Afghanistan TherightwayforwardinAfghanistanistostayengagedpoliticallyandeconomicallywhilealsocontinuingtotrain theAfghanNationalSecurityForcetotakeresponsibilityfortheircountry’sstability. TheUnitedStateswasjustifiedinrespondingtotheSeptember11attackswithaclearmission:wedroveAlQaedafromits baseareainAfghanistanandareensuringtheycannevertargetourhomeland.fromthatsoilagain.TheU.S.combatrole endedinDecember2014,butasofFebruary2016,approximately9,800servicemembersremaininAfghanistan.Theaimis nowtocompletearesponsibletransitiontoastrengthenedAfghangovernmentthatcancontrolthecountry,prevent terroristsafehavens,andgoverneffectively. Background KeyTermsandNames Taliban:Fundamentalistregimethat emergedintheaftermathoftheSoviet invasionin1991andeventuallyharbored 9/11mastermindOsamabinLaden. MullahOmar:LeaderoftheTalibansince 1996;his2013deathwaskeptsecretfrom theoutsideworldfortwoyears. AshrafGhani:CurrentPresidentof Afghanistanelectedin2014andleadinga nationalunitygovernment. BilateralSecurityAgreement(BSA):Legal documentnegotiatedin2014allowingfora smallU.S.forcetoremaininAfghanistanto trainandadvisetheAfghanNational SecurityForce. AfghanistanhasbeenabattlefieldsincetheSovietinvasion,whichlastedfrom 1979to1989.AftertheSovietwithdrawal,Afghanistandescendedintoacivil warbetweenwarlordswiththebrutalTalibanregimeemergingtriumphantand rulingfrom1996to2001.TheTalibanshelteredOsamabinLadenandalQaeda allowingthematerroristsanctuaryfromwhichtoplanthe9/11attacks.In responsetothoseattacks,theUnitedStatesdestroyedalQaeda’straining campsinAfghanistanandoverthrewtheTalibanregime.In2003,theBush administrationbelievedthewarinAfghanistanwaswonandturneditsfocusto Iraq.Thismovebadlyunder-resourcedtheAfghanistanconflictandfailedto securethepeace.Duetothemiscalculation,theTalibansurgedbackintothe fightaround2006. PresidentObamarefocusedAmerica’seffortsonAfghanistan;headded50,000 U.S.troopsthereinhisfirsttwoyearsinofficeandstoppedtheTaliban’s momentum.Thissurgeendedin2011astheUnitedStatesbegantransitioning securitytoAfghanresponsibilityanddrawingdowntrooplevels.Recognizing thatmilitaryactionsalonewillnotendtheconflict,peacetalksbeganbetween theTalibanandtheAfghanGovernment.However,thedeathofMullahOmar, thelong-timeleaderoftheTaliban,andinsurgentinfightinghasseensome militantssplinterfromtheTalibanandalignwithISIL—reducingtheshort-term prospectsforanegotiatedpeace. PakistanisacriticalplayerinAfghanistanthathasplayedadangerousdoublegameofbackingandfightingextremists. PakistanhelpedtheTalibanrisetopowerin1996andprovidedsupporttoanti-Americaninsurgentssince2001,while simultaneouslyhelpingtheUnitedStatesfightAlQaeda.PakistantypicallyfavorsaweakAfghanistantoprovide‘strategic depth’againstIndia,itsmortalfoe,butPakistaniterroristshaverecentlyescalatedattacksagainstthegovernment,and thereisthedangerthatextremistsinPakistancouldstealaPakistaninuclearweapon.TheU.S.relationshipwithPakistanis deeplyflawed,butitremainsessentialforoverallregionalsecurityandcounteringbothtransnationalterrorismandnuclear proliferation. Theelectionof2014wasamajormilestonebecauseitwasthefirstpeacefultransitionofpowerinmodernAfghanhistory. AnationalunitygovernmentofPresidentAshrafGhaniandCEOAbdullahAbdullahsucceededPresidentHamidKarzai,who hadledthecountrysincetheAmericaninvasion.TheelectionledtothesigningofaBilateralSecurityAgreement(BSA) betweentheU.S.andAfghanistan,whichallowsasmallU.S.forcetoremaininAfghanistaninatrainingand counterterrorismcapacity.PresidentGhanihasalsocommittedtorootingoutcorruptionandimprovinggovernance—both criticaltofindingalong-termpoliticalsolutioninAfghanistanbyeliminatingtherootcausesofTalibansupportandensuring thatAmericaisnotconfrontedbyterroristsanctuaryinAfghanistanrequiringU.S.militaryactioninthefuture. In2014,PresidentObamaannouncedthattheUnitedStateswoulddrawdowntoanormalembassypresencebytheend of2016.AsthesituationinAfghanistanhaschanged,however,PresidentObamahasalteredthetimelineforthe drawdown.TheAfghanNationalSecurityForce(ANSF)hasbeenengagedinheavyfightingandhassufferedseverelosses, makingacompleteAmericanwithdrawalrisky.Anupdatedplan,announcedonOctober15,2015,maintains9,800troops throughmostof2016,anddrawsdownto5,500bythebeginningof2017.ThemissionremainstotraintheANSFand conductcounterterrorismmissionsagainstAlQaeda. TalkingPoints • WewenttowarinAfghanistanfortherightreasonsandintherightway—wewereattacked,andouralliescametoour aidtofindanddestroytheperpetrators. • Ourcombatmissionhascontinuedtherebecausethehardworkofwinningthepeacewasnotyetdone.Weallwantto endwarsquickly,butweoweittotheservicemenandwomenwhosacrificedtheirlives—nottomentiontheAfghan people—toseethisthroughtotheend. • BycontinuingtoadviseandtraintheAfghanNationalSecurityForce,wecanbestleveragetheabilityofourmilitary whilegraduallytransferresponsibilityandstewardshipofAfghanistan’ssecuritytotheAfghans. • Onlycontinuedengagement—notjustmilitary,buteconomicandpoliticaltoo—willhelpthefledglingAfghan governmentstaveoffthechallengesasvariedasinsurgentgroups,corruption,andeconomicweaknessandensurethat oursacrificeshavenotbeeninvain. OppositionArgumentandRebuttal Argument:ObamahasgonebackandforthtimeandagainonAfghanistan.Hisfailuretoendthewarlikehepromisedhe wouldisjustonemoreexampleofweakleadership. Counter:We’restillinAfghanistanbecausewestillhaveajobtodo.TheU.S.militarycompleteditsmissionofdestroying thecoreAlQaedaleadershipbehindthe9/11attacks;now,we’retrainingtheAfghanNationalSecurityForcetotake responsibilityfortheircountry’sstability.Weneedtostayengagedtoensurethatthesacrificesofourmenandwomenin uniformwerenotinvain.
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