It’s Just a Hectare!
January 2007
Coast land base
Total area of B.C.:
95 million hectares
Land Available for Harvesting:
2.7 million hectares
• TFLs 1.3 million ha
• TSAs 1.4 million ha
Publicly Owned Forest Land:
7.6 million hectares
Publicly Owned Land:
14.5 million hectares
~3.0 million ha Parks
Total area of Coast:
15.8 million hectares
Fraser
Land
Base Supply
TheTSA
Fraser
Timber
Area Land Base
1,620,358 Hectares
1
-1,366,934 ha
52% Incidentally Retained Forest
32%
UWR/OGMA
37,600
ha
forest
cover
Homathko
LU:
-900
ha
(<3%)
-28,000
for UWR/Park/OGMA
ha (75%) retained
Homathko LU:
pre-LU
Plan:
pre
16% THLB
2
Proposed Grizzly Bear WHA and Isolated Timber
Growing Stock – South VI
12,000,000
10,000,000
V olum e (m 3 )
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
Year
>=140 years
70-140 years
<=70 years
annual harvest
Timber Supply Impacts
• Provincially, the shortshort-term impacts of the
Code were determined to be 6%* on average.
• Vancouver Region 9.2%*
• Relative to TSR 1
• Varies among timber supply areas – some
higher, some lower
* Source: Forest Practices Code Timber Supply Analysis, February
February 1996, page 5 Table 2: Short
Term AAC Impacts per Region.
3
Estimate of Impacts since TSR 1
Code implementation (TSR 1 vs 2)
Landscape Unit Planning (OGMAs)
Integrated Wildlife Management
subtotal
Designated Areas
THLB subtotal
Visual quality “buybuy-back”
back” (?)
Cumulative AAC Impact
~ 8%
~ 3 - 4%
~ 1.0%
12 - 13%
~ 6.3%
18 - 19%
(~ 5 - 2%)
2%)
13 - 17%
But wait, there’
there’s likely even more . .
•.
•
Additional Protected Areas?
Ecosystem Based Management (EBM)
•
•
•
•
•
•
Species at Risk Act (SARA) listings
Fisheries Sensitive Watersheds
More Wildlife Habitat Areas / features
Ungulate Winter Ranges
Resource features
General Wildlife Measures / Regionally Important Wildlife
•
•
•
Independent Power Producers
Recreation and Commercial Tenures
Residential
•
First Nations issues
•
etc…
etc….
the forgotten Parks
• ~20% (3,000,000 ha) of coastal BC's land
•
base is formally protected.
Contributions not fully considered.
• Inventories lacking
• Outside management boundaries
• ‘As if no forest or habitat within
• THLB the focus of conservation needs?
4
What is the value of a hectare?
• Sales value (2005) per cubic metre . . .
• $7.5 billion in coastal forest products sales
• Annual harvest ≈ 22 million m3
• $341/m3 (2005) → $355/m3 (2007)
• If a harvestable hectare yields 750 m3…
• $266,000/ha
Source: Coast Forest Products Association
Barrel Analogy
$700,000,000,000
Summary
•
•
•
•
For every hectare of THLB there are another 6
hectares meeting ecological or other needs
The harvestable land base is valuable
• THLB is shriveling
• What remains is hampered by additional constraints
Rigorous analysis of risk (ecological, sociosocioeconomic)?
Focusing conservation on the THLB breeds
investment uncertainty
• Is this consistent with restoration of the Coastal Forest
Industry?
• Short and long term stability and security of tenure is
critical
5
Solution Set
•
Focused Planning
• Eliminate independent, single purpose decision
making
• Overlap constraints
• Optimize public benefit
•
Gatekeeper
• Annual Report Card
• Ensure discipline inherent in LUOR and GAR
• Missing process for other resource sectors
…Solution Set continued…
• No Net Productivity Loss
• Secure productive timber land
• Augment productivity
• Investor security / transparent
compensation
No Net Productivity Loss
• Works for salmon habitat, spotted owls
• Why not for timber?
6
Define Timber Production Forests
•
•
Timber zoning to provide
certainty and security
Traffic lights must be green
sometime somewhere
remember the barrel…
Your
It’s Just a Hectare!
7