PROCEEDINGS The Symposium Organizing Committee would like to thank the following organizations for their support of the Progress Toward Rubella Elimination and CRS Prevention in Europe symposium: Abbott Diagnostics Albert B. Sabin Vaccine Institute BioMerieux DiaSorin World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe March of Dimes Foundation Merck Roche sanofi-pasteur Serum Institute of India U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Table of Contents Executive Summary.............................................................. 4 Introduction........................................................................... 7 SESSION I: Measles Elimination in Europe................... 8 SESSION II: Background Information........................... 19 SESSION III: Diagnostics................................................ 24 SESSION IV: Global Epidemiology................................. 28 SESSION V: Burden of Rubella and CRS in Europe.... 31 SESSION VI: Country Experiences................................. 36 SESSION VII: Strategies, Policy Implementation and Documentation of Rubella/CRS........ 41 SESSION VIII: Surveillance Strategies............................. 47 SESSION IX: Issues to be Addressed............................ 52 Concluding Remarks.......................................................... 57 Speakers.............................................................................. 58 Delegates............................................................................. 59 Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 3 Foreword F rom 8-10 February 2012, over 150 people from 47 countries met in Rome, Italy, to discuss the strategies and work needed to eliminate measles and rubella from the European region by 2015. It was the first major global meeting on rubella in 40 years. Participants shared lessons from the successes already achieved in rubella elimination around the world. By bringing together public health authorities and pediatric societies, the conference embodied the types of partnerships that will support successful elimination campaigns. Participants tackled the complexity of the immunization enterprise – from the basic sciences to the laboratories, from the role of clinicians to the community and the media. As Dr. Louis Cooper said, “It may seem on the surface very simple to vaccinate a child, but the truth is that it is exceedingly complex.” Symposium Organizing Committee Dr. Louis Cooper, American Academy of Pediatrics and International Pediatric Association Dr. Nedret Emiroglu, World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe Dr. Michael Katz, March of Dimes Dr. Stanley Plotkin, University of Pennsylvania Dr. Ciro de Quadros, Albert B. Sabin Vaccine Institute Dr. Maria Grazia Revello, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo Dr. Susan Reef, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Executive Summary T he rubella virus threatens children and adults, but poses the highest risk to pregnant women and their developing fetuses. Once known as “German measles,” rubella infection early in pregnancy may result in miscarriage, fetal death, or the birth of an infant with Congenital Rubella Syndrome (CRS). CRS can cause blindness, deafness, mental retardation, heart defects and a range of other conditions from diabetes to autism. An estimated 112,000 babies around the world are born with CRS every year. Many of these children need a life-time of medical and social support. Although the European Region has significantly reduced cases of rubella and of CRS, it has not eliminated them. Babies are still born with the condition, and expectant mothers must still make irrevocable choices when learning of their infected status. Yet, this situation is completely avoidable. For more than 40 years, a vaccine has been available to prevent rubella and CRS. The Americas have succeeded in eliminating both rubella and CRS through mass immunization. “In countries like the U.S., where we’ve eliminated congenital rubella, we’ve been able to close schools of the deaf,” Dr. Louis Cooper told the gathering. Rubella vaccine is most commonly administered as part of combination vaccines with measles (MR vaccine) or with measles and mumps (MMR vaccine). The use of measles vaccine has already reduced measles deaths, which fell 78 percent between 2000 and 2008. Yet, this disease continues to claim the lives of nearly 164,000 people a year, and sporadic outbreaks and imported cases threaten the progress already made. Thus, the use of rubella- and measles-containing vaccines could eliminate these two viruses and their huge burdens of disease, death, and disability. 4 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings In 2010, the European Region set a goal of eliminating measles and rubella and preventing CRS by 2015. Dragan Jankovic, with the World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe, described four strategies for achieving this goal: • • • • Reach at least 95 percent coverage of the population with two doses of measles-containing vaccine and one dose of rubella-containing vaccine (RCV); Use mass campaigns and other supplementary vaccination activities to provide “catch-up” vaccination and reach everyone who is susceptible; Establish case-based surveillance with strong laboratory involvement component; and Make evidence-based information on immunization’s benefits and risks available to experts and the public. Throughout the two-and-a-half-day meeting, pediatricians, epidemiologists, and others involved in public health and health policies shared information on progress in implementing these strategies in the European Region, and the challenges that must be met to eliminate rubella. Presenters reported on significant progress already made: between 2001 and 2010, the WHO Europe Region achieved a 99 percent decline in reported cases of rubella. Major advances took place in the Central and Eastern parts of the Region, and the Newly Independent States. Nonetheless, outbreaks continue, and some countries have coverage of less than 80 percent. Pockets of susceptible populations are scattered throughout the region, and large gaps in surveillance mean that the region does not yet have an accurate picture of the extent of rubella and CRS. Every country is different, however. Representatives from Italy, Russia, Finland, Poland and France summarized their own histories, current status and challenges in rubella elimination. Consistent themes emerged in global, regional and national reports. One of the key challenges countries face is the need to significantly improve surveillance. This surveillance must be case-based, allowing the investigation of contacts, identification of cause (e.g. importation, failure to vaccinate, or vaccine failure); identification of populations at risk; and ensuring a public health response. Strong surveillance is also essential for the verification of elimination. Despite the importance of case-based surveillance reporting, in 2011 in the WHO European Region, it was provided by only 28 countries; 10 provided aggregate data and 15 provided no data. Once potential cases are identified, they need to be laboratory confirmed. But in 2010, only 22 percent of reported cases were confirmed. Speakers addressed the challenges of diagnosis, the confounding factors in assessing immune status, and the opportunities presented by molecular epidemiology. Country representatives also shared lessons from their vaccination experience, including the impact of targeting girls only for vaccination. Countries including Poland, Lithuania, Finland and France reported on the limitations of their initial approaches of only vaccinating girls and young women. This left circulation of the virus intact, outbreaks affected unvaccinated boys and men, and pregnant women who had not been vaccinated remained vulnerable to circulating virus. More recently, countries have been grappling with the need for mass catch-up campaigns that vaccinate older children, adolescents and even adults. Some fear that limited resources and competing public health demands may stand in the way, despite the importance of such campaigns for achieving elimination. Another common challenge was the ever-growing numbers of vaccine skeptics. “Vaccine safety is increasing, vaccine coverage is increasing, disease incidence is decreasing, and then public trust is decreasing,” said Pier Luigi Lopalco from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). The source of opposition is not only largely unfounded fears about vaccine safety, but also suspicions aroused by anything that appears to be a major change in policy from the top. Therefore, vaccine campaigns can bring their own headwinds, said Jan Bonhoeffer from the Brighton Collaboration. Discussants addressed the need for the public health community to utilize some of the same social and digital media tools now used so adroitly by vaccine opponents, and the need for trusted health providers, starting with pediatricians, to more visibly support the need for vaccination. To do so, however, they need access to the most up-to-date and credible evidence of vaccine impacts, safety and risks. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 5 The meeting also considered global issues of vaccine cost-effectiveness and vaccine demand, supply and cost. The cost-effectiveness of rubella vaccine is apparent. Jon Kim Andrus from the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) reported on studies in the PAHO region that show the benefit-cost ratio was 10:1 – 12:1 with MR vaccination. Global supply and demand for rubella-containing vaccine is shifting. Selenge Lkhagva reported that UNICEF expects demand of MR and MMR vaccine to increase to 300 million doses by 2015. There are only a handful of manufacturers, with the potential that increased demand will lead to higher prices. A roundtable of vaccine manufacturers emphasized their role as partners in ensuring that the industry is able to reliably supply the needs of countries. All emphasized the need for accurate forecasting of demand to ensure vaccine security. By addressing the many challenges to eliminating measles and rubella in Europe, the conference laid the foundation for success. Ciro de Quadros of the Sabin Vaccine Institute encouraged the European Region and its public health leaders to take the steps needed, especially those that may seem most difficult. “ You will be surprised that you will succeed. Let’s try it.” “Why hold this meeting now? On the one side, many regions are already moving towards elimination of measles and rubella. On the other side, there is a major resurgence of both diseases here in Europe. By the end of the Decade of Vaccines, we should set the target date for the eradication of measles and rubella.” Ciro de Quadros, Sabin Vaccine Institute 6 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Introduction T he symposium, “Progress Toward Rubella Elimination and CRS Prevention in Europe” brought together over 150 people from 47 countries, who together represented global health leaders, multilateral organizations, NGOs, pediatric associations, and biomedical researchers. It was designed to review the status of rubella elimination, and its close connection with the elimination of measles, from understanding the science, economics, country experiences, and public health strategies, policies and documentation necessary for success. Organizers noted that last year in Europe there were more than 32,000 cases of measles, compared to 8,000 in 2008, and that the true burden of rubella is unknown, given severe under-reporting of cases across the region. Dr. Ciro de Quadros, Executive Vice President of the Sabin Vaccine Institute, highlighted the timeliness of the meeting. First, Europe has made elimination of measles a goal, he said, along with another four of the six WHO regions. Second, the global health community has recently initiated the Decade of Vaccines, with the goal of articulating and achieving a vision for control of vaccine-preventable diseases by the end of the decade. The eradication of measles and rubella should be part of this vision. Introductory remarks from Dr. Stefania Iannazzo, representing the host country of Italy, called on all participants to view the experiences of each country as a source of wealth, and to learn from them. Dr. Sergio Cabral, President of the International Pediatric Association (IPA), infused the meeting with additional energy, when he announced that the Association of 166 pediatric societies representing 600,000 members would launch and lead a global initiative to eradicate rubella and measles. Adding to the momentum, Dr. Helen Evans, the Deputy CEO of GAVI, detailed the organization’s commitment to the control and elimination of measles and rubella. She noted that of the 112,000 cases of congenital rubella syndrome occurring globally each year, 90,000 of those are in GAVI-eligible countries, and that GAVI is now backing the elimination of rubella through supporting countries’ use of Measles Rubella (MR) vaccine. Speaking on behalf of the WHO Regional Office for Europe, Dr. Nedret Emiroglu emphasized the commitment of the WHO to work together with all interested partners – particularly pediatricians and healthcare workers – to eliminate measles and rubella by 2015. The time was right to move vigorously ahead, she said, noting that political commitment is high as all 53 member states of the European Region had committed to the 2015 elimination target. Noting the significance of both the IPA’s and GAVI’s announced commitments, Dr. de Quadros framed the opening day of the symposium as “an historical day for the control and elimination of measles and rubella.” “I am happy and proud to tell you that the IPA took the opportunity of this meeting to announce that we’ll lead a global initiative that will ultimately aim to eradicate rubella and measles all over the world.” Sergio Cabral, International Pediatric Association Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 7 SESSION I: Measles Elimination in Europe: A Necessary Component Toward Rubella and CRS Elimination The Measles Initiative: Global Progress and Challenges Dr. Peter Strebel, Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals, World Health Organization (WHO) Dr. Strebel described the remarkable achievements and outstanding challenges in the control and elimination of measles since the founding of the Measles Initiative, an 11-year global partnership committed to reducing measles deaths worldwide. Led by the American Red Cross, the United Nations Foundation, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), UNICEF and the World Health Organization, the partnership has worked to reduce measles mortality, to advocate for human and financial resources, and to support WHO/UNICEF measles control strategies, which include the use of rubella vaccine. Achievements: Strebel noted that since 2001, more than one billion doses of the measles vaccine have been administered worldwide through mass campaigns. These campaigns have supplemented efforts to scale up routine immunization with both the first and second doses of measles vaccine. The results have included an impressive two-thirds reduction in cases, and three-quarters reduction in measles deaths. Between 1990 and 2008, the reduction in measles mortality contributed over one-fifth of the total reduction in child under-five mortality. Goals: This progress lays the basis for current global goals for measles control by 2015: • • • Vaccine coverage: 90 percent first dose coverage at the national level, and 80 percent in every district Reported incidence: less than 5 cases of measles per million Mortality reduction: 95 percent (2000 baseline) Five out of the six WHO regions have measles elimination targets on or before 2020. The European Union has set 2015 as the target date to eliminate both measles and rubella. While global eradication is considered feasible, based on the recommendation of the SAGE, an expert advisory group to the WHO, the global health community has held off on setting a date for its achievement. SAGE advised that a target date should be established only after measurable progress has been made toward existing regional elimination goals and 2015 targets. Also of concern was the need to focus on the current 11th hour global campaign to eradicate polio, according to Strebel. Challenges: Strebel highlighted four major challenges: low vaccine coverage in India, a resurgence of measles in Africa, weak immunizations systems, and financing that is late, unpredictable and inadequate. For 2012, there is a funding gap of approximately US$35 million for planned activities for reducing mortality due to measles. India was the last country to initiate strategies for providing a second dose of vaccine. As of January 2012, some 90 million children in 14 high burden states in India had yet to receive measles vaccination through a catch-up campaign. Therefore, major work remains in India’s catch-up vaccination activities. “The opportunity to re-access older children through a combined measles/rubella campaign will have a major impact on reducing measles mortality.” Peter Strebel, WHO 8 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings In Africa, the progress made against measles in the early years of the new millennium is slipping away. “From a low point of cases in 2008, we’ve seen about a fourfold increase of measles in Africa in the last two years,” Strebel said. There have been large outbreaks in Burkina Faso; more than 100,000 cases and at least a thousand related deaths in the Democratic Republic of Congo; and resurgence of disease in the Horn of Africa. Strebel highlighted the problem and the implications of weak immunization systems in countries where first dose measles coverage is below 80 percent. “If you don’t reach that child with the first dose on time, you rapidly accumulate susceptible children, and of course these are the countries that are very prone to measles outbreaks.” The Measles Initiative is developing a strategic plan that will address these challenges between 2012 and 2020. It targets both measles and rubella; emphasizes activities to strengthen routine immunization and disease surveillance systems; addresses outbreak preparedness and response; and emphasizes innovation and research and development to enable breakthroughs in measles control. The strategy will also benefit from the decision by the GAVI Alliance to support the 51 GAVI-eligible countries in introducing the rubella vaccine, as well as a combined measles/rubella vaccine in a catch-up campaign targeting children from 9 months to 14 years of age. The wide age range is particularly important to countries in Africa, where outbreaks often include children from 10 to 15 years of age and older. “The opportunity to re-access older children through a combined measles/rubella campaign will have a major impact on reducing measles mortality,” Strebel said. Major Causes of Mortality Among Children <5 Years, 1990 vs. 2008 Measles accounts for ~23% of overall decrease in child mortality Malaria 5% Malaria 8% Measles 7% Measles 1% Other 47% Pneumonia 21% Diarrhoea 20% 1990: 12.1 mil Other 58% Pneumonia 18% Diarrhoea 15% 2008: 8.8 mil Source: M. van den Ent et al, J Infect Dis Suppl, July 2011, pp S18-S23 Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 9 PAHO Measles Elimination Program Update Dr. Jon Kim Andrus, Deputy Director, Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) In 1980, measles was endemic across the region of the Americas, with more than 250,000 confirmed annual cases. By 2002, endemic measles had been eliminated from the Americas. Dr. Jon Andrus described the strategies that led to its elimination and the current challenges, particularly with imported cases of measles. Beginning in 1994, PAHO worked with countries to eliminate the disease. Catch-up vaccination campaigns targeted all children less than 15 years of age, and follow-up campaigns targeted children under five every four years. Routine immunization strove to achieve the highest possible level of coverage, with special attention to high risk areas. This work was reinforced through rigorous monitoring and surveillance, including virologic surveillance of the virus genotype. Since 2002, imported cases of measles have caused limited disease outbreaks. CDC laboratories in the U.S. have assisted with genotyping the rare cases of measles that have occurred; and sequence data has confirmed that these cases are indeed the result of infections brought in by visitors to the region. The lesson, says Andrus, is that “As long as there’s transmission anywhere in the world, we’re at high risk for importations.” Measles Importations: Travel and tourism brought 150 million people to the Americas in 2010, an increase of 6 percent from 2009. Such travel is a major factor behind imported cases of measles, which constitute the biggest challenge to maintaining the region as measles-free, according to Andrus. Data show that a cluster of countries—including Brazil, Canada, the USA and Venezuela--repeatedly experience importations. Most of the cases come from Europe, Asia or Africa. One outbreak, which began in July 2011, has yet to be fully contained. It is in Ecuador, and the most affected groups are indigenous, high-risk populations engaged in trade and commerce. One country in the Americas that is now receiving special attention is Haiti. In April 2012, PAHO will work with its partners to implement a measles/rubella/polio follow-up vaccination campaign. The biggest post-2002 outbreak occurred in Quebec, Canada, included more than 800 cases, and lasted eight months. The outbreak was school-based, primarily affecting people 10 to 19 years old. While the virus was imported, its spread was facilitated by gaps in vaccination: 79 percent of those affected were not vaccinated. Fortunately, the Quebec health authorities were able to contain the outbreak before it could become endemic. By definition, once an outbreak has persisted for more than a year, it is considered endemic, regardless of whether the cause was an imported case of measles. To guard against the return of endemic measles, PAHO supports the strengthening of surveillance, and has launched a documentation and verification process. Verification links each piece of evidence, from the molecular epidemiology to analysis of vaccinated population cohorts and assessment of the sustainability of national immunization programs. Disease surveillance efforts often focus on susceptible populations through Rapid Coverage Monitoring. Attention goes to the highest risk areas within countries, including where there are marginalized and vulnerable populations; hightraffic borders; and areas dedicated to commerce and trade. PAHO also monitors mass gatherings in the Americas, and elsewhere in the world. For example, PAHO monitored World Youth Day, held in Madrid, Spain, which brought together more than a million young people, and was a potential source of measles cases. To preempt importations, PAHO issues alerts that encourage travelers to check their immunization status and teach the signs of measles. PAHO has made alliances with large airlines and travel agencies to put out alerts for passengers. Going forward, PAHO expects all countries to implement high-quality follow-up vaccination campaigns, and to use measles eradication activities to accelerate the control of rubella and the prevention of Congenital Rubella Syndrome (CRS). The goal is to obtain high levels of immunity, and be able to confirm and verify the Americas free of endemic transmission of measles and rubella by 2013. “As long as there’s transmission anywhere in the world, we’re at high risk for importations.” Jon Kim Andrus, Pan American Health Organization 10 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Measles Elimination in The Americas, 1970 – 2011* Catch-up campaigns 300,000 100 Speed-up campaigns 200,000 60 Follow-up campaigns 150,000 Last measles case (D9) Confirmed Cases 80 100,000 50,000 40 20 Routine infant vaccination coverage (%) 250,000 0 0 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Measles cases M coverage MR coverage *MR in children aged 1 year as countries introduced measles-rubella containing vaccines Source: Country reports to FCH-IM/PAHO Measles in Europe Dr. Pier Luigi Lopalco, Head of Vaccine Preventable Diseases Programme, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) Despite decades of vaccine use, measles has been endemic in many countries of the European Union (EU) for the last seven years. Dr. Lopalco outlined the series of outbreaks: Bulgaria in 2010, France in 2011, followed by outbreaks in Italy, Germany and Romania. Indeed, almost all EU countries had some measles cases in 2011, including a number that had long been considered measles-free. During 2011, the EU saw 30,567 reported cases of measles. The 2011 outbreak in France had the highest incidence of measles in children less than one year of age. Most had been infected by their mothers, many of whom were never immunized, according to Lopalco. However, older children and adults were also infected, demonstrating the accumulation of a large susceptible population, built up over many years of low vaccine coverage. The ECDC calculates that up to 5 million children in the EU have missed out on measles vaccinations over the last 10 years. Throughout the EU, the vast majority of measles cases in recent years have been in unvaccinated people. “We are not talking about vaccination failure. We are talking about a large part of the EU population that was not vaccinated,” Lopalco said. Analysis shows that in one year, 82 percent of cases were unvaccinated; 18 percent were vaccinated, but only 4 percent had been vaccinated with both the first and second doses of vaccine. Less than half of the European population is estimated to have had two doses of measles containing vaccine. “This is unbelievable because measles is not a mild disease… We know that last year eight children died from measles in Western Europe.” In addition, the region had an incidence of one case of encephalitis per 1,000 cases, up to one in five measles cases requires hospitalization, and almost 5 percent of pneumonia occurred as a complication of measles. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 11 Given that there is a safe and effective vaccine, Lopalco identified several main problems as responsible for low coverage: the lack of an “active offer” of MMR vaccine; problems related to vaccination providers; and problems related to vaccination recipients. According to surveys, parents are often unaware of the need for MMR, Lopalco reported. Systematic offers of vaccination are impeded by a lack of vaccine registries and reminder systems. Young doctors may not know what measles and other previously rampant infectious diseases are. Other doctors and healthcare workers resist vaccination. Underserved groups who are not included in the healthcare system cannot access vaccines. Compounding all this, there is growing skepticism of vaccines among the public. Lopalco described this as the “vaccine paradox.” “Vaccine safety is increasing, vaccine coverage is increasing, disease incidence is decreasing, and then public trust is decreasing.” Even worse, the lack of support for vaccination among the public and in the medical establishment effects political commitment. Opposition to vaccination exists even at the governmental level, Lopalco said. Lopalco described several categories of vaccine skeptics: those who practice anthroposophic medicine and others with religious beliefs that may predispose them to be against vaccines. However, dialogue with this group is possible, he said. A second very large skeptic population is a portion of middle to high class people, especially women, who get information from the Internet. Here, too, more communication is needed and dialogue is possible. However, the most ardent anti-vaccine activists are followers of conspiracy theories, and with this group, “No dialogue is possible and we should not waste our time to talk to these people,” he said. While these opponents are a very small group, they are very active in promulgating their ideas. To improve vaccination coverage and to succeed in eliminating measles, Lopalco stressed the need to address the challenges as part of a “multiphase approach,” beginning with the active offer of vaccination. “Vaccine safety is increasing, vaccine coverage is increasing, disease incidence is decreasing, and then public trust is decreasing.” Pier Luigi Lopalco, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) Discussion Discussion centered on two topics: 1) What lessons, if any, about age of vaccination can be drawn from recent measles outbreaks in the Americas; and 2) The basis for strong political commitment to vaccination in the Americas, and how this might be different in Europe. Outbreaks and Age of Vaccination During the large measles outbreak in Quebec, Canada, in 2011, a number of the cases were in people who had been vaccinated. According to one participant, vaccinated children who had received the first dose of vaccine at or before 12 months of age were more susceptible than children who had received the vaccine at 15 months of age or later. Therefore, there is a push in Canada to give the first dose later in life. This contrasts, however, with findings in some resource poor countries. In Guinea-Bissau in West Africa, for example, public health workers are advocating for giving the first vaccine at four or six months of age because of weak transplacental antibodies from mothers. “We have two different forces moving, and whether the Quebec experience is unique or will be repeated anywhere else we’re waiting to see,” the participant said. 12 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Basis for Strong Political Commitment in the Americas One participant asked why it is that the political and social commitment to vaccination is very high in the Americas, and what Europe might be able to apply from this experience. Respondents noted several important factors: • • • • • • Awareness of huge economic and health disparities in the Americas. Although the extent of poverty in the region is not as severe as in parts of South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, the World Bank has defined the Americas as having the greatest disparities. Public health leadership and partnerships in Latin America and the Caribbean: Dr. Ciro de Quadros and other public health leaders have nurtured the commitment of national political leaders, based on recognition of the right of all children to have equal access to vaccination services. Country ownership in the PAHO Region: Public health leaders have worked for the development and implementation of vaccine laws, which in turn reinforce a sense of country ownership. Visibility of political leaders: Political leaders’ direct involvement in vaccination activities inspires further commitment. Presidents will go on national TV to support or launch a vaccination campaign. The husbands and wives of presidents are also engaged. For example, presidents’ wives initiated a campaign for neonatal tetanus. Prioritization of public health issues in Europe: Issues such as obesity and diabetes are prioritized as having the highest burden of disease. Within vaccination, resources must go to both the introduction of new vaccines and enforcing older ones, sometimes leading to the neglect of MMR. Political leadership and commitment varies within Europe: Lower coverage is a bigger problem in Western Europe than in the East. Progress has been strong in the former Soviet Union Republics and in Central and Eastern Europe where political leadership for immunization has been influential. The GAVI Alliance and Measles/Rubella Vaccine The mission of the GAVI Alliance is to save children’s lives and protect peoples’ health by increasing access to immunization in the poorest countries. To advance this mission, in November 2011, GAVI decided to support the elimination of rubella using the combined Measles Rubella (MR) vaccine. Helen Evans, Deputy CEO of GAVI, said that fifty-one countries are eligible to apply to participate in the new program. GAVI will fully fund the cost of catch-up vaccination campaigns targeting children nine months to 14 years of age, covering both vaccine and operational costs. To be eligible, countries will be required to pay the ongoing costs of routine MR vaccination. By 2015, GAVI aims to have vaccinated 588 million children in 30 countries. Evans noted that by basing their approach on the Measles Rubella vaccine, GAVI is directly extending support for the measles elimination program. In addition, support for rubella introduction—along with GAVI’s support for HPV vaccine—means the alliance is placing an explicit focus on women’s reproductive health and on maternal and child health. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 13 PANEL: Heterogeneous Roles of Pediatricians in the WHO/EURO Immunization Programs A second panel addressed the roles of pediatricians in Europe. Panel moderator, Dr. Andreas Konstantopoulos, President, European Pediatric Association, set the stage, presenting both a regional and global context for MMR immunization, and factors that affect variable rates of coverage. Globally, one factor underlying low vaccine coverage rates is simply the ratio of pediatricians to patients. Two studies of European countries showed that pediatricians in the region are typically responsible for 1,000 to 2,000 patients. In Nigeria, there is 1 pediatrician per 63,000 children (2008), and in Malawi the number rises to 1 pediatrician per 90,700 children. Another factor at work in the European region is substantial opposition to MMR vaccination among healthcare workers, including opposition by: • • • 25 percent of midwives in Germany (2008) 6 percent of doctors in France (2001) 22 percent of patients in Italy, who missed MMR vaccinations due to lack of appropriate information from doctors (2001) “That means we have to educate the healthcare workers,” Konstantopoulos said. He pointed out huge differences among European countries in terms of both the gap in coverage with the second dose, as well as the wide variation in vaccination schedules among countries. “In Europe, we don’t have a harmonized schedule like you have in the United States. That’s a problem,” he said. Measles in Europe, 2011 (36 of 53 Member States) France 15076 Germany 1480 Italy 5090 UK 1030 Romania 2815 Switzerland 652 Spain 1914 Belgium 563 OVERALL 32154 As of January 1, 2012 14 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings A Look at Six European Countries Dr. Nicole Guérin, French Pediatric Society, described the critical role of French pediatricians in the country’s measles control program. About 2,700 ambulatory pediatricians distributed throughout the country play a prominent role in implementing the program. They are front-line vaccinators, and their coverage rates for both first and second doses of vaccine are about 10 percent higher than that provided by general practitioners. Nonetheless, vaccination rates vary geographically, with the lowest vaccination rates and the highest case rates in the southeast, where there are more than 30 cases per 100,000 population. Guérin noted that many of the cases reported in 2011 occurred in people 15 years of age and above. Based on this, “The pediatrician alone will not be able to solve the problem without the aid of politicians and other professionals, and probably international help also,” Guérin said. Georgia Georgia’s vaccine program has dealt with significant political and resource hurdles hover the past 45 years. Dr. Nino Kandelaki, Secretary General, Georgian Pediatric Association, described the vaccination journey of his country, a former Soviet Republic. While a first dose of monovalent measles vaccine was introduced in 1966, use of a second dose only began in 1985. Following independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, Georgia encountered substantial difficulties in reaching coverage targets due to political, economic, and infrastructural changes. In 1994, a critical vaccine shortage led to the suspension of the 2nd dose of measles vaccine. Only in 1997 did coverage with both doses resume. In 2004-05, the gaps in coverage caught up with Georgia. In a major disease outbreak, 8,391 cases of measles and 5,151 cases of rubella were reported; 34 percent were in people over the age of 15. In 2004, the country also adopted the combination vaccine MMR. Within this difficult context, pediatricians have played a vital role in measles vaccination. The Georgia Pediatric Association has supported a government vaccination campaign by supplying vaccines and cold boxes, and leading a communication and social mobilization campaign with the slogan: “Timely immunization is your child’s bodyguard.” UNICEF and the U.S. government also have supported vaccination since 2004, securing the non-interrupted provision of vaccine and injection safety vaccines for the routine program. As of 2011, there were a total of 63 confirmed measles cases, with an annualized incidence of 1.75 per 100,000 people. Going forward, the Government of Georgia will continue to strengthen routine childhood immunization with the goal of more than 90 percent coverage among 1-and 5-year-olds. Germany A decentralized health care system serves Germany’s population of around 82 million, with responsibility for vaccination falling to the country’s 16 federal states. Dr. Ole Wichmann, with the Robert Koch Institute, Germany, reported that government-recommended vaccines--including two doses of measles vaccine--are free of charge and voluntary. There is neither mandatory vaccination for school entry nor a central immunization register. Pediatricians and other private physicians play a critical role in administering vaccine, and are reimbursed by the health insurance system. In the absence of a mandated reporting system, it is the association of physicians that collects case data and takes it to the media. Local public health offices are responsible for disease surveillance and outbreak control, but are chronically understaffed, limiting the effectiveness of catch-up campaigns. While overall two-dose routine measles vaccinations have been improving, serious gaps and troubling trends remain. Geographically, coverage has been better in the Eastern region than Germany’s West. In 2011, measles resurged. Of 1,600 reported cases of measles, 520 were in the country’s Southwest, and 90 percent of all reported cases were in unvaccinated individuals. The median incidence by age has been increasing. Between 2003-05 and 2007-09, measles incidence among youth under the age of 10 had decreased, while incidence among those ages 10 to 19 and 20 to 29 had increased. This finding led to the recommendation of individual catch-up vaccinations in adolescents. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 15 On the positive side, the Minister of Health has recently announced that measles elimination is a high priority, and positive media coverage has increased. Major challenges include pockets of susceptible people, primarily unvaccinated older children and adolescents. Migrants present a mixed picture—while some migrant groups have larger numbers of unvaccinated, others have better coverage than native-born German children. Traveling communities like the Roma often miss out on vaccination. Vaccine skeptics include physicians and especially midwives. In 2011, several outbreaks occurred in hospitals. Wichmann reported that a patient in an oncological ward died of measles after contracting it from unvaccinated nurses in the ward. There is no regulation prohibiting unvaccinated staff from working in such settings. Going forward, Germany is establishing a national verification committee for measles and rubella, with the secretariat to be based at the Robert Koch Institute. The national action plan for measles and rubella is being updated, and in February 2012 the parliament decided to make rubella a notifiable disease for the first time. According to Wichmann, two other measures are essential: national catch-up campaigns, especially in the country’s Southwest, and companion communication campaigns. “If both of these measures are not put into place we will have difficulties achieving the elimination goal by 2015,” he concluded. “After school entry, we have no data actually that shows the success of our recommendation for catch-up. We don’t have a clue if young adults get the vaccine shot or not.” Ole Wichmann, Robert Koch Institute, Germany Italy Italy, along with many other European countries, missed an initial goal of eliminating measles and congenital rubella set for 2007. In 2011, the country approved a new elimination plan for measles, congenital rubella, rubella in pregnancy and postnatal rubella. The target date is 2015, said Dr. Stefania Iannazzo, Ministry of Health, Italy. The Italian Constitution guarantees health as a right, and the Ministry of Health sets national-level plans and defines general principles and essential levels of assistance. It is up to the country’s 21 regions to autonomously set and implement their health policies based on those guidelines. On a local level, Departments of Prevention are responsible for ensuring all preventive activities. Family pediatricians are integrated into the national health systems, but they do not directly provide vaccinations. Iannazzo described their role as synergistic: providing diagnosis and treatment from birth to 16 years of age, and assisting with disease prevention through promoting and monitoring vaccine use. Coverage has increased in recent years, with outbreaks of waning strength. Measles Containing Vaccine (MCV) coverage for the first dose in children under 2 years of age increased from 83.9 percent in 2003 to 90.6 percent in 2010. A second dose of MMR at 5-6 years of age was introduced in all geographical regions in 2004, and supplementary vaccination campaigns have been conducted for people born between 1991-97. Nonetheless, Italy has experienced a slow accumulation of susceptible individuals, along with a trend toward an increase in the age of infection. In 2004, the Ministry of Health introduced a second dose of MMR, but its coverage is not recorded. Surveillance for measles, rubella in pregnancy, and congenital rubella has been in place since 2005. To eliminate measles and rubella by 2015, Iannazzo cited the need to strengthen surveillance systems, through improving case investigations, laboratory confirmation of cases, molecular typing and seroreporting by each region. 16 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Russian Federation Of all the countries that presented, measles vaccination coverage was strongest in the Russian Federation, where 97.2 percent of children six years of age had been vaccinated as of January 2010. With a morbidity rate of less than one measles case per million people, Russia has met the WHO criteria for measles elimination since 2007, reported Dr. Leyla Namazova, Scientific Center of Children’s Health RAMS, Russian Federation. Namazova reported on the sometimes bumpy road to this achievement and the current challenge of imported measles. Consistently high coverage rates were the norm prior to the fall of the Soviet Union. However, in the early 1990s, coverage declined. Then, the new millennium brought renewed commitment, and the government gave responsibility to a special company for vaccinating all people younger than 35 years. In the last several years, however, the number of imported cases is increasing, including in Moscow and the Republic of Chechnya. These cases come from a number of regions, including Western Europe and Central Asia. Other cases are appearing in unvaccinated children and young adults. In addition to the problem of importations, the mass media is increasingly presenting false information on vaccination, contributing to anti-vaccine sentiment. Public/Private Partnerships: New Opportunities Excerpts from a talk by Dr. Louis Cooper, Past President of the American Academy of Pediatrics It seems on the surface very simple to vaccinate a child, but the truth is that immunization and the immunization enterprise—because it depends on an enterprise—from the basic science laboratory, to industry, clinical trials and broad expansion, to public health and private clinicians in the community, and to the media, this is exceedingly complex. We’ve set a remarkable standard for vaccine preventable disease that is unlike anything else in health or medicine or in fact anything else in society. What else in society do you have to get over a 90 percent bar to say that you’ve succeeded? I hope all of you are as proud as I am to be part of this vaccine enterprise. It depends upon a triad of sound science, of adequate and sustained resources, and finally of public will and trust through social mobilization and advocacy. The roles of advocacy and education are critical ones for pediatricians. As pediatricians we have unique responsibilities and assets because people do trust us. How we better use those unique assets is critical to getting us across, what we call in my country, the “goal line” of protecting all our children. Pediatricians really do share a commitment to the inherent worth of every child. We know immunization saves lives. The challenge is that immunization programs require a collaborative enterprise. The presentations this afternoon made the case that there’s no two nations that are alike, and how you do this in each country has to vary depending on the characteristics and the culture of the country. By bringing together the constellation of people we have here today— which includes public health people, government officials and also heavy representation from the pediatricians of Europe—we are building partnerships that can move forward. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 17 Closing Comments In his closing comments, Dr. Samuel Katz, noted that in the first 11 months of 2011, Europe had experienced more than 30,000 cases of measles, “which just shouldn’t be occurring in developed nations.” He emphasized the point that “measles and rubella are inextricably woven together in our prevention programs,” and that the day’s discussions provide a framework for the upcoming two days of discussion around rubella. “Whatever happens with rubella is going to happen because it’s conjoined with measles,” he said, noting that monovalent rubella vaccine is no longer used. Instead, vaccines contain some combination of measles, rubella, mumps, and varicella. Also of note in the day’s session was that, “In the 2011 measles outbreaks in Europe, nearly 50 percent of the cases occurred in individuals over the age of 15 years—not 15 months but 15 years.” Katz pointed out that the fight against measles and rubella will be assisted by the unpleasant fact that measles is almost a 100 percent visible disease. This is similar to smallpox, whose visibility made eradication much easier. It is not the case for polio, nor for rubella, which can exist and be transmitted sub-clinically. Katz concluded by echoing Cooper’s words, calling on pediatricians to lead the fight in implementing immunization against measles and rubella. 18 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings SESSION II: Background Information Virus Dr. Joseph Icenogle, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention “We have in rubella a two-faced little virus that causes almost no disease in children and has a devastating effect on pregnant women and their developing fetuses,” Icenogle began. He then gave an overview of the history, structure, genome and life cycle of the virus. Described in the 18th century, rubella was recognized as a disease independent of measles in 1881. Until 1941 it was considered a mild childhood rash illness, and little thought was given to it. Then, in 1941, N. McAlister Gregg made the seminal observation that congenital cataracts are associated with German measles (as it was then called).This discovery debunked the prevalent opinion that all birth defects were genetic in origin. Much work followed, ultimately establishing Congenital Rubella Syndrome as a prevalent and serious disease. In 1962, the virus was first detected in tissue culture. A devastating rubella epidemic swept the world between 1962 and 1965, launching the era of rubella control and elimination, emphasizing the urgent need for a vaccine to prevent rubella and CRS. Rubella Virus-A Class in Itself Rubella is an enveloped single-stranded RNA virus, belonging to the class of Rubivirus, of which it is the sole member. Unlike related alphaviruses, rubella has no animal host, but relies entirely on human to human transmission. Icenogle described its structure partly by analogy to the related alphavirus Sindbis about which more is known. The outer layer of the virus is composed of E1 and E2 proteins, both of which elicit neutralizing antibodies against rubella. While both proteins play a major role in long lasting protective immunity, E1 is particularly immunogenic. Below this surface is a bilayer lipid membrane, and below that the nucleocapsid. However, unlike related viruses, the outside of the rubella nucleocapsid is embedded in the lipid membrane. Therefore, disassembly of the virus nucleocapsid involves the disassembly of the membrane itself. The deep interior of the virus contains the nucleic acid. The RNA genome contains both highly conserved areas, and regions of great heterogeneity. In terms of variability, the genome of the circulating viruses will change on a time scale of months to years – making it less variable than rapidly changing polioviruses, and more variable than measles viruses, which changes on a timescale of years to decades. Based on genome sequencing, the rubella virus is divided into 13 genotypes, each belonging to one of two clades. Within tissue culture, the virus grows in about three days, and can make persistent infections—a hallmark of Congenital Rubella Syndrome (CRS). Little is currently known about pathogenicity of the rubella virus on a molecular level. “We have in rubella virus a two-faced little virus that causes almost no disease in children and has a devastating effect on pregnant women and their developing fetuses.” Joseph Icenogle, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 19 Clinical and Follow-up Dr. Louis Cooper, Past President of the American Academy of Pediatrics Dr. Cooper shared lessons from The Rubella Project, based on work with 1,000 patients and parents from 1962 to 1998 at New York University and Columbia University, conducted by a team of four dozen people. This work was prompted by an epidemic of babies born with purpuric spots, jaundice and low birth weight. He noted that full-fledged rubella epidemics can affect 1 percent of pregnancies. In fact, it was the US epidemic in the 1960s, with its legions of mentally and physically impaired babies, that led to the passage of the first Federal early childhood education program statutes in the U.S. Cooper described the findings of this work in terms of the clinical manifestations of rubella, which vary greatly. The disease can be as devastating as severe measles with a high fever, and it can be absolutely subclinical. Rubella acquired in utero becomes a chronic infection, with a quite different pattern of antibody responses and viral excretion. “However, many newborns who are infected may appear normal at birth, so if your detection system is dependent upon the newborn nursery and neonatologist, forget about it. They’re going to miss most of them,” Cooper said. When rubella occurs in the first weeks of pregnancy, the likelihood of infection and of damage is high. Virus can be found in virtually every organ in the developing fetus, and every organ can be damaged in a baby born with CRS. Rubella at this early stage of pregnancy, before organogenesis is complete, can cause eye cataracts and heart disease. Rubella after the first eight weeks in utero tends to attack the developing brain, and hearing. Hearing loss is the most common defect. “In countries like the U.S., where we’ve eliminated congenital rubella, we’ve been able to close schools of the deaf,” he said. Another common manifestation is transient bone lesions that disappear completely by age two months in most kids. CRS can result in retinopathy, or, more rarely, glaucoma. There is a shotgun effect on the central nervous system. It may cause mental retardation or autism. In fact, “Congenital Rubella Syndrome is the only known and therefore preventable cause of autism,” Cooper said. Adolescents with CRS may experience endocrine disorders, particularly insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. Rubella virus antigen has been found in children with thyroid disease. The condition also depresses cell mediated immune responses. Many children born with CRS require a lifetime of total care. In New York, the financial costs for those in supported housing are about US$175,000 per person per year. “It is a tremendous burden,” Cooper said. “Obviously, the human costs are immeasurable.” “I have spent roughly half a century with a life that has been rearranged and in many ways made rewarding and meaningful and in other ways made sad while tracking this virus.” Dr. Louis Cooper, Past President of the American Academy of Pediatrics 20 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Incidence per 10,000 of Congenital Defects/Diseases 40 30 30 20 12 11 10 6 5 2 1 0 Hearing Loss Cleft Lip or Palate Down Syndrome Limb Defects Spina Bifida Sickle Cell Anemia PKU Pathogenesis Dr. Jenny Best, Kings College London Although the pathogenesis of rubella is not fully understood, Dr. Jenny Best described what is now known about the virus. It is spread by droplets from the upper respiratory tract, and excreted from seven days before to seven-to-ten days after the onset of rash. Within that time period the patient is probably infectious for a total of about ten days. The virus can be detected in the blood, stool and urine, with samples from the nasopharynx being the best source for isolation of the virus. The incubation period for rubella is typically about 14 days. Virus replication takes place in the buccal mucosa and lymphoid tissue. It is spread through the lymphatic system which leads to viremia and systemic infection. Rash usually starts on the face and then spreads down the body and onto the limbs. Fever can occur, and joint problems sometimes develop as the rash disappears. Joint symptoms such as arthritis are most common in post-pubertal females and can last anywhere from a few days to a month. The presence of rubella antibodies in synovial fluid suggests that immune complexes may be responsible for such joint problems. Hormonal factors may also play a role, and there is an association with the menstrual cycle. There is no convincing evidence that rubella or rubella vaccination is associated with chronic joint disease. Rubella antibodies can be detected by hemagglutination inhibition a day or two after the onset of the rash. More commonly, ELISA techniques are used to detect antibodies by about six to seven days after onset of rash. Both rubella IgM and IgG are important for diagnostic purposes. Cell mediated immune responses have also been detected, but little is known about this. In congenital rubella, most damage is done early in pregnancy during organogenesis. However, the persistence of rubella virus means that there may be delayed manifestations of congenital rubella, in late infancy or even beyond. It is easy to detect virus in the lens of the eye, especially in lenses removed in the first year of life, but the virus has also been detected in the lens in children up to the age of three, and in the thyroid up to age five . Best noted that there is a lot that is still not understood about rubella, including how it causes ongoing damage in infants and young children. Studies in cell cultures show that rubella inhibits cell division and can induce programmed cell death. Rubella also disturbs signaling pathways that control cell differentiation, proliferation and survival. On the other hand, interferon may limit rubella virus replication. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 21 Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus may develop in the second decade of life in CRS children, possibly the result of an autoimmune reaction or direct damage caused by persisting virus. Scientists have found virus-induced damage to islet cells in the pancreas. Best urged that more funding be made available to understand the mechanisms by which rubella virus interferes with normal cell growth, as well as the mechanisms that cause fetal damage. Some Common Manifestations of Congenital Rubella Permanent Transient • Cataract • Low birth weight • Retinopathy • Hepatosplenomegaly • Sensorineural deafness • Meningoencephalitis • Heart defects • Thrombocytopenic purpura • Microphthalmia • Bone lesions • Microcephaly Vaccine Dr. Stanley Plotkin, University of Pennsylvania, United States Globally, nine different manufacturers currently make rubella vaccines, and most use the RA27/3 virus strain. Dr. Plotkin described how he had developed the first vaccine based on that strain. In 1964, when rubella was still common during pregnancy, Plotkin’s lab isolated rubella virus from one of the many aborted fetuses it received for study. He grew the virus in WI-38 human fetal fibroblast cell strains developed at The Wistar Institute, and attenuated it. The vaccine ultimately proved to be immunogenic whether delivered via subcutaneous, intramuscular, intranasal or by aerosol routes, and has been in use since the 1960s. Today it is most commonly administered as part of combined vaccines against measles (MR), measles and mumps (MMR), or measles, mumps and varicella (MMRV). A first dose is usually given between 9 and 15 months of age. Over the years, numerous studies have been conducted to assess the long-term persistence of rubella antibodies after vaccination with the RA27/3 strain. Results ranged from 63 percent to 100 percent persistence over up to 22 years. Studies of efficacy against rubella disease during outbreaks have found protective efficacy of from 90 percent to 100 percent. One efficacy study was done in a Toyota factory in Japan, and within two weeks after vaccination, the only rubella cases were in unvaccinated boys. The vaccine induces neutralizing antibodies to rubella, those initially seronegative become seropositive. Target groups for vaccination include infants as part of routine vaccination; older unvaccinated children and adolescents in catch-up campaigns; college students if they haven’t been previously vaccinated; childcare personnel; healthcare workers; military personnel; adult women before pregnancy; adult seronegative women after pregnancy; and adult men in contact with pregnant women. “Essentially, congenital disease no longer exists in the U.S., thanks to the general vaccination program. In the entire Western hemisphere, rubella essentially has been eliminated except for importation.” Stanley Plotkin, University of Pennsylvania 22 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Vaccine reactions in children are few: one study of twins showed fever present in between 1 and 3 percent of vaccinated twins; generalized rash in 1.6 percent more of the vaccines than the controls; and joint symptoms in 0.7 percent more of the vaccines. Adult women may have transient joint symptoms after vaccination. An important concern has been whether or not the vaccine would harm the fetus of a woman who is inadvertently vaccinated during pregnancy. Of 2,931 seronegative women followed in 11 studies in 11 different countries, not one of the children born had abnormalities associated with CRS. “This does not mean that one should vaccinate during pregnancy, but it does mean that the fear of causing an abnormality is not justified,” Plotkin said. This clears the way for the vaccine to be used in mass vaccination campaigns. Plotkin noted that each potential obstacle to rubella elimination can be overcome. The cost is low, at $0.25-0.50 per dose. While there is some sub-clinical inapparent rubella, rash is present in 60 percent to 70 percent of cases. While surveillance of CRS can be difficult, a screen for neonatal cataracts yields a close estimate of the extent of the condition. A final concern is the paradoxical enhancement of susceptibility of pregnant women. This can be a problem when vaccine coverage is low. Then women can grow up without being naturally infected and without getting vaccinated. This leads them to be susceptible to the virus. High coverage—of at least 80 percent--eliminates this perverse effect, Plotkin explained. Thus far, the vaccine has been used to eliminate rubella in Scandinavia, the U.S., Canada, the Caribbean and Latin America. Elimination has been set as a goal in the European Region. “Essentially, congenital disease no longer exists in the U.S., thanks to the general vaccination program. In the entire Western hemisphere, rubella essentially has been eliminated except for importation,” Plotkin said. He gave two people special credit for this achievement. “ One is Ciro de Quadros, who led the effort in the Western hemisphere to eliminate rubella, and the other is Susan Reef, who has worked tirelessly to promote rubella vaccination throughout the world.” Impact of Rubella Control and Elimination Strategies, The Americas, 1990 – 2007* Nb. Rubella Cases (in thousands) 150 Accelerated Rubella Control Strengthening of Measles Elimination Reduction: 98.5% (1998 to 2006**) 100 Rubella Elimination 50 Strengthening of Febrile Rash Illness Surveillance 0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 * Includes rubella cases reported to PAHO as of Epidemiological Week 19/2007. ** Provisional data. Source: Country Reports to Immunization Unit, PAHO Discussion One topic of discussion was whether infected infants need to be isolated to prevent transmission of rubella. “Newborns with congenital rubella are contagious, period,” Cooper said. This was clear when personnel working in a hospital nursery were infected. Although the level of contagion declines fairly quickly, and CRS babies can be taken home without having transmission to other susceptible children, there are risks to doing so. Plotkin reiterated that a fetus infected with rubella is infected in every organ, which explains why excretion of virus occurring after birth can continue for long periods of time. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 23 SESSION III: Diagnostics Rubella in Pregnancy Dr. Maria Grazia Revello, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Italy Dr. Revello urged screening of women of childbearing age—before they become pregnant—to identify those who lack rubella antibody acquired either as the result of either vaccination or natural infection. These seronegative women are at risk of contracting rubella during pregnancy. “Unfortunately, in Italy the vast majority of rubella screening is performed during pregnancy and not before,” she said. Revello recounted the case of a 33-year-old woman counseled in her lab in 2008. After having trouble conceiving, the woman used assisted procreation. While she eventually became pregnant with twins, nobody along the way had checked her status for rubella, Revello recounted. The woman became infected with rubella when she was 15 weeks pregnant, and testing showed that both fetuses were infected as well. The woman and her husband decided to terminate the pregnancy. That year, Revello’s center diagnosed and counseled another 21 pregnant women infected with rubella. They came from all over Italy, indicating that very few regions of the country had been spared of rubella that year. “Termination of pregnancy was the most frequent consequence of the rubella diagnosis,” Revello said During pregnancy, both amniotic fluid and fetal blood can be used in diagnosis. Yet, diagnosis can be complicated by factors such as the time interval between maternal infection and the diagnostic procedure, as well as the quality of the clinical samples that are examined and the techniques used. Today, only four to five laboratories worldwide have experience in prenatal diagnosis of congenital rubella. Revello also urged the implementation of postpartum vaccinations. “I’ve very ashamed to tell you that in Pavia as well as many Italian hospitals, seronegative women are not vaccinated when they have delivered. They are discharged not with the vaccination, but with the recommendation of getting the vaccination. That’s, of course, not enough.” “Termination of pregnancy was the most frequent consequence of the rubella diagnosis.” Maria Grazia Revello, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Italy Molecular Diagnostics Dr. Joe Icenogle, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Dr. Icenogle gave a broad and detailed description of the tools involved in molecular diagnosis, their advantages and challenges. Importantly, molecular tools make diagnosis possible earlier in the course of infection than do serologic tools. This is because rubella RNA can often be detected in oral fluid before rubella-specific IgM antibody materializes in the blood sometime after rash onset. Where in the past, RNA was identified after being grown in viral culture, today’s molecular methods such as RT-PCR can make such detection fast and easy. However, timing matters. If RNA specimens are collected early on in infection, molecular methods work well. In the first three days of rash onset, RT-PCR would confirm more cases than IgM in blood. However, molecular methods are not particularly useful if specimens are collected a week after rash onset, as the amount of virus has already declined. Ease of use is a factor, as specimens for RNA detection can be collected by non-invasive means, including through a simple swab to obtain oral fluid. 24 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings In general though, “two specimens are better than one,” and it is better yet if both molecular and serologic methods are used to confirm rubella, Icenogle said. He described the three molecular tools used by the CDC for detection and characterization of rubella RNA. They are: • • • Conventional RT-PCR diagnostic assay that uses three primers to accommodate sequence variability; Real time assay that uses thermal cycling to amplify rubella RNA, and fluorescence to identify its presence. It can detect down to less than 250 copies of rubella RNA in the specimen, making it highly sensitive; An assay that uses two rounds of PCR to amplify the RNA product for sequencing and genotyping the viruses. These techniques overcome the difficulty of low copy numbers in typical rubella virus specimens. The sequencing and genotyping method has allowed scientists to identify the source of imported virus. In order to use the technique for surveillance, standardized reagents must be made available to laboratories—and they can be prepared in relatively simple kits, Icenogle said. The Kits have now been used for training in laboratories in five WHO regions. In addition to these methods, another method used to detect individual cases uses dried blood spots and serum collected within two days of rash onset for some molecular testing. “Molecular diagnostic methods for detection of Congenital Rubella Syndrome still must be improved”, Icenogle said. For example, it would be valuable to know how long viral RNA can be detected in CRS cases.. Serology and International Units Dr. Liliane Grangeot-Keros, of the National Reference Laboratory for Rubella, Clamart, France There are a multitude of different serologic assays manufactured by dozens of diagnostic companies around the world. Ideally, the results from a patient would be comparable, regardless of the laboratory or methods used. This is not the case. Dr. Grangeot-Keros described a number of the challenges involved with the diagnostic tests for rubella. Serologic techniques aim to measure the amount of rubella-specific IgG antibody in the blood. The test is particularly important for women who are pregnant or who want to become pregnant, as IgG concentrations above a certain threshold indicate immunity to the virus, while those below that threshold indicate susceptibility to infection and the need for immunization. In the mid-1960s, Hemagglutination Inhibition assay (HAI) was used to measure antibody, but the method was cumbersome and neither specific nor very sensitive. Beginning in the early 1980s, enzyme and chemiluminescent assays replaced HAI. These newer methods report results based on International Units of IgG per milliliter ((IU/mL). However, every test works differently, leading to widely divergent conclusions, Grangeot-Keros explained. “There can be a ten-fold difference in results depending on the assay used,” she said. “This range is so large that, depending on the assay, a subject can be considered either immune or non-immune.” This range of results is partly caused by the use of different IU cutoffs, ranging from 10 IU/mL to 15 IU mL, which represents a potentially significant difference. Different assays also detect different rubella antigens, presenting another confounding factor. Grangeot-Keros said that the situation raises several questions: is it sound to report results in “International Units”; should all assays use the same cut-off; can a “protective” cut-off be determined; should equivocal results be interpreted in the same way; how dependent are these issues on the situation, i.e., rubella antibody screening during pregnancy or epidemiological (seroprevalence) studies. “There can be a ten-fold difference in results depending on the assay used. This range is so large that depending on the assay, a subject can be considered either immune or non-immune.” Dr. Lilane Grangeot-Keros, Clamart, France Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 25 Roundtable with Diagnostic Companies and WHO These and related questions were discussed in a roundtable with diagnostic companies. Icenogle noted that the U.S. CDC set its immunity level at 10 IU/mL based not only on scientific studies, but also on the information gained from public health service activities, which indicated that this level of immunity did not result in any significant breakthrough disease. He also pointed out that establishing immunity thresholds based on a single serologic test is inherently incomplete because it does not assay all components of the immune system, or account for variability in immune responses from person to person. Representatives of the companies Abbott, bioMériex, Diasorin, and Roche spoke to complexities of diagnostic assays and possible actions needed. Abbott’s Gregory Maine suggested that rather than thinking about different cutoffs for different assays, a reference measurement system should be developed for rubella IgG, and approved by the Joint Committee of Traceability in Laboratory Medicine. Commercial assays would then have to map to that measurement standard. “It would be hard to do, but you have to make a decision. At some point in the world, someone said ‘This is a meter, we’re all going to call this a meter, and the same must be done now,” he said. On the other hand, Antonio Boniolo from DiaSorin made the case that rubella IgG assays cannot genuinely be deemed quantitative, given that they reflect unknown combinations of concentration and binding capacity of the antigens being measured. In addition, different assays use different automation strategies to speed up results, and this might affect reaction kinetics, potentially leading to different antibody selection/recognition. He proposed that diagnostics “stop pretending too much from antibody quantitation,” and agree on ‘consensus’ proficiency panels (of 20 or more samples) from individual patients that could validate the accuracy of assays. He suggested that the panels could be made available by an independent manufacturer’s organization. Ultimately, a qualitative or semi-quantitative analytical environment would evaluate an assay as reactive, not reactive, low reactive, or some other useful categories. Ralf Bollhagen of Roche Diagnostics elaborated on some of the problems in the standardization of rubella IgG assays. These include working with a heterogeneous analyte (polyclonal human IgG of different subclasses, different maturation, directed to different antigens and epitopes); different assay principles (sometimes including different secondary antibodies); and different buffers. bioMériex was the only company which expressed overall satisfaction with the current situation. The company representative compared two of their assays. One was developed in 1997 for the European Reference, has a positive cutoff of 15 IU/mL, and is calibrated with the second preparation of the WHO International Standard. The other has a positive cut-off of 10 IU/mL for the US Reference, and is calibrated with the third preparation of the WHO International Rubella Standard. Both have worked well, and of thousands of tests administered since 2004, there have been only two customer complaints for correlation issues. David Featherstone from WHO briefly outlined the WHO international standards. WHO’s Third International Standard was developed in 1995 and was assessed by 11 laboratories in seven countries using a range of methods including HI and ELISA. New generation assays used today were not part of that original assessment. Furthermore, the sample it used was an immunoglobulin, not a serum sample. “It was a purified serum…which is not confused by some of the other factors that we find in patient serum. I think that is one of the reasons we’re getting some variability in the tests,” he said. Plotkin noted that using an assay against E1, which is the major inducer of neutralizing antibody, provides information that is biologically close to what is needed. He suggested that the situation is similar to Lyme disease, in that ELISA is used for screening, and a Western blot test is used to confirm infection. “The way forward is to develop better tests using E1 as the antigen…and to get away from what is essentially binding antibody measurements,” he said. 26 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings During discussion, Icenogle suggested that a next step could be to hold an unofficial meeting including commercial and public health sectors to better define the issues. Later in the Symposium, Icenogle clarified the context of this issue, noting that, in general, today’s commonly used assays work well in determining immunity in more than 90 percent of cases. “The discussion is about incremental improvements in IgG testing, specifically in two areas,” he said. “One is improving the ability to detect immunity in that small percentage of individuals who we think are immune, but for which the tests do not confirm immunity. The second is potential improvements in the long standing and effective standardization procedures for these tests.” “Seroprevalence in the United States using standard assays is above 90 percent, which is what you would expect for a population which is essentially all vaccinated or naturally immune… So, the discussion is not about the overall performance of these tests, it is about the incremental improvements that might be applied to them.” Joseph Icenogle, U.S. Center for Disease Control and Prevention Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 27 SESSION IV: Global Epidemiology Dr. Susan Reef, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention The presentation on the global use of rubella vaccines was based on research conducted by Dr. Reef along with Drs. Peter Strebel and Marta Gacic-Dobo from the World Health Organization (WHO). The presentation covered the uptake of rubella-containing vaccines (RCVs) and the impact of the GAVI Alliance funding window for rubella. In 1996, the first global survey on the use of rubella vaccines found that 83 countries were administering an RCV. By 2010, that number had reached 130. Over the same time span, the Americas went from 60% of countries using the vaccine to 100%. In Europe, 74% of countries had introduced an RCV by 1996; by 2010 this reached 100%. The Western Pacific Region more than doubled the number of countries using the vaccine, from 37% in 1996 to 78% in 2010. The Eastern Mediterranean Region increased its use from 43% to 67% of countries over that period. In Africa, only two small island countries were using the vaccine in 1996, increasing to only three countries by 2010. Rubella Vaccine Use by WHO Region 1996 vs. 2010 1996 No. of countries (%) 2010 No. of countries (%) AFR 2 (4%) 3 (7%) AMR 21 (60%) 35 (100%) EMR 9 (43%) 14 (67%) EUR 39 (74%) 53 (100%) SEAR 2 (20%) 4 (36%) WPR 10 (37%) 21 (78%) Global 83 (43%) 130 (67%) Region Today, 41% of the birth cohort around the world have access to an RCV – most commonly the RA273 rubella vaccine virus, which has 95% effectiveness after one dose. Eighty-nine percent of countries administer the measles-mumpsrubella (MMR) vaccine; only 8% give the measles-rubella (MR) jab and 2% give the measles-mumps-rubella-varicella (MMRV) vaccine. Last year, the WHO rubella position paper was updated. “Importantly,” said Reef, “SAGE recommended that countries should seize the opportunity of the two-dose measles vaccine strategy to use the MR or MMR vaccines, integrating measles and rubella prevention.” In November 2011, GAVI opened a funding window to help countries introduce RCV into their national programs. GAVI will be supporting the MR vaccine and part of the operational costs for a campaign targeting children 9 months to 14 years and 11 months in addition to a vaccine introduction grant. meet the operational costs of introducing an RCV. The application guidelines are currently under development, but it is hoped that countries will be able to apply by mid-year. GAVI anticipates introducing the MR vaccine to 30 countries by the end of 2015. 28 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Africa has 34 GAVI-eligible countries and the Americas have three, all of which have introduced an RCV. In the Eastern Mediterranean, there are seven GAVI-eligible countries, none of which have introduced the vaccine. None of the six eligible countries in Southeast Asia currently immunize against rubella; the same is true for five of the six GAVI countries in the Western Pacific. Laos conducted the MR campaign in November 2011. Africa and Southeast Asia, which are home to countries with the lowest rate of introduction of rubella-containing vaccine and which lack rubella control goals, understandably have the highest CRS disease burden. Globally, 124 non-GAVI countries have introduced an RCV and only 13 have not. Only seven of the 58 GAVI-eligible countries have introduced the vaccine. Three regions have rubella goals and two have elimination goals. “Opening the GAVI funding window to these regions gives them the opportunity to introduce rubella control to their poorest countries – and to those with the highest burden of disease,” Reef said. The Global CRS Burden Dr. Emily Vynnycky, Health Protection Agency, Centre for Infections, United Kingdom Dr. Vynnycky presented new research estimating the annual burden of CRS during 2000-2008, for the 193 WHO member states, six WHO regions and globally. The study also revised the previous CRS estimate of 110,000 global cases of CRS in 1996 to include countries which had already initiated rubella vaccination. In 1996, 126 countries had not introduced an RCV, whereas by 2008, this number had fallen to 67. The research by Vynnycky, Elizabeth Adams and other colleagues utilized a huge volume and range of data. They searched 16 databases, finding 31 datasets available for countries that had not introduced a rubella vaccine by the year 2000. Twenty countries were covered by that data, including 14 in Africa. There were eight datasets from India and two from Pakistan and Yemen. The quality of the data was extremely variable. The study used a catalytic model to estimate the force of infection—the rate at which susceptible people are infected— which is critical to determining the burden of CRS. The model categorized people as ‘susceptibles’, who then shift into the ‘immune’ category at a constant rate. Typically, the catalytic model yielded datasets spanning five or six age groups. “To work out the CRS incidence per 100 ,000 live births, we took the proportions of susceptible women in a given age range and multiplied them by the risk of infection during the first three months of pregnancy, when a mother infected with rubella has a 65 percent likelihood of bearing a child with CRS,” said Vynnycky. For countries without any datasets, the CRS incidence was taken to be the regional value. Multiplying this value by the number of live births produced an estimate of the number of CRS cases. In Benin, there were roughly 200 CRS incidences per 100,000 live births, compared with about 20 per 100,000 live births for Ethiopia. The incidence of CRS was likewise quite variable for the Eastern Mediterranean and Southeast Asia. There were a few limitations to the study: only about one-third of the serological datasets are from the period 1990 to 2008. The year of study is unknown for about one-third of the datasets and so the data were not entirely reliable. Data were available for only 20 of the 67 countries under study. To estimate the disease burden for countries that had introduced an RCV, Dr Vynnycky and colleagues used a different model that estimates the transmission of rubella among males and females. It stratifies people into ‘susceptibles’, ‘pre-infectious’, ‘infectious’ and ‘immunes’ for every age group, starting with newborns. Because the model incorporates the actual vaccination coverage over time, it explicitly describes how the force of infection changes over time. Putting together the estimates of both countries that had introduced vaccination and those that had not, the incidence of CRS per 100,000 births is less than 50 in the Americas and Europe. Mongolia has more than 150 CRS cases per 100,000 births, while the case rate is between 100 and 150 in much of Africa. In Europe, there was a large drop in the number of CRS cases between 2000 and 2008 and the confidence on those estimates improved. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 29 Looking at the actual numbers of babies being born with CRS, Europe and the Americas have a low burden, Africa and India have a high and growing burden. Roughly 30,000 babies were born with CRS in Africa in 2000, and population growth increases that number by 2008. Population growth also accounts for the increased numbers of babies born with CRS in Southeast Asia. Meanwhile, there are significant decreases in the Americas and Europe, in countries that have introduced adequate vaccination programs. In the end, Vynnycky found that the average global burden of CRS has remained fairly stable since 2000, with roughly 112,000 cases each year, and only a small decrease since 1996, but very wide confidence limits on those estimates due to lack of data quality. Better serological studies are needed to improve the reliability of the estimates and to see whether GAVI’s funding of RCV results in changes in the burden of CRS, Vynnycky concluded. Discussion Vaccination in China The discussion concerned vaccination activities in China. Susan Reef explained that the vaccine has been available throughout China since 2008. Initial problems with vaccine availability were resolved in 2010. The birth cohort now has more than 95% coverage. But there is variability, particularly on the east coast. CRS incidence window A participant questioned whether Dr. Vynnycky’s choice of the window of 16 weeks and a risk of 65 percent might be underestimating CRS burden. A window of 10 weeks, for example, would raise the risk to 90%. While acknowledging that 65 percent could indeed underestimate the burden, Vynnycky explained that she chose it in order to be able to compare results against the 1996 estimates. Total CRS burden One participant noted that while the CRS burden is substantially reduced by vaccination, it is also necessary to look at miscarriages and terminations carried out as a consequence of rubella. The availability of data varies from country to country. Nevertheless, it is important to consider the total impact of rubella in pregnancy. Measuring the impact of vaccination The discussion turned to baseline data on the incidence of congenital rubella or seropositivity prior to vaccination campaigns as well as follow-up data after vaccine introduction. Respondents noted WHO has already worked with some countries, including Nepal, to assess seroprevalence and incidence of CRS, and intends to work with others prior to introduction of an RCV. In addition, countries will be required to monitor the impact of introducing the rubella vaccine. Reef stressed that countries need to integrate their measles and rubella surveillance. 30 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings SESSION V: Burden of Rubella and CRS in Europe Rubella and CRS overview for WHO Europe Dr. Dragan Jankovic, World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe In 2010, the European Region set a goal of eliminating measles and rubella and preventing CRS by 2015. Toward this end, WHO is working with member state to implement four strategies: • • • • Reach at least 95 percent coverage of the population with two doses of measles-containing vaccine and one dose of rubella-containing vaccine (RCV); Use mass campaigns and other supplementary vaccination activities to provide “catch-up” vaccination and reach everyone who is susceptible; Establish case-based surveillance with strong laboratory involvement component; and Make evidence-based information on immunization’s benefits and risks available to experts and the public. Rubella containing vaccines are included in the routine immunization programme of all 53 Memebr States. In addition, from 2000 to 2010, about 30 million people in Europe were immunized against rubella trough supplemental immunization activities – SIAs (mostly mass immunization campaigns). National immunization coverage is overall high across the region, especially for MCV1 (95 percent coverage in 2010) But most SIA’s took place in the Newly Independent States, supported by WHO and other international partners. Existing data indicates that the regional incidence of rubella decreased significantly: from 800,000 cases in 1999 to 10,000 in 2010. But the data is incomplete. “For many countries, we don’t know the percentage of the population covered by immunization, especially with second dose of vaccine,” said Jankovic. “Some highly populated countries in Western Europe do not provide us with any data or the data is incomplete. Others don’t have proper surveillance systems in place.” As of beginning of 2012, WHO received reports about 737 rubella cases from 25 member states in 2011; only 213 of mentioned were confirmed by a laboratory. Most of the confirmed cases concerned adolescents in the age range of 15-19 years, indicating the need for an immunization strategy targeting this age group. For five hundred of the 737 reported cases information about immunization status was not available. The situation with congenital rubella syndrome is also unclear: in 2010, only two cases of CRS were reported by Russia and Poland. In the period from 1990 to 2010, there were only 467 cases of CRS reported in total. “This figure is very low, given the overall incidence of rubella reported in Europe, indicating that we need better surveillance,” Jankovic said. Jankovic reported that coverage is often low or non-existent for the second RCV dose. This has resulted in many susceptible adolescents and adults. In addition, there are pockets of population with generally low coverage (with all vaccines), especially among marginalized populations, and immunization refusal is on the rise. The situation varies greatly around the region and the solutions must be country-specific. Historically, European countries have employed very different rubella strategies, from only immunizing women of childbearing age, to just targeting children. Some countries employed a one-dose routine and others used two doses. “It wasn’t until 2009 that the last country in the region introduced routine immunization and we are aware that some countries have only had immunization for five years.” “By improving surveillance of measles and rubella, we want to improve surveillance for all vaccine-preventable diseases.” Dragan Jankovic, World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 31 WHO’s immunization activities are a core part of its ‘Health 2020’ policy, which aims to provide equal access to health for all Europeans. It is strengthening partnerships and providing technical support to strengthen national immunization and surveillance systems, and not only for measles and rubella. “By improving surveillance of measles and rubella, we want to improve surveillance for all vaccine-preventable diseases,” said Jankovic. Rubella Cases Reported by Year, WHO/Europe and Globally, 1999 - 2010 1000000 900000 804,567 800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 10,448 100000 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 EUR 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 World Progress Toward Elimination: Successes and Remaining Challenges Dr. Laura Zimmerman, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Between 2001 and 2010, the WHO Europe region had a 99 percent decline in reported cases of rubella. Zimmerman reported that major advances took place in the Central and Eastern Region, and the Newly Independent States. Nonetheless, outbreaks continue, and some countries, including Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, have coverage of less than 80 percent. “You can probably rest assured that there are actually a lot of pockets of susceptibles for measles and potentially rubella as well,” Zimmerman said. Furthermore, “When we look at Western European countries there again remain questions of what needs to happen in terms of supplemental immunization activities and those nagging pockets of susceptibles.” The best way to answer those questions is through analyzing data, and the WHO regional office evaluates the reliability of surveillance. In particular, it looks at completeness of reporting and timeliness of reporting, with a goal of 80 percent for both for rubella. The region falls seriously short on both accounts. Zimmerman summarized a 2009 survey of national rubella surveillance programs sent to all 53 member states. Forty-five replied, and 41 of these had some sort of national surveillance program. In total, 73 percent of countries had a confirmed surveillance programs, “which is a bit unnerving in terms of trying to reach the elimination goal by 2015,” she said. “In 2005, less than 0.1% of reported cases were confirmed,” Zimmerman said. “By 2010 that figure had reached 22% – but this is still far too low.” Laura Zimmerman, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 32 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Of the 41 countries with a program, 36 linked epidemiologic and laboratory data – an important development. “One issue has been that some countries have used two different reporting systems, one through their lab and one through their epidemiologic and surveillance unit,” Zimmerman said. “And many times, these numbers did not match.” Thirty eight of the surveyed countries said that they report their data to WHO or to the European Union’s surveillance repository, EUVAC.net, on a monthly basis. However, they noted barriers to reporting, including lack of human resources, limited funds, large numbers of rubella cases and the lack of mandatory reporting requirements. When outbreaks occur, they reflect the history of the vaccination programs in the respective countries. In Poland, for example, the majority of new cases appear to be adolescent and adult males, reflecting the country’s long history of only vaccinating girls. In general, however, insufficient information about the age of new cases makes it difficult to definitively analyze or document rubella outbreaks. The laboratory confirmation rate is also a problem for many countries. “In 2005, less than 0.1% of reported cases were confirmed,” Zimmerman said. “By 2010 that figure had reached 22% – but this is still far too low.” Countries can request an elimination assessment to gain information on demographics, surveillance and reporting, vaccination status, and the actions needed to achieve rubella elimination. This provides useful feedback for both countries and WHO. Surveillance Systems: Rubella Surveillance Practices in the European Region National Rubella Surveillancea Yes (n=41)b Case-based data (n=31)c Aggregate data (n=10) Belarus Kazakhstan Lithuania Poland Romania Russian Federation Serbia FYRMd Turkemenistan Ukraine Case-based data available at sub-national level (n=5) Belarus Kazakhstan Lithuania Poland FYRMd Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 No (n=4) Belgium Denmark France Germany = ~18% of the Regional population No response (n=8) Andorra Bosnia and Herzegovine Israel Luxembourg Monaco Montenegro San Marino Turkey No case-based data at sub-national level (n=5) Romania Russian Federation, Serbia Turkmenistan Ukraine 33 Sub-Regional Overview: Central Eastern Europe Dr. Vytautas Usonis, Vilnius University, Lithuania The 12 countries of the region—from Estonia in the north to Turkey in the south—work together through the Central European Vaccination Advisory Group. A number of the member countries participated in clinical trials for an MMR vaccine known today as Priorix. The trials were conducted in Lithuania and the Czech Republic on different parameters of that vaccine. A 1999 paper published in The Pediatric Infectious Diseases Journal showed high immunogenicity when measuring sero-conversion rates. “This is historical data,” said Usonis, “but it does tell us that we now have two vaccines of excellent quality here in the region and we should be using them.” Lithuania introduced rubella vaccination in 1990, “on the day of re-establishing our national independence,” Usonis said. Early vaccines used were mono- or bivalent, and by 1992 first dose coverage stood at 40 percent. MMR was introduced in 1996, with very good results. Then, a 1997 Swedish study showed that a risk group strategy of vaccinating only girls is not effective enough. “The introduction of universal vaccination is the only way to achieve significant results for rubella, and other diseases as well,” said Usonis. Vaccine coverage for the sub-region has reached 90%. In most Central Eastern European countries, the first MMR vaccination is now given at the age of 11–13 months; however, there is a large disparity in the timing of the second dose. A recent study by the Central European Vaccine Advisory Group found major declines in the number of reported cases between 2000 and 2008. All countries have rubella surveillance systems and reporting is mandatory. All but one country (Croatia) has CRS surveillance systems. However, not all cases are laboratory tested, and many that are discarded. “Clinical diagnosis is not reliable,” Usonis said. Clinicians operate off of different case definitions and, “at least ten diseases might be clinically similar to rubella and that means clinically suspected cases need to be confirmed by laboratory testing.” In Bulgaria, over 44 samples were tested for rubella in 2009, none of which were found to be positive. An outbreak in Poland in 2009 prompted reports of 6,693 cases of rubella—only four were laboratory confirmed. A similar failure to confirm results in other countries indicates that clinical diagnoses in the region are not reliable. “Despite the success of vaccination programs, rubella is still present in Europe. This is partly due to a lack of awareness among medical professionals and the limited availability of laboratory services,” said Usonis. “This needs to change if elimination goals are going to be met.” For more information, see the website of the Central European Vaccination Advisory Group http://www.cevag.org. “Despite the success of vaccination programs, rubella is still present in Europe. This is partly due to a lack of awareness among medical professionals and the limited availability of laboratory services. This needs to change if elimination goals are going to be met.” Vytautas Usonis, Vilnius University, Lithuania Discussion Supplementing disease surveillance Respondents discussed the value of supplementing disease surveillance with the surveillance of other indicators as a means of gauging progress toward elimination. These could include factors such as areas with suboptimal coverage, the proportion of pregnant women who have been screened, or the proportion of susceptibles who have been vaccinated postpartum. Jankovic noted that countries will have to document absence of endemic viruses in presence of strong surveillance system by providing variety of relevant information prior to the WHO’s verification of diseases elimination in the European Region. The regional verification commission, should help countries to go beyond the classical public health approach to meeting this challenge. 34 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Meeting elimination goals by 2015 A participant questioned whether catch-up vaccination in Western Europe is realistic when there are major countries that do not even carry out surveillance. Respondents noted that achieving the goal of eliminating rubella in Europe by 2015 will require increasing popular demand for vaccines by working closely with governments and the media, and bringing in a range of health professionals, especially obstetricians and general practitioners. Mass immunization campaigns will not be enough. There is a strong demand from Eastern European countries for the region to move towards elimination. That will require a strong commitment from Western Europe, particularly the large countries that are, so far, not much involved. Kari Johansen noted that the ECDC is starting an EU-wide project on CRS surveillance. And for measles, every EU country is submitting case-based reports for 2011 and 2012. EUVAC.NET was transferred to ECDC in September 2011 and that has enabled monthly reports on measles to be published on the ECDC web site. In a few months, ECDC will start to produce quarterly reports on rubella. A participant clarified the meaning of providing a “second opportunity” for immunization, as this term has caused some confusion: if after the recommended two doses of RCV coverage is still not high enough, supplementary immunization activities are needed, and these have been referred to as the “second opportunity” for immunizing susceptibles. However, the use of that term is now dated, and upcoming plans will use other wording. Lessons from polio eradication Participants observed that when Europe began verification for polio eradication, uniform requirements for verifying elimination were applied to all member states. When not all could meet the requirements, the indicators were modified to accommodate surveillance limitations in some countries. Participants debated whether such flexibility would be necessary or appropriate in the case of measles and rubella. It was noted that it is unlikely that the regional verification committee will accept any exceptional approach to verification in Western Europe, as happened with polio. If it does, other countries that are working with very limited resources to establish and improve surveillance systems are likely to object. The first regional commission on verification of elimination was held in January in Copenhagen, and some national committees are expected to begin functioning this year, Jankovic said. These will be important issues for the committees. Routine rubella antibody testing of pregnant women Asked how many countries routinely check the immune status of pregnant women through rubella antibody testing, Jankovic replied that such testing is not a routine diseases surveillance issue, and so it is not collected by surveillance programs. It is more likely to be collected by laboratories, and could be important supplementary information on immunity in adults. When PAHO decided to make progress on rubella immunization and the elimination of CRS, they looked at how many obstetricians used rubella antibody screening in pregnancy to prompt postpartum vaccination; very few did. Sero-surveys are useful but very expensive; but pregnancy antibody testing at least provides a proxy for the level of immunity in that age group. Andrus said that in Latin America, TORCH titer screening at the first prenatal visit has become standard practice. De Quadros called out the need for awareness campaigns to invite women of childbearing age to get tested before pregnancy, when they can still do something to prevent congenital rubella. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 35 SESSION VI: Country Experiences W hen it comes to disease control in Europe “the rubber hits the road” at the country level. During this session, representatives from five European countries reported on their experiences. The countries were chosen to represent a range of epidemiologies and responses to rubella. Italy Dr. Stefania Salmaso, Director of the National Centre for Epidemiology Surveillance and Health Promotion (CNESPS) in Rome, reported on the evolution of Italy’s vaccination plan and its impact on disease. Rubella has been a statutory notifiable disease in Italy since 1970. At that time, vaccination for measles, rubella and mumps were recommended, but were neither mandatory nor free. Therefore, many parents opted out. This situation changed in the 1990s, when vaccination for measles and rubella was offered free of charge to all newborns. It changed even more dramatically in 2002, following a disastrous national epidemic of measles, with 40,000 cases in one region and the deaths of eight children. The first national Measles and Congenital Rubella Elimination Plan was approved in 2003, however sub-optimal vaccine coverage precluded success by the target date of 2007. Congenital rubella has been a statutory notifiable disease since 2005. As of 2010, mean national coverage was 90.6 percent, and only one of Italy’s regions had achieved 95 percent coverage of first dose MMR-MMRV in two-year old children. As vaccination coverage has improved, cases have fallen dramatically. But Salmaso said that a worrisome change is taking place in the age of those infected. During the epidemic of 2008, about 70 percent of notified rubella cases occurred in individuals aged 15 or older. This is a big change from the pre-vaccination period, when the average age of rubella and measles infection was five years. Today, as vaccination coverage of newborns improves, the largest group of susceptible individuals is adolescents and young adults. This raises concerns about a possible increase in children born with CRS, because of the higher risk of reaching adulthood without having been exposed to either natural infection or immunization as a child. Italy passed a new National Measles and Rubella Elimination and CRS Prevention Plan in 2011, with specific strategies for vaccinating women of childbearing age. It aims to eliminate endemic transmission of measles and rubella by 2015, and reduce the incidence of congenital rubella to less than 1 case per 100,000 live births. MMR vaccinations follow WHO recommendations of the first dose in the first month of the second year of life, and the second dose at preschool age. Strategies for preventing congenital rubella in the national plan include: Use evidence-based interventions to improve coverage, with the goal of reaching 95 percent childhood coverage for two doses of MMR vaccine • • • • • • 36 Use any opportunity to vaccinate susceptible women of childbearing age, including postpartum (and postabortion) vaccination of susceptible women Promote awareness of CRS and its prevention among women Improve awareness of clinicians and cooperation between clinicians, epidemiologists and labs Vaccinate healthcare workers and school personnel Vaccinate foreign-born women at their first encounter with the Italian healthcare system Strengthen surveillance systems Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Russian Federation Dr. Olgav Tsvirkun, from the National Scientific Methodical Center for Measles and Rubella Surveillance, said that rubella cases have been reported in the Russian Federation since 1976. Rubella vaccine was introduced in the national vaccination schedule in 1997, and a high coverage level was reached by 2002. During the last 14 years, the vaccination schedule was revised several times. In 2006-07, an immunization campaign carried out as part of the National Project Health vaccinated 17 million children under 14 years old and women aged 17-25 years. During the last five years, approximately 26 million children, teenagers and adults up to 25 years of age were vaccinated against rubella. Coverage levels for first and second doses of MR combination vaccines have reached 95 percent. Between 2009 and 2011, the proportion of laboratory confirmed rubella cases increased from 18.4 percent to 89.2 percent. There have been dramatic and sustained declines in the number of cases of rubella and of CRS reported. In 2000, there was notification of 11 children born with CRS. In 2011, only a single case of CRS was registered, although Tsvirkun acknowledged the possibility that some cases were not detected. As in Italy, the age of infection in the Russian Federation is changing. In 2002, 82.5 percent of cases were in children. In 2011, 88.6 percent of cases were in adults. Russian Federation goals for achieving measles and rubella elimination by 2015 include: • • • • • Sustain high measles and rubella vaccination coverage (no less than 90-95 percent) with first and second doses in target groups in all territories of the Russian federation; Introduce case-based registration of rubella cases in the information system used for measles registration; Ensure no less than 90 percent of compulsory laboratory confirmation for rubella cases; Carry out targeted activities to inform the population about the importance of prevention; Regularly train and re-train specialists in issues of diagnostics, clinical picture, epidemiology and prevention of measles, rubella and CRS. Finland Dr. Irja Davidkin, from the National Institute for Health and Welfare, Finland, reported that vaccinations against measles and rubella started in 1975, as monocomponent vaccines. Rubella vaccine was given to girls from 11 to 13 years old and to seronegative mothers. Vaccination with combination vaccines began in 1982, with the goal of eliminating measles, mumps and rubella. Catch-up campaigns targeted children 1.5 to six years of age, as well as special groups, including nurses, students, and the military. Finland reached high coverage by the end of the 1980s,, and by the mid-1990s, vaccination programs had interrupted endemic circulation of rubella virus nationally. Along with the vaccination campaign, Finland put increased emphasis on surveillance. Enhanced surveillance of MMR diseases began in 1982, and has improved steadily. Since 1995, it has been mandatory for diagnostic laboratories and clinicians to send reports to the National Infectious Disease Register. All confirmed measles and rubella cases between 1996-2011 were imported, with no secondary cases. In 2011, there was one confirmed case of CRS—the first since 1986—born to a mother who had emigrated from Asia. From 1975-1994, pregnant mothers were screened for rubella immunity, and seronegative mothers were offered the vaccine postpartum. A 25-year follow-up study of antibody persistence, based on vaccine-induced immunity, has shown 100 percent persistence of seropositivity, although about 20 percent were under 10 IU/mL for antibody levels. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 37 Other studies have shown high rubella seropositivity across the population. One study of population immunity was based on 1,500 samples from individuals 1- to over 60- years-old. It showed high rubella seropositivity across age groups, including both vaccinated and naturally infected individuals. Another study measured antibody levels against rubella in pregnant women, with sera that was collected in 1983, 2002 and 2007. It found that antibody levels were significantly lower in sera collected in the MMR vaccination era compared to before vaccinations. This suggests that vaccine-induced antibodies against rubella wane significantly over time, Davidkin said. Nonetheless, since 1996, only imported cases of rubella have been confirmed. Future challenges include: • • • • • Sustaining the high level of vaccine coverage, and maintaining Finland’s rubella-free status Identifying and coping with isolated importations of rubella and measles Sustaining surveillance, with adequate samples for laboratory investigations Maintaining awareness about measles and rubella among health care personnel Following immunity against measles and rubella regularly across the population Poland Dr. Włodzimierz Gut, Virology Department, National Institute of Public Health, Poland While there have been significant vaccination successes in Poland, “With rubella, our success is doubtful, if any,” Gut began. He contrasted the situation with measles and rubella control. Control of measles began in 1975, with the introduction of monovalent vaccine. The country’s political situation at the time favored projects that were “something big, model and correct politically,” Gut said. Measles vaccination fit this model: the vaccine came from Russia, and government participation was secured from the beginning. A monovalent rubella vaccine was introduced for vaccination of 13 year old girls in 1988. Widespread coverage for rubella in both boys and girls began only in 2003, when MMR replaced a first dose of monovalent vaccine. At that time, a second dose of monovalent rubella vaccine was given to 13-year-old girls. Beginning in 2005, a two dose schedule of MMR was adopted with the second dose administered to all 10-year-old children. Poland’s case registration systems also differ considerably between measles and rubella. For measles, only confirmed cases are registered. For rubella, only suspected cases are registered. Although rubella elimination has been a goal since 2003, “Our program for rubella came much later than for measles, about 30 years, and now we have a situation for rubella like that of 30 years ago for measles,” Gut said. For example, in 2010 there were 14 cases of measles registered, and 4,197 cases of rubella. In addition, financial problems have limited the strategy for elimination of congenital rubella. France Dr. Isabelle Parent du Châtelet, French Institute for Public Health, reported that France has committed to rubella elimination and prevention of CRS by 2015. Current vaccine coverage is high: MMR1 coverage at 24 months of age is 89 percent, and it is estimated that 93 percent of the 6-to 49-year old population is protected against rubella. This positive situation evolved over several decades. Rubella vaccination was introduced in France in 1970, with selective vaccination of preadolescent girls. National lab-based surveillance of rubella infection during pregnancy was initiated in 1976. However, to this day, there is no post-natal rubella surveillance in France. MR vaccine entered the routine immunization program in 1983 (MMR in 1986), with a second dose introduced in 1996. In 1992, mandatory antenatal rubella IgG testing was put in place to determine susceptibility and to offer post-partum vaccination. 38 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings A National Plan for Elimination for Measles and Congenital Rubella was adopted in 2005. It includes: • • MMR at 12 months of age, MMR2 before 24 months of age Catch up: two doses for anyone born in 1980 or later – Women born before 1980 not vaccinated against rubella: 1 dose MMR – Use any opportunity to vaccinate women of childbearing age Based on data from insurance beneficiaries (sample including about 500,000 people), 2008 coverage for the first dose of MMR was estimated to be close to 90 percent at 24 months of age. For the second dose it was around 52 percent. Since then, the use of catch-up vaccinations in older ages at nursery schools, primary and middle schools (in fifth and ninth grade) has improved France’s coverage of MM1 and MMR2 at 11 years to 97% and 85% respectively in 2008. Surveillance is carried out by about 300 public and private laboratories across France. Twice a year the laboratories are asked to notify the French Institute for Public Health of any positive diagnosis in pregnant women, fetuses, and in the products of pregnancy termination or at birth. The Institute classifies the case as maternal primary infection or reinfection, and in the case of newborns or stillborns or pregnancy terminations as either CRI or CRS. Coverage variability between men and women persist, as do geographic differences. A seroprevalence study in 20092010 found that the proportion of susceptible women at the age of 20-29 was 4 percent -- significantly lower than in males of the same age (13 percent susceptible). Other studies have shown that the lowest immunization coverage is in the south of France. While enormous progress has been made nationally, Parent du Châtelet pointed out that localized outbreaks could occur in specific populations. In addition, improvements are needed in surveillance. The current system, which lacks casebased data in the general population, will not allow for certification of rubella elimination. Currently, a mandatory notification system is being considered. Proportion of Susceptible Population by Gender and Age Group in France Mainland, 2009-2010 (n=5,000) 14% M % Susceptibles 12% F 10% 8% 6% ** 4% 2% 0% 6-9 **: p<0.05 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 Age Groups (years) Source: InVS Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 39 Discussion Panelists and participants addressed a wide range of questions, from the role of adult vaccination campaigns to efforts to vaccinate internal migrants. Given that rubella is increasingly affecting older populations, and that the childbearing age in Italy has increased to an average of about 30 years of age, Italy’s Dr. Salmosa discussed the potential of adult immunization campaigns. The major difficulty with such campaigns is that they fall outside of well-established immunization program settings, she noted. She emphasized the need to reinforce all opportunities for catch-up vaccinations, especially with women. This could be done, for example, in medical centers for assisted procreation. One limitation is that the tools for monitoring progress in such areas do not exist, “so we can launch everything but then we do not have the way of knowing how it’s going.” When asked about the challenge of stopping the spread of rubella through internal migration, Russia’s Dr. Tsvirkun replied that the best way to address unvaccinated people migrating from the South to the North of the Federation would be through achieving a very high immunization coverage across all regions. Italy’s Dr. Salmosa said that there is no direct vaccination outreach to illegal immigrants, although if they show up at a clinic they can be vaccinated. However most pregnant immigrants only use the health system at the time of delivery. Regarding the challenge of ensuring the vaccination of young men, one speaker noted that with declining military forces in many countries, large male populations do not receive the vaccinations they would have received upon entering the military. France’s Dr. du Châtelet noted that there was increased vaccination of adolescents and adults in response to the recent measles epidemic, and that preliminary data shows that this is lowering the percentage of susceptible young men. When asked whether data from birth defect registries or hearing loss have been used for surveillance, Dr. Salmosa noted that, in Italy, such registries are not comprehensive enough to yield useful information. 40 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings SESSION VII: Strategies, Policy Implementation and Documentation of Rubella/CRS T his session on strategies, policy, implementation and documentation of rubella and CRS heard presentations from a global perspective, the regional perspective of PAHO and the experience of the European region. WHO Position: Vaccine Strategies and Country Experience Outside of Europe Dr. Peter Strebel, WHO, summarized the WHO’s position paper on rubella vaccines, published in July 2011, and provided examples of WHO country experiences. The goal of rubella vaccination is to prevent the occurrence of congenital rubella, and the WHO paper outlines two basic vaccination strategies. One focuses on reduction of CRS by only immunizing adolescent girls and/or women of childbearing age. However, this leaves circulation of rubella virus intact. Therefore, for this strategy to work, there must be 100 percent vaccination coverage of all women of childbearing age—something extremely difficult to achieve. WHO’s recommended strategy aims at interrupting transmission and eliminating rubella as well as CRS, Strebel said. To accomplish this, WHO suggests that countries: • • • • Begin with a wide age range ( 9 months to 14 years) catch-up campaign with either MR or MMR; Introduce that vaccine into the routine childhood programme; Use the same combination vaccine for all subsequent follow-up campaigns; Immunize adolescent girls or women of childbearing age, either through routine services or mass campaigns. The strategy recognizes the opportunity provided by measles elimination and delivery strategies for advancing rubella and CRS elimination. “All countries now are providing two doses of measles vaccine using either routine and/or supplementary activities and these can be used as a platform for introduction of rubella-containing vaccines,” Strebel said. Field and laboratory surveillance should also be fully integrated with measles in a single surveillance system. WHO recommends achieving and maintaining at least 80 percent immunization coverage with at least one dose of rubella-containing vaccine. This level is necessary if pregnant women are to be adequately protected from rubella. Lower levels of coverage can result in the “paradoxical effect” of increased susceptibility to rubella among young women. Strebel emphasized that introduction of rubella-containing vaccine implies a long-term commitment to achieving and maintaining sufficient immunization coverage to ensure a sustained reduction in CRS. “This is not a vaccine that you introduce and then stop using. This is a long-term change from natural immunity to a vaccine-induced immunity. And to ensure that this happens, strong political commitment as well as sustainable financing is important.” Strebel summarized several country examples from the Eastern Mediterranean Region. The case of Tunisia illustrated the limitation of a strategy targeting adolescent girls and women of childbearing age only, and leaving virus circulation intact. Tunisia implemented MR for 12 year old girls in 2005, with a catch-up campaign for girls 13-18 years old the same year. Both attained 90 percent coverage. They initiated postpartum vaccination as well, but with only 19 percent coverage. In the following years, IgM confirmed rubella cases rose, with a large outbreak in 2011 (over 1,700 confirmed cases). 55 percent of cases were in children under 12; 21 percent of cases were in 12-20 year olds (88 percent male). To date there have been 50 hospitalizations, three deaths and four cases of CRS. Oman’s experience with a comprehensive vaccination approach presents a strong contrast. In 1994, Oman introduced rubella vaccine with a catch-up campaign targeting 15month to 18 year olds (achieving 94 percent coverage) accompanied by introduction of rubella-containing vaccine in the routine program (achieving 95 percent coverage). They subsequently introduced post-partum vaccination. The number of reported rubella cases dropped rapidly and dramatically over just several years. In the last five years, the country had just 1 reported case of CRS. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 41 The cases underscore the need for a strategy that combines a mass catch-up campaign with introduction of the vaccine into the routine schedule to ensure immunity for all subsequent birth cohorts, both boys and girls. “WHO recommends that countries take the opportunity offered by accelerated measles control elimination to introduce rubella vaccine. The only real requirement is the ability of a country to achieve a coverage of 80 percent or higher through routine or mass vaccination activities.” Peter Streble, WHO Rubella and CRS Elimination in the Americas Dr. Jon Kim Andrus, Deputy Director, Pan American Health Organization described the road to the elimination of Rubella and CRS in the Americas and the steps ahead. The first challenge is to convince policymakers that there was a problem, Andrus said. The second was to convince them that, when introducing the vaccine, there is no turning back, and that close monitoring of coverage and a stronger surveillance infrastructure would be needed. Studies of disease burden, the impact of elimination, plus “putting a face on the disease” helped make the case and secure the political commitment of Ministers and national leaders. Evidence included a PAHO study which showed that without control interventions, there were 20,000 cases of CRS per year in Latin America and the Caribbean. Another PAHO study estimated that rubella elimination in the region would prevent 112,500 CRS cases over 15 years. Retrospective studies in individual countries showed the burden of CRS. Within the Americas, English-speaking Caribbean countries took the lead. In 1998, they passed a resolution to eliminate rubella and CRS in their region. Information on costs saved through avoiding the life-long treatment of babies born with CRS helped to make the case. PAHO used similar information as it talked to Presidents and Health Ministers across the region. Its calculations showed that, given the cost of an MR vaccination at US$1.10, benefit-cost ratio was 10:1 – 12:1. PAHO developed a strategy that went from: • • • 1997 Control: Introduction of the rubella vaccine, to 1999 Accelerated control: Mass MR vaccination campaigns in women only or all adults 2003 Elimination: Mass MR vaccination campaign in all adults “It’s challenging, but the beauty is that if done well, your campaign can stop transmission,” Andrus said. In 2003, The Directing Counsel of health ministers adopted a rubella elimination initiative targeting a 2010 elimination date. In 2006, the Counsel reinforced the campaign by committing to improved surveillance and data collection. PAHO defined elimination as the “Interruption of endemic rubella virus transmission in all countries of the Americas for at least 12 months without the occurrence of CRS cases associated with endemic transmission, in the presence of highquality surveillance.” “The point was zero cases, zero cases was very important,” Andrus said. “We believe that over a 15 year period, we will be able to save 120,000 children from CRS, and that we will save countries some US$3 billion.” Jon Kim Andrus, Pan American Health Organization 42 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings In addition to routine vaccination and a “catch-up” campaign, countries implemented “speed-up” campaigns in adolescents and adults, with each country identifying the groups to vaccinate. In 1998 through 2005, Chile, Brazil, Costa Rica, Honduras, Ecuador, El Salvador all carried out speed-up campaigns, with another 18 countries following in subsequent years. The speed-up campaigns had a huge impact on measles as well, and are credited with preventing the re-establishment of endemic measles virus transmission in the region. Campaigns were typically launched by the country’s president or health minister, who remained involved throughout, galvanizing attention and action. Campaign characteristics included the vaccination of nontraditional groups, especially adolescents and adults, both men and women; and vaccination of 40 percent-70 percent of the total population. All was implemented within a short, intense six week time period. A stable supply of vaccine was ensured by the Serum Institute of India, to whom PAHO later extended a special award. Meanwhile, surveillance integrated measles and rubella, and CRS surveillance was initiated. Laboratory activities included serological diagnosis and viral detection. “We had routine testing of every rash and fever suspect case with the measles IgM and rubella IgM,” Andrus said. An extensive reporting network included 30,000 reporting sites (a target of at least one per 100,000 population integrated for measles and rubella surveillance); 148 sub-national, national and regional laboratories; 14 PAHO field epidemiologists in priority countries; and case-based community surveillance with data sent to the Regional office. Health workers in primary care were educated to monitor CRS, looking for alerts through hearing screening, eye cataracts and similar signs. “The results speak for themselves. Our last endemic case was in February of 2009, ten months before the target,” Andrus said. Today the region continues to deal with imported cases of rubella, and to maintain its high level of routine coverage in order to ensure the ongoing elimination of rubella in the Americas. Rubella Elimination in The Americas, 1982 – 2011 >36 months with no endemic rubella cases in the Region. Speed-up campaigns 100 60,000 40,000 Last rubella case (2B) EW 5/2009 80,000 80 Follow-up campaigns 1G transmission finalized 100,000 Beginning in 2001, over a 15 year period the rubella and CRS initiative will have saved an estimated US $3 B by preventing more than 112,500 CRS cases in LatinAmerica and the Caribbean. 1G transmission finalized 120,000 60 40 20 20,000 0 Routine Vaccination Coverage (%) Confirmed Rubella Cases 140,000 0 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Cases Routine Coverage Source: Country reports to PAHO/WHO. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 43 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination and CRS Prevention in Europe Dr. Dragan Jankovic, Vaccine Preventable Diseases & Immunization, WHO-EURO, placed Europe’s rubella elimination efforts in the context of a new regional policy, Health 2020. It is based on recognition of the universal right to health and health care, to equality and equity in health. “Everyone in this region has the same equal rights to health, and all health services have to be equally available,” Jankovic said. It is especially relevant for the immunization program, which cuts across many areas, including health system reform, mother and child health, and primary health care. The WHO European Region has three programmatic goals regarding immunization: systems strengthening; accelerated disease control, with a focus on diseases targeted for eradication and elimination; and enhanced surveillance and monitoring. Communications and advocacy is an important part of all three goals, especially given increased vaccine refusal among the public. Main challenges include: decreasing commitment, health competing priorities, economic crisis, and frequent changes in leadership; health system reform as some countries struggle to replace old or dysfunctional systems; and unrecognized pickets of unimmunized in marginalized and vulnerable groups, which include migrants, legal, illegal and temporary workers. A growing challenge of particular concern is vaccine refusal. This is due to a combination of complacency in the absence of disease, trust issues, the anti-vaccination movement, and opposition based on religious and philosophical beliefs. Some parents, particularly among the more affluent, consider that the risk of vaccines and adverse events are much higher than the risk of disease. Today, a major challenge is to sustain the progress of the recent past. Jankovic noted that polio was eliminated in the European Region in 2002. Then, in 2010, four countries were affected by imported polio cases. Likewise, the number of measles and rubella cases was greatly reduced by 2007-09, but more recently a number of big outbreaks have threatened this progress. Fortunately, in September 2010, the momentum toward political commitment for immunization stepped up. Fifty-three representatives of Ministries of Health meeting at the WHO Regional Committee for Europe renewed their commitment to eliminate measles and rubella, and prevent CRS, by 2015. Four key strategies guide this work: routine immunization; additional opportunities for immunization; improved surveillance; and the availability and use of high-quality information that can ultimately provide evidence of no endemic viruses causing diseases. Within this framework, the WHO regional office has a number of main activities: partnerships and resource mobilization; immunization policy; economics of elimination; monitoring and surveillance; national immunization and technical advisory groups in every country; the establishment of verification processes; and operational research. Six components are needed to verify elimination. These include documentation of the epidemiology of both measles, rubella and CRS for a three-year period with surveillance data (both case-based and laboratory data) and any other relevant information that confirms a country has been free of endemic disease. Other elements of verification include: demonstration of population immunity against measles and rubella; molecular epidemiology of measles and rubella viruses; performance of surveillance; sustainability of the National Immunization Programme; and public acceptance of measles/ rubella immunization and elimination. Regarding public acceptance of immunization, Jankovic urged the development of effective advocacy and information, especially for reaching vaccine opponents “belonging to the very top level of societies in many countries.” He noted, “We have families of medical health workers who are refusing immunization of their kids because they don’t consider that as important. It’s a very complex situation.” He noted that currently local newspapers that sensationalize purported dangers and “deadly vaccines” are much more influential than the public health system. WHO is developing toolkits to help countries formulate research and best communication practices, and is urging countries to share their information. 44 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings In summary, Jankovic reiterated the commitment of WHO Europe to eliminate both measles and rubella by 2015 and to work with countries to frame their immunization activities to reach this goal. “Everyone in this region has the same equal rights to health, and all health services have to be equally available.” Dragan Jankovic, WHO Europe Discussion Much of the discussion focused on the role of campaigns, whether catch-up campaigns or campaigns targeting adults. Participants addressed the challenges to such campaigns in Europe, steps needed to meet the challenges, and lessons from other regions. Campaigns in Adults: The discussion was kicked off by Plotkin when he commented that it does not look as if campaigns in adults are likely to happen in Europe. Jankovic concurred that it is unlikely that all 53 member states will implement mass campaigns, given different capacities and resources. “With current circumstances, advocacy and social mobilization is probably the only possible approach in some of the countries, but it will take time,” he said. de Quadros commented that he is always surprised to hear in Europe that campaigns cannot be conducted here. “I think that’s considered a defeat before even trying,” he said. Speaking of the experience in the Americas, he said, “In the Americas we had the same thing, ‘Here we cannot vaccinate adults,’ ‘Here we cannot vaccinate males.’ And when we tried, it was possible.” de Quadros encouraged the European Region and leaders in the health field to try, and to be prepared to be surprised when they succeed. Jankovic agreed that for the WHO Europe region, supplemental immunization activities with mass immunization campaigns of susceptible populations are critical to reaching the 2015 elimination target. Andrus underscored the point about sticking to proven strategies. “When embarking on elimination, it requires a different mental approach because if you target a certain year it requires engagement, commitment to deliver, and it’s different than saying control.” Wichmann from Germany said that he is convinced that mass vaccination campaigns are needed by Germany to reach the 2015 elimination goal. He suggested that the subject needs to be taken to a higher level of political debate, perhaps by the ECDC or WHO-EURO bringing it to the EU commission to debate the need for mass vaccination in European countries. He said that such a discussion on the European level could help cement political commitments from countries. Campaigns planned in Europe: Representatives from several European countries spoke to the mass campaigns they currently have planned. • • Beginning 1 March 2012, Denmark will offer free of charge immunization with MMR for all people born after 1974 who were not yet completely immunized; Ireland will be conducting a catch-up campaign in primary and secondary schools with MMR vaccination Learnings from the U.S. experience: O’Flannagan from Ireland, suggested that mass campaigns in Europe might look different from those in Latin America and Caribbean, where vaccinators sometimes went from house to house, and may instead more closely resemble campaigns in the U.S. and Canada. This gave rise to discussion of additional lessons from those countries. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 45 Among the points made: • • • School-based requirements that every child have a documented vaccination history contributed substantially to interrupting endemic transmission for both measles and rubella; A large resurgence of measles in the mid-1990s mobilized the country to address immunization as a top priority, with a commitment from the President to do so; The measles epidemic also led to passage of a law requiring the federal government to pay for vaccines for all poor children in the US Other topics discussed included making use of outbreaks to advance immunization, including through highlighting the health and economic costs of outbreaks. “Make sure that people know that failure to prevent outbreaks actually also implies cost,” one participant said. A number of people commented on the role of the media and ways to shift the public debate. Some urged getting practitioners out in front of the media, and Best pointed out that it was only after the U.K. set up a science media center that the tide began to turn on popular perception of the relationship between vaccines and autism. Regarding equity, a participant pointed out the need for funding campaigns targeted at reaching “pockets” of the unimmunized. “We speak a lot about equity, but we do not address that. We speak about vaccination as a health right, but we do not follow that,” she said. A participant from Israel pointed out that “pockets” of the under- and unimmunized may be as small as 5 percent, or, “It’s 20 percent in one district and zero in another… so you cannot rely on average immunization coverage.” “If I were a politician in Europe, I would want to be able to say, ‘Look, here’s something we’re really fixing,’ rather than kicking the can down the road by borrowing more money.” Louis Cooper, Past President American Academy of Pediatrics 46 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings SESSION VIII: Surveillance Strategies Rubella Surveillance in the European Region of the World Health Organization Dr. Dragan Jankovic, World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe The reason for surveillance is simple: “If I don’t know the dimension of the problem, I cannot fight against it, I cannot advocate to prevent it,” Jankovic said. One of WHO’s key measles and rubella elimination strategies is the strengthening of surveillance, and the best way to accomplish this is through rigorous investigation and laboratory confirmation of suspected sporadic cases and outbreaks. Jankovic said that case-based systems are essential to validate elimination of disease. A good surveillance system is one that can collect, collate and analyze complete data in a timely manner, and create operational information and feedback for implementing response measures. A surveillance system must be able to detect, investigate and characterize sporadic cases and clusters. This involves determining contacts, identifying cause (e.g. importation, failure to vaccinate, or vaccine failure); assessing the sustainability of transmission; identifying populations at risk; and ensuring a public health response. The system’s second objective is to monitor disease incidence and circulation of the virus. This provides vital information for preventive programs and control measures; enables the assessment and documentation of progress toward elimination; identifies changes in risk groups and disease epidemiology; and identifies the virus genotypes in circulation. To effectively contribute to disease elimination, surveillance systems need to be: • • • • Standardized; Comprehensive and countrywide; Sensitive—able to detect all clinical cases of measles and rubella; and Specific—able to confirm diagnosis. Jankovic stressed that every single suspected case has to be connected inside the health system with a unique identification number, or EPID number. This protects personal privacy and avoids potential legal issues, while making all relevant data available to the triad of cooperating experts who need it: clinicians, epidemiologists and laboratory specialists. Despite the importance of case-based surveillance reporting, in 2011 in the WHO European Region, only 28 countries provided it; 10 provided aggregate data and 15 provided no data. Other areas needing improvement are the timeliness and completeness of data and surveillance for CRS. In many countries, surveillance for CRS must also be significantly improved. CRS surveillance systems should allow detection of infants with clinically apparent manifestations of CRS; use standardized reporting; and provide laboratory testing of potential CRS cases. A related goal is the establishment of sentinel site surveillance that captures the majority of infants with suspected CRS. WHO makes all of the surveillance data submitted from throughout the region available on its website, providing feedback to national systems and to the public. WHO provided a range of support to member countries. From the development of case-based reporting tools to support for national reference laboratories and their integration into the Regional Reference Laboratory network. “If I don’t know the dimension of the problem, I cannot fight against it, I cannot advocate to prevent it.” Dragan Jankovic, World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 47 Going forward, Jankovic said that all 53 member states are expected to report measles case-based data by 2012 and rubella case-based data by 2013, provide immunization coverage once a year, and start reporting discarded cases. Ongoing monitoring and evaluation of the performance of surveillance systems is also essential. Ultimately, only high quality and timely data will enable the verification of measles and rubella elimination. Challenge of Timeliness and Completeness 100% %Completeness 90% 80% 70% Measles TARGET 60% 50% %Timeliness 40% 30% 20% 2009 2010 Oct Jul Aug Sep Jun Apr May Mar Jan Feb Dec Oct Nov Sep Jul Aug Jun Apr May Mar Jan Feb Dec Oct Nov Sep Jul Aug Jun Apr May Mar Jan 0% Feb 10% 2011 100% 90% 80% TARGET 70% Rubella %Completeness 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2009 2010 Oct Aug Sep Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Jan %Timeliness Feb 0% 2011 Surveillance performance indicators • Timeliness • Completeness • Lab Confirmation rate • Chains of transmission/outbreaks with genotype dates 48 • Source/origin of infection • Adequacy of investigation Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Congenital Rubella Surveillance Dr. Pat Tookey, National Congenital Rubella Surveillance Programme, Institute of Child Health, UK Data presented by Pat Tookey demonstrated the powerful impact of vaccination on decreasing the number of children born with CRS and the number of pregnancies terminated because of rubella infection. In the United Kingdom, immediately prior to the introduction of MMR there were 30 CRS births and 75 pregnancy terminations a year due to rubella. Following MMR introduction in 1988 there was an immediate reduction in reported births and terminations. In the 2000s, there has been an average of 1 or 2 CR births reported each year. “In the early ‘70s we were seeing 800 to 1,000 pregnancy terminations a year for congenital rubella disease. Now we have fewer than ten a year,” Tookey said. Despite these successes, fifteen years of inadequate MMR uptake still leaves pregnant women vulnerable. In 2011, 2nd dose coverage in England had reached 85 percent by age 5, a significant improvement over years past but below what is required for elimination of both measles and rubella. Tookey explained the UK’s surveillance system for rubella and CR, which involves four major agencies, and has offered antenatal screening of rubella susceptibility for the past 40 years. Tookey’s own organization, the National Congenital Rubella Surveillance Programme which was established in 1971, is currently unfunded. “The financial cuts and the fact that there is hardly any congenital rubella about means that this is no longer seen as a priority, so we are literally running this on nothing at the moment,” she said. The British Pediatric Surveillance Unit (BPSU) has run an active surveillance system for rare conditions of childhood since 1986, and congenital rubella has been included in this system since 1990. It sends a monthly form out to about 3,000 pediatricians across the country. On the form, pediatricians tick off any cases they have seen of CRS or other rare conditions of childhood. The BPSU thus provides comprehensive national coverage and is highly sensitive to changes in birth prevalence of congenital rubella, Tookey said. The International Network of Pediatric Surveillance Units, INoPSU, is similar to BPSU, and has units in many European countries. Across the country, some 95 percent of pregnant women are routinely tested for rubella, and about 4 percent fall below the screening cut-off and require postpartum vaccination; but delivery of postpartum vaccine is very variable, Tookey said A recent study set out to identify who the vulnerable women are. A review of clinical samples from 19,000 infants born to an ethnically diverse population of women in London found that about 2.7 percent of women were likely seronegative. Women from sub-Saharan Africa were four times as likely to be seronegative than women born in the U.K, and South Asian women were five times more likely. Women under 20 were significantly more likely to be negative than women in their early thirties. Surveillance has confirmed that within the UK, rubella susceptibility is especially high in first generation immigrants, and that areas of low vaccine uptake tend to coincide with ethnically mixed areas. The threat of imported cases of infection is ongoing, particularly given the frequency of travel between the UK and immigrants’ countries of origin. Most congenital rubella births in the UK are unexpected, Tookey reported: most diagnosed reported CR infants have typical severe signs, and CRI or non-specific signs (including isolated hearing loss) are unlikely to be diagnosed and reported. Challenges to CRS surveillance include maintaining high quality active surveillance when cases are rare; maintaining awareness of rubella, CR, and importation of infection among health care staff; and lack of agreement on what typical defects associated with CRS should be monitored in situations which rely on sentinel surveillance. Other surveillance challenges lie in detecting the impact of miscarriage, intrauterine death, survival of pre-term or low birth weight infants and termination of pregnancy, the latter being the most common result of rubella infections in early pregnancy. For more information on the International Network of Paediatric Surveillance Units see http://www.inopsu.com. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 49 Surveillance Strategies: Molecular Epidemiology Dr. David Featherstone, Global Measles Laboratory Network and WHO Geneva According to Featherstone, molecular epidemiology can help fill the large gaps in rubella surveillance, playing a role in monitoring progress with rubella control and in verifying elimination. Molecular epidemiology combines genetic sequence data from the laboratory with information from the epidemiologist about case contacts, travel, patient age, vaccination history, location and more. “Marrying this epidemiological data with the sequence information allows us to map transmission pathways, identify possible sources of virus, and assist with the confirmation of true positives.” Oral fluid samples collected for IgM detection to confirm disease can also yield whole virus and virus RNA. Along with serum, oral fluid samples are an important resource for molecular epidemiology. Featherstone emphasized the need to collect baseline genomic data before any acceleration in control that could quickly remove indigenous virus from circulation. This baseline data enables molecular epidemiologists to assess whether outbreaks are from imported or indigenous virus, a determination that informs control strategies and is crucial to verification of elimination. About five to ten samples are needed from every new chain of transmission. The Global Measles Laboratory Network has about 690 labs, with at least one in nearly every country. “There’s a lab near you,” Featherstone said. Together, these labs tested more than 200,000 IgM serum samples in 2011. Today, the rubella database has 1,100 rubella viruses; the measles database has 12,000. Rubella’s 13 genotypes are grouped into two clades. The sequencing work focuses on a discrete section of the genome—the 739 nucleotides of the E1 gene—making the data comparable. The sequence variation of strains within genotypes can vary by 3-4 percent. There are also some clues as to whether a virus is indigenous or imported, Featherstone explained. For example, small outbreaks in low incidence countries with multiple different sequences are likely to be due to importation. A large number of cases with little sequence variability over more than one year are likely to be an endemic strain. To ensure that labs are proficient, the Laboratory Network uses standardized procedures, validated assays and reagents and has a comprehensive training program with regular refresher course. Each year, every national lab gets a proficiency test that consists of 20 samples, and “the pass rate is phenomenal, it’s way over 98 percent,” Featherstone said. Rubella virus surveillance can be challenging. Highlighting the gaps, Featherstone pointed out that, “In the last two years in the European region, we have four countries that have reported genotypes for rubella. Thirty-three countries have reported rubella cases but no sequence information.” More data is needed, the tools and laboratory capacity exists to gather it, and the data is accumulating, Featherstone says. Now, the job is to share it. “No use just getting this data, we need to share the data.” “The lab can do a lot but we can’t tell you everything. We need to get epidemiological information about the case as well.” David Featherstone, Global Measles Laboratory Network 50 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Surveillance of Rubella and CRS in Catalonia Dr. Angela Domínguez, Department of Health, Catalonia, Spain Catalonia is an autonomous region of Spain, with a population of 7.92 million as of July 2011, 16% of whom are immigrants. Domínguez reported on the role of the surveillance system in the region’s largely successful, 10-year program to eliminate rubella and CRS. Catalonia initiated a one-dose rubella vaccine for 11-year-old girls in 1978, a two-dose strategy for girls in 1981, and a two-dose strategy for boys in 1988. By 2002, a seroepidemiological survey showed that 98.9% of males and females were seropositive, demonstrating immunity to rubella. That same year, the Catalonian government decided to take advantage of this positive landscape and the measles elimination program (begun in 1998), to launch a rubella elimination program. Its goal was to eliminate postnatal and congenital rubella by December 31, 2005. The surveillance program’s main activities in this effort included urgent reporting (within 24 hours) of suspected cases by the Epidemiological Surveillance Units of the Department of Health. This allowed follow up of the case and its contacts and collection of clinical samples between 5-21 days after rash. Susceptible contacts of a confirmed case were vaccinated. The Statutory Disease Reporting System required all public and private physicians to report suspected cases of postnatal rubella and congenital rubella based on a standard case definition. The Measles Elimination Program also screened suspect viruses. Meanwhile, the Microbiological Reporting System, encompassing 44 Catalan hospitals covering more than 80 percent of hospital beds reported positive results for rubella IgM antibodies to the Department of Health. From 2002 to 2008, first dose MMR coverage was above 95 percent, dipping just below that in 2010. Second dose coverage reached 95 percent in 2006, then dropped in the following years (although still remaining above 90 percent. The program identified 98 suspected cases of postnatal rubella between 2002 and 2011. This is a low number that suggest some cases may not have been identified, Domínguez said. Of these 98 suspected cases, 39 were confirmed positive. The program closed a large initial gap between the number of suspected and laboratory tested cases, and by 2011, all notified cases were laboratory tested. Four cases of CRS were confirmed over the same time period. This included one case reported in 2008, which was the first indigenous CRS case since 1990. The other three CRS cases were related to temporary stays of the mothers in Morocco and Poland during pregnancy. The two sources providing the largest number of confirmed cases were Urgent Notification, which provided 33 percent of confirmed cases, and the Microbiological Reporting System, which provided 23 percent of confirmed cases. Of the 39 confirmed cases, 21 were imported cases of known origin, all in unvaccinated individuals. Only 50 percent of confirmed cases had received one dose of vaccine and 49 percent of cases were imported or related to an imported case. The age group with the highest incidence was 25-44 years of age. Domínguez noted that surveillance quality is generally high, with just two areas needing improvement: the timeliness of reporting and identification of origin. “In conclusion, in the ten years of the program, the elimination of indigenous congenital rubella was maintained,” Domínguez said. Discussion Participants discussed the need for cultivatable strains of the virus—something not permitted by PCR techniques—in order to determine whether the vaccine strain is protecting against circulating virus (an issue with mumps vaccine). Icenogle replied that while there’s not a huge collection of rubella viruses, there are representative viruses. Some 20 strains from different genotypes have all been tested, and the vaccine remains effective against all of them. Cooper raised a concern about the use of IgM screening in pregnancy because some individuals maintain persistent rubella specific IgM for a long period of time, well past the time of infection. “I’ve been concerned about pregnancy terminations on the basis of positive IgM when they may not have been warranted.” Domínguez suggested the need to distinguish between countries with high prevalence and with low prevalence. She gave the example of Catalonia (Spain), where only a few cases of potential rubella are identified during pregnancy, and where IgM screening is not recommended on a routine basis for pregnant women. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 51 SESSION IX: Issues to be Addressed UNICEF Vaccine Procurement Overview Ms. Selenge Lkhagva, UNICEF Ms. Lkhagva described the UN agency’s vaccine procurement from the points of view of supply and demand, globally, regionally and for Middle Income Countries, focusing on vaccines for measles and rubella. UNICEF’s centralized procurement operation is based in Copenhagen, Denmark, and its supply division secured US$955 million worth of vaccines in 2011 – some 2.47 billion doses. These included traditional and new vaccines, among them vaccines for measles and rubella. The value of UNICEF vaccine procurement began a steep rise in 2001, mainly due to global programs such as polio eradication and measles and tetanus elimination. In addition, UNICEF has been procuring vaccines for GAVI funded vaccine introductions, from pentavalent to the new vaccines such as rotavirus. The total of vaccines procured by UNICEF dropped slightly in 2010, the combined result of some price decreases and India switching to self-procurement. UNICEF plays a minor and supplementary role in vaccine procurement for the European Region, where most of the region buys its own vaccines. “This region is one of the most demanding regions in terms of registration and legal issues, a lot of legal issues, a lot of strict regulations… and very specific preferences on country of origin,” Lkhagva said. Generally speaking, UNICEF successfully complies with these issues. Going forward, UNICEF expects demand to increase as GAVI opens a new support window for countries. “We expect our procurement of MR and MMR—mostly MR—to reach up to 300 million doses of vaccine in 2015,” Lkhagva said. After GAVI-eligible countries carry out catch-up campaigns with MR vaccines, demand for these vaccines is likely to stabilize. As for the supply market, Lkhagva noted that there is a limited global supply for this MR vaccine, given that currently there is only one manufacturer producing pre-qualified vaccine. On the other hand, there is growing global demand, not just from UNICEF, but also from self-procuring countries. “It’s inevitable that UNICEF is in competition with higher margin markets for production capacity because of the limited supply base,” she said. Since 2000, price per dose for UNICEFprocured MR vaccine has increased from a bit over US$0.30 per dose to a bit over US$0.50 in 2011. There are four manufacturers that produce WHO prequalified MMR vaccine. While demand through UNICEF in the past has been low, there is growth potential as more countries tackle rubella. The weight average price of MMR is relatively higher than that for MR, and the scale of procurement has a big impact. In 2011, the average price a single dose was above US$3.50, while for a 5-dose purchase it was just under US$1.00 per dose. In 2011, UNICEF procured vaccine for 56 middle income countries, representing 45 percent of the total vaccine value compared to 2007, when this procurement represented 8 percent of total value. This shift occurred as a result of economic growth by a number of the countries served by UNICEF, and subsequent change in their income classification for countries by the World Bank. “Vaccine Security is the underlining principle of procurement at UNICEF. For this, I would like to highlight the importance of accurate forecasting. In the situation of global competition for a limited supply base, it becomes even more crucial.” Selenge Lkhagva, UNICEF 52 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings This requires efforts on vaccine pricing to ensure financial sustainability. UNICEF is refining its strategy and strengthening its engagement in MICs procurement to reduce inequity in new vaccine introduction, using mechanisms such as “temporary” pooled procurement that supports introduction without replacing existing markets and their transition to selfprocurement. Lkhagva stressed the need for accurate demand forecasting, to ensure a sustained and uninterrupted supply of affordable vaccines in support of the objectives of the Global Measles and Rubella Elimination Programme. UNICEF Procurement of Measles Containing Vaccines for CEE/CIS Countries in 2000 – 2011 30,000,000 25,000,000 Doses 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 MEA 2004 2005 MMR 2006 MR 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 RUBELLA Safety of Rubella and MMR Vaccines Dr. Jan Bonhoeffer, Brighton Collaboration Dr. Bonhoeffer reviewed what is actually known about MMR safety, and contrasted this to public concerns, particularly among parents. He urged the public health community to not only anticipate upcoming issues, but also to be prepared to address them with confidence, backed by robust evidence, and data aggregated across regions as helpful. Looking at data reporting Adverse Events Following Immunization (AEFI), Bonhoeffer noted that fever -- the most commonly reported adverse event – is typically a good thing. “When patients come to my immunization clinics, and they have a question about fever, I congratulate them on the immune system of their kids. Fever is something we expect.” In essence, it shows the vaccine is working. Febrile convulsions, while far less common, are also an expected adverse event for a minority of vaccines. Yet fear of fever is not what keeps parents from vaccinating their children. Vaccine skeptics are more likely to fear consequences that have no evidence of a causal association with MMR vaccines, including autism. Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 53 Bonhoeffer reported on new work by Heidi Larson which categorized coverage of MMR in European media from May 2011 to February 2012 based on issues of concern. Nearly 70 reports were concerned with autism, fewer than three each related to either rash/fever or seizures. “There’s a clear sort of disparity between what the public is concerned about and what the professionals are concerned about,” Bonhoeffer said. “That just goes to show that if we’re not listening to the public, we’ll miss the point and face a headwind for this campaign. We really need to listen closely here.” Bonhoeffer cautioned that what might look like a rare event in routine reporting may suddenly pop up during campaigns as a population level effect. In particular, he pointed out the need for more data on vaccine exposure during pregnancy. He highlighted the need to think ahead regarding catch-up campaigns among adult populations. “It makes sense to prepare for a catch-up campaign in terms of safety, and while there may not be a real concern, it would be very wise for us to have the right data available if public concern arises.” Today, major drivers of vaccine skepticism include: parents’ lack of experience of disease and its complications; continued exposure to second-hand information about autism, creating a kind of “societal theory of risk”; fear of making a wrong decision related to vaccination; and distrust in policy and manufacturers. “What derails immunization programs is not only concern about the vaccine’s safety—most of the issues are actually concerned with the policy changes,” Bonhoeffer said. Disease elimination programs and vaccination campaigns raise two big issues: they represent a change in policy, and a change in recommendation. Therefore, the very launch of a mass campaign can nearly generate a public headwind against it. He argued for engaging the opinionated in discussion, noting that timing is everything. Drawing on experience with measles outbreaks in Switzerland, where vaccine skeptics tend to be members of anthroposophic groups and traditional farmers, Bonhoeffer said, “Particularly with the opinionated people, outbreaks help a lot.” He pointed out that the immediacy of having your own, or a neighbor’s daughter, infected with measles can have a strong effect on people’s theoretical ideas about life. Bonhoeffer said that it is critical to know the main drivers of public trust—and they are healthcare providers, particularly general practitioners. He noted that, “By bringing together public health authorities with pediatric societies, this conference is absolutely right on target. Increasing collaborations and making sure that the message goes out through those who provide pediatric primary care in their respective communities is exactly where we should put our attention.” An important message to convey is to “build confidence in being a good parent with MMR by giving it,” Bonhoeffer said. He summarized main lessons learned thus far from MMR vaccine implementation: Anticipate public concerns; understand the dynamics of “threshold events” to prevent the derailment of programs by public concerns; recognize that communication alone will not stop public mistrust and provide strong evidence to speak with confidence; be ready for rapid, reliable investigation of concerns; and replace small-scale fragmented research with international collaboration and data sharing. “By bringing together public health authorities with pediatric societies, this conference is absolutely right on target. Increasing collaborations and making sure that the message goes out through those who provide pediatric primary care in their respective communities is exactly where we should put our attention.” Jan Bonhoeffer. Brighton Collaboration 54 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Monitoring and assessing vaccine safety – an EU perspective Dr. Kari Johansen, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) Dr. Johansen described the ECDC and its initiative, the Vaccine Adverse Events Surveillance and Communication (VAESCO) Program, launched by the ECDC in 2008. ECDC’s role is to “Identify, asses and communicate current and emerging health threats to human health from communicable diseases.” It carries our EU-level disease surveillance, provides scientific opinions and conducts studies on vaccine effectiveness and safety. Its early warning and response system goes out confidentially to all Ministries of Health in the European Union and other close collaborators. Technical assistance, training, epidemic intelligence, and scientific and public communication are all part of its remit. Its partners include Member States, the European Medicines Agency and the European Commission which has responsibility for risk assessment and management. VAESCO was started in 2008 to improve the EU’s ability to rapidly assess vaccine safety signals. Already in place was a strong signal detection system based on national regulatory agencies that report to the European Medicines Agency. The EMA feeds data into its Eudravigilance database. However, weaknesses in the EU’s readiness to validate and assess vaccine safety signals became apparent 18 months ago with the emergence of a very strong signal on narcolepsy, potentially related to pandemic influenza vaccination. While national immunization registries and clinical outcome databases offer critical data, but they are not sufficient to rapidly assess potential safety signals. VAESCO began as a small network, whose development was accelerated due to the use of new pandemic vaccines. Combining the data of its members, VAESCO has access to information of a pan-European source population of 50 million individuals representing up to 250 million person years. Johansen summarized some of VAESCO’s accomplishments thus far. It has provided proof of concept that data can be linked and shared across country borders. One initial study pooled data from Denmark and the UK using the MMR vaccine and the known adverse event of thrombocytopenic purpura. The project used a special software program to extract relevant data from diverse medical data bases, but the process was cumbersome. Other work has compiled background rates of Guillain-Barré Syndrome, as a baseline to look for possible correlations between GBS incidence and the use of various vaccines in campaigns to protect against pandemic influenza. Johansen summarized the value of EU-wide studies in understanding the potential impacts of the range of different types of vaccines used in the EU, both adjuvant and non-adjuvant; in understanding differences among subpopulations, such as age groups, pregnant women and others; and in understanding possible risk factors outside of the vaccines themselves, such as genetics or concurrent infections. For all of these, only very large sample sizes will have the statistical power to shed light on rare events. Going forward, challenges include linking vaccination registries in more countries, creating infrastructure for epidemiological studies, and securing funding. Johansen noted that the studies are costly, prohibitively so for some countries. Funding is needed as well to improve capacity building. VAESCO will be holding training workshops both with partner countries and non-partner countries, bringing 15 EU member states to Stockholm to share experiences acquired thus far on the project. “We need to link vaccination registries in more countries. We need to create infrastructure for all kinds of epidemiological studies of any vaccine, and we need sustainable models of funding.” Kari Johansen, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 55 Manufacturers Roundtable The roundtable brought together representatives from four vaccine manufacturers: Dr. Suresh Jadhav from the Serum Institute of India, Jonas Vezbergas from GlaxoSmithKline, Barbara Kuter from Merck, and Alla Lobastova from Russia’s Microgen, each of which made brief remarks. The value and purpose of partnerships with manufacturers emerged as a major topic. From the Serum Institutes point of view, “Normally manufacturers are considered as little untouchables in these types of meetings, but as Ciro de Quadros has said… unless you have the ammunition you cannot be in the war.” GlaxoSmithKline highlighted the necessity to partner in the planning phase of mass campaigns, pointing out that only if manufacturers know what is coming can they plan vaccine production to meet upcoming needs. “The worst thing is when a country is coming to us and saying we need the vaccine next week,” Vezbergas said. Merck suggested that vaccine manufacturers could be partners in three regards: planning partners to ensure the availability of vaccine when and where it’s needed; research partners to identify and address outstanding questions regarding vaccines; and communications partners, whether in training the media or putting together educational programs for broadcast. Company representatives also highlighted aspects of their company’s vaccine manufacturing: • • • • The Serum Institute of India manufactures about 900 million vaccine doses a year, supplying them to various countries including India. It supplies about 70-75% of the DPT and MMR vaccines needed by UNICEF and PAHO, and supplied more than 85% of the vaccine that was used for the elimination of measles and rubella in the PAHO region. GlaxoSmithKline distributes about 80% of its production to developing countries. It has longstanding contracts with UNICEF for polio vaccine, and has a commitment to rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccination. It also produces and supplies MMR vaccine. Merck brought the first MMR vaccine to licensure. Microgen, a Russian state-run company, has developed and licensed its own vaccine against rubella, having recently produced about 4.5 million doses for the national immunization schedule. Microgen produces more than 300 medicines, 70% of them vaccines. It has 14 manufacturing plants and a workforce of over 6,000 specialists. Other vaccines produced include DTP, hepatitis, BCG, and influenza. Discussion Much discussion centered on the need for accurate forecasts in order for industry to reliably meet demand; on questions of supply and demand; and on issues of communication. The Serum Institute is the world’s only supplier of MR vaccine, and de Quadros asked about its manufacturing capacity for this vaccine. Jadhav reported that its annual capacity is now between 150 to 200 million doses of MR. However, demand for MR is expected to increase, as 30 countries may be adding MR to their schedule. At the same time, demand of measles vaccine will go down. The Serum Institute produces 400 million doses a year of measles vaccine, and has been for the last five to six years. Kim Thompson voiced concern about strategies for product development which drive inventories down. “How do you foresee a negotiation around creating excess stockpiles playing out in the upper levels with pressure in inventory and your annual reporting?” he asked. Vezbergas reiterated that the most essential issue is one of communication around accurate forecasting. “If we are getting good information from our customers or our partners on what is the future demand, then we can increase our inventory as well,” he said. Kuter suggested that either European countries or the ECDC should have standard vaccine stockpiles, as a safeguard, as the CDC does. Cooper raised the issue of communications and perceptions of industry, noting that many vaccine opponents allege that the real purpose behind vaccination campaigns is for companies to sell more vaccines. “How we define our relationships in ways that demonstrate the integrity of our relationships will be one of our challenges, especially in some of the countries in this region who clearly could use more aggressive immunization programs.” 56 Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Thompson asked what industry needs from its public health partners, especially regarding issues of communication. “When issues of communication come up, everybody expects you to defend yourselves, but also questions your integrity because you have financial stakes,” he said. Kuter suggested that a rapid response team be put together as a joint forum for manufacturers, the ECDC, CDC, WHO and regulatory agencies to be able to coordinate when urgent issues come up. Concluding Remarks Speaking on behalf of WHO, Dr. Peter Strebel thanked all the member states of the European Region for “being so frank and open… sharing with us the successes you’ve had with measles and rubella elimination, but also sharing the problems…. Just acknowledging the problems is the start of success,” he said. Dr. Strebel extended a warm thanks on behalf of WHO-EURO to the organizers: Ciro de Quadros, the Sabin Vaccine Institute and their partners. He spoke of the inspiration of being in the room with the “giants of measles and rubella vaccination,” people like Sam Katz, Stanley Plotkin, Lou Cooper, Jenny Best, Pat Tookey, and Lilianne Grangeot-Keros. Noting it is just three and a half years before the target date of rubella elimination in the region, “I think we can do it,” he said. “So let’s try.” Dr. Ciro de Quadros thanked his colleagues in the Organizing Committee, among them Maria Grazia Revello, who was the inspiration for the meeting. He congratulated the participants for their commitment. Addressing all in attendance, he said, “A few years from now, I hope not too many years, when Europe is completely free of measles and rubella, all of your names will be in the history of that. When Europe eliminates measles and rubella, it’s no doubt that it’s because of you. You are the ones that will make the change.” Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 57 Speakers Jon Andrus Pan American Health Organization United States Jenny Best Kings College London United Kingdom Jan Bonhoeffer Brighton Collaboration Foundation Switzerland Louis Cooper Columbia University United States Irja Davidkin Ministry of Health Finland Ciro de Quadros Sabin Vaccine Institute United States Angela Dominguez University of Barcelona Spain Isabelle du Chatelet Institut de Veille Sanitaire France Nedret Emiroglu World Health Organization Denmark Helen Evans GAVI Alliance Swizerland David Featherstone World Health Organization Swizerland Liliane Grangeot-Keros National Reference Laboratory for Rubella France Nicole Guérin Pédiatrie tropicale France Wlodzimierz Gut Ministry of Health Poland Joe Icenogle Centers for Disease Control and Prevention United States Dragan Jankovic World Health Organization Denmark Kari Johansen Swedish Institute for Infectious Disease Control Sweden Samuel Katz Duke University United States Andreas Konstantopoulos European Pediatric Association Greece 58 Barbara Kuter Merck United States Selenge Lkhagva UNICEF Mongolia Alla Lobastova Microgen Russian Federation Pierluigi Lopalco ECDC Sweden Leyla Namazova Scientific Center of Children‘s Health Russian Federation Stanley Plotkin Univerity of Pennsylvania United States Maria Grazia Pompa Ministy of Health Italy Susan Reef Centers for Disease Control and Prevention United States Maria Grazia Revello Ministry of Health Italy Stefania Salmaso Ministy of Health Italy Peter Strebel World Health Organization Switzerland Jadhav Suresh Serum Institute of India Ltd. India Pat Tookey University College London United Kingdom Olga Tsvirkun Ministry of Health Russian Federation Vytautas Usonis Vilnius University Centre of Paediatrics Lithuania Jonas Vezbergas GlaxoSmithKline Belgium Emilia Vynnycky Health Protection Agency United Kingdom Laura Zimmermann Centers for Disease Control and Prevention United States Progress Toward Rubella Elimination And CRS Prevention in Europe Proceedings Delegates Annalisa Agangi Italy Ashot Davidyants Armenia Joldosh Kalilov Kyrgyzstan Juan Picazo Spain Maral Aksakova Turkmenistan Eleonora De Ponti Italy Nino Kandelaki Georgia Giulia Piccirilli Italy Luisa Almeida Santos Italy Silvia Declich Leva Kantsone Latvia Ivan Pristas Croatia Michael Katz United States Roman Prymula Czech Republic Richard Keros France Oystein Riise Norway Terhi Kilpi Finland Maria Cristina Rota Italy Tiziana Lazzarotto Italy Angela Santoni Italy Aurora Limia Spain Evelyne Sauty France Goranka Loncarevic Serbia Guido Scalia Italy Marianne Louis-Tisserand Belgium Wilhem Sedlak Austria Alessandra Macari Italy Brian C. Shaw United States Fabio Magurano Italy Veranika Shymanovich Belarus Gregory Maine United States Kai Soop Estonia Kazi Mamun Bangladesh Emma Spranzi Italy Annette Mankertz Germany Theodora Stavrou Greece Stéphane Martin Belgium Chen Stein-Zamir Israel Dorothea Matysiak-Klose Germany Leszek Szenborn Poland Joseph Meyongo Okala Cameroon Shahina Tabassum Bangladesh Jan Mikas Slovakia Hariram Thacker Naveenkumar India Lidia Mladenova Georgieva Bulgaria Kimberly Thompson United States Susanne Modrow Germany Alberto Eugenio Tozzi Italy Emanuele Montomoli Italy Francesco Trotta Italy Mick Mulders Denmark Veronika Ucakar Slovenia Darina O’Flanagan Brown Ireland Ingrid Urbancikova Slovakia Elisabetta Pandolfi Italy Kirsti Vainio Norway Jonathan Pearman Switzerland Paula Valente Portugal Catherine Peckham United Kingdom Christelle Vauloup-Fellous France Marcello Pellegrino Italy Ole Wichmann Germany Elena Pfaffenrot Switzerland Robyn Wood France Peter Anderson Denmark Andrey Demin Russian Federation Lucie Deprez France Tamar Dolakidze Georgia Valentina Anró Italy Tiiu Aro Estonia Melissa Baggeri Italy Diana Bastinac Bosnia and Herzegovina Daniela Bernasconi Italy Sivia Bino Albania Arianna Boiani Italy Ralf Bollhagen Germany Antonio Boniolo Italy Marie - Claude Bonnet France Blenda Böttiger Denmark Victoria Bucov Republic of Moldova Wilma Buffolano Italy Antoneata Bukasa United Kingdom Margaret Burgess Australia Sergio Cabral Brazil Etelvina Calé Portugal Ana Flavia Carvalho United States Flaminia Cassiani Italy Jitka Castkova Czech Republic Stella Cerri Italy Maka Chachanidze Georgia Todor Chernev Bulgaria Daniela Chialant Italy Alya Dabbagh Switzerland Paola Falconieri Italy Berit Feiring Norway Patrizia Felicetti Italy Teresa Fernandes Portugal Laura Ferrara Italy Antonietta Filia Italy Radosveta Filipova Ivanova Bulgaria Marianne Forsgren Sweden Claudia Fortuna Italy Jean-Francois Fougere Switzerland Barbara Francis Australia Graça Freitas Portugal Milena Furione Italy Claudio Galli Italy Cristina Giambi Italy Georgia Gioula Greece Steffen Glismann Belgium Simone Graf Switzerland Adnike Grange Nigeria Rami Grifat Israel Fabienne Heskia France Didier Hue Belgium Stefania Iannazzo Italy Lia Jabidze Georgia Rome, Italy, 8-10 February 2012 59
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