Coastal Currents Produced by the University of Delaware Sea Grant College Program & the Center for Applied Coastal Research Northeasters Northeaster Facts Nearby weather systems can cause northeasters to stall off the coast. by Dr. Wendy Carey and Dr. Robert Dalrymple The risk of living along the coast has changed over the past century. Since the 1940s, and especially since the 1980s, development activity along the U.S. coastline has exploded. As the population along the Atlantic coast continues to increase, damage induced by coastal storms — hurricanes and northeasters — will probably increase as well. While hurricane season runs from June 1–November 30, coastal storms called northeasters (or nor’easters) are a year-round threat to coastal Delaware. Named for the direction from which their winds blow, these intense storms move along the coast with winds blowing directly from the northeast, right off the Atlantic Ocean onto the shoreline. These strong winds can create large waves that may exceed 20 feet in height. The size and strength of these waves can demolish beaches and dunes, buildings, boardwalks, and roads. While hurricanes are unquestionably the more powerful of the coastal storms, northeasters are more frequent in Delaware, last longer, and impact larger areas. Although they may threaten the Delaware shoreline at any time of the year, northeasters usually occur during the winter. They form around regions of low pressure and derive their energy from the strong temperature gradients that commonly occur when cold fronts and warm fronts collide. A BOUT T HIS S ERIES Coastal Currents is designed to share timely information about coastal hazards and the natural processes that occur along Delaware’s shoreline. The series is produced by the University of Delaware Sea Grant College Program (www.ocean.udel.edu) in partnership with UD’s Center for Applied Coastal Research (www.coastal.udel.edu). For more information, contact Wendy Carey, Sea Grant Marine Advisory Service, at (302) 645-4258 or [email protected]. Northeasters typically produce winds ranging from 30 to 40 miles per hour, with gusts that can exceed 74 miles per hour (hurricane strength). These storms typically generate waves ranging from 5 to 15 feet high, with wave size controlled by the storm’s duration and the storm center’s location relative to the shoreline. Northeasters are most damaging when they stall off the coast. Typical Northeaster Path H Northeasters rotate in a counterclockwise direction. Northeasters occur more often than hurricanes along the Delaware coast. These lowpressure systems typically have winds of 30 – 40 miles per hour. While they may occur at any time along the Delaware coast, northeasters are most frequent from September to April. L Northeasters are named for the direction from which their winds blow. As these intense storms move along the Atlantic coast, the strongest winds blow directly from the northeast, right off the ocean onto the shoreline. The destructive power of a northeaster can equal or exceed that of a hurricane along the Mid-Atlantic coast. Flooding is a serious hazard associated with northeasters. Tidal flooding or storm surge associated with a northeaster can actually exceed the levels associated with a tropical storm or hurricane in Delaware. Storm surge is the result of water being dragged onto the shoreline by a storm’s strong winds coupled with very low atmospheric pressure at the storm’s center. Storm surge heights of 3 to 10 feet above normal are especially damaging when they bracket several tidal cycles. The torrential rainfall from northeasters also can cause extensive flooding in both coastal and inland areas. Historic Northeasters Delaware’s most damaging coastal storm on record occurred over a three-day period and five extremely high tidal cycles on March 6–8, 1962. Winds reached speeds of 70 miles per hour. Offshore waves were recorded at higher than 40 feet, while waves in the surf zone were reportedly 20 – 30 feet high. The storm surge associated with the storm was 9.5 feet — the highest tide ever recorded in Breakwater Harbor, at the mouth of Delaware Bay. Delaware DNREC The March 1962 northeaster is the most destructive coastal storm on record in Delaware. It killed seven people and caused millions of dollars in damages along the state’s coastline. The infamous 1962 storm drowned seven people in Delaware and caused millions of dollars in damages to homes and businesses, highways, and beaches. Most of the oceanfront dune system from Cape Henlopen to the Maryland border was flattened, giving way to widespread tidal flooding. The boardwalks in Rehoboth Beach and Bethany Beach were destroyed, and over 1,900 homes sustained damage from Dewey Beach to Fenwick Island. The ocean rolled into the Inland Bays in Dewey Beach, South Bethany Beach, and Fenwick Island. Among the staggering recovery costs were public and private property losses estimated at $70 million ($400 million in 2001 dollars) and beach repair costs estimated at $20 million ($114 million in 2001 dollars). Beaches, dunes, highways, homes, and utilities including power, gas, water, and sewage treatment needed to be repaired or rebuilt. More recently, in January and February 1998, powerful northeasters again pounded the Delaware coast. During these storms, sustained winds reached speeds of 40 miles per hour, with gusts up to 60 miles per hour; wave heights reached approximately 25 feet; and storm tide levels were 5 feet above normal. These storms caused severe beach erosion and extensive public and private property damage in many Delaware coastal communities. 1 for the weakest, through 5 for the most destructive. Other factors taken into consideration include the size of the waves, the height of the storm surge, the occurrence of the storms with respect to the tidal cycle, and the number of tidal cycles (duration) that the storms bracket. With funding from Delaware Sea Grant, Professor Robert Dalrymple, a coastal engineer affiliated with the UD Center for Applied Coastal Research, worked with Professor David Kriebel at the U.S. Naval Academy and colleagues at the Delaware Emergency Management Agency to develop a Web-based calculator to determine a northeaster’s damage potential for the Delaware shoreline. The Delaware Northeaster Risk Index provides an assessment of beach/dune erosion potential based on several storm parameters. To use the calculator, visit this Web site — www.coastal.udel.edu/faculty/rad/risk.html — and fill in the required data, including the wave height of the storm, the predicted (or measured) storm surge at the beach, and the duration of the storm. Northeasters with ratings of 1 to 2 create significant beach erosion but are not hazardous to structures at the beach. Class 3 or higher are dangerous storms. Class-5 storms are very dangerous and are similar to the March 1962 northeaster, which killed seven, obliterated Delaware’s sand dunes, and caused millions in damages. The model, while generic enough in principle to apply to other beaches, is calibrated for the Delaware shoreline. Therefore, it is not applicable to other regions. Preparing for a Coastal Storm What should you do if a major storm is heading your way? ◆ Stay alert to storm advisories. ◆ Assemble a disaster preparedness kit containing flashlights and batteries, bottled water, non-perishable food, and prescription medicines. ◆ Be prepared to secure your home, boat, and any loose outdoor items. ◆ Monitor weather/evacuation information on the radio or TV. ◆ Follow instructions from local officials. Calculating a Northeaster’s Damage Potential While many people are aware that hurricanes are classified from Category 1 through Category 5 according to their wind speeds and associated storm surge and damage potential, few individuals know that there is a similar classification system for northeasters. Coastal scientists rank northeasters into five classes based primarily on a damage potential index ranging from Web Sites for More Information www.state.de.us/dema (Delaware Emergency Mgmt. Agency) www.fema.gov (Federal Emergency Mgmt. Agency) www.ibhs.org (Institute for Business and Home Safety) www.redcross.org (American Red Cross) The University of Delaware Sea Grant College Program is a member of a national network of universities committed to research, education, and technology transfer designed to meet the changing needs of U.S. ocean, coastal, and Great Lakes regions. The program is financially supported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in the U.S. Department of Commerce; the State of Delaware; and the University of Delaware. For more information, please contact the UD Marine Public Education Office, Newark, DE 197163530. Phone: (302) 831-8083. E-mail: [email protected]. For other Sea Grant publications, visit our on-line catalog at www.ocean.udel.edu/seagrant. 1/03: 1K
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