South Selkirk grizzly bear habitat assessment and security enhancement project Year 2 reporting period, April, 2010 – April 2011 Michael Proctor FWCP Annual report Trans-border Grizzly Bear Project April 2011 1 Project Location The project area consists of the South Selkirk Grizzly Bear Population Unit, bordered by the west arm of Kootenay Lake (KL) and Highway 3A in the north, the south arm of KL and the Creston Valley to the east, Castlegar BC to the west, and the US border in the south. Figure 1. a) South Selkirk Grizzly Bear Population Unit in context of remnant peninsular grizzly bear distribution (shaded area) and b) South Selkirk GBPU (our study area) on a 1:250,000 topographic map. a b Project Description and Rationale This project is necessary to facilitate full recovery of the threatened South Selkirk (SS) grizzly bear population unit. The bears in the SS Grizzly Bear Population Unit (GBPU) are at the southern edge of their North American distribution in this region (Fig. 1). Recent research has unveiled the conservation status of the S Selkirk grizzly bears (summarized below). This project plans to research, develop, and implement workable management plans to recover the SS population of bears to selfsustaining and potentially huntable status if warranted. The SS bears have suffered isolation from their immediate neighbours that has resulted in a 15% loss of genetic diversity (Proctor et al. 2005). A recent population survey estimated the Canadian population at 58 animals (95% CI 50-70; Proctor et al. 2007) and the entire ecosystem, including the US, is estimated to be approximately 75 animals. Small isolated populations with fewer than 100 animals have a serious conservation risk (IUCN 2003). BC Ministry of Environment (MoE) considers this a threatened population and estimates that there are less than half the number of bears than the habitat could support (Hamilton et al. 2004). The US considers this a federally listed “threatened” population under their Endangered Species Act. The isolation is a serious factor in the conservation status of this population and has been largely caused by human settlement patterns over the past decades (Proctor 2003). Human development along the corridor between Castlegar and Balfour (West Arm of Kootenay Lake) through Nelson has created a fracture, isolating the SS grizzly bears from those in the Central Selkirks immediately north of the 2 Kootenay River (Fig 2). Hydroelectric development between Nelson and Castlegar and its associated development likely have contributed to this situation. The cornerstones of grizzly bear recovery management -- mortality reduction, improved habitat security, and recovered inter-population connectivity -- should be applied to the SS grizzly bears. In fact, the Trans-border Grizzly Bear Project (TBGBP – authors of this proposal) was started to initiate research and implement these actions. Efforts to reduce human caused mortality in the core of the SS system and along its periphery are underway with cooperation between the TBGBP, BC Bear Aware, and the BC MoE. The project proposed here concentrates on providing adequate habitat security sufficient to reduce mortality risk, maximize reproductive capacity, and enhance inter-population connectivity. Habitat Security We are approaching habitat security by using GPS radio telemetry on bears to understand habitat use and quality across the ecosystem. We see a need to identify the areas of the highest quality grizzly bear habitat across the SS GBPU and translate this information into specific management plans that will provide for adequate habitat security for grizzly bears while providing for sufficient economic activity in the area, thereby optimizing the ability of humans and grizzly bears to prosper and coexist in this important area. A portion of the SS ecosystem has experienced access management within the Darkwoods property and the new owners, the Nature Conservancy Canada (NCC), are interested in research that would inform their future land use planning in this regard. Inter-population movement Given the isolated status of the SS grizzly bears, what is needed is an effort to identify specific linkage habitat that can be translated into workable connectivity management plans designed to improve the survival of bears that move between adjacent areas. The TBGBP started work in the SS Mts. in 2005 doing a rigorous DNA-based population estimate (Proctor et al. 2007) and began a GPS radio telemetry effort in 2007-2008. Results from this preliminary work suggest that one of the better options for interpopulation connectivity with a neighbouring area is across the Creston Valley that contains the Creston Valley Wildlife Management Area (CVWMA) owned and managed by BC Hydro. The Trans-border Grizzly Bear Project has been doing just this type of work on habitat security and linkage across Hwy 3 in the South Purcell Mts. immediately to the east of the SS system since 2004. There we have identified areas of high quality grizzly bear habitat using validated data-derived predictive models, producing specific habitat polygons now being considered by several working groups for access management. TBGBP has also identified several linkage zones where special management is being initiated, including conservation land purchase. While this habitat and linkage research has already begun in the S Selkirks, it needs to continue with rigorous sample sizes to allow solid and informed management plans. Implementation Experience around the world has taught us that recovering threatened grizzly bear populations is possible and that it requires concerted, enhanced, sustained, and informed management. It is the intention of the TBGBP to carry out rigourous scientific research to inform, develop, and implement workable management plans with cooperation from the Fish & Wildlife Compensation Program, BC MoE, BC Hydro, the NCC, Darkwoods Timber Co, other timber companies, hunters, recreationists, and the general public. 3 Objectives This is a multi-year project (5 years). Therefore we will present overall objectives and annual objectives. The overall project objective is to research, develop, and implement workable management plans to complete the recovery process of the SS population grizzly bears to self-sustaining and potentially huntable status if warranted. Specifically, the project objectives are to GPS radio collar 20-25 grizzly bears across the SS GBPU to identify habitat use, areas of high quality habitat (core) and linkage habitat with adjacent areas. These data will then be used to develop habitat models that can be applied across the ecosystem and partition the area into a spectrum of categories of habitat quality for grizzly bears. These models will then be the basis for developing land use management plans that would consider access management, recreational development, timber harvest, etc. optimized to higher quality grizzly bear habitat and human use requirements. Another objective is to use these habitat models to identify linkage habitat with adjacent areas that will allow the development and implementation of linkage management plans. Year 1, completed The objective for year 1 (2009) was to radio collar 4-6 grizzly bears in the S Selkirk Mts. and we collared 7 (6 females and 1 male) (to add to our 7 bears we have radio collared in the Selkirks currently in the eastern area), monitor these bears, and remotely download the data periodically. In year 1 we concentrated in the northeast/central portion of the ecosystem (Apex Cr, Clearwater, Wildhorse Cr. Upper Seaman Cr.). Year 2 , the subject of this report The objective was to improve spatial representation of GPS telemetry data across the ecosystem by collaring 6-7 bears in the north and south central area. We collared 6 grizzly bears this season. We also collected data from these 2010 bears and those collared in previous years that still carried their collars during the 2010 season. We also have collected all collars that have come off bears in this past season. See cumulative telemetry data set Figure 2. Another objective for this year was to use our cumulative telemetry dataset to complete habitat modeling designed to develop a linkage management plan for the S Selkirk – S Purcell linkage area across the Creston Valley. Including the bears we collared in 2010, and the data collected already from those bears, we have a cumulative dataset that includes 28 bears, 14 from the South Purcells and 14 from the S Selkirks. We used this data set to finalize our linkage modeling designed to identify linkage zones that span the Creston Valley linking the Purcell and Selkirk ranges. This effort is being documented in a peer-reviewed scientific publication. The first draft of this publication is completed and co-authors are currently reviewed and editing (see Figure excerpts in Appendix I). It will be ready for submission in the next few months. These results and information have also been incorporated into our regional Linkage Management Plan that also included previous similar work across Hwy 3 in the Purcell Mts (Proctor et al. 2011). We have also begun the implementation of these linkage management options designed to enhance inter mountain movement of grizzly bears. Year 3 Or objectives for year 3 are to radio collar 4-6 bears in the south and western portion of the S Selkirk ecosystem. These new data will inform our habtat security objectives. We will also continue to implement management to realize our linkage enhancement goals. Years 4 & 5 The objectives for years 4 and 5 will be to carry out the habitat use analysis of the entire SS GBPU, develop resulting management plans and begin the process of integrating them into receptive 4 agencies, NCC, communities, and private companies. Specifically we will carry out the analysis that will yield the fine-scale habitat mapping, translation of these models into management plans for the GBPU. These management plans will include optional access management plans that will be the basis of a community wide discussion (including BC MoE, MoF, NCC, timber companies, hunters, recreationists, and the TBGBP). A partnership with the NCC will be one vehicle to bring our results to the larger community. Linkage plans will also be developed for Highways 3, 3A and 6 and will be available to inform land use decisions that may affect grizzly bear’s ability to cross these human corridors. Description of work There are 4 basic activities comprising this project: radio collaring and data collection, GPS habitat modeling with the resulting location data, management plan development, and implementation of those plans. Radio collaring Radio collaring grizzly bears entails live capture and fitting of radio collars, and is described at the end of this section (includes a section on safe and humane handling methods). We plan to radio collar bears of both sexes with good spatial representation across the area. We have collared 18 bears in the SS over the past 3 years. Radio collars take locations from satellites every hour (or 2 hrs) during the non-denning season and typically remain on the bear for 2-3 seasons. Collars have an automatic drop-off mechanism and a cotton “rot-off” as a back up to ensure removal from the bear. We remotely upload the data from an aircraft at least twice a season and retrieve the collar after it comes off the bear. Other flights during the year are for determining collar locations after falling off bears, den locations in winter, and cub production in spring. Habitat modeling Our primary goal is to use our GPS data to predict areas of high quality grizzly bear habitat, “core areas” and areas where high quality habitat bridges core areas through human environments, “linkage areas”. Our resulting habitat maps will allow us to partition habitat into a spectrum of categories to be paired with appropriate management. For instance, areas of high quality core habitat might be candidates for access management consideration, while linkage habitat might be a candidate for conservation land purchase if appropriate. Other habitat quality categories may be appropriate for recreation development which our mapping products can inform so as to not compromise areas of high habitat values. These products will be taken to a group of stakeholders (timber industry, hunters, recreationists, potential developers, and government) to begin a community-wide discussion on optimal areas for special management. To categorize grizzly bear habitat, we will develop Resource Selection Function (RSF) models (Boyce and McDonald 1999; Manly et al. 2002; Nielsen, et al. 2002) from our radio telemetry data. We will develop season- and sex-specific models. Bears are known to select habitat at multiple scales (Mace et al.1996, Apps et al. 2004, Proctor et al.2008) and we will therefore carry out a hierarchical analysis. We will start at the scale of home range selection to determine what attributes bears are selecting for their home ranges. Next, we will explore the composite home ranges of the collared bears, and test how bears select habitat at this medium scale. Finally we will look at habitat selection within the individual home ranges of each bear. We combine the predictions of habitat quality into a composite model used to detail a set of categorized habitat quality polygons where, appropriate management can be considered. We intend to work with stakeholders on developing workable management plans where appropriate and feasible. For instance, NCC is interested in these results for their land use planning as they consider a range of ecological values (i.e. multiple species and ecosystem-based management), and 5 as a consideration for their access management plans. With the partnership of the NCC, we also will attempt to bring together a broad consortium of stakeholders in the S Selkirk system to discuss the possibility of using the habitat data for land use decisions. Our strategy in the S Purcell Mts. (which worked well) was to begin a dialog with stakeholders groups throughout the years of our data collection, building trust and a sense of common purpose that became a bridge to consideration and realization of improved on-the-ground management actions. RSF modeling details RSF models involve spatially-explicit multiple logistic regression predictions applied in a GIS environment (Manly et al. 2002; Nielsen et al. 2002). They associate grizzly bear habitat use, as determined through GPS radio-telemetry locations, with ecological, terrain, forest cover, and human-use variables (Table 1), and predict grizzly bear habitat use across the whole study area (Nielsen et al. 2002). Variable data will be obtained from a variety of sources, including BC government TRIM (Terrain Resource Information Management), BTM (Baseline Thematic Mapping), and VRI (Vegetation Resource Inventory data) layers. The highway and human occurrence points (developments) layers are digitized from 1:50k topographic maps and ortho photos, greenness is derived from Landsat imagery using a TassleCap transformation (Crist and Ciccone 1984), and slope, solar radiation, and terrain ruggedness are derived from a digital elevation model. Data will be modeled at the 100m x 100m pixel size. Alpine, avalanche, burn and riparian habitats have been demonstrated to be important habitat types that attract grizzly bears because they contain a variety of food resources (Mace et al. 1996; McLellan and Hovey 1995; McLellan and Hovey 2001). Greenness, an index of leafy green productivity, likely correlates with a diverse set of bear food resources and is often found to be a good predictor of grizzly bear habitat use (Mace et al. 1996, Nielsen et al. 2002). Forest cover variables have been found to influence habitat selection (Apps et al. 2004). Ecological variables such as curvature index which identifies wet areas, terrain ruggedness which measures topographic complexity, and solar radiation, an index to vegetative productivity, all have the potential to influence habitat selection. Human-use variables have been repeatedly demonstrated to influence habitat selection (Mace et al 1996, 1999; Nielsen et al. 2002; Apps et al. 2004). We will also explore road avoidance within the S Selkirk system, if our data allows. Darkwoods has had partial access management (and no hunting) across most of its land-base and this policy may be continued for the duration of our research by NCC. We may be able to carry out a comparison of habitat selection across different management strategies using our cumulative dataset, including data from the Purcell Mts. Model validation will be done by using 80% of the location data to develop models with the remaining 20% used to validate models (Hosmer and Lemshaw 1989; Boyce et al. 2002; Nielsen et al. 2002). RSF scores for each dataset (80% and 20%) are ranked, binned into 10 categories, and tested for their predictive abilities. We further tested for model predictability by scoring models for classification accuracy. Classification accuracy represents the proportion of correctly classified bear locations that have RSF scores higher than an optimized cut point. The cut point is the optimization of sensitivity and specificity curves (Hosmer and Lemshaw 1989) and loosely represents RSF scores above which the model predicts bear occurrence. In all of our models we compare grizzly bear telemetry locations (Use) to an equal number of random locations (Availability) derived from the appropriate areas for each scale. Model development followed protocols in Hosmer and Lemshaw (1989). First, all variables are tested for pairwise correlations and variables with a correlation index >0.7 are excluded from use within the same model. Second, all variables are run in a uni-variate logistic regression and ranked for their significance and 6 explanatory power (R2). Then models are built by adding variables in a step-wise fashion starting with the most influential variables (higher to lower R2). Models are compared sequentially after each variable addition; variable significance, explanatory power (R2), and likelihood are used to compare models and decide if a variable improves model predictability. Best models are the most parsimonious (fewest variables) providing the optimal predictability. Logistic regression modeling is done within the statistical software package STATA (Intercooled 9.2, College Station, Texas). It should be noted that the variables we use are not necessarily primary functional factors that drive grizzly bear habitat use, but are likely correlates to those variables. Grizzly bears likely respond to seasonal food supplies, social requirements, security needs, and human influence, however, we do not have map products that directly depict all of these across regions. Therefore we use the multi-variate analyses with a variety of habitat and human-influence variables to model where bears are likely to occur. The input variables we use for modeling are very similar to other efforts of this type (Mace et al. 1996; Nielsen et al. 2002; Apps et al. 2004). The two goals of our modeling effort are to predict habitat use for linkage management (see below) and potential access management. To do this, we eliminate the influence of roads in our predictive models to better allow the identification of currently roaded habitats that might otherwise be good grizzly bear habitat. Linkage management plans The products from RSF modeling will be used to identify core grizzly bear areas (areas of high quality habitat), and linkage habitat (areas where reasonable habitat bridges core areas across human environments). These products will be used the same way they were used in our work in the S Purcells. After identifying linkage habitat, we did a landownership analysis and identified properties that might benefit from direct purchase. Through a partnership with Harvey Locke of Y2Y we raised the funds and to date have purchased or made agreements to purchase ~ $1 million worth of property for linkage management. We also have integrated special management within these linkage zones with Tembec Enterprises, the local timber company, using our management recommendations for linkage enhancement. Our ultimate goal is to work research-directed grizzly-bear-friendly management into the everyday way we live and work in these ecosystems. Capture protocol and standards of care for live capture We will be capturing wild grizzly bears to fit with radio collars. Capture is by the commonly used Aldridge foot snare at baited sites. This method of capture has been safely used for over 30 years. Bears are anesthetized with the drug combination Telazol and Xylazine a common anaesthetic used to immobilize grizzly bears. During the procedure we fit and put on a radio collar, take a DNA sample (hand pulled hair from the torso), put on ear tags, pull a tooth for ageing, weigh, and measure the animal for various characteristics. Non-target animals (black bears) must be immobilized to be released. These handling procedures follow the protocols established in: 'A Manual for handling Bears for Managers and Researchers', J.J. Jonkel, 1993; 'Handbook for Wildlife Chemical Immobilization', T.J. Kreeger, 1997. These procedures were also scrutinized by the University of Alberta and required to meet the standards of the Canada Council on Animal Care Standards. I have had a provincial permit to live capture bears in the region since 2004. I was trained over a period of 4 years by an individual with over 25 years experience in trapping grizzly bears, and attend an annual refresher workshop on bear capture and handling led by a USFWS veterinarian. Suitably safe capture sites are pre-chosen based on safety to the bears and humans. Safe sites have good visibility for approach, are situated alone to eliminate snared bears from getting tangled with other vegetation, and require adequate shade to keep animals cool. A team of 2 people checks traps 7 daily, first thing in the morning. On hot days we will check some traps 2 or more times per day to minimize potential heat exposure. A weight estimate guides the drug dose which is administered intramuscularly by a dart gun (Pneu-Dart system) at a distance of 10-30m. Pneu-Dart rifles allow very precise dart velocity control and all side-port darts are shot with a minimum of power to reduce injection site injury. A loaded shotgun remains within arm’s reach during handling. The bear’s level of anaesthesia is constantly monitored. During handling the snare is moved to a different foot and the bear is placed sternal, slightly downhill, with their arms pulled beside their head to ensure comfortable breathing. We give a physical exam to look for injuries, monitor their temperature constantly, apply non-steriod eye-lubricating ointment and close and cover the eyes, apply bottled oxygen through the nose, and attach a pulse-oxymeter to the tongue that measures heart rate and the amount of dissolved oxygen in the blood. We also monitor the position of the eyes every 5 minutes or when other physiological signs suggest a change in the level of anaesthesia is occurring. We periodically check for capillary refill time to assess the circulator system function. We also keep thermal insulation and water available in case warmth or cooling is required during handling. We weigh the bear using a weighing blanket to minimize any internal body stress during lifting. Measures of success Measures of success will be incremental and sequential. The first 3 years’ successes will be measured in the number of radio collared bears (4-6/yr) we have with the intended spatial representation. Our first two years of radio collaring have been completed successfully. In Year 1 we collared 6 research bears in the SS and 1 management bear (Salmo area) that is fitted with a GPS collar. In year 2 we radio collared 6 grizzly bears. See cumulative regional telemetry dataset Figure 2. Second will be the development of rigorous RSF models that are validated and predictive of grizzly bear habitat values. The first model will be using bears in the SS areas integrated with the 15 bears we have GPS radio collar data for in the adjacent S Purcell Mts. These data were combined in a predictive habitat model to identify linkage habitat in the Creston Valley in year 2. This measure has been completed successfully. Third will be the successful translation of these models into a linkage / core habitat management plan across the Creston Valley linking the S Purcell and S Selkirk Mts. This goal has also been completed (Proctor e al. 2011). Also the linkage analysis is being prepared for publication in a peer reviewed scientific publication (see Figure excerpts in Appendix I). Our first draft is complete and submission will occur within a few months. In fact our local success has inspired the US Fish and Wildlife Service to requested that our project extend out analysis into the US to predict linkage across several fragmenting highways, including US Hwys 2, 200, and 95 in northern Montana and Idaho. Our linkage paper will include these areas, making this effort a truly regional in scope. Fourth will be the ecosystem-wide habitat models used to predict core and linkage habitat within the S Selkirk system. Here linkage habitat will be across Hwys 6 and 3 (successfully identified) and core habitat will likely be in the backcountry. Core habitat will be used to identify the higher quality grizzly bear habitat for potential special management such as access management. The ultimate measure of success will be the successful integration of our data into management plans that become real working documents guiding land use decisions and on-the-ground activities. The NCC, the new owners of the Darkwoods property, is poised to be a partner in this effort, supportive of using scientific research to apply management to their property, as well as the entire ecosystem. They will partner with us in bringing the many stakeholders to the table to use a well documented and 8 researched system to look for workable land use patterns that will foster grizzly bear recovery and persistence across this ecosystem. We have provided our linkage results to the NCC and they are working to protect linkage habitat across the Creston Valley already. The ultimate evaluation of our success will be in the long-term improvement of the conservation status of this population unit. Outside of this proposal, we are planning another DNA-survey population estimate for the South Selkirk ecosystem, in conjunction with the BC MoE, sometime in the next decade. This survey will provide valuable population level monitoring and feedback and contribute to our ability to evaluate the effectiveness of any management action resulting for our efforts. Figure 2. Trans-border Grizzly Bear Project cumulative GPS telemetry dataset set overlaying the DNA survey derived core grizzly habitat for the South Selkirk GBPU. Future work Grizzly bear research, by definition, is a multiple year endeavor. This project is proposed to extend for 5 years: 3 years of radio collaring, 1 year of analysis, management plan development, and scientific manuscript writing, and 1 year of implementation efforts. In reality we will be working on implementation during the entire project by sharing data as it accumulates and initiating discussions with and integrating suggestions from relevant stakeholders. The TBGBP is committed to working in the international arena across the Canada-US border on the S Selkirk and S Purcell grizzly bear populations until they are well on the road to recovery, and our recommendations are integrated into the fabric of society. 9 Future years’ budget and activities will be as follows: Very detailed budgets for Years 1, 2, and 3 are available if required. Year 2 - $30,000 – SEE ATTACHED BUDGET, activities very similar to year 1 with the addition of linkage modeling in the eastern portion of the ecosystem – integrated with adjacent S Purcell models that are already complete. Year 3 - $30,000 – activities very similar to years 1 & 2 Year 4 - $30,000 – activities shift to analysis, GIS-based habitat modeling and management plan development. Collars will still be coming off and field work will be at a lower level than previous years. Year 5 - $30,000 – activities shift to implementation of management plans including integration with stakeholders in the South Selkirk ecosystem, including NCC, BC MoE, BC MoF, local timber companies, hunter groups, communities, and recreationists. For instance, we have agreements with NCC to help integrate all stakeholders in this process and plan to work closely with their multi-species ecosystem level effort to regional management. Other activities include fundraising for linkage property purchase where appropriate. This year will also see increased effort put into outreach, including public talks, and meetings with interested organizations. All funds for M. Proctor have not been secured for this year, so part of the FWCP budget will go towards M. Proctor’s time in coordinating these activities. Public Participation/Partners The trans-border Grizzly Bear project is a cooperative effort that includes Canadian biologist Dr. Michael Proctor – the author of this proposal and lead biologist in the Canadian portion of the effort. Other partners are Dr. Chris Servheen, grizzly bear Recovery Coordinator for the US Fish & Wildlife Service who is responsible for grizzly bear recovery in the entire conterminous USA, Wayne Kasworm, USFWS lead recovery biologist for the US Cabinet/Yaak ecosystem, and Wayne Wakkinen from Idaho Fish & Game, grizzly bear biologist responsible for the S Selkirk ecosystem in the US. This international partnership began in 2004 and has extended what was a US effort for recovery of these threatened trans-border populations into Canada. The prognosis for success has constantly increased as we are now working towards conservation solutions across entire threatened ecosystems within both countries. M. Proctor’s salary, expenses, and research budget comes from a consortium of organizations including.: BC Habitat Conservation Trust Fund – Canadian ongoing $ Wilberforce Foundation – US-based ongoing $ Tembec Enterprises – Canadian ongoing $ Liz Claiborne Art Ortenberg Foundation on going $ Alberta Ingenuity Post Doctoral Fellowship – Canadian concluded $ National Fish and Wildlife Foundation – US based ongoing $ Yellowstone to Yukon Conservation Initiative – Canadian ongoing $ BC Parks – Canadian concluded $ Parks Canada – Canadian ongoing (in kind trapping assistance) BC MoE / MoF – in kind assistance, bait storage, use of quads Nature Conservancy Canada – beginning $ - in kind cooperative implementation work Creston Valley Wildlife Management Area – in kind assistance, facilities use BC Bear Aware – the TBGBP fund raises for a grizzly Bear Aware specialist annually 10 We anticipate that many of the above mentioned organizations will also be involved in our management plan and implementation phases. Playing a significant role in implementation will be the Nature Conservancy Canada. We have agreements to fully cooperate in data sharing, management plan development, and in the challenging task of integrating all stakeholders in the S Selkirk ecosystem. Their intention is to invest significant resources into this effort. Grizzly bear research is inherently dangerous (for obvious reasons) and therefore only trained individuals take part in bear capture and radio collaring. We also realize that grizzly bear management involves the active participation of a broad range of stakeholders and we include them throughout our work where feasible (and safe to do so). Radio collar retrieval is an activity that lends itself well to the assistance of community volunteers. This is an excellent way to build bridges between various stakeholders. We regularly bring a variety of people on these outings. Otherwise we have an ongoing program to meet with stakeholders annually to share results, concerns, and ideas. Furthermore, I give annual talks in many of the communities in the area. In many cases our results are translated into management action in a timely manner before projects are officially complete and reports are written. Literature Cited Apps, C., B. McLellan, R. Serrouya, and G. Pavan. 2008. Evaluating and refining grizzly bear habitat management guidelines specific to forested buffer. Elk/Flathead study area. Research Branch, Ministry of Forests, Revelstoke, BC. Apps, C.D., B.N. McLellan, J.G. Woods, and M. Proctor. 2004. Distribution of a grizzly bear population relative to habitat and human influence in southeastern British Columbia. 2001. Journal of Wildlife Management. 68:138-152. Boulanger, J. 2005. Demography of Foothills Model Forest Grizzly Bears: 1999-2003. In, Foothills Model Forest grizzly bear research program, 1999-2003 final report. Eds. G. Stenhouse, and K. Graham. Foothills Model Forest. Hinton Alberta. Boyce, M.S. and L.L. McDonald. 1999. Relating populations to habitat using resource selection functions. Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 14:268-272 Boyce, M.S., P.B. Vernier, S.N. Nielsen, F.K.A. Schmiegelow. 2002. Evaluating resource selection functions. Ecological Modelling 157:281-300. Crist, E.P. and R.C. Ciccone. 1984. Application of the tasseled cap concept to simulate thematic mapper data. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing 50: 343-352. Hamilton, A.N., D.C. Heard, and M.A. Austin. 2004. British Columbia grizzly bear (Ursus arctos) Population estimate 2004. British Columbia Ministry of Water, Land, and Air Protection, Biodiversity Branch. Victoria, B.C. Hosmer, D.W., Jr. and S. Lemshaw. 1989. Applied Logisitic Regression. John Wiley & Sons, New York, New York, USA. IUCN. 2003. Guidelines for application of IUCN Red List Criteria at Regional Levels. Version 3.0. IUCN Species Survival Commission. IUCN – The World Conservation Union, Gland, Switzerland and Cambridge, U.K. Mace, R.D., J.S. Waller, T.L. Manley, K. Ake, and W.T. Wittinger. 1999. Landscape evaluation of grizzly bear habitat in Western Montana. Conservation Biology 13:367-377. Mace, R.D., J.S. Waller, T.L. Manley, L.J. Lyon, and H. Zuring. 1996. Relationships among grizzly bears, roads, and habitat use in the Swan Mountains, Montana. Journal of Applied Ecology 33:1395-1404. Manly, B.F.J., L.L. McDonald, D.L. Thomas. T.L. McDonald, and W.P. Erickson. 2002. Resource Selection by Animals. Kluwer Academic Publishers. Boston. 221 pp. McLellan, B.N. and D.M. Shackleton. 1988. Grizzly bears and resource extraction industries: effects of roads on behavior, habitat use, and demography. Journal of Applied Ecology 35:451-46 McLellan, B.N. and F. Hovey. 1995. The diet of grizzly bears in the Flathead drainage of southeastern British Columbia. Canadian Journal of Zoology 73:704-712. McLellan, B.N. and F. W. Hovey. 2001. Habitats selected by grizzly bears in multiple use landscapes. Journal of Wildlife Management 65:92-99. Nielsen, S.E., M.S. Boyce, G.B. Stenhouse, and R.H.M. Munro. 2002. Modeling grizzly bear habitats in the Yellowhead ecosystem of Alberta: taking autocorrelation seriously. Ursus 13:45-56. 11 Proctor, M.F. 2003. Genetic analysis of movement, dispersal, and population fragmentation of grizzly bears in southwestern Canada. PhD Thesis. University of Calgary. 154 pp. Proctor, M., B.N. McLellan, C. Strobeck, and R. Barclay. 2005. Genetic analysis reveals demographic fragmentation of grizzly bears yielding vulnerably small populations. Proceedings of the Royal Society, London. 272:2409-2416. Proctor, M., J. Boulanger, S. Nielson, W. Kasworm, C. Servheen, T. Radandt, And D Paetkau. 2007 Abundance and density of Central Purcell, South Purcell and Yahk Grizzly Bear Population Units in southeast British Columbia. BC Ministry of Environment. Nelson BC. Proctor, M., C. Servheen, W. Kasworm, and T. Radandt. 2008. Habitat security for grizzly bears in the Yahk Grizzly Bear Population Unit of the south Purcell Mts. of southeast British Columbia. Trans-border Grizzly Bear Project report. Tembec Enterprises. Cranbrook BC. Proctor, M., S. Nielsen, W. Kasworm, C. Servheen and T. Radandt. 2011. Identification of linkage habitat using Resource Selection Function modeling across 5 highway systems in the fragmented grizzly bear populations of the South Selkirk, Purcell, and Cabinet Mountains of British Columbia, Montana and Idaho. In prep. 12 Budget This budget is for the Trans-border Grizzly Bear Project total income and expenses for the past year. PROJECT BUDGET YEAR 2 Expenditures Total $'s Contracted Services (e.g. consultant) Materials (list) 1 101,862 Telonics GPS radio collars 4@ 3750 7949 2 Supplies 7454 3 Vehicle Equipment Rental 13100.34 aircraft, equipment 0 Travel 2274 Other (list) Office expenses, DNA lab costs, Ins 4756.34 TOTAL (A) Other (Non FWCP) Cash Contributions $137,396 Total $'s Organizations / Individuals 1 Yellowstone to Yukon 0 2 Liz Claiborne Art Ortenberg Foundation 22,000 3 National Fish & Wildlife Foundation 30,000 4 Nature Conservancy Canada 10,000 5 Habitat Conservation Trust Foundation 6 US Fish & Wildlife Service 44000 0 TOTAL (B) $106,000 Funding Recieved from the FWCP Total $'s TOTAL (C) (A - B) $30,000 Applicants and/or Partners Contributions in Kind Volunteer Labour Hours Parks Canada Warden trapping Collar retrieval Rate Total $'s 240 25 6000 80 20 1600 Donated equipment Other (specify) collars (3) (min wage) radio (Prevailing rate) 6000 1 Trapping trailers - USFWS 2000 2 Camping trailer fees - CVWMA 2000 3 4 Scanning telemetry receiver - USFWS 5 Telemetry flights - USFWS 10000 TOTAL IN KIND (D) 13 500 $22,100 Appendix I. Excerpts of Figures from a soon to be submitted peer reviewed science publication of the Linkage analysis completed this past winter. Figure 3a) Trans-border regional grizzly bear distribution with occupied subpopulations as adapted from Proctor et al. 2011, including the Bitteroot Recovery Zone. Numbers represent data based population estimates for each subpopulation and b) close up of the focal study area around Highways 3, 3A, 2, 95, and 200 a b 14 Figure 4. GPS telemetry locations from 28 grizzly bears in the trans-border region of the Canada and the US in southern British Columbia, northwest Montana, and northern Idaho. The green polygon, the transborder area, was where the model was developed The blue area, the Cabinets, and the red area, the US Selkirks were extrapolation areas where the model was validated. 15 Figure 4. Resource Selection Function model applied over or entire study area. Green areas reflect RSF scores above the cut point, 0.67, where the model predicts grizzly bear occurrence. Model development area. Regional scale predictive variables were greenness (an index to leafy green deciduous vegetation), canopy cover (open areas were selected for), alpine areas, riparian areas and elevation. 16 Figure 5. Green ovals indicate areas where 3 criteria, low settlement, high valley RSF scores and High backcountry RSF scores overlap, combined to be a predictor of linkage habitat across highway corridors. The 2 Highway (1 and 3) linkage validation ovals are where we compared our linkage predictions to indedpendent prodcitions made by local researchers using local bear data. Our predictions matched very closely. 17
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