawn in a scientific manner. Despite its drawbacks though, the Delphi method could be useful in the sense that it provides information, provided of course, that there are no obvious reasons to doubt the validity of such information. An example that clearly indicates the usefulness of the Delphi method, is the following: Let’s assume that a traveller is at a train station without having any clue as to what time the next train will be. Any time of arrival is as possible as any other time. For the traveller, who is totally ignorant, the train’s time of arrival is subject to the uniform distribution of probabilities. In this case, the traveller would be in a better position if he could ask the residents of the nearby village what time the next train is. Even if the residents were not aware of the official itinerary, they could still provide “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 24 useful information based on the hoot of the trains that they have heard or the smoke that they have seen going up the horizon. Even if the residents’ observations are not accurate in terms of time or if they don’t have a very good memory, their information would be still be useful to a certain extent. In this sense, the Delphi method could be useful. II. In order to collect information from the Directors of immigrant associations, we have interviewed the representatives of forty associations, one radio station and one newspaper, who were asked the following questions: How many members are registered in your association? How many members are legal immigrants? How many members are staying in the country illegally? Which, in your opinion, is the total number of immigrants in Greece? How many of those are legal immigrants in your opinion? How many of those are staying in the country illegally (numerically or as a percentage of the total) in your opinion? What type of occupation do legal immigrants normally have? What type of occupation do illegal immigrants normally have? The answers as to the number of immigrants, both legal and illegal, are presented in Table 1, which quotes the names of the association, the capacity under which the interviewee was acting, the number of members of the association and the city where the latter is seated and such person’s estimate as to the number of immigrants currently in Greece. Three persons interviewed refused to provide any information as to the number of members of their associations and two obviously failed to understand the question concerning the total number of immigrants in Greece, and thus provided an answer as to the number of immigrants coming from their country of origin (these were the representatives of the immigrant associations of Bangladesh and Moldavia, who gave an estimate of 20,000 and 30,000 – 40,000 respectively). These answers were not included in calculating the rates set out in “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 25 tables 2 and 3 below. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 26 TABLE 1 Estimates of the representatives of Immigrant Associations Total Members Association 1 Seat The Albanian Immigrants’ Total Legal Illegal Imm. Imm. Number of Immigrants (in thousands) % Total Legal Illegal Imm. % Imm. Athens 300 300 - - 1200 1000 200 17 Athens 47 47 - - 500 400 100 20 Athens 120 120 - - 1000 650 350 35 Athens 30 25 5 17 650 550 100 15 Athens 58 58 - - 850 600 250 29 Athens 53 53 - - 700 450 250 29 Athens 50 41 9 18 800 600 200 25 Athens 500 500 - - 800 680 120 15 Thessaloniki 300 280 20 7 700 500 200 29 Thessaloniki 170 170 - - 900 700 200 22 Society (Chairman) 2 The Artistic Society of Lushnja (Chairman) 3 The Artistic Society of Borshi (Chairman) 4 The Liter Art Authors’ Society (Chairman) 5 The Cultural Society of Koritsa (Chairman) 6 The Drita Immigrant Authors’ Association (Chairman) 7 The Albanian Immigrants’ Cultural Corner (Chairman) 8 The Thessaloniki Albanian Association (Chairman) 9 The Immigrant Women Association Of Northern Greece (Chairman) 10 The Thessaloniki Albanian Association “Mother Tereza” (Chairman) “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 27 Total Members Association 11 Seat The Iliria Albanian Society Total Legal Illegal Imm. Imm. Number of Immigrants (in thousands) % Total Legal Illegal Imm. % Imm. Thessaloniki 800 800 - - 600 400 200 33 Volos 100 90 10 10 600 400 200 33 Volos 35 25 10 29 1000 600 400 40 Larissa 500 500 - - 850 650 200 24 Larissa 1600 1600 - - 1000 900 100 10 Trikala 150 150 - - 700 600 100 14 Kavala 106 106 - - 800 700 100 13 Patras 10 10 - - 640 400 240 37 Heraklio 1040 1040 - - 700-750 680-720 20 2,5 Lasithi 560 54523 15 2,8 700-800 550-600 150-200 25 Athens 300 270 30 10 850 500 350 41 Athens 23 120 0 0 1000 600 400 40 Athens 150 120 30 20 700 500 200 29 Athens 30 30 0 0 800 500 300 37 (Chairman) 12 The Intellects’ Society of Magnesia (Chairman) 13 The Albanian Women’s Society (Chairman) 14 “Alberia” Society (Chairman) 15 The “Flora” Immigrants Association (Chairman) 16 The Albanians Association (Chairman) 17 The Albanian Immigrants Association Of Kavala (Chairman) 18 The Albanian s Association (Member of the BoD) 19 “Friendship” Association (Chairman) 20 “Skenderbej” Albanian Association of Lasithi (Chairman) 21 The Artistic Society of “Lunxheria”(Chairman) 22 “Puneton” Society (Chairman) 23 “Athens” Albanian Immigrants’ Association (Chairman) 24 “Laberia” Albanian Association (Chairman) “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 28 Total Members Association Seat The Albanian Immigrants’ 25 Society (Chairman) 26 “Athens Newspaper” Total Legal Illegal Imm. Imm. Number of Immigrants (in thousands) % Total Legal Illegal Imm. % Imm. Athens 600 600 0 0 850 650 200 24 Athens 12 12 0 0 850 650 200 24 Athens 10 10 0 0 1000 700 300 30 Tripoli 600 600 0 0 1000 800 200 20 Rethimno 250 250 0 0 600 400 200 33 Chania 1500 1500 0 0 700 500 200 28 1000 500 500 50 (Editor) 27 Athens International Radio (Director) 28 The Albanian Employees’ Association of Tripoli (Chairman) 29 The Forum of Albanian Immigrants in Rethimno (Chairman) 30 The Albanian Immigrants’ Association of Chania (Chairman) 31 “Socrates” Hellenic- Athens Refused to make an estimate Albanian Friendship Association (Vice-chairman) 32 “Lunxheris” Albanian Athens 300 250 50 17 700 450 250 36 Athens 102 102 0 0 800 550 250 31 Athens 150 150 0 0 700-800 700 100 13 Athens 2000 2000 0 0 1000 600 400 40 Cultural Society (Chairman) 33 “Progress” HellenicAlbanian Association (Chairman) 34 “Bashkim” Albanian Immigrants’ Association (Chairman) 35 The Nigerian Community In Greece (Chairman) 200+200 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 29 Total Members Association 36 Seat The Community of Total Athens Legal Illegal Imm. Imm. Number of Immigrants (in thousands) % Total Legal Illegal Imm. % Imm. No reply 20 12 8 40 30-40 25 15 37 1000 720 280 28 Bangladesh (Chairman) 37 The Hellenic-Moldavian Athens 500 500 0 0 Assocation (Chairman) 38 The Immigrant Women’s Athens No reply Association (Chairman) 39 The Albanian Immigrants’ Athens 138 138 0 0 900 600 300 33 Athens 52 52 0 0 1000 1000 50 5 Youth Association (Chairman) 40 The Sudan Community In Greece (Chairman) “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 30 As shown in Table 1, the persons asked represented immigrant associations which are seated in Athens, as well as in other Greek cities, e.g. Thessaloniki, Volos, Patras, Rethimno, Chania, Trikala, Larissa, Kavala etc. The size of these associations varies considerably. Some of them count only a few members, e.g. ten, twelve or thirty, while others may even reach five hundred, eight hundred, one thousand or two thousand members. This is mainly related to the type of the association, e.g. authors association, artistic associations with few members or Albanian associations with numerous members. Most associations are Albanian immigrants’ associations; however, there are associations of immigrants from Nigeria, Moldavia, Bangladesh and Sudan. The table further includes the answers given by the editor of an Albanian newspaper and the director of a ratio station. The frequency rates of the answers giving an estimate of the population of illegal and legal immigrants in Greece are presented in table 2 and Chart 1. The majority of the persons asked (59%) estimated this population somewhere between 700,000 and 850,000. However, there is a significant rate (24.3%) that estimates such population at 1,000,000. The average deriving from these estimates, as shown in Table 2, is 819,000. The frequency rates of the answers providing an estimate of the total number of illegal immigrants staying in Greece are presented in Table 3 and Chart 2. The majority of the persons interviewed (59.4%) estimated the illegal immigrants population between 200,000 and 300,000. A small rate reckons that illegal immigrants are less than 200,000, while an even smaller rate (10.8%) estimates this number somewhere between 400,000 and 500,000. The average deriving from these estimates, as shown in Table 3, is 226,000. Interestingly, the distribution of the replies as to the population of illegal immigrants presents significant concentration and, therefore, a slight fluctuation, as indicated in Chart 2, compared to the distribution of the replies as to the total immigrant population, which presents great variance. Lastly, it is worth mentioning that certain estimates are wrong. For example, there were some estimates that the legal immigrants population is one million, nine hundred thousand or eight hundred thousand, while we know that although this population may vary in time, it has never reached those levels. Although wrong, these “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 31 estimates are included in the tables, because the purpose of the survey is to collect estimates rather than to verify them or to collect accurate statistical data. According to Table 1, the estimates provided by the representatives of various associations is that there are 819,000 immigrants currently in Greece, 226,000 of whom are illegal immigrants. Table 2 Estimate of the Total Immigrant Population currently Staying in Greece Number of Replies Frequency rate Immigrants 500 1 2.7 550 - - 600 3 8.1 650 2 5.4 700 6 16.2 750 3 8.1 800 5 13.5 850 5 13.5 900 2 5.4 950 - - 1000 9 24.3 1100 - - 1200 1 2.7 Total 37 100 Source: Table 1 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 32 30 25 % 20 15 10 5 50 0 55 0 60 0 65 0 70 0 75 0 80 0 85 0 90 0 95 0 10 00 11 00 12 00 0 Chart 1 Table 3 Estimate of the Illegal Immigrants Population currently Staying in Greece Number of Illegal Immigrants Replies Frequency rate <100 1 2.7 100 7 18.9 150 1 2.7 200 13 35.1 250 5 13.5 300 4 10.8 350 2 5.4 400 3 8.1 450 - - 500 1 2.7 Total 37 100 Source: Table 1 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 33 40 35 30 % 25 20 15 10 5 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Chart 2 III. The representatives of immigrant associations were also asked which economic sectors are the immigrants engaging in. Almost the entirety of the persons asked replied that the legal immigrants are mainly occupied in the construction business and in agricultural occupations, while some of them mentioned the occupation of “salesmen”, “free-lancers” and “unskilled workers”. With regard to women immigrants, almost the entirety of the replies were “domestic duties”. With regard to illegal immigrants, the were reported as occupied in seasonal and agricultural occupations and in the constructions, whereas women as domestic workers and house cleaners. It should be noted that the “seasonal occupation” was only mentioned with regard to male immigrants. This could mean something about the phenomenon of illegal immigration in our country. In particular, it is possible that this term was used to identify the nature of illegal immigration, in the sense that it also has a seasonal character, i.e. that immigrants are crossing our borders to engage in seasonal jobs (agricultural or tourism occupations) and that they leave the country at the end of these seasons. Indeed, one answer reported that out of 200,000 illegal immigrants, 100,000 “come and go, and the remaining are staying in the country illegally”. If this is case, immigrants do not have strong motive to obtain stay and work permits, particularly if this is costly both in terms of money and time. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 34 Moreover, it should be noted that several of the persons interviewed, remarked that part of the foreigners staying illegally in the country are family members (e.g. parents) of legal immigrants. In other words, some illegal immigrants are not economic immigrants in the normal sense of that term, and their population is associated with that of legal immigrants. IV. To sum up, the representatives of thirty eight immigrant associations, one radio station and one newspapers were requested to make an estimate of the total population of immigrants and of the population of illegal immigrants in Greece. According to their answers, the total immigrant population is estimated on average at 819,000, while that of illegal immigrants is estimated, by the same persons, at 226,000. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 35 CHAPTER FIVE ESTIMATE OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANT POPULATIONS BASED ON THE ESTIMATES OF THE LOCAL AUTHORITIES I. In order to assess the number of immigrants staying illegally in Greece, we also requested, additionally to the application of other methods, the opinion of the Local Authorities, i.e. of the mayors and presidents of the communities. In our opinion, the local officials have daily contact with the immigrants by office, and they deal with issues relating to immigration; therefore, they could be reasonably expected to have a clear picture of the number of illegal immigrants or of the ratio between legal and illegal immigrants in the geographical area of their Municipalities. The assumption that local officials, mayors and presidents of the communities could make a good estimate of the illegal immigrant population is even more founded with respect to smaller municipalities. The president of a municipality of 2,000 residents could have a clearer picture compared to that of a municipality counting fifty thousand or two hundred thousand residents. Therefore, the estimates presented below derive from relatively small municipalities. Based on the above assumption, the municipalities and communities selected were those of 1,000 – 10,000 residents, according to the 2001 Census. There are 718 municipalities and communities in the country with a population of that size. A sample of 359 municipalities and communities was eventually selected, choosing every second name appearing on the list. The number of the communities is by far smaller than that of the municipalities (seven communities and 352 municipalities). Each presidents of the municipalities and the communities selected was sent a small questionnaire, consisting of six simple questions, and a pre-paid reply envelope. They had previously received a letter from the General Secretary of the Hellenic Ministry of Interior, explaining the purpose of this survey and requesting their assistance. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 36 The questions contained in the questionnaire were the following: 1. How many legal immigrants leave in your Municipality? 2. How many illegal immigrants leave in your Municipality? 3. The rate of illegal immigrants to total immigrants is approximately (percentage) … 4. In which sectors are the illegal immigrants mainly occupied (e.g. constructions, agricultural works, fishery, restaurants, hotels, industries etc.) 5. The illegal immigrants mainly originate from (country) ………… 6. Out of the total number of illegal immigrants, the rate of female immigrants is …%. Out of the 359 questionnaires sent, 198 completed answers were received by 16.1.2007, i.e. within sixty eight days from their dispatch. These answers are presented in Table 1 below, which also quotes the name of the municipality or community, the number of illegal and legal immigrants leaving there, the rate of illegal immigrants, the rate of illegal female immigrants, the country of origin and the occupation of illegal immigrants. These data are presented precisely as provided by the interviewees. Given that the rate of immigrants, as reported in the answers, reflects the rate of illegal immigrants over either the total immigrant population or the legal immigrant population, two columns were added in Table 1: Where the number zero appears in Table 1, it means that this was the answer given by the persons asked; where there is a blank, it means that the person asked noted a hyphen (-) or failed to give any answer or that they stated that they did not know the number of illegal immigrants etc. III. According to Table 1, the following conclusions are drawn: The total population of illegal immigrants leaving at the municipalities and the communities set out in the Table, is 65,247. The total population of illegal immigrants is estimated at 15,853. The rate of female illegal immigrants is generally low, and in most cases lower than 25%. However, in certain cases, the rate of female immigrants is rather “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 37 high, e.g. in Filothei – Attica (95%), in Hydra (60%), in Kameiro – Rhodes (60%), in Vassilika – Thessaloniki (60%), in the municipality of Exombourgo – Tinos (60%), in the municipality of Kantano – Chania (50%), in Pikermi – Attica (50%) etc. The illegal immigrants mainly come from Albania and rarely from other countries, such as Bulgaria, Georgia, Moldavia, Romania, Egypt, Pakistan etc. The illegal immigrants are primarily occupied in agricultural or domestic activities. Some of them are occupied in hotels, restaurants, fishery and stock raising. It is worth noting that, except for the part of illegal immigrants for whom there are no other data available for comparison, the above data generally agree with those collected from other sources. The new element deriving from Table 1 is the number of illegal immigrants and their rate of the legal immigrant population. The total population of illegal immigrants in the municipalities and the communities set out in the table, according to the estimates of the Local Authorities, is 15,853, while the total population of legal immigrants is 65,247. The ratio of illegal immigrants to legal immigrants is 15853 = 0, 243 . That means that for every thousand legal immigrants, 65247 there are 243 illegal immigrants in the same areas. Some municipalities stated ignorance as to the illegal immigrant population or stated that there is no such population leaving there. We consider that impossible and these answers only imply ignorance. Hence, in identifying the ratio of illegal immigrants to legal immigrants, it is essential to deduct the legal immigrant population from the total population of these municipalities. The total legal immigrant population in these areas in 5,388; thus, the total legal immigrant population at the municipalities that gave full information is 59859 (= 65247-5388). Hence, the ratio of illegal immigrant population to legal immigrant population is formed as follows: Illegal immigrants = 15,853 = 0.265 Legal immigrants 59,895 Namely, for every thousand legal immigrants in Greece, there are 265 illegal immigrants. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 38 IV. Based on the above rates, it is possible to make an estimate of the total illegal immigrant population in Greece, provided that we know the legal immigrant population. Given that in every period some permits expire, from which some are renewed while other aren’t, that some legal immigrants return home and that some immigrants on valid stay permits do not seek to renew them, it is impossible to know the exact number of legal immigrants leaving in the country in any given time period. Nonetheless, from the data collected after the third legalization scheme (2005), we could reasonably assume that the legal immigrant population ranges from 600,000 to 700,000. Based on the illegal / legal immigrants ratio, which, according to the above, is 0.265, the illegal immigrant population is Greece is estimated somewhere between 159,000 and 185,500 . “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 39 TABLE 1 Legal and Illegal Immigrants: Country of Origin and Sector of Occupation per Municipality or Community DISTRICT MUNICIPALITY LEGAL IMM. ILLEGAL IMM. ILLEGAL IMM. % ETOLOAKARNANIA FEMALE IMM. COUNTRY % OCCUPATION ANTIRIO 38 44 53.0% 30.0% BULGARIA / ROMANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C ETOLOAKARNANIA ETOLOAKARNANIA PANETOLIKO THERMOS 47 80 0 50 0.0% 65.0% 15.0% ALBANIA ETOLOAKARNANIA ALYZIA 72 10 12% 0% ALBANIA ETOLOAKARNANIA ETOLOAKARNANIA ETOLOAKARNANIA ETOLOAKARNANIA ETOLOAKARNANIA Total ARGOLIDA PARAKABILIA AGELOKASTRO MAKRINIA INAHOS 30 120 250 98 735 5 30 60 15 214 20% 20% 15% 2% 17% 8% 20% ALBANIA ALBANIA ALBANIA ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC. AGRIC. AGRIC. AGRIC. ASINI 1000 200 16.6% 20% ALBANIA ARGOLIDA NEA TIRINTHA 100 300 75% 20% ALBANIA ARGOLIDA EPIDAVROS 800 300 27% 40% ALBANIA ARGOLIDA Total ARKADIA ARKADIA LAGADIA LEONIDIO 1900 6 190 800 0 80 0.0% 30.0% 0.0% 20.0% ALBANIA ARKADIA ERAIAS 63 11 17% 30% ALBANIA ARKADIA GORTINOS 49 10 16.95% 3% ALBANIA AGRIC. / FISH./ DOMESTIC WORKERS / HOTELS. RESTAURANTS AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme ILLEGAL IMM./ ILLEGAL IMM. LEGAL IMM. / TOTAL IMM. 115.8% 53.7% 0,0% 62.5% 0,0% 38.5% 14% 12% 17% 25% 24% 15% 29% 14% 20% 19% 13% 23% 20% 17% 300% 75% 38% 27% 42% 30% 42% 29.6% 17% 15% 20% 16.95% 40 C ARKADIA ARKADIA Total ARTA TROPAIA FILOTHEI 55 363 389 5 106 60 40% ARTA ARTA ARTA G. KARAISKAKI ATHAMANIA ARACHTHOS 20 24 537 0 6 1% 0.50% ALBANIA / MEXICO AGRIC./DOMESTI C ARTA Total ATTICA FILOTHEI 970 1650 66 150 10.0% 95.0% GEORGIA / MOLDAVIA DOMESTIC WORKERS ATTICA ZEFIRI 1000 100 10% 2% ALBANIA ATTICA PALEA FOKEA 400 500 55% 40 ALBANIA / INDIA ATTICA PIKERMI 350 40 10.0% 50% ALBANIA / EGYPT / RUSSIA DOMESTIC WORKERS AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C ATTICA HYDRA 400 200 50% 60% ALBANIA ATTICA KOUVARA (Commun.) 150 10 9% 1% ALBANIA ATTICA MARATHONAS 2550 1450 37% 30% INDIA / PAKISTAN / ALBANIA ATTICA ATTICA Total AHAIA AHAIA AFIDNA (Commun.) TRITEA PARALIA 279 6779 27 200 AHAIA MOVRI 490 15.4% 30.0% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C DOMESTIC./ RESTAUR./ HOTELS AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C / RESTAURANTS 2450 85 5 30% 30% ALBANIA 2% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C / CARE of ELDERLY PERSONS AGRIC./DOMESTI C “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 9% 29% 15.4% 8% 23% 13.4% 0% 0% 1% 1% 7% 9.1% 6% 8.3% 10% 9% 125% 56% 11% 10% 50% 33% 7% 6% 57% 36% 36% 27% 43% 30% 41 AHAIA LARISSOS 920 150 AHAIA Total VIOTIA VIOTIA 1637 422 700 240 ALIARTOS PLATEES 500 60% 30% ALBANIA VIOTIA TANAGRA 1600 150 9% 10% ALBANIA VIOTIA DERVENOHORIA 250 10 4% 1% ALBANIA VENTZIO DESKATI HASIA 2972 205 400 170 660 10 15 5 GREVENA Total DODECANESE DODECANESE ATAVIROS KAMEIROS 775 41 250 30 0 100 40.0% 40.0% ALBANIA DODECANESE LEROS 150 20 13.3% 60.0% ALBANIA DODECANESE SOUTHERN RHODES 466 132 22.0% 5.0% ALBANIA DODECANESE DIKAIO 700 140 20% 60% ALBANIA 392 20 0 20 5 15% 20% BULGARIA ALBANIA LIHADA (Commun.) 1607 500 138 4 642 20 0.5% 0.5% ALBANIA AMARYNTHIA 600 60 10 2 VIOTIA Total GREVENA GREVENA GREVENA DODECANESE Total EVROS EVROS EVROS EVROS Total EVOIA EVOIA TRIGONO FERA KIPRINOS 6% 5,0% 4% 3% 5% 0,0% 0 ALBANIA ALBANIA ALBANIA ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C / STOCK RAISING AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC. AGRIC. AGR. / STOCK RAISING AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C /HOTELS AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMESTI C ALBANIA / PAKISTAN AGRIC./DOMESTI / BULGARIA C “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 16% 14% 15% 13% 71% 42% 9% 9% 22% 4,9% 4% 3% 18% 4.7% 4% 3% 4% 0% 40.0% 4% 0.0% 29% 13% 12% 28% 22% 20% 17% 24% 14% 0% 3% 25% 20% 0.0% 12,7% 0% 3% 20% 10% 9% 42 EVOIA ARTEMISIO 150 50 30% 45% ALBANIA EVOIA AVLONA 205 200 49.38% 20% ALBANIA / INDIA EVOIA DISTIA 500 70 15% 25% ALBANIA EVOIA MARMARIO 250 80 25% 30% ALBANIA 465 ASPROPOTAMOS DOMNISTA AGRAFA 1725 8 4 20 0 6 300 40.0% 20.0% ALBANIA EVOIA Total EVRITANIA EVRITANIA EVRITANIA 0 6 30% 8 ALBANIA EVRITANIA EVRITANIA Total ZAKYNTHOS POTAMIA LAGANA 10 42 1000 ZAKYNTHOS ALYKES 900 100 15.0% 5.0% ALBANIA ZAKYNTHOS AREMISIA 550 100 15% 10% ALBANIA ZAKYNTHOS Total ILIA LEHAINA 2450 485 500 100 20% 35% ALBANIA 450 550 10 ILIA ILIA Total HERAKLIO ANDRAVIDA ZAROS 550 1035 50 40.0% BULGARIA 16.0% 20.0% BULGARIA HERAKLIO HERAKLIO N. KAZANTZAKIS KASTELLIO 450 243 50 70 10.0% 28.8% 5.0% 20% HERAKLIO TYLISOS 34 7 19% 21 ALBANIA HERAKLIO GORGOLAINI 110 40 36% 15% ALBANIA AGRIC. / FISHERY / PHYS. LABOUR AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C /HOTELS AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C /HOTELS AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMESTI C ALBANIA AGRIC. BULGARIA / ALBANIA / ROMANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 33% 25% 98% 49% 14% 12% 32% 24% 27% 21% 30% 23% 0% 14% 30% 0% 13% 23.1% 11% 10.0% 18% 15% 20% 21% 17% 17% 82% 53% 20% 45% 35% 16,7% 11% 29% 10,0% 22% 21% 17% 36% 27% 43 HERAKLIO TEMENOS 230 231 30% ALBANIA / UKRAINE / AGRIC. BULGARIA HERAKLIO Total THESSALONIKI EFKARPIA 1117 300 408 100 0.15% 40% ALBANIA THESSALONIKI VASSILIKA 1000 50 5% 60% ALBANIA THESSALONIKI THESSALONIKI EGNATIA AXIOS 154 450 50 8% 20% ALBANIA ALBANIA THESSALONIKI KALLITHEA 585 30 5% 2% ALBANIA THESSALONIKI AGIOS GEORGIOS 200 10 5% 50% ALBANIA / FYROM / BULGARIA THESSALONIKI AP. PAVLOU THESSALONIKI KORONIA ALBANIA 30% 30% ALBANIA SMALL INDUSTR. /DOMESTIC WORKERS AGRIC./DOMESTI C / STOCK RAISING AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMESTI C / FISHERY AGRIC./DOMESTI C / SMALL INDUSTRIES AGRIC./DOMESTI C / CAFÉ - BARS AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C 210 30 2899 270 10 10.0% 20.0% 30% ALBANIA ALBANIA AGRIC. AGRIC. 10 60 54% 5% ALBANIA AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC. THESSALONIKI Total THESPROTIA THESPROTIA THESPROTIA Total IOANNINA AHERONDAS SAGIADA CENTAL ZAGORI 95 500 595 110 IOANNINA PAMVOTIDA 230 70 25% 10% ALBANIA IOANNINA ANO POGONI 37 15 40% 10% ALBANIA IOANNINA LAKKA SOULIOU 21 4 19% 0% ALBANIA “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 100% 50% 37% 33% 27% 25% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14% 13% 9% 9% 11% 10% 2% 55% 2% 35% 30% 23% 41% 29% 19% 16% 44 IOANNINA EVRIMENA 20 6 33.3% 0% PAKISTAN / UKRAINE / BULGARIA / INDIA AGRIC./ AVICULT. 30% 23% IOANNINA IOANNINA AGIOS DEMETRIOS SELLES 84 10 6 27% 30% ALBANIA 60% 38% IOANNINA EASTERN ZAGORI 19 10 45% 15% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC. 53% 34% 171 20 20 5% 0 ALBANIA AGRIC. 32% 8% 8% 24% 7% 7% NEVROPOLI AGRAFA 531 260 260 60 KARDITSA KALLIFONIO 111 6 5,41% 16,7 ALBANIA 5% 5% KARDITSA KARDITSA TAMASIO EASTERN ARGITHEA (Commun.) 260 2 9 0 3% 20% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC. 3% 3% KARDITSA KARDITSA Total KASTORIA KASTORIA KASTORIA MENELAIDA 0 15 3% 3% MESOPOTAMIA NESTORIO IONOS DRAGOUMI 14 447 150 58 70 12 20 20% 25% 15% 10% ALBANIA ALBANIA 21% 29% 17% 22% KASTORIA Total CORFU AG. GEORGIOS 278 400 32 30 13% 5% ALBANIA CORFU PAXOI 427 10% ALBANIA CORFU FAIAKON 400 IOANNINA Total KAVALA KAVALA Total KARDITSA PIEREON ALBANIA AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMESTI C / STOCK RAISING 12% AGRIC./DOMESTI 8% C AGRIC./DOMESTI C / RESTAURANTS AGRIC./DOMESTIC /HOTELS / RESTAURANTS “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 10% 7% 0,0% 45 CORFU CORFU Total KEFALLONIA MELITIEON LIVATHOUS 85 1312 1400 30 800 36% 33% ALBANIA KEFALLONIA PILAREON 180 30 20% 5% ALBANIA KEFALLONIA Total KILKIS PIKROLIMNI 1580 330 830 30 11% 4% ALBANIA / BULGARIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C KILKIS KROUSSON 300 50 15% KILKIS KILKIS Total KOZANI KOZANI DOIRANI ASKIOS NEAPOLI 50 680 130 242 0 80 30 9 20% 3,61 KOZANI TSOTILI 210 20 KOZANI AGIA PARASKEVI 25 0 KOZANI KOZANI KAMVOUNIA ELIMIAS 44 264 KOZANI KOZANI Total CORINTH VERMIO AG. THEODOROI 150 1065 750 0 59 600 CORINTH NEMEA 900 CORINTH SOLIGIA CORINTH VELOS AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C 2% 57% 2% 36% 53% 9% 34% 8% 17% 14% 12% 23% 3,72% 11% 19% 3,59% 10% 9% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C / STOCK RAISING 1% 1,23 ALBANIA ALBANIA 9,50% 0,00% ALBANIA AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMESTI C STOCK RAISING / AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMESTI C 20-30% 50% ALBANIA STOCK RAISING / AGRIC. DOMESTIC WORKERS 0 0 40,0% 5,0% ALBANIA / INDIA 90 10% 10% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C / SMALL INDUSTRIES AGRIC./DOMESTI C 270 44 16% 11% ALBANIA 900 140 14% 5% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C / SMALL INDUSTRIES AGRIC. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 6% 80.0% 5% 44.4% 10% 9% 16% 14% 16% 13% 46 CORINTH Total CYCLADES AMORGOS 2820 130 874 45 35% 36.0% ALBANIA CYCLADES ANO SIROS 70 15-20 23% 15% ALBANIA CYCLADES TINOS 1000 450 31% 25% ALBANIA CYCLADES EXOMVOURGO TINOS 89 10 11% 60% ALBANIA 505 40 200 40% 25% 40 10% BULGARIA ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C / HOTELS RESTAURANTS AGRIC. / FISHERY / DOMESTIC WORKERS AGRIC./DOMESTI C / HOTELS AGRIC./DOMESTI C / RESTAURANTS CYCLADES Total LAKONIA LAKONIA NIATA OITILOS 1289 100 800 LAKONIA SKALA 760 400 31% 2% BANGLADESH LAKONIA ZARAKA 34 8 23% 25% ROMANIA LAKONIA VION 670 320 30% 15% BULGARIA / ROMANIA / PAKISTAN LAKONIA LAKONIA Total LARISSA LARISSA FARIDA 50 1018 2 to 5 20 10% 20% ALBANIA AGRIC. POTAMIA KATO OLYMBOS 450 2814 200 20 1.0% 10.0% 40.0% 5.0% ALBANIA ALBANIA LARISSA ABELONA 600 85 14.16% 40 ALBANIA LARISSA PLATIKAMBOS 1150 50 4-4.5% 3% ALBANIA AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C / SMALL INDUSTRIES AGRIC./DOMESTI C LARISSA LARISSA KILADA ARMENIO 250 500 15 3% 1% ALBANIA AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 31% 34.6% 24% 25.7% 21-29% 18-22% 45% 31% 11% 10% 39% 40% 25% 28% 29% 20% 53% 34% 24% 19% 48% 32% 11% 36% 10% 27% 100.0% 50.0% 14% 12% 4-5% 4% 3% 3% 47 LARISSA Total LAISTHI OROPEDIO LAISTHI ITANOS 91 LASITHI Total LESVOS EVERGETOULA 147 300 10 15 5% 0 LESVOS PETRA 420 40 10% 4 LESVOS MITHIMNI 52 10 0.50% 5% LESVOS GERAS 320 170 53% 5% LESVOS POLIHNITO 320 14 LESVOS Total LEFKADA ELLOMENO 1412 270 249 30 MIRINA 270 600 30 100 LIMNOS Total MAGNESIA CARLA 600 445 100 10 MAGNESIA ZAGORA 310 100 30% 5% ALBANIA MANGESIA Total MESSINIA GARGALIANA 755 900 110 300 25% 20 ALBANIA / MOLDAVIA ALL MESSINIA PETALIDI 200 20 10% 20% ALBANIA MESSINIA MESSINIA THOURIA FARIDA 100 450 11 50 10% 10% 20% 20% ALBANIA ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC. AGRIC. LEFKADA Total LIMNOS 2720 56 170 10 15.0% 40.0% ALBANIA ALBANIA ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C ALBANIA - ROMANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C ALBANIA 12% 14.0% 40% 40.0% AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C / FISHERY AGRIC./DOMESTI C ALBANIA / UKRAINE / HOUSEH./ GEORGIA RESTAUR./ HOTELS ALBANIA ALBANIA DOMESTIC WORKERS/ AGRIC. / FISHERY AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 6% 17.9% 6% 15.2% 7% 5% 6% 5% 10% 9% 19% 16% 53% 35% 4% 4% 18% 11% 15% 10% 11% 16.7% 10% 14.3% 17% 2% 14% 2% 15% 33% 13% 25% 10% 9% 11% 11% 10% 10% 48 MESSINIA MELIGALAS 380 77 MESSINIA Total XANTHI KOTILI (Commun.) 2030 0 458 0 XANTHI Total PELLA KIRROS 0 650 0 50 13.0% PELLA MENIIDOS 700 10 5% PELLA Total PIERIA METHONI 1350 570 60 17 PIERIA KORINOS 400 PIERIA Total PREVEZA PREVEZA PREVEZA PREVEZA FANARI KRANEA ZALOGO LOUROX 970 400 25 370 200 17 20 28 15 10 PREVEZA Total RETHIMNI LABI 995 194 RETHIMNI ARKADIO RETHIMNI RETHIMNI RETHIMNI Total RODOPI 20% 5% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C / RESTAURANTS ALBANIA DOMESTIC WORKERS 2.0% ALBANIA 1% ALBANIA STOCK RAISING / AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMESTI C 2.5-3% 3% ALBANIA AGRIC./ FISHERY / RESTAURANTS – CAFÉS AGRIC./DOMESTI C 10% 4% ALBANIA 5% 25% AGRIC. 4% 1% 0% 1% ALBANIA ALBANIA ALBANIA ALBANIA 73 6 3,0% 0,0% ALBANIA / INDIA 1200 200 30% 15% ALBANIA FOINIKA 450 15 3% 33% ALBANIA NIKIFOROU FOKA 500 350 70% 5% ALBANIA / INDIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C / DOMESTIC WORKERS AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C / SMALL INDUSTRIES KEHROS 2344 0 571 0 AGRIC./DOMESTI C “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 20% 17% 23% 18% #DIV/0! 7.7% #DIV/0! 7.1% 1% 1% 4% 3% 4% 3% 2% 5% 2% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 7% 3,1% 7% 3,0% 17% 14% 3% 3% 70% 41% 24% 20% 49 RODOPI Total SAMOS PITHAGORIO 0 10 1% 50 ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C SAMOS FOURNON KORSEON 6 SAMOS AG. KIRIKOU 98 40 29% 30% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C SAMOS Total SERRES AMFIPOLI 704 250 50 30 11,0% 0,0% ALBANIA SERRES NIGRITA 295 20 6,0% 20,0% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C / RESTAURANTS SERRES SERRES Total TRIKALA KORMISTA PINDEON 48 593 19 50 4 17.4% 0,0% ALBANIA TRIKALA ETHIKON 21 9 43.0% 0,0% ALBANIA TRIKALA TRIKALA TRIKALA Total FTHIOTIDA KLINOVOU MALAKASIOU 27 34 101 18 0 0 13 0% 0% 0% FTHIOTIDA DAFNOUSION 300 600 70% 30% FTHIOTIDA LIANOKLADI 230 5 2% 0 FTHIOTIDA MALESINA 822 160 30% 30 FTHIOTIDA THESSALIOTIDA 220 50 22,7% 5% FTHIOTIDA PELASGIA 238 162 41% 40 AG. GEORGIOS TYM/STOU 0 600 ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC. ALBANIA / BULGARIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C / SMALL INDUSTRIES ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C ALBANIA AGRIC. / FISHERY / DOMESTIC WORKERS “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme #DIV/0! 2% #DIV/0! 2% 41% 29% 7% 12% 7% 11% 7% 6% 8% 21.1% 0,0% 8% 17.4% 42.9% 30.0% 0% 13% 0% 11% 0,0% 200% 67% 2% 2% 19% 16% 22,7% 19% 68% 41% 50 FTHIOTIDA TITHOREA 550 150 FTHIOTIDA FTHIOTIDA Total FLORINA FLORINA FLORINA Total FOKIDA XINIADA 75 1202 DELPHI 500 2878 32 200 232 200 0 0 45 15.0% 30.0% ALBANIA FOKIDA PARNASSOS 500 35 7% 5% ALBANIA FOKIDA KALLIEON 18 17 48.6% 0% ALBANIA FOKIDA FOKIDA Total HALKIDIKI AMFISSA 425 1143 1350 97 80 3% 1% ALBANIA HALKIDIKI HALKIDIKI Total CHANIA TORONI 2 82 500 0% ALBANIA PELEKANOS 115 1465 650 61.54% 40.0% ALBANIA CHANIA SOUDA 300 60 20% 40 ALBANIA CHANIA EASTERN SELINO 50 10 20% 40% ALBANIA CHANIA MITHIMNI 152 35 18% 15% ALBANIA CHANIA KANTANO 90 5 4% 50% ALBANIA CHANIA THERISSOU 500 100 25% 20% ALBANIA CHANIA FRE 25 5 20% 60% GEORGIA CHANIA KISAMOU 350 110 30% 10% ALBANIA KATO KLINON PERASMA PALLINI 21% 20% ALBANIA 1Ο% ALBANIA 0 AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC. 27% 21% 10-20% 42% 9-17% 29% 0% 22.5% 0% 18.4% 7% 7% 94% 49% 8% 6% 8% 6% 2% 6% 76.9% 2% 5% 43.5% 20% 17% 20% 17% 23% 19% 6% 5% 20% 17% 20% 17% 31% 24% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C /HOTELS AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C / FISHERY AGRIC./RESTAUR ANTS /HOTELS AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C / SMALL INDUSTRIES AGRIC./DOMESTI C AGRIC./DOMESTI C “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 51 CHANIA CHANIA Total HIOS HIOS Total UNKNOWN UNKNOWN Total Grand Total MITHIMNI 152 35 18-20% 15% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C KABOXORON 2269 100 860 30 30% 50% ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C /DOMESTIC WORKERS 100 850 30 800 94% 40% BULGARIA AGRIC./DOMESTI C 850 65247 800 15853 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 23% 19% 38% 30% 27% 23% 30% 94% 23% 48% 94% 24% 48% 20% 52 V. We have already mentioned that the local officials of the small municipalities and communities may have a clear picture of the number of illegal immigrants leaving in their areas. However, within the scope of this attempt to estimate the illegal immigrant population, it was considered advisable to also question the local authorities of the capital cities of the Greek Districts. This attempt was unsuccessful, mainly due to the reluctance or ignorance of the competent officers in answering the relevant questions (these are the same questions that were contained in the small questionnaires sent to the smaller municipalities and communities). Some officials said they couldn’t answer, others that they didn't have the knowledge to answer or that they couldn't assess the number of illegal immigrants and only a small number of the interviewees actually responded. The questions were asked by phone, after repeated calls to the competent departments. Τα αποτελέσµατα των προσπαθειών αυτών παρουσιάζονται στον Πίνακα 2. The results of this survey are presented in Table 2. As shown in this Table, only 28 municipalities have provided information as to the total number of legal immigrants, their occupation and their country of origin. Only twelve municipalities have made an assessment of the number of illegal immigrants leaving within their areas. This table shows that according to the assessments of the competent officials of these municipalities, the illegal immigrants are mainly from Albania, they are primarily occupied in agriculture and in constructions, and that merely 20% of them are female immigrants. As regards illegal immigrants, according to the relevant assessments, their population is estimated at 9,295. In these municipalities, the aggregate of legal immigrants is 38,821. Hence, the ratio of illegal immigrants to legal immigrants is : illegal immigrants = 9,295 = 0.239 legal immigrants 38,821 That means that for every thousand legal immigrants leaving in the capital cities of the Greek Districts, there are 239 illegal immigrants leaving in the same areas. Assuming that the legal immigrant population in Greece ranges between 600,000 and 700,000 (as already mentioned), then according to the above percentage (i.e. 23,9%), the population of illegal immigrants in Greece is somewhere between 143,400 and 167,300. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 53 VI. By consolidating the data from the small municipalities and communities (Table 1) with those of the capital cities of the Greek Districts (Table 2), then the total number of legal immigrants is 98,680 and the total number of illegal immigrants is 25,148. Hence, for the total assessments made, the ratio of illegal immigrants to legal immigrants is formed as follows: illegal immigrants = 25,148 = 0.255 legal immigrants 98,680 If the legal immigrant population in Greece is 600,00 – 700,000, then the above rate gives us an assessment of the illegal immigrant population of 153,000 – 178,000. VII. In conclusion, based on the estimates of the local Authorities, the illegal immigrant population in Greece is: (a) 159,000 – 185,500, according to the assessments of smaller municipalities and communities; (b) 143,400 – 167,300, according to the assessments of the municipalities of the capital cities; (c) 153,000 – 178,500, taking into consideration all the assessments and estimates. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 54 TABLE 2 Legal and Illegal Immigrants: Capital Cities of the Greek Districts MUNICIPALITY LEGAL IMM. Alexandroupoli 3000 Komotini 1500 ILLEGAL IMM. ILLEGAL IMM. % OCCUPATION AGRIC./STOCK RAISING /DOMESTIC COUNTRY FEMALE IMM. % ILLEGAL IMM. LEGAL IMM. ALBANIA WORKERS 150 10% AGRIC./STOCK RAISING /DOMESTIC ALBANIA – FORMER SOVIET UNION 2Ο% 10% 17% 8% 20% 20% 25-30% WORKERS Drama Serres Poligiros Veria Florina Kozani Kastoria Katerini 3000 1200 1300 100 1500 300 700 2500 3500-4000 2000 500-600 ALBANIA AGRIC. AGRIC. ALBANIA ALBANIA / GEORGIA ALBANIA AGRIC./STOC ALBANIA K RAISING /DOMESTIC WORKERS Trikala Ioannina 4000 2500 Preveza Mesologi 1500-2000 2500 500 125 AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMES TIC AGRIC. 5% AGRIC. ALBANIA ALBANIA ALBANIA INDIA / PAKISTAN / ALBANIA “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 55 13% Karpenisi 200-250 Halkida 6000 Patras Pirgos 4500 1500 200 Tripoli 2000-2500 500 Kalamata Sparti 7000 2200 220 Heraklio 10000 3000 Agios Nikolaos Ermoupoli 2500 1000 150 Rhodes 6000 2000-3000 Samos Mitilini 1200 3000-3500 Hios 3071 1000 Total 38821 9295 2% AGRIC./DOMES TIC AGRIC./DOMES TIC AGRIC. AGRIC./DOMES TIC AGRIC./DOMES TIC AGRIC. 10% AGRIC./DOMES TIC 30% AGRIC./DOMES TIC ALBANIA ALBANIA ALBANIA ALBANIA 13% ALBANIA 10% 20-25% ALBANIA ALBANIA / UKRAINE / MOLDAVIA / BANGLADESH ALBANIA 10% 20% 10% 10% 30% ALBANIA / GEORGIA 10% 15% 30% DOMESTIC ALBANIA WORKERS/HOT ELS ALBANIA AGRIC./DOMES ALBANIA / PAKISTAN TIC DOMESTIC ALBANIA 10% 33-50% 35% 33% DOMESTIC WORKERS WORKERS 23.9% Note: The aggregate total of legal immigrants refers only to the municipalities which have also provided an estimate of the number of illegal immigrants. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 56 CHAPTER SIX ESTIMATE OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANT POPULATIONS BASED ON THE DATA FROM THE NSSG AND HMoI Introduction - Summary At this point of the study, we will try to estimate the illegal immigrants population in the country and to assess its characteristics, by making use of the statistical data collected from official statistic resources and mainly from the NSSG and the Hellenic Ministry of Interior. The basic idea is to identify, based on the applicable institutional regulations, the third country nationals who comply with them and those who don’t and to see how much these two groups differ as to their productive features and their place in the job market. This approach is accordant to the definition of illegal immigrants in the EU, whereby these are any persons who don’t (or no longer) meet the requirements for entry and stay in a national territory. Given that the third country nationals only qualify for a stay permit provided that they obtain health insurance, those insured are considered as illegal immigrants. This is the information provided by the Labour Force Survey and the Family Budget Survey carried out by the NSSG, which allows us to calculate the ratio of illegal immigrants to legal immigrants. The ratio that derives from these Surveys is then used to raise legal immigration, as it emerges from the number of valid stay permits, onto total immigration. However, this approach is based on the assumption that the NSSG Surveys used provide an accurate number of the non-EU citizens living in the country, both insured and uninsured. Based on this approach, illegal immigration in year 2007 is estimated at 80,000 (85,000 in 2005). This estimate is clearly considered as low, most probably because the NSSG Survey provide an under-statement of the number of non-EU citizens living in the country. Alternatively, the number of applications during the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 57 2006 legalization scheme leads to the conclusion that following the legalization, there were approx. 100,000 – 130,000 illegal immigrants. Lastly, a third estimate of illegal immigration derives by deducting from the total population the Greek citizens, the EU citizens and the legal immigrants. Under this method, illegal immigrants are estimated at approx. 250,000 at the beginning of 2006. All estimates for that period indicate that illegal immigration has been clearly limited compared to the previous years. A comparison between the characteristics of illegal and legal immigrants brings to light several similarities as to the countries of origin and certain personal and productive features. On the other hand, the performance of illegal immigrants in the job market, as measured in terms of unemployment rate, sector of employment and profession, is far below than that of legal immigrants. 1. Estimate of illegal immigration based on unpublished data from the NSSG Labour Force Survey One source of information for estimating the illegal immigrant population in Greece is the unpublished data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) of the National Statistical Service of Greece. In particular, it is well known that the LFS is a survey carried out on a monthly basis on a large and representative segment of the Greek households, whereby information is collected as to the social-financial status of the persons surveyed. The LFS questionnaire includes, among others, questions about nationality and health insurance, which is a combination that allows us to draw indirect information as to the number and the features of the uninsured, hence illegal, immigrants. Within the framework of the applicable laws, the legal immigrants are obliged to obtain health insurance and/or social security. If a non-EU citizen reports to have neither, then this is a clear indication that he/she is an illegal immigrant. Thus, the number of non-EU citizens who are not insured could initially be identified with that of illegal immigrants. Although the LFS is a quite extensive sampling survey (approx. 80,000 interviewees) and the detailed contents of the questionnaire are confidential by law, the basic drawback of this method is that, due to the linguistic difficulties involved and the deliberate effort of the immigrants to avoid these questions, the LFS fails to accurately record the number of immigrants from third countries currently “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 58 living in Greece. Although the LFS data may not be used nor have been used for any purpose other than for statistical validation, we could rationally assume that illegal immigrants are systematically avoiding the LFS. Likewise, although the LFS is presenting an increasing number of foreigners (from 273,000 in 2001 to 550,000 in 2004 and 580 thousand in 2007 (Table 1)), this number remains much lower than that recorded in the 2001 Census, which was 762.000. Hence, it is reasonable that the LFS estimate of the illegal immigrant population is interpreted as a systematic understatement rather than as a threshold. Moreover, it would be reasonable to assume that the ratio of uninsured third-country immigrants to those insured or the ratio of illegal immigrants to legal immigrants, according to the LFS, is probably closer to reality. Furthermore, this ratio makes it possible to estimate the illegal immigrant population based on the number of legal immigrants, as same derives from other sources, and mainly from the Hellenic Ministry of Interior. Besides, this approach obviously allows us to study the characteristics of illegal immigrants and compare them with those of legal immigrants. The data used to estimate the number of illegal immigrants and to examine their characteristics mainly derive from the LFS carried out from the 1st quarter of 2004 until the 2nd quarter of 2007. According to the LFS findings, the country’s population can be divided into Greek citizens, EU citizens, who are all considered to be legal and non-EU citizens. The latter, are classified into two categories: The first category consists of any immigrants who have valid health insurance or primary pension insurance, whereas the second consists of those who have neither. This means that the second category by definition refers to illegal immigrants, because in order to qualify for a stay permit one must essentially have obtained primary insurance (for main pension). Any immigrants granted with stay permits for other reasons, (e.g. family reunification, education) must also have obtained health insurance. Hence, the basic distinction in this approach is that between immigrants insured and uninsured. -It is certain that the insured immigrants are legal while those uninsured are illegal.5 The last column in table 1 shows the development of the ratio of uninsured immigrants (i.e. illegal immigrants) third country nationals to insured immigrants (i.e. legal immigrants) third-country citizens. According to the LFS data on the total 5 There may be cases where an immigrant from a third country, who is married to an uninsured Greek or EU-15 citizen, is also uninsured but stays in the country legitimately. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 59 population, out of approx. 500,000 third country nationals, approx. 55,000 have been uninsured for the last three years. According to these numbers, the rate of illegal immigrants from third countries over the legal immigrants is 10% - 13%. As it appears in table 1, the figures examined do not present any significant variation or inexplicable “fluctuation”, which renders the source of information quite reliable, with systematic features. Moreover, the rate of uninsured immigrants presents a slight deviation during the last years and a slight downward trend, despite the increasing LFS number of third-country citizens. In particular, the rate of uninsured citizens from third countries decreased from 14% in 2004 to 10.5% at the beginning of 2007. This reduction is more obvious in 2006, which could be attributable to the Third legalization scheme. In the last quarter of 2006, when the deadline for legalization applications expired, the rate of uninsured immigrants fell below 10%. It is worth noting that for the beginning of this decade, the LFS presents much higher rates of uninsured citizens of third countries, which is consistent both with the increase in the number of legal immigrants as recorded by the NSSG and with the increased number of immigrants insured with a social security agency (“IKA”, “OGA”, “ΟΑΕΕ” (ΤΕΒΕ)). Moreover, the development of these figures indicates that the successive legaliations have been successful in the sense that the number of illegal immigrants was reduced and that they were integrated in the official job market. The reduction in the rate of uninsured immigrants noted by the LFS is also consistent with the recorded increase in the number of third-country citizens who are directly insured with IKA at the respective time period. More specifically, according to the IKA records, the number of non-EU citizens insured with IKA in 2006 was 240.7 thousand, on average, per month, against 210 thousand in 2005 and 216 thousand in 2004. The rate of non-EU citizens already amounts to almost 15% of the Greeks insured with IKA, which is slightly higher if the EU24 citizens are to be included. If we deduct the population of children (under 15 years of age) and confine the survey strictly to the population that qualifies to enter the labour force, then the illegal immigrant population is reduced by approx. 7,000, however the rate of those immigrants over the legal immigrants is increased by approx. 1.5% (second part of table 1), thus reaching 12% - 15%. This difference implies that the rate of uninsured “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 60 children of immigrants is, as expected, lower than that of the adults as the immigrants with children have stronger motivation to obtain insurance or, they need to ensure health insurance in order to bring their children through the institution of family reunification. We reach the same conclusion as to the rate of uninsured immigrants if we confine the survey to the immigrants employed (third part of table 1). It emerges that the uninsured immigrants employed are approx. 11% of those insured, i.e. slightly less than the rate applicable to the entire immigrant population or to the population aged over 15. Hence, the uninsured non-EU citizens employed represent a slightly lower rate over those insured against the total population, which includes the immigrants aged over 15 (approx. 11% against 14%). 6 Following the above, it becomes obvious that the number of uninsured immigrants (therefore the number of illegal non-EU citizens) as recorded by the LFS is understated, as it underestimates the number of immigrants living in the country. Similarly, the LFS, like all surveys based on questionnaires, is based on the answers provided by the interviewees, which are not always truthful. For example, with regard to the question that is at hand here, i.e. “which social security agency are you insured with?”, perhaps some immigrants reported that they were insured, just to appear legitimate, although they were not insured at the date asked, especially if their permits had expired by that time. Although we are unable to estimate the extent of such partiality, it would be reasonable to assume that the ratio of illegal immigrants to legal immigrants, as reported by the LFS, against the total population, is close to the reality. Thus, we can apply this ratio not to the LFS data but rather, to those provided by the Hellenic Ministry of Interior, which are reliably reporting the total number of immigrants on a valid stay permit at the beginning of each year, in order to estimate the number of illegal immigrants. Table 2 presents the results of such application, whereby the number of illegal immigrants during the last years is estimated at approx. 80,000, which should be deemed an understatement. 6 This rate does not imply that it is equal to the rate of evasion of social security contributions, as many uninsured persons may be insured for less time than their actual employment time. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 61 Table 1 – Population per nationality Greek From EU countries 15 10 new Senior EU Total EU countri countri es es A. TOTAL POPULATION 2004a 10050274 69433 2004b 10073535 51083 2004c 10084854 55127 2004d 10098225 56077 2.005a 10091520 43078 2005b 10093560 47575 2005c 10103800 46037 2005d 10119427 45423 2.006a 10150560 43464 2006b 10162607 56111 2006c 10155961 58212 2006d 10161770 57881 2.007a 10164293 54387 2007b 10173103 55839 38021 37745 39662 38567 34919 B. POPULATION AGED OVER 15 2004a 8599788 62677 2004b 8624271 45745 2004c 8638134 49198 2004d 8654240 49962 2.005a 8651137 37794 2005b 8654075 41819 2005c 8666358 40586 2005d 8674834 41763 2.006a 8703213 40460 2006b 8713954 52362 36023 2006c 8712735 53776 35495 2006d 8720590 53706 37899 2.007a 8730594 49974 36485 2007b 8743069 49799 33462 C. IMMIGRANTS EMPLOYED 2004a 3969336 27066 2004b 4054514 19667 From third countries Insured Uninsur ed 18089 20466 18219 15819 20920 422689 430573 424852 421227 446472 446474 454290 450185 443967 435811 456166 468771 474256 475231 58588 55475 56609 56056 61463 63870 58318 57452 50241 48131 46617 43918 50459 49643 13.9 12.9 13.3 13.3 13.8 14.3 12.8 12.8 11.3 11.0 10.2 9.4 10.6 10.4 16339 18280 15808 13489 16336 332489 338626 333126 329729 350860 350861 354034 355393 347880 341497 358185 367153 370946 370019 49847 48232 49481 48566 54736 55893 51897 50322 44474 42312 39549 37698 43864 43822 15.0 14.2 14.9 14.7 15.6 15.9 14.7 14.2 12.8 12.4 11.0 10.3 11.8 11.8 226236 230568 26430 25748 11.7 11.2 % “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 62 2004c 2004d 2.005a 2005b 2005c 2005d 2.006a 2006b 2006c 2006d 2.007a 2007b 4060215 4049519 4035240 4086251 4085256 4083597 4117361 4163016 4190293 4160455 4161763 4215686 21919 22358 19813 22560 23294 23061 20344 23883 26682 24777 21810 22485 11846 12972 13586 11878 10954 12036 13710 11191 9932 11530 232069 232721 241923 241439 246991 248255 237095 240949 253832 254523 251737 255208 27442 26814 28048 31687 30010 28473 25248 24969 23418 22357 25921 26476 11.8 11.5 11.6 13.1 12.2 11.5 10.6 10.4 9.2 8.8 10.3 10.4 Source: Labour Force Survey by NSSG Table 2 Estimate of illegal immigration based on the ratio of uninsured immigrants to insured immigrants from third countries Year Citizens from third countries on stay permit % of illegal citizens from third countries Illegal immigrants 1-01-2004 1-01-2005 1-01-2006 580,092 592,471 692,380 13.34 79 thousand 13.42 10.5 78 thousand 81 thousand Source: First row: NSSG, second row: LFS “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 63 2. Estimate of illegal immigration based on the unpublished data of the NSSG Family Budget Survey. Another source of information that could be used in assessing the number of illegal immigrants in the country by applying the above methodology, is the latest Family Budget Survey (FBS) which was carried out from February 2004 to January 2005, which practically refers to 2004. Although the main purpose of the FBS is to collect information on the structure of household expenditure, it too, (like the LFS) provides information about the nationality and the insurance status of the persons questioned, which allows us to apply the above method in estimating the illegal immigrant population in the country. It should be noted that carrying out a FBS doesn’t not mean that the interviewer pays a single visit at the house of the interviewee, which is the case in the LFS, but several visits, which provides more reliable information on the issues examined hereunder. However, this does not preclude the possibility that the FBS, like the LFS, leads to an underestimate of the foreigners living in the country, either because they avoid to take part in this type of research or because even if they do, they may not state their true insurance status, especially if they are illegal immigrants. The relevant estimates are presented in table 3, where it derives that the FBS has recorded a higher number and rate of foreign citizens compared to the LFS of that same year. According to the FBS, foreign citizens are approaching 7% of the Greeks, the respective LFS rate being 5%. Moreover, according to the FBS, in 2004 non-EU citizens were 683,000 and EU24 citizens amounted to 70,000. The relevant LFS numbers are 467,000 and 58,000 respectively. Thus, one could claim that the FBS recording of the foreign population is closer to reality, at least based on the 2001 Census. This could be due to the fact that the FBS was planned in such a manner as to produce a more accurate picture of the country’s consumption model. According to the FBS, the uninsured non-EU citizens are approx. 82,000 over 556,000 insured. Hence, the rate of the uninsured against the insured is 14.7%. If this estimate was made for the persons aged over 15 or for those employed, then the rates of the uninsured immigrants would be 15.3% and 13.7% respectively. Although these rates follow the same classification with those deriving from the LFS, they are clearly “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 64 higher and probably closer to reality, given the characteristics of the FBS. The 556.2 thousand uninsured non-EU citizens reported by the 2004 FBS are less by approx. 25,000 compared to the 580.1 thousand legal immigrants reported by the NSSG based on administrative sources for the beginning of year 2004. Thus, if we add the number of illegal immigrants to the NSSG number of legal immigrants, according to the FBS rate of uninsured immigrants against those insured (580092*14.7%) then illegal immigrants for year 2004 are estimated at 85.3 thousand. This number is by almost 5 thousand higher compared to the relevant LFS estimate. However, this assessment of the illegal immigrant population must be considered as an understatement, given that the FBS is probably under-estimating it as analysed above. Table 3 – Population per nationality 2004 Non-EU citizens EU citizens 10 new EU countries Insured Uninsured % A. TOTAL POPULATION 10204278 69429 41290 28139 556203 81953 14.7 B. POPULATION AGED OVER 15 8674603 59038 39477 19561 433561 66168 15.3 B. IMMIGRANTS EMPLOYED 3815343 29771 17298 12473 288897 39698 13.7 Greeks Total 14 Senior EU countries Source: Family Budget Survey (FBS) 2004 – 2005, NSSG Primary data processing “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 65 3. Estimate of illegal immigration from the Third Legalization Law 3386/2005 among others provided that any non-EU citizens whose stay permits are expired or who have never been granted with stay permits can apply for a new stay permit. In particular, by Art. 91 paragraph. 10 of the law certain categories of non-EU citizens who have at some point in the past stayed in the country legitimately but then forfeited this right, are now given the opportunity to legalize their stay, on certain conditions. Para. 11 of the same article provides that any non-EU citizens crossing the Greek borders illegally could obtain a temporary stay permit, which also stands as an employment permit, for a period not exceeding one year. It is worth noting that the non-EU citizens who applied for first legalization had to prove that they had stayed in the country before the end of 2004. The law makes a limitative quotation of the supporting documentation required to prove such stay, which is a valid visa or validated entry on their passport, a valid Tax Identification Number or registration with a social security agency prior to 31/12/2004. This documentation, as well as the determination of a specific date have been considered as sufficient security to prevent the falsification of public documents and to discourage phenomena such as the illegal border crossing or human smuggling. Nevertheless, there was some scepticism as to the exclusion of other official documentation that could prove an immigrant’s stay in the country prior to 31/12/2004. Hence, in 2007 the list of public documents proving such stay was expanded by a subsequent law and illegal immigrants were given the opportunity to apply for legalization by adducing such documentation. However, it seems that the number of the relevant applications is particularly small, which implies that the provisions of Law 3886/2005 failed to introduce any serious restriction. Another pioneer aspect of Law 3886/2005 is the simplification of the immigrant permit issue procedure, the integration of the stay and employment permits into a single permit and the introduction of the institution of non-EU citizens living in the country for a long time; moreover, the administration authorities had both more experience and resources to handle the legalization scheme. In other words the Third legalization was less demanding from the previous ones, and probably more beneficial; however, by setting a specific date as a deadline, it excluded all new illegal “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 66 immigrants and aimed to legalize only those living in the country for some time. According to the official data of the Hellenic Ministry of Interior (HMoI), the total number of applications lodged, pursuant to the transitional provisions of L. 3386/2005, was 152,400. 58,777 of those were applications for permit renewal and 93,623 were applications for the issue of an original stay permit for the first time (Art. 91 paragraph. 11). These numbers are much smaller than those of the First legalization, which counted 371,641 applications and of the Second, which counted 361,119 applications. This impressible smaller number of applications filed in the Third legalization is a clear indication that the illegal immigrant population existing in the country right before that legalization was clearly smaller than that of the previous legalizations. This is further enhanced by the fact that during the Third legalization the legal immigrant population, as reported by the NSSG, was materially larger than that of 2002 (during the Second legalization). Besides, based on the number of immigrants as estimated in the 2001 Census and the number of applications filed in the previous legalization, it is estimated that 130,000 illegal immigrants did not apply in the Second legalization scheme of 2002. There is no particular reason to assume that this did not happen in the Third legalization too. Hence, we assess that right after the Third legalization, just like in the previous ones, the illegal immigrant population in the country was approx. 100,000 – 120,000. The failure to apply for legalization could be due to several causes. Ignorance of law (which most probably applies to very few cases, since the time limits set are quite loose and the matter is broadly discussed by the public), failure to meet the legal requirements, illegal entry in the country after 31/12/2004 and, particularly, the conscious decision to not apply for legalization in order to save time and money, especially on part of the immigrants who are planning to leave the country soon or who do not expect to gain any significant benefits from the legalization are some of them. The above assumptions and figures lead to the conclusion that at the end of the Third legalization illegal immigrants were approx. 100,000 – 120,000. By adding to that the 152,400 applications filed, one can safely infer that prior to the beginning of the Third legalization, that population was approx. 270,000. It should be noted that out of 93,600 applications filed during the Third legalization for the issue of a new stay permit, as shown in table 4, almost 77,000 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 67 non-EU citizens (more accurately: 76,952) were for the first time granted a stay permit valid through the end of 2006, i.e. a rate of 81.2%, which could only be considered as a high percentage. Table 5 – Third country citizens legalized under the 3rd legalization scheme Nationality Male Female Children Total Imm. Imm. 4006 287 4293 Ethiopia 96 314 410 Albania 16186 9300 Armenia 321 334 655 Afghanistan 382 10 392 Bulgaria 2529 4948 Georgia 1671 2987 4659 162 135 297 93 38 131 India 1101 62 1163 Iraq 1072 195 1268 Iran 276 44 1 320 1728 978 6 2712 Belarus 46 502 548 Morocco 321 67 388 Moldavia 754 893 1647 1260 48 993 586 1579 56 141 197 Egypt Serbia - Montenegro Ghana China Bangladesh Nigeria Uzbekistan 11 3 1 25497 7480 1309 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 68 Ukraine 830 2369 Pakistan 5055 37 FYROM 173 87 Romania 2877 3378 2 6257 Russia 431 2203 1 2635 Sudan 98 12 110 Sri Lanka 81 79 160 1451 348 1799 Turkey 141 35 176 Filippines 394 573 967 Others 701 642 Syria Total Source: Hellenic Ministry of Interior 45285 31632 35 3199 1 5093 260 8 1351 76952 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 69 4. Estimate of illegal immigration based on the national populations, as reported by the NSSG. The last source of information used in estimating the illegal immigrant population comes from the published demographic data of the National Statistical Service of Greece (NSSG). Since 2004, the NSSG has been publishing estimates of the total population of the country per nationality, for the beginning of each year, which are forwarded to Eurostat. The basic figures of these estimates are: total population, the number of native Greeks and the number of foreigners per nationality, without however the last two being summed up to the first. Total population is estimated based on the 2001 Census, which is considered a reliable recording of all permanent residents of the country (including the illegal immigrants at that time). This number is increased by the natural movement of the population (number of births less number of deaths, which, since 2004, are divided into native and foreign). The estimation method applied to pure immigration, which appears to be positive and quite appreciable during the last fifteen year, is not completely clear to us. The NSSG specialists have specified that it is based on the immigration trends during the last years, as same is recorded mainly based on the 2001 Census, which, among others, recorded some variables relating to the place of residence during the previous years (before the Census).. The extensive increasing review of the demographic figures, due to the Census, the immigration trends and the cooperation with EUROSTAT form the base for estimating pure immigration. Based on this methodology, the NSSG makes an estimate of the country’s permanent residents at the beginning every year, regardless of the legality of their stay. Such estimate is useful, given that the vast majority of illegal immigrants participate in the country’s economy and therefore should be taken into consideration in estimating the relevant economic and social variables. The Greek population is estimated in a similar manner, though the margins for error due to wrongful estimate of Greek immigration, are practically much more limited . Lastly, the NSSG immigration estimates come from administrative sources, and particularly from the Ministry of Interior, which is the body competent for the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 70 issue of stay permits to non-EU citizens, i.e. to foreign citizens outside the EU25. Evidently, these are third country citizens who are staying in the country legitimately, for various reasons, while all third-country citizens staying in the country illegally are excluded. Moreover, the EU citizens are estimated separately, but only those who have declared their stay to the General Secretariat of Public Order. However, given that these citizens (EU24 citizens) do not face any sanctions for failing to do so, the relevant figures published by the NSSG are obvious understatements of their number. We indicatively mention that on 1-1-2004 the non-EU25 citizens (excluding the Greeks) were reported to be 5,952, when the 2001 Census estimated this population at 78,979 and the Labour Force Survey for the 1st quarter of 2004 at 69,433. Based on these facts, the aggregate of the Greek citizens and the foreigners (EU24 and other countries) recorded by the administration authorities is naturally smaller than the country’s permanent population. This difference evidently includes the citizens of the other EU member-states who were not recorded by the administration authorities and are staying in the country legitimately, as well as any third-country citizens without a stay permit who are considered to be illegal. Hence, if the number of citizens from other EU member states is deducted from this difference, then the residue could be considered as a reliable estimate of the number of illegal immigrants in the country. With regard to the question “how many citizens from other EU member states are living in Greece over the last years?”, this cannot be accurately answered. Relevant information can be drawn from the quarterly Labour Force Survey, which, for period 2004A – 2007B produced an estimate of 53.2 thousand (with a typical deviation of 7.2 thousand) with no clear trend. These figures are clearly smaller than the 79,000 of EU24 citizens recorded in the 2001 Census. Since there is no serious reason to assume that the EU24 citizens in Greece have been reduced over the last years, it seems that the sampling LFS has made an under-estimate of the foreigners in the country, basically due to the communication difficulties between the interviewers and the interviewees or due to the fact that foreigners are reluctant to participate in government research. Hence, we make the assumption that the EU24 citizens are approximately the same figure reported in the 2001 Census, i.e. 80,000. Following the above, and based on this assumption, an estimate is made of the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 71 illegal immigrants from third countries at the beginning of years 204-2006, as presented in the last row of table 5. It is estimated that at the beginning of 2004, there were 231,1 thousand of third-country citizens staying in the country without a stay permit, i.e. illegally. The relevant figures for years 2005 and 2006 are 272.2 and 224.8 thousand respectively. In conclusion, one could infer that the illegal immigrant population, according to the demographic estimates of the NSSG and the administration data for the time period in question, is approximately 250,000. The reliability of these estimates is obviously strongly dependant upon the reliability of the NSSG estimates of the country’s total population, which are essentially based on some processed assumption as to the development of pure immigration during the respective year. Table 5 Estimate of the illegal immigration based on population per nationality Year Total population Greeks Non-EU citizens EU24 citizens Estimate of EU24 citizens Illegal immigrants 1-01-2004 11,040,65 0 10,149,45 3 580,092 5,952 80,000 231,105 1-011-012005 2006 11,082,75 11,125,17 1 9 10,138,06 10,127,96 2 4 592,471 692,380 11,744 3,599 80,000 272,218 80,000 224,835 Source: First four rows: NSSG; two last rows are estimates “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 72 5. Characteristics of illegal immigration population 5Α. Data from the Labour Force Survey As already mentioned, the LFS data could be used to examine the characteristics of the uninsured (therefore illegal) immigrants and to compare same with those of the insured (i.e. legal) immigrants and of the Greeks. For the purposes hereof, this survey is limited to year 2007 and its results are presented in table 6 below. Similar information could be drawn from the FBS2004 and partly from the Third legalization, as follows. According to Table 1, the following conclusions are drawn: (i) The uninsured women from third countries form a larger part of the total of uninsured immigrants (51.2%) compared to men (48.8%). Nevertheless, there are no impressive differences with the respective rates of the insured citizens from third countries. This slight difference in the percentage of uninsured women from third countries over that of men is consistent with the relatively higher responsibilities of the men as family leaders and with the type of employment of many women (as domestic workers). A more detailed analysis indicates that a relatively high percentage of uninsured women come from countries of the former Soviet Union. (ii) The rate of single and divorced immigrants from third countries appears to be higher over the uninsured immigrants rather than over the insured. In particular, 47% of the uninsured are single over 44% of those insured. On the contrary, the same rates for married immigrants are 44% and 51.4% respectively. It appears that married immigrants largely tend to be legal and insured, contrary to those who are single or divorced. (iii) The data used indicate that immigrants are much younger than native Greeks, who present a high rate of persons aged over 50. Moreover, there are significant differences between the insured and uninsured immigrants per age, where the latter present higher rates at the younger ages (15-30) and at the older ages (51+) compared to those insured. Thus, it could be possible that the younger immigrants are not insured because they do not have the opportunity, unlike the older immigrants who fail to do so because they are not particularly interested in that, as they do not seek to qualify for pension or because they do not intend to stay in Greece permanently or for “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 73 a long period of time. (iv) There are significant difference between legal and illegal immigrants as to their place in the job market. Although the rate of immigrants employed is similar for both groups (out of 100 immigrants, approx. 54 are employed over 41 Greeks), illegal immigrants present over two times higher an unemployment rate compared to legal immigrants (out of 100 uninsured immigrants 9.0% are unemployed over 4.1% of those insured). One possible explanation for this difference in the unemployment rates could be that many illegal immigrants do not have a permanent occupation, to the extent that legal immigrants do, so they have to change jobs very often. It is worth noting that the rate of unemployed uninsured immigrants over the total immigrant population is not much higher than that of the Greeks (3.7%). Moreover, children up to 14 years of age represent a smaller rate of the population of illegal immigrants (11.7%) over that of legal immigrants (22.1%) and Greeks (14.1%). Hence, the remaining uninsured immigrants who are economically inactive form a relatively high rate of their population (26%) over those insured and the legal immigrants (21%). (v) Besides, the unemployment rate of legal immigrants is near to that of the Greeks (7.1% and 8.1% respectively, if estimated over the labour force), whereas that of illegal immigrants is two times higher (14.4%). These relatively higher unemployment rates of illegal immigrants, combined with the relatively high rate of those who are economically inactive (one in four uninsured immigrants states that he/she is not employed nor seeks employment) indicate that there are limited job opportunities for the illegal immigrants as well as that some illegal immigrants are unwilling to work or that they stay out of the job market on their own free will. It is worth noting that the relatively high unemployment rate of illegal immigrants and the relatively high rate of those who are reluctant to work could be considered as situations incubating their engagement in illegal activities. (vi) With regard to education, it appears that legal immigrants are somehow in better position compared to illegal immigrants, given that the latter present higher rates in the lower educational levels (primary school and high school). (vii) The LFS indicates that on a per-district basis, the uninsured (i.e. illegal) immigrants present almost the same distribution with the legal immigrants. The correlation coefficient between the two distributions is 0.99. Hence, the Districts with “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 74 a large population of legal immigrants also comprise a large population of illegal immigrants and vice versa. A significant variation is that the District of Attica presents a relatively smaller concentration of illegal immigrants over legal immigrants. In particular, 44% of the total population of illegal immigrants resides in Attica, whereas for legal immigrants this rate would be 52.8%. In the other Districts (excluding Thessalia and Crete) the rate of illegal immigrants is slightly higher to that of legal immigrants. (viii) If the survey results are to be limited only to employed immigrants, as reported by the LFS (table 6a), then there are more similarities than differences between the insured and uninsured immigrants as to the sector of employment and the profession, whereas, as analysed above, there are significant differences between the overall immigrant and Greek populations. The uninsured immigrants (who are, by definition, illegal immigrants) present a high rate of employment in the sector of constructions (35%) and private households (30%) and a considerable rate of employment in the agriculture (9.2%), commerce (7.7%), processing industries (6.1%) and hotels – restaurants (5.8%). Similar rates apply to the insured (i.e. legal) immigrants; however they present relatively higher rates of employment in sectors which are considered to be part of the official sector of economy, such as the processing industries and the hotels and restaurants. (ix) It appears that both immigrant categories are mainly employed as “skilled workers, physical labour workers and small tradesmen” (uninsured: 46.7%, insured: 31%) and as “skilled technicians and similar workers” (31% and 42.5% respectively). However, the insured immigrants present a higher frequency in the other single-digit professions, excluding the specialized farmers, stock raisers and fishermen. These last two findings lead to the conclusion that illegal immigrants tend to work as unskilled workers in the constructions and in private households, which are two sectors presenting a rather high rate of evasion of social security contributions. (x) Table 6a only confirms the presumed result, that there are no illegal immigrants employed in the public sector, while very few legal immigrants (1.8%) state that they are employed in the public sector, against 24% of the Greeks. Lastly, it should be noted that 17.3% of the illegal immigrants state that they have a part-time occupation, against 6% of the legal immigrants and 5.7% of the Greeks. We reach the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 75 same conclusion if we examine the term of employment contracts, where uninsured immigrants present a slightly higher rate of temporary employment. In brief, one could claim that the place of the illegal immigrants in terms of sector of employment and profession, is lower than that of legal immigrants, who, in turn, hold a lower place compared to the Greeks. (xi) By using the LFS data for 2007, tables 6b and 6c seek to indicate the changes between the characteristics and the place of immigrants in the job market depending on their country of origin. For that purpose, and based also on the number of available remarks, the citizens of third countries were classified in the following six categories of insured and uninsured immigrants: Immigrants from Albania, other Balkan countries, Eastern Europe, Africa, Middle East and Asia. It derives that there are significant difference between immigrants depending on their origin. (xii) The rates of uninsured immigrants over the insured immigrants vary depending on their origin, ranging from 8% (immigrants from Albania) to 27.4% (immigrants from Africa). It appears that the Albanian immigrants, who were the first immigrants in modern Greece, have been “legalized” to a relatively higher rate, whereas the more recent immigration currents from other continents appear higher illegality rates. This conclusion must be interpreted in conjunction with the fact that the Albanians still remain the largest part of the immigrant population, and therefore continue to be the majority among the illegal immigrants. (xiii) It is also verified, although already known, that there are differences as to the sex of immigrants, the majority being the female immigrants from the Balkans and Eastern Europe and men from Africa, Asia and the Middle East. This numerical advantage of female immigrants from Eastern Europe and from the Balkans becomes more evident with regard to the uninsured immigrants. Likewise, the numerical advantage of male immigrants from Asia and the Middle East is also more intense or maintained high in the uninsured – illegal immigrants of that origin. In other words, it appears that the distribution of legal immigrants per sex and country of origin also applies to the distribution of illegal immigrants per sex and country of origin. (xiv) Whereas there are considerable rates of uninsured immigrants of senior age (41+) with regard to immigrants from Albania, Other Balkan countries and Eastern Europe, the same does not apply to the immigrants from Africa and Asia, where the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 76 uninsured are primarily immigrants aged 21-40. This means that the uninsured immigrants from Africa, the Middle East and Asia who are relatively younger, may be integrated in social security more easily than the older uninsured immigrants from the Balkans. In this regard, we mention that the Albanian and African immigrants present a relatively high rate of uninsured children. (xv) Except for the Albanians, where the employment rate is lower for the uninsured, the uninsured immigrants from other countries present a higher or equal employment rate compared to the insured. Although this is an issue that calls for further investigation, it seems that the Albanian immigrants are “accompanied” by uninsured and economically inactive persons relatively more often than other immigrants. (xvi) Table 6c shows that the sector of employment of legal immigrants varies considerably according to the country of origin. We indicatively mention that the sector of constructions absorbs 45% of the legal Albanian immigrants, 18.3% of the immigrants from Eastern Europe and 17% of those from Asia. On the other hand, the processing industries concentrate 30% of the legal immigrants from Asia, 28% of those from the Middle East and only 15% of the Albanians. It is worth noting that the legal immigrants are employed in more and more sectors of the economy. (xvii) The differences in employment per sector of economy depending on the country of origin are reduced with regard to illegal immigrants. The illegal immigrants are absorbed in a few sectors of economy (i.e. domestic workers, hotels and restaurants and agriculture, with regard to the uninsured immigrants from the Balkans), which are characterized by a high rate of evasion of social security contributions and the flourishing of black economy. The rate of uninsured immigrants employed in private households (the percentage of the uninsured immigrants employed who are employed in households) clearly exceeds that of the insured, regardless of origin. This high rate of uninsured immigrants employed in private households indicates how difficult it is to control and combat this type of illegal immigration. On the contrary, the uninsured immigrants employed present a lower rate of employment in hotels and restaurants compared to those insured, regardless of origin. We indicatively mention that 9.7% of the legal Albanian immigrants are employed in hotels and restaurants, against 2.4% of the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 77 illegal ones. On the other hand, the rate of uninsured immigrants from Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa employed in the constructions is higher than that of those insured, which also applies to the processing industries with regard to immigrants coming from the Balkans. (xviii) The fact that the illegal immigrants are more concentrated in few sectors of economy compared to the legal immigrants is consistent with the higher rate of illegal immigrants as “unskilled workers, physical labour workers and small tradesmen”, which applies to all immigrants regardless of origin. However, the rule is that the illegal immigrants are systematically detected, regardless of origin, in sectors and professions where there are considerable numbers of legal immigrants. Excluding Eastern Europe and Africa, the rate of part-time employment is higher for the uninsured immigrants than that of the insured, which, in terms of numbers, are relatively appreciable. (xix) A noticeable finding deriving from table 6c is that the uninsured (i.e. illegal) immigrants from Africa and Asia state to be self-employed, whereas those insured this rate is much lower. This is rather compatible to the common knowledge that many immigrants are street vendors in urban areas or in other places where there is a lot of people, while it could also be attributable to the racial discriminations made against these immigrants in the employment procedure. In brief, one could say that the characteristics and place in the job market of illegal immigrants varies according to their origin. Such variation is mainly identified between the immigrants from Albania and other Balkan countries on one hand and the immigrants from Africa, the Middle East and Asia on the other. As mentioned above, similar differences are also noted amongst the legal immigrants. 5Β. Data from the 2005 Family Budget Survey As mentioned above, another source of information on the characteristics of the illegal immigrant populations, when approached as uninsured immigrants, is the FBS2004, which provides the necessary information. Table 7 presents, in the same manner as table 6, the characteristics of the insured and uninsured immigrants, as reported in the FBS2004. It generally appears that there are great similarities as to the “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 78 characteristics of the insured and uninsured non-EU citizens, as reported in the FBS2004 and the LFS2007. Here too, the rate of uninsured female immigrants of relatively senior age and with relatively low educational background is somewhat higher. However, it should be noted that the FBS indicates a larger concentration of the uninsured (but also insured) immigrants in Attica, against the LFS, which could be partly attributable to the different totalization coefficients applied therein. 5C. Data from the Third Legalization (L. 3386/05) The published data on the number of illegal immigrants per nationality who were legalized under the Third legalization scheme (Art. 91 paragraph. 11 of L. 3586/2005), allow us to compare their distribution per country of origin compared to the data published by the NSSG on the number of foreign citizens who were permanently residing in Greece on 1/1/2006, as presented in table 8. The general conclusion is that the countries with a high rate of legal citizens also present high rates of illegal immigrants legalized in 2006. The correlation coefficient between the two figures is 0.945, which indicates a very close connection between legal and illegal immigrants per nationality. This close connection between legal and illegal immigrants could be largely attributed to the existence of informal networks of legal immigrants which facilitate the entry and stay of illegal immigrants from their home countries. In that regard, it should be noted that the legal immigrants have been in the past illegal immigrants; therefore, they have first-hand knowledge and they are able to provide reliable information to prospective or new immigrants coming from their families or their communities, on the opportunities and risks involved. The immigrant networks inform prospective immigrants of the ways to cross the border and assist them in finding accommodation and employment and in dealing with all other primary needs they have upon arrival in the country. These connections between legal immigrants and prospective or newly-arrived immigrants are quite important; they are active on international level and they even extend to the integration of immigrants in the country. Hence, they are a fundamental social phenomenon to those involved in immigration. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 79 It is worth noting that although the Albanian immigrants present the highest rate among the immigrants legalized under the Third legalization scheme, this rate is approximately equal to half the rate of the legal Albanian immigrants over the total immigrant population, as recorded by the HMoI and the NSSG (33.1% against 70.6%). On the contrary, for many other third countries, it appears that the Third Legalization scheme was a reason that their legal immigrant population increased considerably. This applies also to the other Balkan countries as well as for several countries of Africa and Asia. For example, the legal immigrants from Egypt were almost 9.5 thousand at the beginning of 2006, whereas after the legalization that number increased by 4.3 thousand. Chinese immigrants were slightly over 2,000; after the legalization, another 2.7 thousand were added. Moreover, the number of legal immigrants from Iraq was doubled, whereas those from Nigeria were almost doubled too. The 15.8 thousand of immigrants from Pakistan increased by 5.1 thousand. A glance at table 8 indicates that the legal immigration in the country is no longer limited to immigrants from the Balkans and Eastern Europe, but also from Africa and Asia. This great variety of the former illegal immigrants per nationality implies that the Third legalization was inevitable, since the alternative immigration polices are considered to be practically limited. Furthermore, this variety could be indicative of the variety of the population of illegal immigrants currently living in Greece. 5D. Summary In brief, the above data lead to the following conclusions as to the characteristics of illegal immigrants: The rate of female illegal immigrants is higher than that of male illegal immigrants. This numerical advantage of female immigrants is detected in the populations coming from the Balkans and Eastern Europe. On the contrary, in the illegal immigrant populations from Asia and Africa (which is also the case in the legal population from those countries) men are outnumbering women. The illegal immigrants are usually single or divorced persons, whereas the married immigrants appear to be legal. Moreover, illegal immigration mainly “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 80 comprises the younger and senior immigrants. These are persons who have recently arrived in the country and have not yet been legalized or senior persons who are not interested in being legalized. Illegal immigrants present almost two times higher an employment rate compared to legal immigrants, and an even higher rate of persons who are economically inactive (persons not employed or seeking employment). Moreover, the rate of part-time employees is almost three times higher in illegal immigrants compared to legal immigrants and the Greeks. Illegal immigrants present clearly the most loose connection with employment. The illegal immigrants are detected in all Districts and in close positive connection with the legal immigrants. In other words, the ratio of illegal immigrants to legal immigrants does not present significant variations between the various districts. Illegal immigrants are mainly employed in the constructions (35% and private households (30%) whereas legal immigrants present bigger variation per sector of employment and industry. Likewise, a high rate of illegal immigrants (47%) are employed as “skilled workers, physical labour workers and small tradesmen”. The general rule is that illegal immigrants are employed as workers in industries and jobs where the black economy and evasion of social security contributions is flourishing. The illegal immigrants, as a rate over the legal immigrants, vary depending on the country of origin. It is estimated that such rate is 8% for the immigrants from Albania and 27.4% for those from Africa. The illegal immigrants from Africa and the Middle East are relatively younger than those from the Balkans. There are no significant differences as to the sector of employment or the jobs of illegal immigrants depending on their origin. The illegal immigrants engage in sectors and jobs which present high rates of legal immigrants. There is a close connection between the immigrants legalized under the Third legalization scheme in 2006 and the legal immigrants per nationality. Illegal immigration is close related to legal immigration, which could be attributed to the existence of unofficial networks of legal immigrants and their compatriots from the same communities or families. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 81 Table 6 Characteristics of Immigrants from third countries - 2007 Characteristics 3rd country citizens Insured Uninsured % % Greeks % Sex MALE FEMALE TOTAL Number of Immigrants (in thousands) Age 52.6 47.4 100.0 475.2 48.8 51.2 100.0 49.6 49.0 51.0 100.0 10173.1 0-14 15-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51+ TOTAL 22.1 7.2 20.9 26.7 15.1 8.0 100.0 11.7 9.9 27.8 21.2 14.4 15.0 100.0 1.1 6.2 13.0 15.1 14.6 37.1 100.0 53.7 4.1 20.0 22.1 100.0 53.3 9.0 26.0 11.7 100.0 41.4 3.7 40.9 14.1 100.0 44.1 51.4 4.5 100.0 47.0 44.0 9.0 100.0 38.6 51.5 10.0 100.0 0.1 6.8 4.5 26.8 22.3 16.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 6.8 3.4 22.0 24.2 27.5 1.3 3.0 1.0 9.7 9.3 24.8 10.3 25.3 3.4 2.2 Place in the job market Employed Unemployed Financially non-active Children aged up to 14 TOTAL Family status SINGLE MARRIED WIDOWED & DIVORCED TOTAL Education level PhD or Post-Graduate degree University Degree Higher Technical School Graduates Continuing Education High School Graduates Primary School Graduates Primary school unfinished No education at all “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 82 Children aged up to 14 TOTAL 22.1 100.0 11.7 100.0 14.1 100.0 1.8 13.3 0.7 2.0 5.3 2.3 4.2 5.4 52.8 4.5 0.6 1.3 5.9 100.0 4.5 15.4 1.1 2.4 2.5 3.7 4.5 8.2 44.0 6.3 0.9 1.3 5.2 100.0 5.7 17.6 2.8 3.2 6.8 2.0 6.8 5.1 34.5 5.5 1.9 2.7 5.4 100.0 District of residence 01. EASTERN MACEDONIA THRACE 02 CENTRAL MACEDONIA 03 WESTERN MACEDONIA 04 HEPIRUS 05 THESSALIA 06 IONIAN ISLANDS 07 WESTERN GREECE 08 CENTRAL GREECE & EVIA 09 ATTICA 10 PELOPONNESE 11 NORTH AEGEAN 12 SOUTH AEGEAN 13 CRETE TOTAL Source: Labour Force Survey 2007 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 83 Table 6a – Characteristics of employed immigrants from third countries - 2007 Insured immigrants A. Agriculture, stock raising, hunting and forestry B. Fishery G. Mines and Quarries D. Processing industries E. Electricity / natural gas/ water supply F. Constructions G. Wholesale and retail commerce, car repair H. Hotels and restaurants I. Transports, storage and communication J. Intermediary financial organizations K. Real estate management, leasing and business L. Public administration and defence, obligatory social security M. Education N. Health and social care O. Other services to the social benefit P. Private households occupying domestic workers P. Exterritorial organizations and bodies Total Number of Immigrants (in thousands) Profession 1. Members of Deciding Bodies, Higher Management Executives and Directors 2. Persons engaging in Scientific, artistic or similar professions 3. Technologists, Technical Assistants 4. Office employees 5. Persons engaging in the provision of services and sales 6. Persons engaging in specialized farming, stock raising, forestry or fishery 7. Skilled technicians 8. Fixed industrial installations and machinery operators 9. Unskilled workers, persons engaging in physical labour & small tradesmen Unclassifiable persons Total Uninsured immigrants Greeks 4.6 0.1 0.1 16.0 0.2 36.8 9.2 0.4 0.0 6.1 0.0 35.0 1.7 0.3 0.4 12.2 0.9 6.8 8.3 10.7 1.8 0.1 7.7 5.8 1.4 0.0 18.4 6.8 6.2 2.7 2.7 3.2 6.8 0.5 0.4 1.1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 9.2 7.7 5.6 3.7 15.1 0.0 100.0 255.2 30.3 0.0 100.0 26.5 0.5 0.0 100.0 4215.7 2.0 0.9 11.0 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.0 0.9 0.6 15.2 9.2 12.0 13.6 11.0 14.0 2.4 42.5 6.8 30.9 11.8 13.4 5.3 2.1 7.5 31.1 0.0 100.0 46.7 0.0 100.0 4.6 1.4 100.0 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 84 Employer’s ownership status Public enterprise or corporation Private enterprise Total Full-time employment Part-time employment Total Source: Labour Force Survey 2007 1.8 98.2 100.0 93.9 6.1 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 82.7 17.3 100.0 24.0 76.0 100.0 94.3 5.7 100.0 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 85 Table 6 (b) - Characteristics of Immigrants from third countries - 2007 Albania Balkans Eastern Europe Uninsur Uninsur Uninsu Insured ed Insured ed Insured red % % % % % % PER SEX MALE 56.0 49.2 39.3 38.0 35.8 28.2 FEMALE 44.0 50.8 60.7 62.0 64.2 71.8 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Total cases 326443 26337 47470 9054 55083 5859 PER AGE 0-14 15-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51+ TOTAL Total cases Employed Unemployed Financially non-active Children aged up to 14 TOTAL 26.3 8.3 20.7 24.8 14.3 5.6 100.0 326442 16.5 12.4 26.4 16.4 14.0 14.2 100.0 26338 10.4 3.3 24.1 29.1 16.0 17.0 100.0 47470 49.6 3.7 20.3 26.3 100.0 40.7 7.6 35.1 16.5 100.0 65.5 5.8 18.3 10.4 100.0 Africa Uninsu Insured red % % Middle East Uninsur Insured ed % % Asia Uninsu Insured red % % 51.3 48.7 100.0 8610 44.2 55.8 100.0 2362 78.9 21.1 100.0 11363 77.4 22.6 100.0 1503 71.5 28.5 100.0 16535 95.9 4.1 100.0 3570 5.3 15.0 4.3 25.1 11.4 6.2 2.9 9.7 29.1 14.8 18.4 10.1 25.0 31.6 20.5 39.4 13.1 18.0 31.7 13.6 16.3 14.4 22.2 2.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 9055 55084 5859 8611 PER EMPLOYMENT STATUS 27.7 0.0 21.8 50.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 2363 9.0 2.7 37.9 23.3 19.2 7.9 100.0 11363 0.0 0.0 55.0 6.6 6.1 32.4 100.0 1504 7.5 4.6 32.0 32.4 18.1 5.3 100.0 16535 2.1 11.9 48.6 30.5 6.9 0.0 100.0 3569 72.3 0.0 0.0 27.7 100.0 72.5 7.8 10.7 9.0 100.0 67.6 0.0 32.4 0.0 100.0 84.4 0.6 7.5 7.5 100.0 77.0 18.9 2.0 2.1 100.0 67.8 9.5 17.4 5.3 100.0 56.5 6.0 22.5 15.0 100.0 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 65.3 12.9 17.5 4.3 100.0 48.8 3.3 22.8 25.1 100.0 86 Total cases 326442 26338 47470 45.5 52.2 47.5 46.9 33.5 57.4 2.3 100.0 326442 5.6 100.0 26338 9.2 100.0 47470 7.0 47.8 18.4 0.4 26.3 10.7 40.5 31.8 0.4 16.5 13.0 65.5 11.1 0.0 10.4 4.5 69.5 12.8 8.0 5.3 30.8 43.9 9.7 0.6 15.0 TOTAL 100.0 Total cases 326443 Source: Labour Force Survey 2007 100.0 26337 100.0 47471 100.0 9055 100.0 55083 SINGLE MARRIED WIDOWED & DIVORCED TOTAL Total cases University / College High School Primarey education No education at all Children aged up to 14 9055 55084 5860 PER FAMILY STATUS 31.0 53.5 37.5 51.1 8611 2363 11362 1504 16536 3569 60.8 28.9 100.0 0.0 58.5 39.3 55.0 45.0 61.6 31.0 89.7 10.3 10.4 100.0 8611 0.0 100.0 2363 2.2 100.0 11363 0.0 100.0 1504 7.4 100.0 16535 0.0 100.0 3570 25.9 59.9 9.8 0.0 4.3 16.8 47.2 10.9 0.0 25.1 0.0 7.9 36.4 28.1 27.7 20.2 54.2 15.5 1.0 9.0 0.0 18.6 81.4 0.0 0.0 5.8 47.0 35.6 4.1 7.5 0.0 47.5 50.4 0.0 2.1 100.0 5858 100,.0 8610 100.0 2363 100.0 11363 100.0 1503 100.0 16535 100.0 3570 22.7 53.4 15.5 11.5 23.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 9055 55084 5860 PER EDUCATIONAL LEVEL “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 87 Table 6(c) – Characteristics of employed immigrants from third countries - 2007 Albania Balkans A. Agriculture, stock raising, hunting and forestry B. Fishery G. Mines and Quarries D. Processing industries E. Electricity / natural gas/ water supply F. Constructions G. Wholesale and retail commerce, car repair H. Hotels and restaurants I. Transports, storage and communication J. Intermediary financial organizations K. Real estate management, leasing and business L. Public administration and defense, obligatory social security M. Education N. Health and social care O. Other services to the social benefit P. Private households occupying domestic workers Total Eastern Europe Africa Middle East Asia Uninsur ed Insured Uninsur ed Insured Uninsur ed Insured Uninsur ed % % % % % % % 1.0 0.2 0.0 19.3 0.0 18.3 7.9 14.8 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 0.0 24.5 0.0 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 0.0 3.4 0.0 28.7 0.0 22.8 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.2 26.5 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.9 0.0 31.1 11.1 3.3 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 00 0.0 30.1 0.0 17.0 25.6 6.6 0.0 0.0 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 61.1 36.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 3.9 0.0 6.3 0.0 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.2 3.1 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.0 0.0 7.4 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.9 22.5 29.8 28.6 55.7 10.9 38.8 1.3 18.7 13.6 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Insured Uninsur ed Insured % % % 5.6 0.1 0.2 15.1 0.4 45.0 7.1 9.7 0.8 0.0 9.2 1.0 0.0 5.9 0.0 41.2 2.5 2.4 3.4 0.0 5.2 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.0 28.3 6.9 11.0 1.8 0.5 22.3 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.0 16.0 5.5 10.8 0.0 0.0 1.1 4.7 8.5 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1 100.0 Uninsur ed Insured % % PER INDUSTRY “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 88 Total cases 161872 10726 31112 PRIMARY SECTOR SECONDARY SECTOR THIRD SECTOR Total Total cases 5.6 60.6 33.8 100.0 161872 10.2 47.0 42.8 100.0 10726 5.2 37.3 57.5 100.0 31112 6142 31116 PER PROFESSION 1.0 0.0 2.7 0.0 0.4 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 10.9 1. MEMBERS OF DECIDING BODIES, HIGHER MANAGEMENT EXECUTIVES AND DIRECTORS 2.PERSONS ENGAGING IN SCIENTIFIC, ARTISTIC OR SIMILAR PROFESSIONS 3. TECHNOLOGISTS, TECHNICAL ASSISTANTS 4. OFFICE EMPLOYEES 5. PERSONS EMPLOYED IN THE PROVISION OF SERVICES AND SALES 6. PERSONS ENGAGING IN SPECIALIZED FARMING, STOCK RAISING, FORESTRY OR FISHERY 7. SPECIALIZED TECHNICIANS 8. FIXED INDUSTRIAL INSTALLATIONS AND MACHINERY OPERATORS 9. UNSKILLED WORKERS, PERSONS ENGAGING IN PHYSICAL LABOUR 6142 31117 PER SECTOR 22.3 1.2 28.0 37.5 49.7 61.2 100.0 100.0 3824 4202 1708 0.0 31.0 69.0 100.0 3.6 32.1 64.3 100.0 0.0 20.2 79.8 100.0 3823 4202 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.4 4.0 1.4 4.3 14.3 2.9 47.6 7.4 43.8 5.0 31.1 1017 13960 2748 0.0 59.0 41.0 100.0 0.0 81.3 18.7 100.0 5.6 47.1 47.3 100.0 2.8 61.1 36.1 100.0 1708 8238 1017 13959 2748 2.6 0.0 5.1 0.0 4.4 0.0 0.0 7.4 0.0 6.3 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.0 0.0 18.3 20.2 18.3 27.3 15.6 11.8 0.0 18.3 13.0 1.5 31.2 16.5 19.4 1.2 32.4 0.0 21.2 9.2 29.5 0.0 20.2 0.0 54.1 0.0 38.5 2.1 36.9 0.0 26.8 2.0 4.5 5.7 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.0 9.4 0.0 42.5 40.8 34.6 36.4 60.5 19.1 64.2 6.7 61.5 25.0 60.2 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 89 8239 & SMALL TRADESMEN UNCLASSIFIABLE PERSONS Total Total cases 0.0 100.0 161872 FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT Total Total cases 92.9 7.1 100.0 161871 Self-employed immigrants, occupying personnel Self-employed immigrants without personnel Salaried employees Assistants in family businesses Total Total cases 1.9 5.2 91.8 1.1 100.0 161871 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 31112 6142 31116 3823 PER TYPE OF EMPLOYMENT 77.7 96.8 88.7 92.0 100 22.3 3.2 11.3 8.0 0.0 4202 1708 8238 1017 13959 2749 94.8 5.2 100 0.0 100 0.0 48.2 51.8 98.5 1.5 73.3 26.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 31112 6142 31116 3823 PER PLACE IN THE PROFESSION 4202 1708 8237 1017 13959 2750 10726 100.0 10726 100.0 100.0 100.0 2.6 4.1 93.3 0.0 1.8 6.2 88.9 3.1 0.0 6.3 93.7 0.0 2.0 6.1 89.4 2.5 0.0 11.8 88.1 0.0 2.6 10.4 87.0 0.0 0.0 46.7 53.3 0.0 0.0 8.0 92.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 1.8 6.6 90.4 1.2 0.0 3.1 63.9 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10726 31112 6142 31116 3823 4202 1708 8237 1017 13959 2749 Source: Labour Force Survey 2007 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania,the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 90 Table 7 - Characteristics of Immigrants from third countries - 2005 Male Imm. Female Imm. Total Number of Immigrants (in thousands) Age 0-14 15-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51+ Total Employed Unemployed Financially non-active Children aged up to 14 Total Single Married Widowed & Divorced Total University or High School graduates Senior High School High School Primary school graduates or illiterate Children aged up to 14 Total 01. Eastern Macedonia Thrace 02 Central Macedonia 03 Western Macedonia 04 Hepirus 01-04 05 Thessalia 06 Ionian Islands 07 Western Greece 08 Central Greece and Evia % of imm. insured 50.3 49.7 100.0 % of imm. uninsured 45,4 54,6 100,0 % of Greeks 48,5 51,5 100,0 556.2 81,9 10204,3 22.0 9.2 19.2 22.0 17.8 9.7 100.0 51.9 3.2 24.2 20.6 100.0 43.1 52.2 4.7 100.0 19.3 7.7 21.8 19.3 11.6 20.3 100.0 48.4 7.5 24.8 19.3 100.0 40.9 44.9 14.3 100.0 15.0 6.4 12.9 13.3 13.6 38.8 100.0 37.4 3.7 44.9 14.0 100.0 37.4 51.6 11.1 100.0 10.4 25.9 21.4 7.9 27.1 23.4 11.7 23.6 9.3 19.2 23.1 100.0 23.0 18.7 100.0 36.9 18.5 100.0 8.3 14.5 28.1 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 91 10. Peloponnese 05-10 09 Attica 11 North Aegean 12 South Aegean 13 Crete 11-13 Total Source: FBS 2004 11.9 75.9 16.5 55.3 24.9 37.7 3.9 100.0 . 13.7 100.0 9.3 100.0 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 92 Table 8 – Third-counry citizens 3rd country citizens legalized under the 3rd Legalization Scheme Nationality Male Imm. Female Children Imm. Egypt 4006 Ethiopia 96 Albania 16186 Armenia 321 Afghanistan 382 287 314 9300 334 Bulgaria Georgia Ghana India Iraq Iran China Belarus Morocco Moldavia 2529 1671 93 1101 1072 276 1728 46 321 754 4948 2987 38 62 195 44 978 502 67 893 Bangladesh Nigeria Uzbekistan 1260 993 56 48 586 141 Ukraine Pakistan FYROM 830 5055 173 2369 37 87 Romania Russia Serbia Montenegro Sudan Sri Lanka Syria Turkey Filippines 2877 431 3378 2203 162 Total NSSG 3rd country citizens % % Population composition composition 4293 410 25497 655 5.58 0.53 33.13 0.85 9461 979 481663 4687 1.39 0.14 70.64 0.69 392 0.51 128 0.02 7480 4659 131 1163 1268 320 2712 548 388 1647 9.72 6.05 0.17 1.51 1.65 0.42 3.52 0.71 0.50 2.14 43981 13254 436 10043 1054 393 2041 1168 550 9920 6.45 1.94 0.06 1.47 0.15 0.06 0.30 0.17 0.08 1.45 1309 1579 197 1.70 2.05 0.26 5661 1632 881 0.83 0.24 0.13 1 3199 5093 260 4.16 6.62 0.34 19785 15830 1406 2.90 2.32 0.21 2 1 6257 2635 8.13 3.42 25375 13635 3.72 2.00 135 297 0.39 3691 0.54 98 81 1451 141 12 79 348 35 110 160 1799 176 0.14 0.21 2.34 0.23 226 828 5747 947 0.03 0.12 0.84 0.14 394 573 967 1.26 6465 0.95 1351 76952 1.76 100.00 9811 681867 1.44 100.00 11 10 Others 701 642 Total 45285 31632 Source: HMoI and NSSG 3 1 1 6 1 8 35 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 93 CHAPTER SEVEN ESTIMATE OF ILLEGAL IMMIGRANT POPULATION BASED ON THE ASSESSMENTS OF THE HELLENIC POLICE FORCE I. One additional source of information in assessing the number of illegal immigrants in Greece, is the Hellenic Police. It was considered advisable to seek the assessments of the Hellenic Police, in parallel to those of the municipalities and communities, by making use of the same questionnaire. The task of collecting the assessments of the Police authorities in various districts of the country was undertaken by the General Secretariat of Public Order, which applied its own internal procedure. II. The results of this survey are presented in Table 1 below. As it appears, twenty District Police Directorates (including Attica) out of a total of 56, mentioned that the number of illegal immigrants was “unknown” or “indefinable” or that there is no safe assessment thereof. Table 2 does not include any information for the District of Thessaloniki, because the General Police Directorate of Thessaloniki did not provide any answers. The total population of legal immigrants reported by the various police directorates is 758742. For purposes of comparison, we will deduct from this aggregate the people for whom no illegal immigration is reported as well as the people of Western Attica for whom illegal immigration was estimated at 266 people, which is probably a false assessment. Following this deduction, the population of legal immigrants is 527,491 . The total population of illegal immigrants of the respective Districts (including Attica) is 79,629 . “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 94 Table 1 Legal and Illegal Immigrants per Police Directorate Legal Immigrants Illegal immigrants Illegal immigrants over total immigrants Illegal Female immigrants’ main illegal country of origin immigrants General Police Directorate of POLICE DIRECTORATE OF ATHENS 91,411 15,000 14% Albania, Russia, Ukraine, Egypt, Georgia, Pakistan, Syria 47.8% P. D. OF PIRAEUS 106,540 7,915 7.5% 30-40% P.D. OF NORTHEASTERN ATTICA 45,850 4,919 9.68% P.D. OF WESTERN ATTICA 27,063 266 0.98% Albania, Pakistan Albania, India, Georgai, Pakistan, Iraq/Kurdistan Albania, Pakistan, Iraq No accurate figure available to make a safe estimate 28,100 It is not possible to pay the amount claimed P.D. OF SOUTH31,325 EASTHERN ATTICA TOTAL 302,189 General Police Directorate of SOUTHERN AEGEAN P.D. OF 8,219 Non calculable DODECANESE P.D. OF THE 10,065 3,330 23% CYCLADES TOTAL 18,284 General Police Directorate of WESTERN ATTICA P.D. OF ACHAIA Approx. 3,000 15% Approx. 20,000 P.D. OF ACARNANIA 2,438 Undefinable Undefinable number rate Approx. 150 5% Approx. P.S. OF ETOLIA 5,000 P.D. OF ILIA Approx. 250 2% Approx. 14,300 TOTAL 41738 General Police Directorate of CRETE P.D. OF CHANIA 11,144 Unknonw Unknonw 3% 8% It is not possible to identify the immigrants’ countries of origin It is not possible to pay the amount claimed Albania - Albania 27.1% Afghanistan, Iraq, Albania - 7-10% Albania 1% Albania 35% Albania Unknown - “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 95 19,831 P.D. OF RETHIMNO P.D. OF HERAKLIO 28,000 Unknown Unknown Albania Unknown Unknown Unknown Albania Unknown P.D. OF LASITHI Unknown Unknown Unknown Unknown Albania 20% Albania Albania Αλβανίαπ.Γ.∆.Μ. Albania Albania 3.4% 1% 3% 10,000 TOTAL 68,975 ! General Police Directorate of CENTRAL MACEDONIA Approx. P.D. OF PIERIA Undefinable 6.78% 15,000 P.D. OF IMATHIA 13,100 Undefinable 5.87% P.D. OF PELLA 13,000 1817 14% P.D. OF KILKIS 5,576 Undefinable 21% P.D. OF SERRES P.D. OF HALKIDIKI TOTAL 7,733 9,428 Undefinable Undefinable 4% 5% 5% 4.1% 63,837 General Police Directorate of EASTERN MACEDONIA & THRACE 0 0 0 0 P.D. OF ORESTIADA P.D. OF 1284 0 0 0 ALEXANDROUPOLI P.D. OF RODOPI 1797 0 0 0 P.D. OF XANTHI 1625 0 0 0 P.D. OF KAVALA 21,000 2,100 10% Albania P.D. OF DRAMA 2580 0 0 0 TOTAL 28.286 0 0 0 0 2% 0 General Police Directorate of WESTERN MACEDONIA P.D. OF GREVENA 2,100 653 Undefinable P.D. OF KASTORIA 1,929 14,999 Undefinable Albania Albania 0 0 P.D. OF KOZANI P.D. OF FLORINA Undefinable Undefinable Albania Albania 0 0 0.8% Albania 10% TOTAL 8,500 4,177 16706 2,642 8,402 26696 General Police Directorate of HEPIRUS P.D. OF IOANNINA 22,170 180 P.D. OF THESPROTIA P.D. OF PREVEZA P.D. OF ARTA TOTAL 5,876 50 0.85% Iraq/Afghanistan 1% 7,500 2,200 37746 110 250 590 1.46% 10% Albania Albania 15% 2% General Police Directorate of CENTRAL GREECE “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 96 P.D. OF VIOTIA 15.000 3.000 16% Albania 5% P.D. OF EVOIA P.D. OF EVRITANIA 11.900 411 1.400 30 12% 8% Albania Albania 3% 1% P.D. OF FTHIOTIDA 15.315 2,725 45.351 150 10% 5% Albania Albania 10% 1% - Albania Albania - - Albania Albania - P.D. OF FOKIDA TOTAL General Police Directorate of THESSALIA P.D. OF LARISSA 19.839 1.385 15.560 809 P.D. OF MAGNESIA P.D. OF TRIKALA 5.950 290 4.480 537 P.D. OF KARDITSA TOTAL 45.839 3.021 0.2% General Police Directorate of NORHTERN AEGEAN P.D. OF LESVOS 6424 140 2% P.D. OF HIOS 2312 Undefinable P.D. OF SAMOS 2905 Undefinable TOTAL 11641 5% ——_———■ General Police Directorate of the IONIAN ISLANDS 9300 1500 16,1% P.D. OF ZAKINTHOS P.D. OF CORFU 12450 400 3.2% 6800 200 2.9% P.D. OF KEFALLONIA 2500 70 2.8% P.D. OF LEFKADA TOTAL 31050 2170 General Police Directorate of the PELOPONNESE 11900 Estimated P.D. OF less than 800 ARGOLIDA P.D. OF ARCADIA 6000 P.D. OF CORINTHIA 12500 7% Albania - 30-35% - Albania 30% Albania Albania 0.6% 10% Albania 5% 25% 10% Estimated less than 200 3% Albania, Pakistan, Iraq, Afghanistan, Palestine, Soudan, Nigeria Albania Estimated less than 350 3% Albania 2% “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 97 P.D. OF LAKONIA 7200 Estimated less than 100 1% Albania 30% P.D. OF MESSINIA 9500 Estimated less than 1300 12% Albania 40% TOTAL 47100 Estimated less than 2750 5.2% 21.4% Source: General Secretariat of Public Order “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 98 As already mentioned, there are no data available from the General Police Directorate of Thessaloniki Let’s assume that the illegal immigrants living in Thessaloniki are equal in number with those living in Piraeus, i.e. approx. 8,000. The total number of illegal immigrants is 87,627 . As regards the country of origin, illegal immigrants mostly come from Albania as well as from other countries, such as Ukraine, Georgia, Pakistan, Iran, India etc. The rate of female illegal immigrants varies considerably among the various Districts. The highest rates are those of Athens (48%), Messinia (40%), Piraeus (30-40%), Ilia (35%), Cyclades (27%) and Lakonia(30%). III. The estimate of the population of illegal immigrants made by the Police Directorates is much lower than that deriving from the answers given by the competent officials of the Municipalities and Communities (cf. Chapter 5). This is most probably due to the fact that the information sources used by the Police Directorates are different from those used by the Municipalities and the Communities. For example, the Police assessments could be affected by the number of arrests of illegal immigrants. Following the above, the ratio of illegal immigrants to legal immigrants is formed as follows: Illegal immigrants = 79627 = 0.15 or 15% Legal immigrants 527491 This ratio is lower than the one deriving from the answers given by the competent officials of the Municipalities, Communities and District Capitals based on the same questionnaire, which was 0.25. IV. In conclusion, according to the assessments of the General Police Directorates throughout the country, the total population of illegal immigrants in Greece is approx. 87,627. “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 99 CHAPTER EIGHT SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS Assessing the number of immigrants living in Greece illegally is an extremely difficult task. Those staying in the country illegally have no motive to state their presence and be counted, except for legalization purposes. However, even in that case, counting them in the event does not provide an accurate estimate, given that many illegal immigrant prefer to remain illegal, for various reasons, especially when there are few chances that they will be arrested and punished. However, as mentioned above, although the illegal immigrants avoid to present themselves, they do leave marks which makes it possible to draw information as to their number. This survey attempted to make an estimate of the illegal immigrant population in Greece, with the following methods: 1. From the data about the students, both Greek and foreign, registered in the primary and secondary educational institutes, given that the Greek law allows for the admittance of foreign children into the Greek schools, regardless of whether their families are staying legitimately in the country or otherwise; 2. From the data of the General Secretariat of Public Order as to the number of arrests and deportations of illegal immigrants; 3. From the assessments of the illegal immigrant population made by the immigrant associations in various Greek cities; 4. From the assessments of the illegal immigrant population made by the local Authorities (small municipalities and communities throughout the country) as well as by the local authorities of the capital cities of the Greek Districts. 5. From the findings of the NSSG Labor Force Survey; 6. From the findings of the NSSG Family Budget Survey; 7. From the data of the Third Legalization Scheme pursuant to Law 3386/2005; 8. From the NSSG data as to the total population of the country, the Greek population and the population of non-EU citizens. 100 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme Based on these data and specific assumptions made as applicable, we made certain assessments of the population of illegal immigrants currently in Greece. Such assessments are presented below: Source of information Number of Illegal Immigrants Minimu Maximum Average m 1. Recorded students (2005) 184783 275500 230142 2. Immigrants Arrested & Deported (2007) 160938 257866 209402 3. Immigrant Associations’ Assessments 226000 159000 185500 172250 143400 167300 155350 (2007) 153000 178500 165750 5. Labour Force Survey (2006) 81000 6. Family Budget Survey (2005) 85300 7. Third Legalization Scheme (2005) 270000 8. National Statistical Service (2006) 224835 9. Police Directorates’ Assessments 87627 (2007) 4. (a) Small Municipality Assessments (2007) (b) Capital City Assessments (2007) (c) Total Local Authority Assessments 101 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 300000 250000 200000 Illegale 150000 Immigrants 100000 50000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Assessment Method These assessments are presented in the columns of the above chart. Where the assessment method applied has produced two results, one minimum and one maximum, two columns have been included in the chart. As it appears from the above assessments, the number of immigrants staying in Greece illegally, as estimate under various assessment methods applied, presents considerable variation. The estimated minimum is 810,000 and the estimated maximum is 275,500; hence, there is variation of 194,500. These differences could be attributed to the variety of the assessment methods applied, and to the different time periods applying to different assessments. The estimated average is 168,166. However, given that these different assessments have derived from very different assessment methods, the importance of the average is not the same with that of any regular distribution of frequencies. It is rather the resultant of all the above estimates and assessments. Of course, in the case at hand, the resultant is not necessarily closer to the actual number of illegal immigrants. If we had to chose from the above assessments those considered to be closer to reality, we’d chose the assessment that derives from the number of immigrants arrested and deported, i.e. 209,402 people, as it is based on objective data and on the assessment of the local Authorities of small Municipalities and Communities, as they probably have a clear picture of the number of illegal immigrants staying in their areas, which is 172,250. Moreover, these assessments are relatively recent. 102 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme Hence, our final assessment is that the total population of illegal immigrants in Greece is somewhere between 172,250 and 209,402. 103 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme ANNEX FINDINGS ON THE REPATRIATION OF ILLEGAL ALBANIAN IMMIGRANTS IN GREECE Ι. The treaty signed between the European Community and the Republic of Albania on the readmission of the illegal Albanian immigrants (official Gazette of the European Union dated 17.5.2005) aims to promote the cooperation between the EU member-states and Albania in combating illegal immigration efficiently . This treaty introduces fast and efficient procedures for the identification and the safe and smooth readmission of any persons not meeting the terms of legal entry or stay in Albania or in any EU member-state. Moreover, this treaty regulates the transhipment of these persons. According to Art. 2 of the treaty, by application of any member-state and with no further formalities there being required, Albania shall allow the readmission of any Albanian nationals who do not meet the applicable conditions of entry, presence or stay within the territory of the applying member-state. According to Art. 4 of the treaty, the same obligation applies to all member states. Article 3 of the treaty provides that the same applies to any non-Albanian nationals who, as at the time of entry, are or have been holders of a stay permit or validation issued in Albania as well as to any persons who entered the territories of the memberstates after crossing or staying in the Albanian territory. Article 4 provides the same for the member states. The remaining Articles of the treaty provide for the relevant time limits, the data required in the readmission application, the means of proof evidencing the nationality of the persons interested, the cost of transport and transhipment etc. In particular, with regard to the cost of transport, the treaty provides that all transportation expenses incurred within the scope of readmission shall be borne by the member-state lodging 104 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme the application. II. The survey carried out for the purpose of estimating the population of illegal Albanian immigrants in Greece, leads to the following conclusions: 1st: The assessments of the illegal immigrant population in Greece vary depending on the method applied and the time the survey was carried out. In the surveyors’ opinion, this population ranges between 172,000 and 210,000. According to the actual permits data provided by the Hellenic Ministry of Interior, on January 4, 2008, there were 496,169 valid stay permits. Although the number of both legal and illegal immigrants in Greece is constantly changing, one could claim that approx. 28% of immigrants in Greece do not meet the requirements for legitimate stay. These are either persons that came to Greece illegally or persons that came legally but have forfeited the right of legitimate stay. Hence, the treaty on the readmission of illegal immigrants has quite a broad field of application. Naturally, not all illegal immigrants in Greece are Albanian citizens. Nevertheless, given that Albania is a neighbouring country and given the ease of accessing and crossing the Greek borders in the north and the large number of legal Albanian immigrants currently living in Greece (316,591 on 4.1.2008, as reported by the Hellenic Ministry of Interior), it is only rational to assume that the majority of the illegal immigrants in Greece are Albanians. 2nd: The illegal Albanian immigrants in Greece are not necessarily permanent residents. They could be coming to Greece in time periods when the economic activity is at peak and leaving as soon as these periods end. As a representative of an Albanian immigrants’ association has characteristically said, 50% of the illegal immigrants live permanently in Greece whereas the remaining 50% are coming and going. If this is a widespread phenomenon, then one would wonder “what’s the use of the readmission treaty for these immigrants?”. Other kind of treaties would probably be more appropriate for these cases (e.g. treaties on the issue of permits for temporary stay and employment with specific dates of entry and exit from the country). 105 “Building on Mechanisms to Effectively and Sustainably Implement Readmission Agreements between Albania, the E.C. and concerned third countries” This project is co-funded by the European Union and the project partners under the AENEAS Programme 3rd: Part of the illegal immigrants living permanently in Greece are not economic immigrants, in the sense that they have entered the job market. These are family members, parents, spouses etc. of immigrants, who have no intention of seeking employment and who are living illegally in Greece either because they were unable to get an entry permit or because their permits have expired or for various other reasons (e.g. financial reasons). Assessing the number of these people or their origin is not an easy task. However, one could reasonably assume that their population is rather small and that it mainly consists of Albanians nationals, given that the immigrants from Africa or Asia are not often accompanied by their family members. For example, the immigrants from Egypt holding a valid stay permit on 4.1.2008 were 9,171 men and 1,624 women; those from Syria were 4,625 men and 1,367 women, whereas those from Russia were 1,824 men and 9,128 women etc. As regards the possibility of readmission of these immigrants, there is probably little chance because these immigrants are difficult to identify, as they live with their families without ever being exposed to the risks of the job market. 4th: The possibility of readmission of any illegal immigrants who are not Albanian nationals but came to Greece from Albania, could not be excluded; however, it is of rather minor importance. It could be possible that there are illegal immigrants who came to Greece from other Balkan countries through Albania; however, their population must be rather small, given the small amount of legal immigrants from these countries. III. According to the treaty signed between the member-states of the European Community and Albania on the readmission of persons, the cost of transportation and transhipment up to the borders of the county of final destination shall be borne by the member-state that lodged the application. Such cost, together with the cost of various other provisions and that of the “joint readmission committee” could be considerable for Greece. Of course, Art. 15 of the Treaty entitles the competent authorities to recover these costs either from the persons concerned or from third parties. 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