04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:51 pm Page 1217 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH VOLUME NUMBER PAGES ‒ Modeling of copepods with links to circulation models WOLFGANG FENNEL INSTITUT FÜR OSTSEEFORSCHUNG WARNEMÜNDE AN DER UNIVERSITÄT ROSTOCK, D- WARNEMÜNDE, GERMANY CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: [email protected] An important step towards realistic models of the marine ecosystem is the coupling of biological and circulation models. While the modelling of the lower trophic levels has made progress in the last years the description of stage-resolving zooplankton is still in a preliminary state. The paper presents a zooplankton model which includes the lower trophic levels of the food web and which can be embedded in a circulation model in a consistent manner. The model has two sets of zooplankton state variables, the biomass and number of individuals of the stages. The model is used to simulate rearing tank experiments under constant environmental conditions. A link to oceanic conditions, with coupling to the lower levels of the food web and annual variations of temperature, is studied by a simple box model version. As the ‘modelcopepod’ we choose Pseudocalanus, but the model can be applied to other species in a straightforward way. I N T RO D U C T I O N An important step towards a theoretical understanding and quantitative description of the responses of a marine ecosystem to physical forcing or nutrient input can be achieved by realistic models that couple chemical– biological models and ocean circulation models. This paper aims at a consistent formulation of a stage resolving zooplankton model, which can directly be integrated in physical circulation models. For the General Circulation Models, (GCMs), the model equations follow directly from fundamental principles, such as conservation of momentum, energy and mass. The model equations are the mathematical formulation of fundamental laws. The development of the GCMs is an ongoing process but it can be said, in a somewhat simplified manner, that problems in running GCMs concern the parameterizations of sub-grid processes, treatment of open boundaries, and the availability of proper data sets for initialization and atmospheric forcing. The biological models require parameterizations of sub-grid processes as well as proper initialization and forcing data, e.g. external nutrient input. Although the biological processes have to obey the conservation laws of mass and energy, the model equations do not follow from these laws, as occurs in physics. Thus, it is a theoretical challenge to find the right mathematical formulations which govern the chemical–biological dynamics. Model equations describe the change of state variables © Oxford University Press 2001 in time and space driven by physical, chemical and biological processes. The state variables must be well-defined quantities, such as biomass per unit volume or numbers of individuals per unit volume, which in principle can be measured. The processes that drive the changes of the state variables must be formulated mathematically in a consistent manner by translating observations into formulas. Many marine ecosystem models are focused on the dynamics of nutrients and phytoplankton, while zooplankton grazing is often accounted for implicitly as mortality of phytoplankton [see (Fransz and Verhagen, 1985; Stigebrandt and Wulff, 1987; Pinazo et al., 1996; Humborg et al., 1999]. Other approaches consider the zooplankton biomass as one integrated state variable, which applies grazing pressure on the phytoplankton. The feedback to the lower trophic levels is established by lossrates, e.g. respiration, excretion and mortality, which transfer material to detritus, which in turn is recycled to the nutrient pool [see (Wroblewski, 1977; Aksnes and Lie, 1990; Fasham et al., 1990; Broekhuizen et al., 1995; Fennel and Neumann, 1996; Neumann, 2000]. These models were applied to study fluxes of matter among the state variables to understand and quantify carbon fluxes in the ocean, to study eutrophication in coastal seas, or to look at the mesoscale distribution of nutrients and plankton in response to the circulation patterns. The obvious success of these models indicates that simplification by parameterizations of unresolved processes must be possible to a certain extent. 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:51 pm Page 1218 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH VOLUME Nevertheless, there are many problems which require a more detailed description of the variations of zooplankton including growth, development and reproduction as well as the feedback to the lower and higher levels of the food web. For example, studies of the recruitment success involve state-resolving descriptions of zooplankton in order to address size-selective feeding of larvae and juvenile and adult fish. Models of zooplankton biomass including several species and stages have been developed by Vinogradov et al. (Vinogradov et al., 1972). Stage-resolving population models were used by Wroblewski (Wroblewski, 1982) and by Lynch et al. (Lynch et al., 1998). A link of population models with individual growth has been proposed (Carlotti and Sciandra, 1989) and individual-based modelling of population dynamics has been considered (Batchelder and Miller, 1989; Miller and Tande, 1993). An overview of existing zooplankton models was recently given by Carlotti et al. (Carlotti et al., 2000). In this paper we propose a consistent stage-resolving description of zooplankton in a chemical–biological model which can be embedded in an ocean circulation model, where the feedback to lower trophic levels is included. The explicit description of this feedback is important in the study of, for example, effects of food quality and it provides a formal check of the model performance by checking the conservation of mass. The paper is structured as follows. In the next section a brief outline of existing population models, which are coupled to GCMs, is given. An alternative stage-resolving biomass model is then described. This model is then used for simulations of rearing tank experiments and more complex box models and discussions and conclusions are presented in the final section. P O P U L AT I O N M O D E L S O F ZOOPLANKTON We will briefly review two models which are coupled, or intended to be coupled, with circulation models. For the integration of a model into a GCM it is important to keep the number of state variables, and hence the number of evolution equations, small and to avoid explicit memory terms as in delayed equations, because the number of stored time steps must be small. However, we will not discuss types of models where copepods are just drifting particles (strongly reduced biology) or vector-population models (complex biology), which are difficult to link with GCMs. Stage-resolving population models Basically the dynamics of zooplankton is governed by both universal and species-specific aspects. For a general NUMBER PAGES ‒ discussion we look first at the universal aspects, such as growth, development and reproduction. For simplicity we look at a model of only four stages of a ‘model-copepod’. Thus we merge several stages into some state variables and formulate dynamic equations for the numbers of individuals per unit volume of eggs (Ne), nauplii (Nn), copepodites (Nc) and adults, (Na). We assume that the numbers of individuals per unit volume are high enough that the state variables behave like continuous functions and, hence, the dynamics can be expressed by differential equations. Then the population model, expressed by a set of equations of the state variables of the ‘model-copepod’ can be written as: d N =Q -T N - N e en e e e dt e (1) d N =T N - N -T N en e n n nc n dt n d N =T N - Z -T N nc n c c ca c dt c d N =T N - N ca a a a dt a (2) (3) (4) The change of the state variables is biologically driven by a source-term, Qe, describing the numbers of new eggs per day, by transfer rates, Ti,i+1, for the stage development, and mortalities, µi. The transfer rates, Ti,i+1 may be prescribed by inverse stage duration as given by Belehradek expressions. Such an approach was, for example, used to couple zooplankton dynamics and physical processes (Wroblewski, 1982; Gupta et al., 1994; Lynch et al., 1998). Both the egg rate, Qe, and the mortalities, µi, have to be prescribed in a plausible way. We note that the time differentiation in equations (1) to (4) is an Eulerian one and stands symbolically for an advection–diffusion equation, which defines the interface of the biological model and the circulation model, i.e. d = 2 + v $ d - A dt 2t where v is the advection and A the diffusion coefficient. This type of model can easily be integrated into circulation models but the dynamic linkage to the lower parts of the food web is missing. The dynamics of the total number of individuals, Ntot = ∑iNi, follows by adding the equations (1) to (4). Assuming the same mortality for all stages we find d N = Q - N e tot dt tot The total number is basically controlled by the egg production as source term and by mortality as loss term, while the transfer terms cancel. Since the number of individuals is not subject to a conservation law as, e.g. the 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1219 W. FENNEL COPEPOD MODELING AND CIRCULATION conservation of mass, there is no constraint which can be used to check the model consistency in a simple way. Population models linked to individual growth A model which integrates the mean individual properties and the population dynamics was developed (Carlotti and Sciandra, 1989). This theory is based on the equations for the numbers of individuals per unit volume, similar to equations (1) and (4) in conjunction with the evolution of the mean individual mass, m which obeys equations of the type d m (t ) = (g (t ) - l (t )) mp , i i i dt i (5) where gi prescribes growth through ingestion and li losses through egestion and excretion of stage I, and p is an allometric exponent. The transfer and mortality rates are controlled by the metabolism of the ‘mean individual’. As their central hypothesis Carlotti and Sciandra assume that the transfer from one stage to the next one is controlled by the molting mass (Carlotti and Sciandra, 1989). A transfer to the next stage occurs only if the critical molting mass, Xi, is approached. The transfer among the stages is not prescribed by data but is controlled by growth, which is computed by the model. The transfer is not continuous but occurs only if the corresponding molting mass is reached. The full set of model equations is rather complex and involves a large number of control parameters [for a detailed description see (Carlotti and Sciandra, 1989; Carlotti and Nival, 1992]. This model is particularly successful in simulating experiments in rearing tanks under well-defined conditions. Attempts to couple this type of model to a onedimensional water column model were presented within an Eulerian approach (Carlotti and Radach, 1996) and with a Lagrangian ensemble theory (Carlotti and Wolf, 1998). However, the mean individual mass, which is defined as biomass divided by the number of individuals, obeys an evolution equation (5) only for coherent cohorts. Hence the mean individual mass is not in general a good choice of a state variable and a consistent integration of this model into a GCM model could be very difficult. A S TAG E - R E S O LV I N G B I O M A S S MODEL As an alternative way to achieve a consistent model description for copepods we propose a stage-resolving biomass model. The model employs the concept of critical molting masses of Carlotti and Sciandra (Carlotti and Sciandra 1989). We include five stages of the model-copepod: eggs, nauplii, copepodites 1 and 2, and adults. We merge the nauplii stages into one stage variable ‘model-nauplii’. Similarly we merge the copepodites I to III, and IV to V into the state variables ‘model-copepodites 1 and 2’, respectively. The corresponding biomass-variables per unit of volume are Ze, Zn, Zc1, Zc2 and Za. The corresponding numbers of individuals per unit of volume are Ne, Nn, Nc1, Nc2 and Na. All these state variables are related to a population density function, (m, t), which describes the distribution of individuals as a function of mass, m, and time, t. Thus (m, t)dm is the number of individuals in the interval (m, m + dm) at time t. The total zooplankton biomass and the total number of individuals are Xa Z tot = #m (m) mdm (6) e and Xa #m (m) mdm N tot = (7) e where me is the mass of eggs and Xa is the maximum mass of matured adults. For a certain stage, i, where m is confined to the interval Xi-1 ≤ m ≤ Xi, the biomass, Zi, and number of individuals, Ni, are Xi Zi= #X (m) mdm (8) (m) dm (9) i - 1 and Xi Ni= #X i - 1 Owing to the growth of the individuals the distribution density (m, t) may propagate along the m-axis with the ‘propagation speed’, dm , which is controlled by growth dt (grazing minus losses) according to d m (t ) = (g (t ) - l (t )) m i i i dt i (10) This equation corresponds to equation (5). However, we have avoided a broken allometric exponent, i.e. p = 1, and choose instead stage-dependent rates, which are described below, see equation (25). An important observable quantity is the stage duration time, Di, which can be calculated by integration of equation (10) with the initial condition m = Xi – 1 for t = 0 t m i (t) = X i - 1 exp ( # dt [g i (t) - l i (t)]) 0 or, for t = Di, Di m (D i ) = X i = X i - 1 exp ( # dt [g i (t) - l i (t)]) 0 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1220 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH VOLUME NUMBER PAGES ‒ d N = - N - n n nc dt n en d N = - N - nc c c c c dt c d N = - N - c c c c c a dt c d N = - N c a a a dt a Here, Xi is the molting mass, of the stage under consideration, while Xi–1 is the molting mass of the preceding stage. Thus, the stage duration is implicitly given by 1 1 #0 Di X dt [g i (t) - l i (t)) = ln ( X i ) i-1 2 For strictly constant conditions as, for example, in a rearing experiment we find X D i = g 1- l ln ( X i ) i-1 i i (11) Due to the mortality, µ, the magnitude of the distribution density (m, t ) will decrease with time. Thus the total change in time is d =- dt (12) Xi #X [ i - 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 d (m) m + (m) dm ] dm dt dt (13) = (g i - l i - i ) Z i #X i - 1 g i (P ) = i (1 - exp (- I i P 2 )) f (Z i /N i , X i ) d (m) dm dt (14) = i N i If the transfer among the stages is included, then the equation set for the stage-dependent biomass is explicitly d Z =T Z -T Z - Z ae a en e e e dt e (16) 1 d Z = T Z + (g - - l ) Z - T Z (17) nc n c c c c c c c dt c 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 d Z = T Z + (g - - l ) Z - T Z (18) c c c c c c c c a c dt c 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 d Z = T Z + (g - - l ) Z - T Z c a c a a a a ae a dt a 2 (24) 2 2 (19) The dynamics of the biological stage variables is controlled by the following process-rates: transfer rate to the next stage, Ti,i+1 grazing rate, gi, loss rate, li, mortality rate µi where i = (e, n, c1, c2, a). The rates are explained in detail below. The corresponding equations for the number of individuals are similar to equations (1) to (4), d N = - N - ae e e en dt e (25) where P is the food concentration, i.e. phytoplankton, the Ii values are stage-dependent Ivlev-constants, and f is a Fermi function, which is explained below. The maximum grazing rate, i, depends on the temperature. We choose an Eppley factor, i = b i exp (aT) (15) d Z = T Z + (g - - l ) Z - T Z en e n n n n nc n dt n 1 (23) The grazing rates prescribe the amount of ingested food per day in relation to the biomass. Thus, in general, the lower stages have higher grazing rates than the higher stages. Only for declining resources it is assumed that the higher stages have an advantage due to higher mobility to capture food. These features are formulated in terms of a modified Ivlev formula, 2 dN i = dt (22) The death rates, µi, are the same as in the equation set (15) to (19). The transfer rates, i,i+1 are closely related to the Ti,i+1. For the model simulations we have to specify our modelspecies. As model-copepod we choose in particular Pseudocalanus, which is described in detail in a previously published review article (Corkett and McLaren, 1978). and Xi (21) Grazing rates The dynamic equations for Zi and Ni follow from equations (10) and (12), apart from the transfer terms among the stages, which are ignored here for simplicity, as dZ i = dt (26) with a = 0.063(ºC)–1. The numerical values of the parameters are listed in Table I. The decrease of bi for the higher stages reflects that higher stages with more biomass ingest a smaller amount of food, expressed as percentage of the body mass, than the lower stages, while the increasing Ivlev constants reflect the advantage of higher stages at low food levels, see Figure 1 (upper panel). The function f(Zi/Ni,Xi) in equation (25) is a stagedependent filter function, (low-pass filter), which makes sure that the growth decreases if the mean individual mass Zi/Ni reach the maximum mass, Xi, of the corresponding stage and may molt to the next stages. We choose a Fermifunction, which provides a representation of the stepfunction with a smooth transition. f (Z i /N i , X i ) = (20) 1 1 + exp c X (Z i /N i - X i ) m i (27) 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1221 W. FENNEL COPEPOD MODELING AND CIRCULATION Table I: Grazing rates Stage bi = I (0ºC)d–1 I (10º;C)d–1 I (15ºC)d–1 Nauplii 0.5 0.93 1.3 2.5 Copepodites 1 0.35 0.66 0.9 4.7 Copepodites 2 0.25 0.47 0.64 7 Adults 0.12 0.22 0.31 10.1 I2i 10–3mmolC–2m6 Fig. 1. Top panel, grazing rates as functions of the available food for T = 10ºC. For the lower stages the ratio of ingested food to body mass is larger than for the higher stages. At food shortage the higher stages are better in catching food due to a higher mobility. Bottom panel, Fermifunctions with properties of low pass and high pass filter f (Zi/Ni, Xi) (solid) and f (< m >I, Zi/Ni) (dash-dot), respectively, to control the development, for i = c2. The function (27) provides, in a statistical sense, the link of the individual level to the bulk state variables. The function is activated, i.e. different from unity, if the mean individual mass, Zi/Ni, of a stage approaches the molting mass Xi, see Figure 1 (lower panel). The mass parameters listed in Table II were derived from data of the Baltic Sea (Hernroth, 1985). Loss rates The ingested food is partly used for growth and partly for the metabolism of the animals. We assume (Corkett and McLaren, 1978) that 35% of the ingestion is lost as egestion, 10% as excretion and 10% by respiration. Moreover, about 15% of the ingestion is assumed to be needed for the molting processes. These losses are expressed by the rates li = 0.7 gi (P,T), for (i = n, c1, c2). For the adults we assume la = 0.8 ga (P,T). Transfer rates In order to formulate the development we need a prescription of the transfer of one stage to the next. To this end we adopt the ideas in Carlotti and Sciandra and use a critical molting mass, Xi, for the nauplii and copepodites to describe the transfer (Carlotti and Sciandra, 1989). The stages are characterized by a mass-interval between the previous and the actual molting masses, see Table II. The transfer rates, Ti,i+1, are defined as Ti,i+1 = gif (<m>i, Zi/Ni) (28) 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1222 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH VOLUME NUMBER PAGES ‒ Table II: Mass parameters Egg mass me = 0.1 µgC Stage Molting-mass Maturation-mass Mean-mass Nauplii Xn = 0.3µgC – < m >n = 0.22 µgC Copepodites 1 Xc1 = 0.8 µgC – < m >c1 = 0.6 µgC Copepodites 2 Xc2 = 2 µgC – < m >c2 = 1.6 µgC Adults – Xa = 3 µgC < m >a = 2.6 µgC where gi is the grazing rate and f (< m >I, Zi/Ni) is again a filter function (high-pass filter), which makes sure that the transfer to the next stage starts not before the mean individual mass, Zi/Ni, exceeds a certain value <m>i. Note the following property of the Fermi-functions f(x,y) = 1 – f (y,x). In order to define the parameter < m >i, we choose a massvalues somewhat smaller than the corresponding molting, see Figure 1 (lower panel). The corresponding transfer-rates for the number of individuals follows as i,i+1 =Ti,i+1Zi/Xi (29) We note that the use of the filter functions in the grazingrates, equation (25), and in the transfer-rates, equations (28) and (29), implies that two sets of state variables, the biomasses and the number of individuals, are needed. Reproduction The rate of reproduction describes the egg production of the female adults after reaching the maturation mass. This is a transfer rate from adults to eggs. We assume that half of the adults are female and 30% of the ingested food is transferred into egg biomass. T ae = ( 12 ) 0.3g i (30) Then the number of new eggs per day is given by ea = T ae Z a /m e (31) This approach respects that the egg-rate depends on food availability and temperature, here through the grazing rates, but ignores the discontinuous release of clutches of eggs with time intervals of a couple of days [see e.g. (Hirche et al., 1997)]. The transfer from eggs to nauplii (hatching) is set by the embryonic duration, about 10 days, for low temperatures, (Corkett and McLaren, 1978). The effect of temperature is accounted for by an Eppley factor, Ten = h (T – T0) exp(a(T – T0) with h = 0.124, T0 = 2.5ºC and (x) being the step-function (x), = 1 for x > 0 and (x) = 0 for x < 0. Thus only for temperatures exceeding 2.5ºC do the model eggs hatch to model-nauplii. Mortality and overwintering Since the model food chain is truncated at the level of the model zooplankton the mortality involves death rates and predation by planktivorous fish. The choice of the mortality rate is difficult because the basic factors are poorly known. In the literature, stage-dependent mortalities with some seasonal variation are often used (Gupta et al., 1994). The typical orders of magnitude (per day) vary from µ ~ 0.01 . . . 0.1d–1. In our model we choose constant mortality rates for eggs and model-nauplii, µe = 0.2d–1 and µn = 0.033d–1. Since constant rates for all stages are certainly an oversimplification we relate the mortality of the copepodites and adults to a time-dependent function, which is proportional to a constant minus the normalized length of the day, d(t), which is shown in Figure 2. Thus µc1 = µc2 = 0.1 (1 – d(t) ) d–1 and µa = 0.05 (1 – d(t) ) d–1. Since d(t) varies between 0.2…0.8 we have µc1 = µc2 = 0.02…0.08d–1 and µa = 0.01…0.04d–1. This choice is motivated by the low abundance in autumn and winter as reported from the Baltic Monitoring Programme [HELCOM, 1996), P. 96]. It is assumed that only the adult stages overwinter. Due to mortality the state variables go to zero during the winter. In order to mimic the overwintering we assume that the mortality of the adults vanishes below a threshold of Za ≤ 0.3 mmol C m–3. Phytoplankton, nutrients and detritus We include a very simple model of the lower trophic levels with the state variables: limiting nutrients (NDIN), phytoplankton (P ) and detritus (D). d N =- M (N DIN ) P + l PN P + L ZN Z dt DIN (33) + l DN D + Q ext (32) DIN DIN DIN d P = M (N DIN ) P - G (P) Z - P P - l PN P dt DIN (34) 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1223 W. FENNEL COPEPOD MODELING AND CIRCULATION Fig. 2. Annual cycle of the temperature and normalized length of the day at 54º N. d D=L Z-l ZD DN dt DIN D + P P - Q ext The uptake is controlled by a modified Michaelis–Menten Formula 2 M (N DIN ) = G (P) Z = ! g i (P ) Z i , (35) rN DIN 2 . 2 + N DIN The role of the daylight is included qualitatively in the rate r by means of an astronomical standard formula of the normalized length of the day for temperate latitudes, = 54ºN, see Figure 2. The effect of temperature is included by an Eppley factor in r. Moreover, as a crude reflection of mixed layer formation we set r to zero for temperatures below 2.5ºC, i.e. i where i = (n, c1, c2, a). The rate lDNDIN prescribes the recycling of detritus to nutrients, see Table III. The mortality rate, µp, prescribes the transfer of phytoplankton to detritus including a crude approach for sinking, while lPNDIN describes how much phytoplankton biomass is transferred directly to nutrients through respirational losses. Finally, the rate Qext prescribes an external input of nutrients. In Table III the numerical values of the various parameters are listed in carbon units, where the Redfield ratio, C/N = 106:16, is assumed. E X P E R I M E N TA L S I M U L AT I O N S r = rmax(T – T0)d(t) exp(aT ) The loss rates LZNDIN and LZD describe how much biomass of the different stages of the zooplankton is transferred to nutrients, NDIN, and detritus, D. L ZN Z = !l i Z i , DIN i L ZD Z = ! i Z i , In the preceding section we have constructed the model by defining state-variables, constructing the dynamic equations and formulation of the processes. The modelcopepod is characterized by tables of mass-intervals and process-parameters, see Tables I and II. We used values corresponding to Pseudocalanus, but the changes for other species and modified sets of state variables can readily be made. Rearing tanks i while G(P)Z represents the loss of phytoplankton due to grazing of the different stages of the model-copepod. We start with a simulation of the development of a cohort of eggs in a rearing tank with constant food and 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1224 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH VOLUME NUMBER PAGES ‒ Table III: phytoplankton model Parameter Meaning Numerical value LDNDIN recycling D to N 0.01 exp (aT) d–1 µp mortality 0.02 d–1 lPNDIN transfer P to N 0.1 M (NDIN) rmax maximum uptake 0.5 d–1 2 half-saturation 40 mmol C2m–6 Qext nutrient-input 0.2 d(t) mmol C m–3 d–1 temperature condition. To this end we integrate the model equations (15)–(19) and (20)–(24) with the initial conditions at t0 = 0, Zi = 0 and Ni = 0 for i = (n, c1, c2, a) and Ze = 0.03mmolCm-3 and Ne = Ze/megg. First we consider the case of no reproduction. The results are shown in Figures 3–5. The development of eggs to adults is shown for the stage-resolving biomass, Figure 3, as well as for the stage-resolving number of individuals, Figure 4. Without reproduction (no new eggs) the biomass accumulates eventually in the adult stage. The control of the high pass filters in the transfer-rates, equations (28) and (29), can clearly be recognized in Figures 3 and 4. Owing to the overlapping of the high- and low-pass filters the transition between the stages is relatively smooth. The duration times of the stages can be estimated from Figures 3 and 4. A full generation time, i.e. the development of eggs to mature adults, takes about 30 days. The development of the i-th stage to the next stage occurs when the mean individual mass, Zi/Ni, approaches the molting mass, Xi. The total number of individuals, Ntot, decreases while the total biomass, Ztot, and the mean individual mass, mmean = Ztot/Ntot, increase, see Figure 5. Thus, in this case, the evolution of the mean individual mass can be used to describe the dynamics of the model zooplankton [as in (Carlotti and Sciandra, 1989; Carlotti and Nival, 1992)]. Next, we repeat the simulation but with reproduction. Then we find a similar development as in the previous case until the adults start to lay eggs. After the onset of reproduction there is a clear increase in the number of individuals and the biomass of the model zooplankton as shown in Figures 6–8. Now the time-evolution of the Fig. 3. Stage resolving simulation of the zooplankton biomass in a rearing tank without reproduction. 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1225 W. FENNEL COPEPOD MODELING AND CIRCULATION Fig. 4. Stage resolving simulation of the abundance in a rearing tank without reproduction. Fig. 5. Total zooplankton biomass (top panel), numbers of individuals (middle panel) and mean individual mass (bottom panel), without reproduction. mean individual mass cannot be used to describe the system in a non-ambiguous way. For example, the mean individual mass of the population, Ztot/Ntot, decreases after the onset of reproduction, because the number of eggs with small mass increases. The mean individual mass is no longer related to a more or less coherent cohort but the mean value of all stages which exists at the same time. 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1226 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH VOLUME NUMBER PAGES ‒ Fig. 6. Stage resolving simulation of the zooplankton biomass in a rearing tank with reproduction. Fig. 7. Stage resolving simulation of the abundance in a rearing tank with reproduction. Simulation of biennial cycles in a box-model After the preceding simulations under the constant environmental conditions of rearing tanks we wish now to approach marine in situ conditions and take the dynamic links to the lower trophic levels into account. As a first step to apply the zooplankton-model as formulated in the equation sets (15)–(19) and (20)–(24) to marine systems we 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1227 W. FENNEL COPEPOD MODELING AND CIRCULATION Fig. 8. Total zooplankton biomass (top panel), numbers of individuals (middle panel) and mean individual mass (bottom panel), with reproduction. consider a box-model. The lower part of the food web is described by the equations (33) to (35). The box can be thought of as part of the upper mixed layer with no horizontal advection and restricted vertical exchange. The box could also be considered as a grid box of a circulation model but with reduced interaction with the neighbouring grid-boxes. We consider a minimum physical control, i.e. we use the annual cycle of the surface temperature in the Arkona basin of the Baltic Sea and simulate the seasonal variation of the irradiation by a standard formula of the normalized length of the day, as shown in Figure 2. As our standard experiment we look at overwintering model-copepods that start to lay eggs after the onset of the vernal phytoplankton bloom. The dynamics of the state variables is shown in Figure 9–11. The development of nutrients and phytoplankton is shown in Figure 9. In the frame of this simple model we control the onset of the vernal bloom by means of the temperature. We assume that the development of thermal stratification, which is not resolved in a box-model, starts if the temperature of the water exceeds 2.5ºC. The peak of the phytoplankton bloom is controlled by sinking, which is implicitly included in the mortality of phytoplankton (transfer to detritus) and by grazing. The total biomass of the model-zooplankton shows a pronounced maximum in the summer. The reduced grazing pressure in the autumn allows a secondary bloom of the model-phytoplankton. During the winter the model-detritus is recycled to model-nutrients. The stage-resolving dynamics of the model-copepods is shown in Figures 10 and 11 for the biomasses and the number of individuals. After the onset of the vernal bloom the overwintering model-adults start to lay eggs. A significant increase of the model-zooplankton follows after the ‘egg-signal’ has ‘propagated’ through the stages (time-scale about 50 days) and the newly developed adults start the reproduction. The biomass of the modelzooplankton accumulates in the adult-stage. The highest number of individuals is found for the model-nauplii. The effect of ‘bottom up’ control was simulated by adding nutrients to the box-model. The increase of nutrients had only a small effect on the model phytoplankton because the excess phytoplankton is rapidly grazed by the zooplankton. The nutrient signal propagates through the food web and accumulates finally in the model-adults. Only the peak of the spring bloom showed an increase in the second year of the simulation, because the response of the model zooplankton to the food signal was delayed by about a generation time. Since the effects were relatively small we omit the figures of the results. In our next simulations we study the effects of ‘topdown’ control by means of a temporary increase of mortality, which may be caused by predation. We confine this experiments to two cases, where the mortality of the 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1228 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH VOLUME NUMBER PAGES ‒ Fig. 9. Biennial simulation of nutrients and detritus (top panel), phytoplankton and total zooplankton biomass (bottom panel). Fig. 10. Biennial simulation of the biomass of the different stages. model-adults and of the model-copepodites 2 is drastically enhanced during the time interval of day 200 to 230 of the biennial simulations, i.e. µa = 1 d–1 in one case and µc2 = 1 d–1 in the other case. The effects of the predation event on the adults is shown in Figure 12. The high mortality rate with a time scale of about a generation time decreases the adult biomass almost to zero. Since at the same time the reproduction breaks down it appears that all stages are affected significantly by the predation event. After the event new adults can develop 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1229 W. FENNEL COPEPOD MODELING AND CIRCULATION Fig. 11. Biennial simulation of the number of individuals of the different stages. Fig. 12. Stage resolving simulation of the biomass for a temporary increased mortality of the model adults. and start to lay eggs (Figure 12). After the winter season the system has no memory of this event and develops as in the standard run (Figure 10). The effects are less strong if a predation event concerns stages other than the adults, as for example the modelcopepodites 2. The results of a simulation with temporary increased mortality, µc2 = 1/d, are shown in Figure 13. Although the biomass of the c2- stage is almost zero during 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1230 JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH VOLUME NUMBER PAGES ‒ Fig. 13. Stage resolving simulation of the biomass for a temporary increased mortality of the model copepodites 2, c2. the predation event, adults remain on a relatively high level and maintain the reproduction. Thus, it is obvious that a predation on the adults has the most severe effects on the model-zooplankton because then the reproduction is affected as well. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS We have proposed a stage-dependent model, that integrates elements of biomass models (Vinogradov et al., 1972) and stage-dependent population models (Wroblewski, 1982). Moreover, we employed the ideas of Carlotti and Sciandra to prescribe the onset of molting by the concept of critical molting masses (Carlotti and Sciandra, 1989). Since the molting mass concerns individuals, we introduced statistical aspects by means of the filter functions (Fermi-function) in order to connect the level of individuals with the state variables. In order to achieve a consistent formulation, where both biomass and number of individuals are related to the same population density function, we avoided an allometric exponent different from unity in the growth equation of the individual. Mass-dependent growth is implicitly accounted for by a stage-dependent growth rate. It was shown that the mean individual mass of the population, Ztot/Ntot, can be used as a state variable only for coherent cohorts. If reproduction is involved, then the dynamics of the mean individual mass is no longer governed by the growth equation of the individuals. As ‘model-copepod’ we choose Pseudocalanus, which have been thoroughly described (Corkett and McLaren, 1978). The signature of the model-copepod is given by tables which list the parameters involved in the process formulations. The process-formulations of growth and development allow the calculation of the stage duration in the model. Thus, observations in terms of Belehradek formulas of stage duration can be used to check the processformulation, but are not being used as prescribed rates. The duration of stages can be directly determined either expressed by the mass interval (Xi–1, Xi) and growth and loss rates as in formula (11) or from the rearing tank simulations, as for example shown in Figure 6. The food web is truncated at the level of the zooplankton. Thus, the zooplankton mortality includes predation by planktivorous fish. The inclusion of the lower trophic levels is useful, for example, to simulate how signals propagate through the food web and to study the effects of food quality on reproduction. In order to check the consistency and plausibility of the model we simulated biennial cycles for several cases including bottom up and top down effects on the model 04fennel (3380)ms5 9/10/01 2:52 pm Page 1231 W. FENNEL COPEPOD MODELING AND CIRCULATION copepods. We considered how a nutrient signal propagates through the food chain and how the population responded to predation events. An attractive property of the present model is that it conserves mass explicitly. Such a conservation law cannot generally be applied to population models, because there is no law of conservation of the number of individuals. Wroblewski assumed in his population model that the total number of individuals is constant, but this may apply only for a certain time period in a special case (Wroblewski, 1982). The present model can be easily embedded into a GCM by including advection–diffusion equations for the state variables. An unavoidable disadvantage of the model is the need for two sets of state variables, biomass and number of individuals, and hence the need for two equations for each stage. This is due to the linkage of individual, population and bulk biomass level in a statistical treatment. An important point is the applicability of the model to other species. What are the universal and the speciesspecific aspects? In a first approach it can be assumed that the process-formulations are more or less ‘universal’, i.e. they apply to several other copepods as well. Speciesspecific properties are mainly the parameters that specify the processes quantitatively. An application of this model for another species is straightforward by using other tables of the speciesspecific parameters. However, it might be necessary to rearrange the state variables (e.g. merging of stages) and to adjust the process formulations if specific features are important as, for example, the differentiation between body mass and structural mass. It is generally accepted that models should be as simple as reasonable and as complex only as necessary. This implies that the answer to the question ‘which are the right equations’ depends to a certain extent also on the problem considered. This in turns implies that it must be possible to increase or reduce the complexity of a problem within a certain range, for example by parameterization of unresolved processes or by integration of some state variable into one, where appropriate. Since our aim was a consistent model that could be used directly for coupling into GCMs, we have, for example, to avoid memory terms (delayed equations), because only a few time steps can be stored in GCMs. Thus we have to prescribe the production of eggs by a continuous rate, which depends on temperature and food availability, but we cannot resolve the ‘history’ of the female adults. The next step is an integration of this model into an existing coupled model, where the bulk-biomass state variable of the zooplankton will be replaced by the state resolving model. However, the model may also serve as an easy-to-use workbench model and is available as MATLAB code on request. AC K N O W L E D G E M E N T The author thanks Dr L. Postel and an anonymous referee for helpful comments and suggestions. REFERENCES Aksnes, D. L. and Lie, U. (1990) A coupled physical-biological pelagic model of a shallow sill fjord. Estuarine, Coastal Shelf Sci., 31, 459–486. Batchelder, H. P. and Miller, C. B. 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