Helping Students Navigate the Modeling Process Maria Hernandez and John Sheridan NCSSM Goals for the presentation Introduce Modeling Present the Suez Canal problem: “How can we optimize the shipping traffic through the Suez Canal?” and its parameters. Consider the Classroom Approach – How can we introduce the problem to students and make the solution accessible to them? Goals for the presentation Anticipate student struggles - How can we help students navigate the modeling process? Summarize main ideas and provide time for questions What is Mathematical Modeling? “Modeling links classroom mathematics and statistics to everyday life, work, and decisionmaking. Modeling is the process of choosing and using appropriate mathematics and statistics to analyze empirical situations, to understand them better, and to improve decisions. Quantities and their relationships in physical, economic, public policy, social, and everyday situations can be modeled using mathematical and statistical methods. When making mathematical models, technology is valuable for varying assumptions, exploring consequences, and comparing predictions with data.” Taken from CCSS High School Modeling Mathematical Model Building Mathematics is studied because it is a rich and interesting discipline, because it provides a set of ideas and tools that are effective in solving problems which arise in other fields, and because it provides concepts useful in theoretical studies in other fields. From Indiana University http://www.indiana.edu/~hmathmod/modelmodel.html Modeling Cycle From “A First Course in Mathematical Modeling” Giordano, Weir, and Fox From CCSS Math http://www.corestandards.org/assets/CCSSI_Math%20Standards.pdf Introduction to the Suez Canal problem The Suez Canal is an artificial waterway that connects the Mediterranean Sea and the Red Sea It provides an alternate shipping route to traveling around the southern tip of Africa It accommodates approximately 7% of worldwide sea transport A Brief Suez Canal History The Canal opened in 1869. In 1967, the Canal closed for 8 years due to Arab-Israeli conflicts. It did not open again until 1975. At that time, the Egyptian Canal Authority hired a team of mathematicians from Cardiff University in Wales to optimize daily shipping traffic – the first time this had been done. Why Optimize Canal Traffic? Suez Canal’s Impact on Egypt In 2011, Egypt’s Treasury received approximately $5.2 billion from canal shipping fees The Egyptian Canal Authority oversees the Canal and charges, on average, $250,000 per ship Adding 4 extra ships per day means an additional $1,000,000 per day Parameters of the Problem The Suez Canal is about 163 km long At a width of less than 300 meters, only one-way travel is permitted There are two docking areas: Ballah Bypass and Bitter Lake Suez Canal Time Lapse http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L0JVIvKLsc The video shows the use of Convoys as a way to organize shipping traffic Traffic Flow on the Canal South-North traffic has the right-of-way and does not stop. North-South Convoy must pull over to let South-North traffic pass. Two docks for N-S ships are Ballah Bypass and Bitter Lake. The Canal Authority sets requirements for the solution The solution must be a 24-hour transportation schedule. The solution must have an equal number of ships pass from North to South as South to North in a 24hour period. A First Step: Deciding How to Use the Pull-off Areas Because there are 2 pull off areas, there are 3 possible convoys that can occupy the canal at one time Two convoys (A and B) leave from the North A stops at Bitter Lake B stops at Ballah Bypass Convoy C will leave the South after an initial delay and travel non-stop A First Attempt at a Visual Model GSP Suez Canal The Visual Model’s Limitations There is no accurate count on the number of ships in each convoy There is no way to tell when Convoy B and C depart There is no way to tell when ships arrive at pull-off areas or the end of the canal What other information do I need to get started? Distances? Velocities? Pull-off Areas? Other quantities? Distance markers along the Canal Try some calculations Approximately how long does it take for 1 ship to pass through the Canal nonstop? Approximately how long does it take for 10 ships to pass through the Canal nonstop? If Mondays are “One-Way Traffic Day,” how many ships can travel South-toNorth in 24 hours? Recapping Our Goals Determine the total number of ships that can pass through the canal in a 24-hour time period. Determine a schedule for two NorthSouth convoys and one South-North convoy. A Model for consideration 10-ship Convoy A Convoy C leaves too early! (Do you see why?) Convoys A and C complete a successful Canal trip Reflect on What Students Know so far Students can put the problem in their own words, describe parameters, and perform simple calculations Students understand the graph paper model Students understand how ships “move” and what a failed solution looks like Attempt a First Try Choose convoy sizes Convoy A has 36 ships Convoy B has 17 ships Convoy C has 53 ships More failure lurks around the corner, but an “A-ha” moment awaits A Dynamic Geogebra Solution Classroom Approach How can we support students as they navigate through the modeling process? What is the role of questioning? When and how do we “help” kids with the solution? What does lesson planning look like? How do you engage the students with the problem? What kinds of questions do you pose? 1. Questions that help students understand the context and what they are being asked to do 2. Questions that help students get started 3. Questions that help teachers understand students’ reasoning. How do you anticipate road blocks and plan next steps? How will students share their models and solutions? How will you assess your students? Supporting Students How can we support each other as we introduce new modeling problems in our classrooms? How do we get students to try new approaches? How can we encourage students to persevere through the process? How can we promote student discourse and collaboration? Student Reflection “I enjoyed the convoy problem because it required me to think and test solutions instead of quickly finding the answer. Although I may not have found the best answer, but finding a viable solution took a while and was rewarding. It was also good to get practice clearly explaining my thought process. I’m used to not showing each step and clearly defining my variables. It was new and interesting to start with a visual representation to create equations and test its accuracy.” References and Further Reading The Consortium for Mathematics and Its Applications (COMAP) http://www.comap.com/index.html “How Not to Talk to Your Kids: The Inverse Power of Praise”, Po Bronson, New York Magazine, 8/3/2007: http://nymag.com/news/features/27840/ PISA 21012 Mathematics Framework http://www.oecd.org/pisa/pisaproducts/46961598.pdf Phillips Exeter Academy Math, Science and Technology Conference – Exeter, NH June 22- 27, 2014 http://www.exeter.edu/summer_programs/7325.aspx Productive Struggle NPR Report http://www.npr.org/blogs/health/2012/11/12/164793058/struggle-forsmarts-how-eastern-and-western-cultures-tackle-learning Nicaragua partners with China to build a canal to rival the Panama Canal (NY Times; June 13, 2013) Contact Information John Sheridan [email protected] Maria Hernandez [email protected]
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