@GloVolcanoModel globalvolcanomodel.org [email protected] GVM Network Newsletter Where next for GVM engagement in international disaster risk reduction? Consultation with scientific steering committee Thanks to all who were able to feedback with ideas and/or continued support for GVM during our April consultation period. We had an overwhelming desire from committee members to continue their involvement, but also a need for us to refine and prioritise our next steps. We are currently reviewing the feedback and will be producing a short summary document for circulation and comment in August. Multi-hazard global risk models: Understanding Risk Forum 2016 From May 16-20, 2016 over 650 members of the Understanding Community attended the fourth global forum in Venice, Italy. With representation from 100 countries and over 350 organizations, the fourth forum was the most global yet. The conference was attended by a number of GVM member institutions. Melanie Duncan (BGS) presented on behalf of the GVM Network within a technical a session on multi-hazard models organised by GEM and the Italian Civil Protection. There was representation on the panel from all the global hazard partnerships. The main outcomes of the session is for the global partnerships across the different hazards to work on a multi-hazard risk model. Issue 16-2, June 2016 “Inspiring and supporting a global effect to reduce volcanic disaster risk.” - GVM Network GVM needs you! If you would like to have a coordinating role, or have ideas for how to evolve our contributions to the GAR process, please contact the GVM management board ([email protected]). In This Issue Understanding Risk Forum, 2016 (NERC) Updates from WOVOdat and VHub G-EVER launches southeast Asian earthquakes and volcanic hazard map Exciting progress in volcanic ashfall impact assessment Cities on Volcanoes 9 Global databases: update from WOVOdat Fidel Costa (Earth Observatory Singapore) on behalf of the WOVOdat team: Christina Widiwijayanti, Nang Thin Zar Win, Erickson Fajiculay, Steffania Bartolini, and Chris Newhall. See wovodat.org for more information The WOVOdat project is compiling all available data of volcanic worldwide, including (but not limited to) those that led to eruption. This will enable easy data retrieval and visualisation of multi-parametric datasets, data-mining and other applications, including probabilistic eruption forecasting. We are keenly aware of the demands on volcano observatories from multiple data compilation efforts, and we work with those other projects for everyone’s benefit. More data, more capability, more accessibility In 2015 we added eruption precursor and evolution of the unrest for about 100 volcanoes in Japan (in collaboration with JMA, NIED) and eruptive data of Alaskan volcanoes, Philippines, and selected Indonesian volcanoes, in collaboration with USGS, PHIVOLCS and CVGHM. We also had volunteer contributors to data and structure/schema of Satellite SO2 emission (V. Flower and S. Carn, Michigan Tech), and El Hierro unrest data (J. Marti and S. Bartolini, IGN and CSIC, Spain). 2015 also saw the addition of a data query tool, data visualisation and download. Other developments include the earthquake hypocentre visualisation and a prototype “Eruption interactive time series visualization” that captures eruption chronology, alert level, monitoring and observed data. WOVOdat continues to work in close collaboration with partners in SE Asia (PHIVOLCS and CVGHM) to maintain and update WOVO.dat. We also revised our data policy so that all contributions older than 2 years are publically available and those more recent can be visualised. We are in the midst of signing data sharing agreements with many observatories. We have worked with PHIVOLCS and CVGHM to improve their local host databases and with USGS-VDAP to link their current forecasting model tools with the WOVOdat database. COMING IN 2016: WOVOdat plug-ins We will start creating a series of data sets and analysis modules that will include limited examples of remarkable and well-documented eruptions (e.g., Mount St. Helens 1980, Pinatubo 1991). These will be downloadable as a package and thus will not require access to fast internet connection. We will provide a simple analysis tool that will calculate first and second derivative parameter values (e.g. rate of displacement and increase of number of earthquakes) that could be used to diagnose and evaluate the state of volcano unrest based the historical eruption occurrence, symptoms, and origins of unrest. In 2016 we will also continue to concentrate on data population from volcano observatories in Asia, start exploring Latin American volcano observatory data, and we welcome contributions from other regions as opportunities arise. We expect to improve our remote sensing data (deformation, gas, and thermal) in collaboration with M. Pritchard (Cornell), J. Biggs (Bristol), and S. Carn (Michigan Tech). We plan to discuss with Elsevier about the possibility that data are contributed directly by authors when a paper is published. WOVOdat are looking forward to seeing you at CoV9! We will participate in the GVM two-day database workshop and hope to encourage links with and contributions from Latin American volcano observatories. Updates and new resources on VHub.org! Greg Valentine (University of Buffalo). See vhug.org for more information. As part of GVM activities, vhub.org are facilitating the benchmarking and validation of volcanic mass flow and lava flow models. In the long run we hope to develop a sort of certification process for models that can help users decide which codes are most useful for their particular hazards issues. Recent updates and additions include: Confort 15 – an update to Larry Mastin’s widely used Conflow code that can be downloaded for modeling flow in volcanic conduits. FlowDat – a volcanic mass flow database by Sarah Ogburn that documents parameters related to flow size and mobility for block-and-ash flows, debris avalanches, and mass flows on other planets. Titan2D Hazard Map Emulator Workflow tool that facilitates production of hazard maps based on Titan2D granular flow simulations (Titan2D can be used in online mode through vhub.org), developed by R. Jones-Ivey and B. Zhang. Fall3D v.7.1 computational model for tephra transport and deposition, by A. Folch, A. Costa, and G. Macedonio A wide range of both online and offline models are available at vhub.org, as well as educational modules for undergraduate and graduate courses. Vhub is also often used to share research activities. A detailed description of the capabilities of vhub.org and some of its online modeling tools can be found in Palma et al. (2014, J. Applied Volcanology 3:2). http:// appliedvolc.springeropen.com/ articles/10.1186/2191-5040-3-2 Vhub.org is an online platform to facilitate global collaboration in volcanology through sharing of modelling tools, educational resources, and data. The platform was initiated in 2010 with support from the U.S. National Science Foundation, and is available at no cost to users. G-Ever Shinji Takarada (Secretary General, G-EVER Promotion Team, GSJ, AIST) An Eastern Asia Earthquake and Volcanic Hazards Information Map has been published by G-EVER Promotion Team in Geological Survey of Japan, AIST (20 May 2016), in collaboration with geological institutes in SE Asia. The Hazards Information Map contains geology and tectonics, distribution of Holocene volcanoes, calderas, large-scale ignimbrites and ash falls, fatalities of major volcanic events, active faults, earthquake hypocenters and source areas, fatalities of major earthquakes, and tsunami hazards. The map and documentation can be downloaded from the following URLs: Map: https://www.gsj.jp/data/ASIA/ JPG/GSJ_MAP_ASIAE_HZD02_2016_300dpi.zip (64MB). Document: https://www.gsj.jp/data/ ASIA/PDF/GSJ_MAP_ASIAE_HZD02_2016_D.pdf (30MB). The plan is to upload the GIS map data on the G-EVER Asia-Pacific Region Earthquake and Volcanic Hazard Information System (http://ccopgeoinfo.org/G-EVER/ ) within a year. Ethiopian volcanic hazards Charlotte Vye-Brown (BGS) A recently published collaborative paper between BGS, University of Bristol, University of Leeds and the Addis Ababa University provides a background to the current NERC funded RiftVolc project: Vye-Brown, C., et al. (2016) . Ethiopian volcanic hazards: a changing research landscape. In T.J. Wright et al. (Eds) Magmatism, Rifting and Active Volcanism. Geol. Soc. Lond. Special Publication., 420. doi: 10.1144/SP420.16. The paper is a benchmark against which increasing awareness of volcanic hazards in Ethiopia can be compared. Eastern Asia Earthquake and Volcanic Hazards Information Map (G-EVER) Towards standardization of volcanic ashfall impacts data Tom Wilson (University of Canterbury) and Graham Leonard (GNS Science), on behalf of New Zealand colleagues [Natalia Deligne (GNS Science) and Carol Stewart (Massey University)] and the volcanic ashfall impacts working group [https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/volcanic_ash/about_us.html] In New Zealand, GNS and the University of Canterbury have recently undertaken an impact assessment scenario for an Auckland Volcanic Field Eruption – with a focus on both damages and loss of function for critical infrastructure. Adopting a scenario-based approach, the group have worked alongside stakeholders to determine the impacts critical to them – namely service disruption. Colleagues in New Zealand are also working with the Alaska Volcano Observatory (USGS) and the University of Bristol within the volcanic ashfall impacts working group, who have all recently been involved in updating the site. The working group aims to achieve the needs of the Global Volcano Model and is aligned with the DATA project of the UN-IRDR (http:// www.irdrinternational.org/projects/) - standards and protocols to reduce uncertainty in disaster loss data. This supports the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 20152030 (http://www.wcdrr.org/preparatory/post2015) . Improving the global Eruption Source Parameters Database Samantha Engwell (BGS) and Larry Mastin (CVO-USGS) with input from Sara Barsotti (IMO), Augustor Neri (INGV), Arnau Folch (BSCCNS), Barbara Stunder (NOAA) and Claire Witham (UKMO) BGS is leading an international effort to review and restructure the Eruption Source Parameters Database for the world’s volcanoes (http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2009/1133/). Eruption source parameters or ESPs are those parameters such as plume height, eruption duration, erupted volume, and grain-size distribution, used as inputs to volcanic ash-cloud models. Intended updates to the database were presented during the VAAC best practice meeting in Buenos Aires, Argentina in April, and a survey distributed to all of the attendees. We are currently processing the results of the survey. Cities on Volcanoes 9 Cities on Volcanoes provides a fantastic opportunity for GVM network members to meet, share ideas and collaborate. A number of GVM member institutions will be in attendance and we have been made aware of the following activities that network members are convening: Find out more about GVM! Follow us on Twitter: @GloVolcanoModel or check our website: globalvolcanomodel.org or contact: Dr Sue Loughlin (BGS-NERC) [email protected] To find out more, visit: https://www.citiesonvolcanoes9.com/en/ program/scientific-technical-program Established in 2011, the Global Volcano Model (GVM) is a global network of institutions, which have the common goal of reducing of reducing volcanic hazard and risk. GVM emphasises local to global scales, in particular providing support to local agencies and feeding into global strategies for risk reduction. The Smithsonian Institution, World Organization of Volcano Observatories, IAVCEI and Vhub are all represented on the board of GVM.
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