IMD-7-1606 18.08.2014 MARCOPOLO: THE QUEST FOR GLOBAL LEADERSHIP Professor Charles Dhanaraj and Professors Fernanda Ribeiro and Eva Stal prepared this case as a basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a business situation. José Rubens de La Rosa, CEO of the Brazilian bus manufacturing company Marcopolo, was on his way to attend the company’s board meeting. The 2013 financial results and the company’s growth strategy were on the agenda. Brazil was getting ready to host two of the world’s biggest sports events: the World Cup in 2014 and the Summer Olympics in 2016. Unfortunately, populist demonstrations against the Brazilian government’s decision to increase bus fares from 3 Reals (~US$1.22) to 3.20 Reals (~US$1.30) was spreading around the country. This had a substantive impact in its 2013 domestic revenue. Overall industry growth was small to flat in most developed markets. Marcopolo was facing a tough competitive environment even outside Brazil. Chinese firms such as Yutong and King Long, both market leaders, were aggressively entering Europe and the Americas. European companies, Daimler and Fiat continued their aggressive marketing leveraging several Asian partners. Volvo, which had been a leader within the industry, was slowing down. For the third year in a row, revenues in the bus division of Volvo had declined, and the division registered losses for 2013. Over the past two years, de la Rosa had been articulating Marcopolo’s global growth strategy emphasizing its goal to be “the #1 or #2 in each of the Marcopolo’s market.” Two recent acquisitions of Marcopolo had signaled its growth ambition in no uncertain terms: US$116 million to buy 20% stake in New Flyer, a Winnipeg, Canada based company, and a market leader in bus business in North America, and US$ 47 million to buy 75% stake in Volgren, Australia’s largest bus body manufacturer. Ruben Bisi, Chief Strategy Officer, and a member of the Executive Board, summed up management’s challenges: We have to grow, but we need to decide whether we should focus on emerging markets or mature markets. In mature markets, we have stability but the growth is very low. In emerging markets, there is high unpredictability in growth with volatile currency. We don't see potential acquisition targets in emerging markets and they need substantive investment to develop these markets. We also need people and good partners. Copyright © 2014 by IMD, Lausanne, Switzerland (www.imd.org). No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means without the permission of IMD. -2- IMD-7-1606 Marcopolo: The Growth of a Market Leader Marcopolo was the largest Brazilian manufacturer of bus bodies, with an annual production of 30,000 buses, and 55% of its production was outside Brazil (refer to Exhibits 1 and 2 for Marcopolo’s global footprint). The company designed, manufactured and assembled coach buses, urban buses, microbuses and minibuses. Paulo Bellini founded the company along with six other young mechanics in 1949. The company started with 15 employees, under the name Nicola & Cia. Initially it focused on plated and painted cabins for trucks in the southern Brazilian city of Caxias do Sul, state of Rio Grande do Sul. Settled by Italian immigrants in Brazil’s southernmost state, this city abounded in small-scale manufacturing enterprises. The first order came from a local commuter bus line, and Nicola built the body on a truck chassis. The first bus body was produced in wood, and it took 90 days to fully assemble it. Bellini recalled, “It was all trial and error at first and everything was handmade.” In 1952 the company produced the first steel structure bus bodies, a technological leap that gave the company headway in the Brazilian market. In 1968 it launched the “Marcopolo” model, a sales hit in the São Paulo Automobile Salon. The innovative design and the sophisticated manufacturing techniques led most customers to associate the brand with an Italian origin. In 1971, supported by the results of market research, management renamed the company Marcopolo S.A. Buses and Parts. In 1992 the company formally changed its name to Marcopolo S.A. Over the following decade, Marcopolo systematically expanded its production and marketing base across the globe (refer to Exhibit 3). As of 2013 the company held approximately 7% of the world market and had over 18,000 employees. The Global Bus Industry Buses are ubiquitous in most places and have been used for wide ranging purposes. From the school bus for children that operate only in the weekday mornings and evenings to transit systems that operate round-the-clock, from feeder shuttles at the airport terminals that take passengers from the gate to the airplane to intercity buses used for long distance travel, from company buses used for luxury travel for short and long distances to specialized buses that transform to mobile hospitals or musical studios, the use of buses have been very diverse. Global production of buses reached almost 342,000 units in 2012 and the lead markets were China (169,000 units), India (53,000 units) and Brazil (37,000 units). From 2005 to 2012 the industry grew at an annual rate of 4%, and much of the growth came from the Asia Pacific region, especially China. Exhibit xx provides an overview of the value chain in the bus transportation industry. Bus body builders generally focused on local markets. Analysts estimated that a smart entrepreneur could set up a simple bus body-building unit with a capital outlay of US$ 1 million. The chassis assembly comprised the main structural frame that supported the bus, and the drive components, engine, transmission, and the brake and steering systems. Body builders typically designed, fabricated the body frames, provided the exterior with windows and doors, and the interior with seating, electronics, and toilets, where appropriate. Customers tended to have different combinations of the critical factors for their purchase: Safety, passenger comfort, design elegance, costs, delivery time, financing, energy consumption, maintenance, and ease of operation. For example, public transit companies, which generally bought buses in large numbers (50-500) and corporate buyers and private transit companies, which bought coaches in small numbers (1-10) had very different criteria. -3- IMD-7-1606 Bus manufacturers in the industry came under three categories: integral manufacturers, body manufacturers, and chassis manufacturers. While the integral manufacturers (e.g. Fiat, Daimler, Volvo) built entire buses including chassis, engines and bus bodies, body manufacturers (e.g. Yutong, Marcopolo) built the bodies and assembled the buses, and chassis manufacturers (Scania) built the structural frames for buses. It was not uncommon to see manufacturers compete in some geographic markets and collaborate in others. In 2012, according to the International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA), Marcopolo was fifth among the top six bus companies in the world: Zhengzhou Yutong Bus (1st), Xiamen King Long (2nd), Fiat, (3rd) Daimler (4th) and Ashok Leyland (6th). Together these companies accounted for about 45% of global bus sales (refer to Exhibit 4). The integrated manufacturers were highly internationalized and dominated the global bus market. Daimler (Mercedes and Setra brands) and MAN (Volkswagen Group) from Germany, Volvo and Scania from Sweden, Fiat and Iveco from Italy, and Renault from France were the leaders. However, since the 1990s players from major emerging economies had been carving out a substantive share in this market. Yutong and King Long had respectively 25% and 20% of the large Chinese domestic market. Both had a growing export sales, while Yutong was just beginning to export CKDs and King Long had an overseas sales of 26% in 2012. Intense market consolidation within China had brought down the total number of bus producers from over 100 in 2005 to 10 in 2012. Ashok Leyland, from India, had more experience in international markets than its Chinese competitors. The company owned production plants in the UK (75.1% controlling stake in Optare plc), Czech Republic, Sri Lanka and the United Arab Emirates. It was the leader in neighboring countries, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. Brazil had a vibrant bus industry. Many analysts attributed the lack of interstate rail lines in Brazil to the rapid development of bus transportation throughout the country. According to the National Land Transportation Agency (ANTT), bus companies were transporting more than 140 million people every year within the country on interstate trips. Domestic producers dominated the industry in Brazil. Marcopolo, Ciferal (partly owned by Marcopolo), Caio Induscar (the second largest company in Brazil and a national market leader for urban buses), Irizar and Mascarello (formerly Comil) dominated the market. Daimler, Volvo and Scania manufactured chassis and engines and partnered with Brazilian bodywork manufacturers. Marcopolo also owned 33% of Neobus, but the two competed in the local market. Emerging Challenges While in the early years bus travel was seen from a functional perspective, where safety and timeliness were the dominant criteria for the customers, increasingly many other factors were emerging to define the customer expectations. Many global trends were significantly shaping the industry landscape. In some parts of the world, customers were resorting to the use of bicycles for short distance bus travel, facilitated by the municipality’s active encouragement for cyclists by providing specialized lanes. In other parts, long distance bus travel was increasingly coming under threats by low cost air travel. Volvo and Daimler had undertaken systematic studies in assessing global trends that could potentially affect the transportation industry, and their conclusions converged on five core areas, as below. Population growth and Urbanization By 2050, the population of the earth was expected to exceed nine billion and two-thirds of them were expected to be living in cities. Asia and -4- IMD-7-1606 Africa were seeing the sharp rise in the number of megacities, populations exceeding 10 million. One-fifth of the world’s population was expected to live in cities with populations in excess of two million inhabitants by 2015, calling for effective transportation solutions. Constant Communication Increasingly customers expected the real-time connectivity as a necessity. As more and more information, private music and entertainment, and payment systems were becoming mobile, connectivity was seen as a necessity even in intra city travels. Travel time was becoming browsing time for keeping up on emails or even reading electronic books. Climate Change Climate change was increasingly seen as a single most complex and difficult challenges. Fossil fuel was being seen as a large source of greenhouse-gas emissions responsible for climate change. The alternative to fossil fuels was necessary but whether it needed to be a flexifuels or elecrtromobility was still a debate. Sustainability of the Planet Population growth, a rapidly growing middle class and increased purchasing power threatens the sustainability of the consumption patterns. Most industry players recognized that efficient use of resources and recovery of a greater proportion of material was increasingly important. Safety and Security Traffic safety was becoming a very important transportation issue. It had to transcend the usual norms of safety issues as prevention of accidents to potentially withstanding crime, terrorism and natural disasters. The safety of the driver, vehicle and passengers was getting a lot more attention. Industry Innovation Alongside competitive changes and consolidation within the industry, technological innovation was also changing the public transit system. Leading industry players focused their research and development (R&D) efforts on alternative fuel technologies such as hybrid and electrical. New generations of buses should be lighter, more fuel-efficient, easier to maintain and safer. Innovation was a way of competing with low-cost producers. Many of the new technologies incorporated in the buses improved passenger comfort, such as better lighting, heating, Wi-Fi, electrical outlets for each seat, wider and softer seats, wider aisles, drop tables/desks, televisions/DVD’s and other amenities. Driver ergonomics also saw important innovations. Volvo had launched a hybrid vehicle that combined electric and diesel power, first in London in 2009 and subsequently throughout the UK. Navistar was experimenting with another version of a hybrid school bus in the US in collaboration with the US Department of Energy. Volvo was also testing new marketing approaches with city administrations, a major bus customer segment, by offering project financing that included buyback of old buses. These approaches required sophisticated systems analysis of the total impact of the fleet, including environmental and safety assessments, which suggested a gradual shift away from product oriented selling to more complex service oriented selling. Bisi noted: Over the last 20 years what really made the difference [in the industry] was that large traditional companies have bought other companies and expanded worldwide. There are no more manufacturers of just bus bodies, as in old times. Abroad, our competitors are our former partners, including Scania, Volvo, Mercedes and Iveco, who all entered the full bus market. These big companies tried to displace the independent producers like Marcopolo in Europe, and they have succeeded. They provide financing and an after-sales network, and they buy -5- IMD-7-1606 back used buses. We cannot compete in the European market. Globally, our main competitors are the Chinese. They have very low production costs (35%-40% cheaper) and also very low R&D costs. But, for us, the risk of operating in China is high. Buses, which were traditionally seen as a “dirty and ugly” transportation mode was getting a makeover with the introduction of what is dubbed as a “bus rapid transit” (BRT) system. First introduced in Brazil, BRT has been redefining the nature of bus travel, and was addressing the customer needs as well as emerging as a sustainable and economic solution for resolving city congestion. See Exhibit 6, to get an overview of the benefits of BRT in one city in Brazil, namely, Curitiba. Despite the lower capacity limits, BRTs have been chosen over subways and light rail transit, for their flexibility, lower capital costs, and speed of implementation. Emerging market players, particularly those from China and India, were subjected to less rigorous regulatory environments in their home markets and predominantly focused on lowcost strategies. However, with globalization opening up opportunities in the west, competitive demands were forcing them to invest in product and process innovations. Increasingly, the buying process for buses was moving from product oriented to systems oriented purchases. Many cities were paying increasing attention to public transit systems to reduce traffic jams, increase road-safety and improve air quality. For example, the US Department of Transportation was experimenting with several new technologies under a program called “Automated Public Transit Systems” by incorporating information technologies to manage fleets, such as automatic vehicle location, communications systems, traveler information and electronic payment. Volvo was offering its customers a complete integrated transit management system, where the buses were just one component, albeit a significant one. Competitive Advantage For an emerging market company like Marcopolo, building a competitive advantage in the global industry required a lot of technological learning to catch up in its first years and then continuous efforts to improve its capabilities. Companies such as Daimler, Volvo, or Fiat had a long history in bus transportation industry and many of them have the chassis production as well. Marcopolo had to build new advantages to surpass these players. From the early days, the company built a reputation for responding to customers quickly and successfully. Bellini recalled the early days: We could make special seats; give the customer a bigger or smaller luggage rack, or fruit racks for buses in farm towns, leather or plastic seats – whatever the customer wanted. Our rivals were arrogant with customers, setting the price and the style and telling them, “take it or leave it.” We went out with our shirtsleeves up, looking for customers everywhere. The competitive advantage was mainly supported by three features: innovation and customization, flexible organizational culture, and a global value chain. 1. Innovation and Customization Innovation played a prominent role in Marcopolo’s history. It was the first company to assemble bus bodies with a steel structure, replacing wood, in 1952. In 1984 in Brazil it -6- IMD-7-1606 launched the concept of a bus taller than the standard at the time, the “floor and a half” bus (known as “low-driver”). In 1996 it released the double-decker bus, initially for the Argentinean market, and was the only player in this segment for three years. And over the years, it developed several other types of urban buses in different sizes. In 2005 the company adopted the modular concept in bus production, a significant innovation. The system eliminated welding by fixing bus bodies to the chassis using screws. In addition to improving the quality and durability of the product, it also allowed it to reduce time in the engineering project, thereby increasing productivity by 10%, facilitating part replacements and maintenance, and lowering repair costs. Customization thus brought unique global competitive advantages compared to the general practice of standardized products adopted by most bus producers in developed countries, which stemmed from a lower demand for standard products in emerging markets. One example of Marcopolo’s versatility was its operation in Middle East countries where it made convertible buses for pilgrims traveling to Mecca, with gutters for draining rain water and moisture-resistant upholstery. It also produced buses with partitions to separate men and women in India. By early 2000s, Marcopolo had built capabilities to serve a wide range of clients’ needs with highly customized buses that allowed a broad range of choices for all components: doors, windows, roofs or the internal decoration of a bus; and the assembled bus bodies could be built on any type of chassis. Marcopolo’s sixteen plants (4 in Brazil and 12 overseas) each had a dedicated R&D team that designed buses to meet the specific needs of customers. In 2012, Marcopolo launched its “Innovation Center” at its headquarters to lead its innovation with more complex projects. As competitors began copying solutions and components developed by Marcopolo, it started applying for patents. In the ten years between 2004 and 2013, it had accumulated over 100 patents. As Bellini noted: There is currently no other manufacturer in the world with bus lines as diverse – from minibuses and microbuses up to double-deckers or bi-articulated buses, to normal and adapted coach buses. Marcopolo does not buy technology. It develops it internally, except for machinery and processes in the public domain. Bisi added: If we have to make something that we have never done before, we will. The challenge for Marcopolo is to develop more and more technologies for modular bus assembly, to facilitate and speed up production, without losing our main feature, customization. In the US and Canada we are learning new technologies. In India we work with Tata and they develop some ideas, but we cannot implement these in Brazil, because here our partners – Volvo, Scania and Mercedes – develop their own (as they also make the engines). Each market has specificities and each partner has a different technology. We seek to adapt ourselves, because it is necessary to respect the partners in each country. 2. Organizational Culture Another aspect that was crucial to Marcopolo’s competitive position in the global market was its organizational culture based on ethical and supportive values and on a strong commitment to the organization and its partners. According to Bisi: -7- IMD-7-1606 When the company went public in 1978, stricter governance practices were adopted as required by the stock market. That’s when we turned from a family organization into a professional company. Growing out of a small town of Italian immigrants, firm executives were encouraged to feel more like “owners” than the real proprietors. It is a culture of strong commitment of all employees, and we invest in people. Marcopolo’s acquisition strategies, joint-ventures and technology licensing have allowed it to access a variety of complementary assets within the global bus industry value chain. Combined with in-house intensive R&D investments, they had succeeded in institutionalizing mechanisms for assimilating new organizational, technological and market capabilities. This culture also means “to grow with partners” in the joint ventures that we created. It is in the company’s DNA and we take it to all countries in which we operate. [....] We never quarrel with any partner. In Russia, we had conflicts and ended a first partnership, but it was consensual and we remained friends. We manage this consensus, which we call “DNA of good.” This is not a company that goes somewhere just to exploit and make money; on the contrary, we work together with our partners, for the growth of both. Working with local partners had benefitted Marcopolo in many ways. For example, when Marcopolo entered India in 2005, through a 50:50 joint venture with the Tata group, it was relatively unknown brand within India. Over the years, the partnership had worked for mutual benefits. Tata, which had a strong presence in the trucks could leverage its chassis technology with Marcopolo’s body building capability. As of 2013, Marcopolo was a well recognized brand within India, and were able to get superior price for their luxurious and comfortable coaches. Tata Marcopolo was building its largest and highly automated fabrication plant in Darward, India, with an installed capacity of 30000 units per year. Marcopolo’s investments in New Flyer, Canada and Volgren, Australia had similar effects in the respective countries. By partnering with the lead players within the country, Marcopolo was able to gain a strong foothold in the market and leverage its technological advantage in local markets with its partners. 3. Manufacturing and Global Supply Chain Buses were manufactured at Marcopolo’s 16 plants: four in Brazil (two in Rio Grande do Sul, one in Rio de Janeiro, and a 33% stake in the company San Marino Bus and Implements Ltd., also in Rio Grande do Sul), and 12 overseas (one in South Africa, three in Australia, and associates/affiliates in Argentina (2), Colombia, Egypt, India (2), Mexico and an auto parts factory for bus bodies in China). Marcopolo was also investing heavily in the component business. It held a 40% stake in SPHEROS, specializing in cooling and air-conditioning systems, 30% in Woodbridge group of Canada for manufacturing foams for seats, 26.0% in MVC, a Brazilian leader in the development of products and solutions in engineering plastics. Many of these operations were nested within the Caixas do Sul manufacturing facility, which provided the company flexibility and control on the component procurement. The organization and management of a global logistics structure with the ability to provide maintenance services anywhere in the world within 36 hours of receiving a request is a critical advantage for its international operations. Bisi noted: -8- IMD-7-1606 Marcopolo makes “tailor made” products. This is our main strength, but other companies also adapt products to serve customers. In our case, we backed up customization with other features that make a difference between us and our competitors: own design, product and process projects (in our Innovation Center), vertical production (seats, windows, doors, through jointventures in Caxias do Sul with manufacturers of air conditioning, electronics, foam, etc.), and the lowest “lead time” in the world. Thus, we customize with low investment. The adoption of Japanese practices such as kanban and just-in-time in 1986 made a big difference. […] On a single platform we assemble several products; we can build a road bus in eight days. In Europe it takes 30-35 days and in the US New Flyer takes 40 days.” The main competitiveness factor is to be aligned with the end consumers’ demands. We motivate our customers (the bus buyers) to adopt innovations that will make them more competitive against short airplane trips (Wi-Fi, entertainment, air conditioning), and to better serve the final costumer. The Globalization Journey Marcopolo’s internationalization journey was marked by three distinct phases (refer to Exhibit 6 for an overview of Marcopolo’s international operations). In the first phase it began exporting buses from Brazil, then it established factories in neighboring Latin American countries and in Portugal, a culturally close country. In the second phase it pursued large markets for buses. As of 2001 Marcopolo built facilities in South Africa, Russia, India and Egypt. This phase was also marked by the onset of a global sourcing strategy, such as a component manufacturing plant in 2005 in China. In the third phase the company entered developed countries – Australia, United States and Canada. Phase I: Learning to Internationalize in Neighboring Countries Until the late 1990s the company’s strategy was to produce bus bodies on chassis made by different manufacturers, to supply the domestic market and to export to nearby countries. Marcopolo’s internationalization journey began with exports to nearby countries such as Uruguay, Argentina, Peru and Chile. There was a high degree of vertical integration and the company had direct control over its main suppliers (materials, seats, doors, plastic components, etc.). About 80% of the components were made in Brazil and exported to the branches. Brazil was a large distribution center for all of Marcopolo’s subsidiaries.Bisi noted: Located in Caxias do Sul, the company is closer to Uruguay than to São Paulo, therefore we started exports to that country in 1961, followed by Paraguay, Argentina and Chile. In 1973 we acquired expertise with the CKD process (an easier way to export), and expanded exports to other Latin American countries – Venezuela, Mexico, Colombia – and to Africa. In Colombia we received an invitation from Volvo to assemble buses on their chassis for the Bogotá TransMilenio project, a novelty in urban transportation systems. Despite having started exporting in 1961, “the decision to set up subsidiaries abroad was not a part of the company’s strategy until the end of the 1980s,” recalled Bisi. The Brazilian market was large and public policies protected domestic manufacturers against foreign competitors. At that time, exporting had an additional purpose: to reduce idle assets in times of lower domestic demand. In the early 1990s Brazil implemented pro-market reforms, which basically eliminated the differences between local and foreign capital and exposed -9- IMD-7-1606 domestic firms to international competition. These reforms marked the beginning of Marcopolo’s internationalization through foreign direct investment (FDI). The company engaged in acquisitions and partnerships with foreign players in neighboring countries in Latin America and in Portugal. Bisi noted: Europe had been identified as an important target because we thought the world would be divided into common markets, and it would be difficult to enter in the future. Hence, we acquired a company in Portugal in 1991, to set up a base in Europe, and to get information on the technologies used by bus companies. As of 2000, our strategic planning defined the need to be in the BRICS, and we started knocking on the door of potential partners. Therefore, in some countries it was a planned strategy, in others it was an opportunity – as an invitation from a chassis manufacturer partner. In Portugal, the plant’s main role was to collect information on technological developments in the European bus body industry. Establishing plants in Mexico, Argentina and Colombia were quite similar experiences. Although Brazilian and Latin American bus markets were significant, the instabilities of the international economy and strong competition, especially on price, encouraged the company to seek new markets. Phase II: Rethinking the Internationalization Strategy As of 2000 Marcopolo decided to redesign its internationalization strategy. It embraced international markets actively and focused on two fronts. One was to settle in highly populated, low-income countries (such as South Africa, Russia, India, Egypt and China) where buses were the main urban means of transportation. The second was a global value chain strategy that consisted in outsourcing parts and components globally in order to produce them at the lowest cost. Until 2004 Marcopolo produced almost 80% of the components and parts needed to assemble the buses – seats, windows, dashboards and trunks – in Brazil. However, with the appreciation of the Brazilian currency (Real) in 2005, other emerging countries became more competitive in this global industry. Marcopolo saw its exports decrease and it lost the Middle East market, which represented US$40 million/year, to low-cost Chinese manufacturers. As of 2005, Marcopolo started building its local sourcing strategy. By 2009 it reached 80% in Colombia and 50% in Mexico, whereas in South Africa components were imported from the Chinese plant it had opened in 2005. As a part of its global value chain strategy, Marcopolo was not only sourcing parts and components globally but also having the buses produced abroad by strategic partners. For example, India, one of largest markets for buses, was a target for such a strategy, as described by Bisi: The strategic plan of 2010 showed India as the second world largest market for buses. The main means of transportation is trains. There are 60 thousand km of railways, but it is saturated. There was a great opportunity for road transport, because the government was planning the construction of a 10,000 km highway system for the population of 1.2 billion. We wanted to be in India, so we approached Ashok Leyland, the second company in the industry, regarding a partnership, but we could not agree on royalties. We then knocked on the door of Tata Motors, which had expertise in manufacturing cheap quality products. Tata Marcopolo Motors Ltd. (TMML) was created, and this joint venture could not have been better. - 10 - IMD-7-1606 Tata is an ethical and reliable company and we learned how to make a low-cost product. I believe that India will be a worldwide basis to produce at low cost, cheaper than China. The Indian bus market is twice as large as the Brazilian and consumes 45,000 units per year, but the government protects local factories through high import taxes, approximately 30%, which is the main reason for this joint venture. Tata Motors produces 22,000 units/year and holds a 49% market share. It has a 51% stake in the new company. China represented a big opportunity as it was the biggest bus market in the world. Chinese companies were competing aggressively in the global bus industry through low-cost manufacturing, and cheaper buses represented a major source of competition for Marcopolo in overseas markets. It was important to be in China and to stay close to the Chinese market trends. However, producing buses in China was not easy and involved too many risks, which Marcopolo was not willing to take. The company chose to open a parts and components business in 2005. As Bisi explained: Volvo invited Marcopolo to enter the Chinese market back in 1986, but we did not accept. Other Chinese companies have approached us, offering partnership, but so far we have not considered. Almost all of our competitors have had failures in China. The production structure is difficult – the foreign company must have a Chinese partner, and experience shows that foreign companies that have accepted, including Embraer, were systematically copied or stolen. Marcopolo entered China to transfer technology to a joint venture between Iveco and Changzhou Bus Company (CBC) between 2001 and 2010. The contract prohibited us from having our own bus body manufacturing or to export to China during that period. After sorting out a few problems with the joint venture, Marcopolo created Auto Components Co. Ltd., by hiring some of those executives. The company acts as a basis for procurement and R&D (some things are being developed there, because it’s very cheap) and supplies some of the factories (Russia, Egypt) with armchairs, raw materials, etc. It also exports CKD to Thailand and Singapore, but it does not sell anything in China. Besides India and China, the biggest bus markets in the world, Marcopolo targeted other overpopulated countries such as South Africa, Russia, Egypt and some Latin American countries to start or intensify production operations. According to Bisi “going to Egypt was already planned, but a partner made us an invitation.” In 2008 Marcopolo formed a joint venture with local company GB Auto S.A.E. (Polo GB Bus Manufacturing Company S.A.E.), where Marcopolo held 49% and GB 51%, with a total investment of $50 million over three years. The plant capacity was 2,000 units per year. However, there were plans to expand it, aiming at orders from Kenya, Dubai, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Abu Dhabi. Free trade agreements with several countries including NAFTA, the European Union, Persian Gulf countries (Kuwait, Iraq, Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and U.A.E.) were another advantage of this location. In South Africa, the market was fueled by imported products, with no local competition, thus representing a big opportunity for a Marcopolo factory, which was established in 2001. Phase III: Entering Developed Countries In 2010, Marcopolo announced its intention to strategically pursue its global expansion in developed countries. Bisi noted: - 11 - IMD-7-1606 Our strategic plan of 2010 had an “attractiveness map” of all countries in the world with seven indicators (economics, political stability, number and quality of competitors, potential of bus consumption, etc.), which generated a competitiveness guide for Marcopolo in the various countries. According to this map, entering the US and Canada was motivated by the stability, governance and economic status of these countries as well as a stable and predictable demand for buses, a mature market and revenue in dollars. Due to a previous contract with Mexican Dina (1992), we knew the American market. And we had another contract with Stewart & Stevenson for selling minibuses. In these two countries there is a “product liability,” which holds manufacturers, distributors, suppliers and retailers responsible for the injuries the products may cause, but the market is very attractive. Marcopolo entered the Australian market in February 2012 by creating Marcopolo Australia Holdings Pty Ltd., which sells coach buses under the Brazilian brand in the Australian market (the school bus “Audace” was the first product sold in the country, imported from Brazil). In 2011, it acquired 75% of the company Volgren for AUD 53 million ($47 million), and the company was renamed “Pologren Australia Holdings Pty Ltd.” Volgren was the largest bus body manufacturer in Australia, with more than 40% market share, and employing around 600 people. It had four plants, specialized in urban buses and held the technology for making bus bodies entirely out of aluminum, which reduced weight and was totally recyclable. According to Rubens de la Rosa: The goal is to launch world-class products with technologies that are different and complementary to the current line of Volgren, in order to further strengthen our presence in the region and offer new options to customers [...] Marcopolo Australia will have a commercial and after-sales structure independent from Volgren, for assistance all over the country. In January 2013, Marcopolo acquired 19.99% of New Flyer, the Canadian company headquartered in Winnipeg and the leading manufacturer of urban buses in Canada and the US. With the strategic investment of Marcopolo, New Flyer acquired North American Bus Industries (NABI) in June 2013, which opened up a US-based manufacturing operations, a service center and the aftermarket parts distribution business. As Rubens de la Rosa pointed out: This investment is aligned with Marcopolo’s growth strategy and sets its definitive entry into the US and Canada, two of the most sophisticated and advanced markets in the world. Technology is important, but it was not what made us decide to go there. In the US we are entering the market of new models for urban road buses (and also with Marcopolo brand). We are also working with new technologies from the US and Canada, such as hybrid, gas and electric buses, which New Flyer is leading. [...] It was a strategic investment, well planned. In all countries, Marcopolo wants to be the first or second company, not third or fourth. We looked for Canadian New Flyer, the market leader, to buy a share of stocks, and with that money it bought American NABI. And we want to make investments in other companies there. Yet in Australia it was an opportunity, shareholders wanted to sell the company Volgren. - 12 - IMD-7-1606 Challenges for the Future Despite the success of Marcopolo’s global expansion, Bisi was aware of the challenges ahead. The Brazilian economy had stalled for some years. After an impressive growth of 7.5% in 2010, GDP growth had fallen below 3% for the subsequent years, and the domestic economy was not showing immediate signs of recovery. Many expected the country to go into a recession. The global market seemed to be the most appropriate ground for the company to grow, but it had to compete with established players from developed countries (Volvo, Ford, etc.) on the one hand, and large Chinese players on the other. Finally, the industry itself was going through a dramatic shift. Increasingly buyers were becoming more sophisticated and the “bus body” itself was becoming part of a larger transit system that included fleet management systems and other sophisticated information technology devices. Also, alternative fuels and solar energy were becoming a significant part of the commuter bus landscape. Managing Risks in Domestic and International Operations Brazil, Marcopolo’s home country, had the sixth highest GDP in the world behind the US, China, Japan, Germany and France.1 In the general automotive industry it was the 7th producer and it was 4th in terms of domestic market.2 Important global players such as Iveco, MAN Truck and Bus, Mercedes-Benz, Volvo and Scania had production plants for manufacturing buses in Brazil. Since 1990 Brazil had been under a democratic regime and had undergone significant pro-market reforms. However, similar to other emerging markets, Brazil’s domestic business environment was challenging, with political unpredictability and even fear of reform reversals. According to Ruben Bisi: Even in Brazil the challenge is enormous. Who would have guessed that protests would take the country last year? Because of them, the local governments are afraid to raise public transportation fares, and the companies are not buying any buses. BNDES 3 has no more money. There are serious market regulatory issues. The important thing is that we have the advantage of being in several countries. While one goes bad, the other is doing well. The risks are unpredictable. For example, with the American crisis, banks in Russia ran up huge debts in foreign currency and had no more resources to finance bus acquisition for the companies. The government gave millions of dollars for the companies to pay their debts, but the country went broke. Our factory in Russia was taking off but then came the Crimea crisis. Mexico stopped growing with the American crisis of 2008 but is now improving. Later it was the Arab Spring. Then came the uprisings against the government in Egypt. Argentina and India are also in crisis. Our goal is to anticipate these economic and political torments, but often they are not easy to predict. 1 World Development Indicators database. “Gross Domestic Product 2013. World Bank, 2014. http://databank.worldbank.org/data/download/GDP.pdf (accessed 18 August 2014). 2 Brazilian Automotive Industry Yearbook, 2014. http://www.virapagina.com.br/anfavea2014/#I (accessed 18 August 2014). 3 BNDES is the National Bank for Economic and Social Development. - 13 - IMD-7-1606 Building Capability to Compete with Global Giants Marcopolo was pursuing global leadership, focusing on innovative buses and, contrary to traditional automotive global players, it was a globally-focused bus body maker. Volkswagen, Fiat, Mercedes-Benz and other traditional global leaders in the bus industry were diversified and produced cars, vans, commercial vehicles; in most cases buses were not the biggest part of their total production. Marcopolo integrated the global operations and competed to stay among the top six global players in the bus industry by focusing on what it really did best. The industry’s “traditional players” are also going to emerging countries – Mercedes is in India, Volvo in Mexico and China. These markets will continue to grow. We exceeded them because we customize our product. They have a cheaper standard product, but when the client needs customization, he comes to us. In the past we had investments in other segments. We were members of Caraíba Metals and even owned a bank. And we have thought of getting into various sectors related to our industry. But we have decided to focus on what we really do best. I believe that in the near future we will not abandon this focus. At least, not in the next five years. Changing Technological Landscape Technological trends in buses followed closely the emerging trends in passenger cars. On the one hand, customers demanded high fuel efficiency and adoption of alternative fuel technologies such as electric, hydrogen and ethanol, on the other hand they also wanted more luxury and capacity for real-time information processing. Wi-fi and geopositioning sensors were increasingly becoming a standard option in buses. Cities and large fleet owners were investing in fleet management systems, which helped to advance the optimal use of buses, fuel and drivers, thereby enhancing real-time scheduling capability. Sustainability was becoming the overriding concern for most customers. Bisi remarked: By the end of 2014 our new strategic plan for the period 2015-2020 will be ready, and sustainability is one of our concerns. And the company’s Innovation Center is already working with digital manufacturing and remote personal training. Regarding sustainability, the more sophisticated our product is, the more recyclable it becomes. We have goals to increase recycling, reduce the weight of the final product and also make the production process cleaner. One challenge is to displace passengers from planes. For large trips the airplane is unbeatable, but on arriving at the airport, the bus is needed to take the passengers to the city. And also on short trips. Hence, there is complementarity. Other challenges are to further reduce the lead time, the cost of the product and fuel consumption, “lobbying” for legislation to use more sustainable alternative fuels. Also to assemble the bus closer to the customer (therefore, expanding internationalization), and to increase the use of minibuses instead of the unsafe vans used in cities. And to continue to increase customization. Our capacity and credibility are in bus manufacturing. Our shareholders would charge us for diversifying our businesses. They invest in Marcopolo for its success in making buses and they expect it to be the best company in the industry. We have to listen to the messages that shareholders send. And deliver the growth and the profitability they look for. Over the past decade we have tripled our top line revenue and more than quadrupled our profitability. We need to focus on a strategy that will exceed this in the next decade. - 14 - Exhibit 1 Marcopolo’s Global Operations Source: Company reports IMD-7-1609 - 15 - IMD-7-1609 Exhibit 2 Marcopolo Financials 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 1.16 1,562,472 1.96 1,863,562 36,4 1.67 1,812,393 35,9 1.76 1,773,836 27,1 1.99 1,182,335 29,8 1.84 1,091,424 31,6 1.95 1,206,856 38,7 2.18 819,726 42,2 2.42 730,766 46,9 2.92 606,951 55,5 1,233,370 1,461,004 1,413,374 1,363,391 932,058 860,468 978,936 650,764 607,876 491,062 Gross Profit 329,102 402,558 399,019 410,445 250,277 230,956 227,919 168,962 122,890 115,889 Other operating expenses 171,156 216,128 173,025 198,875 167,001 134,372 148,337 106,224 87,920 71,818 Earnings before Income and Taxes 157,946 186,431 225,994 211,571 83,276 96,585 79,583 62,738 34,971 44,071 Profit before tax 166,631 199,762 266,817 262,133 109,960 79,950 106,007 80,189 49,428 40,554 Net income 123,275 146,477 185,078 175,418 78,455 57,549 74,722 56,547 35,214 32,040 Exchange rate: USD/BRL Operating revenue (Turnover) % Overseas Sales COGS Assets Current assets 1,078,073 1,092,052 1,234,583 1,180,610 959,202 732,292 841,510 543,910 444,195 347,858 Fixed assets 680,185 622,577 584,403 616,306 472,794 310,018 314,474 129,717 111,430 98,857 Total Assets 1,758,258 1,714,629 1,818,986 1,796,916 1,431,996 1,042,310 1,155,984 673,628 555,625 446,715 Shareholders Equity 654,992 640,748 625,212 566,960 416,021 292,573 334,678 237,482 198,338 161,263 Non-current liabilities 652,703 343,139 482,958 667,243 525,419 271,214 310,951 172,255 145,877 83,292 Current Liabilities 450,563 730,742 710,816 562,714 490,556 478,524 510,355 263,891 211,410 202,160 1,758,258 1,714,629 1,818,986 1,796,916 1,431,996 1,042,310 1,155,984 673,628 555,625 446,715 2.39 1.49 1.74 2.1 1.96 1.53 1.65 2.06 2.1 1.72 Profit margin (%) 10.67 10.72 14.72 14.78 9.3 7.33 8.78 9.78 6.76 6.68 ROE using P/L before tax (%) 25.44 31.18 42.68 46.24 26.43 27.33 31.67 33.77 24.92 25.15 ROCE using P/L before tax (%) 15.61 24.43 27.96 27.52 16.26 30.12 27.38 36.48 30.59 33.94 Price earning ratio (x) 9.81 11.94 5.72 6.56 6.86 3.27 7.56 6.84 4.92 5.61 Number of employees 21,002 20,508 21,993 20,393 18,303 11,861 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Total shareholder funds Current ratio Source: Company´s annual reports - 16 - IMD-7-1606 Exhibit 3 Evolution of Marcopolo’s Total Production of Bus Bodies by Country (Units) Country 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Brazil 10.838 10.575 14.103 16.635 13.672 18.900 19.046 19.483 21.000 3.200 2.898 2.595 3.214 1.510 1.255 1.234 1.571 1.800 224 190 188 165 54 - - - - - - - 567 470 723 1.298 1.494 1.600 South Africa 300 314 485 560 308 416 240 244 300 Colombia 947 847 712 765 638 736 1.614 1.600 Russia * - - 15 175 8 - - - - India - - - - 2.517 5.216 6.308 7.759 9.500 Egypt - - - - 207 334 213 250 500 Australia - - - - - - - 435 500 Mexico Portugal Argentina 1.049 Source: Company´s annual reports, 2013 * Partnership started in November/2007 and completed in 2009. New partnership in September 2011, but production only started in 2013; CKD kits exported from China - 17 - IMD-7-1606 Exhibit 4 Value Chain in the Bus Transportation Industry Raw Materials Raw Component Manufactuers System Builders Engine Transmission Axles Fuel Systems Tires Brake Systems Windows Door Systems Seats Lighting Semifinished Wifi Sensors Bus OEMs Fleet Operations Fleet Owners & Operators Chassis Builders Bus OEMs Transit Planning & Construction Body/Interior Builders Electronics & IT Systems Aftermarket remanufacturing Cleaning Systems Traffic Management/ Control - 18 - IMD-7-1606 Exhibit 5 Top 15 Bus Makers in the World Country of origin and the total number of buses produced in 2012 (units), and the share of buses in total production as percent (given in brackets). China 57,711 (100%) China 41,775 (53.4%) Italy 40,819 (1.9%) Germany 31,384 (1.4%) Brazil 30,442 (100%) India 25,443 (21.6%) Germany 22,170 (0.2%) Sweden 20,295 (7%) India 17,60 (1.4%) Korea 15,470 (0.2%) Philippines 15,403 (3.2%) China 14,919 (1.3%) USA 10,688 (0.1%) Japan 5,972 (0.1%) USA 11,366 (13.6%) Source: Compiled by authors; OICA, 2012; Companies’ annual reports - 19 - IMD-7-1606 Exhibit 6 Global Competitors in the Bus Industry Company Zhengzhou Yutong Group (CHINA) Xiamen King Long (CHINA) Fiat Industrial 41,000 Daimler 31000 Ashok Leyland (India) Volkswagen Group (Germany) Salient Points Founded in 1993. In 2002 Yutong and MAN established a joint venture: The Lions Bus Co., Ltd. Leading producer of large, medium and light buses in Chin Exports CKD kits to countries like Cuba, Venezuela, Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Hong Kong. Received EU approval in 2012, and started selling to France, Norway, Israel, Macedonia. Entered the US market in 2012. R&D facility based in China and the company’s annual R&D investments account for 3% of its income. In 2008 it started a scientific research institute, which specially focuses on experimental technology for buses. King Long has its own R&D and testing institution approved by the Chinese Government, such as Corporate Technical Centre, Postdoctoral Scientific Research Workstation, as well as Safety & Energy-Saving Testing Centre. Currently offers 5 series of products, which are subdivided into 50-plus categories. It is investing in electric bus technologies, dominated in China by Yutong. In 2011 Fiat Industrial was formed, incorporating CNH Industrial (Case and New Holland), Iveco and FPT Industrial (Fiat Powertrain Technologies). Iveco owns 22 production plants worldwide: in Europe, China, Russia, Australia, Africa, Argentina and Brazil. In 2011 expenditure on R&D totaled approximately $288 million, 3.2% of Iveco’s revenue. R&D activities involve some 5,000 specialized personnel at 51 centers. Iveco boasts a selection of low environmental impact engines. Brands including Mercedes-Benz Buses, Freightliner, Thomas Built Buses, Setra, Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation. Integral bus production in Germany and Turkey, and chassis production in Spain and Brazil. It also has manufacturing bases around the world, such as France and Argentina, and in Japan with a 89.29% stake in Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation. In Mexico, Mercedes-Benz has 26% shares of Marcopolo’s Polomex Daimler buses invested $313 million in R&D in 2012 (5.1% of revenue). The company is developing environmentally friendly and economical drive concepts: natural gas buses have been tried and tested and also the promising technology of fuel cell drive. The Hinduja Group (a global conglomerate company headquartered in UK) bought Ashok Leyland in 1987. 50/50 JV with Continental AG (that also includes Siemens VDO) is for the design, development and adaptation of Infotronic products and services for the transportation sector. It has production plants in UK (75.1% controlling stake in Optare plc), Czech Republic, Siri Lanka, and United Arab Emirates. The company is leader in the bus markets of Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Mauritius and has significant presence in the Middle East and Africa. Ashok Leyland invested $59 million in 2011 (2,2% of total sales). The buses are set to feature a new electronic shift-by-wire transmission technology as well as electroniccontrolled engine for fuel efficiency. In 2008 announced low-floored iBus, including anti-lock braking system, electronic engine management and passenger info-entertainment. iBus also has hybrid technology. In 2011, Volkswagen acquired 53.7% of MAN SE. MAN Truck & Bus is the largest subsidiary of the MAN SE and one of the leading international producers of commercial vehicles and buses. Besides Germany, MAN Truck & Bus has production plants in India, Poland, Turkey, South Africa, Russia and Austria. It also has production partners in Brazil, China and Mexico. In 2011, MAN generated record revenue of €16.5 billion, of which a particularly large contribution was made by MAN Latin America (25%). Europe is the region where MAN earned its highest revenue (57%). MAN Truck & Bus invested around $1,740 million in 2012. The development focus at MAN is on cutting emissions, consumption reduction, alternative drives and fuels. Source: Compiled by authors; OICA, 2012; Companies’ annual reports - 20 - IMD-7-1606 Exhibit 7 Bus Rapid Transit: An Example of BRT implementation in Curitiba, Brazil Curitiba is a city of about 1.7 million people in Brazil, and its bus rapid transit (BRT) has been touted as a neighborhood-friendly, cost-, energy-, and time-efficient. Comparison of costs per mile of transportation are shown below. Compared to rail, BRT may have to face the problem of image. BRT's other disadvantage is that it has less carrying capacity than metro and commuter rail; it has comparable capacity to light rail. For example, a light rail system may run a 500-passenger train every 10 minutes, while a BRT system may run a 200-passenger bus every four minutes to provide the same amount of service. Cost Per Mile (US$ in Millions) Capital Cost Per Mile of Transportation 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 90 34,79 13,49 8,97 0,68 Subway Light rail transit (LRT) BRT (Dedicated Bus on HOV lanes Bus on Arterial lanes) Mode of Transportation Since the implementation of the BRT system, travel time throughout the city has lowered, pollution has dropped, and total street congestion has decreased. Speed Dedicated lanes keep the bus system independent of congestion. Traffic lights can be delayed for oncoming buses, reducing the time between stops. Elevated boarding platforms allow for quicker entry and exit to the bus. Fares are pre-paid, reducing waiting at bus stops. Connectivity BRT routes are organized generally into rings, expanding further into the outer reaches of the city. Busses are color coordinated to make it easy for riders to distinguish between different rings/routes. Curitiba is a great example of efficiency of the BRT system, as embarking and disembarking times have been reduced by one-eighth of their original time. Comfort The speed, reliability, bus stop locations and environmental friendliness of the BRT system have caused many middle- and upper-class people to begin using it. A real time location information is used to alert the passengers if the bus is running on time. Usage The Bus Rapid Transit system is the most widely used form of transportation in Curitiba, used by approximately 75% of travelers. BRT stops function as destination points for commercial activities such as shopping and social activities, and as catalysts for building and rebuilding surrounding communities and business sectors. High levels of ridership leave the roads relatively unclogged. - 21 - IMD-7-1606 Exhibit 8 Marcopolo’s Internationalization Strategy Phase I Country Entry Mode Portugal 1991 Acquisition 1992 Licensing Dina Dina Autobuses 1999 Greenfield Polomex Daimler-Chrysler 1997 Greenfield Marocopolo Latinoamerica 2008 Acquisition Marcopolo Metalpar Metalpar (33%) Colombia 2000 Joint Venture Superpolo Fanalca (50%) South Africa 2001 Acquisition Marcopolo South Africa 2005 JV Russian Buses 2011 Contract JV Marco 2001 Licensing Mexico Argentina Phase II Russia China 2005 India 2006 Egypt 2008 Phase III 2012 Australia 2012 Greenfield Joint Venture Joint Venture Greenfield Acquisition U.S.A. 2012 Joint Venture* Canada 2013 Acquisition Brand Partners Eurobus (66%) Tata Marcopolo Motors Ltd. (TMML) GB Polo Bus Manufacturing Marcopolo Australia Pologren Australia Neostar New Flyer Source: Compiled by authors from the companies’ annual reports Acquired by opportunity, Eurobus was seeking a partner. Later Marcopolo got 100% of the company. Due to economic crisis it was closed in 2009. Dina supplied chassis and Marcopolo transferred the assembly technology, parts and components. Contract ended in 1998. Marcopolo set a greenfield, of which Mercedes Benz later acquired 26%. Closed in 2001 Ruspromauto (50%) OJSC Kamaz (50%) CBC/Iveco Auto Components Co. Relevant Facts Auto parts Tata (51%) GB Auto SAE (51%) Volgren (25%) In 2012 Metalpar bought 51% of Metalsur Bodyworks. Marcopolo 50%; Metalsur 25.5% JV was a big opportunity, as Fanalca sells buses to several LA countries; Bogota Transmilenio project orders 20-40 buses per month Marcopolo acquired the Volvo plant in Johannesburg. In 2010 it provided 460 coach buses for the Soccer World Cup Obsolescence of local fleet was the attractive factor – estimated demand of 14,000 buses. JV terminated in December 2009. JV between PoloAutoRus LLC and OJSC KAMAZ Group, the largest car company in Russia Contract ended in 2010. Exports CKD to Thailand and Singapore and supplies Russia and Egypt factories with components Production started in 2007, in the Tata plant at Lucknow. A second plant opened in 2009 in Dharwad Marcopolo was invited to form the JV. Produces luxury buses for tourism and microbuses for urban transport. Political instability is a problem Sells coach buses under the Brazilian brand. Marcopolo will acquire the remaining 25% within 3 years. Volgren is the largest bus body manufacturer in Australia, with over 40% market share San Marino Bus and Implements / Navistar Inc. San Marino (associated to Marcopolo) will increase its portfolio and expand internationally. Navistar owns IC Bus, the world’s largest manufacturer of school buses New Flyer (20%) This acquisition enabled N.F. to purchase North American NABI - 22 - IMD-7-1606 Exhibit 9 Competitive Data: Financials of Daimler (Bus Division) Figures in millions Euros, except for ratios and units Exchange rate USD/EUR EBIT Revenue Return on sales (in %) Investment in property, plant and equipment Research and development expenditure Production (units) Sales (units) Employees (as of December 31) 2013 1.32 124 4,105 3.0% 76 181 34,467 33,705 16,603 2012 1.28 -221 3,929 -5.6% 82 222 31,384 32,088 16,901 2011 1.39 162 4,418 3.7% 103 225 40,391 39,741 17,495 2010 1.34 215 4,558 4.7% 95 223 39,405 39,118 17,134 Unit sales by Daimler Buses by Geography Total Western Europe thereof Germany Mexico Latin America (excluding Mexico) Asia Other markets 2013 33,705 6,714 2,440 2,959 19,118 1,704 3,210 2012 32,088 5,851 2,039 3,477 17,800 1,886 3,074 2011 39,741 5,943 2,214 4,042 25,048 1,667 3,041 2010 39,118 7,168 2,635 3,878 23,215 1,462 3,395 Source: Daimler Benz Annual Reports - 23 - IMD-7-1606 Exhibit 10 Competitive Data: Financials of Volvo (Bus Division) Figures in Millions Swedish Kroners, except for ratios and units. Exchange Rate (SEK/US$) Net Sales Expenses Income from investments in JVs and associates Operating income Depreciation & Amortization Restructuring Costs Capital Expenditure Investments in JVs and other ventures Research and Development Expenditure Number of Employees Group Volvo Sales Group Income Unit sales by Volvo Buses by Geography Europe North America South America Asia Other Total Source: Volvo Annual Reports 2013 0.15 16,707 (16,910) 14 -190 -376 22 386 165 n/a 6,648 272,622 3,802 Units 2013 5,429 5,929 1,836 2,055 1,457 16,707 2012 2011 2010 0.14 0.15 0.14 19,587 21,823 20,516 (19,561) (20,722) (19751) 12 13 15 37 1114 780 -347 -472 464 -107 -5 n/a 314 367 343 147 23 46 n/a n/a 882 n/a n/a n/a 303,647 310,367 264,749 11,258 18,115 11,212 SEK SEK Millions Units Millions 2013 2012 2012 2,146 6,200 2,491 1,752 6,675 1,826 2,434 2,794 2,560 1,822 2,149 1,564 756 1,768 856 8,910 19,587 9,297 - 24 - IMD-7-1606 Exhibit 10 Competitive Data: Financials of Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co. Ltd Figures in Millions Chinese yuan (CNY), except for ratios and units Financials Exchange rate: CNY/US$ Revenue CNY Mil Gross Margin % Operating Income CNY Mil Operating Margin % Net Income CNY Mil Capex Spending CNY Mil Working Capital CNY Mil Return on Assets % Return on Invested Capital % 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 8.28 22,094 19.5 1,884 8.5 1,823 -921 4,743 11.96 19.61 8.19 19,763 20.0 1,637 8.3 1,55 -1,896 3,613 14.00 24.79 7.97 16,932 18.2 1,331 7.9 1,181 -992 1,302 16.12 27.89 7.61 13,479 17.3 1,005 7.5 860 -926 610 13.97 22.03 6.95 8,782 17.3 643 7.3 563 -250 327 11.06 17.65 6.83 8,336 15.7 630 7.6 531 -565 41 8.44 13.88 6.77 7,881 18.5 590 7.5 377 -254 -74 6.56 11.18 6.46 4,996 19.1 322 6.5 221 -196 601 6.91 12.61 6.31 4,603 19.0 269 5.8 186 -71 698 6.89 12.28 6.15 3,973 17.5 198 5.0 144 -120 571 5.82 9.56 Source: Company´s Annual Reports - Available at: http://financials.morningstar.com/ratios/r.html?ops=clear&t=600066®ion=CHN&culture=enUS
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