Ham Trends Provided by: National Pork Board Contents Ham definitions Ham nutritional profile In-home ham consumption In-home ham intake development indices Ham sales at retail Away-from-home ham consumption 2 Ham definitions Ham defined Hind leg of a hog Types: Wholes, halves, portions, boneless, bone-in, semi-boneless skinless shankless, spiral sliced, steak/slices, country hams, canned Formats: Fresh, cured, cured-and-smoked, ready-to-eat (fully cooked hams, canned and prosciutto), luncheon and deli ham Source: www.fsis.usda.gov 4 Ham label designations Ham contains no added water is at least 20.5% protein Ham with Natural Juices contains at least 18.5% protein Ham - Water Added contains at least 17% protein, with 10% added solution Ham and Water Product may contain any amount of water but the label must state the percent of “added ingredients” 5 Butt end, half or portion Upper, meatier part of whole leg Butt portion has some center slices removed for sale separately as ham steaks or center cut ham slices. The half includes this meat. Semi-boneless Ham Source: www.fsis.usda.gov; www.cooksham.com 6 Half Ham Portion Ham Spiral sliced Bone-in ham that is pre-sliced Honey Baked Ham had exclusive patent on spiral slicing process (expired in 1981) Source: Business Courier, June, 2001; www.cooksham.com 7 Skinless, shankless Skin and shank removed Leg bone and hip bone remain Source: www.fsis.usda.gov; www.cooksham.com 8 Curing solutions Addition of salt, sodium nitrate, nitrites and sometimes sugars, seasonings, phosphates and ascorbates For preservation, color development and flavor enhancement Nitrate and nitrites contribute to cured flavor and reddish-pink color of cured pork Nitrite and salt inhibit bacteria growth Can be added by injection by needle or tumbling/massaging/soaked Source: www.fsis.usda.gov 9 Dry curing Country hams and prosciutto Fresh meat is rubbed with a dry-cure mixture of salt and other ingredients Process draws out moisture and results in more concentrated ham flavor Aged from a few weeks to more than a year, six months is common Can be injected with curing solutions or placed in curing solutions but they may not be smoked Source: www.fsis.usda.gov 10 Wet curing or brine cure Brine curing is most popular way of producing hams Wet cure whereby fresh meat is injected with a curing solution before cooking Smoke flavoring (liquid smoke) may also be injected Source: www.fsis.usda.gov 11 Smoking and smoke flavoring After curing, some hams are smoked Process where hams are hung in a smokehouse and allowed to absorb smoke from smoldering fires Gives added flavor and color, slows development of rancidity Flavor depends upon what wood is used Source: www.fsis.usda.gov, Albuquerque Journal, December, 2001 12 Ham nutritional profile Nutritional Profile Ham is a lean protein 3.4-ounce serving of roasted extra-lean ham 145 calories 5.5 grams fat 21 grams of protein 53 milligrams cholesterol Significant amount of thiamin (vitamin B-1) and vitamin B-12 Low and reduced sodium products available Ham steaks 94 % lean 14 Source: www.cooksham.com In-home ham consumption 24% of individuals consume entree ham at least one time in an average two week period S IZ E O F M A R K E T H a m (E xc l L u n c h m e a t) % o f In d ivid u a ls C o n s u m in g a t L e a s t O n c e in T w o W e e k s 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 76 24 C onsum e D o N ot C onsum e P e rc e n t o f In d ivid u a ls C o n su m in g a t L e a s t O n c e in T w o W e e k s b y Y e a r Y r. E n d in g F e b . 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 H a m (E x cl L u n c h m ea t) 1 9 .3 2 0 .9 1 9 .5 1 7 .0 1 8 .8 1 9 .2 1 7 .8 2 2 .0 2 4.1 2 4 .0 A ll d a ta is fo r ye a r e n d in g F e b ru a ry. 16 Page 5 And, almost 30% of individuals consume ham lunchmeat regularly at least one time in an average two week period. S IZ E O F M A R K E T H a m L u n c h m e a t (P o rk B a s e d ) % o f In d iv id u a ls C o n s u m in g a t L e a s t O n c e in T w o W e e k s 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 72 28 C onsum e D o N ot C onsum e P e rc e n t o f In d ivid u a ls C o n s u m in g a t L e a s t O n c e in T w o W e e k s b y Y e a r Y r. E n d in g F e b . 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 H a m L u n c h m e a t (P o rk B a s e d ) 3 5 .7 3 8 .8 3 7 .5 3 8 .0 3 7 .5 3 6 .9 3 8 .1 3 2 .4 2 6 .8 2 8 .4 A ll d a ta is fo r ye a r e n d in g F e b ru a ry. 17 Page 5 Ham entrée consumption has rebounded from 2004. T R E N D IN P E R C A P IT A C O N S U M P T IO N H am (E xcl Lunchm eat) An n u al E atin g s P er C a p ita 12.89 10.31 10.07 9.10 8.48 9.29 8.02 7.46 1998 1999 A ll data is for year ending F ebruary. 18 12.42 11.17 2000 2001 2002 P age 6 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Ham consumed most at dinner meal; lunchmeat at midday Ham entrees - % of Eatings In-Hom e Dinner 41 In-Hom e Lunch 38 In-Hom e Breakfast 12 Carried From Hom e In-Hom e Snack 8 Ham lunchmeat - % of Eatings 1 53 In-Hom e Lunch 20 Carried From Hom e 19 In-Hom e Dinner 7 In-Hom e Breakfast In-Hom e Snack Two Years Ending February 2007 Source: The NPD Group, Inc. National Eating Trends 19 2 Entrée ham consumption skews to holiday months W E E K P A R T V S . S E A S O N A L IT Y P R O F IL E H a m (E x c l L u n c h m e a t) % o f E a tin g s 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 69 27 S p rin g (M AM ) 22 22 Sum m er (J JA) F all (S O N ) In d e x to S a m p le In d s : E a tin g s 10 8 88 A ll d ata is fo r ye ar en d in g F e bru a ry. 20 88 29 31 W in te r (D J F ) W e e k en d (S S) 1 16 Page 8 10 8 W e e kd ay (M -F ) 97 Ham lunchmeat consumption skews to spring/summer; weekday meals W E E K P A R T V S . S E A S O N A L IT Y P R O F IL E H a m L u n c h m e a t (P o rk B a s e d ) % o f E a tin g s 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 74 30 24 23 F a ll (S O N ) W in te r (D J F ) 23 S p rin g (M A M ) Sum m er (J J A ) In d e x to S a m p le In d s : E a tin g s 92 120 A ll d a ta is fo r ye a r e n d in g F e b ru a ry. 21 96 92 Page 8 26 W e e k e n d (S S) 91 W eekday (M -F ) 104 s5 Vegetables served most often with ham entrees % of In-Home Ham Entree Meals Which Include 49.9 Vegetables Potatoes Eggs/Omelettes Bread Salads Fruit Buns/Rolls Macaroni & Cheese Rice (Plain) Cheese Cakes Biscuits Pies Baked Beans/Pork & Beans Cookies Corn Bread/Muffins Stuffing 37.5 16.0 15.2 12.9 12.6 11.3 6.4 4.6 3.9 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.5 2.4 Source: The NPD Group, Inc. National Eating Trends 2006 22 Corn 13.0 Green Beans 12.6 Peas 5.8 Mixed/Combo 4.0 Slide 22 s5 NOT UPDATED schafers, 3/27/2007 55% as ingredient ; 43% eaten as an entrée U S A G E P R O F IL E H a m (E xcl L u n ch m e a t) H o w U se d ? % o f E a tin g s 2006/2007 55 2 43 B a s e D is h A ll data is for year ending F ebruary. 23 In g re d ie n t P age 10 Ad d itive C o o k in g Aid Most ham entrees prepared in oven or on the stove top A P P L IA N C E B Y P R E P A R A T IO N M E T H O D H a m (E x c l L u n c h m e a t) % o f E a tin g s 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 T o p A p p lia n c e /P re p a ra tio n M e th o d s N o A p p l/N o P re p M e th o d /N r 40 M ic ro w a v e 11 O v e n : B a k e d /R o a s te d 9 S to v e T o p : F rie d /P a n B ro ile d 7 S to v e T o p : W a rm e d /H e a te d N o A p p l: C h ille d /F ro z e n 5 O v e n : W a rm e d /H e a te d 5 4 S to v e T o p : B o ild /S te w e d /S im m r N o A p p l: U n c o o k e d /R a w A ll d a ta is fo r ye a r e n d in g F e b ru a ry. 24 Summary No Appliance (leftover): Stove Top: Oven: Microwave: 8 3 Page 11 40% 19% 14% 11% Ham Entree consumption skews to… In-Home - Based on Index to Total Sample >120 – 2006/2007 HH Income: Under $10k, not $60K-$69K HH Size: Not 1 member Age of Female Head: 55+ Employ. Of Fem. Head: All averages Occupation of HH Head: Out of the Work Force Race: Black, not Asian Census Regions: Mid Atlantic… not New England, E.N. Central, Pacific Life Cycle Segments: Empty Nesters, Single Active Seniors, and Married Active Seniors…not Affluent Trad. Families Age/Sex of Eater: Adults 55+ … not kids <6 Source: The NPD Group, Inc. National Eating Trends 2006 25 Ham Lunchmeat consumption skews to... In-Home - Based on Index to Total Sample >120 – 2006/2007 HH Income: All income breaks are average HH Size: Not 1 member households, remainder are average Age of Female Head: Not <34 … others average Occupation of HH Head: Blue collar…not professional Race: Hispanic … Whites are average … not Asian, Black, or Other Census Regions: Mid-Atlantic….not New England or Pacific Age/Sex of Eater: Low/Mid Income Empty Nesters not kids <6 Source: The NPD Group, Inc. National Eating Trends 26 Entrée consumption skews to South Central R E G IO N A L P R O F IL E H a m (E x c l L u n c h m e a t) % o f E a tin g s In d e x e d to S a m p le 2 0 0 6 /2 0 0 7 146 128 112 100 110 93 75 71 63 N ew E n g la n d M id A tla n tic E a s t N o rth C e n tra l W e s t N o rth C e n tra l % o f S a m p le 3 .9 % 1 5 .1 % 1 6 .3 % 9 .2 % 1 8 .7 % 6 .8 % 9 .7 % 7 .7 % 1 2 .7 % % o f E a tin g s : 2 .8 1 5 .1 1 5 .2 1 0 .3 2 0 .5 9 .9 1 2 .5 5 .7 8 .0 N O T E : A n in d e x o f 8 0 - 1 2 0 is c o n s id e r e d a v e r a g e A ll d a t a is f o r y e a r e n d in g F e b r u a r y . 27 Page 15 S o u th A tla n tic E a s t S o u th C e n tra l W e s t S o u th C e n tra l M o u n ta in P a c ific Ham lunchmeat consumption skews to Mid-Atlantic and West North Central REGIONAL PROFILE Ham Lunchmeat (Pork Based) % of Eatings Indexed to Sam ple 2006/2007 115 113 103 99 109 108 92 74 66 New England M id Atlantic East North Central W est North Central % of Sam ple 3.9% 15.1% 16.3% 9.2% 18.7% 6.8% 9.7% 7.7% 12.7% % of Eatings: 2.5 17.5 16.1 10.4 19.2 7.4 10.5 7.1 9.4 NO TE: An index of 80-120 is considered average All data is for year ending February. 28 Page 15 South Atlantic East South Central W est South Central M ountain Pacific Ham is the number one sandwich Percent of In-Home Lunches That Include Sandwiches 8 Ham 7 6 Poultry 5 4 3 Salad* 2 1 0 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 *Includes: Ham Salad, Chicken Salad, Egg Salad, Tuna Salad etc. Source: The NPD Group, Inc. National Eating Trends 2006 29 In-home ham intake development indices Intake development indices An econometric analysis conducted by Texas A&M University provided insight on consumption of meats over a six year period, among individuals 18 years and older Results showed the likelihood of consumption, measured as “intake development indices” 31 Intake development indices “Intake development” represents the relationship between intake (in grams over a 2week period) and individuals (both eaters and non-eaters) Above average development is when the share of intake is greater than the share of individuals (index >100) and translates to a percent advantage For example smoked ham development is 12% higher with “at most high school” than the average across education levels 32 Intake development demographic differences Canned ham and smoked ham development is highest with “at most high school” Canned ham intake is highest at lower incomes Smoked ham intake is highest at mid-income levels Ham intake is highest for individuals over 50 Intake Development Indices: = High Development = Low Development Source: Texas A&M Econometric Analysis 2003 33 Smoked Ham Canned Ham At Most High School 112 132 Some College 93 82 At least Undergraduate Degree 92 73 Smoked Ham Canned Ham Less Than $10,000 74 177 Between $10,000 and $20,000 92 177 Between $20,000 and $30,000 104 76 Between $30,000 and $40,000 97 82 Between $40,000 and $50,000 112 83 Between $50,000 and $60,000 114 101 Between $60,000 and $70,000 104 66 Between $70,000 and $100,000 111 89 Between $100,000 and $150,000 81 34 Greater than $150,000 65 51 Education Income Intake development demographic differences Ham intake is highest for individuals over 50 Ham, and overall pork intake development, is greater in males Age Smoked Ham Canned Ham 18 TO24 78 48 25 TO 29 86 84 30 TO 39 83 73 40 TO 49 95 83 50 TO 59 105 125 60 TO 64 123 111 65 AND UP 127 150 Gender Smoked Ham Canned Ham Male 121 106 Female 82 95 Intake Development Indices: = High Development = Low Development Source: Texas A&M Econometric Analysis 2003 34 Intake development demographic differences Hispanic intake strong for canned hams Canned hams have high development among African Americans and low development with Caucasians and Orientals Smoked ham intake is above average in rural areas Ethnicity Smoked Ham Canned Ham Hispanic 58 121 Non Hispanic 102 99 Race Smoked Ham Canned Ham White 103 84 Black 101 305 Oriental 29 65 Other 34 67 Urbanization Smoked Ham Canned Ham SMSA 94 101 NONSMSA 117 97 Intake Development Indices: = High Development = Low Development Source: Texas A&M Econometric Analysis 2003 35 Ham sales at retail Ham dollar sales are back up after a slight decline in 2006 This was driven by increased tonnage (+1.2%) and a slight increase in price Ham Dollar Sales - % Change 2005 2006 2007 2.0% 2.0% -0.9% 2005 vs. 2004 2006 vs. 2005 Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 vs. prior years 37 2007 vs. 2006 In 2007, entrée hams continued to generate the greatest sales Total Ham $ Sales RFG Dinners 1% Entrée Hams $ Sales All Other 4% Ham Steaks 14% 2007 % Share Entrée Hams 81% Whole 17% Ham Steaks 8% Halves 57% Within Entrée Hams Portion 19% Total Ham Pounds Sold RFG Ham <1% Quarter 7% Entrée Ham Pounds Sold Quarter 4% All Other 4% Whole 18% Entrée Hams 87% Within Entrée Hams Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 Portion 27% 38 Note: RFG dinners are refrigerated ham-based prepared dinners (e.g. maple brown sugar ham entrees) Halves 51% Note: Within Entrée hams, whole hams have lost share (-2 share points versus last year) to more convenient halves, portions and quarters Most ham segments show good growth Entrée hams sales (dollars and pounds) are up after a slight decrease in 2006 Ham steak sales continue to grow Refrigerated ham-based dinners (RFG dinners), although a small segment, are showing continued growth Two Year Trend - % Change 2006 (2006 vs. 2005) 2007 (2007 vs. 2006) 506% $ Sales Pounds Sold 143% 165% 123% 1% 1% 6% 1% -2% -1% -7% Entrée Ham(1) Note: Ham Steaks RFG Dinners(2) -1% -3% -6% All Other(3) (1) Entrée Ham(1) Ham Steaks RFG Dinners(2) Entrée Ham = whole hams, portions, halves and quarters RFG Dinners = refrigerated ham-based prepared dinners- exceptionally strong growth due to very low base (3) All Other = cubes, ends and pieces, fat and bones, hocks, skins, etc. (2) 39 2% 7% Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 All Other(3) Within entrée hams, spiral cuts show continued strength While spiral cuts have experienced strong growth over the past several years, non-spiral hams still represent largest share of sales Calendar Year 2007 Share of $ Sales Spiral 35% Two Year Trend - % $ Sales Change NonSpiral Hams 65% 11% 6% Share of Pounds Sold Spiral 31% 5% -1% NonSpiral Hams 69% -5% Spiral 2006 vs. 2005 Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007. Note: This represents share of spiral cuts WITHIN entrée hams. 40 -6% Non-Spiral 2007 vs. 2006 2 year growth Bone-in hams represent largest share of volume… …yet boneless hams are more profitable Calendar Year 2007 Sem i-BL 6% Share of $ Sales Boneless 27% Bone-in 67% Boneless “profit per pound” Advantage 106% Sem i-BL 9% Share of Pounds Sold Boneless 20% Bone-in 71% Vs. Bone-In Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 41 Source:NPB Composite Database Ham sales are strongest during the holiday months Index of Ham $ Sales vs. Average Month in 2007 327 208 174 Average Month Index = 100 67 Jan 66 Feb 77 Mar Apr (Easter) 45 45 46 May Jun Jul Aug 54 58 Sep Oct Nov Dec (Thanksgiving) (Christmas) Note: An index over 100 means the month is out performing vs. the average month. An index below 100 means the month is under-performing. For example: January ham sales are 33% less than the average month and April sales are 108% more than the average month. Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 42 47 Ham feature activity mirrors key sales periods Index of # of Ham Features vs. Average Month in 2007 330 244 175 Average Month Index = 100 52 Jan 70 Feb 87 Mar Apr 42 46 50 May Jun Jul 61 64 Sep Oct 32 Aug Easter Source: Leemis Promo Data ad activity analysis across 169 Grocery Accounts/Market combinations; calendar year 2007 43 Nov Thanksgiving Dec Christmas Holiday sales are driven by entrée hams* Index of Entrée Ham $ Sales vs. Average Month in 2007 376 234 189 Average Month Index = 100 61 Jan 56 Feb 72 Mar Apr 38 34 34 34 May Jun Jul Aug *Entrée Hams = wholes, quarters, portions and halves Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 44 42 46 Sep Oct Nov Dec However, seasonality has less impact on ham steaks… …making them a great year-round meal option Index of Ham Steaks $ Sales vs. Average Month in 2007 Average Month Index = 100 108 96 89 Jan 110 106 98 100 Jun Jul Aug 99 101 Nov Dec 88 Feb Mar Apr Source: Fresh Look syndicated data; calendar year 2007 45 96 111 May Sep Oct Away-from-home ham consumption Trends in Operators Menuing Ham Overall, Category Incidence Rising # Ham Items/Operator Menuing (Category Incidence is % Operators Menuing): ▲Chains: Casual, Fast Casual, QSR ▲ Chains: Casual, Fast Casual, QSR Indep: Cut Edge ▼Family Dining Chains, Cut Edge ▼ Family Dining Chains Category Incidence Ham, All Menu Parts Market Sectors Casual Chains Fast Casual Chains Family Dining Chains QSR Chains Cutting Edge Independents Casual Independents Midscale Independents QSR Independents Non Commercial ** No earlier data available 47 MenuMine, Foodservice Research Institute Ham Items/Operator 2007 2004 2001 2007 2004 2001 % 44 53 73 49 43 50 58 43 74 % 42 53 74 48 39 50 60 na** 74 % 37 47 71 40 34 na** na** na** na** # 2.3 4.6 7.5 5.2 1.9 2.7 6.5 5.5 3.2 # 2.1 4.0 7.9 4.6 1.9 2.6 6.4 na** 3.6 # 2.2 3.2 7.8 4.8 2.0 na** na** na** na** Ham menuing is increasing 19% of pork menu mentions are ham Ham menu mentions increased 21% from 2000 to 2005 Source: The NPD Group, Inc. CREST 2005 48 Ham entrees served most at breakfast meal Distribution of Ham Entrée Servings YE Dec 2007 PM Snack 2% +% PCYA* Supper 18% -5% PCYA Morning Meal Lunch Supper PM Snack Lunch 17% 15% PCYA Morning Meal 63% 9% PCYA 49 Source: The NPD Group / CREST *Low Sample = Cannot Trend Ham sandwiches served most at lunch meal Distribution of Ham Sandwich Servings YE Dec 2007 Morning Meal PM Snack 7% 7%+% PCYA* +% PCYA* Morning Meal Lunch Supper PM Snack Supper 26% -5% PCYA Lunch 60% 0% PCYA 50 Source: The NPD Group / CREST *Low Sample = Cannot Trend Ham entrée served equally at chains and independents Distribution of Ham Entree Servings YE Dec 2007 Major Chains 42% Independents 46% 17% PCYA 1% PCYA 51 Source: The NPD Group / CREST Major Chains Small Chains Independents Small Chains 12% 4% PCYA Half of ham sandwiches served at chains Independents 30% -5% PCYA Major Chains 53% 5% PCYA Major Chains Small Chains Independents Small Chains 17% 7% PCYA Source: The NPD Group, Inc. CREST 2005 52 . Ham - Product Profiles Demographic and Regional Indices* - Yr. Ending Nov. '07 Demographics Dist. Census Regions Index Yr Ago Dist. Index Yr Ago Index East Central 16% 25% 87 117 87 112 South West 37% 22% 99 94 102 95 Index Gender Male Female 57% 43% 119 82 117 84 Age of Eater <18 13% 18-24 25-34 7% 14% 47 76 53 72 35-49 24% 98 114 102 107 50-64 65+ 25% 17% 141 146 144 141 Under $25,000 $25-$44,999 18% 20% 85 95 88 97 $45-$59,999 $60-$74,999 13% 12% 111 104 96 104 $75-$99,999 15% 105 113 $100,000 and more 22% 109 106 HH Income *Indexed to Panel. Index of 100=Average Usage Source: The NPD Group/NPD Foodservice®/CREST®. For the exclusive use of CREST subscribers. 53 . Ham Sandwich - Product Profiles Demographic and Regional Indices* - Yr. Ending Nov. '07 Demographics Dist. Census Regions Index Yr Ago Dist. Index Yr Ago Index East Central 19% 26% 100 114 104 119 South West 35% 19% 103 81 98 82 Index Gender Male Female 51% 49% 106 94 105 95 Age of Eater <18 19% 18-24 25-34 10% 18% 83 138 78 107 35-49 25% 121 107 130 110 50-64 65+ 19% 9% 103 63 110 75 Under $25,000 $25-$44,999 19% 19% 80 96 94 94 $45-$59,999 $60-$74,999 12% 12% 95 104 93 101 $75-$99,999 16% 111 120 $100,000 and more 22% 120 103 HH Income *Indexed to Panel. Index of 100=Average Usage Source: The NPD Group/NPD Foodservice®/CREST®. For the exclusive use of CREST subscribers. 54
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