FEELING THE PINCH January 2017 www.endchildpoverty.org.uk/feelingthepinch #feelingthepinch Introduction TheEndChildPovertyCoalitionisacoalitionofnearly100organisationsfromallsectionsofcivic society,includingchildren’scharities,childwelfareorganisations,socialjusticegroups,faith groups,tradeunionsandothers,unitedinourvisionofaUKfreefromchildpoverty. Low-incomefamiliesacrosstheUKareincreasinglyfeelingthepinchbecauseofthedualimpactof stagnatingfamilyincomesandrisingprices,compoundedbythe‘povertypremium’,wherebythose withalowincomepaymoreforessentialgoodsandservices. IntheUK,thereare3.9millionchildrenlivinginpoverty,1andtwo-thirdsofthesechildrenareina householdwithatleastoneparentinwork.2Thismeansthereare2.3millionchildrenlivingin poverty,despitehavingaparentinwork.Itisclearthatworkalonedoesnotliftthesefamiliesoutof poverty. ChildpovertyexiststhroughouttheUK.WhileitishighestinLondonandothermajorcities,suchas ManchesterandBirmingham,onlyonelocalauthority(Wokingham)haschildpovertyaslowas10 percent–theratesuggestedbythe(nowlargelydefunct)ChildPovertyActasthetargetforthe proportionofchildreninrelativepoverty.Childreninlargefamiliesareatfargreaterriskoflivingin poverty–36percentofchildreninfamilieswiththreeormorechildrenliveinpoverty,compared with26percentofchildreninsmallerfamilies.Thisisexpectedtogetworsewiththeintroductionof thetwo-childlimitfortaxcreditsfromApril2017. Furthermore,weknowthatchildpovertyisnotgoingtogoaway.Childpovertyisrising–200,000 morechildrenlivedinpovertyin2015comparedtothepreviousyear,3andthebestprojections suggestthatthenumberofchildreninabsoluteandrelativepovertyissettorisesharplyoverthe nextfiveyears.4 Povertyisnotjustanissueaffectingout-of-workfamilies,andsoin-worksupportthroughthesocial securitysystem(forexample,viaChildBenefit,taxcreditsandHousingBenefit)isessential. Increasedwages(forexample,throughthenational‘livingwage’)arewelcome,butthenumberof peopleinlow-incomehouseholdswhoarelikelytobenefitfromahigherminimumwageisrelatively small.Inaddition,becauseoftheinteractionbetweenpayandbenefits,familieswithchildrenwho receivethelivingwagearelikelytobenefittheleastfromthis(asaresultofconsequentreductions intheirbenefits). Thisreportoutlines,inSectionOne,howfamiliesarelosingincomeasaresultofthecurrentbenefit freeze–andlosingevenmore,nowthatpricesareexpectedtorisemoresharply.Thisisfurther compoundedbytheeffectofthepovertypremiumonlow-incomefamilies,asexplainedinSection Two.Despitebeingabletoaffordtheleast,low-incomefamilieshavenooptionbuttopaythemost forbasicessentials,likeheatingtheirhomeswithexpensivepre-paymentmetersorbuyingacooker orwashingmachinethroughahighcost,rent-to-owncompany.Familiesmightalsoendupspending moreonfoodbecausetheycannotaccessbigsupermarkets,whichareoftencheaper,andbecause theydonothavethestoragespace,ormoney,tobuyinbulk. Thesefamiliesarereallyfeelingthepinch.Stretchedincomesmeantheyareforcedtomake impossiblechoicesfortheirchildren–betweenhealthymeals,warmclothesandheatingthehome. 1 EndChildPovertycallsonthegovernmenttorecognisethatfamiliesarefeelingthepinchandto: • EndthefreezeonChildBenefitandChildTaxCredit,andreinstatethelinkbetweenannual increasesinlevelsandinflation. • Ensurethatsupportwithhousingcostsforfamiliesrentingprivatelyrisesinlinewith increasesinlocalrents. • Establishacommissiontoconsiderhowbusinessescanensurethattheircustomersona lowincomedonothavetopaythehighestpricesforgoodsandservices. Notes 1 DepartmentforWorkandPensions,HouseholdsBelowAverageIncome2014/15,2016, https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/households-below-average-income-hbai--2 2 DepartmentforWorkandPensions,HouseholdsBelowAverageIncome2014/15,2016, https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/households-below-average-income-hbai--2 3 EndChildPoverty,basedonanalysisofHBAIfigures,June2016,http://www.endchildpoverty.org.uk/hbai-analysis/ 4 InstituteforFiscalStudies,LivingStandards,PovertyandInequalityintheUK:2015-16to2020-21,2016;JosephRowntree Foundation,UKPoverty:causes,costsandsolutions,2016 2 One Thefreezeinchildren’sbenefits Oneofthemostsignificanthiddencutstosupportforchildrenthroughthebenefitssysteminrecent yearshasbeentherepeatedreductionsinsupportrelativetotherisingcostsofliving,eitherthrough below-inflationaryincreases(suchasathree-year1percentcaponincreasesinbenefitratesfrom April2013),orthroughcashfreezes–mostrecentlywiththedecisiontofreezebenefitsandtax creditsforfouryearsfromApril2016.Thispolicychangehasbrokenthehistoriclinkwithprices, wherebymostbenefitlevelswereupratedannuallybyatleasttherateofinflationsincetheearly 1970s.1 Suchcutstosupportcanbehidden,becausetheydonotresultinareductionintheamountofcash familieshaveintheirpockets.Ratherthanasuddendropinincome,reductionsinsupportarefeltas pricesrise–anextrafewpenceonaloafofbreadorapintofmilk,anincreaseinthepriceofa warmwintercoat,orhavingtoputanextra£1onthemeterinordertogetthesameamountof electricity. ‘Itseemslikeeverythingismoreexpensiveandhasbecomeharderto managefromweektoweek.’-parent Risingprices2010to2020 TheRetailPricesIndex(RPI),whichmeasuresthechangeinpricesofarepresentativesetofretail goodsandservices,isoneoftheprincipalmeasuresofinflationfromtheOfficeforNational Statistics.BasedoninflationmeasuredbytheRPI,andasshownbelow,pricesareexpectedtorise byathirdoverthecourseofthe2010s. Figure1: Compoundinflation,2010to2020 40% 35% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source:basedonRPIforecastsfromtheOfficeforBudgetResponsibility,March2016Economicand FiscalOutlook,2016,http://budgetresponsibility.org.uk/download/economic-and-fiscal-outlookcharts-and-tables-march-2016/ Forlow-incomehouseholds,theeffectiveinflationrateislikelytobesignificantlyhigherthanthis, becausethepricesofgoodsandservicestheytypicallybuyhavebeenrisingbymorethanthe 3 average.TheInstituteforFiscalStudies,forexample,estimatesthatovertheperiod2008/09to 2013/14,theinflationrateforpoorerhouseholdswas,onaverage,1percentagepointhigherper yearthanthatforhigh-incomehouseholds.2 ‘WiththemoneyIreceiveeachmonth,it’sgettingmoreand moreexpensivetobuyfoodandclothesintheshops.’-parent Below-inflationarybenefituprating Until2010,manybenefitswereupratedinlinewiththeRPI.However,asaresultofyearsofbelowinflationarybenefitupratingsince2010,followedbyafour-yearbenefitfreeze,manybenefitswill haverisenmuchmoreslowlyoverthecourseofthedecade. Table1showsthemaximumratesofdifferentbenefitsin2010andin2020–andcomparestheseto theratesthatwouldhavebeenreachedhadtheybeenincreasedinlinewithRPI. Table1: Maximumratesofdifferentbenefitsandtaxcreditsin2010and2020,comparedtotheir estimatedvalueshadtheyriseninlinewithRPI ChildBenefit (oldestchild) ChildBenefit (secondand furtherchild) 2010 %increase2010 2020(projected) to2020 £20.30 £20.70 2% £27.41 £13.40 £13.70 2% £18.09 £65.45 £73.10 12% £88.36 £65.45 £73.10 £88.36 ChildTaxCredit (family element) £10.50 £0.00 12% -100%(note:the familyelementis removedfornew claimsfromApril 2017) ChildTaxCredit (perchild element) £44.10 £53.30 21% £59.54 Workingtax credit(fora parentworking 30hours) £88.20 £91.70 4% £119.07 Jobseeker's allowance Employment andsupport allowance 4 2020(if increasedwith RPI) £14.18 ChildBenefithasparticularlysufferedfrombelow-inflationaryuprating.Oncurrentpolicy,Child Benefitwillhaverisenbyjust2percentoverthecourseofthedecade–lessthanone-sixteenthof theincreasesinprices. AlthoughthechildelementofChildTaxCredithasincreasedby21percent,thisisstillsignificantly lessthantheincreaseinthecostofliving,measuredbytheRPI.Inaddition,thefamilyelementof ChildTaxCreditwasscrappedaltogether–leavingtheoverallvalueofChildTaxCreditsignificantly lowerthanitwasin2010. Around7.5millionchildrenacrosstheUKarelivinginfamiliesthatarebeingaffectedbyafour-year freezeinbenefitratesthatbeganin2016.Ofthese,around4.9millionliveinworkingfamilies. InApril2010,benefitincomeforanout-of-worksingleparentwithtwochildren(excludinghousing costs)wasaround£198perweek.Inordertokeepupwiththeriseinthecostoflivingby2020,this wouldhavetoincreasetoaround£267perweek.Thefamily’sactual2020incomeisexpectedtobe around£214perweek.Thereallossof£53perweekwillleavethisfamilyworseoffbynearly£2,800 ayear. Below-inflationaryincreasesinbenefitratesalsoaffectlow-incomeworkingfamilies–insofaras theyarereceivingoneormoreofthebenefitsaffected. Theimpactofbelow-inflationaryincreasesinbenefitratesonfamilyspending Theimpactofthecutsinsupportrelativetopricesisthatfamiliesmustcutbackonmanyofthe essentialstheyusedtopurchase. ‘MostmonthsIhavetodecidewhatismoreimportant: clothesformeormychild,orheating.’-parent AnEndChildPovertypollofparentsin2015(seeFigure2below)foundthatoneinfivefamilies–the equivalentofoneandahalfmillionacrosstheUK,withtwoandahalfmillionchildren–saidthat theyhadcutbackonfood,andasimilarproportionhadcutbackonheatingtheirhomeasaresultof benefitshavingbeenincreasedbelowinflation.3 Figure2 Manybenefitsandtaxcreditspaidtomanyfamilieswithchildren(suchaschildbenefit,tax credits,andhousingbenefit)havebeenincreasedbelowtheincreasesseenincostsoflivingin recentyears.Hasthiscausedyoutocutspendingonanyofthefollowingitems,ifany,foryour family? 5 ComparingChildBenefittoincreasesinthestatepension In2010,itwasdecidedto‘triplelock’thebasicstateretirementpension–meaningthatitwould increaseinlinewithearnings,prices,orby2.5percent–whicheverwasthehighest. Furthermore,whilein2015thenewConservativegovernmentcommittedtoafurtherfour-year freezeonmostbenefitsandtaxcredits,itwasdecidedthatthestatepensionwouldcontinuetobe ‘triplelocked’uptotheendofthedecade. Figure2showstherelativeincreasesinthevalueofthestatepensionandChildBenefitbetween 2010and2016.Ascanbeseen,thebasicstatepensionhasincreasedbynearlyaquarteroverits 2010cashvalue.Italsoincreasedfasterthanthecostofliving,whichrosebyaround19percent overthesameperiod.4 Figure3: PercentageincreaseinthecashvalueofCategoryAstatepensionandChildBenefit,2010to2016 30% 25% 22.2% 20% StatePension 15% ChildBenefit 10% 5% 2.0% 0% 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 6 Ontheotherhand,aswecanseeinFigure3,ChildBenefithasrisenbyjust2percentinthelastsix years,includingseveralyearsofbeingfrozenaltogether–risingatlessthanone-eleventhoftherate bywhichthebasicstatepensionhasrisen. HadChildBenefitincreasedatthesamerateasthestatepension,afamilywithtwochildrenwould nowreceivearound£6.80perweekmorethantheycurrentlyreceive. Thisgapwillcontinuetogrow,asaresultofthecontinuedapplicationofboththefreezeonChild Benefitandthetriplelockonthebasicstatepension,totheendofthedecade. Freezinghelpwithhousingcosts TheexamplesabovedonotincludethechangestoHousingBenefitmadeinrecentyears:childrenin low-incomefamilieshavealsobeenaffectedbybelow-inflationincreasesinsupportwithhousing costs. Untilrecently,thelocalhousingallowance,whichdeterminestheamountofHousingBenefitfor peoplerentingintheprivaterentedsector,wasbasedonaveragerentsandwasincreasedinline withrisesinlocalrentalprices.Thisensuredthataslocalrentsrose,peoplewerestillabletoafford toliveandworkintheirowncommunities. Thecoalitiongovernmentdecidedtoreducetherateofthemaximumlocalhousingallowancefrom the50thpercentileoflocalrentstothe30thpercentile–meaningthatthemaximumrentwhichcan becoveredbyHousingBenefitforthoserentingprivatelyhasbeensubstantiallyreduced.Crucially, itwasalsodecidedtomakeanumberofchangestothewayinwhichlocalhousingallowancerates riseovertimeasrentsgoup. Afterayear’sfreezeinlocalhousingallowanceratesin2012,thegovernmentdecidedtoincrease theminlinewiththeConsumerPriceIndex(CPI)measureofinflation,ratherthanwithlocalrents from2013–asaresult,theyroseby2.2percentinthatyear.Itwasthendecided,inApril2014and inApril2015torestrictlocalhousingallowanceincreasestonomorethan1percentforthesetwo years(withexceptionsforthefastestrisingrentsthrougha‘targetedassistancefund’). Asaresultofthis(andotherchanges),localhousingallowanceratesnowbearlittlerelationshipto typicallocalrents. ‘Rentincreaseshaveaffectedfundstouseonfood, clothesandheatingbills.’-parent Whereprivatetenants’rentshaverisenbetween2010and2015inlinewithaveragerentalprice inflation(atotalof11.7percentoverthefive-yearperiod),afamilyrentingatypicaltwo-bedroom propertyin2015facedashortfallof£82permonthontheirHousingBenefitentitlement,compared withtheiractualrent.5 ParticularlyconcerningiswhatmayhappentoHousingBenefitasrentscontinuetoriseinthe secondhalfofthedecade.In2015,thenewgovernmentdecidedtofreezelocalhousingallowance ratesforfouryears–from2016throughto2020.Ifactualrentsrisebyanother11.7percentduring thesecondhalfofthedecade,familiesinatypicaltwo-bedroompropertycouldseetheshortfall increaseby£72permonth–atotalshortfallofaround£154permonth.6 7 Somemoneywillbemadeavailabletosupportthoseareaswhererentalpricesrisethefastest, throughcontinuationofthetargetedassistancefund.Theintentionistospend30percentofthe savingsgeneratedfromfreezinglocalhousingallowancerates(comparedtothecostofincreasing theminlinewithinflation).However,eveniftheincreaseintheaverageshortfallbetween2015and 2020wasreducedby30percentasaresult,thiswouldstillleaveatenantinatypicaltwo-bedroom propertywithanexpectedshortfallof£133permonthby2020.Incontrast,in2010,HousingBenefit wouldhavecoveredtheirfullrent. Basedonrentalpricerisesbetween2010and2020,forecastedshortfallsinHousingBenefit comparedwithlocalrentsfortwo-andthree-bedroompropertiesareshowninFigure4below. Figure4: Estimatedmonthlyshortfallbetweenlocalhousingallowanceratesandlocalaveragerents (including30%reductionasaresultofthetargetedassistancefund),2010to2020 £160.00 £140.00 £120.00 £100.00 £80.00 2bed £60.00 3bed £40.00 £20.00 £- 20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020 Thegovernment’sevaluationoflocalhousingallowancereformsfoundthat,facedwiththeprospect oftenantsexperiencingthesekindofshortfalls,somelandlordswereattemptingtomoveawayfrom rentingtoHousingBenefitclaimants.7Andconcernsabouttheincreasedriskofarrearshadledmany landlordstotightentheirvettingproceduresforapplicants. Mostworryingly,nearlyhalfoflandlordsrentingtopeopleaffectedbythelocalhousingallowance saidtheyhadseenanincreaseinrentarrears,andoneinfivesaidtheyhadtakenactiontoevict,not torenewortoendtenanciesspecificallybecausethetenantscouldnolongeraffordtheirrent becauseofthereforms. SomelandlordswouldratherleavehomesemptythanrenttopeopleonHousingBenefit.One landlordinterviewedaspartofthegovernment’sevaluationsaid: ‘We’vemanagedtogetridofalotofthepeoplewhoareonDSS…8thetenantsdon’thaveajoband thereforetheycan’tmeettheshortfall…theycan’tpayandeventuallyacourtproceedingtakesplace togetridofthem,soI’dratherleavemypropertyemptythangiveittothesepeopleandthentryand getthemout,it’sbadpractice.I’drathernotdothat,soIjustleaveitempty.’ Movinghomeisadifficultandcostlythingtodo–itmaynotonlymakeithardertofindorstayin work,butitcanuprootchildrenandtheirfamiliesfromschoolsandlocalsupportnetworks,aswell ascostingagreatdealinfeesandchargesassociatedwiththemoveitself. Manypeopleaffectedbythesecutswilldowhatevertheycantostayputanddealwiththe reductionintheirdisposableincomebycuttingspendingonotheressentials.Whilemuchofthe 8 rhetoricmaybearoundmovinghometoaplacewithinonesmeans,eventhegovernmentitself appearstorecognisethatthisisnotanoptionformanyofthoseaffectedbycutslikethese. Toconclude,governmentdecisionstofreezebenefitsmaynothavereducedtheamountofcashin afamily’spocket,butithasreducedtheamounttheycanaffordaspricesrise.Thisissettohavea biggerimpactasinflationrisesinthenextfewyears:ChildBenefitwillhaverisenbyjust2percent between2010and2020,comparedwithpricerisesof35percent. Changestothelocalhousingallowancehavealsobeensignificant,andHousingBenefitforthose rentingprivatelyisnolongerlinkedtotypicallocalrents.Familiesinatypicaltwo-bedroom propertycouldseetheirshortfallincreaseby£72permonthbytheendofthedecade–atotal shortfallofaround£154permonth. ‘Iamalwayshavingtosacrificemore,formyself,tomakesurethat mychildhasmore–ie,hotmeals,toys,clothesetc… Tomakesurehecangetthebestatalltimes.’-parent Notes 1 HouseofCommons,HistoricalRatesofSocialSecurityBenefits(SN/SG6762),2016 2 InstituteforFiscalStudies,TheSqueezeonIncomes,2014(chapter6intheGreenBudget),andTheSpendingPatternsand InflationExperienceofLow-incomeHouseholdsOverthePastDecade,2011 3 SRoyston,ShortChanged:thetruecostofcutstochildren’sbenefits,EndChildPoverty,2015 4 MeasuredbytheRetailPricesIndex Theaveragelocalhousingallowancerate(acrossallEnglishbroadrentalmarketareas)foratwo-bedroompropertyfell from£550to£532between2010and2015.Hadtheaveragerateriseninlinewithaveragerentalpricerises,itwouldhave increasedto£614overthesameperiod–whichwouldcreateashortfallof£82. 6 Thelocalhousingallowanceratestaysfrozenat£532,whiletheaveragerentincreasesby£72to£686–creatinga forecastshortfallof£154permonth. 7 DepartmentforWorkandPensions,MonitoringtheImpactofRecentMeasuresAffectingHousingBenefitandLocal HousingAllowancesinthePrivateRentedSector:theresponseoflandlords,2014 5 8 DespitetheDepartmentforSocialSecuritynothavingexistedforsometime,‘DSS’isstillveryoftenusedtoreferto peoplereceivinghousingbenefit. 9 Two Thepovertypremium Despitebenefitrateshavingbeenfrozen,pricescontinuetoriseandthelowestincomefamilies oftenpaythemostforessentialgoodsandservices. The‘povertypremium’istheextracostpeopleonlowerincomestypicallypayforgoodsand services,comparedwithwhatispaidforthesamegoodsandservicesbypeopleonahigherincome. Thebestbankaccounts,borrowingratesandenergytariffsareonlyavailableforpeoplewhohavea goodlevelofincome,creditratingand/oremploymentrecordandwhoarethereforeinapositionto shoparound. Thispovertypremiumishugelysignificantforfamiliesonalowincome:wheneverypennycounts, beingchargedmoreforthesamegoodsandservicescancausefurtherconsequencesdowntheline. AliteraturereviewcarriedoutbyHartfreeandothersfoundthat,fromtheperspectiveoflowincomehouseholds,apovertypremiumcanarisefromaneedfortightbudgetingcontrolovertheir finances(forexample,preferringtomakesmall,frequentpayments)andavoidingbehavioursthat couldupsetthis.1Fromtheperspectiveofproviders,thepovertypremiumcanariseasaresultof: pricingstructuresthatpenaliselowusage;afocusononlineservicedelivery;priceoffersthattarget newcustomers;andafailuretosupplyproductsorservicesthatmatchtheneedsoflow-income households.Providersalsochargepremiumstoreflecthighercosts–forexample,wheninsuring peoplewholiveinhigherriskareas,issuingpaperbills,orreceivingpaymentsbycheque.2 ThissectionupdatesthepovertypremiumillustrationspreviouslypublishedbySavetheChildrenon anumberofoccasions(mostrecentlyin2014).Itfindsthatatypicallow-incomefamilycouldfacean annualpovertypremiumofaround£1,700foreverydaygoodsandservices.Thiscouldrepresenta largeproportionofafamily’soverallincome. Theremayalsobeotherareasofspendingthataresubjecttoapremium,suchasfoodcosts, transportcostsandcashwithdrawals.3Thesearenotincludedinthepovertypremiumcalculation, butareexploredbrieflybelow. Note:ThecalculationcopiesthemethodologyusedbySavetheChildrenonpreviousoccasions.4 Table2: Povertypremiumin2016 Typical cost Costtolow-income family* Difference Loanfor£500 £500 £944.84 £444.84 Basichouseholditem:cooker £237.33 £780 £542.67 Costtocashthree£200cheques £0 £49.50 £49.50 Annualelectricityandgasbillcombined £1,249.55 £1,320.95 £71.40 Homecontentsinsurance £45.87 £53.11 £7.24 Carinsurance £470.04 £1,010.63 £540.59 Total £2,502.79 £4,159.03 *Foradiscussionofthemethodologyusedintheseareas,seetheAppendix. Source:AllfiguressourcedinOctober2016 10 £1,656.24 Areotherareassubjecttothepovertypremium? InadditiontotheareasillustratedinTable2,anumberofothereverydaycostsmaybesubjecttoa premium.Someofthesearediscussedbelow.Althoughnotrepresentingacomprehensiveoverview ofeverythingthatmaybesubjecttothepovertypremium,theydoreflectasensethatitmaywell reachintoanumberofareasofeverydayspending. Foodcosts Anumberofstudieshaveexploredspecificaspectsofthepremium,suchasthecostofshoppingat retailoutletsforfoodandotherhouseholdproducts.5WhileresearchintheUKhasbeenlimitedin thisarea,thosewithoutaccesstoacarmayfindithardertoshopatlargeout-of-town supermarkets,whichcansometimesofferthecheapestpricesforeverydayfoodandother householditems.Thosewithlimitedaccesstocashmayprefertobuyitemsinsmallerquantities and,therefore,maybeunabletotakeadvantageofbuyingitemsinbulk,whichtendstoworkout cheaperinthelongrun. Traveltoworkcosts Savingmoneybymakinglargerone-offpayments,asopposedtoaseriesofpaymentsovertime,can applyacrossanumberoflivingcosts.Forexample,travellingtoworkcanbeextremelyexpensive andthecostisregularlycitedbypeopleasabarriertowork. Travelcostscanseriouslylimitaviableworksearchareabut,nevertheless,mostworkingpeopledo havetotravelbeyondtheirownneighbourhoods.Iftravellingbytrain,tramorbus,peoplecanoften takeadvantageofalong-termseasonticket,whichtendstoworkoutconsiderablycheaperthan payingforaticketeverydayoreveryweek.Employeesinlow-paidworkarelesslikelytobeableto makeupfrontpaymentsbecausetheydonothaveaccesstothecashrequiredtodoso,andfor thoseinpart-timeorinsecureemployment,thereislittlepointinbuyingaseasonticket. Cashmachines ThereremainsasizeablenumberofdeprivedareasthatlackaccesstoATMsthatdonotchargefor withdrawals(sometimesreferredtoas‘cashmachinedeserts’).Morethan300,000peoplelivingin povertyacross269low-incomeareasareinareaswheretherearenofree-to-usecashmachines withinaone-kilometreradius.Chargesstartfrom75pperwithdrawal,withtheaveragefeebeing £1.70perwithdrawal.Forsomeoneonalowincomemakingregularcashwithdrawals,thefullcost overthecourseofayearcouldbehigh.Forexample,someonewithdrawingcasheveryweekfroma machinethatcharges£1.75perwithdrawalwillpay£91inwithdrawalcostsovera12-monthperiod. Thereareanumberofareaswherelow-incomefamiliesmaypaymorethanothersforessential goodsandservices.Someofthesehavebeenquantifiedviathepovertypremiumcalculation, leadingtoapotentialpovertypremiumofaround£1,700peryear.Theremaybeadditionalareas wherelow-incomefamiliesfacehighercosts,suchasfoodcosts,travel-to-workcostsandATM usagefees.Thereneedstobebetterrecognitionofthefactthatlow-incomefamiliesarealso consumersandasignificantpartofthemarket.Moreshouldbedonetoestablishhowtobetter servethisgroupofconsumers. Notes 1 Hartfree,DaviesandFinney,CalculatingthePovertyPremium,UniversityofBristol,April2016 2 Hartfree,DaviesandFinney,CalculatingthePovertyPremium,UniversityofBristol,April2016 Adaptedfrom: http://www.raceequalityfoundation.org.uk/sites/default/files/publications/downloads/high%20cost%20paid%20by%20lo w%20income%20consumers%20-%20FINAL_1.pdf 4 Foradetaileddiscussionofthemethodology,seeSavetheChildren,TheUKPovertyRip-Off:thepovertypremium,2010 andThePovertyPremium:howpoorhouseholdspaymoreforessentialgoodsandservices,2007 5 Goodman,1968;Kaufmanandothers,1997;Robinsonandothers,2000;Maslenandothers,2013 3 11 Conclusion Povertyhasamassiveimpactonchildren’slives.Itleadstoapoorerchildhoodandworseoutcomes throughoutlife.Thereisa28percentgapbetweenchildrenreceivingfreeschoolmealsandtheir wealthierpeersintermsofthenumberachievingatleastfiveA*-CGCSEgrades.1Childpovertyalso hasacosttosocietyasawhole–estimatedtobeatleast£29billionayear.2 Weneedactionfromnationalandlocalgovernment,frombusiness,andrightacrosssocietyifwe aretoimprovethelifechancesofthemillionsofchildrenlivinginpovertyacrossthecountry. Freezingbenefitsmaynotreducetheamountofcashinpeople'spockets,butcashisnottheonly thingthatmatters–whatmattersiswhatpeoplecanaffordtobuywithit.Theimpactofthebenefit freeze,inthecontextofrapidpricerises,hasadramaticeffectonfamilyincomes.Familiesonalow incomesimplycannotaffordtopaytheincreasedpricesoffood,fuelandtravelwhenthereisno increasetothepoundsintheirpocket.Theimpactofthisisfurthercompoundedbythepoverty premium,whichseesfamiliesonalowincomepayingmoreformanyessentialgoodsandservices. ‘Myheatingbillsarethroughtheroof.Thingsinshopsaremore expensiveandyougetlessforyourmoney.Youconstantly robPetertopayPaul.’-parent Itispoliticallytemptingforthegovernmenttoupratebenefitsbelowinflation–onthefaceofit,it doesnotlooklikeacutand,becauseitaffectsaverylargenumberofpeople,itsavesanawfullotof money.Whenitwasintroduced,thefour-yearbenefitfreezealonewasexpectedtosavearound£4 billionperyear(in2020prices)bytheendofthedecade.3 But,hiddenreductionsinincomelikethisstillhavearealimpactonpeople'slives.Thegradual erosionofbenefitsisagradualerosionoflivingstandardsforthosechildrenwhorelyonthissupport themost.EndChildPovertycallsonthegovernmenttounfreezechildren’sbenefitsandtoreinstatethelinkbetweenbenefitlevelsandinflationassoonaspossible. Oneareaofparticularconcernisthecurrentfreezeonincreasesinlocalhousingallowanceratesfor familiesinprivaterentedhomes.Inordertoaddressthis,thegovernmentshouldre-establishthe linkbetweenincreasesinlocalhousingallowanceratesandrisesinlocalrentalprices. Solutionstothepovertypremiumarelessstraightforward.Thereareoftenreasonswhypricesmight behigher–forexample,carsmightbemorelikelytobestoleninareasofdeprivation,leadingto higherinsurancecosts;orsupermarketconveniencestoresmayhavehigherrentanddeliverycosts. However,itisclearthatthedifferentstakeholdersneedtothinkabouttheirconsumersina differentway:bothtopromoteethicaltradingandalsotodevelopasustainableconsumerbase byensuringfamiliesarenotoutofpocket. EndChildPovertyisdeeplyconcernedaboutthesefamilieswhoarefeelingthepinch.Wecallon thegovernmentto: • EndthefreezeonChildBenefitandChildTaxCredit,andreinstatethelinkbetweenannual increasesinbenefitlevelsandinflation. • Ensurethatsupportwithhousingcostsforfamiliesrentingprivatelyrisesinlinewith increasesinlocalrents. • Establishacommissiontoconsiderhowbusinessescanensurethattheircustomersona lowincomedonotfacepayingthehighestpricesforgoodsandservices. 12 Notes 1 DepartmentforEducation,GCSEandEquivalentAttainmentbyPupilCharacteristics:2014,February2015, https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/gcse-and-equivalent-attainment-by-pupil-characteristics-2014 2 DHirsch,EstimatingtheCostsofChildPoverty,ChildPovertyActionGroup,2013 3 HMGovernment,PolicyCostings:SummerBudget2015,2015 13 Appendix Notesbehindconstituentpartsofthepoverty premium Aloanfor£500 Thepovertypremiumillustrationcalculatesthecostofahigh-interestloanof£500repaidovera12monthperiod.ThisisreplicatedinTable3aboveandisbasedontheaveragecostofborrowingfrom twowidelyusedhigh-interestlenders. Thereareanumberofissuestonotehere:(1)low-incomehouseholdsarelesslikelytohaveaccess tobankaccountoverdrafts(chargingnoorlowinterest);(2)thelackofavailabilityofloansforless than£1,000frommainstreambanks;(3)thecalculationusedintheillustrationdoesnotreflectthe widespreaduseofpaydayloans(ie,relativelysmallloansrepaidovershorttimeperiods–typically onemonth),whichincreasedsignificantlyfollowingthefinancialcrash;and(4)governmentpolicyon paydaylendingdoesnotimpactonthehighinterestloansillustratedinthetable. Basichouseholditem:cooker TheillustrationtakesanessentialhouseholditemthatiswidelyavailableatretailersacrosstheUK. Table3showstheaveragecostofpurchasingabasicovenoutrightfromthreewell-knownUK retailersandcomparesthistothecostofbuyingexactlythesameitemoncreditfromawidelyused rent-to-ownretailer. Costtocashthree£200cheques AsintheoriginalSavetheChildrenmethodology,thiscomparesthecostofcashingachequeata bankwiththecostofacheque-cashingservice.Thelatterchargesaflatfee,plusapercentageofthe chequeamount. Annualgasandelectricitybill TheillustrationisbasedonaveragehouseholdelectricityandgasconsumptionintheUKin2015as reportedbytheDepartmentofEnergyandClimateChange.1Itcomparesdualfueltariffcostsby paymenttype(monthlydirectdebitversusprepaymentmeter)andisbasedonBritishGasprice plans. Thereareanumberofissuestonotehere:(1)itisunclearatthisstagewhatimpact,ifany,Ofgem’s prepaymentmeterpricecap(introducedinApril2016)willhaveonthepricedifferentialpresented inTable3;(2)theillustrationdoesnotreflectthefactthatmanyprepaymentmetercustomersarein debtand,therefore,arelikelytoberepayingthosedebtsaspartoftheirtariffalongsidedirect paymentsforenergyuse;and(3)thepricedifferentialshowninthetableissignificantlylowerfor thisitemthaninpreviousillustrations,whichmaysuggestthatthepovertypremiuminrespectof energycostshasfallen. Homecontentsinsurance2 Thefiguresusedareaveragesforfourrandomlyselecteddeprivedareasandfourrandomlyselected affluentareas.AsintheSavetheChildrenmethodology,householdcircumstancesarekeptthesame (ie,samevalueofcontents,sameexcessandforafamilyoffour)acrosstheareas. Thereareanumberofissuestonotehere:(1)higherincomehouseholdsmayhavehighervalue itemstoinsure,whichmayincreasetheirpremiums,butmaybemorelikelytooptforalower excess,thusreducingtheirpremiums;and(2)low-incomehouseholdsarefarlesslikelytohave homecontentsinsurance. 14 Carinsurance3 Thefiguresusedareaveragesforfourrandomlyselecteddeprivedareasandfourrandomlyselected affluentareas.AsintheSavetheChildrenmethodology,householdcircumstancesarekeptthesame (ie,samevalueofcontents,sameexcessandforafamilyoffour)acrosstheareas. Itisworthnotingthattheillustrationkeepsallaspectsofthehouseholdthesameandassumesthe cariskeptonadriveway;theoccupationoftheinsuranceapplicantiskeptthesame.However,both aspectscanimpactoncarinsurancequotesandchangestotheseelementscouldwidenprice differentials(ifweassume,forexample,thatabetter-offhouseholdismorelikelytokeepacarina garageorhaveanoccupationthatlowerspremiums). Note:Bothinsurancefigures(fordeprivedpostcodesandaffluentpostcodes)assumetheconsumer paysmonthlybydirectdebit.However,ifpaidannually,thetotalcostscanbesignificantlylessandit isperhapsmorelikelytoexpectabetter-offhouseholdtomakepaymentsinthisway.Thiscould thereforeincreaseinsurancedifferentials. Notes 1 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/energy-consumption-in-the-uk 2 Allfiguressourcedfromwww.confused.com 3 Allfiguressourcesfromwww.comparethemarket.com 15 With thanks to Sam Royston, Chair of End Child Poverty and Director of Research and Policy at the Children’s Society (www.childrenssociety.org.uk), and Graham Whitham, Vice Chair of End Child Poverty, for the research that has formed this briefing paper. Thanks are also due to Rosario Piazza and Olu Alake at Buttle UK (www.buttleuk.org) for their help in surveying parents ©End Child Poverty 2017 www.endchildpoverty.org.uk www.endchildpoverty.org.uk/feelingthepinch [email protected] #feelingthepinch
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