Structural Aspects of the Sugar Industries in East and Southern Africa Table of Contents Introduction I - The International Sugar Industry 1. Restructuring in the International Sugar Industry 2. Fundamental Aspects in the International Sugar Industry 2.1. Production 2.2. Consumption 2.3. International Sugar Imports and Exports 2.3.1. Imports 2.3.2. Exports 2.4. Preferential markets 2.5. International “free market” prices II - The Sugar Industries in East and Southern Africa (1998-2002) 3.Net Importers in East Africa: Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania 3.1. Kenya 3.2. Uganda 3.3. Tanzania 4. Deep Inside Illovo’s World: Zambia and Malawi 4.1. Zambia 4.2. Malawi 5. Swaziland 6. South Africa 7. Mozambique: On a Recovery Path 8. Mauritius: A Caribbean-like island in the Indian Ocean 9. Zimbabwe 10. An Overview of Sugar Projects in Africa 11. Conclusion Appendixes Table 1 - World Sugar Production by Regions in percentage: 1970/71 – 2001/02 Table 2 - World Sugar Consumption by Regions in percentage of total: 1972/73 – 2001/02 Table 3 - World Sugar Imports by Regions in percentage: 1972/73 – 2001/02 Table 4 - Sugar Exports by Regions: 1972/73 – 2001/02 Table 5 - EU-ACP Sugar Protocol Quotas Table 6 - United States. Tariff-rate Sugar Quota Fiscal Year 2003 Table 7 - African participation in the World Sugar Industry in percentage The Sugar Industries of Eastern and Southern Africa Page 2 Table 8 - Kenya: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 Table 9 - Uganda: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 Table 10 - Tanzania: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 Table 11 - Zambia: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 Table 12 - Zambia Sugar Exports 1997- 2000 Table 13 - Malawi: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 Table 14 - Malawi Sugar Exports 1997- 2000 Table 15 - Swaziland: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 Table 16 - Swaziland Sugar Exports 1997- 2000 Table 17 - South Africa: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 Table 18 - South Africa - Exports 1997-2000 Table 19 - Mauritius: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 Table 20 - Mauritius: Sugar Exports 1997-2000 Table 21 - Zimbabwe: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 Chart 1 - World Sugar Production by Regions Chart 2 - International Sugar Agreement (ISA) Prices, 1960-2001 The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 3 Structural Aspects of the Sugar Industries in East and Southern Africa Introduction The present report situates the African sugar regional industry in the international sugar industry and then focuses on ten sugar industries in the East and Southern Africa. The national sugar industries are those from Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Malawi, Zambia, Zimbabwe, South Africa, Swaziland, Mozambique, and Mauritius in the Indian Ocean, that were the geographic focus of the IUF African Regional Sugar Project in 2002. These industries account for about 60 percent of the sugar production in the continent, 29 percent consumption and 6.4 percent of sugar imports. This sugar profile is because the project included South Africa but excluded Egypt and other countries in North Africa. The report describes the industries by highlighting their common features, in an effort to provide basic elements to anchor an IUF regional work. One group comprises the three East African countries (Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania) where concerns focus on trade issues and political influence on the industry. From among the three countries, Tanzania is experiencing some corporate developments that took place in other countries: the presence of South Africa-based transnationals and the exportation of Mauritian capital and expertise to the continent. A second group comprises the Illovo Sugar-centred industries: Malawi, Zambia, South Africa, Swaziland and Mozambique. Illovo Sugar has a commanding presence in the first three, while it is an important player in the latter two. Zimbabwe is a special case because of the political and economic crisis that has recently deepened. The industry in Mauritius shares more common features with those in the Caribbean than with the African continent, including a major dependency on European markets and an ambitious restructuring program that has drastically reduced the number of mills, cut the labour force by one third and it is expected to continue in the near future. The report is divided in two sections: the first explores the basic structure of the international sugar industry, describing the larger context for the African regional industry. The second reviews some of the most important developments in the countries in question and provides a broad overview of the current sugar projects in the continent. Two other reports are also part of the IUF regional sugar project: Trade Agreements in the Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa and Corporate Developments in the Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa. The first deals with two processes of free trade, the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) and the Southern African Development Community (SADC); the second presents information on (Illovo Sugar and Tongaat-Hulett, two South African companies that have acquired great influence in the regional industry. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 4 Sources Consulted This report used sources from the ten above-mentioned countries, such as industry reports and the Internet edition of national newspapers. Sources for statistics were the International Sugar Organization (ISO) and the German commodity analysis group F.O.Licht. Licht also publishes the International Sugar and Sweetener Report (36 issues per year), which was reviewed for the 1998-2002. Other sources are reports by the news agencies Reuters and Dow Jones, and reports by the Foreign Agricultural Services of the Department of Agriculture of the United States (FASUSDA). Most of the interpretation and analysis of the information was discussed with union leaders and sugar workers in the mentioned countries, which were visited in March and June 2002. Some of the information also appeared in Sugar Worker, a monthly electronic newsletter published by the IUF since June 1999. The African Sugar Industry: Situation and Outlook, a study sponsored by the IUF in 1997, should be consulted for background and historical information on the sugar industry in the continent. Units used in this report are metric tonnes of sugar, raw value (“tonnes”). The national currencies were converted into dollars of the United States (USD) at the exchange rate of the day – quoted at Yahoo.com – referred by the news. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 5 I – The International Sugar Industry 1. Restructuring in the International Sugar Industry By late 2001, news in the international sugar circles was of an expected huge increase in cane production in Centre-South Brazil, around the state of Sao Paulo. Initial estimates were of 280 million tonnes of cane, up from the 244 million tonnes of the previous year. Although the estimates were revised to 270 million tonnes by July 2002, the news weighed heavily on the international sugar prices during all 2002. Price prospects, say international trade sources as this report is written, are not bright because it is expected that in 2002/03 Brazil would set a new record in cane production. Besides the usual concern among producers worldwide when a major supplier expects a bumper crop or a significant production increase, there was something relatively novel about the news. It was about record highs in cane production rather than sugar production – even though the latter was also expected – and the negative influence on prices because of the Brazilian alcohol and sugar industry complex. For many years, Brazil has used most of its cane for producing ethanol (fuel alcohol) rather than manufacturing sugar, which is the usual model for a cane-base sugar industry in the world. Therefore, a question related to the news of a record Brazilian cane production is how much of the extra cane would go into producing sugar. This kind of news (e.g. a Brazilian cane record production) points out to the structural changes 1 that have taken place in the past three decades in the international sugar industry. The process is known as restructuring, which has been the subject research and publications in the IUF work program. The restructuring comprises four distinct processes: Changes in the fundamental aspects of the sugar industry. In the past three decades, there has been a shift of the industry’s centre of gravity from Europe (West and East) and North and Central America towards Asia and South America (Brazil) in terms of production, consumption and the international trade. The changes also include the emergence of sugar substitutes, especially in industrial applications (high fructose corn syrup, for instance); the modification of trade patterns (white or refined and raw sugar); the shrinking of preferential markets (end of the Soviet Union-Cuba trade arrangement, reduction of the U.S. sugar quota). 1 The impact of the Brazilian cane production on the international and African sugar industry and, in particular, the sugar trade position of Kenya, surfaced during a meeting with managerial staff at Mumias Sugar. The company staff were very concerned that a sudden increase in the availability of Brazilian sugar in international markets – and in the African region – would push sugar prices further down which, in turn, would have a negative impact on the regional trade balance, already influenced by free trade arrangements under COMESA. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 6 Modernization of production. New technology and labour management practices, automation and computer-based processes, and similar processes that have contributed to create a smaller and more qualified labour force. Concentration of ownership and control of the industry. There is a general trend towards having sugar production under the control of fewer and more powerful companies while new factories tend to have larger processing capacities. These processes are, from another angle, the continuing consolidation of transnational corporations. Market reforms and liberalization programs. In the early 1990s liberalization programs and market reforms swept the world economy. The international sugar industry was greatly affected, because the industry was used to a high level of state intervention, through state ownership of production facilities (factories, land) or regulation of the industry (international and domestic trade, fixing prices for cane or beet and sugar). This was, and still is, an experience present in the “centrally planned” and the “market” economies. The liberalization and market reforms introduced processes such as privatisation and deregulation, which became the cornerstone of the restructuring process, in a more globalised economic environment. A very strong ideological discourse accompanied the process of restructuring, which underlines the market forces as the 2 main influence to determine the allocation and use of production resources. 2. Fundamental Aspects in the International Sugar Industry 2.1. Production World sugar production grew from 73 million tonnes in the 1970/71 campaign to 136 million tonnes estimated for the 2001/02 campaign, an increase of 63 million tonnes (86 percent) in the thirty-year period. Table 1 “World Sugar Production by Regions” shows the contribution by each region between 1970/71 and 2001/02. Some trends are clear: First, Asia and South America have substantially increased their contribution from a combined 29.1 percent in 1970/71 to 54.4 percent in 2001/02. This expansion is significant in both absolute and relative terms: The regions have a larger share of a larger pie. (Sugar statistics appear in the Appendixes.) The “Asia region” is defined as the geographic area stretching west of the Middle East to Japan, and from Mongolia in the north to Indonesia in the south. The International Sugar Organization (ISO) lists over 40 countries in this region, comprising quite different situations. The main drives behind the Asian growth are sugar giants such as India and China and the integration of relatively new production areas (in the period) such as Thailand and, to a lesser extent and with somewhat erratic behaviour, Pakistan. 2 Several sugar industries, still under state ownership, came to be examined based on their ability to produce higher returns, as privately run-profit seeking enterprises are, without much consideration to social and political aspects of the industry that, in some cases, outweigh the economic and financial considerations. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 7 Table 1 - World Sugar Production by Regions in percentage 1970/71 – 2001/02 West Europe East Europe Africa North & Central America South America Asia Oceania 1970/71 15.8 17.4 6.1 1975/76 17.0 14.4 6.3 1985/86 18.3 12.4 7.9 1995/96 15.1 7.8 6.4 19.3 12.8 16.3 4.1 18.3 13.3 18.5 3.9 20.4 12.5 24.0 3.7 15.9 17.1 32.9 4.9 2001/02 13.6 5.2 7.3 15.5 21.8 32.6 4.0 The South American experience is by far the Brazilian sugar industry, supported by an increasingly efficient Colombian industry. Brazil’s recent sugar history revolves around the national alcohol program or Proalcool, launched in 1975, when the 1970s oil crisis hit record high prices. The main goal of Proalcool was to save the country foreign exchange by replacing imported oil with ethanol (fuel alcohol) produced from domestically grown sugar cane. The program received massive government support through subsidies for cane growing and the establishing of new distilleries, and through the automobile industry, which at a time produced cars running solely on ethanol. Because of Proalcool, the Brazilian sugar and ethanol complex acquired high levels of technical efficiency, reaped the benefits of the economies of scale, and achieved certain flexibility because of the possibility of producing ethanol and sugar. The Brazilian alcohol and sugar complex has experienced several readjustments and policy changes, including heavy criticism about the existence of Proalcool itself, but it eventually allowed the Brazilian sugar and alcohol complex to become the single most important factor influencing the stability of world sugar prices. During most of the 1980s and 1990s – and still today – most of the cane grown in Brazil goes to the production of ethanol instead of sugar. In fact, people used to say, sugar was a by-product of ethanol. West Europe and North and Central America (including the Caribbean) saw their contributions, in the best of cases, at a static position. Together the regions accounted for 35.1 percent of the world production in 1970/71 and 32.1 percent in 2001/ 02. The Cuban sugar crisis explains most of the fall in the participation of North and Central America in the world sugar production, a crisis that reached its climax in 2002 with the closure of 71 of the country’s 156 mills. Other Caribbean islands (the Dominican Republic and Jamaica) also experienced production problems, although the Caribbean decline was partially offset by the increased production in Mexico and Guatemala. The fall in sugar production in East Europe was dramatic, and the region lost 12 percentage points (from 17.4 to 5.2 percent) in its share of the world sugar output during the period. The region accelerated its fall in mid 1980s, in relation to the political and economic turmoil before and after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Although production suffered in all countries in the region, major production shortfalls took place in Russia and Ukraine. Chart 1 presents the contribution from each region to the world total sugar production, as well as the trend of growth. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 8 Chart 1 - World Sugar Production by Regions 1970/71 - 1995/96 - 2001/02 45,000.0 Trend: Asia West Europe N&C America Asia South America Trend: South America Africa Trend: N&C America Oceania 40,000.0 1,000 tonnes, raw value 35,000.0 30,000.0 25,000.0 20,000.0 Trend: West Europe 15,000.0 Trend: Africa 10,000.0 Trend: Oceania 5,000.0 1970/71 1995/96 2001/02 Year 2.2. Consumption Production and consumption move together, with the latter usually following the former. In the period, as shown in Table 2, changes similar to those described in the case of production are observed. The Asia region experienced an impressive growth in consumption, accounting for 39.0 percent of the world consumption in 2001/02, up from 23.3 percent in 1972/73. The process was supported by some of the world’s largest sugar consumers such as India, China, Indonesia, Pakistan and Japan, and the so-called newly industrialized countries in the 1970s and 1980s: Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan. Again, as noted with production, Asia accounts for a bigger share of a bigger pie: In 1972/73, total world consumption was 78 million tonnes, compared to 131 million tonnes in 2001/02. West Europe’s share in world sugar consumption fell from 20 to 13.4 percent, while East Europe fell from 19.6 percent to 11 percent. The latter figure is one more aspect of the general crisis that followed the collapse of the Soviet Union. Table 2 - World Sugar Consumption by Regions in percentage 1972/73 – 2001/02 West Europe East Europe Africa North & Central America South America Asia Oceania 1972/73 20.0 19.6 6.3 19.8 9.9 23.3 1.3 1975/76 18.7 19.8 6.5 19.0 11.6 23.2 1.2 1985/86 15.5 18.1 8.5 14.4 11.1 31.4 1.0 1995/96 14.2 11.9 8.6 14.4 11.9 38.0 1.0 The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa 2001/02 13.4 11.1 9.2 14.2 12.1 39.0 1.1 Page 9 The decline in the participation of North and Central America in world sugar consumption relates to the introduction and consolidation of alternative sweeteners, especially the high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) in the soft drink industry of the United States. For instance, Coca Cola and Pepsi Cola decided in late 1984 to replace sugar (from beet and cane) with HFCS in their beverages. At that moment, the two soft drink giants consumed about 1.7 million tonnes of sugar per year in the U.S. alone. By the end of 1986, sugar industry analysts estimated that the consumption of HFCS had replaced around 5 million tonnes of sugar per year in the U.S. only. 2.3. International Sugar Imports and Exports The international sugar market has two main segments, the international “free market” and the preferential markets, which will be discussed in a later section. International sugar trade is expected to be a central issue in the current trade talks on agriculture within the World Trade Organization (WTO), and is already under discussion in several regional free trade agreements in place (COMESA, Mercosur, NAFTA, etc.) The implementation of freer international trade in sugar faces some basic political aspects of the industry itself. On one side, the industry involves the use of land and related resources (water, for instance), which in canebased industries tends to be a long-term venture. On the other, sugar – like few other crops – carries an unusual high political content. This is because in many countries, sugar is a staple food, its consumption sensitive to price changes, and governments tend to respond to organised political pressure (lobbying) from growers and processors in support to the industry. In some countries (European Union, United States), the political lobbying has resulted in the industry being able to acquire and/or develop technology and gain efficiency in field and factory operations. As this report is written, there is news that Brazil and Australia are ready to challenge the EU sugar regime, on the basis that it allowed unfair advantages to EU sugar producers, especially through export subsidies and by the re-exporting of imported sugar under preferential trade arrangements. 3 2.3.1. Imports Sugar imports are estimated at 39 million tonnes in the campaign 2001/02, with close to 40 percent imported into Asia. This new role of Asia, as importer, is the major change in sugar imports in the past thirty years. Asia includes consistent importers such as China, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea and Malaysia; and countries with somewhat erratic behaviour like Pakistan. In the long-term, the region is expected to continue importing sugar, because no major investments in production facilities have been realised. 3 Brazil and Australia did request a “dispute resolution,” the initial step in a formal challenge under the WTO, on 27 September 2002. India and Thailand said they would support the challenge, while the Caribbean countries and Fiji were the first to defend the privileges of the ACP countries under the ACP/European Union sugar arrangement. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 10 West Europe’s relative decline in imports is due to an increase in sugar production (the European Economic Community was a net importer in the early 1970s). The growth in African imports, reflect mainly the needs of countries north of the Sahara (Algeria, Egypt, Morocco) and of Nigeria. Table 3 - World Sugar Imports by Regions in percentage 1972/73 – 2001/02 West Europe East Europe Africa North & Central America South America Asia Oceania 1972/73 20.5 14.1 7.4 28.0 1.5 27.7 0.8 1975/76 19.1 20.3 7.5 25.5 1.0 25.8 0.9 1985/86 11.4 23.0 11.9 12.0 1.2 39.6 0.8 1995/96 14.7 19.4 13.5 10.6 2.7 38.4 0.7 2001/02 16.1 19.4 14.2 8.6 1.9 39.2 0.6 2.3.2. Exports Sugar exports in the 2001/02 campaign are estimated at 41.2 million tonnes, of which almost a quarter originates in South America (i.e. Brazil) and a fifth in West Europe, mostly high-quality refined sugar from the European Union. Brazil has always had an industry key to the world sugar situation and continues to be a special case in terms of volume and potential for development. Since the late 1980s, Brazil’s export capacity has grown exponentially – driven by the Centre-South region – to the extent that the country became the most important single factor in the determining the fate of international sugar prices. In the late 1980s, Brazil exported 2.5 million tonnes per year; in 1999, it exported close to 12 million tonnes. In the current 2002/03 campaign, Brazil will export slightly over 10 million tonnes. 4 The European Union (formerly the European Economic Community) was a net importer in the early 1970s. Years later, after a very effective support from the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), the EU has become one of the world’s largest sugar exporter, consistently ranking among the top three exporters. (In the 1970s, the EEC comprised only 6 countries; nowadays the EU has 15 country members; there are another 10 at different stages of their accession program.) 4 The structure of the international sugar trade has also changed in the past thirty years. In addition to improved efficiencies in beet and cane growing and processing, and policy-related matters, there are external factors influencing the industry. Brazil is a good example. The ability of Brazilian sugar to penetrate new markets relates to its relative low costs and better quality (the “high polarization raw” over less purer raw sugar), in combination with cheaper freight, that lowers transportation costs, and the devaluation of the Brazilian currency that, although a transitory situation, makes Brazilian sugar cheaper in comparison to sugar from other origins. In January 1999, the Brazilian real stood at par with the U.S. dollar; at the moment of writing the exchange rate is BRL 3.12 = USD 1.00. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 11 Table 4 - Sugar Exports by Regions in percentage 1972/73 – 2001/02 West Europe East Europe Africa North & Central America South America Asia Oceania 1972/73 11.7 4.1 10.8 1975/76 13.2 3.3 9.3 1985/86 20.4 5.0 9.7 1995/96 17.0 6.3 7.5 35.8 16.5 11.7 9.5 36.8 9.2 17.8 10.4 32.5 11.1 10.9 10.3 18.2 17.8 20.5 12.8 2001/02 20.2 2.3 9.7 15.3 25.8 17.0 9.8 2.4. Preferential markets A preferential market is an agreement that gives suppliers the opportunity to sell a certain volume of sugar at premium prices and in long-term arrangements. Prices are usually above the “free market” prices and closely linked to prices that domestic producers enjoy. At present, there are only two of such arrangements: the European Union and the United States. In the 1970-2002 period the most important change in preferential markets was the disappearance of the Cuba-Soviet bloc trade agreement, with covered some 3 million tonnes of sugar per year. The arrangement ended with the collapse of the Soviet Union and what is left are some sugar-for-oil barter agreements based on international prices of the commodities. Meanwhile, the existing preferential markets are under a growing pressure to reform. The European Union still maintains a 25-year old agreement with the African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) countries for the importation of 1.3 million tonnes of sugar (white value). Sugar prices in this market fluctuate around US 21 cents per pound (depending on the value of the Euro against the US dollar), which are related to prices paid to EU sugar producers. This amount of sugar is known as Sugar Protocol (SP). In 1995, the EU introduced the Special Preferential Sugar arrangement (SPS) to ensure raw sugar supplies to refineries in Portugal and Finland. The amount of sugar under the SPS is negotiated annually and prices are about 85 percent of the Sugar Protocol quotas. The SPS are in place until 2006, having been renewed in June 2001. The EU-ACP sugar agreement, however, is under growing pressure because of several developments. First is the process of reform of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) that includes the domestic sugar regime. Second, the process of enlargement of the EU to include Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) – some are sugar producers – and, third, the trade initiative “Everything but Arms” (EBA), which grant duty- and quota-free access to the European markets to products, including sugar, from the world’s 48 least developed countries (LDCs). A related but secondary process is the free trade agreement with the Western Balkans. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 12 Table 5 – EU-ACP Sugar Protocol Quotas (metric tons, white sugar equivalent) Country PR Congo Ivory Coast Madagascar Malawi Mauritius Swaziland Tanzania Zimbabwe Total Africa Total EU-ACP Amount 10,186.1 10,186.1 10,760.0 20,824.4 491,030.5 117,844.5 10,186.1 30,224.8 701,242.5 1,304,700.0 Country Barbados Belize Guyana Jamaica St. Kitts-Nevis Trinidad & Tobago Fiji India Rest ACP + India Amount 50,312.4 40,348.8 159,410.1 118,696.0 15,590.9 43,751.0 165,348.3 10,000.0 603,457.5 The United States renewed (and improved) the protection to the domestic sugar industry in early 2002, when government passed the new Farm Act. The tariff-rate sugar quota (TRQ) in the United States grants preferential treatment to 40 countries on 1.117 million tonnes of sugar (raw value), at prices that fluctuate around US 18 cents per pound. The long-term future of this arrangement is, at best, uncertain. On one hand, the U.S. sugar industry has a powerful lobby that has shown more than once its ability to influence government policy. On the other, a resolution to the 4-year old sugar and sweetener dispute between Mexico and the United States under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) might result in an unworkable system to the current tariff-rate quota suppliers. A combination of the two may result in a drastic reduction of preferential treatment to the traditional sugar suppliers under the TRQ. Table 6 – United States. Tariff-rate Sugar Quota Fiscal Year 2003 (October – September, metric tonnes, raw value) Country Argentina Australia Brazil Dominican Republic Guatemala Philippines Other 24 countries Total other countries U.S. Tariff-rate quota Volume 45,281 87,402 152,691 185,335 50,546 142,160 334,184 997,599 1,117,195 Country Congo Cote d'Ivoire Gabon Madagascar Malawi Mauritius Mozambique South Africa Swaziland Zimbabwe Total Africa The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Volume 7,258 7,258 7,258 7,258 10,530 12,636 13,690 24,220 16,849 12,636 119,593 Page 13 2.5. International “free market” prices The international “free market” price of sugar is considered as the most volatile of all prices of basic commodities, mainly because the “residual” nature of the market and the composition of the demand side. A “residual” nature of the market refers to the fact that several countries use the international market to dispose their surpluses after having covered domestic consumption and preferential markets. The latter two segments tend to cover fixed costs and producers are willing to sell surpluses at lower prices. On the demand side, analysts have noted that, for several years, industrialised countries have been the major sugar importers, who are consumers with a relatively inelastic demand (i.e. they continue buying even when prices rise). This changed in the recent past (as described in the section on consumers and importers) and developing countries, which tend to respond quickly to price changes, have taken prominence on the demand side. In the late 1990s, with the increase of refining capacity in the international sugar industry, in particular due to the new refineries built in the Middle East, the demand for raw sugar is increasing, reverting a trend that saw more refined sugar being traded over raw sugar. The quality of sugar has also become an important factor in sugar trade, especially in reference to the high polarization raw sugar from Brazil and smaller markets for specialty sugars. Chart 2 shows the fluctuations of the sugar price in the past four decades, based on the yearly average price as measured by the International Sugar Agreement (ISA).5 The 1970s were a highly volatile period; it experience two dramatic situations. First, the boon prices of 1974/75, when the monthly average ISA price reached a peak of US 56.14 per pound in November 1974 (daily spot prices were as high as US 66 cents per pound), and, second, the 1979/80 peak where prices climbed to US 40.56 cents per pound in October 1980. However, deep valleys surrounded the peaks: In November 1973 the ISA average price was US 10.14 cents per pound, immediately before the 1974/75 peak and in June 1985, sugar prices dropped to US 2.78 cents per pound, sugar’s lowest real price in modern history. Analysis tend to say that after these dramatic fluctuations, international sugar prices have known quieter times, moving in the range of US 7-15 cents per pound. They recognized, however, that although it is effectively a narrower band than previously known, prices can vary greatly in proportional terms. 5 The ISA Daily Price is the arithmetical average of the New York Coffee and Sugar Exchange Contract No 11 spot price and the London Daily Price, after conversion of the latter to U.S. cents per pound, fob and stowed Caribbean port in bulk. If the difference between the fob prices is more than ten points, five points are added to the lower of the two prices. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 14 Chart 2 - International Sugar Agreement (ISA) Prices 1960-2001 Raw Sugar Prices 35.00 30.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 19 60 19 62 19 64 19 66 19 68 19 70 19 72 19 74 19 76 19 78 19 80 19 82 19 84 19 86 19 88 19 90 19 92 19 94 19 96 19 98 20 00 US cents/lb 25.00 Year The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 15 II. The Sugar Industries in East and Southern Africa (1998-2002) The African continent is a small player in the international sugar industry. Table 7 shows the contribution of Africa to the world sugar economy in terms of production, consumption and exports; all item are below 10 per cent, and only imports goes above 14.2 percent of the world 6 figures for 2001/02. Table 7 – African participation in the World Sugar Industry in percentage Production Consumption Imports Exports 1975/76 1985/86 1995/96 2001/02 6.3 6.5 7.5 9.3 7.9 8.5 11.9 9.7 6.4 8.6 13.5 7.5 7.3 9.2 14.2 9.7 The small size of the African industry, however, does not preclude the diversity in the configuration of the industries. For instance, countries north of the Sahara are net importers (Algeria, Morocco) but Egypt has a very complex industry that includes beet, cane and corn sweeteners. Down south, South Africa and Swaziland, along with Zambia and Malawi, are technically well-established industries of a high level of efficiency, which rank among the lowest cost producers in the world – especially the latter two. In the same area, Mozambique is rebuilding its industry after years of war and destruction. In the Indian Ocean, the sugar industry of Mauritius has a peculiar configuration with 93 per cent of its arable land under cane and a heavy dependence on the EU preferential market. (The Mauritian sugar industry has more in common with the sugar industries in the Caribbean islands than with the industries in the African continent.) The sugar industries described in this section are those from Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Zambia, Malawi, Swaziland, South Africa, Mozambique, Mauritius and Zimbabwe. This section gives an overview of the most recent developments in the industries, against the larger international background described in the previous section. There is an effort to group the industries according to some common features, which might help identifying a basic approach for a trade union work in the region. 6 Basic information on these and other African industries appeared in the 1997 study: The African Sugar Industry: Situation and Outlook. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 16 3. Net Importers in East Africa: Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania Sugar production in the three East Africa sugar industries (Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania) is below consumption and the countries import sugar to cover their domestic needs. This places the countries in a different position than the rest of industries dealt with in this report. All three industries (especially Kenya and Uganda) have experienced harsh competition from sugar imports under the COMESA regional trade agreement while their industries are in a process of change. In the three industries, the state has had an important participation until very recently. Tanzania finalized a privatisation process in 2000/01; Uganda, after expelled Asian groups returned to the country to take over previously owned businesses, is finalizing the privatisation of the industry with the sale of the minority stake the government holds in different companies; and the state still maintains a participation in all mills of the highly politicised industry of Kenya. 3.1. Kenya The sugar industry in Kenya is highly politicised. On-going disputes involving most of the sugar groups and the state, epitomized in the passing of a new Sugar Act in 2001, have marked the past three years. The Kenyan sugar industry has seven mills listed. Two of them, Miwani and Muhoroni, have been under receivership since early 2001 and their future remains uncertain, even when Muhoroni reopened in late 2001. Some sugar groups have called for their closure; some others, especially cane growers, have demanded government support for their rehabilitation and reorganization, which should include ending political interference and introducing (i.e. hiring) skilled professionals for the managing of the mills, on the other. Table 8 - Kenya: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 (tonnes, raw value) Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Production 414,378 358,844 417,577 422,977 436,336 488,187 512,262 436,938 Imports 69,000 182,073 118,360 71,549 56,678 203,390 62,660 125,912 Exports 0 0 26,853 26,607 26,956 0 0 3,260 Net Trade (69,000) (182,073) (91,507) (44,942) (29,722) (203,390) (62,660) (122,652) Consumption 608,720 619,590 510,000 500,000 525,000 650,000 662,412 662,520 Ending Stocks 426,307 317,634 316,718 284,637 225,695 266,272 178,782 75,852 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 The case of the Miwani and Muhoroni exemplified some of the basic challenges for the Kenya sugar industry. In early 2001, when the government was considering placing both mills under The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 17 receivership, cane grower and other sugar groups demanded from the Kenya Sugar Authority (KSA) a clear explanation on the mills’ debt situation, which the KSA estimated at USD 26.9 million. The growers said that an investigation by the Kenya Sugarcane Growers Association (KESGA) had found no proof of any monies transferred to the mills, as stated the KSA. The denunciation went further when KESGA officials accused top industry officials of diverting funds earmarked for the industry to other ends. Kenya’ sugar industry is concentrated in the provinces of Western, Nyanza and Rift Valley; there are some 135,000 cane growers – around 100,000 of them in Western –, who constitute an important political force. Cane growers are usually organized in outgrower associations, which, although designed to represent them before the miller, they seem to have become an end in themselves and nowadays negotiate with the growers as an independent organization. Some of these outgrower associations are quite powerful in political terms, like in the case of the Mumias Outgrowers Co. (MOCO): there are some 70,000 farmers supplying cane to Mumias. Such 7 political weigh was indeed a major force in the passing of the Sugar Act in April 2002. Among the several matters dealt with in the Sugar Act of 2002, two important factors directly relate to the miller-farmer relations. The first is that the cane would be paid according to quality or sucrose content, within 30 days of its delivery to the mill. In the sugar industry, it is generally accepted that payments based on quality are more objective that payments based of weigh. The challenge, however, is whether the industry has the tools and expertise to implement the new system and if cane growers have the means to improve the quality of their cane. A second and controversial measure is that weighing of cane would be done in the fields. This aims at avoiding significant losses to farmers due to spillage during cane transportation, and to transfer on to the millers some of the costs of harvesting and transporting the cane. Some basic questions are still to be resolved, such like the technical aspects of actually weighing cane in the fields, which requires portable weigh bridges, the new costs involved in acquiring such bridges and moving them around and, of course. coordinating harvesting operations in several locations. The Sugar Act created the Kenya Sugar Board (KSB) to replace the Kenya Sugar Authority (KSA). The new 14-member KSB has a strong representation of cane farmers, who elect seven representatives; millers elect three representatives, and another four are government officials. There is no representative of workers and unions. The main objectives of the new KSB are to regulate and promote the industry, and coordinate activities among the industry’s stakeholders. Some more specific responsibilities of the KSB are to develop research, monitor domestic markets, facilitate exports, facilitate a mechanism for fixing cane prices, collect and maintain statistical information and, also, regulating production through licensing mills and “jaggeries” (non-centrifugal sugar). The KSB will be financed with resources from the national budget – as 7 The information on the Sugar Act here presented refers to the 2001 proposal. After the Act was passed in April 2002, there was news that amendments had been introduced but it was not possible for this writer to identify the changes. The Nairobi-based The Nation said on 5 September 2002 that the Kenya Sugar Board wants to clarify some of the new rules in the Sugar Act and wants new arrangements between farmers, outgrower institutions and millers. Among the issues to be decided are the terms and conditions of cane harvesting and the production and transportation of cane and sugar. A key matter to agree on is a formula to determine cane prices. The newspaper reported that Chemelil, a mill, adopted a new system of cane payments based on (sugar) market prices. The system, the company claims, is in line with “international standards.” At present, with the new system farmers will receive less than the fixed cane price. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 18 decided by Parliament – mostly through a levy on domestic and imported sugar (the Sugar Development Levy) and funds provided by bilateral or multilateral donors. The passing of the Sugar Act was not a success. Even before its publication in the official gazette, the minister of agriculture said that the Act was flawed and should be returned to Parliament for revision. The political weigh of the industry appeared quickly when several politicians threatened to “mobilize” the farmers to pressure the millers to introduce the regulations of the Act. At the time of writing (August 2002), news from Kenya still talks about disputes between millers and farmers on the regulations contained in the new Act. The new Sugar Act appears as one episode in a series of sugar policy difficulties, among which, sugar imports have played a prominent role following the introduction of the free trade within COMESA in October 2000. Since January 2001, quite inexpensive sugar imports flooded the Kenyan domestic market. News said that sugar imports sold at USD 310 per tonne, compared to a reported domestic cost of production of USD 625 per tonne. Not surprisingly, millers complained they were unable to sell about 20 percent of their sugar production. The problems around imported sugar from COMESA have two distinct aspects. One relates to the process of COMESA that decided that a free trade area would be in force in East and Southern Africa by January 2001. Although announced several years in advance, the sugar industries (and governments) in the region were not ready to implement the free trade area agreement. The second aspect relates to the so-called “rules of origin.” There were several complains that a good portion of the supposedly COMESA sugar did not originate within COMESA but was imported from third countries, like Brazil and Thailand. After a year of significant imports – and endless complains by millers –, the government decided to introduce a 200,000-tonne duty-free quota on COMESA sugar in February 2002. The decision was taken ostensibly to protect the domestic industry from unfair competition and was negotiated with COMESA. It is based on what is statistically Kenya’s yearly sugar deficit: roughly a consumption of 600,000 tonnes against production of 450,000 tonnes. The sugar quota will be in place for one year (until early 2003). All sugar imported outside quota will pay a 100 percent tariff. In a related process, the government said in January 2000 it would float twenty-five percent share of the Mumias Sugar Company on the Nairobi Stock Exchange. The government holds 71 percent stake in the company, which owns the largest sugar mill in the country. The government said it had plans to sell 20 percent share of the company to cane growers and 5 percent to workers and would retain 21 percent share. (The government was also willing to hold in trust the 25 percent destined to growers and workers, if they did not have the financial resources to acquire the shares at that moment.) The privatisation of Mumias was announced in mid 1990s, in response to proposals from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund to privatise state-owned enterprises. Mumias Sugar is management by the multinational Booker Tate. At the moment of writing, the future of Miwani and Muhoroni has not yet been decided. There is news that the Sudanese Kenana Sugar, a company in an expansion mode, is interested in acquiring ownership in the companies or working a joint venture agreement with the government. 3.2. Uganda Following years of war and destruction in the 1970s and 1980s, sugar production in Uganda collapsed from an annual average of 160,000 tonnes to less than 20,000 in the early 1980s. The The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 19 sugar industry suffered badly and lost expertise when the Idi Amin dictatorship expelled Ugandan population of Asian background, mainly of Indian descent. A long-term rebuilding of the industry began in mid 1980s, when the government invited some of the expelled Asians to return and take back their previously owned businesses, among them, the sugar industry. The sugar industry in Uganda comprises three companies; Kakira Sugar Works, the Sugar Corporation of Uganda Limited (SCOUL) and Kinyara Sugar Works. They employ some 21,000 workers and there are several thousands of cane growers. In the 1990s, production has been steadily recovering to the pre-1970s levels, and sugar groups are optimistic that production may easily increase due to new investments and expansion plans. In 2001, production was 135,000 tonnes; in 2002, it may reach 150,000 tonnes. Table 9 - Uganda: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 (tonnes, raw value) Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Production 54,000 48,000 76,000 109,000 145,000 111,000 137,000 130,000 Imports 1,000 15,249 39,844 6,377 10,172 6,734 4,700 27,594 Exports 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Net Trade (1,000) (15,249) (39,844) (6,377) (10,172) (6,734) (4,700) (27,594) Consumption 55,000 65,000 100,000 100,000 150,000 150,000 150,000 155,000 Ending Stocks 36,306 34,555 50,399 65,776 70,948 38,682 30,382 32,976 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 In 1998, the government announced the privatisation of Kakira and Kinyara, having SCOUL been reopened in 1988 under the control of the Metha Group, the previous owners. Kakira Sugar Works is the largest of the three mills. The Madhvani Group, the previous owners, acquired complete ownership of Kakira in July 2000 after buying a 30 percent stake owned by the government. (The East African Holdings Ltd. (EAH), a subsidiary of the Madhvani Group, completed the transaction.) Kakira accounts for about half of the national sugar production and has expansion plants, including the development of a 1,200-hectare plantation in Butamira, a man-made reserve forest. The Butamira case is an interesting example of the situation of the Ugandan sugar industry. It describes the possibility for increasing production, but also the type of working relationship between the sugar groups. The government had given Kakira a 50-year lease on the forest reserve, where the company had planed to develop a 1,000-hectare sugar plantation – from the 1,200 hectares available. These plans would allow the company to pursue its objective of increasing annual production to 100,000 tonnes of sugar by 2004, from the current 60,000 tonnes. (At present Kakira owns 7,600 hectares under cane and independent farmers grow another 7,100 hectares.) The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 20 The Muljibhai Madhvani & Co. Ltd. (MMCL) had a 49-year lease on the Butamira reserve issued in 1949 and, for several years, the reserve was a source of firewood (energy) for the factory. In 1995, Kakira’s factory switched to bagasse as energy source. When the original Butamira lease expired in 1998, a new lease was extended on a “general purpose” basis, which Kakira used to propose transforming the forest reserve into a sugar cane plantation. Kakira expansion plans met with the resistance of local and community groups that, in recent years, had had permits to grow eucalyptus trees for firewood as well as other crops. There are 16 villages near the Butamira reserve, with a population of 8,000 people. As part of the project, the government offered to relocate some of the population and compensate those using the reserve for firewood. In March 2002, Parliament voted in favour of giving Kakira Sugar Works the right to develop a cane plantation in Butamira. It was said the program would create 600 new jobs. One aspect of Kakira expansion plans was the growing uncertainty among cane farmers (“outgrowers”) about their working relationship with Kakira, which, by accident, was witnessed by the IUF delegation visiting Kakira in March 2002. Representatives of the Bugosa outgrowers association complained that the mill was not buying enough cane from them and feared their 8 situation might become more precarious were the mill to expand its own plantation. In July 2002, there was news that around 1,000 outgrowers and “dozens of unregistered jaggeries” were considering setting up an independent mill to process their cane. According to the groups, the new mill would successfully compete with Kakira. Kinyara Sugar Works, the second largest sugar company, was listed again for privatisation in early 2002, along with other 38 state-owned companies. The proposal was to privatise it through floating the company shares on the stock exchange, instead of following an earlier idea of selling a 70 percent stake to a single investor. Kinyara shares would be listed on the stock exchange before the end of 2002. Kinyara produces about 50,000 tonnes of sugar per year, processing cane from a 7,800-hectare plantation and some 3,000 hectares from outgrowers. Kinyara has a good possibility to increase production to 75,000 tonnes in the next 5 to 10 years, and to 150,000 tonnes in the longer run. Since 1991, Booker Tate has a management contract in Kinyara and appears interested in acquiring a controlling majority when the company is privatised. The Metha Family runs the Sugar Corporation of Uganda (SCOUL), the third company in the country, since the late 1980s. The government announced it would sell the 30 percent stake it holds in the company. Uganda as a net sugar importer has experienced trade problems in ways similar to Kenya. In 2002, Uganda has seen an influx of imported sugar, which, according to domestic producers is smuggled sugar but also undeclared sugar that pays no import duties. The difficulties to apply import regulations resurfaced in figures quoted by the International Sugar Organization: 20,000 tonnes imported from “unknown” origins only in 2000. In 2001 and 2002, Uganda’s sugar industry faced stiff competition from these sugars (smuggled and undeclared), which sell at a 10 to 15 percent discount on domestically produced sugar. Illegal trade also flows out of the country, 8 Management of the mill complained that in 2001 the outgrowers chose to sell their cane to the “jaggeries” (non-centrifugal sugar) because payments were on the spot and in cash, and, as a result, the mill had experienced cane shortages. Besides, management said, outgrowers were using funds made available by the mill for cane growing for other purposes. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 21 towards Kenya. In September 2000, the Ugandan newspaper The Monitor wrote: “Fleets of bicycles and trucks loaded with sugar cross the border points (at Busia and Malaba) daily.” 3.3. Tanzania Quite recently, the sugar industry in Tanzania finished a privatisation process that started in 1998. The five sugar factories owned by the government: Kilombero (with Ruembe and Msolwa), Tanganyika Planting Co. (Moshi), Mtibwa and Kagera were transferred to the private sector, in a process that has opened several lines of future developments. Kilombero was acquired by the South Africa-based Illovo Sugar in 1998, Mtibwa and Kagera were bought by a local group, and TPC’s Moshi was acquired by a Mauritian group in 2000. (Incidentally, Mtibwa is managed by Mauritius-trained staff.) The shape the Tanzanian industry is taking has close links to the corporate developments in the rest of the African region. One is the participation of Illovo Sugar, the largest sugar producer in Africa; the other is to be at the receiving end of the exportation of Mauritian sugar capital and expertise to the continent. This is clear in three of the five privatised mills. The Tanganyika Planting Co. was acquired by the Sucrerie des Mascarareignes Ltd., where the main shareholders are the Deep River Beau Champ from Mauritius (60 percent shares), and Quartier Francais from the Reunion Island (40 percent). In a later deal the Consolidated Investment Enterprise Ltd. (CIEL) of Mauritius and a bank consortium led by Barclays Bank agreed to a USD 15 million rehabilitation program for the company, which plans to increase production from 40,000 tonnes in 2001 to 72,000 tonnes by 2006. The TPC was nationalized in 1979 and privatised in 2000. The acquisition of Kilombero Sugar by Illovo more clearly inserts the Tanzanian industry in a regional corporate strategy including some, apparently, new labour practices. 9 In early June some 3,000 workers of the Kilombero Sugar Company (KSC) went on strike demanding the reinstatement of 61 workers who had been dismissed without respecting existing labour laws on retrenchment, including failing to pay them their severance package. The case highlighted the job security issue, which was under threat because of the privatisation and restructuring process. The strike lasted for about four weeks. In early July, in a move to appease Illovo Sugar, the Tanzanian government cancelled all 3,000 workers at Kilombero and paid their severance benefits. Illovo was then free to decide on its new labour and industrial relations, which included a drastic reduction of personal (from 3,000 to about 900 workers) and contracting out (“outsourcing”) several work areas. (For instance, Illovo contracted out the cane loading and hauling operations to Unitrans Tanzania Ltd. Murray & Roberts, owner of Booker Tate, has a substantial interest in Unitrans, the parent company of Unitrans Tanzania.). Interestingly enough, as to show some of the business style, Illovo had complained that smuggled sugar and the workers’ strike had had a negative impact on its business, and had threatened to leave the country. 9 Illovo Sugar had been until 1997, a company with South African concerns. In 1997, it acquired Lonhro plc and expanded interests to Malawi, Swaziland and Mauritius. In 2001, it sold its Mauritian concerns and bought Zambia Sugar from Tate & Lyle, having invested already in Maragra (Mozambique) and Kilombero (Tanzania). The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 22 Table 10 – Tanzania: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 (tonnes, raw value) Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Production 120,000 130,000 110,000 100,000 84,455 110,200 113,622 130,000 Imports 36,000 25,467 47,935 70,826 127,507 128,807 56,340 88,583 Exports 11,000 105,871 11,272 12,806 13,358 22,121 12,860 17,375 Net Trade (25,000) 80,404 (36,663) (58,020) (114,149) (106,686) (43,480) (71,208) Consumption 120,000 115,000 120,000 160,000 175,000 200,000 200,000 207,500 Ending Stocks 80,929 15,525 42,188 40,208 63,812 80,698 37,800 31,508 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 As a net sugar importer, Tanzania suffers similar trade problems as Kenya and Uganda. One is the illegal trade and irregular, or at best, lax import regulations, the other, being close to some of the lowest cost producers in the world. Because Tanzania left COMESA in September 2000, these trade-related difficulties are somehow independent from a regional free trade agreement and could shed some light on the kind of trade structure and channels in the region. For some years, illegal trade and smuggling of sugar through several ports on Indian Ocean have been a major problem, not only for sugar but also for the economy in general. Until 2000 Zanzibar and 30 other smaller ports were major entry points of smuggled sugar, but then the Tanzania Revenue Authority (TRA) restricted sugar importation to three ports: Dar-es-Salaam, Tanga and Mtwapa. The move, according to local producers, stemmed the use of Zanzibar as a channel for illegal sugar. In 2001, Tanzania experienced another set problem common to several countries in the region: the weak enforcement of policies and regulations on imports. In May 2001, the minister of industry and commerce authorised the importation of some 100,000 tonnes, in a decision that quickly became a political scandal, when it was known that authorisations have been made without proper procedure. The minister resigned in November 2001. In September 2001, all millers (Kilombero, Mtibwa and TPC) said they would have to temporarily stop operations if sugar imports continued. According to the groups, illegal sugar flooding the domestic market made competition impossible. According Kilombero officials, for instance, the domestic cost of production was about USD 28 cents per pound in 2000. This was almost 2.5 times the average international “free market” price for the whole 2000 (and almost 4.5 times the average international price for the month of June 2002). These figures support the other side of the dispute: According to sugar users domestic prices are too high in comparison to sugar available in the international free market. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 23 4. Deep Inside Illovo’s World: Zambia and Malawi Although Illovo Sugar is present in several countries in the region, Zambia and Malawi are special cases in Illovo’s world. The countries rank among the lowest cost producers in the world, and Illovo, through its subsidiaries, completely dominate the industries, where it is the only cane processing company. Both countries are net exporters; they benefit from access to preferential markets in the European Union (EU) and the United States and considered part of the world’s 48 least developed countries (LDCs) able to benefit from EU’s trade initiative “Everything but 10 Arms”. 4.1. Zambia The most important event in recent years was the acquisition of Zambia Sugar by Illovo Sugar between February and May 2001. Illovo first bought 50.87 percent share from Tate & Lyle for USD 11.4 million, and then made the same offer to minority holders of Zambia Sugar, boosting its ownership to close to 89 percent. Zambia Sugar has an 11,000-hectare plantation, a mill of 8,000 tonnes of daily processing capacity, and a refinery. There are close to 3,000 workers, including permanent and seasonal. Table 11 – Zambia: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 (tonnes, raw value) Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Production 146,598 150,000 150,504 166,449 174,024 172,600 210,000 190,000 Imports 0 124 0 0 2,470 2,564 20 4,438 Exports 50,854 45,000 68,531 74,572 62,671 86,800 3,495 47,191 Net Trade 50,854 44,876 68,531 74,572 60,201 84,236 3,475 42,753 Consumption 86,390 105,000 152,044 154,261 73,909 85,000 115,000 145,000 Ending Stocks 169,475 169,599 99,528 37,144 77,048 80,412 171,937 174,184 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 Table 12 – Zambia Sugar Exports 1997- 2000 (tonnes, raw value) 2000 1999 1998 10 1997 The “Everything but Arms” initiative, passed in February 2001, grants duty- and quota-free access to European Union’s markets to all products, including sugar, from the world’s 48 LDCs. The free trade in sugar will be in place in 2009, following the phase-out of import tariffs in 20062008, which combines with a sugar quota for the LDCs in 2001-2008. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 24 European Union Congo Rep. of Others Total 46,946 0 245 47,191 3,195 0 216 3,495 12,826 56,460 17,514 86,800 12,826 45,567 4,278 62,671 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 In late 1990s, there was news that the Luena Sugar Project in Luapula Province, was again under study. The project would include a 12,000-hectare sugar plantation, located 60 km south of Kawambwa; a sugar factory with a production capacity of 130,000 tonnes per year and a distillery with 109 million litres of alcohol per year. There would be some 5,000-cane outgrowers supplying cane, and over 4,000 jobs created for permanent and seasonal workers. In 1999, a Pakistani group of companies expressed interest in participating in the project. (The project was initially identified in 1975.) In June 2002, the Indian Sugar & General Engineering Corporation (ISGEC) from India announced it had signed a USD 5 million contract to provide machinery for an integrated sugar plant near Lusaka. The plant includes the cogeneration of electricity from bagasse. Local sources reported that the plant belonged to Consolidated Farming Limited, a subsidiary of the Sable Group Zambia. Construction works would start in April 2003. 4.2. Malawi Illovo acquired the only two mills in Malawi, Nchalo and Dwangwa, in 1997, as part of the transaction to buy Lonhro plc, then a major player in the sugar regional industry. The Sugar Company of Malawi (Sucoma), run the Nchalo mill and Illovo holds 60 percent of the shares, with the balance held by the government and institutional and private investors. The Dwangwa Sugar Corp. runs the Dwangwa mill. From their total annual production of 208,000 tonnes of sugar, some 126,000 tonnes go to the domestic market and the balance in the preferential markets in the European Union and the United States. The crisis in Zimbabwe recently provoked further trade distortions. In October 2001, Sucoma complained that the Zimbabwe crisis allowed traders to buy inexpensive Zimbabwe sugar and sell it in the Malawi domestic market. In mid 2002, the government established a new import licensing system, making Sucoma and other traders, who previously sourced their sugar from Sucoma, the only authorised importers. Table 13 - Malawi: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 (tonnes, raw value) Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Production 137,010 213,155 241,331 233,759 209,720 209,705 Imports 0 12,722 0 0 1,563 15,151 Exports 26,636 43,216 64,729 57,127 51,406 67,224 Net Trade 26,636 30,494 64,729 57,127 49,843 52,073 Consumption 161,885 148,593 164,025 173,366 177,684 158,313 The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Ending Stocks 50,203 87,271 99,848 103,114 85,307 84,626 Page 25 1999 2000 187,392 208,804 0 4,725 47,395 64,890 47,395 60,165 137,195 126,644 87,428 109,423 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 Table 14 – Malawi Sugar Exports 1997- 2000 (tonnes, raw value) European Union Portugal United States Kenya Unknown Others Total 2000 19,923 19,362 10,496 6,184 0 8,925 64,890 1999 36,807 0 10,588 0 0 0 47,395 1998 67,224 0 0 0 0 0 67,224 1997 21,695 0 0 0 26,395 3,316 51,406 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 Another interesting feature for a small sugar industry are capital-raising strategies through the stock exchange. Sucoma was incorporated in 1965 and publicly listed in 1997, when it sold shares to domestic investors. In April 1998 also sold shares to foreign investors. In July 2002, Sucoma’s shareholders approved a proposal to raise USD 2.4 million through issuing new stock, which would be offered in September 2002. (The episode has other aspects as well, such as the investors’ expected returns and the pressure they exert on the company to reduce costs and increased profits.) 5. Swaziland The Swazi industry is a well-established industry with three factories and two companies. In 2002, Mhlume Sugar Company and Simunye Sugar Estate merged their operations. Mhlume has a mill with a 7,000 tdc and Simunye a 7,200 tdc mill and a refinery. Simunye was planning to increase its ethanol production, aiming at the U.S. market, in particular California. Production from Mhlume and Simunye is estimated at 300,000 tonnes of sugar in 2001/02. The other company is Ubombo Ranches with a production of 220,000 tonnes of sugar in an 8,400 tdc mill and a refinery of 500 tdc. Ubombo is a subsidiary of Illovo Sugar, which controls 60 percent of the company while the Tibiyo Taka Ngwane holds the other 40 percent on behalf of the Swazi government. The two processing companies produce about 60 percent of the cane. The remaining of the cane is grown by four large growers with over 1,000 hectares of land each (including Tongaat-Hulett’s Tambankulu plantation), 30 medium-size growers (50-100 h) and around 350 small-scale growers (less than 50 h). (USDA FAS Report, August 2002.) The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 26 Table 15 - Swaziland: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 (tonnes, raw value) Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Production 458,327 473,809 418,969 458,299 457,437 537,096 571,051 552,979 Imports 0 6,956 0 0 0 0 0 0 Exports 363,281 266,746 275,204 241,306 229,274 256,527 215,609 339,298 Net Trade 363,281 259,790 275,204 241,306 229,274 256,527 215,609 339,298 Consumption 103,328 141,005 174,009 188,350 186,918 249,500 275,105 245,808 Ending Stocks 186,009 259,023 228,779 257,422 298,667 329,736 410,073 377,946 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2002 The country’s entire sugar production is marketed through the Swaziland Sugar Association, with some 50 percent going to the Southern African Custom Union (SACU), 33 percent to the European Union and the United States and 17 percent to regional and world markets. A note on Swaziland’s statistics is the apparent anomaly in the per capita annual sugar consumption, which the highest in the world at 245.8 kilograms or 12 times the world average of 20.7 kilos. This probably relates to non-documented sales to South Africa and the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). In February 1998, the USDA reported, South Africa and Swaziland agreed that Swazi exports to SACU would not exceed a certain undisclosed volume; volume that international sources believe set at 260,000 tonnes of sugar per year. Local sources provide some other information, for instance, that the food industry uses most of the sugar in export products (fruit juices, confectionary, etc.), which mainly go to South Africa. Table 16 – Swaziland Sugar Exports 1997- 2000 (tonnes, raw value) European Union Iran Malaysia Russian Fed. Saudi Arabia United States Others Total 2000 181,637 21,086 24,354 45,648 23,195 34,022 30,442 339,298 1999 169,493 0 0 0 0 17,655 28,461 215,609 1998 216,519 0 0 0 0 3,350 36,658 256,527 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa 1997 178,706 0 0 0 0 27,641 22,927 229,274 Page 27 6. South Africa Established in the second half of the 1800s, the South African sugar industry is the largest in Africa and ranks among the world’s largest cane sugar producers. It is considered a low-cost sugar producer of high quality raw and refined sugars. Main sugar cane producing areas are the KwaZulu-Natal province and the eastern region of the Mpumalanga province. The cane is processed in fifteen mills; five of them have refineries attached, and there is a stand-alone refinery in Durban. Ownership of the factory facilities is concentrated in two groups: Illovo Sugar and Tongaat-Hulett, with Transvaal Sugar being a small partner in the industry. Table 17 - South Africa: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 (tonnes, raw value) Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Production 1,282,157 1,777,253 1,731,604 2,470,622 2,419,427 2,984,892 2,546,886 2,690,741 Imports 61,676 53,801 44,198 0 0 0 0 0 Exports 51,562 318,097 389,780 971,767 984,204 1,087,088 996,029 1,291,110 Net Trade (10,114) 264,296 345,582 971,767 984,204 1,087,088 996,029 1,291,110 Consumption 1,302,632 1,479,995 1,381,357 1,330,444 1,656,086 1,366,806 1,222,870 1,296,167 Ending Stocks 1,135,335 1,168,297 1,172,962 1,341,373 1,120,510 1,651,508 1,979,485 2,082,959 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2002 In mid 2000, Tongaat Hulett Group launched a bid to acquire Transvaal Sugar Ltd. for USD 161 million from the Rembrandt Group, attempting to consolidate its position in the industry, but the Competition Commission stop the transaction. Tongaat wanted to add the 500,000-tonne sugar business of Transvaal to its current 1.7 million tonnes production. In what might affect the future corporate scene, Anglo American, parent company of Tongaat, has expressed its interest of divesting its sugar concerns, which besides Tongaat also includes Hippo Valley in Zimbabwe. Cane growers in South Africa or “independent estate growers,” are predominantly white farmers who use hired labour. The grower-miller relations have been regulated since the 1930s. Smallscale growers, a recent feature of the industry, are usually black farmers who have been encouraged by government policies, companies (Illovo, Tongaat) and the South African Sugar Association (SASA) to become cane growers. They are about 48,000 black cane farmers. In 1996, both Illovo and Tongaat-Hulett started a project to sell medium-sized cane farms to black growers who also employ waged labour. South Africa is one of the world’s top ten sugar exporters, with annual exports around 1.2 million tonnes. As seen in Table 18, South Africa exports to over twenty destinations in any given year, including other African countries. Since the late 1990s, new investments built new and large refining capacity in the Middle East (mainly Saudi Arabia), in a process that continues today. South Africa is well positioned to supply raw sugar to the new refineries. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 28 Table 18 - South Africa - Exports 1997-2000 (tonnes, raw value) Iran Japan Korea Persian Gulf Saudi Arabia United States Unknown Angola Kenya Mauritius Mozambique Nigeria Tanzania Others Total 2000 157,572 215,268 128,782 122,904 102,450 4,626 273,843 5,796 32,108 21,821 9,056 30,200 13,155 173,529 1,291,110 1999 64,614 165,221 129,635 40,000 40,000 0 112,459 4,922 22,602 13,770 18,759 0 18,259 365,788 996,029 1998 235,000 226,000 162840 0 30,000 69,922 0 3,966 40,539 38,714 10,382 0 21,093 248,632 1,087,088 1997 101,909 121,364 135,600 0 77,201 34,793 193,256 2,174 0 36,584 0 0 0 281,323 984,204 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 7. Mozambique: On a Recovery Path Probably the most interesting case of rehabilitation of a sugar industry in Africa takes place in Mozambique. The civil war in 1977-1992 practically destroyed the industry; production collapsed from an annual average of 325,000 tonnes to less than 30,000 tonnes; expertise and capital were lost; the number of jobs plummeted from 45,000 to only a few thousand workers. After years of negotiations, the government was able to put together a rehabilitation program in the mid 1990s, expecting to attract some USD 330 million to the industry. South African and Mauritian companies are now involved in the rehabilitation of four of the country’s six sugar mills. The Sena Sugar Estates (Marromeu mill) is under a Mauritian consortium, which comprises the Espitaler Noel Group, the WEAL Group (through its subsidiary FLACQ) and the Mon Loisir Group, in addition to the Mozambican state. Illovo Sugar controls the Maragra mill, where it invested USD 70 million in a rehabilitation program. The mill resumed operations in October 1999, after fifteen years of inactivity. The factory has 4,000 tonnes of daily processing capacity (built in 1969) and processes cane grown in 6,600 hectares of irrigated land on the valley of the Incomati River, about 75 km north of Maputo. At its 1972 production peak, the mill reached 44,100 tonnes of raw sugar. In the campaign of 1999, it produced 6,000 tonnes of sugar and, then, the flooding of 2001 frustrated plans to bring production to 70,000 tonnes in 2002. There are some 2,500 workers in Maragra’s fields and factory. After managing the Mafambisse mill for three years, Tongaat-Hulett exercised an option to buy 75 percent share in the mill in 2000, and became the largest sugar producing company in The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 29 Mozambique. Tongaat-Hulett also increased its stake to 49 percent in the Xinavane mill and estates, where still maintains an option to buy a further 11 percent. With the sugar rehabilitation projects in place, torrential rains and flooding hit the country. In early 2000, a great portion of the Mafambisse area in the Sofala province was under water and the Mafambisse mill stop processing. The Marromeu area in the Zambezi Valley, which supplies cane to the Marromeu mill, suffered a similar experience. In the Manica province, where Maragra is located, cane fields were devastated: Water levels rose to seven metres. According to eyewitnesses, the flooding left no single cane stalk standing in Maragra fields. Rains and flooding, at a smaller scale, repeated in 2001. Even though climate-related factors hampered the recovery program, the industry came back on track in 2001, with further production increases in 2002. According to the Ministry of Agriculture, total sugar production in 2000 was 39,035 tonnes; it rose to 67,269 in 2001 (despite the flooding). In calendar 2002, production estimates are at 219,785 tonnes, based on the evident recovery of 11 cane fields. The perspective in the immediate future is to reach 325,000 tonnes. As a sign of the times to come, Mozambique became the first least developed country (LDC) to benefit from the “Everything but Arms” (EBA) trade initiative by the European Union, with reports that the Sena Sugar Estates (Marromeu mill) shipped some 8,300 tonnes raw sugar under an EBA quota in early 2002. 8. Mauritius: A Caribbean-like island in the Indian Ocean Sugar continues to play a crucial role in Mauritius, accounting for about 6 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), 20 percent of export earnings and 93 percent of the arable land in the island is under cane. If the dependency on international markets and the social, political and economic configuration of the Mauritian industry are added to the features mentioned, the industry has more aspects in common with the Caribbean islands than with the rest of the industries in the African continent. In June 2001, the government announced a strategic plan for the sugar industry. Several factors coincided in pressing the industry and the government for such strategic plan: a poor campaign in 1999 (due to drought and cyclones), the fall in export revenues because of the decline of the Euro, the growing uncertainty about the future of the preferential market in the European Union (EU), and general changes in the international industry. The 2001-2005 strategic plan proposed, among others, the following goals: 11 During a visit to Maragra in June 2002, it was clear for this writer to see that production was on an ascending curve. Company staff said that in 2001, even though production increased, the company had processed “out-of-cycle” cane (i.e. very young) because the flooding had disrupted the growing and processing cycles. They expected in late 2002 and 2003 production would take place at a proper rhythm; the company would process cane of better quality and increase output. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 30 • Reducing the cost of production from USD 18 cents per pound to 14 cents in 2001-2005, with a further reduction to 10-12 cents per pound by 2008. • Consolidating production by reducing the number of mills from 14 to 7 or 8 by 2005, with factories able to produce more than 100,000 tonnes of sugar on a 150-day harvest. • Introducing mechanical harvesting in a substantial portion of suitable lands. • Developing projects of co-generation of electricity using bagasse. • Reducing the labour force through a Voluntary Retirement Scheme (VRS). A mid-term review, by the end of 2003, would propose corrective or new measures for the remaining of the 2001-2005 strategic plan. Table 19 - Mauritius: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 (tonnes, raw value) Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Production 603,957 530,223 571,515 623,880 658,445 666,841 395,691 603,561 Imports 0 0 21,636 33,650 41,210 41,434 38,814 41,743 Exports 575,460 551,543 554,887 649,253 610,289 638,694 565,978 449,836 Net Trade 575,460 551,543 533,251 615,603 569,079 597,260 527,164 408,093 Consumption 39,380 39,366 39,399 40,341 42,132 42,683 42,356 41,527 Ending Stocks 253,367 192,681 191,546 159,482 206,716 233,614 59,785 213,726 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 As happens in the sugar industries of the Caribbean, the restructuring – to ostensible make the industry more efficient – has two aspects: the consolidation of production (closing down facilities) and the reduction of the labour force (increasing labour productivity). In Mauritius, these two aspects developed very quickly in the past four years. The Voluntary Retirement Scheme (VRS) was offered to all female agricultural workers of 50 years or more and all male agricultural and non-agricultural workers of 55 years or more. According to the industry about 8,000 workers, one third of the total labour force, signed for the VRS. The cash compensation within the VRS is determined by multiplying the number of years of service by a variable factor (the number of months awarded per year of service) and the wage in effect on the day when the Ministry of Agriculture accepts a VRS application. All female agricultural workers of 50 years or more and male agricultural and non-agricultural workers over 55 years receive a 2-month wage per year of service. For the rest of the workers, the VRS grants 1.5-month wage for the first five years of service, 1.25-month wage for years 6-15, 1-month wage for years 16-25, and 0.75-month wage for years after that. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 31 The program also includes a piece of land, which many workers would use to build their own houses. Once the company and the employee agree on the plot of land, the company would build the infrastructure: Roads, drains, energy, and water supply. These services will be provided by the company for a three-year period from the date of the land allocation or until the local 12 authorities assume the responsibilities. The consolidation of production has been in place for some years: In 1995, there were seventeen mills in the island; in the first half of 1999 two more mills closed (Bel Ombre and Beau Plan), and at the end of the 2001 harvest, the state-owned Rose-Belle mill (2,200 tonnes of daily capacity) closed. A process of centralization of management, with the merger of two or more factories, runs parallel to the consolidation of production. In June 2001, it was announced the possible merger to the Compagnie Usinière de Mon-Loisir Limitée, with a mill of 3,500 tdc, and the Flacq United Estates Limited (FUEL), with a 6,600-tdc mill. In October 2001, it was announced that the Highlands mill would close after the 2001 harvest and the Britannia would close in the near future. The consolidation and centralization processes might result in the creation of a new milling company in the island’s southern region, with the merger of the Britannia, Mon Tresor/Mon Desert, Richeen-Eau, Savannah and Union St. Aubin mills into one administration. In a second phase, production would consolidate: Following the closure of the Rose-Belle and Britannia mills, the Rich-en-Eau and Savannah would follow suit. (The participation of St. Félix, another mill in the area, in the merger was still undecided at the moment of writing. The mill had made fresh investments in processing capacity after the closure of the Bel Ombre.) The private sector controls all mills and owns 80 percent share in them. The Sugar Investment Trust, which brings together workers and farmers, owns the remaining 20 percent. The Mauritian sugar industry, so dependent on the EU market as shown by Table 20, seems in effect to head towards 7 mills and, quite probably, less than 10,000 workers employed. Table 20 - Mauritius: Sugar Exports 1997-2000 (tonnes, raw value) 12 Although no study on the matter is known to the writer, during the June 2002 field visit to Mauritius, it was possible for him to attend meetings with grass-root workers who had signed for the VRS. The majority of workers expressed their dissatisfaction with the VRS. One key element that appeared in several conversations was the possible misinformation on the actual conditions of the VRS, in particular in reference to pension and social benefits and to how soon the plots of land would be available. Several workers said that they had been unaware that their pension benefits would be drastically cut or they need to wait several years before receiving them; that medical and education services would stopped (for those living outside a company’s compound), and that the piece of land to build their houses would be available only after two years. In the meantime, with no other job, they were already spending the cash they had received. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 32 European Union United States Others Total 2000 439,935 5,402 4,499 449,836 1999 554,970 6,079 4,929 565,978 1998 615,178 18,583 4,933 638,694 1997 579,866 24,660 5,763 610,289 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 9. Zimbabwe The sugar industry of Zimbabwe comprises two milling companies, Triangle Sugar and Hippo Valley, located in Triangle and Chiredzi, about 440 km south of Harare; and one refining company, the Zimbabwe Sugar Refineries Corporation Ltd. (ZSR), with two facilities, one in Harare, the other in Bulawayo. Tongaat Hulett owns Triangle Sugar, and Anglo American, a U.K.-based company owns Hippo Valley. Anglo American is also the parent company of Tongaat. In February 2002, Tate & Lyle sold Tate & Lyle Investments Africa Ltd. (TLIA) in USD 4.65 million to CBAQ (Pty) Ltd, a Botswana-registered holding company. TLIA is a holding company that owned 50.1 stake in ZSR Corporation Ltd. and a 33.3 percent interest in Sugarmark Pty Ltd., a marketing operation in Namibia. Table 21 - Zimbabwe: Sugar Balance 1993-2000 (tonnes, raw value) Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Production 50,890 523,822 511,881 336,731 574,091 571,943 583,358 571,289 Imports 201,153 44,732 24,700 2,468 31,500 11 0 0 Exports 33,489 221,547 168,227 179,311 222,047 242,641 142,725 217,155 Net Trade (167,664) 176,815 143,527 176,843 190,547 242,630 142,725 217,155 Consumption 228,716 253,193 292,236 286,859 335,046 305,325 375,999 373,714 Ending Stocks 11,255 105,069 181,187 54,216 102,714 126,702 191,336 171,756 Source: International Sugar Organization, Yearbook 2000 The concentration of ownership of production facilities repeats itself in marketing. The distribution of sugar in the domestic market, according to a report submitted to the Trade Commission in August 2002, is handled by Sugar Distribution Ltd., a company whose directors include management of ZSR, Triangle and Hippo Valley; while the Zimbabwe Sugar Sales, a closely related company, deals with sugar exports. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 33 Although Zimbabwe is in crisis, sugar production continues (until the moment of writing) largely unaffected and corporate profits are very attractive. In 2001, for instance, Hippo Valley had a strong financial performance with its turnover increasing from 3.8 billion Zimbabwe dollars to 8.1 billion and profits after taxes soaring from 523 million to 1.6 billion Zimbabwe dollars. (The official exchange rate is ZWD 55 = USD 1.00, but the parallel market rate was over 600 to 1 in July 2002.) About 46 percent of Hippo’s turnover in 2001 was realised through exports. Hippo Valley invested more than 900 million Zimbabwe dollars (USD 16.3 million at the official exchange rate) in capital projects in 2001. Most of the expenditure was for new mill equipment (about USD 10.5 million) and transportation (USD 3.7 million). Hippo Valley has plans to generate electricity and sell the excess energy to the Zimbabwe Electricity Supply Authority. This solid financial performance by Hippo Valley contrasts greatly with the country’s uncertain political situation and trade disputes with neighbouring countries, and even with sugar shortages in the domestic market reported in 2001 and 2002. In March 2002, two estates of Hippo Valley, the Hippo Valley North Estate and the Mkwasine Estate, were listed in the compulsory land acquisition program of the Ministry of Lands, Agriculture and Rural Resettlement. (The estates also appeared in a 2000 list of acquisitions.) Although there is no timeframe announced to implement the acquisitions, it contributes to create 13 an uncertain economic environment. The land acquisition program was cited as the main reason in the failure to develop the Lower Mazowe sugar project in Bindura, about 100 km north of Harare. The project had been under discussion for several years until 1998, when all work stop. Local sources reported that the interested parties demanded guarantees from the government that the cane plantation to be developed and the farms, which would have supplied cane to the factory, would never appear in the land acquisition program. Foreign investors included Tate & Lyle (then a major player in the sugar industry worldwide) and Tongaat-Hulett. Other parties were 76 large-scale commercial farmers (four of them were listed in the land acquisition program), and some 1,000 small-scale farmers. Construction was to start in 1999, and the mill would have come on line in 2000, with a production goal of 140,000 tonnes of sugar per year. Total cost for the project was USD 650 million. The political and economic crisis in Zimbabwe has also a negative influence on neighbouring countries. The crisis has put further pressure on the relative weakness of state agencies to effectively enforce regulations (border crossing, import regulations, customs.), which worsens the already “porous” borders in the region, and exacerbates any imbalance created in domestic markets by even relatively small amounts of (legally or not) imported sugar. In the Zimbabwe crisis, a traumatic element is the huge difference between the official and the parallel or black market rates on foreign exchange. By maintaining a fixed parity of 55 Zimbabwe dollars to one US dollar, in comparison to the 600 to one rate in the parallel rate (July 2002), the government automatically fixes the parity with the rest of the currencies in the region, and creates quite unsteady grounds for the international trade. In such situation massive profits can be realised by playing the rate differential while markets can easily be flooded with relatively cheap goods. 13 According to local sources, the Mugabe government aims at seizing over 8 million hectares of the 12 million hectares of land under white commercial farmers. The government says that 4,500 white farmers occupy 70 percent of the country’s best land. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 34 The sugar industry in Mozambique complained that sugar from Zimbabwe was “the largest single threat” to its recovery. According to local producers, Mozambique experienced a surge in sugar “imports” from Zimbabwe in 2002, which undermined domestic prices and put at risk the chances to recover production. In mid 2002, industrial groups in Zambia complained of illegal trade and rampant smuggling from Zimbabwe. The Zambian government imposed a temporary ban on basic goods such as sugar, salt and cooking oil, and on cement, asbestos, timber, cigarettes, flour and bananas. The COMESA secretariat agreed to the decision. For how long this “temporary” measure will be maintained is still to be seen. In July 2002, the Malawi government established a new licensing import system with stricter controls to deter illegal imports of Zimbabwean sugar. The decision followed reports that some traders were exchanging foreign currency on Zimbabwe’s black market and then buying Zimbabwe products, including sugar, at very low prices. In October 2001, the Sugar Company of Malawi (Sucoma) had complained to the government about the practice, which, according to the company, resulted in a 22 percent drop in their sugar sales. The crisis in Zimbabwe shows some aspects in the industries of the region: While it might be difficult to think that foreign exchange differentials, as in the case of Zimbabwe, can go on indefinitely, it is also true that their impact on neighbouring sugar industries might have lasting effects, especially in cases of initial recovery programs like in Mozambique. It is also a challenge to official structures in each country to forestall major negative effects of the crisis by introducing – and effectively enforcing – policy measures. Finally, it is also a challenge for regional trade arrangements, such as COMESA, to introduce in a somewhat orderly manner freer trade and market practices, if this is a real possibility. 10. An Overview of Sugar Projects in Africa The sugar industry in the African continent appears to be in an ascending curve. Table 22 lists some of the sugar projects that started or were announced in 1997-2002. There are some new basic trends in the region: First, the construction of new refining capacity in the Middle East that may source out sugar from Southern Africa; second, the opening of the European Union market, especially to new comers (LDCs) such as Mozambique and Sudan. The third aspect consists of the corporate developments when Africa-based companies are very active. This is process with several aspects: the U.K.-based Tate & Lyle, until very recently a giant in the world of sugar, has been divesting sugar concerns at a very rapid pace, including direct ownership in Africa (Zambia, Zimbabwe) and management services (Booker Tate). South Africa-based companies (Illovo, Murray & Roberts) are occupying Tate & Lyle’s former space, without precluding their expansion into other areas such as Illovo’s acquisition of Tanzania’s Kilombero. A closely related aspect is the exportation of capital and expertise from Mauritius to industries in the continent, which appears to be a direct result of the industry having reached its technical limits (including land availability) and the process of restructuring, which creates a surplus of qualified personal. It should be expected that Mauritian expertise would make its presence felt in other industries in the continent. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 35 Sugar companies worldwide tend to look for ways to increase labour productivity, among others, by adopting new management styles and strategies or by introducing mechanization and automation. Probably the best example of this new trend was witnessed by the present writer in the cane fields of Mon Tresor/Mon Desert in Mauritius. There, the sugar company had outsourced part of the harvesting operations to a small independent company. The new company owned a combined harvester that cuts the cane into small pieces and throws them into an accompanying truck for transportation to the mill. Although no hard information was available, an in-site informal conversation underlined that the machine replaced about 80 workers. The new company hires a five-people crew to operate the harvester. The case illustrates one possible combination of corporate strategies, management styles, technical advances and increased labour productivity. The list below estimates an increase of 1.5-2 million tonnes of sugar in African production in the next five to ten years. The dimension of the projects, that is their economic value and long timeframes for development, imposes some conditions for their realisation, such as a minimum of institutional strength in the countries in question, a certain degree of social and political stability, and the developing of agricultural practices as demanded by the growing of sugar cane, usually a long-term crop. Table 22 - Selected Sugar Projects in Africa (1997-2002) Country Project / Partners Goal Date Angola Dombe Grande- F.C. Shaffer Rehabilitation and expansion of present facilities. USD 6070 million. May & Sept. 1998 Six years to maturation. 100,000 tonnes of sugar, 10,000 h of land Cameroon Cameroon Sugar Co. after acquisition by Societe Sucriere du Cameroun (Somdiaa-Vilgrain Group) To increase production from 35,000-40,000 tonnes to 50,000 tonnes. Jan. 1999 Ethiopia Finchaa Sugar Factory 85,000 tonnes of sugar Loans from the African Development Bank, Australia, Sweden, Spain and Ethiopia. (F.C. Shaffer involved?) 8 million litres of alcohol May 1999 – Ethanol plant on line in 2002 Komenda Sugar Factory Plans to rehabilitate the factory to produce sugar, canned pineapple, oranges, tomatoes Ghana The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Jan. 2002 Page 36 Kenya Busia factory - China National Machinery and Equipment Import and Export (CMEC International) (Aug. 1998). Plans scrapped (July 2000) 4,000 – 10,000 tdc 16,000 h of land Aug. 1998 – July 2000 – July 2001 5-8 billion shillings (USD 70 million) Consortium of Swedish and South African companies to build Busia (July 2001) Kenya Kenana (Sudan) to invest in Muhoroni and Miwani. Cooperation and investment July 2001 – June 2002 Government told to close down both factories. Mali Sukala (China Light Economic and Technology Corp. holds 60 percent) Increase production of two factories to 30,000 tonnes from 26,000 tonnes by 2001. Sept. 1998 Mali F.C. Shaffer and a Brazilian company Reported as interested in building three new mills. Sept. 1998 Mauritius Illovo sells Mon Tresor-Mon Desert to a local consortium (linked to the acquisition of Zambia Sugar) Mozambique Sena Sugar Estates (government + Mauritian consortium) in the Luabo and Marromeu mills USD 70 million Mozambique Mafambisse - Technical studies/management by F.C. Schaffer 1990/1999.) TongaatHulett acquired majority in 2000 Production up to 160,000 tonnes / year. Mozambique Tongaat-Hulett acquired 49 percent in Xinavane (option to a further 11 percent) (Technical management by F.C. Schaffer 1999/2000.) Mozambique Marromeu mill received a loan from the Development Bank of Southern Africa. (Also involved are the Standard Corporate Merchant Bank, Mauritius Commercial Bank, industrial Development Corporation.) Mar. /Apr. 2001 July 1998 Apr. 1998 USD 12 million to reach 100,000 tonnes by 2003 Marromeu run by a Mauritian group The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Sept. 2001 Page 37 (Lagesse) – Sugar Sena Estates. Namibia Nigeria Caprivi sugar project (north-eastern border of Lake Liambezi, 30 km from the Zambezi river). October 1998: FC Schaffer & Associates completed study. Nigeria Sugar Co. Bacita and Savannah Sugar Co. (Government want to sell 51 percent of its 79.4 percent share in Savannah – July/Aug. 2002) Operational by 2008 1998-2001 Approximate cost USD 255 million (over N$2,5 billion). 7,500 direct jobs, 45,000 people to benefit directly or indirectly. Rehabilitate 11,000 h; expand plantation of the two estates by 4,000 h. (plus new equipment) Apr. 1998 Rehabilitate the two factories at USD 155 million Nigeria Sunti Sugar Co. 250 tdc mini-mill Apr. 1998 Lafiaji plan upgrades to process 200 tdc. Nigeria Private importers (?) (April 1998) – Dangote Group reported with a new refinery on line in March 2000. Refinery expected to restructure significantly the national sugar scene. (April 2000) 40,000 t refinery to process imported raws (April 1998). Apr. 1998 – Apr. 2000 New refinery with 700,000 tonnes of refined sugar (April 2000) U.S. Trade and Development (USTDA) Agency Sugar Factory and Estate (FS) $310,000: Feasibility Study granted to the Dangote Group for assessing the development of two new cane sugar factories and estates in Jigawa and Bauchi States. (F.C. Schaffer & Associates) (FY 2000) Nigeria Construction started for a new sugar factory in Hadejia – 3,000 tdc July 2000 – 2002 State government proposed a three-plant sugar company, one with 10,000 tdc, and the other two with less than 1,000 tdc. Nigeria US Trade and Development Agency grants USD 310,000 to The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Sept. 2000 Page 38 partially fund a USD 511,572 study of two new cane mills. F.C. Shaffer involved in the study. Nigeria New factory at Gombe – Nanjing Heavy Machinery Works of China and Nigeria government. Government to contribute USD 14 million (15% total) Jan. 2002 South Africa East Cape Agricultural Co-op, Nordzucker (Germany) and others. Proposed beet factory in Port Elizabeth (Cape Town) (Feb. 1998) 100,000 tonnes of sugar (USD 86 million) Feb. 1998 Nordzucker reported as withdrawing from the project. New partners sought. (Aug. 1999) South Africa Tongaat-Hulett attempt at buying Transvaal Sugar fails Sudan Kenana Sugar Company [KSC] and the OPEC Fund for International Development [OPECFID] Agreement for repayment guarantee signed between KSC, the OPEC Fund, the SudaneseFrench Bank and the British Trade Bank. Aug. 2000? Complete the major component for the final expansion project and providing power for the factory, and expanding other projects. 7 Jan. 2002 USD 10 million loan. Kenana to produce 500,000 tonnes Sudan Sudan and China: White Nile Sugar Co. Chinese government: USD 90 million in equity; $160 loan; Sudanese government: $50 million equity; Sudanese investors: $6 million equity; $194 from the Arab Authority for Agricultural Investment and Development. Commercial production in 2003, with 150,000 tonnes (75,000 tonnes for exports). (July 1998) July 1998 – Jan. 1999 – Aug. 2001 Investors from Sudan, Egypt, Libya, South Africa, and the Arab Authority for Agriculture Investment and Development (AAAID). 16,000 jobs Swaziland Ubombo Ranch (Illovo Sugar) Increase from 175,000 to 200,000 tonnes by 2000 Feb. 1998 Swaziland Swaziland Royal Corp. Increase from 165,000 to 200,000 tonnes by 2000 Feb. 1998 Total output 300,000 tonnes. (Aug. 2001) then rising to 500,000 tonnes. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 39 Swaziland Mhlume Sugar Co. Swaziland Merger of Mhlume (7,000 tdc) and Swaziland Royal Corp. (7,200 tdc and a refinery). Total production of over 300,000 tonnes of sugar per year. Tanzania Kilombero: Illovo Sugar, E.D.&F.Man Increase from 30,000 tonnes to 110,000 tonnes by 2001 Tanzania Mtibwa acquired by local group in 2000 (?). Run by Mauritians. Same group acquired Kagera mill (2001). Mtibwa from 28,000 tonnes in 1998/99 to 48,000 tonnes in 2003 Tanzania Kagera (same group that owns Mtibwa) Kagera to enter on line in 2004: 30,000 tonnes in 2005; 60,000 tonnes in 2006 Sept. 2002 Tanzania Tanganyika Planting Co., the Mauritian Consolidated Investment Enterprise Ltd. (CIEL) and a bank consortium led by Barclays Bank Rehabilitation of TPC for USD 15 million. May 2001 – Aug. 2001 Tanzania National sugar industry to increase production from 120,000 tonnes to 440,000 by 2010, according to the Sugar Development Corporation (SUDECO). Uganda Kakira (Madhvani) (Nov. 1998) Plans to expand (Dec. 2001) with 1,200 hectares in a forest reserve – Consolidate production at 100,000 tonnes by 2004 from current 60,000 tonnes. Increase from 170,000 to 250,000 tonnes by 2000 Feb. 1998 2001 Mar. 1998 Production of 40,000 tonnes in 2001, then 72,000 tonnes by 2006 Jan. 2000 Investment of USD 75-80 million. Nov. 1998 – Dec. 2001 Double production to 140,000 tonnes in five years (2,600 to 5,000 tdc) Co-generation project: 30 mw. Uganda Kakira outgrowers propose setting up a 1,000 tdc mill United States Illovo Sugar – Monitor Sugar Mid 2002 Illovo buys Monitor Sugar from C.G.Smith for USD The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Mar. 1999 Page 40 56.5 million Zambia Illovo buys Zambia Sugar from Tate & Lyle, linked to the disposal of Mon Tresor-Mon Desert in Mauritius. US $11.4 million March/April 2001 Zambia Consolidated Farming Ltd. (subsidiary of Sable Group) – to build a sugar mill and a cogeneration facility. Financing from PTA Bank – Nairobi (related to a line of credit extended to the bank by Exim Bank of India). June 2002 India’s ISGEC to supply USD 5 million in equipment. Zambia Luena Sugar Project (60 km south of Kawambwa, Luapula Province) 12,000 hectare plantation 133,000 tonnes of sugar per year Identified in 1975 – Talks in 1999 109.0 million litres of alcohol per year. Zimbabwe Triangle and Tongaat Hulett to build a mill in Bindura (northern area) - New mill project shelved – Zimbabwe Sugar Refineries, Lower Mazowe Valley Sugar Producers (Lomaz), Tongaat Hulett 140,000 t/year (on line by 2001), at a cost of 260 million rand. Apr. 1998Nov. 1998 Zimbabwe Hippo Valley Potential to expand to 70,000 tonnes after completion of the TokweMurkosi dam in the Lowveld in 2003. Oct. 1998 Zimbabwe Hippo Valley Hippo Valley North Estate and Mkwasine Estate listed for government acquisition program. 2000 & Mar. 2002. Zimbabwe One project in the lower Mazowe Sugar Estates (northeast), another the expansion of the Mwenezi Development Corp. (southeast Masvingo) by Triangle. Total of 25,000 h of lands, could increase national production in 50 percent in the next five years. June/Aug. 1998 Zimbabwe Tate & Lyle sold ZSR Corp. (two refineries) to CBAQ (Pty), a Project would have used the equipment from the Mount Edgecombe mill (SA) closed in 1995 (?) The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Feb. 2002 Page 41 Botswana-registered company. Region Murray & Roberts (South Africa) acquires Booker Tate Aug. 2000 Region Murray & Roberts willing to sell 45 percent share in Unitrans (transportation company) Feb. 2002. Sources: F.O.Licht’s ISSR; ISO Monthly Press Summary; the Sugar Worker, Reuters, Dow Jones. 11. Conclusion The sugar industries in East and Southern Africa are rather small players in the international sugar industry. Their size, however, does not preclude diversity in their configuration nor frees them from the processes that affect the global industry. What is important to underline is that industries in Southern African, without exception, rank among the lowest-cost producers in the world. With the exception of South Africa, they are small industries by international standards and are still to make their presence felt in the global industry, a fact that the recent political instability and economic crisis seemed to have prevented. Their recent history has not been conducive to strengthening and developing a cane-based sugar industry, which, by definition, is a long-term investment. All industries in East and Southern Africa are cane-based industries. As the region achieves some political stability, however, the industry shows its ability to realise its production potential: Mozambique comes to mind. With changes in the international sugar trade, some of these industries are poised to take full advantage of the opening of new markets, in particular in the European Union. The future appears bright for the African sugar industries. The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 42 World Sugar Balance – 1991/92 – 2001/02 September/August, (1,000 tonnes, raw value) 1991/92 1992/93 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/01 35,662.6 40,523.8 40,278.9 37,674.8 38,254.5 45,702.8 46,752.2 50,223.1 56,812.0 61,258.8 61,704.7 117,146.9 113,023.1 111,608.4 116,123.8 125,595.6 127,246.1 128,503.5 134,706.2 134,213.9 131,412.8 135,967.2 31,481.9 31,424.8 32,457.8 35,002.9 38,627.9 37,263.5 39,343.5 41,308.1 39,992.5 42,178.2 41,910.8 111,182.2 112,083.7 112,580.3 115,008.2 117,768.8 120,894.0 121,131.4 125,494.5 128,246.9 130,137.4 132,286.8 Exports 32,585.4 32,609.1 34,090.0 35,538.8 39,006.4 39,582.2 41,234.7 43,940.9 42,301.3 43,007.7 44,051.6 Ending stocks 40,523.8 40,278.9 37,674.8 38,254.5 45,702.8 46,752.2 50,233.1 56,812.0 60,470.2 61,704.7 63,244.3 +/- Production 1,070.3 (4,123.8) (1,414.7) 4,515.4 9,471.8 (1,333.5) 4,241.4 6,202.7 (492.3) (2,778.9) 4,554.4 0.92 (3.52) (1.25) 4.05 8.16 (1.06) 3.41 4.83 (0.37) (2.07) 3.47 1,092.4 901.5 496.6 2,427.9 2,760.6 3,125.2 2,237.4 2,363.1 2,752.4 2,123.1 2,149.4 0.99 0.81 0.44 2.16 2.40 2.65 1.85 1.92 2.19 1.66 1.65 36.45 35.94 33.46 33.26 38.81 38.67 40.80 45.27 47.15 47.42 47.81 Opening stocks Production Imports Disappearance +/- per cent +/- Consumption +/- per cent 2001/02 Stocks as $ of consumption Source: F.O.Licht's International Sugar and Sweetener Report - World Sugar Balances The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Page 43 World Sugar Production by Regions – 1970/71 – 2001/02 September/August (1,000 tonnes, raw value) West Europe 1970/71 1975/76 1985/86 1991/92 1995/96 1999/2000 2000/01 2001/02 11,522.0 14,108.0 18,030.4 19,919.7 18,962.7 22,312.2 21,463.7 18,470.0 10,379.0 14,626.8 16,756.1 16,973.1 19,184.8 18,208.9 15,992.2 European Union (France) 3,302.0 2,756.0 4,323.9 4,412.0 4,564.0 4,915.0 4,685.0 4,007.0 (Germany) 2,602.0 3,270.0 4,227.9 4,249.9 4,155.3 4,789.5 4,741.7 4,068.4 12,677.0 11,954.0 12,224.1 10,632.4 9,791.1 7,223.9 7,120.0 7,072.0 1,505.0 1,900.0 1,809.0 1,640.0 1,716.8 1,968.6 2,187.0 1,767.0 Russia 2,230.0 2,237.0 1,715.0 1,698.0 1,705.0 Ukraine 4,178.0 3,804.0 1,780.8 1,696.0 1,761.0 East Europe Poland Africa 4,453.0 5,199.0 7,770.2 7,836.8 8,018.8 9,513.0 9,968.7 9,926.5 South Africa 1,425.0 1,897.0 2,336.0 2,241.8 2,106.1 2,707.7 2,611.0 2,449.6 N & C America 14,118.0 15,171.0 20,182.5 20,736.8 19,925.4 22,037.8 21,358.6 21,010.5 United States 2,542.0 2,888.0 5,454.7 6,378.6 6,698.4 8,214.3 7,977.5 7,348.0 Cuba 5,942.0 5,800.0 7,346.6 7,103.7 4,503.7 4,134.0 3,615.0 3,650.0 Mexico 2,563.0 2,750.0 4,030.6 3,577.4 4,667.3 4,983.4 5,169.9 5,345.0 South America 9,347.0 10,998.0 12,353.0 15,250.9 21,445.7 25,108.2 23,188.3 29,635.0 Brazil 5,378.0 6,180.0 7,370.6 9,510.0 15,189.6 18,189.8 16,113.0 22,431.1 Colombia 744.0 1,000.0 1,216.5 1,792.2 2,046.0 2,314.2 2,291.3 2,416.1 11,912.0 15,326.0 23,724.9 38,833.0 41,294.1 42,547.3 41,009.4 44,386.0 China P.R. 2,350.0 2,800.0 5,550.3 8,577.7 6,770.0 7,420.3 6,400.0 9,410.0 India 4,185.0 4,700.0 7,623.6 14,595.0 17,942.8 19,797.5 19,865.1 18,537.8 Pakistan 582.0 662.0 1,213.3 2,528.1 2,684.8 2,638.5 2,697.2 3,228.4 Thailand 601.0 1,665.0 2,585.8 5,106.1 6,323.4 5,832.8 5,155.0 5,905.0 2,972.0 3,205.0 3,686.8 3,937.3 6,157.7 5,470.6 5,029.3 5,467.2 2,590.0 2,933.0 3,290.7 3,418.7 5,631.7 5,087.3 4,605.1 5,102.6 73,026.0 82,873.0 98,770.2 117,146.9 125,595.6 134,213.9 129,111.1 135,967.2 Asia Oceania Australia World Total Source: F.O.Licht's International Sugar and Sweetener Report - World Sugar Balance The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa Basic Information of Sugar Mills and Refineries in East and Southern Africa Outgrowers Workers Country Mill Company Capacity (*) Total KENYA BUNGOMA KENYA Factory Field Women Nzonia Sugar Co. Ltd. (F.C. Schaffer) 3,000 tdc 2,780 70 80% of cane CHEMELIL Chemelil Sugar. Co. Ltd. 3,000 tdc 1,012 75 75% of cane KENYA KAKAMEGA West Kenya Sugar Co. Ltd. 900 tdc 324 5 100% of cane KENYA MIWANI Miwani Sugar Co. Ltd. - (State) in receivership 3,000 tdc 477 8 60% of cane KENYA MUHORONI Muhoroni Sugar Co. Ltd. (State) in receivership 2,400 tdc 545 10 80% of cane KENYA MUMIAS Mumias Sugar Co. Ltd. (run by Booker Tate) 8,000 tdc 3,450 150 90% of cane (70,000) KENYA NYANZA South Nyanza Sugar Co. Ltd. 2,600 tdc 1,237 MALAWI DWANGWA Dwangwa Sugar Corp. Ltd. (Illovo) 4,000 tdc 3,395 300 (10 % of cane) MALAWI SUCOMA Sugar Corp. of Malawi Ltd. (Illovo) 7,200 tdc 5,099 250 (10 % of cane) (Nchalo) MAURITIUS (2) BEAU CHAMP 3,750 tdc MAURITIUS (2) BEAU PLAN 2,261 tdc The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa 20 80% of cane 2,587 The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa (closed) MAURITIUS (2) BELLE VUE MAURITIUS (2) BRITANNIA (closed) MAURITIUS (2) HIGHLANDS (closed) 5,000 tdc BBHM Consortium (Espitalier, Lagesse) BBHM Consortium (Espitalier, Lagesse) 1,050 2,735 tdc 212 690 526 1,388 2,600 MAURITIUS (2) MEDINE 4,051 tdc, 20,000 dap, 500 drc, 3,000,000 aap MAURITIUS (2) MON DESERT ALMA 3,383 tdc MAURITIUS (2) MON LOISIR Lagesse Group 3,546 tdc MAURITIUS (2) MON TRESOR BBHM Consortium (Espitalier, Lagesse) 2,504 tdc MAURITIUS (2) RICHE EN EAU 2,828 tdc 807 MAURITIUS (2) SAINT FELIX 1,378 tdc 1,749 MAURITIUS (2) SAVANNAH MAURITIUS (2) UNION FLACQ 6,600 tdc MAURITIUS (2) UNION SAINT AUBIN 2,593 tdc Espitalier Noel Page 45 2,791 tdc 2,234 376 (field) 550 2,102 279 398 1016 1,172 940 1,544 4,722 204 363 The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa MOZAMBIQUE (1) BUSI MOZAMBIQUE (1) LUABO Sena Sugar Estates (Mauritian consortium- Lagesse Group – Mon Loisir) 4,320 tdc MOZAMBIQUE (1) MAFAMBISS E Tongaat – Hulett (Technical studies by F.C.Schaffer.) 4,300 tdc 4,781 MOZAMBIQUE (1) MARAGRA Illovo Sugar 4,000 tdc 625 MOZAMBIQUE (1) MARROMEU Sena Sugar Estates (Mauritian consortium- Lagesse Group – Mont Loisir) 4,300 tdc 1,127 MOZAMBIQUE (1) XINAVANE Tongaat – Hulett (Technical studies by F.C.Schaffer.) 2,400 tdc 3,791 SOUTH AFRICA (5) AMATIKULU Tongaat – Hulett (2) 9,000 tdc 10,765 SOUTH AFRICA (5) DARNALL Tongaat - Hulett (2) 7,500 tdc 424 SOUTH AFRICA DURBAN Tongaat - Hulett (2) Refinery only SOUTH AFRICA (5) ENTUMENI Tongaat - Hulett (2) 2,400 tdc 3,432 SOUTH AFRICA (5) FELIXTON Tongaat - Hulett (2) 14,400 tdc 7,108 SOUTH AFRICA (5) GLEDHOW Illovo Sugar (4) 7,200 tdc 5,036 800 drc SOUTH AFRICA GLENDALE Illovo Sugar (4) SOUTH AFRICA (5) KOMATI Transvaal Sugar SOUTH AFRICA (5) MAIDSTONE Tongaat - Hulett (2) SOUTH AFRICA (5) MALELANE Transvaal Sugar SOUTH AFRICA MEREBANK Illovo Sugar (4) Page 46 Distillery only 9,000 tdc 886 10,500 tdc 5.874 512 Distillery only The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa SOUTH AFRICA (5) SOUTH AFRICA (5) NOODSBER G Illovo Sugar (4) PONGOLA Illovo Sugar (4) 6,720 tdc 1,058 1,150 drc 5,000 tdc 536 600 drc SOUTH AFRICA (5) SEZELA Illovo Sugar (4) 10,800 tdc 5,329 SOUTH AFRICA (5) UMFOLOZI Illovo Sugar (4) 6,000 tdc 5,852 700 drc SOUTH AFRICA (5) UMZIMKULU Illovo Sugar (4) 5,500 tdc 785 SWAZILAND MHLUME Merged with Royal Swaziland in April 2002. 7,200 tdc SWAZILAND ROYAL SWAZILAND Partially owned by T&L until April 2002, merged with Mhlume. 7,000 tdc SWAZILAND UBOMBO RANCHES Illovo Sugar 8,400 tdc TANZANIA KAGERA Kagera Sugar Ltd. (same owner that Mtibwa) 2,500 tdc TANZANIA MOSHI TPC Ltd. (Mauritian Forges Tardieu?) 2,500 tdc 4,500 TANZANIA MSOLWA Kilombero Sugar Co. Ltd. (Illovo + E.D.&F.Man: 75%) 2,175 tdc 700 inc. Ruembe 1,000 ha TANZANIA MTIBWA Mtibaw Sugar Estates (Tanzania Sugar Industries, run by Mauritians) 2,000 tdc 2,000+ 4,500 500 drc Page 47 128 2,500 The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa TANZANIA RUEMBE Kilombero Sugar Co. Ltd. (Illovo) 2,400 tdc 700 inc. Msolwa UGANDA KAKIRA Kakira Sugar Works (Madhvani Group / State) 3,000 tdc 6,500 1,600 UGANDA KINYARA Kinyara Sugar Works Ltd. (state-owned, run by Booker Tate. To be privatized 2002) 2,000 tdc 6,700 800-900 UGANDA SUCOL Sugar Corp. of Uganda Ltd. (Metha Family / State) 2,500 tdc 8,000 700-800 10% (+/- 1,500) ZAMBIA Nakambala Sugar Estates (and refinery) Zambia Sugar (Illovo) (Privatised in 1995.) 7,200 tdc 2,400 + 3,000 500 40 BULAWAYO (ex-Tate & Lyle) acquired by CABQ (Botswana registered) 190 drc (ex-Tate & Lyle) acquired by CABQ (Botswana registered) 305 drc ZIMBABWE ZSR Corp. refinery ZIMBABWE HARARE ZSR Corp. refinery (1,800 unioniza ble) ZIMBABWE HIPPO VALLEY Anglo American with 50.4% – parent company of Tongaat Hulett (50.7%). 10,000 tdc ZIMBABWE TRIANGLE SUGAR Tongaat Hulett (South Africa) 9,000 tdc 120,000 dap 40,000,000 Page 48 2,100 ha 4,900 540 3,200 –3,500 The Sugar Industries of East and Southern Africa aap (*) tdc = tonnes of cane daily processing capacity; drc = daily refining capacity (tonnes); dap = daily alcohol production (litres) ; aap = annual alcohol production (litres) (1) Industry on a rehabilitation program. Listed capacities for reference only. Figures for workers include permanent and seasonal for 1999. (2) Industry in a process of consolidating production. Several mills recently closed or about to be closed. Figures for workers and out-growers from 1995-1998. (3) Tongaat-Hulett Sugar operations in South Africa: 69 percent of the cane comes from large commercial growers; 17 percent from small/mediam scale growers, and 14 percent from company farmed land. The latter is grown in some 22,500 hectares under cane. (4) Illovo Sugar operations process cane grown by some 13,000 small-scale farmers and 57 black medium-scale growers. The latter delivered 262,000 tonnes of cane in 2001. (5) Outgrowers figures include miller-cum-planters and large- and small-scale farmers. Source: F.O.Licht’s World Sugar and Sweetener Yearbook 2002, Canegrowers (South Africa) web site at http://www.sacanegrowers.co.za/ Page 49
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