ECONOMIC SERVICE SHEEP & BEEF FARM SURVEY GISBORNE / HAWKES BAY / WAIRARAPA 2016-17 FORECAST AND QUINTILE ANALYSIS OF FINAL 2014-15 SURVEY DATA | P17004 Dear Farmer / Industry Professional The following analysis of the 2014-15 Sheep and Beef farming year is ranked by Earnings (Profit) Before Interest, Tax and Rent (EBITR) per hectare. South Island classes 1 and 2 are ranked nationally by EBITR per stock unit (EBITR/SU) due to their scale and extensive management systems. It summarises the key performance indicators from over 2000 data points collected each year from each of our survey farmers. This document is available from the Information section of the beeflambnz.com website. For each farm class (see ‘Farm Classes Defined’) a graphical analysis at regional level details the survey outcome for farms surveyed for 2014-15 against the regional mean, provisional results for 2015-16 and our forecast for 2016-17. Forecasts represent the best information available to us at time of publication. We thank our survey farmers who make these data available for industry good. The Survey and Source of Data The Sheep and Beef Farm Survey is a sample survey of approximately 520 farms. The sample is randomly selected and stratified by geographical regions and by sheep and beef cattle stock units. Data associated with physical and financial aspects of sheep and beef farming are recorded. Statistical Requirements The survey observes two fundamental principles: 1. The sample size is large enough to avoid the undue influence of abnormal items; and 2. The selection of farms has been made at random, so that each and every unit of the population has had an equal chance of being selected. The frame used for the random sampling is a comprehensive list of sheep and beef farmers. In order that the selection of farms is made as representative as possible, considerable use is made of existing empirical knowledge about sheep and beef farming. Farm Classes Defined (ordered extensive to intensive by Island) North Island Class 3. N.I. Hard Hill Country 1,065 Farms - Steep hill country or low fertility soils with most farms carrying six to nine stock units per hectare. While some stock are finished a significant proportion are sold in store condition. Mainly breeding properties. Class 4. N.I. Hill Country 3,640 Farms - Easier hill country or higher fertility soils than Class 3. Carrying between eight and thirteen stock units per hectare, a high proportion of sale stock sold is in forward store or prime condition. Class 5. N.I. Intensive Finishing 1,275 Farms - Easy contour farmland with the potential for high production. Carrying between ten and fourteen stock units per hectare, a high proportion of stock is sent to slaughter and replacements are often bought in. These tend to be smaller farms focused on high production per hectare and may have some cash cropping. South Island Class 1. S.I. High Country 215 Farms - Extensive run country located at high altitude usually carrying fine wool sheep, with wool as the main source of revenue. Often carry breeding cows and deer. Located mainly in Marlborough, Canterbury and Otago. Class 2. S.I. Hill Country 810 Farms - Traditionally store stock producers with a proportion sold prime in good seasons. Carrying between two and seven stock units per hectare, they usually have a significant proportion of beef cattle. Class 6. S.I. Finishing Breeding 2,505 Farms - A more extensive type of finishing farm, also encompassing some irrigation units and some cash cropping. Carrying capacity ranges from six to eleven stock units per hectare on dryland farms and over twelve 0800 BEEFLAMB (0800 233 352) | WWW.BEEFLAMBNZ.COM BY FARMERS. FOR FARMERS Class 7. S.I. Intensive Finishing 1,290 Farms - High producing grassland farms carrying about ten to fourteen stock units per hectare with some cash crop. Located mainly in Southland, South and West Otago. Class 8. S.I. Mixed Finishing 495 Farms - Mainly on the Canterbury plains with a high proportion of the revenue being derived from grain and small seed production as well as stock finishing. ranked by EBITR/SU. Report Headers Class The farm class (refer Farm Classes Defined) Unit The unit of measure of each metric Q1 low 2014-15 Quintile 1 - the 0-20% of sample ranked by EBITR/ha Q2 2014-15 Quintile 2 - the 21-40% of sample ranked by EBITR/ha Q3 2014-15 Quintile 3 - the 41-60% of sample ranked by EBITR/ha Q4 2014-15 Quintile 4 - the 61-80% of sample ranked by EBITR/ha Q5 high 2014-15 Quintile 5 - the top 20% of sample ranked by EBITR/ha Mean 2014-15 The arithmetic average of the sample Prov 2015-16 Provisional results for the class financial year ending June 2016 Forecast 2016-17 Our forecast for the class financial year ending June 2017 Measures Used in this Report Earnings Before Interest, Tax and Rent (EBITR) – Farm Profit before Interest, Tax and Rent Gross Farm Revenue (GFR) – the total revenue earned from the year's farming operations. From this, Total Farm Expenditure that was spent to generate the farm revenue is deducted to show the Farm Profit Before Tax for the year. Economic Farm Surplus (EFS) – the return available to the owner-operator of a freehold, unencumbered farm after allowance has been made for labour and management input. It is calculated as follows: EFS = Farm Profit Before Tax + Managerial salaries + Interest paid + Rent paid - Assessed Managerial Reward (equivalent ruling wage for an experienced farm worker + 1% of farm capital for management). Rate of Return on Total Farm Capital (ROR on TFC) – EFS as a percentage of Total Farm Capital. Total Farm Capital is defined as Farm Capital (farm assets at market value) plus an allowance for working capital. The working capital allowance is necessary because of timing differences between farm revenue and expenditure resulting in overdrafts to finance expenditure, or high credit balances to pay for upcoming expenditure. The working capital allowance is assumed at 50 per cent of the sum of Working Expenses and Assessed Managerial Reward. Lambing % – The number of lambs tailed from ewes as a percentage of ewes mated in the previous autumn (adjusted for dries sold before 30 June and the sale or purchase of in-lamb ewes). Calving % – The number of calves marked as a percentage of cows mated (adjusted for empties sold before 30 June and the sale or purchase of incalf cows). Report Title Indicates which Class and Region is being benchmarked. Please note Classes 1 and 2 are Feedback Feedback on this publication is encouraged. Contact the Economic Service Manager in your region (refer back page). Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service [email protected] Apr 2017 ISSN 2230-5777 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 3 N.I. Hard Hill Country East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare EBITR $/ha 0 100 GFR $/ha 200 300 400 500 600 0 140 3 200 EFS $/ha 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 9 10 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Lambing % 70 80 Stocking Rate SU/ha 90 100 110 120 130 4 5 6 Total Expenditure $/ha 7 8 0 200 400 600 800 20 40 60 80 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Interest $/ha Fertiliser (on ground) $/ha 0 50 100 150 0 20 R&M $/ha 40 60 80 100 0 80 100 0 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Sales All Lambs $/head 50 60 70 90 100 0 20 Q1 low 2014-15 P Q2 2014-15 P Q3 2014-15 P Q4 2014-15 P Q5 high 2014-15 P Mean 2014-15 P Prov. 2015-16 P Forecast 2016-17 P Term Liabilities $/ha 0 200 400 600 Total Meat Production kg/ha Sales All Lamb Prime [P] v Store % 80 40 60 1,000 1,200 1,400 0 20 40 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 80 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 150 Beef 200 Deer RoR on TFC at open % 60 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 100 Sheep Equity at close % 800 50 Forecast 2016-17 © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 100 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 3 N.I. Hard Hill Country East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare Class 3 N.I. Hard Hill Country Unit Effective Area Cash Crop Area New Grass Area Total Labour Units Working Owners ha ha ha No. No. Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 628 1,174 943 659 789 842 842 842 6 1.90 1.00 2.52 1.08 5 1.99 1.01 4 2.08 1.33 10 2.05 0.97 5 2.10 1.08 3,922 2,826 112 6,861 8.1 58.1 3,780 2,695 116 6,591 7.8 58.4 3,760 2,706 123 6,589 7.8 58.2 110.0 131 500 85.0 101 500 Open Sheep Open Cattle Open Deer Open Total Stocking Rate Sheep:Cattle SU Ratio SU SU SU SU SU/ha % 3,076 1,915 5,188 3,641 4,062 3,344 3,693 1,998 4,991 7.9 61.6 8,829 7.5 58.8 7,406 7.9 54.9 5,691 8.6 64.9 3,570 3,148 578 7,296 9.2 53.1 Pasture Fertiliser Crop Fertiliser Total Fertiliser Total Fertiliser Other Fertiliser tonnes tonnes tonnes kg/ha $ 80.5 0.5 81.0 129 2,481 110.0 90.1 7.7 97.9 104 168.0 1.0 169.0 257 173.5 8.8 182.3 231 123.3 3.7 127.1 151 480 Pasture N Pasture P Pasture K Pasture S kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha 3.6 15.5 0.3 15.6 3.6 7.0 10.4 2.0 10.2 0.1 14.2 15.8 18.0 0.7 24.3 4.0 13.4 3.3 22.9 5.1 11.9 0.7 16.5 Lime Lime Lime tonnes kg/ha kg/SU 11 17.5 2.2 109 92.8 12.3 43 45.4 5.8 2 3.5 0.4 121 153.6 16.6 57 67.5 8.3 40 47.5 6.1 40 47.5 6.1 Ewes mated Lambs from ewes Lambs from hgts All Lambs tailed Lambing Hgt lambs % all lambs No. No. No. No. % % 2,271 2,618 72 2,690 115.3 2.7 4,316 4,814 67 4,881 111.5 1.4 3,087 3,487 132 3,619 113.0 3.7 2,810 3,544 275 3,819 126.1 7.2 2,834 3,759 271 4,030 132.6 6.7 3,064 3,639 162 3,802 118.8 4.3 2,945 3,431 151 3,582 116.5 4.2 2,889 3,420 130 3,550 118.4 3.7 Cows + Hfrs mated Calves marked Calving Hinds mated Fawns marked Fawning No. No. % No. No. % 184 136 74.2 289 235 81.4 218 173 79.4 143 125 87.0 172 161 93.1 123 100 81.3 202 166 82.3 24 19 81.3 203 163 80.3 19 14 73.7 207 168 81.2 21 15 71.4 % % % % % % 0.8 4.7 0.7 4.5 3.6 6.0 0.8 2.3 2.1 6.0 0.4 2.0 2.3 3.8 0.7 1.9 1.7 3.6 2.0 1.2 2.3 4.9 1.0 2.2 3.2 4.2 1.0 2.9 2.8 4.3 1.0 2.4 1.2 1.5 2.9 2.7 kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha 67.6 -2.1 36.6 60.6 -4.8 42.9 64.4 -3.2 59.7 97.6 2.2 62.6 84.5 102.1 98.7 121.0 162.4 84.9 7.2 176.6 72.5 -2.1 56.9 1.3 128.6 kg kg kg/head kg/SSU kg/ha kg kg/ha c/kg c/kg c/SSU 15,046 15,032 4.40 4.89 23.94 16,875 26.9 341.0 147.7 722.0 22,121 22,457 4.06 4.33 19.13 24,137 20.6 352.5 151.9 657.4 17,377 16,287 3.61 4.01 17.27 18,028 19.1 376.8 160.9 645.0 19,243 19,243 4.74 5.21 29.22 21,076 32.0 374.1 134.9 703.0 17,176 17,176 4.42 4.81 21.77 19,033 24.1 379.8 109.4 526.1 18,166 17,982 4.19 4.58 21.36 19,772 23.5 365.3 141.7 649.5 16,829 16,870 4.08 4.46 20.04 16,611 16,611 4.02 4.42 19.73 394.3 145.4 648.9 262.0 143.8 635.2 Lamb Loss Sheep Loss Calf Loss Cattle Loss Fawn Loss Deer Loss Lamb Prodn Mutton Prodn Beef Prodn (incl dairy grazing) Deer Prodn Total (incl goat) Wool Sold Wool Shorn Wool Shorn Wool Shorn Wool Shorn Wool Prodn (calculated) Wool Prodn (calculated) Wool net before freight Shearing Expenditure Shearing Expenditure 110.0 94 © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 3 N.I. Hard Hill Country East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare Class 3 N.I. Hard Hill Country Unit Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Sales Prime Lambs Sales Prime Lambs Sales Prime Lambs Sales Prime Lambs Sales Store Lambs Sales Store Lambs Sales All Lambs Sales All Lambs No. $/head $/kg CW % No. $/head No. $/head 666 90.65 5.46 42.00 919 63.81 1,585 75.36 842 86.56 5.18 24.00 2,665 64.37 3,507 69.70 1,284 96.76 5.48 61.90 790 69.24 2,074 86.61 2,190 91.51 5.35 85.00 387 67.80 2,577 88.48 2,367 87.33 5.19 81.20 549 64.76 2,915 83.41 1,464 90.62 5.32 58.20 1,053 65.38 2,517 80.33 789 84.87 4.98 33.00 1,601 69.81 2,390 74.97 1,001 80.00 4.70 42.00 1,383 62.40 2,384 69.92 Sales Prime Hogget Sales Prime Hogget Sales Prime Hogget Sales Prime Ewes Sales Prime Ewes Sales Prime Ewes No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW 255 109.95 6.05 336 76.50 3.37 100 95.60 4.68 663 64.49 2.88 551 115.76 6.22 404 79.71 3.35 317 129.80 6.36 515 80.66 3.13 284 109.64 6.17 513 81.54 3.28 309 115.27 6.11 484 75.81 3.17 338 97.98 5.19 419 60.40 2.53 334 110.00 5.83 309 68.00 2.85 22 563 4 442 1 571 5 639 6 577 5 784 13 613 6 495 4 724 13 638 4 605 2 640 8 632 2 586 2 604 4 995 3 824 6 1,125 24 992 10 800 6 1,141 26 1,021 10 847 4 1,265 26 980 12 858 4 1,026 Sales Calf/Wnr Str Store Sales Calf/Wnr Str Store Sales Calf/Wnr Hfr Store Sales Calf/Wnr Hfr Store Sales Calf/Wnr Bull Store Sales Calf/Wnr Bull Store No. $/head No. $/head No. $/head 37 613 13 419 Sales 1-1.5 Steer Store Sales 1-1.5 Steer Store Sales 1-1.5 Heifer Store Sales 1-1.5 Heifer Store Sales 1Yr+ Bulls Store Sales 1Yr+ Bulls Store No. $/head No. $/head No. $/head 25 1,048 29 792 4 1,200 Sales 1-1.5 Strs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Strs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Strs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Hfrs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Hfrs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Strs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Strs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Strs Prime Sales Prime Cows Sales Prime Cows Sales Prime Cows Sales Prime Bulls Sales Prime Bulls Sales Prime Bulls No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW Sheep Gross Margin Cattle Gross Margin Deer Gross Margin $/SSU $/CSU $/DSU Gross Farm Revenue Gross Farm Revenue Gross Farm Revenue $ $/ha $/SU Wool Revenue Sheep Revenue Sheep+Wool Revenue Cattle Revenue Dairy Grz Revenue Deer+Velvet Revenue $/SSU $/SSU $/SSU $/CSU $/DzSU $/DSU Total Expenditure Total Expenditure Total Expenditure Total Expenditure $ $/ha $/SU % of GFR 600 45 935 14 711 768 3 716 5.76 5 610 16 733 43 1,014 7 981 18 1,138 693 11 838 4.96 16 1,176 4.93 2 1,519 5.15 31 969 4.41 2 1,954 4.97 58 885 4.42 3 1,308 4.86 53 861 4.25 72 1,600 5.41 9 1,641 5.16 5 1,126 5.17 73 1,204 5.05 34 1,675 5.46 37 1,113 4.46 32 1,593 5.26 13 1,354 5.17 4 1,311 5.19 25 1,264 5.14 46 1,575 5.13 30 1,176 4.54 30 1,612 5.17 4 1,173 5.15 23 807 5.74 36 1,174 5.19 32 1,761 5.58 42 999 4.46 128 1,432 5.34 6 1,373 5.18 9 910 5.37 42 1,120 4.93 24 1,647 5.35 39 1,009 4.41 52 1,522 5.32 26 1,086 4.78 39 1,389 4.51 38 979 4.28 34 1,723 6.03 30 1,236 5.44 20 1,361 4.42 40 1,017 4.45 34 1,398 4.89 55.60 35.77 43.84 48.65 63.68 62.35 78.02 83.46 85.43 85.42 82.59 63.82 63.32 82.59 58.93 54.80 45.62 52.09 50.96 48.23 355,033 565.34 71.13 606,275 516.34 68.67 634,746 672.91 85.71 605,337 919.03 106.37 802,746 1,017.42 110.02 601,922 714.87 87.74 524,900 623.40 79.64 492,400 584.80 74.73 16.69 62.08 78.76 53.73 15.04 51.35 66.40 67.04 15.35 70.35 85.70 81.84 19.51 84.08 103.59 106.56 17.80 90.89 108.70 102.44 16.66 70.35 87.02 82.29 17.91 62.22 80.13 73.10 11.46 61.86 73.32 69.77 114.67 114.67 75.51 79.98 348,465 554.88 69.82 98.2 478,157 407.23 54.16 78.9 491,601 521.16 66.38 77.4 402,785 611.52 70.78 66.5 435,385 551.82 59.67 54.2 433,225 514.52 63.15 72.0 412,300 489.67 62.56 78.5 401,600 476.96 60.95 81.6 © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 3 N.I. Hard Hill Country East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare Class 3 N.I. Hard Hill Country Unit Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Wages and Salaries Animal Health Weed and Pest Shearing Fertiliser Lime Seeds Vehicles & Fuel Electricity Feed & Grazing Cultivation/Sowing Cash Crop R&M Cartage Administration Insurance & ACC Rates Interest Rent Depreciation $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha 136.21 35.53 12.55 35.36 70.48 1.28 1.76 35.63 6.61 14.40 3.25 65.91 27.52 13.35 29.04 49.49 4.39 0.01 19.50 6.93 12.56 66.58 21.84 6.96 27.77 55.91 2.05 3.65 24.01 5.67 5.66 5.87 51.24 48.16 11.63 39.41 113.82 0.41 4.63 35.72 5.54 24.73 4.12 82.55 43.74 9.73 23.80 94.72 5.31 6.92 30.06 5.29 17.37 11.40 77.02 33.31 10.70 30.25 72.09 2.91 3.14 27.34 6.05 13.79 4.64 76.43 32.85 10.70 29.13 61.34 2.85 3.10 27.10 6.59 14.35 4.50 77.38 33.83 10.91 28.36 46.53 2.95 3.07 27.27 6.65 14.49 4.42 64.49 10.71 41.39 15.59 17.11 26.96 1.58 24.01 59.86 5.23 26.03 12.12 16.42 34.53 10.29 14.06 68.60 8.06 13.93 11.80 17.16 81.22 67.56 26.87 74.13 6.06 19.42 18.38 15.16 91.41 13.63 33.92 56.90 10.04 19.19 12.60 17.52 59.39 11.83 33.46 64.36 7.73 22.94 13.57 16.72 58.37 24.30 25.26 56.65 7.66 22.95 13.79 17.22 54.13 24.35 23.99 59.22 7.73 23.18 14.01 17.73 50.77 25.53 22.92 Wages and Salaries Animal Health Weed and Pest Shearing Fertiliser Lime Seeds Vehicles & Fuel Electricity Feed & Grazing Cultivation/Sowing Cash Crop R&M Cartage Administration Insurance & ACC Rates Interest Rent Depreciation $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU 17.14 4.47 1.58 4.45 8.87 0.16 0.22 4.48 0.83 1.81 0.41 8.77 3.66 1.78 3.86 6.58 0.58 8.48 2.78 0.89 3.54 7.12 0.26 0.46 3.06 0.72 0.72 0.75 5.93 5.57 1.35 4.56 13.17 0.05 0.54 4.13 0.64 2.86 0.48 8.93 4.73 1.05 2.57 10.24 0.57 0.75 3.25 0.57 1.88 1.23 9.45 4.09 1.31 3.71 8.85 0.36 0.38 3.36 0.74 1.69 0.57 9.76 4.20 1.37 3.72 7.84 0.36 0.40 3.46 0.84 1.83 0.58 9.89 4.32 1.39 3.62 5.95 0.38 0.39 3.48 0.85 1.85 0.56 8.11 1.35 5.21 1.96 2.15 3.39 0.20 3.02 7.96 0.70 3.46 1.61 2.18 4.59 1.37 1.87 8.74 1.03 1.77 1.50 2.19 10.35 8.61 3.42 8.58 0.70 2.25 2.13 1.75 10.58 1.58 3.93 6.15 1.09 2.07 1.36 1.89 6.42 1.28 3.62 7.90 0.95 2.82 1.67 2.05 7.16 2.98 3.10 7.24 0.98 2.93 1.76 2.20 6.91 3.11 3.06 7.57 0.99 2.96 1.79 2.27 6.49 3.26 2.93 Farm Profit Before Tax Farm Profit Before Tax Farm Profit Before Tax $ $/ha $/SU 6,568 10.46 1.32 128,118 109.11 14.51 143,145 151.75 19.33 202,552 307.52 35.59 367,361 465.60 50.35 168,697 200.35 24.59 112,600 133.73 17.08 90,800 107.84 13.78 EBITR EBITR EBITR $ $/ha $/SU 24,488 38.99 4.91 180,742 153.93 20.47 283,486 300.53 38.28 271,737 412.56 47.75 423,551 536.82 58.05 238,307 283.02 34.74 178,676 212.20 27.11 155,048 184.14 23.53 Econ Farm Surplus Econ Farm Surplus Econ Farm Surplus $ $/ha $/SU -18,020 -28.69 -3.61 86,058 73.29 9.75 182,776 193.77 24.68 164,065 249.09 28.83 323,918 410.54 44.39 148,889 176.83 21.70 98,151 116.57 14.89 73,172 86.90 11.11 Total Farm Capital at open Total Farm Capital at open Total Farm Capital at open Total Assets at close $ $/ha $/SU $ 3,800,243 6,051 761 4,297,713 6,714,388 5,718 761 6,698,296 6,291,916 6,670 850 6,796,191 4,605,646 6,992 809 4,887,112 5,566,578 7,055 763 6,100,021 5,424,663 6,443 791 5,789,425 5,506,219 6,539 835 5,819,179 5,548,654 6,590 842 5,789,569 Current Liabilities at close Term Liabilities at close Reserves at close Net Worth at close Equity at close RoR on TFC at open $ $ $ $ % % 56,109 192,015 257,167 3,792,422 88.2 -0.5 92,324 515,519 206,167 5,884,286 87.8 1.3 100,022 1,154,648 2,454,286 3,087,234 45.4 2.9 108,375 764,176 384,167 3,630,394 74.3 3.6 57,292 734,850 317,500 4,990,379 81.8 5.8 83,379 687,803 779,677 4,238,565 73.2 2.7 96,000 680,000 779,677 4,263,502 73.3 1.8 110,800 700,000 779,677 4,199,092 72.5 1.3 2.59 0.92 1.67 © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 4 N.I. Hill Country East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare EBITR $/ha 0 GFR $/ha 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 0 140 150 3 EFS $/ha 200 400 600 800 1,000 0 1,200 100 200 300 400 500 400 600 800 1,000 40 60 80 100 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Lambing % 70 80 Stocking Rate SU/ha 90 100 110 120 130 4 5 6 Total Expenditure $/ha 7 8 9 10 11 0 200 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Interest $/ha Fertiliser (on ground) $/ha 0 50 100 150 0 50 R&M $/ha 100 150 200 250 0 80 100 0 20 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Sales All Lambs $/head 50 60 70 90 100 0 20 Q1 low 2014-15 P Q2 2014-15 P Q3 2014-15 P Q4 2014-15 P Q5 high 2014-15 P Mean 2014-15 P Prov. 2015-16 P Forecast 2016-17 P Term Liabilities $/ha 0 500 Total Meat Production kg/ha Sales All Lamb Prime [P] v Store % 80 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 40 60 20 40 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 80 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 150 Beef 200 250 Deer RoR on TFC at open % 60 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 100 Sheep Equity at close % 0 50 Forecast 2016-17 © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 100 0 1 2 3 4 5 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 4 N.I. Hill Country East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare Class 4 N.I. Hill Country Unit Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Effective Area Cash Crop Area New Grass Area Total Labour Units Working Owners ha ha ha No. No. 569 6 4 1.84 1.19 633 679 521 588 2 1.87 1.11 4 1.75 1.18 588 2 5 1.84 1.16 588 4 1.81 1.23 548 4 9 1.95 1.11 Open Sheep Open Cattle Open Deer Open Total Stocking Rate Sheep:Cattle SU Ratio SU SU SU SU SU/ha % 3,148 1,814 25 4,987 8.8 63.4 3,388 1,795 4,103 1,780 5,183 8.2 65.4 5,883 8.7 69.7 3,163 2,102 88 5,365 9.8 60.1 2,775 2,315 89 5,178 9.9 54.5 3,299 1,965 41 5,308 9.0 62.7 3,177 2,029 33 5,242 8.9 61.0 2,967 2,032 35 5,037 8.6 59.4 Pasture Fertiliser Crop Fertiliser Total Fertiliser Total Fertiliser Other Fertiliser tonnes tonnes tonnes kg/ha $ 118.6 4.8 123.4 217 121.5 1.7 123.2 195 1,157 133.7 1.6 135.2 199 265 108.1 8.8 116.9 213 580 89.5 7.2 96.7 186 8,829 113.9 4.9 118.8 202 2,205 110.0 187 3,000 94.0 160 3,000 Pasture N Pasture P Pasture K Pasture S kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha 7.9 17.8 0.2 27.2 6.7 18.7 0.4 27.5 7.9 17.3 0.2 22.1 6.6 13.8 5.7 22.1 10.4 12.7 18.2 7.8 16.2 1.3 23.6 Lime Lime Lime tonnes kg/ha kg/SU 27 48.0 5.5 131 207.6 25.3 69 101.2 11.7 37 67.0 6.8 7 13.2 1.3 54 91.7 10.2 45 76.5 8.6 40 68.0 7.9 Ewes mated Lambs from ewes Lambs from hgts All Lambs tailed Lambing Hgt lambs % all lambs No. No. No. No. % % 2,451 3,176 29 3,205 129.6 0.9 2,678 3,411 65 3,476 127.4 1.9 3,049 4,216 293 4,509 138.3 6.5 2,421 3,204 318 3,522 132.4 9.0 2,093 2,574 220 2,795 123.0 7.9 2,528 3,298 183 3,481 130.5 5.3 2,436 3,021 164 3,185 124.0 5.1 2,311 2,907 164 3,071 125.8 5.3 Cows + Hfrs mated Calves marked Calving Hinds mated Fawns marked Fawning No. No. % No. No. % 147 128 87.2 8 7 85.7 140 123 87.7 133 111 83.9 70 54 77.0 39 24 61.5 63 51 81.8 26 21 79.5 110 93 84.7 15 11 70.5 110 92 83.6 10 8 80.0 106 91 85.8 13 11 84.6 % % % % % % 1.3 4.6 1.4 2.9 15.2 2.1 4.9 0.8 1.8 1.7 4.4 1.4 1.4 2.1 4.7 2.2 1.4 2.0 3.5 1.0 1.3 1.8 4.4 1.3 1.7 3.0 5.5 0.6 1.9 3.3 6.2 1.2 1.6 2.0 15.1 8.3 5.0 5.0 kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha 91.0 -5.7 48.7 0.5 134.5 91.6 -0.1 49.3 111.9 -3.2 47.4 140.9 156.0 110.1 -2.6 112.8 1.6 222.1 93.3 2.0 94.2 1.1 190.6 99.6 -1.9 69.0 0.6 167.3 kg kg kg/head kg/SSU kg/ha kg kg/ha c/kg c/kg c/SSU 18,166 17,830 5.13 5.66 31.36 19,333 34.0 354.2 149.3 845.7 19,505 17,900 4.86 5.28 28.30 19,682 31.1 363.3 130.2 687.8 21,368 20,822 4.59 5.07 30.65 23,267 34.3 370.9 151.6 769.6 15,936 15,306 4.34 4.84 27.93 17,511 32.0 355.2 167.4 809.8 13,847 13,692 4.42 4.93 26.28 15,091 29.0 380.6 157.4 776.9 17,691 17,034 4.67 5.16 28.97 18,889 32.1 364.3 150.4 776.4 15,908 15,979 4.56 5.03 27.18 15,583 15,583 4.78 5.25 26.50 378.9 149.3 751.1 262.0 147.3 773.8 Lamb Loss Sheep Loss Calf Loss Cattle Loss Fawn Loss Deer Loss Lamb Prodn Mutton Prodn Beef Prodn (incl dairy grazing) Deer Prodn Total (incl goat) Wool Sold Wool Shorn Wool Shorn Wool Shorn Wool Shorn Wool Prodn (calculated) Wool Prodn (calculated) Wool net before freight Shearing Expenditure Shearing Expenditure © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 4 N.I. Hill Country East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare Class 4 N.I. Hill Country Unit Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Sales Prime Lambs Sales Prime Lambs Sales Prime Lambs Sales Prime Lambs Sales Store Lambs Sales Store Lambs Sales All Lambs Sales All Lambs No. $/head $/kg CW % No. $/head No. $/head 1,463 87.56 5.34 68.30 679 65.70 2,142 80.73 1,567 95.49 5.34 63.60 896 73.63 2,463 87.53 2,189 94.19 5.43 71.70 863 77.06 3,052 89.73 2,070 93.31 5.34 84.90 369 66.14 2,439 89.46 1,258 93.97 5.25 64.50 692 72.96 1,950 86.64 1,700 93.02 5.34 70.90 696 71.89 2,396 87.06 1,439 89.69 5.15 64.00 809 73.55 2,248 83.97 1,425 89.48 5.14 68.00 671 69.79 2,096 83.32 Sales Prime Hogget Sales Prime Hogget Sales Prime Hogget Sales Prime Ewes Sales Prime Ewes Sales Prime Ewes No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW 220 109.76 5.86 425 74.76 3.34 168 111.44 5.84 376 80.43 3.12 183 116.25 5.98 659 83.90 3.51 525 117.95 6.11 375 82.08 3.35 434 117.76 5.91 335 75.93 3.07 308 115.80 5.97 430 79.84 3.30 287 107.00 5.52 428 58.09 2.40 263 100.00 5.16 100 75.16 3.11 5 661 4 525 9 596 8 832 2 700 2 660 6 782 2 623 1 550 Sales Calf/Wnr Str Store Sales Calf/Wnr Str Store Sales Calf/Wnr Hfr Store Sales Calf/Wnr Hfr Store Sales Calf/Wnr Bull Store Sales Calf/Wnr Bull Store No. $/head No. $/head No. $/head 5 672 8 558 2 701 11 663 4 521 4 775 4 700 6 492 747 7 633 4 509 38 572 Sales 1-1.5 Steer Store Sales 1-1.5 Steer Store Sales 1-1.5 Heifer Store Sales 1-1.5 Heifer Store Sales 1Yr+ Bulls Store Sales 1Yr+ Bulls Store No. $/head No. $/head No. $/head 41 1,020 10 706 7 656 12 1,110 8 912 18 1,065 12 829 34 977 17 989 8 833 30 756 10 1,227 5 961 78 1,130 20 1,055 9 832 30 998 16 1,108 11 799 18 911 16 1,028 10 738 21 909 No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW 1,847 5.92 4 956 4.78 10 1,184 4.99 12 1,630 5.20 29 1,049 4.44 16 1,609 5.25 2 1,056 4.93 9 1,186 5.19 23 1,403 5.22 13 1,036 4.47 80 1,551 5.62 1 1,237 5.59 2 1,181 4.84 8 1,235 5.02 26 1,617 5.22 13 1,016 4.12 126 1,748 5.54 1,298 5.23 3 1,101 4.92 12 1,229 5.15 21 1,593 5.24 21 1,087 4.46 51 1,670 5.53 15 1,206 5.05 21 1,566 5.16 23 998 4.09 32 1,465 4.85 16 1,189 4.98 33 1,535 5.05 22 972 3.99 37 1,475 4.89 Sheep Gross Margin Cattle Gross Margin Deer Gross Margin $/SSU $/CSU $/DSU Gross Farm Revenue Gross Farm Revenue Gross Farm Revenue $ $/ha $/SU Wool Revenue Sheep Revenue Sheep+Wool Revenue Cattle Revenue Dairy Grz Revenue Deer+Velvet Revenue $/SSU $/SSU $/SSU $/CSU $/DzSU $/DSU Sales 1-1.5 Strs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Strs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Strs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Hfrs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Hfrs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Strs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Strs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Strs Prime Sales Prime Cows Sales Prime Cows Sales Prime Cows Sales Prime Bulls Sales Prime Bulls Sales Prime Bulls Total Expenditure Total Expenditure Total Expenditure Total Expenditure $ $/ha $/SU % of GFR 3 1,119 4.93 11 1,323 5.29 34 1,683 5.27 19 1,181 4.64 3 1,951 5.80 2 1,212 4.89 4 1,201 5.07 25 1,218 5.17 10 1,616 5.32 32 1,118 4.48 26 1,661 5.41 69.35 56.79 54.39 75.75 75.62 84.54 65.55 83.82 89.66 44.43 85.65 99.47 -3.16 79.78 78.57 24.77 67.86 56.53 64.06 67.48 62.98 78.11 476,258 837.74 95.49 498,435 787.92 96.17 633,612 932.70 107.70 624,855 1,140.04 116.47 591,119 1,134.59 114.16 563,453 958.12 106.16 453,200 770.75 86.46 444,300 755.61 88.21 18.50 76.06 94.55 79.56 20.00 80.14 100.14 86.73 83.86 23.45 89.39 112.85 81.21 17.84 91.52 109.37 111.05 121.95 71.90 19.32 91.42 110.73 114.55 18.38 19.96 85.62 105.58 95.60 116.30 49.51 19.67 71.29 90.97 75.90 57.78 89.76 14.43 76.41 90.83 82.28 45.96 105.94 302,867 478.77 58.44 60.8 422,509 621.95 71.82 66.7 483,398 881.95 90.10 77.4 368,515 707.32 71.17 62.3 392,394 667.24 73.93 69.6 371,700 632.14 70.91 82.0 357,600 608.16 70.99 80.5 80.87 387,691 681.95 77.74 81.4 © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 4 N.I. Hill Country East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare Class 4 N.I. Hill Country Unit Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Wages and Salaries Animal Health Weed and Pest Shearing Fertiliser Lime Seeds Vehicles & Fuel Electricity Feed & Grazing Cultivation/Sowing Cash Crop R&M Cartage Administration Insurance & ACC Rates Interest Rent Depreciation $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha 121.60 39.42 9.69 46.83 106.70 2.84 2.18 33.83 5.74 49.13 9.80 6.85 57.50 6.38 22.46 15.60 19.73 58.77 32.12 34.20 39.06 32.72 7.94 36.84 85.66 18.45 4.32 26.29 5.00 16.59 4.22 53.98 42.10 4.31 46.48 99.39 13.20 1.76 30.12 5.19 19.70 5.05 49.62 40.85 12.43 41.38 97.21 0.66 5.64 32.91 7.57 20.13 11.16 41.96 10.49 21.17 15.52 19.87 54.26 16.75 21.65 77.47 6.54 22.23 10.83 17.86 83.93 49.50 32.30 60.39 46.56 19.14 46.73 130.05 2.21 24.67 47.45 7.50 28.05 25.45 2.29 55.86 9.20 33.15 25.81 22.71 214.52 39.49 40.72 64.47 40.14 10.46 43.56 103.25 7.95 7.47 33.81 6.13 26.49 10.79 1.79 59.35 8.71 25.12 17.18 20.42 113.90 34.17 31.96 63.95 40.51 10.46 40.58 94.90 5.51 7.40 34.44 6.00 27.55 10.47 1.70 52.24 8.62 25.09 17.46 21.04 99.59 34.01 30.61 64.46 39.80 10.66 39.05 77.84 5.03 7.31 34.73 6.07 27.82 10.26 1.36 54.61 8.54 25.34 17.72 21.26 92.92 34.18 29.08 Wages and Salaries Animal Health Weed and Pest Shearing Fertiliser Lime Seeds Vehicles & Fuel Electricity Feed & Grazing Cultivation/Sowing Cash Crop R&M Cartage Administration Insurance & ACC Rates Interest Rent Depreciation $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU 13.86 4.49 1.10 5.34 12.16 0.32 0.25 3.86 0.65 5.60 1.12 0.78 6.55 0.73 2.56 1.78 2.25 6.70 3.66 3.90 4.77 3.99 0.97 4.50 10.46 2.25 0.53 3.21 0.61 2.03 0.52 6.23 4.86 0.50 5.37 11.48 1.52 0.20 3.48 0.60 2.28 0.58 5.12 1.28 2.58 1.89 2.43 6.62 2.04 2.64 7.17 4.54 1.17 4.55 10.64 0.62 0.83 3.86 0.67 3.09 1.17 0.19 5.86 0.97 2.81 1.96 2.36 11.17 3.82 3.43 7.52 4.65 1.24 4.56 9.09 0.59 0.85 4.05 0.71 3.25 1.20 0.16 6.37 1.00 2.96 2.07 2.48 10.85 3.99 3.39 Farm Profit Before Tax Farm Profit Before Tax Farm Profit Before Tax $ $/ha $/SU 88,566 155.79 17.76 EBITR EBITR EBITR $ $/ha $/SU Econ Farm Surplus Econ Farm Surplus Econ Farm Surplus 64.91 11.13 27.77 19.29 22.46 175.82 33.98 32.41 8.95 0.76 2.57 1.25 2.06 9.69 5.72 3.73 6.17 4.76 1.96 4.77 13.29 0.23 2.52 4.85 0.77 2.87 2.60 0.23 5.71 0.94 3.39 2.64 2.32 21.92 4.03 4.16 6.53 1.12 2.79 1.94 2.26 17.69 3.42 3.26 7.14 4.45 1.16 4.83 11.44 0.88 0.83 3.75 0.68 2.94 1.20 0.20 6.58 0.97 2.78 1.90 2.26 12.62 3.79 3.54 195,567 309.15 37.73 211,104 310.75 35.88 141,458 258.09 26.37 222,604 427.26 42.99 171,059 290.88 32.23 81,500 138.61 15.55 86,700 147.45 17.21 140,237 246.68 28.12 240,484 380.15 46.40 301,745 444.18 51.29 280,676 512.09 52.32 331,908 637.06 64.10 258,138 438.95 48.63 160,061 272.21 30.53 161,434 274.55 32.05 $ $/ha $/SU 77,835 136.91 15.61 137,444 217.27 26.52 200,379 294.96 34.06 183,881 335.49 34.27 228,383 438.36 44.10 164,875 280.36 31.06 69,114 117.54 13.18 68,833 117.06 13.67 Total Farm Capital at open Total Farm Capital at open Total Farm Capital at open Total Assets at close $ $/ha $/SU $ 4,147,869 7,296 832 4,876,493 4,594,575 7,263 887 5,261,101 5,032,436 7,408 855 5,565,713 4,580,822 8,358 854 5,107,242 4,885,872 9,378 944 5,956,829 4,640,476 7,891 874 5,349,144 4,870,855 8,284 929 5,286,223 4,886,604 8,311 970 5,291,887 Current Liabilities at close Term Liabilities at close Reserves at close Net Worth at close Equity at close RoR on TFC at open $ $ $ $ % % 114,529 665,387 192,500 3,904,077 80.1 1.9 81,730 403,210 478,595 4,297,566 81.7 3.0 102,188 770,527 737,982 3,955,016 71.1 4.0 128,169 1,584,974 621,426 2,772,672 54.3 4.0 88,517 1,119,530 421,900 4,326,882 72.6 4.7 103,044 911,546 485,430 3,849,125 72.0 3.6 98,000 890,000 474,534 3,823,689 72.3 1.4 120,000 930,000 473,172 3,768,715 71.2 1.4 © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 4.99 4.11 1.25 4.16 9.78 0.07 0.57 3.31 0.76 2.03 1.12 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 5 N.I. Intensive Finishing East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare EBITR $/ha 0 GFR $/ha 200 400 600 800 1,000 0 150 3 EFS $/ha 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 -200 0 200 400 600 800 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Lambing % 70 80 Stocking Rate SU/ha 90 100 110 120 130 140 4 5 6 Total Expenditure $/ha 7 8 9 10 11 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Interest $/ha Fertiliser (on ground) $/ha 0 50 100 150 200 0 R&M $/ha 100 200 300 0 100 0 50 100 150 200 250 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Sales All Lambs $/head 50 70 110 0 20 Q1 low 2014-15 P Q2 2014-15 P Q3 2014-15 P Q4 2014-15 P Q5 high 2014-15 P Mean 2014-15 P Prov. 2015-16 P Forecast 2016-17 P Term Liabilities $/ha 0 500 1,000 Total Meat Production kg/ha Sales All Lamb Prime [P] v Store % 90 40 60 80 2,000 2,500 3,000 0 20 40 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 80 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Beef 300 Deer RoR on TFC at open % 60 Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 200 Sheep Equity at close % 1,500 100 Forecast 2016-17 © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 100 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 5 N.I. Intensive Finishing East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare Class 5 N.I. Intensive Finishing Unit Effective Area Cash Crop Area New Grass Area Total Labour Units Working Owners ha ha ha No. No. Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 284 457 276 26 20 1.32 0.93 384 7 12 1.49 0.96 384 9 9 1.59 0.95 391 2 10 1.52 1.00 384 9 11 1.22 0.94 523 7 11 1.81 0.97 Open Sheep Open Cattle Open Deer Open Total Stocking Rate Sheep:Cattle SU Ratio SU SU SU SU SU/ha % 1,426 1,415 1,747 3,073 3,197 1,333 2,502 1,651 1,339 1,220 2,008 1,750 1,750 1,309 1,605 1,109 2,850 10.0 50.2 4,820 9.2 36.2 4,541 9.9 70.6 4,153 10.6 60.3 2,559 9.3 52.3 3,763 9.8 53.4 3,063 8.0 57.2 2,719 7.1 59.1 Pasture Fertiliser Crop Fertiliser Total Fertiliser Total Fertiliser Other Fertiliser tonnes tonnes tonnes kg/ha $ 80.7 3.0 83.7 295 28.0 3.9 31.9 61 4,802 77.2 7.5 84.7 185 5,438 85.0 10.0 95.0 243 55.9 18.6 74.4 270 65.0 8.6 73.6 192 1,948 60.0 156 2,300 50.0 130 2,000 Pasture N Pasture P Pasture K Pasture S kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha 21.7 17.1 1.0 25.8 1.4 1.4 0.3 7.9 10.0 11.5 1.5 12.3 4.9 23.4 2.3 33.5 25.0 16.3 12.4 28.6 10.5 12.7 2.8 20.0 Lime Lime Lime tonnes kg/ha kg/SU 59 206.3 20.6 14 27.3 3.0 57 124.5 12.5 297 758.2 71.4 17 60.6 6.5 90 233.2 23.8 44 114.6 14.4 40 104.2 14.7 Ewes mated Lambs from ewes Lambs from hgts All Lambs tailed Lambing Hgt lambs % all lambs No. No. No. No. % % 959 1,256 25 1,280 131.0 1.9 1,079 1,299 75 1,374 120.3 5.5 2,436 3,222 154 3,376 132.3 4.6 1,883 2,689 281 2,970 142.8 9.5 894 1,276 75 1,351 142.7 5.5 1,421 1,911 121 2,032 134.5 5.9 1,256 1,645 68 1,713 131.0 4.0 1,209 1,497 54 1,551 123.8 3.5 Cows + Hfrs mated Calves marked Calving Hinds mated Fawns marked Fawning No. No. % No. No. % 28 23 80.2 71 58 81.5 56 48 86.6 15 13 89.2 33 28 83.5 16 14 87.5 17 16 94.1 % % % % % % 1.8 3.8 2.3 1.7 1.5 2.7 2.0 2.7 1.5 1.5 5.2 2.1 0.8 1.8 3.6 1.4 1.4 2.0 6.0 1.8 2.1 4.2 1.7 1.1 1.4 1.5 5.8 0.8 1.3 kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha kg/ha 79.6 4.8 98.2 52.2 0.3 90.3 148.9 0.6 71.0 136.2 2.5 99.7 109.8 7.0 123.1 102.8 2.5 94.3 182.6 142.7 220.5 238.4 239.9 199.6 kg kg kg/head kg/SSU kg/ha kg kg/ha c/kg c/kg c/SSU 6,345 6,250 3.87 4.38 22.02 7,250 25.5 352.3 173.1 759.0 7,290 7,176 3.59 4.11 13.73 8,200 15.7 324.5 187.4 770.0 19,711 17,723 5.03 5.54 38.81 19,742 43.2 351.7 188.6 1,045.6 13,367 13,612 4.90 5.44 34.80 15,607 39.9 362.8 137.3 746.9 6,624 6,625 4.33 4.95 24.00 6,731 24.4 348.0 150.0 742.3 10,401 10,058 4.46 5.01 26.19 11,264 29.3 350.3 166.9 836.1 7,962 8,197 4.18 4.68 21.35 7,810 7,810 4.40 4.87 20.34 362.0 181.5 850.0 262.0 145.6 708.5 Lamb Loss Sheep Loss Calf Loss Cattle Loss Fawn Loss Deer Loss Lamb Prodn Mutton Prodn Beef Prodn (incl dairy grazing) Deer Prodn Total (incl goat) Wool Sold Wool Shorn Wool Shorn Wool Shorn Wool Shorn Wool Prodn (calculated) Wool Prodn (calculated) Wool net before freight Shearing Expenditure Shearing Expenditure © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 5 N.I. Intensive Finishing East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare Class 5 N.I. Intensive Finishing Unit Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Sales Prime Lambs Sales Prime Lambs Sales Prime Lambs Sales Prime Lambs Sales Store Lambs Sales Store Lambs Sales All Lambs Sales All Lambs No. $/head $/kg CW % No. $/head No. $/head 883 90.57 5.40 75.30 289 74.32 1,171 86.56 936 105.37 5.65 86.30 149 65.85 1,084 99.95 2,986 102.03 5.35 93.90 194 72.13 3,180 101.00 2,281 98.51 5.55 92.90 174 65.73 2,455 96.19 1,537 103.76 5.62 98.80 18 86.71 1,556 103.56 1,687 100.52 5.49 91.10 164 70.69 1,851 98.12 1,377 92.00 5.03 90.50 145 69.00 1,522 89.87 1,408 95.07 5.19 94.00 90 72.26 1,498 94.03 Sales Prime Hogget Sales Prime Hogget Sales Prime Hogget Sales Prime Ewes Sales Prime Ewes Sales Prime Ewes No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW 716 122.48 6.22 157 78.17 3.45 670 126.41 6.04 96 92.99 5.26 407 115.08 6.01 375 89.12 3.31 393 120.38 6.04 406 83.60 3.91 682 127.42 6.12 284 100.73 3.65 578 123.41 6.10 260 88.89 3.70 551 100.00 4.95 141 68.00 2.83 355 110.00 5.44 148 76.63 3.19 1 659 2 695 10 668 542 5 606 2 610 2 580 3 967 2 856 21 980 10 1,216 10 855 21 951 8 1,033 2 1,033 19 887 16 1,031 4.10 14 1,622 5.29 12 1,144 4.55 105 1,567 5.28 12 1,252 4.98 2 1,565 5.10 8 1,200 4.78 92 1,510 5.09 Sales Calf/Wnr Str Store Sales Calf/Wnr Str Store Sales Calf/Wnr Hfr Store Sales Calf/Wnr Hfr Store Sales Calf/Wnr Bull Store Sales Calf/Wnr Bull Store No. $/head No. $/head No. $/head 3 658 Sales 1-1.5 Steer Store Sales 1-1.5 Steer Store Sales 1-1.5 Heifer Store Sales 1-1.5 Heifer Store Sales 1Yr+ Bulls Store Sales 1Yr+ Bulls Store No. $/head No. $/head No. $/head 4 720 4 631 48 871 Sales 1-1.5 Strs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Strs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Strs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Hfrs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Hfrs Prime Sales 1-1.5 Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Hfrs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Strs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Strs Prime Sales 2Yr+ Strs Prime Sales Prime Cows Sales Prime Cows Sales Prime Cows Sales Prime Bulls Sales Prime Bulls Sales Prime Bulls No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW No. $/head $/kg CW 651 2 526 17 617 1 485 6 595 1 840 9 1,495 9 1,072 1 708 5 1,009 3 1,044 5 1,060 7 485 16 1,343 5.30 16 1,766 5.27 4 1,252 4.53 93 1,596 5.64 11 1,599 5.85 45 1,624 5.33 21 1,115 4.45 98 1,725 5.57 990 4.55 15 932 4.71 25 1,220 5.14 18 1,618 5.55 5 1,073 4.37 67 1,444 5.23 1 1,137 4.74 23 1,153 5.19 23 1,291 5.09 19 1,573 5.24 2 1,112 4.92 127 1,594 5.51 1 1,314 5.40 23 1,239 5.08 4 1,211 4.85 7 1,529 5.01 120 1,813 5.74 1,213 5.06 12 1,140 5.05 16 1,322 5.26 21 1,629 5.31 6 1,125 4.47 102 1,656 5.58 82.64 89.66 73.44 -3.42 96.88 99.88 107.70 83.48 136.27 139.48 98.76 63.03 79.14 90.15 83.34 98.35 311,599 1,097.73 109.33 462,867 885.75 96.02 541,025 1,184.73 119.13 530,709 1,356.82 127.78 498,308 1,805.46 194.71 466,780 1,215.67 124.06 346,300 901.82 113.06 325,300 847.14 119.64 550 33 1,106 Sheep Gross Margin Cattle Gross Margin Deer Gross Margin $/SSU $/CSU $/DSU Gross Farm Revenue Gross Farm Revenue Gross Farm Revenue $ $/ha $/SU Wool Revenue Sheep Revenue Sheep+Wool Revenue Cattle Revenue Dairy Grz Revenue Deer+Velvet Revenue $/SSU $/SSU $/SSU $/CSU $/DzSU $/DSU 16.01 92.72 108.73 108.29 14.38 102.58 116.95 66.50 62.53 19.53 102.89 122.42 105.18 67.70 20.15 111.53 131.67 109.85 17.23 144.49 161.72 154.33 17.94 109.27 127.21 99.70 66.75 16.46 83.66 100.11 108.64 58.33 13.08 90.34 103.43 118.73 57.78 $ $/ha $/SU % of GFR 271,976 958.14 95.43 87.3 406,664 778.20 84.37 87.9 389,722 853.41 85.81 72.0 339,894 868.98 81.84 64.0 269,179 975.29 105.18 54.0 333,892 869.58 88.74 71.5 305,000 794.27 99.58 88.1 293,300 763.80 107.87 90.2 Total Expenditure Total Expenditure Total Expenditure Total Expenditure © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Economic Service: Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Analysis Based on 2014-15 Survey, Class 5 N.I. Intensive Finishing East Coast Quintile Analysis Ranked by EBITR per hectare Class 5 N.I. Intensive Finishing Unit Q1 low 2014-15 Q2 2014-15 Q3 2014-15 Q4 2014-15 Q5 high 2014-15 Mean 2014-15 Prov. 2015-16 Forecast 2016-17 Wages and Salaries Animal Health Weed and Pest Shearing Fertiliser Lime Seeds Vehicles & Fuel Electricity Feed & Grazing Cultivation/Sowing Cash Crop R&M Cartage Administration Insurance & ACC Rates Interest Rent Depreciation $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha $/ha 86.82 50.57 21.00 38.12 157.49 11.03 16.92 44.44 9.19 28.08 29.92 76.00 26.92 16.06 25.74 36.72 0.12 8.57 29.94 12.29 12.96 14.76 1.37 48.79 11.55 36.56 29.20 31.24 241.53 46.58 71.30 65.36 44.19 16.50 73.21 102.64 6.05 13.41 38.18 6.81 17.30 15.38 71.25 42.82 17.38 47.78 105.17 28.88 8.57 52.25 13.28 36.91 16.46 5.63 56.19 15.16 40.05 24.24 35.76 178.52 26.54 46.15 67.33 47.17 41.28 36.01 135.83 2.46 32.57 82.70 10.26 45.80 10.49 31.83 82.85 32.84 44.96 26.41 43.78 105.74 13.94 81.04 73.13 40.47 20.91 43.73 97.96 9.40 14.40 46.36 10.58 26.06 16.92 6.27 83.48 19.70 37.40 25.73 36.22 160.59 40.96 59.28 72.53 37.66 20.83 38.74 80.21 5.16 14.27 46.74 10.78 25.53 16.41 6.28 73.46 19.51 37.40 26.12 37.30 132.31 40.95 52.08 73.22 32.31 21.25 29.61 65.10 4.58 14.13 47.15 10.99 25.03 16.08 6.38 76.80 19.69 37.50 26.51 38.42 127.39 40.96 50.78 Wages and Salaries Animal Health Weed and Pest Shearing Fertiliser Lime Seeds Vehicles & Fuel Electricity Feed & Grazing Cultivation/Sowing Cash Crop R&M Cartage Administration Insurance & ACC Rates Interest Rent Depreciation $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU $/SU 8.65 5.04 2.09 3.80 15.69 1.10 1.68 4.43 0.92 2.80 2.98 6.57 4.44 1.66 7.36 10.32 0.61 1.35 3.84 0.68 1.74 1.55 21.84 2.62 3.38 2.65 3.62 7.43 1.43 3.30 8.24 2.92 1.74 2.79 3.98 0.01 0.93 3.25 1.33 1.41 1.60 0.15 5.29 1.25 3.96 3.17 3.39 26.19 5.05 7.73 5.93 2.12 3.33 2.16 3.81 13.64 8.67 6.03 6.71 4.03 1.64 4.50 9.90 2.72 0.81 4.92 1.25 3.48 1.55 0.53 5.29 1.43 3.77 2.28 3.37 16.81 2.50 4.35 7.26 5.09 4.45 3.88 14.65 0.27 3.51 8.92 1.11 4.94 1.13 3.43 8.93 3.54 4.85 2.85 4.72 11.40 1.50 8.74 7.46 4.13 2.13 4.46 10.00 0.96 1.47 4.73 1.08 2.66 1.73 0.64 8.52 2.01 3.82 2.63 3.70 16.39 4.18 6.05 9.09 4.72 2.61 4.86 10.06 0.65 1.79 5.86 1.35 3.20 2.06 0.79 9.21 2.45 4.69 3.27 4.68 16.59 5.13 6.53 10.34 4.56 3.00 4.18 9.19 0.65 2.00 6.66 1.55 3.53 2.27 0.90 10.85 2.78 5.30 3.74 5.43 17.99 5.79 7.17 Farm Profit Before Tax Farm Profit Before Tax Farm Profit Before Tax $ $/ha $/SU 39,624 139.59 13.90 56,203 107.55 11.66 151,304 331.32 33.32 190,816 487.84 45.95 229,128 830.17 89.53 132,889 346.09 35.32 41,300 107.55 13.48 32,000 83.33 11.77 EBITR EBITR EBITR $ $/ha $/SU 64,876 228.55 22.76 206,765 395.67 42.89 252,613 553.17 55.62 271,021 692.90 65.26 262,159 949.85 102.43 210,277 547.64 55.89 107,833 280.82 35.21 96,646 251.68 35.54 Econ Farm Surplus Econ Farm Surplus Econ Farm Surplus $ $/ha $/SU -3,087 -10.88 -1.08 98,023 187.58 20.34 150,785 330.19 33.20 173,675 444.02 41.82 173,602 628.99 67.83 117,653 306.41 31.27 12,824 33.40 4.19 1,360 3.54 0.50 Total Farm Capital at open Total Farm Capital at open Total Farm Capital at open Total Assets at close $ $/ha $/SU $ 3,463,815 12,203 1,215 3,998,676 6,374,836 12,199 1,323 7,228,179 5,819,126 12,743 1,281 6,548,650 5,122,334 13,096 1,233 5,591,010 4,567,870 16,550 1,785 5,197,112 5,047,551 13,146 1,341 5,688,139 5,302,768 13,809 1,731 5,499,675 5,197,012 13,534 1,911 5,561,479 Current Liabilities at close Term Liabilities at close Reserves at close Net Worth at close Equity at close RoR on TFC at open $ $ $ $ % % 80,605 318,732 386,429 3,212,910 80.3 -0.1 345,926 1,416,247 696,534 4,769,472 66.0 1.5 174,320 1,153,721 1,845,699 3,374,911 51.5 2.6 84,916 859,937 690,714 3,955,442 70.7 3.4 91,315 275,519 489,286 4,340,993 83.5 3.8 154,861 794,570 791,616 3,947,094 69.4 2.3 106,000 730,000 789,573 3,874,102 70.4 0.2 180,000 830,000 789,573 3,761,906 67.6 219.32 26.32 33.92 26.59 36.34 74.64 14.32 33.11 59.00 21.05 33.08 21.48 37.92 135.60 86.25 60.01 © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 Sheep and Beef Farm Survey Production Regions 100 NorthlandWaikato-BoP Far North Whangarei Kaipara Auckland Thames-Coromandel Hauraki Waikato Matamata-Piako Hamilton City Waipa Otorohanga South Waikato Waitomo Taupo Western Bay of Plenty Tauranga 300 TaranakiManawatu New Plymouth Stratford South Taranaki Wanganui Rangitikei Manawatu Palmerston North Rotorua Whakatane Kawerau Opotiki Ruapehu 100 Horowhenua Kapiti Coast Porirua City Upper Hutt City Hutt City Wellington City 200 300 200 East Coast Gisborne Wairoa Hastings Napier City Central Hawke's Bay Tararua Masterton Carterton South Wairarapa 400 400 Marlborough-Canterbury Tasman Nelson City Marlborough Kaikoura Hurunui Waimakariri Christchurch City Selwyn Ashburton Timaru Mackenzie Waimate Waitaki 500 500 Otago-Southland Central Otago Queenstown-Lakes Dunedin City Clutha Southland Gore Invercargill City © B+LNZ Economic Service | P17004 Beef + Lamb New Zealand Regional Contacts Northern North Island Eastern North Island Western North Island Chairman and Director James Parsons 09 438 8563 M 021 206 3208 Director George Tatham 06 372 3609 M 027 244 4900 Director Kirsten Bryant 06 342 7755 M 027 275 1690 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Economic Service Managers Dot Larsen 07 839 4260 M 027 555 9127 Economic Service Manager Stephen Lys 06 870 3496 M 027 248 3521 Economic Service Supervisor Tim Hembrow 06 323 0508 M 027 333 6289 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Extension Managers Mark Harris 06 870 3495 M 027 577 9991 Economic Service Officer Michael Flett 03 323 3168 M 027 839 6365 [email protected] [email protected] Lauren Cameron 06 370 2389 M 027 431 7626 Extension Manager Jason Griffin 06 324 0390 M 027 431 0225 Sam Stewart 07 839 4261 M 027 454 8878 [email protected] Extension Managers Andrew Jolly 07 839 0286 M 027 556 8836 [email protected] Alison Whiteford 09 438 0672 M 027 489 7343 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Northern South Island Central South Island Southern South Island Director Phil Smith 03 315 8677 M 027 222 7927 Director Bill Wright 03 614 3751 Director Andrew Morrison 03 207 1856 M 027 664 4620 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Economic Service Manager Pending appointment Economic Service Manager Hannah Gibson 03 357 0696 M 027 431 2583 Economic Service Manager Jenny McGimpsey 03 204 0859 M 027 458 8067 [email protected] [email protected] Extension Manager Sarah O'Connell 03 357 0693 M 027 496 8496 Senior Extension Manager Aaron Meikle 03 433 1392 M 027 498 9703 Extension Manager Olivia Ross 03 208 4144 M 027 801 7868 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Environmental Data Analyst Carly Sluys 03 357 0695 M 027 572 7614 National Extension Manager Paul McCauley 03 448 9176 M 007 522 3499 Extension Officer Laura Gray 03 448 9180 M 027 553 1226 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Chief Economist Andrew Burtt 04 474 0842 M 027 652 9543 Executive Director Rob Davison 04 471 6034 Senior Agricultural Analyst Rob Gibson 04 471 6037 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Database Administrator Loma Finch 04 474 0830 Senior Agricultural Analyst Ben Hancock 04 494 9508 Senior Analyst Information Systems Brian Speirs 04 474 0846 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Wellington Economic Service 0800 BEEFLAMB (0800 233 352) | WWW.BEEFLAMBNZ.COM BY FARMERS. 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