How much to Produce Simple Business Games Firm A Firm B B 1 Firm A 1 π 2 2 π πA = 18 πA = 10 πB = 10 πB = 11 Model Change Styling Model Change Firm 2’s choices Technical Styling model model change change π2 =20 Firm 1’s choices Styling Model Change 2 Firm 1 has a dominant strategy: technical change. Firm 1’s choices π2 = 15 π2 =20 π2 = 15 π1 = 40 π1 = 60 π2 = 16 π2 = 18 Simple Business Games Firm 2’s choices Technical Styling model model change change Technical Model Change Styling Model Change π2 =20 π2 = 15 π 1 = 40 π 1 = 60 π2 = 16 π2 = 18 π1 = 8 π1 = 12 Simple Business Games Firm 2’s choices Technical Styling model model change change π1 = 8 πA = 11 π1 = 12 Do all Games Have Dominant Strategies? Technical Model Change πA = 18 πA = 10 πB = 10 πB = 11 Do all Games Have Dominant Strategies? π1 = 40 π1 = 60 π2 = 16 π2 = 18 π1 = 8 2 πB = 20 Simple Business Games Simple Business Games Firm 2 does not have a dominant strategy. 1 πA = 20 Do all Games Have Dominant Strategies? Firm 1’s choices 1 πB =18 πA = 11 Lectures in Microeconomics-Charles W. Upton Automotive Firm 1 has great engineering skills. Firm 2 has good designers and does great styling.Technical Firm B B πB = 20 πB =18 πA = 20 Dominant Strategy Nash Equilibrium π1 = 12 Do all Games Have Dominant Strategies? Firm 2’s choice is still obvious: assume #1 acts rationally. Adopt a technical change. Firm 1’s choices Technical Model Change Styling Model Change Firm 2’s choices Technical Styling model model change change π2 =20 π2 = 15 π1 = 40 π1 = 60 π2 = 16 π2 = 18 π =8 1 Simple Business Games π1 = 12 1 Do all Games Have Dominant Strategies? The lesson: assume your opponent will act rationally. Firm 1’s choices Technical Model Change Styling Model Change Firm 2’s choices Technical Styling model model change change Early entry π1 = 40 π1 = 60 π2 = 16 π2 = 18 π =8 1 Simple Business Games π1 = 12 Firm 1’s choices of When to extend the brand π1 = 45 π2 = 80 Late entry π1 = 95 π2 = 55 π1 = 35 Technical Model Change Styling Model Change π2 = 55 π1 = 35 Stodgy pays.Early entry Firm 1’s choices of When to extend the brand Firm 2’s choices of when to enter the new brand Early entry Late entry π2 =60 π2 = 20 π1 = 40 π1 = 45 π2 = 80 Late entry π1 = 95 π2 = 55 π1 = 35 Simple Business Games Multiple Nash Equilibria Firm 1’s choices π1 = 45 π2 = 80 π1 = 95 Moral of the story. Let the new guys try the gutsy strategies. Simple Business Games This is the styling problem with a new payoff matrix. π1 = 40 Late entry Early and Late Entry Firm 2’s choices of when to enter the new brand Early entry Late entry π2 =60 π2 = 20 π1 = 40 Firm 2’s choices of when to enter the new brand Early entry Late entry π2 =60 π2 = 20 Simple Business Games Early and Late Entry The existing firm does not have a dominant strategy but it can rely on the new firm’s strategy Early entry The new firm has a dominant strategy Firm 1’s choices of When to extend the brand π2 = 15 π2 =20 Early and Late Entry Multiple Nash Equilibria Now there are two Nash Equilibria Firm 2’s choices Technical Styling model model change change π2 =20 π2 = 55 π1 = 20 π2 = 55 π1 = 60 Simple Business Games π1 = 60 π2 = 25 π1 = 25 Firm 1’s choices Technical Model Change Styling Model Change Firm 2’s choices Technical Styling model model change change π2 = 55 π2 =20 π1 = 20 π2 = 55 π1 = 60 π1 = 60 π2 = 25 π1 = 25 Simple Business Games 2 Early Late Entry New entrant canand enter either new or wait. Established Firm can Firm 2’s choices of when to extend early or late. enter the new brand Early entry Late entry π2 =60 Early entry Firm 1’s choices of when to extend the brand π1 = 95 Look at the first Nash Equilibrium. Neither firm has reason to change π2 = 20 π1 = 40 π1 = 45 π2 = 55 π2 = 80 Late entry Multiple Nash Equilibria Firm 1’s choices Styling Model Change π1 = 35 Simple Business Games Firm 1’s choices Technical Model Change Styling Model Change Firm 2’s choices Technical Styling model model change change π2 =20 π2 = 55 π1 = 20 π1 = 60 π2 = 55 π2 = 25 π1 = 60 π1 = 25 Multiple Nash Equilibria This is an introduction. It shows how to get going. There is more to Firm 2’s choices Technical Styling come. π2 = 55 π1 = 20 π1 = 60 π2 = 55 π2 = 25 π1 = 60 π2 =20 Simple Business Games Multiple Nash Equilibria Ditto for the second equilibrium Technical Model Change Firm 2’s choices Technical Styling model model change change π1 = 25 Simple Business Games Firm 1’s choices Technical Model Change Styling Model Change model change π2 =20 π1 = 20 π2 = 55 π1 = 60 model change π2 = 55 π1 = 60 π2 = 25 π1 = 25 Simple Business Games End ©2003 Charles W. Upton Simple Business Games 3
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