CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc CDP – shell.com/ghg Climate Change 2016 Information Request Royal Dutch Shell Module: Introduction Page: Introduction CC0.1 Introduction: Please give a general description and introduction to your organization. Shell is one of the world’s largest independent oil and gas companies in terms of market capitalisation, operating cash flow and production. Our business explores for gas and oil worldwide, both from conventional fields and from sources such as tight rock and shale. We work to develop new oil and gas supplies, and have a global network of refineries and chemical plants. We also transport and trade oil, gas and other energy-related products and serve around 25 million customers a day through our global network of 43,000 branded retail sites. Shell invests in alternative energy as well as biofuels production and retail. UPSTREAM Upstream explores for and recovers crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids, transports oil and gas, and operates the upstream and midstream infrastructure necessary to deliver oil and gas to market. The Upstream organisation co-ordinates all of Shell’s conventional oil and gas exploration and production, including our deep-water operations. Upstream also includes our heavy oil and shale activities. INTEGRATED GAS AND NEW ENERGIES Integrated Gas (IG) manages most of Shell’s conventional natural gas operations, including the manufacture and distribution of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and gasto-liquids products. The division includes IG’s marketing, development and trading activities to bring natural gas to our customers around the world; it also includes our wind activities. Establishing IG as a stand-alone business reflects its further potential for growth. New Energies will be a new Line of Business to bring greater focus to exploring and investing in low carbon opportunities and will interface and collaborate across the whole of the enterprise. DOWNSTREAM Shell’s Downstream business manages Shell’s refining and marketing activities for oil products and chemicals. It is divided into five core businesses: refining, retail, chemicals, lubricants, and trading and supply. In Downstream, we convert oil and gas resources into valuable products, and market and sell them around the world. Downstream also oversees Shell’s interests in trading, shipping and low-carbon fuels, including biofuels. PROJECTS & TECHNOLOGY Shell Projects & Technology (P&T) provides technical services, technology capability and major project delivery across both Upstream and Downstream activities. P&T drives research and innovation to create technologies for finding and developing oil and gas. P&T also provides leadership in contracting and procurement, as well as in safety, environmental and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions management. BG GROUP In April 2015, Shell announced an offer for BG Group plc and the transaction was completed on February 15, 2016. This combination should add significantly to our business, particularly in LNG worldwide and deep-water oil and gas in Brazil. BG Group’s activities will be included in our next sustainability report. 1 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc CC0.2 Reporting Year: Please state the start and end date of the year for which you are reporting data. The current reporting year is the latest/most recent 12-month period for which data is reported. Enter the dates of this year first. We request data for more than one reporting period for some emission accounting questions. Please provide data for the three years prior to the current reporting year if you have not provided this information before, or if this is the first time you have answered a CDP information request. (This does not apply if you have been offered and selected the option of answering the shorter questionnaire). If you are going to provide additional years of data, please give the dates of those reporting periods here. Work backwards from the most recent reporting year. Please enter dates in following format: day(DD)/month(MM)/year(YYYY) (i.e. 31/01/2001). Enter Periods that will be disclosed Thu 01 Jan 2015 - Thu 31 Dec 2015 CC0.3 Country list configuration Please select the countries for which you will be supplying data. If you are responding to the Electric Utilities module, this selection will be carried forward to assist you in completing your response. Select country United States of America Canada Nigeria Netherlands Singapore Germany Malaysia United Kingdom International Waters Australia Rest of world CC0.4 Currency selection: Please select the currency in which you would like to submit your response. All financial information contained in the response should be in this currency. USD($) CC0.6 Modules 2 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc As part of the request for information on behalf of investors, electric utilities, companies with electric utility activities or assets, companies in the automobile or auto component manufacture sub-industries, companies in the oil and gas sub-industries, companies in the information technology and telecommunications sectors and companies in the food, beverage and tobacco industry group should complete supplementary questions in addition to the main questionnaire. If you are in these sector groupings (according to the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)), the corresponding sector modules will not appear below but will automatically appear in the navigation bar when you save this page. If you want to query your classification, please email [email protected]. If you have not been presented with a sector module that you consider would be appropriate for your company to answer, please select the module below. If you wish to view the questions first, please see https://www.cdp.net/en-US/Programmes/Pages/More-questionnaires.aspx. Module: Management Page: CC1. Governance CC1.1 Where is the highest level of direct responsibility for climate change within your organization? Board or individual/sub-set of the Board or other committee appointed by the Board CC1.1a Please identify the position of the individual or name of the committee with this responsibility. The overall accountability for climate change within Shell lies with the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and the Executive Committee (EC - CEO, CFO and main business and functional Directors). The HSSE & SP Executive is the highest governance body with active decision-making authority for Health, Safety, Security, Environment and Social Performance (HSSE & SP) in Shell, including climate change risk management. It is comprised of the CEO, the Executive Director Upstream International, the Director – Projects & Technology, the EVP Safety&Environment and the VPs Safety&Environment of Businesses and Functions. The Royal Dutch Shell Board of Directors has oversight of all areas of risk, including climate change. For climate change risk, the Board is supported by the Corporate and Social Responsibility Committee (CSRC). The Committee is currently made up of Non-executive Directors and their role is to review and advise the Board on policies and performance against the Shell General Business Principles, the Shell Code of Conduct and mandatory HSSE & SP standards. Outside the Executive Committee and the Board, the most senior individual with direct responsibility for climate change, and nominated risk owner, is the Executive Vice President (EVP) Safety and Environment (S&E) who has direct access to the CEO. Group CO2, a corporate team with global remit is responsible for evaluating climate change related risks to the Shell group, supports the business in developing CO2 management strategies and has oversight of the company´s CO2 management implementation programme. The team is led by the VP CO2 who is the climate change risk focal point, and reports to the EVP S&E. CC1.2 Do you provide incentives for the management of climate change issues, including the attainment of targets? Yes CC1.2a Please provide further details on the incentives provided for the management of climate change issues. 3 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Who is entitled to benefit from these incentives? Corporate executive team All employees All employees All employees The type of incentives Monetary reward Monetary reward Recognition (nonmonetary) Recognition (nonmonetary) Incentivized performance indicator Efficiency project Other: TRCF, Energy Intensity, Oil Spills, Water use Efficiency project Other: TRCF, Energy Intensity, Oil Spills, Water use Other: Variety of indicators depending on specific improvements made (incl. emissions reduction and efficiency increase) Other: Variety of indicators depending on specific improvements made (incl. emissions reduction and efficiency increase) Comment Executive Committee members’ annual bonus is aligned with Shell’s stated business strategy and commitments, which focus on financial measures, operational excellence, and sustainable development. In 2015, sustainable development continued to account for 20% of the company scorecard, which helps determine the annual bonus for all our employees, including members of the Executive Committee (EC). In 2015, the EC's sustainable development measures were split evenly between Shell's safety and environmental performance, including targeted measures covering operational spills, energy efficiency of refineries and use of fresh water. Targets are set each year by the Board’s Remuneration Committee taking into account the performance achieved in the last three years. Energy efficiency (the amount of energy consumed for every unit of output) is used as a representative measure for GHG performance. We improve energy efficiency within our operations, i.e. through the improvement of reliability of equipment and undertaking energy efficiency projects which result in the reduction of CO2 emissions. In 2015, “Operational Safety Tier 1 Events” became part of the sustainable development share of the scorecard. Sustainable development accounts for 20% of the overall company scorecard. Sustainable Development performance is assessed based on the safety measure Total Recordable Case Frequency and consideration of a broad range of internal sustainability measures, including other safety measures and environmental measures including GHG emissions. In determining the final score, the Chief Executive Officer takes into account the overall sustainable development performance. In 2015, “Operational Safety Tier 1 Events” became part of the sustainable development share of the scorecard. The annual Chief Executive Officer’s HSSE & SP Awards programme recognises individuals and teams working to improve Shell’s performance in the areas of health, safety, security, environment (HSSE) and social performance (SP). All employees are eligible for individual recognition via the annual individual staff appraisal process. The efforts that individuals have made to GHG specific activities that are part of their annual goals are considered and rewarded based on their performance. In addition there are special recognition awards where individuals are rewarded for significant accomplishments in specific projects. 4 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Page: CC2. Strategy CC2.1 Please select the option that best describes your risk management procedures with regard to climate change risks and opportunities. Integrated into multi-disciplinary company-wide risk management processes CC2.1a Please provide further details on your risk management procedures with regard to climate change risks and opportunities. Frequency of monitoring Annually CC2.1b To whom are results reported? Board or individual/sub-set of the Board or committee appointed by the Board Geographical areas considered Shell has a global approach to climate change risk management, covering all regions worldwide where we operate or explore. How far into the future are risks considered? > 6 years Comment Shell’s approach to risk management includes a variety of processes. The company’s Control Framework is at the basis of these processes. Risks and opportunities are assessed both at company and asset level. Please describe how your risk and opportunity identification processes are applied at both company and asset level. i) Company level Risks and opportunities are assessed via a single Control Framework (CF) that is designed to manage rather than eliminate the risk of failure to achieve business objectives. It therefore only provides reasonable assurance against material misstatement or loss. The CF applies to all wholly-owned Shell companies and to ventures and other companies where Shell, directly or indirectly, has a controlling interest. The CF defines the Opportunity Realisation Process that requires assurance at specific stages of the process and outlines the required governance. A dedicated department has the responsibility of actively monitoring company levels of emissions and GHG intensity. This includes a dedicated GHG Project Manager to guide the largest projects, representing around 80% of all additional GHG from new investments, in managing GHG-related content, from both a risk and an opportunity standpoint. Risks are assessed for likelihood of occurrence and impact on Shell (financial/non-financial terms). ii) Asset level Risks and opportunities are assessed via the Shell Risk Assessment Matrix (part of the Shell HSSE&SP CF) that identifies consequences to people, assets, environment and reputation. Applied severity bands range from “no damage/effect” to “massive damage/effect”. Likelihood is reported on an increasing scale from “Never heard of in the Industry” to “Has happened more than once per year at the location”. Major installations are certified against internationally recognised environmental management system standards (e.g. ISO14001). The risks and opportunities of climate change are assessed for new assets or projects in development by considering a project screening value of GHG emissions at $40/tonne in all investment decisions. New and existing assets are required to have a GHG & Energy Management Plan (details improvement options considering the GHG Project Screening Value, emissions and/or energy intensity target(s)). CC2.1c How do you prioritize the risks and opportunities identified? 5 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Shell’s prioritisation of risks and opportunities follows a structured approach. We actively monitor our portfolio GHG footprint of all assets as well as our products to quantify future regulatory costs related to CO2 or other related climate policies. This allows us to effectively prioritize areas of greater concern and assess mitigation options and the most viable responses. For planned major projects, emissions profiles are estimated and financial exposure from GHG regulations is assessed. All investment projects, as well as existing operations that undergo substantial modifications, are required to apply a project screening value of $40 a tonne of CO2e. Mitigation options for GHG risks are prioritised and managed by looking at cost-effective ways based on bespoke abatement curves that quantify impact as well as economic attractiveness. Actions to mitigate the key exposures and future mitigation options are agreed with the business and incorporated into their plans. For long range planning, Shell disaggregates its portfolio into a series of strategic themes. These can be concentrated in one business (e.g. heavy oil) or spread across several (e.g. integrated gas). Each of the themes has a 2030 GHG intensity aspiration and road-map based plans, with a granulated review of GHG related risks and opportunities to show the activities needed to achieve the guiding aspiration. We actively rank and monitor the prioritisation of long term opportunities that might be benefited rather than threatened by climate change regulation, based on the fit with our own competences, the potential materiality of the activity and its economic returns. Our main opportunity related contributions to reducing GHG emissions, both our own and helping our customers emit less include: bring cleaner-burning natural gas to a wider market; supply more biofuels; progress Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technologies; and invest in lower carbon alternatives such as hydrogen, wind and solar. CC2.2 Is climate change integrated into your business strategy? Yes CC2.2a Please describe the process of how climate change is integrated into your business strategy and any outcomes of this process. i/iii) Influence of internal reporting processes on the business strategy Shell’s strategy is actively driven by Group CO2, a corporate function that monitors and examines the strategic implications of climate change to Shell’s business and the impact of developments in governmental policy and regulation with a direct line of accountability to the CEO and oversight of the company’s GHG management programme. Shell collaborates and actively participates in dialogue with a number of organisations and industry associations to monitor climate change developments and to move the energy and climate change discussion forward. Shell identifies three main aspects that influence business strategy: activities to help risk management related to CO2 regulation (e.g. energy efficiency); managing the physical impacts of climate change on our business and investment in opportunities that could benefit from intensifying CO2 regulation (CCS, alternative energies and natural gas). ii) Examples of how business strategy has been influenced We strive for improved energy efficiency to help reduce Shell’s overall GHG emissions: between 2009 and 2015, the energy intensity of our refineries decreased by about 6%, due to a combination of improved equipment reliability and better operating processes and energy-efficiency projects. Shell’s commitment to advanced biofuels is shown by our multi-billion dollar investment in Brazilian sugar cane ethanol manufacturing via our joint venture Raízen. In 2015, Raízen produced more than 2 billion litres of low-carbon biofuel. Sugar cane ethanol has one of the best CO2 performances compared with other conventional biofuels available today in commercial volumes. It can reduce CO2 emissions by around 70% compared to gasoline, on a lifecycle (well-to-wheels) basis. iv) Influence on short term strategy (5-10yr) CO2 regulation will increase in future as the drive to de-carbonize energy sources and uses intensifies. Shell actively measures and monitors its own CO2 footprint, specifically that of its major assets as well as its products to understand the company’s exposure to CO2 regulation, its mitigation options and the most viable responses. This analysis affects design and technology choices in major projects as well as longer term portfolio-related options. We test the resilience of our portfolio against externally published, future pathways, including credible low emissions pathways. To test the resilience of new projects, we assess potential costs 6 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc associated with GHG emissions when evaluating all new investments. Our approach applies a uniform project screening value (PSV) of $40 (real terms) per tonne of CO2e to the total GHG emissions of each investment. This PSV is generally applied when evaluating our new projects around the world to test their future resilience. The project development process features a number of checks that may require development of detailed GHG and energy management plans. High-emitting projects undergo additional sensitivity testing, including the potential for future CCS projects. Projects in the most GHG-exposed asset classes have GHG intensity targets that reflect standards sufficient to allow them to compete and prosper in a more CO2 regulated future. These processes can lead to projects being stopped, designs being changed, and potential GHG mitigation investments being identified, in preparation for when regulation would make these investments commercially compelling. Additionally, Shell´s new energies’ business is actively exploring opportunities in: development of new fuels for mobility, such as biofuels and hydrogen; integrated energy solutions, that combine, for example, wind and solar energy; and connecting customers with new business models for energy, enabled by digitalisation as well as de-centralisation of energy systems. v) Influence on long term strategy (10-20yr) Shell has long life assets that will last many decades. Some of these might have been designed according to outdated climate parameters. As physical impacts of climate change are experienced or expected, it raises the need to actively review the resilience of key producing assets and develop adaptation plans to remain resilient to intensifying climate trends. Looking further than planning and strategy periods that guide our current investments, Shell updates its ‘Energy Scenarios’ every few years, which detail plausible energy future long term pathways. These scenarios have been an important influence on Shell’s longer-term strategic thinking. The latest New Lens Scenarios (2013) highlight the importance of CCS technology, amongst other measures, in addressing climate change. Shell is keen to be at the forefront of new energy solutions which includes the development of cleaner and alternative energy technologies. Examples of how we develop new technologies are our GameChanger programme (identifies unproven ideas) and Shell Technology Ventures (corporate venturing arm investing in companies). vi) Strategic advantage We are seeking cost-effective ways to manage GHG emissions and see potential business opportunities in developing such solutions. Key components of Shell’s business strategy linked to climate change opportunities supplying more natural gas to replace coal for power generation; investing in low carbon energy; and progressing CCS technologies. The International Energy Agency has stated that CCS could capture enough CO2 to deliver a 13% reduction in overall emissions needed by 2050 to limit the rise in global temperature to 2°C. To advance, de-risk and commercialise CCS technologies, Shell is involved in CCS demonstration projects to drive down the costs of CCS long-term including the Quest project (operations started in late 2015, Canada) and other projects in Australia, Norway and Qatar. Quest is related to our CCS emissions reduction target (Abs1 in 3.1a - 0,32mln tonne reduction delivered). Used in combination with renewables and CCS, natural gas is also essential for a significantly lower CO2 pathway beyond 2020. Around half of Shell’s current production is natural gas and Shell has a leadership position in LNG production and sales. Our strategic hydrocarbon emphasis on natural gas is partly based on a strategic belief of an expanding role for natural gas in the future energy mix as a result of climate change regulation. CC2.2c Does your company use an internal price of carbon? Yes CC2.2d Please provide details and examples of how your company uses an internal price of carbon. At Shell, we assess the GHG risks on all our planned ventures, including existing operations that undergo substantial modifications, applying a GHG project screening value (PSV) to the base case economics for all new projects since 2000. Since 2008, our GHG PSV has been $40 per tonne. This means that new projects are assessed for the financial impact if a government imposed price or levy of $40 for GHG emissions. In addition to applying the base case GHG PSV, we also consider GHG price sensitivities, both in the case of upsides and downsides e.g. for projects with a high exposure to carbon pricing or legislation, we consider the impact of higher GHG prices. The screening value can affect our project design in a number of ways. Some projects may be stopped at an early stage if the 7 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc GHG footprint is too high or a design may be altered to reduce GHG emissions at start-up. For example, we have stopped some projects at an early stage, due to high levels of CO2 in the hydrocarbon reservoir. Alternatively, a project may be designed to enable CO2 reduction at a later date if there is an increase in the local government imposed carbon price – for example, by adding CCS. As well as guiding investment decisions, our GHG PSV is used as a reference to guide business planning assumption when current GHG costs are unknown or expected to change within the planning period. CC2.3 Do you engage in activities that could either directly or indirectly influence public policy on climate change through any of the following? (tick all that apply) Direct engagement with policy makers Trade associations Funding research organizations Other CC2.3a On what issues have you been engaging directly with policy makers? Focus of legislation Cap and trade Other: Global Carbon Market Other: Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) Other: EU Climate Policy to 2030 Other: USA: Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Methane Corporate Position Details of engagement Proposed legislative solution Support 1. In the EU we have actively encouraged the implementation of the Market Stability Reserve within the EU Emissions Trading Scheme. 2. Shell has supported development of China´s ETSs. We have participated in a number of business to business missions with IETA´s Business Partnership for Market Readiness (BPMR) supporting the World Bank´s PMR. 1. Support the need for a robust government led carbon pricing mechanism in the EU by removing the significant surplus of allowances now in the system. 2. Introduction of a nationwide ETS in China from 2017; Shell has set up a trading desk in China and is actively participating in existing carbon markets. Support Shell provided detailed input to IETA’s engagement on global carbon markets for the Paris COP21. We participated in a number of side events and meetings to support measures for linked carbon markets. Continued support for implementation of these measures through IETA. Support Working through the WBCSD and GCCSI to see CCS deployed more widely and potentially recognised within the proposed Paris agreement. Development of government led carbon pricing frameworks in key markets to provide incentives for emission reduction activities (COP21 Decision paragraph 137). Linked carbon markets through development of internationally traded mitigation outcomes (ITMOs) and emissions mitigation mechanisms (EMM) (Paris Agreement; Article 6). Enabling the construction of a series of demonstration projects globally with the objective of having CCS commercially viable in the 2030s. Support Engaging through the Commission’s outreach process on the 2030 Roadmap. A single GHG target for the EU rather than a wide variety of targets and approaches. Support Shell is taking advantage of multiple opportunities to talk with policymakers and stakeholders on the blend wall problem and the need to address the problem to protect consumers and preserve the RFS. Shell spoke at a Bloomberg Serious problems are developing in the US transportation fuel system as a result of the federal renewable fuel standard (RFS), as the mandated levels of renewable fuels exceed levels that are compatible with vehicles and infrastructure. 8 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Focus of legislation regulations Other: Canada: Federal Oil and Gas Regulation in Canada Other: Carbon Pricing Corporate Position Details of engagement Proposed legislative solution conference and a conference held at the University of Illinois and testified at an EPA hearing concerning the RFS standards. Shell also filed written comments on EPA’s proposed 2014 RFS standards. Regarding methane, Shell has been an industry leader in engaging with EPA to write a workable rule for new/modified onshore sources. We have also been influential in modifying API’s position and encouraging the trade association to work productively with EPA. And we took a lead role in influencing the positions of several majors/IOCs. We have met repeatedly with EPA and the White House over the past two years as Shell only, with industry cohorts and with API. We remain very engaged with API and EPA as the agency prepares a draft rule for the regulation of methane from existing sources. This is referred to as the blend wall problem. If this problem is not quickly addressed, the RFS will limit supplies of gasoline and diesel in the US with potentially significant adverse impacts on consumers and the USA economy. In addition, if the government does not appropriately address these issues, public and political support for the RFS program could diminish. This situation creates tremendous investment uncertainty for companies like Shell that are pursuing cellulosic biofuels. Consequently, Shell has stepped up its advocacy and become much more vocal on these issues to try to fix and preserve the RFS. In May 2016, the USA issued a final rule for regulating methane emissions from new/modified oil and gas upstream sources. The rule focuses on applying technology such as low-bleed pneumatics and work practices such as leak detection and repair (applicable only to onshore production). In February 2016, the Administration announced plans to regulate methane emissions from existing onshore oil and gas sources. The Administration plans to issue a draft rule at the end of 2016. The federal government is developing climate change regulations covering carbon pricing and upstream methane emissions. Consultation is ongoing through Q2/Q3 2016. No draft regulations have yet been tabled for either framework. Support Direct engagement with government civil servants and through the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers. Support Broad engagement through many channels including speeches, workshops, Shell Scenario presentations, World Bank initiatives, local advocacy groups, civil society groups, social media (blogs, Twitter etc.). In 2015 we became members of the World Bank CPLC. In mid-2015 our CEO joined with other oil and gas industry CEOs to call for increased use of carbon pricing. The call has resulted in an initiative for the industry to work closely with CPLC (amongst others) to progress adoption of government led carbon pricing. Cap and trade Support EU Climate Policy to 2030: In the EU we have further encouraged the adoption of measure to strengthen the ETS. Other: Canada: Support Direct engagement with government and through the Government led carbon pricing is an essential policy tool to drive system-wide efficiencies and incentivise the extension of low carbon electrification and other technological development and implementation at the lowest cost to society. We are encouraging policy makers in the EU to implement a means of more quickly drawing down on the allowance surplus in the EU ETS. A number of ideas are in the early stages of development but all would see allowances removed from the system. The Alberta Provincial Government has an existing 9 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Focus of legislation Provincial Oil and Gas Regulation in Alberta Carbon tax CC2.3b Corporate Position Details of engagement Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers. Support with minor exceptions Shell’s preference remains for emissions trading schemes (ETS) including cap and trade. Shell supports government led carbon pricing instruments such as a carbon tax where an ETS is not favoured by the government. This includes South Africa. Proposed legislative solution framework for GHG regulations, the Specified Gas Emitters Regulation (SGER) which regulates GHG emissions from large facilities in the province. Effective January 1st, 2018, SGER will be replaced by a performance standard mechanism. Details of the performance standards have not yet been finalized. Further, industry oil sands emission limit will be capped at 100MT/yr. As of January 1st, 2017, Alberta will implement an economy wide carbon levy. Alberta is also regulating methane emissions in the sector. Continue support of implementation of a carbon tax. Shell has been advocating independently and increasingly via trade bodies. Are you on the Board of any trade associations or provide funding beyond membership? Yes CC2.3c Please enter the details of those trade associations that are likely to take a position on climate change legislation. Trade association Is your position on climate change consistent with theirs? Please explain the trade association's position IETA Consistent Using market based instruments such as cap-and-trade to effectively drive the mitigation of GHG emissions. WBCSD Consistent Need to aggressively address global emissions and prepare for the need to adapt to changes in the climate. How have you, or are you attempting to, influence the position? Active participation in working groups. A Shell representative is currently a Board Member. Shell has supported IETA events at COP21 and throughout 2015 in the lead up to COP21. We strongly supported the IETA view that carbon market architecture should feature in the Paris Agreement (which it did in Article 6). Active participation in the Energy & Climate Working Group, co-chair of that group and a WBCSD Executive Committee member throughout 2015. 10 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Trade association Is your position on climate change consistent with theirs? European Round Table of Industrialists Mixed FuelsEurope Mixed Please explain the trade association's position Favour cost effective mechanisms to address GHG emissions in the EU, but concerned that the ETS is leading to competitive distortion. FuelsEurope recognises that climate change is real and warrants action. FuelsEurope supports the efforts of the international community to address the risks of climate change and believes that effective measures must be undertaken by all significant world economies under an effective and clear international agreement. At the same time, the growing global demand of secure, reliable and affordable energy must be addressed in order to fight poverty in several regions of the world and to allow access to higher living standards to a rising middle class in many developing countries. FuelsEurope supports the EU ETS as the EU’s ‘flagship instrument’ within its energy and climate policy framework, as a cost effective market mechanism for emissions reduction in the power and industry sector". FuelsEurope does not support higher carbon price in ETS. IOGP Mixed IOGP supports EU ETS in Europe and appropriate carbon leakage protection; however, they are not always supportive of all measures that would push the EU ETS price. API Mixed Supports the need to address climate change but will not actively support mechanisms such as cap and trade. CAPP Mixed Supports the need to address climate change and engages with government on the best approaches for business. USA: C2ES Consistent Provide pragmatic solutions and realistic energy pathways forward to lower emissions. Australian Industry Greenhouse Network (AIGN) Business Council of Mixed Mixed Supports the need to address climate change through marketbased approach to achieve genuine, lowest cost emission reductions. Australia’s policy response to risks associated with climate How have you, or are you attempting to, influence the position? Active participation in the working group and seeking to steer the position to a more pragmatic position of engagement. Active participation in FuelsEurope Information Groups to ensure they are aligned with the Shell approach on Climate Change or are not opposed to it. Attempting to nuance the position of the association with regard to raising the EU ETS ambition and encouraging IOGP to focus the association’s advocacy on the key upstream issues where there is alignment. Attempt to mitigate negative positions when necessary. Little scope for major positive advocacy work on climate change legislation. Active participation in working groups. As a strategic partner throughout 2015 and into 2016, we have influence over the work programme, but not over the findings and resultant policy positions. A Shell representative is a C2ES Board Member. We influence through attendance and engagement in meetings, input into submission processes and one-onone advocacy. We influence through attendance and engagement in 11 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Trade association Is your position on climate change consistent with theirs? Australia (BCA) Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association (APPEA) Western States Petroleum Association (WSPA) European Chemical Industry Council (CEFIC) CC2.3d Please explain the trade association's position change should be workable, at lowest possible cost, fiscally responsible, not make Australian industries uncompetitive (representing interests of top 100 businesses in Australia). Consistent Mixed Mixed Using market based approach to address climate change, but without distorting Australia’s international competitiveness. The Western States Petroleum Association (WSPA) is a nonprofit trade association representing companies that explore for, produce, refine, transport and market petroleum, petroleum products, natural gas and other energy supplies in California, Oregon, Washington, Arizona and Nevada. WSPA is full-service, broad-based, member-driven petroleum industry trade association within the western United States dedicated to effectively and efficiently eliminate or mitigate the risks and threats in the states we operate and to ensure and promote a vibrant oil and gas industry through policies that are socially and environmentally responsible. CEFIC supports EU’s current climate and energy targets for 2020. ETS must not create higher unilateral financial burdens to industry, removing resources needed for investing in a more sustainable economy or creating a cap for growth in Europe. CEFIC efforts focus on optimising EU’s innovation, allocating resources to help increase energy efficiency. CEFIC do not support higher carbon price in ETS. How have you, or are you attempting to, influence the position? meetings, input into submission processes and one-onone advocacy. We influence through attendance and engagement at meetings, input into submission process and active participation in working groups. WSPA advocates on behalf of Shell and other member companies on issues such as: hydro fracking, fuel specifications, refinery safety, tax issues, pipeline safety, air quality, environmental remediation, water, lubricants, crude by rail, oil spill response and climate change (specifically in California: AB 32 and Low Carbon Fuel Standard). Active participation at all levels in CEFIC working groups to ensure they are aligned with Shell approach to climate change or are not opposed to it. Further effort focuses on the advocacy messaging to a more positive tone towards climate change. Do you publicly disclose a list of all the research organizations that you fund? No 12 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc CC2.3e Please provide details of the other engagement activities that you undertake. The information provided under 2.3a and 2.3c are only a selection of organisations that we are members of or engage with on different topics. The selection focusses on organisations that have a specific climate change focus or working groups on climate change where we are regular and active participants through our respective departments; however, the list is not comprehensive. Shell is also active through important stakeholders, such as the World Bank, where we are now a member of their Carbon Pricing Leadership Coalition. During 2015 we helped kick-off the work of the Energy Transitions Commission and our Chairman is a Commissioner within that body. Shell is pleased to participate in the ETC alongside a diverse group of other individuals and organizations who want to make a meaningful contribution to low-carbon lives and economies. The aim of the ETC is to become an independent learning organisation providing policy suggestions, but not to actively engage in lobbying. We participate in the ETC alongside 27 other companies, foundations and organisations. We also publish our own material on climate change and energy transition issues, such as through our ongoing scenarios work (New Lens Scenario supplement “Pathways to net-zero emissions” published in 2016). CC2.3f What processes do you have in place to ensure that all of your direct and indirect activities that influence policy are consistent with your overall climate change strategy? We do have a process in place that ensures that all direct and indirect activities are consistent with the overall climate change strategy. The Executive Committee has ultimate authority on policies in respect of climate change. The Group CO2 policy team is responsible for preparing proposed policy positions based on emerging Shell analysis, business input and external input with the EVP for Safety and Environment accountable. The team also ensures consistency in application of Shell´s core principles and policy tasks in interactions with policy makers. A high level working group called the Policy Forum –chaired by an EC member- that includes the main representatives is responsible for proposing policy and for communicating policy externally, and reviews and approves the high level policy framework and key policy decisions and advocacy positions. Delivery of these policy and advocacy positions and external input and engagement is aligned via: • Government Relations in respect of political and government processes, to inform development of positions adapted to local circumstances. The Government Relations group also coordinates the relevant advocacy, ensuring alignment with other Shell advocacy goals at local and national level. • Investor Relations in respect of investor perspectives, especially Socially Responsible Investors. The Investor Relations team also manages responses to investor questions on this topic and provides periodic briefings to interested investors. • External Relations in respect of media and wider public questions. Further Information General: Whenever we use the phrase “CO2” it means “CO2 equivalent” and covers other greenhouse gases (GHG). Page: CC3. Targets and Initiatives CC3.1 Did you have an emissions reduction or renewable energy consumption or production target that was active (ongoing or reached completion) in the reporting year? 13 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Absolute target CC3.1a Please provide details of your absolute target. ID Scope % of emissio ns in scope % reduction from base year Base year Base year emissions covered by target (metric tonnes CO2e) Targe t year Is this a sciencebased target? Abs1 Scope 1 5% 25% 2014 3400000 2020 Don't know Abs2 Scope 1 17% 38% 2014 13000000 2030 Don't know CC3.1e Comment The Quest Carbon Capture and Storage (CSS) Project began operations in late 2015. The project is located at the Scotford Upgrader in Alberta Canada and is designed to capture, transport and store over one million tonnes of CO2 annually. In 2015, the project captured 370,000 tonnes of CO2 emissions from the site´s Scotford Upgrader. See also information with "Further Information". In 2015, flare reductions were achieved across Shell Upstream. Two significant abatement projects, Majnoon FCP Sweet Train 1 (Iraq) and Gumusut-Kakap (GK) (Malaysia) gas reinjection, started operation in Q4/2015. Nigeria operations also achieved flaring reductions through operational improvements and portfolio divestment, and the Pearl Gas to Liquids Facility (QSGTL) (Qatar) installed some flare reduction improvements during the year. Majnoon FCP Sweet Train 1 and Gumusut-Kakap gas re-injection started up towards the end of the year, and planned flare reduction projects in Nigeria were delayed due to a variety of constraints. In total, this resulted in absolute emissions from flaring, and reducing to 11.8 million t/yr CO2e in 2015. The reducing trend in flaring is expected to continue, flare milestones are planned for 2016 and tracked quarterly. Flare intensity targets are also set and reported. For all of your targets, please provide details on the progress made in the reporting year. ID Abs1 % complete (time) 9% % complete (emissions or renewable energy) 38% Comment Quest, at the Athabasca Oil Sand Project in Alberta, Canada, is the first use of CCS on an industrial scale in an oil sands operation. The project started operating in August 2015 and captured 370,000 tonnes of CO2 emissions from the site´s Scotford Upgrader in 2015. 2016 will be the first year of full operation and the facility will deliver on going reductions to 2025 and beyond. 14 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc ID Abs2 CC3.2 % complete (time) 6% % complete (emissions or renewable energy) 9% Comment Two significant abatement projects involving gas reinjection started operation in Q4 2015; one in Malaysia and one in Iraq. Nigeria achieved flaring reductions through operational improvements and portfolio divestment and Pearl (Qatar) installed some improvements during the year. In total, this resulted in absolute emission from flaring falling to 11.8 million t/yr CO2e, compared with flaring emissions of 13.0 million t/yr CO2e in 2014. Do you classify any of your existing goods and/or services as low carbon products or do they enable a third party to avoid GHG emissions? Yes CC3.2a Please provide details of your products and/or services that you classify as low carbon products or that enable a third party to avoid GHG emissions. Level of aggregation Product Product Description of product/Group of products Shell's CANSOLV technology has been licenced to SaskPower. It enables capturing the carbon dioxide (CO2) and sulphur dioxide (SO2) at SaskPower’s new world-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) project in Saskatchewan, Canada. The SaskPower facility at the Boundary Dam Power Station is expected to capture around 1 million tonnes of CO2 per year, which is up to 90% of CO2 emissions from one train of the power plant. It is the first commercial-scale postcombustion carbon capture system at a coal-fired power plant in the world. The Shell CANSOLV technology uses re-generable aqueous amine solutions to capture the SO2 and CO2, making the process more cost-effective and minimising environmental waste. Shell Shipping & Maritime Services group is providing commercial, ship management and technology services to customers, both inside Are you reporting low carbon product/s or avoided emissions? Taxonomy, project or methodology used to classify product/s as low carbon or to calculate avoided emissions % revenue from low carbon product/s in the reporting year % R&D in low carbon product/s in the reporting year Comment Avoided emissions Avoided emissions 15 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Level of aggregation Product Product Product Product Group of products Description of product/Group of products and outside of Shell. The 2014 savings previously disclosed are no longer tracked as initiatives as these are now incorporated in to day to day operations. Savings in 2015 have come through active fuel management, live interventions on operations to ensure the most efficient ways of working and utilising the natural environment such as ocean currents and prevailing winds in order to route our vessels most effectively. In 2015, approximately $35mln in fuel savings were realized by replicating learnings from the previous year. In 2015, these measures reduced fuel consumption by 3-5%, which translates to savings of approx. 161,000 tonnes of fuel (equals approx. 365,000 tonnes of CO2). The Basrah Gas Company (BGC, Shell interest 44%), in the south of Iraq captures gas from oil fields operated by other companies which would otherwise be flared. The gathered gas is used by a power plant for domestic power generation. A range of more efficient regular priced fuels (Shell FuelSave Diesel / Shell FuelSave Unleaded petrol) have been developed. Shell FuelSave is now available in all major Shell markets (excl. USA). Launched to the mass market category of main grade fuels (as distinct from premium fuels) this product is available at no extra costs and at all Shell stations in countries where this product has been launched. A Fuel Economy Diesel formulation targeted at heavy-duty vehicles is now available in most markets outside USA. Use of LNG for Transport: LNG is a fuel for heavy-duty road transport and shipping; it can be used as an alternative transport fuel to diesel and heavy fuel oil. For our own operations, since 2015, Shell has been operating 2 offshore supply vessels for our deep-water operations in the Gulf of Mexico, mainly running on LNG. Shell entered the onshore wind business in the USA in 2001. We currently have interests (50%) in eight onshore wind power projects in North America and offshore project in the Netherlands. Our share of Are you reporting low carbon product/s or avoided emissions? Taxonomy, project or methodology used to classify product/s as low carbon or to calculate avoided emissions % revenue from low carbon product/s in the reporting year % R&D in low carbon product/s in the reporting year Comment Avoided emissions Avoided emissions Avoided emissions Avoided emissions Low carbon product 16 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Level of aggregation Product Product Product Group of products Description of product/Group of products the energy capacity from these projects is about 500 megawatts. Shell Technology Ventures has invested in 2-B Energy, a renewable energy company, to support its two-blade turbine wind technology and reduce the cost of offshore wind power. For the road construction sector, we developed Shell Thiopave. This product enables a proportion of bitumen in the asphalt mix to be replaced with sulphur, resulting in a stronger mix enhancing road load bearing capacity and has a reduced application temperature. As a result of this product for every tonne of sulphur sold, 0.7 tonnes of CO2 emissions are avoided (Source: Internal Lifecycle Calculations). Shell has developed a technology called Thiogro that is available under technology license to incorporate micron-sized particles of elemental Sulphur within widely used phosphate fertilizers, enabling increased agricultural yield and reduced net CO2 emissions. New licenses have been awarded to key partners in India and Australia to physically produce and distribute the product in market. Shell is part of a joint venture in Germany which intends to invest in some 390 hydrogen retail sites, 230 of which would be Shell-branded. At the end of 2015 we operated three hydrogen filling stations in Germany and have two hydrogen filling stations in Los Angeles, California. We are assessing the potential for similar projects in the USA, UK, Switzerland, Austria, France, Belgium, Luxembourg and the Netherlands. Efficient fuels: Shell supplies fuels to millions of drivers around the world every day. For more than a century, our scientists have worked to develop high-quality products to improve the driving experience and energy efficiency of our customers. For example, Shell FuelSave Diesel contains ingredients designed to improve the combustion process in vehicle engines. This, in turn, can boost efficiency and help drivers save fuel. Shell FuelSave Diesel has helped reduce the carbon footprint of business customers in the bus, coach, construction and Are you reporting low carbon product/s or avoided emissions? Taxonomy, project or methodology used to classify product/s as low carbon or to calculate avoided emissions % revenue from low carbon product/s in the reporting year % R&D in low carbon product/s in the reporting year Comment Avoided emissions Avoided emissions Low carbon product Low carbon product 17 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Level of aggregation Product CC3.3 Description of product/Group of products trucking sectors. Advanced lubricants: The lubricants we produce for motorists and commercial vehicles are designed to increase engine efficiency and reduce fuel consumption. Shell is one of the largest investors in research and development (R&D) among international oil and gas companies and employs more than 200 scientists and engineers in lubricants R&D. Our technology centre in Shanghai, China, researches motor oils for passenger cars, heavy-duty engine oils and transmission fluids for the Asian markets, while our marine power innovation centre in Hamburg, Germany, develops lubricants for ships. Our Shell Rimula range of heavy-duty engine oils was developed with leading engine makers including Mercedes Benz. The oils help heavy-duty commercial vehicle operators improve the fuel economy of their fleets, while providing extra protection against wear in the vehicle engine. We also produce high-quality engine lubricants which can improve the fuel efficiency of passenger cars and motorcycles. These include products manufactured using Shell PurePlus Technology that applies the GTL process to produce a clear base oil. This has much lower levels of impurities than other base oils and can help improve performance. Are you reporting low carbon product/s or avoided emissions? Taxonomy, project or methodology used to classify product/s as low carbon or to calculate avoided emissions % revenue from low carbon product/s in the reporting year % R&D in low carbon product/s in the reporting year Comment Avoided emissions Did you have emissions reduction initiatives that were active within the reporting year (this can include those in the planning and/or implementation phases)? Yes CC3.3a Please identify the total number of projects at each stage of development, and for those in the implementation stages, the estimated CO2e savings. 18 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Stage of development Under investigation To be implemented* Implementation commenced* Implemented* Not to be implemented CC3.3b Number of projects 90 159 44 65 80 Total estimated annual CO2e savings in metric tonnes CO2e (only for rows marked *) 650000 410000 1303000 For those initiatives implemented in the reporting year, please provide details in the table below. Activity type Process emissions reductions Description of activity At the Scotford Upgrader in Alberta, Canada, the Quest Carbon Capture and Storage project commenced in August 2015, capturing CO2 and storing it safely underground. Estimated annual CO2e savings (metric tonnes CO2e) 850000 Scope Scope 1 Annual monetary savings Voluntary/ (unit Mandatory currency - as specified in CC0.4) Voluntary 20000000 Investment required (unit currency as specified in CC0.4) 1400000000 Payback period >25 years Estimated lifetime of the initiative Comment 6-10 years The Quest CCS demonstration project obtained financial support through grants which broadly covered project capex. "Double" credits are awarded to cover operational costs for the contractual life of the project. The contractual lifetime is 10 years. The investment of the project was $1,400,000,000. The investment included the capital, feasibility, and forecast operational costs over the 10 years of the project. The investment is in USD for 2012 when the exchange rates were equal. Annual monetary savings is calculated for a full year at $15CAD/tonne a CO2 credit and incorporating the double credit scheme and converted to US$ at the 2015 exchange rate of 0.783. 19 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc CC3.3c What methods do you use to drive investment in emissions reduction activities? Method Other Internal price of carbon Comment We have put in place internal abatement targets, and implemented planning and performance management to assure target delivery. These efficiency programmes have implemented the following abatement capacities: 1.6 million t/yr CO2e by year end 2009, 1.97 million t/yr CO2e by year end 2010, 1.5 million t/yr CO2e by year end 2011, 1.92 million t/yr CO2e by year end 2012, 0.85 million t/yr CO2e by year end 2013, 0.76 million t/y CO2e for 2014 and 1.3 million t/y CO2e for 2015; this is for a total abatement capacity of 9.9 million tonnes CO2e for 2009 - 2015. For long range planning, Shell disaggregates its portfolio into a series of strategic themes. These can be concentrated in one business (e.g. heavy oil) or spread across several (e.g. integrated gas). Each of the themes has a 2030 CO2 intensity aspiration and have road-map based plans, with a granulated review of CO2 related risks and opportunities to show the activities needed to achieve the guiding aspiration. Achieving the aspirations does incentivise investment in mitigation technologies or processes. We apply a GHG project screening value at $40 a tonne. This is a guide that is used in all our investment decisions. This figure was disclosed on page 15 of our 2015 Sustainability Report. Further Information CC3.3a: We understand that the “total estimated annual CO2e savings” for implemented projects is expected to be disclosed in this table. However, we did not include the estimated but the actual CO2e savings in the reporting year 2015. General: As advised in 2013, 2014 and 2015, we have internal targets and plans in place relating to energy efficiency and GHG reductions across our businesses. These internal measures, which span our diverse portfolio of business activities, cannot easily be converted into a global target on a company-wide basis. While we only supply 1% of the world-wide energy supply and 2% of global oil and gas, we continue to try and be a progressive voice in the industry, advocating pragmatic measures in the global discussion on energy and tackling climate change. Government-led carbon-pricing is a case in point. However, we recognise we need to play our part too, which is why we intend to reduce our carbon intensity ahead of global movements. Carbon intensity, and potential changes in carbon prices and the regulatory environment all have an important role to play when we look at how we want to shape our portfolio for the future. While we seek to enhance our operations’ average energy intensity through both the development of new projects and divestments, we have no immediate plans to move to a net-zero emissions portfolio over our investment horizon of 10-20 years. CDP has introduced the concept of “science based targets” in the 2016 Climate Change questionnaire. This is a concept that is based on presentations from its owners, Ecofys. Shell does not yet consider it practical. It is still incomplete and has material gaps, e.g. regarding its industry coverage and its omission of land use changes. The model also restricts itself to the largest category of companies and thereby fails to include emissions of other organisations. Other weaknesses are such as the rigid use of only one model profile of a 2°C outcome, not considering developments beyond 2050 and at detailed level, only as one example, double counting power related GHG emissions from both generators and users in the form of the latter´s scope 2 emissions. Page: CC4. Communication CC4.1 Have you published information about your organization’s response to climate change and GHG emissions performance for this reporting year in places other than in your CDP response? If so, please attach the publication(s). 20 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Publication Status In mainstream reports (including an integrated report) but have not used the CDSB Framework Complete In voluntary communications Complete In voluntary communications Complete Page/Section reference Royal Dutch Shell plc Annual Report 2015: page6/Chairman´s message, p8-12/Risk Factors, p15/Strategy and Outlook, p54Climate Change, p56/GHG emissions performance absolute and intensity Royal Dutch Shell plc Sustainability Report 2015: page1/Introduction from CEO, p11/Energy Future, p13/Addressing Climate Change, p18/Research and Development, p19/Carbon Capture and Storage, p20/Lower Carbon alternatives, p27/Managing Methane Emissions, p28/Flaring, p34/Environment, p45/Collaborations, p48/Economic Performance, p52/Environmental Data Shell Canada Oil Sands Performance Report 2015: page56/Air (Greenhouse Gases) In voluntary communications Complete Socially Responsible Investors Briefing London, 11 May 2016, Slides 11-12, 20-36, 45-46, 55-56 In voluntary communications Complete Royal Dutch Shell plc: Shell: Energy Transitions and Portfolio Resilience (2016) Attach the document Comment https://www.cdp.net/sites/2016/12/16012/Climate Change 2016/Shared Documents/Attachments/CC4.1/entire_shell_ar15.pdf https://www.cdp.net/sites/2016/12/16012/Climate Change 2016/Shared Documents/Attachments/CC4.1/entire_shell_sr15.pdf https://www.cdp.net/sites/2016/12/16012/Climate Change 2016/Shared Documents/Attachments/CC4.1/she-2055oil-sands-performance-report-2015-final1.pdf https://www.cdp.net/sites/2016/12/16012/Climate Change 2016/Shared Documents/Attachments/CC4.1/sri-shelllondon-11-may-2016-presentation-slides.pdf https://www.cdp.net/sites/2016/12/16012/Climate Change 2016/Shared Documents/Attachments/CC4.1/shellenergy-transitions-and-portfolio-resilience.pdf These are the presentation slides used at the Annual Roundtable for Socially Responsible Investors held on May 11, 2016. In this report, we seek to address the question how Shell is positioned for the changes to come: Shell´s approach and portfolio resilience to the energy transition, and our strategy to succeed through changing times. We describe the key drivers in the energy mix and 21 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Publication In voluntary communications Status Complete Page/Section reference Royal Dutch Shell plc: A better life with a healthy planet - pathways to net-zero emissions; A New Lens Scenarios supplement (2016) Attach the document https://www.cdp.net/sites/2016/12/16012/Climate Change 2016/Shared Documents/Attachments/CC4.1/a-better-lifewith-a-healthy-planet.pdf Comment set out how Shell is investing in low-carbon energy - "new energy" - while reflecting on the wide range of business choices we can make until 2035, and beyond. This report is a supplement to the Shell New Lens Scenarios published in 2013. We distil what we have learned so far in an attempt to answer the question: how could the energy system evolve from now to provide "a better life for all with a healthy planet?" Module: Risks and Opportunities Page: CC5. Climate Change Risks CC5.1 Have you identified any inherent climate change risks that have the potential to generate a substantive change in your business operations, revenue or expenditure? Tick all that apply. Risks driven by changes in regulation Risks driven by changes in physical climate parameters Risks driven by changes in other climate-related developments CC5.1a Please describe your inherent risks that are driven by changes in regulation. 22 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver General environmental regulations, including planning Description Rising climate change concerns could lead to additional regulatory measures, such as explicit and implicit GHG policies deployed globally. If we are unable to find economically viable, as well as publicly acceptable, solutions that reduce our GHG emissions and/or GHG intensity for new and existing projects or products, we could experience additional costs or financial penalties, delayed or cancelled projects. Potential impact Other: Project delays Timeframe >6 years Direct/ Indirect Direct Likelihood About as likely as not Magnitude of impact High Estimated financial implications Management method Cost of management As disclosed in Shell’s Energy Transition and Portfolio Resilience report (page 33), on a 2015 basis, a $10/tonne CO2 movement in global CO2 price, will impact Shell earnings in the region of $400 million. There is continued and increased attention to climate change from all sectors of society. This attention has led, and we expect it to continue to lead, to additional regulations designed to reduce GHG emissions. Furthermore, we expect that a growing share of our GHG emissions will be subject to regulation. If our GHG emissions Shell has a rigorous approach to understanding, managing and mitigating climate risks in our assets. We reflect future regulatory costs by typically applying a common $40/tonne project screening value (PSV) to the GHG emissions associated with investments. This incentivizes investments in GHG abatement, highlights projects with the most exposure to rising carbon prices and helps screen early-stage opportunities. We have GHG and energy management plans at key sites to illustrate and identify potential ways to reduce GHG emissions. High-emitting projects undergo additional Cost of management for a single topic may miss out on the complexity of shaping sustainable operations. Relevant teams are involved on working on wide and varied CO2 related activities, such as supporting the implementation of our policies within the business. Furthermore, our business strategy supports: supplying more natural gas, helping to develop CCS, improving energy efficiency in our operations and investing in new low carbon energies including biofuels and hydrogen, solar and wind. By way of example only: Shell’s capital employed in new energies activities 23 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Description Potential impact Timeframe Direct/ Indirect Likelihood Magnitude of impact Estimated financial implications rise alongside our ambitions to increase the scale of our business, our regulatory burden will increase proportionally. Cap and trade schemes Several countries that are important operating areas for Shell are in the process of developing additional climate change legislation which may include the use of emissions Increased operational cost 1 to 3 years Direct Virtually certain Lowmedium Phase III of the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) will see facilities having to buy at auction an increasing percentage of allowances for compliance. In 2015, cost of compliance was Management method Cost of management sensitivity testing. This can lead to projects being stopped, designs being changed, and potential GHG mitigation investments being identified, in preparation for when regulations would make these investments commercially compelling. Such considerations, for example, influenced Shell’s decision to invest in a gas-gathering system to reduce our flaring activities at the Majnoon field in Iraq. Shell has a rigorous approach to understanding, managing and mitigating climate risks in our assets. We reflect future regulatory costs by typically applying a common $40/tonne project today is some $1.7 billion and we are estimating spend of around $200 million in 2016 on exploring and developing new opportunities. It is not possible to come up with specific costs of management, as the relevant teams are also involved in many other CO2 related activities, such as supporting the implementation of our policies within 24 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Description trading systems and carbon taxes, which could potentially increase compliance costs for Shell. These include EU members, USA, Japan, and Canada. Potential impact Timeframe Direct/ Indirect Likelihood Magnitude of impact Estimated financial implications €5-6/tonne of CO2. Several countries (e.g. USA) are developing climate change legislation which will introduce CO2 costs and impact financial performance. Management method Cost of management screening value (PSV) to the GHG emissions associated with investments. This incentivizes investments in GHG abatement, highlights projects with the most exposure to rising carbon prices and helps screen early-stage opportunities. We have greenhouse gas and energy management plans at key sites to illustrate and identify potential ways to reduce GHG emissions. Across all our Upstream and Downstream operations, we strive for improved energy efficiency to help reduce Shell’s overall GHG emissions, and compliance costs. For example, in 2015, we installed a cogeneration unit at our Bukom the business. We consider a project screening value of CO2 emissions at $40/tonne. This is a guide that is used in all our investment decisions. Our business strategy supports: supplying more natural gas, helping to develop CCS; producing low-carbon energy including biofuels and improving energy efficiency in operations. One example of a cost of management is installing cogeneration. The economics of cogeneration activities are variable and highly dependent on local electricity prices. As such, it can provide effectively negative abatement costs (where the installation is 25 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Product efficiency regulations and standards Description Various national, regional and state based low carbon fuel directives and targets such as: Low Carbon Fuel Standards and Renewable Fuel mandates in the European Union and USA mean that new fuels must be developed and brought to market in order to comply with a variety of programmes. This may change the cost structure of Shell´s operations Potential impact Other: Adverse change the cost structure of the business against uncertainty in fuel prices. Timeframe 1 to 3 years Direct/ Indirect Indirect (Supply chain) Likelihood Virtually certain Magnitude of impact Lowmedium Estimated financial implications Several countries (e.g. USA) have developed (additional) climate legislation which includes product efficiency standards including the Low Carbon Fuel Standard in California. Such developments may introduce new CO2 costs to our businesses, e.g. the costs of LCFS credit and average price for 2015 was $62 per credit; which Management method Cost of management refinery in Singapore. This unit improves energy efficiency by recovering waste heat from the gas turbine’s exhaust to generate steam. profitable), or high abatement costs (where it represents a net cost); e.g. external analysis from McKinsey show cost of cogeneration for Downstream assets estimated around €10/ tCO2. It is not possible to come up with specific costs of management, as the relevant teams are also involved in many other GHG related activities, such as supporting the implementation of our policies within the business. Our business strategy supports: supplying more natural gas, producing lowcarbon energy including biofuels, implementing energy-efficiency measures in our To test the resilience of new projects, we assess potential costs associated with GHG emissions when evaluating all new investments. Our approach applies a uniform project screening value (PSV) of $40 (real terms) per tonne of carbon dioxide (CO2) equivalent to the total GHG emissions of each investment. This PSV is generally applied when evaluating our new projects around the world 26 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Description against uncertainty in fuel prices. Potential impact Timeframe Direct/ Indirect Likelihood Magnitude of impact Estimated financial implications therefore might impact our financial performance. Management method Cost of management to test their resilience across a range of future scenarios. The project development process features a number of checks that may require development of detailed GHG and energy management plans. Highemitting projects undergo additional sensitivity testing, including the potential for future CCS projects. As another example, we evaluate options to integrate readiness for CCS into the design of our new projects. For example, this was the case at our Scotford Upgrader in Alberta, Canada, which is now the site of our Quest CCS facility. operations where reasonably practical and helping to develop CCS. An example of the costs of management includes the cost of Quest. Quest has an estimated cost of $1.35 billion. The provincial government of Alberta and federal government of Canada have provided C$865 million to support the development of Quest. 27 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver General environmental regulations, including planning Description Carbon Capture and Storage technology needs to move rapidly from demonstration to deployment to play an important role in reducing global CO2 emissions, like the Quest project in Canada in which Shell is involved. However, policy support for this mitigation technology has been limited, which could potentially increase future CCS project Potential impact Other: Uncertainty for Shell about the CCS investment required in the future while policy support is limited Timeframe >6 years Direct/ Indirect Direct Likelihood Very likely Magnitude of impact Medium Estimated financial implications The IEA states that the level of investment required to tackle climate change could rise by as much as 40% at the global level if CCS is not deployed as a central measure. However, CCS is not yet a commercial technology and is entirely driven by climate change. Therefore there is the risk that CCS will remain a high cost policy option if there is no support for Management method Cost of management Since the start-up of the Quest CCS in 2015, the GHG intensity of Shell’s oil sands operation has decreased. These emissions are now closer to the average GHG emissions of North American oil. Shell is playing a leading role in the demonstration of CCS technology. This, we believe, is the only currently available technology that can significantly reduce CO2 emissions from industrial sectors of the economy. In November 2015, Shell’s Quest CCS project officially opened at our oil sands operations in Canada. It can capture and store more than 1 million tonnes of CO2 each year. CCS projects require significant capital, technical and personnel resources. In 2012, Shell began construction of Quest CCS project in Canada. Quest started operating in 2015. At full capacity it can capture and store more than 1 million tonnes of CO2 each year – equivalent to the emissions from about 250,000 cars. In 2015, since its start-up, Quest has reduced CO2 emissions by 0.32 28 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Description costs. Further support is needed to deploy the technology in a way that reduces its costs and builds public acceptance. Potential impact Timeframe Direct/ Indirect Likelihood Magnitude of impact Estimated financial implications wide-spread demonstration programme, where learningby-doing is expected to bring down the costs. The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report demonstrated the importance of CCS. It states that without CCS the cost of achieving a 2°C scenario will be around 138% higher. Management method Cost of management The CO2 will be safely stored more than two kilometres underground. We are involved in the Gorgon CO2 injection project in Australia, the CCS test centre in Mongstad, Norway, and the Qatar Carbonates and Carbon Storage Research Centre in London, UK. In addition, we have technology that can remove both CO2 and sulphur dioxide from industrial flue gases. Shell Cansolv technology is being used at the Saskpower Boundary Dam coal-fired power plant in Canada. mln tonnes (Shell Canada, Oil Sands Report 2015); Quest has an estimated cost of US$1.35 billion. The provincial government of Alberta and federal government of Canada have provided C$865 million to support the development of Quest. Gorgon LNG project (25% Shell share) is expected to store 3-4 million tonnes of CO2 per year. In early 2014, Shell signed an agreement to progress the design of Peterhead, which could have potentially captured up to 10 million tonnes of CO2 over 10 years. Unfortunately, the UK government withdrew potential funding in late 2015, and the 29 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Description Potential impact Timeframe Direct/ Indirect Likelihood Magnitude of impact Estimated financial implications Management method Cost of management project did not proceed. CC5.1b Please describe your inherent risks that are driven by changes in physical climate parameters. Risk driver Change in mean (averag e) tempera ture Descripti on Increased local air temperatu res that could impact Shell’s plants efficiency. Potential impact Increased operational cost Timefr ame >6 years Dire ct/ Indir ect Direc t Likelih ood More likely than not Magnit ude of impact Mediu m Estimated financial implications Management method Cost of management Increase in air temperature could affect the efficiency of our plants. Financial implications include: increased operating costs and decreased revenue from loss of efficiency. For example, a detailed study was undertaken by Entergy (USA) (supported by Swiss Re, America´s Wetland Foundation and America´s Energy Coast) on the costs and benefits of adaptation in the energy sector on the US Gulf Coast. The annual average expected loss for O&G sector in 2030 under an ‘average’ climate scenario is $6.9 billion - due to wind/rain, surge/flood and business interruption. Entergy study: http://www.entergy.com/content/o ur_community/environment/GulfC oastAdaptation/report.pdf Physical impacts of climate change, such as rising sea levels and changes in ambient operating temperatures, tend to be location and asset type specific. Within our Projects and Technology organisation we employ a Metocean team focused on the physical climate impacts and adaptation aspects. This team conducts assessments of future climate conditions such as the Regional Temperature Increase Review (2030-2050). Shell’s project design standards are revised on an ongoing basis to take account of climate change influences. The most vulnerable existing assets, designed under previous standards, are A more comprehensive physical impact of climate change risk review and integration together with an adaptation assessment is being carried out at a total cost of around US$1 million. We are undertaking screening of specific existing assets and new projects and then work with a sample of the affected asset managers to develop response plans. This work is expected to be completed over the next few years, at the end of which we will have a clearer, more robust understanding of the associated risks and costs. 30 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Sea level rise Descripti on Global: rising sea levels could impact Shell’s coastal facilities (e.g. refineries, ports, terminals etc.) and our offshore platforms. Potential impact Reduction/di sruption in production capacity Timefr ame >6 years Dire ct/ Indir ect Direc t Likelih ood More likely than not Magnit ude of impact Mediu m Estimated financial implications Rising sea levels could impact coastal facilities as events such as floods, related to storm surges, could become more frequent. In recent years, storm surges associated with hurricanes have resulted in refinery shutdowns in the US Gulf Coast for some companies including Shell. Financial implications include: increased capital cost from future design requirement, increased operating costs from loss of efficiency and decreased revenue from shutdowns and reduced production. For example, a detailed study was undertaken by Entergy (USA) (supported by Swiss Re, America´s Wetland Management method Cost of management identified and any adaptation plans will be integrated into Shell existing procedures and processes such as the asset reference plans that guide their ongoing maintenance schedules. Case study: to better understand temperature impacts on plant efficiency a case study was conducted to analyse the impacts of projected temperature increase impacts on Shell’s Pernis refinery in 2030s and 2050s. Physical impacts of climate change, such as rising sea levels and changes in ambient operating temperatures, tend to be location and asset type specific. Physical impacts of climate change, such as rising sea levels and changes in ambient operating temperatures, tend to be location and asset type specific. Within our Projects and Technology organisation we employ a Metocean team who focuses on the physical climate impacts and adaptation aspects. A more comprehensive physical impact of climate change risk review and integration together with an adaptation assessment is being carried out at a total cost of around $1 million. We are undertaking screening of specific existing assets and new projects and then work with a sample of the affected asset managers to develop response plans. This work is expected to be 31 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Descripti on Potential impact Timefr ame Dire ct/ Indir ect Likelih ood Magnit ude of impact Estimated financial implications Foundation and America´s Energy Coast) on the costs and benefits of adaptation in the energy sector on the US Gulf Coast. The annual average expected loss for O&G sector in 2030 under an ‘average’ climate scenario is $6.9 billion - due to wind/rain, surge/flood and business interruption. Change in precipit ation Global: Changes in the global Reduction/di sruption in production capacity >6 years Direc t About as likely as not Mediu m-high Changes in the global hydrological cycle could cause flooding and make access to suitable quantities of water to run Management method Cost of management This team conducts assessments of future climate conditions. An example of a study is the Global Sea Level Rise Review (2030-2050). As this team influences ongoing engineering design standards, our new projects’ resilience is always based on the latest climate science outlook. The ongoing challenge is retrofitting existing assets, already in production while climate views have altered or will alter Shell’s project design standards are revised on an ongoing basis to take account of climate change influences. The most vulnerable existing assets, designed under previous standards, are identified and any adaptation plans will be integrated into Shell existing procedures and processes such as the asset reference plans that guide their ongoing maintenance schedules. Within our Projects and Technology organisation we employ a Metocean team focused on the completed over the next few years, at the end of which we will have a clearer, more robust understanding of the associated risks and costs. A more comprehensive physical impact of climate change risk 32 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Descripti on extreme s and drought s hydrologic al cycle could impact Shell’s assets, for example by causing flooding, or making access to suitable quantities of water to run a particular facility problemat ic. Tropical cyclone s (hurrica nes and typhoon s) Tropics: changes in sea temperatu re could affect future tropical cyclones. Example: hurricane Katrina disrupted Shell’s Potential impact Reduction/di sruption in production capacity Timefr ame >6 years Dire ct/ Indir ect Direc t Likelih ood More likely than not Magnit ude of impact Mediu m Estimated financial implications a particular facility problematic. Financial implications include: increased capital cost from future design requirement, increased operating costs and decreased revenue from shutdowns and reduced production. For example, a detailed energy study was undertaken by Entergy (USA) (supported by Swiss Re, America´s Wetland Foundation and America´s Energy Coast) on the costs and benefits of adaptation in the energy sector on the US Gulf Coast. The annual average expected loss for O&G sector in 2030 under an ‘average’ climate scenario is $6.9 billon - due to wind/rain, surge/flood and business interruption. Entergy study: http://www.entergy.com/content/o ur_community/environment/GulfC oastAdaptation/report.pdf Changes in sea temperature could affect the intensity and frequency of future tropical cyclones impacting assets. Financial implications include: increased capital cost from future design requirement, increased operating costs and decreased revenue from shutdowns and reduced production. For example, a detailed study was undertaken by Entergy (USA) (supported by Swiss Re, America´s Wetland Foundation Management method Cost of management physical climate impacts and adaptation aspects. This team conducts assessments of future climate conditions such as Regional Increased Precipitations Review (2030-2050). We conduct water risk assessments. We have also responded to events and will continue to do so, thereby improving the overall integrity of our operations and addressing this risk. review and integration together with an adaptation assessment is being carried out at a total cost of around $1 million. We are undertaking screening of specific existing assets and new projects and then work with a sample of the affected asset managers to develop response plans. This work is expected to be completed over the next few years, at the end of which we will have a clearer, more robust understanding of the associated risks and costs. Within our Projects and Technology organisation we employ a Metocean team focused on the physical climate impacts and adaptation aspects. This team conducts assessments of future climate conditions such as the South China Sea Review (2030-2050). We have also responded to events and will continue to do so, thereby A more comprehensive physical impact of climate change risk review and integration together with an adaptation assessment is being carried out at a total cost of around $1 million. We are undertaking screening of specific existing assets and new 33 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Descripti on Potential impact Timefr ame Dire ct/ Indir ect Likelih ood Magnit ude of impact operation s in the Gulf of Mexico, USA, and led to refitting of some platforms and changes in operation s. CC5.1c Estimated financial implications and America´s Energy Coast) on the costs and benefits of adaptation in the energy sector on the US Gulf Coast. The annual average expected loss for O&G sector in 2030 under an ‘average’ climate scenario is $6.9 billion - due to wind/rain, surge/flood and business interruption. Entergy study: http://www.entergy.com/content/o ur_community/environment/GulfC oastAdaptation/report.pdf Management method Cost of management improving the overall integrity of our operations and addressing this risk. projects and then work with a sample of the affected asset managers to develop response plans. This work is expected to be completed over the next few years, at the end of which we will have a clearer, more robust understanding of the associated risks and costs. Please describe your inherent risks that are driven by changes in other climate-related developments. Risk driver Other drivers Description The significant investment and changes that will be required to move to a low carbon energy world means that governments, businesses and society all have a significant part to play. Changes brought about by the energy transition (e.g. Potential impact Other: Falling sales revenue and earnings Direct/ Timeframe Indirect >6 years Direct Likelihood Very likely Magnitu de of impact Mediumhigh Estimated financial implications Shell has provided earnings Sensitivities on potential impacts of changing oil, natural gas and CO2 prices in the Shell Energy Transition and Portfolio Resilience report, on page 33. On a 2015 basis, these were as follows: a $10/barrel Management method Cost of management Our portfolio exposure is reviewed annually against changing GHG regulatory regimes and physical conditions to identify emerging risks. As outlined in "estimated financial implications", we assess potential costs associated We are positioning for the energy transition and a lower carbon future in a number of ways. Managing our own emissions, investing in more gas, the cleanest out of the fossil fuels which has a major role to play in the power sector, and in the 34 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Description Oil, Gas and CO2 prices) will require energy suppliers like Shell, needing to adapt their business models or face lower demand for products and potential impairments to some less energy efficient assets. This could have material impact on Shell’s operational performance, earnings, cash flows and financial condition. Potential impact Direct/ Timeframe Indirect Likelihood Magnitu de of impact Estimated financial implications movement in Brent prices - $3.3 billion earnings impact, a $1 per mmbtu movement in Henry Hub - $250 million earnings impact $10/tonne CO2 movement in global CO2 price, $400 million earnings impact. The IEA developed the 450 Scenario that sets out an energy pathway consistent with the goal of limiting average global temperature increase to 2°C. Our preliminary view, looking at 2030, is that the aggregate impact under the IEA’s 450 Scenario would be more positive overall for us than our own outlook. This is primarily due to the higher oil and gas prices assumed by the IEA than in Shell’s planning. Management method Cost of management with GHG emissions when evaluating all new investments, testing resilience. Our approach applies a uniform project screening value (PSV) of $40/t CO2e (real terms) to the total GHG emissions of each investment plus further sensitivities where CO2 risk is acute. This PSV is generally applied to test projects´ resilience across a range of scenarios. This can lead to projects being stopped, designs being changed, and potential GHG mitigation investments being identified. E. g., we evaluate options to integrate readiness for CCS into the design of new projects (e.g. Scotford Upgrader in Alberta, Canada site of Shell Quest CCS facility). longer term investing in low carbon energy solutions which we call new energies. Shell’s capital employed in New Energies activities is some $1.7 billion today and we are estimating spend of around $200 million in 2016 to explore and develop new energies opportunities. 35 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Reputation Description In the future, in order to help meet the world’s energy demand, we will produce more oil from unconventional sources. Therefore it is expected that the CO2 intensity of our production will increase. If we are unable to find CO2 solutions for new and existing projects, challenges from society could lead to project delays, additional costs and operational risks. Potential impact Wider social disadvantages Direct/ Timeframe Indirect >6 years Direct Likelihood About as likely as not Magnitu de of impact Mediumhigh Estimated financial implications The management of GHG emissions will become increasingly important as concerns over climate change lead to tighter environmental regulations. Policies and regulations designed to limit the increase in global temperatures to well below 2°C could have a material adverse effect on us. If we are unable to find economically viable, as well as publicly acceptable, solutions that reduce our GHG emissions and/or GHG intensity for new and existing projects or products, we could experience additional costs or financial penalties, delayed or cancelled projects, and/or reduced production and Management method Cost of management Shell is implementing a New Energies business and has invested in renewables, such as wind, solar and biofuels already for many years. New Energies goes beyond traditional renewables: the theme spans the digital revolution, more electrification especially in transport, more energy mix choices for customers. Shell seeks costeffective ways to manage GHG emissions and explores potential business opportunities in developing such solutions. Main GHG emission reduction contributions are in four areas: supplying more natural gas to replace coal for power generation; supplying biofuels; progressing CCS technologies; a) We have a CO2 and energy management programme that includes monitoring the energy efficiency of equipment. b) We have secured final investment decisions for CCS projects, including Mongstad and the Gorgon LNG project. The Quest project has an estimated cost of $1.35 billion. c) Over the past six years, we have invested about $1.1 billion in low-carbon R&D. Shell’s capital employed in New Energy´s activities today is some $1.7 billion and we are estimating a spend of around $200 million in 2016 to explore and develop these new opportunities. We support the development and 36 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Description Potential impact Direct/ Timeframe Indirect Likelihood Magnitu de of impact Estimated financial implications reduced demand for hydrocarbons, which could have a material adverse effect on our operational performance, earnings, cash flows and financial condition. Management method Cost of management implementing energy-efficiency measures in operations where reasonably practical. To support this, we continue to advocate introduction of effective government-led carbon pricing mechanisms. Shell continues to work with governments, industry, and NGOs to support effective climate policies and is a member of various of industry initiatives and trade associations, incl. IPIECA and OGCI, dedicated to help the oil and gas industry improve its environmental and social performance. In 2015, we signed up to the World Bank´s Zero Routine flaring by 2030 initiative. As an example, in Iraq, in 2015, we implementation of new energy technologies by investing in companies and technologies that are complementary to Shell’s existing business. 37 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Description Potential impact Direct/ Timeframe Indirect Likelihood Magnitu de of impact Estimated financial implications Management method Cost of management achieved first commercial production of natural gas at our Majnoon field. Gas from Majnoon, previously flared, is now used to produce power for the domestic market. We expect further flaring reductions to come in 2016 as these and other gas gathering systems reach full capacity. Other drivers Long term changes in product demand due to climate change regulation. Impact of direct and indirect regulation on demand for oil products, especially road transport fuels. Policies that raise fuel costs, improve vehicle efficiency or reduce average distances driven will reduce fuel demand. Other: Falling sales revenue and earnings >6 years Direct Very likely Mediumhigh GHG regulations are likely to focus more on suppressing demand for fossil fuels. By 2030, IEA’s 450 Scenario describes significant renewables penetration, marked improvement in vehicle/process efficiency and widespread replacement of coal with natural gas; CCS is storing around 40x Long term trends in product demand and their causes are an integral part of Shell’s energy scenarios. The business plans tend to work on shorter time periods and may overlook such trends. The Shell strategic plan, which bridges the plan and scenario time scale is the point of such guidance. In the short term, ahead of the risk occurring, management costs are restricted to monitoring such trends and formulating viable strategic responses. 38 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Description Potential impact Direct/ Timeframe Indirect Likelihood Magnitu de of impact Estimated financial implications the CO2 volume it does now; O&G price assumptions in 2030 are ~ $97/b and $9/MMbtu, respectively (real terms), global CO2 equivalent costs $100/t (real terms). Related impact on expected production (20152030) is decreasing global demand for oil by 17%; growing demand for natural gas by 8%. Reducing demand for transport fuels could lead to reduced revenue/net profits. Annual financial impact of those trends could be in the $100mlns category. Those impacts could be intensified by lack of refinery competitiveness as industry capacity surplus is generated. A shift, even if not a net reduction, in global Management method Cost of management 39 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Risk driver Description Potential impact Direct/ Timeframe Indirect Likelihood Magnitu de of impact Estimated financial implications demand, such as reduction in OECD sales and growth in non-OECD sales, could threaten net global earnings too. Management method Cost of management Further Information CC5.1, line "Cap and Trade Schemes": http://www.mckinsey.com/industries/oil-and-gas/our-insights/co2-abatement-exploring-options-for-oil-and-natural-gas-companies Page: CC6. Climate Change Opportunities CC6.1 Have you identified any inherent climate change opportunities that have the potential to generate a substantive change in your business operations, revenue or expenditure? Tick all that apply. Opportunities driven by changes in regulation Opportunities driven by changes in physical climate parameters Opportunities driven by changes in other climate-related developments CC6.1a Please describe your inherent opportunities that are driven by changes in regulation. Opportunity driver Fuel/energy taxes and regulations Description Instruments aimed at reducing emissions from the use Potential impact New products/business services Timeframe Direct/Indirect 1 to 3 years Direct Likelihood Very likely Magnitude of impact Mediumhigh Estimated financial implications Regulatory action on climate change focuses on policy Management method Cost of management Shell invests in low carbon energy solutions, which we call We believe that lowcarbon biofuels are one of the most viable 40 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportunity driver Description of fuels/energy provide incentives to develop alternative lower carbon fuels e.g. Shell investment in biofuels (JV Raizen) and wind. Potential impact Timeframe Direct/Indirect Likelihood Magnitude of impact Estimated financial implications frameworks development introducing a CO2 cost into economy, including fuel standards (e.g. Low Carbon Fuel Standard, California). International market for biofuels is growing, driven largely by introduction of new energy policies in Europe/USA calling for more renewable, lower-carbon fuels for transport. Acc. to IEA, biofuels can provide up to 27% of world transportation fuel by 2050. Shell has increased the presence in production of ethanol from sugar cane. In 2015, we used around 9.5 bln Management method Cost of management new energies. Shell’s new energies business actively explores opportunities where the commercial value is clear. We have invested in the past, and we intend to continue to invest in new opportunities at scale in the future. New Energies covers a number of important themes including new fuels for mobility, such as biofuels. Shell invested in the formation of Raízen, a joint venture with Cosan in Brazil. Raízen produces approximately 2 billion litres annually of ways to reduce CO2 from transport fuels in the coming years. Our Raízen joint venture (Shell interest 50%) in Brazil produces lowcarbon biofuel from sugar cane. We are also investing in research to help develop and commercialise advanced biofuels. In 2014/2015, we invested R$ 3.3 billion in our business. Of this total, R$ 2.33 billion went to Raízen Energia and R$ 0.94 billion to Raízen Combustíveis. In that period, we crushed 57.1 million. Overall, Shell’s capital employed in new energies activities today 41 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportunity driver Description Potential impact Timeframe Direct/Indirect Likelihood Magnitude of impact Estimated financial implications litres of biofuel in our gasoline and diesel blends worldwide. In terms of financial results, the 2014/2015 crop year was very positive for Raízen, best to date. The combined EBITDA was 7.2% greater than in previous year (R$4.9 billion, compared with R$4.6 billion). Raízen had an operating cash flow of R$ 5.1 billion, representing an increase of approximately 30% compared with the previous year (see Raízen Sustainability Report 2014/2015, p. 5). Management method Cost of management ethanol from sugar cane.. This JV will allow us to supply lowCO2 fuels to regulated markets like California We continue to invest in new ways of producing biofuels from sustainable feedstock’s, such as biofuels made from waste products or cellulosic biomass. These advanced biofuels could potentially emit less CO2 in the production process than the biofuels available today. Raízen’s cellulosic ethanol plant at its Costa Pinto mill in Brazil was is some $1.7 billion and we are estimating a spend of around $200 million in 2016 to explore and develop these new opportunities. 42 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportunity driver Cap and trade schemes Description Regulatory action on climate change is focused on the development of carbon pricing, such as the EUETS or the upcoming carbon tax in South Africa. Shell is operating in Potential impact Other: Potential to provide new products, business services; wider social benefits. Timeframe Direct/Indirect 1 to 3 years Direct Likelihood Very likely Magnitude of impact Mediumhigh Estimated financial implications Some EU ETS allowances will be distributed on the basis of benchmarks. A higher performance against the benchmark offers the opportunity to secure additional allowances. Shell has Management method Cost of management opened in 2015. The technology was first developed through our funding of the Iogen Energy venture, which was subsequently transferred to Raízen. It is expected to produce 40 million litres a year of advanced biofuels from sugar-cane cellulosic residues. We are increasing the efficiency of our refinery and chemical operations which gives us a competitive advantage in emissions trading schemes. Greater efficiency of operations reduce Shell’s Energy typically accounts for around half of all costs at refineries and chemical plants. We continue to research and develop technologies that increase efficiency and reduce emissions in 43 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportunity driver Description Potential impact Timeframe Direct/Indirect Likelihood Magnitude of impact these areas and thus it will affect the company. Such schemes give rise to a cost for emitting CO2, which in turn incentivises solutions and provides opportunity for business development. Other regulatory drivers Coal to gas fuel switching could result in growth in natural gas demand and increased gas production Increased demand for existing products/services Up to 1 year Direct Virtually certain High Estimated financial implications implemented an energy efficiency programme in its assets and thus has an opportunity to increase income by selling allowances. Furthermore, these energy savings helped us to reduce costs: the total annual energy cost of our 13 refineries is around $2.5 billion. We were able to reduce costs between 2009 and 2015 by about $100 million each year. Increased in revenue from increased demand for gas: acc. to IEA, over 40% of global emissions in Management method Cost of management CO2 emissions in a given market, reducing the level of equivalent CO2 emissions allowances that a given asset is required to purchase. Each of our 13 Shell-operated refineries has to identify measures to improve energy efficiency every year. For example, in 2015, we installed a cogeneration unit at our Bukom refinery in Singapore. Shell is the leading IOC today in the global LNG industry. We were a pioneer of the LNG industry five hydrocarbon production. Over the past six years, we have invested about $1.1 billion in lowcarbon R&D. Shell is one of the world’s leading suppliers of LNG, with a growing portfolio. In January 2014, 44 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportunity driver Description and sales opportunities. Potential impact Timeframe Direct/Indirect Likelihood Magnitude of impact Estimated financial implications 2013 came from electricity/heat generation. For many countries, using more gas in power generation instead of coal can make the largest contribution, at lowest cost, to meet GHG reduction objectives. Shell is one of the world’s leading LNG suppliers of and was pioneering this industry over 50 years ago. Today, new global LNG supply is mainly coming from Australia, North America, East Africa. We expect the global LNG market to grow to around 460mtpa by 2030 (2015 was approx. Management method Cost of management decades ago and, today, one of the largest LNG suppliers. LNG links gas in remote locations to power markets world-wide, and particularly in Asia Pacific. Even after liquefying, transporting and turning it back into natural gas, LNG emits around half the CO2 compared to coal when burnt to generate electricity. Shell is developing our first FLNG facility, Prelude FLNG (Shell interest 67.5%), which will be located 475 km off the coast of Western Australia. And Shell completed the acquisition of Repsol S.A.'s LNG portfolio outside of North America for a net cash purchase price of $3.8 billion, subject to postclosing adjustments. Capital investment of $3.4 billion was reported in 2013. During Q1/2016, Shell completed the acquisition of BG for a purchase consideration of $54,034 mln. This includes cash of $19,036 mln, and the fair value ($34,050 mln) of 1,523,804,425 shares issued in exchange for all BG shares. This should add 45 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportunity driver Cap and trade schemes Description Proliferation of emissions trading Potential impact Increased demand for existing Timeframe Direct/Indirect 1 to 3 years Direct Likelihood More likely than not Magnitude of impact Lowmedium Estimated financial implications 250mtpa). Shell is currently involved in several LNG projects around the world. E.g., the LNG plant at Sakhalin-2 (Shell interest 27.5%) (off east coast of Russia) provides around 9% of Japan’s and 8% of South Korea’s LNG supplies. LNG Canada (Shell interest 50%), is a proposed joint venture to develop an LNG export project in British Columbia, connecting the gas supply from northwest Canada to Asian markets. Shell offers access to almost every Management method Cost of management enables us to produce, liquefy, store and transport LNG at sea. significant scale and profitability, particularly in LNG worldwide. In the EU ETS and CDM/JI markets, the Shell has almost a decade of 46 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportunity driver CC6.1b Description Potential impact systems present opportunities for the expansion of our carbon trading business. products/services Timeframe Direct/Indirect Likelihood Magnitude of impact Estimated financial implications environmental trading market in the world. We are able to assist our customers in several markets including: the EU ETS, Clean Development Mechanism, emerging carbon markets such as New Zealand ETS and North American markets, renewable energy markets for both voluntary needs and compliance programs. Point Carbon estimates the value of global carbon markets at €70 bln in 2015. Management method Cost of management main products we buy and sell are EU Allowances (EUAs), Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) and Emission Reduction Units (ERUs). We also trade UK Allowances (UKAs), RECs, ROCs and EU Aviation Allowances, Californian Allowances, New Zealand Units and others. experience and proven risk management capabilities in the environmental trading marketplace in Europe. We are active in Asia and the USA. Shell was the first company to execute a trade in European Union Allowances (EUAs) and more recently, the first company to trade US federal CO2 compliance futures contracts on the Chicago Climate Futures Exchange. Please describe the inherent opportunities that are driven by changes in physical climate parameters. 47 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportun ity driver Other physical climate opportuniti es Description Natural gas can also act as a partner for intermittent renewable energy, such as solar and wind, to maintain a steady supply of electricity, because gas-fired plants can start and stop relatively quickly. A warmer climate may result in reduced thermal efficiency and reduced load including shutdowns in thermal power plants. Potential impact Increased demand for existing products/s ervices Timefra me >6 years Direct / Indire ct Direct Likeliho od About as likely as not Magnitu de of impact Low Estimated financial implications Increased revenue from increased demand for gas and LNG. The Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan is an example of how natural gas/LNG can act as a partner to help meet immediate demand in the absence of renewables. Acc. to an external energy research group, the disaster resulted in an increase in unplanned LNG consumption by ~27% compared to prior to the accident. It is noted that Qatar in particular contributed greatly to meeting this demand due to its expanded LNG production capacity. It is difficult to estimate Shell’s LNG sales contribution to the increased LNG demand, however, as reported in the 2012 investors handbook (page 20), our total LNG sales volume in 2012 was 20.2 million tonnes – up 7% from 2011. This increase mainly reflected the increase in sales volumes from Qatargas 4 and Pluto LNG Project (Source: http://web.mit.edu/12.000/www /m2018/pdfs/japan/policy.pdf). Furthermore, Shell’s global presence in LNG provides the flexibility to support global markets. Management method Cost of management Natural gas today is around half of Shell’s production. Today, new global LNG supply is mainly coming from Australia, North America and East Africa. At the same time, we expect LNG demand to rise by 5% each year over the next two decades. Shell is currently involved in several LNG projects around the world We are constructing our first FLNG facility, Prelude FLNG (Shell interest 67.5%), which will be located 475 km off the coast of Western Australia. Once completed, Prelude FLNG will be the largest floating offshore facility in the world. Also utilize LNG as transport fuel (trucks / vessels). Shell is one of the world’s leading suppliers of LNG, with a growing portfolio. In January 2014, Shell completed the acquisition of Repsol S.A.'s LNG portfolio outside of North America for a net cash purchase price of $3.8 billion, subject to post-closing adjustments. Capital investment of $3.4 billion was reported in 2013. During Q1/2016, Shell completed the acquisition of BG for a purchase consideration of $54,034 mln. This includes cash of $19,036 mln, and the fair value ($34,050 mln) of 1,523.804,425 shares issued in exchange for all BG shares. This This brings in a world-wide addition to our LNG business, and a growth position, for example, in 48 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportun ity driver Description Potential impact Timefra me Direct / Indire ct Likeliho od Magnitu de of impact Estimated financial implications Management method Cost of management new LNG in Queensland, Australia. Change in temperatu re extremes CC6.1c Growth in demand for products that improve insulation efficiency like styrene monomers and rigid polyols, which Shell is already producing. New products/b usiness services >6 years Direct About as likely as not Low As physical changes in climate result in increases in mean and extreme temperatures, improving efficiency of cooling will become increasingly more critical. This can potentially lead to greater demand for high quality insulation materials and related chemical feedstock. We are reviewing the market developments and this opportunity and associated costs / revenues and plans for managing the opportunity are currently under development. We are monitoring the market developments and this opportunity and associated costs / revenues and plans for managing the opportunity are currently under development. Please describe the inherent opportunities that are driven by changes in other climate-related developments. Opportunit y driver Description Potential impact Timefram e Direct/ Indirec t Likelihoo d Magnitu de of impact Changing consumer behaviour Growth in demand for goods and services that can lower customers energy consumptio n and/or reduce their CO2 emissions, for example New products/busines s services 1 to 3 years Direct Very likely High Estimated financial implications Shell supplies fuels to millions of drivers around the world every day. We have worked to develop high-quality products to improve the driving experience and energy efficiency of our customers. For example, Shell FuelSave Diesel contains ingredients designed to improve the combustion process in vehicle engines. This, in Management method Shell’s new energies business is actively exploring opportunities where the commercial value is clear. We have invested in the past, and we intend to continue to Cost of management Innovation and advanced technologies play a crucial role in the energy transition Our research and development (R&D) activities aim to address the need for more energy while reducing 49 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportunit y driver Description demand for advanced fuels and lubricants, hydrogen and biofuels – areas in which Shell is currently investing in because this is an opportunity for growth. Potential impact Timefram e Direct/ Indirec t Likelihoo d Magnitu de of impact Estimated financial implications turn, can boost efficiency and help drivers save fuel. Shell FuelSave Diesel has helped reduce the carbon footprint of business customers in the bus, coach, construction and trucking sectors. Over the past six years, Shell has invested about $1.1 billion in low-carbon R&D, including hydrogen. Hydrogen has the potential to be an important low-carbon transport fuel. According to the World Energy Technology Outlook, by 2050, hydrogen is estimated to provide 13% of final energy consumption. Currently, around 90% of hydrogen is used in transport. (Source: http://europa.eu/rapid/pre ss-release_MEMO-072_en.htm?locale=en.) Management method invest in new opportunities at scale in the future. New energies covers a number of important themes including: new fuels for mobility, such as biofuels and hydrogen; integrated energy solutions, that combine, for example wind and solar energy; and connecting customers with new business models for energy, enabled by digitalisation, and the decentralisation of energy systems. Our joint venture, Raízen (Shell interest 50%), in Brazil is the world’s largest producer of sugar-cane ethanol - that can reduce CO2 emissions by around 70% compared with Cost of management the environmental impact. We look at research and development across three time horizons, and over the last 6 years we have spent around $1.1 billion in lowcarbon R+D. Shell’s capital employed in new energies activities today is some $1.7 billion and we are estimating a spend of around $200 million in 2016 to explore and develop these new opportunities. 50 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Opportunit y driver Description Potential impact Timefram e Direct/ Indirec t Likelihoo d Magnitu de of impact Estimated financial implications Management method conventional petrol, across its lifecycle. We also buy and blend biofuels into conventional fuels. We invest in advanced biofuels made from plant. In addition, Shell helps customers conserve energy by focusing on three areas: smarter customer products, smarter customer use and smarter infrastructures. In 2012, we launched the Shell FuelSave Target One Million campaign to help people save fuel. Over 420,000 motorists across 18 countries had taken part. We have also introduced Shell Helix Ultra motor oil, with Shell PurePlus technology. Cost of management 51 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Module: GHG Emissions Accounting, Energy and Fuel Use, and Trading Page: CC7. Emissions Methodology CC7.1 Please provide your base year and base year emissions (Scopes 1 and 2) Scope Scope 1 Base year Base year emissions (metric tonnes CO2e) Wed 01 Jan 2014 - Wed 31 Dec 2014 76000000 Wed 01 Jan 2014 - Wed 31 Dec 2014 10000000 Scope 2 (location-based) Scope 2 (market-based) CC7.2 Please give the name of the standard, protocol or methodology you have used to collect activity data and calculate Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions. Please select the published methodologies that you use American Petroleum Institute Compendium of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Methodologies for the Oil and Natural Gas Industry, 2009 ISO 14064-1 IPIECA’s Petroleum Industry Guidelines for reporting GHG emissions, 2nd edition, 2011 The Greenhouse Gas Protocol: A Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard (Revised Edition) US EPA Mandatory Greenhouse Gas Reporting Rule Other CC7.2a If you have selected "Other" in CC7.2 please provide details of the standard, protocol or methodology you have used to collect activity data and calculate Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions. Shell assets are required to comply with Shell's Performance Monitoring and Reporting Specification, which sets out the scope of what is to be reported. This is part of our HSSE & SP (Health, Safety, Security, Environment & Social Performance) Control Framework. It requires assets to use local regulated methods where they exist. Where there are no local regulated methods, assets use the 2009 API Compendium. The following provides examples of the requirements in the province of Alberta (Canada) and the USA. 52 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Alberta: What needs to be reported and how GHG emissions are to be calculated is outlined in the Specified Gas Reporting Standard V8.0. Section 7 of this standard describes the methodology. The Specified Gas Reporting Regulation [Alberta Regulation 251/2004] describes who is required to report GHG emissions and how data is collected. USA: The Code of Federal Regulations Title 40 Chapter I Subpart C Part 98 contains the requirements. There are several subparts to the rule that apply to our facilities. Examples that apply to our assets are: • Subpart A General Provisions • Subpart C General Stationary Fuel Combustion Sources • Subpart P Hydrogen Production • Subpart W Petroleum and Natural Gas Systems • Subpart X Petrochemical Production • Subpart Y Petroleum Refineries CC7.3 Please give the source for the global warming potentials you have used. Gas CO2 CH4 N2O HFCs PFCs SF6 CC7.4 Reference IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4 - 100 year) IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4 - 100 year) IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4 - 100 year) IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4 - 100 year) IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4 - 100 year) IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4 - 100 year) Please give the emissions factors you have applied and their origin; alternatively, please attach an Excel spreadsheet with this data at the bottom of this page. Fuel/Material/Energy Other: Flare Efficiency Factor Emission Factor 0.98 Natural gas 2.65 Motor gasoline 3.07 Kerosene 3.17 Diesel/Gas oil 3.18 Other: Fuel Oil 3.08 Unit Other: fraction metric tonnes CO2 per metric tonne metric tonnes CO2 per metric tonne metric tonnes CO2 per metric tonne metric tonnes CO2 per metric tonne metric tonnes CO2 per Reference API Compendium 2009, Fig. 4-2 IEA factors and Natural gas composition W.E. Liss IEA Statistics, 2011 Ed. CO2 Emissions from Fuel IEA Statistics, 2011 Ed. CO2 Emissions from Fuel IEA Statistics, 2011 Ed. CO2 Emissions from Fuel IEA Statistics, 2011 Ed. CO2 53 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Fuel/Material/Energy Emission Factor Unit metric tonne Reference Emissions from Fuel Page: CC8. Emissions Data - (1 Jan 2015 - 31 Dec 2015) CC8.1 Please select the boundary you are using for your Scope 1 and 2 greenhouse gas inventory. Operational control CC8.2 Please provide your gross global Scope 1 emissions figures in metric tonnes CO2e. 72000000 CC8.3 Does your company have any operations in markets providing product or supplier specific data in the form of contractual instruments? Yes CC8.3a Please provide your gross global Scope 2 emissions figures in metric tonnes CO2e. Scope 2, locationbased 9000000 CC8.4 Scope 2, market-based (if applicable) 9000000 Comment We calculated our scope 2 emissions from imported electricity and steam/heat using both approaches. The difference between two methods for 2015 was immaterial (~1%). Are there are any sources (e.g. facilities, specific GHGs, activities, geographies, etc.) of Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions that are within your selected reporting boundary which are not included in your disclosure? Yes CC8.4a Please provide details of the sources of Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions that are within your selected reporting boundary which are not included in your disclosure. 54 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Source CC8.5 Relevance of Scope 1 emissions from this source Relevance of locationbased Scope 2 emissions from this source Relevance of market-based Scope 2 emissions from this source (if applicable) Explain why the source is excluded Some nonmaterial sources Emissions are not relevant No emissions excluded No emissions excluded We have reported emissions for all businesses including offices. Some non-material sources have not been included. For example, we do not collect the fugitive emissions from domestic scale air conditioning units; a materiality assessment for our industrial sources has shown the industrial sources to be non-material. We continue to report the emissions of HFCs and PFCs but we use a single Global Warming Potential (GWP) factor for these gases. The emissions from some maintenance activities like welding are not included for all operations. We also do not estimate the fugitive emissions of CO2 from CO2 fire extinguishers in all operations. Country electricity factors No emissions excluded Emissions are not relevant Emissions are not relevant Some country electricity factors are only available in CO2 and not CO2e. Where both are available the difference is about 1%. Please estimate the level of uncertainty of the total gross global Scope 1 and 2 emissions figures that you have supplied and specify the sources of uncertainty in your data gathering, handling and calculations. Scope Scope 1 Scope 2 (locationbased) Uncertainty range Less than or equal to 2% More than 10% but less than or equal to 20% Main sources of uncertainty Assumptions Extrapolation Metering/ Measurement Constraints Sampling Assumptions Extrapolation Metering/ Measurement Constraints Sampling Please expand on the uncertainty in your data We have carried out an uncertainty assessment for the majority of our Scope 1 GHG emissions using Oil and Gas Industry methodologies. We used available uncertainty data and estimated uncertainties from best available methodologies for the gaps. Whilst the uncertainties for varying sources differ significantly and for some sources are large, for the gross a relatively low uncertainty is established (~2%). The calculation used the weighted error propagation methodology and assumed uniform probability distributions. Shell also contributed to the public knowledge on accuracy of CO2 measurements with the publication of an AICHE paper “Accurate correlations to estimate refinery fuel gas, natural gas, and fuel oil CO2 emission factors and its uncertainty” (http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/123302611/abstract). "More than 5% but less than or equal to 30%" remains our best estimate. Previously provided explanation remains valid: approximately 60% of our scope 2 emissions come from imported electricity with the balance from imported steam. The uncertainty range of the fiscally metered electricity is low relative to the uncertainty in grid factors. The uncertainty of the grid factors applied is not published. The public grid factors are usually lagging several years and hence, the 2015 indirect data is the product of actual 2015 electricity consumption multiplied by pre 2015 grid factors. Significant changes have occurred in some country grid factors adding to the uncertainty. Furthermore, the actual electricity from the grid is made up of a wide range of sources with their own range of uncertainties, with large differences in CO2 factors and with large differences in utilisation 55 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Scope Scope 2 (marketbased) CC8.6 Uncertainty range More than 10% but less than or equal to 20% Main sources of uncertainty Assumptions Extrapolation Metering/ Measurement Constraints Sampling Please expand on the uncertainty in your data (time delivered to the grid as fraction of available time). Assumptions on the definition of the grid factor will significantly impact the uncertainty, depending on whether the CO2 factors are based on average or the marginal use. The indirect GHG emissions from steam will have a lower uncertainty than from electricity but the numbers are not readily available so an overall uncertainty cannot be quoted in a narrow range. The 530% quoted is not based on a formal study but is rather our best estimate of the range of uncertainties that we currently face. "More than 5% but less than or equal to 30%" remains our best estimate. Previously provided explanation remains valid: approximately 60% of our scope 2 emissions come from imported electricity with the balance from imported steam. The uncertainty range of the fiscally metered electricity is low relative to the uncertainty in grid factors. The uncertainty of the grid factors applied is not published. The public grid factors are usually lagging several years and hence, the 2015 indirect data is the product of actual 2015 electricity consumption multiplied by pre 2015 grid factors. Significant changes have occurred in some country grid factors adding to the uncertainty. Furthermore, the actual electricity from the grid is made up of a wide range of sources with their own range of uncertainties, with large differences in CO2 factors and with large differences in utilisation (time delivered to the grid as fraction of available time). Assumptions on the definition of the grid factor will significantly impact the uncertainty, depending on whether the CO2 factors are based on average or the marginal use. The indirect GHG emissions from steam will have a lower uncertainty than from electricity but the numbers are not readily available so an overall uncertainty cannot be quoted in a narrow range. The 530% quoted is not based on a formal study but is rather our best estimate of the range of uncertainties that we currently face. Please indicate the verification/assurance status that applies to your reported Scope 1 emissions. Third party verification or assurance process in place CC8.6a Please provide further details of the verification/assurance undertaken for your Scope 1 emissions, and attach the relevant statements. Verificati on or assuranc e cycle in place Status in the current reporti ng year Annual process Comple te Type of verificati on or assuranc e Limited assuranc Attach the statement https://www.cdp.net/sites/2016/12/16012/Climate Change 2016/Shared Page/section reference The attachment is a 2-page standalone assurance statement for GHG emissions. The tonnes assured Relevan t standar d Proporti on of reported Scope 1 emissio ns verified (%) ISO1406 4-3 100 56 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Verificati on or assuranc e cycle in place Status in the current reporti ng year Type of verificati on or assuranc e e CC8.7 Attach the statement Documents/Attachments/CC8.6a/LRQ4004543_ Shell_Int_Group_14064_2015_Op_C_ASt_Feb1 6_FINAL.pdf Page/section reference Relevan t standar d Proporti on of reported Scope 1 emissio ns verified (%) match CC8.2 and cover 100% of the inventory. The assertion confirms that the verification covers direct (scope 1) emissions for 2015. The section “LRQA's approach” on page 1 references the standard and level of assurance. The opinion is on page 2. Please indicate the verification/assurance status that applies to at least one of your reported Scope 2 emissions figures. Third party verification or assurance process in place CC8.7a Please provide further details of the verification/assurance undertaken for your location-based and/or market-based Scope 2 emissions, and attach the relevant statements. Locati onbased or market -based figure? Marketbased Verificat ion or assuran ce cycle in place Annual process Status in the curren t reporti ng year Compl ete Type of verificati on or assuran ce Limited assuranc e Attach the statement https://www.cdp.net/sites/2016/12/16012/Cli mate Change 2016/Shared Documents/Attachments/CC8.7a/LRQ40045 43_Shell_Int_Group_14064_2015_Op_C_A St_Feb16_FINAL.pdf Page/Section reference Releva nt standar d The attachment is a 2-page standalone assurance statement for GHG emissions. The tonnes assured match CC8.3a and cover 100% of the inventory. The assertion confirms that the verification covers energy indirect (scope 2) emissions (location-based and market-based figures) for 2015. The section “LRQA's approach” on page 1 references the standard and level of ISO140 64-3 Proporti on of reporte d Scope 2 emissio ns verified (%) 100 57 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Locati onbased or market -based figure? Locatio nbased CC8.8 Verificat ion or assuran ce cycle in place Annual process Status in the curren t reporti ng year Compl ete Type of verificati on or assuran ce Limited assuranc e Attach the statement https://www.cdp.net/sites/2016/12/16012/Cli mate Change 2016/Shared Documents/Attachments/CC8.7a/LRQ40045 43_Shell_Int_Group_14064_2015_Op_C_A St_Feb16_FINAL.pdf Page/Section reference assurance. The opinion is on page 2. The attachment is a 2-page standalone assurance statement for GHG emissions. The tonnes assured match CC8.3a and cover 100% of the inventory. The assertion confirms that the verification covers energy indirect (scope 2) emissions (location-based and market-based figures) for 2015. The section “LRQA's approach” on page 1 references the standard and level of assurance. The opinion is on page 2. Releva nt standar d ISO140 64-3 Proporti on of reporte d Scope 2 emissio ns verified (%) 100 Please identify if any data points have been verified as part of the third party verification work undertaken, other than the verification of emissions figures reported in CC8.6, CC8.7 and CC14.2. Additional data points verified Change in Scope 1 emissions against a base year (not target related) Change in Scope 2 emissions against a base year (not target related) CC8.9 Comment Our assurance statement also covers the base year Our assurance statement also covers the base year Are carbon dioxide emissions from biologically sequestered carbon relevant to your organization? Yes CC8.9a Please provide the emissions from biologically sequestered carbon relevant to your organization in metric tonnes CO2. 22450 58 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Further Information CC8.2: figures on the highest level of accumulation are rounded to the next million. Page: CC9. Scope 1 Emissions Breakdown - (1 Jan 2015 - 31 Dec 2015) CC9.1 Do you have Scope 1 emissions sources in more than one country? Yes CC9.1a Please break down your total gross global Scope 1 emissions by country/region. Country/Region United States of America Canada Nigeria Netherlands Singapore Middle East Germany Malaysia United Kingdom International Waters South America Rest of world CC9.2 Scope 1 metric tonnes CO2e 15278000 8465000 5562000 5955000 6300000 13387000 3372000 4980000 2597000 1763000 1549000 2361000 Please indicate which other Scope 1 emissions breakdowns you are able to provide (tick all that apply). By business division By GHG type CC9.2a Please break down your total gross global Scope 1 emissions by business division. 59 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Business division Downstream Upstream (other than flaring) Upstream flaring Shipping Other CC9.2c Scope 1 emissions (metric tonnes CO2e) 33250000 24600000 11800000 1763000 200000 Please break down your total gross global Scope 1 emissions by GHG type. GHG type CO2 CH4 N2O HFCs PFCs SF6 Scope 1 emissions (metric tonnes CO2e) 68344000 2965000 230000 30000 0 130 Further Information CC9.1a: "Rest of world" covers emissions from minor contributors and emissions calculated using centralised methods, i.e. emissions from offices. CC8.2/9.1a: figures on the highest level of accumulation are rounded to the closest million; addition of detailed figures per country of region will show slightly different results. Page: CC10. Scope 2 Emissions Breakdown - (1 Jan 2015 - 31 Dec 2015) CC10.1 Do you have Scope 2 emissions sources in more than one country? Yes CC10.1a Please break down your total gross global Scope 2 emissions and energy consumption by country/region. 60 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Country/Region Canada United States of America Netherlands Singapore Germany Malaysia United Kingdom Africa Middle East South America Rest of world CC10.2 3110000 3105000 Purchased and consumed electricity, heat, steam or cooling (MWh) 10100000 2711000 2712000 10500000 0 1797000 745000 409000 150000 91000 12000 4000 5000 258000 1872000 728000 409000 150000 91000 12000 4000 6000 272000 8500000 3100000 1600000 400000 400000 40000 20000 30000 1900000 450000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Scope 2, location-based (metric tonnes CO2e) Scope 2, market-based (metric tonnes CO2e) Purchased and consumed low carbon electricity, heat, steam or cooling accounted in market-based approach (MWh) 0 Please indicate which other Scope 2 emissions breakdowns you are able to provide (tick all that apply). By business division CC10.2a Please break down your total gross global Scope 2 emissions by business division. Business division Downstream Upstream Other Scope 2 emissions, location based (metric tonnes CO2e) 5800000 3300000 220000 Scope 2 emissions, market-based (metric tonnes CO2e) 5900000 3300000 210000 Further Information CC10.1a: - "Rest of world" covers emissions from minor contributors and emissions calculated using centralised methods, i.e. emissions from offices. 61 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc - Calculation of energy from purchased electricity, steam, heat and cooling is aligned with the methodology outlined in the IPIECA/API/OGP Oil and Gas Industry Guidance on Voluntary Sustainability Reporting 2015. CC8.2/10.1a: figures on the highest level of accumulation are rounded to the next million; addition of detailed figures per country of region will show slightly different results. Page: CC11. Energy CC11.1 What percentage of your total operational spend in the reporting year was on energy? More than 10% but less than or equal to 15% CC11.2 Please state how much heat, steam, and cooling in MWh your organization has purchased and consumed during the reporting year. Energy type Heat Steam Cooling CC11.3 Energy purchased and consumed (MWh) 0 17000000 0 Please state how much fuel in MWh your organization has consumed (for energy purposes) during the reporting year. 215000000 CC11.3a Please complete the table by breaking down the total "Fuel" figure entered above by fuel type. Fuels Natural gas Other: Own energy Other: Marine Transport Fuel Other: Road Transport Fuel CC11.4 MWh 25900000 181000000 7900000 200000 Please provide details of the electricity, heat, steam or cooling amounts that were accounted at a low carbon emission factor in the market-based Scope 2 figure reported in CC8.3a. 62 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Basis for applying a low carbon emission factor Energy attribute certificates, Guarantees of origin CC11.5 MWh consumed associated with low carbon electricity, heat, steam or cooling Comment 450000 Please report how much electricity you produce in MWh, and how much electricity you consume in MWh. Total electricity consumed (MWh) Consumed electricity that is purchased (MWh) Total electricity produced (MWh) 20000000 Total renewable electricity produced (MWh) Consumed renewable electricity that is produced by company (MWh) Comment We do not track the amount of electricity generated and consumed within our operations. We track primary energy used for generation of electricity and steam. It was included in CC11.3. We do apply the Projects Screening Value of $40 to our projects' power and heat purchases which helps to differentiate between low and normal energy suppliers. Further Information CC11.2: Heat and steam are combined and reported as steam. Cooling is provided via electricity. CC11.3: Fuel consumed includes own generated fuel in addition to purchased fuel. It includes electricity and steam/heat that were generated onsite and exported to a third party facility or grid. Page: CC12. Emissions Performance CC12.1 How do your gross global emissions (Scope 1 and 2 combined) for the reporting year compare to the previous year? Decreased CC12.1a Please identify the reasons for any change in your gross global emissions (Scope 1 and 2 combined) and for each of them specify how your emissions compare to the previous year. 63 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Emissions value (percentage) Direction of change Emissions reduction activities 1.5 Decrease Divestment 2.8 Decrease Acquisitions Mergers Change in output 0.1 0 0.7 Increase No change Increase Change in methodology 0.1 Increase Change in boundary 0.4 Decrease 0.3 Decrease 0 No change 1.6 Decrease Reason Change in physical operating conditions Unidentified Other CC12.1b Please explain and include calculation In 2015, 1.303 million tonnes of GHG emissions were reduced by our emissions reduction projects, which translated to a reduction of 1.5% of our total scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions in 2014 (86 million tonnes CO2e). We arrived at 1.5% through (1.30 / 86) x 100. There were several assets divested in 2014 and 2015, which resulted in decreased GHG emissions in 2015. Examples include Geelong refinery in Australia, some unconventional assets in the US, Canada and several oil leases in Nigeria. Several new vessels joined our fleet in 2015. None in 2015. Increase in output was primarily driven by increased production in Malaysia. Examples of changes in methodology include: updated grid factors for imported electricity for a number of countries, updated Global Warming Potentials in line with IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report. Emissions from some activities have been reclassified from scope 1 to scope 3 in line with the IPIECA Guidance for reporting GHG emissions. Cold weather in early 2014 caused some operational issues at one of our chemical plants in the USA. None in 2015. Decrease was primarily driven by the shutdown at our Moerdijk chemical plant in the Netherlands. In addition, this category includes correction of some 2014 data due to changes in boundary. Is your emissions performance calculations in CC12.1 and CC12.1a based on a location-based Scope 2 emissions figure or a market-based Scope 2 emissions figure? Market-based CC12.2 Please describe your gross global combined Scope 1 and 2 emissions for the reporting year in metric tonnes CO2e per unit currency total revenue. Intensity figure = 0.00038 Metric numerator (Gross global combined Scope 1 and 2 emissions) Metric denominator: Unit total revenue metric tonnes CO2e 264960000000 Scope 2 figure used Marketbased % change from previous year Direction of change from previous year 52 Increase Reason for change The intensity in 2015 increased compared to 2014 mainly due to the decrease in revenue in 2015 compared to 2014 (in line with lower oil 64 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Intensity figure = Metric numerator (Gross global combined Scope 1 and 2 emissions) Metric denominator: Unit total revenue Scope 2 figure used % change from previous year Direction of change from previous year Reason for change prices). Shell does not report emissions intensity in relation to financial performance. In our view, such measures potentially risk misleading readers because: a) Emissions volumes and financial performance (for example, revenue, EBITDA or net income) are not necessarily reported on the same basis particularly where emissions volumes are reported on the basis of operational control - therefore measures that combine them do not compare like-with-like in the ratio. It is not possible to report revenue on an operated basis. The ratio shown was determined using verified direct and indirect equity emissions. If operated GHG data were used the result would be 0.00031 tonne / $ revenue and a 50% change from 2014. b) Even where emissions volumes and financial performance are reported on a consistent basis (for example, on the basis of financial control), the different factors underlying emissions volumes and financial performance are often unrelated. A key driver underlying revenue, for example, is the price of oil and gas, which fluctuates regardless of an entity’s volumes of emissions. The oil and gas price moved by more than 5% from 2014 to 2015. EBITDA and net income additionally reflect the financial effects of activities that have no impact on emissions volumes. Our conclusion therefore is that only activity-related measures (see question 12.3) provide readers with relevant and reliable information. CC12.3 Please provide any additional intensity (normalized) metrics that are appropriate to your business operations. Intensity figure = 0.46 Metric numerator (Gross global combined Scope 1 and 2 emissions) metric tonnes CO2e Metric denominator Metric denominator: Unit total Other: tonnes of oil sands hydrocarbon production 13070000 Scope 2 figure used Marketbased % change from previous year 6 Direction of change from previous year Decrease Reason for change Oil Sands: decrease was primarily driven by emission reduction projects (7.2% decrease), the main one of which was the start-up of the Carbon Capture and Storage facility outlined in target Abs1 referred to in questions 3.1a,e and the first example in 3.3b. 65 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Intensity figure = Metric numerator (Gross global combined Scope 1 and 2 emissions) Metric denominator Metric denominator: Unit total Scope 2 figure used % change from previous year Direction of change from previous year Reason for change 0.29 metric tonnes CO2e Other: tonne of crude oil and feedstock processed Marketbased 0 No change Refining: overall intensity in 2015 was flat compared to 2014. 0.49 metric tonnes CO2e metric tonne of product Marketbased 13 Decrease Chemicals: decrease was primarily driven by shutdown at our Moerdijk chemical plant in the Netherlands. metric tonnes CO2e Other: tonnes of upstream hydrocarbon production excluding oil sands and gas-toliquids Marketbased 0 No change Upstream excluding oil sands and gas-toliquid operations: overall intensity in 2015 was flat compared to 2014. 0.12 Page: CC13. Emissions Trading CC13.1 Do you participate in any emissions trading schemes? Yes CC13.1a Please complete the following table for each of the emission trading schemes in which you participate. Scheme name Allowances allocated Period for which data is supplied European Union ETS CC13.1b Thu 01 Jan 2015 - Thu 31 Dec 2015 11117195 Allowances purchased Verified emissions in metric tonnes CO2e 13677682 Details of ownership Other: Facilities we operate What is your strategy for complying with the schemes in which you participate or anticipate participating? 66 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Our first objective is to ensure that any participating affiliate is in compliance with the scheme, and in addition transaction cost is minimised. Hence we will aggregate group exposures and minimise transactions. Where affiliates have exposure to tradable commodity price risk, which can be managed, Shell Trading will transact with the affiliate at the market price, and take on the risks associated with transacting the position in the market (for which it is paid a fee). Shell Trading will then manage the risk and trade around it when possible. As an organisation that proactively supports emissions trading as a mechanism to deliver a price on CO2 which allows installations to manage emission levels down in an economically efficient manner, we are involved in supporting the development of emissions trading schemes through active participation, for example in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI). CC13.2 Has your organization originated any project-based carbon credits or purchased any within the reporting period? No Further Information CC13.1a: The information provided in 13.1a is provided as an example of the main scheme. Page: CC14. Scope 3 Emissions CC14.1 Please account for your organization’s Scope 3 emissions, disclosing and explaining any exclusions. Sources of Scope 3 emissions Purchased goods and services Evaluation status Relevant, calculated metric tonnes CO2e 7930000 Emissions calculation methodology An analysis was undertaken in 2010 to look at the contracting and procurement spent in various categories. Supplier data was taken from either the CDP data base or industry averages were calculated from intensities of similar companies. Prorating the spend data to 2015 indicates that the estimate is still valid. Percentage of emissions calculated using data obtained from suppliers or value chain partners Explanation 50.00% 67 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Sources of Scope 3 emissions Evaluation status metric tonnes CO2e Capital goods Relevant, calculated 4180000 Fuel-and-energyrelated activities (not included in Scope 1 or 2) Relevant, calculated 1300000 Emissions calculation methodology Transport services were excluded because they are covered by other categories below. Includes the emissions associated with the generation of imported hydrogen used in our refineries and oil sands operations. Some of the numbers are provided by our suppliers and the remainder are calculated using factors from the API Compendium 2009. Prior to 2015, scope 3 emissions associated with Capital Goods were included in Category 1 Purchased Goods and Services. We were able to split our emissions for 2015 reporting. These emissions were derived as a result of an analysis undertaken in 2010 to look at the contracting and procurement spent in various categories. Supplier data was taken from either the CDP data base or industry averages were calculated from intensities of similar companies. Some of the numbers are provided by our suppliers and the remainder are calculated using factors from the API Compendium 2009. These emissions represent: 1) Emissions resulted from transmission & distribution losses from electricity imported by our operations. T&D factors were taken from DEFRA. 2) Emissions from Well-to-Tank (WTT) electricity generation (upstream emissions of purchased electricity). WTT emission factors were taken from DEFRA. 3) Emissions from electricity Well-to-Tank Percentage of emissions calculated using data obtained from suppliers or value chain partners Explanation 50.00% 100.00% 68 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Sources of Scope 3 emissions Upstream transportation and distribution Evaluation status Relevant, calculated metric tonnes CO2e 1400000 Emissions calculation methodology (WTT) electricity transmission and distribution. WTT emission factors were taken from DEFRA. 4) Emissions from steam & heat Wellto-Tank (WTT). WTT emission factors were taken from DEFRA. Includes air, sea and land transport services provided by contractors to our upstream and downstream businesses. A number of methods are applied, which range from using the amount of fuel consumed to calculating distance travelled multiplied by emission factors. Emission factors are generally taken from the API Compendium or DEFRA. Waste generated in operations Not relevant, calculated 200000 The estimation is based on the mass of hazardous and non-hazardous waste disposed offsite and DEFRA emission factors for waste disposal to landfill. Business travel Not relevant, calculated 310000 The calculation was based on DEFRA calculation (no calculation method changes from 2011). Percentage of emissions calculated using data obtained from suppliers or value chain partners Explanation 95.00% 100.00% 100.00% The number reported does not include the emissions from wastewater plants operated by our company. These emissions are accounted for in our scope 1 or 2. It does not include waste generated onsite, but not disposed of in 2015. It also excludes waste disposal through deep well injection. The metric tonnes reported come from air travel data that is booked via our corporate systems. People can occasionally have air travel booked outside the corporate system. The number reported does not represent 100% of business travel. The number reported does not include travel undertaken on other forms of public transport like trains and buses. Business travel in company vehicles is reported under scope 1. Business travel in contractor operated vehicles is reported under the scope 3 Upstream transportation category 69 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Sources of Scope 3 emissions Evaluation status metric tonnes CO2e Emissions calculation methodology Percentage of emissions calculated using data obtained from suppliers or value chain partners Explanation in this table. Employee commuting Not relevant, calculated 250000 Upstream leased assets Not relevant, calculated 700000 Downstream transportation and distribution Relevant, calculated 2700000 The maximum contribution is estimated to be less than 250,000 tonnes. This was estimated on the basis of assuming that all employees drive a total of 50 km per working day. In many work locations the majority of employees travel to work by public transport hence the number shown is a maximum estimated for evaluation purposes only. LNG regasification terminals were identified as potentially relevant leased major facilities. The Shell capacity rights were used to estimate the emissions using data from our operated facilities. In addition, the emissions shown include the direct and indirect emissions that come from our capacity rights to a major installation that we do not own or operate. The emissions are reported as scope 1 and 2 under the equity boundary. The emissions from the Shell Trading and Shipping Company operated leased vessels are included under our scope 1 operational control boundary. The activity data was taken from the 2015 Annual Report. Emission factors were generally taken from DEFRA or the McKinnon and Piecyk's report "Measuring and managing CO2 emissions from the transportation of chemicals in Europe". Emissions were estimated from the mass of sold products multiplied by the appropriate emission factor for each freight mode (sea, pipeline, road or rail) and average distance travelled based on 50.00% 75.00% 50.00% We do not track the destination of all products through the processing, conversion, distribution, use and disposal by customers. Primary product data is taken directly from our own sources but the assumptions come from external sources like the one referenced in the methodology. 70 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Sources of Scope 3 emissions Evaluation status metric tonnes CO2e Emissions calculation methodology Percentage of emissions calculated using data obtained from suppliers or value chain partners Explanation data published in the USA and the UK. Processing of sold products Use of sold products End of life treatment of sold products Not relevant, explanation provided Relevant, calculated Relevant, calculated We do not track the destination of sold products through processing. 559000000 25000000 The activity data is taken from pages 35-45 of the 2015 Annual Report. The following emission factors (tonne CO2 / tonne of product) were assigned to each product, i.e. Gasoline = 3.07, Kerosene = 3.17, Gas Oil = 3.18, Fuel Oil = 3.08, LPG = 2.95, Natural Gas = 2.65. The boundary used to report refinery products and natural gas production are those used for financial reporting and do not align with the traditional GHG boundaries defined by the GHG Protocol. The Refinery Outturn data reflects Shell subsidiaries, the 50% Shell interest in Motiva in the USA and instances where Shell owns the crude or feedstock processed by a refinery. Some equity accounted investments are not included. The natural gas production includes Shell subsidiaries and the Shell share of equity accounted investments. See the assurance statement for more details. The methodology is based upon the amount of our chemical and lubricant products, the carbon content and assumptions taken from reports like ICCA's 2009 Innovations for Greenhouse Gas Reductions. 100.00% The exclusions are mentioned in the assurance statement under “4. Emissions from the use and disposal of chemical products, lubricants and other non-fuel products like bitumen are not included. Refinery type products produced by Chemical plants are also not included." 50.00% We do not track the destination of all products through the processing, conversion, distribution, use and disposal by customers. Primary product data is taken directly from our own sources but the assumptions come from external sources like the one referenced in the methodology. No allowance has been included for the emission reductions due to 71 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc Sources of Scope 3 emissions Downstream leased assets Franchises Investments Other (upstream) Other (downstream) metric tonnes CO2e Evaluation status Not relevant, calculated Relevant, calculated Relevant, calculated Not relevant, explanation provided Not relevant, calculated Emissions calculation methodology 0 There were no major facilities identified that we leased to other companies in 2015. 1764000 This number includes the indirect emissions from the operation of Shell branded sites excluding those that are company owned / operated or operate under a license only. The number reported for 2015 includes nonoperated locations. The average electricity data was collected from survey data in several countries. The CO2 / CO2e electricity factors for each country were used. 900000 The data is collected via our investments in major facilities. These are typically investments that report under the cost dividend accounting method. The numbers are reported to us by the facilities or estimated. Percentage of emissions calculated using data obtained from suppliers or value chain partners Explanation the production of insulation, use of advanced lubricants or displacement of alternate fuel sources. There were no major facilities identified that we leased to other companies in 2015. Emissions from minor leased assets such as retail stations are included in the category 14 Franchises. 100.00% 95.00% The numbers reported are for our investments in major facilities only. Data from our own facilities indicates that other investments will not be material. The scope 1 & 2 data reported in other parts of this document relate to facilities that we operate. Our equity emissions are published on our public website and do not include emissions from investments. This category is not applicable to us at this point. 541000 Metered quantities of CO2 sold. 100.00% Transfers of sold CO2 sent offsite. 72 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc CC14.2 Please indicate the verification/assurance status that applies to your reported Scope 3 emissions. Third party verification or assurance process in place CC14.2a Please provide further details of the verification/assurance undertaken, and attach the relevant statements. Verification or assurance cycle in place Annual process CC14.3 Status in the current reporting year Complete Type of verificatio n or assurance Limited assurance Page/Section reference Relevant standard The attachment is a 2-page standalone assurance statement for part of our scope 3 GHG emissions. i) & ii) The section “LRQA's approach” on page 1 references the level of assurance and the relevant standard. iii) The type and proportion of emissions are as reported in CC14.1 category 11 “use of sold products” when compared to the “total”. There are exclusions and hence the estimate is 90%. ISO140643 Attach the statement https://www.cdp.net/sites/2016/12/1 6012/Climate Change 2016/Shared Documents/Attachments/CC14.2a/L RQ4004543_Shell_Int_14064_Sc 3_ASt_Feb16_FINAL.pdf Proportion of reported Scope 3 emissions verified (%) 90 Are you able to compare your Scope 3 emissions for the reporting year with those for the previous year for any sources? Yes CC14.3a Please identify the reasons for any change in your Scope 3 emissions and for each of them specify how your emissions compare to the previous year. Sources of Scope 3 emissions Emissions value (percentage) Reason for change Direction of change Franchises Change in methodology 18 Decrease Franchises Divestment 4 Decrease Investments Divestment 24 Decrease Comment Change in methodology accounted for around 18% decrease in the emissions. The number of sites decreased by 4% due to divestments. Emissions decreased primarily because of divestments. 73 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc CC14.4 Do you engage with any of the elements of your value chain on GHG emissions and climate change strategies? (Tick all that apply). Yes, our suppliers Yes, our customers Yes, other partners in the value chain CC14.4a Please give details of methods of engagement, your strategy for prioritizing engagement and measures of success. The Shell Global Solutions "Greenhouse Gases Intensity Analysis Team" (GIAT) prioritises engagements that support the development of products, technologies, industry standards and regulations that can help to reduce GHG emissions in an efficient and effective manner based on sound science. The following is an example from the chemicals sector of engagement with other industry partners in the value chain: Shell contributed to the development of a methodology to assign greenhouse gas emissions to high value chemicals (HVCs). There is no industry standard way of doing this and customers are increasingly asking suppliers for greenhouse gas footprint information for chemicals. It is important to ensure that there is a consistent approach taken across companies. The methodology was presented at The International Lifecycle Management (LCM) Conference in Bordeaux and a meeting of the International Council of Chemical Associations (ICCA). In accordance with our Shell General Business Principles and Group Code of Conduct, we seek to work with contractors and suppliers who contribute to sustainable development and are economically, environmentally and socially responsible. With regard to the environment we expect that contractors and suppliers: • are committed to protect the environment in compliance with all applicable environmental laws and regulations; • use energy and natural resources efficiently; • continually look for ways to minimise waste, emissions and discharge of their operations, products and services. Understanding and acceptance of the Shell Supplier Principles is required in every Shell purchase contract. In addition we take a risk based approach to suppliers’ and contractors’ reporting of GHG’s in individual contracts for our projects and assets. Where the requirement to report on GHG’s is identified, standard contract language may be used to request reporting from suppliers and contractors. Monitoring of the reporting is part of the specific contract management; specific actions may be agreed on any of the above mentioned topics. Shell has no central reporting set up for these engagements. CC14.4b To give a sense of scale of this engagement, please give the number of suppliers with whom you are engaging and the proportion of your total spend that they represent. Number of suppliers % of total spend (direct and indirect) Comment Where monitoring is a meaningful element as part of the Contract Management Plans with a supplier, customer or other partner, specific actions may be agreed on the above mentioned topics. Effectively, "number of suppliers" should be >0, and so would the % be, but this information is not centrally coordinated in Shell. CC14.4c If you have data on your suppliers’ GHG emissions and climate change strategies, please explain how you make use of that data. 74 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc How you make use of the data Other Please give details Actions are taken from results of such reporting; however, in Shell, they are not centrally coordinated but managed on a local level. Module: Sign Off Page: CC15. Sign Off CC15.1 Please provide the following information for the person that has signed off (approved) your CDP climate change response. Name Ben van Beurden Job title Chief Executive Officer Corresponding job category Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Further Information NEW LENS SCENARIOS This publication contains data from Shell’s New Lens Scenarios. The New Lens Scenarios are a part of an ongoing process used in Shell for 40 years to challenge executives’ perspectives on the future business environment. We base them on plausible assumptions and quantifications, and they are designed to stretch management to consider even events that may only be remotely possible. Scenarios, therefore, are not intended to be predictions of likely future events or outcomes and investors should not rely on them when making an investment decision with regard to Royal Dutch Shell plc securities. CAUTIONARY NOTE The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate legal entities. In this report, “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell” are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or companies. "Subsidiaries", “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this publication refer to companies over which Royal Dutch Shell plc either directly or indirectly has control. Entities and unincorporated arrangements over which Shell has joint control are generally referred to as “joint ventures” and “joint operations” respectively. Entities over which Shell has significant influence but neither control nor joint control are referred to as “associates”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or indirect (for example, through our 23% shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all third-party interest. This report contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “could”, “estimate”, “expect”, “goals”, “intend”, “may”, “objectives”, “outlook”, “plan”, “probably”, “project”, “risks”, “schedule”, “seek”, “should”, “target”, “will” and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors 75 CDP – Climate Change 2016 Information Request – Royal Dutch Shell plc that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this report, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including regulatory measures addressing climate change; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this report are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional risk factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2015 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov). These risk factors also expressly qualify all forward-looking statements contained in this report and should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this report, submitted 30 June 2016. Neither Royal Dutch Shell plc nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this report. We may have used certain terms, such as resources, in this report that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) strictly prohibits us from including in our filings with the SEC. US investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. 76
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