DNB Working Paper No. 155 / November 2007 Christine Beijnen and Wilko Bolt DNB W o r k i n g P a p e r Size matters: economies of scale in European payments processing Size matters: economies of scale in European payments processing Christine Beijnen and Wilko Bolt* * Views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect official positions of De Nederlandsche Bank. Working Paper No. 155/2007 November 2007 De Nederlandsche Bank NV P.O. Box 98 1000 AB AMSTERDAM The Netherlands ! ! "##$%$$& ' () * * ()* +"* (&+ ( , - * - . /0* 1 / #2* "$$$ / * . 3 45"%$&%+5&%+* 63 45"%$&%+%&$7 ( /8* 0 / 0 9: 0 ( /0 6 , /0 . ;0 : 0 - . /0* ( /0 ! " # # $ % # % &# # # $ ' # Æ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Æ H H H !1" ; # * ? # # # # 1 ; # !"$ 8 & # # # # & * # # ( # # # F G G !" # G # 3 # $ 1 G 1 3 1 D # # G G Æ G G , !1" B 3 # % G G Æ G # 3 !" ; 2 < ( # % ; # / $ 3 # / % ; % 1 * : * C C . !" !" # 3 D # # / # # # ( / <, 65 =. !/ " / 7 7 % $ # % ( # / 1" 1" 3 / 0 1 Æ % B ! " / , 1 ( / 1 # # * <(E ) # ! , " / # ! " # - -$ % # 3 # # # $ / + 1" # # 9 , / # $ / &# % 8 # % 3 # 3 * / 0 %$$% 6 , = Log(Average Cost) Log(Average Cost) 6 " 3 −1 −2 −1 −2 −3 −3 −4 −4 −5 −5 −6 −6 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 2.0 9.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 Log(Volume) 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 Log(Volume) * D : * & ( / # , !1" F G H H 1 !" H Æ H H H H !9" # G G G 9 3 # # / > / 3 # B " / 3 ! " 1" # 1 # / <, =. 51 B " / > # Æ : * : : E0 , * C * C " * C * C C 5 % " "F !:?5 :19" G 11 .=1 G 6 ( " # / D " # / (B # ! 6I " ( # / # / > 0 !155?" 0# !?" B !" # 6 ( / % ! 3 % " 1 ! % " ( " " # # # % 6 3 # & # # 1 (0 !1" E)'A !11" (+ !1=" ( D !1=" (> !1" / / 3 ? ! >" 9? !2( D 23" :5 !*+" ' % 8 # ( / # # " ( # # !1551555" !6" ; ## # # 0 ! 1 " " 6 # ' / & ! > " " # # # ; ## / ) 6 6 # # # * ( + . * : C $* :* C"* : 1 6 % 0.11 DPRIVATE=0 Average Cost (in euro) Average Cost (in euro) 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 DPRIVATE=1 0.10 1990−1999 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.20 0.06 2000−2005 0.15 0.05 2000−2005 0.10 0.04 1990−1999 0.05 0.03 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 Payment Volume (in mln) 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 Payment Volume (in mln) 1 : "##$"###* %$$$%$$& :0 C $* : C " ! : ( / &- ,-# 9 ? + G : # 9= ! 3 " ' ! 6" 1= :1 ) !" 0 : # 6 & # , # ' / # # # % % 77 &# F C * ! C C " 4 % * C " 4 % C $7% * 52 9 %5* %$$A* > :! * : %$"$* ? %& * +$$ "$ :@ 11 D , # % # ) # 3 % &# , Æ # ( # 1 ! " ! B # # " 3 ) & # ) # # 3 # # 3 ) # % : # / B 9" / # # # / 9" " # / ) 3 ( 9" B 9" / # # # 9" " / 3 !:1: 9=5" G 6 111 G 6 " 9" B 9" ! / " ? # # " 3 !11" ) !16" > / % 1 ! % " # # # * <( E / % " / # 6 # " / 0 9 # ! " : : $$$$" "5+ : 1 6 5 : Average Cost measure Average cost measure 1.75 1.50 1.25 1.00 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.75 0.50 0.4 0.25 0.2 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 0 5000 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 Volume POS Payments Volume Bill Payments : D : :0G D : E ! : : # 9" D &# 8 # # ' / / # 0 % # # > % # ) # # 3 6 9 B / , # ( ( % 96: 3 # : : : /* * "#2% 19 # / 3 % + # # # ( / 3 % $ 0 # / 3 # ( # # % % H"I * ,* / ,0 %$$%* 6 , 0 $%"5* , - * 6 , /0 (* .: H%I /* - 6 "##7* * ( Æ* ( 6 , ! "* %2+* "$$+"$5# H5I /* 9* * 9( ,- "#22* ( : J0 * ) / 9 :* 1* B H+I / * - ) %$$&* : * . 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F / F E: $%2 $%2 $%2 $%2 $%2 $%2 $%2 $%2 $"" $"" $"2 $"2 $%" $$7 $+# $57 $"# $"# $"# $"# $"# $"# $"# $"# $%5 $&% $%7 $%7 $%+ $"# $5+ $%" $%2 $%5 $"# $%7 15 Previous DNB Working Papers in 2007 No. 124 No. 125 No. 126 No. 127 No. 128 No. 129 No. 130 No. 131 No. 132 No. 133 No. 134 No. 135 No. 136 No. 137 No. 138 No. 139 No. 140 No. 141 No. 142 No. 143 No. 144 No. 145 No. 146 No. 147 No. 148 No. 149 No. 150 No. 151 No. 152 No. 153 No. 154 Andrew Hughes, Rasmus Kattai and John Lewis, Early Warning or Just Wise After the Event? The Problem of Using Cyclically Adjusted Budget Deficits for Fiscal Surveillance Kerstin Bernoth, Juergen von Hagen and Casper de Vries, The Forward Premium Puzzle: new Evidence from Futures Contracts Alexandra Lai, Nikil Chande and Sean O’Connor, Credit in a Tiered Payments System Jean-Charles Rochet and Jean Tirole, Must-Take Cards and the Tourist Test James McAndrews and Zhu Wang, Microfoundations of Two-sided Markets: The Payment Card Example John P. 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