Brain Injury ISSN: 0269-9052 (Print) 1362-301X (Online) Journal homepage: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/ibij20 Trends in alcohol use during moderate and severe traumatic brain injury: 18 years of neurotrauma in Pennsylvania R. A. Bernier & F. G. Hillary To cite this article: R. A. Bernier & F. G. Hillary (2016) Trends in alcohol use during moderate and severe traumatic brain injury: 18 years of neurotrauma in Pennsylvania, Brain Injury, 30:4, 414-421, DOI: 10.3109/02699052.2015.1127998 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.3109/02699052.2015.1127998 Published online: 24 Feb 2016. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 87 View related articles View Crossmark data Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=ibij20 Download by: [Lifespan Libraries], [Rachel Bernier] Date: 18 July 2016, At: 06:13 http://tandfonline.com/ibij ISSN: 0269-9052 (print), 1362-301X (electronic) Brain Inj, 2016; 30(4): 414–421 © 2016 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC. DOI: 10.3109/02699052.2015.1127998 ORIGINAL ARTICLE Trends in alcohol use during moderate and severe traumatic brain injury: 18 years of neurotrauma in Pennsylvania R. A. Bernier1 & F. G. Hillary1,2 Department of Psychology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA, and 2Hershey Medical Center, Hershey, PA, USA Downloaded by [Lifespan Libraries], [Rachel Bernier] at 06:13 18 July 2016 1 Abstract Keywords Primary objective: Alcohol is a known risk factor for TBI, yet little is known about how rates of alcohol use at time of injury differ across demographics and the stability of alcohol-related injury over time. Further, findings examining the relationship between alcohol and outcome are mixed. This study aimed to examine changes in alcohol-positive moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury (+aTBI) over two decades with focus on demographic factors, changes in +aTBI frequency over time, mortality and acute outcome. Methods: This retrospective study examined data collected from 1992–2009 by the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcome Study (PTOS). Results: Results reveal that the proportion of +aTBI has been generally stable across years. However, there is an interaction of +aTBI incidence with mechanism of injury and age, with a downward trend in +aTBI within MVA and fall and individuals 18–30 and 71+ years. Further, consistent with several findings in the literature, alcohol was associated with higher rates of survival and better FSD scores during acute recovery. Conclusions: This study discusses findings in the context of a greater literature on TBI-related alcohol and outcome. The injury-alcohol profiles highlighted could be used to inform future allocation of resources toward prevention of, intervention for and care of individuals who sustain TBI. Adult brain injury, alcohol use, traumatic brain injury Introduction Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a debilitating neurological insult that affects over 1 million people per year in the US and leads to over 50 000 deaths per year [1]. Alcohol use is an important risk factor for TBI [2,3], yet little is known about how rates of alcohol differ by demographic variables, such as age, gender and other variables, including hour of injury, in individuals with moderate-to-severe injury; additionally, little is known regarding how these specific relationships have changed over the past 20 years. Further, although there has been much study of the relationship between alcohol use at time of injury and outcome, the findings have been mixed and studies infrequently examine the relationship between more nuanced groups of individuals sustaining TBI and outcome. There is a clear need to better understand the trends of alcohol-related TBI. The goal of this study is to examine how alcohol-related TBI is influenced by demographics and other factors, such as time of day of admission to emergency department (ED). Alcohol use is an important risk factor for TBI, with prevalence of alcohol intoxication between 36–55% at the time of injury [2,3]. However, there is little consensus surCorrespondence: F. G. Hillary, Department of Psychology, The Pennsylvania State University, 313 Bruce V. Moore Building, University Park, PA 16802-3106, USA. E-mail: [email protected] Color versions of one or more of the figures in the article can be found online at www.tandfonline.com/ibij. History Received 3 June 2015 Revised 7 November 2015 Accepted 1 December 2015 Published online 24 February 2016 rounding the effects of alcohol intoxication at time of injury on TBI outcome and this point is reflected in a recent review on alcohol exposure and TBI [4]. Some studies have shown alcohol to be associated with decreased mortality [5,6]. In contrast, other investigators found no relationship between alcohol and mortality [7] and posited that factors other than alcohol account for the positive correlation between alcohol exposure at time of injury and outcome [8]. Others, still, have found that alcohol is associated with higher rates of mortality and complications [9], so the relationship between alcohol and outcome after TBI remains uncertain. While not definitive, the animal literature examining the influence of acute alcohol intoxication on TBI is generally more consistent. Alcohol use following TBI is associated with attenuated short-term recovery in animal models [10]. Rats exposed to alcohol vapour following mild TBI showed less improvement on the neurological severity score (NSS) and exhibited poorer cognitive outcome and higher expression of markers of neuroinflammation compared with rats exposed to room air [11]. Additionally, subjects who were administered alcohol pre-injury experienced higher rates of mortality and impaired ventilation [12], suggesting that individuals with alcohol in their system at time of injury would have decreased perfusion, resulting in greater tissue damage and worse outcome. Further, alcohol intoxication in rats with TBI has been associated with more severe apoptosis [13], suggesting Alcohol and TBI Downloaded by [Lifespan Libraries], [Rachel Bernier] at 06:13 18 July 2016 DOI: 10.3109/02699052.2015.1127998 greater rates of neuronal loss and more extensive damage compared to individuals who were not intoxicated at the time of injury. Several questions about the relationship between alcohol and outcome following TBI remain, even in the animal literature. For example, alcohol exposure prior to injury is associated with higher rates of survival and decreased neuroinflammation, possibly due to the role of alcohol as an immunomodulator [14–16]. Additionally, in a sample of rats, alcohol consumption both pre-injury and postinjury was associated with better learning on the Morris water maze task compared to rats exposed to ethanol preinjury only or not at all, potentially mediated by a lower cerebral temperature [17]. These seemingly conflicting findings highlight the complexity in this relationship and the challenge in identifying the biological mechanisms underlying this relationship. In human studies, higher blood alcohol levels at time of injury have been associated with poorer outcomes, such as worse performance on cognitive measures [18] and increased atrophy [19]. In contrast, a more recent study reported that higher blood alcohol levels were associated with better performance on several neuropsychological measures during the acute recovery stage [20]. Taken together, outcome research using both animal and human models demonstrates the lack of consistency in findings, pointing to a complex relationship between TBI outcome and alcohol likely determined by a number of clinical, demographic and injury-related factors. Other less-studied alcohol-related factors are now receiving some attention, such as history of alcohol abuse prior to injury [21] and the time of day at which the injury occurs. In an Austrian sample, time of day was not found to be predictive of outcome following TBI [22]. Interestingly, these relationships seldom have been examined in the US. In fact, despite the frequent study of alcohol and TBI, more nuanced relations between alcohol use and TBI rates and outcome, such as whether rates of alcohol use differ as a function of age, gender and mechanisms of injury and how these rates vary across time of day, rarely are considered. It is anticipated that age and gender will be important determinants of alcohol use at the time of injury, with higher incidence of alcohol-related TBI (+aTBI) observable in young adults compared to elderly patients and men compared to women. What is less clear is whether there are meaningful relationships between the mechanism of injury, time of day and other demographic factors and rates of alcohol use and outcome. Further, little is known about changes in these relationships across years, even though laws regarding alcohol, alcohol education and attitudes toward driving under the influence of alcohol have changed. For example, the state of Pennsylvania spent $1.22 million in 2013–2014 and the 2015–2016 proposed budget is allotting $1.36 million on drug and alcohol abuse prevention and treatment to modify behaviours around alcohol [23]. Knowing the relationships between these variables would facilitate a more targeted prevention of TBI and additionally would be useful in determining how resources should be allocated toward TBI care in the future and may provide additional insight into the nature of the relation between alcohol and outcome. 415 Study goals and hypotheses Using data from the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcome Study (PTOS) containing clinical information for all individuals who received Pennsylvania’s emergency services from 1992–2009 (n = 11 943), this study aims to: (1) characterize the relationships between alcohol use and demographic and situational factors influencing alcohol status, (2) examine how alcohol influences outcome and (3) observe how these factors have changed over time. It is hypothesized that time of day will influence the incidence of +aTBI and that the rate of +aTBI will decrease over the two decades of data collection due to greater public efforts to raise awareness about the risks associated with alcohol, in addition to laws reflecting this shift in attitude (e.g. decreasing the legal limit of blood alcohol level for individuals operating a vehicle). Finally, it is hypothesized that alcohol at the time of injury will have only a small effect on outcome, but will be associated with a lower survival rate and decreased functional status at time of discharge (FSD), based on the more recent literature examining animal models of acute outcome. Methods This retrospective study examined clinical data collected from January 1992–December 2009 by the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcome Study (PTOS), a trauma registry formed by the Pennsylvania Trauma Systems Foundation. The PTOS was established in 1985 following the creation of the Emergency Medical Service Act (Act 45) in July 1985 and contains information about every trauma case admitted to a PTSF-accredited trauma centre. Hospitals in Pennsylvania that apply to the PTSF are granted accreditation by a 20-member board of directors if they follow the guidelines set forth by the American College of Surgeons, Committee on Trauma. Trauma Centres who receive accreditation are mandated to report data to the PTOS and continued accreditation relies on their compliance with this mandate. Although each trauma centre is responsible for the quality of its data, all data are re-checked, assessed and corrected and then integrated by the PTSF on a quarterly basis. As of 2009, there were 31 trauma centres accredited by the PTSF, but the present study only contains data from the 23 trauma centres that have been accredited and present in the PTOS database each year from 1992–2009. Individuals from the PTOS who received a diagnosis indicative of intracranial trauma (ICD-9-CM codes 850-854) and whose total Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) at time of admission to the emergency department (ED) was greater than or equal to 3 and less than or equal to 12 (moderate and severe TBI) were included in these analyses. Only blunt injuries were included in analyses. Of the over 200 variables reported in the PTOS database, the following variables were examined: age, gender, GCS, mechanism of injury, blood alcohol level (BAL) at time of admission to ED, time of admission the ED, year of admission to the ED and functional status at discharge (FSD) (see Table I for description of FSD). The only potentially identifying information used in this study was date of birth and gender. No other identifying information is included in the PTOS database in order to ensure patient confidentiality. N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Locomotion Expression Transfer mobility Social interaction Modified dependence 2 Independence with device 3 Complete independence 4 Requires total assistance to take meals by mouth OR does not take food by mouth but must rely on other means of alimentations. Requires maximal assistance to walk 150 feet, OR does not walk or operate a wheelchair independently for 50 feet. Requires supervision and minimal to moderate Requires assistance in preparation (e.g. Eats and drinks independently (e.g. physical assistance during drinking or eating. opening carton) OR requires adaptive device opens cartons, pours liquids, eats and Does not have any other means of alimentation. (e.g. spork), but is able to eat independently. drinks from dishes presented in customary manner). Requires supervision or minimum-to-moderate Walks minimum of 150 feet with brace, cane, Walks minimum of 150 feet without assistive device and does not use a crutches, etc. OR if not walking, operates physical assistance to go 150 feet OR walks independently only a short distance OR operates wheelchair independently for minimum of 50 wheelchair. feet. wheelchair independently for minimum of 50 feet. Expresses complex ideas intelligibly Does not express basic needs and Expresses thoughts in a telegraphic or confused Expresses complex ideas with mild wants consistently, even with an pattern or requires prompts, cues or assistance difficulty, but communicates basic needs and and fluently, verbally or non-verbally, from another person. wants without difficulty. including signing and writing. augmentative communication device or system, despite prompting. Uses adaptive or assistive device such as a If walking or in wheelchair, performs Requires maximal assistance to Requires assistance in set up or adaptive or sliding board, a lift, grab bars, special seat, transfer safely. total assistance to perform assistive device, OR requires supervision of brace or crutch. Performs transfer safely. transfer. minimal-to-moderate physical assistance to perform transfer safely. Interacts appropriately with staff, Interacts appropriately < 25% of Requires some supervision under stressful or Interacts appropriately with staff, other other patients, and family members the time or not at all, may need unfamiliar situations patients and family members in structured restraint. situations and environments, may take more (e.g. controls temper and is aware that than a reasonable time to adjust in a social words and actions have impact on others. situation. Complete dependence Paediatric (< 2 years old) Feeding 1 0 Table I. Functional status at discharge (FSD). Downloaded by [Lifespan Libraries], [Rachel Bernier] at 06:13 18 July 2016 416 R. A. Bernier and F. G. Hillary Brain Inj, 2016; 30(4): 414–421 Alcohol and TBI DOI: 10.3109/02699052.2015.1127998 Variables and measures Downloaded by [Lifespan Libraries], [Rachel Bernier] at 06:13 18 July 2016 Mechanism of injury was classified as follows: ICD-9 e-codes 800–848 were classified as motor vehicle accidents (MVA), 880–888 were classified as falls and 910–997 were classified as violence/assault. For the purposes of the study, MVA included railroad collisions and other brain injuries that resulted from vehicular collusions and assault included self-injurious behaviour, in addition to any other assault-related brain injury, regardless of role in assault (e.g. aggressor or victim). Age was examined in four groups: individuals aged 18–30 years, individuals aged 31–50 years, individuals aged 51–70 years and individuals aged 71 years and older. Cases that did not meet age, ICD-9-CM code, e-code or other criteria did not have results for a blood alcohol level test in the ED or that were missing data were eliminated from frequency and outcome analyses. 417 study included 11 943 patients who sustained moderate-tosevere TBI, as assessed by the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) at time of admission to the ED, from 1992–2009 in the state of Pennsylvania. Individuals with a GCS greater than or equal to 3 and less than or equal to 12 were included in the analyses. Overall, 47.69% of TBI cases between 1992–2009 were +aTBI at time of admission to the ED. Consistent with the literature, men comprised 70.24% of all TBI between 1992–2009. Nearly three-quarters of the TBI cases occurred in those aged 50 years and younger, with 34.87% of patients aged 18–30 years, 32.51% aged 31–50 years, 15.88% aged 51–70 years and 16.75% aged 71 years and older. Consistent with the broader TBI literature, 59.29% of the cases were the result of motor vehicle accident (MVA), followed by 19.82% resulting from fall and 12.20% resulting from assault (see Table II for complete results). Data analyses to address study goals Examining +aTBI and demography and injury factors Rates of +aTBI by gender, age and mechanism of injury Frequency of TBI among individuals was calculated across gender, mechanism of injury and age. To compare frequency of alcohol use at time of injury, the number of +aTBI within each demographic variable was divided by the total number of TBI for a given variable, providing a percentage of +aTBI moderate-to-severe TBI per demographic. Perhaps somewhat counter-intuitively, +aTBI rates were higher among individuals who survived for both men and women (58.06% men, 36.32% women) compared to fatalities (36.13% men, 20.00% women) (see Table II); 57.13% of 18–30 year-olds and 59.67% of 31–50 year-olds were +aTBI at time of admission to the ED, but rates of +aTBI diminished greatly in individuals aged 51 and older, with only 38.19% of patients aged 51–70 years and only 13.80% of patients aged 71 years and older testing positive for alcohol at time of admission. TBI resulting from assault were most likely to be +aTBI at time of admission to the ED, with 60.47% of those patients testing positive for alcohol, followed by TBI resulting from MVA (54.26%) and, lastly, TBI resulting from falls (39.63%) (see Table III). Examining +aTBI effects over time The second set of analyses sought to examine how the proportion of +aTBI cases varied across time of day; +aTBI cases were examined by hour of admission to the emergency department (ED) across gender, age and mechanism of injury. Additionally, +aTBI distributions were compared by year across the demographic variables. Rates of +aTBI across time of day by age and mechanism of injury Examining +aTBI as a predictor of outcome To examine the relationship between +aTBI injuries at time of admission to the ED and outcome, this study examined differences in survival rates between individuals who were +aTBI and negative (–aTBI) and sought to explore whether mean FSD differs between +aTBI and negative groups in patients who survived by conducting independent sample t-tests. Results Demography of TBI The original database contained 60 942 individuals who used Pennsylvania’s trauma services. Analyses for the current Patterns of +aTBI across time of day were similar between age groups, with the exception of individuals aged 71 years and older, who had lower rates of both –aTBI and +aTBI compared to other age groups (see Figure 1). Distributions of +aTBI showed similar patterns across mechanism of injury (assault, fall, MVA), with rates of +aTBI dipping during the late morning and early afternoon and sharply increasing in the late evening and early morning. TBI resulting from assault show the highest +aTBI rates, closely followed by MVA and then fall. Although TBI resulting from assault have the highest rates of +aTBI, TBI resulting from MVA have the highest number of +aTBI (see Figure 2). Table II. Demographic information. # TBI % of total TBI # +aTBI % +aTBI Overall Male Female Assault MVA Fall 18–30 31–50 51–70 71+ 11 943 100 5 696 47.69 8389 70.24 4552 54.26 3549 29.72 1143 32.21 1457 12.2 881 60.47 7081 59.29 3602 50.87 2367 19.82 938 39.63 4164 34.87 2379 57.13 3883 32.51 2317 59.67 1896 15.88 724 38.19 2000 16.75 276 13.80 418 R. A. Bernier and F. G. Hillary Brain Inj, 2016; 30(4): 414–421 Table III. Comparison of survival of +/-aTBI. Overall Survivals # +aTBI # -aTBI Total % +aTBI 4992 4603 9595 52.03 (2309) (2102) (4411) (52.35) Male Fatalities 704 1644 2348 29.98 (196) (552) (748) (26.20) Survivals 4027 2909 6936 58.06 (1827) (1265) (3092) (59.09) Female Fatalities 525 928 1453 36.13 (147) (316) (463) (31.75) Survivals 964 1690 2654 36.32 (481) (834) (1315) (36.58) Fatalities 179 716 895 20 (49) (236) (285) (17.19) Downloaded by [Lifespan Libraries], [Rachel Bernier] at 06:13 18 July 2016 * Values in parentheses exclude cases that required intubation. Figure 4. Percentage +aTBI 1992–2009 by mechanism of injury. Figure 1. Percentage +aTBI across day by age. 39%, with rates steadily decreasing across each mechanism of injury, most notably in fall. However, rates over time differ by age group and across mechanism of injury. For example, the increasing number of TBI due to falls among the elderly, the group least likely to have +aTBI, in part, could be accounting for the observed decrease in rates of +aTBI overall. Collapsing across mechanism of injury and examining +aTBI within each of the age groupings individually shows that between 1992–2009 rates have decreased among individuals 18–30 years old and among individuals 71 years and older, but have remained relatively stable within individuals 31–50 years old and 51–70 years old (see Figures 3 and 4). Figure 2. Percentage +aTBI across day by mechanism of injury. Figure 3. Percentage +aTBI 1992–2009 by age. Rates of +aTBI over 1992–2009 Analyses of the rates of +aTBI from 1992–2009 show that overall the percentage of +aTBI has decreased from 55% to Outcome Independent samples t-tests were conducted to test whether mean FSD scores were significantly different between +aTBI and –aTBI groups. Mean FSD scores were consistently significantly higher in +aTBI groups, although effect sizes varied by gender, age group and mechanism of injury (see Table III). Mean GCS scores were not significantly different between +aTBI and –aTBI groups, with the exception of TBI due to fall; in this case, the –aTBI group GCS was higher than the mean GCS score of the +aTBI group (see Table IV). This comparison demonstrates that the association between +aTBI and acute outcome is not due to injury severity as measured by GCS. To eliminate intubation as a potential confound, analyses were repeated excluding for individuals who were intubated. Again, the +aTBI group had significantly higher mean FSD scores across age groups and mechanisms of injury, while GCS did not differ between +aTBI and –aTBI groups, with the exception of the overall TBI, the TBI among individuals 51–70 years old and TBI due to fall. In the three latter cases in which GCS did differ significantly, GCS was actually higher in the –aTBI groups, despite having Alcohol and TBI DOI: 10.3109/02699052.2015.1127998 419 Downloaded by [Lifespan Libraries], [Rachel Bernier] at 06:13 18 July 2016 Table IV. Comparison of functional outcome of +/-aTBI by age and mechanism of injury. Mean FSD Overall 18–30 31–50 51–70 71+ Assault MVA Fall Mean GCS Overall 18–30 31–50 51–70 71+ Assault MVA Fall Mean FSD* Overall 18–30 31–50 51–70 71+ Assault MVA Fall Mean GCS* Overall 18–30 31–50 51–70 71+ Assault MVA Fall –aTBI +aTBI Mean Dif. Lower limit Upper limit t(6860.308) = –18.716, p < 0.001 t(2460.415) = –8.784, p < 0.001 t(1983.647 = –7.778, p < 0.001 t(950.767) = –5.542, p < 0.001 t(113.928) = –3.760, p < 0.001 t(564.816) = –6.716, p < 0.001 t(4516.683) = –12.335, p < 0.001 t(1119.354) = –10.312, p < 0.001 14.29 14.96 15.31 14.17 11.01 16.16 14.16 13.68 16.63 16.69 16.89 16.08 13.42 18.33 16.10 16.99 –2.34 –1.74 –1.57 –1.90 –2.41 –2.17 –1.94 –3.31 –2.58 –2.12 –1.98 –2.58 –3.68 –2.81 –2.25 –3.94 –2.09 –1.35 –1.17 –1.23 –1.14 –1.54 –1.63 –2.68 t(7141.613) = 1.791, p = 0.073 t(2715.271) = –1.623, p = 0.105 t(2185.784) = –0.373, p = 0.710 t(943.062) = –0.142, p = 0.887 t(124.188) = 0.339, p = 0.735 t(769.429) = –0.736, p = 0.462 t(4625.786) = 0.571, p = 0.568 t(1127.427) = 2.772, p = 0.006 6.07 5.43 6.04 6.28 7.33 6.63 5.59 7.14 5.93 5.62 6.09 6.31 7.20 6.79 5.54 6.57 0.14 –0.19 –0.05 –0.03 0.13 –0.16 0.05 0.57 –0.01 –0.41 –0.31 –0.45 –0.63 –0.60 –0.13 0.17 0.29 0.04 0.21 0.39 0.89 0.27 0.23 0.97 t(2905.280) = –15.143, p < 0.001 t(864.817) = –5.204, p < 0.001 t(826.294) = –5.524, p < 0.001 t(510.672) = –3.495, p < 0.001 t(55.826) = 0.224, p < 0.001 t(297.40) = –5.720, p < 0.001 t(1627.56) = –7.934, p < 0.001 t(626.875) = –9.239, p < 0.001 14.92 16.26 16.38 14.73 11.06 16.53 15.12 13.67 17.51 17.70 17.82 16.37 14.93 18.75 17.00 17.43 –2.59 –1.43 0.02 –1.64 –3.87 –2.21 –1.88 0.95 –2.93 –1.97 –0.33 –2.56 –5.52 –2.97 –2.34 0.50 –2.25 –0.89 0.37 –0.72 –2.21 –1.45 –1.41 1.39 8.49 7.86 8.30 8.82 9.37 9.19 8.27 9.11 8.07 7.76 8.28 8.16 9.16 8.05 8.04 8.17 0.42 0.10 0.02 0.66 0.21 0.15 0.23 0.95 0.21 –0.25 –0.33 0.14 –0.67 –0.36 –0.05 0.50 0.62 0.45 0.37 1.18 1.09 0.65 0.51 1.39 t(3272.520) = 4.013, p < 0.001 t(1009.406) = 0.559, p = 0.576 t(963.513) = 0.352, p = 0.900 t(490.565) = 2.512, p = 0.012 t(55.013) = 0.482, p = 0.632 t(455.892) = 0.571, p = 0.565 t(1729.551) = 1.602, p = 0.109 t(641.881) = 4.147, p < 0.001 * Values exclude cases that required intubation. significantly lower FSD scores. However, it is important to consider that, because FSD scores are assigned at time of discharge, this analysis was limited to individuals who survived and were assessed at time of discharge from the trauma centre. across time of day is fairly consistent across mechanism of injury and age group. Lastly, even after considering injury severity and other demographic factors, alcohol is consistently associated with higher rates of survival and better acute outcome scores in these data. Each of these findings is considered in turn below. Discussion The primary goal of this study was to examine how alcoholrelated TBI has changed over the past two decades, including the influence of alcohol on TBI outcome. A broad overview of the data reveal that the rate of +aTBI has been generally stable across time (1992–2009); however, when examining age sub-groups, a downward trend among individuals of 18–31 years and 71 years and older was evident. Similar downward trends in +aTBI were apparent based upon the mechanism of injury; declines in TBI were evident among cases of TBI due to fall and MVA for all ages. With regard to the downward trend in +aTBI during MVA, it is possible that interventions to increase public awareness about the danger of operating a vehicle while intoxicated, in conjunction with more stringent laws regarding driving under the influence of alcohol, have had a positive result. This study also observed that the pattern of the proportion of individuals with +aTBI Trends in alcohol-related TBI Over the past several decades public service announcements and anti-drinking and driving campaigns have been launched to promote responsible alcohol consumption and increase awareness of the risks of alcohol-related injury [24]. In Pennsylvania, laws have been passed reflecting the goal to reduce use of intoxicating substances while driving; in 2003, the legal limit of concentration of alcohol in an individual’s blood or breath was lowered from 0.10 to 0.08% [25]. Both the percentage and raw number of +aTBI resulting from MVA have decreased among individuals aged 18–30. Although this age group still represents the group with the highest likelihood and raw number of +aTBI due to MVA, the decrease in both raw number and percentage of +aTBI is encouraging and suggests that perhaps efforts geared toward 420 R. A. Bernier and F. G. Hillary Brain Inj, 2016; 30(4): 414–421 this age group have been successful, providing support for the efficacy of such targeted interventions. Downloaded by [Lifespan Libraries], [Rachel Bernier] at 06:13 18 July 2016 Predictors of alcohol-related TBI There are a number of injury-alcohol profiles highlighted here that could be used to inform future allocation of resources toward prevention of, intervention for and care of TBI. Consistent with prior epidemiological research, demographic factors were an important indicator of +aTBI, with men between the ages of 18–30 having the highest incidence of TBI overall (65%) and women between the ages of 51–70 having the lowest (24.9%). For all age groups, men were more likely to be using alcohol at the time of injury; these data are consistent with other studies demonstrating that men are more likely to use intoxicating substances at the time of sustaining a TBI [26]. There also appears to be a maximum risk cycle over the course of the 24-hour cycle for +aTBI that is influenced by age. With the exception of individuals 71 years and older, individuals are most likely to have +aTBI during the evening, night and early morning, with +aTBI peaking between the hours of 12 am and 4 am. Individuals 71 years and older demonstrated a similar, but attenuated pattern, exhibiting much lower rates of +aTBI over the course of the 24-hour cycle. These patterns were nearly identical across mechanism of injury, although the rate of +aTBI due to fall was somewhat lower in the late evening and early morning. Parsing apart these patterns further, it is interesting to note that the risk for +aTBI due to MVA increases earlier in the day for individuals 31–50 years old. It is possible that this observed pattern reflects the context in which these individuals are more likely to consume alcohol; that is, members of this age group are likely to be working full-time and perhaps are more likely to be engaging in work-related social events, shifting alcohol consumption to post-work or early evening. By examining distinct windows of time during the day, the current data reveal an interesting pattern of +aTBI incidence that might be obscured when relying on aggregated, collapsed data regarding and alcohol use at time of injury. More specific examinations of this relationship could be useful in terms of informing understanding of how efforts to prevent +aTBI should be aimed in the future. Alcohol-related TBI and outcome The current study revealed that +aTBI was associated with higher FSD scores acutely. This finding, although represented in the literature, was somewhat surprising in its consistency in these data. This pattern held true when mean GCS scores at time of admission were not significantly different between patients who tested negative and positive for alcohol as well as when GCS was significantly lower in the group of patients who tested +aTBI (although it is possible that GCS was artificially lower due to the effects of intoxication). Further, patients admitted to the ED for TBI who tested positive for alcohol had higher rates of survival. Still, this robust pattern suggests that alcohol may hold subtle protective effects. However, there are caveats to these findings. Alcohol is a known risk factor for TBI and it is highly probable that, in the absence of intoxication, the number of overall injuries would be reduced (e.g. less likely to make poor driving decisions or engage in a physical altercation). Second, individuals who tested negative for alcohol had higher rates of complications (e.g. in the overall sample, 29.6% and 43.1% in +aTBI and – aTBI, respectively) during their hospital stay compared to those who tested positive for alcohol. However, even when considering complications as a covariate in an ANCOVA, BAL accounted for a similar amount of variance and BAL remained significantly associated with higher outcome (see Table V). Study limitations and future directions There are several study limitations requiring discussion. The PTOS contains comprehensive clinical information regarding the initial injury, but lacks measures of pre-morbid functioning, which likely accounts for appreciable variance in patient outcome. For example, cognitive reserve has been found to be a protective factor in neurological disorders [27,28] and could play a protective role in acute recovery following TBI. Additionally, there is no information regarding pre-morbid alcohol use or other health factors which may also contribute to outcome. Further, only cases with reported results of alcohol testing from the ED could be included and it is possible that cases in which alcohol played a more harmful role were not included if the patient did not survive long enough to be tested. Thus, there is the potential that data regarding alcohol that is missing has skewed the data in such a way that testing positive for alcohol was associated with higher rates of survival and with better acute functional outcome scores. Finally, this study was limited to acute outcomes and does not take into account the relationship between alcohol and long-term outcome. More long-term measures of outcome could hold very different results and having a more specific measure of outcome could illuminate more subtle differences in the recovery processes of individuals who sustained a TBI with and without the presence of alcohol. Table V. Coefficients.* Unstandardized coefficients Model 1 a (Constant) Complications BAL Standardized Coefficients Correlations B Std. Error Beta t Sig. Zero-order Partial Part 13.976 –2.657 0.007 0.072 0.057 0.000 –0.468 0.171 193.867 –46.298 16.954 0.000 0.000 0.000 –0.497 0.251 –0.477 0.195 –0.461 0.169 Dependent Variable: FSD. Alcohol and TBI DOI: 10.3109/02699052.2015.1127998 Conclusions Taken together, the findings of this study reveal a positive relationship between alcohol and acute outcome following TBI, although this likely remains a complex relationship with multiple factors contributing to outcome. Despite these limitations, this study yielded consistent findings that warrant further exploration. These results add to the equivocal literature that exists and bolster the idea that there is a complex relationship between alcohol and outcome. The exact nature of the relationship must be parsed apart using animal models in order to test specific hypotheses experimentally and through the use of human studies that consider pre-morbid variables and in addition use long-term outcome measures to document outcome more comprehensively. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. Downloaded by [Lifespan Libraries], [Rachel Bernier] at 06:13 18 July 2016 Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank the Pennsylvania Trauma Outcome Study, Nathan McWilliams, and Brandon Merritt for their contributions to this manuscript. 16. 17. Declaration of interest The authors report no conflicts of interest. The authors alone are responsible for the content and writing of the paper. 18. 19. References 1. Faul M, Xu L, Wald MM, Coronado VG. 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