Sjoerd van der Zee Master Thesis Finance The relationship between religious beliefs, equity-based remuneration and firm performance Sjoerd van der Zee 2012 1 Sjoerd van der Zee The relationship between religious beliefs, equity-based remuneration and firm performance Name: Sjoerd van der Zee Student number: s861379 Date of graduation: August 31th, 2012 Graduation chairman: dr. Michel van Bremen Supervisor: dr. Peter de Goeij Faculty: Economics and Business Administration Department: Finance Programme: Master International Management 2 Sjoerd van der Zee Preface Today, I proudly present my thesis on executive compensation and firm performance. My interest in the dynamics of executive compensation, combined with the link it has with firm performance made me choose this subject. Especially when taking into account my future ambition in becoming a senior manager. I would like to thank Peter de Goeij for being my supervisor. You were very helpful and the feedback you gave me during our meetings was always very useful. It enabled me to write a better thesis. In addition I would like to thank Michel van Bremen for reading my thesis and being the graduation chairman. Finally I would like to thank my family for being here today, but especially for their love and support during the good times and hardship in my turbulent life as a student. I couldn’t have done it without them. I’d also like to thank my great girlfriend for being there for me and for the motivation she gave me to bring this ‘project’ to a good end. Thank you for your understanding, patience and support during the ups and downs! My student life in Tilburg is full of good memories. Memories I shared with friends I met during my study as well as friends I met during the time I spent at student associations and the gym. These memories give me the enthusiasm and motivation to move on to the next step of my life. Sjoerd van der Zee August, 31th, 2012 3 Sjoerd van der Zee Abstract This thesis investigates the relationship between executive pay, religious beliefs and firm performance, using a sample of US public firms over the period 1992-2006. The focus is on examining the causality between executive pay and performance by means of an instrumental analysis. It explains the endogenous ratio of equity-based compensation to total remuneration with a proxy for religious beliefs; the ratio of Catholics to Protestants. Furthermore I explore whether religious beliefs affect the structure of an executive’s compensation package. I find that the direction of the causality is that executive pay impacts firm performance. Furthermore the empirical evidence indicates a negative relationship between the ratio of equity-based remuneration to total pay and firm performance. Finally I find empirical support that executives working for firms in regions with a higher Catholic to Protestant ratio have a larger share of their total compensation in the form of restricted stocks and stock options. The several robustness checks in this thesis are in line with the main findings. 4 Sjoerd van der Zee Index Preface ........................................................................................................................................ 3 Abstract ...................................................................................................................................... 4 Index ........................................................................................................................................... 5 Chapter 1: Introduction .............................................................................................................. 6 Chapter 2: Literature review and hypothesis development ........................................................ 8 2.1 The relationship between executive compensation and performance .............................. 8 2.2 Equity-based compensation............................................................................................ 10 2.3 The relationship between religious beliefs and gambling .............................................. 12 2.4 Hypotheses development................................................................................................ 13 Chapter 3: Data and Methodology ........................................................................................... 15 3.1 Data collection................................................................................................................ 15 3.2 Variables ......................................................................................................................... 16 3.3 Methodology .................................................................................................................. 18 3.4 Descriptive statistics ....................................................................................................... 20 Chapter 4: Empirical Findings ................................................................................................. 23 4.1 The ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation and firm performance.................. 23 4.2 Is the ratio Catholics to Protestants a good instrument? ............................................... 24 4.3 Instrumental analysis for the relation between executive pay and firm performance .... 25 4.4 An accounting measure for performance ....................................................................... 26 4.5 An absolute measure for executive remuneration .......................................................... 27 4.6 Old versus new economy firms ...................................................................................... 27 Chapter 5: Conclusions ............................................................................................................ 30 References ................................................................................................................................ 32 Appendix .................................................................................................................................. 35 Appendix A: Description variables ...................................................................................... 35 Appendix B: Industry dummies (Fama-French) .................................................................. 36 Appendix C: Construction of the control variable age ......................................................... 38 Appendix D: Denominations includes in the variable NON_PROT.................................... 39 Tables ....................................................................................................................................... 41 Table 1 .................................................................................................................................. 41 Table 2 .................................................................................................................................. 42 Table 3 .................................................................................................................................. 44 Table 4 .................................................................................................................................. 45 Table 5 .................................................................................................................................. 46 Table 6 .................................................................................................................................. 47 Table 7 .................................................................................................................................. 48 Table 8 .................................................................................................................................. 49 Table 9 .................................................................................................................................. 50 5 Sjoerd van der Zee Chapter 1: Introduction Besides the historical worldwide corporate scandals few business issues have really gained the same degree of attention as executive remuneration. 1 Historically the substantial amounts of executive compensation have always created fierce debates. Bebchuck and Grinstein (2005) find that average CEO compensation increased from $3.7 million in 1993 to $9.1 million in 2003. Obviously these large increases caught the attention of the media. Frontpage headlines, television, conferences and other forms of mass-media turned executive remuneration into a ‘hot’ topic. A large fraction of these remuneration packages come in the form of equity-based pay. The use of executive stock options has long been encouraged by economists to align the interests of mangers with those of the firm’s shareholders (e.g., Hirshleifer and Suh, 1992; Hemmer, Kim and Verrecchia, 2000). As Treynor and Black (1976) illustrate: ‘If the corporation undertakes a risky new venture, the stockholders may not be very concerned, because they can balance this new risk against other risks that they hold in their portfolios. The managers, however, do not have a portfolio of employers. If the corporation does badly because the new venture fails, they do not have any risks except the others taken by the same corporation to balance against it. They are hurt by a failure more than the stockholders, who also hold stocks in other corporations.’ Executive stock options mitigate this issue by rewarding executives when firm value increases but not punishing them in case it drops. Such compensational structures promote managers to take risky decisions. This thesis is written in order to build a framework that answers the main research question and sub question by the forthcoming empirical analysis. It is an additional contribution to the limited but growing literature that examines the relationship between executive pay and performance. I argue about the direction of this causality. Furthermore, it is the first study that investigates how religious beliefs affect equity-based compensation and how it relates to the association between executive pay and performance. 1 Throughout this thesis, I use the term ‘executive’ and ‘manager’ interchangeably to refer to top senior managers who make decisions on behalf of a firm’s shareholders. 6 Sjoerd van der Zee The main research question can be summarized as follows: ‘What is the relationship between the ratio of equity-based compensation to total pay and firm performance?’ To investigate the relationship between executive compensation and firm performance, I perform a two stage least squares regression analysis. Since equity-based compensation is considered endogenous, I include an instrument; religious beliefs. Control variables taken into account are firm size, growth opportunities, leverage, assets in place, age and year and industry dummies. I find that the direction of the causality is that executive pay impacts firm performance. Furthermore the empirical evidence indicates a negative relationship between executive compensation and performance. This is in contrast with earlier evidence suggesting a positive link between the two variables (Frye, 2001). In addition I find that executives working for firms in regions with a higher Catholic to Protestant ratio tend to have a larger fraction of their total compensation package in the form of stock options and restricted stocks. The several robustness checks in this research are in line with the main findings. The remainder of this thesis is structured as follows. The next chapter summarizes the current state of the literature. It also includes the several hypotheses. Chapter 3 describes the data, methodology and provides some descriptive statistics. Chapter 4 presents the results of the regression analyses. An extensive analysis of both the economical and statistical significance is given. Finally, Chapter 5 concludes and provides suggestions for future research. 7 Sjoerd van der Zee Chapter 2: Literature review and hypothesis development In this chapter I provide a review of existing empirical evidence and theory regarding the relationship between executive remuneration and firm performance. In order to understand how equity-based pay affects firm performance, it is of importance to have a general understanding of the several components of equity remuneration. I discuss the relationship between restricted stocks, stock options and how it induces managers to take on more risk. Furthermore I introduce an instrument that measures religious beliefs and explain why it can be considered a good proxy for risk-taking. This literature provides the basis for Section 2.4 in which the hypotheses are developed. 2.1 The relationship between executive compensation and performance A vast body of research examined the link between executive remuneration and firm performance. In this subsection I explain how agency theory explains this relationship. Afterwards I discuss existing empirical evidence on the link between executive remuneration and firm performance. Most of the existing literature on the relationship between executive compensation and performance is founded on agency theory (Holmström, 1979; Eisenhardt, 1989). Agency theory argues that managers can affect firm outcomes and hence his or her actions are visible in the observable indicators of performance. As a result firm performance partly reflects the actions of the mangers and therefore better performance implies that the manager acts in the interest of the shareholders instead of expropriating shareholder value. In this framework compensation should motivate executives to pursue actions that are in the interest of the shareholders (Murphy, 1999). Agency theory is based on an agency relationship. Jensen and Meckling (1976) define this relationship as follows: “a contract under which one or more persons (the principal(s)) engage another person (the agent) to perform some service on their behalf which involves delegating some decision making authority to the agent.” The principal has good reasons to believe that the agent will not always act in his or her best interests. When this happens the agent is in a position to expropriate value of the principal. Within a firm one also encounters a principal and an agent. Here the manager is the agent who is supposed to act in the best interest of the shareholders (the principal). The 8 Sjoerd van der Zee agency problem emanates when the interest of the manager differ substantially from those of the shareholders. It is impossible to perfectly contract every action the manager should take into every possible scenario. Hence the shareholders will delegate some decision-making authority to the manager. However, managers are rational human-beings and therefore their actions will not always be in the best interest of the shareholders. It is not possible for the shareholders to perfectly monitor the manger in order to verify that the manager acts in the best interest of the shareholders. The difference in firm value when the company is completely managed by its owners and when it’s managed by the agent is defined as the agency costs. These costs include the monitoring of the managers (Jensen and Meckling, 1976) Executive compensation is an important tool in reducing the agency problem. Remuneration plans are made to align the interest of the managers with those of the shareholders. Agency theory predicts that the interests of the shareholders and manager will become more aligned when an executive’s compensation package is linked to firm performance. This results in a higher firm valuation. (Jensen and Meckling, 1976). Murphy (1990) argues that the shareholders can use two ways to provide managers with the right incentive to increase firm value. First, remuneration can be made more dependent on firm value. Second total remuneration levels can be raised. According to Jensen and Murphy (1990) equity-based compensation, rather than cash and a fixed salary should provide managers with the right incentives to maximize firm value. A vast body of research examined executive compensation. More specifically a large number of authors investigated the performance-pay relationship. (Bertrand and Mullainathan 2001; Hall and Liebman 1998; Jensen and Murphy 1990) The literature on the link between executive compensation and firm performance on the other hand is much more limited. Frye (2001) finds that firms perform better when executives receive higher amounts of equity-based remuneration. Furthermore he finds evidence that higher firm performance results into a greater use of equity-based compensation. However it is unclear whether equitybased compensation affects firm performance or the other way around. No instrument has been used in order to examine whether the direction of the causality is pay-performance or performance-pay. Abowd (1990) confirms the positive relationship between executive compensation and performance. Using a dataset of 250 large firms and 16.000 managers he 9 Sjoerd van der Zee finds that an incremental 10% bonus for good stock market performance results into a 4-12% increase in firm performance in the subsequent year. The goal of his research is not to measure the sensitivity of compensation to current firm performance but on future firm performance. Future performance is a result of the actions and decisions made by managers in the present. Anderson et al. (2000) estimate a model which links executive bonuses and options to the stock returns in the same period. They conclude that bonuses and stock options positively affect firm performance. Not all studies have found a significant positive relationship between executive compensation and firm performance. The managerial power approach states that managers are in a position to alter the payment setting process and they will do so in a way that weakens the relationship between executive pay and performance (Bebchuck and Fried, 2003). Hence compensation is not solely a tool to reduce agency problems but it also becomes part of the agency problem itself. Several studies have found contradicting evidence regarding the expected positive relationship between compensation and performance. Sesil, Kroumova, Kruse, and Blasi (2000) find mixed evidence that firms using options significantly perform better. They find a significant positive relation between the use of option-plans and productivity, sales growth and Tobin’s Q but no significant positive association with shareholder returns. Aboody (1996) finds a negative relation between the value of outstanding stock options and the share price. Finally, Ittner, Lambert and Larcker (2003) find that lower than expected option holdings are associated with lower stock returns. However greater than expected equity grants have little effect on future performance meaning that large equity grants do not have a significant negative effect on performance. Summarizing, the existing evidence regarding the relationship between executive compensation and performance is mixed and quite limited. Especially when compared to the extensive existing literature that investigates the link between firm performance and executive compensation. 2.2 Equity-based compensation Equity-based compensation aligns the interests of managers with those of the shareholders. Here incentive-based compensation reduces the agency problem within the firm. In this subsection I further elaborate on the components of equity-based compensation and how it relates to risk-taking. 10 Sjoerd van der Zee Stock options Stock options are contracts that give the executive the right to buy a share of the firm’s stock at a pre-specified “exercise” price for a pre-specified term. Hall and Murphy (2003) show that the fraction of stock options to total executive compensation skyrocketed during the 1990s. It increased from 23% in 1992 to 49% in 2000 and 63% in 2002. The main argument in favour of stock options is that the interests of both the shareholders and mangers become more aligned by providing a direct link between compensation and performance. In addition, firms which grant stock options to their executives, do not incur an immediate cash outflow. This has been confirmed by Yermack (1995) who argues that firms experiencing cash flow difficulties make greater use of stock options to conserve cash. This makes stock options perfectly suited for companies that are short on cash at hand. Furthermore stock options provide retention incentives. Due to their multiple year maturity stock options can solely be exercised by individuals who stay within the firm until a stock option’s maturity date. Finally Chen and Ma (2011) find that executive stock options encourage risk-taking. However such risk-taking is constrained by an executive’s personal risk preferences. Restricted stocks While the importance of stock options increased considerably during the 1990’s the increase in the use of restricted stocks is significantly less substantial. Bryan, Hwang, Lilien (2000) find that the percentage of sample firms that granted their executives restricted stocks increased from 18% in 1992 to about 21% in 1996 after which it slightly fell to 19,36% in 1997. In contrast, the percentage of firms that granted their executives stock options increased from 54% in 1992 to almost 72% in 1997. Restricted stocks can be viewed as options with a zero-strike price. In that respect they are similar to stock options (Berger, Ofek and Yermack, 1997). However one major difference concerns the promotion of risk-taking. Restricted stocks have a linear payoff as opposed to stock options what makes restricted stocks relatively inefficient to induce risk-averse managers to take more risky business decisions. (Bryan, Hwang and Lilien, 2000). Furthermore executives own the stock as opposed to stock options where the executive has the right to exercise the option at maturity. The value of restricted stocks generally is lower compared to stock options. At maturity restricted stocks generally still have some value while stock options can expire worthless. Individuals with gambling preferences may find firms that offer variable compensation plans attractive. The fact that individuals are likely to consider option-based compensation as 11 Sjoerd van der Zee gambles is supported by the fact that employees frequently overestimate the value of the options. Their estimated value is higher than the actual fair value. (Hallock and Olson, 2006). Furthermore Spalt (2009) finds that riskier firms choose to grant more options to their employees as opposed to the less risky firms. Kumar, Page and Spalt (2011) find that stock options-based compensation appeals more to non-executive employees with a stronger preference for gambling. I argue that individuals who are more induced to take on risk would prefer equity-based compensation over a fixed salary and hence have a larger fraction of their total compensation in the form of equity-based components. This is in line with experimental evidence by Niederle and Versterlund (2007). They find that overconfidence and preferences for performing in a competition are two major factors influencing the decision to choose a piece rate- over a safe payoff. 2.3 The relationship between religious beliefs and gambling Verbeek (2009) states that an independent variable is biased and inconsistent in a regression model if endogenous. Hence there is need for an alternative estimator; an instrument. Kumar, Page and Spalt (2011) argue that an individual’s attitude towards gambling is strongly determined by one’s religious background. Both the Protestant as well as the Catholic Church have very opposing views on gambling. Consequently one could use religious beliefs as an instrument to investigate the relationship between executive pay and firm performance. Catholics “A person is entitled to dispose of his own property as he wills… so long as in doing so he does not render himself incapable of fulfilling duties incumbent upon him by reason of justice or charity. Gambling, therefore, though a luxury, is not considered sinful except when the indulgence in it is inconsistent with duty.” (New Catholic Encyclopedia) Protestants “Gambling is a menace to society, deadly to the best interests of moral, social, economic, and spiritual life, and destructive of good government. As an act of faith and concern, Christians should abstain from gambling and should strive to minister to those victimized by the practice.” (United Methodist Church’s 2003 Book of Resolutions) As one can conclude from the definitions stated above, the Catholic Church maintains a much more tolerant attitude towards gambling as opposed to the Protestants. Diaz, (2000) 12 Sjoerd van der Zee and Hoffman, (2000) state that Catholics use gambling in the form of bingo for fund-raising practices while the Protestant Church considers gambling a ‘menace’ for society. Kumar, Page and Spalt (2011) use religious beliefs as a proxy for gambling in their paper. They argue that the dominant local religion could affect cultural norms and values and hence economic and financial behaviour even if the individual does not personally adhere to the dominant religious group. They present empirical evidence that regions with a higher Catholic to Protestant ratio tend to have stronger gambling preferences. More specifically differences in religious beliefs can affect financial market outcomes. These outcomes include examples such as the fact that investors located in regions with a higher Catholic to Protestant ratio are more likely to hold a portfolio with lottery features. Moreover they find that stock options appeal more to employees with a stronger preference for gambling. 2.4 Hypotheses development The previous subsections discussed existing empirical results and theory concerning the relationship between executive pay and performance, equity based compensation, risk-taking as well as the association between religious beliefs and gambling. It forms the basis for the hypotheses of my thesis. In this subsection I elaborate on the different hypotheses. Equity-based compensation provides managers with the right incentives to maximize firm value (Jensen and Murphy, 1990). This aligns the interests of the managers with those of the shareholders. Morck, Shleifer and Vishny (1988) argue that incentives for executives on average are too low. If this is true higher equity-based compensation should increase firm value. Consequently one should expect a positive relationship between the fraction of equitybased to total remuneration and firm performance. This brings us to the main research question of this paper. H1: “There exists a positive relationship between the ratio of equity-based remuneration to total pay and firm performance.” What distinguishes this paper from other studies examining the relationship between executive compensation and performance is that I include an instrument; religious beliefs. As a result, I argue about the direction of the causal relationship between executive pay and firm performance. As mentioned in the previous subsections an individual’s attitude towards 13 Sjoerd van der Zee gambling is strongly determined by one’s religious beliefs and background. Hence I expect that an executive’s religious background has an effect on the structure of his or her compensation package. In this scenario I assume that executives have the power to influence the structure of their remuneration package and hence the payment setting process. I conjecture that executives working for a company incorporated in a region with a higher Catholic to Protestant ratio are more inclined to gamble and hence will have a higher fraction of their pay in the form of equity-based compensation. This results in the following hypothesis: H2: “Executives working for a firm incorporated in a region with a higher ratio of Catholics to Protestants have a higher fraction of their total pay in the form of equity-based remuneration.” 14 Sjoerd van der Zee Chapter 3: Data and Methodology This section describes the data and explains the methodology used in this research. I first describe where and how I retrieved the data after which I describe the variables used. A detailed overview of the key variable definitions is stated in Appendix A. Next I present and explain the models used in the regression analysis. Finally I provide some summary statistics to describe the data together with a correlation matrix. 3.1 Data collection The research topic addressed in this paper requires data about executive remuneration, firm performance and religious beliefs. I study firms for a 15-year period from 1992 till 2006. The starting year 1992 has been chosen because as of 1992 the SEC obliged public firms to disclose information about compensation of top executives. The sample does not include post2006 data since ExecuComp solely includes information about the Black-Scholes value of stock-options granted until 2006.2 To obtain data regarding executive remuneration, firm performance and religious beliefs I consulted and retrieved information from several databases. Information regarding executive remuneration is retrieved from the ExecuComp database. It includes all the S&P 500, Mid-Cap 400 and Small-Cap 600 companies. Together, these firms (also known as the S&P 1500) constitute more than 80% of the total market capitalization of United States public firms. ExecuComp is consulted because it is widely used and the most comprehensive. The following items are retrieved from ExecuComp: total remuneration (TDC1), options granted Black-Scholes (BLK_VALUE), restricted stocks granted (RSTKGRNT), present age and the executive’s age in the belonging fiscal year (AGE). CompuStat is used to retrieve balance sheet data in order to both construct a proxy for firm performance and construct several control variables required for this study. The following items are retrieved from CompuStat: total assets (AT), common equity (CEQ), common shares outstanding (CSHO), closing price (PRCC_F), total sales (REVT), research and development expenditures (XRD), property, plant and equipment (PPEGT), inventory (INVT) and total debt (DLTT). 2 Retrieving information regarding the Black-Scholes value of the stock options after 2006 would imply searching through the annual statements of thousands of firms. 15 Sjoerd van der Zee Finally, the Association of Religion Data Archives (ARDA) is used to construct a variable that captures the portion of Catholics to Protestants per state in the United States. Following Selody (2010) I disregard observations with missing data for total compensation, stock options or restricted stocks. Furthermore I drop observations where total compensation equals zero and where an executive has negative values for any of the components of compensation or the executive’s age. A large fraction of the sample is incorporated in Delaware. Daines (2001a) suggests that incorporation in Delaware is associated with a higher Tobin’s Q. Furthermore Heron and Lewellen (1998) argue that incorporation in Delaware results in abnormal returns. Consequently I drop these observations from the sample since I expect the relationship between religious beliefs and firm performance to be weaker for these firms. As a result the final sample includes 44.280 observations. 3.2 Variables Firm performance The dependent variable in this study is firm performance. Firm performance can be measured in multiple ways such as ROA and Tobin’s Q. Gjerde, Knivsfla, and Sættem (2008) argue that changes in accounting legislation make return on assets (ROA) less reliable than proxies such as Tobin’s Q. Moreover Tobin’s Q is a market based measure of performance. As a result I use Tobin’s Q as a proxy for performance in this study. Following Kumar, Page and Spalt (2011) and Ahern and Dittmar (2011) I define Tobin’s Q as follows: Executive remuneration To examine the relationship between executive compensation and firm performance I use the ratio of the absolute amount of equity-based compensation as a percentage of total remuneration. Following ExecuComp, total compensation of the executive includes salary, bonus, restricted stock grants, total value of stock options granted (Black-Scholes), long-term incentive payouts, and others. Equity-based compensation includes the value of restricted stock grants plus the total value of stock options granted (Black-Scholes). Following Bouwens and van Lent (2006) I decide not to include cash bonuses in my measure of equity-based pay. Bouwens and van Lent (2006) find that cash bonuses have no independent association with 16 Sjoerd van der Zee the overall performance effect of the incentive plan. As a result I expect that considering bonuses as a component of equity-based compensation will underestimate the association with firm performance. Religious beliefs Kumar, Page and Spalt (2011) state that the religious composition of a region is unlikely to directly affect financial market outcomes. I use the ratio of Catholics to Protestants as an instrument to argue about the direction of the causality between executive remuneration and firm performance. The ratio of Catholics to Protestants is given per state in the United States. This geographical segmentation strategy has been based on Becker (2007) who uses the concentration of seniors in regions as a proxy for respectively supply and dividend demand. Kumar (2009) states that other measures such as age, education, gender or income could also be used as a proxy for gambling. However Kumar, Page and Spalt (2011) argue that the relation between these variables and gambling is less clearly established. The construction of the ratio of Protestants per state is not straight forward. Following Kumar, Page and Spalt (2011) I first calculate a variable that includes the number of Orthodox, Other and Catholic adherents. Afterwards I subtract the total number of adherents to the previously explained variable to obtain a variable which includes the total number of Protestants. A detailed overview of the denominations belonging to this variable is stated in Appendix D. Control variables In order to address concerns about omitted variables I introduce an extensive set of control variables. These include several factors that might affect either the relation between executive pay and performance or the link between religious beliefs and compensation. Following Mehran (1995) I control for growth opportunities, leverage, business risk, firm size, and assets in place. The ratio of total debt to total assets is be used to measure leverage. Gayle et al. (2011) find that the mean salaries and bonuses in small firms are smaller compared to larger firms. Hence I use the log of total assets as a proxy for firm size. The ratio of inventory plus gross plant and equipment to total assets is included as the proxy for assets in place. I use research and development expenditures as a percentage of sales for the growth opportunities proxy. Next I create industry dummies following the classification created by Fama and French (1997). It classifies firms into 48 categories. A detailed overview of the 17 Sjoerd van der Zee several categories and the corresponding SIC codes can be found in Appendix B. Year dummies are also included in this study and besides firm characteristics I also control for the executive’s age. The executive’s age as it is reported in the annual statements can easily be retrieved from ExecuComp. However due to the restricted number of observations I created my own proxy for age. A description of this control variable is available in Appendix C. ‘Age’ describes the age of the executive in the corresponding fiscal year. Finally I conclude the results with some additional robustness checks. First I replace the dependent variable Tobin’s Q for the return on assets (ROA). ROA is an accounting based measure of performance as opposed to Tobin’s Q which is a market based proxy. Second, I replace the main key variable; the ratio of equity-based pay to total remuneration for the log of total equity-based compensation, an absolute measure of equity compensation. Finally, I divide the sample into a subsample which contains the ‘technology’ firms and another subsample that includes the more ‘traditional’ firms. Subsection 3.4 will provide some summary statistics while Chapter 4 presents the empirical evidences from the regression analyses. 3.3 Methodology The answers to the hypotheses and the main research question are tested by several empirical methods. Univariate analyses are used for descriptive purposes while the multivariate analyses are used for explanatory insights. The main hypothesis: whether there exists a positive relationship between the ratio of equity-based remuneration to total pay and firm performance, is tested in two ways. First I use an ordinary least squares regression in order to obtain preliminary results. The following regressions is used: is measured by Tobin’s Q. will measure the impact of a change in the ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation in the dependent variable an extensive set of control variables; . Furthermore I include . These have already been mentioned in subsection 3.2 and include growth opportunities, leverage, business risk, firm size, assets in place, age 18 Sjoerd van der Zee and industry dummies according to the Fama-French model. However there may still remain many unobserved factors that influence the relation between the ratio of equity-based compensation to total remuneration and firm performance. These unobserved effects will be included in . Second, in order to be able to argue about the direction of the causality I introduce an instrument; religious beliefs. I use this instrument in a two stage least squares regression where I perform an instrumental analysis. Religious beliefs will be instrumented on the ratio of equity-based remuneration to total compensation. I again include control variables. However an instrumental analysis involves a strong instrument. If the instrument is considered ‘weak’ the results have little meaning. Consequently I perform several tests in order to find out whether the instrument is valid. First I apply a first-stage ordinary least squares regression analysis to find out both the direction and the significance of the relationship between the ratio of Catholics to Protestants and the ratio of equity-based remuneration to total pay. This also brings us to an answer to the second hypothesis where I test whether executives working for a firm incorporated in a region with a higher ratio of Catholics to Protestants have a higher fraction of their total pay in the form of equity-based compensation. It involves the following regression: is measured by the ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation. the impact of a change in the ratio of Catholics to Protestants in measures . Here I again control for several variables explained in subsection 3.2. This regression forms the basis for the subsequent two stage least squares regression where I instrument religious beliefs on the relationship between executive compensation and performance. The last test I apply is a Cragg-Donald Wald F test. Staiger and Stock (1997) argue that you do not have to worry about weak instruments if the F-statistic of the reduced form regression exceeds 10. 19 Sjoerd van der Zee 3.4 Descriptive statistics Table 1 presents descriptive statistics of the variables used. It shows the mean, median, standard deviation, number of observations, minimum and maximum of the observations included in the dataset. From Table 1 one can conclude that over the sample period an executive received substantial sums of remuneration, with an average of $1.376.430. The average amount of equity-based compensation equals $672.230. This results in an average equity-based pay to total remuneration ratio of 29,0%. Not surprisingly, the amounts of compensation vary considerably across firms in the sample. The resulting mean is higher than the median. The standard deviation of $4.144.200 illustrates that the sample consists of numerous executives who received substantial sums of remuneration and therefore affect the average amount of pay. Average Tobin’s Q equals 1,86 with outliers to even 48,84 resulting in a mean higher than the median which is 1,38. The average age of the executive is 51,16 years while the youngest executive is solely 16 years old. Table 2 describes the main instrument used in this research; the ratio of Catholics to Protestants. It has already been indicated that Delaware has been dropped from the sample. The largest number of executives in the sample are working for firms incorporated in Ohio. The ratio of Catholics to Protestants in this state is 0,88. On the contrary in the second largest state New York, this ratio is 4,13. 40 30 20 10 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 0 1992 Equity-based to total pay % Ratio of Equity-based Compensation to Total Pay 1992-2006 Figure 1: Development of the ratio of equity-based compensation to total pay for the period 1992-2006 This graph shows the development of equity-based compensation to total remuneration measured by restricted stocks plus the value of the options granted (Black-Scholes) for the period 1992-2006. The data has been retrieved from ExecuComp. 20 Sjoerd van der Zee In Figure 1 one can observe that the ratio of equity-based compensation to total remuneration steadily increased until 2001 after which it sharply declined until 2003. It peaked at 35,9% in 2000 and decreased to 30,2% in 2003. This large decline might be explained by the DOT-com crisis in 2001. However in the subsequent years it seems to steadily grow again. Tobin's Q 1992-2006 2,2 2,1 Tobin's Q 2 1,9 1,8 1,7 1,6 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1,5 Figure 3: Development of Tobin’s Q for the period 1992-2006 This graph shows the development of Tobin’s Q. Tobin’s Q is measured as total assets minus common equity plus market equity divided by total assets. The development of Tobin’s Q is shown for the period 1992-2006. The data has been retrieved from CompuStat. During the sample period 1992-2006 firms had a positive Tobin’s Q, with an average of 1,86. It varied from approximately 1,6 in 2002 to a maximum of over 2,1 in 1999. The large fluctuations are supported by the standard deviation of 1,49. The development of Tobin’s Q is shown in figure 3. Tobin’s Q is quite low in 1994 after which it steadily grew until 1997. It reached its peak in 2000 after which it dropped to 1,57 in 2002. The DOT-com crisis again might be a major factor explaining this large decline. From the period 2002 till 2006 Tobin’s Q steadily returned to 2000 levels. In order investigate the relationship between executive remuneration and firm performance and to check for multicollinearity, I elaborate on the correlations between the several variables used in this research. The correlation matrix is presented in Table 3. I will only discuss the most interesting correlations. The correlation between ‘The ratio of equitybased compensation to total pay’ and ‘Tobin’s Q’ is positive and equals 15,6%. The correlation between ‘The ratio of Catholics to Protestants’ and ‘The ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation’ equals 7,2% while the correlation with ‘Tobin’s Q’ is 4,4% 21 Sjoerd van der Zee Furthermore ‘Age’ is negatively correlated with ‘Tobin’s Q’. The positive correlation between ‘The ratio of Catholics to Protestants’ and ‘The ratio of equity-based compensation to total pay’ supports the hypothesis that executives working for firms incorporated in regions with a higher Catholics to Protestant ratio will have a higher share of their compensation package in the form of equity-based pay. The expected relation between remuneration and performance is positive. The question remains whether this effect holds true when ‘The ratio of Catholics to Protestants’ is used as an instrument for “The ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation’. There are no exceptionally high correlations in the matrix. Hence I do not expect to experience any problems involving multicollinearity. 22 Sjoerd van der Zee Chapter 4: Empirical Findings This section provides the empirical results of this thesis. Subsection 4.1 presents the regression analysis of the key variable executive compensation on the dependent variable firm performance. Subsection 4.2 continues with an analysis of the instrument; religious beliefs. Subsection 4.3 includes an instrumental analysis of the relationship between executive remuneration and firm performance. Subsections 4.4 till 4.6 conclude with some additional robustness checks. The tables accompanying this section are available in the appendix. 4.1 The ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation and firm performance This subsection presents the results of the ordinary least squares regression that examines the association between the ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation and firm performance. Results are presented in Table 4. The key variable used in the regression is the ratio of equitybased pay to total compensation. The R-squared of the model varies from 3,2% to 21,5% when several controls are included in the regression. The empirical evidence indicates that there is a positive significant relationship between ‘The ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation’ and ‘Tobin’s Q’. The significance remains robust when various additional controls are introduced into the regression. The empirical evidence is in accordance with Sesil, Kroumova, Kruse, and Blasi (2000) and Frye (2001). From Table 4 one can compute that a one standard deviation increase in ‘The ratio of equity-based pay to total remuneration’ is associated with an increase in ‘Tobin’s Q’ in the range of 7,9% to 17,9%. When introducing industry dummies to the model a one standard deviation increase in ‘The ratio of equity-based pay to total remuneration’ results in an increase in ‘Tobin’s Q’ of 9,1%. ‘Size’ is positive and statistically significant in all models. The effect of ‘Leverage’ and ‘Assets in place’ on ‘Tobin’s Q’ is negative and statistically significant. In model IV when I introduce industry dummies a one standard deviation increase in ‘Leverage’ results in a decrease of 31,5% in ‘Tobin’s Q’. The association between ‘Growth opportunities’ and ‘Tobin’s Q’ is positive and statistically significant. Last the effect of ‘Age’ on ‘Tobin’s Q’ is negative and statistically significant. A one standard deviation increase in ‘Age’ results in a 5,3% decrease in ‘Tobin’s Q’. The empirical evidence presented in Table 4 is in line with the main research question of this thesis; there exists a positive relationship between the ratio of equity-based 23 Sjoerd van der Zee remuneration to total pay and firm performance. Note that reversed causality might still be a problem here. Hence I include an instrument in the subsequent analyses. 4.2 Is the ratio Catholics to Protestants a good instrument? This subsection examines whether religious beliefs are a good instrument to investigate the association between executive compensation and firm performance. The estimated results are presented in Table 5. It describes the reduced form regression for the ratio of equity-based remuneration to total compensation. The key variable used is ‘The ratio of Catholics to Protestants’. To verify that ‘The ratio of equity-based compensation to total pay’ is endogenous and to evaluate whether ‘The ratio of Catholics to Protestants’ is a valid instrument, I estimate a reduced form regression. The Cragg-Donald Wald F statistic in model IV when I introduce industry dummies equals 11,71, indicating that ‘The ratio of Catholics to Protestants’ can be considered an appropriate instrument. ‘The ratio of Catholics to Protestants’ is positive and significant in all models. A one standard deviation increase in ‘The ratio of Catholics to Protestants’ is associated with an increase in ‘The ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation’ of between 1,9% and 6,4%. ‘Size’ is positive and statistically significant. This is in accordance with Gayle et al. (2011) who argue that larger firms just pay their executives more. Furthermore the coefficient remains rather constant when I introduce various control variables to the model. The effect of ‘Growth opportunities’ is positive and has the most significance in model II and III. The association between ‘Leverage’ and ‘The ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation is negative and statistically significant. Similar evidence is found for ‘Assets in place’. Finally, ‘Age’ is negative and statistically significant. A one standard deviation increase in ‘Age’ results in a 12,3% decrease in ‘The ratio of equity-based remuneration to total compensation’. My findings indicate that executives working for firms incorporated in regions with a higher Catholics to Protestant ratio have a higher share of their total compensation package in the form of equity-based compensation. It suggests that executives working for firms incorporated in regions with more Catholics relative to Protestants are more inclined to gamble. Hence the hypothesized positive relationship between the ratio of Catholics to Protestants and the ratio of equity to total compensation is confirmed. These empirical results 24 Sjoerd van der Zee are in line with the findings of Kumar, Page and Spalt (2011). Furthermore the presented evidence suggests that older executives tend to have a smaller share of their total remuneration in the form of stock options and restricted stocks. This might be due to an increasing degree of risk-aversion by older executives relative to younger ones. 4.3 Instrumental analysis for the relation between executive pay and firm performance This subsection takes into account the ratio of Catholics to Protestant as an instrument to investigate the link between executive pay and performance. Table 6 presents the empirical results. The key variable used in the two stage least squares regression is ‘The ratio of equitybased to total pay’. The R-squared in a two stage least squares analysis often is negative. This happens when the residual sum of squares exceeds the total sum of squares. Consequently Rsquared has less meaning compared to an ordinary least squares regression. Hence it will not be included in the table (Verbeek, 2009). The coefficient of ‘The ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation’ gradually becomes negative when I introduce various controls to the models. ‘The ratio of equity-based pay to total remuneration’ is negative and significant in model IV when I control for industry. These results are in line with Aboody (1996). In the final model where I control for ‘Age’ the coefficient is considerably more negative and no longer significant. However the sample is reduced with more than 35% when I control for ‘Age’. Hence the lacking significance might partly be explained due to the reduced number of observations. In model II when I control for firm characteristics a one standard deviation increase in ‘Equity-based pay to total compensation (%)’ is associated with an increase of 45,0% in ‘Tobin’s Q’. However it becomes negative in model IV where a one standard deviation increase results in a decrease of 103,6% in ‘Tobin’s Q’. ‘Size’ is negative in model II and III. However it turns positive and statistically significant in model IV when I introduce industry dummies. The effect of ‘Leverage’ is negative and statistically significant. The results are robust when I introduce additional control variables. The same holds for ‘Assets in place’. ‘Growth opportunities’ is positive and statistically significant. Its coefficient remains rather robust across the different models. Finally the effect of ‘Age’ on ‘Tobin’s Q’ is negative and statistically significant. A one standard deviation increase in ‘Age’ is associated with a decrease in ‘Tobin’s Q’ of 21,7%. 25 Sjoerd van der Zee My findings contradict the evidence of Frye (2001) and illustrate that higher shares of equity-based compensation as a percentage of total pay have a negative effect on firm performance as opposed to the ordinary-least squared regression. Based on these findings, there is no reason to raise the equity-based component for executives. I find no evidence for the hypothesized positive relationship between the fraction of equity-based pay to total remuneration and firm performance. Empirical evidence furthermore indicates that the causal relationship is that executive compensation results in changes in firm performance. Finally complementing the results of Subsection 4.1; younger executives tend to manage higher performing firms compared to companies ran by older executives. 4.4 An accounting measure for performance This subsection replaces ‘Tobin’s Q’ for ‘ROA’ to measure firm performance. It can be considered the first robustness check in this research. The empirical results are shown in Table 7. The key variable used in the two stage least squared regression is ‘The ratio of equity-based to total pay’. The empirical evidence in Table 7 is in line with the earlier findings in which the dependent variable is ‘Tobin’s Q’. ‘The ratio of equity-based pay to total compensation’ is negative and statistically significant. Both the direction and significance remain robust when introducing several control variables. A one standard deviation increase in ‘The ratio of equity-based remuneration to total pay’ is associated with a decrease in ‘ROA’ of between 51,2% and 284,7%. ‘The ratio of equity-based pay to total remuneration’ in Table 6 gradually becomes negative while it consistently stays negative in Table 7 where I use ROA as a proxy for performance. The same holds true for ‘Size’. ‘Growth opportunities’ is positive and statistically significant in Table 7 where it is negative and statistically significant in Table 6. ‘Age’ is negative although not statistically significant in model V. 26 Sjoerd van der Zee 4.5 An absolute measure for executive remuneration While Subsection 4.4 replaces the dependent variable, this subsection examines the effect on Tobin’s Q when the ratio of equity-based to total compensation is replaced for an absolute measure of equity compensation. The empirical results can be found in Table 8. The key variable used in the two stages least squares regression is the log of ‘Equity-based compensation’. ‘Equity-based compensation (thousands)’ is positive and statistically significant in model I .However it no longer remains significant in model II where I control for firm characteristics. It becomes negative and not statistically significant in model IV and remains negative in the last model where I control for ‘Age’. ‘Size’ becomes positive and statistically significant in model IV. These results are in accordance with the evidence presented by Table 6. ‘Leverage’ and ‘Assets in place’ are negative and statistically significant. ‘Growth opportunities’ is positive and statistically significant. Finally age is positive and statistically significant at a 1% level. A one standard deviation increase in ‘Age’ results in a 6,9% decrease in ‘Tobin’s’ Q. My findings are in line with an earlier analysis where I regressed ‘The ratio of equitybased compensation to total pay’ on ‘Tobin’s Q’. The absolute effect of ‘Equity-based compensation (thousands)’ on ‘Tobin’s Q’ gradually becomes negative and although the results are not statistically significant it confirms earlier analyses like the one in Table 6 where the independent variable becomes negative in model IV where I include industry dummies . 4.6 Old versus new economy firms This subsection investigates the pay-performance relationship differences for both new and old economy firms. It serves as a final robustness check. Table 9 presents the empirical evidence. Panel A presents the results for old economy firms while Panel B shows the empirical evidence for new economy firms. Anderson et al. (2000) argue that the emergence of options and restricted stocks in executive compensation packages is especially pronounced in the so called ‘new economy’ 27 Sjoerd van der Zee firms3. These new economy firms differ in numerous ways from old economy firms. Ittner, Lambert and Larcker (2003) explain that new economy firms generally are smaller, grow faster, invest more in research and development and lower marginal tax rates as opposed to their old economy counterparts. Murphy (2003) furthermore complements these differences with the fact that executives in new economy firms receive more stock-based compensation than do executives of old economy firms. A potential explanation found by Murphy (2003) is that the decision to grant options is based on the perceived cost of the options instead of the economic costs. Firms grant options without incurring an immediate cash outflow. Hence the perceived costs of the options are lower than their true economic costs. This phenomenon is stronger in new economy firms than old economy firms explaining the increased use of option-based compensation in these types of companies. As a result, I decide to split up the sample as a final robustness check to examine pay-performance differences for new and old economy firms. Table 9 uses ‘Equity-based to total compensation (%)’ as a key explanatory variable. The variable is positive and significant in column I-III of panel A but becomes negative and insignificant when industry dummies are introduced into the model. It remains negative and insignificant when the final control variable age is added. A one standard deviation increase in ‘Equity-based to total compensation (%)’ is associated with an increase of between 42,2% and 60,9% in Tobin’s Q in models I-III. However it becomes negative in model IV where a one standard deviation increase results in a decrease of 121,2% in ‘Tobin’s Q’. Panel B on the other hand consistently presents negative results. The coefficients are rather large and not statistically significant in any of the five models. They vary from a positive 14,093 in model I to a negative -47,884 in model V. In panel B a one standard deviation increase in ‘Equitybased to total compensation (%)’ is associated with a decrease of between 130,3% and 821,6% in ‘Tobin’s Q’ in models II-V. ‘Size’ turns positive in Panel A when industry dummies are introduced to the model, while size is consistently positive in all of the models in Panel B. The relationship between ‘growth opportunities’ and ‘Tobin’s Q’ is positive in both of the panels. ‘Leverage’ on the other hand has a negative effect on ‘Tobin’s Q’. It can be 3 New economy firms are defined as companies with the following SIC codes: 3570 (Computer and Office Equipment), 3571 (Electronic Computers), 3572 (Computer Storage Devices), 3576 (Computer Communication Equipment), 3577 (Computer Peripheral Equipment), 3661 (Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus), 3674 (Semiconductor and Related Devices), 4812 (Wireless Telecommunication), 4813 (Telecommunication), 5045 (Computers and Software Wholesalers), 5961 (Electronic Mail-Order Houses), 7370 (Computer Programming, Data Processing), 7371 (Computer Programming Service), 7372 (Prepackaged Software), and 7373 (Computer Integrated Systems Design). Old economy firms are firms not otherwise categorized as new economy. (Murphy, 2003) 28 Sjoerd van der Zee considered statistically significant at different levels in any of the models besides column V in panel B. The relationship between ‘Assets in place’ and ‘Tobin’s Q’ is negative and in varying models statistically significant. Finally ‘Age’ is negatively associated with ‘Tobin’s Q’ for both old and new economy firms. These results are not statistically significant although it shows that older executives tend to manage firms with lower firm performance compared to younger ones. There is no consistent evidence for a positive relationship between executive pay and performance. The empirical results indicate more evidence for a negative link. The results for new economy firms illustrate that religious beliefs might be an invalid instrument to analyze the relationship between executive pay and performance. This is confirmed by the CraggDonald Wald F-statistic which equals 0,24 in model IV where I introduce industry dummies. 29 Sjoerd van der Zee Chapter 5: Conclusions This research contributes to the existing literature on executive remuneration and firm performance by providing additional insights into the direction of the causality. The purpose of this thesis is to examine the association between executive remuneration and firm performance and to investigate how the instrument religious beliefs contributes in explaining this causal relationship. In this section I provide a discussion of the main findings. Furthermore I discuss potential limitations as well as suggestions for future research. A vast body of research investigates the link between executive remuneration and firm performance. A central point of discussion is the endogeneity issue; it is unclear whether larger compensation packages lead to better firm performance or above average performing firms just pay their executives more. Using the ratio of Catholics to Protestants as an instrument for the fraction of equitybased remuneration to total pay, my findings indicate a negative relationship between executive compensation and firm performance. Although the results lack significance in some models, there is at least no consistent evidence for a positive relationship. The empirical evidence suggests that there is no reason for firms to raise the equity-component of the executive’s compensation package. Furthermore, I find that executives working for firms in regions with a higher ratio of Catholics to Protestants have a higher portion of their remuneration package in the form of equity-based compensation meaning that these executives have a higher tendency to gamble. This empirical evidence contributes to the emerging literature that investigates the link between culture and economic outcomes. The results indicate that the relationship between culture and executive compensation might be stronger than previously believed. The additional robustness checks are in line with the main findings. I first replaced Tobin’s Q for the return on assets. Next, I replaced the key explanatory variable for an absolute measure of equity-based compensation. Finally, I divided the sample into two subsamples; one including ‘technology’ firms and the other including the more ‘traditional’ firms. A potential limitation of this thesis is that it is not directly possible to examine religious beliefs. I had no access to religious attitudes of executives on a personal level. Hence I could solely infer a proxy for religious beliefs on behalf of a geographical segmentation 30 Sjoerd van der Zee strategy. My analysis would be more accurate if data on the religious beliefs of each individual executive was available. A potential approach would be to run a survey among a selective group of executives. This however is beyond the scope of this thesis. Furthermore this thesis solely focuses on equity-based pay while the total compensation package of executives is much broader than equity-based pay. Future research should aim at investigating the pay and performance link regarding fixed salary and cash bonuses. Following Kumar, Page and Spalt (2011) one could hypothesize that executives working for firms in regions with a higher ratio of Protestants to Catholics have a larger fraction of their total compensation package in the form of fixed pay. Next, although Bouwens and van Lent (2006) find that cash bonuses have no independent association with overall performance, it is interesting to analyze how the results change when including cash bonuses either in the fixed or equity component of pay. How does this affect the association between executive remuneration and firm performance? The required data can easily be retrieved from ExecuComp. Finally it would be interesting to see how results change when a more recent sample is used. 31 Sjoerd van der Zee References Aboody, D., (1996), ‘Market Valuation of Employee Stock Options,’ Journal of Accounting and Economics, 22, pp. 357-391. 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Yermack, D., (1995), ‘Do corporations award CEO stock options effectively?’ Journal of Financial Economics 39, pp. 237–269. 34 Sjoerd van der Zee Appendix Appendix A: Description variables Firm Performance Tobin’s Q = Executive Remuneration Executive pay = includes salary, bonus, restricted stock grants, total value of stock options Granted (using Black-Scholes), Long-Term Incentive Payouts, and others. Restricted Stocks = the dollar value of the restricted stocks granted by the named executive officer during the fiscal year. In thousands of dollars. Stock Options = the dollar value of the options (Black-Scholes value) granted by the named executive officer during the fiscal year. In thousands of dollars. Religious beliefs Ratio Catholics to Protestants = Firm Controls Firm size = The logarithm of the total assets. Growth opportunities = Research and development expenditures divided by sales. Leverage ratio = Total debt divided by total assets. Assets in place = (Inventory + PPE) divided by total assets. Managerial Controls Age = Age of the executive (see appendix for further information) 35 Sjoerd van der Zee Appendix B: Industry dummies (Fama-French) Variable Long name SIC codes Agric Agriculture 0100-0799,2048-2048 Food Food Products 2000-2046,2050-2063,2070-2079, 2090-2095,2098-2099 Soda Candy and Soda 2064-2068,2086-2087,2096-2097 Beer Alcoholic Beverages 2080-2085 Smoke Tobacco Products 2100-2199 Toys Recreational Products 0900-0999, 3650-3652, 3732-3732, 3930-3949 Fun Entertainment 7800-7841, 7900-7999 Books Printing and Publishing 2700-2749,2770-2799 Hshld Consumer Goods 2047-2047,2391-2392,2510-2519, name 2590-2599,2840- 2844,3160-3199, 3229-3231,3260-3260,3262-3263,3269-3269,3630-3639,3750-3751, 38003800,3860-3879,3910-3919, 3960-961,3991-3991,3995-3995 Clths Apparel 2300-2390,3020-3021,3100-3111, 3130-3159, 3965-3965 Hlth Healthcare 8000-8099 MedEq Medical Equipment 3693-3693, 3840-3851 Drugs Pharmaceutical products 2830-2836 Chems Chemicals 2800-2829,2850-2899 Rubbr Rubber and Plastic Products 3000-3000, 3050-3099 Txtls Textiles 2200-2295,2297-2299,2393-2395, 2397-2399 BldMt Construction Materials 0800-0899,2400-2439,2450-2459, 2490-2499, 2950-2952, 3200-3219, 3240-3259,3261-3261,3264-3264, 3270-3299,3420-3442,3446-3452,34903499, 3996-3996 Cnstr Construction 1500-1549, 1600-1699, 1700-1799 Steel Steel Works Etc. 3300-3369, 3390-3399 FabPr Fabricated Products 3400-3400,3443- 3444,3460-3479 Mach Machinery 3510-3536, 3540-3569, 3580-3599 ElcEq Electrical Equipment 3600-3621,3623-3629,3640-3646, 3648-3649, 3660-3660, 3691-3692, 3699-3699 Misc Miscellaneous 3900-3900, 3990-3990, 3999-3999, 9900-9999, 3800,3860-3879,39103919, 3960-3961,3991-3991,3995-3995 Autos Automobiles and Trucks 2296-2296,2396-396,3010-3011,3537-3537, 3647-3647, 3694-3694,37003716, 3790-3792, 3799-3799 Aero Aircraft 3720-3729 Ships Shipbuilding, Railroad Eq 3730-3731, 3740-3743 Guns Defence 3480-3489, 3760-3769, 3795-3795 Gold Precious Metals 1040-1049 36 Sjoerd van der Zee Mines Non-metallic Mining 1000-1039, 1060-1099, 1400-1499 Coal Coal 1200-1299 Enrgy Petroleum and Natural Gas 1310-1389,2900-2911,2990-2999 Util Utilities 4900-4999 Telcm Telecommunications 4800-4899 PerSv Personal Services 7020-7021, 7030-7039, 7200-7212,7215-7299, 7395-7395, 7500-7500, 7520-7549, 7600-7699, 8100-8199,8200-8299, 8300-8399, 8400- 8499,8600-8699, 8800-8899 BusSv Business Services 2750-2759, 3993-3993, 7300-7372,7374-7394, 7397-7397, 7399-7399, 7510-7519,8700-8748,8900-8999 Comps Computers 3570-3579, 3680-3689, 3695-3695,7373-7373 Chips Electronic Equipment 3622-3622, 3661-3679, 3810-3810,3812-3812 LabEq Measuring and Control Equip 3811-3811,3820-3830 Paper Business Supplies 2520-2549,2600-2639,2670-2699,2760-2761, 3950-3955 Boxes Shipping Containers 2440-2449, 2640-2659, 3210-3221, 3410-3412 Trans Transportation 4000-4099, 4100-4199, 4200-4299, 4400-4499, 4500-4599, 4600-4699, 4700-4799 Whlsl Wholesale 5000-5099, 5100-5199 Rtail Retail 5200-5299, 5300-5399, 5400-5499, 5500-5599, 5600-5699, 5700-5736, 5900-5999 Meals Restaurants, Hotel, Motel 5800-5813, 5890-5890, 7000-7019, 7040-7049, 7213-7213 Banks Banking 6000-6099, 6100-6199 Insur Insurance 6300-6399, 6400-6411 RlEst Real Estate 6500-6553 Fin Trading 6200-6299, 6700-6799 37 Sjoerd van der Zee Appendix C: Construction of the control variable age The variable age is used as a control variable. This variable can be retrieved in two ways. First one could use the variable AGE – Executive’s Age as it is reported in ExecuComp. Definition: Age of the executive as reported in the annual proxy statement. However a considerable fraction of the sample has missing values for AGE. Another variable which is included in ExecuComp is present age. Definition: The latest known age of the named executive. In order to obtain more observations I have used present age as a proxy to calculate the executive’s age when AGE – Executive’s Age is missing. I found out that the latest year in which the variable present age has been updated is 2009. I have taken this into account when calculating my proxy for age. As a result the number of observations increases from 14,989 to 28,621. Descriptives for variable AGE – Executive’s Age Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max Age 14,989 52.95 8.07 18 86 Descriptives for variable Age_Final Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max Age_Final 28,621 51.19 7.89 16 86 38 Sjoerd van der Zee Appendix D: Denominations includes in the religious beliefs other than Protestants Catholic Denominations Catholic Church Other Denominations Bahá'ís Buddhists Church of Christ, Scientist Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints Hindus Jains Jewish Muslims Estimate Sikhs Taoists Unitarian Universalist Assocation Zoroastrians Orthodox Denominations Albanian Orthodox Diocese of America American Carpatho-Russian Orthodox Greek Catholic Church Antiochian Orthodox Christian Archdiocese of North America Apostolic Catholic Assyrian Church of the East, North American Dioceses Armenian Apostolic Church / Catholicossate of Cilicia Armenian Apostolic Etchmiadzin Bulgarian Orthodox Diocese of the USA Byelorussion Council Of Orthodox Churches In North America Coptic Orthodox Church Greek Orthodox Archdiocese of America Greek Orthodox Archdiocese of Vasiloupulis Holy Orthodox Church in North America Macedonian Orthodox Church: American Diocese Malankara Archdiocese of the Syrian Orthodox Church in North America Malankara Orthodox Syrian Church, American Diocese of the Orthodox Church in America: Albanian Orthodox Archdiocese Orthodox Church in America: Bulgarian Diocese Orthodox Church in America: Romanian Orthodox Episcopate of America Orthodox Church in America: Territorial Dioceses Patriarchal Parishes of the Russian Orthodox Church in the USA Romanian Orthodox Archdiocese in America and Canada Russian Orthodox Church Outside of Russia Serbian Orthodox Church in the USA Serbian Orthodox Church in the USA (New Gracanica Metropolitanate) Church / Catholicossate 39 of Sjoerd van der Zee Syrian Orthodox Church of Antioch Ukranian Orthodox Church of the USA 40 Sjoerd van der Zee Tables Table 1 Descriptive statistics Table 1 present the descriptive statistics of the variables used. The sample data has been retrieved from CompuStat and ExecuComp. Data definitions can be found in Appendix A. __________________________________________________________________________________________ Variable Mean Std. Deviation Minimum Maximum Median N Total compensation 1376.43 4144.20 0.00 600347.4 656.93 44280 Equity-based pay 672.23 3806.60 0.00 600347.4 157.41 44280 Equity/Total pay % 0.29 0.26 0.00 1.00 0.26 44280 Tobin’s Q 1.86 1.49 0.41 48.84 1.38 44280 Catholics/Protestants % 1.67 1.64 0.07 6.06 0.95 44280 Age of the executive 51.19 7.89 16 86.00 51.00 28621 41 Sjoerd van der Zee Table 2 Descriptive statistics Table 2 present the number of observations in the sample per state in the US in which the firm is incorporated. The ratio of Catholics to Protestants has been retrieved from The Association of Religion Data Archives (ARDA). __________________________________________________________________________________________ State name Ratio Catholics to Protestants Number of observations Alabama 0.07095555 231 Alaska 0.48129587 52 Arizona 1.4077611 258 Arkansas 0.08894669 107 California 2.9125625 2,059 Colorado 1.0211045 79 Connecticut 3.2628696 685 District Of Columbia 0.98944089 137 Florida 0.83414934 1,579 Georgia 0.12268151 1,368 Hawaii 1.6491104 136 Idaho 0.73497163 145 Illinois 1.6059675 879 Indiana 0.50537866 1,299 Iowa 0.50055653 479 Kansas .47286946 259 Kentucky 0.24502596 257 Louisiana 1.1836483 354 Maine 1.8092693 140 Maryland 0.94704577 2,255 Massachusetts 5.9669649 2,309 Michigan 1.1038951 1,194 Minnesota Mississippi 0.75069313 0.08420354 2,077 124 Missouri 0.46085747 879 Montana 0.86486625 47 Nebraska 0.62719726 107 Nevada 2.2444943 1,507 New Hampshire 3.4635104 13 New Jersey 4.4384303 1,920 New Mexico 2.1824896 127 New York 4.1295597 3,440 North Carolina 0.09839175 1,284 Ohio 0.87894047 3,457 Oklahoma 0.09357414 280 Oregon 0.62616696 763 Pennsylvania 1.3470061 2,897 Rhode Island 6.0608946 193 South Carolina 0.08050837 419 42 Sjoerd van der Zee South Dakota 0.56459935 80 Tennessee 0.07516518 1,231 Texas 0.68402373 1,579 Utah 1.3524978 451 Vermont 1.9464944 157 Virginia 0.28599938 1,856 Washington 0.75024043 1,330 West Virginia 0.2101175 40 Wisconsin 1.157968 1,749 Wyoming 0.80733438 19 43 Sjoerd van der Zee Table 3 Correlation matrix Table 3 presents the correlation matrix of the variables used. The variables have been retrieved from CompuStat and ExecuComp. Data definitions can be found in Appendix A. Total Pay Equity Pay Equity/ Total Pay % Tobin’s Q Cath/ Prot Age Equity/Total Pay % Tobin’s Q Total Pay 1.000 Equity Pay 0.9624 1.000 0.250 0.260 1.000 0.0586 0.668 0.156 1.000 0.051 0.042 0.041 0.005 0.072 -0.104 0.044 -0.060 Cath/Prot Age 1.000 0.013 1.000 44 Sjoerd van der Zee Table 4 OLS Analysis Pay and Performance Table 4 presents the results of ordinary least squares regressions with Tobin’s Q as dependent variable. The ratio of equity-based compensation to total compensation is the key variable. Column II adds firm controls. Columns III adds year dummies. Column IV adds industry dummies and column V adds a managerial control; age. Precise data definitions can be found in Appendix A. __________________________________________________________________________________________ I II III IV V *** *** *** *** Equity compensation (%) 1.044 0.711 0.700 0.533 0.462*** (38.36) (14.77) (14.54) (11.25) (7.57) Size 0.023* 0.038*** 0.049*** 0.022* (2.58) (4.32) (5.41) (1.81) Growth opportunities (%) 0.024*** 0.023*** 0.017*** 0.018*** (7.15) (6.82) (5.28) (4.84) Leverage (%) -2.216*** -2.296*** -2.045*** -2.098*** (-33.63) (-35.14) (-30.56) (-23.65) Assets in place (%) -0.979*** -1.015*** -0.696*** -0.673*** (-25.00) (-25.91) (-13.77) (-9.97) Age -0.010*** (-4.58) Year dummies No No Yes Yes Yes Industry dummies No Observations R-squared 44,280 0.032 No No 19,886 19,886 0.139 0.159 t-statistics in parentheses *** p<0.01, **p<0,05, *p<0.1 Yes Yes 19,886 0.215 12,904 0.202 45 Sjoerd van der Zee Table 5 The Link Between Equity-based Compensation and Religious Beliefs Table 5 presents reduced form regression with the ratio of equity-based compensation to total pay as dependent variable. The ratio of Catholics to Protestants is the key variable. Column II adds firm controls. Columns III adds year dummies. Column IV adds industry dummies and column V adds a managerial control; age. Precise data definitions can be found in Appendix A. __________________________________________________________________________________________ I II III IV V Catholics to Protestants (%) 0.010*** 0.006*** 0.007*** 0.004*** 0.003* (14.10) (5.88) (6.98) (3.42) (2.25) Size 0.043*** 0.041*** 0.044*** 0.050*** (33.87) (32.44) (33.91) (29.47) Growth opportunities (%) 0.002** 0.001** 0.001* 0.001 (3.04) (2.64) (2.07) (1.58) Leverage (%) -0.140*** -0.143*** -0.103*** -0.101*** (-14.37) (-14.89) (-10.24) (-7.85) Assets in place (%) -0.152*** -0.135*** -0.102*** -0.103*** (-26.55) (-23.44) (-13.53) (-10.62) Age -0.004*** (-12.41) Year dummies No No Yes Yes Yes Industry dummies No Observations R-squared 44,280 0.005 No No 19,886 19,886 0.092 0.116 t-statistics in parentheses *** p<0.01, **p<0,05, *p<0.1 Yes Yes 19,886 0.143 12,904 0.149 46 Sjoerd van der Zee Table 6 Remuneration and Performance instrumented with Religious Beliefs Table 5 presents the two stage least squares regression with Tobin’s Q as dependent variable. The ratio of equity-based compensation to total pay is the key variable. Column II adds firm controls. Columns III adds year dummies. Column IV adds industry dummies and column V adds a managerial control; age. Precise data definitions can be found in Appendix A. __________________________________________________________________________________________ I II III IV V Equity compensation (%) 5.360*** 2.621* 1.794 -6.037* -7.702 (10.51) (2.18) (1.82) (-2.21) (-1.62) Size -0.060* -0.007 0.342** 0.433 (-1.14) (-0.18) (2.78) (1.80) Growth opportunities (%) 0.021** 0.021*** 0.024*** 0.024*** (5.38) (5.90) (4.46) (3.55) Leverage (%) -1.935*** -2.130*** -2.740*** -2.948*** (-10.23) (-13.02) (-9.01) (-5.73) Assets in place (%) -0.678*** -0.860*** -1.317*** -1.520** (-3.51) (-5.94) (-4.73) (-3.01) Age -0.041* (-2.22) Year dummies No No Yes Yes Yes Industry dummies No Observations 44,280 No No 19,886 19,886 t-statistics in parentheses *** p<0.01, **p<0,05, *p<0.1 Yes Yes 19,886 12,904 47 Sjoerd van der Zee Table 7 Remuneration and Performance (ROA) instrumented with Religious Beliefs Table 7 presents the two stage least squares regression with ROA as dependent variable. The ratio of equity-based compensation to total pay is the key variable. Column II adds firm controls. Columns III adds year dummies. Column IV adds industry dummies and column V adds a managerial control; age. Precise data definitions can be found in Appendix A. __________________________________________________________________________________________ I II III IV V Equity compensation (%) -0.234*** -1.020*** -0.943*** -1.179** -1.301* (-6.41) (-5.41) (-6.31) (-3.20) (-2.13) Size 0.065*** 0.062*** 0.076*** 0.088** (7.94) (9.79) (4.61) (2.87) Growth opportunities (%) -0.005*** -0.005*** -0.005*** -0.004*** (-7.65) (-9.26) (-6.74) (-4.24) Leverage (%) -0.363*** -0.360*** -0.367*** -0.380*** (-12.22) (-14.52) (-8.97) (-5,77) Assets in place (%) -0.146*** -0.125*** -0.151*** -0.173** (-4.82) (-5.70) (-3.86) (-2.67) Age -0.050 (1.94) Year dummies No No Yes Yes Yes Industry dummies No Observations 44,280 No No 19,886 19,886 t-statistics in parentheses *** p<0.01, **p<0,05, *p<0.1 Yes Yes 19,886 12,904 48 Sjoerd van der Zee Table 8 Remuneration (log equity pay) and Performance instrumented with Religious Beliefs Table 8 presents the results of ordinary least squared regressions with Tobin’s Q as dependent variable. The log of equity-based compensation is the key variable. Column II adds firm controls. Columns III adds year dummies. Column IV adds industry dummies and column V adds a managerial control; age. Precise data definitions can be found in Appendix A. __________________________________________________________________________________________ I II III IV V *** Equity compensation 0.756 0.316 0.235 -0.644 -0.379 (thousands) (6.17) (1.70) (1.54) (-1.36) (-1.48) Size -0.148 -0.082 0.486 0.336 (-1.24) (-0.84) (1.59) (1.70) Growth opportunities (%) 0.023*** 0.022*** 0.020** 0.019** (4.86) (5.45) (2.64) (3.09) Leverage (%) -1.773*** -1.978*** -3.099*** -2.754*** (-5.31) (-6.93) (-4.13) (-6.30) Assets in place (%) -0.714** -0.855*** -1.280** -1.082*** (-3.13) (-4.90) (-3.15) (-4.02) Age -0.013*** (-3.52) Year dummies No No Yes Yes Yes Industry dummies No Observations 44,280 No No 19,886 19,886 t-statistics in parentheses *** p<0.01, **p<0,05, *p<0.1 Yes Yes 19,886 12,908 49 Sjoerd van der Zee Table 9 Pay-Performance instrumented with Religious Beliefs for New and Old Economy Firms Table 8 presents the results of a two stage least squares regression with ‘Tobin’s Q’ as dependent variable. Panel A examines old economy firms while Panel B presents the results for new economy firms. The ratio of equity-based compensation to total pay is the key variable. Column II adds firm controls. Columns III adds year dummies. Column IV adds industry dummies and column V adds a managerial control; age. Precise data definitions can be found in Appendix A. __________________________________________________________________________________________ Panel A I II III IV V *** * * * Equity compensation (%) 3.017 2.799 2.091 -6.000 -6.004 (5.04) (2.16) (2.00) (-1.90) (-1.53) Size -0.114 -0.069 0.321* 0.337 (-1.80) (-1.40) (2.00) (1.56) Growth opportunities (%) 0.026* 0.032** 0.030 0.071 (2.42) (3.28) (1.76) (1.49) Leverage (%) -1.438*** -1.568*** -2.239*** -2.317*** (-7.39) (-9.39) (-6.03) (-5.38) Assets in place (%) -0.491** -0.625*** -1.119** -1.139** (-2.92) (-5.05) (-3.47) (-2.77) Age -0.029 (-1.94) Year dummies No No Yes Yes Yes Industry dummies No Observations 40,369 No No 16,968 16,968 t-statistics in parentheses *** p<0.01, **p<0,05, *p<0.1 Yes Yes 16,968 11,026 __________________________________________________________________________________________ Panel B I II III IV V Equity compensation (%) 14.093 -7.596 -7.442 -17.045 -47.884 (0.97) (-0.60) (-0.74) (-1.06) (-0.48) Size 0.416 0.427 0.794 2.117 (1.17) (1.60) (1.63) (0.54) Growth opportunities (%) 0.024* 0.012 0.011 0.007 (2.12) (1.35) (0.85) (0.22) Leverage (%) -5.526*** -5.480*** -6.493** -11.209 (-3.51) (-5.27) (-3.58) (-0.81) Assets in place (%) -2.653 -2.303 -1.819 -3.006 (-1.25) (-1.71) (-1.86) (-0.60) Age -0.057 (-0.57) Year dummies No No Yes Yes Yes Industry dummies No Observations 3,911 No No 2,918 2,918 t-statistics in parentheses *** p<0.01, **p<0,05, *p<0.1 Yes Yes 2,918 1,878 50
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